Mean Reversion & Momentum Hybrid | D_QUANT 📌 Mean Reversion & Momentum Hybrid | D_QUANT
📖 Description:
This indicator combines mean reversion logic, volatility filtering, and percentile-based momentum to deliver clear, context-aware buy/sell signals designed for trend-following and contrarian setups.
At its core, it merges:
A Bollinger Band % Positioning Model (BB%)
A 75th/25th Percentile Momentum System
A Volatility-Adjusted Trend Filter using RMA + ATR
All tied together with a dynamic gradient-style oscillator that visualizes signal strength and persistence over time — making it easy to track high-conviction setups.
Signals only trigger when all three core components align, filtering out noise and emphasizing high-probability turning points or trend continuations.
⚙️ Methodology Overview:
Bollinger Bands % (BB%):
Price is measured as a percentage between upper and lower Bollinger Bands (based on OHLC4). Entries are only considered when price exceeds custom BB% thresholds — emphasizing market extremes.
Volatility-Based Trend Filter (RMA + ATR):
A smoothed RMA baseline is paired with ATR to define trend bias. This ensures signals only occur when price deviates meaningfully beyond recent volatility.
Percentile Momentum Model (75th/25th Rank):
Price is compared against its rolling 75th and 25th percentile. If price breaks these statistical boundaries (adjusted by ATR), it triggers a directional momentum condition.
Signal Consensus Engine:
All three layers must agree — BB% condition, trend filter, and percentile momentum — before a buy or sell signal is plotted.
Gradient Oscillator Visualization:
Signals appear as a fading oscillator line with a gradient-filled area beneath it. The color intensity represents how “fresh” or “strong” the signal is, fading over time if not reconfirmed, offering both clarity and signal aging at a glance.
🔧 User Inputs:
🧠 Core Settings:
Source: Select the price input (default: close)
Bollinger Bands Length: Period for BB basis and deviation
Bollinger Bands Multiplier: Width of the bands
Minimum BB Width (% of Price): Prevents signals during low-volatility chop
📊 BB% Thresholds:
BB% Long Threshold (L): Minimum %B to consider a long
BB% Short Threshold (S): Maximum %B to consider a short
🔍 Trend Filter Parameters:
RMA Length: Period for the smoothed trend baseline
ATR Length: Lookback for ATR in trend deviation filter
⚡️ Momentum Parameters:
Momentum Length: Period for percentile momentum calculation
Mult_75 / Mult_25: ATR-adjusted thresholds for breakout above/below percentile levels
🎨 Visualization:
Bar Coloring: Highlights candles during active signals
Background Coloring: Optional background shading for signals
Show Oscillator Plot: Toggle the gradient-style oscillator
🧪 Use Case:
This indicator works well across all assets for trend identification. It is particularly effective when used on higher timeframes (e.g. 12H, 1D,2D) to capture mean reversion bounces or confirm breakouts backed by percentile momentum and volatility expansion.
⚠️ Notes:
This is not financial advice. Use in combination with proper risk management and confluence from other tools.
Mean-reversion-indicator
HMA Z-Score Probability Indicator by Erika BarkerThis indicator is a modified version of SteverSteves's original work, enhanced by Erika Barker. It visually represents asset price movements in terms of standard deviations from a Hull Moving Average (HMA), commonly known as a Z-Score.
Key Features:
Z-Score Calculation: Measures how many standard deviations the current price is from its HMA.
Hull Moving Average (HMA): This moving average provides a more responsive baseline for Z-Score calculations.
Flexible Display: Offers both area and candlestick visualization options for the Z-Score.
Probability Zones: Color-coded areas showing the statistical likelihood of prices based on their Z-Score.
Dynamic Price Level Labels: Displays actual price levels corresponding to Z-Score values.
Z-Table: An optional table showing the probability of occurrence for different Z-Score ranges.
Standard Deviation Lines: Horizontal lines at each standard deviation level for easy reference.
How It Works:
The indicator calculates the Z-Score by comparing the current price to its HMA and dividing by the standard deviation. This Z-Score is then plotted on a separate pane below the main chart.
Green areas/candles: Indicate prices above the HMA (positive Z-Score)
Red areas/candles: Indicate prices below the HMA (negative Z-Score)
Color-coded zones:
Green: Within 1 standard deviation (high probability)
Yellow: Between 1 and 2 standard deviations (medium probability)
Red: Beyond 2 standard deviations (low probability)
The HMA line (white) shows the trend of the Z-Score itself, offering insight into whether the asset is becoming more or less volatile over time.
Customization Options:
Adjust lookback periods for Z-Score and HMA calculations
Toggle between area and candlestick display
Show/hide probability fills, Z-Table, HMA line, and standard deviation bands
Customize text color and decimal rounding for price levels
Interpretation:
This indicator helps traders identify potential overbought or oversold conditions based on statistical probabilities. Extreme Z-Score values (beyond ±2 or ±3) often suggest a higher likelihood of mean reversion, while consistent Z-Scores in one direction may indicate a strong trend.
By combining the Z-Score with the HMA and probability zones, traders can gain a nuanced understanding of price movements relative to recent trends and their statistical significance.
