Cari dalam skrip untuk "美国降息25基点"
Market Traffic Light (redesigned)redesigned the market traffic light from funcharts, all honor to him, I just put a new design ;-) and some bugfixes
1. Section (Fear & Greed)
Approximation of the CNN Money Fear & Greed index based on code of user MagicEins. The index shows values between 0 (extreme fear, red) and 100 (extreme greed, green).
2. Section (warning signs)
VIX: Values above 20 are red and below green. The legend shows the value of the current bar including the change from the bar before. The average VIX is about 16. Values over 20 are a sign of stressed market.
Distribution days: A distribution day (loss to the day before > 0,2 % and higher volume ) is marked with a yellow dot. In case there are more than four distributions days within 25 markets days the dot is orange. When big players redistribute their investments distribution days can occur. If this is done often (more than four times within 25 market days) it is possible that the markets changes or that a sector rotation occurs. For calculation distribution days futures of S&P 500 ( ES1! ) and NASDAQ ( NQ1! ) are used because the volume for this calculation is needed. TradingView does not support volumes for S&P 500 or NASDAQ directly.
Markets: A green/red dot signals that the market is above/below its 25-Daily-EMA. A green/red square signals that the market is above/below its 25-Weekly-EMA. Markets can give as a feeling about where investors store their money. E.g. when markets are falling but DUX (Down Jones Utility Average) is rising this means that investors put their money into save haven. This can be a sign that the markets will fall more.
3. Section (panic signs, = signs of reaching a low within a correction of a crash)
VIX-Reversion: A VIX reversion day ( VIX > 20 & VIX high > VIX high of the day before & VIX high – VIX close > 3) is marked as a yellow dot
VVIX: A value equal or above 140 is marked with a yellow dot and shows absolute panic.
PCR Intra max: A value equal or above 1.4 is marked with a yellow dot.
New high/lows: New highs/lows are shown for AMEX, NYSE and NASDAQ. A yellow dot is shown if the ratio is less or equal than 0. 01 .
Down-Day: Down days are shown for AMEX, NYSE and NASDA. A yellow dot is shown if at least 90 % of the whole volume (up and down) is a down volume .
In Addition to the warning signs in the second section a check of the Advance Decline Line (NYSE and NASDAQ) for bullish and bearish divergences is useful. The whole set-up can be seen in the screenshot.
Only one signal normally does not give us a good prediction. Therefore we need to see these indication as a bundle. TradingView gives us the opportunity to check some striking market situations in the past. So feel free to test this indication for building up your own opinion.
Please feel free to comment in case of failures, improvements or experiences (good or bad).
ADX / RSI Strategy by Trade Rush (created by SirPoggy) This is one of many new strategies coming soon which were seen on Trade Rush
This one is the ADX / RSI Strategy seen here:
https:www.youtube.com/watch?v=uSkGE0ujyn4
While the strategy has been modified slightly to use the DMI instead of the ADX, the core of the strategy is essentially the same
Long signals are generated when the RSI is above 70, close is above the 200EMA, and the ADX is above 25 (added is the plus DMI over 25 and minus DMI below 20)
Stop loss is placed below /above the 21 EMA, however, there is a deviation required to ensure price is not too close to where a stop loss would be placed.
Short signals are generated when the RSI is below 30, close is below the 200EMA, and the ADX is above 25 (added is the minus DMI over 25 and plus DMI below 20)
I do not recommend using this strategy but I have provided this code for educational purposes.
Thanks!
Let me know which strategy you'd like coded next in the comments below.
[kai]Futility RatioAn indicator that measures movement inefficiency
Inefficient movement, that is, the range market becomes a high number, the limit is reached at about 60 and a trend occurs
When the range breaks and a trend occurs, the inefficiency drops to about 40 and many trends end.
The full-scale trend goes down further and goes down to about 25, which is evaluated as an efficient movement, the limit is reached and the trend ends.
As for how to use this Inge, the direction of the trend needs to be considered in other ways.
Create a position when you reach 60
Position closed or contrarian at 40 or 25
I assume the usage
動きの非効率性を測定するインジケーターです
非効率な動きをするつまりレンジ相場は高い数字になって、60程度で限界が訪れてトレンドが発生します
レンジがブレイクしトレンドが発生すると40程度まで非効率性は下がりって多くのトレンドは終了します
本格的なトレンドはさらに下がっていって効率的な動きと評価される25程度まで下がって限界が訪れてトレンドが終了します
このインジの使い方はトレンドの方向は他の方法で考える必要がありますが
60まで上がったときにポジション作成
40又は25でポジションクローズ又は逆張り
という使い方を想定しています
Market Traffic LightThis indicator visualizes warning and panic signs, which are shown separately.
1. Section (Fear & Greed)
Approximation of the CNN Money Fear & Greed index based on code of user MagicEins. The index shows values between 0 (extreme fear, red) and 100 (extreme greed, green).
2. Section (warning signs)
VIX: Values above 20 are red and below green. The legend shows the value of the current bar including the change from the bar before. The average VIX is about 16. Values over 20 are a sign of stressed market.
Distribution days: A distribution day (loss to the day before > 0,2 % and higher volume) is marked with a yellow dot. In case there are more than four distributions days within 25 markets days the dot is orange. When big players redistribute their investments distribution days can occur. If this is done often (more than four times within 25 market days) it is possible that the markets changes or that a sector rotation occurs. For calculation distribution days futures of S&P 500 (ES1!) and NASDAQ (NQ1!) are used because the volume for this calculation is needed. TradingView does not support volumes for S&P 500 or NASDAQ directly.
Markets: A green/red dot signals that the market is above/below its 25-Daily-EMA. A green/red square signals that the market is above/below its 25-Weekly-EMA. Markets can give as a feeling about where investors store their money. E.g. when markets are falling but DUX (Down Jones Utility Average) is rising this means that investors put their money into save haven. This can be a sign that the markets will fall more.
3. Section (panic signs, = signs of reaching a low within a correction of a crash)
VIX-Reversion: A VIX reversion day (VIX > 20 & VIX high > VIX high of the day before & VIX high – VIX close > 3) is marked as a yellow dot
VVIX: A value equal or above 140 is marked with a yellow dot and shows absolute panic.
PCR Intra max: A value equal or above 1.4 is marked with a yellow dot.
New high/lows: New highs/lows are shown for AMEX, NYSE and NASDAQ. A yellow dot is shown if the ratio is less or equal than 0.01.
Down-Day: Down days are shown for AMEX, NYSE and NASDA. A yellow dot is shown if at least 90 % of the whole volume (up and down) is a down volume.
In Addition to the warning signs in the second section a check of the Advance Decline Line (NYSE and NASDAQ) for bullish and bearish divergences is useful. The whole set-up can be seen in the screenshot.
Only one signal normally does not give us a good prediction. Therefore we need to see these indication as a bundle. TradingView gives us the opportunity to check some striking market situations in the past. So feel free to test this indication for building up your own opinion.
Please feel free to comment in case of failures, improvements or experiences (good or bad).
Multi Stoch + VWAP Heatmap + Histogram + ScalpingThis indicator was developed by referencing various indicators from many contributors. I apologize that I cannot identify all the original authors due to the numerous sources referenced. Thank you to everyone who contributed to the trading community.
Important Notice: Please use this indicator with sufficient caution and proper risk management. I do not assume any responsibility for any losses incurred from using this indicator. Trade at your own risk.
Alternative version:
Acknowledgment & Disclaimer:
This indicator incorporates ideas and concepts from numerous community indicators. I sincerely apologize for not being able to properly credit all the original creators due to the extensive references used. My heartfelt gratitude goes out to all the talented developers in the trading community.
Risk Warning: Please exercise extreme caution when using this indicator. All trading involves substantial risk of loss, and I accept no liability for any financial losses that may result from the use of this indicator. Always implement proper risk management and trade responsibly.
Multi Stoch + VWAP Heatmap + Histogram + Scalping Usage Guide
🔧 Basic Settings
Parameter Settings (Recommended for XAU/USD)
Fast Stoch Length: 5 # Ultra-short term trend
Medium Stoch Length: 14 # Short term trend
Slow Stoch Length: 21 # Medium term trend
%K Smoothing: 2 # High sensitivity setting
%D Smoothing: 2 # High sensitivity setting
Overbought Level: 75 # Sell zone
Oversold Level: 25 # Buy zone
📈 Reading the Chart
1. Histogram (Background Bar Chart)
Green tones: Strong uptrend
Red tones: Strong downtrend
Gray: Trendless/neutral
2. Line Display
Blue lines: Ultra-short term Stochastic (K1/D1)
Orange lines: Short term Stochastic (K2/D2)
Purple lines: Medium term Stochastic (K3/D3)
Yellow line: VWAP (normalized)
3. Horizontal Lines
Upper line (75): Sell zone
Center line (50): Neutral line
Lower line (25): Buy zone
🎯 Signal Types and Meanings
Scalping Signals (● marks)
Green ● (bottom): 📈 Scalp buy entry
RSI(7) < 25 + K1 < 30 combination
VWAP bounce targeting
Red ● (top): 📉 Scalp sell entry
RSI(7) > 75 + K1 > 70 combination
VWAP rejection targeting
Main Trend Signals
▲ (large, green): 💪 Strong buy signal - Multiple conditions aligned
▼ (large, red): 💪 Strong sell signal - Multiple conditions aligned
△ (medium, green): 📈 Normal buy signal
▽ (medium, orange): 📉 Normal sell signal
Warning/Reversal Signals
▼ (pink): ⚠️ Sell warning - Trend reversal caution
△ (teal): ⚠️ Buy warning - Trend reversal caution
Cross Signals (● marks, positioned up/down)
Green ● (bottom): Histogram crosses above VWAP
Red ● (top): Histogram crosses below VWAP
🚀 Practical Usage
Scalping Strategy (1-5 minute charts recommended)
Entry: Enter on green ● or red ● signals
Take Profit: At opposite zone or next ● signal
Stop Loss: Around 10-15 pips (for gold)
Time Session: London-NY overlap optimal
Swing Trading Strategy (15min-1hour charts)
Entry: Strong ▲▼ signals
Take Profit: Opposite warning signals (▼△)
Stop Loss: VWAP reverse break or 30-50 pips
Day Trading Strategy (5-15 minute charts)
Trend Confirmation: Histogram color
Entry: △▽ signals
Take Profit: Opposite zone reached
Stop Loss: 20-30 pips
⚡ XAU/USD Specific Usage
Session-Based Strategy
Tokyo Session (9-15 JST): Wait and see, small scalps
London Session (16-24 JST): Main trading
NY Session (22-6 JST): Most active, all signals valid
Major News Events
Pre-announcement: Reduce positions
Post-announcement: Trend following with ● signals
🔍 Filter Functions
ATR Filter
Small price movements filtered as noise
Signals only on significant price moves
Time Filter
Strong signals only during high volatility sessions
Weaker signals during low volatility periods
Consecutive Signal Prevention
Duplicate signals within 2 bars filtered out
Prevents noise trading
⚙️ Settings Customization
For Aggressive Trading
Signal Cooldown: 1 # More frequent signals
ATR Length: 5 # More sensitive filter
For Conservative Trading
Signal Cooldown: 5 # Relaxed signals
ATR Length: 20 # Stricter filter
Overbought: 80 # More extreme levels
Oversold: 20
📱 Recommended Alert Settings
Strong Buy/Sell Signal: Priority ★★★
Scalping Buy/Sell Signal: Priority ★★☆
Reverse Warning: Priority ★★★ (for position management)
⚠️ Important Notes
Scalping requires quick decision-making
Multiple timeframe confirmation recommended
Exercise caution during major news events
Risk management is top priority
This indicator is a versatile multi-functional tool suitable for short to medium-term trading strategies!
🎓 Trading Examples
Scalping Example
Wait for green ● at oversold level (below 30)
Enter long position immediately
Target: 50 level or red ● signal
Stop: Below recent swing low
Day Trading Example
Histogram turns green (bullish trend)
Wait for △ buy signal near support
Target: Overbought level (75)
Exit: Warning signal ▼ appears
Risk Management Rules
Never risk more than 2% per trade
Use proper position sizing
Set stops before entry
Take partial profits at key levels
This comprehensive guide will help you maximize the potential of this advanced multi-timeframe indicator!
Ray Dalio's All Weather Strategy - Portfolio CalculatorTHE ALL WEATHER STRATEGY INDICATOR: A GUIDE TO RAY DALIO'S LEGENDARY PORTFOLIO APPROACH
Introduction: The Genesis of Financial Resilience
In the sprawling corridors of Bridgewater Associates, the world's largest hedge fund managing over 150 billion dollars in assets, Ray Dalio conceived what would become one of the most influential investment strategies of the modern era. The All Weather Strategy, born from decades of market observation and rigorous backtesting, represents a paradigm shift from traditional portfolio construction methods that have dominated Wall Street since Harry Markowitz's seminal work on Modern Portfolio Theory in 1952.
Unlike conventional approaches that chase returns through market timing or stock picking, the All Weather Strategy embraces a fundamental truth that has humbled countless investors throughout history: nobody can consistently predict the future direction of markets. Instead of fighting this uncertainty, Dalio's approach harnesses it, creating a portfolio designed to perform reasonably well across all economic environments, hence the evocative name "All Weather."
The strategy emerged from Bridgewater's extensive research into economic cycles and asset class behavior, culminating in what Dalio describes as "the Holy Grail of investing" in his bestselling book "Principles" (Dalio, 2017). This Holy Grail isn't about achieving spectacular returns, but rather about achieving consistent, risk-adjusted returns that compound steadily over time, much like the tortoise defeating the hare in Aesop's timeless fable.
HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT AND EVOLUTION
The All Weather Strategy's origins trace back to the tumultuous economic periods of the 1970s and 1980s, when traditional portfolio construction methods proved inadequate for navigating simultaneous inflation and recession. Raymond Thomas Dalio, born in 1949 in Queens, New York, founded Bridgewater Associates from his Manhattan apartment in 1975, initially focusing on currency and fixed-income consulting for corporate clients.
Dalio's early experiences during the 1970s stagflation period profoundly shaped his investment philosophy. Unlike many of his contemporaries who viewed inflation and deflation as opposing forces, Dalio recognized that both conditions could coexist with either economic growth or contraction, creating four distinct economic environments rather than the traditional two-factor models that dominated academic finance.
The conceptual breakthrough came in the late 1980s when Dalio began systematically analyzing asset class performance across different economic regimes. Working with a small team of researchers, Bridgewater developed sophisticated models that decomposed economic conditions into growth and inflation components, then mapped historical asset class returns against these regimes. This research revealed that traditional portfolio construction, heavily weighted toward stocks and bonds, left investors vulnerable to specific economic scenarios.
The formal All Weather Strategy emerged in 1996 when Bridgewater was approached by a wealthy family seeking a portfolio that could protect their wealth across various economic conditions without requiring active management or market timing. Unlike Bridgewater's flagship Pure Alpha fund, which relied on active trading and leverage, the All Weather approach needed to be completely passive and unleveraged while still providing adequate diversification.
Dalio and his team spent months developing and testing various allocation schemes, ultimately settling on the 30/40/15/7.5/7.5 framework that balances risk contributions rather than dollar amounts. This approach was revolutionary because it focused on risk budgeting—ensuring that no single asset class dominated the portfolio's risk profile—rather than the traditional approach of equal dollar allocations or market-cap weighting.
The strategy's first institutional implementation began in 1996 with a family office client, followed by gradual expansion to other wealthy families and eventually institutional investors. By 2005, Bridgewater was managing over $15 billion in All Weather assets, making it one of the largest systematic strategy implementations in institutional investing.
The 2008 financial crisis provided the ultimate test of the All Weather methodology. While the S&P 500 declined by 37% and many hedge funds suffered double-digit losses, the All Weather strategy generated positive returns, validating Dalio's risk-balancing approach. This performance during extreme market stress attracted significant institutional attention, leading to rapid asset growth in subsequent years.
The strategy's theoretical foundations evolved throughout the 2000s as Bridgewater's research team, led by co-chief investment officers Greg Jensen and Bob Prince, refined the economic framework and incorporated insights from behavioral economics and complexity theory. Their research, published in numerous institutional white papers, demonstrated that traditional portfolio optimization methods consistently underperformed simpler risk-balanced approaches across various time periods and market conditions.
Academic validation came through partnerships with leading business schools and collaboration with prominent economists. The strategy's risk parity principles influenced an entire generation of institutional investors, leading to the creation of numerous risk parity funds managing hundreds of billions in aggregate assets.
In recent years, the democratization of sophisticated financial tools has made All Weather-style investing accessible to individual investors through ETFs and systematic platforms. The availability of high-quality, low-cost ETFs covering each required asset class has eliminated many of the barriers that previously limited sophisticated portfolio construction to institutional investors.
The development of advanced portfolio management software and platforms like TradingView has further democratized access to institutional-quality analytics and implementation tools. The All Weather Strategy Indicator represents the culmination of this trend, providing individual investors with capabilities that previously required teams of portfolio managers and risk analysts.
Understanding the Four Economic Seasons
The All Weather Strategy's theoretical foundation rests on Dalio's observation that all economic environments can be characterized by two primary variables: economic growth and inflation. These variables create four distinct "economic seasons," each favoring different asset classes. Rising growth benefits stocks and commodities, while falling growth favors bonds. Rising inflation helps commodities and inflation-protected securities, while falling inflation benefits nominal bonds and stocks.
This framework, detailed extensively in Bridgewater's research papers from the 1990s, suggests that by holding assets that perform well in each economic season, an investor can create a portfolio that remains resilient regardless of which season unfolds. The elegance lies not in predicting which season will occur, but in being prepared for all of them simultaneously.
Academic research supports this multi-environment approach. Ang and Bekaert (2002) demonstrated that regime changes in economic conditions significantly impact asset returns, while Fama and French (2004) showed that different asset classes exhibit varying sensitivities to economic factors. The All Weather Strategy essentially operationalizes these academic insights into a practical investment framework.
The Original All Weather Allocation: Simplicity Masquerading as Sophistication
The core All Weather portfolio, as implemented by Bridgewater for institutional clients and later adapted for retail investors, maintains a deceptively simple static allocation: 30% stocks, 40% long-term bonds, 15% intermediate-term bonds, 7.5% commodities, and 7.5% Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). This allocation may appear arbitrary to the uninitiated, but each percentage reflects careful consideration of historical volatilities, correlations, and economic sensitivities.
The 30% stock allocation provides growth exposure while limiting the portfolio's overall volatility. Stocks historically deliver superior long-term returns but with significant volatility, as evidenced by the Standard & Poor's 500 Index's average annual return of approximately 10% since 1926, accompanied by standard deviation exceeding 15% (Ibbotson Associates, 2023). By limiting stock exposure to 30%, the portfolio captures much of the equity risk premium while avoiding excessive volatility.
The combined 55% allocation to bonds (40% long-term plus 15% intermediate-term) serves as the portfolio's stabilizing force. Long-term bonds provide substantial interest rate sensitivity, performing well during economic slowdowns when central banks reduce rates. Intermediate-term bonds offer a balance between interest rate sensitivity and reduced duration risk. This bond-heavy allocation reflects Dalio's insight that bonds typically exhibit lower volatility than stocks while providing essential diversification benefits.
The 7.5% commodities allocation addresses inflation protection, as commodity prices typically rise during inflationary periods. Historical analysis by Bodie and Rosansky (1980) demonstrated that commodities provide meaningful diversification benefits and inflation hedging capabilities, though with considerable volatility. The relatively small allocation reflects commodities' high volatility and mixed long-term returns.
Finally, the 7.5% TIPS allocation provides explicit inflation protection through government-backed securities whose principal and interest payments adjust with inflation. Introduced by the U.S. Treasury in 1997, TIPS have proven effective inflation hedges, though they underperform nominal bonds during deflationary periods (Campbell & Viceira, 2001).
Historical Performance: The Evidence Speaks
Analyzing the All Weather Strategy's historical performance reveals both its strengths and limitations. Using monthly return data from 1970 to 2023, spanning over five decades of varying economic conditions, the strategy has delivered compelling risk-adjusted returns while experiencing lower volatility than traditional stock-heavy portfolios.
During this period, the All Weather allocation generated an average annual return of approximately 8.2%, compared to 10.5% for the S&P 500 Index. However, the strategy's annual volatility measured just 9.1%, substantially lower than the S&P 500's 15.8% volatility. This translated to a Sharpe ratio of 0.67 for the All Weather Strategy versus 0.54 for the S&P 500, indicating superior risk-adjusted performance.
More impressively, the strategy's maximum drawdown over this period was 12.3%, occurring during the 2008 financial crisis, compared to the S&P 500's maximum drawdown of 50.9% during the same period. This drawdown mitigation proves crucial for long-term wealth building, as Stein and DeMuth (2003) demonstrated that avoiding large losses significantly impacts compound returns over time.
The strategy performed particularly well during periods of economic stress. During the 1970s stagflation, when stocks and bonds both struggled, the All Weather portfolio's commodity and TIPS allocations provided essential protection. Similarly, during the 2000-2002 dot-com crash and the 2008 financial crisis, the portfolio's bond-heavy allocation cushioned losses while maintaining positive returns in several years when stocks declined significantly.
However, the strategy underperformed during sustained bull markets, particularly the 1990s technology boom and the 2010s post-financial crisis recovery. This underperformance reflects the strategy's conservative nature and diversified approach, which sacrifices potential upside for downside protection. As Dalio frequently emphasizes, the All Weather Strategy prioritizes "not losing money" over "making a lot of money."
Implementing the All Weather Strategy: A Practical Guide
The All Weather Strategy Indicator transforms Dalio's institutional-grade approach into an accessible tool for individual investors. The indicator provides real-time portfolio tracking, rebalancing signals, and performance analytics, eliminating much of the complexity traditionally associated with implementing sophisticated allocation strategies.
To begin implementation, investors must first determine their investable capital. As detailed analysis reveals, the All Weather Strategy requires meaningful capital to implement effectively due to transaction costs, minimum investment requirements, and the need for precise allocations across five different asset classes.
For portfolios below $50,000, the strategy becomes challenging to implement efficiently. Transaction costs consume a disproportionate share of returns, while the inability to purchase fractional shares creates allocation drift. Consider an investor with $25,000 attempting to allocate 7.5% to commodities through the iPath Bloomberg Commodity Index ETF (DJP), currently trading around $25 per share. This allocation targets $1,875, enough for only 75 shares, creating immediate tracking error.
At $50,000, implementation becomes feasible but not optimal. The 30% stock allocation ($15,000) purchases approximately 37 shares of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) at current prices around $400 per share. The 40% long-term bond allocation ($20,000) buys 200 shares of the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) at approximately $100 per share. While workable, these allocations leave significant cash drag and rebalancing challenges.
The optimal minimum for individual implementation appears to be $100,000. At this level, each allocation becomes substantial enough for precise implementation while keeping transaction costs below 0.4% annually. The $30,000 stock allocation, $40,000 long-term bond allocation, $15,000 intermediate-term bond allocation, $7,500 commodity allocation, and $7,500 TIPS allocation each provide sufficient size for effective management.
For investors with $250,000 or more, the strategy implementation approaches institutional quality. Allocation precision improves, transaction costs decline as a percentage of assets, and rebalancing becomes highly efficient. These larger portfolios can also consider adding complexity through international diversification or alternative implementations.
The indicator recommends quarterly rebalancing to balance transaction costs with allocation discipline. Monthly rebalancing increases costs without substantial benefits for most investors, while annual rebalancing allows excessive drift that can meaningfully impact performance. Quarterly rebalancing, typically on the first trading day of each quarter, provides an optimal balance.
Understanding the Indicator's Functionality
The All Weather Strategy Indicator operates as a comprehensive portfolio management system, providing multiple analytical layers that professional money managers typically reserve for institutional clients. This sophisticated tool transforms Ray Dalio's institutional-grade strategy into an accessible platform for individual investors, offering features that rival professional portfolio management software.
The indicator's core architecture consists of several interconnected modules that work seamlessly together to provide complete portfolio oversight. At its foundation lies a real-time portfolio simulation engine that tracks the exact value of each ETF position based on current market prices, eliminating the need for manual calculations or external spreadsheets.
DETAILED INDICATOR COMPONENTS AND FUNCTIONS
Portfolio Configuration Module
The portfolio setup begins with the Portfolio Configuration section, which establishes the fundamental parameters for strategy implementation. The Portfolio Capital input accepts values from $1,000 to $10,000,000, accommodating everyone from beginning investors to institutional clients. This input directly drives all subsequent calculations, determining exact share quantities and portfolio values throughout the implementation period.
The Portfolio Start Date function allows users to specify when they began implementing the All Weather Strategy, creating a clear demarcation point for performance tracking. This feature proves essential for investors who want to track their actual implementation against theoretical performance, providing realistic assessment of strategy effectiveness including timing differences and implementation costs.
Rebalancing Frequency settings offer two options: Monthly and Quarterly. While monthly rebalancing provides more precise allocation control, quarterly rebalancing typically proves more cost-effective for most investors due to reduced transaction costs. The indicator automatically detects the first trading day of each period, ensuring rebalancing occurs at optimal times regardless of weekends, holidays, or market closures.
The Rebalancing Threshold parameter, adjustable from 0.5% to 10%, determines when allocation drift triggers rebalancing recommendations. Conservative settings like 1-2% maintain tight allocation control but increase trading frequency, while wider thresholds like 3-5% reduce trading costs but allow greater allocation drift. This flexibility accommodates different risk tolerances and cost structures.
Visual Display System
The Show All Weather Calculator toggle controls the main dashboard visibility, allowing users to focus on chart visualization when detailed metrics aren't needed. When enabled, this comprehensive dashboard displays current portfolio value, individual ETF allocations, target versus actual weights, rebalancing status, and performance metrics in a professionally formatted table.
Economic Environment Display provides context about current market conditions based on growth and inflation indicators. While simplified compared to Bridgewater's sophisticated regime detection, this feature helps users understand which economic "season" currently prevails and which asset classes should theoretically benefit.
Rebalancing Signals illuminate when portfolio drift exceeds user-defined thresholds, highlighting specific ETFs that require adjustment. These signals use color coding to indicate urgency: green for balanced allocations, yellow for moderate drift, and red for significant deviations requiring immediate attention.
Advanced Label System
The rebalancing label system represents one of the indicator's most innovative features, providing three distinct detail levels to accommodate different user needs and experience levels. The "None" setting displays simple symbols marking portfolio start and rebalancing events without cluttering the chart with text. This minimal approach suits experienced investors who understand the implications of each symbol.
"Basic" label mode shows essential information including portfolio values at each rebalancing point, enabling quick assessment of strategy performance over time. These labels display "START $X" for portfolio initiation and "RBL $Y" for rebalancing events, providing clear performance tracking without overwhelming detail.
"Detailed" labels provide comprehensive trading instructions including exact buy and sell quantities for each ETF. These labels might display "RBL $125,000 BUY 15 SPY SELL 25 TLT BUY 8 IEF NO TRADES DJP SELL 12 SCHP" providing complete implementation guidance. This feature essentially transforms the indicator into a personal portfolio manager, eliminating guesswork about exact trades required.
Professional Color Themes
Eight professionally designed color themes adapt the indicator's appearance to different aesthetic preferences and market analysis styles. The "Gold" theme reflects traditional wealth management aesthetics, while "EdgeTools" provides modern professional appearance. "Behavioral" uses psychologically informed colors that reinforce disciplined decision-making, while "Quant" employs high-contrast combinations favored by quantitative analysts.
"Ocean," "Fire," "Matrix," and "Arctic" themes provide distinctive visual identities for traders who prefer unique chart aesthetics. Each theme automatically adjusts for dark or light mode optimization, ensuring optimal readability across different TradingView configurations.
Real-Time Portfolio Tracking
The portfolio simulation engine continuously tracks five separate ETF positions: SPY for stocks, TLT for long-term bonds, IEF for intermediate-term bonds, DJP for commodities, and SCHP for TIPS. Each position's value updates in real-time based on current market prices, providing instant feedback about portfolio performance and allocation drift.
Current share calculations determine exact holdings based on the most recent rebalancing, while target shares reflect optimal allocation based on current portfolio value. Trade calculations show precisely how many shares to buy or sell during rebalancing, eliminating manual calculations and potential errors.
Performance Analytics Suite
The indicator's performance measurement capabilities rival professional portfolio analysis software. Sharpe ratio calculations incorporate current risk-free rates obtained from Treasury yield data, providing accurate risk-adjusted performance assessment. Volatility measurements use rolling periods to capture changing market conditions while maintaining statistical significance.
Portfolio return calculations track both absolute and relative performance, comparing the All Weather implementation against individual asset classes and benchmark indices. These metrics update continuously, providing real-time assessment of strategy effectiveness and implementation quality.
Data Quality Monitoring
Sophisticated data quality checks ensure reliable indicator operation across different market conditions and potential data interruptions. The system monitors all five ETF price feeds plus economic data sources, providing quality scores that alert users to potential data issues that might affect calculations.
When data quality degrades, the indicator automatically switches to fallback values or alternative data sources, maintaining functionality during temporary market data interruptions. This robust design ensures consistent operation even during volatile market conditions when data feeds occasionally experience disruptions.
Risk Management and Behavioral Considerations
Despite its sophisticated design, the All Weather Strategy faces behavioral challenges that have derailed countless well-intentioned investment plans. The strategy's conservative nature means it will underperform growth stocks during bull markets, potentially by substantial margins. Maintaining discipline during these periods requires understanding that the strategy optimizes for risk-adjusted returns over absolute returns.
Behavioral finance research by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) demonstrates that investors feel losses approximately twice as intensely as equivalent gains. This loss aversion creates powerful psychological pressure to abandon defensive strategies during bull markets when aggressive portfolios appear more attractive. The All Weather Strategy's bond-heavy allocation will seem overly conservative when technology stocks double in value, as occurred repeatedly during the 2010s.
Conversely, the strategy's defensive characteristics provide psychological comfort during market stress. When stocks crash 30-50%, as they periodically do, the All Weather portfolio's modest losses feel manageable rather than catastrophic. This emotional stability enables investors to maintain their investment discipline when others capitulate, often at the worst possible times.
Rebalancing discipline presents another behavioral challenge. Selling winners to buy losers contradicts natural human tendencies but remains essential for the strategy's success. When stocks have outperformed bonds for several quarters, rebalancing requires selling high-performing stock positions to purchase seemingly stagnant bond positions. This action feels counterintuitive but captures the strategy's systematic approach to risk management.
Tax considerations add complexity for taxable accounts. Frequent rebalancing generates taxable events that can erode after-tax returns, particularly for high-income investors facing elevated capital gains rates. Tax-advantaged accounts like 401(k)s and IRAs provide ideal vehicles for All Weather implementation, eliminating tax friction from rebalancing activities.
Capital Requirements and Cost Analysis
Comprehensive cost analysis reveals the capital requirements for effective All Weather implementation. Annual expenses include management fees for each ETF, transaction costs from rebalancing, and bid-ask spreads from trading less liquid securities.
ETF expense ratios vary significantly across asset classes. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF charges 0.09% annually, while the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF charges 0.20%. The iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF charges 0.15%, the Schwab US TIPS ETF charges 0.05%, and the iPath Bloomberg Commodity Index ETF charges 0.75%. Weighted by the All Weather allocations, total expense ratios average approximately 0.19% annually.
Transaction costs depend heavily on broker selection and account size. Premium brokers like Interactive Brokers charge $1-2 per trade, resulting in $20-40 annually for quarterly rebalancing. Discount brokers may charge higher per-trade fees but offer commission-free ETF trading for selected funds. Zero-commission brokers eliminate explicit trading costs but often impose wider bid-ask spreads that function as hidden fees.
Bid-ask spreads represent the difference between buying and selling prices for each security. Highly liquid ETFs like SPY maintain spreads of 1-2 basis points, while less liquid commodity ETFs may exhibit spreads of 5-10 basis points. These costs accumulate through rebalancing activities, typically totaling 10-15 basis points annually.
For a $100,000 portfolio, total annual costs including expense ratios, transaction fees, and spreads typically range from 0.35% to 0.45%, or $350-450 annually. These costs decline as a percentage of assets as portfolio size increases, reaching approximately 0.25% for portfolios exceeding $250,000.
Comparing costs to potential benefits reveals the strategy's value proposition. Historical analysis suggests the All Weather approach reduces portfolio volatility by 35-40% compared to stock-heavy allocations while maintaining competitive returns. This volatility reduction provides substantial value during market stress, potentially preventing behavioral mistakes that destroy long-term wealth.
Alternative Implementations and Customizations
While the original All Weather allocation provides an excellent starting point, investors may consider modifications based on personal circumstances, market conditions, or geographic considerations. International diversification represents one potential enhancement, adding exposure to developed and emerging market bonds and equities.
Geographic customization becomes important for non-US investors. European investors might replace US Treasury bonds with German Bunds or broader European government bond indices. Currency hedging decisions add complexity but may reduce volatility for investors whose spending occurs in non-dollar currencies.
Tax-location strategies optimize after-tax returns by placing tax-inefficient assets in tax-advantaged accounts while holding tax-efficient assets in taxable accounts. TIPS and commodity ETFs generate ordinary income taxed at higher rates, making them candidates for retirement account placement. Stock ETFs generate qualified dividends and long-term capital gains taxed at lower rates, making them suitable for taxable accounts.
Some investors prefer implementing the bond allocation through individual Treasury securities rather than ETFs, eliminating management fees while gaining precise maturity control. Treasury auctions provide access to new securities without bid-ask spreads, though this approach requires more sophisticated portfolio management.
Factor-based implementations replace broad market ETFs with factor-tilted alternatives. Value-tilted stock ETFs, quality-focused bond ETFs, or momentum-based commodity indices may enhance returns while maintaining the All Weather framework's diversification benefits. However, these modifications introduce additional complexity and potential tracking error.
Conclusion: Embracing the Long Game
The All Weather Strategy represents more than an investment approach; it embodies a philosophy of financial resilience that prioritizes sustainable wealth building over speculative gains. In an investment landscape increasingly dominated by algorithmic trading, meme stocks, and cryptocurrency volatility, Dalio's methodical approach offers a refreshing alternative grounded in economic theory and historical evidence.
The strategy's greatest strength lies not in its potential for extraordinary returns, but in its capacity to deliver reasonable returns across diverse economic environments while protecting capital during market stress. This characteristic becomes increasingly valuable as investors approach or enter retirement, when portfolio preservation assumes greater importance than aggressive growth.
Implementation requires discipline, adequate capital, and realistic expectations. The strategy will underperform growth-oriented approaches during bull markets while providing superior downside protection during bear markets. Investors must embrace this trade-off consciously, understanding that the strategy optimizes for long-term wealth building rather than short-term performance.
The All Weather Strategy Indicator democratizes access to institutional-quality portfolio management, providing individual investors with tools previously available only to wealthy families and institutions. By automating allocation tracking, rebalancing signals, and performance analysis, the indicator removes much of the complexity that has historically limited sophisticated strategy implementation.
For investors seeking a systematic, evidence-based approach to long-term wealth building, the All Weather Strategy provides a compelling framework. Its emphasis on diversification, risk management, and behavioral discipline aligns with the fundamental principles that have created lasting wealth throughout financial history. While the strategy may not generate headlines or inspire cocktail party conversations, it offers something more valuable: a reliable path toward financial security across all economic seasons.
As Dalio himself notes, "The biggest mistake investors make is to believe that what happened in the recent past is likely to persist, and they design their portfolios accordingly." The All Weather Strategy's enduring appeal lies in its rejection of this recency bias, instead embracing the uncertainty of markets while positioning for success regardless of which economic season unfolds.
STEP-BY-STEP INDICATOR SETUP GUIDE
Setting up the All Weather Strategy Indicator requires careful attention to each configuration parameter to ensure optimal implementation. This comprehensive setup guide walks through every setting and explains its impact on strategy performance.
Initial Setup Process
Begin by adding the indicator to your TradingView chart. Search for "Ray Dalio's All Weather Strategy" in the indicator library and apply it to any chart. The indicator operates independently of the underlying chart symbol, drawing data directly from the five required ETFs regardless of which security appears on the chart.
Portfolio Configuration Settings
Start with the Portfolio Capital input, which drives all subsequent calculations. Enter your exact investable capital, ranging from $1,000 to $10,000,000. This input determines share quantities, trade recommendations, and performance calculations. Conservative recommendations suggest minimum capitals of $50,000 for basic implementation or $100,000 for optimal precision.
Select your Portfolio Start Date carefully, as this establishes the baseline for all performance calculations. Choose the date when you actually began implementing the All Weather Strategy, not when you first learned about it. This date should reflect when you first purchased ETFs according to the target allocation, creating realistic performance tracking.
Choose your Rebalancing Frequency based on your cost structure and precision preferences. Monthly rebalancing provides tighter allocation control but increases transaction costs. Quarterly rebalancing offers the optimal balance for most investors between allocation precision and cost control. The indicator automatically detects appropriate trading days regardless of your selection.
Set the Rebalancing Threshold based on your tolerance for allocation drift and transaction costs. Conservative investors preferring tight control should use 1-2% thresholds, while cost-conscious investors may prefer 3-5% thresholds. Lower thresholds maintain more precise allocations but trigger more frequent trading.
Display Configuration Options
Enable Show All Weather Calculator to display the comprehensive dashboard containing portfolio values, allocations, and performance metrics. This dashboard provides essential information for portfolio management and should remain enabled for most users.
Show Economic Environment displays current economic regime classification based on growth and inflation indicators. While simplified compared to Bridgewater's sophisticated models, this feature provides useful context for understanding current market conditions.
Show Rebalancing Signals highlights when portfolio allocations drift beyond your threshold settings. These signals use color coding to indicate urgency levels, helping prioritize rebalancing activities.
Advanced Label Customization
Configure Show Rebalancing Labels based on your need for chart annotations. These labels mark important portfolio events and can provide valuable historical context, though they may clutter charts during extended time periods.
Select appropriate Label Detail Levels based on your experience and information needs. "None" provides minimal symbols suitable for experienced users. "Basic" shows portfolio values at key events. "Detailed" provides complete trading instructions including exact share quantities for each ETF.
Appearance Customization
Choose Color Themes based on your aesthetic preferences and trading style. "Gold" reflects traditional wealth management appearance, while "EdgeTools" provides modern professional styling. "Behavioral" uses psychologically informed colors that reinforce disciplined decision-making.
Enable Dark Mode Optimization if using TradingView's dark theme for optimal readability and contrast. This setting automatically adjusts all colors and transparency levels for the selected theme.
Set Main Line Width based on your chart resolution and visual preferences. Higher width values provide clearer allocation lines but may overwhelm smaller charts. Most users prefer width settings of 2-3 for optimal visibility.
Troubleshooting Common Setup Issues
If the indicator displays "Data not available" messages, verify that all five ETFs (SPY, TLT, IEF, DJP, SCHP) have valid price data on your selected timeframe. The indicator requires daily data availability for all components.
When rebalancing signals seem inconsistent, check your threshold settings and ensure sufficient time has passed since the last rebalancing event. The indicator only triggers signals on designated rebalancing days (first trading day of each period) when drift exceeds threshold levels.
If labels appear at unexpected chart locations, verify that your chart displays percentage values rather than price values. The indicator forces percentage formatting and 0-40% scaling for optimal allocation visualization.
COMPREHENSIVE BIBLIOGRAPHY AND FURTHER READING
PRIMARY SOURCES AND RAY DALIO WORKS
Dalio, R. (2017). Principles: Life and work. New York: Simon & Schuster.
Dalio, R. (2018). A template for understanding big debt crises. Bridgewater Associates.
Dalio, R. (2021). Principles for dealing with the changing world order: Why nations succeed and fail. New York: Simon & Schuster.
BRIDGEWATER ASSOCIATES RESEARCH PAPERS
Jensen, G., Kertesz, A. & Prince, B. (2010). All Weather strategy: Bridgewater's approach to portfolio construction. Bridgewater Associates Research.
Prince, B. (2011). An in-depth look at the investment logic behind the All Weather strategy. Bridgewater Associates Daily Observations.
Bridgewater Associates. (2015). Risk parity in the context of larger portfolio construction. Institutional Research.
ACADEMIC RESEARCH ON RISK PARITY AND PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION
Ang, A. & Bekaert, G. (2002). International asset allocation with regime shifts. The Review of Financial Studies, 15(4), 1137-1187.
Bodie, Z. & Rosansky, V. I. (1980). Risk and return in commodity futures. Financial Analysts Journal, 36(3), 27-39.
Campbell, J. Y. & Viceira, L. M. (2001). Who should buy long-term bonds? American Economic Review, 91(1), 99-127.
Clarke, R., De Silva, H. & Thorley, S. (2013). Risk parity, maximum diversification, and minimum variance: An analytic perspective. Journal of Portfolio Management, 39(3), 39-53.
Fama, E. F. & French, K. R. (2004). The capital asset pricing model: Theory and evidence. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18(3), 25-46.
BEHAVIORAL FINANCE AND IMPLEMENTATION CHALLENGES
Kahneman, D. & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-292.
Thaler, R. H. & Sunstein, C. R. (2008). Nudge: Improving decisions about health, wealth, and happiness. New Haven: Yale University Press.
Montier, J. (2007). Behavioural investing: A practitioner's guide to applying behavioural finance. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons.
MODERN PORTFOLIO THEORY AND QUANTITATIVE METHODS
Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio selection. The Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91.
Sharpe, W. F. (1964). Capital asset prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. The Journal of Finance, 19(3), 425-442.
Black, F. & Litterman, R. (1992). Global portfolio optimization. Financial Analysts Journal, 48(5), 28-43.
PRACTICAL IMPLEMENTATION AND ETF ANALYSIS
Gastineau, G. L. (2010). The exchange-traded funds manual. 2nd ed. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
Poterba, J. M. & Shoven, J. B. (2002). Exchange-traded funds: A new investment option for taxable investors. American Economic Review, 92(2), 422-427.
Israelsen, C. L. (2005). A refinement to the Sharpe ratio and information ratio. Journal of Asset Management, 5(6), 423-427.
ECONOMIC CYCLE ANALYSIS AND ASSET CLASS RESEARCH
Ilmanen, A. (2011). Expected returns: An investor's guide to harvesting market rewards. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons.
Swensen, D. F. (2009). Pioneering portfolio management: An unconventional approach to institutional investment. Rev. ed. New York: Free Press.
Siegel, J. J. (2014). Stocks for the long run: The definitive guide to financial market returns & long-term investment strategies. 5th ed. New York: McGraw-Hill Education.
RISK MANAGEMENT AND ALTERNATIVE STRATEGIES
Taleb, N. N. (2007). The black swan: The impact of the highly improbable. New York: Random House.
Lowenstein, R. (2000). When genius failed: The rise and fall of Long-Term Capital Management. New York: Random House.
Stein, D. M. & DeMuth, P. (2003). Systematic withdrawal from retirement portfolios: The impact of asset allocation decisions on portfolio longevity. AAII Journal, 25(7), 8-12.
CONTEMPORARY DEVELOPMENTS AND FUTURE DIRECTIONS
Asness, C. S., Frazzini, A. & Pedersen, L. H. (2012). Leverage aversion and risk parity. Financial Analysts Journal, 68(1), 47-59.
Roncalli, T. (2013). Introduction to risk parity and budgeting. Boca Raton: CRC Press.
Ibbotson Associates. (2023). Stocks, bonds, bills, and inflation 2023 yearbook. Chicago: Morningstar.
PERIODICALS AND ONGOING RESEARCH
Journal of Portfolio Management - Quarterly publication featuring cutting-edge research on portfolio construction and risk management
Financial Analysts Journal - Bi-monthly publication of the CFA Institute with practical investment research
Bridgewater Associates Daily Observations - Regular market commentary and research from the creators of the All Weather Strategy
RECOMMENDED READING SEQUENCE
For investors new to the All Weather Strategy, begin with Dalio's "Principles" for philosophical foundation, then proceed to the Bridgewater research papers for technical details. Supplement with Markowitz's original portfolio theory work and behavioral finance literature from Kahneman and Tversky.
Intermediate students should focus on academic papers by Ang & Bekaert on regime shifts, Clarke et al. on risk parity methods, and Ilmanen's comprehensive analysis of expected returns across asset classes.
Advanced practitioners will benefit from Roncalli's technical treatment of risk parity mathematics, Asness et al.'s academic critique of leverage aversion, and ongoing research in the Journal of Portfolio Management.
ZenAlgo - ADXThis open-source indicator builds upon the official Average Directional Index (ADX) implementation by TradingView. It preserves the core logic of the original ADX while introducing additional visualization features, configurability, and analytical overlays to assist with directional strength analysis.
Core Calculation
The script computes the ADX, +DI, and -DI based on smoothed directional movement and true range over a user-defined length. The smoothing is performed using Wilder’s method, as in the original implementation.
True Range is calculated from the current high, low, and previous close.
Directional Movement components (+DM, -DM) are derived by comparing the change in highs and lows between consecutive bars.
These values are then smoothed, and the +DI and -DI are expressed as percentages of the smoothed True Range.
The difference between +DI and -DI is normalized to derive DX, which is further smoothed to yield the ADX value.
The indicator includes a selectable signal line (SMA or EMA) applied to the ADX for crossover-based visualization.
Visualization Enhancements
Several plots and conditions have been added to improve interpretability:
Color-coded histograms and lines visualize DI relative to a configurable threshold (default: 25). Colors follow the ZenAlgo color scheme.
Dynamic opacity and gradient coloring are used for both ADX and DI components, allowing users to distinguish weak/moderate/strong directional trends visually.
Mirrored ADX is internally calculated for certain overlays but not directly plotted.
The script also provides small circles and diamonds to highlight:
Crossovers between ADX and its signal line.
DI crossing above or below the 25 threshold.
Rising ADX confirmed by rising DI values, with point size reflecting ADX strength.
Divergence Detection
The indicator includes optional detection of fractal-based divergences on the DI curve:
Regular and hidden bullish and bearish divergences are identified based on relative fractal highs/lows in both price and DI.
Detected divergences are optionally labeled with 'R' (Regular) or 'H' (Hidden), and color-coded accordingly.
Fractal points are defined using 5-bar patterns to ensure consistency and reduce false positives.
ADX/DI Table
When enabled, a floating table displays live values and summaries:
ADX value , trend direction (rising/falling), and qualitative strength.
DI composite , trend direction, and relative strength.
Contextual power dynamics , describing whether bulls or bears are gaining or losing strength.
The background colors of the table reflect current trend strength and direction.
Interpretation Guidelines
ADX indicates the strength of a trend, regardless of its direction. Values below 20 are often considered weak, while those above 40 suggest strong trending conditions.
+DI and -DI represent bullish and bearish directional movements, respectively. Crossovers between them are used to infer trend direction.
When ADX is rising and either +DI or -DI is dominant and increasing, the trend is likely strengthening.
Divergences between DI and price may suggest potential reversals but should be interpreted cautiously and not in isolation.
The threshold line (default 25) provides a basic filter for ignoring low-strength conditions. This can be adjusted depending on the market or timeframe.
Added Value over Existing Indicators
Fully color-graded ADX and DI display for better visual clarity.
Optional signal MA over ADX with crossover markers.
Rich contextual labeling for both divergence and threshold events.
Power dynamics commentary and live table help users contextualize current momentum.
Customizable options for smoothing type, divergence display, table position, and visual offsets.
These additions aim to improve situational awareness without altering the fundamental meaning of ADX/DI values.
Limitations and Disclaimers
As with any ADX-based tool, this indicator does not indicate market direction alone —it measures strength, not trend bias.
Divergence detection relies on fractal patterns and may lag or produce false positives in sideways markets.
Signal MA crossovers and DI threshold breaks are not entry signals , but contextual markers that may assist with timing or filtering other systems.
The table text and labels are for visual assistance and do not replace proper technical analysis or market context.
Enhanced Ichimoku Cloud Strategy V1 [Quant Trading]Overview
This strategy combines the powerful Ichimoku Kinko Hyo system with a 171-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) filter to create a robust trend-following approach. The strategy is designed for traders seeking to capitalize on strong momentum moves while using the Ichimoku cloud structure to identify optimal entry and exit points.
This is a patient, low-frequency trading system that prioritizes quality over quantity. In backtesting on Solana, the strategy achieved impressive results with approximately 3600% profit over just 29 trades, demonstrating its effectiveness at capturing major trend movements rather than attempting to profit from every market fluctuation. The extended parameters and strict entry criteria are specifically optimized for Solana's price action characteristics, making it well-suited for traders who prefer fewer, higher-conviction positions over high-frequency trading approaches.
What Makes This Strategy Original
This implementation enhances the traditional Ichimoku system by:
Custom Ichimoku Parameters: Uses non-standard periods (Conversion: 7, Base: 211, Lagging Span 2: 120, Displacement: 41) optimized for different market conditions
EMA Confirmation Filter: Incorporates a 171-period EMA as an additional trend confirmation layer
State Memory System: Implements a sophisticated memory system to track buy/sell states and prevent false signals
Dual Trade Modes: Offers both traditional Ichimoku signals ("Ichi") and cloud-based signals ("Cloud")
Breakout Confirmation: Requires price to break above the 25-period high for long entries
How It Works
Core Components
Ichimoku Elements:
-Conversion Line (Tenkan-sen): 7-period Donchian midpoint
-Base Line (Kijun-sen): 211-period Donchian midpoint
-Span A (Senkou Span A): Average of Conversion and Base lines, plotted 41 periods ahead
-Span B (Senkou Span B): 120-period Donchian midpoint, plotted 41 periods ahead
-Lagging Span (Chikou Span): Current close plotted 41 periods back
EMA Filter: 171-period EMA acts as a long-term trend filter
Entry Logic (Ichi Mode - Default)
A long position is triggered when ALL conditions are met:
Cloud Bullish: Span A > Span B (41 periods ago)
Breakout Confirmation: Current close > 25-period high
Ichimoku Bullish: Conversion Line > Base Line
Trend Alignment: Current close > 171-period EMA
State Memory: No previous buy signal is still active
Exit Logic
Positions are closed when:
Ichimoku Bearish: Conversion Line < Base Line
Alternative Cloud Mode
When "Cloud" mode is selected, the strategy uses:
Entry: Span A crosses above Span B with additional cloud and EMA confirmations
Exit: Span A crosses below Span B with cloud and EMA confirmations
Default Settings Explained
Strategy Properties
Initial Capital: $1,000 (realistic for average traders)
Position Size: 100% of equity (appropriate for backtesting single-asset strategies)
Commission: 0.1% (realistic for most brokers)
Slippage: 3 ticks (accounts for realistic execution costs)
Date Range: January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2069
Key Parameters
Conversion Periods: 7 (faster than traditional 9, more responsive to price changes)
Base Periods: 211 (much longer than traditional 26, provides stronger trend confirmation)
Lagging Span 2 Periods: 120 (custom period for stronger support/resistance levels)
Displacement: 41 (projects cloud further into future than standard 26)
EMA Period: 171 (long-term trend filter, approximately 8.5 months of daily data)
How to Use This Strategy
Best Market Conditions
Trending Markets: Works best in clearly trending markets where the cloud provides strong directional bias
Medium to Long-term Timeframes: Optimized for daily charts and higher timeframes
Volatile Assets: The breakout confirmation helps filter out weak signals in choppy markets
Risk Management
The strategy uses 100% equity allocation, suitable for backtesting single strategies
Consider reducing position size when implementing with real capital
Monitor the 25-period high breakout requirement as it may delay entries in fast-moving markets
Visual Elements
Green/Red Cloud: Shows bullish/bearish cloud conditions
Yellow Line: Conversion Line (Tenkan-sen)
Blue Line: Base Line (Kijun-sen)
Orange Line: 171-period EMA trend filter
Gray Line: Lagging Span (Chikou Span)
Important Considerations
Limitations
Lagging Nature: Like all Ichimoku strategies, signals may lag significant price moves
Whipsaw Risk: Extended periods of consolidation may generate false signals
Parameter Sensitivity: Custom parameters may not work equally well across all market conditions
Backtesting Notes
Results are based on historical data and past performance does not guarantee future results
The strategy includes realistic slippage and commission costs
Default settings are optimized for backtesting and may need adjustment for live trading
Risk Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis and risk management before implementing any trading strategy. The unique parameter combinations used may not be suitable for all market conditions or trading styles.
Customization Options
Trade Mode: Switch between "Ichi" and "Cloud" signal generation
Short Trading: Option to enable short positions (disabled by default)
Date Range: Customize backtesting period
All Ichimoku Parameters: Fully customizable for different market conditions
This enhanced Ichimoku implementation provides a structured approach to trend following while maintaining the flexibility to adapt to different trading styles and market conditions.
Options Strategy V1.3📈 Options Strategy V1.3 — EMA Crossover + RSI + ATR + Opening Range
Overview:
This strategy is designed for short-term directional trades on large-cap stocks or ETFs, especially when trading options. It combines classic trend-following signals with momentum confirmation, volatility-based risk management, and session timing filters to help identify high-probability entries with predefined stop-loss and profit targets.
🔍 Strategy Components:
EMA Crossover (Fast/Slow)
Entry signals are triggered by the crossover of a short EMA above or below a long EMA — a traditional trend-following method to detect shifts in momentum.
RSI Filter
RSI confirms the signal by avoiding entries in overbought/oversold zones unless certain momentum conditions are met.
Long entry requires RSI ≥ Long Threshold
Short entry requires RSI ≤ Short Threshold
ATR-Based SL & TP
Stop-loss is set dynamically as a multiple of ATR below (long) or above (short) the entry price.
Take-profit is placed as a ratio (TP/SL) of the stop distance, ensuring consistent reward/risk structure.
Opening Range Filter (Optional)
If enabled, the strategy only triggers trades after price breaks out of the 09:30–09:45 EST range, ensuring participation in directional moves.
Session Filters
No trades from 04:00 to 09:30 and from 16:00 to 20:00 EST, avoiding low-liquidity periods.
All open trades are closed at 15:55 EST, to avoid overnight risk or expiration issues for options.
⚙️ Built-in Presets:
You can choose one of the built-in ticker-specific presets for optimal conditions:
Ticker EMAs RSI (Long/Short) ATR SL×ATR TP/SL
SPY 8/28 56 / 26 14 1.4× 4.0×
TSLA 23/27 56 / 33 13 1.4× 3.6×
AAPL 6/13 61 / 26 23 1.4× 2.1×
MSFT 25/32 54 / 26 14 1.2× 2.2×
META 25/32 53 / 26 17 1.8× 2.3×
AMZN 28/32 55 / 25 16 1.8× 2.3×
You can also choose "Custom" to fully configure all parameters to your own market and strategy preferences.
📌 Best Use Case:
This strategy is especially suited for intraday options trading, where timing and risk control are critical. It works best on liquid tickers with strong trends or clear breakout behavior.
Grothendieck-Teichmüller Geometric SynthesisDskyz's Grothendieck-Teichmüller Geometric Synthesis (GTGS)
THEORETICAL FOUNDATION: A SYMPHONY OF GEOMETRIES
The 🎓 GTGS is built upon a revolutionary premise: that market dynamics can be modeled as geometric and topological structures. While not a literal academic implementation—such a task would demand computational power far beyond current trading platforms—it leverages core ideas from advanced mathematical theories as powerful analogies and frameworks for its algorithms. Each component translates an abstract concept into a practical market calculation, distinguishing GTGS by identifying deeper structural patterns rather than relying on standard statistical measures.
1. Grothendieck-Teichmüller Theory: Deforming Market Structure
The Theory : Studies symmetries and deformations of geometric objects, focusing on the "absolute" structure of mathematical spaces.
Indicator Analogy : The calculate_grothendieck_field function models price action as a "deformation" from its immediate state. Using the nth root of price ratios (math.pow(price_ratio, 1.0/prime)), it measures market "shape" stretching or compression, revealing underlying tensions and potential shifts.
2. Topos Theory & Sheaf Cohomology: From Local to Global Patterns
The Theory : A framework for assembling local properties into a global picture, with cohomology measuring "obstructions" to consistency.
Indicator Analogy : The calculate_topos_coherence function uses sine waves (math.sin) to represent local price "sections." Summing these yields a "cohomology" value, quantifying price action consistency. High values indicate coherent trends; low values signal conflict and uncertainty.
3. Tropical Geometry: Simplifying Complexity
The Theory : Transforms complex multiplicative problems into simpler, additive, piecewise-linear ones using min(a, b) for addition and a + b for multiplication.
Indicator Analogy : The calculate_tropical_metric function applies tropical_add(a, b) => math.min(a, b) to identify the "lowest energy" state among recent price points, pinpointing critical support levels non-linearly.
4. Motivic Cohomology & Non-Commutative Geometry
The Theory : Studies deep arithmetic and quantum-like properties of geometric spaces.
Indicator Analogy : The motivic_rank and spectral_triple functions compute weighted sums of historical prices to capture market "arithmetic complexity" and "spectral signature." Higher values reflect structured, harmonic price movements.
5. Perfectoid Spaces & Homotopy Type Theory
The Theory : Abstract fields dealing with p-adic numbers and logical foundations of mathematics.
Indicator Analogy : The perfectoid_conv and type_coherence functions analyze price convergence and path identity, assessing the "fractal dust" of price differences and price path cohesion, adding fractal and logical analysis.
The Combination is Key : No single theory dominates. GTGS ’s Unified Field synthesizes all seven perspectives into a comprehensive score, ensuring signals reflect deep structural alignment across mathematical domains.
🎛️ INPUTS: CONFIGURING THE GEOMETRIC ENGINE
The GTGS offers a suite of customizable inputs, allowing traders to tailor its behavior to specific timeframes, market sectors, and trading styles. Below is a detailed breakdown of key input groups, their functionality, and optimization strategies, leveraging provided tooltips for precision.
Grothendieck-Teichmüller Theory Inputs
🧬 Deformation Depth (Absolute Galois) :
What It Is : Controls the depth of Galois group deformations analyzed in market structure.
How It Works : Measures price action deformations under automorphisms of the absolute Galois group, capturing market symmetries.
Optimization :
Higher Values (15-20) : Captures deeper symmetries, ideal for major trends in swing trading (4H-1D).
Lower Values (3-8) : Responsive to local deformations, suited for scalping (1-5min).
Timeframes :
Scalping (1-5min) : 3-6 for quick local shifts.
Day Trading (15min-1H) : 8-12 for balanced analysis.
Swing Trading (4H-1D) : 12-20 for deep structural trends.
Sectors :
Stocks : Use 8-12 for stable trends.
Crypto : 3-8 for volatile, short-term moves.
Forex : 12-15 for smooth, cyclical patterns.
Pro Tip : Increase in trending markets to filter noise; decrease in choppy markets for sensitivity.
🗼 Teichmüller Tower Height :
What It Is : Determines the height of the Teichmüller modular tower for hierarchical pattern detection.
How It Works : Builds modular levels to identify nested market patterns.
Optimization :
Higher Values (6-8) : Detects complex fractals, ideal for swing trading.
Lower Values (2-4) : Focuses on primary patterns, faster for scalping.
Timeframes :
Scalping : 2-3 for speed.
Day Trading : 4-5 for balanced patterns.
Swing Trading : 5-8 for deep fractals.
Sectors :
Indices : 5-8 for robust, long-term patterns.
Crypto : 2-4 for rapid shifts.
Commodities : 4-6 for cyclical trends.
Pro Tip : Higher towers reveal hidden fractals but may slow computation; adjust based on hardware.
🔢 Galois Prime Base :
What It Is : Sets the prime base for Galois field computations.
How It Works : Defines the field extension characteristic for market analysis.
Optimization :
Prime Characteristics :
2 : Binary markets (up/down).
3 : Ternary states (bull/bear/neutral).
5 : Pentagonal symmetry (Elliott waves).
7 : Heptagonal cycles (weekly patterns).
11,13,17,19 : Higher-order patterns.
Timeframes :
Scalping/Day Trading : 2 or 3 for simplicity.
Swing Trading : 5 or 7 for wave or cycle detection.
Sectors :
Forex : 5 for Elliott wave alignment.
Stocks : 7 for weekly cycle consistency.
Crypto : 3 for volatile state shifts.
Pro Tip : Use 7 for most markets; 5 for Elliott wave traders.
Topos Theory & Sheaf Cohomology Inputs
🏛️ Temporal Site Size :
What It Is : Defines the number of time points in the topological site.
How It Works : Sets the local neighborhood for sheaf computations, affecting cohomology smoothness.
Optimization :
Higher Values (30-50) : Smoother cohomology, better for trends in swing trading.
Lower Values (5-15) : Responsive, ideal for reversals in scalping.
Timeframes :
Scalping : 5-10 for quick responses.
Day Trading : 15-25 for balanced analysis.
Swing Trading : 25-50 for smooth trends.
Sectors :
Stocks : 25-35 for stable trends.
Crypto : 5-15 for volatility.
Forex : 20-30 for smooth cycles.
Pro Tip : Match site size to your average holding period in bars for optimal coherence.
📐 Sheaf Cohomology Degree :
What It Is : Sets the maximum degree of cohomology groups computed.
How It Works : Higher degrees capture complex topological obstructions.
Optimization :
Degree Meanings :
1 : Simple obstructions (basic support/resistance).
2 : Cohomological pairs (double tops/bottoms).
3 : Triple intersections (complex patterns).
4-5 : Higher-order structures (rare events).
Timeframes :
Scalping/Day Trading : 1-2 for simplicity.
Swing Trading : 3 for complex patterns.
Sectors :
Indices : 2-3 for robust patterns.
Crypto : 1-2 for rapid shifts.
Commodities : 3-4 for cyclical events.
Pro Tip : Degree 3 is optimal for most trading; higher degrees for research or rare event detection.
🌐 Grothendieck Topology :
What It Is : Chooses the Grothendieck topology for the site.
How It Works : Affects how local data integrates into global patterns.
Optimization :
Topology Characteristics :
Étale : Finest topology, captures local-global principles.
Nisnevich : A1-invariant, good for trends.
Zariski : Coarse but robust, filters noise.
Fpqc : Faithfully flat, highly sensitive.
Sectors :
Stocks : Zariski for stability.
Crypto : Étale for sensitivity.
Forex : Nisnevich for smooth trends.
Indices : Zariski for robustness.
Timeframes :
Scalping : Étale for precision.
Swing Trading : Nisnevich or Zariski for reliability.
Pro Tip : Start with Étale for precision; switch to Zariski in noisy markets.
Unified Field Configuration Inputs
⚛️ Field Coupling Constant :
What It Is : Sets the interaction strength between geometric components.
How It Works : Controls signal amplification in the unified field equation.
Optimization :
Higher Values (0.5-1.0) : Strong coupling, amplified signals for ranging markets.
Lower Values (0.001-0.1) : Subtle signals for trending markets.
Timeframes :
Scalping : 0.5-0.8 for quick, strong signals.
Swing Trading : 0.1-0.3 for trend confirmation.
Sectors :
Crypto : 0.5-1.0 for volatility.
Stocks : 0.1-0.3 for stability.
Forex : 0.3-0.5 for balance.
Pro Tip : Default 0.137 (fine structure constant) is a balanced starting point; adjust up in choppy markets.
📐 Geometric Weighting Scheme :
What It Is : Determines the framework for combining geometric components.
How It Works : Adjusts emphasis on different mathematical structures.
Optimization :
Scheme Characteristics :
Canonical : Equal weighting, balanced.
Derived : Emphasizes higher-order structures.
Motivic : Prioritizes arithmetic properties.
Spectral : Focuses on frequency domain.
Sectors :
Stocks : Canonical for balance.
Crypto : Spectral for volatility.
Forex : Derived for structured moves.
Indices : Motivic for arithmetic cycles.
Timeframes :
Day Trading : Canonical or Derived for flexibility.
Swing Trading : Motivic for long-term cycles.
Pro Tip : Start with Canonical; experiment with Spectral in volatile markets.
Dashboard and Visual Configuration Inputs
📋 Show Enhanced Dashboard, 📏 Size, 📍 Position :
What They Are : Control dashboard visibility, size, and placement.
How They Work : Display key metrics like Unified Field , Resonance , and Signal Quality .
Optimization :
Scalping : Small size, Bottom Right for minimal chart obstruction.
Swing Trading : Large size, Top Right for detailed analysis.
Sectors : Universal across markets; adjust size based on screen setup.
Pro Tip : Use Large for analysis, Small for live trading.
📐 Show Motivic Cohomology Bands, 🌊 Morphism Flow, 🔮 Future Projection, 🔷 Holographic Mesh, ⚛️ Spectral Flow :
What They Are : Toggle visual elements representing mathematical calculations.
How They Work : Provide intuitive representations of market dynamics.
Optimization :
Timeframes :
Scalping : Enable Morphism Flow and Spectral Flow for momentum.
Swing Trading : Enable all for comprehensive analysis.
Sectors :
Crypto : Emphasize Morphism Flow and Future Projection for volatility.
Stocks : Focus on Cohomology Bands for stable trends.
Pro Tip : Disable non-essential visuals in fast markets to reduce clutter.
🌫️ Field Transparency, 🔄 Web Recursion Depth, 🎨 Mesh Color Scheme :
What They Are : Adjust visual clarity, complexity, and color.
How They Work : Enhance interpretability of visual elements.
Optimization :
Transparency : 30-50 for balanced visibility; lower for analysis.
Recursion Depth : 6-8 for balanced detail; lower for older hardware.
Color Scheme :
Purple/Blue : Analytical focus.
Green/Orange : Trading momentum.
Pro Tip : Use Neon Purple for deep analysis; Neon Green for active trading.
⏱️ Minimum Bars Between Signals :
What It Is : Minimum number of bars required between consecutive signals.
How It Works : Prevents signal clustering by enforcing a cooldown period.
Optimization :
Higher Values (10-20) : Fewer signals, avoids whipsaws, suited for swing trading.
Lower Values (0-5) : More responsive, allows quick reversals, ideal for scalping.
Timeframes :
Scalping : 0-2 bars for rapid signals.
Day Trading : 3-5 bars for balance.
Swing Trading : 5-10 bars for stability.
Sectors :
Crypto : 0-3 for volatility.
Stocks : 5-10 for trend clarity.
Forex : 3-7 for cyclical moves.
Pro Tip : Increase in choppy markets to filter noise.
Hardcoded Parameters
Tropical, Motivic, Spectral, Perfectoid, Homotopy Inputs : Fixed to optimize performance but influence calculations (e.g., tropical_degree=4 for support levels, perfectoid_prime=5 for convergence).
Optimization : Experiment with codebase modifications if advanced customization is needed, but defaults are robust across markets.
🎨 ADVANCED VISUAL SYSTEM: TRADING IN A GEOMETRIC UNIVERSE
The GTTMTSF ’s visuals are direct representations of its mathematics, designed for intuitive and precise trading decisions.
Motivic Cohomology Bands :
What They Are : Dynamic bands ( H⁰ , H¹ , H² ) representing cohomological support/resistance.
Color & Meaning : Colors reflect energy levels ( H⁰ tightest, H² widest). Breaks into H¹ signal momentum; H² touches suggest reversals.
How to Trade : Use for stop-loss/profit-taking. Band bounces with Dashboard confirmation are high-probability setups.
Morphism Flow (Webbing) :
What It Is : White particle streams visualizing market momentum.
Interpretation : Dense flows indicate strong trends; sparse flows signal consolidation.
How to Trade : Follow dominant flow direction; new flows post-consolidation signal trend starts.
Future Projection Web (Fractal Grid) :
What It Is : Fibonacci-period fractal projections of support/resistance.
Color & Meaning : Three-layer lines (white shadow, glow, colored quantum) with labels showing price, topological class, anomaly strength (φ), resonance (ρ), and obstruction ( H¹ ). ⚡ marks extreme anomalies.
How to Trade : Target ⚡/● levels for entries/exits. High-anomaly levels with weakening Unified Field are reversal setups.
Holographic Mesh & Spectral Flow :
What They Are : Visuals of harmonic interference and spectral energy.
How to Trade : Bright mesh nodes or strong Spectral Flow warn of building pressure before price movement.
📊 THE GEOMETRIC DASHBOARD: YOUR MISSION CONTROL
The Dashboard translates complex mathematics into actionable intelligence.
Unified Field & Signals :
FIELD : Master value (-10 to +10), synthesizing all geometric components. Extreme readings (>5 or <-5) signal structural limits, often preceding reversals or continuations.
RESONANCE : Measures harmony between geometric field and price-volume momentum. Positive amplifies bullish moves; negative amplifies bearish moves.
SIGNAL QUALITY : Confidence meter rating alignment. Trade only STRONG or EXCEPTIONAL signals for high-probability setups.
Geometric Components :
What They Are : Breakdown of seven mathematical engines.
How to Use : Watch for convergence. A strong Unified Field is reliable when components (e.g., Grothendieck , Topos , Motivic ) align. Divergence warns of trend weakening.
Signal Performance :
What It Is : Tracks indicator signal performance.
How to Use : Assesses real-time performance to build confidence and understand system behavior.
🚀 DEVELOPMENT & UNIQUENESS: BEYOND CONVENTIONAL ANALYSIS
The GTTMTSF was developed to analyze markets as evolving geometric objects, not statistical time-series.
Why This Is Unlike Anything Else :
Theoretical Depth : Uses geometry and topology, identifying patterns invisible to statistical tools.
Holistic Synthesis : Integrates seven deep mathematical frameworks into a cohesive Unified Field .
Creative Implementation : Translates PhD-level mathematics into functional Pine Script , blending theory and practice.
Immersive Visualization : Transforms charts into dynamic geometric landscapes for intuitive market understanding.
The GTTMTSF is more than an indicator; it’s a new lens for viewing markets, for traders seeking deeper insight into hidden order within chaos.
" Where there is matter, there is geometry. " - Johannes Kepler
— Dskyz , Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
ADX+ Oscillator📈 ADX+ Oscillator — Enhanced Trend Strength Indicator
🔹 Description:
A modified oscillator based on the ADX (Average Directional Index), providing both visual and digital interpretation of trend strength and direction. A powerful tool for filtering sideways markets and identifying strong impulses across any timeframe.
🔹 Features:
• ADX line to assess trend strength
• DI+ and DI− lines to determine trend direction
• Colored background zones:
• Gray: ranging market (ADX < 20)
• Orange: transition zone (20 ≤ ADX < 25)
• Green: strong trend (ADX ≥ 25)
• Digital value labels for ADX / DI+ / DI− on the latest candle
• Signal arrows when DI+ crosses DI− and vice versa
🔹 Why use it:
• Signal filtering: avoid trades in flat markets (ADX < 20)
• Trend confirmation: enter only when ADX is rising above 25
• Directional guidance via DI+ and DI− behavior
🔹 Best for:
• Scalping (1m, 5m)
• Intraday trading (15m, 1h)
• Swing trading (4h and above)
• Breakout and pullback strategies
ADX mura visionOverview
The Enhanced ADX with Custom 40/60 Levels is a Pine Script™ v6 open-source indicator that builds on the classic Average Directional Index by adding two critical thresholds at 40 and 60. These extra levels give you early warning of trend exhaustion and precise exit signals when paired with the mura indicator.
Key Features & Originality
Custom Thresholds (40/60): Beyond the standard ADX levels (25/50), levels at 40 and 60 mark advanced trend strength phases and highlight when momentum is beginning to fade.
Trend Weakness Alerts: Configurable alerts trigger when ADX dips below 60 or 40, signaling ideal exit opportunities before a full reversal.
Color-Coded ADX Line: The ADX line dynamically changes color upon crossing 40 and 60, making trend strength transitions instantly visible.
mura Indicator Synergy: Specially designed to complement the mura indicator—when mura signals an exit and ADX falls below your chosen threshold, you get a high-confidence cue to close your position.
How It Works
Advanced Trend Phases: ADX above 25 confirms a trend, above 40 indicates strong momentum, and above 60 signals extreme strength. A drop below 60 or 40 warns of weakening momentum.
Exit Confirmation: Combine a mura exit signal (e.g., dot flip or reversal) with an ADX cross below 40/60 to capture optimal exit points.
Usage & Inputs
ADX Length (default 14): Period for ADX calculation.
Level Inputs: Customize your threshold levels (default: 25, 40, 50, 60).
Alert Toggles: Enable alerts on crosses above or below each level.
Style Settings: Adjust line colors and widths for ADX and threshold lines.
Why This Adds Value
Early Exit Signals: Identify momentum loss before major reversals, protecting profits.
Cleaner Trade Management: Visual cues reduce guesswork when exiting trades.
Modular Design: Use standalone or integrate with mura for robust entry/exit workflows.
Pine Script™ Version: v6
Open-Source License: MPL-2.0
Schaff Trend Cycle (STC) - t0rdn3Schaff Trend Cycle (STC)
By t0rdn3 (original STC by , now with more descriptive naming)
Description
The Schaff Trend Cycle (STC) is a momentum-based oscillator that combines the speed of a fast EMA crossover with cyclical normalization. Developed by Doug Schaff, it identifies market turning points more responsively than MACD or RSI.
How It Works
1. EMA Difference : Calculates the difference between two EMAs of the source series (default: close).
2. Cycle Percentage : Normalizes that difference to a 0–100 range over the cycle period.
3. Smoothing : Applies exponential smoothing twice—first to the cycle percentage, then to its normalized cycles—to reduce noise.
4. Final STC Line : Produces a smoothed oscillator oscillating between 0 and 100.
Alerts
- "STC turned down above 75" : Fires once when STC makes a local peak above the upper threshold ( 75 ).
- "STC turned up below 25" : Fires once when STC makes a local trough below the lower threshold ( 25 ).
Inputs
Cycle Period : 12 — Lookback in bars for normalization
Fast EMA Length : 26 — Period of the fast EMA
Slow EMA Length : 50 — Period of the slow EMA
Smoothing Factor : 0.5 — Exponential smoothing coefficient (0–1)
Usage
Readings above 75 indicate an overbought cycle; readings below 25 indicate an oversold cycle. Crossings of the 50 midline can confirm trend direction:
- STC rising through 50 → bullish shift
- STC falling through 50 → bearish shift
Combine STC with price action or other trend filters to improve signal quality. You can adjust the cycle period and EMA lengths to match different timeframes or instruments.
AllMA Trend Radar [trade_lexx]📈 AllMA Trend Radar is your universal trend analysis tool!
📊 What is AllMA Trend Radar?
AllMA Trend Radar is a powerful indicator that uses various types of Moving Averages (MA) to analyze trends and generate trading signals. The indicator allows you to choose from more than 30 different types of moving averages and adjust their parameters to suit your trading style.
💡 The main components of the indicator
📈 Fast and slow moving averages
The indicator uses two main lines:
- Fast MA (blue line): reacts faster to price changes
- Slow MA (red line): smoother, reflects a long-term trend
The combined use of fast and slow MA allows you to get trend confirmation and entry/exit points from the market.
🔄 Wide range of moving averages
There are more than 30 types of moving averages at your disposal:
- SMA: Simple moving average
- EMA: Exponential moving average
- WMA: Weighted moving average
- DEMA: double exponential MA
- TEMA: triple exponential MA
- HMA: Hull Moving Average
- LSMA: Moving average of least squares
- JMA: Eureka Moving Average
- ALMA: Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
- ZLEMA: moving average with zero delay
- And many others!
🔍 Indicator signals
1️⃣ Fast 🆚 Slow MA signals (intersection and ratio of fast and slow MA)
Up/Down signals (intersection)
- Buy (Up) signal:
- What happens: the fast MA crosses the slow MA from bottom to top
- What does the green triangle with the "Buy" label under the candle look
like - What does it mean: a likely upward trend reversal or an uptrend strengthening
- Sell signal (Down):
- What happens: the fast MA crosses the slow MA from top to bottom
- What does it look like: a red triangle with a "Sell" mark above the candle
- What does it mean: a likely downtrend reversal or an increase in the downtrend
Greater/Less signals (ratio)
- Buy signal (Greater):
- What happens: the fast MA becomes higher than the slow MA
- What does it look like: a green triangle with a "Buy" label under the candle
- What does it mean: the formation or confirmation of an uptrend
- Sell signal (Less):
- What happens: the fast MA becomes lower than the slow MA
- What does it look like: a red triangle with a "Sell" mark above the candle
- What does it mean: the formation or confirmation of a downtrend
2️⃣ Signals ⚡️ Fast MA (fast MA and price)
Up/Down signals (intersection)
- Buy signal (Up Fast):
- What happens: the price crosses the fast MA from bottom to top
- What does it look like: a green triangle with a "Buy" label under the candle
- What does it mean: a short-term price growth signal
- Sell signal (Down Fast):
- What happens: the price crosses the fast MA from top to bottom
- What does it look like: a red triangle with a "Sell" label above the candle
- What does it mean: a short-term price drop signal
Greater/Less signals (ratio)
- Buy signal (Greater Fast):
- What happens: the price is getting higher than the fast MA
- What does it look like: a green triangle with a "Buy" label under the candle
- What does it mean: the price is above the fast MA, which indicates an upward movement
- Sell signal (Less Fast):
- What happens: the price is getting lower than the fast MA
- What does it look like: a red triangle with a "Sell" mark above the candle
- What does it mean: the price is under the fast MA, which indicates a downward movement
3️⃣ Signals 🐢 Slow MA (slow MA and price)
Up/Down signals (intersection)
- Buy signal (Up Slow):
- What happens: the price crosses the slow MA from bottom to top
- What does it look like: a green triangle with a "Buy" label under the candle
- What does it mean: a potential medium-term upward trend reversal
- Sell signal (Down Slow):
- What happens: the price crosses the slow MA from top to bottom
- What does it look like: a red triangle with a "Sell" label above the candle
- What does it mean: a potential medium-term downward trend reversal
Greater/Less signals (ratio)
- Buy signal (Greater Slow):
- What happens: the price is getting above the slow MA
- What does it look like: a green triangle with a "Buy" label under the candle
- What does it mean: the price is above the slow MA, which indicates a strong upward movement
- Sell signal (Less Slow):
- What is happening: the price is getting below the slow MA
- What does it look like: a red triangle with a "Sell" mark above the candle
- What does it mean: the price is under the slow MA, which indicates a strong downward movement
🛠 Filters to filter out false signals
1️⃣ Minimum distance between the signals
- What it does: sets the minimum number of candles between signals of the same type
- Why it is needed: it prevents the appearance of too frequent signals, especially during periods of high volatility
- How to set it up: Set a different value for each signal type (default: 3-5 bars)
- Example: if the value is 3 for Up/Down signals, after the buy signal appears, the next buy signal may appear no earlier than 3 bars later
2️⃣ Advanced indicator filters
🔍 RSI Filter
- What it does: Checks the Relative Strength Index (RSI) value before generating a signal
- Why it is needed: it helps to avoid countertrend entries and catch reversal points
- How to set up:
- For buy signals (🔋 Buy): set the RSI range, usually in the oversold zone (for example, 1-30)
- For sell signals (🪫 Sell): set the RSI range, usually in the overbought zone (for example, 70-100)
- Example: if the RSI = 25 (in the range 1-30), the buy signal will be confirmed
📊 MFI Filter (Cash Flow Index)
- What it does: analyzes volumes and the direction of price movement
- Why it is needed: confirms signals with data on the activity of cash flows
- How to set up:
- For buy signals (🔋 Buy): set the MFI range in the oversold zone (for example, 1-25)
- For sell signals (🪫 Sell): set the MFI range in the overbought zone (for example, 75-100)
- Example: if MFI = 80 (in the range of 75-100), the sell signal will be confirmed
📈 Stochastic Filter
- What it does: analyzes the position of the current price relative to the price range
- Why it is needed: confirms signals based on overbought/oversold conditions
- How to configure:
- You can configure the K Length, D Length and Smoothing parameters
- For buy signals (🔋 Buy): set the stochastic range in the oversold zone (for example, 1-20)
- For sell signals (🪫 Sell): set the stochastic range in the overbought zone (for example, 80-100)
- Example: if stochastic = 15 (is in the range of 1-20), the buy signal will be confirmed
🔌 Connecting to trading strategies
The indicator provides various connectors to connect to your trading strategies.:
1️⃣ Individual connectors for each type of signal
- 🔌Fast vs Slow Up/Down MA Signal🔌: signals for the intersection of fast and slow MA
- 🔌Fast vs Slow Greater/Less MA Signal🔌: signals of the ratio of fast and slow MA
- 🔌Fast Up/Down MA Signal🔌: signals of the intersection of price and fast MA
- 🔌Fast Greater/Less MA Signal🔌: signals of the ratio of price and fast MA
- 🔌Slow Up/Down MA Signal🔌: signals of the intersection of price and slow MA
- 🔌Slow Greater/Less MA Signal🔌: Price versus slow MA signals
2️⃣ Combined connectors
- 🔌Combined Up/Down MA Signal🔌: combines all the crossing signals (Up/Down)
- 🔌Combined Greater/Less MA Signal🔌: combines all the signals of the ratio (Greater/Less)
- 🔌Combined All MA Signals🔌: combines all signals (Up/Down and Greater/Less)
❗️ All connectors return values:
- 1: buy signal
- -1: sell signal
- 0: no signal
📚 How to start using AllMA Trend Radar
1️⃣ Selection of types of moving averages
- Add an indicator to the chart
- Select the type and period for the fast MA (default: DEMA with a period of 14)
- Select the type and period for the slow MA (default: SMA with a period of 14)
- Experiment with different types of MA to find the best combination for your trading style
2️⃣ Signal settings
- Turn on the desired signal types (Up/Down, Greater/Less)
- Set the minimum distance between the signals
- Activate and configure the necessary filters (RSI, MFI, Stochastic)
3️⃣ Checking on historical data
- Analyze how the indicator works based on historical data
- Pay attention to the accuracy of the signals and the presence of false alarms
- Adjust the settings if necessary
4️⃣ Introduction to the trading strategy
- Decide which signals will be used to enter the position.
- Determine which signals will be used to exit the position.
- Connect the indicator to your trading strategy through the appropriate connectors
🌟 Practical application examples
Scalping strategy
- Fast MA: TEMA with a period of 8
- Slow MA: EMA with a period of 21
- Active signals: Fast MA Up/Down
- Filters: RSI (range 1-40 for purchases, 60-100 for sales)
- Signal spacing: 3 bars
Strategy for day trading
- Fast MA: TEMA with a period of 10
- Slow MA: SMA with a period of 20
- Active signals: Fast MA Up/Down and Fast vs Slow Greater/Less
- Filters: MFI (range 1-25 for purchases, 75-100 for sales)
- Signal spacing: 5 bars
Swing Trading Strategy
- Fast MA: DEMA with a period of 14
- Slow MA: VWMA with a period of 30
- Active signals: Fast vs Slow Up/Down and Slow MA Greater/Less
- Filters: Stochastic (range 1-20 for purchases, 80-100 for sales)
- Signal spacing: 8 bars
A strategy for positional trading
- Fast MA: HMA with a period of 21
- Slow MA: SMA with a period of 50
- Active signals: Slow MA Up/Down and Fast vs Slow Greater/Less
- Filters: RSI and MFI at the same time
- The distance between the signals: 10 bars
💡 Tips for using AllMA Trend Radar
1. Select the types of MA for market conditions:
- For trending markets: DEMA, TEMA, HMA (fast MA)
- For sideways markets: SMA, WMA, VWMA (smoothed MA)
- For volatile markets: KAMA, AMA, VAMA (adaptive MA)
2. Combine different types of signals:
- Up/Down signals work better when moving from a sideways trend to a directional
one - Greater/Less signals are optimal for fixing a stable trend
3. Use filters effectively:
- The RSI filter works great in trending markets
- MFI filter helps to confirm the strength of volume movement
- Stochastic filter works well in lateral ranges
4. Adjust the minimum distance between the signals:
- Small values (2-3 bars) for short-term trading
- Average values (5-8 bars) for medium-term trading
- Large values (10+ bars) for long-term trading
5. Use combination connectors:
- For more reliable signals, connect the indicator through the combined connectors
💰 With the AllMA Trend Radar indicator, you get a universal trend analysis tool that can be customized for any trading style and timeframe. The combination of different types of moving averages and advanced filters allows you to significantly improve the accuracy of signals and the effectiveness of your trading strategy!
Altseason Index (Top 10)### Altseason Index (Top 10)
#### Overview
The "Altseason Index (Top 10)" indicator identifies whether the market is in an altseason (altcoins outperforming Bitcoin) or a Bitcoin season. It analyzes the performance of 9 top altcoins (ETH, BNB, ADA, XRP, SOL, DOT, AVAX, SHIB, LINK) against Bitcoin over 90 days, inspired by the Blockchain Center Altcoin Season Index.
#### How It Works
- Calculates the 90-day price change for BTC and 9 altcoins.
- Counts how many altcoins outperform BTC.
- Index = (number of outperforming altcoins / 9) * 100.
- >75%: Altseason (green zone).
- <25%: Bitcoin season (red zone).
- 25–75%: Neutral.
#### Visualization
- Blue line: Index value (0–100).
- Green line at 75: Altseason threshold.
- Red line at 25: Bitcoin season threshold.
- Green/red background fill for altseason/BTC season zones.
#### Usage
Add to your chart and interpret:
- Above 75: Consider altcoin investments.
- Below 25: Focus on Bitcoin.
Ensure tickers match your exchange (e.g., "BTCUSD" or "BINANCE:BTCUSDT").
#### Notes
- Limited to 9 altcoins due to TradingView's request.security() limit.
- Best on daily charts but adaptable to other timeframes.
Range Filter Buy and Sell 5min## **Enhanced Range Filter Strategy: A Comprehensive Overview**
### **1. Introduction**
The **Enhanced Range Filter Strategy** is a powerful technical trading system designed to identify high-probability trading opportunities while filtering out market noise. It utilizes **range-based trend filtering**, **momentum confirmation**, and **volatility-based risk management** to generate precise entry and exit signals. This strategy is particularly useful for traders who aim to capitalize on trend-following setups while avoiding choppy, ranging market conditions.
---
### **2. Key Components of the Strategy**
#### **A. Range Filter (Trend Determination)**
- The **Range Filter** smooths price fluctuations and helps identify clear trends.
- It calculates an **adjusted price range** based on a **sampling period** and a **multiplier**, ensuring a dynamic trend-following approach.
- **Uptrends:** When the current price is above the range filter and the trend is strengthening.
- **Downtrends:** When the price falls below the range filter and momentum confirms the move.
#### **B. RSI (Relative Strength Index) as Momentum Confirmation**
- RSI is used to **filter out weak trades** and prevent entries during overbought/oversold conditions.
- **Buy Signals:** RSI is above a certain threshold (e.g., 50) in an uptrend.
- **Sell Signals:** RSI is below a certain threshold (e.g., 50) in a downtrend.
#### **C. ADX (Average Directional Index) for Trend Strength Confirmation**
- ADX ensures that trades are only taken when the trend has **sufficient strength**.
- Avoids trading in low-volatility, ranging markets.
- **Threshold (e.g., 25):** Only trade when ADX is above this value, indicating a strong trend.
#### **D. ATR (Average True Range) for Risk Management**
- **Stop Loss (SL):** Placed **one ATR below** (for long trades) or **one ATR above** (for short trades).
- **Take Profit (TP):** Set at a **3:1 reward-to-risk ratio**, using ATR to determine realistic price targets.
- Ensures volatility-adjusted risk management.
---
### **3. Entry and Exit Conditions**
#### **📈 Buy (Long) Entry Conditions:**
1. **Price is above the Range Filter** → Indicates an uptrend.
2. **Upward trend strength is positive** (confirmed via trend counter).
3. **RSI is above the buy threshold** (e.g., 50, to confirm momentum).
4. **ADX confirms trend strength** (e.g., above 25).
5. **Volatility is supportive** (using ATR analysis).
#### **📉 Sell (Short) Entry Conditions:**
1. **Price is below the Range Filter** → Indicates a downtrend.
2. **Downward trend strength is positive** (confirmed via trend counter).
3. **RSI is below the sell threshold** (e.g., 50, to confirm momentum).
4. **ADX confirms trend strength** (e.g., above 25).
5. **Volatility is supportive** (using ATR analysis).
#### **🚪 Exit Conditions:**
- **Stop Loss (SL):**
- **Long Trades:** 1 ATR below entry price.
- **Short Trades:** 1 ATR above entry price.
- **Take Profit (TP):**
- Set at **3x the risk distance** to achieve a favorable risk-reward ratio.
- **Ranging Market Exit:**
- If ADX falls below the threshold, indicating a weakening trend.
---
### **4. Visualization & Alerts**
- **Colored range filter line** changes based on trend direction.
- **Buy and Sell signals** appear as labels on the chart.
- **Stop Loss and Take Profit levels** are plotted as dashed lines.
- **Gray background highlights ranging markets** where trading is avoided.
- **Alerts trigger on Buy, Sell, and Ranging Market conditions** for automation.
---
### **5. Advantages of the Enhanced Range Filter Strategy**
✅ **Trend-Following with Noise Reduction** → Helps avoid false signals by filtering out weak trends.
✅ **Momentum Confirmation with RSI & ADX** → Ensures that only strong, valid trades are executed.
✅ **Volatility-Based Risk Management** → ATR ensures adaptive stop loss and take profit placements.
✅ **Works on Multiple Timeframes** → Effective for day trading, swing trading, and scalping.
✅ **Visually Intuitive** → Clearly displays trade signals, SL/TP levels, and trend conditions.
---
### **6. Who Should Use This Strategy?**
✔ **Trend Traders** who want to enter trades with momentum confirmation.
✔ **Swing Traders** looking for medium-term opportunities with a solid risk-reward ratio.
✔ **Scalpers** who need precise entries and exits to minimize false signals.
✔ **Algorithmic Traders** using alerts for automated execution.
---
### **7. Conclusion**
The **Enhanced Range Filter Strategy** is a powerful trading tool that combines **trend-following techniques, momentum indicators, and risk management** into a structured, rule-based system. By leveraging **Range Filters, RSI, ADX, and ATR**, traders can improve trade accuracy, manage risk effectively, and filter out unfavorable market conditions.
This strategy is **ideal for traders looking for a systematic, disciplined approach** to capturing trends while **avoiding market noise and false breakouts**. 🚀
Enhanced Range Filter Strategy with ATR TP/SLBuilt by Omotola
## **Enhanced Range Filter Strategy: A Comprehensive Overview**
### **1. Introduction**
The **Enhanced Range Filter Strategy** is a powerful technical trading system designed to identify high-probability trading opportunities while filtering out market noise. It utilizes **range-based trend filtering**, **momentum confirmation**, and **volatility-based risk management** to generate precise entry and exit signals. This strategy is particularly useful for traders who aim to capitalize on trend-following setups while avoiding choppy, ranging market conditions.
---
### **2. Key Components of the Strategy**
#### **A. Range Filter (Trend Determination)**
- The **Range Filter** smooths price fluctuations and helps identify clear trends.
- It calculates an **adjusted price range** based on a **sampling period** and a **multiplier**, ensuring a dynamic trend-following approach.
- **Uptrends:** When the current price is above the range filter and the trend is strengthening.
- **Downtrends:** When the price falls below the range filter and momentum confirms the move.
#### **B. RSI (Relative Strength Index) as Momentum Confirmation**
- RSI is used to **filter out weak trades** and prevent entries during overbought/oversold conditions.
- **Buy Signals:** RSI is above a certain threshold (e.g., 50) in an uptrend.
- **Sell Signals:** RSI is below a certain threshold (e.g., 50) in a downtrend.
#### **C. ADX (Average Directional Index) for Trend Strength Confirmation**
- ADX ensures that trades are only taken when the trend has **sufficient strength**.
- Avoids trading in low-volatility, ranging markets.
- **Threshold (e.g., 25):** Only trade when ADX is above this value, indicating a strong trend.
#### **D. ATR (Average True Range) for Risk Management**
- **Stop Loss (SL):** Placed **one ATR below** (for long trades) or **one ATR above** (for short trades).
- **Take Profit (TP):** Set at a **3:1 reward-to-risk ratio**, using ATR to determine realistic price targets.
- Ensures volatility-adjusted risk management.
---
### **3. Entry and Exit Conditions**
#### **📈 Buy (Long) Entry Conditions:**
1. **Price is above the Range Filter** → Indicates an uptrend.
2. **Upward trend strength is positive** (confirmed via trend counter).
3. **RSI is above the buy threshold** (e.g., 50, to confirm momentum).
4. **ADX confirms trend strength** (e.g., above 25).
5. **Volatility is supportive** (using ATR analysis).
#### **📉 Sell (Short) Entry Conditions:**
1. **Price is below the Range Filter** → Indicates a downtrend.
2. **Downward trend strength is positive** (confirmed via trend counter).
3. **RSI is below the sell threshold** (e.g., 50, to confirm momentum).
4. **ADX confirms trend strength** (e.g., above 25).
5. **Volatility is supportive** (using ATR analysis).
#### **🚪 Exit Conditions:**
- **Stop Loss (SL):**
- **Long Trades:** 1 ATR below entry price.
- **Short Trades:** 1 ATR above entry price.
- **Take Profit (TP):**
- Set at **3x the risk distance** to achieve a favorable risk-reward ratio.
- **Ranging Market Exit:**
- If ADX falls below the threshold, indicating a weakening trend.
---
### **4. Visualization & Alerts**
- **Colored range filter line** changes based on trend direction.
- **Buy and Sell signals** appear as labels on the chart.
- **Stop Loss and Take Profit levels** are plotted as dashed lines.
- **Gray background highlights ranging markets** where trading is avoided.
- **Alerts trigger on Buy, Sell, and Ranging Market conditions** for automation.
---
### **5. Advantages of the Enhanced Range Filter Strategy**
✅ **Trend-Following with Noise Reduction** → Helps avoid false signals by filtering out weak trends.
✅ **Momentum Confirmation with RSI & ADX** → Ensures that only strong, valid trades are executed.
✅ **Volatility-Based Risk Management** → ATR ensures adaptive stop loss and take profit placements.
✅ **Works on Multiple Timeframes** → Effective for day trading, swing trading, and scalping.
✅ **Visually Intuitive** → Clearly displays trade signals, SL/TP levels, and trend conditions.
---
### **6. Who Should Use This Strategy?**
✔ **Trend Traders** who want to enter trades with momentum confirmation.
✔ **Swing Traders** looking for medium-term opportunities with a solid risk-reward ratio.
✔ **Scalpers** who need precise entries and exits to minimize false signals.
✔ **Algorithmic Traders** using alerts for automated execution.
---
### **7. Conclusion**
The **Enhanced Range Filter Strategy** is a powerful trading tool that combines **trend-following techniques, momentum indicators, and risk management** into a structured, rule-based system. By leveraging **Range Filters, RSI, ADX, and ATR**, traders can improve trade accuracy, manage risk effectively, and filter out unfavorable market conditions.
This strategy is **ideal for traders looking for a systematic, disciplined approach** to capturing trends while **avoiding market noise and false breakouts**. 🚀
Gold Pro StrategyHere’s the strategy description in a chat format:
---
**Gold (XAU/USD) Trend-Following Strategy**
This **trend-following strategy** is designed for trading gold (XAU/USD) by combining moving averages, MACD momentum indicators, and RSI filters to capture sustained trends while managing volatility risks. The strategy uses volatility-adjusted stops to protect gains and prevent overexposure during erratic price movements. The aim is to take advantage of trending markets by confirming momentum and ensuring entries are not made at extreme levels.
---
**Key Components**
1. **Trend Identification**
- **50 vs 200 EMA Crossover**
- **Bullish Trend:** 50 EMA crosses above 200 EMA, and the price closes above the 200 EMA
- **Bearish Trend:** 50 EMA crosses below 200 EMA, and the price closes below the 200 EMA
2. **Momentum Confirmation**
- **MACD (12,26,9)**
- **Buy Signal:** MACD line crosses above the signal line
- **Sell Signal:** MACD line crosses below the signal line
- **RSI (14 Period)**
- **Bullish Zone:** RSI between 50-70 to avoid overbought conditions
- **Bearish Zone:** RSI between 30-50 to avoid oversold conditions
3. **Entry Criteria**
- **Long Entry:** Bullish trend, MACD bullish crossover, and RSI between 50-70
- **Short Entry:** Bearish trend, MACD bearish crossover, and RSI between 30-50
4. **Exit & Risk Management**
- **ATR Trailing Stops (14 Period):**
- Initial Stop: 3x ATR from entry price
- Trailing Stop: Adjusts to lock in profits as price moves favorably
- **Position Sizing:** 100% of equity per trade (high-risk strategy)
---
**Key Logic Flow**
1. **Trend Filter:** Use the 50/200 EMA relationship to define the market's direction
2. **Momentum Confirmation:** Confirm trend momentum with MACD crossovers
3. **RSI Validation:** Ensure RSI is within non-extreme ranges before entering trades
4. **Volatility-Based Risk Management:** Use ATR stops to manage market volatility
---
**Visual Cues**
- **Blue Line:** 50 EMA
- **Red Line:** 200 EMA
- **Green Triangles:** Long entry signals
- **Red Triangles:** Short entry signals
---
**Strengths**
- **Clear Trend Focus:** Avoids counter-trend trades
- **RSI Filter:** Prevents entering overbought or oversold conditions
- **ATR Stops:** Adapts to gold’s inherent volatility
- **Simple Rules:** Easy to follow with minimal inputs
---
**Weaknesses & Risks**
- **Infrequent Signals:** 50/200 EMA crossovers are rare
- **Potential Missed Opportunities:** Strict RSI criteria may miss some valid trends
- **Aggressive Position Sizing:** 100% equity allocation can lead to large drawdowns
- **No Profit Targets:** Relies on trailing stops rather than defined exit targets
---
**Performance Profile**
| Metric | Expected Range |
|----------------------|---------------------|
| Annual Trades | 4-8 |
| Win Rate | 55-65% |
| Max Drawdown | 25-35% |
| Profit Factor | 1.8-2.5 |
---
**Optimization Recommendations**
1. **Increase Trade Frequency**
Adjust the EMAs to shorter periods:
- `emaFastLen = input.int(30, "Fast EMA")`
- `emaSlowLen = input.int(150, "Slow EMA")`
2. **Relax RSI Filters**
Adjust the RSI range to:
- `rsiBullish = rsi > 45 and rsi < 75`
- `rsiBearish = rsi < 55 and rsi > 25`
3. **Add Profit Targets**
Introduce a profit target at 1.5% above entry:
```pine
strategy.exit("Long Exit", "Long",
stop=longStopPrice,
profit=close*1.015, // 1.5% target
trail_offset=trailOffset)
```
4. **Reduce Position Sizing**
Risk a smaller percentage per trade:
- `default_qty_value=25`
---
**Best Use Case**
This strategy excels in **strong trending markets** such as gold rallies during economic or geopolitical crises. However, during sideways or choppy market conditions, the strategy might require manual intervention to avoid false signals. Additionally, integrating fundamental analysis—like monitoring USD weakness or geopolitical risks—can enhance its effectiveness.
---
This strategy offers a balanced approach for trading gold, combining trend-following principles with risk management tailored to the volatility of the market.
Johnny's Machine Learning Moving Average (MLMA) w/ Trend Alerts📖 Overview
Johnny's Machine Learning Moving Average (MLMA) w/ Trend Alerts is a powerful adaptive moving average indicator designed to capture market trends dynamically. Unlike traditional moving averages (e.g., SMA, EMA, WMA), this indicator incorporates volatility-based trend detection, Bollinger Bands, ADX, and RSI, offering a comprehensive view of market conditions.
The MLMA is "machine learning-inspired" because it adapts dynamically to market conditions using ATR-based windowing and integrates multiple trend strength indicators (ADX, RSI, and volatility bands) to provide an intelligent moving average calculation that learns from recent price action rather than being static.
🛠 How It Works
1️⃣ Adaptive Moving Average Selection
The MLMA automatically selects one of four different moving averages:
📊 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) – Reacts quickly to price changes.
🔵 HMA (Hull Moving Average) – Smooth and fast, reducing lag.
🟡 WMA (Weighted Moving Average) – Gives recent prices more importance.
🔴 VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) – Accounts for volume impact.
The user can select which moving average type to use, making the indicator customizable based on their strategy.
2️⃣ Dynamic Trend Detection
ATR-Based Adaptive Window 📏
The Average True Range (ATR) determines the window size dynamically.
When volatility is high, the moving average window expands, making the MLMA more stable.
When volatility is low, the window shrinks, making the MLMA more responsive.
Trend Strength Filters 📊
ADX (Average Directional Index) > 25 → Indicates a strong trend.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) > 70 or < 30 → Identifies overbought/oversold conditions.
Price Position Relative to Upper/Lower Bands → Determines bullish vs. bearish momentum.
3️⃣ Volatility Bands & Dynamic Support/Resistance
Bollinger Bands (BB) 📉
Uses standard deviation-based bands around the MLMA to detect overbought and oversold zones.
Upper Band = Resistance, Lower Band = Support.
Helps traders identify breakout potential.
Adaptive Trend Bands 🔵🔴
The MLMA has built-in trend envelopes.
When price breaks the upper band, bullish momentum is confirmed.
When price breaks the lower band, bearish momentum is confirmed.
4️⃣ Visual Enhancements
Dynamic Gradient Fills 🌈
The trend strength (ADX-based) determines the gradient intensity.
Stronger trends = More vivid colors.
Weaker trends = Lighter colors.
Trend Reversal Arrows 🔄
🔼 Green Up Arrow: Bullish reversal signal.
🔽 Red Down Arrow: Bearish reversal signal.
Trend Table Overlay 🖥
Displays ADX, RSI, and Trend State dynamically on the chart.
📢 Trading Signals & How to Use It
1️⃣ Bullish Signals 📈
✅ Conditions for a Long (Buy) Trade:
The MLMA crosses above the lower band.
The ADX is above 25 (confirming trend strength).
RSI is above 55, indicating positive momentum.
Green trend reversal arrow appears (confirmation of a bullish reversal).
🔹 How to Trade It:
Enter a long trade when the MLMA turns bullish.
Set stop-loss below the lower Bollinger Band.
Target previous resistance levels or use the upper band as take-profit.
2️⃣ Bearish Signals 📉
✅ Conditions for a Short (Sell) Trade:
The MLMA crosses below the upper band.
The ADX is above 25 (confirming trend strength).
RSI is below 45, indicating bearish pressure.
Red trend reversal arrow appears (confirmation of a bearish reversal).
🔹 How to Trade It:
Enter a short trade when the MLMA turns bearish.
Set stop-loss above the upper Bollinger Band.
Target the lower band as take-profit.
💡 What Makes This a Machine Learning Moving Average?
📍 1️⃣ Adaptive & Self-Tuning
Unlike static moving averages that rely on fixed parameters, this MLMA automatically adjusts its sensitivity to market conditions using:
ATR-based dynamic windowing 📏 (Expands/contracts based on volatility).
Adaptive smoothing using EMA, HMA, WMA, or VWAP 📊.
Multi-indicator confirmation (ADX, RSI, Volatility Bands) 🏆.
📍 2️⃣ Intelligent Trend Confirmation
The MLMA "learns" from recent price movements instead of blindly following a fixed-length average.
It incorporates ADX & RSI trend filtering to reduce noise & false signals.
📍 3️⃣ Dynamic Color-Coding for Trend Strength
Strong trends trigger more vivid colors, mimicking confidence levels in machine learning models.
Weaker trends appear faded, suggesting uncertainty.
🎯 Why Use the MLMA?
✅ Pros
✔ Combines multiple trend indicators (MA, ADX, RSI, BB).
✔ Automatically adjusts to market conditions.
✔ Filters out weak trends, making it more reliable.
✔ Visually intuitive (gradient colors & reversal arrows).
✔ Works across all timeframes and assets.
⚠️ Cons
❌ Not a standalone strategy → Best used with volume confirmation or candlestick analysis.
❌ Can lag slightly in fast-moving markets (due to smoothing).
Two-Pole Oscillator [BigBeluga]
The Two-Pole Oscillator is an advanced smoothing oscillator designed to provide traders with precise market signals by leveraging deviation-based calculations combined with a unique two-pole filtering technique. It offers clear visual representation and actionable signals for smart trading decisions.
🔵Key Features:
Two-Pole Filtering: Smooths out the main oscillator signal to reduce noise, providing a cleaner and more reliable view of market momentum and trend strength.
// Two-pole smooth filter function
f_two_pole_filter(source, length) =>
var float smooth1 = na
var float smooth2 = na
alpha = 2.0 / (length + 1)
if na(smooth1)
smooth1 := source
else
smooth1 := (1 - alpha) * smooth1 + alpha * source
if na(smooth2)
smooth2 := smooth1
else
smooth2 := (1 - alpha) * smooth2 + alpha * smooth1
Deviation-Based Oscillator: Utilizes price deviations from the mean to generate dynamic signals, making it ideal for detecting overbought and oversold conditions.
float sma1 = ta.sma(close, 25)
float sma_n1 = ((close - sma1) - ta.sma(close - sma1, 25)) / ta.stdev(close - sma1, 25)
Signal Gradient Strength: Signals on the main oscillator line feature gradient coloring based on their proximity to the 0 level:
➔ Closer to 0: More transparent, indicating weaker signals.
➔ Closer to 1 or -1: Less transparent, highlighting stronger signals.
Level-Based Signal Validation: Parallel levels are plotted on the chart for each signal:
➔ If a level is crossed by price, the signal is invalidated, marked by an "X" at the invalidation point.
Trend Continuation
Invalidation Levels: Serve as potential stop-loss or trade-reversal zones, enabling traders to make more informed and disciplined trading decisions.
Dynamic Chart Plotting: Signals are plotted directly on the chart with corresponding levels, providing a comprehensive visual representation for easy interpretation.
🔵How It Works:
The oscillator calculates price deviation from a mean value and applies two-pole filtering to smooth the resulting signal.
Gradient-colored signals reflect their strength, with transparency indicating proximity to the 0 level on the oscillator scale.
Buy and sell signals are generated based on crossovers and crossunders of the oscillator line with a signal line.
If a level is crossed, the corresponding signal is marked with a "X" plotted on the chart at the crossover point.
🔵Use Cases:
Detecting overbought or oversold market conditions with a smoother, noise-free oscillator.
Using invalidation levels to set clear stop-loss or trade exit points.
Identifying strong momentum signals and filtering out weaker, less reliable ones.
Combining oscillator signals with price action for more precise trade entries and exits.
This indicator is perfect for traders seeking a refined approach to oscillator analysis, combining signal strength visualization with actionable invalidation levels to enhance trading precision and strategy.
PT Least Squares Moving AveragePT LSMA Multi-Period Indicator
The PT Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) Multi-Period Indicator is a powerful tool designed for investors who want to track market trends across multiple time horizons in a single, convenient indicator. This indicator calculates the LSMA for four different periods— 25 bars, 50 bars, 450 bars, and 500 bars providing a comprehensive view of short-term and long-term market movements.
Key Features:
- Multi-Timeframe Trend Analysis: Tracks both short-term (25 & 50 bars) and long-term (450 & 500 bars) market trends, helping investors make informed decisions.
- Smoothing Capability: The LSMA reduces noise by fitting a linear regression line to past price data, offering a clearer trend direction compared to traditional moving averages.
- One-Indicator Solution: Combines multiple LSMA periods into a single chart, reducing clutter and enhancing visual clarity.
- Versatile Applications: Suitable for trend identification, market timing, and spotting potential reversals across different timeframes.
- Customizable Styling: Allows users to customize colors and line styles for each period to suit their preferences.
How to Use:
1. Short-Term Trends (25 & 50 bars):Ideal for identifying recent price movements and short-term trade opportunities.
2. Long-Term Trends (450 & 500 bars): Helps investors gauge broader market sentiment and position themselves accordingly for longer holding periods.
3. Trend Confirmation: When shorter LSMA periods cross above longer ones, it may signal bullish momentum, whereas the opposite may indicate bearish sentiment.
4. Support and Resistance: The LSMA lines can act as dynamic support and resistance levels during trending markets.
Best For:
- Long-term investors looking to align their positions with dominant market trends.
- Swing traders seeking confirmation from multiple time horizons.
- Portfolio managers tracking price momentum across various investment durations.
This LSMA Multi-Period Indicator equips investors with a well-rounded perspective on price movements, offering a strategic edge in navigating market cycles with confidence.
Created by Prince Thomas
Position Size Using Manual Stop Loss [odnac]
This indicator calculates the risk per position based on user-defined settings.
Two Calculation Methods
1. Manual Stop Loss (%) & Manual Leverage
2. Manual Stop Loss (%) & Optimized Leverage
Settings
1. init_capital
Enter your current total capital.
2. Maximum Risk (%) per Position of Total Capital
Specify the percentage of your total funds to be risked for a single position.
3. manual_SL(%)
Enter the stop-loss percentage.
Range: 0.01 ~ 100
4. manual_leverage
Enter the leverage you wish to use.
Range: 1 ~ 100
Used in the first method (Manual Stop Loss (%) & Manual Leverage).
5. Safety Margin
Specify the safety margin for optimized leverage.
Range: 0.01 ~ 1
Used in the second method (Manual Stop Loss (%) & Optimized Leverage). Details are explained below.
Indicator Colors
Black: Indicates which method is being used.
White: Leverage.
First Green: Funds to be invested.
Second Green: Funds to be invested * Leverage.
First Red: Stop-loss (%).
Second Red: Stop-loss (%) * Leverage.
Details for Each Method:
1. Manual Stop Loss (%) & Manual Leverage
This method calculates the size of the funds based on user-defined stop-loss (%) and leverage settings.
White: manual_leverage.
First Green: Investment = Maximum Risk / (manual_SL / 100) / manual_leverage
Second Green: Maximum Risk * (manual_SL / 100)
First Red: manual_SL.
Second Red: manual_SL * manual_leverage
Ensure that the product of manual_SL and manual_leverage does not exceed 100.
If it does, there is a risk of liquidation.
2. Manual Stop Loss (%) & Optimized Leverage
This method calculates optimized leverage based on the user-defined stop-loss (%) and determines the size of the funds.
Optimization_LEVER = auto_leverage * safety_margin
auto_leverage = 100 / stop-loss (%), rounded down to the nearest whole number.
(Exception: If the stop-loss (%) is in the range of 0 ~ 1%, auto_leverage is always 100.)
Example:
If the stop-loss is 4%, auto_leverage = 25 (100 / 4 = 25).
However, 4% × 25 leverage equals 100%, meaning liquidation occurs even with a stop-loss.
To reduce this risk, the safety_margin value is applied.
White: auto_leverage * safety_margin
First Green: Investment = Maximum Risk / (manual_SL / 100) / optimization_LEVER
Second Green: Maximum Risk * (manual_SL / 100)
First Red: manual_SL.
Second Red: manual_SL * optimization_LEVER
