Advanced Forex Currency Strength Meter
# Advanced Forex Currency Strength Meter
🚀 The Ultimate Currency Strength Analysis Tool for Forex Traders
This sophisticated indicator measures and compares the relative strength of major currencies (EUR, GBP, USD, JPY, CHF, CAD, AUD, NZD) to help you identify the strongest and weakest currencies in real-time, providing clear trading signals based on currency strength differentials.
## 📊 What This Indicator Does
The Advanced Forex Currency Strength Meter analyzes currency relationships across 28+ major forex pairs and 8 currency indices to determine which currencies are gaining or losing strength. Instead of relying on individual pair analysis, this tool gives you a bird's-eye view of the entire forex market, helping you:
Identify the strongest and weakest currencies at any given time
Find high-probability trading opportunities by pairing strong vs weak currencies
Avoid ranging markets by detecting when currencies have similar strength
Get clear LONG/SHORT/NEUTRAL signals for your current trading pair
Optimize your trading strategy based on your preferred timeframe and holding period
## ⚙️ How The Indicator Works
### Dual Calculation Method
The indicator uses a sophisticated dual approach for maximum accuracy:
Pairs-Based Analysis: Calculates currency strength from 28+ major forex pairs (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, etc.)
Index-Based Analysis: Incorporates official currency indices (DXY, EXY, BXY, JXY, CXY, AXY, SXY, ZXY)
Weighted Combination: Blends both methods using smart weighting for enhanced accuracy
### Smart Auto-Optimization System
The indicator automatically adjusts its parameters based on your chart timeframe and intended holding period:
The system recognizes that scalping requires different sensitivity than swing trading, automatically optimizing lookback periods, analysis timeframes, signal thresholds, and index weights.
### Strength Calculation Process
Fetches price data from multiple timeframes using optimized tuple requests
Calculates percentage change over the specified lookback period
Optionally normalizes by ATR (Average True Range) to account for volatility differences
Combines pair-based and index-based calculations using dynamic weighting
Generates relative strength by comparing base currency vs quote currency
Produces clear trading signals when strength differential exceeds threshold
## 🎯 How To Use The Indicator
### Quick Start
Add the indicator to any forex pair chart
Enable 🧠 Smart Auto-Optimization (recommended for beginners)
Watch for LONG 🚀 signals when the relative strength line is green and above threshold
Watch for SHORT 🐻 signals when the relative strength line is red and below threshold
Avoid trading during NEUTRAL ⚪ periods when currencies have similar strength
Note: This is highly recommended to couple this indicator with fundamental analysis and use it as an extra signal.
### 📋 Parameters Reference
#### 🤖 Smart Settings
🧠 Smart Auto-Optimization: (Default: Enabled) Automatically optimizes all parameters based on chart timeframe and trading style
#### ⚙️ Manual Override
These settings are only active when Smart Auto-Optimization is disabled:
Manual Lookback Period: (Default: 14) Number of periods to analyze for strength calculation
Manual ATR Period: (Default: 14) Period for ATR normalization calculation
Manual Analysis Timeframe: (Default: 240) Higher timeframe for strength analysis
Manual Index Weight: (Default: 0.5) Weight given to currency indices vs pairs (0.0 = pairs only, 1.0 = indices only)
Manual Signal Threshold: (Default: 0.5) Minimum strength differential required for trading signals
#### 📊 Display
Show Signal Markers: (Default: Enabled) Display triangle markers when signals change
Show Info Label: (Default: Enabled) Show comprehensive information label with current analysis
#### 🔍 Analysis
Use ATR Normalization: (Default: Enabled) Normalize strength calculations by volatility for fairer comparison
#### 💰 Currency Indices
💰 Use Currency Indices: (Default: Enabled) Include all 8 currency indices in strength calculation for enhanced accuracy
#### 🎨 Colors
Strong Currency Color: (Default: Green) Color for positive/strong signals
Weak Currency Color: (Default: Red) Color for negative/weak signals
Neutral Color: (Default: Gray) Color for neutral conditions
Strong/Weak Backgrounds: Background colors for clear signal visualization
### 🧠 Smart Optimization Profiles
The indicator automatically selects optimal parameters based on your chart timeframe:
#### ⚡ Scalping Profile (1M-5M Charts)
For positions held for a few minutes:
Lookback: 5 periods (fast/sensitive)
Analysis Timeframe: 15 minutes
Index Weight: 20% (favor pairs for speed)
Signal Threshold: 0.3% (sensitive triggers)
#### 📈 Intraday Profile (10M-1H Charts)
For positions held for a few hours:
Lookback: 12 periods (balanced sensitivity)
Analysis Timeframe: 4 hours
Index Weight: 40% (balanced approach)
Signal Threshold: 0.4% (moderate sensitivity)
#### 📊 Swing Profile (4H-Daily Charts)
For positions held for a few days:
Lookback: 21 periods (stable analysis)
Analysis Timeframe: Daily
Index Weight: 60% (favor indices for stability)
Signal Threshold: 0.5% (conservative triggers)
#### 📆 Position Profile (Weekly+ Charts)
For positions held for a few weeks:
Lookback: 30 periods (long-term view)
Analysis Timeframe: Weekly
Index Weight: 70% (heavily favor indices)
Signal Threshold: 0.6% (very conservative)
### Entry Timing
Wait for clear LONG 🚀 or SHORT 🐻 signals
Avoid trading during NEUTRAL ⚪ periods
Look for signal confirmations on multiple timeframes
### Risk Management
Stronger signals (higher relative strength values) suggest higher probability trades
Use appropriate position sizing based on signal strength
Consider the trading style profile when setting stop losses and take profits
💡 Pro Tip: The indicator works best when combined with your existing technical analysis. Use currency strength to identify which pairs to trade, then use your favorite technical indicators to determine when to enter and exit.
## 🔧 Key Features
28+ Forex Pairs Analysis: Comprehensive coverage of major currency relationships
8 Currency Indices Integration: DXY, EXY, BXY, JXY, CXY, AXY, SXY, ZXY for enhanced accuracy
Smart Auto-Optimization: Automatically adapts to your trading style and timeframe
ATR Normalization: Fair comparison across different currency pairs and volatility levels
Real-Time Signals: Clear LONG/SHORT/NEUTRAL signals with visual markers
Performance Optimized: Efficient tuple-based data requests minimize external calls
User-Friendly Interface: Simplified settings with comprehensive tooltips
Multi-Timeframe Support: Works on any timeframe from 1-minute to monthly charts
Transform your forex trading with the power of currency strength analysis! 🚀
Forecasting
AymaN Entry Signal – With HTF + Pin Bar + Multi TP + BE + V1Ayman Entry Signal – Indicator Description
Overview
Ayman Entry Signal – With HTF + Pin Bar + Multi TP + BE + Stats Panel (V1)
This is a professional-grade Pine Script indicator designed for scalping and intraday trading, with full trade management, multi-confirmation logic, and advanced visualization. The tool is ideal for traders focused on XAUUSD (Gold), Forex, and other volatile instruments who seek both precision entries and structured exits with dynamic risk control.
Main Features
Advanced Entry Logic:
- EMA fast/slow crossovers (configurable)
- Optional conditions: Break of Structure (BoS), Order Block (OB), Fair Value Gap (FVG), Liquidity sweeps, Pin Bars
- HTF confirmation using EMA or BoS
- Real-time entry condition display
Trade Management:
- Dynamic calculation of Entry, SL (with ATR buffer), TP1, TP2
- Supports Partial Close and Break Even logic after TP1
- Visual PnL label (dynamic and color-coded)
Statistics Panel:
- Shows total trades, win/loss/breakeven count, cumulative PnL
- Filter by custom date or session
- Fully customizable panel appearance
Trade Visualization:
- Trade box includes all trade levels (Entry, SL, TP1, TP2)
- Visual display of trade conditions and PnL result
- Option to keep previous trades on chart
Alert System:
- Alerts for Buy and Sell entries
- Compatible with webhook automation systems like MT5/MT4
Customization & Inputs
- Capital & risk per trade
- Value per pip/point
- SL buffer (ATR-based)
- Manual EMA override
- Enable/disable: EMA, BoS, OB, FVG, Liquidity, Pin Bars
- HTF: timeframe + confirmation logic
- Trade box/labels visibility
- Full color customization
- PnL label position: top, center, or bottom
Recommended Use
- Ideal for Gold scalping (XAUUSD), also effective for Forex
- Best on 1m–15m charts; use HTF confirmation from 15m–4H
- Pairs well with semi-automated systems using alerts and webhooks
Disclaimer
Note: This is a non-executing indicator. It does not place trades but provides visual and statistical guidance for professional manual or semi-automated trading.
EMA Cross Approach ScreenerWorks best on D/4H. Signals when the price of a stock is below the 200ema and the 9 and 20 are sloping up approaching the 200 while being 5% or less than from the 200. Helps the trader find a good buying point while keeping risk minimum.
Global M2 Money Supply // Days Offset =This is the original version.. there is no update... just needed to re-install the script.
ATR % Line from LoD/HoDATR % Line Trading Indicator - Entry Filter Tool
This Pine Script creates a sophisticated ATR (Average True Range) percentage-based entry filter indicator for TradingView that helps traders avoid buying overextended stocks and identify optimal entry zones based on volatility.
Core Functionality - Entry Discipline
The script calculates a maximum entry threshold by taking a percentage of the Average True Range (ATR) and projecting it from the current day's low. This creates a dynamic "no-buy zone" that adapts to market volatility, helping traders avoid purchasing stocks that have already moved too far from their daily base.
Key Calculation:
Measures the ATR over a specified period (default: 14 bars)
Takes a user-defined percentage of that ATR (default: 25%)
Projects this distance from the day's low to establish a maximum entry threshold
Entry Rule: Avoid buying when price exceeds this ATR% level from the daily low or high.
Visual Features
Entry Threshold Line:
Draws a horizontal line at the calculated maximum entry level
Line extends forward for clear visualization of the "no-buy zone"
Red zones above this line indicate overextended conditions
Fully customizable appearance with color, width, and style options
Smart Entry Alerts:
Optional labels show the ATR percentage threshold and exact price level
Visual confirmation when stocks are trading in acceptable entry zones vs. extended areas
Real-Time Monitoring Table:
Displays current distance from daily low as ATR percentage
Shows whether current price is in "safe entry zone" or "extended territory"
Customizable display options for clean chart analysis
Practical Applications for Entry Management
Avoiding Extended Entries:
Primary Use: Don't initiate long positions when price is more than X% ATR from the daily low
Prevents buying stocks that have already made their daily move
Reduces risk of buying at temporary tops within the trading session
Entry Zone Identification:
Price trading below the ATR% line = potential entry opportunity
Price trading above the ATR% line = wait for pullback or skip the trade
Combines volatility analysis with momentum discipline
Risk Management Benefits:
Improved Entry Timing: Enter closer to daily support levels
Better Risk/Reward: Shorter distance to stop loss (daily low)
Reduced Chasing: Systematic approach prevents FOMO-driven entries
Volatility Awareness: Higher volatility stocks get wider acceptable entry ranges
Configuration for Entry Filtering
Key Settings for Entry Management:
ATR Percentage: Set your maximum acceptable extension (15-30% common for day trading)
Reference Point: Use "Low" to measure extension from daily base
Line Style: Make highly visible to clearly see entry threshold
Alert Integration: Visual confirmation of entry-friendly zones
Typical Usage Scenarios:
Conservative Entries: 15-20% ATR from daily low
Moderate Extensions: 25-35% ATR for stronger momentum plays
Aggressive Setups: 40%+ ATR for breakout situations (use with caution)
Entry Strategy Integration
Pre-Market Planning:
Set ATR% threshold based on stock's typical volatility
Identify key levels where entries become unfavorable
Plan alternative entry strategies for extended stocks
Intraday Execution:
Monitor real-time ATR% extension from daily low
Avoid new long positions when threshold is exceeded
Wait for pullbacks to re-enter acceptable entry zones
This tool transforms volatility analysis into practical entry discipline, helping traders maintain consistent entry standards and avoid the costly mistake of chasing overextended stocks. By respecting ATR-based extension limits, traders can improve their entry timing and overall trade profitability.
Market Energy – Trend vs Retest (with Saturation %)Market Energy – Trend vs Retest Indicator
This indicator measures the bullish and bearish energy in the market based on volume-weighted price changes.
It calculates two smoothed energy waves — bullish energy and bearish energy — using exponential moving averages of volume-adjusted price movements.
The indicator detects trend changes and retests by comparing the relative strength of these waves.
A saturation percentage quantifies the intensity of the current dominant side (bulls or bears) relative to recent highs.
- High saturation (>70%) indicates strong momentum and dominance by bulls or bears.
- Low saturation (<30%) suggests weak momentum and possible market indecision or consolidation.
The background color highlights the current control: green for bulls, red for bears, with transparency indicating the saturation level.
A label shows which side is currently in control along with the saturation percentage for quick interpretation.
Use this tool to identify strong trends, possible retests, and momentum strength to support your trading decisions.
Market Energy – Trend vs RetestShows who is in control of the market. The red lines are sellers in control and the green are the buyers in control
Recession Warning Model [BackQuant]Recession Warning Model
Overview
The Recession Warning Model (RWM) is a Pine Script® indicator designed to estimate the probability of an economic recession by integrating multiple macroeconomic, market sentiment, and labor market indicators. It combines over a dozen data series into a transparent, adaptive, and actionable tool for traders, portfolio managers, and researchers. The model provides customizable complexity levels, display modes, and data processing options to accommodate various analytical requirements while ensuring robustness through dynamic weighting and regime-aware adjustments.
Purpose
The RWM fulfills the need for a concise yet comprehensive tool to monitor recession risk. Unlike approaches relying on a single metric, such as yield-curve inversion, or extensive economic reports, it consolidates multiple data sources into a single probability output. The model identifies active indicators, their confidence levels, and the current economic regime, enabling users to anticipate downturns and adjust strategies accordingly.
Core Features
- Indicator Families : Incorporates 13 indicators across five categories: Yield, Labor, Sentiment, Production, and Financial Stress.
- Dynamic Weighting : Adjusts indicator weights based on recent predictive accuracy, constrained within user-defined boundaries.
- Leading and Coincident Split : Separates early-warning (leading) and confirmatory (coincident) signals, with adjustable weighting (default 60/40 mix).
- Economic Regime Sensitivity : Modulates output sensitivity based on market conditions (Expansion, Late-Cycle, Stress, Crisis), using a composite of VIX, yield-curve, financial conditions, and credit spreads.
- Display Options : Supports four modes—Probability (0-100%), Binary (four risk bins), Lead/Coincident, and Ensemble (blended probability).
- Confidence Intervals : Reflects model stability, widening during high volatility or conflicting signals.
- Alerts : Configurable thresholds (Watch, Caution, Warning, Alert) with persistence filters to minimize false signals.
- Data Export : Enables CSV output for probabilities, signals, and regimes, facilitating external analysis in Python or R.
Model Complexity Levels
Users can select from four tiers to balance simplicity and depth:
1. Essential : Focuses on three core indicators—yield-curve spread, jobless claims, and unemployment change—for minimalistic monitoring.
2. Standard : Expands to nine indicators, adding consumer confidence, PMI, VIX, S&P 500 trend, money supply vs. GDP, and the Sahm Rule.
3. Professional : Includes all 13 indicators, incorporating financial conditions, credit spreads, JOLTS vacancies, and wage growth.
4. Research : Unlocks all indicators plus experimental settings for advanced users.
Key Indicators
Below is a summary of the 13 indicators, their data sources, and economic significance:
- Yield-Curve Spread : Difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields. Negative spreads signal banking sector stress.
- Jobless Claims : Four-week moving average of unemployment claims. Sustained increases indicate rising layoffs.
- Unemployment Change : Three-month change in unemployment rate. Sharp rises often precede recessions.
- Sahm Rule : Triggers when unemployment rises 0.5% above its 12-month low, a reliable recession indicator.
- Consumer Confidence : University of Michigan survey. Declines reflect household pessimism, impacting spending.
- PMI : Purchasing Managers’ Index. Values below 50 indicate manufacturing contraction.
- VIX : CBOE Volatility Index. Elevated levels suggest market anticipation of economic distress.
- S&P 500 Growth : Weekly moving average trend. Declines reduce wealth effects, curbing consumption.
- M2 + GDP Trend : Monitors money supply and real GDP. Simultaneous declines signal credit contraction.
- NFCI : Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index. Positive values indicate tighter conditions.
- Credit Spreads : Proxy for corporate bond spreads using 10-year vs. 2-year Treasury yields. Widening spreads reflect stress.
- JOLTS Vacancies : Job openings data. Significant drops precede hiring slowdowns.
- Wage Growth : Year-over-year change in average hourly earnings. Late-cycle spikes often signal economic overheating.
Data Processing
- Rate of Change (ROC) : Optionally applied to capture momentum in data series (default: 21-bar period).
- Z-Score Normalization : Standardizes indicators to a common scale (default: 252-bar lookback).
- Smoothing : Applies a short moving average to final signals (default: 5-bar period) to reduce noise.
- Binary Signals : Generated for each indicator (e.g., yield-curve inverted or PMI below 50) based on thresholds or Z-score deviations.
Probability Calculation
1. Each indicator’s binary signal is weighted according to user settings or dynamic performance.
2. Weights are normalized to sum to 100% across active indicators.
3. Leading and coincident signals are aggregated separately (if split mode is enabled) and combined using the specified mix.
4. The probability is adjusted by a regime multiplier, amplifying risk during Stress or Crisis regimes.
5. Optional smoothing ensures stable outputs.
Display and Visualization
- Probability Mode : Plots a continuous 0-100% recession probability with color gradients and confidence bands.
- Binary Mode : Categorizes risk into four levels (Minimal, Watch, Caution, Alert) for simplified dashboards.
- Lead/Coincident Mode : Displays leading and coincident probabilities separately to track signal divergence.
- Ensemble Mode : Averages traditional and split probabilities for a balanced view.
- Regime Background : Color-coded overlays (green for Expansion, orange for Late-Cycle, amber for Stress, red for Crisis).
- Analytics Table : Optional dashboard showing probability, confidence, regime, and top indicator statuses.
Practical Applications
- Asset Allocation : Adjust equity or bond exposures based on sustained probability increases.
- Risk Management : Hedge portfolios with VIX futures or options during regime shifts to Stress or Crisis.
- Sector Rotation : Shift toward defensive sectors when coincident signals rise above 50%.
- Trading Filters : Disable short-term strategies during high-risk regimes.
- Event Timing : Scale positions ahead of high-impact data releases when probability and VIX are elevated.
Configuration Guidelines
- Enable ROC and Z-score for consistent indicator comparison unless raw data is preferred.
- Use dynamic weighting with at least one economic cycle of data for optimal performance.
- Monitor stress composite scores above 80 alongside probabilities above 70 for critical risk signals.
- Adjust adaptation speed (default: 0.1) to 0.2 during Crisis regimes for faster indicator prioritization.
- Combine RWM with complementary tools (e.g., liquidity metrics) for intraday or short-term trading.
Limitations
- Macro indicators lag intraday market moves, making RWM better suited for strategic rather than tactical trading.
- Historical data availability may constrain dynamic weighting on shorter timeframes.
- Model accuracy depends on the quality and timeliness of economic data feeds.
Final Note
The Recession Warning Model provides a disciplined framework for monitoring economic downturn risks. By integrating diverse indicators with transparent weighting and regime-aware adjustments, it empowers users to make informed decisions in portfolio management, risk hedging, or macroeconomic research. Regular review of model outputs alongside market-specific tools ensures its effective application across varying market conditions.
Official USD Staggered Bands - ArgentinaOfficial USD Staggered Bands - Argentina
The Central Bank, under the administration of Javier Milei (La Libertad Avanza), announced on Friday, April 11, 2025, a series of measures to eliminate the so-called "exchange rate restriction."
In this new phase, the dollar's exchange rate on the Free Exchange Market (MLC) will be able to fluctuate within a band between $1,000 and $1,400 , the limits of which will be expanded at a rate of 1% monthly.
The lines evolve daily, increasing as the public administration predicts. This way, you can know the likelihood of a Central Bank intervention to correct the variation and return the peso to a price within the band.
The script runs under the ticker USDARS
ATR Plots + OverlayATR Plots + Overlay
This tool calculates and displays Average True Range (ATR)-based levels on your chart for any selected timeframe, giving traders a quick visual reference for expected price movement relative to the most recent bar’s open price. It plots guide levels above and below that open and shows how much of the typical ATR-based range has already been covered—all in one interactive table and on-chart overlay.
What It Does
ATR Calculation:
Uses true range data over a user-defined period (default 14), smoothed via RMA, SMA, EMA, or WMA, on the selected timeframe (e.g., 1h, 4h, daily) to calculate the ATR value.
Projected Levels:
Plots four reference levels relative to the open price of the most recent bar on the chosen timeframe:
+100% ATR: Open + ATR
+50% ATR: Open + 50% of ATR
−50% ATR: Open − 50% of ATR
−100% ATR: Open − ATR
Coverage %:
Tracks high and low prices for the current session on the selected timeframe and calculates what percentage of the ATR has already been covered:
Coverage % = (High − Low) ÷ ATR × 100
Interactive Table:
Shows the ATR value and current coverage percentage in a customizable table overlay. Position, color scheme, borders, transparency, and an optional empty top row are all adjustable via settings.
Customization Options
Table Settings:
Position the table (top/bottom × left/right).
Customize background color, text color, border color, and thickness.
Optionally add an empty top row for spacing.
Line Settings:
Choose color, line style (solid/dotted/dashed), and width.
Lines automatically update with each new bar on the selected timeframe, anchored to that bar’s open price.
General Inputs:
ATR length (number of bars).
Smoothing method (RMA, SMA, EMA, WMA).
Timeframe selection for ATR calculations (e.g., 15m, 1h, Daily).
How to Use It for Trading
Measure Volatility: Quickly gauge the expected price movement based on ATR for any timeframe.
Identify Overextension: Use the coverage % to see how much of the expected ATR range is already consumed.
Plan Entries & Exits: Align trade targets and stops with ATR levels for more objective planning.
Visual Reference: Horizontal guide lines and table update automatically as new bars form, keeping information clear and actionable.
Ideal For
Intraday traders using ATR levels to frame trades.
Swing traders wanting ATR-based reference points for larger timeframes.
Anyone seeking a volatility-based framework for planning stops, targets, or identifying overextended conditions.
Mongoose Market Expansion DashboardDescription:
The Mongoose Market Expansion Dashboard tracks macro conditions that favor stock market upside. This dashboard aggregates five distinct categories:
Taylor Rule Gap (FFR vs. estimated neutral rate)
Liquidity Trend
Market Breadth
Sentiment Reversal
Macro Acceleration
Each category contributes to a composite score (0–5), plotted in real-time. A higher score signals improving market conditions and potential expansion. Designed for traders, analysts, and macro quants seeking clean macro overlays on price charts.
Taylor Rule (Styled by Mongoose) + Macro Action PlanMethodology:
This indicator implements the standard Taylor Rule to estimate a theoretically neutral federal funds rate (FFR) based on economic conditions.
Taylor Rule Formula:
FFR = r* + π + 0.5(π - π*) + 0.5 × Output Gap
π = current inflation rate
π* = inflation target
r* = natural real interest rate
Output Gap = 100 × (u* - u) / u*
u = actual unemployment rate
u* = natural unemployment rate
Visuals:
Teal Line = Taylor Rule Rate
Orange Line = Manual Fed Funds Rate (custom input)
Color Zone Highlight
Red = policy rate far below Taylor estimate (gap > +1.0)
Green = policy rate far above Taylor estimate (gap < -1.0)
Reference Lines:
0% (Zero Bound)
2% (Neutral Rate)
5% (Hawkish Zone)
How to Use:
A Taylor Rate above the actual Fed Funds Rate may imply accommodative conditions.
A Taylor Rate below the actual Fed Funds Rate may imply restrictive or tight policy.
The gap between the Taylor estimate and actual rate helps assess potential macro pressure on markets, yields, and risk assets.
Trader Application:
Helps forecast shifts in Fed stance and macro policy inflection points
Use as a regime filter for positioning in equities, bonds, FX, and commodities
Can support long/short macro strategies based on rate gap and inflation dynamics
Inputs (Editable):
Inflation rate
Inflation target
Neutral real rate (r*)
Actual and natural unemployment rate
Manual FFR value
Bracket PreviewThe Bracket Preview indicator allows the user to set their intended bracket order distance (distance, in ticks, to take-profit and stop-loss) from the current live price so that a preview is generated and updated in real-time as price moves. This gives the trader a quick reference of where the bracket orders would be placed if a position were entered at that specific moment in time. This can be helpful by making it more obvious to the trader before a trade is placed exactly where these levels would be in relation to previous price action or if it would be better to wait for price to move to a more favorable level or accept a different Risk-Reward (RR) from this specific trade.
• “If I entered a long position now, would my target be in front of or beyond a recent consolidation area where it is likely to run into resistance and potentially reverse before hitting my take-profit?”
• “Would this bracket order place my stop-loss above or below a previous pivot or would I need to move it after entering the trade and potentially increase the risk on this trade to have it in a more logical level?”
• “If price is in a range and I enter now, would my stop be in the middle of the range while my target is outside the top of the range? Maybe I should wait for price to move to an area where my target would be inside but near the top of the range while my stop loss is below the range so that I’m not taking unnecessary risk or being forced to take an unfavorable RR.”
EUR/USD Multi-Layer Statistical Regression StrategyStrategy Overview
This advanced EUR/USD trading system employs a triple-layer linear regression framework with statistical validation and ensemble weighting. It combines short, medium, and long-term regression analyses to generate high-confidence directional signals while enforcing strict risk controls.
Core Components
Multi-Layer Regression Engine:
Parallel regression analysis across 3 customizable timeframes (short/medium/long)
Projects future price values using prediction horizons
Statistical significance filters (R-squared, correlation, slope thresholds)
Signal Validation System:
Lookback validation tests historical prediction accuracy
Ensemble weighting of layer signals (adjustable influence per timeframe)
Confidence scoring combining statistical strength, layer agreement, and validation accuracy
Risk Management:
Position sizing scaled by signal confidence (1%-100% of equity)
Daily loss circuit breaker (halts trading at user-defined threshold)
Forex-tailored execution (pip slippage, percentage-based commissions)
Visual Intelligence:
Real-time regression line plots (3 layered colors)
Projection markers for short-term forecasts
Background coloring for market bias indication
Comprehensive statistics dashboard (R-squared metrics, validation scores, P&L)
Key Parameters
Category Settings
Regression Short/Med/Long lengths (20/50/100 bars)
Statistics Min R² (0.65), Correlation (0.7), Slope (0.0001)
Validation 30-bar lookback, 10-bar projection
Risk Controls 50% position size, 12% daily loss limit, 75% confidence threshold
Trading Logic
Entries require:
Ensemble score > |0.5|
Confidence > threshold
Short & medium-term significance
Active daily loss limit not breached
Exits triggered by:
Opposite high-confidence signals
Daily loss limit violation (emergency exit)
The strategy blends quantitative finance techniques with practical trading safeguards, featuring a self-optimizing design where signal quality directly impacts position sizing. The visual dashboard provides real-time feedback on model performance and market conditions.
BUY in HASH RibbonsHash Ribbons Indicator (BUY Signal)
A TradingView Pine Script v6 implementation for identifying Bitcoin miner capitulation (“Springs”) and recovery phases based on hash rate data. It marks potential low-risk buying opportunities by tracking short- and long-term moving averages of the network hash rate.
⸻
Key Features
• Hash Rate SMAs
• Short-term SMA (default: 30 days)
• Long-term SMA (default: 60 days)
• Phase Markers
• Gray circle: Short SMA crosses below long SMA (start of capitulation)
• White circles: Ongoing capitulation, with brighter white when the short SMA turns upward
• Yellow circle: Short SMA crosses back above long SMA (end of capitulation)
• Orange circle: Buy signal once hash rate recovery aligns with bullish price momentum (10-day price SMA crosses above 20-day price SMA)
• Display Modes
• Ribbons: Plots the two SMAs as colored bands—red for capitulation, green for recovery
• Oscillator: Shows the percentage difference between SMAs as a histogram (red for negative, blue for positive)
• Optional Overlays
• Bitcoin halving dates (2012, 2016, 2020, 2024) with dashed lines and labels
• Raw hash rate data in EH/s
• Alerts
• Configurable alerts for capitulation start, recovery, and buy signals
⸻
How It Works
1. Data Source: Fetches daily hash rate values from a selected provider (e.g., IntoTheBlock, Quandl).
2. Capitulation Detection: When the 30-day SMA falls below the 60-day SMA, miners are likely capitulating.
3. Recovery Identification: A rising 30-day SMA during capitulation signals miner recovery.
4. Buy Signal: Confirmed when the hash rate recovery coincides with a bullish shift in price momentum (10-day price SMA > 20-day price SMA).
⸻
Inputs
Hash Rate Short SMA: 30 days
Hash Rate Long SMA: 60 days
Plot Signals: On
Plot Halvings: Off
Plot Raw Hash Rate: Off
⸻
Considerations
• Timeframe: Best applied on daily charts to capture meaningful miner behavior.
• Data Reliability: Ensure the chosen hash rate source provides consistent, gap-free data.
• Risk Management: Use alongside other technical indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) and fundamental analysis.
• Backtesting: Evaluate performance over different market cycles before live deployment.
HMM-Style Market RegimeVisual outputs rendered by the script
Background color bands (bgcolor)
Green when regime == Bull
Red when regime == Bear
Gray when regime == Sideways (uncertain)
Labels (label.new)
“Bull” in the top-left corner when entering a Bull regime
“Bear” when entering a Bear regime
“Sideways” when entering a Sideways regime
Regime-change arrows (plotshape)
▲ Up arrow when the regime flips to Bull
▼ Down arrow when the regime flips to Bear
Optional metric plots
A chart of the return Z-score and volatility Z-score (when debug mode is enabled)
Long and Short Strategy with Multi Indicators [B1P5]Long and Short Strategy with RSI, ROC, MA Selection, Exit Visualization, and Strength Indicator
Combined Predictive Indicator### Combined Predictive Zones & Levels
This indicator is a powerful hybrid tool designed to provide a comprehensive map of potential future price action. It merges two distinct predictive models into a single, cohesive view, helping traders identify key levels of support, resistance, and areas of high confluence.
#### How It Works: Two Models in One
This script is built on two core components that you can use together or analyze separately:
**Part 1: Classic Range & Fibonacci Prediction**
This model uses classic technical analysis principles to project a potential range for the upcoming price action.
* **Highest High / Lowest Low:** It identifies the significant trading range over a user-defined lookback period.
* **Fibonacci Levels:** It automatically plots key Fibonacci retracement levels (e.g., 38.2% and 61.8%) within this range, which often act as critical support or resistance.
* **ATR & Average Range:** It calculates a "predicted" upper and lower boundary based on the average historical range and current volatility (ATR).
**Part 2: Advanced Predictive Ranges (Self-Adjusting Channels)**
This is a dynamic model that creates adaptive support and resistance zones based on a smoothed average price and volatility.
* **Dynamic Average:** It uses a unique moving average that only adjusts when the price moves significantly, creating a stable baseline.
* **ATR-Based Zones:** It projects multiple levels of support (S1, S2) and resistance (R1, R2) around this average, which widen and narrow based on market volatility. These zones often signal areas where price might stall or reverse.
#### Key Features:
* **Hybrid Model for Confluence:** The true power of this indicator lies in finding where the levels from both models overlap. A Fibonacci level aligning with a Predictive Range support zone is a much stronger signal.
* **Comprehensive Data Table:** A clean, on-chart table displays the precise values of all key predictive levels, allowing for quick reference and precise trade planning.
* **Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Capability:** The Advanced Predictive Ranges can be calculated on a higher timeframe, giving you a broader market context.
* **Fully Customizable:** All lengths, multipliers, and levels for both models are fully adjustable in the settings to fit any asset or trading style.
* **Clear Visuals:** All zones and levels are color-coded for intuitive and easy-to-read analysis.
#### How to Use:
1. Look for areas of **confluence** where multiple levels from both models cluster together. These are high-probability zones for price reactions.
2. Use the Predictive Range zones (S1/S2 and R1/R2) as potential targets for trades or as areas to watch for entries and exits.
3. Pay attention to the on-chart table for exact price levels to set limit orders or stop-losses.
**Disclaimer:** This script is an analytical tool for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. All trading involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use this indicator as part of a comprehensive trading strategy with proper risk management.
Feedback is welcome! If you find this tool useful, please leave a like.
3 EMA Pullback Strategy with ATRThis script will not only plot the moving averages but also identify potential trade setups by highlighting trend conditions, marking entry points, and dynamically plotting the corresponding Stop Loss and Take Profit levels directly on your chart.
Here is the Pine Script code for your strategy.
Multi timeframe trendDESCRIPTION
This indicator, Multi Timeframe Trend, is a powerful tool designed to give traders a comprehensive overview of market trends across multiple timeframes using a single, customizable Exponential Moving Average (EMA). It visually displays whether the price is trading above or below the EMA on each timeframe, helping traders quickly determine the dominant trend at a glance.
The real-time dashboard is plotted directly on your chart and color-coded to show bullish (green) or bearish (red) conditions per timeframe, from 15 minutes to 1 week. It is especially helpful for identifying trend alignment across multiple timeframes—an essential component of many professional trading strategies.
USER INPUTS
* Enter the EMA length – Adjust the EMA period used in the trend calculation (default: 200)
* Table Size – Choose how large the on-chart table appears: "tiny", "small", "normal", or "large"
INDICATOR LOGIC
* The indicator calculates the EMA for each of the following timeframes: 1W, 1D, 4H, 1H, 30M, and 15M
* It checks whether the current close is above or below each EMA and labels it as:
* Bullish if close > EMA
* Bearish if close < EMA
* Each timeframe’s trend is displayed in a dynamic table in the top-right corner of the chart
* The background color of each cell changes according to trend condition for quick visual interpretation
* Real-time responsiveness: handles both historical and live bars to maintain accurate, flicker-free updates
WHY IT IS UNIQUE
* Combines multiple timeframe trend analysis into a single glance
* Clean and color-coded dashboard overlay for real-time trading decisions
* Avoids repainting using barstate logic for accurate trend updates
* Fully customizable table size and EMA length
* Works on any chart, including stocks, crypto, forex, indices
HOW USERS CAN BENEFIT FROM IT
* Multi-timeframe confirmation: Easily confirm alignment across timeframes before entering a trade
* Avoid false signals by ensuring higher timeframe trends agree with lower timeframe setups
* Enhance strategy filters: Use as a trend filter in combination with your existing entry indicators
* Quick market analysis: No need to switch between charts or manually calculate EMAs
* Visual clarity: Trend conditions are easy to read and interpret in real-time