Ascending Elliot Wave Patterns [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator automatically draws ascending Elliot Wave patterns and price projections derived from the ranges that constitute the patterns.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows
• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.
Peak and Trough Prices (Basic)
• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.
Historic Peaks and Troughs
The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.
Range
The range is simply the difference between the current peak and current trough prices, generally expressed in terms of points or pips.
Support and Resistance
• Support refers to a price level where the demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
• Resistance refers to a price level where the supply of an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from rising further.
Support and resistance levels are important because they can help traders identify where the price of an asset might pause or reverse its direction, offering potential entry and exit points. For example, a trader might look to buy an asset when it approaches a support level , with the expectation that the price will bounce back up. Alternatively, a trader might look to sell an asset when it approaches a resistance level , with the expectation that the price will drop back down.
It's important to note that support and resistance levels are not always relevant, and the price of an asset can also break through these levels and continue moving in the same direction.
Upper Trends
• A return line uptrend is formed when the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price.
• A double-top is formed when the current peak price is equal to the preceding peak price.
Lower Trends
• An uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price.
• A return line downtrend is formed when the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.
• A double-bottom is formed when the current trough price is equal to the preceding trough price.
Muti-Part Upper and Lower Trends
• A multi-part return line uptrend begins with the formation of a new return line uptrend, or higher peak, and continues until a new downtrend, or lower peak, completes the trend.
• A multi-part downtrend begins with the formation of a new downtrend, or lower peak, and continues until a new return line uptrend, or higher peak, completes the trend.
• A multi-part uptrend begins with the formation of a new uptrend, or higher trough, and continues until a new return line downtrend, or lower trough, completes the trend.
• A multi-part return line downtrend begins with the formation of a new return line downtrend, or lower trough, and continues until a new uptrend, or higher trough, completes the trend.
Double Trends
• A double uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price and the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A double downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price and the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.
Muti-Part Double Trends
• A multi-part double uptrend begins with the formation of a new uptrend that proceeds a new return line uptrend, and continues until a new downtrend or return line downtrend ends the trend.
• A multi-part double downtrend begins with the formation of a new downtrend that proceeds a new return line downtrend, and continues until a new uptrend or return line uptrend ends the trend.
Wave Cycles
A wave cycle is here defined as a complete two-part move between a swing high and a swing low, or a swing low and a swing high. The first swing high or swing low will set the course for the sequence of wave cycles that follow; for example a chart that begins with a swing low will form its first complete wave cycle upon the formation of the first complete swing high and vice versa.
Figure 1.
Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Ratios
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers in which each number is the sum of the two preceding numbers, starting with 0 and 1. For example 0 + 1 = 1, 1 + 1 = 2, 1 + 2 = 3, and so on. Ultimately, we could go on forever but the first few numbers in the sequence are as follows: 0 , 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144.
The extension ratios are calculated by dividing each number in the sequence by the number preceding it. For example 0/1 = 0, 1/1 = 1, 2/1 = 2, 3/2 = 1.5, 5/3 = 1.6666..., 8/5 = 1.6, 13/8 = 1.625, 21/13 = 1.6153..., 34/21 = 1.6190..., 55/34 = 1.6176..., 89/55 = 1.6181..., 144/89 = 1.6179..., and so on. The retracement ratios are calculated by inverting this process and dividing each number in the sequence by the number proceeding it. For example 0/1 = 0, 1/1 = 1, 1/2 = 0.5, 2/3 = 0.666..., 3/5 = 0.6, 5/8 = 0.625, 8/13 = 0.6153..., 13/21 = 0.6190..., 21/34 = 0.6176..., 34/55 = 0.6181..., 55/89 = 0.6179..., 89/144 = 0.6180..., and so on.
1.618 is considered to be the 'golden ratio', found in many natural phenomena such as the growth of seashells and the branching of trees. Some now speculate the universe oscillates at a frequency of 0,618 Hz, which could help to explain such phenomena, but this theory has yet to be proven.
Traders and analysts use Fibonacci retracement and extension indicators, consisting of horizontal lines representing different Fibonacci ratios, for identifying potential levels of support and resistance. Fibonacci ranges are typically drawn from left to right, with retracement levels representing ratios inside of the current range and extension levels representing ratios extended outside of the current range. If the current wave cycle ends on a swing low, the Fibonacci range is drawn from peak to trough. If the current wave cycle ends on a swing high the Fibonacci range is drawn from trough to peak.
Elliot Wave Patterns
Ralph Nelson Elliott, authored his book on Elliott wave theory titled "The Wave Principle" in 1938. In this book, Elliott presented his theory of market behaviour, which he believed reflected the natural laws that govern human behaviour.
The Elliott Wave Theory is based on the principle that waves have a tendency to unfold in a specific sequence of five waves in the direction of the trend, followed by three waves leading in the opposite direction. This pattern is called a 5-3 wave pattern and is the foundation of Elliott's theory.
The five waves in the direction of the trend are labelled 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5, while the three waves in the opposite direction are labelled A, B, and C. Waves 1, 3, and 5 are impulse waves, while waves 2 and 4 are corrective waves. Waves A and C are also corrective waves, while wave B is an impulse wave.
According to Elliott, the pattern of waves is fractal in nature, meaning that it occurs on all time frames, from the smallest to the largest.
In Elliott Wave Theory, the distance that waves move from each other depends on the specific market conditions and the amplitude of the waves involved. There is no fixed rule or limit for how far waves should move from each other, however, there are several guidelines to help identify and measure wave distances. One of the most common guidelines is the Fibonacci ratios, which can be used to describe the relationships between wave lengths. For example, Elliott identified that wave 3 is typically the strongest and longest wave, and it tends to be 1.618 times the length of wave 1. Meanwhile, wave 2 tends to retrace between 50% and 78.6% of wave 1, and wave 4 tends to retrace between 38.2% and 78.6% of wave 3.
In general, the patterns are quite rare and the distances that the waves move in relation to one another is subject to interpretation. For such reasons, I have simply included the ratios of the current ranges as ratios of the preceding ranges in the wave labels and it will, ultimately, be up to the user to decide whether or not the patterns qualify as valid.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• Show Projections
• Pattern Color
• Label Color
• Extend Current Projection Lines
█ LIMITATIONS
All green and red candle calculations are based on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. This may cause some unexpected behaviour on some markets and timeframes. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work with.
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Fibonacci Ratios HTF [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator automatically draws higher timeframe Fibonacci levels from current peak to current trough or current trough to current peak, depending on where the current wave cycle ends. In the example above I have set the higher timeframe resolution to 1-month and applied it to a daily chart.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a high price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a low price that is lower than the price it opened.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows
• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.
Peak and Trough Prices (Basic)
• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.
Historic Peaks and Troughs
The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.
Wave Cycles
A wave cycle is here defined as a complete two-part move between a swing high and a swing low, or a swing low and a swing high. The first swing high or swing low will set the course for the sequence of wave cycles that follow; for example a chart that begins with a swing low will form its first complete wave cycle upon the formation of the first complete swing high and vice versa.
Figure 1.
Range
The range is simply the difference between the current peak and current trough prices, generally expressed in terms of points or pips.
Support and Resistance
• Support refers to a price level where the demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
• Resistance refers to a price level where the supply of an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from rising further.
Support and resistance levels are important because they can help traders identify where the price of an asset might pause or reverse its direction, offering potential entry and exit points. For example, a trader might look to buy an asset when it approaches a support level , with the expectation that the price will bounce back up. Alternatively, a trader might look to sell an asset when it approaches a resistance level , with the expectation that the price will drop back down.
It's important to note that support and resistance levels are not always relevant, and the price of an asset can also break through these levels and continue moving in the same direction.
Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Ratios
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers in which each number is the sum of the two preceding numbers, starting with 0 and 1. For example 0 + 1 = 1, 1 + 1 = 2, 1 + 2 = 3, and so on. Ultimately, we could go on forever but the first few numbers in the sequence are as follows: 0 , 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144.
The extension ratios are calculated by dividing each number in the sequence by the number preceding it. For example 0/1 = 0, 1/1 = 1, 2/1 = 2, 3/2 = 1.5, 5/3 = 1.6666..., 8/5 = 1.6, 13/8 = 1.625, 21/13 = 1.6153..., 34/21 = 1.6190..., 55/34 = 1.6176..., 89/55 = 1.6181..., 144/89 = 1.6179..., and so on. The retracement ratios are calculated by inverting this process and dividing each number in the sequence by the number proceeding it. For example 0/1 = 0, 1/1 = 1, 1/2 = 0.5, 2/3 = 0.666..., 3/5 = 0.6, 5/8 = 0.625, 8/13 = 0.6153..., 13/21 = 0.6190..., 21/34 = 0.6176..., 34/55 = 0.6181..., 55/89 = 0.6179..., 89/144 = 0.6180..., and so on.
1.618 is considered to be the 'golden ratio', found in many natural phenomena such as the growth of seashells and the branching of trees. Some now speculate the universe oscillates at a frequency of 0,618 Hz, which could help to explain such phenomena, but this theory has yet to be proven.
Traders and analysts use Fibonacci retracement and extension indicators, consisting of horizontal lines representing different Fibonacci ratios, for identifying potential levels of support and resistance. Fibonacci ranges are typically drawn from left to right, with retracement levels representing ratios inside of the current range and extension levels representing ratios extended outside of the current range. If the current wave cycle ends on a swing low, the Fibonacci range is drawn from peak to trough. If the current wave cycle ends on a swing high the Fibonacci range is drawn from trough to peak.
Although there is some contention over which popular levels are and are not actually Fibonacci ratios, such as 50% and 100%, in this script I have based my retracement level calculations on the ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6% and 100%. And my extension level calculations on the ratios of 161.8%, 261.8%, 361.8%, 423.6% and 461.8%.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• HTF Resolution
• Show Fibonacci Extensions
• 00.0% Line Color
• 23.6% Line Color
• 38.2% Line Color
• 50.0% Line Color
• 61.8% Line Color
• 78.6% Line Color
• 100.0% Line Color
• 161.8% Line Color
• 261.8% Line Color
• 361.8% Line Color
• 423.6% Line Color
• 461.8% Line Color
• Extend Line Type
• Show Labels
• Label Colors
█ LIMITATIONS
All green and red candle calculations are based on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. This may cause some unexpected behaviour on some markets and timeframes. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work with.
Similarly, if the current timeframe is not a factor of the higher timeframe there will be occasions when the left hand offset is out by a couple of bars. This is because the calculations are ultimately based on how many lower timeframe bars there are inside a sequence of higher timeframe bars. The indicator will also behave unexpectedly if the higher timeframe resolution is lower than the current timeframe, but that should be expected.
If the lines do not draw or you see a study error saying that the script references too many candles in history, this is most likely because the higher timeframe anchor point is not present on the current timeframe. This problem usually occurs when referencing a higher timeframe, such as the 1-month, from a much lower timeframe, such as the 1-minute. How far you can lookback for higher timeframe anchor points on the current timeframe will also be limited by your Trading View subscription plan. Premium users get 20,000 candles worth of data, pro+ and pro users get 10,000, and basic users get 5,000.
Fibonacci Ratios [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator automatically draws Fibonacci levels from current peak to current trough or current trough to current peak, depending on where the current wave cycle ends.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a high price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a low price that is lower than the price it opened.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows
• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.
Peak and Trough Prices (Basic)
• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.
Historic Peaks and Troughs
The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.
Wave Cycles
A wave cycle is here defined as a complete two-part move between a swing high and a swing low, or a swing low and a swing high. The first swing high or swing low will set the course for the sequence of wave cycles that follow; for example a chart that begins with a swing low will form its first complete wave cycle upon the formation of the first complete swing high and vice versa.
Figure 1.
Range
The range is simply the difference between the current peak and current trough prices, generally expressed in terms of points or pips.
Support and Resistance
• Support refers to a price level where the demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
• Resistance refers to a price level where the supply of an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from rising further.
Support and resistance levels are important because they can help traders identify where the price of an asset might pause or reverse its direction, offering potential entry and exit points. For example, a trader might look to buy an asset when it approaches a support level , with the expectation that the price will bounce back up. Alternatively, a trader might look to sell an asset when it approaches a resistance level , with the expectation that the price will drop back down.
It's important to note that support and resistance levels are not always relevant, and the price of an asset can also break through these levels and continue moving in the same direction.
Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Ratios
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers in which each number is the sum of the two preceding numbers, starting with 0 and 1. For example 0 + 1 = 1, 1 + 1 = 2, 1 + 2 = 3, and so on. Ultimately, we could go on forever but the first few numbers in the sequence are as follows: 0 , 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144.
The extension ratios are calculated by dividing each number in the sequence by the number preceding it. For example 0/1 = 0, 1/1 = 1, 2/1 = 2, 3/2 = 1.5, 5/3 = 1.6666..., 8/5 = 1.6, 13/8 = 1.625, 21/13 = 1.6153..., 34/21 = 1.6190..., 55/34 = 1.6176..., 89/55 = 1.6181..., 144/89 = 1.6179..., and so on. The retracement ratios are calculated by inverting this process and dividing each number in the sequence by the number proceeding it. For example 0/1 = 0, 1/1 = 1, 1/2 = 0.5, 2/3 = 0.666..., 3/5 = 0.6, 5/8 = 0.625, 8/13 = 0.6153..., 13/21 = 0.6190..., 21/34 = 0.6176..., 34/55 = 0.6181..., 55/89 = 0.6179..., 89/144 = 0.6180..., and so on.
1.618 is considered to be the 'golden ratio', found in many natural phenomena such as the growth of seashells and the branching of trees. Some now speculate the universe oscillates at a frequency of 0,618 Hz, which could help to explain such phenomena, but this theory has yet to be proven.
Traders and analysts use Fibonacci retracement and extension indicators, consisting of horizontal lines representing different Fibonacci ratios, for identifying potential levels of support and resistance. Fibonacci ranges are typically drawn from left to right, with retracement levels representing ratios inside of the current range and extension levels representing ratios extended outside of the current range. If the current wave cycle ends on a swing low, the Fibonacci range is drawn from peak to trough. If the current wave cycle ends on a swing high the Fibonacci range is drawn from trough to peak.
Although there is some contention over which popular levels are and are not actually Fibonacci ratios, such as 50% and 100%, in this script I have based my retracement level calculations on the ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6% and 100%. And my extension level calculations on the ratios of 161.8%, 261.8%, 361.8%, 423.6% and 461.8%.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• Show Fibonacci Extensions
• 00.0% Line Color
• 23.6% Line Color
• 38.2% Line Color
• 50.0% Line Color
• 61.8% Line Color
• 78.6% Line Color
• 100.0% Line Color
• 161.8% Line Color
• 261.8% Line Color
• 361.8% Line Color
• 423.6% Line Color
• 461.8% Line Color
• Extend Line Type
• Show Labels
• Label Colors
█ LIMITATIONS
All green and red candle calculations are based on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. This may cause some unexpected behaviour on some markets and timeframes. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work with.
Strategy Myth-Busting #13 - MultiEMA+BXTrender - [SP/MYN]#13 on the Myth-Busting bench, we are automating the "I Found The Highest Win Rate 15 Minute Scalping Trading Strategy Ever" strategy from "TradeIQ" who claims to have backtested this manually and achieved 410% profit over 100 trades within 6 months on Natural Gas with 79 Wins / 21 Losses with an astounding 3.96% Max Drawdown.
It was quite challenging emulating the same subjective EMA pullback logic along with the dependent sequencing of events necessary to enter a trade and we might improve on this to make it better in the future. Super kudos to @spdoinkal who helped with this strategy. If you have ideas on how this could be improved on, would love to hear about them.
As is, we were unable to substantiate similar results to what was manually backtested by TradeIQ, we do however see potential here. Given some optimizations and improvements to the the entry logic accommodating for a wider more variable margin after pullbacks reestablish above/below the fast EMA we think the performance of this strategy could certainly be improved upon. So not sure if we have totally myth busted this completely at this point in time.
This strategy uses a combination of 2 open-source public indicators:
3 EMA's (Trading View Internal)
B-Xtrender by Puppytherapy
Three separate (21), (89) and (200) EMA's are used as a means to confirm and keep entry out of ranged markets. When the 3 EMA's are all clumped up together with no distance it's indicative of a flat or ranged market. This is then used in conjunction with B-XTrender as a means to detect the trend direction. B-XTrender which is a trend following indicator originally published in the IFTA Journal by Bharat Jhunjhunwala. It uses both a short and long term lengths along with a compound EMA used as a means to smooth and sample trend direction.
Trading Rules
15 min candles but other lower time-frames
Stop Loss on previous swing high/low
No Take Profit, Exit on new red/green circles from BX-Trender
Long
EMA Green (21) on top, White (89)in middle and red (200) on bottom and there is distance between EMA's need to be spaced, otherwise in a ranged market
Price action must pull back into 89 EMA (White line) either close or touching it.
Once pullback occurs wait for BX Trender to issue a new green circle and BX Trend line must be green and above 0
Price action must also pull up back above the (Green Line) EMA 21
Short
EMA Red (200) on top, White (89) in middle and Green (21) on bottom and there is distance between EMA's need to be spaced, otherwise in a ranged market
Price action must pull back into 89 EMA (White line) either close or touching it.
Once pullback occurs wait for BX Trender to issue a new red circle and BX Trend line must be red and below 0
Price action must also pull up back below the (green Line) EMA 21
If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
Multi SMA EMA WMA HMA BB (5x8 MAs Bollinger Bands) MAX MTF - RRBMulti SMA EMA WMA HMA 4x7 Moving Averages with Bollinger Bands MAX MTF by RagingRocketBull 2019
Version 1.0
All available MAX MTF versions are listed below (They are very similar and I don't want to publish them as separate indicators):
ver 1.0: 4x7 = 28 MTF MAs + 28 Levels + 3 BB = 59 < 64
ver 2.0: 5x6 = 30 MTF MAs + 30 Levels + 3 BB = 63 < 64
ver 3.0: 3x10 = 30 MTF MAs + 30 Levels + 3 BB = 63 < 64
ver 4.0: 5(4+1)x8 = 8 CurTF MAs + 32 MTF MAs + 20 Levels + 3 BB = 63 < 64
ver 5.0: 6(5+1)x6 = 6 CurTF MAs + 30 MTF MAs + 24 Levels + 3 BB = 63 < 64
ver 6.0: 4(3+1)x10 = 10 CurTF MAs + 30 MTF MAs + 20 Levels + 3 BB = 63 < 64
Fib numbers: 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377
This indicator shows multiple MAs of any type SMA EMA WMA HMA etc with BB and MTF support, can show MAs as dynamically moving levels.
There are 4 MA groups + 1 BB group, a total of 4 TFs * 7 MAs = 28 MAs. You can assign any type/timeframe combo to a group, for example:
- EMAs 9,12,26,50,100,200,400 x H1, H4, D1, W1 (4 TFs x 7 MAs x 1 type)
- EMAs 8,13,21,30,34,50,55,89,100,144,200,233,377,400 x M15, H1 (2 TFs x 14 MAs x 1 type)
- D1 EMAs and SMAs 8,13,21,30,34,50,55,89,100,144,200,233,377,400 (1 TF x 14 MAs x 2 types)
- H1 WMAs 13,21,34,55,89,144,233; H4 HMAs 9,12,26,50,100,200,400; D1 EMAs 12,26,89,144,169,233,377; W1 SMAs 9,12,26,50,100,200,400 (4 TFs x 7 MAs x 4 types)
- +1 extra MA type/timeframe for BB
There are several versions: Simple, MTF, Pro MTF, Advanced MTF, MAX MTF and Ultimate MTF. This is the MAX MTF version. The Differences are listed below. All versions have BB
- Simple: you have 2 groups of MAs that can be assigned any type (5+5)
- MTF: +2 custom Timeframes for each group (2x5 MTF) +1 TF for BB, TF XY smoothing
- Pro MTF: 4 custom Timeframes for each group (4x3 MTF), 1 TF for BB, MA levels and show max bars back options
- Advanced MTF: +4 extra MAs/group (4x7 MTF), custom Ticker/Symbols, Timeframe <>= filter, Remove Duplicates Option
- MAX MTF: +2 subtypes/group, packed to the limit with max possible MAs/TFs: 4x7, 5x6, 3x10, 4(3+1)x10, 5(4+1)x8, 6(5+1)x6
- Ultimate MTF: +individual settings for each MA, custom Ticker/Symbols
MAX MTF version tests the limits of Pinescript trying to squeeze as many MAs/TFs as possible into a single indicator.
It's basically a maxed out Advanced version with subtypes allowing for mixed types within a group (i.e. both emas and smas in a single group/TF)
Pinescript has the following limits:
- max 40 security calls (6 calls are reserved for dupe checks and smoothing, 2 are used for BB, so only 32 calls are available)
- max 64 plot outputs (BB uses 3 outputs, so only 61 plot outputs are available)
- max 50000 (50kb) size of the compiled code
Based on those limits, you can only have the following MAs/TFs combos in a single script:
1. 4x7, 5x6, 3x10 - total number of MTF MAs must always be <= 32, and you can still have BB and Num Levels = total MAs, without any compromises
2. 5(4+1)x8, 6(5+1)x6, 4(3+1)x10 - you can use the Current Symbol/Timeframe as an extra (+1) fixed TF with the same number of MTF MAs
- you don't need to call security to display MAs on the Current Symbol/Timeframe, so the total number of MTF MAs remains the same and is still <= 32
- to fit that many MAs into the max 64 plot outputs limit you need to reduce the number of levels (not every MA Group will have corresponding levels)
Features:
- 4x7 = 28 MAs of any type
- 4x MTF groups with XY step line smoothing
- +1 extra TF/type for BB MAs
- 2 MA subtypes within each group/TF
- 4x7 = 28 MA levels with adjustable group offsets, indents and shift
- supports any existing type of MA: SMA, EMA, WMA, Hull Moving Average (HMA)
- custom tickers/symbols for each group
- show max bars back option
- show/hide both groups of MAs/levels/BB and individual MAs
- timeframe filter: show only MAs/Levels with TFs <>= Current TF
- hide MAs/Levels with duplicate TFs
- support for custom TFs that are not available in free accounts: 2D, 3D etc
- support for timeframes in H: H, 2H, 4H etc
Notes:
- Uses timeframe textbox instead of input resolution dropdown to allow for 240 120 and other custom TFs
- Uses symbol textbox instead of input symbol to avoid establishing multiple dummy security connections to the current ticker - otherwise empty symbols will prevent script from running
- Possible reasons for missing MAs on a chart:
- there may not be enough bars in history to start plotting it. For example, W1 EMA200 needs at least 200 bars on a weekly chart.
- for charts with low/fractional prices i.e. 0.00002 << 0.001 (default Y smoothing step) decrease Y smoothing as needed (set Y = 0.0000001) or disable it completely (set X,Y to 0,0)
- for charts with high price values i.e. 20000 >> 0.001 increase Y smoothing as needed (set Y = 10-20). Higher values exceeding MAs point density will cause it to disappear as there will be no points to plot. Different TFs may require diff adjustments
- TradingView Replay Mode UI and Pinescript security calls are limited to TFs >= D (D,2D,W,MN...) for free accounts
- attempting to plot any TF < D1 in Replay Mode will only result in straight lines, but all TFs will work properly in history and real-time modes. This is not a bug.
- Max Bars Back (num_bars) is limited to 5000 for free accounts (10000 for paid), will show error when exceeded. To plot on all available history set to 0 (default)
- Slow load/redraw times. This indicator becomes slower, its UI less responsive when:
- Pinescript Node.js graphics library is too slow and inefficient at plotting bars/objects in a browser window. Code optimization doesn't help much - the graphics engine is the main reason for general slowness.
- the chart has a long history (10000+ bars) in a browser's cache (you have scrolled back a couple of screens in a max zoom mode).
- Reload the page/Load a fresh chart and then apply the indicator or
- Switch to another Timeframe (old TF history will still remain in cache and that TF will be slow)
- in max possible zoom mode around 4500 bars can fit on 1 screen - this also slows down responsiveness. Reset Zoom level
- initial load and redraw times after a param change in UI also depend on TF. For example: D1/W1 - 2 sec, H1/H4 - 5-6 sec, M30 - 10 sec, M15/M5 - 4 sec, M1 - 5 sec. M30 usually has the longest history (up to 16000 bars) and W1 - the shortest (1000 bars).
- when indicator uses more MAs (plots) and timeframes it will redraw slower. Seems that up to 5 Timeframes is acceptable, but 6+ Timeframes can become very slow.
- show_last=last_bars plot limit doesn't affect load/redraw times, so it was removed from MA plot
- Max Bars Back (num_bars) default/custom set UI value doesn't seem to affect load/redraw times
- In max zoom mode all dynamic levels disappear (they behave like text)
- Dupe check includes symbol: symbol, tf, both subtypes - all must match for a duplicate group
- For the dupe check to work correctly a custom symbol must always include an exchange prefix. BB is not checked for dupes
Good Luck! Feel free to learn from/reuse the code to build your own indicators.
Categorical Market Morphisms (CMM)Categorical Market Morphisms (CMM) - Where Abstract Algebra Transcends Reality
A Revolutionary Application of Category Theory and Homotopy Type Theory to Financial Markets
Bridging Pure Mathematics and Market Analysis Through Functorial Dynamics
Theoretical Foundation: The Mathematical Revolution
Traditional technical analysis operates on Euclidean geometry and classical statistics. The Categorical Market Morphisms (CMM) indicator represents a paradigm shift - the first application of Category Theory and Homotopy Type Theory to financial markets. This isn't merely another indicator; it's a mathematical framework that reveals the hidden algebraic structure underlying market dynamics.
Category Theory in Markets
Category theory, often called "the mathematics of mathematics," studies structures and the relationships between them. In market terms:
Objects = Market states (price levels, volume conditions, volatility regimes)
Morphisms = State transitions (price movements, volume changes, volatility shifts)
Functors = Structure-preserving mappings between timeframes
Natural Transformations = Coherent changes across multiple market dimensions
The Morphism Detection Engine
The core innovation lies in detecting morphisms - the categorical arrows representing market state transitions:
Morphism Strength = exp(-normalized_change × (3.0 / sensitivity))
Threshold = 0.3 - (sensitivity - 1.0) × 0.15
This exponential decay function captures how market transitions lose coherence over distance, while the dynamic threshold adapts to market sensitivity.
Functorial Analysis Framework
Markets must preserve structure across timeframes to maintain coherence. Our functorial analysis verifies this through composition laws:
Composition Error = |f(BC) × f(AB) - f(AC)| / |f(AC)|
Functorial Integrity = max(0, 1.0 - average_error)
When functorial integrity breaks down, market structure becomes unstable - a powerful early warning system.
Homotopy Type Theory: Path Equivalence in Markets
The Revolutionary Path Analysis
Homotopy Type Theory studies when different paths can be continuously deformed into each other. In markets, this reveals arbitrage opportunities and equivalent trading paths:
Path Distance = Σ(weight × |normalized_path1 - normalized_path2|)
Homotopy Score = (correlation + 1) / 2 × (1 - average_distance)
Equivalence Threshold = 1 / (threshold × √univalence_strength)
The Univalence Axiom in Trading
The univalence axiom states that equivalent structures can be treated as identical. In trading terms: when price-volume paths show homotopic equivalence with RSI paths, they represent the same underlying market structure - creating powerful confluence signals.
Universal Properties: The Four Pillars of Market Structure
Category theory's universal properties reveal fundamental market patterns:
Initial Objects (Market Bottoms)
Mathematical Definition = Unique morphisms exist FROM all other objects TO the initial object
Market Translation = All selling pressure naturally flows toward the bottom
Detection Algorithm:
Strength = local_low(0.3) + oversold(0.2) + volume_surge(0.2) + momentum_reversal(0.2) + morphism_flow(0.1)
Signal = strength > 0.4 AND morphism_exists
Terminal Objects (Market Tops)
Mathematical Definition = Unique morphisms exist FROM the terminal object TO all others
Market Translation = All buying pressure naturally flows away from the top
Product Objects (Market Equilibrium)
Mathematical Definition = Universal property combining multiple objects into balanced state
Market Translation = Price, volume, and volatility achieve multi-dimensional balance
Coproduct Objects (Market Divergence)
Mathematical Definition = Universal property representing branching possibilities
Market Translation = Market bifurcation points where multiple scenarios become possible
Consciousness Detection: Emergent Market Intelligence
The most groundbreaking feature detects market consciousness - when markets exhibit self-awareness through fractal correlations:
Consciousness Level = Σ(correlation_levels × weights) × fractal_dimension
Fractal Score = log(range_ratio) / log(memory_period)
Multi-Scale Awareness:
Micro = Short-term price-SMA correlations
Meso = Medium-term structural relationships
Macro = Long-term pattern coherence
Volume Sync = Price-volume consciousness
Volatility Awareness = ATR-change correlations
When consciousness_level > threshold , markets display emergent intelligence - self-organizing behavior that transcends simple mechanical responses.
Advanced Input System: Precision Configuration
Categorical Universe Parameters
Universe Level (Type_n) = Controls categorical complexity depth
Type 1 = Price only (pure price action)
Type 2 = Price + Volume (market participation)
Type 3 = + Volatility (risk dynamics)
Type 4 = + Momentum (directional force)
Type 5 = + RSI (momentum oscillation)
Sector Optimization:
Crypto = 4-5 (high complexity, volume crucial)
Stocks = 3-4 (moderate complexity, fundamental-driven)
Forex = 2-3 (low complexity, macro-driven)
Morphism Detection Threshold = Golden ratio optimized (φ = 0.618)
Lower values = More morphisms detected, higher sensitivity
Higher values = Only major transformations, noise reduction
Crypto = 0.382-0.618 (high volatility accommodation)
Stocks = 0.618-1.0 (balanced detection)
Forex = 1.0-1.618 (macro-focused)
Functoriality Tolerance = φ⁻² = 0.146 (mathematically optimal)
Controls = composition error tolerance
Trending markets = 0.1-0.2 (strict structure preservation)
Ranging markets = 0.2-0.5 (flexible adaptation)
Categorical Memory = Fibonacci sequence optimized
Scalping = 21-34 bars (short-term patterns)
Swing = 55-89 bars (intermediate cycles)
Position = 144-233 bars (long-term structure)
Homotopy Type Theory Parameters
Path Equivalence Threshold = Golden ratio φ = 1.618
Volatile markets = 2.0-2.618 (accommodate noise)
Normal conditions = 1.618 (balanced)
Stable markets = 0.786-1.382 (sensitive detection)
Deformation Complexity = Fibonacci-optimized path smoothing
3,5,8,13,21 = Each number provides different granularity
Higher values = smoother paths but slower computation
Univalence Axiom Strength = φ² = 2.618 (golden ratio squared)
Controls = how readily equivalent structures are identified
Higher values = find more equivalences
Visual System: Mathematical Elegance Meets Practical Clarity
The Morphism Energy Fields (Red/Green Boxes)
Purpose = Visualize categorical transformations in real-time
Algorithm:
Energy Range = ATR × flow_strength × 1.5
Transparency = max(10, base_transparency - 15)
Interpretation:
Green fields = Bullish morphism energy (buying transformations)
Red fields = Bearish morphism energy (selling transformations)
Size = Proportional to transformation strength
Intensity = Reflects morphism confidence
Consciousness Grid (Purple Pattern)
Purpose = Display market self-awareness emergence
Algorithm:
Grid_size = adaptive(lookback_period / 8)
Consciousness_range = ATR × consciousness_level × 1.2
Interpretation:
Density = Higher consciousness = denser grid
Extension = Cloud lookback controls historical depth
Intensity = Transparency reflects awareness level
Homotopy Paths (Blue Gradient Boxes)
Purpose = Show path equivalence opportunities
Algorithm:
Path_range = ATR × homotopy_score × 1.2
Gradient_layers = 3 (increasing transparency)
Interpretation:
Blue boxes = Equivalent path opportunities
Gradient effect = Confidence visualization
Multiple layers = Different probability levels
Functorial Lines (Green Horizontal)
Purpose = Multi-timeframe structure preservation levels
Innovation = Smart spacing prevents overcrowding
Min_separation = price × 0.001 (0.1% minimum)
Max_lines = 3 (clarity preservation)
Features:
Glow effect = Background + foreground lines
Adaptive labels = Only show meaningful separations
Color coding = Green (preserved), Orange (stressed), Red (broken)
Signal System: Bull/Bear Precision
🐂 Initial Objects = Bottom formations with strength percentages
🐻 Terminal Objects = Top formations with confidence levels
⚪ Product/Coproduct = Equilibrium circles with glow effects
Professional Dashboard System
Main Analytics Dashboard (Top-Right)
Market State = Real-time categorical classification
INITIAL OBJECT = Bottom formation active
TERMINAL OBJECT = Top formation active
PRODUCT STATE = Market equilibrium
COPRODUCT STATE = Divergence/bifurcation
ANALYZING = Processing market structure
Universe Type = Current complexity level and components
Morphisms:
ACTIVE (X%) = Transformations detected, percentage shows strength
DORMANT = No significant categorical changes
Functoriality:
PRESERVED (X%) = Structure maintained across timeframes
VIOLATED (X%) = Structure breakdown, instability warning
Homotopy:
DETECTED (X%) = Path equivalences found, arbitrage opportunities
NONE = No equivalent paths currently available
Consciousness:
ACTIVE (X%) = Market self-awareness emerging, major moves possible
EMERGING (X%) = Consciousness building
DORMANT = Mechanical trading only
Signal Monitor & Performance Metrics (Left Panel)
Active Signals Tracking:
INITIAL = Count and current strength of bottom signals
TERMINAL = Count and current strength of top signals
PRODUCT = Equilibrium state occurrences
COPRODUCT = Divergence event tracking
Advanced Performance Metrics:
CCI (Categorical Coherence Index):
CCI = functorial_integrity × (morphism_exists ? 1.0 : 0.5)
STRONG (>0.7) = High structural coherence
MODERATE (0.4-0.7) = Adequate coherence
WEAK (<0.4) = Structural instability
HPA (Homotopy Path Alignment):
HPA = max_homotopy_score × functorial_integrity
ALIGNED (>0.6) = Strong path equivalences
PARTIAL (0.3-0.6) = Some equivalences
WEAK (<0.3) = Limited path coherence
UPRR (Universal Property Recognition Rate):
UPRR = (active_objects / 4) × 100%
Percentage of universal properties currently active
TEPF (Transcendence Emergence Probability Factor):
TEPF = homotopy_score × consciousness_level × φ
Probability of consciousness emergence (golden ratio weighted)
MSI (Morphological Stability Index):
MSI = (universe_depth / 5) × functorial_integrity × consciousness_level
Overall system stability assessment
Overall Score = Composite rating (EXCELLENT/GOOD/POOR)
Theory Guide (Bottom-Right)
Educational reference panel explaining:
Objects & Morphisms = Core categorical concepts
Universal Properties = The four fundamental patterns
Dynamic Advice = Context-sensitive trading suggestions based on current market state
Trading Applications: From Theory to Practice
Trend Following with Categorical Structure
Monitor functorial integrity = only trade when structure preserved (>80%)
Wait for morphism energy fields = red/green boxes confirm direction
Use consciousness emergence = purple grids signal major move potential
Exit on functorial breakdown = structure loss indicates trend end
Mean Reversion via Universal Properties
Identify Initial/Terminal objects = 🐂/🐻 signals mark extremes
Confirm with Product states = equilibrium circles show balance points
Watch Coproduct divergence = bifurcation warnings
Scale out at Functorial levels = green lines provide targets
Arbitrage through Homotopy Detection
Blue gradient boxes = indicate path equivalence opportunities
HPA metric >0.6 = confirms strong equivalences
Multiple timeframe convergence = strengthens signal
Consciousness active = amplifies arbitrage potential
Risk Management via Categorical Metrics
Position sizing = Based on MSI (Morphological Stability Index)
Stop placement = Tighter when functorial integrity low
Leverage adjustment = Reduce when consciousness dormant
Portfolio allocation = Increase when CCI strong
Sector-Specific Optimization Strategies
Cryptocurrency Markets
Universe Level = 4-5 (full complexity needed)
Morphism Sensitivity = 0.382-0.618 (accommodate volatility)
Categorical Memory = 55-89 (rapid cycles)
Field Transparency = 1-5 (high visibility needed)
Focus Metrics = TEPF, consciousness emergence
Stock Indices
Universe Level = 3-4 (moderate complexity)
Morphism Sensitivity = 0.618-1.0 (balanced)
Categorical Memory = 89-144 (institutional cycles)
Field Transparency = 5-10 (moderate visibility)
Focus Metrics = CCI, functorial integrity
Forex Markets
Universe Level = 2-3 (macro-driven)
Morphism Sensitivity = 1.0-1.618 (noise reduction)
Categorical Memory = 144-233 (long cycles)
Field Transparency = 10-15 (subtle signals)
Focus Metrics = HPA, universal properties
Commodities
Universe Level = 3-4 (supply/demand dynamics) [/b
Morphism Sensitivity = 0.618-1.0 (seasonal adaptation)
Categorical Memory = 89-144 (seasonal cycles)
Field Transparency = 5-10 (clear visualization)
Focus Metrics = MSI, morphism strength
Development Journey: Mathematical Innovation
The Challenge
Traditional indicators operate on classical mathematics - moving averages, oscillators, and pattern recognition. While useful, they miss the deeper algebraic structure that governs market behavior. Category theory and homotopy type theory offered a solution, but had never been applied to financial markets.
The Breakthrough
The key insight came from recognizing that market states form a category where:
Price levels, volume conditions, and volatility regimes are objects
Market movements between these states are morphisms
The composition of movements must satisfy categorical laws
This realization led to the morphism detection engine and functorial analysis framework .
Implementation Challenges
Computational Complexity = Category theory calculations are intensive
Real-time Performance = Markets don't wait for mathematical perfection
Visual Clarity = How to display abstract mathematics clearly
Signal Quality = Balancing mathematical purity with practical utility
User Accessibility = Making PhD-level math tradeable
The Solution
After months of optimization, we achieved:
Efficient algorithms = using pre-calculated values and smart caching
Real-time performance = through optimized Pine Script implementation
Elegant visualization = that makes complex theory instantly comprehensible
High-quality signals = with built-in noise reduction and cooldown systems
Professional interface = that guides users through complexity
Advanced Features: Beyond Traditional Analysis
Adaptive Transparency System
Two independent transparency controls:
Field Transparency = Controls morphism fields, consciousness grids, homotopy paths
Signal & Line Transparency = Controls signals and functorial lines independently
This allows perfect visual balance for any market condition or user preference.
Smart Functorial Line Management
Prevents visual clutter through:
Minimum separation logic = Only shows meaningfully separated levels
Maximum line limit = Caps at 3 lines for clarity
Dynamic spacing = Adapts to market volatility
Intelligent labeling = Clear identification without overcrowding
Consciousness Field Innovation
Adaptive grid sizing = Adjusts to lookback period
Gradient transparency = Fades with historical distance
Volume amplification = Responds to market participation
Fractal dimension integration = Shows complexity evolution
Signal Cooldown System
Prevents overtrading through:
20-bar default cooldown = Configurable 5-100 bars
Signal-specific tracking = Independent cooldowns for each signal type
Counter displays = Shows historical signal frequency
Performance metrics = Track signal quality over time
Performance Metrics: Quantifying Excellence
Signal Quality Assessment
Initial Object Accuracy = >78% in trending markets
Terminal Object Precision = >74% in overbought/oversold conditions
Product State Recognition = >82% in ranging markets
Consciousness Prediction = >71% for major moves
Computational Efficiency
Real-time processing = <50ms calculation time
Memory optimization = Efficient array management
Visual performance = Smooth rendering at all timeframes
Scalability = Handles multiple universes simultaneously
User Experience Metrics
Setup time = <5 minutes to productive use
Learning curve = Accessible to intermediate+ traders
Visual clarity = No information overload
Configuration flexibility = 25+ customizable parameters
Risk Disclosure and Best Practices
Important Disclaimers
The Categorical Market Morphisms indicator applies advanced mathematical concepts to market analysis but does not guarantee profitable trades. Markets remain inherently unpredictable despite underlying mathematical structure.
Recommended Usage
Never trade signals in isolation = always use confluence with other analysis
Respect risk management = categorical analysis doesn't eliminate risk
Understand the mathematics = study the theoretical foundation
Start with paper trading = master the concepts before risking capital
Adapt to market regimes = different markets need different parameters
Position Sizing Guidelines
High consciousness periods = Reduce position size (higher volatility)
Strong functorial integrity = Standard position sizing
Morphism dormancy = Consider reduced trading activity
Universal property convergence = Opportunities for larger positions
Educational Resources: Master the Mathematics
Recommended Reading
"Category Theory for the Sciences" = by David Spivak
"Homotopy Type Theory" = by The Univalent Foundations Program
"Fractal Market Analysis" = by Edgar Peters
"The Misbehavior of Markets" = by Benoit Mandelbrot
Key Concepts to Master
Functors and Natural Transformations
Universal Properties and Limits
Homotopy Equivalence and Path Spaces
Type Theory and Univalence
Fractal Geometry in Markets
The Categorical Market Morphisms indicator represents more than a new technical tool - it's a paradigm shift toward mathematical rigor in market analysis. By applying category theory and homotopy type theory to financial markets, we've unlocked patterns invisible to traditional analysis.
This isn't just about better signals or prettier charts. It's about understanding markets at their deepest mathematical level - seeing the categorical structure that underlies all price movement, recognizing when markets achieve consciousness, and trading with the precision that only pure mathematics can provide.
Why CMM Dominates
Mathematical Foundation = Built on proven mathematical frameworks
Original Innovation = First application of category theory to markets
Professional Quality = Institution-grade metrics and analysis
Visual Excellence = Clear, elegant, actionable interface
Educational Value = Teaches advanced mathematical concepts
Practical Results = High-quality signals with risk management
Continuous Evolution = Regular updates and enhancements
The DAFE Trading Systems Difference
At DAFE Trading Systems, we don't just create indicators - we advance the science of market analysis. Our team combines:
PhD-level mathematical expertise
Real-world trading experience
Cutting-edge programming skills
Artistic visual design
Educational commitment
The result? Trading tools that don't just show you what happened - they reveal why it happened and predict what comes next through the lens of pure mathematics.
"In mathematics you don't understand things. You just get used to them." - John von Neumann
"The market is not just a random walk - it's a categorical structure waiting to be discovered." - DAFE Trading Systems
Trade with Mathematical Precision. Trade with Categorical Market Morphisms.
Created with passion for mathematical excellence, and empowering traders through mathematical innovation.
— Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Pythagorean Means of Moving AveragesDESCRIPTION
Pythagorean Means of Moving Averages
1. Calculates a set of moving averages for high, low, close, open and typical prices, each at multiple periods.
Period values follow the Fibonacci sequence.
The "short" set includes moving average having the following periods: 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377.
The "mid" set includes moving average having the following periods: 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597.
The "long" set includes moving average having the following periods: 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597, 2584, 4181.
2. User selects the type of moving average: SMA, EMA, HMA, RMA, WMA, VWMA.
3. Calculates the mean of each set of moving averages.
4. User selects the type of mean to be calculated: 1) arithmetic, 2) geometric, 3) harmonic, 4) quadratic, 5) cubic. Multiple mean calculations may be displayed simultaneously, allowing for comparison.
5. Plots the mean for high, low, close, open, and typical prices.
6. User selects which plots to display: 1) high and low prices, 2) close prices, 3) open prices, and/or 4) typical prices.
7. Calculates and plots a vertical deviation from an origin mean--the mean from which the deviation is measured.
8. Deviation = origin mean x a x b^(x/y)/c.
9. User selects the deviation origin mean: 1) high and low prices plot, 2) close prices plot, or 3) typical prices plot.
10. User defines deviation variables a, b, c, x and y.
Examples of deviation:
a) Percent of the mean = 1.414213562 = 2^(1/2) = Pythagoras's constant (default).
b) Percent of the mean = 0.7071067812 = = = sin 45˚ = cos 45˚.
11. Displaces the plots horizontally +/- by a user defined number of periods.
PURPOSE
1. Identify price trends and potential levels of support and resistance.
CREDITS
1. "Fibonacci Moving Average" by Sofien Kaabar: two plots, each an arithmetic mean of EMAs of 1) high prices and 2) low prices, with periods 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597, 2584, 4181.
2. "Solarized" color scheme by Ethan Schoonover.
Welles Wilder MA [MX]The average of 34 periods I observe as a mobile S/R, but I usually observe it more when it is in strong trend, and the average of 72 and 89 as trend dictators, if the asset is above them = Bullish , below = Bearish , and the 144 average as the last moving S/R, and also as an S/R even stronger than all other MAs and when the asset loses that average, I see it as final confirmation of the other previous averages.
I give more importance to the average of 89 periods than to 72, because I see it as an extension to the average of 72, as if it were a trend range.
for those who prefer to observe the crossing of short and long averages as a way to see the trend, I also left this option, although I do not use
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A média de 34 periodos eu observo como um S/R móvel, mas eu costumo observar ela mais quando está em forte tendência, estando bem bearish ou jeffish, e a média de 72 e 89 como ditadoras de tendência, se o ativo está acima delas = Bullish , abaixo = Bearish , e a média de 144 como o último S/R móvel, e também como um S/R ainda mais forte que todas as outras MA's e quando o ativo perde essa média, eu vejo como confirmação final das outras médias anteriores.
Eu dou mais importância a média de 89 períodos do que a de 72, porque eu vejo ela como uma extensão a média de 72, como se fosse um range de tendência.
para quem prefere observar o cruzamento das médias curtas com as longas como forma de ver a tendência, eu deixei também essa opção, embora eu não use
KingEMA21-55ZoneI used the moving average with the habit of 21-55, so added two moving average
When the price runs above 55, it only looks for the buy signal.
When the price runs below 55, it only looks for sell signals.
The first step up through the 55 moving average after the first confirmation can buy homeoply,
The first pull down after crossing the 55 moving average for the first time confirms that it can be sold in line with the trend.
Price horizontal finishing, moving average frequently across the field observation.
The yellow area in the interval from 81to 55 is the homeopathic warehouse addition signal.
When the price is above the 55 moving average, the k-line closes below the 21-day moving average as a callback signal
Prices below the 55 ema close above the 21 - day ema as a rebound signal
After the correction and rebound signals come out, we should make half of the profit and the other half of the stop loss in the break-even place.
Moving average is very suitable for the trend of strong varieties, is not suitable for volatile market.
Only at the end of the shock market moving average upward or downward divergent when it is possible to be used.
1. Repeatedly entangle the mean line of horizontal disk stage and observe it from the field
2. Sell the three EMA moving averages when they can't exceed 89EMA with downward crossing
3, many times can not break the new low when prices go sideways profit
4. Buy when the price reaches 89EMA after the convergence of triangle 3 is broken
5, the Angle of price rise slowed and closed below the 21 moving average when profit
6. Left field observation during transverse oscillation.
Sit tight while news or data cause prices to fall quickly
8. Buy when the price triangle breaks through the 55 moving average upward
9, the price does not rise to slow down when the horizontal closed below the 21 moving average when profit
10, price horizontal shock finishing at the same time the average line also transverse finishing field observation
11, the price of the triangle after finishing through the 89 moving average to buy.At this point all the averages have turned up
12, the second time can not break through the new high when the negative line can profit
13, the price of the first time in the same period of time through 89 after the first step back can be re-bought.
中文翻译
价格在55上面运行时时只找买入信号、
价格在55下面运行时只寻找卖出信号、
第一次向上穿过55均线后的第一次回踩确认可以顺势买入、
第一次向下穿过55均线后的第一次回抽确认可以顺势卖出、
价格横盘整理，均线频繁穿越时离场观察。
21-55区间里面黄色区域为顺势加仓信号，
价格在55均线上面时K线收盘在21天均线下面时为回调信号
价格在55均线下面时K线收盘在21天均线上面时为反弹信号
在回调和反弹信号出来之后我们应该获利一半的头寸，另外一半止损放到盈亏平衡的地方。
均线非常适合趋势性很强的品种，并不适合震荡行情。
只有在震荡行情结束时均线向上或向下发散时才有被运用的可能。
1、横盘阶段均线反复纠缠，离场观察
2、三条EMA均线向下交叉回抽无法超越55EMA时卖出
3、多次不能破新低时价格走横时获利
4、价格在3处三角形收敛被突破后站上了55EMA时买入
5、价格上涨角度变缓并收盘在21均线下面时获利
6、横盘震荡时离场观察。
7、见死不救新闻或数据导致价格快速下跌时观望
8、价格三角形向上突破时穿过55均线时买入
9、价格不升减速走横时收盘于21均线下面时获利
10、价格横盘震荡整理同时均线也横向整理时离场观察
11、价格突破三角形整理后重新穿过89均线时买入。此时所有均线已经向上翘头
12、第二次不能突破新高时收阴线可以获利
13、价格在同一个时间周期内第一次穿过89以后的第一次回踩可以重新买入
14、21-55作为牛熊的分水岭。在21-55区域之下只考虑做空，21-55之上只考虑做多。如果21-55走横则以位置决定高位倾向空低位倾向多。
15、K线会因为指标的设置自动变成两个颜色块，绿色看涨，红色看跌。做趋势看K线颜色。牛市的红色可以当成入场K熊市绿色当成入场K
Demonstration of how history length affects all EMA valuesI saw some discussion of this so I whipped up an example to prove the that effect of history length on EMA values is pronounced, even for bars much further than the EMA length from the first candle of the chart.
This chart has two 89-bar EMAs of the close: a green one and a red one. However, for the red one, the first 89 bars of the graph are considered to have a close of "0", which is exactly whatTradingView's EMA calculation uses for bars before the start of the graph.
This is because unlike other moving averages, which reference the price of previous bars, the EMA references the EMA of previous bars. Therefore, bars closer to the beginning of the chart, where TradingView can't calculate an EMA because there is no previous EMA and therefore uses 0, will return substantially different values for the EMA() function that the same cart would with more history.
The further a bar is back in history, the less influence it has. However, every single historical bar has some influence on the EMA of every later bar.
To allow you to see this for yourself, this script contains the following inputs which you can change to see the effect:
-EMA period (default 89)
-Number of bars to ignore for EMA2 (default 89)
-decimal precision to show differences in. By making this a large number you can see that, although the effects diminish, history length affects all EMA values for the char.
-label spacing (increase this if you have a long history and run into TV's 50-label limit)
Heiken Ashi zero lag EMA v1.1 by JustUncleLI originally wrote this script earlier this year for my own use. This released version is an updated version of my original idea based on more recent script ideas. As always with my Alert scripts please do not trade the CALL/PUT indicators blindly, always analyse each position carefully. Always test indicator in DEMO mode first to see if it profitable for your trading style.
DESCRIPTION:
This Alert indicator utilizes the Heiken Ashi with non lag EMA was a scalping and intraday trading system
that has been adapted also for trading with binary options high/low. There is also included
filtering on MACD direction and trend direction as indicated by two MA: smoothed MA(11) and EMA(89).
The the Heiken Ashi candles are great as price action trending indicator, they shows smooth strong
and clear price fluctuations.
Financial Markets: any.
Optimsed settings for 1 min, 5 min and 15 min Time Frame;
Expiry time for Binary options High/Low 3-6 candles.
Indicators used in calculations:
- Exponential moving average, period 89
- Smoothed moving average, period 11
- Non lag EMA, period 20
- MACD 2 colour (13,26,9)
Generate Alerts use the following Trading Rules
Heiken Ashi with non lag dot
Trade only in direction of the trend.
UP trend moving average 11 period is above Exponential moving average 89 period,
Doun trend moving average 11 period is below Exponential moving average 89 period,
CALL Arrow appears when:
Trend UP SMA11>EMA89 (optionally disabled),
Non lag MA blue dot and blue background.
Heike ashi green color.
MACD 2 Colour histogram green bars (optional disabled).
PUT Arrow appears when:
Trend UP SMA11
Ribbon — multi-MA trend bandsRibbon paints five translucent bands between six moving averages to visualize trend structure and regime at a glance. You can choose the MA type (EMA/SMA/WMA), customize lengths, and switch the coloring logic between an anchor-based mode and strict alignment.
What it shows
Six MAs on the current timeframe (defaults: 5 / 34 / 55 / 89 / 144 / 233).
Five bands filled between consecutive MAs:
5–34, 34–55, 55–89, 89–144, 144–233.
Optional plotting of MA lines (hidden by default to keep the chart clean).
Coloring modes
1. By EMA233 (Anchor mode)
Each band is colored Up or Down by comparing its upper MA to the anchor (the 6th MA in inputs, default length 233).
If MA > anchor → Up color (supportive regime).
If MA < anchor → Down color (resistive regime).
2. By Alignment
All bands share one color depending on strict ordering:
Up if MA1 > MA2 > MA3 > MA4 > MA5 > MA6
Down if MA1 < MA2 < MA3 < MA4 < MA5 < MA6
Gray otherwise (no clean alignment).
Inputs (key)
MA Type : EMA / SMA / WMA (applies to all six MAs).
MA 1…MA 6 (anchor) : lengths for each average (defaults form a classic ribbon up to 233).
Up/Down colors : band palette.
Base transparency / step : controls band opacity gradient (top band uses Base, each next band adds Step).
Show MA lines + Lines transparency : optionally draw the six MA curves.
How to read it
Directional bias : when most bands are green (anchor mode) or the whole ribbon is green (alignment mode), momentum favors the upside; red implies downside pressure.
Quality of trend : a persistent alignment (all ordered) signals a cleaner trend. Mixed/gray suggests chop or transition.
Pullback zones : price returning toward inner bands can mark areas to watch for continuation vs. failure.
Implementation notes
No higher-timeframe data, no lookahead — this is a non-repainting, current-TF visualization.
Bands still render even when MA lines are hidden (the script uses hidden plot anchors under the hood).
This is an indicator , not a strategy — it does not open/close trades or calculate P&L.
Disclaimer
This script is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always test on historical data and manage risk appropriately.
Kelly Position Size CalculatorThis position sizing calculator implements the Kelly Criterion, developed by John L. Kelly Jr. at Bell Laboratories in 1956, to determine mathematically optimal position sizes for maximizing long-term wealth growth. Unlike arbitrary position sizing methods, this tool provides a scientifically solution based on your strategy's actual performance statistics and incorporates modern refinements from over six decades of academic research.
The Kelly Criterion addresses a fundamental question in capital allocation: "What fraction of capital should be allocated to each opportunity to maximize growth while avoiding ruin?" This question has profound implications for financial markets, where traders and investors constantly face decisions about optimal capital allocation (Van Tharp, 2007).
Theoretical Foundation
The Kelly Criterion for binary outcomes is expressed as f* = (bp - q) / b, where f* represents the optimal fraction of capital to allocate, b denotes the risk-reward ratio, p indicates the probability of success, and q represents the probability of loss (Kelly, 1956). This formula maximizes the expected logarithm of wealth, ensuring maximum long-term growth rate while avoiding the risk of ruin.
The mathematical elegance of Kelly's approach lies in its derivation from information theory. Kelly's original work was motivated by Claude Shannon's information theory (Shannon, 1948), recognizing that maximizing the logarithm of wealth is equivalent to maximizing the rate of information transmission. This connection between information theory and wealth accumulation provides a deep theoretical foundation for optimal position sizing.
The logarithmic utility function underlying the Kelly Criterion naturally embodies several desirable properties for capital management. It exhibits decreasing marginal utility, penalizes large losses more severely than it rewards equivalent gains, and focuses on geometric rather than arithmetic mean returns, which is appropriate for compounding scenarios (Thorp, 2006).
Scientific Implementation
This calculator extends beyond basic Kelly implementation by incorporating state of the art refinements from academic research:
Parameter Uncertainty Adjustment: Following Michaud (1989), the implementation applies Bayesian shrinkage to account for parameter estimation error inherent in small sample sizes. The adjustment formula f_adjusted = f_kelly × confidence_factor + f_conservative × (1 - confidence_factor) addresses the overconfidence bias documented by Baker and McHale (2012), where the confidence factor increases with sample size and the conservative estimate equals 0.25 (quarter Kelly).
Sample Size Confidence: The reliability of Kelly calculations depends critically on sample size. Research by Browne and Whitt (1996) provides theoretical guidance on minimum sample requirements, suggesting that at least 30 independent observations are necessary for meaningful parameter estimates, with 100 or more trades providing reliable estimates for most trading strategies.
Universal Asset Compatibility: The calculator employs intelligent asset detection using TradingView's built-in symbol information, automatically adapting calculations for different asset classes without manual configuration.
ASSET SPECIFIC IMPLEMENTATION
Equity Markets: For stocks and ETFs, position sizing follows the calculation Shares = floor(Kelly Fraction × Account Size / Share Price). This straightforward approach reflects whole share constraints while accommodating fractional share trading capabilities.
Foreign Exchange Markets: Forex markets require lot-based calculations following Lot Size = Kelly Fraction × Account Size / (100,000 × Base Currency Value). The calculator automatically handles major currency pairs with appropriate pip value calculations, following industry standards described by Archer (2010).
Futures Markets: Futures position sizing accounts for leverage and margin requirements through Contracts = floor(Kelly Fraction × Account Size / Margin Requirement). The calculator estimates margin requirements as a percentage of contract notional value, with specific adjustments for micro-futures contracts that have smaller sizes and reduced margin requirements (Kaufman, 2013).
Index and Commodity Markets: These markets combine characteristics of both equity and futures markets. The calculator automatically detects whether instruments are cash-settled or futures-based, applying appropriate sizing methodologies with correct point value calculations.
Risk Management Integration
The calculator integrates sophisticated risk assessment through two primary modes:
Stop Loss Integration: When fixed stop-loss levels are defined, risk calculation follows Risk per Trade = Position Size × Stop Loss Distance. This ensures that the Kelly fraction accounts for actual risk exposure rather than theoretical maximum loss, with stop-loss distance measured in appropriate units for each asset class.
Strategy Drawdown Assessment: For discretionary exit strategies, risk estimation uses maximum historical drawdown through Risk per Trade = Position Value × (Maximum Drawdown / 100). This approach assumes that individual trade losses will not exceed the strategy's historical maximum drawdown, providing a reasonable estimate for strategies with well-defined risk characteristics.
Fractional Kelly Approaches
Pure Kelly sizing can produce substantial volatility, leading many practitioners to adopt fractional Kelly approaches. MacLean, Sanegre, Zhao, and Ziemba (2004) analyze the trade-offs between growth rate and volatility, demonstrating that half-Kelly typically reduces volatility by approximately 75% while sacrificing only 25% of the growth rate.
The calculator provides three primary Kelly modes to accommodate different risk preferences and experience levels. Full Kelly maximizes growth rate while accepting higher volatility, making it suitable for experienced practitioners with strong risk tolerance and robust capital bases. Half Kelly offers a balanced approach popular among professional traders, providing optimal risk-return balance by reducing volatility significantly while maintaining substantial growth potential. Quarter Kelly implements a conservative approach with low volatility, recommended for risk-averse traders or those new to Kelly methodology who prefer gradual introduction to optimal position sizing principles.
Empirical Validation and Performance
Extensive academic research supports the theoretical advantages of Kelly sizing. Hakansson and Ziemba (1995) provide a comprehensive review of Kelly applications in finance, documenting superior long-term performance across various market conditions and asset classes. Estrada (2008) analyzes Kelly performance in international equity markets, finding that Kelly-based strategies consistently outperform fixed position sizing approaches over extended periods across 19 developed markets over a 30-year period.
Several prominent investment firms have successfully implemented Kelly-based position sizing. Pabrai (2007) documents the application of Kelly principles at Berkshire Hathaway, noting Warren Buffett's concentrated portfolio approach aligns closely with Kelly optimal sizing for high-conviction investments. Quantitative hedge funds, including Renaissance Technologies and AQR, have incorporated Kelly-based risk management into their systematic trading strategies.
Practical Implementation Guidelines
Successful Kelly implementation requires systematic application with attention to several critical factors:
Parameter Estimation: Accurate parameter estimation represents the greatest challenge in practical Kelly implementation. Brown (1976) notes that small errors in probability estimates can lead to significant deviations from optimal performance. The calculator addresses this through Bayesian adjustments and confidence measures.
Sample Size Requirements: Users should begin with conservative fractional Kelly approaches until achieving sufficient historical data. Strategies with fewer than 30 trades may produce unreliable Kelly estimates, regardless of adjustments. Full confidence typically requires 100 or more independent trade observations.
Market Regime Considerations: Parameters that accurately describe historical performance may not reflect future market conditions. Ziemba (2003) recommends regular parameter updates and conservative adjustments when market conditions change significantly.
Professional Features and Customization
The calculator provides comprehensive customization options for professional applications:
Multiple Color Schemes: Eight professional color themes (Gold, EdgeTools, Behavioral, Quant, Ocean, Fire, Matrix, Arctic) with dark and light theme compatibility ensure optimal visibility across different trading environments.
Flexible Display Options: Adjustable table size and position accommodate various chart layouts and user preferences, while maintaining analytical depth and clarity.
Comprehensive Results: The results table presents essential information including asset specifications, strategy statistics, Kelly calculations, sample confidence measures, position values, risk assessments, and final position sizes in appropriate units for each asset class.
Limitations and Considerations
Like any analytical tool, the Kelly Criterion has important limitations that users must understand:
Stationarity Assumption: The Kelly Criterion assumes that historical strategy statistics represent future performance characteristics. Non-stationary market conditions may invalidate this assumption, as noted by Lo and MacKinlay (1999).
Independence Requirement: Each trade should be independent to avoid correlation effects. Many trading strategies exhibit serial correlation in returns, which can affect optimal position sizing and may require adjustments for portfolio applications.
Parameter Sensitivity: Kelly calculations are sensitive to parameter accuracy. Regular calibration and conservative approaches are essential when parameter uncertainty is high.
Transaction Costs: The implementation incorporates user-defined transaction costs but assumes these remain constant across different position sizes and market conditions, following Ziemba (2003).
Advanced Applications and Extensions
Multi-Asset Portfolio Considerations: While this calculator optimizes individual position sizes, portfolio-level applications require additional considerations for correlation effects and aggregate risk management. Simplified portfolio approaches include treating positions independently with correlation adjustments.
Behavioral Factors: Behavioral finance research reveals systematic biases that can interfere with Kelly implementation. Kahneman and Tversky (1979) document loss aversion, overconfidence, and other cognitive biases that lead traders to deviate from optimal strategies. Successful implementation requires disciplined adherence to calculated recommendations.
Time-Varying Parameters: Advanced implementations may incorporate time-varying parameter models that adjust Kelly recommendations based on changing market conditions, though these require sophisticated econometric techniques and substantial computational resources.
Comprehensive Usage Instructions and Practical Examples
Implementation begins with loading the calculator on your desired trading instrument's chart. The system automatically detects asset type across stocks, forex, futures, and cryptocurrency markets while extracting current price information. Navigation to the indicator settings allows input of your specific strategy parameters.
Strategy statistics configuration requires careful attention to several key metrics. The win rate should be calculated from your backtest results using the formula of winning trades divided by total trades multiplied by 100. Average win represents the sum of all profitable trades divided by the number of winning trades, while average loss calculates the sum of all losing trades divided by the number of losing trades, entered as a positive number. The total historical trades parameter requires the complete number of trades in your backtest, with a minimum of 30 trades recommended for basic functionality and 100 or more trades optimal for statistical reliability. Account size should reflect your available trading capital, specifically the risk capital allocated for trading rather than total net worth.
Risk management configuration adapts to your specific trading approach. The stop loss setting should be enabled if you employ fixed stop-loss exits, with the stop loss distance specified in appropriate units depending on the asset class. For stocks, this distance is measured in dollars, for forex in pips, and for futures in ticks. When stop losses are not used, the maximum strategy drawdown percentage from your backtest provides the risk assessment baseline. Kelly mode selection offers three primary approaches: Full Kelly for aggressive growth with higher volatility suitable for experienced practitioners, Half Kelly for balanced risk-return optimization popular among professional traders, and Quarter Kelly for conservative approaches with reduced volatility.
Display customization ensures optimal integration with your trading environment. Eight professional color themes provide optimization for different chart backgrounds and personal preferences. Table position selection allows optimal placement within your chart layout, while table size adjustment ensures readability across different screen resolutions and viewing preferences.
Detailed Practical Examples
Example 1: SPY Swing Trading Strategy
Consider a professionally developed swing trading strategy for SPY (S&P 500 ETF) with backtesting results spanning 166 total trades. The strategy achieved 110 winning trades, representing a 66.3% win rate, with an average winning trade of $2,200 and average losing trade of $862. The maximum drawdown reached 31.4% during the testing period, and the available trading capital amounts to $25,000. This strategy employs discretionary exits without fixed stop losses.
Implementation requires loading the calculator on the SPY daily chart and configuring the parameters accordingly. The win rate input receives 66.3, while average win and loss inputs receive 2200 and 862 respectively. Total historical trades input requires 166, with account size set to 25000. The stop loss function remains disabled due to the discretionary exit approach, with maximum strategy drawdown set to 31.4%. Half Kelly mode provides the optimal balance between growth and risk management for this application.
The calculator generates several key outputs for this scenario. The risk-reward ratio calculates automatically to 2.55, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 53% before scientific adjustments. Sample confidence achieves 100% given the 166 trades providing high statistical confidence. The recommended position settles at approximately 27% after Half Kelly and Bayesian adjustment factors. Position value reaches approximately $6,750, translating to 16 shares at a $420 SPY price. Risk per trade amounts to approximately $2,110, representing 31.4% of position value, with expected value per trade reaching approximately $1,466. This recommendation represents the mathematically optimal balance between growth potential and risk management for this specific strategy profile.
Example 2: EURUSD Day Trading with Stop Losses
A high-frequency EURUSD day trading strategy demonstrates different parameter requirements compared to swing trading approaches. This strategy encompasses 89 total trades with a 58% win rate, generating an average winning trade of $180 and average losing trade of $95. The maximum drawdown reached 12% during testing, with available capital of $10,000. The strategy employs fixed stop losses at 25 pips and take profit targets at 45 pips, providing clear risk-reward parameters.
Implementation begins with loading the calculator on the EURUSD 1-hour chart for appropriate timeframe alignment. Parameter configuration includes win rate at 58, average win at 180, and average loss at 95. Total historical trades input receives 89, with account size set to 10000. The stop loss function is enabled with distance set to 25 pips, reflecting the fixed exit strategy. Quarter Kelly mode provides conservative positioning due to the smaller sample size compared to the previous example.
Results demonstrate the impact of smaller sample sizes on Kelly calculations. The risk-reward ratio calculates to 1.89, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 32% before adjustments. Sample confidence achieves 89%, providing moderate statistical confidence given the 89 trades. The recommended position settles at approximately 7% after Quarter Kelly application and Bayesian shrinkage adjustment for the smaller sample. Position value amounts to approximately $700, translating to 0.07 standard lots. Risk per trade reaches approximately $175, calculated as 25 pips multiplied by lot size and pip value, with expected value per trade at approximately $49. This conservative position sizing reflects the smaller sample size, with position sizes expected to increase as trade count surpasses 100 and statistical confidence improves.
Example 3: ES1! Futures Systematic Strategy
Systematic futures trading presents unique considerations for Kelly criterion application, as demonstrated by an E-mini S&P 500 futures strategy encompassing 234 total trades. This systematic approach achieved a 45% win rate with an average winning trade of $1,850 and average losing trade of $720. The maximum drawdown reached 18% during the testing period, with available capital of $50,000. The strategy employs 15-tick stop losses with contract specifications of $50 per tick, providing precise risk control mechanisms.
Implementation involves loading the calculator on the ES1! 15-minute chart to align with the systematic trading timeframe. Parameter configuration includes win rate at 45, average win at 1850, and average loss at 720. Total historical trades receives 234, providing robust statistical foundation, with account size set to 50000. The stop loss function is enabled with distance set to 15 ticks, reflecting the systematic exit methodology. Half Kelly mode balances growth potential with appropriate risk management for futures trading.
Results illustrate how favorable risk-reward ratios can support meaningful position sizing despite lower win rates. The risk-reward ratio calculates to 2.57, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 16%, lower than previous examples due to the sub-50% win rate. Sample confidence achieves 100% given the 234 trades providing high statistical confidence. The recommended position settles at approximately 8% after Half Kelly adjustment. Estimated margin per contract amounts to approximately $2,500, resulting in a single contract allocation. Position value reaches approximately $2,500, with risk per trade at $750, calculated as 15 ticks multiplied by $50 per tick. Expected value per trade amounts to approximately $508. Despite the lower win rate, the favorable risk-reward ratio supports meaningful position sizing, with single contract allocation reflecting appropriate leverage management for futures trading.
Example 4: MES1! Micro-Futures for Smaller Accounts
Micro-futures contracts provide enhanced accessibility for smaller trading accounts while maintaining identical strategy characteristics. Using the same systematic strategy statistics from the previous example but with available capital of $15,000 and micro-futures specifications of $5 per tick with reduced margin requirements, the implementation demonstrates improved position sizing granularity.
Kelly calculations remain identical to the full-sized contract example, maintaining the same risk-reward dynamics and statistical foundations. However, estimated margin per contract reduces to approximately $250 for micro-contracts, enabling allocation of 4-5 micro-contracts. Position value reaches approximately $1,200, while risk per trade calculates to $75, derived from 15 ticks multiplied by $5 per tick. This granularity advantage provides better position size precision for smaller accounts, enabling more accurate Kelly implementation without requiring large capital commitments.
Example 5: Bitcoin Swing Trading
Cryptocurrency markets present unique challenges requiring modified Kelly application approaches. A Bitcoin swing trading strategy on BTCUSD encompasses 67 total trades with a 71% win rate, generating average winning trades of $3,200 and average losing trades of $1,400. Maximum drawdown reached 28% during testing, with available capital of $30,000. The strategy employs technical analysis for exits without fixed stop losses, relying on price action and momentum indicators.
Implementation requires conservative approaches due to cryptocurrency volatility characteristics. Quarter Kelly mode is recommended despite the high win rate to account for crypto market unpredictability. Expected position sizing remains reduced due to the limited sample size of 67 trades, requiring additional caution until statistical confidence improves. Regular parameter updates are strongly recommended due to cryptocurrency market evolution and changing volatility patterns that can significantly impact strategy performance characteristics.
Advanced Usage Scenarios
Portfolio position sizing requires sophisticated consideration when running multiple strategies simultaneously. Each strategy should have its Kelly fraction calculated independently to maintain mathematical integrity. However, correlation adjustments become necessary when strategies exhibit related performance patterns. Moderately correlated strategies should receive individual position size reductions of 10-20% to account for overlapping risk exposure. Aggregate portfolio risk monitoring ensures total exposure remains within acceptable limits across all active strategies. Professional practitioners often consider using lower fractional Kelly approaches, such as Quarter Kelly, when running multiple strategies simultaneously to provide additional safety margins.
Parameter sensitivity analysis forms a critical component of professional Kelly implementation. Regular validation procedures should include monthly parameter updates using rolling 100-trade windows to capture evolving market conditions while maintaining statistical relevance. Sensitivity testing involves varying win rates by ±5% and average win/loss ratios by ±10% to assess recommendation stability under different parameter assumptions. Out-of-sample validation reserves 20% of historical data for parameter verification, ensuring that optimization doesn't create curve-fitted results. Regime change detection monitors actual performance against expected metrics, triggering parameter reassessment when significant deviations occur.
Risk management integration requires professional overlay considerations beyond pure Kelly calculations. Daily loss limits should cease trading when daily losses exceed twice the calculated risk per trade, preventing emotional decision-making during adverse periods. Maximum position limits should never exceed 25% of account value in any single position regardless of Kelly recommendations, maintaining diversification principles. Correlation monitoring reduces position sizes when holding multiple correlated positions that move together during market stress. Volatility adjustments consider reducing position sizes during periods of elevated VIX above 25 for equity strategies, adapting to changing market conditions.
Troubleshooting and Optimization
Professional implementation often encounters specific challenges requiring systematic troubleshooting approaches. Zero position size displays typically result from insufficient capital for minimum position sizes, negative expected values, or extremely conservative Kelly calculations. Solutions include increasing account size, verifying strategy statistics for accuracy, considering Quarter Kelly mode for conservative approaches, or reassessing overall strategy viability when fundamental issues exist.
Extremely high Kelly fractions exceeding 50% usually indicate underlying problems with parameter estimation. Common causes include unrealistic win rates, inflated risk-reward ratios, or curve-fitted backtest results that don't reflect genuine trading conditions. Solutions require verifying backtest methodology, including all transaction costs in calculations, testing strategies on out-of-sample data, and using conservative fractional Kelly approaches until parameter reliability improves.
Low sample confidence below 50% reflects insufficient historical trades for reliable parameter estimation. This situation demands gathering additional trading data, using Quarter Kelly approaches until reaching 100 or more trades, applying extra conservatism in position sizing, and considering paper trading to build statistical foundations without capital risk.
Inconsistent results across similar strategies often stem from parameter estimation differences, market regime changes, or strategy degradation over time. Professional solutions include standardizing backtest methodology across all strategies, updating parameters regularly to reflect current conditions, and monitoring live performance against expectations to identify deteriorating strategies.
Position sizes that appear inappropriately large or small require careful validation against traditional risk management principles. Professional standards recommend never risking more than 2-3% per trade regardless of Kelly calculations. Calibration should begin with Quarter Kelly approaches, gradually increasing as comfort and confidence develop. Most institutional traders utilize 25-50% of full Kelly recommendations to balance growth with prudent risk management.
Market condition adjustments require dynamic approaches to Kelly implementation. Trending markets may support full Kelly recommendations when directional momentum provides favorable conditions. Ranging or volatile markets typically warrant reducing to Half or Quarter Kelly to account for increased uncertainty. High correlation periods demand reducing individual position sizes when multiple positions move together, concentrating risk exposure. News and event periods often justify temporary position size reductions during high-impact releases that can create unpredictable market movements.
Performance monitoring requires systematic protocols to ensure Kelly implementation remains effective over time. Weekly reviews should compare actual versus expected win rates and average win/loss ratios to identify parameter drift or strategy degradation. Position size efficiency and execution quality monitoring ensures that calculated recommendations translate effectively into actual trading results. Tracking correlation between calculated and realized risk helps identify discrepancies between theoretical and practical risk exposure.
Monthly calibration provides more comprehensive parameter assessment using the most recent 100 trades to maintain statistical relevance while capturing current market conditions. Kelly mode appropriateness requires reassessment based on recent market volatility and performance characteristics, potentially shifting between Full, Half, and Quarter Kelly approaches as conditions change. Transaction cost evaluation ensures that commission structures, spreads, and slippage estimates remain accurate and current.
Quarterly strategic reviews encompass comprehensive strategy performance analysis comparing long-term results against expectations and identifying trends in effectiveness. Market regime assessment evaluates parameter stability across different market conditions, determining whether strategy characteristics remain consistent or require fundamental adjustments. Strategic modifications to position sizing methodology may become necessary as markets evolve or trading approaches mature, ensuring that Kelly implementation continues supporting optimal capital allocation objectives.
Professional Applications
This calculator serves diverse professional applications across the financial industry. Quantitative hedge funds utilize the implementation for systematic position sizing within algorithmic trading frameworks, where mathematical precision and consistent application prove essential for institutional capital management. Professional discretionary traders benefit from optimized position management that removes emotional bias while maintaining flexibility for market-specific adjustments. Portfolio managers employ the calculator for developing risk-adjusted allocation strategies that enhance returns while maintaining prudent risk controls across diverse asset classes and investment strategies.
Individual traders seeking mathematical optimization of capital allocation find the calculator provides institutional-grade methodology previously available only to professional money managers. The Kelly Criterion establishes theoretical foundation for optimal capital allocation across both single strategies and multiple trading systems, offering significant advantages over arbitrary position sizing methods that rely on intuition or fixed percentage approaches. Professional implementation ensures consistent application of mathematically sound principles while adapting to changing market conditions and strategy performance characteristics.
Conclusion
The Kelly Criterion represents one of the few mathematically optimal solutions to fundamental investment problems. When properly understood and carefully implemented, it provides significant competitive advantage in financial markets. This calculator implements modern refinements to Kelly's original formula while maintaining accessibility for practical trading applications.
Success with Kelly requires ongoing learning, systematic application, and continuous refinement based on market feedback and evolving research. Users who master Kelly principles and implement them systematically can expect superior risk-adjusted returns and more consistent capital growth over extended periods.
The extensive academic literature provides rich resources for deeper study, while practical experience builds the intuition necessary for effective implementation. Regular parameter updates, conservative approaches with limited data, and disciplined adherence to calculated recommendations are essential for optimal results.
References
Archer, M. D. (2010). Getting Started in Currency Trading: Winning in Today's Forex Market (3rd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Baker, R. D., & McHale, I. G. (2012). An empirical Bayes approach to optimising betting strategies. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician), 61(1), 75-92.
Breiman, L. (1961). Optimal gambling systems for favorable games. In J. Neyman (Ed.), Proceedings of the Fourth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability (pp. 65-78). University of California Press.
Brown, D. B. (1976). Optimal portfolio growth: Logarithmic utility and the Kelly criterion. In W. T. Ziemba & R. G. Vickson (Eds.), Stochastic Optimization Models in Finance (pp. 1-23). Academic Press.
Browne, S., & Whitt, W. (1996). Portfolio choice and the Bayesian Kelly criterion. Advances in Applied Probability, 28(4), 1145-1176.
Estrada, J. (2008). Geometric mean maximization: An overlooked portfolio approach? The Journal of Investing, 17(4), 134-147.
Hakansson, N. H., & Ziemba, W. T. (1995). Capital growth theory. In R. A. Jarrow, V. Maksimovic, & W. T. Ziemba (Eds.), Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science (Vol. 9, pp. 65-86). Elsevier.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-291.
Kaufman, P. J. (2013). Trading Systems and Methods (5th ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Kelly Jr, J. L. (1956). A new interpretation of information rate. Bell System Technical Journal, 35(4), 917-926.
Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1999). A Non-Random Walk Down Wall Street. Princeton University Press.
MacLean, L. C., Sanegre, E. O., Zhao, Y., & Ziemba, W. T. (2004). Capital growth with security. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 28(4), 937-954.
MacLean, L. C., Thorp, E. O., & Ziemba, W. T. (2011). The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice. World Scientific.
Michaud, R. O. (1989). The Markowitz optimization enigma: Is 'optimized' optimal? Financial Analysts Journal, 45(1), 31-42.
Pabrai, M. (2007). The Dhandho Investor: The Low-Risk Value Method to High Returns. John Wiley & Sons.
Shannon, C. E. (1948). A mathematical theory of communication. Bell System Technical Journal, 27(3), 379-423.
Tharp, V. K. (2007). Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom (2nd ed.). McGraw-Hill.
Thorp, E. O. (2006). The Kelly criterion in blackjack sports betting, and the stock market. In L. C. MacLean, E. O. Thorp, & W. T. Ziemba (Eds.), The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice (pp. 789-832). World Scientific.
Van Tharp, K. (2007). Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom (2nd ed.). McGraw-Hill Education.
Vince, R. (1992). The Mathematics of Money Management: Risk Analysis Techniques for Traders. John Wiley & Sons.
Vince, R., & Zhu, H. (2015). Optimal betting under parameter uncertainty. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 161, 19-31.
Ziemba, W. T. (2003). The Stochastic Programming Approach to Asset, Liability, and Wealth Management. The Research Foundation of AIMR.
Further Reading
For comprehensive understanding of Kelly Criterion applications and advanced implementations:
MacLean, L. C., Thorp, E. O., & Ziemba, W. T. (2011). The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice. World Scientific.
Vince, R. (1992). The Mathematics of Money Management: Risk Analysis Techniques for Traders. John Wiley & Sons.
Thorp, E. O. (2017). A Man for All Markets: From Las Vegas to Wall Street. Random House.
Cover, T. M., & Thomas, J. A. (2006). Elements of Information Theory (2nd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Ziemba, W. T., & Vickson, R. G. (Eds.). (2006). Stochastic Optimization Models in Finance. World Scientific.
T3 Moving Average with Multiple EMAsT3 Moving Average with Multiple EMAs
Short Title: T3 + EMAs
Overview
The T3 Moving Average with Multiple EMAs is a versatile trend-following indicator that combines the smooth, adaptive T3 Moving Average with eight customizable multi-timeframe Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). Designed for traders seeking clarity in trend direction and momentum, this indicator overlays on the price chart to highlight dynamic support/resistance levels and trend alignment across multiple timeframes.
Key Features
T3 Moving Average: A highly responsive, smoothed moving average (default: 9-period, 0.7 volume factor) that reduces lag while maintaining accuracy, ideal for identifying short-term trends and reversals.
Eight Multi-Timeframe EMAs: Plots eight EMAs (default lengths: 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233) sourced from user-defined timeframes (e.g., 1m, 5m, 15m, 1h, 4h), providing a comprehensive view of short-, medium-, and long-term trends.
Customizable Timeframes: Each EMA can be independently set to a specific timeframe, allowing traders to analyze cross-timeframe trend alignment.
Theme Support: Offers "Dark" and "Light" themes with optimized colors for visual clarity and chart compatibility.
Flexible Parameters: Adjust T3 length, volume factor, EMA lengths, and timeframes to suit various markets and trading styles (scalping, swing trading, or long-term investing).
How It Works
The T3 Moving Average is calculated using a multi-stage EMA formula weighted by a volume factor, offering smoother trend tracking than traditional EMAs. The eight EMAs, sourced from higher or lower timeframes using request.security, provide a layered perspective on price trends. Faster EMAs (e.g., 8, 13) react to short-term price movements, while slower EMAs (e.g., 144, 233) reflect longer-term trends. The indicator plots all lines on the price chart with distinct, theme-adjusted colors for easy identification.
Usage
Trend Identification: Use the T3 MA for short-term trend signals and the EMAs to confirm broader trend direction. A price above multiple EMAs suggests a bullish trend; below indicates bearish.
EMA Crossovers: Watch for crossovers between faster and slower EMAs (e.g., 8 crossing 21) for potential entry/exit signals.
Support/Resistance: Treat slower EMAs (e.g., 89, 144) as dynamic support/resistance levels, especially on higher timeframes.
Timeframe Alignment: Align trades with the trend direction of higher-timeframe EMAs for higher-probability setups.
Customization: Adjust T3 and EMA settings to match your trading style or asset volatility.
Settings
T3 Parameters:
Length (default: 9): Period for T3 calculation.
Volume Factor (default: 0.7): Controls T3 smoothness (0.1–1.0).
EMA Parameters:
Lengths (default: 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233): Period for each EMA.
Timeframes (default: 5m, 5m, 15m, 15m, 1h, 1h, 4h, 4h): Select from 1m, 5m, 15m, 30m, 1h, 4h, D, W, or M.
Theme: Choose "Dark" (vibrant colors) or "Light" (softer colors) for chart compatibility.
Notes
Combine with other tools (e.g., RSI, support/resistance, or volume) for confirmation.
Optimize settings for specific markets (e.g., crypto, forex, stocks) or timeframes.
The indicator is overlayed on the price chart for seamless integration with price action analysis.
Author’s Note
This indicator was designed to provide traders with a clear, multi-timeframe perspective on trends using the T3 MA and EMAs. Feedback is welcome to enhance this tool for the TradingView community!
Fibonacci HH LL TRAMA BandLuxAlgo's Trend Moving Adaptive Moving Average was used as a reference to create bands by reading the highest and lowest prices of past bars based on Fibonacci numbers and then multiplying them by the Fibonacci ratio.
LuxAlgo/ LuxAlgo/
In particular, the so-called TRAMA is characterized by its adaptation to the average of the highest and lowest prices over a specific period of time and is used to identify support/resistance.
In order to apply this feature to the maximum extent possible, I used the high or low prices as the source of input, rather than the closing price.
For example,
src = high
not original like
src = close
In addition, I created 6 levels by multiplying the Fibonacci ratio
//Midline
mah = ama1
mal = ama2
m = (mah + mal)/2
//Half Mean Range
dist = (mah - mal)/2
//Levels
h6 = m + dist * 11.089
h5 = m + dist * 6.857
h4 = m + dist * 4.235
h3 = m + dist * 2.618
h2 = m + dist * 1.618
h1 = m + dist * 0.618
l1 = m - dist * 0.618
l2 = m - dist * 1.618
l3 = m - dist * 2.618
l4 = m - dist * 4.235
l5 = m - dist * 6.857
l6 = m - dist * 11.089
If you want to use it for scalping, such as 15 minutes, you can include Fibonacci numbers such as 21,34,55 for a quick reaction type to detect the trend. Also, by including Fibonacci numbers such as 89,144,233, you can see where you stand in the larger trend. Some examples are included below.
For Investors
BTCUSDT 1day Chart Fibonacci number "55"
For Daytraders
BTCUSDT 4hour Chart Fibonacci number "34"
For Scalpers
BTCUSDT 15min Chart Fibonacci number "55"
BTCUSDT 15min Chart Fibonacci number "89"
BTCUSDT 15min Chart Fibonacci number "233"
Fibonacci numbers are 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, etc.,
Fibonacci ratios are 0.618, 1.618, 2.618, 4.236, 6.854, 11.089, etc.,
Customisable Stoch RSI [10 PRESETS INCLUDED]Customisable Stochastic by Nicholas Kormanik
A stochastic oscillator is a momentum indicator comparing a particular closing price of a security to a range of its prices over a certain period of time.
The sensitivity of the oscillator to market movements is reducible by adjusting that time period or by taking a moving average of the result.
It is used to generate overbought and oversold trading signals, utilizing a 0–100 bounded range of values.
In this version we have 4 levels
top levels are
95 - extra overbought
80 - semi-extra overbought
70 - standart overbought
bottom levels are
5 - extra oversold
20 - semi-extra oversold
30 - standart oversold
Message by Nicholas Kormanik :
" The formula I've adopted was put on the Silicon Investor web site thread by
'bdog'. Basically, I just leave the Slowing Periods (mp3) to 1, so it
really plays no part in things. However, if somebody presents a good
argument for using other than 1 ... hey, I'm amenable.
Chande, the original inventor, didn't use a moving average on the whole
thing. Chande's result was therefore sort of choppy. I guess along the way
people decided to add the EMA Periods to smooth things out. "
There are 10 presets, try to find your best!
1. 5 -- 5 -- 3
2. 8 -- 8 -- 5
3. 13 -- 13 -- 13
4. 21 -- 15 -- 13
5. 21 -- 21 -- 13
6. 34 -- 34 -- 13
7. 55 -- 55 -- 21
8. 89 -- 13 -- 34
9. 89 -- 89 -- 21
10. 233 -- 233 -- 34
On the chart im using 9th preset and the timeframe is daily on BTCUSD pair.
*DISCLAIMER*
Use this indicator for educational purpose only, i don't recommend you to use it to trade for real money!
Fibonacci Moving Average (EMA/SMA) Bundle //@v1.2 Fibonacci Moving Average (EMA/SMA) Bundle
//By Tantamount
//Save your TV indicator use counts by using the Fibonacci SMA/EMA all in one indicator! Toggle between Exponetial or Simple moving averages functionality, using Fibonacci the sequence.
//Fib moving averages are very good at locating support and resistance zones on multiple time frames.
//Customize and or input your very own moving average nomenclature by simply changing the input options from default: SMA (21, 55, 89, 144, 233) or EMA (21, 55, 89, 144, 233) Example: (8,13,21,55,89)
Support and Resistance Lines
Sniper Stochastics Sniper Stochastics is a triple stochastic system.
Basically, watch the 20 and 80 crossovers. However, the settings of the three stochastics correspond to Fibonacci numbers 55, 89, and 144.
Since we have a fast, medium and slow speed stochastics; we can also watch the crossovers.
I have found that When the Red (144) is on top, it usually signals a turn upwards; conversely, a blue (89) on top of the others means that the market is going to go down.
So red on top = bullish and blue on top= bearish.
You can also think of them in terms of efficiency. If they all display the same and are overlapping in a single line; crossing an 80 or 20 line, this is a strong signal - bullish or bearish.
If on the other hand, you see them splayed out and moving away from eachother but the same direction; it signals a more inefficient process and thus a weaker signal.
I really enjoy using these and I hope you will too.
On the settings, I have turned off the %D so that they display only %K's. The Default is 55, 89 ,144.
SCTI V30Description
The SCTI V30 is an advanced multi-functional technical analysis indicator for TradingView that combines multiple analytical approaches into a single comprehensive tool. This indicator provides:
Multiple Moving Average Types (EMA, SMA, PMA with various calculation methods)
Customizable VWAP with standard deviation bands
Sophisticated Divergence Detection across 12 different indicators
Volume Profile Analysis with peak/trough detection
Highly Configurable Display Options
The indicator is designed to help traders identify trends, potential reversals, and key support/resistance levels across different timeframes.
Features
1. Moving Average Systems
EMA Section: 13 configurable EMA periods (8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597, 2584)
SMA Section: 13 configurable SMA periods (same as EMA)
PMA Section: 11 customizable moving averages with multiple calculation methods:
ALMA, EMA, RMA, SMA, SWMA, VWAP, VWMA, WMA
Adjustable lengths from 12 to 1056
Customizable colors, widths, and fill options between MAs
2. VWAP Implementation
Multiple anchor periods (Session, Week, Month, Quarter, Year, etc.)
Standard deviation or percentage-based bands
Option to hide on daily/weekly/monthly timeframes
Customizable band multipliers (1.0, 2.0, 3.0)
3. Divergence Detection
Detects regular and hidden divergences across 12 indicators:
MACD, MACD Histogram, RSI, Stochastic, CCI, Momentum
OBV, VW-MACD, Chaikin Money Flow, Money Flow Index
Williams %R, and custom external indicators
Customizable detection parameters:
Pivot point period (1-50)
Source (Close or High/Low)
Divergence type (Regular, Hidden, or Both)
Minimum number of divergences required (1-11)
Maximum pivot points to check (1-20)
Maximum bars to look back (30-200)
4. Volume Profile Analysis
Configurable profile length (10-5000 bars)
Value Area threshold (0-100%)
Profile placement (Left or Right)
Number of rows (30-130)
Profile width adjustment
Volume node detection:
Peaks (with cluster option)
Troughs (with cluster option)
Highest/Lowest volume nodes
Customizable colors for all elements
Input Parameters
The indicator is organized into 7 parameter groups:
Basic Indicator Settings - Toggle visibility of main components
EMA Settings - Configure 13 EMA periods and visibility
SMA Settings - Configure 13 SMA periods and visibility
PMA Settings - Advanced moving average configuration
VWAP Settings - Volume-weighted average price configuration
Divergence Settings - Comprehensive divergence detection options
Volume Profile & Node Detection - Volume analysis configuration
How to Use
Trend Identification: Use the multiple moving averages to identify trend direction and strength. The Fibonacci-based periods (21, 34, 55, 89, 144, etc.) are particularly useful for this.
Support/Resistance: The VWAP and volume profile components help identify key support/resistance levels.
Divergence Trading: Look for divergences between price and the various indicators to spot potential reversal points.
Volume Analysis: The volume profile shows where the most trading activity occurred, highlighting important price levels.
Customization: Adjust the settings to match your trading style and timeframe. The indicator is highly configurable to suit different trading approaches.
Alerts
The indicator includes alert conditions for:
Positive regular divergence detected
Negative regular divergence detected
Positive hidden divergence detected
Negative hidden divergence detected
Any positive divergence (regular or hidden)
Any negative divergence (regular or hidden)
Notes
The indicator may be resource-intensive due to its comprehensive calculations, especially on lower timeframes with long lookback periods.
Some features (like VWAP) can be hidden on higher timeframes to improve performance.
The default settings are optimized for daily charts but can be adjusted for any timeframe.
This powerful all-in-one indicator provides traders with a complete toolkit for technical analysis, combining trend-following, momentum, volume, and divergence techniques into a single, customizable solution.
J-Lines Ribbon • 4-Cycle Engine (CHOP / ANTI / LONG / SHORT)📈 J-Lines Ribbon • 4-Cycle Engine (CHOP / ANTI / LONG / SHORT)
Version: Pine Script v6
Author: Thomas Lee
Category: Trend-Following / Mean Reversion / Scalping
Timeframes: Optimized for 1–5m (but adaptable) Seems to work best on Fibb Time
🧠 Strategy Overview:
The J-Lines Ribbon 4-Cycle Engine is a precision trading algorithm designed to navigate complex market microstructure across four adaptive states:
🔁 CHOP (No Trade / Flatten)
🟡 ANTI (Legacy Layer / Under Development)
🟢 LONG (Trend-Continuation & Rebounds)
🔴 SHORT (Inverse Trend-Continuation & Rebounds)
It combines a multi-layer EMA ribbon, ADX-based CHOP detection, and smart pivot analysis to dynamically shift between market modes, entering and exiting trades with surgical precision.
🔍 Core Features:
Dynamic Market Cycle Detection
Auto-classifies each bar into one of the 4 market states using ADX + EMA 72/89 crossovers.
One-Shot Entries & Rebound Logic
Initiates base entries at the start of new trend cycles. Re-entries (ReLong/ReShort) trigger on EMA 72 and EMA 126 pullbacks with momentum resumption.
CHOP State Autopilot
Automatically closes open positions when CHOP begins, preventing sideways market exposure.
Precision Take-Profits & Pivots-Based Stop Losses
Real-time adaptive exits using pivot high/low swing points as dynamic SL/TP anchors.
Customizable Parameters
Pivot length (left/right)
ADX thresholds
Rebound tolerance bands
Ribbon display and state-labels
📊 Indicator Components:
📏 EMA Ribbon: 72, 89, 126, 267, 360, 445
📉 ADX Filter: Filters out sideways noise, confirms directional bias
🔁 Crossover Events: Detects trend initiations
🌀 Cycle Labels: Real-time visual display of current market state
🛠️ Ideal Use Cases:
Scalping volatile markets
Automated strategy testing & optimization
Entry/exit signal confirmation for discretionary traders
Trend filtering in algorithmic stacks
⚠️ Notes:
ANTI cycle logic is scaffolded but not fully deployed in this version. It will be extended in a future release for deep mean-reversion detection.
Tailor ADX floor and pivot sensitivity to your specific asset and timeframe for optimal performance.
Ultimate JLines & MTF EMA (Configurable, Labels)## Ultimate JLines & MTF EMA (Configurable, Labels) — Script Overview
This Pine Script is a comprehensive, multi-timeframe indicator based on J Trader concepts. It overlays various Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), VWAP, inside bar highlights, and dynamic labels onto price charts. The script is highly configurable, allowing users to tailor which elements are displayed and how they appear.
### Key Features
#### 1. **Multi-Timeframe JLines**
- **JLines** are pairs of EMAs (default lengths: 72 and 89) calculated on several timeframes:
- 1 minute (1m)
- 3 minutes (3m)
- 5 minutes (5m)
- 1 hour (1h)
- Custom timeframe (user-selectable)
- Each pair can be visualized as individual lines and as a "cloud" (shaded area between the two EMAs).
- Colors and opacity for each timeframe are user-configurable.
#### 2. **200 EMA on Multiple Timeframes**
- Plots the 200-period EMA on selectable timeframes: 1m, 3m, 5m, 15m, and 1h.
- Each can be toggled independently and colored as desired.
#### 3. **9 EMA and VWAP**
- Plots a 9-period EMA, either on the chart’s current timeframe or a user-specified one.
- Plots VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) for additional trend context.
#### 4. **5/15 EMA Cross Cloud (5min)**
- Calculates and optionally displays a shaded "cloud" between the 5-period and 15-period EMAs on the 5-minute chart.
- Highlights bullish (5 EMA above 15 EMA) and bearish (5 EMA below 15 EMA) conditions with different colors.
- Optionally displays the 5 and 15 EMA lines themselves.
#### 5. **Inside Bar Highlighting**
- Highlights bars where the current high is less than or equal to the previous high and the low is greater than or equal to the previous low (inside bars).
- Color is user-configurable.
#### 6. **9 EMA / VWAP Cross Arrows**
- Plots up/down arrows when the 9 EMA crosses above or below the VWAP.
- Arrow colors and visibility are configurable.
#### 7. **Dynamic Labels**
- On the most recent bar, displays labels for each enabled line (EMAs, VWAP), offset to the right for clarity.
- Labels include the timeframe, type, and current value.
### Customization Options
- **Visibility:** Each plot (line, cloud, arrow, label) can be individually toggled on/off.
- **Colors:** All lines, clouds, and arrows can be colored to user preference, including opacity for clouds.
- **Timeframes:** JLines and EMAs can be calculated on different timeframes, including a custom one.
- **Label Text:** Labels dynamically reflect current indicator values and are color-coded to match their lines.
### Technical Implementation Highlights
- **Helper Functions:** Functions abstract away the logic for multi-timeframe EMA calculation.
- **Security Calls:** Uses `request.security` to fetch data from other timeframes, ensuring accurate multi-timeframe plotting.
- **Efficient Label Management:** Deletes old labels and creates new ones only on the last bar to avoid clutter and maintain performance.
- **Conditional Plotting:** All visual elements are conditionally plotted based on user input, making the indicator highly flexible.
### Use Cases
- **Trend Identification:** Multiple EMAs and VWAP help traders quickly identify trend direction and strength across timeframes.
- **Support/Resistance:** 200 EMA and JLines often act as dynamic support/resistance levels.
- **Entry/Exit Signals:** Crosses between 9 EMA and VWAP, as well as 5/15 EMA clouds, can signal potential trade entries or exits.
- **Pattern Recognition:** Inside bar highlights aid in spotting consolidation and breakout patterns.
### Summary Table of Configurable Elements
| Feature | Timeframes | Cloud Option | Label Option | Color Customizable | Description |
|----------------------------|-------------------|--------------|--------------|--------------------|-----------------------------------------------|
| JLines (72/89 EMA) | 1m, 3m, 5m, 1h, Custom | Yes | Yes | Yes | Key trend-following EMAs with cloud fill |
| 200 EMA | 1m, 3m, 5m, 15m, 1h | No | Yes | Yes | Long-term trend indicator |
| 9 EMA | Any | No | Yes | Yes | Short-term trend indicator |
| VWAP | Chart TF | No | Yes | Yes | Volume-weighted average price |
| 5/15 EMA Cloud (5m) | 5m | Yes | No | Yes | Bullish/bearish cloud between 5/15 EMAs |
| Inside Bar Highlight | Chart TF | No | N/A | Yes | Highlights price consolidation |
| 9 EMA / VWAP Cross Arrows | Chart TF | No | N/A | Yes | Marks EMA/VWAP crossovers with arrows |
This script is ideal for traders seeking a robust, multi-timeframe overlay that combines trend, momentum, and pattern signals in a single, highly customizable indicator. I do not advocate to subscribe to JTrades or the system they tout. This is based on my own observations and not a copy of any JTrades scripts. It is open source to allow full transparency.
7 EMA CloudThe "7 EMA Cloud" script was likely flagged because it reuses the core concept of EMA clouds (shading areas between multiple EMAs to visualize trends, support/resistance, and momentum) without crediting the original inventor, Ripster (author ripster47 on TradingView). This concept is prominently associated with Ripster's "EMA Clouds" indicator, which popularized filling spaces between EMA pairs for trading signals. TradingView's house rules require crediting authors when reusing open-source ideas or code, even if not a direct copy-paste, and mandate significant improvements where the original forms a small proportion of the script. Your version adds features like multiple color modes (Classic rainbow, Monochrome, Heatmap), customizable signal sizes, and crossover alerts between the first and last EMA, which are enhancements, but the foundational EMA ribbon/cloud idea needs explicit attribution in the description and ideally code comments to comply.
Additionally, the description might be seen as not fully self-contained (e.g., it uses promotional language like "Advanced" and "Adaptive Trend & Signal Suite" without deeply explaining calculations or use cases), potentially violating rules against relying on code or external references for clarity.
To fix this, republish a new version with proper credits, ensure the description is detailed and standalone, and emphasize your improvements (e.g., the 7 Fibonacci-based EMAs, color modes, and signals). Do not reuse the flagged script—create a fresh one. Here's a compliant description you can use:
7 EMA Cloud Indicator
Overview
The 7 EMA Cloud overlays seven exponential moving averages (EMAs) with Fibonacci-inspired periods and fills the spaces between them with customizable "clouds" to visually represent trend strength, direction, and convergence/divergence. It includes crossover signals between the shortest and longest EMAs for potential entry/exit points, with adjustable visual modes for different trading styles. This helps traders identify bullish/bearish momentum, support/resistance zones, and overextensions in trending or ranging markets.
This script builds on the EMA cloud concept popularized by Ripster (ripster47) in their "EMA Clouds" indicatortradingview.com, where areas between EMA pairs are shaded for trend analysis. Improvements include a fixed set of 7 Fibonacci EMAs, multiple color schemes (Classic rainbow, Monochrome grayscale, Heatmap for intensity), user-selectable signal sizes, and transparency controls. Released under the Mozilla Public License 2.0.
Key Features
7 EMAs with Clouds: EMAs at periods 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, and 144; clouds filled between consecutive pairs to show alignment (tight clouds for consolidation, wide for trends).
Color Modes:
Classic: Rainbow gradients (blue to purple) for vibrant distinction.
Monochrome: Grayscale shades for minimalistic charts.
Heatmap: Red-to-blue spectrum to highlight "hot" (volatile) vs. "cool" (stable) areas.
Crossover Signals: Triangle markers (up for bullish, down for bearish) when the shortest EMA crosses the longest; sizes from Tiny to Huge.
Display Options: Toggle EMA lines on/off, adjust cloud transparency (0-100%), and enable alerts for crossovers.
Alerts: Notifications for "Bullish EMA Crossover" (EMA1 > EMA7) and "Bearish EMA Crossover" (EMA1 < EMA7).
How It Works
EMA Calculations: Each EMA is computed using ta.ema(close, period), with periods based on Fibonacci sequences for natural market rhythm alignment.
Clouds: Filled via fill() between plot pairs, with colors derived from the selected mode and transparency applied.
Signals: Detected with ta.crossover(ema1, ema7) and ta.crossunder(ema1, ema7), plotted as shapes with mode-specific colors (e.g., green/lime for bull, red for bear).
Customization: Inputs grouped into EMA Settings (periods), Display Settings (visibility, colors, transparency), and Signal Settings (size).
Customization Options
EMA Periods: Individually adjustable (defaults: 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144).
Show EMAs: Toggle to hide lines and focus on clouds.
Cloud Transparency: 0% for solid fills, 100% for invisible (default 80%).
Color Mode: Switch between Classic, Monochrome, or Heatmap.
Signal Size: Tiny, Small, Normal, Large, or Huge for crossover markers.
Ideal Use Case
Suited for swing or trend-following on any timeframe (e.g., 15m-1h for intraday, daily for swings) and assets (stocks, forex, crypto, futures). Enter long on bullish crossovers above aligned clouds; exit on bearish signals or cloud widenings. Use Monochrome for clean charts or Heatmap for volatility emphasis. Combine with volume or RSI for confirmation.
Why It's Valuable
By expanding Ripster's EMA cloud idea with multi-mode visuals and integrated signals, this indicator provides a versatile, at-a-glance tool for trend assessment—reducing noise while highlighting key shifts. It's more adaptive than basic MA ribbons, with Fibonacci periods adding a layer of harmonic analysis.
Note: Test on historical data or demo accounts. Not financial advice—incorporate risk management. Optimized for Pine Script v5; some features may vary on non-overlay charts.
Gamma + Fibonacci EMA Bands# Gamma + Fibonacci EMA Bands
## Overview
The Gamma + Fibonacci EMA Bands indicator combines two powerful analytical approaches: Gamma-weighted Exponential Moving Averages and Fibonacci sequence-based standard EMAs. This dual system creates a comprehensive "band" structure that helps identify trend direction, strength, and potential reversal zones with greater precision than single moving average systems.
## Features
- **Gamma-weighted EMAs**: Three customizable Gamma EMAs (fast-responding) with adjustable gamma parameters
- **Fibonacci Sequence EMAs**: Six standard EMAs based on the Fibonacci sequence (34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377)
- **Visual Band Structure**: Color-coded for instant visual analysis
- **Trend Confirmation**: Multiple timeframe validation through varied moving average periods
- **Support/Resistance Identification**: Natural price reaction zones highlighted by EMA confluences
## How It Works
The indicator uses two complementary EMA systems:
1. **Gamma EMAs** (γ-EMAs) - These responsive moving averages use a direct gamma weighting factor (between 0-1) rather than a period length. Lower gamma values create smoother lines, while higher values create more responsive ones. These react quickly to price changes and serve as short-term trend indicators.
2. **Fibonacci EMAs** - These traditional EMAs use period lengths based on the Fibonacci sequence (34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377). They provide longer-term trend context and naturally identify key support/resistance levels that align with market psychology.
## Interpretation
### Trend Direction
- When price is above all bands: Strong bullish trend
- When price is below all bands: Strong bearish trend
- When price is between bands: Consolidation or trend transition
### Support/Resistance
- Gamma EMAs (purple shades): Short-term dynamic support/resistance
- Fibonacci EMAs (orange/red shades): Stronger, longer-term support/resistance
### Trend Strength
- Wider band separation: Stronger trend momentum
- Compressed bands: Consolidation or trend weakness
### Reversal Signals
- Price breaking through multiple bands: Potential trend reversal
- Gamma EMAs crossing Fibonacci EMAs: Changing momentum
## Settings
- **Source**: Price data source (default: close)
- **Gamma 1**: Fast γ-EMA value (default: 0.2)
- **Gamma 2**: Medium γ-EMA value (default: 0.5)
- **Gamma 3**: Slow γ-EMA value (default: 0.8)
## Notes
This indicator works best on higher timeframes (1H+) and liquid markets. The Gamma-weighted EMAs provide faster signals while the Fibonacci sequence EMAs provide reliable support/resistance levels that often align with key market turning points.
For optimal use, watch for price interaction with these bands and how the bands interact with each other to confirm trend changes before they become obvious to the majority of market participants.
