MVRVZ - MVRVZ Top and Bottom Indicator for BTC [Logue]Market Value-Realized Value Z-score (MVRVZ) - The MVRV-Z score measures the value of the bitcoin network by comparing the market cap to the realized value and dividing by the standard deviation of the market cap (market cap – realized cap) / std(market cap)). When the market value is significantly higher than the realized value, the bitcoin network is "overvalued". Very high values have signaled cycle tops in the past and low values have signaled bottoms. For tops, the default trigger value is above 6.85. For bottoms, the indicator is triggered when the MVRVZ is below -0.25 (default).
Cari dalam skrip untuk "Cycle"
NUPL - Net Unrealized Profit-Loss BTC Tops/Bottoms [Logue]Net Unrealized Profit Loss (NUPL) - The NUPL measures the profit state of the bitcoin network to determine if past transfers of BTC are currently in an unrealized profit or loss state.
Values above zero indicate that the network is in overall profit, while values below zero indicate the network is in overall loss. Highly positive NUPL values indicate overvaluation of the BTC network and relatively negative NUPL values indicate an undervaluation of the BTC network.
For tops: The default setting for tops is based on decreasing "strength" of BTC tops. A decreasing linear function (trigger = slope * time + intercept) was fit to past cycle tops for this indicator and is used as the default to signal macro tops. The user can change the slope and intercept of the line by changing the slope and/or intercept factor. The user also has the option to indicate tops based on a horizontal line via a settings selection. This horizontal line default value is 73. This indicator is triggered for a top when the NUPL is above the trigger value.
For bottoms: Bottoms are displayed based on a horizontal line with a default setting of -13. The indicator is triggered for a bottom when the NUPL is below the bottom trigger value.
LMACD - Logarithmic MACD Weekly BTC Index [Logue]Logarithmic Moving Average Convergence Divergence (LMACD) Weekly Indicator - The LMACD is a momentum indicator that measures the strength of a trend using 12-period and 26-period moving averages. The weekly LMACD for this indicator is calculated by determining the difference between the log (base 10) of the 12-week and 26-week exponential moving averages. Larger positive numbers indicate a larger positive momentum.
For tops: The default setting for tops is based on decreasing "strength" of BTC tops. A decreasing linear function (trigger = slope * time + intercept) was fit to past cycle tops for this indicator and is used as the default to signal macro tops. The user can change the slope and intercept of the line by changing the slope and/or intercept factor. The user also has the option to indicate tops based on a horizontal line via a settings selection. This line default value is 0.125. This indicator is triggered for a top when the LMACD is above the trigger value.
For bottoms: Bottoms are displayed based on a horizontal line with a default setting of -0.07. The indicator is triggered for a bottom when the LMACD is below the bottom trigger value.
MCG - Meme Coin Gains [Logue]Meme Coin Gains. Investor preference for meme coin trading may signal irrational exuberance in the crypto market. If a large spike in meme coin gains is observed, a top may be near. Therefore, the gains of the most popular meme coins (DOGE, SHIB, SATS, ORDI, BONK, PEPE, and FLOKI) were averaged together in this indicator to help indicate potential mania phases, which may signal nearing of a top. Two simple moving averages of the meme coin gains are used to smooth the data and help visualize changes in trend. In back testing, I found a 10-day "fast" sma and a 20-day "slow" sma of the meme coin gains works well to signal tops and bottoms when extreme values of this indicator are reached.
Meme coins were not traded heavily prior to 2020. Therefore, there is only one cycle to test at the time of initial publication. Also, the meme coin space moves fast, so more meme coins may need to be added later. Also, once a meme coin has finished its mania phase where everyone and their mother has heard of it, it doesn't seem to run again (at least with the data up until time of publication). Therefore, the value of this indicator may not be great unless it is updated frequently.
The two moving averages are plotted. For the indicator, top and bottom "slow" sma trigger lines are plotted. The sma trigger line and the periods (daily) of the moving averages can be modified to your own preferences. The "slow" sma going above or below the trigger lines will print a different background color. Plot on a linear scale if you want to view this as similar to an RSI-type indicator. Plot on a log scale if you want to view as similar to a stochastic RSI.
Use this indicator at your own risk. I make no claims as to its accuracy in forecasting future trend changes of Bitcoin or the crypto market.
MCV - Meme Coin Volume [Logue]Meme Coin Volume. Investor preference for meme coin trading may signal irrational exuberance in the crypto market. If a large spike in meme coin volume is observed, a top may be near. Therefore, the volume of the most popular meme coins was added together in this indicator to help indicate potential mania phases, which may signal nearing of a top. A simple moving average of the meme coin volume also helps visualize the trend while reducing the noise. In back testing, I found a 10-day sma of the meme coin volume works well.
Meme coins were not traded heavily prior to 2020. Therefore, there is only one cycle to test at the time of initial publication. Also, the meme coin space moves fast, so more meme coins may need to be added later.
The total volume is plotted along with a moving average of the volume. For the indicator, you are able to change the raw volume trigger line, the sma trigger line, and the period (daily) of the sma to your own preferences. The raw volume or sma going above their respective trigger lines will print a different background color.
Use this indicator at your own risk. I make no claims as to its accuracy in forecasting future trend changes of Bitcoin or the crypto market.
AMDX-XAMDGuided by ICT tutoring and also inspired by the teaching of
Daye', I create this versatile "AMDX" indicator.
A = Accumulation
M = Manipulation
D = Distribution
X = Continuation Or Reversal
This indicator shows a different way of viewing all the Timeframes by dividing them into Quarters, in this context the Trading sessions are divided into a 90m cycle, dividing each time range into Q1-Q2-Q3-Q4, in this way you have a clear vision of what the price is likely to do
True Open Times =
Opening Week - Monday at 6pm
Opening Day - 00:00
Asia -7.30pm
London -01.30
New York -07:30
PM -1.30pm
Session Times =
Q1 Asia 18:00-00:00
Q2 London 00:00-06:00
Q3 New York 06:00-12:00
Q4 PM 12:00-18:00
The user has the possibility to:
- Choose whether to display AMDX W
- Choose whether to display AMDX D
- Choose whether to display AMDX Session
- Choose to show the text in the Box
- Choose to show open levels
The indicator should be used as ICT and 'Daye' show in their concepts.
The indicator divides everything into Quarter ranges and classifies them into Q1-Q2-Q3-Q4 (as in the example above), and each Quarter has its own specific function, and can be used in this way:
If Q1 does an expansion it is likely that Q2 will do a consolidation, Q3 will do a Manipulation and Q4 will do a reversal returning to Q1
-If we are Bullish we buy under Open Session
-If we are Bearish we buy above open session
As in the example below:
If something is not clear, comment below and I will reply as soon as possible.
Recession Indicator (Unemployment Rate)Unemployment rate
percentage of unemployed individuals in an economy among individuals currently in the labour force. It is calcuated as Unemployed IndividualsTotal Labour Force × 100 where unemployed individuals are those who are currently not working but are actively seeking work.
The unemployment rate is one of the primary economic indicators used to measure the health of an economy. It tends to fluctuate with the business cycle, increasing during recessions and decreasing during expansions. It is among the indicators most commonly watched by policy makers, investors, and the general public.
Policy makers and central banks consider how much the unemployment rate has increased during a particular recession to gauge the recession’s impact on the economy and to decide how to tailor fiscal and monetary policies to mitigate its adverse effects. In addition, central banks carefully try to predict the future trend of the unemployment rate to devise long-term strategies to lower it.
This indicator is a representation of yearly rate of change of Unemployment rate. Historically (not always) when ROC(Yearly) of Unemployment rate crossover zero line was a signal of recession or economic contraction.
DR/IDR of Omega by TRSTNThis is an EXPERIMENTAL Script by @TRSTNGLRD derived from the coding of @IAmMas7er's "DR/IDR" Indicator that adds a total of 11 additional DR / IDR Ranges on both lower and higher timeframes.
This script is no-longer being worked on, so I have made it public.
Background:
This Script utilizes the Fibonacci-Doubling Sequence between the range of 18:30pm and 16:55pm NY-Time. Each Cycle is grouped into the following:
Omega/2, Omega/4, Omega/8, and Omega/16
The Mas7er's three original sessions are: Omega/4v1, Omega/4v2, and Omega/8v1
These three Sessions above take rule over all others. If you are looking to back-test this version of the script, please use the Experimental ranges as confirmation for the three above.
Important Notes:
- Please only select Sessions with their respected groups (All of Omega/4, All of Omega/16, etc...) rather than selecting all of them at once.
If you select all of them at once, the ranges will not be correct and cut each other off.
The only exceptions to this rule are the Mas7er's original ranges above.
- If you wish to have multiple groups of Ranges together, please add a second indicator to your chart.
- Omega/16v1 and Omega/16v6 are known to have a high-probability of a Judas Swing (takes out both sides of the range) - Be Cautious!
- Omega/2v1 is a very large DR / IDR range. I am working on shrinking it in size, but have more experimenting to do with different ranges.
- I do not use the experimental ranges with the IDR , only the DR . I have not been able to define probabilities fully yet, but the levels are respected nonetheless.
This script is not supposed to work EXACTLY like the Mas7er's, rather, generally instead.
Please comment and leave your opinion below about which ranges work the best and how you may utilize them.
Thank you!
CyCLOPECyCLOPE - CYCLe OPErator
by Antonio Pace 2022
All right reserved
The script uses time series decomposition tecniques for decompose the price signal into 10 harmonics waves of increasing
period and wavelength, the sum of which is the signal itself, to eliminate background noise and show a cleaner signal.
Also divides the high frequencies (secondary, short period trend) from the primary trend (long period trend),
which is composed of low frequencies, and show both separately.
Find highs and lows and indicate possible trend reversals, and favorable entry or exit points.
T0 is the basic harmonic with period 8 Time Unit (TU) of the current timeframe.
T1 has a double period compared to T0, T2 has a double period compared to T1 and so on.
The script composes the primary trend by adding the First 5 harmonics of the longer period (T7 + T6 + T5 + T4 + T3), therefore of low frequency.
This eliminates the noise (short-term retracements) from the main trend.
Similarly, it reconstructs the secondary trend (a possible retracement of a primary trend) by adding the two harmonics with the high frequency (T2 + T1)
T0 the harmonic with highest frequency it is too noisy for this TimeFrame and is left out.
The script then identifies the maximums and minimums of the primary trend and the secondary trend, indicating possible trend reversal points or favorable entry points in a continuing trend.
The script finds the maxima and minima of the reconstructed signal so as to have as little noise as possible.
The reconstructed signal is shown on the screen. The blue line for the long term trend and the orange line for the short time trend.
If the cloud changes from red to green, it means that a local minimum has formed on the main tred, we are in the presence of a possible bullish inversion.
If the cloud turns from green to red then a local high has formed, a bearish trend reversal may have started.
The line on the cloud represents the subtrend instead.
If the line goes from green to red it has formed a maximum and if it goes from red to green it has formed a minimum.
For instance:
If the line is red and the cloud becomes red we are in the presence of a possible inversion and the beginning of a bearish trend.
I exit the long position and into the short position.
Similarly If the cloud is red and the line is green it means that I have a rising subtrend in a bearish dominate trend.
If the line turns red I have a bearish entry point.
If the cloud turns green the low of the subtrend has also become a low of the main trend, a bullish trend has started.
The script is designed to run on a daily timeframe, but it should work on any timeframe provided there are enough Time Units (1024 TU) in the past.
Minimum usable timeframe: 8h, at shorter timeframes the signal becomes indistinguishable from noise.
when the main trend and the sub-trend have the same magnitude, that is, the line and the cloud have the same size, but different color the noise prevails,
there is no valid information.
Wait for them to become the same color to enter the market again.
Once you have chosen the timeframe and asset on which to operate, select the harmonics to compose the main trend and those to compose the secondary trend
so that the indicator matches as much as possible with the real results.
Looking for the right balance between signal and noise and then continuing to use these settings, for this specific timeframe.
if you don't want have both Long Term and Short Trend trend on screen you can hide the short therm and add is harmonic to LongTime trend
in these case gren cloud indicate long and red color indicate short.
VERY IMPORTANT!
THE LONG TERM TREND DOMINATE OVER THE SHORT TERM TREND EXCEPT WHERE BOTH HAVE SAME MAGNITUDE.
The short term trend describe price retracemet over long term trend,
enter to market only when both have the same color.
Use short therm trend to find maximum or minimum of retracement.
FIND AND USE THE MINIMUM NUMBER OF WAVE PER TREND, THE RISK IS OVER FITTING THE PRICE LINE AND CREATE CONFUSION.
THE SCRIPT WORK BEST FOR DAILY TIMEFRAME AND COME CONFIGURED FOR THIS.
ETH Gravity OscillatorThis indicator is a deviation of a Center of Gravity Oscillator corrected for the diminishing returns of Ethereum.
I've set up this indicator for it to be used on the weekly timeframe . The indicator oscillates between 0 and 10, where 0 indicates oversold conditions and 10 indicates overbought conditions. What is interesting is that it is not particularly ideal for identifying market cycle tops, but generally picks out the most euphoric region in the initial parabolic rally. Good to potentially keep in mind if there is a second bounce to the peak!
The indicator plots in any ETH charts. It paints in all time frames, but Weekly time frame is the correct one to interpret the 'official' read of it.
Made at the request of a kind commenter. If you would like to request different derivations of this script be sure to let me know!
TASC 2025.02 Autocorrelation Indicator█ OVERVIEW
This script implements the Autocorrelation Indicator introduced by John Ehlers in the "Drunkard's Walk: Theory And Measurement By Autocorrelation" article from the February 2025 edition of TASC's Traders' Tips . The indicator calculates the autocorrelation of a price series across several lags to construct a periodogram , which traders can use to identify market cycles, trends, and potential reversal patterns.
█ CONCEPTS
Drunkard's walk
A drunkard's walk , formally known as a random walk , is a type of stochastic process that models the evolution of a system or variable through successive random steps.
In his article, John Ehlers relates this model to market data. He discusses two first- and second-order partial differential equations, modified for discrete (non-continuous) data, that can represent solutions to the discrete random walk problem: the diffusion equation and the wave equation. According to Ehlers, market data takes on a mixture of two "modes" described by these equations. He theorizes that when "diffusion mode" is dominant, trading success is almost a matter of luck, and when "wave mode" is dominant, indicators may have improved performance.
Pink spectrum
John Ehlers explains that many recent academic studies affirm that market data has a pink spectrum , meaning the power spectral density of the data is proportional to the wavelengths it contains, like pink noise . A random walk with a pink spectrum suggests that the states of the random variable are correlated and not independent. In other words, the random variable exhibits long-range dependence with respect to previous states.
Autocorrelation function (ACF)
Autocorrelation measures the correlation of a time series with a delayed copy, or lag , of itself. The autocorrelation function (ACF) is a method that evaluates autocorrelation across a range of lags , which can help to identify patterns, trends, and cycles in stochastic market data. Analysts often use ACF to detect and characterize long-range dependence in a time series.
The Autocorrelation Indicator evaluates the ACF of market prices over a fixed range of lags, expressing the results as a color-coded heatmap representing a dynamic periodogram. Ehlers suggests the information from the periodogram can help traders identify different market behaviors, including:
Cycles : Distinguishable as repeated patterns in the periodogram.
Reversals : Indicated by sharp vertical changes in the periodogram when the indicator uses a short data length .
Trends : Indicated by increasing correlation across lags, starting with the shortest, over time.
█ USAGE
This script calculates the Autocorrelation Indicator on an input "Source" series, smoothed by Ehlers' UltimateSmoother filter, and plots several color-coded lines to represent the periodogram's information. Each line corresponds to an analyzed lag, with the shortest lag's line at the bottom of the pane. Green hues in the line indicate a positive correlation for the lag, red hues indicate a negative correlation (anticorrelation), and orange or yellow hues mean the correlation is near zero.
Because Pine has a limit on the number of plots for a single indicator, this script divides the periodogram display into three distinct ranges that cover different lags. To see the full periodogram, add three instances of this script to the chart and set the "Lag range" input for each to a different value, as demonstrated in the chart above.
With a modest autocorrelation length, such as 20 on a "1D" chart, traders can identify seasonal patterns in the price series, which can help to pinpoint cycles and moderate trends. For instance, on the daily ES1! chart above, the indicator shows repetitive, similar patterns through fall 2023 and winter 2023-2024. The green "triangular" shape rising from the zero lag baseline over different time ranges corresponds to seasonal trends in the data.
To identify turning points in the price series, Ehlers recommends using a short autocorrelation length, such as 2. With this length, users can observe sharp, sudden shifts along the vertical axis, which suggest potential turning points from upward to downward or vice versa.
Vibration BoxFirst Public release of the Vibration Box
WARNING - THESE CYCLES CANNOT PREDICT PERFECT "UP & DOWN" MOTION
There is absolutely no guarantee that these cycles will predict perfect "up & down" motion for the markets
Please be aware that this tool is to be used with a robust risk management system
These cycles are representative of "circle geometry within a square of price & time"
Slowly, I will build up some ideas to go along with this script so that you can learn to apply it to many different markets in many different ways
Those familiar with the work of W.D. Gann should be able to utilize this tool in many different ways
Instructions:
Place the box down with 2 mouse clicks (first is for bottom left corner & second is for top right corner)
NOTE: DUE TO TRADINGVIEW LIMITATIONS
-There is a maximum of 12 divisions for your box/vibration (I will work on increasing this number)
-You MUST choose a coordinate that is within the price action that has already occurred
-You CANNOT initially place the box BEFORE THE FIRST BAR of data
-You CANNOT initially place the box BEYOND THE LAST BAR of data
THEN, ONCE YOU HAVE PLACED THE BOX FOR THE FIRST TIME
YOU CAN MANUALLY ADJUST THE DATES WITHIN THE SETTINGS TO PLACE THE BOX IN ANYWAY YOU WOULD LIKE!
Time Block with Current K-Line TimeThis indicator divides the market into fixed time blocks (daily, three-day, weekly, monthly, and yearly) and displays 1/4, 1/2, and 3/4 dividing lines within each block, indicating key price positions within the block.
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Description:
1. Generally speaking, the duration of a market period is one time block within the corresponding period.
2. Supports display of the current candlestick time, the dividing line for the next block, and a countdown.
3. Multi-time zone support: Shanghai, New York, London, Tokyo, and UTC. Time display automatically adapts to the selected time zone.
4. Time block visualization: Select the time block length based on the observation period and draw dividers at the time block boundaries.
5. Real-time time display: Detailed time of the current candlestick chart (year/month/day, hour:minute, day of the week).
6. Future time prediction: Displays the next time block's start position with a future divider. A countdown function displays the time until the next block, helping to determine the remaining duration of the current trend.
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Use scenarios:
Day trading: Identify trading day boundaries (1-day blocks)
Swing trading: Optimize weekly/monthly time frame transitions (1-week/1-month blocks)
Long-term investment: Observe annual market cycles (1-year blocks)
Cross-time zone trading: Seamlessly switch between major global trading time zones.
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Functions:
- Time block division to observe market cycles
- Draw 1/4, 1/2, and 3/4 dividers to assist in trading decisions
- Current K-line Time Display
- Future Block Divider and Countdown Indicator
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How to Use:
Can be combined with trend lines or other trend-following tools to identify trend-following entry opportunities near the dividing line and follow the main trend.
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本指标将行情划分为固定时间区块（日、三日、周、月、年），并在每个区块内显示1/4、1/2、3/4分割线，标示区块内关键价格位置
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描述：
1. 通常而言，一段行情的持续时间为对应周期下的一个时间区块
2. 支持显示当前K线时间及下一个区块的分割线和倒计时。
3. 多时区支持，支持上海、纽约、伦敦、东京、UTC五大交易时区，自适应所选时区的时间显示
4. 时间区块可视化：根据观测周期选择时间区块长度，在时间区块边界绘制分隔线
5. 实时时间显示：当前K线详细时间（年/月/日 时:分 星期）
6. 未来时间预测，下一个时间区块开始位置显示未来分割线，倒计时功能显示距离下个区块的时间，用于辅助判断当前趋势的剩余持续时间
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使用场景：
日内交易：识别交易日边界（1日区块）
波段交易：把握周/月时间框架转换（1周/1月区块）
长期投资：观察年度市场周期（1年区块）
跨时区交易：无缝切换全球主要交易时区
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功能：
- 时间区块划分，观察行情周期
- 绘制1/4、1/2、3/4分割线，辅助交易判断
- 当前K线时间显示
- 未来区块分割线及倒计时提示
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使用方法：
可结合趋势线或其他趋势跟随工具，在分割线附近寻找顺势进场机会，追随主趋势
CVDD Z-ScoreCumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD) - The CVDD was created by Willy Woo and is the ratio of the cumulative value of Coin Days Destroyed in USD and the market age (in days). While this indicator is used to detect bottoms normally, an extension is used to allow detection of BTC tops. When the BTC price goes above the CVDD extension, BTC is generally considered to be overvalued. Because the "strength" of the BTC tops has decreased over the cycles, a logarithmic function for the extension was created by fitting past cycles as log extension = slope * time + intercept. This indicator is triggered for a top when the BTC price is above the CVDD extension. For the bottoms, the CVDD is shifted upwards at a default value of 120%. The slope, intercept, and CVDD bottom shift can all be modified in the script.
Now with the automatic Z-Score calculation for ease of classification of Bitcoin's valuation according to this metric.
Created for TRW.
Risk On/Off Index [SwissAlgo]Risk On/Off Index - Sector Rotation Analysis
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What it does:
This indicator estimates market risk appetite by comparing the weighted performance of growth/cyclical sectors (Risk-On) against defensive sectors (Risk-Off).
It provides a normalized oscillator that ranges from -1 (extreme risk-off) to +1 (extreme risk-on), which may help traders identify potential shifts in market sentiment and sector rotation patterns.
The analysis examines whether institutional money flows favor aggressive growth assets or seek safety in defensive positions, potentially offering insights into the underlying risk tolerance that drives market movements. When properly interpreted alongside other analyses, this information could assist in understanding broader market cycles and sentiment transitions.
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How it works:
The indicator analyzes 11 major sector ETFs weighted by their actual market capitalization representation:
Risk-On sectors (70% weight) : Technology (28%), Financials (11%), Consumer Discretionary (10%), Communication (9%), Industrials (8%), Energy (4%), Materials (2.5%), Real Estate (2%)
Risk-Off sectors (30% weight) : Healthcare (13%), Consumer Staples (6%), Utilities (2.5%)
The algorithm calculates the weighted performance difference over your selected timeframe (7 days to 12 months) and normalizes it using three methods: Simple Difference, Tanh Normalized, or Historical Range. A 7-period EMA smooths the signal, while a longer signal line (default 50) provides trend context.
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Visual Features:
Main curve (Risk Appetite Delta) : The primary line shows the smoothed (7-period EMA) risk appetite reading. When above zero, growth sectors are outperforming defensive sectors (risk-on sentiment). When below zero, defensive sectors are outperforming growth sectors (risk-off sentiment).
Signal line : A longer EMA (default 50-period) of the risk appetite data that represents the underlying trend. Crossovers between the main curve and signal line may indicate potential momentum shifts in market sentiment (potential long signal when the crossover happens in extreme risk-off zones, and potential short signal when the crossunder occurs in extreme risk-on zones)
Dynamic color coding : The main curve color reflects both position and momentum:
Red : Risk-on territory (>0) with strengthening momentum (above signal line)
Green : Risk-on territory (>0) but weakening momentum (below signal line) - potential reversal warning
Maroon : Risk-off territory (<0) but strengthening momentum (above signal line) - potential reversal warning
Lime : Risk-off territory (<0) with strengthening momentum (below signal line)
Gradient background zones : Subtle fills indicate risk appetite intensity levels from moderate (0 to ±0.25) through strong (±0.25 to ±0.5) to extreme (±0.5 to ±1.0)
Sector breakdown table : Shows individual sector performance with clear Risk-On/Risk-Off categorization
Reference levels : Horizontal lines mark neutral (0), strong (±0.5), and extreme (±1) risk appetite zones
This color system allows traders to quickly assess not just current sentiment (above/below zero) but also whether that sentiment is strengthening or potentially reversing based on the relationship with the signal line.
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Who may benefit:
Portfolio managers rotating between growth and defensive allocations
Swing traders timing sector rotation plays
Risk managers monitoring overall market sentiment
Asset allocators adjusting exposure based on risk appetite cycles
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Key applications:
Identify when markets transition from growth-seeking to risk-averse behavior
Time entries into cyclical sectors during risk-on phases
Rotate to defensive sectors when risk appetite weakens
Spot divergences between individual stocks and broader market sentiment
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Limitations:
This indicator reflects US equity sector dynamics and may not capture risk sentiment in other asset classes or geographic regions. ETF-based analysis introduces slight tracking differences from underlying sector performance. Past performance patterns do not guarantee future results.
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Disclaimer:
This indicator is for educational and analytical purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or trading recommendations. Users should conduct their own analysis and risk assessment before making investment decisions. SwissAlgo assumes no responsibility for trading losses or investment outcomes based on this indicator's signals.
Goichi Hosoda TheoryGreetings to traders. I offer you an indicator for trading according to the Ichimoku Kinho Hyo trading system. This indicator determines possible time cycles of price reversal and expected asset price values based on the theory of waves and time cycles by Goichi Hosoda.
The indicator contains classic price levels N, V, E and NT, and is supplemented with intermediate levels V+E, V+N, N+NT and x2, x3, x4 for levels V and E, which are used in cases where the wave does not contain corrections and there is no possibility to update the impulse-corrective wave.
A function for counting bars from points A B and C has also been added.
US Presidential Elections (Names & Dates)US Presidential Elections (Names & Dates)
Description :
This indicator marks key dates in US presidential history, highlighting both election days and inauguration dates. It's designed to provide historical context to your charts, allowing you to see how major political events align with market movements.
Key Features:
• Displays US presidential elections from 1936 to 2052
• Shows inauguration dates for each president
• Customizable colors and styles for both election and inauguration markers
• Toggle visibility of election and inauguration labels separately
• Adapts to different timeframes (daily, weekly, monthly)
• Includes president names for historical context
The indicator uses yellow labels for election days and blue labels for inauguration dates. Election labels show the year and "Election", while inauguration labels display the name of the incoming president.
Customization options include:
• Colors for election and inauguration labels and text
• Line widths for both types of events
• Label placement styles
This tool is perfect for traders and analysts who want to correlate political events with market trends over long periods. It provides a unique perspective on how presidential cycles might influence financial markets.
Note: Future elections (2024 onwards) are marked with a placeholder (✅) as the presidents are not yet known.
Use this indicator to:
• Identify potential market patterns around election cycles
• Analyze historical market reactions to specific presidencies
• Add political context to your long-term chart analysis
Enhance your chart analysis with this comprehensive view of US presidential history!
CVDD - Coin Value Days Destroyed for Bitcoin (BTC) [Logue]Cumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD) - The CVDD was created by Willy Woo and is the ratio of the cumulative value of Coin Days Destroyed in USD and the market age (in days). While this indicator is used to detect bottoms normally, an extension is used to allow detection of BTC tops. When the BTC price goes above the CVDD extension, BTC is generally considered to be overvalued. Because the "strength" of the BTC tops has decreased over the cycles, a logarithmic function for the extension was created by fitting past cycles as log extension = slope * time + intercept. This indicator is triggered for a top when the BTC price is above the CVDD extension. For the bottoms, the CVDD is shifted upwards at a default value of 120%. The slope, intercept, and CVDD bottom shift can all be modified in the script.
Cycle Channel Oscillator [LazyBear]Here's an oscillator derived from my previous script, Cycle Channel Clone ().
There are 2 oscillator plots - fast & slow. Fast plot shows the price location with in the medium term channel, while slow plot shows the location of short term midline of cycle channel with respect to medium term channel.
Usage of this is similar to %b oscillator. The slow plot can be considered as the signal line.
Bar colors can be enabled via options page. When short plot is above 1.0 or below 0, they are marked purple (both histo and the bar color) to highlight the extreme condition.
This makes use of the default 10/30 values of Cycle Channel, but may need tuning for your instrument.
More info:
List of my free indicators: bit.ly
List of my app-store indicators: blog.tradingview.com (More info: bit.ly)
Auto-Fit Growth Trendline# **Theoretical Algorithmic Principles of the Auto-Fit Growth Trendline (AFGT)**
## **🎯 What Does This Algorithm Do?**
The Auto-Fit Growth Trendline is an advanced technical analysis system that **automates the identification of long-term growth trends** and **projects future price levels** based on historical cyclical patterns.
### **Primary Functionality:**
- **Automatically detects** the most significant lows in regular periods (monthly, quarterly, semi-annually, annually)
- **Constructs a dynamic trendline** that connects these historical lows
- **Projects the trend into the future** with high mathematical precision
- **Generates Fibonacci bands** that act as dynamic support and resistance levels
- **Automatically adapts** to different timeframes and market conditions
### **Strategic Purpose:**
The algorithm is designed to identify **fundamental value zones** where price has historically found support, enabling traders to:
- Identify optimal entry points for long positions
- Establish realistic price targets based on mathematical projections
- Recognize dynamic support and resistance levels
- Anticipate long-term price movements
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## **🧮 Core Mathematical Foundations**
### **Adaptive Temporal Segmentation Theory**
The algorithm is based on **dynamic temporal partition theory**, where time is divided into mathematically coherent uniform intervals. It uses modular transformations to create bijective mappings between continuous timestamps and discrete periods, ensuring each temporal point belongs uniquely to a specific period.
**What does this achieve?** It allows the algorithm to automatically identify natural market cycles (annual, quarterly, etc.) without manual intervention, adapting to the inherent periodicity of each asset.
The temporal mapping function implements a **discrete affine transformation** that normalizes different frequencies (monthly, quarterly, semi-annual, annual) to a space of unique identifiers, enabling consistent cross-temporal comparative analysis.
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## **📊 Local Extrema Detection Theory**
### **Multi-Point Retrospective Validation Principle**
Local minima detection is founded on **relative extrema theory with sliding window**. Instead of using a simple minimum finder, it implements a cross-validation system that examines the persistence of the extremum across multiple historical periods.
**What problem does this solve?** It eliminates false minima caused by temporal volatility, identifying only those points that represent true historical support levels with statistical significance.
This approach is based on the **statistical confirmation principle**, where a minimum is only considered valid if it maintains its extremum condition during a defined observation period, significantly reducing false positives caused by transitory volatility.
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## **🔬 Robust Interpolation Theory with Outlier Control**
### **Contextual Adaptive Interpolation Model**
The mathematical core uses **piecewise linear interpolation with adaptive outlier correction**. The key innovation lies in implementing a **contextual anomaly detector** that identifies not only absolute extreme values, but relative deviations to the local context.
**Why is this important?** Financial markets contain extreme events (crashes, bubbles) that can distort projections. This system identifies and appropriately weights them without completely eliminating them, preserving directional information while attenuating distortions.
### **Implicit Bayesian Smoothing Algorithm**
When an outlier is detected (deviation >300% of local average), the system applies a **simplified Kalman filter** that combines the current observation with a local trend estimation, using a weight factor that preserves directional information while attenuating extreme fluctuations.
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## **📈 Stabilized Extrapolation Theory**
### **Exponential Growth Model with Dampening**
Extrapolation is based on a **modified exponential growth model with progressive dampening**. It uses multiple historical points to calculate local growth ratios, implements statistical filtering to eliminate outliers, and applies a dampening factor that increases with extrapolation distance.
**What advantage does this offer?** Long-term projections in finance tend to be exponentially unrealistic. This system maintains short-to-medium term accuracy while converging toward realistic long-term projections, avoiding the typical "exponential explosions" of other methods.
### **Asymptotic Convergence Principle**
For long-term projections, the algorithm implements **controlled asymptotic convergence**, where growth ratios gradually converge toward pre-established limits, avoiding unrealistic exponential projections while preserving short-to-medium term accuracy.
---
## **🌟 Dynamic Fibonacci Projection Theory**
### **Continuous Proportional Scaling Model**
Fibonacci bands are constructed through **uniform proportional scaling** of the base curve, where each level represents a linear transformation of the main curve by a constant factor derived from the Fibonacci sequence.
**What is its practical utility?** It provides dynamic resistance and support levels that move with the trend, offering price targets and profit-taking points that automatically adapt to market evolution.
### **Topological Preservation Principle**
The system maintains the **topological properties** of the base curve in all Fibonacci projections, ensuring that spatial and temporal relationships are consistently preserved across all resistance/support levels.
---
## **⚡ Adaptive Computational Optimization**
### **Multi-Scale Resolution Theory**
It implements **automatic multi-resolution analysis** where data granularity is dynamically adjusted according to the analysis timeframe. It uses the **adaptive Nyquist principle** to optimize the signal-to-noise ratio according to the temporal observation scale.
**Why is this necessary?** Different timeframes require different levels of detail. A 1-minute chart needs more granularity than a monthly one. This system automatically optimizes resolution for each case.
### **Adaptive Density Algorithm**
Calculation point density is optimized through **adaptive sampling theory**, where calculation frequency is adjusted according to local trend curvature and analysis timeframe, balancing visual precision with computational efficiency.
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## **🛡️ Robustness and Fault Tolerance**
### **Graceful Degradation Theory**
The system implements **multi-level graceful degradation**, where under error conditions or insufficient data, the algorithm progressively falls back to simpler but reliable methods, maintaining basic functionality under any condition.
**What does this guarantee?** That the indicator functions consistently even with incomplete data, new symbols with limited history, or extreme market conditions.
### **State Consistency Principle**
It uses **mathematical invariants** to guarantee that the algorithm's internal state remains consistent between executions, implementing consistency checks that validate data structure integrity in each iteration.
---
## **🔍 Key Theoretical Innovations**
### **A. Contextual vs. Absolute Outlier Detection**
It revolutionizes traditional outlier detection by considering not only the absolute magnitude of deviations, but their relative significance within the local context of the time series.
**Practical impact:** It distinguishes between legitimate market movements and technical anomalies, preserving important events like breakouts while filtering noise.
### **B. Extrapolation with Weighted Historical Memory**
It implements a memory system that weights different historical periods according to their relevance for current prediction, creating projections more adaptable to market regime changes.
**Competitive advantage:** It automatically adapts to fundamental changes in asset dynamics without requiring manual recalibration.
### **C. Automatic Multi-Timeframe Adaptation**
It develops an automatic temporal resolution selection system that optimizes signal extraction according to the intrinsic characteristics of the analysis timeframe.
**Result:** A single indicator that functions optimally from 1-minute to monthly charts without manual adjustments.
### **D. Intelligent Asymptotic Convergence**
It introduces the concept of controlled asymptotic convergence in financial extrapolations, where long-term projections converge toward realistic limits based on historical fundamentals.
**Added value:** Mathematically sound long-term projections that avoid the unrealistic extremes typical of other extrapolation methods.
---
## **📊 Complexity and Scalability Theory**
### **Optimized Linear Complexity Model**
The algorithm maintains **linear computational complexity** O(n) in the number of historical data points, guaranteeing scalability for extensive time series analysis without performance degradation.
### **Temporal Locality Principle**
It implements **temporal locality**, where the most expensive operations are concentrated in the most relevant temporal regions (recent periods and near projections), optimizing computational resource usage.
---
## **🎯 Convergence and Stability**
### **Probabilistic Convergence Theory**
The system guarantees **probabilistic convergence** toward the real underlying trend, where projection accuracy increases with the amount of available historical data, following **law of large numbers** principles.
**Practical implication:** The more history an asset has, the more accurate the algorithm's projections will be.
### **Guaranteed Numerical Stability**
It implements **intrinsic numerical stability** through the use of robust floating-point arithmetic and validations that prevent overflow, underflow, and numerical error propagation.
**Result:** Reliable operation even with extreme-priced assets (from satoshis to thousand-dollar stocks).
---
## **💼 Comprehensive Practical Application**
**The algorithm functions as a "financial GPS"** that:
1. **Identifies where we've been** (significant historical lows)
2. **Determines where we are** (current position relative to the trend)
3. **Projects where we're going** (future trend with specific price levels)
4. **Provides alternative routes** (Fibonacci bands as alternative targets)
This theoretical framework represents an innovative synthesis of time series analysis, approximation theory, and computational optimization, specifically designed for long-term financial trend analysis with robust and mathematically grounded projections.
ECG chart - mauricioofsousaMGO Primary – Matriz Gráficos ON
The Blockchain of Trading applied to price behavior
The MGO Primary is the foundation of Matriz Gráficos ON — an advanced graphical methodology that transforms market movement into a logical, predictable, and objective sequence, inspired by blockchain architecture and periodic oscillatory phenomena.
This indicator replaces emotional candlestick reading with a mathematical interpretation of price blocks, cycles, and frequency. Its mission is to eliminate noise, anticipate reversals, and clearly show where capital is entering or exiting the market.
What MGO Primary detects:
Oscillatory phenomena that reveal the true behavior of orders in the book:
RPA – Breakout of Bullish Pivot
RPB – Breakout of Bearish Pivot
RBA – Sharp Bullish Breakout
RBB – Sharp Bearish Breakout
Rhythmic patterns that repeat in medium timeframes (especially on 12H and 4H)
Wave and block frequency, highlighting critical entry and exit zones
Validation through Primary and Secondary RSI, measuring the real strength behind movements
Who is this indicator for:
Traders seeking statistical clarity and visual logic
Operators who want to escape the subjectivity of candlesticks
Anyone who values technical precision with operational discipline
Recommended use:
Ideal timeframes: 12H (high precision) and 4H (moderate intensity)
Recommended assets: indices (e.g., NASDAQ), liquid stocks, and futures
Combine with: structured risk management and macro context analysis
Real-world performance:
The MGO12H achieved a 92% accuracy rate in 2025 on the NASDAQ, outperforming the average performance of major global quantitative strategies, with a net score of over 6,200 points for the year.
BUY in HASH RibbonsHash Ribbons Indicator (BUY Signal)
A TradingView Pine Script v6 implementation for identifying Bitcoin miner capitulation (“Springs”) and recovery phases based on hash rate data. It marks potential low-risk buying opportunities by tracking short- and long-term moving averages of the network hash rate.
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Key Features
• Hash Rate SMAs
• Short-term SMA (default: 30 days)
• Long-term SMA (default: 60 days)
• Phase Markers
• Gray circle: Short SMA crosses below long SMA (start of capitulation)
• White circles: Ongoing capitulation, with brighter white when the short SMA turns upward
• Yellow circle: Short SMA crosses back above long SMA (end of capitulation)
• Orange circle: Buy signal once hash rate recovery aligns with bullish price momentum (10-day price SMA crosses above 20-day price SMA)
• Display Modes
• Ribbons: Plots the two SMAs as colored bands—red for capitulation, green for recovery
• Oscillator: Shows the percentage difference between SMAs as a histogram (red for negative, blue for positive)
• Optional Overlays
• Bitcoin halving dates (2012, 2016, 2020, 2024) with dashed lines and labels
• Raw hash rate data in EH/s
• Alerts
• Configurable alerts for capitulation start, recovery, and buy signals
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How It Works
1. Data Source: Fetches daily hash rate values from a selected provider (e.g., IntoTheBlock, Quandl).
2. Capitulation Detection: When the 30-day SMA falls below the 60-day SMA, miners are likely capitulating.
3. Recovery Identification: A rising 30-day SMA during capitulation signals miner recovery.
4. Buy Signal: Confirmed when the hash rate recovery coincides with a bullish shift in price momentum (10-day price SMA > 20-day price SMA).
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Inputs
Hash Rate Short SMA: 30 days
Hash Rate Long SMA: 60 days
Plot Signals: On
Plot Halvings: Off
Plot Raw Hash Rate: Off
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Considerations
• Timeframe: Best applied on daily charts to capture meaningful miner behavior.
• Data Reliability: Ensure the chosen hash rate source provides consistent, gap-free data.
• Risk Management: Use alongside other technical indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) and fundamental analysis.
• Backtesting: Evaluate performance over different market cycles before live deployment.
signBTC Day&Session BoxesThis indicator visually segments the trading week on your chart, drawing each day from 17:00 to 17:00 New York time (corresponding to the typical forex daily rollover). For enhanced session structure, every day is further divided into three major trading sessions:
Asian Session
London Session
New York Session
Additionally, the indicator automatically marks the opening time of each new day at 17:00 (New York time) directly on the chart, helping traders quickly identify daily cycles and session transitions.
Customization Features
Adjustable Session Times: Users can modify the start and end times for each session (Asian, London, New York) to match personal or institutional trading hours.
Flexible Day Boundaries: The time marking the start and end of each day (default: 17:00 NY) can also be adjusted according to preference or asset specifics.
Opening Time Marker: The feature for drawing the daily opening time can be enabled or disabled in the settings.
This tool is ideal for traders needing clear visual cues for session boundaries and daily market resets, especially those operating across multiple time zones or managing strategies dependent on session-specific behavior. All settings are conveniently accessible and fully customizable within the indicator’s parameter panel.
