Momentum Zones [TradersPro]OVERVIEW
The Momentum Zones indicator is designed for momentum stock traders to provide a visible trend structure with actionable price levels. The indicator has been designed for high-growth, bullish stocks on a daily time frame but can be used on any chart and timeframe.
Momentum zones help traders focus on the momentum structure of price, enabling disciplined trading plans with specific entry, exit, and risk management levels.
It is built using CCI values, allowing for fixed trend range calculations. It is most effective when applied to screens of stocks with high RSI, year-to-date (YTD) price gains of 25% or higher, as well as stocks showing growth in both sales and earnings quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year.
CONCEPTS
The indicator defines and colors uptrends (green), downtrends (red), and trends in transition or pausing (yellow).
The indicator can be used for new trend entry or trend continuation entry. New trend entry can be done on the first green bar after a red bar. Trend continuation entries can be done with the first green bar after a yellow bar. The yellow transition zones can be used as price buffers for stop-loss management on new entries.
To see the color changes, users need to be sure to uncheck the candlestick color settings. This can be done by right-clicking the chart, going to Symbols, and unchecking the candle color body, border, and wick boxes.
Remember to check them if the indicator is turned off, or the candles will be blank with no color.
The settings also correspond to the screening function to get a list of stocks entering various momentum zones so you can have a prime list of the stocks meeting any other fundamental criteria you may desire. Traders can then use the indicator for the entry and risk structure of the trading plan.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "美国夏威夷+prime公司"
ICT Macro Sessions by @zeusbottradingICT Macro Sessions Indicator
The ICT Macro Sessions Indicator is a powerful tool designed for traders who follow the ICT (Inner Circle Trader) methodology and want to optimize their trading during specific high-probability time intervals. This indicator highlights all the key macro sessions throughout the trading day in the GMT+8 (Hong Kong) time zone.
What Does the Indicator Do?
This indicator visually marks ICT Macro Sessions on your trading chart using background colors and optional labels. Each session corresponds to specific time intervals when institutional activity is most likely to drive price action. By focusing on these periods, traders can align their strategies with market volatility and liquidity, increasing their chances of success.
Highlighted Sessions
The indicator covers all major ICT Macro Sessions, each with a unique color for easy identification:
London Macro 1 (15:33–16:00 GMT+8):
- Marks the early London session, often characterized by strong directional moves.
London Macro 2 (17:03–17:30 GMT+8):
- Captures the mid-London session, where price frequently reacts to liquidity levels.
New York AM Macro 1 (22:50–23:10 GMT+8):
- Highlights the start of the New York session, a prime time for price reversals or continuations.
New York AM Macro 2 (23:50–00:10 GMT+8):
- Focuses on late-morning New York activity, often aligning with key news releases.
New York Lunch Macro (00:50–01:10 GMT+8):
- Covers the lunch period in New York, where price may consolidate or set up for afternoon moves.
New York PM Macro 1 (02:10–02:40 GMT+8):
- Tracks post-lunch activity in New York, often featuring renewed volatility.
New York PM Macro 2 (04:15–04:45 GMT+8):
- Captures late-session moves as institutional traders finalize their positions.
Features of the Indicator
Fixed Time: The indicator is pre-configured for GMT+8 but it will adapt automatically to your timezone. No need to change anything in the code.
Background Highlighting: Each session is visually marked with a unique background color for quick recognition.
Optional Labels: Traders can enable or disable labels for each session, providing flexibility in how information is displayed.
Session Toggles: You can choose which sessions to display based on your trading preferences and strategy.
Intraday Timeframes: The indicator is optimized for intraday charts with timeframes of 45 minutes or less. You can change it to anything you like.
Why Use This Indicator?
The ICT Macro Sessions Indicator helps traders focus on the most critical times of the trading day when institutional activity is at its peak. These periods often coincide with significant price movements, making them ideal for scalping, day trading, or even swing trading setups. By visually highlighting these sessions, the indicator eliminates guesswork and allows traders to plan their trades with precision.
5-0 Harmonic Pattern [TradingFinder] 0XABCD 50 Harmonic Detector🔵 Introduction
Harmonic patterns are a powerful tool in technical analysis, widely used to detect reversal points and trend changes. Among these, the 5-0 Harmonic Pattern stands out due to its reliance on specific Fibonacci ratios—1.13, 1.618, 2.24, and 0.45 to 0.55—anchored at points 0, X, A, B, C, and D. This pattern provides a structured approach for identifying critical buy and sell points, helping traders achieve optimal entry and exit levels in volatile markets.
This 5-0 Harmonic Pattern indicator automatically detects and marks bullish and bearish formations on the chart, offering precise trading signals based on established harmonic ratios. With its dynamic signals, the 5-0 pattern enables traders to anticipate market movements and capitalize on favorable price trends.
Especially in fast-moving markets, harmonic patterns, particularly the 5-0 Harmonic Pattern, equip traders with an essential framework for identifying reversal opportunities and refining their trading strategies.
Bullish 5-0 Pattern :
Bearish 5-0 Pattern :
🔵 How to Use
The 5-0 Harmonic Pattern indicator is designed to automatically mark the key levels of the harmonic structure: 0, X, A, B, C, and D. By doing so, it detects both bullish and bearish patterns and helps traders recognize optimal entry and exit points.
Formed through specific Fibonacci levels, this pattern signals potential shifts in trend direction, giving traders critical insights for managing entries and exits effectively. The tool proves valuable in high-volatility settings, enabling traders to leverage these signals for refined decision-making.
🟣 Bullish 5-0 Pattern
A bullish 5-0 pattern materializes when Fibonacci levels indicate a potential price reversal to the upside. With points 0, X, A, B, C, and D in alignment, the indicator highlights this upward momentum by displaying a green arrow as a buy signal on the chart. This marking provides a clear entry point, indicating that prices are likely to rise, making it a prime moment for traders to enter long positions.
Additionally, the bullish 5-0 pattern is equipped with tools for traders to set stop-loss and take-profit points based on harmonic lines within the pattern, which represent support and resistance levels. Using these dynamic points, traders can create a more effective risk-reward setup while following the bullish signals in a standalone harmonic strategy.
🟣 Bearish 5-0 Pattern
The bearish 5-0 pattern functions similarly but signals a likely downturn. This pattern emerges when Fibonacci ratios align at points 0, X, A, B, C, and D, predicting a reversal downward. The indicator generates a sell signal, marked by a red arrow, prompting traders to exit long positions or initiate short trades to capitalize on falling prices.
Traders can utilize this bearish pattern for defining exit strategies and setting key levels for stop-loss and take-profit orders. The bearish 5-0 pattern enhances traders’ abilities to gauge critical price levels and manage trade risk effectively, especially in volatile markets. For traders focused on profiting from downward trends, this indicator serves as a powerful tool for timely entries and exits.
🔵 Setting
🟣 Logical Setting
ZigZag Pivot Period : You can adjust the period so that the harmonic patterns are adjusted according to the pivot period you want. This factor is the most important parameter in pattern recognition.
Show Valid Forma t: If this parameter is on "On" mode, only patterns will be displayed that they have exact format and no noise can be seen in them. If "Off" is, the patterns displayed that maybe are noisy and do not exactly correspond to the original pattern.
Show Formation Last Pivot Confirm : if Turned on, you can see this ability of patterns when their last pivot is formed. If this feature is off, it will see the patterns as soon as they are formed. The advantage of this option being clear is less formation of fielded patterns, and it is accompanied by the latest pattern seeing and a sharp reduction in reward to risk.
Period of Formation Last Pivot : Using this parameter you can determine that the last pivot is based on Pivot period.
🟣 Genaral Setting
Show : Enter "On" to display the template and "Off" to not display the template.
Color : Enter the desired color to draw the pattern in this parameter.
LineWidth : You can enter the number 1 or numbers higher than one to adjust the thickness of the drawing lines. This number must be an integer and increases with increasing thickness.
LabelSize : You can adjust the size of the labels by using the "size.auto", "size.tiny", "size.smal", "size.normal", "size.large" or "size.huge" entries.
🟣 Alert Setting
Alert : On / Off
Message Frequency : This string parameter defines the announcement frequency. Choices include: "All" (activates the alert every time the function is called), "Once Per Bar" (activates the alert only on the first call within the bar), and "Once Per Bar Close" (the alert is activated only by a call at the last script execution of the real-time bar upon closing). The default setting is "Once per Bar".
Show Alert Time by Time Zone : The date, hour, and minute you receive in alert messages can be based on any time zone you choose. For example, if you want New York time, you should enter "UTC-4". This input is set to the time zone "UTC" by default.
Conclusion
The 5-0 Harmonic Pattern indicator serves as a robust solution for technical analysts and traders looking to pinpoint market reversal points. By automatically recognizing 5-0 patterns and generating buy and sell signals based on Fibonacci ratios, this tool supports precise trend analysis and entry/exit timing. The indicator’s adjustable alerts, color themes, and pattern toggles allow for comprehensive customization, ensuring alignment with individual trading strategies.
Harmonic patterns, especially the 5-0 Harmonic Pattern, guide traders in identifying high-accuracy entry and exit points, thus aiding in more informed trading decisions. By combining Fibonacci ratio analysis with real-time signal updates, this indicator provides a well-rounded approach for risk management and capitalizing on trading opportunities. Professional traders can harness this tool to enhance technical analysis precision and capitalize on price trends effectively, maximizing profitability in both bullish and bearish markets.
4AM-5AM BRT HighlighterThe 4AM-5AM BRT Highlighter is a simple yet effective tool designed to visually mark your preferred trading time on the chart. It highlights the period between 4:00 AM and 5:00 AM Brazilian Time (BRT/UTC-3) by default, helping you stay focused and aware of your prime trading window.
Key Features:
Clear Visual Highlight: Colors the background of your chart during the chosen timeframe, making it easy to see when your trading session starts and ends.
Customizable Colors: Easily adjust the highlight color and transparency to suit your visual preferences.
Accurate Time Conversion: Automatically accounts for Brazilian Time (BRT), ensuring the highlight appears correctly no matter your chart’s default timezone.
Whether you're trading currencies, metals, indexes, or cryptocurrencies, this indicator helps you maintain focus during your dedicated trading hour by clearly marking your active period on the chart.
Psychological Price Level - Prime TradingThis Pine Script is designed for the TradingView platform to display **Psychological Price Levels (PPLs)** on the chart. These levels represent key price zones, such as round numbers (e.g., 1.000, 1.500), which traders often consider as significant support or resistance levels.
### Main Features:
1. **PPL Level Calculation:**
- The script calculates and plots psychological price levels above and below the current price based on the instrument's tick size.
- It can plot multiple levels determined by the user through inputs.
2. **Visual Representation:**
- Each PPL level is shown as a horizontal line, styled according to user preferences (solid, dotted, or dashed), with a customizable color and width.
3. **Highlighting Levels with Boxes:**
- A semi-transparent colored box surrounds each PPL level, highlighting these zones visually.
- The color and size of the box can be adjusted, with a default color close to `#9FA5B8` (a light blue-gray), and 90% transparency to blend into the background.
4. **Customization:**
- Users can customize the number of PPLs plotted, the style of the lines, box color, and line thickness, making the levels adaptable to different chart setups.
In summary, this script helps traders quickly identify key psychological price levels on the chart, aiding decision-making by highlighting these important zones.
ICT Balanced Price Range [TradingFinder] BPR | FVG + IFVG🔵 Introduction
The ICT Balanced Price Range (BPR) indicator is a valuable tool that helps traders identify key areas on price charts where a balance between buyers and sellers is established. These zones can serve as critical points for potential price reversals or continuations.
🟣 Bullish Balanced Price Range
A Bullish BPR forms when a buying pressure zone (Bullish FVG) overlaps with a Bullish Inversion FVG. This overlap indicates a high probability of price moving upwards, making it a crucial area for traders to consider.
🟣 Bearish Balanced Price Range
Similarly, a Bearish BPR is created when a selling pressure zone (Bearish FVG) overlaps with a Bearish Inversion FVG. This zone is often seen as a key area where the price is likely to move downward.
🔵 How to Use
🟣 Identifying the Balanced Price Range (BPR)
To identify the Balanced Price Range (BPR), you must first locate two Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) on the price chart. One FVG should be on the sell side, and the other on the buy side. When these two FVGs horizontally oppose each other, the area where they overlap is recognized as the Balanced Price Range (BPR).
This BPR zone is highly sensitive to price movements due to the combination of two FVGs, often leading to strong market reactions. As the price approaches this area, the likelihood of a significant market move increases, making it a prime target for professional traders.
🟣 Bullish Balanced Price Range (Bullish BPR)
To effectively trade using a Bullish BPR, begin by identifying a bullish market structure and searching for bullish Price Delivery Arrays (PD Arrays). Once the market structure shifts to bullish in a lower time frame, locate a Bullish FVG within the Discount Zone that overlaps with a Bearish FVG.
Mark this overlapping zone and wait for the price to test it before executing a buy trade. Alternatively, you can set a Buy Limit order with a stop loss below the recent swing low and target profits based on higher time frame liquidity draws.
🟣 Bearish Balanced Price Range (Bearish BPR)
For bearish trades, start by identifying a bearish market structure and look for bearish PD Arrays. After the market structure shifts to bearish in a lower time frame, identify a Bearish FVG within the Discount Zone that overlaps with a Bullish FVG. Mark this overlapping zone and execute a sell trade when the price tests it.
You can also use a Sell Limit order with a stop loss above the recent swing high and target profits according to higher time frame liquidity draws.
🔵 Settings
🟣 Global Settings
Show All Inversion FVG & IFVG : If disabled, only the most recent FVG & IFVG will be displayed.
FVG & IFVG Validity Period (Bar) : Determines the maximum duration (in number of candles) that the FVG and IFVG remain valid.
Switching Colors Theme Mode : Includes three modes: "Off", "Light", and "Dark". "Light" mode adjusts colors for light mode use, "Dark" mode adjusts colors for dark mode use, and "Off" disables color adjustments.
🟣 Display Settings
Show Bullish BPR : Toggles the display of demand-related boxes.
Show Bearish BPR : Toggles the display of supply-related boxes.
Mitigation Level BPR : Options include "Proximal", "Distal", or "50 % OB" modes, which you can choose based on your needs. The "50 % OB" line is the midpoint between distal and proximal.
Show Bullish IFVG : Toggles the display of demand-related boxes.
Show Bearish IFV G: Toggles the display of supply-related boxes.
Mitigation Level FVG and IFVG : Options include "Proximal", "Distal", or "50 % OB" modes, which you can choose based on your needs. The "50 % OB" line is the midpoint between distal and proximal.
🟣 Logic Settings
FVG Filter : This refines the number of identified FVG areas based on a specified algorithm to focus on higher quality signals and reduce noise.
Types of FVG filters :
Very Aggressive Filter : Adds a condition where, for an upward FVG, the last candle's highest price must exceed the middle candle's highest price, and for a downward FVG, the last candle's lowest price must be lower than the middle candle's lowest price. This minimally filters out FVGs.
Aggressive Filter : Builds on the Very Aggressive mode by ensuring the middle candle is not too small, filtering out more FVGs.
Defensive Filter : Adds criteria regarding the size and structure of the middle candle, requiring it to have a substantial body and specific polarity conditions, filtering out a significant number of FVGs.
Very Defensive Filte r: Further refines filtering by ensuring the first and third candles are not small-bodied doji candles, retaining only the highest quality signals.
🟣 Alert Settings
Alert Inversion FVG Mitigation : Enables alerts for Inversion FVG mitigation.
Message Frequency : Determines the frequency of alerts. Options include 'All' (every function call), 'Once Per Bar' (first call within the bar), and 'Once Per Bar Close' (final script execution of the real-time bar). Default is 'Once per Bar'.
Show Alert Time by Time Zone : Configures the time zone for alert messages. Default is 'UTC'.
Display More Info : Provides additional details in alert messages, including price range, date, hour, and minute. Set to 'Off' to exclude this information.
🔵 Conclusion
The ICT Balanced Price Range is a powerful and reliable tool for identifying key points on price charts. This strategy can be applied across various time frames and serves as a complementary tool alongside other indicators and technical analysis methods.
The most crucial aspect of utilizing this strategy effectively is correctly identifying FVGs and their overlapping areas, which comes with practice and experience.
Quadratic Kernel with Quadratic Divergence [PinescriptLabs]This indicator combines a quadratic kernel regression with adaptive deviation bands to provide a unique view of market trends.
Key Features:
**Customizable Parameters:**
- Regression Period: Adjusts the sensitivity of the central line (default 50).
- Time Deformation: Modifies the weight of recent vs. older data (default 1.0). Increasing the "Time Deformation" makes more recent data more relevant, while decreasing it gives more weight to older data in the regression calculation.
- Confidence Band Width: Controls the width of the bands (default 3.0). Determines how many standard deviations are added to or subtracted from the central line to form the confidence bands. The standard deviations are calculated as the difference between the central line and the closing prices. A higher confidence value will result in wider bands, indicating a broader range of expected price variation, while a lower confidence value will result in narrower bands, indicating a narrower range of expected price variation.
**How to Use the Indicator Based on Price Crossings with the Kernel Divergence Line?**
Short: We need a candle to cross and close below the Kernel Divergence Line (bullish), and at the same time, the quadratic channels must be in a Bearish state for confirmation. Once the entry is executed, our exit will be when the Divergence Line changes its color by at least two confirmation points, or the price crosses above, which nullifies the entry.
Long: We need a candle to cross and close above the Kernel Divergence Line (bearish), and at the same time, the quadratic channels must be in a Bullish state for confirmation. Once the entry is executed, our exit will be when the Divergence Line changes its color by at least two confirmation points, or the price crosses below, which nullifies the entry.
**How to Use the Indicator Based Solely on Kernel Divergence??**
We observe the Kernel Divergence line, which indicates bullish momentum while the price is declining, and we are looking for the Reversal point.
**Confirmation of the Reversal Point:** When the Kernel Divergence changes from bullish (green color) to bearish (red color), we look for the price at its lowest point to be below the first lower Quadratic channel or even outside the Quadratic channel. This signals a potential strong reversal.
How to Use the Indicator Based Solely on Quadratic Channels?
Use only confirmations of changes from Bullish to Bearish or vice versa. It is recommended to have at least three confirmation points in the same direction.
Quadratic Kernel Regression: Provides a smoothed trend line that adapts to market movements.
Adaptive Deviation Bands: Dynamically calculated to show market volatility.
Buy/Sell Signals: Based on the price crossing the central line and the direction of the trend.
Quadratic Kernel Regression calculates a smoothed central line based on recent prices.
The deviation bands automatically adjust according to market volatility.
The trend is determined by comparing the current position of the central line with its previous position.
Buy signals are generated when the price crosses above the central line in an uptrend.
Sell signals are generated when the price crosses below the central line in a downtrend.
Español:
Este indicador combina una regresión de kernel cuadrático con bandas de desviación adaptativas para proporcionar una visión única de la tendencia del mercado.
Características principales:
**Parámetros personalizables:**
- Período de regresión: Ajusta la sensibilidad de la línea central (por defecto 50).
- Deformación del tiempo: Modifica el peso de los datos recientes vs. antiguos (por defecto 1.0). Aumentar la "Deformación del tiempo" hace que los datos más recientes sean más relevantes, mientras que disminuirla da más peso a los datos antiguos en el cálculo de la regresión.
- Ancho de bandas de confianza: Controla la amplitud de las bandas (por defecto 3.0). Determina cuántas desviaciones estándar se añaden o restan a la línea central para formar las bandas de confianza. Las desviaciones estándar se calculan como la diferencia entre la línea central y los precios de cierre. Un valor mayor de confianza resultará en bandas más anchas, indicando un rango más amplio de variación esperada en los precios, mientras que un valor menor de confianza resultará en bandas más estrechas, indicando un rango más estrecho de variación esperada.
* *Cómo usar el Indicador Basados en los Cruces de Precio con la Línea de Divergencia del Kernel?**
Short: Necesitamos que una vela cruce y cierre por debajo de la línea de Divergencia del Kernel (bullish) y al mismo tiempo los Canales cuadráticos deben estar en un momento Bearish para confirmación. Una vez ejecutada la entrada, nuestra salida será cuando la Línea de Divergencia haga su cambio de color al menos dos puntos de confirmación o el precio haga un cruce por arriba, lo que anula la entrada.
Long: Necesitamos que una vela cruce y cierre por Encima de la linea de Divergencia del Kernel( Bearish) y al mismo tiempo los Canales cuadráticos deben estar en un momento Bullish para confirmación, una vez ejecutada la entrada nuestra salida será cuando la Linea de Divergencia haga su cambio de color al menos dos puntos de confirmación o el precio haga un cruce por Debajo lo que anula la entrada:
Como usar el indicador Basado en solo en Divergencia del Kernel? : Observamos la linea de Divergencia del Kernel la cual nos indica un momentum bullish mientras que precio va a la baja y lo que buscamos es el punto de Reversion.
Confirmación de punto de reversion: cuando la Divergencia de Kernel pasa de bullish ( color verde) a bearish ( color rojo) buscamos que el precio en su punto mas bajo este por debajo del primer canal inferior Quadratico o fuera incluso del canal Quadratico lo que nos indica una posible reversion con fuerza.
Como usar el indicador basado solo en Canales Quadraticos?
Utilizar únicamente las confirmaciones de Cambio de Bullish a Bearish o visceversa, se recomienda al menos tres puntos de confirmación en la misma dirección.
Regresión de kernel cuadrático: Ofrece una línea de tendencia suavizada que se adapta a los movimientos del mercado.
Bandas de desviación adaptativas: Calculadas dinámicamente para mostrar la volatilidad del mercado.
Señales de compra/venta: Basadas en el cruce del precio con la línea central y la dirección de la tendencia.
La regresión de kernel cuadrático calcula una línea central suavizada basada en los precios recientes.
Las bandas de desviación se ajustan automáticamente según la volatilidad del mercado.
La tendencia se determina comparando la posición actual de la línea central con su posición anterior.
Las señales de compra se generan cuando el precio cruza por encima de la línea central en una tendencia alcista.
Las señales de venta se generan cuando el precio cruza por debajo de la línea central en una tendencia bajista.
ADX + CCI + MA - Uncle SamStrategy Name: ADX + CCI + MA - Uncle Sam
Overview
This strategy aims to capitalize on trending markets by combining the Average Directional Index (ADX), Commodity Channel Index (CCI), and a customizable Moving Average (MA). It's designed for traders seeking a balanced approach to both long (buy) and short (sell) opportunities. Special thanks to the creators of the ADX and CCI indicators for their invaluable contributions to technical analysis.
Strategy Concept
The core idea is to identify strong trends with the ADX, confirm potential entry points with the CCI, and use the MA to filter trades in the direction of the broader trend. This approach seeks to avoid entering positions during periods of consolidation or when the trend is weak.
Indicator Logic
ADX (Average Directional Index): The ADX measures the strength of a trend, regardless of its direction. A value above the customizable adx_threshold (default 20) signals a strong trend, making it a prime environment for this strategy.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index): The CCI is a momentum oscillator that helps identify overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) conditions. We use CCI crossovers to time entries in the direction of the prevailing trend.
MA (Moving Average): The MA acts as a trend filter, ensuring we only enter trades aligned with the overall market direction. You have flexibility in choosing the MA type (SMA, EMA, etc.) and its length to suit your trading style and timeframe.
Entry Conditions
Long (Buy):
ADX is above the adx_threshold.
CCI crosses above 100.
Price is above the chosen Moving Average (if MA trend filtering is enabled).
Short (Sell):
ADX is above the adx_threshold.
CCI crosses below -100.
Price is below the chosen Moving Average (if MA trend filtering is enabled).
Exit Conditions
Stop Loss (SL): Each position has a customizable stop-loss percentage to manage risk. The default setting is 1%.
Take Profit (TP): Each position has a customizable take-profit percentage to secure gains. The default setting is 5%.
MA-Based Risk Management (Optional): This feature allows for early exits if the price closes against the MA trend for a specified number of candles. The default setting is 2 candles.
Default Settings
CCI Period: 15
ADX Length: 10
ADX Threshold: 20
MA Type: HMA
MA Length: 200
MA Source: Close
Commission Fee: $0.0
A commission fee is not added, add your trading/platform commission for realistic trading costs.
Backtest Results
The strategy has been backtested on with the default settings and a starting capital of $1000, with 0.0% commission fee. It shows promising results.
Disclaimer: Backtesting is hypothetical and does not guarantee future performance.
Important Considerations:
Customization: The strategy offers extensive customization to tailor it to your preferences. Experiment with different parameters and settings to find what works best for your trading style.
Risk Management: Always use proper risk management techniques, including position sizing and stop losses, to protect your capital.
MBAND 200 4H BTC/USDT - By MGS-TradingMBAND 200 4H BTC/USDT with RSI and Volume by MGS-Trading: A Neural Network-Inspired Indicator
Introduction:
The MBAND 200 4H BTC/USDT with RSI and Volume represents a groundbreaking achievement in the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into cryptocurrency market analysis. Developed by MGS-Trading, this indicator is the culmination of extensive research and development efforts aimed at leveraging AI's power to enhance trading strategies. By synthesizing neural network concepts with traditional technical analysis, the MBAND indicator offers a dynamic, multi-dimensional view of the market, providing traders with unparalleled insights and actionable signals.
Innovative Approach:
Our journey to create the MBAND indicator began with a simple question: How can we mimic the decision-making prowess of a neural network in a trading indicator? The answer lay in the weighted aggregation of Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) from multiple timeframes, each serving as a unique input akin to a neuron in a neural network. These weights are not arbitrary; they were painstakingly optimized through backtesting across various market conditions to ensure they reflect the significance of each timeframe’s contribution to overall market dynamics.
Core Features:
Neural Network-Inspired Weights: The heart of the MBAND indicator lies in its AI-inspired weighting system, which treats each timeframe’s EMA as an input node in a neural network. This allows the indicator to process complex market data in a nuanced and sophisticated manner, leading to more refined and informed trading signals.
Multi-Timeframe EMA Analysis: By analyzing EMAs from 15 minutes to 3 days, the MBAND indicator captures a comprehensive snapshot of market trends, enabling traders to make informed decisions based on a broad spectrum of data.
RSI and Volume Integration: The inclusion of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and volume data adds layers of confirmation to the signals generated by the EMA bands. This multi-indicator approach helps in identifying high-probability setups, reinforcing the neural network’s concept of leveraging multiple data points for decision-making.
Usage Guidelines:
Signal Interpretation: The MBAND bands provide a visual representation of the market’s momentum and direction. A price moving above the upper band signals strength and potential continuation of an uptrend, while a move below the lower band suggests weakness and a possible downtrend.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: The RSI component identifies when the asset is potentially overbought (>70) or oversold (<30). Traders should watch for these conditions near the MBAND levels for potential reversal opportunities.
Volume Confirmation: An increase in volume accompanying a price move towards or beyond an MBAND level serves as confirmation of the strength behind the move. This can indicate whether a breakout is likely to sustain or if a reversal has substantial backing.
Strategic Entry and Exit Points: Combine the MBAND readings with RSI and volume indicators to pinpoint strategic entry and exit points. For example, consider entering a long position when the price is near the lower MBAND, RSI indicates oversold conditions, and there is a notable volume increase.
About MGS-Trading:
At MGS-Trading, we are passionate about harnessing the transformative power of AI to revolutionize cryptocurrency trading. Our indicators and tools are designed to provide traders with advanced analytics and insights, drawing on the latest AI techniques and methodologies. The MBAND 200 4H BTC/USDT with RSI and Volume indicator is a prime example of our commitment to innovation, offering traders a sophisticated, AI-enhanced tool for navigating the complexities of the cryptocurrency markets.
Disclaimer:
The MBAND indicator is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk and can result in the loss of your investment. We recommend conducting your own research and consulting with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
New Tradability by hajiIntroduction:
The New Tradability Indicator is a state-of-the-art, meticulously coded tool designed for traders on TradingView. Crafted with precision and an in-depth understanding of market dynamics, this indicator offers a comprehensive insight into market tradability across various time frames. By leveraging the core metrics of Trend Area and Quality, it aims to empower traders with the right information to make informed decisions, mitigate FOMO, and maximize profitability.
Core Features:
Three-tiered Time Frame Analysis:
Macro Time Frame: This captures the overarching market movement by analyzing long-term trends. It gives a bird's-eye view of the market's direction and momentum, ideal for position and swing traders.
Normal Time Frame: This is aligned with the current chart time frame. It offers real-time insights for those who trade more frequently, such as day traders or those who base their decisions on hourly or daily charts.
Micro Time Frame: Tailored for scalpers and short-term traders, this captures the minutiae of market fluctuations by focusing on smaller time frames.
Dual-metric Analysis:
Trend Area: This metric delves deep into the market's current trend strength. Whether bullish or bearish, it provides a quantified representation of the trend's vigor and possible continuation. A higher percentage indicates a more pronounced trend, offering traders clarity on potential breakout or reversal scenarios.
Quality: Designed to combat one of the trader's arch-nemeses, FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), this metric evaluates the aptness of entering a trade. A high-quality score signifies a ripe opportunity, suggesting that it's an optimal time to enter the market. Conversely, a low-quality score can act as a warning sign, indicating that the prime entry point might have passed, thus cautioning traders against making hasty decisions.
Tradability Bar: The culmination of the indicator's insights is reflected in the Tradability Bar. This holistic bar synthesizes data from all metrics and time frames to present traders with a singular, easy-to-read percentage. The higher the percentage, the more favorable the market conditions are deemed for trading.
Usage Guidelines:
For optimal results, traders are advised to:
Use the Tradability Bar as an initial reference point. A high percentage suggests promising trading conditions.
Dive deeper by analyzing individual metrics (Trend Area & Quality) and respective time frames to validate or refine their trading strategies.
Always consider external market news, events, and other technical analysis tools in conjunction with this indicator for a more rounded decision-making process.
Conclusion:
The New Tradability Indicator for TradingView stands as a beacon for traders navigating the tumultuous seas of the financial markets. By distilling complex market dynamics into actionable insights, it seeks to be an indispensable ally in a trader's journey towards consistent profitability. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, this tool is tailored to provide clarity, confidence, and a competitive edge in the trading arena. Welcome to the future of informed trading.
MTF Evolving Weighted Composite Value Area🧾 Description:
This indicator calculates evolving value areas across 3 different timeframes/periods and combines them into one composite, multi-timeframe evolving value area - with each of the underlying timeframes' VAs assigned their own weighting/importance in the final calculation. Layered with extra smoothing options, this creates an informative and useful 'rolling value area' effect that can give you a better perspective on the value area across multiple periods at once as it develops - without total calculation resets at the onset of every new period.
Let's start with a simplified primer on value areas and then jump in to the new ideas this indicator introduces.
🤔 What is a value area?
Value areas are a tool used in market profile analysis to determine the range of prices that represents where most trading activity occurred during a specific time period, typically within a single 'bar' of a certain higher timeframe, such as the 4-hour, daily, or weekly. It helps traders understand the levels where the market finds value.
To calculate the value area, we look at the distribution of prices and trading volume. We determine a percentage, usually 70% or 80%, that represents the significant portion of trading volume. Then, we identify the price range that contains this percentage of trading volume, which becomes the value area.
Value areas are useful because they provide insights into market dynamics and potential support and resistance levels. They show where traders have been most active and where they find value, and traders can use this information to make better-informed decisions.
For example, if price is trading within the value area, it suggests that it's within a range where traders see value and are actively participating, which could indicate a balanced market. If the price moves above or below the value area, it may signal a potential shift in market sentiment or a breakout/breakdown from the established range.
By understanding the value area, traders can identify potential areas of supply and demand, determine levels of interest for buyers and sellers, and make decisions based on the market's perception of value.
📑 Limitations of traditional value areas
Static representation: Value areas are usually represented as static zones calculated after the fact. For example, after a daily period is completed, a typical 1D VA indicator will display the value area for the past period with static horizontal lines. This approach doesn't give you the power to see how the value area evolved, or developed, during the time period, as it is only displayed retroactively. It also doesn't give you the ability to view it as it evolves in real-time. This is why we chose to use an evolving value area representation, specifically borrowed from @sourcey's Value Area POC/VAH/VAL script function for calculating evolving VAs.
Rollover resets - no memory of past periods!: The traditional value area is calculated over a static period - it is calculated from the beginning of the period, for example a 1 day period, to the end, and that's the end of it. When the next daily period begins, the calculation resets, and has no memory of the preceding period. This limits the usefulness of the value area visual when viewed near the beginning of a new period before price and volume have been given ample time to define an area.
Hard to absorb all of that information: Value areas aren't generally meant to be a hardline representation of something extremely exact - they're based on a percentage of the area where traders appeared to find value over a certain time period. Most traders use them as a guide for support and resistance levels or finding an expected range. Traders typically overlay multiple VAs - sometimes requiring several instances of the same indicator to be applied - to represent the VA across multiple timeframes such as the 4H, 1D, or 1W. The chart quickly gets cluttered and it's not necessarily easy to understand the relationship between these multiple periods' VAs at a glance.
🧪 New concepts introduced in this indicator
With the evolving weighted composite value area we tried to address these limitations, and we think the result can be useful and intuitive for traders who want more dynamic and practical VAs for their everyday technical analysis.
⚖️ 1. A composite, weighted multi-timeframe VA
This indicator's value areas represent a combination or composite of the value areas calculated across multiple timeframes. The VAs calculated across each timeframe are then given a weighting percentage, which determines their contribution to the final 'weighted composite value area'.
Pictured below: a 4H/1D/1W MTF evolving weighted composite VA on the BTCUSDT Perpetual Futures (Binance) 5 minute chart:
Traditionally, when traders wanted to get a view of where the majority of trading activity occurred over the past four hours, day, and week, they would need to apply three value area indicators (or sometimes one if it allows multiple custom timeframes), each set to a different period (4H, 1D, 1W). The chart gets cluttered quickly and the information is hard to absorb in one shot. Addressing this problem was the main impetus for creating this weighted composite process.
〰️ 2. Rolling and smoothed evolving VAs
Because the composite VA is calculated based on multiple period VAs, there is no one single point where the area calculation resets (unless all 3 selected timeframes happen to rollover on the same bar). This creates a 'rolling' effect that gives a sense of the progression of the VA as price transitions through the different underlying time periods, without the traditional 'jump' in calculations between periods.
Pictured below: a 1D/1W/1M MTF evolving weighted composite VA on the NQ futures 1H chart:
To help give even more of a sense of perspective and 'progression' of the VA, there are also smoothing options to even out the 'jumps' at period-rollover points.
✔️ What's it good for?
Smoothed, rolling, and evolving multi-timeframe VAs that give you a better real-time perspective of where traders are finding value across multiple time periods at once.
📎 References
1. @sourcey's Value Area POC/VAH/VAL script by adapting its f_poc(tf) function.
💠 Features:
A MTF evolving weighted composite value area based on 3 underlying VAs calculated across customizable timeframes
Aesthetic and flexible coloring and color theme styling options
Period-roller labels and options for ease-of-use and legibility
⚙️ Settings:
Calculation Decimal Resolution: This setting essentially determines how 'granular' the value area calculating process is. This value should be set to some multiple of the tick size/smallest decimal of the symbol's price chart. Eg. On BTCUSDT, the tick size/decimal is usually 0.1. So, you might use 0.5. On TSLA, the tick size is 0.01. You might use 0.05 or 0.25. Beware: if the resolution is too small, calculation will take too long and the script may timeout.
Show Me Suggested Resolutions: If enabled, a label will display in the bottom right of the chart with some suggested resolutions for the current chart.
Area Percentage: Set the displayed percentage of the calculated composite value area. Igor method = 70%; Daniel method: 68%.
Use a Color Theme: When this setting is enabled, all manual 'Bullish and Bearish Colors' are overridden. All plots will use the colors from your selected Color Theme - excepting those plots set to use the 'Single Color' coloring method.
Color Theme: When 'Use a Color Theme' is enabled, this setting allows you to select the color theme you wish to use.
Resistance Color: When 'Use a Color Theme' is disabled, this will set the 'resistance color' for the composite VA.
Support Color: When 'Use a Color Theme' is disabled, this will set the 'support color' for the composite VA.
Show Period Rollover Labels: When enabled, a label will show above or below the composite VA marking any underlying period rollovers with the label 'New __' (eg. 'New 4H', 'New 1D', 'New 1W').
Size: Sets the font size of the period rollover labels.
Show Period Rollover Lines: When enabled, a translucent vertical dashed line will be drawn across the composite VA when one of the underlying periods rolls over.
Fill Composite Value Area: When enabled, the composite VA will be filled with a gradient coloring from the support line to the resistance line using their respective colors.
Smooth: When enabled, a smoothing moving average will be applied to the composite value area.
Smoothing Period: Set the lookback period for the smoothing average.
Smoothing Type: Set the calculation type for the smoothing average. Options include: Exponential, Simple, Weighted, Volume-Weighted, and Hull.
Enable: Include/exclude a timeframe's VA in the composite VA calculation.
Timeframe: Set the timeframe for this specific underlying VA.
Weighting %: Set the weighting percentage or 'importance' of this timeframe's value area in calculating the composite VA. Beware! The sum of the weighting percentages across all enabled timeframes must ALWAYS add up to 100 in order for this indicator to work as designed.
Logarithmic VolatilityIntroducing the Logarithmic Volatility Indicator , an innovative trading indicator designed especially for trading in low volatility markets. This powerful indicator is aimed at traders of all levels, from beginners to experts, and is based on fundamental concepts of mathematics and statistics applied to the financial market. Its main objective is to provide you with a better understanding of price movements and help you make more accurate investment decisions, especially in low volatility environments.
The purpose of this indicator is to find a volatility estimator that depends on the difference between High and Low, taking into account that this measure is directly proportional to volatility. A first result was obtained by Parkinson (1980) which was later improved by Garman and Klass (1980), who improved the estimator by obtaining one of minimum variance. It is the simplified version (and recommended by them) of the Garman and Klass estimator that is used to calculate the daily volatility of the asset.
The Logarithmic Volatility Indicator is a unique smoothing indicator that uses logarithms and volatility calculation of the opening, high, low and closing prices. It combines these elements to obtain an accurate representation of market volatility in situations where volatility is low.
Features
This indicator has several outstanding features designed to enhance your trading analysis in low volatility environments:
• Intraday Volatility Calculation: This innovative feature allows you to view market volatility levels in real time, providing a clear view of market fluctuations even when volatility is low.
• EMA (Exponential Moving Average) Multi Length: The indicator incorporates three different EMA lengths (Fast, Medium and Slow). This gives you a deeper and more detailed analysis of market volatility, allowing you to detect subtle changes in volatility and make more accurate predictions.
• Visual color change: The indicator uses a color change between green and red to facilitate quick interpretation of the market. Green indicates a decrease in volatility, while red indicates an increase in volatility. This feature helps you quickly identify changes in market dynamics even in periods of low volatility.
• Histogram display: In addition to the colors, the indicator can also be displayed as a histogram. This intuitive representation allows you to visually observe changes in volatility over time and detect emerging patterns or trends in markets with low volatility.
Settings
The Logarithmic Volatility Indicator allows you to customize various settings to suit your specific trading needs:
• Slow EMA length: you can select the length of the slow exponential moving average according to your preferences and trading strategies.
• Fast EMA length: Similarly, you can choose the length of the fast exponential moving average to suit your trading style.
• Average EMA length: In addition to the two EMA lengths above, this indicator offers a third EMA length for even more detailed analysis. This additional feature is especially useful when trading in markets with low volatility, as it allows you to capture subtle changes in market dynamics.
Trading
The Logarithmic Volatility Indicator is designed not only to provide you with essential information about market volatility, but also to give you clear indications on when to trade. Here's how you can use the indicator's colors to guide your trading decisions:
- Long Trading: When the fast EMA has a smaller value than the slow EMA, the indicator will change to green. This is a signal to enter a long trade. That is, you can consider buying at this point, as an increase in price is anticipated due to decreasing volatility. With volatility declining, there is a greater likelihood that the price will continue in the current direction rather than fluctuate erratically.
- b]Short Trading: On the other hand, when the fast EMA has a higher value than the slow EMA, the indicator will turn red. This is a signal to enter a short trade. In other words, you may consider selling at this point, as a decline in price is anticipated due to rising volatility. With volatility on the rise, there is a greater risk of steeper price fluctuations.
It is important to remember that, as with any indicator, the Logarithmic Volatility Indicator does not guarantee 100% success. You should always use this indicator in combination with other analytical tools and good risk management. This tool provides you with an overview of market volatility and can help you identify trading opportunities in low volatility markets, but the final decision on when and how to trade should always be based on your own analysis and judgment.
In conclusion, the Logarithmic Volatility Indicator is an essential trading tool that every trader should have in their arsenal, especially when facing low volatility markets. With its accurate volatility calculation and easy-to-understand visualization, it will help you improve your trading decisions and maximize your profits even in situations where price movements are less pronounced. Try it today and take advantage of its efficiency in low volatility environments!
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Presentamos el Indicador de Volatilidad Logarítmica , un innovador indicador de trading diseñado especialmente para operar en mercados con baja volatilidad. Este poderoso indicador está dirigido a traders de todos los niveles, desde principiantes hasta expertos, y se basa en conceptos fundamentales de matemáticas y estadísticas aplicadas al mercado financiero. Su objetivo principal es proporcionarte una mejor comprensión de los movimientos de precios y ayudarte a tomar decisiones de inversión más precisas, especialmente en entornos de baja volatilidad.
Con este indicador se pretende encontrar un estimador de la volatilidad que dependa de la diferencia entre el High y el Low, teniendo en cuenta que esta medida es directamente proporcional a la volatilidad. Un primer resultado fue obtenido por Parkinson (1980) que posteriormente fue mejorado por Garman y Klass (1980), que mejoraron el estimador obteniendo uno de varianza mínima. Es la versión simplificada (y recomendada por ellos mismos) del estimador de Garman y Klass la que se utiliza para calcular la volatilidad diaria del activo.
El Indicador de Volatilidad Logarítmica es un indicador de suavizado único que utiliza logaritmos y el cálculo de la volatilidad de los precios de apertura, máximo, mínimo y cierre. Combina estos elementos para obtener una representación precisa de la volatilidad del mercado en situaciones donde la volatilidad es baja.
Características
Este indicador cuenta con varias características sobresalientes diseñadas para mejorar tu análisis de trading en entornos de baja volatilidad:
• Cálculo de la volatilidad intradía: Esta función innovadora te permite ver los niveles de volatilidad del mercado en tiempo real, lo que brinda una visión clara de las fluctuaciones del mercado incluso cuando la volatilidad es baja.
• EMA (Exponential Moving Average) Multi Longitud: El indicador incorpora tres longitudes diferentes de EMA (Rápida, Media y Lenta). Esto te proporciona un análisis más profundo y detallado de la volatilidad del mercado, permitiéndote detectar cambios sutiles en la volatilidad y realizar predicciones más precisas.
• Cambio de color visual: El indicador utiliza un cambio de color entre verde y rojo para facilitar la interpretación rápida del mercado. El verde indica una disminución de la volatilidad, mientras que el rojo indica un aumento de la volatilidad. Esta característica te ayuda a identificar rápidamente cambios en la dinámica del mercado incluso en períodos de baja volatilidad.
• Visualización Histograma: Además de los colores, el indicador también se puede visualizar como un histograma. Esta representación intuitiva te permite observar de manera visual los cambios en la volatilidad a lo largo del tiempo y detectar patrones o tendencias emergentes en mercados con baja volatilidad.
Ajustes
El Indicador de Volatilidad Logarítmica te permite personalizar varios ajustes para adaptarlos a tus necesidades de trading específicas:
• Longitud de EMA lenta: Puedes seleccionar la longitud de la media móvil exponencial lenta según tus preferencias y estrategias de trading.
• Longitud de EMA rápida: De manera similar, puedes elegir la longitud de la media móvil exponencial rápida para ajustarla a tu estilo de trading.
• Longitud de EMA media: Además de las dos longitudes de EMA anteriores, este indicador ofrece una tercera longitud de EMA para un análisis aún más detallado. Esta característica adicional es especialmente útil cuando operas en mercados con baja volatilidad, ya que te permite capturar cambios sutiles en la dinámica del mercado.
Operativa
El Indicador de Volatilidad Logarítmica está diseñado no solo para brindarte información esencial sobre la volatilidad del mercado, sino también para ofrecerte indicaciones claras sobre cuándo operar. Aquí te explicamos cómo puedes utilizar los colores del indicador para guiar tus decisiones de trading:
• Operativa en Largo: Cuando la EMA rápida tiene un valor más pequeño que la EMA lenta, el indicador cambiará a color verde. Esta es una señal para entrar en una operación en largo. Es decir, puedes considerar comprar en este punto, ya que se anticipa un aumento en el precio debido a la disminución de la volatilidad. Con la volatilidad en descenso, existe una mayor probabilidad de que el precio continúe en la dirección actual en lugar de fluctuar erráticamente.
• Operativa en Corto: Por otro lado, cuando la EMA rápida tiene un valor mayor que la EMA lenta, el indicador se tornará rojo. Esta es una señal para entrar en una operación en corto. En otras palabras, puedes considerar vender en este punto, ya que se anticipa una disminución en el precio debido al aumento de la volatilidad. Con la volatilidad en ascenso, existe un mayor riesgo de fluctuaciones de precio más pronunciadas.
Es importante recordar que, como con cualquier indicador, el Indicador de Volatilidad Logarítmica no garantiza un éxito del 100%. Siempre debes usar este indicador en combinación con otras herramientas de análisis y una buena gestión de riesgos. Esta herramienta te proporciona una visión general de la volatilidad del mercado y puede ayudarte a identificar oportunidades de trading en mercados con baja volatilidad, pero la decisión final de cuándo y cómo operar siempre deberá basarse en tu propio análisis y juicio.
En conclusión, el Indicador de Volatilidad Logarítmica es una herramienta de trading esencial que todo trader debe tener en su arsenal, especialmente cuando se enfrenta a mercados con baja volatilidad. Con su cálculo preciso de la volatilidad y su visualización fácil de entender, te ayudará a mejorar tus decisiones de trading y a maximizar tus ganancias incluso en situaciones donde los movimientos de precios son menos pronunciados. ¡Pruébalo hoy mismo y aprovecha su eficiencia en entornos de baja volatilidad!
Cobra's CryptoMarket VisualizerCobra's Crypto Market Screener is designed to provide a comprehensive overview of the top 40 marketcap cryptocurrencies in a table\heatmap format. This indicator incorporates essential metrics such as Beta, Alpha, Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, Omega Ratio, Z-Score, and Average Daily Range (ADR). The table utilizes cell coloring resembling a heatmap, allowing for quick visual analysis and comparison of multiple cryptocurrencies.
The indicator also includes a shortened explanation tooltip of each metric when hovering over it's respected cell. I shall elaborate on each here for anyone interested.
Metric Descriptions:
1. Beta: measures the sensitivity of an asset's returns to the overall market returns. It indicates how much the asset's price is likely to move in relation to a benchmark index. A beta of 1 suggests the asset moves in line with the market, while a beta greater than 1 implies the asset is more volatile, and a beta less than 1 suggests lower volatility.
2. Alpha: is a measure of the excess return generated by an investment compared to its expected return, given its risk (as indicated by its beta). It assesses the performance of an investment after adjusting for market risk. Positive alpha indicates outperformance, while negative alpha suggests underperformance.
3. Sharpe Ratio: measures the risk-adjusted return of an investment or portfolio. It evaluates the excess return earned per unit of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, as it reflects a higher return for each unit of volatility or risk.
4. Sortino Ratio: is a risk-adjusted measure similar to the Sharpe ratio but focuses only on downside risk. It considers the excess return per unit of downside volatility. The Sortino ratio emphasizes the risk associated with below-target returns and is particularly useful for assessing investments with asymmetric risk profiles.
5. Omega Ratio: measures the ratio of the cumulative average positive returns to the cumulative average negative returns. It assesses the reward-to-risk ratio by considering both upside and downside performance. A higher Omega ratio indicates a higher reward relative to the risk taken.
6. Z-Score: is a statistical measure that represents the number of standard deviations a data point is from the mean of a dataset. In finance, the Z-score is commonly used to assess the financial health or risk of a company. It quantifies the distance of a company's financial ratios from the average and provides insight into its relative position.
7. Average Daily Range: ADR represents the average range of price movement of an asset during a trading day. It measures the average difference between the high and low prices over a specific period. Traders use ADR to gauge the potential price range within which an asset might fluctuate during a typical trading session.
Utility:
Comprehensive Overview: The indicator allows for monitoring up to 40 cryptocurrencies simultaneously, providing a consolidated view of essential metrics in a single table.
Efficient Comparison: The heatmap-like coloring of the cells enables easy visual comparison of different cryptocurrencies, helping identify relative strengths and weaknesses.
Risk Assessment: Metrics such as Beta, Alpha, Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, and Omega Ratio offer insights into the risk associated with each cryptocurrency, aiding risk assessment and portfolio management decisions.
Performance Evaluation: The Alpha, Sharpe Ratio, and Sortino Ratio provide measures of a cryptocurrency's performance adjusted for risk. This helps assess investment performance over time and across different assets.
Market Analysis: By considering the Z-Score and Average Daily Range (ADR), traders can evaluate the financial health and potential price volatility of cryptocurrencies, aiding in trade selection and risk management.
Features:
Reference period optimization, alpha and ADR in particular
Source calculation
Table sizing and positioning options to fit the user's screen size.
Tooltips
Important Notes -
1. The Sharpe, Sortino and Omega ratios cell coloring threshold might be subjective, I did the best I can to gauge the median value of each to provide more accurate coloring sentiment, it may change in the future.
The median values are : Sharpe -1, Sortino - 1.5, Omega - 20.
2. Limitations - Some cryptos have a Z-Score value of NaN due to their short lifetime, I tried to overcome this issue as with the rest of the metrics as best I can. Moreover, it limits the time horizon for replay mode to somewhere around Q3 of 2021 and that's with using the split option of the top half, to remain with the older cryptos.
3. For the beginner Pine enthusiasts, I recommend scimming through the script as it serves as a prime example of using key features, to name a few : Arrays, User Defined Functions, User Defined Types, For loops, Switches and Tables.
4. Beta and Alpha's benchmark instrument is BTC, due to cryptos volatility I saw no reason to use SPY or any other asset for that matter.
Failed Breakdown Detection'Failed Breakdowns' are a popular set up for long entries.
In short, the set up requires:
1) A significant low is made ('initial low')
2) Initial low is undercut with a new low
3) Price action then 'reclaims' the initial low by moving +8-10 points from the initial low
This script aims at detecting such set ups. It was coded with the ES Futures 15 minute chart in mind but may be useful on other instruments and time frames.
Business Logic:
1) Uses pivot lows to detect 'significant' initial lows
2) Uses amplitude threshold to detect a new low beneath the initial low; used /u/ben_zen script for this
3) Looks for a valid reclaim - a green candle that occurs within 10 bars of the new low
4) Price must reclaim at least 8 points for the set up to be valid
5) If a signal is detected, the initial low value (pivot low) is stored in array that prevents duplicate signals from being generated.
6) FBD Signal is plotted on the chart with "X"
7) Pivot low detection is plotted on the chart with "P" and a label
8) New lows are plotted on the chart with a blue triangle
Notes:
User input
- My preference is to use the defaults as is, but as always feel free to experiment
- Can modify pivot length but in my experience 10/10 work best for pivot lows
- New low detection - 55 bars and 0.05 amplitude work well based on visual checks of signals
- Can modify the number of points needed to reclaim a low, and the # of bars limit under which this must occur.
Alerts:
- Alerts are available for detection of new lows and detection of failed breakdowns
- Alerts are also available for these signals but only during 7:30PM-4PM EST - 'prime time' US trading hours
Limitations:
- Current version of the script only compares new lows to the most recent pivot low, does not look at anything prior to that
- Best used as a discretionary signal
Visit /u/ben_zen's Profile:
www.tradingview.com
Profile Link www.tradingview.com
1+KillZoneLiteRemove plot line for a better view. I've made this to work on "US30 Global Prime" probably works on other pairs the codes left open to mod.
This Indicator shows 3 sessions to help you focus on timing. This will help you with learning pattern recognition aswell.
1. Gray zone is spreads. The gray zone will show up 30 min before spreads open up.
2. Blue is new york
3. Red is london reversal zone.
4. Look between the zones and also how price reacts within the zones and at what time.
5. This indicator also prints the sessions 1 day in advance to help with back testing aswell.
[MT Trader] Backtest template w/ Supertrend Strategy---EN: In this strategy template you will find some functions already pre-programmed to be used in your strategies to speed up the programming process, among them we can highlight the default stop loss and take profit functions, which will help to set easily and quickly, defining the price range in which we want to prevent large losses or protect our profits from unexpected market movements.
🔴 Stop Loss: Among the functions of the stop loss are the 4 most known, first we have the fixed percentage range (%) and price ($), when the price reaches this fixed price will limit the losses of the operation avoiding larger losses, then we have the average true range (ATR), a moving average of true range and X period that can give us good reference points to place our stop loss, finally the last point higher or lower is the most used by traders to place their stop loss.
In addition, the price range between the entry and stop loss can be converted into a trailing stop loss.
🟢 Take Profit: We have 3 options for take profit, just like stop loss, the fixed range of percentage(%) and price($), are available, in addition to this we have the 1:# ratio option, which multiplies by X number the range between the entry and stop loss to use it as take profit, perfect for strategies that use ATR or last high/low point for their strategy.
📈 Heikin Ashi Entrys: The heikin ashi entries are trades that are calculated based on heikin ashi candles but their price is executed in Japanese candles, thus avoiding the false results that occur in heikin candlestick charts, making that in certain cases better results are obtained in the strategies that are executed with this option compared to Japanese candlesticks.
📊 Dashboard: A more visual and organized way to see the results and data needed for our strategy.
Feel free to use this template to program your own strategies, if you find bugs or want to request a new feature let me know in the comments or through my telegram @hvert_mt
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
---ES: En esta plantilla de estrategia podrás encontrar algunas funciones ya pre-programadas para ser usadas en tus estrategias para acelerar procesos de programación, entre ellas podemos destacar las funciones por defecto de stop loss y take profit, que ayudaran a establecer de manera fácil y rápida, definiendo los rango de precio en los que queremos prevenirnos de perdidas grandes o proteger nuestras ganancias de movimientos inesperados del mercado.
🔴 Stop Loss: Entre las funciones del stop loss están las 4 más conocidas, en primer lugar tenemos el rango de porcentaje fijo(%) y el precio($), cuando el precio alcance este precio fijo se limitaran las perdidas de la operación evitando perdidas mas grandes, después tenemos el promedio de rango verdadero(ATR), una media móvil del rango verdadero y X periodo que nos puede dar buenos puntos de referencia para colocar nuestro stop loss, por ultimo el ultimo punto mas alto o mas bajo es de los mas usados por los traders para colocar su stop loss.
Adicional a esto, el rango de precio entre la entrada y el stop loss se puede convertir en un trailing stop loss.
🟢 Take Profit: Tenemos 3 opciones para take profit, al igual que en el stop loss, el rango fijo de porcentaje(%) y precio($) se encuentran disponibles, adicional a esto tenemos la opción de ratio 1:#, que multiplica por X numero el rango entre la entrada y el stop loss para usarlo como take profit, perfecto para estrategias que usen ATR o ultimo punto alto/bajo.
📈 Entradas Heikin Ashi: Las entradas Heikin Ashi son trades que son calculados en base a las velas Aeikin Ashi pero su precio esta ejecutado a velas japonesas, evitando así los falsos resultados que se producen en graficas de velas Heikin, esto haciendo que en ciertos casos se obtengan mejores resultados en las estrategias que son ejecutadas con esta opción en comparación con las velas japonesas.
📊 Panel de Control: Una manera mas visual y organizada de ver los resultados y datos necesarios de nuestra estrategia.
Siéntete libre de usar esta plantilla para programar tus propias estrategias, si encuentras errores o quieres solicitar una nueva función házmelo saber en los comentarios o a través de mi Telegram: @hvert_mt
All-in-one CPR indicator Introduction and Acknowledgement:
The script is basically a mashup script and provides a combined functionality of various indicators. I'll explain the usefulness and the optimal usage of the script after giving the credits where it is due. A CPR indicator for visually identifying the trend along with the strength of the trend is NOT available in the public library of TradingView. Hence, the need of this indicator.
The credit of creating the original indicators remain unknown to me but I would like to acknowledge the authors whose formulae and codes I have used for creating this mashup indicator.
- Frank Ochoa
- Guruprasad Meduri
- Rafael Zioni
- Stoked Stocks
- Pine team for default indicators
The prime focus of the script is identifying and simplifying the 2 main aspects of a trend:
1. Direction / Underlying trend
2. Strength of the trend
Flaws in traditional CPR:
Some may see this as a flaw, some may not. So take my opinion with a grain of salt. In general, the traditional CPR indicator is used to plot just support and resistance levels, and the trend identification is purely discretionary. In addition to this, there is no way to assess the strength of the move without using a dedicated volumed based indicator. This causes amateur traders to take counter trades to the market direction.
What is the need of this hybrid indicator?
A CPR indicator that also aids in visually identifying the trend and the strength of the trend with respect to the price action in NOT available in the public library of TradingView. The traditional CPR can be used to assess the rough direction of the market but if it combined with the Hull ribbon, the probability of identifying the trend increases manifold. Hence, I decided to create this mashup indicator.
In addition to the basic CPR pivots, the script provides the functionality of the following indicators:
1. HMA based trend ribbons with auto buy/sell signals
2. Volatility based bands - Bollinger bands, Keltner channel, Donchian channel, envelope.
3. Coloured volume candles to determine the strength of the trend
4. CPR with daily, weekly, and monthly levels
5. Previous day high/low
6. Tomorrow CPR
7. 3 Simple moving averages
8. Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
Correct usage of the indicator:
The optimal usage of the indicators consists of mainly 2 parts:
1. Identification of the trend using the combination of CPR and Hull ribbon
2. Determining the strength of the trend
How to identify the trend?
In general, when the price is above CPR it is considered a bullish trend. Also, when the price is above the Hull ribbon, it is considered bullish. Reverse is true for a bearish trend. Combining the traditional CPR logic with the Hull trend ribbon, we can conclude that:
1. Bullish trend = Price above CPR and above the Hull ribbon
2. Bearish trend = Price below CPR and below the Hull ribbon
If the Hull ribbon is showing a zig-zag move, the trend will be sideways. Also, the time frame of the Hull ribbon can be defined as per the need of the user.
Exhibit: Identification of a bullish trend
Exhibit: Identification of a bullish trend with a contra move (pullback)
Exhibit: Identification of a bearish trend
Exhibit: Identification of a bearish trend with a contra move (pullback)
How to determine the strength of the trend?
1. Strong trend = The dark coloured candles represent volume more than 150% of the look back period. For instance
2. Moderate trend = The bright coloured candles represent volume between 50-150%.
3. Neutral trend = The Grey coloured candles represent a weak trend where the volume is less than 50%.
Exhibit: Identification of a strong bearish trend along with the trend direction
Exhibit: Identification of a strong bullish trend using only coloured candles
All the other indicators including the SMA, VWAP, Bollinger bands, Keltner channels, etc. can be used as per the taste of the trader.
Thanks for reading! I hope you find this indicator useful.
Happy learning. Cheers!
Rajat Kumar Singh (@johntradingwick)
Community Manager (India), TradingView
Bitcoin Golden Pi CyclesTops are signaled by the fast top MA crossing above the slow top MA, and bottoms are signaled by the slow bottom MA crossing above the fast bottom MA. Alerts can be set on top and bottom prints. Does not repaint.
Similar to the work of Philip Swift regarding the Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top, I’ve recently come across a similar mathematically curious ratio that corresponds to Bitcoin cycle bottoms. This ratio was extracted from skirmantas’ Bitcoin Super Cycle indicator . Cycle bottoms are signaled when the 700D SMA crosses above the 137D SMA (because this indicator is closed source, these moving averages were reverse-engineered). Such crossings have historically coincided with the January 2015 and December 2018 bottoms. Also, although yet to be confirmed as a bottom, a cross occurred June 19, 2022 (two days prior to this article)
The original pi cycle uses the doubled 350D SMA and the 111D SMA . As pointed out this gives the original pi cycle top ratio:
350/111 = 3.1532 ≈ π
Also, as noted by Swift, 111 is the best integer for dividing 350 to approximate π. What is mathematically interesting about skirmanta’s ratio?
700/138 = 5.1095
After playing around with this for a while I realized that 5.11 is very close to the product of the two most numerologically significant geometrical constants, π and the golden ratio, ϕ:
πϕ = 5.0832
However, 138 turns out to be the best integer denominator to approximate πϕ:
700/138 = 5.0725 ≈ πϕ
This is what I’ve dubbed the Bitcoin Golden Pi Bottom Ratio.
In the spirit of numerology I must mention that 137 does have some things going for it: it’s a prime number and is very famously almost exactly the reciprocal of the fine structure constant (α is within 0.03% of 1/137).
Now why 350 and 700 and not say 360 and 720? After all, 360 is obviously much more numerologically significant than 350, which is proven by the fact that 360 has its own wikipedia page, and 350 does not! Using 360/115 and 720/142, which are also approximations of π and πϕ respectively, this also calls cycle tops and bottoms.
There are infinitely many such ratios that could work to approximate π and πϕ (although there are a finite number whose daily moving averages are defined). Further analysis is needed to find the range(s) of numerators (the numerator determines the denominator when maintaining the ratio) that correctly produce bottom and top signals.
MadriEsta estrategia fue creada por mi, basándose en el indicador bollinger bands+rsi y una ema , forexstrategiesresources me lo pasó a codigo y despues fue publicado en ChartArt y en la pagina web de forexstrategiesresources.
Ahora este script lo he modificado para optimizarlo para BTC /USDT en la temporalidad de 1 hora, os invito a ir cambiando temporalidades y valores para conseguir la mayor rentabilidad y, al igual que yo lo publico en codigo abierto os invito a que pongáis vuestros ajustes en los comentarios.
Los ajustes que se pueden cambiar para buscar mayor rentabilidad son en primer lugar "lo que se puede cambiar desde el mismo grafico" los valores "A" y "B".
Además, en el codigo el valor "RSIoverSold" y el "RSIoverBought" por mi experencia con menos de 30 no suele ir bien y con mas de 70 tampoco, el rango adecuado es de 29 a 49, incluidos.
Yo no he trasteado mucho pero también os invito a cambiar la fuente de entrada de "close" a "high", "open", "low"...
Recomiendo para la configuración ACTUAL mismo símbolo, mismos valores operar las señales Short cuando el precio este por debajo de la EMA de 900 y operar las Long cuando este por encima.
En otros símbolos la cosa cambia, hay que adaptarlo a cada cosa.
PSv5 Color Magic and Chart Theme SimulatorKEEP YOUR COINS FOLKS! I DON'T NEED THEM, DON'T WANT THEM. Many other talented authors on TV deserve them.
INTRODUCTION:
This is my "PSv5 Color Magic and Chart Theme Simulator" displayed using Pine Script version 5.0. The purpose of this PSv5 colorcator is to show vivid colors that are most suitable in my opinion for modifying or developing Pine scripts. Whether you are new to Pine or an experienced Pine poet, this should aid you in developing indicators with stunning color from the provided color list that is easily copied and pasted into any novel script you should possess. Whichever colors you choose, and how, is up to your imagination's capacity.
COMMENTARY:
I have a thesis. Pine essentially is a gigantor calculator with a lot of programmable bells and whistles to perform intense analytics. Zillions of numbers per day are blended up into another cornucopia of numbers to analyze. The thing is, ALL of those numbers are moot unless we can informatively portray them in various colorized forms with unique methods to point out significant numeric events. By graphically displaying them with specific modes of operation, only then do these numbers truly make any sense to us and become quantitatively beneficial.
I have to admit... I hate numbers. I never really liked them, even before I knew what an ema() was. Some days I almost can't stand them, and on occasion I feel they deserve to be flushed down the toilet at times. However, I'm a stickler for a proper gauge of measurements. Numbers are a mental burden, but they do have "purpose and meaning". That's where COLOR comes in! By applying color in specific ways in varying dynamic forms, we can generate smarter visual aids from these numerics. Numbers can be "transformed" into something colorful it wasn't before, into a tool, like a hammer. But we don't need a hammer, we need an impressive jack hammer for BIG problem solving that we could never achieve in the not to distant past.
As time goes on, we analytically measure more, and more, and more each year. It's necessary to our continual evolution. That's one significant difference between us and cave men, and the pertinent reason why we are quickly evolving as a species, while animals haven't. Humankind is gifted to enumerate very well AND blessed to see in color. We use it for innumerable things in the technological present for purpose and pleasure. Day in and day out, we take color for granted, because it's every where we can look. The fact is, color is the most important apparatus in humankind's existence EVER. We wouldn't have survived this far without it.
By utilizing color to it's grand potential, greater advancements can be attained while simultaneously being enjoyed visually. Once color is transformed from it's numeric origins into applicable tools, we can enjoy the style, elegance, and QUALITATIVE nature of the indication that can be forged. Quantities can't reveal all. Color on the other hand has a handy "quality" factor to it, often revealing things we can't ordinarily recognize. When high quality tools provide us with obtained goals, that's when we will realize how magical color truly is, always has been, and shall always be.
The future emerging economies and future financial vessels of people around the globe are going to be dependent on the secured construction of intelligent applications with a rock solid color foundation, not just math alone. I have no doubt about that. I can envision that with my eyes closed. To make an informed choice, it should be charted or graphed somehow prior to a final executive decision to trade. Going back to abysmal black and white with double decimal points placed next to cartoons within extinction doomed newspapers is not a viable option any more.
OBSERVATIONS AND UTILITY:
One thing you will notice is the code is very dense. Looks almost hideous right? Well, the variable naming is lengthy, but it's purpose is to be self explanatory, even for those who don't know how to program, YET. I'm simply not a notation enthusiast. My main intention was to provide clearly identifiable variables from their origin of assignment to their intended destination of use, clearly visible for anyone visiting. The empowerment of well versed words that are easier to understand, is a close rival to the prominent influence color has.
Secondly, I'm displaying hline() and label.new() as prime candidates to exemplify by demonstration how the "Power of Color" can be embraced with the "Power of Pine". Color in Pine has been extensively upgraded to serve novel purposes to accomplish next generation indicators that do and WILL come to exist. New functions included with PSv5 are color.rgb(), color.from_gradient(), color.r(), color.g(), color.b(), and color.t() to accompany color.new() in our mutual TV adventures. Keep in mind, the extreme agility of color also extends to line.new(), the "entirely new" linefill.new(), table.new(), bgcolor() and every other function that may utilize color.
There's a wide range of adjustability in Settings to make selections to see how they perform on different backgrounds, with their size and form. As you curiously toy with those, you're going to notice how some jump out like laser beams while others don't. Things that aren't visually appealing, still have very viable purposes, even if they don't stand out in the crowd. Often, that's preferable. The important thing is that when pertinent information relative to indication is crucial, you can program it with distinction from an assortment of a potential 1.67 million colors that can be created in Pine. "These" are my chosen favorite few, and I hope you adopt them.
PURPOSES:
For those of you who are new to Pine Script, this also may help you understand color hex/rgb and how it is utilized in Pine in a most effective manner. The most skilled of programmers can garner perks as well. There is countless examples of code diversity present here that are applicable in other scripts with adequate mutation. Any member has the freedom use any of this code in this script any way they see fit. It's specifically intended for all. There is absolutely no need for accreditation for any of this code reuse ever, in the present case. Don't worry about, I'm not.
The color_tostring() will be most valuable in troubleshooting color when using color.rgb() and becoming adept with it. I'm not going to be able to use color.rgb() without it. Chameleon indicators of the polychromatic variety are most likely going to be fine tuned with color_tostring() divulging it's results to label.new() or even table.new() maybe. One the best virtues of this script in chart, is when you hover over the generated labels, there's a hidden gift for those who truly wish to learn the intricate mechanics of diverse color in Pine. Settings has informative tooltips too.
AFTERTHOUGHTS:
Colors are most vibrant on the "Black Chart" which is the default, but it doesn't currently exist as a chart theme. With the extreme luminous intensity of LCDs in millicandela( mcd ), you may notice "Light" charts may saturate the colors making charts challenging to analyze. Because of this, I personally use "Dark Charts" and design my indicators specifically for these. I hope this provides inspiration for the future developers who are contemplating the creation of next generation indicators and how color may enhance their usefulness.
When available time provides itself, I will consider your inquiries, thoughts, and concepts presented below in the comments section, should you have any questions or comments regarding this indicator. When my indicators achieve more prevalent use by TV members , I may implement more ideas when they present themselves as worthy additions. Have a profitable future everyone!
Monte Carlo Range Forecast [DW]This is an experimental study designed to forecast the range of price movement from a specified starting point using a Monte Carlo simulation.
Monte Carlo experiments are a broad class of computational algorithms that utilize random sampling to derive real world numerical results.
These types of algorithms have a number of applications in numerous fields of study including physics, engineering, behavioral sciences, climate forecasting, computer graphics, gaming AI, mathematics, and finance.
Although the applications vary, there is a typical process behind the majority of Monte Carlo methods:
-> First, a distribution of possible inputs is defined.
-> Next, values are generated randomly from the distribution.
-> The values are then fed through some form of deterministic algorithm.
-> And lastly, the results are aggregated over some number of iterations.
In this study, the Monte Carlo process used generates a distribution of aggregate pseudorandom linear price returns summed over a user defined period, then plots standard deviations of the outcomes from the mean outcome generate forecast regions.
The pseudorandom process used in this script relies on a modified Wichmann-Hill pseudorandom number generator (PRNG) algorithm.
Wichmann-Hill is a hybrid generator that uses three linear congruential generators (LCGs) with different prime moduli.
Each LCG within the generator produces an independent, uniformly distributed number between 0 and 1.
The three generated values are then summed and modulo 1 is taken to deliver the final uniformly distributed output.
Because of its long cycle length, Wichmann-Hill is a fantastic generator to use on TV since it's extremely unlikely that you'll ever see a cycle repeat.
The resulting pseudorandom output from this generator has a minimum repetition cycle length of 6,953,607,871,644.
Fun fact: Wichmann-Hill is a widely used PRNG in various software applications. For example, Excel 2003 and later uses this algorithm in its RAND function, and it was the default generator in Python up to v2.2.
The generation algorithm in this script takes the Wichmann-Hill algorithm, and uses a multi-stage transformation process to generate the results.
First, a parent seed is selected. This can either be a fixed value, or a dynamic value.
The dynamic parent value is produced by taking advantage of Pine's timenow variable behavior. It produces a variable parent seed by using a frozen ratio of timenow/time.
Because timenow always reflects the current real time when frozen and the time variable reflects the chart's beginning time when frozen, the ratio of these values produces a new number every time the cache updates.
After a parent seed is selected, its value is then fed through a uniformly distributed seed array generator, which generates multiple arrays of pseudorandom "children" seeds.
The seeds produced in this step are then fed through the main generators to produce arrays of pseudorandom simulated outcomes, and a pseudorandom series to compare with the real series.
The main generators within this script are designed to (at least somewhat) model the stochastic nature of financial time series data.
The first step in this process is to transform the uniform outputs of the Wichmann-Hill into outputs that are normally distributed.
In this script, the transformation is done using an estimate of the normal distribution quantile function.
Quantile functions, otherwise known as percent-point or inverse cumulative distribution functions, specify the value of a random variable such that the probability of the variable being within the value's boundary equals the input probability.
The quantile equation for a normal probability distribution is μ + σ(√2)erf^-1(2(p - 0.5)) where μ is the mean of the distribution, σ is the standard deviation, erf^-1 is the inverse Gauss error function, and p is the probability.
Because erf^-1() does not have a simple, closed form interpretation, it must be approximated.
To keep things lightweight in this approximation, I used a truncated Maclaurin Series expansion for this function with precomputed coefficients and rolled out operations to avoid nested looping.
This method provides a decent approximation of the error function without completely breaking floating point limits or sucking up runtime memory.
Note that there are plenty of more robust techniques to approximate this function, but their memory needs very. I chose this method specifically because of runtime favorability.
To generate a pseudorandom approximately normally distributed variable, the uniformly distributed variable from the Wichmann-Hill algorithm is used as the input probability for the quantile estimator.
Now from here, we get a pretty decent output that could be used itself in the simulation process. Many Monte Carlo simulations and random price generators utilize a normal variable.
However, if you compare the outputs of this normal variable with the actual returns of the real time series, you'll find that the variability in shocks (random changes) doesn't quite behave like it does in real data.
This is because most real financial time series data is more complex. Its distribution may be approximately normal at times, but the variability of its distribution changes over time due to various underlying factors.
In light of this, I believe that returns behave more like a convoluted product distribution rather than just a raw normal.
So the next step to get our procedurally generated returns to more closely emulate the behavior of real returns is to introduce more complexity into our model.
Through experimentation, I've found that a return series more closely emulating real returns can be generated in a three step process:
-> First, generate multiple independent, normally distributed variables simultaneously.
-> Next, apply pseudorandom weighting to each variable ranging from -1 to 1, or some limits within those bounds. This modulates each series to provide more variability in the shocks by producing product distributions.
-> Lastly, add the results together to generate the final pseudorandom output with a convoluted distribution. This adds variable amounts of constructive and destructive interference to produce a more "natural" looking output.
In this script, I use three independent normally distributed variables multiplied by uniform product distributed variables.
The first variable is generated by multiplying a normal variable by one uniformly distributed variable. This produces a bit more tailedness (kurtosis) than a normal distribution, but nothing too extreme.
The second variable is generated by multiplying a normal variable by two uniformly distributed variables. This produces moderately greater tails in the distribution.
The third variable is generated by multiplying a normal variable by three uniformly distributed variables. This produces a distribution with heavier tails.
For additional control of the output distributions, the uniform product distributions are given optional limits.
These limits control the boundaries for the absolute value of the uniform product variables, which affects the tails. In other words, they limit the weighting applied to the normally distributed variables in this transformation.
All three sets are then multiplied by user defined amplitude factors to adjust presence, then added together to produce our final pseudorandom return series with a convoluted product distribution.
Once we have the final, more "natural" looking pseudorandom series, the values are recursively summed over the forecast period to generate a simulated result.
This process of generation, weighting, addition, and summation is repeated over the user defined number of simulations with different seeds generated from the parent to produce our array of initial simulated outcomes.
After the initial simulation array is generated, the max, min, mean and standard deviation of this array are calculated, and the values are stored in holding arrays on each iteration to be called upon later.
Reference difference series and price values are also stored in holding arrays to be used in our comparison plots.
In this script, I use a linear model with simple returns rather than compounding log returns to generate the output.
The reason for this is that in generating outputs this way, we're able to run our simulations recursively from the beginning of the chart, then apply scaling and anchoring post-process.
This allows a greater conservation of runtime memory than the alternative, making it more suitable for doing longer forecasts with heavier amounts of simulations in TV's runtime environment.
From our starting time, the previous bar's price, volatility, and optional drift (expected return) are factored into our holding arrays to generate the final forecast parameters.
After these parameters are computed, the range forecast is produced.
The basis value for the ranges is the mean outcome of the simulations that were run.
Then, quarter standard deviations of the simulated outcomes are added to and subtracted from the basis up to 3σ to generate the forecast ranges.
All of these values are plotted and colorized based on their theoretical probability density. The most likely areas are the warmest colors, and least likely areas are the coolest colors.
An information panel is also displayed at the starting time which shows the starting time and price, forecast type, parent seed value, simulations run, forecast bars, total drift, mean, standard deviation, max outcome, min outcome, and bars remaining.
The interesting thing about simulated outcomes is that although the probability distribution of each simulation is not normal, the distribution of different outcomes converges to a normal one with enough steps.
In light of this, the probability density of outcomes is highest near the initial value + total drift, and decreases the further away from this point you go.
This makes logical sense since the central path is the easiest one to travel.
Given the ever changing state of markets, I find this tool to be best suited for shorter term forecasts.
However, if the movements of price are expected to remain relatively stable, longer term forecasts may be equally as valid.
There are many possible ways for users to apply this tool to their analysis setups. For example, the forecast ranges may be used as a guide to help users set risk targets.
Or, the generated levels could be used in conjunction with other indicators for meaningful confluence signals.
More advanced users could even extrapolate the functions used within this script for various purposes, such as generating pseudorandom data to test systems on, perform integration and approximations, etc.
These are just a few examples of potential uses of this script. How you choose to use it to benefit your trading, analysis, and coding is entirely up to you.
If nothing else, I think this is a pretty neat script simply for the novelty of it.
----------
How To Use:
When you first add the script to your chart, you will be prompted to confirm the starting date and time, number of bars to forecast, number of simulations to run, and whether to include drift assumption.
You will also be prompted to confirm the forecast type. There are two types to choose from:
-> End Result - This uses the values from the end of the simulation throughout the forecast interval.
-> Developing - This uses the values that develop from bar to bar, providing a real-time outlook.
You can always update these settings after confirmation as well.
Once these inputs are confirmed, the script will boot up and automatically generate the forecast in a separate pane.
Note that if there is no bar of data at the time you wish to start the forecast, the script will automatically detect use the next available bar after the specified start time.
From here, you can now control the rest of the settings.
The "Seeding Settings" section controls the initial seed value used to generate the children that produce the simulations.
In this section, you can control whether the seed is a fixed value, or a dynamic one.
Since selecting the dynamic parent option will change the seed value every time you change the settings or refresh your chart, there is a "Regenerate" input built into the script.
This input is a dummy input that isn't connected to any of the calculations. The purpose of this input is to force an update of the dynamic parent without affecting the generator or forecast settings.
Note that because we're running a limited number of simulations, different parent seeds will typically yield slightly different forecast ranges.
When using a small number of simulations, you will likely see a higher amount of variance between differently seeded results because smaller numbers of sampled simulations yield a heavier bias.
The more simulations you run, the smaller this variance will become since the outcomes become more convergent toward the same distribution, so the differences between differently seeded forecasts will become more marginal.
When using a dynamic parent, pay attention to the dispersion of ranges.
When you find a set of ranges that is dispersed how you like with your configuration, set your fixed parent value to the parent seed that shows in the info panel.
This will allow you to replicate that dispersion behavior again in the future.
An important thing to note when settings alerts on the plotted levels, or using them as components for signals in other scripts, is to decide on a fixed value for your parent seed to avoid minor repainting due to seed changes.
When the parent seed is fixed, no repainting occurs.
The "Amplitude Settings" section controls the amplitude coefficients for the three differently tailed generators.
These amplitude factors will change the difference series output for each simulation by controlling how aggressively each series moves.
When "Adjust Amplitude Coefficients" is disabled, all three coefficients are set to 1.
Note that if you expect volatility to significantly diverge from its historical values over the forecast interval, try experimenting with these factors to match your anticipation.
The "Weighting Settings" section controls the weighting boundaries for the three generators.
These weighting limits affect how tailed the distributions in each generator are, which in turn affects the final series outputs.
The maximum absolute value range for the weights is . When "Limit Generator Weights" is disabled, this is the range that is automatically used.
The last set of inputs is the "Display Settings", where you can control the visual outputs.
From here, you can select to display either "Forecast" or "Difference Comparison" via the "Output Display Type" dropdown tab.
"Forecast" is the type displayed by default. This plots the end result or developing forecast ranges.
There is an option with this display type to show the developing extremes of the simulations. This option is enabled by default.
There's also an option with this display type to show one of the simulated price series from the set alongside actual prices.
This allows you to visually compare simulated prices alongside the real prices.
"Difference Comparison" allows you to visually compare a synthetic difference series from the set alongside the actual difference series.
This display method is primarily useful for visually tuning the amplitude and weighting settings of the generators.
There are also info panel settings on the bottom, which allow you to control size, colors, and date format for the panel.
It's all pretty simple to use once you get the hang of it. So play around with the settings and see what kinds of forecasts you can generate!
----------
ADDITIONAL NOTES & DISCLAIMERS
Although I've done a number of things within this script to keep runtime demands as low as possible, the fact remains that this script is fairly computationally heavy.
Because of this, you may get random timeouts when using this script.
This could be due to either random drops in available runtime on the server, using too many simulations, or running the simulations over too many bars.
If it's just a random drop in runtime on the server, hide and unhide the script, re-add it to the chart, or simply refresh the page.
If the timeout persists after trying this, then you'll need to adjust your settings to a less demanding configuration.
Please note that no specific claims are being made in regards to this script's predictive accuracy.
It must be understood that this model is based on randomized price generation with assumed constant drift and dispersion from historical data before the starting point.
Models like these not consider the real world factors that may influence price movement (economic changes, seasonality, macro-trends, instrument hype, etc.), nor the changes in sample distribution that may occur.
In light of this, it's perfectly possible for price data to exceed even the most extreme simulated outcomes.
The future is uncertain, and becomes increasingly uncertain with each passing point in time.
Predictive models of any type can vary significantly in performance at any point in time, and nobody can guarantee any specific type of future performance.
When using forecasts in making decisions, DO NOT treat them as any form of guarantee that values will fall within the predicted range.
When basing your trading decisions on any trading methodology or utility, predictive or not, you do so at your own risk.
No guarantee is being issued regarding the accuracy of this forecast model.
Forecasting is very far from an exact science, and the results from any forecast are designed to be interpreted as potential outcomes rather than anything concrete.
With that being said, when applied prudently and treated as "general case scenarios", forecast models like these may very well be potentially beneficial tools to have in the arsenal.
Price Action - Support & Resistance by DGTSᴜᴘᴘᴏʀᴛ ᴀɴᴅ Rᴇꜱɪꜱᴛᴀɴᴄᴇ , is undoubtedly one of the key concepts of technical analysis
█ Sᴜᴘᴘᴏʀᴛ ᴀɴᴅ Rᴇꜱɪꜱᴛᴀɴᴄᴇ Dᴇꜰɪɴɪᴛɪᴏɴ
Support and Resistance terms are used by traders to refer to price levels on charts that tend to act as barriers, preventing the price of an financial instrument from getting pushed in a certain direction.
A support level is a price level where buyers are more aggressive than sellers. This means that the price is more likely to "bounce" off this level rather than break through it. However, once the price has breached this level it is likely to continue falling until meeting another support level.
A resistance level is the opposite of a support level. It is where the price tends to find resistance as it rises. Again, this means that the price is more likely to "bounce" off this level rather than break through it. However, once the price has breached this level it is likely to continue rising until meeting another resistance level.
A previous support level will sometimes become a resistance level when the price attempts to move back up, and conversely, a resistance level will become a support level as the price temporarily falls back.
█ Iᴅᴇɴᴛɪꜰʏɪɴɢ Sᴜᴘᴘᴏʀᴛ ᴀɴᴅ Rᴇꜱɪꜱᴛᴀɴᴄᴇ
Support and resistance can come in various forms, and the concept is more difficult to master than it first appears. Identification of key support and resistance levels is an essential ingredient to successful technical analysis.
If the price stalls and reverses in the same price area on minimum of two different occasions, then a horizontal line is drawn to show that the market is struggling to move past that area. Those areas are static barriers, one of the most popular forms of support/resistance and are highlighted with horizontal lines.
Repeated test , the more often a support/resistance level is "tested" over an extended period of time (touched and bounced off by price), the more significance is given to that specific level
High volume , the more buying and selling that has occurred at a particular price level, the stronger the support or resistance level is likely to be
Market psychology , plays a major role as traders and investors remember the past and react to changing conditions to anticipate future market movement.
Psychological levels , is a price level that significantly affects the price of an underlying financial instrument. Typically, near round numbers often serve as support and resistance
The following support and resistance related topics are beyond the scope of this study, so they will be mentioned roughly only as a reference for support and resistance concept
Trendlines , Support and resistance levels in trends are dynamic. Throughout an uptrend, levels of support tend to look like a trendline, usually clustering around higher lows. As the price rises, the price where buyers consider the stock to be “too cheap” also changes, which creates new support levels on the way up. The same is also true for resistance levels. In an uptrend, a stock is continuously breaking through perceived resistance levels and making new highs
Moving Averages , is a constantly changing line that smooths out past price data while also allowing the trader to identify support and resistance. In the example Notice how the price of the asset finds support at the moving average when the trend is up, and how it acts as resistance when the trend is down
The Fibonacci Retracement/Extension tool , is a favorite among many short-term traders because it clearly identifies levels of potential support and resistance
Pivot Point Calculations , is another common technical analysis technique, where pivot point is calculated based on the high, low, and closing prices of previous trading session/day and support & resistance levels are projected based on the pivot point, different calculation techniques are available, as presented in this example of an pivot point indicator : PVTvX by DGT
█ Tʀᴀᴅɪɴɢ Bᴀꜱᴇᴅ ᴏɴ Sᴜᴘᴘᴏʀᴛ ᴀɴᴅ Rᴇꜱɪꜱᴛᴀɴᴄᴇ
Once an area or "zone" of support or resistance has been identified, those price levels can serve as potential entry or exit points because, as a price reaches a point of support or resistance, it will do one of two things—bounce back away from the support or resistance level (trading ranges), or violate the price level and continue in its direction (trading breakouts) —until it hits the next support or resistance level
The basic trading method for using support and resistance is to buy near support in uptrends or the parts of ranges or chart patterns where prices are moving up and to sell/sell short near resistance in downtrends or the parts of ranges and chart patterns where prices are moving down. Buying near support or selling near resistance can pay off, but there is no assurance that the support or resistance will hold. Therefore, consider waiting for some confirmation that the market is still respecting that area
Trading breakouts, a breakout is a potential trading opportunity that occurs when an asset's price moves above a resistance level or moves below a support level on increasing volume. The first step in trading breakouts is to identify current price trend patterns along with support and resistance levels in order to plan possible entry and exit points. Once the asset trades beyond the price barrier, volatility tends to increase and prices usually trend in the breakout's direction. Breakouts are such an important trading strategy since these setups are the starting point for future volatility increases, large price swings and, in many circumstances, major price trends. When trading breakouts, it is important to consider the underlying asset's support and resistance levels. The more times an asset price has touched these areas, the more valid these levels are and the more important they become. At the same time, the longer these support and resistance levels have been in play, the better the outcome when the asset price finally breaks out. Asset prices will often move slightly further than we expect them to. This doesn't happen all the time, but when it does it is called a false breakout. Therefore it is important to consider waiting for some confirmation while trading breakouts. It’s also popular for traders to sell 50% of their positions at the resistance level, and hold the rest in anticipation of a breakout above resistance
█ Pʀɪᴄᴇ Aᴄᴛɪᴏɴ - Sᴜᴘᴘᴏʀᴛ & Rᴇꜱɪꜱᴛᴀɴᴄᴇ ʙʏ DGT Sᴛᴜᴅʏ
This experimental study attempts to identify the support and resistance levels. Assumes a simple logic to discover moments where the price is rising or falling consecutively for minimum 3 bars with the condition volume increases on each bar and the last bar’s volume should be bigger than the long term volume moving average. A line will be drawn at the end of the move (highest or lowest, depending on the move direction), the line will be drawn at minimum on the 3rd bar and if condition holds for other consecutive bars the line will switch to 4th, 5th etc bar.
Lines will not be deleted so the historical ones will remain and will emphasis the levels significance when they overlap in feature. Strong levels are more likely to hold and cause the price to move in the other direction, whereas the minor levels may only cause the price to pause and keep moving in the same direction. Determining future levels of support and resistance can drastically improve the returns of a short-term investing strategy
Bar colors will be painted based on the volume of the specific bar to its long term volume moving average. This will help identifying the support and resistance levels significance and emphasis the sings of breakouts
Finally, Volume spikes will be marked on top of the price chart. A high volume usually indicates more interest in the security and the presence of institutional traders. However, a rapidly rising price in an uptrend accompanied by a huge volume may be a sign of exhaustion. Traders usually look for breaks of support and resistance to enter positions. When security break critical levels without volume , you should consider the breakout suspect and prime for a reversal off the highs/lows. Volume spikes are often the result of news-driven events. Volume spike will often lead to sharp reversals since the moves are unsustainable due to the imbalance of supply and demand
A good example with many support and resistance concepts observed on a stock chart and detected by the study
Settings:
Length of volume moving average, where volume moving average is used to detect support and resistance levels, is used as reference to compare with threshold values for volume spikes and colors of the bars
Hint, to get more historical lines scrolling chart to left will enable visualization of them. Please note they may appear to much all 500 line limit is used 😉
Special thanks to @HEMANT Telegram user, for his observations and suggestions
Disclaimer:
Trading success is all about following your trading strategy and the indicators should fit within your trading strategy, and not to be traded upon solely
The script is for informational and educational purposes only. Use of the script does not constitute professional and/or financial advice. You alone have the sole responsibility of evaluating the script output and risks associated with the use of the script. In exchange for using the script, you agree not to hold dgtrd TradingView user liable for any possible claim for damages arising from any decision you make based on use of the script
Pragmatic risk managementINTRO
The indicator is calculating multiple moving averages on the value of price change %. It then combines the normalized (via arctan function) values into a single normalized value (via simple average).
The total error from the center of gravity and the angle in which the error is accumulating represented by 4 waves:
BLUE = Good for chance for price to go up
GREEN = Good chance for price to continue going up
ORANGE = Good chance for price to go down
RED = Good chance for price to continue going down
A full cycle of ORANGE\RED\BLUE\GREEN colors will ideally lead to the exact same cycle, if not, try to understand why.
NOTICE-
This indicator is calculating large time-windows so It can be heavy on your device. Tested on PC browser only.
My visual setup:
1. Add two indicators on-top of each other and merge their scales (It will help out later).
2. Zoom out price chart to see the maximum possible data.
3. Set different colors for both indicators for simple visual seperation.
4. Choose 2 different values, one as high as possible and one as low as possible.
(Possible - the indicator remains effective at distinguishing the cycle).
Manual calibration:
0. Select a fixed chart resolution (2H resolution minimum recommended).
1. Change the "mul2" parameter in ranges between 4-15 .
2. Observe the "Turning points" of price movement. (Typically when RED\GREEN are about to switch.)
2. Perform a segmentation of time slices and find cycles. No need to be exact!
3. Draw a square on price movement at place and color as the dominant wave currently inside the indicator.
This procedure should lead to a full price segmentation with easier anchoring.
