Financial Astrology Sun LongitudeFinancial astrology is a branch of mundane astrology that research the correlations of planet cycles with market prices, this indicator developed by the Financial Astrology Research Group provides the visualization of the Sun Tropical Zodiac Longitude to support that astrology traders can study multiple markets within the powerful Trading View UI to detect potential cyclical patterns in price action that are connected with the cosmic rhythm of the Sun.
The Sun have been very relevant cycle among all ancient civilizations such as Maya, Aztec, Inca, this cyclical move is the fundamental frequency of our life's due to the fact that our calendar year is a model from this cycle. Chinese astrologers and W.D. Gann was aware of the powerful predictive power of the solar terms which is a representation of the most relevant weather transitions within the Sun longitude path.
With this indicator we try to ease the research work of the amazing community of astro-traders that prior to this indicators needed to create hundreds of manual annotations on the markets price charts to visualize the Sun zodiac position within a long period of time in order to research potential cycles. That manual work is over. Let's move faster in our cycles research!
We encourage all traders using astrology to continue their research, please share your ideas of astro cycles trading strategies and contribute your experiments at our Github exploration projects: github.com
Note: The Sun longitude is based on an ephemeris array that covers years 2010 to 2030, prior or after this years the longitude is not available, this daily ephemeris are based on UTC time so in order to align properly with the price bars times you should set UTC as your chart reference timezone.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "Cycle"
Elliptic bands
Why Elliptic?
Unlike traditional indicators (e.g., Bollinger Bands with constant standard deviation multiples), the elliptic model introduces a cyclical, non-linear variation in band width. This reflects the idea that price movements often follow rhythmic patterns, widening and narrowing in a predictable yet dynamic way, akin to natural market cycles.
Buy: When the price enters from below (green triangle).
Sell: When the price enters from above (red triangle).
Inputs
MA Length: 50 (This is the period for the central Simple Moving Average (SMA).)
Cycle Period: 50 (This is the elliptic cycle length.)
Volatility Multiplier: 2.0 (This value scales the band width.)
Mathematical Foundation
The indicator is based on the ellipse equation. The basic formula is:
Ellipse Equation:
(x^2) / (a^2) + (y^2) / (b^2) = 1
Solving for y:
y = b * sqrt(1 - (x^2) / (a^2))
Parameters Explained:
a: Set to 1 (normalized).
x: Varies from -1 to 1 over the period.
b: Calculated as:
ta.stdev(close, MA Length) * Volatility Multiplier
(This represents the standard deviation of the close prices over the MA period, scaled by the volatility multiplier.)
y (offset): Represents the band distance from the moving average, forming the elliptic cycle.
Behavior
Bands:
The bands are narrow at the cycle edges (when the offset is 0) and become widest at the midpoint (when the offset equals b).
Trend:
The central moving average (MA) shows the overall trend direction, while the bands adjust according to the volatility.
Signals:
Standard buy and sell signals are generated when the price interacts with the bands.
Practical Use
Trend Identification:
If the price is above the MA, it indicates an uptrend; if below, a downtrend.
Support and Resistance:
The elliptic bands act as dynamic support and resistance levels.
Narrowing bands may signal potential trend reversals.
Breakouts:
RS Cycles [QuantVue]The RS Cycles indicator is a technical analysis tool that expands upon traditional relative strength (RS) by incorporating Beta-based adjustments to provide deeper insights into a stock's performance relative to a benchmark index. It identifies and visualizes positive and negative performance cycles, helping traders analyze trends and make informed decisions.
Key Concepts:
Traditional Relative Strength (RS):
Definition: A popular method to compare the performance of a stock against a benchmark index (e.g., S&P 500).
Calculation: The traditional RS line is derived as the ratio of the stock's closing price to the benchmark's closing price.
RS=Stock Price/Benchmark Price
Usage: This straightforward comparison helps traders spot periods of outperformance or underperformance relative to the market or a specific sector.
Beta-Adjusted Relative Strength (Beta RS):
Concept: Traditional RS assumes equal volatility between the stock and benchmark, but Beta RS accounts for the stock's sensitivity to market movements.
Calculation:
Beta measures the stock's return relative to the benchmark's return, adjusted by their respective volatilities.
Alpha is then computed to reflect the stock's performance above or below what Beta predicts:
Alpha=Stock Return−(Benchmark Return×β)
Significance: Beta RS highlights whether a stock outperforms the benchmark beyond what its Beta would suggest, providing a more nuanced view of relative strength.
RS Cycles:
The indicator identifies positive cycles when conditions suggest sustained outperformance:
Short-term EMA (3) > Mid-term EMA (10) > Long-term EMA (50).
The EMAs are rising, indicating positive momentum.
RS line shows upward movement over a 3-period window.
EMA(21) > 0 confirms a broader uptrend.
Negative cycles are marked when the opposite conditions are met:
Short-term EMA (3) < Mid-term EMA (10) < Long-term EMA (50).
The EMAs are falling, indicating negative momentum.
RS line shows downward movement over a 3-period window.
EMA(21) < 0 confirms a broader downtrend.
This indicator combines the simplicity of traditional RS with the analytical depth of Beta RS, making highlighting true relative strength and weakness cycles.
Atlantean Bitcoin Weekly Market Condition - Top/Bottom BTC Overview:
The "Atlantean Bitcoin Weekly Market Condition Detector - Top/Bottom BTC" is a specialized TradingView indicator designed to identify significant turning points in the Bitcoin market on a weekly basis. By analyzing long-term and short-term moving averages across two distinct resolutions, this indicator provides traders with valuable insights into potential market bottoms and tops, as well as the initiation of bull markets.
Key Features:
Market Bottom Detection: The script uses a combination of a simple moving average (SMA) and an exponential moving average (EMA) calculated over long and short periods to identify potential market bottoms. When these conditions are met, the script signals a "Market Bottom" label on the chart, indicating a possible buying opportunity.
Bull Market Start Indicator: When the short-term EMA crosses above the long-term SMA, it signals the beginning of a bull market. This is marked by a "Bull Market Start" label on the chart, helping traders to prepare for potential market upswings.
Market Top Detection: The script identifies potential market tops by analyzing the crossunder of long and short-term moving averages. A "Market Top" label is plotted, suggesting a potential selling point.
Customizable Moving Averages Display: Users can choose to display the moving averages used for detecting market tops and bottoms, providing additional insights into market conditions.
How It Works: The indicator operates by monitoring the interactions between the specified moving averages:
Market Bottom: Detected when the long-term SMA (adjusted by a factor of 0.745) crosses over the short-term EMA.
Bull Market Start: Detected when the short-term EMA crosses above the long-term SMA.
Market Top: Detected when the long-term SMA (adjusted by a factor of 2) crosses under the short-term SMA.
These conditions are highlighted on the chart, allowing traders to visualize significant market events and make informed decisions.
Intended Use: This indicator is best used on weekly Bitcoin charts. It’s designed to provide long-term market insights rather than short-term trading signals. Traders can use this tool to identify strategic entry and exit points during major market cycles. The optional display of moving averages can further enhance understanding of market dynamics.
Originality and Utility: Unlike many other indicators, this script not only highlights traditional market tops and bottoms but also identifies the aggressive start of bull markets, offering a comprehensive view of market conditions. The unique combination of adjusted moving averages makes this script a valuable tool for long-term Bitcoin traders.
Disclaimer: The signals provided by this indicator are based on historical data and mathematical calculations. They do not guarantee future market performance. Traders should use this tool as part of a broader trading strategy and consider other factors before making trading decisions. Not financial advice.
Happy Trading!
By Atlantean
Physics CandlesPhysics Candles embed volume and motion physics directly onto price candles or market internals according to the cyclic pattern of financial securities. The indicator works on both real-time “ticks” and historical data using statistical modeling to highlight when these values, like volume or momentum, is unusual or relatively high for some periodic window in time. Each candle is made out of one or more sub-candles that each contain their own information of motion, which converts to the color and transparency, or brightness, of that particular candle segment. The segments extend throughout the entire candle, both body and wicks, and Thick Wicks can be implemented to see the color coding better. This candle segmentation allows you to see if all the volume or energy is evenly distributed throughout the candle or highly contained in one small portion of it, and how intense these values are compared to similar time periods without going to lower time frames. Candle segmentation can also change a trader’s perspective on how valuable the information is. A “low” volume candle, for instance, could signify high value short-term stopping volume if the volume is all concentrated in one segment.
The Candles are flexible. The physics information embedded on the candles need not be from the same price security or market internal as the chart when using the Physics Source option, and multiple Candles can be overlayed together. You could embed stock price Candles with market volume, market price Candles with stock momentum, market structure with internal acceleration, stock price with stock force, etc. My particular use case is scalping the SPX futures market (ES), whose price action is also dictated by the volume action in the associated cash market, or SPY, as well as a host of other securities. Physics allows you to embed the ES volume on the SPY price action, or the SPY volume on the ES price action, or you can combine them both by overlaying two Candle streams and increasing the Number of Overlays option to two. That option decreases the transparency levels of your coloring scheme so that overlaying multiple Candles converges toward the same visual color intensity as if you had one. The Candle and Physics Sources allows for both Symbols and Spreads to visualize Candle physics from a single ticker or some mathematical transformation of tickers.
Due to certain TradingView programming restrictions, each Candle can only be made out of a maximum of 8 candle segments, or an “8-bit” resolution. Since limits are just an opportunity to go beyond, the user has the option to stack multiple Candle indicators together to further increase the candle resolution. If you don’t want to see the Candles for some particular period of the day, you can hide them, or use the hiding feature to have multiple Candles calibrated to show multiple parts of the trading day. Securities tend to have low volume after hours with sharp spikes at the open or close. Multiple Candles can be used for multiple parts of the trading day to accommodate these different cycles in volume.
The Candles do not need be associated with the nominal security listed on the TV chart. The Candle Source allows the user to look at AAPL Candles, for instance, while on a TSLA or SPY chart, each with their respective volume actions integrated into the candles, for instance, to allow the user to see multiple security price and volume correlation on a single chart.
The physics information currently embeddable on Candles are volume or time, velocity, momentum, acceleration, force, and kinetic energy. In order to apply equations of motion containing a mass variable to financial securities, some analogous value for mass must be assumed. Traders often regard volume or time as inextricable variables to a securities price that can indicate the direction and strength of a move. Since mass is the inextricable variable to calculating the momentum, force, or kinetic energy of motion, the user has the option to assume either time or volume is analogous to mass. Volume may be a better option for mass as it is not strictly dependent on the speed of a security, whereas time is.
Data transformations and outlier statistics are used to color code the intensity of the physics for each candle segment relative to past periodic behavior. A million shares during pre-market or a million shares during noontime may be more intense signals than a typical million shares traded at the open, and should have more intense color signals. To account for a specific cyclic behavior in the market, the user can specify the Window and Cycle Time Frames. The Window Time Frame splits up a Cycle into windows, samples and aggregates the statistics for each window, then compares the current physics values against past values in the same window. Intraday traders may benefit from using a Daily Cycle with a 30-minute Window Time Frame and 1-minute Sample Time Frame. These settings sample and compare the physics of 1-minute candles within the current 30-minute window to the same 30-minute window statistics for all past trading days, up until the data limit imposed by TradingView, or until the Data Collection Start Date specified in the settings. Longer-term traders may benefit from using a Monthly Cycle with a Weekly Time Frame, or a Yearly Cycle with a Quarterly Time Frame.
Multiple statistics and data transformation methods are available to convey relative intensity in different ways for different trading signals. Physics Candles allows for both Normal and Log-Normal assumptions in the physics distribution. The data can then be transformed by Linear, Logarithmic, Z-Score, or Power-Law scoring, where scoring simply assigns an intensity to the relative physics value of each candle segment based on some mathematical transformation. Z-scoring often renders adequate detection by scoring the segment value, such as volume or momentum, according to the mean and standard deviation of the data set in each window of the cycle. Logarithmic or power-law transformation with a gamma below 1 decreases the disparity between intensities so more less-important signals will show up, whereas the power-law transformation with gamma values above 1 increases the disparity between intensities, so less more-important signals will show up. These scores are then converted to color and transparency between the Min Score and the Max Score Cutoffs. The Auto-Normalization feature can automatically pick these cutoffs specific to each window based on the mean and standard deviation of the data set, or the user can manually set them. Physics was developed with novices in mind so that most users could calibrate their own settings by plotting the candle segment distributions directly on the chart and fiddling with the settings to see how different cutoffs capture different portions of the distribution and affect the relative color intensities differently. Security distributions are often skewed with fat-tails, known as kurtosis, where high-volume segments for example, have a higher-probabilities than expected for a normal distribution. These distribution are really log-normal, so that taking the logarithm leads to a standard bell-shaped distribution. Taking the Z-score of the Log-Normal distribution could make the most statistical sense, but color sensitivity is a discretionary preference.
Background Philosophy
This indicator was developed to study and trade the physics of motion in financial securities from a visually intuitive perspective. Newton’s laws of motion are loosely applied to financial motion:
“A body remains at rest, or in motion at a constant speed in a straight line, unless acted upon by a force”.
Financial securities remain at rest, or in motion at constant speed up or down, unless acted upon by the force of traders exchanging securities.
“When a body is acted upon by a force, the time rate of change of its momentum equals the force”.
Momentum is the product of mass and velocity, and force is the product of mass and acceleration. Traders render force on the security through the mass of their trading activity and the acceleration of price movement.
“If two bodies exert forces on each other, these forces have the same magnitude but opposite directions.”
Force arises from the interaction of traders, buyers and sellers. One body of motion, traders’ capitalization, exerts an equal and opposite force on another body of motion, the financial security. A securities movement arises at the expense of a buyer or seller’s capitalization.
Volume
The premise of this indicator assumes that volume, v, is an analogous means of measuring physical mass, m. This premise allows the application of the equations of motion to the movement of financial securities. We know from E=mc^2 that mass has energy. Energy can be used to create motion as kinetic energy. Taking a simple hypothetical example, the interaction of one short seller looking to cover lower and one buyer looking to sell higher exchange shares in a security at an agreed upon price to create volume or mass, and therefore, potential energy. Eventually the short seller will actively cover and buy the security from the previous buyer, moving the security higher, or the buyer will actively sell to the short seller, moving the security lower. The potential energy inherent in the initial consolidation or trading activity between buy and seller is now converted to kinetic energy on the subsequent trading activity that moves the securities price. The more potential energy that is created in the consolidation, the more kinetic energy there is to move price. This is why point and figure traders are said to give price targets based on the level of volatility or size of a consolidation range, or why Gann traders square price and time, as time is roughly proportional to mass and trading activity. The build-up of potential energy between short sellers and buyers in GME or TSLA led to their explosive moves beyond their standard fundamental valuations.
Position
Position, p, is simply the price or value of a financial security or market internal.
Time
Time, t, is another means of measuring mass to discover price behavior beyond the time snapshots that simple candle charts provide. We know from E=mc^2 that time is related to rest mass and energy given the speed of light, c, where time ≈ distance * sqrt(mass/E). This relation can also be derived from F=ma. The more mass there is, the longer it takes to compute the physics of a system. The more energy there is, the shorter it takes to compute the physics of a system. Similarly, more time is required to build a “resting” low-volatility trading consolidation with more mass. More energy added to that trading consolidation by competing buyers and sellers decreases the time it takes to build that same mass. Time is also related to price through velocity.
Velocity = (p(t1) – p(t0)) / p(t0)
Velocity, v, is the relative percent change of a securities price, p, over a period of time, t0 to t1. The period of time is between subsequent candles, and since time is constant between candles within the same timeframe, it is not used to calculate velocity or acceleration. Price moves faster with higher velocity, and slower with slower velocity, over the same fixed period of time. The product of velocity and mass gives momentum.
Momentum = mv
This indicator uses physics definition of momentum, not finance’s. In finance, momentum is defined as the amount of change in a securities price, either relative or absolute. This is definition is unfortunate, pun intended, since a one dollar move in a security from a thousand shares traded between a few traders has the exact same “momentum” as a one dollar move from millions of shares traded between hundreds of traders with everything else equal. If momentum is related to the energy of the move, momentum should consider both the level of activity in a price move, and the amount of that price move. If we equate mass to volume to account for the level of trading activity and use physics definition of momentum as the product of mass and velocity, this revised definition now gives a thousand-times more momentum to a one-dollar price move that has a thousand-times more volume behind it. If you want to use finance’s volume-less definition of momentum, use velocity in this indicator.
Acceleration = v(t1) – v(t0)
Acceleration, a, is the difference between velocities over some period of time, t0 to t1. Positive acceleration is necessary to increase a securities speed in the positive direction, while negative acceleration is necessary to decrease it. Acceleration is related to force by mass.
Force = ma
Force is required to change the speed of a securities valuation. Price movements with considerable force have considerably more impact on future direction. A change in direction requires force.
Kinetic Energy = 0.5mv^2
Kinetic energy is the energy that a financial security gains from the change in its velocity by force. The built-up of potential energy in trading consolidations can be converted to kinetic energy on a breakout from the consolidation.
Cycle Theory and Relativity
Just as the physics of motion is relative to a point of reference, so too should the physics of financial securities be relative to a point of reference. An object moving at a 100 mph towards another object moving in the same direction at 100 mph will not appear to be moving relative to each other, nor will they collide, but from an outsider observer, the objects are going 100 mph and will collide with significant impact if they run into a stationary object relative to the observer. Similarly, trading with a hundred thousand shares at the open when the average volume is a couple million may have a much smaller impact on the price compared to trading a hundred thousand shares pre-market when the average volume is ten thousand shares. The point of reference used in this indicator is the average statistics collected for a given Window Time Frame for every Cycle Time Frame. The physics values are normalized relative to these statistics.
Examples
The main chart of this publication shows the Force Candles for the SPY. An intense force candle is observed pre-market that implicates the directional overtone of the day. The assumption that direction should follow force arises from physical observation. If a large object is accelerating intensely in a particular direction, it may be fair to assume that the object continues its direction for the time being unless acted upon by another force.
The second example shows a similar Force Candle for the SPY that counters the assumption made in the first example and emphasizes the importance of both motion and context. While it’s fair to assume that a heavy highly accelerating object should continue its course, if that object runs into an obstacle, say a brick wall, it’s course may deviate. This example shows SPY running into the 50% retracement wall from the low of Mar 2020, a significant support level noted in literature. The example also conveys Gann’s idea of “lost motion”, where the SPY penetrated the 50% price but did not break through it. A brick wall is not one atom thick and price support is not one tick thick. An object can penetrate only one layer of a wall and not go through it.
The third example shows how Volume Candles can be used to identify scalping opportunities on the SPY and conveys why price behavior is as important as motion and context. It doesn’t take a brick wall to impede direction if you know that the person driving the car tends to forget to feed the cats before they leave. In the chart below, the SPY breaks down to a confluence of the 5-day SMA, 20-day SMA, and an important daily trendline (not shown) after the bullish bounce from the 50% retracement days earlier. High volume candles on the SMA signify stopping volume that reverse price direction. The character of the day changes. Bulls become more aggressive than bears with higher volume on upswings and resistance, whiles bears take on a defensive position with lower volume on downswings and support. High volume stopping candles are seen after rallies, and can tell you when to take profit, get out of a position, or go short. The character change can indicate that its relatively safe to re-enter bullish positions on many major supports, especially given the overarching bullish theme from the large reaction off the 50% retracement level.
The last example emphasizes the importance of relativity. The Volume Candles in the chart below are brightest pre-market even though the open has much higher volume since the pre-market activity is much higher compared to past pre-markets than the open is compared to past opens. Pre-market behavior is a good indicator for the character of the day. These bullish Volume Candles are some of the brightest seen since the bounce off the 50% retracement and indicates that bulls are making a relatively greater attempt to bring the SPY higher at the start of the day.
Infrequently Asked Questions
Where do I start?
The default settings are what I use to scalp the SPY throughout most of the extended trading day, on a one-minute chart using SPY volume. I also overlay another Candle set containing ES future volume on the SPY price structure by setting the Physics Source to ES1! and the Number of Overlays setting to 2 for each Candle stream in order to account for pre- and post-market trading activity better. Since the closing volume is exponential-like up until the end of the regular trading day, adding additional Candle streams with a tighter Window Time Frame (e.g., 2-5 minute) in the last 15 minutes of trading can be beneficial. The Hide feature can allow you to set certain intraday timeframes to hide one Candle set in order to show another Candle set during that time.
How crazy can you get with this indicator?
I hope you can answer this question better. One interesting use case is embedding the velocity of market volume onto an internal market structure. The PCTABOVEVWAP.US is a market statistic that indicates the percent of securities above their VWAP among US stocks and is helpful for determining short term trends in the US market. When securities are rising above their VWAP, the average long is up on the day and a rising PCTABOVEVWAP.US can be viewed as more bullish. When securities are falling below their VWAP, the average short is up on the day and a falling PCTABOVEVWAP.US can be viewed as more bearish. (UPVOL.US - DNVOL.US) / TVOL.US is a “spread” symbol, in TV parlance, that indicates the decimal percent difference between advancing volume and declining volume in the US market, showing the relative flow of volume between stocks that are up on the day, and stocks that are down on the day. Setting PCTABOVEVWAP.US in the Candle Source, (UPVOL.US - DNVOL.US) / TVOL.US in the Physics Source, and selecting the Physics to Velocity will embed the relative velocity of the spread symbol onto the PCTABOVEVWAP.US candles. This can be helpful in seeing short term trends in the US market that have an increasing amount of volume behind them compared to other trends. The chart below shows Volume Candles (top) and these Spread Candles (bottom). The first top at 9:30 and second top at 10:30, the high of the day, break down when the spread candles light up, showing a high velocity volume transfer from up stocks to down stocks.
How do I plot the indicator distribution and why should I even care?
The distribution is visually helpful in seeing how different normalization settings effect the distribution of candle segments. It is also helpful in seeing what physics intensities you want to ignore or show by segmenting part of the distribution within the Min and Max Cutoff values. The intensity of color is proportional to the physics value between the Min and Max Cutoff values, which correspond to the Min and Max Colors in your color scheme. Any physics value outside these Min and Max Cutoffs will be the same as the Min and Max Colors.
Select the Print Windows feature to show the window numbers according to the Cycle Time Frame and Window Time Frame settings. The window numbers are labeled at the start of each window and are candle width in size, so you may need to zoom into to see them. Selecting the Plot Window feature and input the window number of interest to shows the distribution of physics values for that particular window along with some statistics.
A log-normal volume distribution of segmented z-scores is shown below for 30-minute opening of the SPY. The Min and Max Cutoff at the top of the graph contain the part of the distribution whose intensities will be linearly color-coded between the Min and Max Colors of the color scheme. The part of the distribution below the Min Cutoff will be treated as lowest quality signals and set to the Min Color, while the few segments above the Max Cutoff will be treated as the highest quality signals and set to the Max Color.
What do I do if I don’t see anything?
Troubleshooting issues with this indicator can involve checking for error messages shown near the indicator name on the chart or using the Data Validation section to evaluate the statistics and normalization cutoffs. For example, if the Plot Window number is set to a window number that doesn’t exist, an error message will tell you and you won’t see any candles. You can use the Print Windows option to show windows that do exist for you current settings. The auto-normalization cutoff values may be inappropriate for your particular use case and literally cut the candles out of the chart. Try changing the chart time frame to see if they are appropriate for your cycle, sample and window time frames. If you get a “Timeframe passed to the request.security_lower_tf() function must be lower than the timeframe of the main chart” error, this means that the chart timeframe should be increased above the sample time frame. If you get a “Symbol resolve error”, ensure that you have correct symbol or spread in the Candle or Physics Source.
How do I see a relative physics values without cycles?
Set the Window Time Frame to be equal to the Cycle Time Frame. This will aggregate all the statistics into one bucket and show the physics values, such as volume, relative to all the past volumes that TV will allow.
How do I see candles without segmentation?
Segmentation can be very helpful in one context or annoying in another. Segmentation can be removed by setting the candle resolution value to 1.
Notes
I have yet to find a trading platform that consistently provides accurate real-time volume and pricing information, lacking adequate end-user data validation or quality control. I can provide plenty of examples of real-time volume counts or prices provided by TradingView and other platforms that were significantly off from what they should have been when comparing against the exchanges own data, and later retroactively corrected or not corrected at all. Since no indicator can work accurately with inaccurate data, please use at your own discretion.
The first version is a beta version. Debugging and validating code in Pine script is difficult without proper unit testing. Please report any bugs with enough information to reproduce them and indicate why they are important. I also encourage you to export the data from TradingView and verify the calculations for your particular use case.
The indicator works on real-time updates that occur at a higher frequency than the candle time frame, which TV incorrectly refers to as ticks. They use this terminology inaccurately as updates are really aggregated tick data that can take place at different prices and may not accurately reflect the real tick price action. Consequently, this inaccuracy also impacts the real-time segmentation accuracy to some degree. TV does not provide a means of retaining “tick” information, so the higher granularity of information seen real-time will be lost on a disconnect.
TV does not provide time and sales information. The volume and price information collected using the Sample Time Frame is intraday, which provides only part of the picture. Intraday volume is generally 50 to 80% of the end of day volume. Consequently, the daily+ OHLC prices are intraday, and may differ significantly from exchanged settled OHLC prices.
The Cycle and Window Time Frames refer to calendar days and time, not trading days or time. For example, the first window week of a monthly cycle is the first seven days of the month, not the first Monday through Friday of trading for the month.
Chart Time Frames that are higher than the Window Time Frames average the normalized physics for price action that occurred within a given Candle segment. It does not average price action that did not occur.
One of the main performance bottleneck in TradingView’s Pine Script is client-side drawing and plotting. The performance of this indicator can be increased by lowering the resolution (the number of sub-candles this indicator plots), getting a faster computer, or increasing the performance of your computer like plugging your laptop in and eliminating unnecessary processes.
The statistical integrity of this indicator relies on the number of samples collected per sample window in a given cycle. Higher sample counts can be obtained by increasing the chart time frame or upgrading the TradingView plan for a higher bar count. While increasing the chart time frame doesn’t increase the visual number of bars plotted on the chart, it does increase the number of bars that can be pulled at a lower time frame, up to 100,000.
Due to a limitation in Pine Scripts request_lower_tf() function, using a spread symbol will only work for regular trading hours, not extended trading hours.
Ideally, velocity or momentum should be calculated between candle closes. To eliminate the need to deal with price gaps that would lead to an incorrect statistical distributions, momentum is calculated between candle open and closes as a percent change of the price or value, which should not be an issue for most liquid securities.
MVRV Ratio [Alpha Extract]The MVRV Ratio Indicator provides valuable insights into Bitcoin market cycles by tracking the relationship between market value and realized value. This powerful on-chain metric helps traders identify potential market tops and bottoms, offering clear buy and sell signals based on historical patterns of Bitcoin valuation.
🔶 CALCULATION The indicator processes MVRV ratio data through several analytical methods:
Raw MVRV Data: Collects MVRV data directly from INTOTHEBLOCK for Bitcoin
Optional Smoothing: Applies simple moving average (SMA) to reduce noise
Status Classification: Categorizes market conditions into four distinct states
Signal Generation: Produces trading signals based on MVRV thresholds
Price Estimation: Calculates estimated realized price (Current price / MVRV ratio)
Historical Context: Compares current values to historical extremes
Formula:
MVRV Ratio = Market Value / Realized Value
Smoothed MVRV = SMA(MVRV Ratio, Smoothing Length)
Estimated Realized Price = Current Price / MVRV Ratio
Distance to Top = ((3.5 / MVRV Ratio) - 1) * 100
Distance to Bottom = ((MVRV Ratio / 0.8) - 1) * 100
🔶 DETAILS Visual Features:
MVRV Plot: Color-coded line showing current MVRV value (red for overvalued, orange for moderately overvalued, blue for fair value, teal for undervalued)
Reference Levels: Horizontal lines indicating key MVRV thresholds (3.5, 2.5, 1.0, 0.8)
Zone Highlighting: Background color changes to highlight extreme market conditions (red for potentially overvalued, blue for potentially undervalued)
Information Table: Comprehensive dashboard showing current MVRV value, market status, trading signal, price information, and historical context
Interpretation:
MVRV ≥ 3.5: Potential market top, strong sell signal
MVRV ≥ 2.5: Overvalued market, consider selling
MVRV 1.5-2.5: Neutral market conditions
MVRV 1.0-1.5: Fair value, consider buying
MVRV < 1.0: Potential market bottom, strong buy signal
🔶 EXAMPLES
Market Top Identification: When MVRV ratio exceeds 3.5, the indicator signals potential market tops, highlighting periods where Bitcoin may be significantly overvalued.
Example: During bull market peaks, MVRV exceeding 3.5 has historically preceded major corrections, helping traders time their exits.
Bottom Detection: MVRV values below 1.0, especially approaching 0.8, have historically marked excellent buying opportunities.
Example: During bear market bottoms, MVRV falling below 1.0 has identified the most profitable entry points for long-term Bitcoin accumulation.
Tracking Market Cycles: The indicator provides a clear visualization of Bitcoin's market cycles from undervalued to overvalued states.
Example: Following the progression of MVRV from below 1.0 through fair value and eventually to overvalued territory helps traders position themselves appropriately throughout Bitcoin's market cycle.
Realized Price Support: The estimated realized price often acts as a significant
support/resistance level during market transitions.
Example: During corrections, price often finds support near the realized price level calculated by the indicator, providing potential entry points.
🔶 SETTINGS
Customization Options:
Smoothing: Toggle smoothing option and adjust smoothing length (1-50)
Table Display: Show/hide the information table
Table Position: Choose between top right, top left, bottom right, or bottom left positions
Visual Elements: All plots, lines, and background highlights can be customized for color and style
The MVRV Ratio Indicator provides traders with a powerful on-chain metric to identify potential market tops and bottoms in Bitcoin. By tracking the relationship between market value and realized value, this indicator helps identify periods of overvaluation and undervaluation, offering clear buy and sell signals based on historical patterns. The comprehensive information table delivers valuable context about current market conditions, helping traders make more informed decisions about market positioning throughout Bitcoin's cyclical patterns.
Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) FilterDear friends!
I'm happy to present an implementation of the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) algorithm. The script uses the FFT procedure to decompose the input time series into its cyclical constituents, in other words, its frequency components , and convert it back to the time domain with modified frequency content, that is, to filter it.
Input Description and Usage
Source and Length :
Indicates where the data comes from and the size of the lookback window used to build the dataset.
Standardize Input Dataset :
If enabled, the dataset is preprocessed by subtracting its mean and normalizing the result by the standard deviation, which is sometimes useful when analyzing seasonalities. This procedure is not recommended when using the FFT filter for smoothing (see below), as it will not preserve the average of the dataset.
Show Frequency-Domain Power Spectrum :
When enabled, the results of Fourier analysis (for the last price bar!) are plotted as a frequency-domain power spectrum , where “power” is a measure of the significance of the component in the dataset. In the spectrum, lower frequencies (longer cycles) are on the right, higher frequencies are on the left. The graph does not display the 0th component, which contains only information about the mean value. Frequency components that are allowed to pass through the filter (see below) are highlighted in magenta .
Dominant Cycles, Rows :
If this option is activated, the periods and relative powers of several dominant cyclical components that is, those that have a higher power, are listed in the table. The number of the component in the power spectrum (N) is shown in the first column. The number of rows in the table is defined by the user.
Show Inverse Fourier Transform (Filtered) :
When enabled, the reconstructed and filtered time-domain dataset (for the last price bar!) is displayed.
Apply FFT Filter in a Moving Window :
When enabled, the FFT filter with the same parameters is applied to each bar. The last data point of the reconstructed and filtered dataset is used to build a new time series. For example, by getting rid of high-frequency noise, the FFT filter can make the data smoother. By removing slowly evolving low-frequency components (including non-periodic constituents), one can reveal and analyze shorter cycles. Since filtering is done in real-time in a moving window (similar to the moving average), the modified data can potentially be used as part of a strategy and be subjected to other technical indicators.
Lowest Allowed N :
Indicates the number of the lowest frequency component used in the reconstructed time series.
Highest Allowed N :
Indicates the number of the highest frequency component used in the reconstructed time series.
Filtering Time Range block:
Specifies the time range over which real-time FFT filtering is applied. The reason for the presence of this block is that the FFT procedure is relatively computationally intensive. Therefore, the script execution may encounter the time limit imposed by TradingView when all historical bars are processed.
As always, I look forward to your feedback!
Also, leave a comment if you'd be interested in the tutorial on how to use this tool and/or in seeing the FFT filter in a strategy.
VIDYA with Dynamic Length Based on ICPThis script is a Pine Script-based indicator that combines two key concepts: the Instantaneous Cycle Period (ICP) from Dr. John Ehlers and the Variable Index Dynamic Average (VIDYA). Here's an overview of how the script works:
Components:
Instantaneous Cycle Period (ICP):
This part of the indicator uses Dr. John Ehlers' approach to detect the market cycle length dynamically. It calculates the phase of price movement by computing the in-phase and quadrature components of the price detrended over a specific period.
The ICP helps adjust the smoothing length dynamically, giving a real-time estimate of the dominant cycle in price action. The script uses a phase calculation, adjusts it for cycle dynamics, and smoothes it for more reliable readings.
VIDYA (Variable Index Dynamic Average):
VIDYA is a moving average that dynamically adjusts its smoothing length based on the market conditions, in this case, using the RSI (Relative Strength Index) as a weight.
The length of VIDYA is determined by the dynamically calculated ICP, allowing it to adapt to changing market cycles.
This indicator performs several recursive layers of VIDYA smoothing (applying VIDYA multiple times) to provide a more refined result.
Key Features:
Dynamic Length: The length for the VIDYA calculation is derived from the smoothed ICP value, meaning that the smoothing adapts to the detected cycle length in real-time, making the indicator more responsive to market conditions.
Multiple VIDYA Layers: The script applies multiple layers of VIDYA smoothing (up to 5 iterations), further refining the output to smooth out market noise while maintaining responsiveness.
Plotting: The final smoothed VIDYA value and the smoothed ICP length are plotted. Additionally, overbought (70) and oversold (30) horizontal lines are provided for visual reference.
Application:
This indicator helps identify trends, smooths out price data, and adapts dynamically to market cycles. It's useful for detecting shifts in momentum and trends, and traders can use it to identify overbought or oversold conditions based on dynamically calculated thresholds.
Intellect_city - World Cycle - Ath - Timeframe 1D and 1WIndicator Overview
The Pi Cycle Top Indicator has historically been effective in picking out the timing of market cycle highs within 3 days.
It uses the 111 day moving average (111DMA) and a newly created multiple of the 350 day moving average, the 350DMA x 2.
Note: The multiple is of the price values of the 350DMA, not the number of days.
For the past three market cycles, when the 111DMA moves up and crosses the 350DMA x 2 we see that it coincides with the price of Bitcoin peaking.
It is also interesting to note that 350 / 111 is 3.153, which is very close to Pi = 3.142. In fact, it is the closest we can get to Pi when dividing 350 by another whole number.
It once again demonstrates the cyclical nature of Bitcoin price action over long time frames. However, in this instance, it does so with a high degree of accuracy over Bitcoin's adoption phase of growth.
Bitcoin Price Prediction Using This Tool
The Pi Cycle Top Indicator forecasts the cycle top of Bitcoin’s market cycles. It attempts to predict the point where Bitcoin price will peak before pulling back. It does this on major high time frames and has picked the absolute tops of Bitcoin’s major price moves throughout most of its history.
How It Can Be Used
Pi Cycle Top is useful to indicate when the market is very overheated. So overheated that the shorter-term moving average, which is the 111-day moving average, has reached an x2 multiple of the 350-day moving average. Historically, it has proved advantageous to sell Bitcoin around this time in Bitcoin's price cycles.
It is also worth noting that this indicator has worked during Bitcoin's adoption growth phase, the first 15 years or so of Bitcoin's life. With the launch of Bitcoin ETF's and Bitcoin's increased integration into the global financial system, this indicator may cease to be relevant at some point in this new market structure.
Gherkinit Futures Cycle█ OVERVIEW
Presented here is code for the " NYSE:GME Futures cycle theory" originally conceived by Gherkinit (Pi-Fi) and his quantitative analysts which is still under peer review.
This theory was built upon the knowledge that many intelligent investors on Reddit accrued over the past year in regards to the Mother Of All Short Squeezes this stock has to offer.
Up until now, what happened in January 2021 was considered an anomaly brought on by FOMO and retail interest but it's starting to look like unfair market makers and similar went to cover and ran head on into retail FOMO which is why they cut off the buying at that time. In order to understand what happened and what's to come, visualizing the theory with ease is essential.
█ WHAT THE SETTINGS MEAN
- Enable Draw | Visual Clean up
(True/False) Quarterly dates : Enables or disables the quarterly dates that repeat every "cycle".
(True/False) Roll dates : Enables or disables the roll dates that repeat every "cycle".
(True/False) Expiration dates : Enables or disables the expiration dates that repeat every "cycle".
(True/False) Run dates : Enables or disables the run dates that repeat every "cycle".
- Date Colors | Making things look good
(Color) Quarterly : Color for the respective date.
(Color) Roll : Color for the respective date.
(Color) Expiration : Color for the respective date.
(Color) Run : Color for the respective date.
- Extended Cycle | Look into the future
(Integer) Extended line height multiplier : A multiplier value for the height of the lines representing the selected "future" cycle.
(Dollar Amount) Extended line height : The height value in dollars of the lines representing the selected "future" cycle.
(Integer) Extended line width : The width of the lines representing the selected "future" cycle.
(Integer) Extended cycle ID : The cycle you want to see "ahead" or in the "future". For example if you set the value to "0" you'll only see cycles from the past up until the present (already occurred). If you set the value to "1" you will see the estimated dates for the specific cycle in the future i.e. 1 cycle ahead of the last completed/visible cycle on the chart.
█ EXTRA INFO
This indicator was simply made by a bored CS student who didn't want to endlessly mark dates on a graph after learning more about the theory.
Hope this help whoever uses this. To the moon fellow apes!
- Winter ;)
P.s. Pickle 4 Life
Bitcoin Logarithmic Growth Curve 2024The Bitcoin logarithmic growth curve is a concept used to analyze Bitcoin's price movements over time. The idea is based on the observation that Bitcoin's price tends to grow exponentially, particularly during bull markets. It attempts to give a long-term perspective on the Bitcoin price movements.
The curve includes an upper and lower band. These bands often represent zones where Bitcoin's price is overextended (upper band) or undervalued (lower band) relative to its historical growth trajectory. When the price touches or exceeds the upper band, it may indicate a speculative bubble, while prices near the lower band may suggest a buying opportunity.
Unlike most Bitcoin growth curve indicators, this one includes a logarithmic growth curve optimized using the latest 2024 price data, making it, in our view, superior to previous models. Additionally, it features statistical confidence intervals derived from linear regression, compatible across all timeframes, and extrapolates the data far into the future. Finally, this model allows users the flexibility to manually adjust the function parameters to suit their preferences.
The Bitcoin logarithmic growth curve has the following function:
y = 10^(a * log10(x) - b)
In the context of this formula, the y value represents the Bitcoin price, while the x value corresponds to the time, specifically indicated by the weekly bar number on the chart.
How is it made (You can skip this section if you’re not a fan of math):
To optimize the fit of this function and determine the optimal values of a and b, the previous weekly cycle peak values were analyzed. The corresponding x and y values were recorded as follows:
113, 18.55
240, 1004.42
451, 19128.27
655, 65502.47
The same process was applied to the bear market low values:
103, 2.48
267, 211.03
471, 3192.87
676, 16255.15
Next, these values were converted to their linear form by applying the base-10 logarithm. This transformation allows the function to be expressed in a linear state: y = a * x − b. This step is essential for enabling linear regression on these values.
For the cycle peak (x,y) values:
2.053, 1.268
2.380, 3.002
2.654, 4.282
2.816, 4.816
And for the bear market low (x,y) values:
2.013, 0.394
2.427, 2.324
2.673, 3.504
2.830, 4.211
Next, linear regression was performed on both these datasets. (Numerous tools are available online for linear regression calculations, making manual computations unnecessary).
Linear regression is a method used to find a straight line that best represents the relationship between two variables. It looks at how changes in one variable affect another and tries to predict values based on that relationship.
The goal is to minimize the differences between the actual data points and the points predicted by the line. Essentially, it aims to optimize for the highest R-Square value.
Below are the results:
It is important to note that both the slope (a-value) and the y-intercept (b-value) have associated standard errors. These standard errors can be used to calculate confidence intervals by multiplying them by the t-values (two degrees of freedom) from the linear regression.
These t-values can be found in a t-distribution table. For the top cycle confidence intervals, we used t10% (0.133), t25% (0.323), and t33% (0.414). For the bottom cycle confidence intervals, the t-values used were t10% (0.133), t25% (0.323), t33% (0.414), t50% (0.765), and t67% (1.063).
The final bull cycle function is:
y = 10^(4.058 ± 0.133 * log10(x) – 6.44 ± 0.324)
The final bear cycle function is:
y = 10^(4.684 ± 0.025 * log10(x) – -9.034 ± 0.063)
The main Criticisms of growth curve models:
The Bitcoin logarithmic growth curve model faces several general criticisms that we’d like to highlight briefly. The most significant, in our view, is its heavy reliance on past price data, which may not accurately forecast future trends. For instance, previous growth curve models from 2020 on TradingView were overly optimistic in predicting the last cycle’s peak.
This is why we aimed to present our process for deriving the final functions in a transparent, step-by-step scientific manner, including statistical confidence intervals. It's important to note that the bull cycle function is less reliable than the bear cycle function, as the top band is significantly wider than the bottom band.
Even so, we still believe that the Bitcoin logarithmic growth curve presented in this script is overly optimistic since it goes parly against the concept of diminishing returns which we discussed in this post:
This is why we also propose alternative parameter settings that align more closely with the theory of diminishing returns.
Our recommendations:
Drawing on the concept of diminishing returns, we propose alternative settings for this model that we believe provide a more realistic forecast aligned with this theory. The adjusted parameters apply only to the top band: a-value: 3.637 ± 0.2343 and b-parameter: -5.369 ± 0.6264. However, please note that these values are highly subjective, and you should be aware of the model's limitations.
Conservative bull cycle model:
y = 10^(3.637 ± 0.2343 * log10(x) - 5.369 ± 0.6264)
Financial Astrology Saturn LongitudeSaturn energy strengthen the temperance, rectitude, constancy, greed, pessimism and precautionary. Under this influence the crowd will move with caution, slow and with strong and rigorous sense, analysing the environment in detail and deducting all the possible action outcomes based on the past experiences and utilising all the accesible wisdom. This cycle rules the land and real state, the state and institutions, officials, and regulations.
Due to the essential nature of this energy is expected that traders take more caution and reflexion in their investment decisions where Saturn transits through earth element (Taurus, Virgo, Capricorn) because the persons become more prudent and rigid. In water elements (Cancer, Scorpio and Pisces) traders will be reducing exposure to risky assets because the emotions are more unstable and the fear to loss results in risk aversion.
This cycle takes 29 years to complete so we don't have enough observations in the crypto-currencies sector to evaluate the potential effect of Saturn through all the zodiac signs but with the historical data available, there are some interesting patterns: the most bearish zodiac signs was Scorpio (water) and Capricorn (earth) and the most bullish was Sagittarius and Aquarius. This correlates well with other planet cycles where we have observed that air zodiac signs are usually bullish.
This indicator provides longitude since 2010 so will be limited in the zodiac signs that is possible to be analysed, however the periods of retrogradation and stationary speed phases could give interesting trading signals. We encourage you to analyse this cycles in different markets and share with us your observations, leave us a comment with your research outcomes. Happy research!
Note: The Saturn tropical longitude indicator is based on an ephemeris array that covers years 2010 to 2030, prior or after this years the longitude is not available, this daily ephemeris are based on UTC time so in order to align properly with the price bars times you should set UTC as your chart reference timezone.
Ehlers Adaptive Center Of Gravity [CC]The Adaptive Center Of Gravity was created by John Ehlers and this is a regular center of gravity indicator combined to be use with the current cycle period. If you are not familiar with stock cycles then I would highly recommend his book on the subject: Cycle Analytics. Buy when the indicator turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators you want me to publish!
[blackcat] L2 Ehlers Dominant Cycle Tuned Bandpass FilterLevel: 2
Background
John F. Ehlers introuced his Dominant Cycle Tuned Bandpass Filter Strategy in Mar, 2008.
Function
In "Measuring Cycle Periods", author John Ehlers presents a very interesting technique of measuring dominant market cycle periods by means of multiple bandpass filtering. By utilizing an approach similar to audio equalizers, the signal (here, the price series) is fed into a set of simple second-order infinite impulse response bandpass filters. Filters are tuned to 8,9,10,...,50 periods. The filter with the highest output represents the dominant cycle. A full-featured formula that implements a high-pass filter and a six-tap low-pass Fir filter on input, then 42 parallel Iir band-pass filters.
I've coded John Ehlers' filter bank to measure the dominant cycle (DC) and the sine and cosine filter components in pine v4 for TradingView, based on John Ehlers' article in this issue, "Measuring Cycle Periods." The CycleFilterDC function plots and returns the DC series and its components, so it's a trivial matter to make use of them in a trading strategy.
Based on John Ehlers' article, "Measuring Cycle Periods," he chose to implement the dominant cycle-tuned bandpass filter response to test Ehlers' suggestion to use the sine and cosine crossovers as buy and sell signals. If the sine closely follows the price pattern as suggested, and the cosine is an effective leading function of the sine, then it seems to make sense that a crossover implementation would work well (Personally, what I observed this is not so accurated as his claims).
What he discovered in his tests was that crossovers happened at frequent intervals, even when price has not moved significantly. This leads to a higher percentage of losing trades, particularly when spread, slippage, and commissions are accounted for. Nevertheless, the cosine crossover was quite effective at identifying reversals very early in many cases, so this indicator could prove quite effective when used alongside other indicators. In particular, the use of an indicator to confirm a certain level of recent volatility, as well as an indicator to confirm significant rate of change, could prove quite helpful.
Key Signal
CosineLine--> Ehlers Dominant Cycle Tuned Bandpass Filter Strategy fast line
SineLine--> Ehlers Dominant Cycle Tuned Bandpass Filter Strategy slow line
Pros and Cons
100% John F. Ehlers definition translation, even variable names are the same. This help readers who would like to use pine to read his book.
Remarks
The 72th script for Blackcat1402 John F. Ehlers Week publication.
NOTE: Although Dr. Ehlers think high of Cosine and Sine wave indicator and trading strategy, my study and trading experience indicated it did not work that well as many other oscillator indicators. However, I would like to keep the original code of Dr. Ehlers for anyone who want to make a deep dive into this kind of indicator or strategy with Cosine and Sine wave.
Readme
In real life, I am a prolific inventor. I have successfully applied for more than 60 international and regional patents in the past 12 years. But in the past two years or so, I have tried to transfer my creativity to the development of trading strategies. Tradingview is the ideal platform for me. I am selecting and contributing some of the hundreds of scripts to publish in Tradingview community. Welcome everyone to interact with me to discuss these interesting pine scripts.
The scripts posted are categorized into 5 levels according to my efforts or manhours put into these works.
Level 1 : interesting script snippets or distinctive improvement from classic indicators or strategy. Level 1 scripts can usually appear in more complex indicators as a function module or element.
Level 2 : composite indicator/strategy. By selecting or combining several independent or dependent functions or sub indicators in proper way, the composite script exhibits a resonance phenomenon which can filter out noise or fake trading signal to enhance trading confidence level.
Level 3 : comprehensive indicator/strategy. They are simple trading systems based on my strategies. They are commonly containing several or all of entry signal, close signal, stop loss, take profit, re-entry, risk management, and position sizing techniques. Even some interesting fundamental and mass psychological aspects are incorporated.
Level 4 : script snippets or functions that do not disclose source code. Interesting element that can reveal market laws and work as raw material for indicators and strategies. If you find Level 1~2 scripts are helpful, Level 4 is a private version that took me far more efforts to develop.
Level 5 : indicator/strategy that do not disclose source code. private version of Level 3 script with my accumulated script processing skills or a large number of custom functions. I had a private function library built in past two years. Level 5 scripts use many of them to achieve private trading strategy.
OmniPulse (Fixed Version)OmniPulse (Fixed Version) – Description
OmniPulse is a multi-indicator framework designed to combine three core oscillators—RSI, Stochastic, and Momentum—at various lookback lengths, then refine their signals using placeholder features such as machine learning forecasting, adaptive cycle detection, and neural network filtering. While some of these advanced features are not natively supported in Pine Script, they are represented here in simplified forms to illustrate how a more sophisticated system could be structured.
Key Components:
Multi-Length Oscillator Arrays
RSI (calcrsi() function)
Stochastic (placeholder via ta.sma() on a typical price average)
Momentum (ta.roc())
These are calculated for multiple lengths defined by the rsiLengths, stochLengths, and momentumLengths arrays.
Dual-Threshold Convergence
Compares each oscillator’s value to user-defined upper/lower thresholds (threshold1, threshold2) to identify bullish or bearish conditions.
Summarizes results in a convergence score.
Placeholder Machine Learning Forecast
Demonstrates a simple averaging of oscillator values as a “forecast” when toggled on.
Adaptive Cycle Detection (Placeholder)
Introduces a static cycle period (e.g., 20.0) as a placeholder for more advanced transforms.
Neural Network Filter (Placeholder)
Averages convergence, forecast, and cyclePeriod into a single filteredSignal.
Signal Plotting
Plots the filtered signal on the chart.
Highlights potential bullish or bearish extremes with shape markers based on percentile thresholds.
Practical Use & Extension:
Real Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Replace placeholders with request.security() for each timeframe.
Advanced Forecasting: Incorporate custom or external machine learning models.
Genuine Cycle Detection: Implement more sophisticated logic or user-defined cycle detection tools.
Neural Network Heuristics: Expand the placeholder step into a deeper filtering or weighting system.
Overall, OmniPulse serves as an adaptable blueprint for traders and developers, showcasing how multiple indicators and advanced concepts might be combined into a cohesive, signal-generating framework.
Bitcoin CycleThis script displays 4 different Moving Averages:
2 Year Moving Average (White)
1 Year Moving Average (Doubled in value, Red)
116 Day Moving Average (Transparent, Red)
232 Day Moving Average (Transparent, White)
For the last cycles: once the 2 year MA crossed the 232 Day MA, it marked the cycle bottom within a few days and once the 1 year MA (x2) crossed the 116 Day MA, it marked the cycle top within a few days.
It is interesting to note that both 365/116 and 730/232 equal 3.1465, which is very close to Pi (3.142). It is actually the closest we can get to Pi when dividing 365 by another whole number.
Moon Phases by Shailesh DesaiTrading Strategy Based on Lunar Phases
This custom trading indicator leverages the power of lunar cycles to provide unique market insights based on the four primary moon phases: New Moon, First Quarter, Full Moon, and Third Quarter. By aligning your trades with the natural rhythm of the moon, this strategy offers a different perspective to trading and can help enhance decision-making based on the cyclical nature of the market.
Key Features:
1. Moon Phase Identification:
o The indicator automatically identifies the current moon phase based on the user's selected timeframe and marks it on the chart.
o Each phase is visualized with a specific symbol and color to help traders easily recognize the current moon phase:
New Moon/Waxing Moon: Represented by a circle (colored as per user input).
First Quarter: Represented by a cross (colored as per user input).
Full Moon/Waning Moon: Represented by a circle (colored as per user input).
Third Quarter: Represented by a cross (colored as per user input).
2. Automatic Moon Phase Transition Detection:
o The indicator tracks and highlights when a phase change occurs. This feature ensures you are always aware of when the market moves from one phase to another.
o Moon phase changes are only visualized on the first bar of each new phase to avoid cluttering the chart.
3. Background Color Indicators:
o The background color dynamically changes according to the current moon phase, helping to reinforce the phase context for the trader. This feature makes it easy to see at a glance which phase the market is in.
4. Customizable Appearance:
o Customize the color of each moon phase to suit your preferences. Adjust the colors for the New Moon, First Quarter, Full Moon, and Third Quarter to align with your visual strategy.
5. Avoids Unsupported Timeframes:
o This indicator does not support monthly timeframes, ensuring that it operates smoothly only on timeframes that are compatible with the lunar cycle.
How to Use:
• The moon phases are thought to have an influence on human behavior and the market's psychology, making this indicator useful for traders who wish to integrate lunar cycles into their strategy.
• Traders can use the phase changes as an indicator of potential market momentum or reversal points. For example:
o New Moon may indicate the beginning of a new cycle, signaling a potential upward or downward move.
o Full Moon might suggest a peak or significant shift in market direction.
o First Quarter and Third Quarter phases may represent moments of consolidation or decision points.
Ideal for:
• Traders interested in cycle-based strategies or looking to experiment with new approaches.
• Those who believe in the influence of natural forces, including moon phases, on market movements.
• Technical analysts who want to add another layer of insights to their chart analysis.
Important Notes:
• The indicator uses precise astronomical calculations to identify the correct phase, ensuring accuracy.
• It’s important to understand that moon phase-based trading is not a standalone strategy but should ideally be combined with other technical analysis tools for maximum effectiveness.
Holt-Winters Forecast BandsDescription:
The Holt-Winters Adaptive Bands indicator combines seasonal trend forecasting with adaptive volatility bands. It uses the Holt-Winters triple exponential smoothing model to project future price trends, while Nadaraya-Watson smoothed bands highlight dynamic support and resistance zones.
This indicator is ideal for traders seeking to predict future price movements and visualize potential market turning points. By focusing on broader seasonal and trend data, it provides insight into both short- and long-term market directions. It’s particularly effective for swing trading and medium-to-long-term trend analysis on timeframes like daily and 4-hour charts, although it can be adjusted for other timeframes.
Key Features:
Holt-Winters Forecast Line: The core of this indicator is the Holt-Winters model, which uses three components — level, trend, and seasonality — to project future prices. This model is widely used for time-series forecasting, and in this script, it provides a dynamic forecast line that predicts where price might move based on historical patterns.
Adaptive Volatility Bands: The shaded areas around the forecast line are based on Nadaraya-Watson smoothing of historical price data. These bands provide a visual representation of potential support and resistance levels, adapting to recent volatility in the market. The bands' fill colors (red for upper and green for lower) allow traders to identify potential reversal zones without cluttering the chart.
Dynamic Confidence Levels: The indicator adapts its forecast based on market volatility, using inputs such as average true range (ATR) and price deviations. This means that in high-volatility conditions, the bands may widen to account for increased price movements, helping traders gauge the current market environment.
How to Use:
Forecasting: Use the forecast line to gain insight into potential future price direction. This line provides a directional bias, helping traders anticipate whether the price may continue along a trend or reverse.
Support and Resistance Zones: The shaded bands act as dynamic support and resistance zones. When price enters the upper (red) band, it may be in an overbought area, while the lower (green) band may indicate oversold conditions. These bands adjust with volatility, so they reflect the current market conditions rather than fixed levels.
Timeframe Recommendations:
This indicator performs best on daily and 4-hour charts due to its reliance on trend and seasonality. It can be used on lower timeframes, but accuracy may vary due to increased price noise.
For traders looking to capture swing trades, the daily and 4-hour timeframes provide a balance of trend stability and signal reliability.
Adjustable Settings:
Alpha, Beta, and Gamma: These settings control the level, trend, and seasonality components of the forecast. Alpha is generally the most sensitive setting for adjusting responsiveness to recent price movements, while Beta and Gamma help fine-tune the trend and seasonal adjustments.
Band Smoothing and Deviation: These settings control the lookback period and width of the volatility bands, allowing users to customize how closely the bands follow price action.
Parameters:
Prediction Length: Sets the length of the forecast, determining how far into the future the prediction line extends.
Season Length: Defines the seasonality cycle. A setting of 14 is typical for bi-weekly cycles, but this can be adjusted based on observed market cycles.
Alpha, Beta, Gamma: These parameters adjust the Holt-Winters model's sensitivity to recent prices, trends, and seasonal patterns.
Band Smoothing: Determines the smoothing applied to the bands, making them either more reactive or smoother.
Ideal Use Cases:
Swing Trading and Trend Following: The Holt-Winters model is particularly suited for capturing larger market trends. Use the forecast line to determine trend direction and the bands to gauge support/resistance levels for potential entries or exits.
Identifying Reversal Zones: The adaptive bands act as dynamic overbought and oversold zones, giving traders potential reversal areas when price reaches these levels.
Important Notes:
No Buy/Sell Signals: This indicator does not produce direct buy or sell signals. It’s intended for visual trend analysis and support/resistance identification, leaving trade decisions to the user.
Not for High-Frequency Trading: Due to the nature of the Holt-Winters model, this indicator is optimized for higher timeframes like the daily and 4-hour charts. It may not be suitable for high-frequency or scalping strategies on very short timeframes.
Adjust for Volatility: If using the indicator on lower timeframes or more volatile assets, consider adjusting the band smoothing and prediction length settings for better responsiveness.
Adaptive, Zero lag Schaff Trend Cycle [Loxx]TASC's March 2008 edition Traders' Tips includes an article by John Ehlers titled "Measuring Cycle Periods," and describes the use of bandpass filters to estimate the length, in bars, of the currently dominant price cycle.
What are Dominant Cycles and Why should we use them?
Even the most casual chart reader will be able to spot times when the market is cycling and other times when longer-term trends are in play. Cycling markets are ideal for swing trading however attempting to “trade the swing” in a trending market can be a recipe for disaster. Similarly, applying trend trading techniques during a cycling market can equally wreak havoc in your account. Cycle or trend modes can readily be identified in hindsight. But it would be useful to have an objective scientific approach to guide you as to the current market mode.
There are a number of tools already available to differentiate between cycle and trend modes. For example, measuring the trend slope over the cycle period to the amplitude of the cyclic swing is one possibility.
We begin by thinking of cycle mode in terms of frequency or its inverse, periodicity. Since the markets are fractal ; daily, weekly, and intraday charts are pretty much indistinguishable when time scales are removed. Thus it is useful to think of the cycle period in terms of its bar count. For example, a 20 bar cycle using daily data corresponds to a cycle period of approximately one month.
When viewed as a waveform, slow-varying price trends constitute the waveform's low frequency components and day-to-day fluctuations (noise) constitute the high frequency components. The objective in cycle mode is to filter out the unwanted components--both low frequency trends and the high frequency noise--and retain only the range of frequencies over the desired swing period. A filter for doing this is called a bandpass filter and the range of frequencies passed is the filter's bandwidth.
Indicator Features
-Zero lag or Regular Schaff Trend Cycle calculation
- Fixed or Band-pass Dominant Cycle for Schaff Trend Cycle MA period inputs
-10 different moving average options for Zero lag calculations
-Separate Band-pass Dominant Cycle calculations for both Schaff Trend Cycle and MA calculations
- Slow-to-Fast Band-pass Dominant Cycle input to tweak the ratio of Schaff Trend Cycle MA input periods as they relate to each other
Financial Astrology Mars LongitudeMars energy control the initial impulse, the courage to execute a risky action or to start a new entrepreneurship, to declare the war and fight. It allow us to focus our energy into impulsive action that will require a lot of our forces to produce the initial movement and momentum. Mars drives and directs our motivation into quick and impulsive actions. This planet also rules the angry, fight, conflict, wars and explosive reactions. Therefore, from trading perspective, Mars rules all the industries that imply a higher risks: sports, military, defence, startups (new entrepreneurship), high volatility industries and so forth. Aries zodiac sigh, the domicile of Mars is the archetype of the persons that are willing to move quick from the idea into the action, that are looking to explore new territories and take high risks.
With the manifestation of this impulsive and initiating energy through the zodiac signs we can predict the level of risk that the traders influenced by Mars and dominated by fire will take. This individuals, will desire higher risks when Mars is located in a zodiac sign that strengthens the fire force. Is not a surprise that BTCUSD is more bullish when Mars transits Aries, Gemini (air strength fire) and Sagittarius and bearish when transits Leo (this energy becomes more oriented to pleasures, parties, romance, passions), Virgo (challenge the impulse with the analytic thinking), Aquarius (boring of the existing holding needs to move into another stuff and is desiring a change), Pisces (period of reflexion and mediation of the results of the impulsive cycle that completes).
The most relevant Mars bullish zodiac signs positions for BTCUSD are: Aries 62% days, Gemini 66% days, Sagittarius 58%. The all history buy/sell frequency distribution is 55% (bull) 45% (sell) so BTCUSD has bias to the bullish side, even considering that, the bull frequency on this signs seems to be very relevant and can be analysed with this indicator in the BTCUSD TradingView index that provide historical price since 2010.
With this indicator there is unlimited possibilities to explore the impulsive risk prone actions across different markets to study how this plays out, no more manual chart annotations to identify the zodiac sign location of Mars. We encourage you to analyse this zodiac sign cycles in different markets and share with us your observations, leave us a comment with your research outcomes. Happy research!
Note: The Mars tropical longitude indicator is based on an ephemeris array that covers years 2010 to 2030, prior or after this years the longitude is not available, this daily ephemeris are based on UTC time so in order to align properly with the price bars times you should set UTC as your chart reference timezone.
Pi Cycle Top Indicator for BTCUSDThis indicator adds the Pi Cycle Top Indicator for BTCUSD to your chart.
Indicator Overview
The Pi Cycle Top Indicator has historically been effective in picking out the timing of market cycle highs to within 3 days. It uses the 111 day moving average (111DMA) and a newly created multiple of the 350 day moving average, the 350DMA x 2.
For the past three market cycles, when the 111DMA moves up and crosses the 350DMA x 2 we see that it coincides with the price of Bitcoin peaking. It is also interesting to note that 350 / 111 is 3.153, which is very close to Pi = 3.142. In fact, it is the closest we can get to Pi when dividing 350 by another whole number.
It once again demonstrates the cyclical nature of Bitcoin price action over long time frames. Though in this instance it does so with a high degree of accuracy over the past 7 years.
How It Can Be Used
Pi Cycle Top is useful to indicate when the market is very overheated. So overheated that the shorter term moving average, which is the 111 day moving average, has reached a x2 multiple of the 350 day moving average. Historically it has proved advantageous to sell Bitcoin at this time in Bitcoin's price cycles.
Pi-cycle top for Bitcoin bull-runUsage
Whenever the Pi-Cycle top conditions are met, the red circle appears at the bottom of the chart. Theoretically, this marks the top of the bull-run in Bitcoin within 3 days.
Credit and overview
Indicator Overview
The Pi Cycle Top Indicator has historically been effective in picking out the timing of market cycle highs to within 3 days.
It uses the 111 day moving average (111DMA) and a newly created multiple of the 350 day moving average, the 350DMA x 2.
Note: The multiple is of the price values of the 350DMA not the number of days.
For the past three market cycles, when the 111DMA moves up and crosses the 350DMA x 2 we see that it coincides with the price of Bitcoin peaking.
It is also interesting to note that 350 / 111 is 3.153, which is very close to Pi = 3.142. In fact, it is the closest we can get to Pi when dividing 350 by another whole number.
It once again demonstrates the cyclical nature of Bitcoin price action over long time frames. Though in this instance it does so with a high degree of accuracy over the past 7 years.
How It Can Be Used
Pi Cycle Top is useful to indicate when the market is very overheated. So overheated that the shorter term moving average, which is the 111 day moving average, has reached a x2 multiple of the 350 day moving average. Historically it has proved advantageous to sell Bitcoin at this time in Bitcoin’s price cycles.
Created By Philip Swift
MACD with DPO Strategy by NGExplanation of the MACD with DPO Strategy:
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
The MACD is a trend-following indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a price.
In this script:
We calculate the MACD line by subtracting the slow moving average (typically 26-period EMA) from the fast moving average (typically 12-period EMA).
The Signal line is calculated as a 9-period EMA of the MACD line.
The Histogram is the difference between the MACD line and the Signal line, indicating the momentum of the price trend.
Buy Condition: The script generates a buy signal when the MACD histogram crosses from negative to positive (indicating a bullish momentum) and DPO is also positive.
Sell Condition: The script generates a sell signal when the MACD histogram crosses from positive to negative (indicating a bearish momentum) and DPO is also negative.
DPO (Detrended Price Oscillator):
The DPO removes long-term trends from prices, making it easier to identify shorter-term cycles or oscillations.
In this script:
We calculate the DPO by subtracting a shifted simple moving average (SMA) from the close price. The shifting period depends on half the specified period.
We also calculate the DPO SMA as a 30-period EMA of the DPO values.
DPO Color: The DPO line is colored green when the DPO is above zero (indicating upward momentum) and red when it is below zero (indicating downward momentum). The histogram is also colored based on whether the DPO is positive or negative.
Plotting and Alerts:
The script plots the MACD, Signal, and Histogram on the chart.
Additionally, it plots the DPO and its SMA with different colors depending on whether the DPO is above or below zero.
Buy Signal: A green arrow labeled "BUY" is plotted below the bar when both MACD and DPO indicate a bullish condition.
Sell Signal: A red arrow labeled "SELL" is plotted above the bar when both MACD and DPO indicate a bearish condition.
Background colors are used to highlight the chart whenever a buy or sell condition occurs.
The script also includes alerts for both buy and sell signals, allowing users to set notifications when conditions are met.
How to Use:
Identify Buy and Sell Signals:
The script generates a Buy signal when:
The MACD histogram crosses from negative to positive (bullish momentum), and
The DPO is above zero (indicating upward momentum).
The script generates a Sell signal when:
The MACD histogram crosses from positive to negative (bearish momentum), and
The DPO is below zero (indicating downward momentum).
Chart Visualization:
The MACD histogram and Signal line help visualize the momentum and potential trend reversal.
The DPO and DPO SMA help visualize the shorter-term price cycles.
The signals (Buy and Sell) will be plotted on the chart with arrows indicating entry points.
Customization:
You can adjust the MACD and DPO parameters (such as fast_length, slow_length, period_) to fit your trading style or market conditions.
The script can be used in any timeframe depending on your strategy (e.g., intraday trading or longer-term trading).
Example Scenario:
If you're looking for potential buy opportunities, wait for the script to generate a buy signal (green arrow) where the MACD histogram has shifted to positive, and DPO is also in the green (above zero). This signals that both momentum and cycle direction are aligned for a potential upward movement.
Conversely, for sell opportunities, wait for the red arrow where MACD momentum is turning negative and DPO is also negative (below zero), indicating a bearish condition.
This combination of MACD and DPO allows traders to identify stronger and more reliable entry/exit points by confirming the trend with the MACD and detecting shorter-term price cycles with the DPO.