Bands Bands (BanB)This indicator uses bands to show the trend of other bands.
The middle bands are used to show the price trend and the other bands are for the middle bands.
The Spike and Plunge bands can also act as a sort of "Bollinger Bands" for middle bands, though not exactly.
----- HOW TO USE IT -----
Zoom out in the 30 minute chart. Use 15 minute chart to pinpoint your entries.
Use with price-action trading and with indicators showing overbought & oversold levels.
The numbers below correlate with the numbers in the chart.
1) Price hits the Middle Spike line. The "ARL" bands hit the Bottom Spike line. This is a good indication that price will proceed under the Bottom Spike line.
2) Price hits the Bottom Plunge line. The "ARL" bands hit the Middle Plunge line. This is a good indication that price will proceed above the Middle Plunge line.
3) Notice how price spikes up near the Spike lines but doesn't touch. Notice how the Plunge lines have a strong pull downwards. This shows a continued down trend.
4) The same pattern as numbers 2 & 3 reoccur. This time, however, the proceeding price spike is substantially lower.
5) The price and middle bands finally bounce off the Top Plunge line and starts to get closer to the Spike bands.
6) Price and middle bands finally touch the Bottom Spike line and the Spike Bands and the Plunge Bands come closer together.
7) Narrowing Spike and Plunge Bands show a sideways market. Notice number 1, the bands are far apart -- more volatility is present.
Middle Bands:
The bottom, blue lines are fairly accurate dip-rebounds on the 30 minute chart. Use level indicators to find reversing trends (e.g., RSI, Stoch, etc.).
Price action hovering in between the blue lines and around the center indicate a low volatility market or a consolidating market.
----- HOW THIS INDICATOR IS ORIGINAL; WHAT IT DOES AND HOW IT DOES IT -----
This indicator has an original, unique ability to view the trend of bands in a substantially larger overview when zoomed out.
Normally, one would have to switch to higher time frames to get a sense of a larger market trend.
However, doing so will change any bands indicator to accommodate the new price action in relation to the new time frame.
To avoid this, the middle bands are placed in between two bands to see the trend of the bands that show the trend of price action.
----- VERSION -----
The "ARL Bands" in this indicator are NOT the same as the "ARL Bands" indicator.
They are "ARLs" set in an entirely different context, format, and amount and so does not constitute as a different version of "ARL Bands".
The "ARL Bands" indicator only has 4 lines and can be adjusted to any level. They are mainly focused on rebounds at desired levels.
The 13 "ARLs" here cannot be adjusted and are mainly focused on anticipating/calculating probabilities of peak and dip rebounds.
If any discrepancy should arise, let it be stated here that the "ARLs" in this indicator are considered to be a forked codebase to conserve the functionality of "ARL Bands".
This is proven by the differences described underneath "VERSION", which is located 7 lines above.
Forecasting
Key Points of Adjoining Median (KPAM)This indicator shows more reliable overbought & oversold levels buy combing 3 different level-indicators (i.e., indicators showing overbought/oversold levels).
A median is created by adjoining two of them and then it is assisted by a third one.
This reduces noise in calculating entries when using level indicators.
Note: The extra indicator shown is "Bands Bands (BanB)"
----- HOW TO USE IT -----
Use with price-action trading and with indicators showing the overall trend.
See notes in chart for more explanation.
The high and low levels of the RSI are within a range of 2 & -2 respectively.
The high and low levels for the median range from 4 & -4 respectively.
The Discordance shows how certain the level of the median is.
For example, if a part of the Discordance touches a low level while the median is at a higher level, then it usually indicates that the median is about to reverse.
The more Discordance that is visible, the less certain the current trend of the median is.
----- HOW THIS INDICATOR IS ORIGINAL; WHAT IT DOES AND HOW IT DOES IT -----
This indicator has an original, unique ability to reduce noise when comparing overbought and oversold levels.
It does this by first adjoining the Stochastic and the Stochastic RSI. Second, it creates a median from the two.
Third, the median is compared to the RSI on the same scale to assist in deciding where the median is at in relation to itself.
It shows whether the median lows and highs are near overbought or oversold levels.
----- VERSION -----
This is not a variant of the Stochastic, Stochastic RSI, and/or the RSI.
The focus is on the median that is created by an adjoining of the Stochastic and Stochastic RSI.
The Stochastic and Stochastic RSI are needed in order to obtain and plot the Median and the Discordance.
The RSI is plotted on the same scale to serve as the comparison needed to evaluate the Median levels with more visual accuracy.
Master LTCBTC Network Value ModelThe Master LTCBTC Network Value Model takes the following 6 network values for Litecoin. It compares them to Bitcoin's network values to determine a "fair" value based on Litecoin's network usage compared to Bitcoin's.
Please apply on an LTCBTC chart. Use Black Background to view.
This also includes an average of the 6 network metrics and is colored white with a slightly large line width.
New Addresses
Total Addresses
Active Addresses
Total Volume USD
Transaction Count
# of Retail
Master Litecoin Network Value ModelThe Master Litecoin Network Value Model takes the following 6 network values for Litecoin. It compares them to Bitcoin's network values to determine a "fair" value based on Litecoin's network usage compared to Bitcoin's.
Please apply on an LTCUSD chart
This also includes an average of the 6 network metrics and is colored white with a slightly large line width.
New Addresses
Total Addresses
Active Addresses
Total Volume USD
Transaction Count
# of Retail
Average Daily Range Expansion Remaindeer for DaytradingThis indicator shows how much will the price need to go to fill its Average Daily Range based on the last 5 days (before today).
5-day ADR is used in concepts by ICT, Poltoratskiy and number of others.
Generally speaking, we would like to enter when there is a lot of room for price movement.
Outer lines are a full expansion. If the price moves only upside from the opening bell, it will reach as far.
Inner lines are a remaining expansion required to hit ADR. If the price initially moves in one direction and then reverses, this drip is substracted. This is more important metric!
Quantum Vector AlertsIts the part 2 of Multiple Indicators 50EMA Cross Alerts.
Its more suitable for the seconds chart. Beside, you can use it in higher timeframe.
The input bars length is the sample size that the code will use to trigger all alert. 20 mean 20 bar after the current candle.
When you activate volume alert you can select an amount of volume that when volume cross it you will be notified. The volume of every bar is displayed in the screener below volume.
In the section percentage vector counting the script do the sum of the red vector and green vector and give a ratio. In bullish vector count percentage for alert, you can select the percentage difference that you want to receive an alert. If your sample have 3 red vectors and 7 green vectors you will receive an alert saying that there is an imbalance of 70% showing more green vectors.
You can select a variant of percentage vector. The variant will do a summation of volume. If 1 vector candle is the size of the 3 other vector, they will have the same ponderation.
Normal alert counting count the number of vectors in the bars length. You can count the red and green candle only or add the blue and violet.
Bullish vector count will show a notification when the number of green candle will appear on the chart in the selected length. The same process is valid for bearish vector count. For example, if you want 3 bullish candle in 20 bar. You select bars length 20 and bullish vector count 3.
These alerts are suitable to the hybrid system. Thanks to our teacher Trader Reality and to all the member that contribute to this great discord community.
dmn's ICT ToolkitThis is my quality of life indicator for forex trading using the methods and concepts of ICT.
The idea is to automate marking up important price levels and times of the day instead of doing it manually every day.
Killzones
Marks the most volatile times of the day on the chart, during which the intraday high/low usually takes place.
Particularly impactful when there's news released during these times.
London Open (02:00-05:00 EST)
New York Open (08:30-11:00 EST)
London Close (10:00-11:30 EST)
True Day delineation
Vertical line at the start of the "true day" (00:00 EST), start of the algorithmic trading day and aids in visualizing the intraday direction.
New York midnight price level
Noteworthy price level at the start of the "true day".
This price level is referenced by the interbank trading algorithms during the day. Buy below it on bullish days, sell above it on bearish days.
Daily open price level
Reference level for optimal trade entries. Buy below it on bullish days, sell above it on bearish days.
Central Banks Dealers Range (CBDR) (14:00-20:00 EST) &
Central Banks Dealers Flout (CBDF) (15:00-24:00 EST) &
Asian Range (AR) (20:00-24:00 EST)
The standard deviation lines available are used to make predictions for short-term future highs/lows when the CBDR and AR are smaller than 40 pips.
Trade them by looking for 5/15min key levels that converge with the projection levels.
X days Average Daily Range (ADR)
Default to 5 days back, gives an idea of how much movement to expect intraday when the ADR high/low is converging with CBDR/CBDF/AR standard deviations.
Current Daily Range (CDR)
Used for comparison against the ADR to help determine if there's enough intraday range left to enter a trade.
Dynamically changes color based on percentage of the ADR. Green below 50% of ADR, orange between 50 and 100%, red when CDR exceeds ADR.
All of the above are used in conjunction with each other and higher timeframe levels of importance to find entries and target.
Note: Preferably use New York's time zone for your charts.
Divergence Strength OscillatorDetects divergence before it has formed a valid divergent pivot, across multiple indicators. After publishing my Strength of Divergence Across Multiple Indicators script, it seemed there were a lot of people who wanted to see the divergence signals before the divergent pivots were actually confirmed. Everyone complains about indicators repainting, yet in the next breath they complain about not wanting to wait for a signal to be confirmed before it appears on their chart! No matter how many times you ask, you can't have your cake and eat it too.
While this isn't exactly cake, it's as close as you're gonna get. This oscillator will calculate the strength of divergence as it forms on any bar that could potentially be a pivot point (e.g. for a pivot low, the preceding bars must be higher than it) and track the net (bullish - bearish) value.
For example:
PLEASE NOTE that this is not intended to be a "Buy" or "Sell" signal, and it would be foolish to use it as such. The purpose of this script is to show you potential divergences as early as possible, so that you have more time to plan and evaluate confluent signals, etc.
The Divergence Strength Calculation:
The total divergence strength value is the sum of the divergence strengths of all indicators for which divergence was detected at a given bar. Each indicator's individual divergence strength is comprised of two basic components: (1) |ΔPrice| - the magnitude of the change in price over the divergence period (pivot-to-pivot), and (2) |ΔIndicator| - the magnitude of the change in indicator value over the divergence period.
Because different indicators' scales and volatility can vary greatly, the Δ values are expressed in terms of standard deviation to ensure that the values are meaningful and equitable across all indicators and assets/instruments/currency pairs, etc:
|ΔIndicator| = |indicator_value_1 - indicator_value_2| / 2 * StDev(indicator_series,100)
Based on work for my Strength of Divergence Across Multiple Indicators script:
Movement Polarization (MoP)This shows the negative or positive charge of price movement and volume .
The "Polarization" shows how much negativity or positivity the movement of the price and volume have.
IMPORTANT:
Use with crypto currencies only is highly recommended.
If the volume in a currency is not visible, adjust the "Factor" number higher in the "Inputs" tab.
Adjust it until there is a balance between the vertical spread of the volume and polarization.
There will be a noticeable jump in the scale of the indicator if it is set too high.
The "Factor" is scaled at a baseline for SHIB prices. Any lower price scales than SHIB's will not show the volume .
Version:
This is a forked codebase to conserve the functionality of "RSI TV". The "RSI TV" focuses only on the RSI trend, this focuses on price and volume movement.
As such, there is no need for the MA of the RSI. Also, the TV Line from the "RSI TV" is used to show polarization of movement in this context.
The Trend Veracity line from the "RSI TV" has a broad scope in verifying different, particular trends, not just the RSI trend.
The RSI, volume, and polarization are all conveniently placed within the same scale to facilitate longer-term trading with price action. See also: "RSI TV" .
How this indicator is original; what it does, and how it does it:
This indicator has an original, unique ability to give the volume a further-projecting forecast.
The MoP does this by placing the volume on a vertical scale. It then compares it to a polarization level.
This gives 3 reference points: 1) Past data of volume, 2) volume vertical thresholds, and 3) polarization levels.
The volume by itself has no reference but its own past data. This gives a short-sighted forecast.
How to use it:
Useful with a trend finding indicator and price-action trading. See notes in picture above (scroll chart left to see first note).
Extra indicator shown in chart is an adjusted "ARL Bands" .
1) A condensing of volume and polarization usually means that an uptrend will soon turn.
2) A widening of volume and polarization usually means that a downtrend will soon turn.
3) A weak uptrend is indicated when volume falls while low, positive polarization also falls.
4) A growing uptrend is indicated when volume and positive polarization grow together.
5) Overlapping volume and positive polarization usually signifies oncoming peaks.
Tilson Bull-Bear-MarkerThe Tilson Bull-Bear marker is using 2 Tilson moving averages and their divergence to identify bull and bear trends and reversals (potential entry or exit points).
How to use it:
Fast T3 (thick line) above thin line / solid blue fill color = ongoing bull trend
Slow T3 (thin line) above thick line / solid red fill color = ongoing bear trend
Shrinking or expanding divergence between the lines = trend is getting hotter or cooling down
Fast T3 (thick line) changes color from blue to red = potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish
Fast T3 (thick line) changes color from red to blue = potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish
(No financial advise, for testing purposes only)
Big Whale Purchases and SalesBig Whale Purchases and Sales - plots big whale transactions on your chart!
People that hold more than 1% of a crypto currencies circulating supply are considered whales and have a huge influence on price, not just because they can move the market with their huge transactions, but also because other traders often track their wallets and follow their example. Taking a look at whale holdings, one can see why whale worship is so common in crypto: While Bitcoin has a relatively low whale concentration, many of the Top 100 Cryptocurrencies have whales control 60% or more of their circulating supply.
Integrating IntoTheBlock data, this script plots the transactions of these whales and, in strategy mode, copy trades them.
Features:
Strategy Mode: Switches the script between an indicator and a strategy.
Standard Deviations: The number of Standard Deviations that a transaction needs to surpass to be considered worth plotting. Setting this to 0 will show all whale transactions, higher settings will only show the biggest transactions.
Blockchain: The Chain on which Whale activity is tracked.
ATR Table 2.0ATR Table 2.0
This script was created in order to display a table that "calculates" how far the price can go on the current day .
The script is a table with 3 lines that calculates:
First Line - Day TR: The True Range of the current day ( - , including an Opening GAP if it exists);
Second Line - 10 Day ATR: The Average True Range of the asset (including Opening GAPs) for the last 10 days;
Third LIne - Range Consumed: How much of the 10 Day ATR it was consumed on the current day.
Example of how to use the information on the table and the understanding of it's purpose:
1) Supose you are day trading an asset that, during the last 10 days, have moved around $1.00 a day - This is the 10 Day ATR.
2) On this day, after 2 hours of the opening market, the price have already moved $0.50 (supose that it has moved $0.30 up and $0.35 down from the close of the prior day and the price is now near the close of the prior day).
3) In this situation, knowing that the price often moves around $1.00 a day, and knowing that it already moved $0.65 ($0.30 up and $0.35 down based on the close of the prior day), you may pay attention when the price breaksthrough the max or the min of the day, cause it can still move $0.35 in that direction ($1.00 - $0.65).
----------------------------------------------
ATR Table 2.0
Esse script foi criado para disponibilizar uma tabela que "calcula" quanto o preço pode andar ainda no dia em questão .
O script é uma tabela com 3 linhas que calcula:
Primeira Linha - TR do Dia: O Range Verdadeira do dia em questão ( - , incluindo GAP de Abertura se for o caso);
Segunda Linha - ATR de 10 Dias: A média do Range Verdadeira do ativo (incluindo GAPs de abertura) dos últimos 10 dias;
Terceira Linha - Range Consumido: O quanto do ATR de 10dias já foi consumido no dia em questão.
Exemplo de como usar essa informação na tabela e o entendimento do seu propósito:
1) Suponha que você está realizando day trade de um ativo que, durante os últimos 10 dias, se move em torno de $1.00 por dia. Esse é o ATR de 10 dias.
2) Nesse dia, após 2 horas da abertura do pregão, o preço já se moveu $.050 (suponhamos que ele tenha se moveu $0.30 para cima e $0.35 para baixo a partir do fechamento do dia anterior e agora o preço está próximo do fechamento do dia anterior).
3) Nessa situação, sabendo que o preço se move por volta de $1.00 por dia, e sabendo que ele já se moveu $0.65 ($0.30 pra cima e $0.35 pra baixo a partir do fechamento do dia anterior), você deve se atentar para quando o preço romper a máxima ou a mínima do dia, pois ele pode se mover ainda $.035 na direção do rompimento ($1.00 - $0.65).
Rolling HTF Liquidity Levels [CHE]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator displays a Rolling HTF Liquidity Levels . Contrary to HTF Liquidity Levels indicators which use a fix time segment, Rolling HTF Liquidity Levels calculates using a moving window defined by a time period (not a simple number of bars), so it shows better results.
This indicator is inspired by
The indicator introduces a new representation of the previous rolling time frame highs & lows (DWM HL) with a focus on untapped levels.
█ CONCEPTS
Untapped Levels
It is popularly known that the liquidity is located behind swing points or beyond higher time frames highs/lows.
Rolling HTF Liquidity Levels uses a moving window, it does not exhibit the static of the HTF Liquidity Levels plots.
█ HOW TO USE IT
Load the indicator on an active chart (see the Help Center if you don't know how).
Time period
By default, the script uses an auto-stepping mechanism to adjust the time period of its moving window to the chart's timeframe. The following table shows chart timeframes and the corresponding time period used by the script. When the chart's timeframe is less than or equal to the timeframe in the first column, the second column's time period is used to calculate the Rolling HTF Liquidity Levels:
Chart Time
timeframe period
1min 🠆 1H
5min 🠆 4H
1H 🠆 1D
4H 🠆 3D
12H 🠆 1W
1D 🠆 1M
1W 🠆 3M
By default, the time period currently used is displayed in the lower-right corner of the chart. The script's inputs allow you to hide the display or change its size and location.
This indicator should make trading easier and improve analysis. Nothing is worse than indicators that give confusingly different signals.
I hope you enjoy my new ideas
best regards
Chervolino
Q-TrendQ-Trend is an multipurpose indicatorm that can be used for swing- and trend-trading equally on any timeframe (non-volatile markets are better for this thing).
Settings:
Trend period - used to calculate trend line in the special moments(will explain below);
ATR Multiplier - changes sensitivity. The higher the multiplier = the more sensitive it is.
Also option to smooth source data (helps get cleaner signals, as always).
How to use?
Signals are given on the chart. Also ou can use trend line as S/R line.
The idea behind:
Terms:
SRС = Source
TL = trend line;
MP = ATR multiplier;
ATR = ATR :)
TL = (highest of source P-bars back + lowest of source P-bars back) / 2
Epsilon = MP * ATR
I was thinking for a week about combining volatility and relation between highest and lowest price point. That why I called indicator Q-Trend = Quantitative Trend , as I was trying to think about price in a mathematical way.
Okay, time to go philosophical:
1) TL is shows good price trend, but as it is slow enough and not enough informative, we need add additional conditions to produce signals.
2) Okay, so what can we add as conditions? We need to take volatility into account, as it is crucial in the moments of market uncertainty. So let's use ATR (Average True Range) somehow. My idea is that if SRC breaks TL + ATR , then it means that there will be upmove and we update our TL . Analogically for SRC breaking TL - ATR (breaks are crosses of TL +- ATR lines) .
Conclusion:
- if SRC breaks TL + ATR , it is a BUY signal and update of trend line;
- if SRC breaks TL - ATR , it is a SELL signal and update of trend line;
I think that such indicator already exisits on TradingView, as I've already saw something similar, but long ago, so please don't report, if such thing already exists.
But if not, then I hope, that you will gain some profits with Q-Trend :)
I will continue my work on this thing, so stay tuned.
Trade with your own risks and have your profits!
Wish you all the best!
- Tarasenko Fyodor
VOLQ Sigma TableThis indicator replaces the implied volatility of VOLQ with the daily volatility and reflects that value into the price on the NDX chart to create the VOLQ standard deviation table.
It will only be useful for stocks related to the Nasdaq Index.
For example, NDX, QQQ or so.
And we want to predict the range of weekly fluctuations by plotting those values as a line in the future.
It is expressed as High 2σ by adding the standard deviation 2 sigma value of the VOLQ value from last week's closing price.
It is expressed as High 1σ by adding the standard deviation 1 sigma value of the VOLQ value from last week's closing price.
It is expressed as Low 1σ by subtracting the standard deviation 1 sigma value of the VOLQ value from the closing price of the previous week.
It is expressed as Low 2σ by subtracting the standard deviation 2 sigma value of the VOLQ value from last week's closing price.
1day predicts daily fluctuations.
2day predicts 2-day fluctuations.
3day predicts 3-day fluctuations.
4day predicts 4-day fluctuations.
5day predicts 5-day fluctuations.
In the settings you can select the start date to display the VOLQ line via input.
-----------------------------
What motivated me to create this indicator?
From my point of view, the reason for classifying vix volq historical volatility (realized volatility) is that the most important point is that VIXX and VolQ are calculated from implied volatility. It can be standardized as one-month volatility. There are many strike prices, but exchanges use the implied volatility of options traded on their own exchanges.
Because historical volatility depends on how the period is set, to compare with VIXX, we compare it with a month, that is, 20 business days. One-month implied volatility means (actually different depending on the strike price), because option traders expect that the one-month volatility will be this much, and it is the volatility created by volatility trading.
So we see it as the volatility expected by derivatives traders, especially volatility traders.
I'm trying to infer what the market thinks will fluctuate this much from the numbers generated there.
ILM Seasonality Big Moves - TableUse this script on Daily Timeframe.
This script calculates Daily Moves ( Intraday / Close basis ) and buckets them into 1% / 2% / 3% moves
Also calculates MAX DD for the financial year from Peak to Trough
Helps in identifying volatility of the instrument and high drawdowns due to volatility
Pinbar by BirdCoinIt is the most customizable Pinbars indicator that you can find.
The indicator autonomously detects the Pinbars to which filters can be placed. The available adjustments are:
- The spread of the Pinbars
- The wick and the body ratio of the Pinbars
- The volume of the Pinbars
- Number of the previous candles that the Pinbars hunted
Happy trading!
~ Birdcoin
Spider Lines For Bitcoin (Daily And Weekly)I haven't seen any indicator do this, so I decided to publish this to form automatic Spider Charts without actually going through the effort of drawing them!
This script charts dotted lines (spider lines) all over, depicting support and resistance levels.
It works by connecting some candles from the 2018 bear market to the candle from 1st July 2019, followed by extending the lines to the right, making support and resistance levels for the future. The script works only for the daily and weekly charts for Bitcoin.
The levels are accurate to a good extent.
If the lines don't load, zoom out until the 2018 bear market top and it should load then.
Have fun with this indicator!
Seasonality Table - Tabular FormThis indicator displays the seasonality data for any instrument (index/stock/futures/currency) in a tabular data.
User can change the start of the year for analysis from the inputs.
Year is represented in rows and Month is represented in cols.
This indicator uses Monthly Data feed to calculate the % change
Summary data for the month is displayed as the last row
Relative Market Status by @WilliamBeliniWhat is the impact for Volume to the Prices?
To respond this question, I formulate the hipótesis if a little Volume change a lot the Price, it's a reversion signal, and if a lot of Volume change a little the price, it´s because the price is established.
This is one of 3 indicators created to improve this hipótesis, named:
1. Relative Volume Prices Index by @WilliamBelini (RVPI)
2. Relative Market Status by @WilliamBelini (RMS)
3. Trade Trigger RVPI by @WilliamBelini (TTR)
- The first show you the effect from volume to the prices, meas the sensibility of the variation;
- The second show you the feeling of the market by cicles, based at the cumulative average sensibility from the RVPI indicator;
- The third show you a trigger to trading positions, with the analysis of the historical RVPI data, based on the normal distribution of the futures price variation, by previos RVPI values and some rules created based on data behaviors identified.
To the end of this work, I can comprove the hipótesis, with simulations trading based from the TTR.
How we can´t monetize our work here, on TradingView platform, I´m disponibilize 2 of 3 indicators for you here free. If you want to have the third, discover how to contact with me (@ ;), and for me will be a pleasure to help you.
Relative Volume Prices Index by @WilliamBeliniWhat is the impact for Volume to the Prices?
To respond this question, I formulate the hipótesis if a little Volume change a lot the Price, it's a reversion signal, and if a lot of Volume change a little the price, it´s because the price is established.
This is one of 3 indicators created to improve this hipótesis, named:
1. Relative Volume Prices Index by @WilliamBelini (RVPI)
2. Relative Market Status by @WilliamBelini (RMS)
3. Trade Trigger RVPI by @WilliamBelini (TTR)
- The first show you the effect from volume to the prices, meas the sensibility of the variation;
- The second show you the feeling of the market by cicles, based at the cumulative average sensibility from the RVPI indicator;
- The third show you a trigger to trading positions, with the analysis of the historical RVPI data, based on the normal distribution of the futures price variation, by previos RVPI values and some rules created based on data behaviors identified.
To the end of this work, I can comprove the hipótesis, with simulations trading based from the TTR.
How we can´t monetize our work here, on TradingView platform, I´m disponibilize 2 of 3 indicators for you here free. If you want to have the third, discover how to contact with me (@ ;), and for me will be a pleasure to help you.
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) [Loxx]Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) demonstrates how to calculate the Cost of Equity for an underlying asset using Pine Script. This script will only work on the monthly timeframe. While you can change the default inputs, you should study what CAPM is and how this works before doing so. This indicator pulls various types of data from SPY from various timeframes to calculate risk-free rates, market premiums, and log returns. Alpha and Beta are computed using the regression between underlying asset and SPY. This indicator only calculates on the most recent data. If you wish to change this, you'll have to save the script and make adjustments. A few examples where CAPM is used:
Used as the mu factor Geometric Brownian Motion models for options pricing and forecasting price ranges and decay
Calculating the Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Asset pricing
Efficient frontier
Risk and diversification
Security market line
Discounted Cashflow Analysis
Investment bankers use CAPM to value deals
Account firms use CAPM to verify asset prices and assumptions
Real estate firms use variations of CAPM to value properties
... and more
Details of the calculations used here
Rm is calculated using yearly simple returns data from SPY, typically this is just hard coded as 10%.
Rf is pulled from US 10 year bond yields
Beta and Alpha are pulled form monthly returns data of the asset and SPY
In the past, typically this data is purchased from investments banks whose research arms produce values for beta, alpha, risk free rate, and risk premiums. In 2022 ,you can find free estimates for each parameter but these values might not reflect the most current data or research.
History
The CAPM was introduced by Jack Treynor (1961, 1962), William F. Sharpe (1964), John Lintner (1965) and Jan Mossin (1966) independently, building on the earlier work of Harry Markowitz on diversification and modern portfolio theory. Sharpe, Markowitz and Merton Miller jointly received the 1990 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics for this contribution to the field of financial economics. Fischer Black (1972) developed another version of CAPM, called Black CAPM or zero-beta CAPM, that does not assume the existence of a riskless asset. This version was more robust against empirical testing and was influential in the widespread adoption of the CAPM.
Usage
The CAPM is used to calculate the amount of return that investors need to realize to compensate for a particular level of risk. It subtracts the risk-free rate from the expected rate and weighs it with a factor – beta – to get the risk premium. It then adds the risk premium to the risk-free rate of return to get the rate of return an investor expects as compensation for the risk. The CAPM formula is expressed as follows:
r = Rf + beta (Rm – Rf) + Alpha
Therefore,
Alpha = R – Rf – beta (Rm-Rf)
Where:
R represents the portfolio return
Rf represents the risk-free rate of return
Beta represents the systematic risk of a portfolio
Rm represents the market return, per a benchmark
For example, assuming that the actual return of the fund is 30, the risk-free rate is 8%, beta is 1.1, and the benchmark index return is 20%, alpha is calculated as:
Alpha = (0.30-0.08) – 1.1 (0.20-0.08) = 0.088 or 8.8%
The result shows that the investment in this example outperformed the benchmark index by 8.8%.
The alpha of a portfolio is the excess return it produces compared to a benchmark index. Investors in mutual funds or ETFs often look for a fund with a high alpha in hopes of getting a superior return on investment (ROI).
The alpha ratio is often used along with the beta coefficient, which is a measure of the volatility of an investment. The two ratios are both used in the Capital Assets Pricing Model (CAPM) to analyze a portfolio of investments and assess its theoretical performance.
To see CAPM in action in terms of calculate WACC, see here for an example: finbox.com
Further reading
en.wikipedia.org
Position Tool█ OVERVIEW
This script is an interactive measurement tool that can be used to evaluate or keep track of trades. Like the long and short position drawing tools, it calculates a risk reward ratio and a risk-adjusted position size from the entry, stop and take profit levels, but it also does much more:
• It can be used to configure long or short trades.
• All monetary values can be expressed in any number of currencies.
• The value of tick/pip movement (which varies with the position's size) is displayed in the currency you have selected.
• The CAGR ( Compound Annual Growth Rate ) for the trade can be displayed.
• It does live tracking of the position.
• You can configure alerts on entries and exits.
█ HOW TO USE IT
Load the indicator on an active chart (see here if you don't know how).
When you first load this script on a chart, you will enter an interactive selection mode where the script asks you to pick three points in price and time on your chart by clicking on the chart. Directions will appear in a blue box at the bottom of the screen with each click of the mouse. The first selection is the entry point for the trade you are considering, which takes into account both the time and level you choose, the next are the take profit and stop levels. Once you have selected all three points, the script will draw trade zones and labels containing the trade metrics. The script determines if the trade is a long or short from the position of the take profit and stop loss levels in relation to the entry price. If the take profit level is above the entry price, the stop must be below and vice versa, otherwise an error occurs.
You can change levels by dragging the handles that appear when you select the indicator, or by entering new values in the script's settings. The only way to re-enter interactive mode is to re-add the indicator to your chart.
Once you place the position tool on a chart, it will appear at the same levels on all symbols you use. If your scale is not set to "Scale price chart only", the position tool's levels will be taken into account when scaling the chart, which can cause the symbol's bars to be compressed. If your scale is set to "Scale price chart only", the position tool will still be there, but it will not impact the scale of the chart's bars, so you won't see it if it sits outside the symbol's price scale.
If you select the position tool on your chart and delete it, this will also delete the indicator from the chart. You will need to re-add it if you want to draw another position tool. You can add multiple instances of the indicator if you need a position tool on more than one of your charts.
█ FEATURES
Display
The position tool displays the following information for entries:
• The entry's price level with an '@' sign before it.
• Open or Closed P&L : For an open trade, the "Open P&L" displays the difference in money value between the entry level and the chart's current price.
For a closed trade, the "Closed P&L" displays the realized P&L on the trade.
• Quantity : The trade size, which takes into account the risk tolerance you set in the script's settings.
• RR : The reward to risk ratio expresses the relationship of the distance between the entry and the take profit level vs the entry and the stop level.
Example: A $100 stop with a $100 target will have a ratio of 1:1, whereas a $200 target with the same stop will have a 2:1 ratio.
• Per tick/pip : Represents the money value of a tick or pip movement.
• CAGR : The Compound Annual Growth Rate will be displayed on the main order label on trades that exceed one day in duration.
This value is calculated the same way as in our CAGR Custom Range indicator.
If the trade duration is less than one day, the metric will not be present in the display.
The stop and take profit levels display:
• Their price level with an '@' sign before it.
• Their distance from the entry in money value, percentage and ticks/pips.
• The projected end money value of the position if the level is reached. These values are calculated based on the trade size and the currency.
Currency adjustments
This indicator modifies the trade label's colors and values based on the final Profit and Loss (P&L), which considers the dynamic exchange rate between base and conversion currencies in its calculations when the conversion currency is a specified value other than the default. Depending on the cross rate between the base and account currencies, this process can yield a negative P&L on an otherwise successful simulated trade.
For instance, if your account is in currency XYZ, you might buy 10 Apple shares at $150 each, with the XYZ to USD exchange rate being 2:1. This purchase would cost you 3000 units of XYZ. Suppose that later on, the shares appreciate to $170 each, and you decide to sell. One might expect this trade to result in profit. However, if the exchange rate has now equalized to 1:1, the return on selling the shares, calculated in XYZ, would only be 1700 units, resulting in a loss of 1300 units XYZ.
The indicator will mark the P&L and the target labels in red in such cases, regardless of whether the market price reached the profit target, as the trade produced a net loss due to reduced funds after currency conversion. Conversely, an otherwise unsuccessful position can result in a net profit in the account currency due to conversion rate fluctuations. The final losses or gains appear in the label metrics, and the corresponding color coding reflects the trade's success or failure.
Settings
The settings in the "Trade sizing" section are used to calculate the position size and the monetary value of trades. Two types of risk can be chosen from the menu; a percentage based risk calculation, or a fixed money value. The risk is used to calculate the quantity of units to purchase to achieve that level of risk exposure. Example: An account size of $1000 and 10% risk will have a projected end amount of $900 if the stop loss is hit. The quantity is a product of this relationship; a projected number of units to allow for the equivalent of $100 of risk exposure over the change in price from the entry to the stop value.
The "Trade levels" allow you to manually set the entry, take profit and stop levels of an existing position tool on your chart.
You can control the appearance of the tool and the values it displays in the settings following these first two sections.
Alerts
Three alerts that will trigger when you configure an alert on this indicator. The first will send an alert when the entry price is breached by price action if that price has not already been breached in the previous price history. This is dependant on the entry location you select when placing the indicator on the chart. The other two alerts will trigger when either the stop loss or the take profit level is breached to signal that a trade exit has occurred.
█ NOTES FOR Pine Script™ CODERS
• Interactive inputs are implemented for input.time() and input.price() . These specialized input functions allow users to interact with a script.
You can create one interactive input for both time and price values by using the same `inline` argument in a pair of input.time() and input.price() function calls.
• We use the `cagr()` function from our ta library.
• The script uses the runtime.error() function to throw an error if the stop and limit prices are not placed on opposing sides of the entry price.
• We use the `currency` parameter in a request.security() call to convert currencies.
Look first. Then leap.
