Chiki-Poki BFXLS Longs Shorts Abs Normalized Volume Pro by RRBChiki-Poki BFXLS Longs vs Shorts Absolute Normalized Volume Value Pro by RagingRocketBull 2018
Version 1.0
This indicator displays Longs vs Shorts in a side by side graph, shows volume's absolute price value and normalized volume of Longs/Shorts for the current asset. This allows for more accurate L/S comparisons (like a log scale for volume) since volume on spot exchanges (Bitstamp, Bitfinex, Coinbase etc) is measured in coins traded, not USD traded. Similarly, L/S is usually the amount of coins in open L/S positions, not their total USD value. On Bitmex and other futures exchanges volume is measured in USD traded, so you don't need to apply the Volume Absolute Price Value checkbox to compare L/S. You should always check first whether your source is measured in coins or USD.
Chiki-Poki BFXLS primarily uses *SHORTS/LONGS feeds from Bitfinex for the current crypto asset, but you can specify custom L/S source tickers instead.
This 2-in-1 works both in the Main Chart and in the indicator pane below. You can switch between Main/Sub Window panes using RMB on the indicator's name and selecting Move To/Pane Above/Below.
This indicator doesn't use volume of the current asset. It uses L/S ticker's OHLC as a source for SHORTS/LONGS volumes instead. Essentially L/S => L/S Volume == L/S
Features:
- Display Longs vs Shorts side by side graph for the current crypto asset, i.e. for BTCUSD - BTCUSDLONGS/BTCUSDSHORTS, for ETHUSD - ETHUSDLONGS/ETHUSDSHORTS etc.
- Use custom OHLC ticker sources for Longs/Shorts from different exchanges/crypto assets with/without exchange prefix.
- Plot Longs/Shorts as lines or candles
- Show/Hide L/S, Diff, MAs, ATH/ATL
- Use Longs/Shorts Volume Absolute Price Value (Price * L/S Volume) instead of Coins Traded in open L/S positions to compare total L/S value/capitalization
- Normalize L/S Volume using Price / Price MA / L/S Volume MA
- Supports any existing type of MA: SMA, EMA, WMA, HMA etc
- Volume Absolute Price Value / Normalize also works on candles
- Oscillator mode with negative axis (works in both Main Chart/Subwindow panes).
- Highlight L/S Volume spikes above L/S MAs in both lines/oscillator.
- Change L/S MA color based on a number of last rising/falling L/S bars, colorize candles
- Display L/S volume as 1000s, mlns, or blns using alpha multiplier
1. based on BFXLS Longs vs Shorts and Compare Style, uses plot*, security and custom hma functions
2. swma has a fixed length = 4, alma and linreg have additional offset and smoothing params
Notes:
- Make sure that Left Price Scale shows up with Auto Fit Data enabled. You can reattach indicator to a different scale in Style.
- It is not recommended to switch modes multiple times due to TradingView's scale reattachment bugs. You should switch between Main Chart and Sub Window only once.
- When the USD price of an asset is lower you can trade more coins but capitalization value won't be as significant as when there are less coins for a higher price. Same goes for Shorts/Longs.
Current ATH in shorts doesn't trigger a squeeze because its total value is now far less than before and we are in a bear market where it's normal to have a higher number of shorts.
- You should always subtract Hedged L/S from L/S because hedged positions are temporary - used to preserve the value of the main position in the opposite direction and should be disregarded as such.
- Low margin rates increase the probability of a move in an underlying direction because it is cheaper. High margin rates => the market is anticipating a move in this direction, thus a more expensive rate. Sudden 5-10x rate raises imply a possible reversal soon. high - 0.1%, avg - 0.01-0.02%, low - 0.001-0.005%
You can also check out:
- BFXLS Longs/Shorts on BFXData
- Bitfinex L/S margin rates and Hedged L/S on datamish
- Bitmex L/S on Coinfarm.online
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Kringold2[WOZDUX] gold equivalentThe indicator is a tool for global analysis. The default is the price of gold. The price of the instrument from the main window is divided by the price of gold. The result is the price of the instrument in units of gold. The screen uses the Dow Jones index as an example. In the indicator window, the price of the index in units of gold or the so-called gold Dow Jones. The use of the gold equivalent makes it possible to see more truthful trends. The Indicator has the ability to change gold to any other equivalent. It is enough to change the name of the exchange and the name of the instrument in the options tool and exchange. In addition, in the settings, the second box on top allows you to view the graph in a linear or logarithmic scale. The first box at the top switches the line chart or the CCI =WT indicator to this chart.
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Индикатор это инструмент для глобального анализа. По умолчанию используется цена золота. Цена инструмента из основного окна делится на цену золота. В результате получается цена инструмента в единицах золота. На экране для примера используется индекс Доу джонса. В окне индикатора цена индекса в единицах золота или так называемый золотой Доу Джонс. Использование золотого эквивалента дает возможность видеть более правдивые тенденции движения. В Индикаторе есть возможность поменять золото на любой другой эквивалент. Достаточно в опциях инструмент и биржа изменить название биржи и название инструмента. Кроме того, в настройках, второй бокс сверху дает возможность смотреть график в линейном или логарифмическом масштабе. Первый бокс сверу переключает линейный график или индикатор CCI =WT к данному графику.
Awesome Oscillator with AntiStep CorrectionHere is the well-known Awesome Oscillator (AO), which I use to present the real purpose of this post: a function that provides step correction for simple moving averages (SMAs).
We all know that any indicator based on moving averages lags real-time movement. Normally this is fine, but just after large ("step") changes in level, the pre-step values that are still within the SMA window cause the result to falsely reflect continued movement, even when real-time values remain flat.
To counter this, when a step change of a configurable size is detected, I temporarily shrink the SMA window size to include only those values occurring since the step change, and then allow the size to increase to normal length as we move away from the step change. This is accomplished within the antistep_sma() function.
Note that this will cause SMAs of different lengths (e.g. those used in the AO) to be temporarily equal, until the shorter of the two reaches its normal size and begins to leave the longer one behind again. You can see this above, where the AO, which is the difference of two SMAs, goes to 0 immediately after a sufficiently large step change--configured to 0.5% in this case.
Hershey's Portfolio WatchThanks to user rwestbury for the idea!
Watch the profit in dollars of your portfolio in REAL TIME, love it!
Put this in a window that doesn't change often, for it takes long to initially load.
I use it in my window where I monitor the US index SPY.
Edit and add as many symbols as you want below, you should be able to figure it out.
Just add symbol, number of shares and price.
I'll improve on this later, like trim the code down with function calls, etc.
Good trading!
Brian Hershey
I_Heikin Ashi CandleWhen apply a strategy to Heikin Ashi Candle chart (HA candle), the strategy will use the open/close/high/low values of the Heikin Ashi candle to calculate the Profit and Loss, hence also affecting the Percent Profitable, Profit Factor, etc., often resulting a unrealistic high Percent Profitable and Profit Factor, which is misleading. But if you want to use the HA candle's values to calculate your indicator / strategy, but pass the normal candle's open/close/high/low values to the strategy to calculate the Profit / Loss, you can do this:
1) set up the main chart to be a normal candle chart
2) use this indicator script to plot a secondary window with indicator looks exactly like a HA-chart
3) to use the HA-candle's open/close/high/low value to calculate whatever indicator you want (you may need to create a separate script if you want to plot this indicator in a separate indicator window)
[RS]Temporal Median Price V1EXPERIMENTAL: previous custom time window median price and current time window open price in a neat package :p
(JeanLouisHardy) added option for bar count system, also added a donchian average.
[RS]Temporal Median Price V0EXPERIMENTAL: previous custom time window median price and current time window open price in a neat package :p
On-Balance Volume with Multiple MA TypesOn-Balance Volume with Multiple MA Types
English Description
Overview
This is the first version of the "On-Balance Volume with Multiple MA Types" indicator designed to overlay directly on the price chart, a significant evolution from its previous iterations, which functioned solely as an oscillator in a separate window. The indicator calculates On-Balance Volume (OBV) and applies various smoothing methods to provide a clear view of volume dynamics in relation to price movements. It is pinned to the price scale for seamless integration with the chart.
Interpretation Recommendations
Price Pushing the OBV Line from Below: When the price chart pushes the OBV line upward and remains below it, this indicates rising volume, suggesting strong buying pressure.
Price Above the OBV Line: When the price chart is above the OBV line, it signals falling volume, indicating weakening momentum or selling pressure.
OBV Line Crossings: When the price crosses the OBV line, it represents a balance point in volume dynamics. The price level at the current crossing can be compared to the previous crossing to assess changes in market sentiment or momentum.
Moving Average Types
The indicator offers eight smoothing options for the OBV line, each with unique characteristics:
EMA (Exponential Moving Average): A weighted average that prioritizes recent data, providing a smooth yet responsive line.
DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average): Uses two EMAs to reduce lag, offering faster response to volume changes.
HMA (Hull Moving Average): Combines weighted moving averages to minimize lag while maintaining smoothness.
WMA (Weighted Moving Average): Assigns more weight to recent data, balancing responsiveness and noise reduction.
TMA (Triangular Moving Average): A double-smoothed simple moving average, emphasizing central data points for smoother output.
VIDYA (Variable Index Dynamic Average): Adapts smoothing based on market volatility, using a CMO (Chande Momentum Oscillator) for dynamic weighting. Controlled by the VIDYA Alpha parameter (default: 0.2, range: 0–1), which adjusts sensitivity to volatility.
FRAMA (Fractal Adaptive Moving Average): Adjusts smoothing based on fractal dimensions of the OBV data, adapting to market conditions.
JMA (Jurik Moving Average): A proprietary adaptive average designed for minimal lag and high smoothness. Controlled by two parameters:
JMA Phase (default: 50, range: -100 to 100): Adjusts the balance between responsiveness and smoothness.
JMA Power (default: 1, range: 0.1+): Controls the strength of smoothing.
Input Parameters
OBV MA Length (default: 10): The lookback period for smoothing the OBV. Higher values produce smoother results but increase lag.
OBV MA Type (default: JMA): Selects the moving average type from the eight options listed above.
Line Width (default: 2): Thickness of the OBV line on the chart.
Bullish Color (default: Blue): Color of the OBV line when rising (indicating increasing volume).
Bearish Color (default: Red): Color of the OBV line when falling (indicating decreasing volume).
JMA Phase (default: 50): Adjusts the JMA’s responsiveness (used only when JMA is selected).
JMA Power (default: 1): Adjusts the JMA’s smoothing strength (used only when JMA is selected).
VIDYA Alpha (default: 0.2): Controls the sensitivity of VIDYA to market volatility (used only when VIDYA is selected).
How to Use
Add the indicator to your TradingView chart. It will overlay directly on the price chart, aligned with the price scale.
Adjust the OBV MA Type to select your preferred smoothing method based on your trading style (e.g., JMA for low lag, TMA for smoothness).
Modify the OBV MA Length to balance responsiveness and noise reduction. Shorter periods (e.g., 5–10) are better for short-term trading, while longer periods (e.g., 20–50) suit longer-term analysis.
Use the Bullish Color and Bearish Color to visually distinguish rising and falling volume trends.
For JMA or VIDYA, fine-tune the JMA Phase, JMA Power, or VIDYA Alpha to optimize the indicator for specific market conditions.
Interpret the OBV line in relation to price:
Watch for price pushing the OBV line upward (rising volume) or moving above it (falling volume).
Note crossings of the OBV line to identify balance points and compare with prior crossings to gauge momentum shifts.
Combine with other technical tools (e.g., support/resistance levels, trendlines) for a comprehensive trading strategy.
Notes
This indicator is designed to work on any timeframe and market, but its effectiveness depends on the chosen moving average type and parameters.
Experiment with different MA types and lengths to find the best fit for your trading approach.
The indicator is licensed under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 and copyrighted by TradingStrategyCourses © 2025.
Pure Price Zone Flow🔎 What this indicator is
It’s a price-action-based zone indicator. Unlike moving average systems, this one relies only on:
1. Swing Highs & Swing Lows → The highest and lowest points within a recent lookback period (like "mini support & resistance").
2. ATR (Average True Range) → A volatility measure that expands the zone, making it more adaptive to different market conditions.
3. Breakouts & Retests → When price breaks above a swing high (bullish) or below a swing low (bearish), the indicator marks it and highlights the new trend.
👉 The goal is to spot clean structure shifts and define clear trend zones where traders can position themselves.
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⚙️ How it is calculated
1. Swing High & Swing Low
o We look back len candles (default 20).
o Find the highest high (swingHigh) and the lowest low (swingLow) in that window.
o This forms the price range zone.
2. ATR Expansion
o We calculate ATR over the same len.
o Add/subtract it (multiplied by atrMult) to the zone edges to expand them.
o This ensures the zones breathe with volatility (tight in quiet markets, wide in choppy ones).
3. Mid-Zone
o Simply the average of swingHigh and swingLow.
o If price is above mid → bullish bias.
o If below mid → bearish bias.
o This gives us the trend color for candles.
4. Breakouts
o If the close crosses above swingHigh, we mark a bullish breakout with a label.
o If the close crosses below swingLow, we mark a bearish breakdown.
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📊 How it helps traders
This indicator helps by:
1. Identifying Structure Shifts
o Many traders watch swing highs/lows for breakouts or reversals.
o This automates the process and visually confirms when structure is broken.
2. Dynamic Zone Trading
o Instead of fixed support/resistance, the ATR expansion adapts to volatility.
o This avoids false signals in high-volatility conditions.
3. Trend Bias at a Glance
o Candle coloring instantly tells you whether price is in bullish or bearish territory relative to the mid-zone.
4. Breakout Confirmation
o The labels show when a breakout has occurred, so traders can react quickly (e.g., enter with trend, wait for retest, or avoid fading moves).
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🌍 Markets it works best in
• Crypto (Bitcoin, Ethereum, etc.): Very effective since crypto is breakout-driven and respects swing levels.
• Forex: Good for volatility-adaptive structure analysis, especially in trending pairs.
• Indices (SPX, NASDAQ, DAX, NIFTY): Useful for breakout trading during session opens or key news events.
• Commodities (Gold, Oil, Silver): Works well to define intraday ranges and breakout levels.
⚠️ Less useful in low-volatility, mean-reverting assets (like some penny stocks or sideways ranges), because breakouts may be rare or fake.
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💡 How it adds value
• Strips away unnecessary complexity (no lagging averages).
• Focuses directly on what price is doing structurally.
• Adaptive → works across different markets & timeframes.
• Easy visualization → zones, trend coloring, breakout markers.
• Helps traders trade with the flow of the market, instead of guessing tops/bottoms.
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👉 In short:
This indicator turns raw price action into clear, actionable zones.
It highlights when the market shifts from balance to breakout, so traders can align with momentum rather than fighting it.
FlowScape PredictorFlowScape Predictor is a non-repainting, regime-aware entry qualifier that turns complex market context into two readiness scores (Long & Short, each 0/25/50/75/100) and clean, confirmed-bar signals. It blends three orthogonal pillars so you act only when trend energy, momentum, and location agree:
Regime (energy): ATR-normalized linear-regression slope of a smooth HMA → EMA baseline, gated by ADX to confirm when pressure is meaningful.
Momentum (push): RSI slope alignment so price has directional follow-through, not just drift.
Structure (location): proximity to pivot-confirmed swings, scaled by ATR, so “ready” appears near constructive pullbacks—not mid-trend chases.
A soft ATR cloud wraps the baseline for context. A yellow Predictive Baseline extends beyond the last bar to visualize near-term trajectory. It is visual-only: scores/alerts never use it.
What you see
Baseline line that turns green/red when regime is strong in that direction; gray when weak.
ATR cloud around the baseline (context for stretch and pullbacks).
Scores (Long & Short, 0–100 in steps of 25) and optional “L/S” icons on bar close.
Yellow Predictive Baseline that extends to the right for a few bars (visual trajectory of the smoothed baseline).
The scoring system (simple and transparent)
Each side (Long/Short) sums four binary checks, 25 points each:
Regime aligned: trendStrong is true and LR slope sign favors that side.
Momentum aligned: RSI side (>50 for Long, <50 for Short) and RSI slope confirms direction.
Baseline side: price is above (Long) / below (Short) the baseline.
Location constructive: distance from the last confirmed pivot is healthy (ATR-scaled; not overstretched).
Valid totals are 0, 25, 50, 75, 100.
Best-quality signal: 100/0 (your side/opposite) on bar close.
Good, still valid: 75/0, especially when the missing block is only “location” right as price re-engages the cloud/baseline.
Avoid: 75/25 or any opposition > 0 in a weak (gray) regime.
The Predictive (Kalman) line — what it is and isn’t
The yellow line is a visual forward extension of the smoothed baseline to help you see the current trajectory and time pullback resumptions. It does not predict price and is excluded from scores and alerts.
How it’s built (plain English):
We maintain a one-dimensional Kalman state x as a smoothed estimate of the baseline. Each bar we observe the current baseline z.
The filter adjusts its trust using the Kalman gain K = P / (P + R) and updates:
x := x + K*(z − x), then P := (1 − K)*P + Q.
Q (process noise): Higher Q → expects faster change → tracks turns quicker (less smoothing).
R (measurement noise): Higher R → trusts raw baseline less → smoother, steadier projection.
What you control:
Lead (how many bars forward to draw).
Kalman Q/R (visual smoothness vs. responsiveness).
Toggle the line on/off if you prefer a minimal chart.
Important: The predictive line extends the baseline, not price. It’s a visual timing aid—don’t automate off it.
How to use (step-by-step)
Keep the chart clean and use a standard OHLC/candlestick chart.
Read the regime: Prefer trades with green/red baseline (trendStrong = true).
Check scores on bar close:
Take Long 100 / Short 0 or Long 75 / Short 0 when the chart shows a tidy pullback re-engaging the cloud/baseline.
Mirror the logic for shorts.
Confirm location: If price is > ~1.5 ATR from its reference pivot, let it come back—avoid chasing.
Set alerts: Add an alert on Long Ready or Short Ready; these fire on closed bars only.
Risk management: Use ATR-buffered stops beyond the recent pivot; target fixed-R multiples (e.g., 1.5–3.0R). Manage the trade with the baseline/cloud if you trail.
Best-practice playbook (quick rules)
Green light: 100/0 (best) or 75/0 (good) on bar close in a colored (non-gray) regime.
Location first: Prefer entries near the baseline/cloud right after a pullback, not far above/below it.
Avoid mixed signals: Skip 75/25 and anything with opposition while the baseline is gray.
Use the yellow line with discretion: It helps you see rhythm; it’s not a signal source.
Timeframes & tuning (practical defaults)
Intraday indices/FX (5m–15m): Demand 100/0 in chop; allow 75/0 when ADX is awake and pullback is clean.
Crypto intraday (15m–1h): Prefer 100/0; 75/0 on the first pullback after a regime turn.
Swing (1h–4h/D1): 75/0 is often sufficient; 100/0 is excellent (fewer but cleaner signals).
If choppy: raise ADX threshold, raise the readiness bar (insist on 100/0), or lengthen the RSI slope window.
What makes FlowScape different
Energy-first regime filter: ATR-normalized LR slope + ADX gate yields a consistent read of trend quality across symbols and timeframes.
Location-aware entries: ATR-scaled pivot proximity discourages mid-air chases, encouraging pullback timing.
Separation of concerns: The predictive line is visual-only, while scores/alerts are confirmed on close for non-repainting behavior.
One simple score per side: A single 0–100 readiness figure is easier to tune than juggling multiple indicators.
Transparency & limitations
Scores are coarse by design (25-point blocks). They’re a gatekeeper, not a promise of outcomes.
Pivots confirm after right-side bars, so structure signals appear after swings form (non-repainting by design).
Avoid using non-standard chart types (Heikin Ashi, Renko, Range, etc.) for signals; use a clean, standard chart.
No lookahead, no higher-timeframe requests; alerts fire on closed bars only.
Fibs Has Lied 🌟 Fibs Has Lied - Indicator Overview 🌟
Designed for indices like US30, NQ, and SPX, this indicator highlights setups where price interacts with key EMA levels during specific trading sessions (default: 6:30–11:30 AM EST).
🌟 Key Features & Levels 🌟
🔹EMA Crossover Setups
The indicator uses the 100-period and 200-period EMAs to identify bullish and bearish setups:
- Bullish Setup: Triggers when the 100 EMA crosses above the 200 EMA, followed by two consecutive candles opening above the 100 EMA, with the low within a specified point distance (e.g., 20 points for US30).
- Bearish Setup: Triggers when the 100 EMA crosses below the 200 EMA, followed by two consecutive candles opening below the 100 EMA, with the high within the point distance.
- Signals are marked with green (buy) or red (sell) triangles and text, ensuring you don’t miss a setup. 📈
🔹 Reset Conditions for Re-Entries
After an initial setup, the indicator watches for “reset” opportunities:
- Buy Reset: If price moves below the 200 EMA after a bullish crossover, then returns with two consecutive candles where lows are above the 100 EMA (within point distance), a new buy signal is plotted.
- Sell Reset: If price moves above the 200 EMA after a bearish crossover, then returns with two consecutive candles where highs are below the 100 EMA (within point distance), a new sell signal is plotted.
This feature captures additional entries after liquidity grabs or fakeouts, aligning with ICT’s manipulation concepts. 🔄
🔹 Session-Based Filtering
Focus your trades during high-liquidity windows! The default session (6:30–11:30 AM EST, New York timezone) targets the London/NY overlap, where price often seeks liquidity or sets up for reversals. Toggle the time filter off for 24/7 signals if desired. 🕒
🔹Symbol-Specific Point Distance
Customizable entry zones based on your chosen index:
- US30: 20 points from the 100 EMA.
- NQ: 3 points from the 100 EMA.
- SPX: 2.5 points from the 100 EMA.
This ensures setups are tailored to the volatility of your market, maximizing relevance. 🎯
🔹 Market Structure Markers (Optional)
Visualize swing points with pivot-based labels:
- HH (Higher High): Signals uptrend continuation.
- HL (Higher Low): Indicates potential bullish support.
- LH (Lower High): Suggests weakening uptrend or reversal.
- LL (Lower Low): Points to downtrend continuation.
- Toggle these on/off to keep your chart clean while analyzing trend direction. 📊
🔹 EMA Visualization
Optionally plot the 100 EMA (blue) and 200 EMA (red) to see key levels where price reacts. These act as dynamic support/resistance, perfect for spotting liquidity pools or ICT’s Power of 3 setups. ⚖️
🌟 Customization Options 🌟
- Symbol Selection: Choose US30, NQ, or SPX to adjust point distance for entries.
- Time Filter: Enable/disable the 6:30–11:30 AM EST session to focus on high-liquidity periods.
- EMA Display: Toggle 100/200 EMAs on/off to reduce chart clutter.
- Market Structure: Show/hide HH/HL/LH/LL labels for cleaner analysis.
- Signal Markers: Green (buy) and red (sell) triangles with text are auto-plotted for easy identification.
🌟 Usage Tips 🌟
- Best Timeframes: Use on 3m for intraday scalping and 30m for swing trades.
- Combine with ICT Tools: Pair with order blocks, fair value gaps, or kill zones for stronger setups.
- Focus on Session: The default 6:30–11:30 AM EST session captures London/NY volatility—perfect for liquidity-driven moves.
- Avoid Overcrowding: Disable market structure or EMAs if you only want setup signals.
OPR — DAX or USEnglish
This indicator automatically plots the Opening Price Range (OPR) for different indices, with customizable start and end times for each instrument.
For the DAX, it draws the high (green), low (red), and midline (grey dotted) for the specified range, defaulting to 09:00–09:15, and extends the lines until the selected end time (default 11:00).
For US indices (Dow Jones, Nasdaq, S&P500), it applies the same logic for the default 15:30–15:45 range, with two vertical black bars marking the start and end of the time window.
Each symbol only displays its own relevant lines (e.g., viewing DAX will only show DAX markers).
Parameters allow adjusting times and visibility for each market.
Sniper NAS100 Swiss Knife IndicatorSniper Trading System – Master Indicator
Description:
“Trade with the precision of the market makers themselves.”
The Sniper Trading System – Master Indicator is the crown jewel of institutional-level trading tools, engineered for those who demand perfect timing, deadly accuracy, and surgical execution in any market.
Designed by a 3× ASCAP Award-winning, multi–funded prop firm trader, this system fuses algorithmic precision with battle-tested price action logic, delivering an unmatched trading edge across Forex, Futures, Indices, and Crypto.
Core Features
Dealer Range Mapping – Auto-detects the hidden accumulation/distribution zones that drive market direction.
Multi-Standard Deviation Targets – Projected with gradient precision (+1 to +4 / -1 to -4) for scalps or swing holds.
12 AM Bias Candle Logic – Reveals the true daily directional bias before the herd even wakes up.
Liquidity Sweep Detection – Spots equal highs/lows & engineered stop hunts before the main move.
Kill Zone Time Windows – Pre-programmed with the London Session Sniper Hours & New York Precision Plays.
Multi-Timeframe RSI Filter – Filters false signals & highlights exhaustion points for sniper entries.
Dynamic Alerts – Fire real-time push, email, or webhook notifications for entry, exit, and confluence events.
How It Works
Identify Bias – Use the 12 AM candle + DXY/RSI overlays to confirm bullish or bearish control.
Wait for Liquidity Sweep – Let the market makers hunt stops; your job is to wait.
Execute at Kill Zones – Follow the preloaded precision entry times for God-tier sniper plays.
Ride to Target Zones – Exit at projected standard deviation levels for mathematically consistent profits.
Ideal For
Day Traders looking for clean entries and exits.
Vertical Line Timeline 10 Inputs by LK**Vertical Line Timeline (10 Inputs)**
This TradingView indicator plots vertical lines on your chart at up to **10 specific times of day**. You can define each time in **HH.MM format** (e.g., `9.30` for 9:30 AM). When the current bar’s time matches any of the defined times (based on the chart’s timezone), the indicator automatically draws a **full-height vertical line** at that bar.
**Features:**
* **Up to 10 custom time inputs** (HH.MM format)
* **Custom color** for each time marker
* **Adjustable line width** (1–6 px)
* **Solid or dotted style** toggle
* **Full-height vertical lines** (extend through the entire chart height)
* Works on any intraday timeframe where bar start times can match the defined times
* No labels or extra elements — clean and minimal display
**Use cases:**
* Marking important market sessions (e.g., London Open, New York Open, Asian Close)
* Highlighting personal trade execution windows
* Visual cues for strategy backtesting or time-based setups
Kelly Position Size CalculatorThis position sizing calculator implements the Kelly Criterion, developed by John L. Kelly Jr. at Bell Laboratories in 1956, to determine mathematically optimal position sizes for maximizing long-term wealth growth. Unlike arbitrary position sizing methods, this tool provides a scientifically solution based on your strategy's actual performance statistics and incorporates modern refinements from over six decades of academic research.
The Kelly Criterion addresses a fundamental question in capital allocation: "What fraction of capital should be allocated to each opportunity to maximize growth while avoiding ruin?" This question has profound implications for financial markets, where traders and investors constantly face decisions about optimal capital allocation (Van Tharp, 2007).
Theoretical Foundation
The Kelly Criterion for binary outcomes is expressed as f* = (bp - q) / b, where f* represents the optimal fraction of capital to allocate, b denotes the risk-reward ratio, p indicates the probability of success, and q represents the probability of loss (Kelly, 1956). This formula maximizes the expected logarithm of wealth, ensuring maximum long-term growth rate while avoiding the risk of ruin.
The mathematical elegance of Kelly's approach lies in its derivation from information theory. Kelly's original work was motivated by Claude Shannon's information theory (Shannon, 1948), recognizing that maximizing the logarithm of wealth is equivalent to maximizing the rate of information transmission. This connection between information theory and wealth accumulation provides a deep theoretical foundation for optimal position sizing.
The logarithmic utility function underlying the Kelly Criterion naturally embodies several desirable properties for capital management. It exhibits decreasing marginal utility, penalizes large losses more severely than it rewards equivalent gains, and focuses on geometric rather than arithmetic mean returns, which is appropriate for compounding scenarios (Thorp, 2006).
Scientific Implementation
This calculator extends beyond basic Kelly implementation by incorporating state of the art refinements from academic research:
Parameter Uncertainty Adjustment: Following Michaud (1989), the implementation applies Bayesian shrinkage to account for parameter estimation error inherent in small sample sizes. The adjustment formula f_adjusted = f_kelly × confidence_factor + f_conservative × (1 - confidence_factor) addresses the overconfidence bias documented by Baker and McHale (2012), where the confidence factor increases with sample size and the conservative estimate equals 0.25 (quarter Kelly).
Sample Size Confidence: The reliability of Kelly calculations depends critically on sample size. Research by Browne and Whitt (1996) provides theoretical guidance on minimum sample requirements, suggesting that at least 30 independent observations are necessary for meaningful parameter estimates, with 100 or more trades providing reliable estimates for most trading strategies.
Universal Asset Compatibility: The calculator employs intelligent asset detection using TradingView's built-in symbol information, automatically adapting calculations for different asset classes without manual configuration.
ASSET SPECIFIC IMPLEMENTATION
Equity Markets: For stocks and ETFs, position sizing follows the calculation Shares = floor(Kelly Fraction × Account Size / Share Price). This straightforward approach reflects whole share constraints while accommodating fractional share trading capabilities.
Foreign Exchange Markets: Forex markets require lot-based calculations following Lot Size = Kelly Fraction × Account Size / (100,000 × Base Currency Value). The calculator automatically handles major currency pairs with appropriate pip value calculations, following industry standards described by Archer (2010).
Futures Markets: Futures position sizing accounts for leverage and margin requirements through Contracts = floor(Kelly Fraction × Account Size / Margin Requirement). The calculator estimates margin requirements as a percentage of contract notional value, with specific adjustments for micro-futures contracts that have smaller sizes and reduced margin requirements (Kaufman, 2013).
Index and Commodity Markets: These markets combine characteristics of both equity and futures markets. The calculator automatically detects whether instruments are cash-settled or futures-based, applying appropriate sizing methodologies with correct point value calculations.
Risk Management Integration
The calculator integrates sophisticated risk assessment through two primary modes:
Stop Loss Integration: When fixed stop-loss levels are defined, risk calculation follows Risk per Trade = Position Size × Stop Loss Distance. This ensures that the Kelly fraction accounts for actual risk exposure rather than theoretical maximum loss, with stop-loss distance measured in appropriate units for each asset class.
Strategy Drawdown Assessment: For discretionary exit strategies, risk estimation uses maximum historical drawdown through Risk per Trade = Position Value × (Maximum Drawdown / 100). This approach assumes that individual trade losses will not exceed the strategy's historical maximum drawdown, providing a reasonable estimate for strategies with well-defined risk characteristics.
Fractional Kelly Approaches
Pure Kelly sizing can produce substantial volatility, leading many practitioners to adopt fractional Kelly approaches. MacLean, Sanegre, Zhao, and Ziemba (2004) analyze the trade-offs between growth rate and volatility, demonstrating that half-Kelly typically reduces volatility by approximately 75% while sacrificing only 25% of the growth rate.
The calculator provides three primary Kelly modes to accommodate different risk preferences and experience levels. Full Kelly maximizes growth rate while accepting higher volatility, making it suitable for experienced practitioners with strong risk tolerance and robust capital bases. Half Kelly offers a balanced approach popular among professional traders, providing optimal risk-return balance by reducing volatility significantly while maintaining substantial growth potential. Quarter Kelly implements a conservative approach with low volatility, recommended for risk-averse traders or those new to Kelly methodology who prefer gradual introduction to optimal position sizing principles.
Empirical Validation and Performance
Extensive academic research supports the theoretical advantages of Kelly sizing. Hakansson and Ziemba (1995) provide a comprehensive review of Kelly applications in finance, documenting superior long-term performance across various market conditions and asset classes. Estrada (2008) analyzes Kelly performance in international equity markets, finding that Kelly-based strategies consistently outperform fixed position sizing approaches over extended periods across 19 developed markets over a 30-year period.
Several prominent investment firms have successfully implemented Kelly-based position sizing. Pabrai (2007) documents the application of Kelly principles at Berkshire Hathaway, noting Warren Buffett's concentrated portfolio approach aligns closely with Kelly optimal sizing for high-conviction investments. Quantitative hedge funds, including Renaissance Technologies and AQR, have incorporated Kelly-based risk management into their systematic trading strategies.
Practical Implementation Guidelines
Successful Kelly implementation requires systematic application with attention to several critical factors:
Parameter Estimation: Accurate parameter estimation represents the greatest challenge in practical Kelly implementation. Brown (1976) notes that small errors in probability estimates can lead to significant deviations from optimal performance. The calculator addresses this through Bayesian adjustments and confidence measures.
Sample Size Requirements: Users should begin with conservative fractional Kelly approaches until achieving sufficient historical data. Strategies with fewer than 30 trades may produce unreliable Kelly estimates, regardless of adjustments. Full confidence typically requires 100 or more independent trade observations.
Market Regime Considerations: Parameters that accurately describe historical performance may not reflect future market conditions. Ziemba (2003) recommends regular parameter updates and conservative adjustments when market conditions change significantly.
Professional Features and Customization
The calculator provides comprehensive customization options for professional applications:
Multiple Color Schemes: Eight professional color themes (Gold, EdgeTools, Behavioral, Quant, Ocean, Fire, Matrix, Arctic) with dark and light theme compatibility ensure optimal visibility across different trading environments.
Flexible Display Options: Adjustable table size and position accommodate various chart layouts and user preferences, while maintaining analytical depth and clarity.
Comprehensive Results: The results table presents essential information including asset specifications, strategy statistics, Kelly calculations, sample confidence measures, position values, risk assessments, and final position sizes in appropriate units for each asset class.
Limitations and Considerations
Like any analytical tool, the Kelly Criterion has important limitations that users must understand:
Stationarity Assumption: The Kelly Criterion assumes that historical strategy statistics represent future performance characteristics. Non-stationary market conditions may invalidate this assumption, as noted by Lo and MacKinlay (1999).
Independence Requirement: Each trade should be independent to avoid correlation effects. Many trading strategies exhibit serial correlation in returns, which can affect optimal position sizing and may require adjustments for portfolio applications.
Parameter Sensitivity: Kelly calculations are sensitive to parameter accuracy. Regular calibration and conservative approaches are essential when parameter uncertainty is high.
Transaction Costs: The implementation incorporates user-defined transaction costs but assumes these remain constant across different position sizes and market conditions, following Ziemba (2003).
Advanced Applications and Extensions
Multi-Asset Portfolio Considerations: While this calculator optimizes individual position sizes, portfolio-level applications require additional considerations for correlation effects and aggregate risk management. Simplified portfolio approaches include treating positions independently with correlation adjustments.
Behavioral Factors: Behavioral finance research reveals systematic biases that can interfere with Kelly implementation. Kahneman and Tversky (1979) document loss aversion, overconfidence, and other cognitive biases that lead traders to deviate from optimal strategies. Successful implementation requires disciplined adherence to calculated recommendations.
Time-Varying Parameters: Advanced implementations may incorporate time-varying parameter models that adjust Kelly recommendations based on changing market conditions, though these require sophisticated econometric techniques and substantial computational resources.
Comprehensive Usage Instructions and Practical Examples
Implementation begins with loading the calculator on your desired trading instrument's chart. The system automatically detects asset type across stocks, forex, futures, and cryptocurrency markets while extracting current price information. Navigation to the indicator settings allows input of your specific strategy parameters.
Strategy statistics configuration requires careful attention to several key metrics. The win rate should be calculated from your backtest results using the formula of winning trades divided by total trades multiplied by 100. Average win represents the sum of all profitable trades divided by the number of winning trades, while average loss calculates the sum of all losing trades divided by the number of losing trades, entered as a positive number. The total historical trades parameter requires the complete number of trades in your backtest, with a minimum of 30 trades recommended for basic functionality and 100 or more trades optimal for statistical reliability. Account size should reflect your available trading capital, specifically the risk capital allocated for trading rather than total net worth.
Risk management configuration adapts to your specific trading approach. The stop loss setting should be enabled if you employ fixed stop-loss exits, with the stop loss distance specified in appropriate units depending on the asset class. For stocks, this distance is measured in dollars, for forex in pips, and for futures in ticks. When stop losses are not used, the maximum strategy drawdown percentage from your backtest provides the risk assessment baseline. Kelly mode selection offers three primary approaches: Full Kelly for aggressive growth with higher volatility suitable for experienced practitioners, Half Kelly for balanced risk-return optimization popular among professional traders, and Quarter Kelly for conservative approaches with reduced volatility.
Display customization ensures optimal integration with your trading environment. Eight professional color themes provide optimization for different chart backgrounds and personal preferences. Table position selection allows optimal placement within your chart layout, while table size adjustment ensures readability across different screen resolutions and viewing preferences.
Detailed Practical Examples
Example 1: SPY Swing Trading Strategy
Consider a professionally developed swing trading strategy for SPY (S&P 500 ETF) with backtesting results spanning 166 total trades. The strategy achieved 110 winning trades, representing a 66.3% win rate, with an average winning trade of $2,200 and average losing trade of $862. The maximum drawdown reached 31.4% during the testing period, and the available trading capital amounts to $25,000. This strategy employs discretionary exits without fixed stop losses.
Implementation requires loading the calculator on the SPY daily chart and configuring the parameters accordingly. The win rate input receives 66.3, while average win and loss inputs receive 2200 and 862 respectively. Total historical trades input requires 166, with account size set to 25000. The stop loss function remains disabled due to the discretionary exit approach, with maximum strategy drawdown set to 31.4%. Half Kelly mode provides the optimal balance between growth and risk management for this application.
The calculator generates several key outputs for this scenario. The risk-reward ratio calculates automatically to 2.55, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 53% before scientific adjustments. Sample confidence achieves 100% given the 166 trades providing high statistical confidence. The recommended position settles at approximately 27% after Half Kelly and Bayesian adjustment factors. Position value reaches approximately $6,750, translating to 16 shares at a $420 SPY price. Risk per trade amounts to approximately $2,110, representing 31.4% of position value, with expected value per trade reaching approximately $1,466. This recommendation represents the mathematically optimal balance between growth potential and risk management for this specific strategy profile.
Example 2: EURUSD Day Trading with Stop Losses
A high-frequency EURUSD day trading strategy demonstrates different parameter requirements compared to swing trading approaches. This strategy encompasses 89 total trades with a 58% win rate, generating an average winning trade of $180 and average losing trade of $95. The maximum drawdown reached 12% during testing, with available capital of $10,000. The strategy employs fixed stop losses at 25 pips and take profit targets at 45 pips, providing clear risk-reward parameters.
Implementation begins with loading the calculator on the EURUSD 1-hour chart for appropriate timeframe alignment. Parameter configuration includes win rate at 58, average win at 180, and average loss at 95. Total historical trades input receives 89, with account size set to 10000. The stop loss function is enabled with distance set to 25 pips, reflecting the fixed exit strategy. Quarter Kelly mode provides conservative positioning due to the smaller sample size compared to the previous example.
Results demonstrate the impact of smaller sample sizes on Kelly calculations. The risk-reward ratio calculates to 1.89, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 32% before adjustments. Sample confidence achieves 89%, providing moderate statistical confidence given the 89 trades. The recommended position settles at approximately 7% after Quarter Kelly application and Bayesian shrinkage adjustment for the smaller sample. Position value amounts to approximately $700, translating to 0.07 standard lots. Risk per trade reaches approximately $175, calculated as 25 pips multiplied by lot size and pip value, with expected value per trade at approximately $49. This conservative position sizing reflects the smaller sample size, with position sizes expected to increase as trade count surpasses 100 and statistical confidence improves.
Example 3: ES1! Futures Systematic Strategy
Systematic futures trading presents unique considerations for Kelly criterion application, as demonstrated by an E-mini S&P 500 futures strategy encompassing 234 total trades. This systematic approach achieved a 45% win rate with an average winning trade of $1,850 and average losing trade of $720. The maximum drawdown reached 18% during the testing period, with available capital of $50,000. The strategy employs 15-tick stop losses with contract specifications of $50 per tick, providing precise risk control mechanisms.
Implementation involves loading the calculator on the ES1! 15-minute chart to align with the systematic trading timeframe. Parameter configuration includes win rate at 45, average win at 1850, and average loss at 720. Total historical trades receives 234, providing robust statistical foundation, with account size set to 50000. The stop loss function is enabled with distance set to 15 ticks, reflecting the systematic exit methodology. Half Kelly mode balances growth potential with appropriate risk management for futures trading.
Results illustrate how favorable risk-reward ratios can support meaningful position sizing despite lower win rates. The risk-reward ratio calculates to 2.57, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 16%, lower than previous examples due to the sub-50% win rate. Sample confidence achieves 100% given the 234 trades providing high statistical confidence. The recommended position settles at approximately 8% after Half Kelly adjustment. Estimated margin per contract amounts to approximately $2,500, resulting in a single contract allocation. Position value reaches approximately $2,500, with risk per trade at $750, calculated as 15 ticks multiplied by $50 per tick. Expected value per trade amounts to approximately $508. Despite the lower win rate, the favorable risk-reward ratio supports meaningful position sizing, with single contract allocation reflecting appropriate leverage management for futures trading.
Example 4: MES1! Micro-Futures for Smaller Accounts
Micro-futures contracts provide enhanced accessibility for smaller trading accounts while maintaining identical strategy characteristics. Using the same systematic strategy statistics from the previous example but with available capital of $15,000 and micro-futures specifications of $5 per tick with reduced margin requirements, the implementation demonstrates improved position sizing granularity.
Kelly calculations remain identical to the full-sized contract example, maintaining the same risk-reward dynamics and statistical foundations. However, estimated margin per contract reduces to approximately $250 for micro-contracts, enabling allocation of 4-5 micro-contracts. Position value reaches approximately $1,200, while risk per trade calculates to $75, derived from 15 ticks multiplied by $5 per tick. This granularity advantage provides better position size precision for smaller accounts, enabling more accurate Kelly implementation without requiring large capital commitments.
Example 5: Bitcoin Swing Trading
Cryptocurrency markets present unique challenges requiring modified Kelly application approaches. A Bitcoin swing trading strategy on BTCUSD encompasses 67 total trades with a 71% win rate, generating average winning trades of $3,200 and average losing trades of $1,400. Maximum drawdown reached 28% during testing, with available capital of $30,000. The strategy employs technical analysis for exits without fixed stop losses, relying on price action and momentum indicators.
Implementation requires conservative approaches due to cryptocurrency volatility characteristics. Quarter Kelly mode is recommended despite the high win rate to account for crypto market unpredictability. Expected position sizing remains reduced due to the limited sample size of 67 trades, requiring additional caution until statistical confidence improves. Regular parameter updates are strongly recommended due to cryptocurrency market evolution and changing volatility patterns that can significantly impact strategy performance characteristics.
Advanced Usage Scenarios
Portfolio position sizing requires sophisticated consideration when running multiple strategies simultaneously. Each strategy should have its Kelly fraction calculated independently to maintain mathematical integrity. However, correlation adjustments become necessary when strategies exhibit related performance patterns. Moderately correlated strategies should receive individual position size reductions of 10-20% to account for overlapping risk exposure. Aggregate portfolio risk monitoring ensures total exposure remains within acceptable limits across all active strategies. Professional practitioners often consider using lower fractional Kelly approaches, such as Quarter Kelly, when running multiple strategies simultaneously to provide additional safety margins.
Parameter sensitivity analysis forms a critical component of professional Kelly implementation. Regular validation procedures should include monthly parameter updates using rolling 100-trade windows to capture evolving market conditions while maintaining statistical relevance. Sensitivity testing involves varying win rates by ±5% and average win/loss ratios by ±10% to assess recommendation stability under different parameter assumptions. Out-of-sample validation reserves 20% of historical data for parameter verification, ensuring that optimization doesn't create curve-fitted results. Regime change detection monitors actual performance against expected metrics, triggering parameter reassessment when significant deviations occur.
Risk management integration requires professional overlay considerations beyond pure Kelly calculations. Daily loss limits should cease trading when daily losses exceed twice the calculated risk per trade, preventing emotional decision-making during adverse periods. Maximum position limits should never exceed 25% of account value in any single position regardless of Kelly recommendations, maintaining diversification principles. Correlation monitoring reduces position sizes when holding multiple correlated positions that move together during market stress. Volatility adjustments consider reducing position sizes during periods of elevated VIX above 25 for equity strategies, adapting to changing market conditions.
Troubleshooting and Optimization
Professional implementation often encounters specific challenges requiring systematic troubleshooting approaches. Zero position size displays typically result from insufficient capital for minimum position sizes, negative expected values, or extremely conservative Kelly calculations. Solutions include increasing account size, verifying strategy statistics for accuracy, considering Quarter Kelly mode for conservative approaches, or reassessing overall strategy viability when fundamental issues exist.
Extremely high Kelly fractions exceeding 50% usually indicate underlying problems with parameter estimation. Common causes include unrealistic win rates, inflated risk-reward ratios, or curve-fitted backtest results that don't reflect genuine trading conditions. Solutions require verifying backtest methodology, including all transaction costs in calculations, testing strategies on out-of-sample data, and using conservative fractional Kelly approaches until parameter reliability improves.
Low sample confidence below 50% reflects insufficient historical trades for reliable parameter estimation. This situation demands gathering additional trading data, using Quarter Kelly approaches until reaching 100 or more trades, applying extra conservatism in position sizing, and considering paper trading to build statistical foundations without capital risk.
Inconsistent results across similar strategies often stem from parameter estimation differences, market regime changes, or strategy degradation over time. Professional solutions include standardizing backtest methodology across all strategies, updating parameters regularly to reflect current conditions, and monitoring live performance against expectations to identify deteriorating strategies.
Position sizes that appear inappropriately large or small require careful validation against traditional risk management principles. Professional standards recommend never risking more than 2-3% per trade regardless of Kelly calculations. Calibration should begin with Quarter Kelly approaches, gradually increasing as comfort and confidence develop. Most institutional traders utilize 25-50% of full Kelly recommendations to balance growth with prudent risk management.
Market condition adjustments require dynamic approaches to Kelly implementation. Trending markets may support full Kelly recommendations when directional momentum provides favorable conditions. Ranging or volatile markets typically warrant reducing to Half or Quarter Kelly to account for increased uncertainty. High correlation periods demand reducing individual position sizes when multiple positions move together, concentrating risk exposure. News and event periods often justify temporary position size reductions during high-impact releases that can create unpredictable market movements.
Performance monitoring requires systematic protocols to ensure Kelly implementation remains effective over time. Weekly reviews should compare actual versus expected win rates and average win/loss ratios to identify parameter drift or strategy degradation. Position size efficiency and execution quality monitoring ensures that calculated recommendations translate effectively into actual trading results. Tracking correlation between calculated and realized risk helps identify discrepancies between theoretical and practical risk exposure.
Monthly calibration provides more comprehensive parameter assessment using the most recent 100 trades to maintain statistical relevance while capturing current market conditions. Kelly mode appropriateness requires reassessment based on recent market volatility and performance characteristics, potentially shifting between Full, Half, and Quarter Kelly approaches as conditions change. Transaction cost evaluation ensures that commission structures, spreads, and slippage estimates remain accurate and current.
Quarterly strategic reviews encompass comprehensive strategy performance analysis comparing long-term results against expectations and identifying trends in effectiveness. Market regime assessment evaluates parameter stability across different market conditions, determining whether strategy characteristics remain consistent or require fundamental adjustments. Strategic modifications to position sizing methodology may become necessary as markets evolve or trading approaches mature, ensuring that Kelly implementation continues supporting optimal capital allocation objectives.
Professional Applications
This calculator serves diverse professional applications across the financial industry. Quantitative hedge funds utilize the implementation for systematic position sizing within algorithmic trading frameworks, where mathematical precision and consistent application prove essential for institutional capital management. Professional discretionary traders benefit from optimized position management that removes emotional bias while maintaining flexibility for market-specific adjustments. Portfolio managers employ the calculator for developing risk-adjusted allocation strategies that enhance returns while maintaining prudent risk controls across diverse asset classes and investment strategies.
Individual traders seeking mathematical optimization of capital allocation find the calculator provides institutional-grade methodology previously available only to professional money managers. The Kelly Criterion establishes theoretical foundation for optimal capital allocation across both single strategies and multiple trading systems, offering significant advantages over arbitrary position sizing methods that rely on intuition or fixed percentage approaches. Professional implementation ensures consistent application of mathematically sound principles while adapting to changing market conditions and strategy performance characteristics.
Conclusion
The Kelly Criterion represents one of the few mathematically optimal solutions to fundamental investment problems. When properly understood and carefully implemented, it provides significant competitive advantage in financial markets. This calculator implements modern refinements to Kelly's original formula while maintaining accessibility for practical trading applications.
Success with Kelly requires ongoing learning, systematic application, and continuous refinement based on market feedback and evolving research. Users who master Kelly principles and implement them systematically can expect superior risk-adjusted returns and more consistent capital growth over extended periods.
The extensive academic literature provides rich resources for deeper study, while practical experience builds the intuition necessary for effective implementation. Regular parameter updates, conservative approaches with limited data, and disciplined adherence to calculated recommendations are essential for optimal results.
References
Archer, M. D. (2010). Getting Started in Currency Trading: Winning in Today's Forex Market (3rd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Baker, R. D., & McHale, I. G. (2012). An empirical Bayes approach to optimising betting strategies. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician), 61(1), 75-92.
Breiman, L. (1961). Optimal gambling systems for favorable games. In J. Neyman (Ed.), Proceedings of the Fourth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability (pp. 65-78). University of California Press.
Brown, D. B. (1976). Optimal portfolio growth: Logarithmic utility and the Kelly criterion. In W. T. Ziemba & R. G. Vickson (Eds.), Stochastic Optimization Models in Finance (pp. 1-23). Academic Press.
Browne, S., & Whitt, W. (1996). Portfolio choice and the Bayesian Kelly criterion. Advances in Applied Probability, 28(4), 1145-1176.
Estrada, J. (2008). Geometric mean maximization: An overlooked portfolio approach? The Journal of Investing, 17(4), 134-147.
Hakansson, N. H., & Ziemba, W. T. (1995). Capital growth theory. In R. A. Jarrow, V. Maksimovic, & W. T. Ziemba (Eds.), Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science (Vol. 9, pp. 65-86). Elsevier.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-291.
Kaufman, P. J. (2013). Trading Systems and Methods (5th ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Kelly Jr, J. L. (1956). A new interpretation of information rate. Bell System Technical Journal, 35(4), 917-926.
Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1999). A Non-Random Walk Down Wall Street. Princeton University Press.
MacLean, L. C., Sanegre, E. O., Zhao, Y., & Ziemba, W. T. (2004). Capital growth with security. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 28(4), 937-954.
MacLean, L. C., Thorp, E. O., & Ziemba, W. T. (2011). The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice. World Scientific.
Michaud, R. O. (1989). The Markowitz optimization enigma: Is 'optimized' optimal? Financial Analysts Journal, 45(1), 31-42.
Pabrai, M. (2007). The Dhandho Investor: The Low-Risk Value Method to High Returns. John Wiley & Sons.
Shannon, C. E. (1948). A mathematical theory of communication. Bell System Technical Journal, 27(3), 379-423.
Tharp, V. K. (2007). Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom (2nd ed.). McGraw-Hill.
Thorp, E. O. (2006). The Kelly criterion in blackjack sports betting, and the stock market. In L. C. MacLean, E. O. Thorp, & W. T. Ziemba (Eds.), The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice (pp. 789-832). World Scientific.
Van Tharp, K. (2007). Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom (2nd ed.). McGraw-Hill Education.
Vince, R. (1992). The Mathematics of Money Management: Risk Analysis Techniques for Traders. John Wiley & Sons.
Vince, R., & Zhu, H. (2015). Optimal betting under parameter uncertainty. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 161, 19-31.
Ziemba, W. T. (2003). The Stochastic Programming Approach to Asset, Liability, and Wealth Management. The Research Foundation of AIMR.
Further Reading
For comprehensive understanding of Kelly Criterion applications and advanced implementations:
MacLean, L. C., Thorp, E. O., & Ziemba, W. T. (2011). The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice. World Scientific.
Vince, R. (1992). The Mathematics of Money Management: Risk Analysis Techniques for Traders. John Wiley & Sons.
Thorp, E. O. (2017). A Man for All Markets: From Las Vegas to Wall Street. Random House.
Cover, T. M., & Thomas, J. A. (2006). Elements of Information Theory (2nd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Ziemba, W. T., & Vickson, R. G. (Eds.). (2006). Stochastic Optimization Models in Finance. World Scientific.
Defense Mode Dashboard ProWhat it is
A one‑look market regime dashboard for ES, NQ, YM, RTY, and SPY that tells you when to play defense, when you might have an offense cue, and when to chill. It blends VIX, VIX term structure, ATR 5 over 60, and session gap signals with clean alerts and a compact table you can park anywhere.
Why traders like it
Because it filters out the noise. Regime first, tactics second. You avoid trading size into landmines and lean in when volatility cooperates.
What it measures
Volatility stress with VIX level and VIX vs 20‑SMA
Term structure using VX1 vs VX2 with two modes
Diff mode: VX1 minus VX2
Ratio mode: VX1 divided by VX2
Realized volatility using ATR5 over ATR60 with optional smoothing
Session risk from RTH opening gaps and overnight range, normalized by ATR
How to use in 30 seconds
Pick a preset in the inputs. ES, NQ, YM, RTY, SPY are ready.
Leave thresholds at defaults to start.
Add one TradingView alert using “Any alert() function call”.
Trade smaller or stand aside when the header reads DEFENSE ON. Consider leaning in only when you see OFFENSE CUE and your playbook agrees.
Defaults we recommend
VIX triggers: 22 and 1.25× the 20‑SMA
Term mode: Diff with tolerance 0.00. Use Ratio at 1.00+ for choppier markets
ATR 5/60 defense: 1.25. Offense cue: 0.85 or lower
ATR smoothing: 1. Try 2 to 3 if you want fewer flips
Gap mode: RTH. Turn Both on if you want ON range to count too
RTH wild gap: 0.60× ATR5. ON wild range: 0.80× ATR5
Alert cadence: Once per RTH session
Snooze: Quick snooze first 30 minutes on. Fire on snooze exit off, unless you really want the catch‑up ping
New since the last description
Multi‑asset presets set symbols and RTH windows for ES, NQ, YM, RTY, SPY
Term ratio mode with near‑flat warning when ratio is between 1.00 and your trigger
ATR smoothing for the 5 over 60 ratio
RTH keying for cadence, so “Once per RTH session” behaves like a trader expects
Snooze upgrades with quick snooze tied to the first N minutes of RTH and an optional fire‑on‑snooze‑exit
Compact title merge and user color controls for labels, values, borders, and background
Exposed series for integrations: DefenseOn(1=yes) and OffenseCue(1=yes)
Debug toggle to visualize gap points, ON range, and term readings
Stronger NA handling with a clear “No core data” row when feeds are missing
Notes
Dynamic alerts require “Any alert() function call”.
Works on any chart timeframe. Daily reads and 1‑minute anchors handle the regime logic.
Entropy (Fiedor/Kontoyiannis) - Part 2 of Fiedor's TheoryThis indicator estimates the Shannon entropy of a price series using a Markov chain model of binary returns, following the approach of Fiedor (2014) and Kontoyiannis (1997).
% of Max shows current entropy as a percentage of its theoretical maximum (1 bit for binary up/down moves).
Percentile ranks the current entropy against historical values in the chosen lookback window.
High entropy suggests price movement is less predictable by frequentist models; low entropy implies more structure and predictability.
Use this as an informational oscillator, not a trading signal.
This is a visualization of Part 1 of Fiedor's Theory. The same entropy logic is already embedded in Part 1 however the second pane is a nice reminder of why it works.
ATR+CCI Monetary Risk Tool - TP/SL⚙️ ATR+CCI Monetary Risk Tool — Volatility-aware TP/SL & Position Sizing
Exact prices (no rounding), ATR-percentile dynamic stops, and risk-budget sizing for consistent execution.
🧠 What this indicator is
A risk-first planning tool. It doesn’t generate orders; it gives you clean, objective levels (Entry, SL, TP) and position size derived from your risk budget. It shows only the latest setup to keep charts readable, and a compact on-chart table summarizing the numbers you actually act on.
✨ What makes it different
Dynamic SL by regime (ATR percentile): Instead of a fixed multiple, the SL multiplier adapts to the current volatility percentile (low / medium / high). That helps avoid tight stops in noisy markets and over-wide stops in quiet markets.
Risk budgeting, not guesswork: Size is computed from Account Balance × Max Risk % divided by SL distance × point value. You risk the same dollars across assets/timeframes.
Precision that matches your instrument: Entry, TP, SL, and SL Distance are displayed as exact prices (no rounding), truncated to syminfo.mintick so they align with broker/exchange precision.
Symbol-aware point value: Uses syminfo.pointvalue so you don’t maintain tick tables.
Non-repaint option: Work from closed bars to keep the plan stable.
🔧 How to use (quick start)
Add to chart and pick your timeframe and symbol.
In settings:
Set Account Balance (USD) and Max Risk per Trade (%).
Choose R:R (1:1 … 1:5).
Pick ATR Period and CCI Period (defaults are sensible).
Keep Dynamic ATR ON to adapt SL by regime.
Keep Use closed-bar values ON to avoid repaint when planning.
Read the labels (Entry/TP/SL) and the table (SL Distance, Position Size, Max USD Risk, ATR Percentile, effective SL Mult).
Combine with your entry trigger (price action, levels, momentum, etc.). This indicator handles risk & targets.
📐 How levels are computed
Bias: CCI ≥ 0 ⇒ long, otherwise short.
ATR Percentile: Percent rank of ATR(atrPeriod) over a lookback window.
Effective SL Mult:
If percentile < Low threshold ⇒ use Low SL Mult (tighter).
If between thresholds ⇒ use Base SL Mult.
If percentile > High threshold ⇒ use High SL Mult (wider).
Stop-Loss: SL = Entry ± ATR × SL_Mult (minus for long, plus for short).
Take-Profit: TP = Entry ± (Entry − SL) × R (R from the R:R dropdown).
Position Size:
USD Risk = Balance × Risk%
Contracts = USD Risk ÷ (|Entry − SL| × PointValue)
For futures, quantity is floored to whole contracts.
Exact prices: Entry/TP/SL and SL Distance are not rounded; they’re truncated to mintick so what you see matches valid price increments.
📊 What you’ll see on chart
Latest Entry (blue), TP (green), SL (red) with labels (optional emojis: ➡️ 🎯 🛑).
Info Table with:
Bias, Entry, TP, SL (exact, truncated to mintick)
SL Distance (exact, truncated)
Position Size (contracts/units)
Max USD Risk
Point Value
ATR Percentile and effective SL Mult
🧪 Practical examples
High-volatility session (e.g., XAUUSD, 1H): ATR percentile is high ⇒ wider SL, smaller size. Reduces churn from normal noise during macro events.
Range-bound market (e.g., EURUSD, 4H): ATR percentile low ⇒ tighter SL, better R:R. Helps you avoid carrying unnecessary risk.
Index swing planning (e.g., ES1!, Daily): Non-repaint levels + risk budgeting = consistent sizing across days/weeks, easier to review and journal.
🧭 Why traders should use it
Consistency: Same dollar risk regardless of instrument or volatility regime.
Clarity: One-trade view forces focus; you see the numbers that matter.
Adaptivity: Stops calibrated to the market’s current behavior, not last month’s.
Discipline: A visible checklist (SL distance, size, USD risk) before you hit buy/sell.
🔧 Input guide (practical defaults)
CCI Period: 100 by default; use as a bias filter, not an entry signal.
ATR Period: 14 by default; raise for smoother, lower for more reactive.
ATR Percentile Lookback: 200 by default (stable regime detection).
Percentile thresholds: 33/66 by default; widen the gap to change how often regimes switch.
SL Mults: Start ~1.5 / 2.0 / 2.5 (low/base/high). Tune by asset.
Risk % per trade: Common pro ranges are 0.25–1.0%; adjust to your risk tolerance.
R:R: Start with 1:2 or 1:3 for balanced skew; adapt to strategy edge.
Closed-bar values: Keep ON for planning/live; turn OFF only for exploration.
💡 Best practices
Combine with your entry logic (structure, momentum, liquidity levels).
Review ATR percentile and effective SL Mult across sessions so you understand regime shifts.
For futures, remember size is floored to whole contracts—safer by design.
Journal trades with the table snapshot to improve risk discipline over time.
⚠️ Notes & limitations
This is not a strategy; it does not place orders or alerts.
No slippage/commissions modeled here; build a strategy() version for backtests that mirror your broker/exchange.
Displayed non-price metrics use two decimals; prices and SL Distance are exact (truncated to mintick).
📎 Disclaimer
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Markets involve risk. Test thoroughly before trading live.
Regime KaleidoscopeWhat is Regime Kaleidoscope?
Regime Kaleidoscope is an advanced market regime visualizer and adaptive signal generator.
It helps traders instantly understand whether current market conditions are best for mean-reversion (fading price back to the mean) or breakout/trend-following (riding strong moves), using a data-driven, non-repainting approach.
How It Works
1. Regime Detection & Background Colors
The indicator analyzes both volatility (ATR) and the shape of each candle (body size vs. range) over a rolling window.
Each bar is classified into one of three regimes, and the chart’s background color changes accordingly:
Regime Background Color What It Means How to Use
Low Vol Balanced Green background Market is calm, compressed. More likely to revert back to mean. Look for mean-reversion signals only (fade moves).
High Vol Directional Red background Market is in a high-volatility, trending, or “breakout” state.
Red does NOT mean bearish. It simply means conditions are ripe for strong directional moves—either up or down. Look for breakout signals only (ride strong moves after structure break).
Chop Gray background Market is indecisive or transitioning between states. Signals are minimized or blocked. Best to wait or trade with extra caution.
→ Red background means high volatility/trending regime, not a signal direction!
Green means “mean-revert environment,” not always bullish!
Gray means “chop/transition”—usually best avoided.
2. Signals — How to Read and Trade Them
Mean-Reversion Signals (Green Regime Only):
Appear when price is stretched away from a rolling mean (SMA) by a configurable ATR-based threshold.
Optional: Only allowed in the direction of the higher-timeframe trend, if enabled.
Long signals: Fade extreme dips (look for triangle-up shapes & green labels).
Short signals: Fade extreme spikes (triangle-down shapes & red labels).
Labels show signal strength (distance from mean in ATR units).
Breakout Signals (Red Regime Only):
Only triggered when price breaks above or below a confirmed swing high or low (pivot), with a strong candle and optional trend confirmation.
Long signals: Breakout above last swing high (regardless of background color).
Short signals: Breakout below last swing low.
Labels show signal strength (distance from pivot in ATR units).
Red background does NOT mean sell— it means “trend environment”—so both long and short signals are possible, depending on which direction price is breaking out.
Signal Controls & Filtering:
Signals only fire at bar close (non-repainting), never intrabar or on future data.
ATR “floor” blocks signals when volatility is too low for meaningful moves.
Cooldown: Signals are limited to one per regime per direction for a minimum number of bars (user input).
Optional confirmation candles: Only strong reversals or breakouts count, reducing noise and whipsaws.
All signals are visible as triangle shapes below/above bars, and labeled with strength.
3. Visual Guide
Background color: Maps the regime, not buy/sell direction.
Transition label: Appears only when the regime changes, so you can see state shifts at a glance.
Triangle shapes & labels: Mark entry points; label gives strength.
Info table (optional): Shows regime and ATR at transitions.
Why is Regime Kaleidoscope Unique?
Uses rolling statistical percentiles of ATR and candle body shape for dynamic market state detection—not just a moving average or volatility band.
Separates regime from signal direction, so you always know “what mode the market is in” and when signals actually have a higher probability.
No repainting. All logic is strictly bar-close, confirmed pivots, and non-future-leaking.
Highly customizable—all thresholds, filters, trend confirmation, and cooldown are user inputs.
How To Use
Add to any chart.
Use the background color to identify if you’re in a mean-revert, breakout, or chop regime.
Take only the signals that match the regime:
Green = fade extremes, Red = ride breakouts, Gray = wait.
Tune settings for your asset and timeframe.
All signals are educational—always test before live use!
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Test the indicator on your assets and timeframes. All signals are for educational use only.
thors_forex_factory_utilityLibrary "forex_factory_utility"
Supporting Utility Library for the Live Economic Calendar by toodegrees Indicator; responsible for data handling, and plotting news event data.
isLeapYear()
Finds if it's currently a leap year or not.
Returns: Returns True if the current year is a leap year.
daysMonth(M)
Provides the days in a given month of the year, adjusted during leap years.
Parameters:
M (int) : Month in numerical integer format (i.e. Jan=1).
Returns: Days in the provided month.
MMM(M)
Converts a month from a numerical integer format to a MMM format (i.e. 'Jan').
Parameters:
M (int) : Month in numerical integer format (i.e. Jan=1).
Returns: Month in MMM format (i.e. 'Jan').
dow(D)
Converts a numbered day of the week string in format to 'DDD' format (i.e. "1" = Sun).
Parameters:
D (string) : Numbered day of the week from 1 to 7, starting on Sunday.
Returns: Returns the day of the week in 'DDD' format (i.e. "Fri").
size(S, N)
Converts a size string into the corresponding Pine Script v5 format, or N times smaller/bigger.
Parameters:
S (string) : Size string: "Tiny", "Small", "Normal", "Large", or "Huge".
N (int) : Size variation, can be positive (larger than S), or negative (smaller than S).
Returns: Size string in Pine Script v5 format.
lineStyle(S)
Converts a line style string into the corresponding Pine Script v5 format.
Parameters:
S (string) : Line style string: "Dashed", "Dotted" or "Solid".
Returns: Line style string in Pine Script v5 format.
lineTrnsp(S)
Converts a transparency style string into the corresponding integer value.
Parameters:
S (string) : Line style string: "Light", "Medium" or "Heavy".
Returns: Transparency integer.
boxLoc(X, Y)
Converts position strings of X and Y into a table position in Pine Script v5 format.
Parameters:
X (string) : X-axis string: "Left", "Center", or "Right".
Y (string) : Y-axis string: "Top", "Middle", or "Bottom".
Returns: Table location string in Pine Script v5 format.
method bubbleSort_NewsTOD(N)
Performs bubble sort on a Forex Factory News array of all news from the same date, ordering them in ascending order based on the time of the day.
Namespace types: array
Parameters:
N (array) : Forex Factory News array.
Returns: void
bubbleSort_News(N)
Performs bubble sort on a Forex Factory News array, ordering them in ascending order based on the time of the day, and date.
Parameters:
N (array) : Forex Factory News array.
Returns: Sorted Forex Factory News array.
weekNews(N, C, I)
Creates a Forex Factory News array containing the current week's Forex Factory News.
Parameters:
N (array) : Forex Factory News array containing this week's unfiltered Forex Factory News.
C (array) : Currency filter array (string array).
I (array) : Impact filter array (color array).
Returns: Forex Factory News array containing the current week's Forex Factory News.
todayNews(W, D, M)
Creates a Forex Factory News array containing the current day's Forex Factory News.
Parameters:
W (array) : Forex Factory News array containing this week's Forex Factory News.
D (array) : Forex Factory News array for the current day's Forex Factory News.
M (bool) : Boolean that marks whether the current chart has a Day candle-switch at Midnight New York Time.
Returns: Forex Factory News array containing the current day's Forex Factory News.
adjustTimezone(N, TZH, TZM)
Transposes the Time of the Day, and Date, in the Forex Factory News Table to a custom Timezone.
Parameters:
N (array) : Forex Factory News array.
TZH (int) : Custom Timezone hour.
TZM (int) : Custom Timezone minute.
Returns: Reformatted Forex Factory News array.
NewsAMPM_TOD(N)
Reformats the Time of the Day in the Forex Factory News Table to AM/PM format.
Parameters:
N (array) : Forex Factory News array.
Returns: Reformatted Forex Factory News array.
impFilter(X, L, M, H)
Creates a filter array from the User's desired Forex Facory News to be shown based on Impact.
Parameters:
X (bool) : Boolean - if True Holidays listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
L (bool) : Boolean - if True Low Impact listed on Forex Factory News will be shown.
M (bool) : Boolean - if True Medium Impact listed on Forex Factory News will be shown.
H (bool) : Boolean - if True High Impact listed on Forex Factory News will be shown.
Returns: Color array with the colors corresponding to the Forex Factory News to be shown.
curFilter(A, C1, C2, C3, C4, C5, C6, C7, C8, C9)
Creates a filter array from the User's desired Forex Facory News to be shown based on Currency.
Parameters:
A (bool) : Boolean - if True News related to the current Chart's symbol listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
C1 (bool) : Boolean - if True News related to the Australian Dollar listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
C2 (bool) : Boolean - if True News related to the Canadian Dollar listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
C3 (bool) : Boolean - if True News related to the Swiss Franc listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
C4 (bool) : Boolean - if True News related to the Chinese Yuan listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
C5 (bool) : Boolean - if True News related to the Euro listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
C6 (bool) : Boolean - if True News related to the British Pound listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
C7 (bool) : Boolean - if True News related to the Japanese Yen listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
C8 (bool) : Boolean - if True News related to the New Zealand Dollar listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
C9 (bool) : Boolean - if True News related to the US Dollar listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
Returns: String array with the currencies corresponding to the Forex Factory News to be shown.
FF_OnChartLine(N, T, S)
Plots vertical lines where a Forex Factory News event will occur, or has already occurred.
Parameters:
N (array) : News-type array containing all the Forex Factory News.
T (int) : Transparency integer value (0-100) for the lines.
S (string) : Line style in Pine Script v5 format.
Returns: void
method updateStringMatrix(M, P, V)
Updates a string Matrix containing the tooltips for Forex Factory News Event information for a given candle.
Namespace types: matrix
Parameters:
M (matrix) : String matrix.
P (int) : Position (row) of the Matrix to update based on the impact.
V (string) : information to push to the Matrix.
Returns: void
FF_OnChartLabel(N, Y, S, O)
Plots labels where a Forex Factory News has already occurred based on its/their impact.
Parameters:
N (array) : News-type array containing all the Forex Factory News.
Y (string) : String that gives direction on where to plot the label (options= "Above", "Below", "Auto").
S (string) : Label size in Pine Script v5 format.
O (bool) : Show outline of labels?
Returns: void
historical(T, D, W, X)
Deletes Forex Factory News drawings which are ourside a specific Time window.
Parameters:
T (int) : Number of days input used for Forex Factory News drawings' history.
D (bool) : Boolean that when true will only display Forex Factory News drawings of the current day.
W (bool) : Boolean that when true will only display Forex Factory News drawings of the current week.
X (string) : String that gives direction on what lines to plot based on Time (options= "Future", "Both").
Returns: void
newTable(P, B)
Creates a new Table object with parameters tailored to the Forex Factory News Table.
Parameters:
P (string) : Position string for the Table, in Pine Script v5 format.
B (color) : Border and frame color for the News Table.
Returns: Empty Forex Factory News Table.
resetTable(P, S, headTextC, headBgC, B)
Resets a Table object with parameters and headers tailored to the Forex Factory News Table.
Parameters:
P (string) : Position string for the Table, in Pine Script v5 format.
S (string) : Size string for the Table's text, in Pine Script v5 format.
headTextC (color)
headBgC (color)
B (color) : Border and frame color for the News Table.
Returns: Empty Forex Factory News Table.
logNews(N, TBL, R, S, rowTextC, rowBgC)
Adds an event to the Forex Factory News Table.
Parameters:
N (News) : News-type object.
TBL (table) : Forex Factory News Table object to add the News to.
R (int) : Row to add the event to in the Forex Factory News Table.
S (string) : Size string for the event's text, in Pine Script v5 format.
rowTextC (color)
rowBgC (color)
Returns: void
FF_Table(N, P, S, headTextC, headBgC, rowTextC, rowBgC, B)
Creates the Forex Factory News Table.
Parameters:
N (array) : News-type array containing all the Forex Factory News.
P (string) : Position string for the Table, in Pine Script v5 format.
S (string) : Size string for the Table's text, in Pine Script v5 format.
headTextC (color)
headBgC (color)
rowTextC (color)
rowBgC (color)
B (color) : Border and frame color for the News Table.
Returns: Forex Factory News Table.
timeline(N, T, F, TZH, TZM, D)
Shades Forex Factory News events in the Forex Factory News Table after they occur.
Parameters:
N (array) : News-type array containing all the Forex Factory News.
T (table) : Forex Facory News table object.
F (color) : Color used as shading once the Forex Factory News has occurred.
TZH (int) : Custom Timezone hour, if any.
TZM (int) : Custom Timezone minute, if any.
D (bool) : Daily Forex Factory News flag.
Returns: Forex Factory News Table.
News
Custom News type which contains informatino about a Forex Factory News Event.
Fields:
dow (series string) : Day of the week, in DDD format (i.e. 'Mon').
dat (series string) : Date, in MMM D format (i.e. 'Jan 1').
_t (series int)
tod (series string) : Time of the day, in hh:mm 24-Hour format (i.e 17:10).
cur (series string) : Currency, in CCC format (i.e. "USD").
imp (series color) : Impact, the respective impact color for Forex Factory News Events.
ttl (series string) : Title, encoded in a custom number mapping (see the toodegrees/toodegrees_forex_factory library to learn more).
tmst (series int)
ln (series line)
Squeeze Momentum Regression Clouds [SciQua]╭──────────────────────────────────────────────╮
☁️ Squeeze Momentum Regression Clouds
╰──────────────────────────────────────────────╯
🔍 Overview
The Squeeze Momentum Regression Clouds (SMRC) indicator is a powerful visual tool for identifying price compression , trend strength , and slope momentum using multiple layers of linear regression Clouds. Designed to extend the classic squeeze framework, this indicator captures the behavior of price through dynamic slope detection, percentile-based spread analytics, and an optional UI for trend inspection — across up to four customizable regression Clouds .
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╭────────────────╮
⚙️ Core Features
╰────────────────╯
Up to 4 Regression Clouds – Each Cloud is created from a top and bottom linear regression line over a configurable lookback window.
Slope Detection Engine – Identifies whether each band is rising, falling, or flat based on slope-to-ATR thresholds.
Spread Compression Heatmap – Highlights compressed zones using yellow intensity, derived from historical spread analysis.
Composite Trend Scoring – Aggregates directional signals from each Cloud using your chosen weighting model.
Color-Coded Candles – Optional candle coloring reflects the real-time composite score.
UI Table – A toggleable info table shows slopes, compression levels, percentile ranks, and direction scores for each Cloud.
Gradient Cloud Styling – Apply gradient coloring from Cloud 1 to Cloud 4 for visual slope intensity.
Weight Aggregation Options – Use equal weighting, inverse-length weighting, or max pooling across Clouds to determine composite trend strength.
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╭──────────────────────────────────────────╮
🧪 How to Use the Indicator
1. Understand Trend Bias with Cloud Colors
╰──────────────────────────────────────────╯
Each Cloud changes color based on its current slope:
Green indicates a rising trend.
Red indicates a falling trend.
Gray indicates a flat slope — often seen during chop or transitions.
Cloud 1 typically reflects short-term structure, while Cloud 4 represents long-term directional bias. Watch for multi-Cloud alignment — when all Clouds are green or red, the trend is strong. Divergence among Clouds often signals a potential shift.
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╭───────────────────────────────────────────────╮
2. Use Compression Heat to Anticipate Breakouts
╰───────────────────────────────────────────────╯
The space between each Cloud’s top and bottom regression lines is measured, normalized, and analyzed over time. When this spread tightens relative to its history, the script highlights the band with a yellow compression glow .
This visual cue helps identify squeeze zones before volatility expands. If you see compression paired with a changing slope color (e.g., gray to green), this may indicate an impending breakout.
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╭─────────────────────────────────╮
3. Leverage the Optional Table UI
╰─────────────────────────────────╯
The indicator includes a dynamic, floating table that displays real-time metrics per Cloud. These include:
Slope direction and value , with historical Min/Max reference.
Top and Bottom percentile ranks , showing how price sits within the Cloud range.
Current spread width , compared to its historical norms.
Composite score , which blends trend, slope, and compression for that Cloud.
You can customize the table’s position, theme, transparency, and whether to show a combined summary score in the header.
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╭─────────────────────────────────────────────╮
4. Analyze Candle Color for Composite Signals
╰─────────────────────────────────────────────╯
When enabled, the indicator colors candles based on a weighted composite score. This score factors in:
The signed slope of each Cloud (up, down, or flat)
The percentile pressure from the top and bottom bands
The degree of spread compression
Expect green candles in bullish trend phases, red candles during bearish regimes, and gray candles in mixed or low-conviction zones.
Candle coloring provides a visual shorthand for market conditions , useful for intraday scanning or historical backtesting.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
╭────────────────────────╮
🧰 Configuration Guidance
╰────────────────────────╯
To tailor the indicator to your strategy:
Use Cloud lengths like 21, 34, 55, and 89 for a balanced multi-timeframe view.
Adjust the slope threshold (default 0.05) to control how sensitive the trend coloring is.
Set the spread floor (e.g., 0.15) to tune when compression is detected and visualized.
Choose your weighting style : Inverse Length (favor faster bands), Equal, or Max Pooling (most aggressive).
Set composite weights to emphasize trend slope, percentile bias, or compression—depending on your market edge.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
╭────────────────╮
✅ Best Practices
╰────────────────╯
Use aligned Cloud colors across all bands to confirm trend conviction.
Combine slope direction with compression glow for early breakout entry setups.
In choppy markets, watch for Clouds 1 and 2 turning flat while Clouds 3 and 4 remain directional — a sign of potential trend exhaustion or consolidation.
Keep the table enabled during backtesting to manually evaluate how each Cloud behaved during price turns and consolidations.
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╭───────────────────────╮
📌 License & Usage Terms
╰───────────────────────╯
This script is provided under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License .
✅ You are allowed to:
Use this script for personal or educational purposes
Study, learn, and adapt it for your own non-commercial strategies
❌ You are not allowed to:
Resell or redistribute the script without permission
Use it inside any paid product or service
Republish without giving clear attribution to the original author
For commercial licensing , private customization, or collaborations, please contact Joshua Danford directly.
Volume Statistics - IntraweekVolume Statistics - Intraweek: For Orderflow Traders
This tool is designed for traders using volume footprint charts and orderflow methods.
Why it matters:
In orderflow trading, you care about the quality of volume behind each move. You’re not just watching price; you’re watching how much aggression is behind that price move. That’s where this indicator helps.
What to look at:
* Current Volume shows you how much volume is trading right now.
* Central Volume (median or average over 24h or 7D) gives you a baseline for what's normal volume VS abnormal volume.
* The Diff vs Central tells you immediately if current volume is above or below normal.
How this helps:
* If volume is above normal, it suggested elevated levels of buyer or seller aggression. Look for strong follow-through or continuation.
* If volume is below normal, it may signal low interest, passive participation, a lack of conviction, or a fake move.
* Use this context to decide if what you're seeing in the footprint (imbalances, absorption, traps) is actually worth acting on.
Extra context:
* The highest and lowest volume levels and their timestamps help you spot prior key reactions.
* Second and third highest bars help you see other major effort points in the recent window.
Comment with any suggestions on how to improve this indicator.
ACR(Average Candle Range) With TargetsWhat is ACR?
The Average Candle Range (ACR) is a custom volatility metric that calculates the mean distance between the high and low of a set number of past candles. ACR focuses only on the actual candle range (high - low) of specific past candles on a chosen timeframe.
This script calculates and visualizes the Average Candle Range (ACR) over a user-defined number of candles on a custom timeframe. It displays a table of recent range values, plots dynamic bullish and bearish target levels, and marks the start of each new candle with a vertical line. All calculations update in real time as price action develops. This script was inspired by the “ICT ADR Levels - Judas x Daily Range Meter°” by toodegrees.
Key Features
Custom Timeframe Selection: Choose any timeframe (e.g., 1D, 4H, 15m) for analysis.
User-Defined Lookback: Calculate the average range across 1 to 10 previous candles.
Dynamic Targets:
Bullish Target: Current candle low + ACR.
Bearish Target: Current candle high – ACR.
Live Updates: Targets adjust intrabar as highs or lows change during the current candle.
Candle Start Markers: Vertical lines denote the open of each new candle on the selected timeframe.
Floating Range Table:
Displays the current ACR value.
Lists individual ranges for the previous five candles.
Extend Target Lines: Choose to extend bullish and bearish target levels fully across the screen.
Global Visibility Controls: Toggle on/off all visual elements (targets, vertical lines, and table) for a cleaner view.
How It Works
At each new candle on the user-selected timeframe, the script:
Draws a vertical line at the candle’s open.
Recalculates the ACR based on the inputted previous number of candles.
Plots target levels using the current candle's developing high and low values.
Limitation
Once the price has already moved a full ACR in the opposite direction from your intended trade, the associated target loses its practical value. For example, if you intended to trade long but the bearish ACR target is hit first, the bullish target is no longer a reliable reference for that session.
Use Case
This tool is designed for traders who:
Want to visualize the average movement range of candles over time.
Use higher or lower timeframe candles as structural anchors.
Require real-time range-based price levels for intraday or swing decision-making.
This script does not generate entry or exit signals. Instead, it supports range awareness and target projection based on historical candle behavior.
Key Difference from Similar Tools
While this script was inspired by “ICT ADR Levels - Judas x Daily Range Meter°” by toodegrees, it introduces a major enhancement: the ability to customize the timeframe used for calculating the range. Most ADR or candle-range tools are locked to a single timeframe (e.g., daily), but this version gives traders full control over the analysis window. This makes it adaptable to a wide range of strategies, including intraday and swing trading, across any market or asset.