FOMC Federal Fund Rate Tracker [MHA Finverse]The FOMC Rate Tracker is a comprehensive indicator that visualizes Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and tracks market behavior during FOMC meeting periods. This tool helps traders analyze historical rate changes and anticipate market movements around Federal Open Market Committee announcements.
Key Features:
• Visual FOMC Periods - Automatically highlights each FOMC meeting period with colored boxes spanning from announcement to the next meeting
• Complete Rate Data - Displays actual rates, forecasts, previous rates, and rate differences for every meeting from 2021-2026
• Multiple Color Modes - Choose between cycle colors for visual distinction or rate difference colors (green for hikes, red for cuts, gray for holds)
• Smart Filtering - Filter periods by rate hikes only, cuts only, no change, or surprise moves to focus on specific market conditions
• Performance Metrics - Track average returns during rate hikes, cuts, and holds to identify historical patterns
• Volatility Analysis - Measure and compare price volatility across different FOMC periods
• Statistical Dashboard - View total hikes, cuts, holds, surprises, and longest hold streaks at a glance
• Built-in Alerts - Get notified 1 day before FOMC meetings, on meeting day, or when rates change
How It Works:
The indicator divides your chart into distinct periods between FOMC meetings, with each period showing a labeled box containing the meeting date, actual rate, forecast, previous rate, and rate difference. Future meetings are marked as "UPCOMING" to help you prepare for scheduled announcements.
Use Cases:
- Analyze how markets typically react to rate hikes vs. cuts
- Identify volatility patterns around FOMC announcements
- Backtest strategies based on monetary policy cycles
- Plan trades around upcoming Federal Reserve meetings
- Study the impact of surprise rate decisions on price action
Customization Options:
- Adjustable box transparency and outlines
- Customizable label sizes and colors
- Toggle individual dashboards on/off
- Filter specific types of rate decisions
- Configure alert preferences
This indicator is ideal for traders who incorporate fundamental analysis and monetary policy into their trading decisions. The historical data provides context for understanding market reactions to Federal Reserve actions.
Federalreserve
Fed Net Liquidity [Premium] [by Golman Armi]This indicator visualizes the USD Net Liquidity injected into the financial system by the Federal Reserve.
It is a fundamental macro-economic tool essential for understanding the underlying "fuel" driving risk assets such as the S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq (NDX), and Bitcoin (BTC).
Unlike many other liquidity scripts that incorrectly use Commercial Bank Assets (USCBBS), this script uses the Federal Reserve Total Assets (WALCL) to provide a mathematically accurate representation of Central Bank liquidity.
How It Works (The Formula)
Net Liquidity represents the actual cash available to the banking system for investment after government liabilities are subtracted. The formula used is:
NetLiquidity=WALCL−TGA−RRP
Where:
WALCL (Fed Balance Sheet): The total assets held by the Federal Reserve (The source of money printing).
TGA (Treasury General Account - WTREGEN): The checking account of the US Government. When the TGA goes up, money is removed from the economy; when it goes down, money is spent into the economy.
RRP (Reverse Repo - RRPONTTLD): Cash parked by banks and money market funds at the Fed overnight. A rise in RRP removes liquidity from the markets.
Features
Accurate Data Sourcing: Pulls daily data directly from FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data).
Unit Correction: Automatically adjusts conflicting units (Millions vs Billions) from TradingView data feeds to output a correct value in Trillions of Dollars.
Trend Cloud: Features a smoothing EMA (Exponential Moving Average) with a color-coded cloud to easily identify the macro trend (Green for expansion, Red for contraction).
How to Use
Trend Correlation:
Rising Line (Green): Liquidity is expanding. Historically, this supports bullish trends in stocks and crypto.
Falling Line (Red): Liquidity is being drained (QT or TGA refill). This often leads to volatility or bearish trends in risk assets.
Divergences (The most powerful signal):
If the S&P 500 or Bitcoin makes a New High, but Net Liquidity makes a Lower High, it indicates a "hollow rally" lacking fundamental support, often preceding a correction.
Disclaimer
This tool is for educational purposes and macro-economic analysis only. It is not financial advice.
PCE Inflation Monitor (Change YoY & MoM)📊 PCE Inflation Monitor - The Fed's Most Important Metric
Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure and THE metric they target for their 2% inflation goal. If you want to predict Fed policy, you need to watch PCE.
🎯 KEY FEATURES:
- Dual Perspective Analysis:
- Year-over-Year (YoY): Histogram bars showing annual PCE inflation
- Month-over-Month (MoM): Line overlay showing monthly consumption price changes
- Visual Reference System:
- Dashed line at 2% (Fed's official PCE inflation target)
- Dotted line at 0.17% (equivalent monthly target)
- Color-coded bars: Red above Fed target, Green below target
- Real-Time Data Table:
- Current PCE Index value
- YoY inflation rate vs. Fed's 2% target
- MoM inflation rate with color coding
- Exact deviation from Fed target (critical for policy predictions)
- Automated Alerts:
- PCE crosses Fed's 2% target (major policy signal!)
- MoM crosses monthly target
- Stay informed of Fed-relevant inflation changes
📈 WHY PCE IS DIFFERENT (AND MORE IMPORTANT):
PCE vs. CPI differences:
- Flexible basket: PCE adjusts for substitution (beef → chicken if prices rise)
- Broader coverage: Includes healthcare paid by insurance/government
- Lower readings: Typically 0.2-0.4% below CPI
- Fed's choice: Explicitly stated as their target metric
Most importantly: When Powell speaks about "our 2% target," he means PCE, not CPI!
🔍 TRADING IMPLICATIONS:
PCE Above 2% (Red Zone):
→ Fed under pressure to maintain/raise rates
→ Hawkish policy stance likely
→ Negative for growth stocks, crypto
→ Positive for USD, bearish for gold
PCE Below 2% (Green Zone):
→ Fed has flexibility to cut rates
→ Dovish policy stance possible
→ Positive for risk assets, growth stocks
→ Negative for USD, bullish for commodities
PCE Approaching 2% from Above:
→ Fed "mission accomplished" narrative
→ Rate cut cycle becomes possible
→ Major bullish signal for equities/crypto
💡 ADVANCED STRATEGIES:
1. Fed Meeting Preparation: Check PCE before FOMC meetings for policy clues
2. Dot Plot Predictions: PCE trend determines Fed's rate forecast updates
3. Pivot Timing: When PCE MoM turns negative, Fed pivot becomes realistic
4. Press Conference Analysis: Compare Powell's comments to PCE deviation
🎯 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:
- 2.0% YoY: Fed's official target - crossing this level is major news
- 2.5% YoY: "Uncomfortably high" - Fed forced to stay restrictive
- 3.0% YoY: "Crisis mode" - Fed turns very hawkish
- 1.5% YoY: "Below target" - Rate cuts become likely
🔄 COMBINE WITH:
- CPI: Public perception vs. Fed's metric (often diverge)
- Core PCE: Even more important (excludes food/energy volatility)
- Fed Funds Rate: Is Fed responding appropriately to PCE?
📊 DATA SOURCE:
Official PCE data from FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data), updated monthly typically in the last week of each month (after CPI/PPI releases).
🎨 CUSTOMIZATION:
Fully customizable:
- Toggle YoY/MoM displays
- Adjust Fed target if needed
- Customize colors
- Show/hide absolute PCE values
Perfect for: Fed watchers, macro traders, policy analysts, and serious investors who want to predict monetary policy changes before they happen.
⚠️ CRITICAL INSIGHT: While media focuses on CPI, the Fed focuses on PCE. Trade what the Fed trades, not what the headlines say.
🎓 Pro Tip: Fed members often mention "Core PCE" (excluding food/energy). Consider adding that indicator alongside this one for complete Fed policy analysis.
Fed Rate Change Impact📊 Fed Rate Change Impact — Macro Event-Driven Indicator
Fed Rate Change Impact is an advanced indicator designed to analyze the impact of Federal Reserve interest rate changes on financial markets. It integrates event-driven logic with dynamic visualization, percentage diagnostics, and multi-asset selection, offering a clear and customizable view of post-event effects.
🔍 Key Features 📅 Preloaded Fed Events : Includes over 30 historical rate cut (↓) and hike (↑) dates from 2008 to 2024.
📈 Post-Event Analysis : Calculates the percentage change of the selected asset 5, 10, and 30 days after each event.
📌 Vertical Chart Lines : Visually highlights each event directly on the chart, with dynamic coloring (red for hikes, green for cuts).
📋 Diagnostic Table : Displays real-time impact for each event, with color-coded values and a compact layout.
🧠 Interactive Filter: Choose to display only hikes, only cuts, or both.
🧭 Flexible Asset Selection : Analyze the current chart asset, pick from a predefined list, or manually input any ticker via input.symbol().
🎯 Contextual Highlighting : The table highlights the analyzed asset if it matches the active chart symbol.
⚙️ Customizable Parameters lookahead5, lookahead10, lookahead30: Define the time horizon for measuring post-event impact.
eventFilter : Choose which type of events to display.
presetAsset / customAsset : Select or input the asset to analyze.
🧪 Recommended Use Cases Macroeconomic analysis on indices, commodities, crypto, and forex
Studying delayed effects of rate changes on sensitive assets
Building event-driven strategies or diagnostic overlays
Visual backtesting and cross-asset comparison
🧠 Technical Notes The indicator is compatible with overlay=true and works best on Daily timeframe.
The table automatically adapts to the number of events and includes visual padding for improved readability.
All calculations are performed in real time and require no external data.
Central Bank Divergence IndexCentral Bank Divergence Index (CBDiv) by CWRP blends foreign exchange (FX) market behavior and short-term interest rate (STIR) spreads to detect monetary policy divergence or convergence among major economies.
It calculates a composite Z-score index that tracks divergence between the US and other major economies using FX pairs USDJPY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD (With AUD acting as a proxy to the RMB) and short-term bond ETFs (SHY = U.S. 1–3Y Treasury, EWJ = Japan, IEUR = Europe).
SHY/EWJ and SHY/IEUR: If SHY outperforms, it means US short-term rates are rising relative to Japan/Europe.
How to Read:
Highlighting
Yellow = Diverging central bank policy (US > others) ; Hawkish
Blue = Converging policy (US < others) ; Dovish/Lagging
Gray = Neutral
Table
FX Divergence:
Positive (> +1) -> USD is strengthening unusually fast -> Fed is likely tighter than others
Negative (< -1) -> USD is weakening -> Other central banks might be tightening relative to the Fed
Rate Spread Divergence (Which acts as a proxy for interest rate divergence):
Positive -> U.S. rates are rising faster than Japan/Europe
Negative -> Foreign short-term rates outperforming U.S.
Composite:
Positive (> +1) -> Strong U.S. policy divergence (hawkish Fed)
Negative (< -1) -> Converging or dovish Fed
Neutral (Between -1 and +1) -> Neutral policy stance
Thank you for using the Central Bank Divergence Index by CWRP!
I'm open to all critiques and discussion around macroeconomics and hope you find use in this model!
M2 Global G13 Liquidity (Custom & Shift, US DXY Adj.)🌎 M2 Global G13 Liquidity index (Custom & Shift, US DXY Adj.)
💡 Indicator Overview
The M2 Global G13 Liquidity indicator combines the M2 liquidity of 13 major countries, allowing users to selectively include or exclude each country to visualize global capital flows and potential investment liquidity at a glance.
Each country's M2 data is converted to USD using real-time exchange rates, and the US M2 is further adjusted using the Dollar Index (DXY) to reflect the impact of dollar strength or weakness on US liquidity.
✅ What is M2?
M2 is a broad measure of money supply that includes cash, demand deposits, savings deposits, and certain financial products.
It represents a country's overall liquidity and capital supply and is often interpreted as "dry powder" ready to be deployed into various assets such as equities, real estate, and bonds.
Therefore, M2 serves as a crucial benchmark for assessing a country's potential investment capacity that can flow into markets at any time.
💰 Exchange Rate & Dollar Index Adjustment
- All country M2 data is converted from local currencies to USD.
- The US M2 is further adjusted using the Dollar Index (DXY) to better reflect its real global power:
- DXY > 100 → Liquidity contraction (strong dollar effect)
- DXY < 100 → Liquidity expansion (weak dollar effect)
🗺️ Country Selection Options
- Default selection: United States
- Major selections: China, Eurozone, Japan, United Kingdom (core G5 economies)
- Additional selections: Switzerland, Canada, India, Russia, Brazil, South Korea, Mexico, South Africa
- Users can freely add or remove countries to customize the indicator to match their analytical needs.
📈 Example Use Cases
- Monitor global capital flows: Track worldwide liquidity trends and detect potential market risk signals.
- Analyze exchange rate and monetary policy trends: Compare dollar strength with major central bank policies.
- Benchmark against equity indices: Evaluate correlations with MSCI World, KOSPI, NASDAQ, etc.
- Valuation analysis: Compare overall liquidity levels to equity index prices or market capitalization to assess relative valuation and identify potential overvaluation or undervaluation.
- Crisis response strategy: Identify liquidity contraction during global credit crises or deleveraging phases.
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🌎 M2 글로벌 G13 유동성 지수 (Custom & Shift, US DXY Adj.)
💡 지표 소개
M2 Global G13 Liquidity 지표는 세계 13개 주요국의 M2 유동성을 선택적으로 결합하여, 글로벌 자금 흐름과 잠재 투자 자금을 한눈에 시각화할 수 있도록 설계된 종합 유동성 지표입니다.
국가별 M2 데이터를 환율과 결합해 달러 기준으로 표준화하며, 특히 미국 M2는 달러지수(DXY)로 보정하여 달러 강약에 따른 파급력을 반영합니다.
✅ M2란?
M2는 광의 통화지표로, 현금 + 요구불 예금 + 저축성 예금 + 일부 금융상품을 포함합니다.
이는 한 국가의 유동성 수준과 자금 공급 상태를 나타내는 핵심 거시경제 지표이며, **주식·부동산·채권 등 다양한 자산에 투자될 준비가 된 '대기자금'**으로도 해석됩니다.
따라서 M2는 투자시장으로 언제든지 흘러들어갈 수 있는 잠재적 투자 역량을 평가할 때 중요한 기준입니다.
💰 환율 및 달러지수 보정
- 모든 국가 M2는 자국 통화에서 **달러(USD)**로 환산됩니다.
- 특히 미국 M2는 달러 가치의 글로벌 실질 파워를 평가하기 위해 DXY 보정을 적용합니다.
- DXY > 100 → 유동성 축소 (강달러 효과)
- DXY < 100 → 유동성 확대 (약달러 효과)
🗺️ 국가별 선택 옵션
- 기본 선택: 미국
- 주요 선택: 중국, 유로존, 일본, 영국 (주요 G5)
- 추가 선택: 스위스, 캐나다, 인도, 러시아, 브라질, 한국, 멕시코, 남아공
- 사용자는 각 국가를 자유롭게 더하거나 빼면서 커스터마이즈할 수 있습니다.
📈 활용 예시
- 글로벌 자금 흐름 모니터링: 전세계 유동성 추세 및 시장 리스크 신호 분석
- 환율/금리 정책 분석: 달러 강약과 주요국 정책 변화 비교
- 주가지수 벤치마크 비교: MSCI World, 코스피, 나스닥 등과 상관관계 확인
- 밸류에이션 분석: 전체 유동성 수준을 주가지수나 시가총액과 비교하여, 시장의 상대적 고평가·저평가 여부를 평가
- 위기 대응 전략: 글로벌 신용위기·자금 긴축 국면 대비
Liquidity Stress Index SOFR - IORBLiquidity Stress Index (SOFR - IORB)
This indicator tracks the spread between the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) and the Interest on Reserve Balances (IORB) set by the Federal Reserve.
A persistently positive spread may indicate funding stress or liquidity shortages in the repo market, as it suggests overnight lending rates exceed the risk-free rate banks earn at the Fed.
Useful for monitoring monetary policy transmission or market/liquidity stress.
v01 remindersTrading requires focus, discipline, and sometimes a reminder to stay on track.
Many of us know how to take trades and make money - but sometimes struggle to hold on to the gains. By knowing not only when to trade, but also when NOT to trade, we can begin to build better habits.
I built this indicator for my own needs, but I hope this indicator can help someone save money by reminding them when to step away, size down or stay on track.
Inspired by trading psychologists like Mark Douglas, David Paul and others, I decided to make an indicator that deals with the mental aspect of trading.
Dr. David Paul said that you can be 10-15 trades away from the trader you want to be. All it takes is 10-15 trades of doing only the right thing (erasing bad habits). After that time the resistance to execute the trades properly will improve even more.
Good trading should be boring and repetitive. If the trading is exciting and varied it is likely unprofitable (more akin to impulsive gambling).
Perhaps you know how to trade, yet keep trading impulsively sometimes, getting "the itch" to trade or gambling with your gains? Set some reminders and see if you can build better habits. Over time it could make a difference.
You can enable up to 10 different reminders with each instance of the indicator. You can select days of the week and time of day. The visibility is fully customizable to suit any colour theme you may want. They dont actually alert - its a silent visual reminder, which is less intrusive and stays on screen for as long as you want.
Remind yourself when CPI releases or bond auctions are about to hit.
Don't get caught off guard by FED speakers or FOMC announcements.
Manage your emotions by writing a motivational reminder.
Build better habits and stay disciplined with reminders not to gamble.
Remind yourself to stay away from the markets when there is low liquidity, and trade during your best hours.
Wait for the market to establish balance and let the text show when to either wait or when to start trading.
Some basic inspiration:
"FOMC - No trading!"
"CPI Data - Expect Volatility"
"Markets closed tomorrow - Plan ahead"
"Take it slow, it's a marathon, not a sprint." - Dakota
"Wait for cheap risk" - HOAG
"Don't diddle in the middle!" - Brian Watts
You can of course write anything you want. Maybe you would like to remind yourself of a specific algo in crude oil or gold, or have other motivational reminders that work for you. If you have any good suggestions put them in the comments for others to use.
You can also use the script to watermark or put a web link on your charts. The indicator is empty by default - the image is just an example of the different types of labels it can show.
Customize the reminders for specific days, times, and events. Position them anywhere on your chart to suit your workflow. Whether you're a day trader or a long-term investor, theres always things to improve. This lets you keep those reminders right on your charts. You can go into the object tree settings and drag the indicator to the top if you want it to hide the candlesticks, and size up the text to really make it cover the chart for when to really stay away, as in the "FOMC" example in the image. The sample image shows a couple of different labels - but the script has no texts by default. It is up to you what to write and what colours to use. Please share it with others that may benefit.
You can add the script more than once if you need more than 10 alerts. You can also use it on multiple panels in TradingView, and it will remember the reminders for each panel. You can use spaces when positioning text in the top and bottom left corners of the screen, where there is sometimes a logo or ticker name obscuring the text. If two reminders display in the same location it will default to show the higher number of the two. Use specific times to change the reminders to make sure they dont overlap if they have the same position and put them on multiple charts if needed.
This script is dedicated to Brian Watts, who started something in me when he kept repeating "Don't diddle in the middle!" and "Where is purple?". IYKYK. I would like to thank him for the inspiration to better myself.
As above, so below.
v01
Yield Curve InversionThe Yield Curve Inversion indicator is a tool designed to help traders and analysts visualize and interpret the dynamics between the US 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields. This indicator is particularly useful for identifying yield curve inversions, often seen as a precursor to economic recessions.
Features and Interpretations
Display Modes: Choose between "Spread Mode" to visualize the yield spread indicating normal (green) or inverted (red) curves, or "Both Yields Mode" to view both yields.
Yield Spread: A plotted difference between 10-year and 2-year yields, with a zero line marking inversion. A negative spread suggests potential economic downturns.
Color Coding: Green for a normal yield curve (10Y > 2Y) and red for an inverted curve (2Y > 10Y).
Legend: Provides quick reference to yield curve states for easier interpretation.
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instruments. Users should conduct their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions. The creator of this indicator is not responsible for any financial losses incurred through its use.
Weighted Global Liquidity Index (WGLI) ROCThe Weighted Global Liquidity Index (WGLI) ROC indicator calculates the rate of change (ROC) of the WGLI, providing valuable insights into the dynamics of global liquidity. The WGLI consolidates major central bank balance sheets and key financial indicators, such as Foreign Exchange Reserves, Interbank Rates, and Interest Rates, converted to USD and expressed in trillions. Specific US accounts like the Treasury General Account (TGA) and Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP) are subtracted from the Federal Reserve's balance sheet for a more detailed view of US liquidity.
Using both the WGLI and the WGLI ROC together allows users to track changes in global liquidity and understand policy trajectories and economic conditions. This dual approach offers insights into asset pricing and helps investors make informed decisions about capital allocation.
Feel free to explore and customize the WGLI ROC script to suit your analysis needs!
Weighted Global Liquidity Index (WGLI)The Weighted Global Liquidity Index (WGLI) provides a comprehensive view of major central bank balance sheets from around the world, using data converted to USD for consistency and expressed in trillions. This indicator includes specific US accounts like the Treasury General Account (TGA) and Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP), which are subtracted from the Federal Reserve's balance sheet to offer a more detailed perspective on US liquidity.
The WGLI incorporates not only the balance sheets but also additional key financial indicators such as Foreign Exchange Reserves, Interbank Rates, and Interest Rates, weighted by their global liquidity importance. The regions and central banks included are:
Federal Reserve System (FED) - Treasury General Account (TGA) - Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP)
European Central Bank (ECB)
People's Bank of China (PBC)
Bank of Japan (BOJ)
Bank of England (BOE)
Bank of Canada (BOC)
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)
Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
Swiss National Bank (SNB)
Central Bank of the Russian Federation (CBR)
Central Bank of Brazil (BCB)
Bank of Korea (BOK)
Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ)
Sweden's Central Bank (Riksbank)
Central Bank of Malaysia (BNM)
This tool is designed for anyone interested in gaining a snapshot of global liquidity to interpret macroeconomic trends. By examining these balance sheets and additional indicators, users can understand policy trajectories and evaluate the global economic climate. It also offers insights into asset pricing and helps investors make informed capital allocation decisions.
Feel free to explore and customize the WGLI script on Trading View to suit your analysis needs!
US CPIIntroducing "US CPI" Indicator
The "US CPI" indicator, based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) of the United States, is a valuable tool for analyzing inflation trends in the U.S. economy. This indicator is derived from official data provided by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and is widely recognized as a key measure of inflationary pressures.
What is CPI?
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure that examines the average change in prices paid by consumers for a basket of goods and services over time. It is an essential economic indicator used to gauge inflationary trends and assess changes in the cost of living.
How is "US CPI" Calculated?
The "US CPI" indicator in this script retrieves CPI data from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) using the FRED:CPIAUCSL symbol. It calculates the rate of change in CPI over a specified period (typically 12 months) and applies technical analysis tools like moving averages (SMA and EMA) for trend analysis and smoothing.
Why Use "US CPI" Indicator?
1. Inflation Analysis: Monitoring CPI trends provides insights into the rate of inflation, which is crucial for understanding the overall economic health and potential impact on monetary policy.
2. Policy Implications: Changes in CPI influence decisions by policymakers, central banks, and investors regarding interest rates, fiscal policies, and asset allocation.
3. Market Sentiment: CPI data often impacts market sentiment, influencing trading strategies across various asset classes including currencies, bonds, and equities.
Key Features:
1. Customizable Smoothing: The indicator allows users to apply exponential moving average (EMA) smoothing to CPI data for clearer trend identification.
2. Visual Representation: The plotted line visually represents the inflation rate based on CPI data, helping traders and analysts assess inflationary pressures at a glance.
Sources and Data Integrity:
The CPI data used in this indicator is sourced directly from FRED, ensuring reliability and accuracy. The script incorporates robust security protocols to handle data requests and maintain data integrity in a trading environment.
In conclusion, the "US CPI" indicator offers a comprehensive view of inflation dynamics in the U.S. economy, providing traders, economists, and policymakers with valuable insights for informed decision-making and risk management.
Disclaimer: This indicator and accompanying analysis are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Users are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with professional advisors before making investment decisions.
Global Liquidity IndexThe Global Liquidity Index offers a consolidated view of all major central bank balance sheets from around the world. For consistency and ease of comparison, all values are converted to USD using their relevant forex rates and are expressed in trillions. The indicator incorporates specific US accounts such as the Treasury General Account (TGA) and Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP), both of which are subtracted from the Federal Reserve's balance sheet to give a more nuanced view of US liquidity. Users have the flexibility to enable or disable specific central banks and special accounts based on their preference. Only central banks that both don’t engage in currency pegging and have reliable data available from late 2007 onwards are included in this aggregated liquidity model.
Global Liquidity Index = Federal Reserve System (FED) - Treasury General Account (TGA) - Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP) + European Central Bank (ECB) + People's Bank of China (PBC) + Bank of Japan (BOJ) + Bank of England (BOE) + Bank of Canada (BOC) + Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) + Reserve Bank of India (RBI) + Swiss National Bank (SNB) + Central Bank of the Russian Federation (CBR) + Central Bank of Brazil (BCB) + Bank of Korea (BOK) + Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) + Sweden's Central Bank (Riksbank) + Central Bank of Malaysia (BNM).
This tool is beneficial for anyone seeking to get a snapshot of global liquidity to interpret macroeconomic trends. By examining these balance sheets, users can deduce policy trajectories and evaluate the global economic climate. It also offers insights into asset pricing and assists investors in making informed capital allocation decisions. Historically, riskier assets, such as small caps and cryptocurrencies, have typically performed well during periods of rising liquidity. Thus, it may be prudent for investors to avoid additional risk unless there's a consistent upward trend in global liquidity.
USD Liquidity IndexThis USD Liquidity Index composed of 2 parts, total assets and major liabilities of the Federal Reserve .
There is a certain positive correlation between USD liquidity and risk asset price changes in history.
Suggested that USD Liquidity is mostly determined by the Federal Reserve balance (without leveraged), this index deducts three major liabilities from the total assets (in green color line) of the Federal Reserve . They are the currency in circulation (WCURCIR) in gold color, the Treasury General Account (WTREGEN) in blue color, the Reverse Repo (RRPONTSYD) in red color.
The grey line is the calculation result of the USD Liquidity Index. With it goes up, liquidity increases, vice versa.
FOMC AnnouncementsThis indicator plots vertical lines at the scheduled times of US Federal Reserve's FOMC Meeting Announcements. Usually, that time or the 24 hours before and after could see big moves in markets. You can change those dates and times in the settings, and could use the indicator option "Add this indicator to entire layout" if you want to easily reflect that across all panes of a layout. Those lines will show on any symbol you switch to, saving you time and effort of drawing them manually.
Interest Rates [WhaleCrew]This indicator allows you to display the interest rates of multiple central banks (US, EU, China, Russia, Japan, UK, ...) at once.
Built-in Interest Rates
US ECONOMICS:USINTR
EU ECONOMICS:EUINTR
China ECONOMICS:CNINTR
Russia ECONOMICS:RUINTR
Japan ECONOMICS:JPINTR
UK ECONOMICS:GBINTR
Custom Symbol (default: ECONOMICS:CHINTR )
Fed and ECB Calendar by KziHello traders,
Here is a script that i've done for testing the timestamp and the input.time fonction.
You can see verticals lines blue and yellow.
The blue are the ECB meeting date (7 dates)
The yellow are the FED meeting date. (10 Dates)
// In the parameter you can enter the next rolling month date for ECB and FED
// I don't figure out how to add label / Txt on the lines
// And be carreful i don't put the real hours of the meeting.
Federal Funds Rate and Overnight Bank Fund RateAMEX:SPY
Comparison of the Overnight Bank Fund Rate and the Effective Federal Funds Rate.
The Fed sets a discount rate of 100 basis points above the effective federal funds rate to discourage ("penalize") banks from borrowing from its reserves. If lending banks have excess in their reserves, the borrowing banks have ease in negotiating a lower rate overnight to maintain its requirements. For this reason its a good indicator of the economy. If it becomes more difficult for banks to maintain the required reserve amount they may charge borrowing banks higher rates.
Both the Effective Federal Funds Rate and Overnight Bank Fund Rate use the same data. Except, the OBFR includes overnight Eurodollar transaction data and certain overnight “selected deposit” transactions that are placed at domestic bank branches controlled by a U.S. banking office.
The indicator includes the lower and upper bound target rate set by the Federal Reserve.
An interesting note:
Notice the jump in the Overnight Bank Rate followed by Fed buying to provide liquidity and lower rates in Sept 2019.
[Me] Quandl FED Any TickerPrivate Macro Indicator
Can find any ticker from fred.stlouisfed.org and plot it. For example Consumer Price Index, Ticker CPIAUCSL (fred.stlouisfed.org)
Select the Pick TF (timeframe) checkbox if you need to update the specific reporting of fed data, most of it updates weekly or monthly. Leave it unchecked if you are not sure how often the data updates.
Select the Dataset, either get the the raw nominal numbers or Month over Month Percent or Year over Year Percent.
[Daveatt] BEST Quandl Federal Reserve Economic Dashboard 1.0Hello traders
I hope you're all doing well and the quarantine will soon be over in your respective countries.
We all have strong opinions on how it could have been handled by our respective governments but the facts cannot be contested.
And basically, they acted based on a lot of unknown data. Obviously, we can throw away some conspiracy theories but what's the point really?
Conspiracy theorists never ever ever ever made money - Permabulls did historically.
Fight only for what you can change, in other words, YOURSELF. Those 2 months were tremendous for me to adapt, learn, and pivot my different businesses.
I believe that humans are wired to one thing - transform themselves. You'll never be able to change our governments, the banks, the FED printing money (making it the dollar less and less valuable)
Transforming yourself and your life is the only (and the most powerful) hedge you have
Yes, you didn't ask for it, this is not fair. Life is not fair. Only YOU can make it fair for yourself
That's why I stopped listening to the media, social media and all the news related to COVID
Context
I wanted to play with the new Quandl utility function provided by TradingView
With this dashboard, I tried to build a Quandl dashboard based on the Federal Reserve Economic Data data
I pulled out a few metrics from this Quandl page: www.quandl.com
"Federal Reserve Economic Data" or FRED is a project by the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis.
FRED collects over 200,000 US and international economic time series, from 69 different sources, on a single website. Data coverage includes all major areas of macroeconomic analysis: growth, inflation, employment, interest rates, exchange rates, production and consumption, income and expenditure, savings and investment, and more.
What can you do with the indicator
First, kudos to Pinecoders . I used his color scale and f_print functions to display those labels at the right.
Script Reference:
You can change from the indicator settings:
- Labels horizontal position
- Labels size (tiny, normal, big, huge)
- Labels colors
Final words
Tough times are ahead as we can see from those numbers.
For those having an online business, it's a fantastic period despite the terrible events. Use it at your advantage to learn and share your vibes and knowledge with your audience
Stay brave,
Dave
