Financial Crisis Predictor - Doomsday ClockThe **Financial Crisis Predictor - Doomsday Clock** is a composite indicator that evaluates multiple market conditions to determine financial risk levels. It combines four key metrics: market volatility (via VIX), yield curve spread, stock market momentum, and credit risk (via high-yield spread). Each metric contributes to a weighted "risk score," scaled between 0 and 100, which helps gauge the probability of a financial crisis. Here's a breakdown of how it works:
### 1. **Market Volatility (VIX)**
- **How it's measured:**
- Uses the VIX index, which represents expected market volatility.
- Applies two exponential moving averages (EMAs) to smooth out the data—one fast and one slow.
- Triggers a signal if the fast EMA crosses above the slow EMA and VIX exceeds a defined threshold (default is 30).
- **Weighting:**
- Contributes up to 35% of the total risk score when active.
### 2. **Yield Curve Spread**
- **How it's measured:**
- Takes the difference between the yields of 10-year and 2-year U.S. Treasury bonds (inversion indicates recession risk).
- If the spread drops below a certain threshold (default is 0.2), it signals a potential recession.
- **Weighting:**
- Contributes up to 25% of the risk score.
### 3. **Stock Market Momentum**
- **How it's measured:**
- Analyzes the S&P 500 (SPY) using a 20-day EMA for price momentum.
- Checks for a cross under the 20-day EMA and if the 5-day rate of change (ROC) is less than -2.
- This combination signals bearish market momentum.
- **Weighting:**
- Contributes up to 20% of the risk score.
### 4. **Credit Risk (High Yield Spread)**
- **How it's measured:**
- Assesses high-yield corporate bond spreads using EMAs, similar to the VIX logic.
- A crossover of the fast EMA above the slow EMA combined with spreads exceeding a defined threshold (default is 5.0) indicates increased credit risk.
- **Weighting:**
- Contributes up to 20% of the total risk score.
### 5. **Risk Score Calculation**
- The final **risk score** ranges from 0 to 100 and is calculated using the weighted sum of the four indicators.
- The score is smoothed to minimize false signals and maintain stability.
### 6. **Risk Zones**
- **Extreme Risk:** If the risk score is ≥ 75, indicating a severe crisis warning.
- **High Risk:** If the risk score is between 15 and 75, signaling heightened risk.
- **Moderate Risk:** If the risk score is between 10 and 15, representing potential concerns.
- **Low Risk:** If the risk score is < 10, suggesting stable conditions.
### 7. **Visual & Alerts**
- The indicator plots the risk score on a chart with color-coded backgrounds to indicate risk levels: green (low), yellow (moderate), orange (high), and red (extreme).
- Alert conditions are set for each risk zone, notifying users when the risk level transitions into a higher zone.
This indicator aims to quickly detect potential financial crises by aggregating signals from key market factors, making it a versatile tool for traders, analysts, and risk managers.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "Cycle"
NY Open Time Indicator (London Time)The NY Open Time Indicator is designed for traders who want to mark the opening time of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on their charts, specifically for assets traded during the London session. This indicator plots a vertical line at 2:30 PM London time (UTC+1), representing the moment the NYSE opens for trading.
Features:
Time Zone Adjustment: Automatically adjusts to reflect the NY opening time based on London time, accounting for daylight saving changes.
Visual Cue: The vertical line serves as a clear visual marker, helping traders identify potential market movements and volatility around the NY open.
Customizable Appearance: The color and width of the vertical line can be adjusted in the script to fit individual preferences and chart styles.
Simplicity: Easy to implement and understand, making it suitable for both novice and experienced traders.
Use Cases:
Day Trading: Use this indicator to pinpoint significant market entry and exit points around the NY open, which is often a time of increased activity and volatility.
Market Analysis: Combine this indicator with other technical analysis tools to assess potential price movements and trends as the market opens.
Installation: Add this indicator to your TradingView chart and customize it to suit your trading strategy. (Public Code)
Volatility %This indicator compares the average range of candles over a long period with the average range of a short period (which can be defined according to whether the strategy is more long-term or short-term), thus allowing the measurement of the asset's volatility or the strength of the movement. It was also created to be used on the 1D time frame with Swing Trading.
This indicator does not aim to predict the direction or strength of the next movement, but seeks to indicate whether the asset's value is moving more or less than the average. Based on the principle of alternation, after a large movement, there will likely be a short movement, and after a short movement, there will likely be a long one. Therefore, phases with less movement can be a good time to position oneself, and if volatility starts to decrease and the target has not been reached, closing the position can be considered.
This indicator also comes with three bands of percentage volatility averages altered by a multiplier, allowing for a dynamic reading of how volatile the market is. These should be adapted according to the asset.
This indicator is not meant to be used alone but as an auxiliary indicator.
Adjusted CoT IndexAdjusted COT Index
Improves upon: "COT Index Commercials vs large and small Speculators" by SystematicFutures
How: CoT Indexes are adjusted by Open Interest to normalise data over time, and threshold background colours are in-line with Larry Williams recommendations from his book.
Note: This indicator is **only** accurate on the Daily time-frame due to the mid-week release date for CoT data.
This script calculates and plots the Adjusted Commitment of Traders (COT) Index for Commercial, Large Speculator, and Retail (Small Speculator) categories.
The CoT Index is adjusted by Open Interest to normalise data through time, following the methodology of Larry Williams, providing insights into how these groups are positioned in the market with an arguably more historically accurate context.
COT Categories
-------------------
- Commercials (Producers/Hedgers): Large entities hedging against price changes in the underlying asset.
- Large Speculators (Non-commercials): Professional traders and funds speculating on price movements.
- Retail Traders (Nonreportable/Small Speculators): Small individual traders, typically less informed.
Features
----------
- Open Interest Adjustment
- The net positions for each category are normalized by Open Interest to account
for varying contract sizes.
- Customisable Look-back Period
- You can adjust the number of weeks for the index calculation to control the
historical range used for comparison.
- Thresholds for Extremes
- Upper and lower thresholds (configurable) are provided to mark overbought and
oversold conditions.
- Defaults
- Overbought: <=20
- Oversold: >= 80
- Hide Current Week Option
- Optionally hide the current week's data until market close for more accurate comparison.
- Visual Aids
- Plot the Commercials, Large Speculators, and Retail indexes, and optionally highlight extreme positioning.
Inputs
--------
- weeks
- Number of weeks for historical range comparison.
- upperExtreme and lowerExtreme
- Thresholds to identify overbought/oversold conditions (default 80/20).
- hideCurrentWeek
- Option to hide current week's data until market close.
- markExtremes
- Highlight extremes where any index crosses the upper or lower thresholds.
- Options to display or hide indexes for Commercials, Large Speculators, and Small Speculators.
Outputs
----------
- The script plots the COT Index for each of the three categories and highlights periods of extreme positioning with customisable thresholds.
Usage
-------
- This tool is useful for traders who want to track the positioning of different market participants over time.
- By identifying the extreme positions of Commercials, Large Speculators, and Retail traders, it can give insights into market sentiment and potential reversals.
- Reversals of trend can be confirmed with RSI Divergence (daily), for example
- Continuation can be confirmed with RSI overbought/oversold conditions (daily), and/or hidden RSI Hidden Divergence, for example
Sine-Weighted MA ATR [InvestorUnknown]The Sine-Weighted MA ATR is a technical analysis tool designed to emphasize recent price data using sine-weighted calculations , making it particularly well-suited for analyzing cyclical markets with repetitive patterns . The indicator combines the Sine-Weighted Moving Average (SWMA) and a Sine-Weighted Average True Range (SWATR) to enhance price trend detection and volatility analysis.
Sine-Weighted Moving Average (SWMA):
Unlike traditional moving averages that apply uniform or exponentially decaying weights, the SWMA applies Sine weights to the price data.
Emphasis on central data points: The Sine function assigns more weight to the middle of the lookback period, giving less importance to the beginning and end points. This helps capture the main trend more effectively while reducing noise from recent volatility or older data.
// Function to calculate the Sine-Weighted Moving Average
f_Sine_Weighted_MA(series float src, simple int length) =>
var float sine_weights = array.new_float(0)
array.clear(sine_weights) // Clear the array before recalculating weights
for i = 0 to length - 1
weight = math.sin((math.pi * (i + 1)) / length)
array.push(sine_weights, weight)
// Normalize the weights
sum_weights = array.sum(sine_weights)
for i = 0 to length - 1
norm_weight = array.get(sine_weights, i) / sum_weights
array.set(sine_weights, i, norm_weight)
// Calculate Sine-Weighted Moving Average
swma = 0.0
if bar_index >= length
for i = 0 to length - 1
swma := swma + array.get(sine_weights, i) * close
swma
Sine-Weighted ATR:
This is a variation of the Average True Range (ATR), which measures market volatility. Like the SWMA, the ATR is smoothed using Sine-based weighting, where central values are more heavily considered compared to the extremities. This improves sensitivity to changes in volatility while maintaining stability in highly volatile markets.
// Function to calculate the Sine-Weighted ATR
f_Sine_Weighted_ATR(simple int length) =>
var float sine_weights_atr = array.new_float(0)
array.clear(sine_weights_atr)
for i = 0 to length - 1
weight = math.sin((math.pi * (i + 1)) / length)
array.push(sine_weights_atr, weight)
// Normalize the weights
sum_weights_atr = array.sum(sine_weights_atr)
for i = 0 to length - 1
norm_weight_atr = array.get(sine_weights_atr, i) / sum_weights_atr
array.set(sine_weights_atr, i, norm_weight_atr)
// Calculate Sine-Weighted ATR using true ranges
swatr = 0.0
tr = ta.tr(true) // True Range
if bar_index >= length
for i = 0 to length - 1
swatr := swatr + array.get(sine_weights_atr, i) * tr
swatr
ATR Bands:
Upper and lower bands are created by adding/subtracting the Sine-Weighted ATR from the SWMA. These bands help identify overbought or oversold conditions, and when the price crosses these levels, it may generate long or short trade signals.
// - - - - - CALCULATIONS - - - - - //{
bar b = bar.new()
float src = b.calc_src(swma_src)
float swma = f_Sine_Weighted_MA(src, ma_length)
// Use normal ATR or Sine-Weighted ATR based on input
float atr = atr_type == "Normal ATR" ? ta.atr(atr_len) : f_Sine_Weighted_ATR(atr_len)
// Calculate upper and lower bands using ATR
float swma_up = swma + (atr * atr_mult)
float swma_dn = swma - (atr * atr_mult)
float src_l = b.calc_src(src_long)
float src_s = b.calc_src(src_short)
// Signal logic for crossovers and crossunders
var int signal = 0
if ta.crossover(src_l, swma_up)
signal := 1
if ta.crossunder(src_s, swma_dn)
signal := -1
//}
Signal Logic:
Long/Short Signals are triggered when the price crosses above or below the Sine-Weighted ATR bands
Backtest Mode and Equity Calculation
To evaluate its effectiveness, the indicator includes a backtest mode, allowing users to test its performance on historical data:
Backtest Equity: A detailed equity curve is calculated based on the generated signals over a user-defined period (startDate to endDate).
Buy and Hold Comparison: Alongside the strategy’s equity, a Buy-and-Hold equity curve is plotted for performance comparison.
Alerts
The indicator includes built-in alerts for both long and short signals, ensuring users are promptly notified when market conditions meet the criteria for an entry or exit.
Parent Session Sweeps + Alert Killzone Ranges with Parent Session Sweep
Key Features:
1. Multiple Session Support: The script tracks three major trading sessions - Asia, London, and New York. Users can customize the timing of these sessions.
2. Killzone Visualization: The strategy visually represents each session's range, either as filled boxes or lines, allowing traders to easily identify key price levels.
3. Parent Session Logic: The core of the strategy revolves around identifying a "parent" session - a session that encompasses the range of the following session. This parent session becomes the basis for potential trade setups.
4. Sweep and Reclaim Setups: The strategy looks for price movements that sweep (break above or below) the parent session's high or low, followed by a reclaim of that level. This price action often indicates a potential reversal.
5. Risk-Reward Filtering: Each potential setup is evaluated based on a user-defined minimum risk-reward ratio, ensuring that only high-quality trade opportunities are considered.
6. Candle Close Filter: An optional filter that checks the characteristics of the candle that reclaims the parent session level, adding an extra layer of confirmation to the setup.
7. Performance Tracking: The strategy keeps track of bullish and bearish setup success rates, providing valuable feedback on its performance over time.
8. Visual Aids: The script draws lines to mark the parent session's high and low, making it easy for traders to identify key levels.
How It Works:
1. The script continuously monitors price action across the defined sessions.
2. When a session fully contains the range of the next session, it's identified as a potential parent session.
3. The strategy then waits for price to sweep either the high or low of this parent session.
4. If a sweep occurs, it looks for a reclaim of the swept level within the parameters set by the user.
5. If a valid setup is identified, the script generates an alert and places a trade (if backtesting or running live).
6. The strategy continues to monitor the trade for either reaching the target (opposite level of the parent session) or hitting the stop loss.
Considerations for Signals:
- Sweep: A break of the parent session's high or low.
- Reclaim: A close back inside the parent session range after a sweep.
- Candle Characteristics: Optional filter for the reclaim candle (e.g., bullish candle for long setups).
- Risk-Reward: Each setup must meet or exceed the user-defined minimum risk-reward ratio.
- Session Timing: The strategy is sensitive to the defined session times, which should be set according to the trader's preferred time zone.
This strategy aims to capitalize on institutional order flow and liquidity patterns in the forex market, providing traders with a systematic approach to identifying potential reversal points with favorable risk-reward profiles.
Trade Entry Detector, Wick to Body Ratio Trade Entry Detector: Wick-to-Body Ratio Strategy with Bollinger Bands
Overview
The Trade Entry Detector is a custom strategy for TradingView that leverages the Bollinger Bands and a unique wick-to-body ratio approach to capture precise entry opportunities. This indicator is designed for traders who want to pinpoint high-probability reversal points when price interacts with Bollinger Bands, all while offering flexible entry fill options.
The strategy performs primary analysis on the daily time frame, regardless of your current chart setting, allowing you to view daily Bollinger Band levels and entry signals even on lower time frames. This approach is suitable for swing traders and short-term traders looking to align intraday moves with higher time frame signals.
How the Strategy Works
1. Bollinger Band Analysis on the Daily Time Frame
Bollinger Bands are calculated using a 20-period simple moving average (SMA) and a standard deviation multiplier (default is 2). These bands dynamically expand and contract based on market volatility, making them ideal for identifying overbought and oversold conditions:
* Upper Band: Indicates potential overbought levels.
* Lower Band: Indicates potential oversold levels.
2. Wick-to-Body Ratio Condition
This strategy places significant emphasis on candle wicks relative to the candle body. Here’s why:
* A large upper wick relative to the body signals potential selling pressure after testing the upper Bollinger Band.
* A large lower wick relative to the body indicates buying support after testing the lower Bollinger Band.
* Ratio Threshold: You can set a minimum wick-to-body ratio (default is 1.0), meaning that the wick must be at least equal in size to the body. This ensures only candles with significant reversals are considered for entry.
3. Flexible Entry Timing
To adapt to various trading styles, the indicator allows you to choose the entry fill timing:
* Daily Close: Enter at the close of the daily candle.
* Daily Open: Enter at the open of the following daily candle.
* HOD (High of Day): Set entry at the daily high, for those who want confirmation of upward momentum.
* LOD (Low of Day): Set entry at the daily low, ideal for confirming downward movement.
4. Position Sizing and Risk Management
The strategy calculates position size based on a fixed risk percentage of your account balance (default is 1%). This approach dynamically adjusts position sizes based on stop-loss distance:
* Stop Loss: Placed at the nearest swing high (for shorts) or swing low (for longs).
* Take Profit: Exits are triggered when the price reaches the opposite Bollinger Band.
5. Order Expiration
Each pending order (long or short) expires after two days if unfilled, allowing for new setups on subsequent candles if conditions are met again.
Using the Trade Entry Detector
Step-by-Step Guide
1. Set the Primary Time Frame
The core calculations run on the daily time frame, but the strategy can be applied to intraday charts (e.g., 65-minute or 15-minute) for deeper insights.
2. Adjust Bollinger Band Settings
* Length: Default is 20, which determines the period for calculating the moving average.
* Standard Deviation Multiplier: Default is 2.0, which sets the width of the bands. Adjusting this can help you capture broader or tighter volatility ranges.
3. Define the Wick-to-Body Ratio
Set the minimum ratio between wick and body (default 1.0). Higher values filter out candles with less wick-to-body contrast, focusing on stronger rejection moves.
4. Choose Entry Fill Timing
Select your preferred fill condition:
* Daily Close: Confirms the trade at the end of the daily session.
* Daily Open: Executes the entry at the open of the next day.
* HOD/LOD: Uses the daily high or low as an additional confirmation for upward or downward moves.
5. Position Sizing and Risk Management
* Set your account balance and risk percentage. The strategy automatically calculates position sizes based on the stop distance to manage risk efficiently.
* Stop Loss and Take Profit points are automatically set based on swing highs/lows and opposing Bollinger Bands, respectively.
Practical Example
Let’s say SPY (S&P 500 ETF) tests the lower Bollinger Band on the daily time frame, with a lower wick that is twice the size of the body (meeting the 1.0 ratio threshold). Here’s how the strategy might proceed:
1. Signal: The lower wick on SPY suggests buying interest at the lower Bollinger Band.
2. Entry Fill Timing: If you’ve selected "Daily Open," the entry order will be placed at the next day's open price.
3. Stop Loss: Positioned at the nearest daily swing low to minimize risk.
4. Take Profit: If SPY price moves up and reaches the upper Bollinger Band, the position is automatically closed.
Indicator Features and Benefits
* Multi-Time Frame Compatibility: Perform daily analysis while tracking signals on any intraday chart.
* Automatic Position Sizing: Tailor risk per trade based on account balance and desired risk percentage.
* Flexible Entry Options: Choose from close, open, HOD, or LOD for optimal timing.
* Effective Trend Reversal Identification: Uses wick-to-body ratio and Bollinger Band interaction to pinpoint potential reversals.
* Dynamic Visualization: Bollinger Bands are displayed on your chosen time frame, allowing seamless intraday tracking.
Summary
The Trade Entry Detector provides a unique, data-driven way to spot reversal points with customizable entry options. By combining Bollinger Bands with wick-to-body ratio conditions, it identifies potential trade setups where price has tested extremes and shown reversal signals. With its flexible entry timing, risk management features, and multi-time frame compatibility, this indicator is ideal for traders looking to blend daily market context with shorter-term execution.
Tips for Usage:
* For swing trading, consider the Daily Open or Close entry options.
* For momentum entries, HOD or LOD may offer better alignment with the direction of the wick.
* Backtest on different assets to find optimal Bollinger Band and wick-to-body settings for your market.
Use this indicator to enhance your understanding of price behavior at key levels and improve the precision of your entry points. Happy trading!
Realized Price Profit/Loss Margin [VWAP Optimized]Shaded Profit/Loss Margin Oscillator
The Shaded Profit/Loss Margin Oscillator is a powerful tool designed to measure Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL). This metric reflects the difference between Bitcoin’s current market price and its realized price, which approximates the price at which coins were last moved. By smoothing the NUPL using a moving average, the indicator provides a clean purple oscillator line that helps users easily gauge market sentiment. When the oscillator is above the zero line, the market is in profit, and when it is below zero, participants are generally in a state of unrealized loss. The shaded area between the oscillator and the zero line enhances visual clarity, making it easier to identify potential shifts in market behavior such as profit-taking or capitulation.
Unique Features and Added Value
What sets this indicator apart from traditional NUPL indicators is the use of a volume-weighted average price (VWAP) as a proxy for the realized price. Unlike the original on-chain NUPL metric, which relies on complex on-chain data, this indicator leverages VWAP to provide an approximation of realized price based solely on price and volume data available directly on TradingView. This method makes it highly accessible to traders who don’t have access to on-chain data platforms.
The use of VWAP not only simplifies the calculation but also provides additional value, as it incorporates volume into the realized price estimation. This volume-sensitive approach may offer a more responsive and dynamic reflection of realized prices compared to on-chain models, which can sometimes lag. In essence, this VWAP-based NUPL oscillator offers a unique edge in tracking profit/loss margins, particularly for traders who want a straightforward and efficient way to gauge sentiment without relying on external on-chain data sources. It brings the essence of NUPL into the world of technical analysis in an accessible and actionable way.
Elliott Wave Oscillator with Peak DetectionThe Elliott Wave Oscillator with Derivative Peak Detection and Breakout Bands is a technical indicator that blends traditional Elliott Wave theory with modern derivative-based peak detection and breakout bands for a clearer view of market trends.
Key Components:
Elliott Wave Oscillator (EWO):
The core of the indicator is based on the difference between two simple moving averages (SMA): a short-term SMA (default length: 5) and a long-term SMA (default length: 35).
This difference is expressed either as an absolute value or a percentage of the current price, depending on the user’s input.
Smoothing:
The EWO is smoothed using an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to filter out noise and provide a clearer trend direction.
The smoothing length is adaptive based on the current chart's timeframe (e.g., longer smoothing for daily charts).
Derivative Peak Detection:
The smoothed EWO is analyzed for peaks (positive) and troughs (negative) by calculating the derivative (rate of change) between consecutive values.
Peaks are detected when the derivative transitions from positive to negative, while troughs are identified when the derivative switches from negative to positive.
Tolerance levels are adjustable and vary by timeframe to avoid false signals.
Breakout Bands:
Upper and lower breakout bands are dynamically generated based on the smoothed EWO.
The bands help to filter significant peaks and troughs, only highlighting those that occur beyond the breakout levels.
Users can choose to display these bands and use them to filter out less significant peaks and troughs.
Visualization:
The original, unsmoothed EWO is plotted as a histogram, with positive values in green and negative values in red.
The smoothed EWO is plotted as a blue line, providing a clearer view of the underlying trend.
The breakout bands, if enabled, are plotted as white lines to visualize the upper and lower bounds of the oscillator's movement.
Positive peaks and negative troughs that meet the filtering criteria are marked with purple triangles (for peaks) and red triangles (for troughs) on the chart.
Customization Options:
Timeframe-based Smoothing and Tolerance: Different smoothing lengths and tolerance levels can be set for daily, hourly, and 5-minute charts.
Breakout Bands: Users can toggle the display of breakout bands and adjust their visual properties.
Peak Filtering: Peaks and troughs can be filtered based on whether they break out beyond the bands, or all peaks can be shown.
This indicator provides a unique blend of trend detection through the Elliott Wave Oscillator and derivative analysis to highlight significant market reversals while offering breakout bands as a filtering mechanism for false signals.
Inflation-Adjusted Price IndicatorThis indicator allows traders to adjust historical prices for inflation using customizable CPI data. The script computes the adjusted price by selecting a reference date, the original price, and the CPI source (US CPI or custom input) and plots it as a line on the chart. Additionally, a table summarizes the adjusted price values and average and total inflation rates.
While the indicator serves as a standalone tool to understand inflation's impact on prices, it is a supportive element in more advanced trading strategies requiring accurate analysis of inflation-adjusted data.
Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as well as in historical backtesting.
This post and the script don’t provide any financial advice.
2024 - Seasonality - Open to CloseScript Description:
This Pine Script is designed to visualise **seasonality** in the financial markets by calculating the **open-to-close percentage change** for each month of a selected asset. It creates a **heatmap** table to display the monthly performance over multiple years. The script provides detailed statistical summaries, including:
- **Average monthly percentage changes**
- **Standard deviation** of the changes
- **Percentage of months with positive returns**
The script also allows users to adjust colour intensities for positive and negative values, specify which year to start from, and skip specific months. Key metrics such as averages, standard deviations, and percentages of positive months can be toggled on or off based on user preferences. The result is a clear, visual representation of how an asset typically performs month by month, aiding in seasonality analysis.
US Recessions (NBER)This indicator is designed to replace the US Recessions indicator.
Unfortunately, the original indicator is now broken, and the author is not responding: www.tradingview.com .
There are other similar indicators, but they are not based on live data and either show non-officially recognized recessions or fail to display all officially recognized recessions.
This indicator shades US recession periods based on live monthly data from USREC . It highlights all officially recognized US recessions according to the NBER and will automatically shade any future recessions when they occur. The indicator works across all timeframes, correctly shading recessions whether you are viewing a 30-minute, 2-hour, daily, weekly, or any other chart timeframe.
Warning & Risks :
This indicator uses the barmerge.lookahead_on option to correctly handle monthly recession data from USREC . The purpose of this setting is to ensure that the monthly data points are applied retroactively to the corresponding bars on the chart. However, this means that while past recession periods are accurately shaded, the script is effectively displaying data from future candles and plotting it backward onto the chart.
This behavior does not introduce a “future leak” in the traditional sense—since USREC data is backward-looking and the current month always remains non-recessionary until officially confirmed. Nonetheless, it can cause confusion, as users may see recession periods shaded retroactively only after the data becomes available. Therefore, the current month will always appear non-recessionary until the next data point is released, and historical recession periods may be adjusted after the fact .
Leonid's Bitcoin Sharpe RatioThe Sharpe ratio is an old formula used to value the risk-adjusted return of an asset. It was developed by Nobel Laureate William F. Sharpe. In this case, I have applied it to Bitcoin with an adjustable look-back date.
The Sharpe Ratio shows you the average return earned after subtracting out the risk-free rate per unit of volatility (I've defaulted this to 0.02 ).
Volatility is a measure of the price fluctuations of an asset or portfolio. Subtracting the risk-free rate from the mean return allows you to understand what the extra returns are for taking the risk.
If the indicator is flashing red, Bitcoin is temporarily overbought (expensive).
If the indicator is flashing green, Bitcoin is temporarily oversold (cheap).
The goal of this indicator is to signal out local tops & bottoms. It can be adjusted as far as the lookback time but I have found 25-26 days to be ideal.
Crossover CounterExplanation:
Crossover Detection: We detect the crossover of the 20-period and 50-period moving averages using ta.crossover().
Tracking Price Movement: After the crossover, we start tracking the price to check if it moves up or down by 2%. If an up movement occurs before a down movement, we increment the positive counter. If a down movement occurs first, we increment the negative counter.
Reset Condition: Once either a 2% up or down move is detected, we stop tracking until the next crossover.
Table Display: A table shows the counts of positive and negative events.
ANN Trend PredictionThis trend indicator utilizes an artificial neural network (ANN) to predict the next market reversal within a certain range of previous candles. The larger the range of previous candles you set, the fewer reversals will be predicted, and trends will tend to last longer.
The ANN is trained on the BTCUSD 4-hour chart, so using it on other assets or timeframes may yield suboptimal results. It takes three input values: the closing price, the Stochastic RSI, and a Choppiness Indicator. Based on these inputs, the ANN categorizes the current candle as part of an uptrend, downtrend, or as undefined.
Compared to an EMA-based trend indicator, this ANN identifies reversals several candles earlier. It achieves this by detecting subtle patterns in the input values that typically appear before a market turnaround. These patterns are somewhat specific to that chosen asset and timeframe.
The results are displayed using rows of triangles that indicate the predicted price direction. The price levels of the triangles correspond to the closing price at the last reversal. The area between the triangle row and the price is colored green if the ANN correctly predicted the move, and red if it did not.
This indicator is designed to showcase the capabilities and potential of ANNs, and is not intended for actual trading use. The ANN can be trained on any other input values, assets and timeframes for several predictions tasks.
You can use the Predicted_Trend_Signal of this Indicator in any backtest indicator. In the Backtester just grap the Predicted_Trend_Signal. downtrend = 1, uptrend = -1, undefined = 0
Feel free to write me a comment.
Advanced MA Difference (and more)This Pine Script indicator calculates the difference between the price and a main moving average (SMA or EMA), allowing you to track deviations in either absolute or relative (percentage) terms. It offers several features to help visualize and smooth this difference:
- Main MA Difference: Shows the price deviation from the moving average, either as an absolute dollar amount or as a percentage.
- Fast and Slow Moving Averages: Optionally smooths the difference using fast and slow moving averages, giving insights into short-term and long-term trends in price deviations.
- Difference Between Fast and Slow MAs : Highlights the gap between these MAs, helping to identify momentum shifts.
- Customizable Visuals: Offers flexibility in displaying the difference and moving averages using lines or histograms, and includes a zero line for reference.
When to Use It:
- Use the absolute difference for tracking raw price deviations if you’re focused on concrete moves in the asset’s price.
- Use the relative difference for normalized, percentage-based deviations, especially useful when comparing different assets or time frames.
This indicator is suitable for traders looking to spot trends, price deviations, or momentum shifts relative to a moving average. Its flexibility makes it a good fit for both short-term and long-term analysis.
Inamdar Wave - Winning Wave
The **"Inamdar Wave"**, also known as the **"Winning Wave"**, is a cutting-edge market indicator designed to help traders ride the waves of momentum and capitalize on high-probability opportunities. With its unique ability to adapt to market shifts, the Inamdar Wave ensures you're always in sync with the market's most profitable moves, making it an indispensable tool for traders looking for consistent success.
### Key Features of the "Inamdar Wave":
1. **Dynamic Market Movement Detection**:
- The **Inamdar Wave** tracks the market’s momentum and identifies clear waves of movement, allowing traders to catch both upswings and downswings with ease.
- This indicator dynamically adjusts based on price action and volatility, ensuring you're always aligned with the market’s natural flow.
- Whether the market is trending or ranging, the **Inamdar Wave** keeps you on the right path, helping you surf the market's waves effortlessly.
2. **Highly Profitable Buy/Sell Signals**:
- The **Inamdar Wave** generates precise buy and sell signals that guide you to the most profitable entry and exit points.
- Its built-in filters ensure you avoid market noise, focusing only on high-probability trades that maximize your potential for profit.
- You’ll confidently enter trades at the start of each new wave, ensuring you ride the momentum for maximum gains.
3. **Visual Wave Highlighting**:
- Color-coded zones help you easily spot bullish (upward) and bearish (downward) waves.
- Green highlights signal upward waves, while red zones indicate downward waves, making it visually simple to recognize the current market direction.
- This feature allows for quick decision-making and a clear understanding of the market's direction at a glance.
4. **Tailored for Any Market Condition**:
- Whether you’re trading a calm or highly volatile market, the **Inamdar Wave** adapts to the changing conditions, ensuring consistent performance across all environments.
- Its flexibility allows it to work seamlessly with any asset class—stocks, forex, crypto, or commodities—making it an all-in-one solution for traders.
- The **Inamdar Wave**'s real-time adjustments keep it relevant regardless of market conditions or timeframes.
5. **Real-Time Alerts**:
- Get instant alerts when a new wave begins, whether it's a buy, sell, or wave reversal.
- You’ll never miss out on a profitable opportunity with real-time notifications that keep you one step ahead of the market.
- These alerts help you act quickly, maximizing the potential of every market movement.
### Inputs:
- **Wave Period**: Customize the sensitivity of the wave detection with adjustable periods to suit your trading style.
- **Signal Source**: Choose from different price sources to fine-tune how the **Inamdar Wave** reacts to market movements.
- **Signal Strength**: Control the sensitivity of wave detection to focus on only the strongest and most profitable moves.
- **Buy/Sell Signals**: Easily toggle buy/sell signals on your chart for enhanced clarity.
- **Wave Highlighting**: Turn visual wave highlights on or off, depending on your preference.
### Use Case:
The **Inamdar Wave** is perfect for traders looking to capture the most profitable waves in any market. Whether you're a short-term scalper or a long-term trend follower, this indicator keeps you in sync with the market’s natural rhythm, ensuring that you're always riding the winning wave. With its powerful buy/sell signals and dynamic wave detection, you'll be better positioned to take advantage of market momentum and secure consistent profits.
In conclusion, the **"Inamdar Wave"** is not just another indicator—it’s your key to riding the market’s most profitable waves with precision and confidence. By following the signals and staying in tune with the market’s natural flow, you’ll be able to maximize your gains and minimize your risks, ensuring a successful trading journey.
Killzones And Macros LibraryKillzones & Macros Library for Trading Sessions
This Pine Script library is designed to help traders identify and act during high-volatility trading windows, commonly referred to as "Killzones." These are specific times during the day when institutional traders are most active, resulting in increased liquidity and price movement. The library provides boolean fields that return true when the current time falls within one of the killzones or macroeconomic event windows, allowing for enhanced trade timing and precision.
Killzones Include:
London Open, New York Open, Midnight Open, London Lunch, New York PM, and more.
Capture high-volume periods like Power Hour, Equities Open, and Asian Range.
Macros:
Identify key moments like London 02:33, New York 08:50, and other significant times aligned with market movements or events.
This library is perfect for integrating into your custom strategies, backtesting, or setting alerts for optimal trade execution during major trading sessions and events.
Prometheus Auto Optimizing SaberThis indicator is a tool that uses prior ranges to determine the directional trend of the market. The process is along the lines of a volatility estimate to determine relative strength.
Calculation:
Square rooting the highest high and lowest low, helps it be easier to work with if there are extreme values. Then we normalize it by subtracting it by the range of the current bar. Next, we get bands for the value. The highest high plus that value, v, and the lowest low minus v.
Next we get that average, then smooth it so we can view it nicely.
Now for the Auto Optimizing part in the title. Instead of trying different lookback values for different tickers and timeframes. Prometheus uses a Sum of Squared Errors, SSE, calculation to determine which price would most closely represent the current price. This gives us a dynamic value to use as the lookback. There is no guarantee this is the best value to use for a given point in time.
hh = ta.highest(high, N_opt)
ll = ta.lowest(low, N_opt)
v = math.sqrt(hh - ll) / (high - low)
vu = hh + v
vd = ll - v
vma = ta.sma((vu + vd) / 2, N_opt)
The user is able to use a custom lookback value if they please.
Chart examples.
Here on the NASDAQ:QQQ daily chart we see the Saber colored in blue when it is a bullish scenario, characterized by close being above the Saber , and when it is below it is red, for bearish.
This Saber is quite resistant to large moves, until the range widens quickly. This example shows that.
We see on the NYSE:PLTR daily chart, the earnings candle in the white box shows that. The Saber is resistant to change until things get fast. After the trend switches bullish from the earnings candle, it stays bullish regardless of the last drawdown.
Intra Day example:
The range here is quite wide and the moves are well spread apart from wide trends, slow moves, and pops. The Saber acts in a way to provide an aid identifying the direction of the moves.
We encourage traders to not follow indicators blindly, none are 100% accurate. SSE does not guarantee that the values generated will be the best for a given moment in time. Please comment on any desired updates, all criticism is welcome!
EMA CheatsheetEMA Clouds Indicator: A Comprehensive Guide for Traders
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Clouds indicator is a dynamic tool designed to provide traders with visual cues about the current trend and potential shifts in market momentum. The EMA is a type of moving average that gives more weight to recent price data, making it highly responsive to price changes compared to a Simple Moving Average (SMA). When used in the form of clouds, EMAs are layered on top of each other to form a visual representation of bullish and bearish trends.
Understanding EMA Clouds
EMA Clouds consist of two or more EMAs, typically a short-term EMA (e.g., 9-period) and a longer-term EMA (e.g., 21-period). When these two EMAs are plotted together, they create a "cloud" between them. The interaction between these EMAs gives traders critical insights into the market's trend:
Bullish Clouds: When the shorter-term EMA crosses above the longer-term EMA, the market is considered to be in a bullish trend. This creates a green (or lighter colored) cloud between the EMAs, signaling upward momentum. Bullish clouds suggest that buyers are in control, and the price is likely to continue higher.
Bearish Clouds: Conversely, when the shorter-term EMA crosses below the longer-term EMA, the market is considered to be in a bearish trend. This forms a red (or darker colored) cloud between the EMAs, indicating downward momentum. Bearish clouds imply that sellers are dominating the market, and the price is likely to decline.
Key Components of the EMA Clouds Indicator:
Short-Term EMA: This is the fast-moving average (e.g., 9-period EMA) and reacts quickly to recent price changes. It’s used to detect short-term shifts in momentum.
Long-Term EMA: This is the slower-moving average (e.g., 21-period EMA), which smooths out price data over a longer period and identifies the general trend direction.
Cloud: The area between the short-term and long-term EMAs. When this cloud is green (bullish), it indicates that the short-term trend is stronger than the long-term trend. When the cloud turns red (bearish), it suggests that the short-term trend is weaker than the long-term trend.
Cloud Thickness: The thickness of the cloud provides additional information about the strength of the trend. A thicker cloud suggests strong price divergence between short and long-term trends, which could indicate a robust trend. A thinner cloud, on the other hand, may signal trend weakness or consolidation.
Hourly Separator + Opening LineThis indicator shows the vertical and horizontal opening lines for the hourly timeframe.
Also has options to choose a different opening time:
- 1 Hour
- 30 Min
- 15 Min
- 10 Min
- 5 Min
E9 ASIA Session
*note: Upon updating the script the conversion from V4 to v5 has lost the weekend extended lines and now prints an asia session for each day. It is recommended (esp for crypto) to extend these lines across the weekend like in the chart example above.
The E9 Asia Session Indicator is a valuable tool for traders aiming to track and analyze the Asia trading session on financial charts. This indicator provides insights into price behavior during the Asia session, which is crucial for making informed trading decisions. Here's an overview of its key functionalities and uses:
1. Session Highs and Lows
Purpose:
The indicator calculates and plots the high and low of the Asia session.
It helps identify key levels of support and resistance established during this trading period.
Importance:
These levels can act as significant reference points for future price movements.
Price action that occurs near these levels often provides clues about potential breakouts or reversals.
2. Session Background Color
Purpose:
The indicator can shade the background of the chart during the Asia session.
Importance:
This visual cue helps quickly identify the session's timeframe, enhancing the trader’s ability to observe price behavior within this specific period.
It aids in distinguishing between different trading sessions and understanding their influence on price action.
3. Start of Session Marker
Purpose:
A visual marker (such as a circle) is plotted at the beginning of each Asia session.
Importance:
This marker helps traders visually pinpoint the start of the session, making it easier to analyze how the price reacts from the session's opening.
4. End of Session Marker
Purpose:
A marker is plotted at the end of the Asia session, indicating where the session closes.
Importance:
This marker is useful for tracking the end of the session and observing price behavior around this critical juncture.
It helps in analyzing whether the session's high or low gets revisited or broken in subsequent sessions.
Practical Uses:
Strategic Planning: Traders can use the plotted high and low levels to set their trading strategies, stop-loss orders, and profit targets.
Market Analysis: Understanding how price interacts with the Asia session’s high and low levels can provide insights into market sentiment and potential price movements.
By incorporating the E9 Asia Session Indicator into your trading toolkit, you can gain a deeper understanding of the Asia session's impact on price dynamics, enhancing your overall trading strategy and decision-making process.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always evaluate your financial circumstances and investment objectives before making trading decisions.
RSI ProfitGuard [CHE]The RSI ProfitGuard Indicator is a comprehensive tool designed to assist traders in making informed decisions by integrating the Relative Strength Index (RSI) with automated Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels. This indicator enhances trading strategies by providing clear entry signals and risk management parameters.
Key Features
RSIBased Signals: Utilizes RSI crossovers and crossunders to generate trade signals.
Automated TP and SL: Automatically calculates and plots Take Profit and Stop Loss levels based on userdefined methods.
Customizable Trade Types: Supports Long trades, Short trades, or both simultaneously.
Flexible Calculation Methods: Choose between Percentagebased or ATRbased methods for determining TP and SL levels.
Visual Enhancements: Highlights overbought and oversold RSI regions with background colors and marks trade entries with arrows.
Alerts: Provides realtime alerts when TP or SL levels are reached, ensuring timely trade management.
How It Works
1. RSI Calculation: The indicator calculates the RSI value based on the specified length.
2. Trade Signals:
Long Entry: Triggered when RSI crosses above the defined crossover threshold.
Short Entry: Triggered when RSI crosses below the defined crossunder threshold.
3. TP/SL Level Determination:
Percentage Method: Sets TP and SL as a percentage above and below the entry price.
ATR Method: Sets TP and SL based on the Average True Range (ATR), allowing for dynamic adjustments based on market volatility.
4. Visualization: Draws lines and labels on the chart to indicate TP, SL, and entry points.
5. Trade Management: Monitors price movements to determine if TP or SL levels are hit, automatically managing the trade state.
Customization Options
Trade Type Selection: Choose to execute Long trades, Short trades, or both.
RSI Settings:
RSI Length: Defines the period for RSI calculation (default is 14).
Crossover Threshold: RSI level above which a Long entry is signaled (default is 65).
Crossunder Threshold: RSI level below which a Short entry is signaled (default is 35).
Delay Settings: Sets the minimum number of bars between consecutive trade signals to avoid overtrading.
TP/SL Settings:
Method Selection: Choose between Percentage or ATRbased calculations.
Percentage Values: Define the percentage for TP and SL levels.
ATR Settings: Define ATR length and multipliers for TP and SL when using the ATR method.
Visual Settings:
Line Colors and Styles: Customize the appearance of TP, SL, crossover, and crossunder lines.
Transparency: Adjust the transparency of lines for better chart visibility.
Label Offset: Position labels at a specified number of bars to the right for clarity.
Using the Indicator
1. Add to Chart: Apply the RSI ProfitGuard Indicator to your TradingView chart.
2. Configure Settings: Adjust the parameters according to your trading strategy and risk tolerance.
3. Interpret Signals:
Long Entries: Look for green upward arrows indicating potential buy opportunities.
Short Entries: Look for red downward arrows indicating potential sell opportunities.
4. Monitor TP and SL Levels: Observe the plotted lines and labels to manage your trades effectively.
5. Set Up Alerts: Enable alerts to receive notifications when TP or SL levels are reached, ensuring you can act promptly.
Benefits
Enhanced DecisionMaking: Combines RSI signals with clear risk management levels.
Time Efficiency: Automates the calculation and plotting of TP and SL, saving time and reducing manual errors.
Flexibility: Adapts to various trading styles and market conditions through customizable settings.
Risk Management: Helps in defining and adhering to risk parameters, essential for longterm trading success.
Conclusion
The RSI ProfitGuard Indicator is an invaluable tool for traders seeking to integrate technical analysis with automated risk management. Its customizable features and realtime alerts provide a robust framework for executing and managing trades with confidence.
Disclaimer
The content provided with our RSI ProfitGuard Indicator, including all code, scripts, lessons, and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell, or an offer of any financial product or service.
Key Points:
Educational Purpose:
All strategies, tools, and examples included within the RSI ProfitGuard Indicator are provided solely for illustrative purposes. They are designed to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
No Financial Advice:
The RSI ProfitGuard Indicator does not constitute financial advice. Users should not rely on it as a basis for making investment or trading decisions.
Hypothetical Results:
Any results or performance metrics derived from using the RSI ProfitGuard Indicator are purely hypothetical. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and there is no guarantee of profitability.
Risk Disclosure:
Trading and investing involve significant risks, including the potential loss of principal. The RSI ProfitGuard Indicator is not suitable for all persons, and users should be aware of the inherent risks involved in trading.
Professional Consultation:
Before making any trading decisions, it is strongly recommended to consult with a qualified financial professional to fully understand the risks and ensure that such decisions align with your financial situation and goals.
User Responsibility:
By using the RSI ProfitGuard Indicator, you acknowledge and agree that all trading decisions are made solely at your own discretion and risk. The developers and providers of the RSI ProfitGuard Indicator assume no responsibility or liability for any losses or damages resulting from its use.
Additional Notes:
No Guarantees:
There are no guarantees regarding the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of the RSI ProfitGuard Indicator. Users utilize the tool at their own risk.
No Endorsement:
Any mention of third-party products, services, or strategies within the RSI ProfitGuard Indicator does not constitute an endorsement or recommendation.
Updates and Modifications:
The RSI ProfitGuard Indicator may be updated or modified over time. Users are responsible for staying informed about any changes and understanding how they may impact the use of the tool.
Summary
This disclaimer clearly states that the RSI ProfitGuard Indicator is intended for educational purposes and should not be used as financial advice. It highlights the risks associated with trading, the hypothetical nature of any results, and the importance of consulting with a financial professional. Additionally, it emphasizes that users are solely responsible for their trading decisions and any outcomes that result from using the indicator.
Tips for Implementation:
Visibility:
Ensure that this disclaimer is prominently displayed wherever the RSI ProfitGuard Indicator is offered, such as on your website, within the TradingView description, or in any accompanying documentation.
Clarity:
Use clear and concise language to make sure that all users understand the limitations and responsibilities associated with using the indicator.
Legal Review:
Consider having the disclaimer reviewed by a legal professional to ensure that it meets all necessary legal requirements and adequately protects your interests.
Regular Updates:
Periodically review and update the disclaimer to reflect any changes in the indicator's functionality or in relevant laws and regulations.
