hamster-bot MRS 2 (simplified version) MRS - Mean Reversion Strategy (Countertrend) (Envelope strategy)
This script does not claim to be unique and does not mislead anyone. Even the unattractive backtest result is attached. The source code is open. The idea has been described many times in various sources. But at the same time, their collection in one place provides unique opportunities.
Published by popular demand and for ease of use. so that users can track the development of the script and can offer their ideas in the comments. Otherwise, you have to communicate in several telegram chats.
Representative of the family of counter-trend strategies. The basis of the strategy is Mean reversion . You can also read about the Envelope strategy .
Mean reversion , or reversion to the mean, is a theory used in finance that suggests that asset price volatility and historical returns eventually will revert to the long-run mean or average level of the entire dataset.
The strategy is very simple. Has very few settings. Good for beginners to get acquainted with algorithmic trading. A simple adjustment will help avoid overfitting. There are many variations of this strategy, but for understanding it is better to start with this implementation.
Principle of operation.
1)
A conventional MA is being built. (fuchsia line). A limit order is placed on this line to close the position.
2)
(green line) A limit order is placed on this line to open a long position
3)
(red line) A limit order is placed on this line to open a short position
Attention!
Please note that a limit order is used. Conclude that the strategy has a limited capacity. And the results obtained on low-liquid instruments will be too high in the tester. On real auctions there will be a different result.
Note for testing the strategy in the spot market:
When testing in the spot market, do not include both long and short at the same time. It is recommended to test only the long mode on the spot. Short mode for more advanced users.
Settings:
Available types of moving averages:
SMA
EMA
TEMA - triple exponential moving average
DEMA - Double Exponential Moving Average
ZLEMA - Zero lag exponential moving average
WMA - weighted moving average
Hma - Hull Moving Average
Thma - Triple Exponential Hull Moving Average
Ehma - Exponential Hull Moving Average
H - MA built based on highs for n candles | ta.highest(len)
L - MA built based on lows for n candles | ta.lowest(len)
DMA - Donchian Moving Average
A Kalman filter can be applied to all MA
The peculiarity of the strategy is a large selection of MA and the possibility of shifting lines. You can set up a reverse trending strategy on the Donchian channel for example.
Use Long - enable/disable opening a Long position
Use Short - enable/disable opening a Short position
Lot Long, % - % allocated from the deposit for opening a Long position. In the spot market, do not use % greater than 100%
Lot Short, % - allocated % of the deposit for opening a Short position
Start date - the beginning of the testing period
End date - the end of the testing period (Example: only August 2020 can be tested)
Mul - multiplier. Used to offset lines. Example:
Mul = 0.99 is shift -1%
Mul = 1.01 is shift +1%
Non-strict recommendations:
1) Test the SPOT market on crypto exchanges. (The countertrend strategy has liquidation risk on futures)
2) Symbols altcoin/bitcoin or altcoin/altcoin. Example: ETH/BTC or DOGE/ETH
3) Timeframe is usually 1 hour
If the script passes moderation, I will supplement it by adding separate settings for closing long and short positions according to their MA
Cari dalam skrip untuk "Futures"
Opening Range Gaps [TFO]This indicator displays Opening Range Gaps with an adjustable time window. Its intention is to capture the discrepancy between the close price of previous and new Real Trading Hours (RTH) sessions, i.e. yesterday's close compared to today's open. A gap will be drawn from this area with a solid line denoting its midpoint, and dashed lines denoting the upper and lower quartiles of its range. Its color is determined by whether the new session open price is above or below the previous session close.
The Gap Session parameter allows users to define the specific time window for which to capture the "gap" in price. Using U.S. index futures as an example, we can use 16:00 - 09:30 (EST) to capture the discrepancy between the previous day's close price and the current day's open price. However, this parameter is left as adjustable for users that may want to observe different markets or simply experiment with different time windows.
Show Session Delineations will draw vertical timestamps denoting the start and end times of the provided Gap Session. Track Start Price serves as a visual aid to track the initial price of the Gap Session until its end price is validated, for easy visual verification of a gap's upper and lower bounds. With both options turned off, the indicator will only display the gap boxes and lines, as shown here:
Extend Boxes will draw all gaps with an indefinite extension to the right. This can get messy with a large number of boxes, which is why we have a Keep Last parameter to limit how many sessions' drawings should be stored. Any drawings that were made beyond this number of sessions in the past will automatically be deleted.
The Timeframe Limit will dictate that the indicator as a whole will only draw objects on timeframes less than or equal to this timeframe, determined by the user. In some cases this may help users avoid resolution errors which may arise from using timeframes that are too large for a given session. For example, if a user wanted to track a Gap Session of 16:15-09:30, the Timeframe Limit should be set to 15 minutes because the close price at 16:15 cannot be observed on a 30 minute chart (or greater).
ICT Silver Bullet with signals
The "ICT Silver Bullet with signals" indicator (inspired from the lectures of "The Inner Circle Trader" (ICT)),
goes a step further than the ICT Silver Bullet publication, which I made for LuxAlgo :
• uses HTF candles
• instant drawing of Support & Resistance (S/R) lines when price retraces into FVG
• NWOG - NDOG S/R lines
• signals
The Silver Bullet (SB) window which is a specific 1-hour interval where a Fair Value Gap (FVG) pattern can be formed.
When price goes back to the FVG, without breaking it, Support & Resistance lines will be drawn immediately.
There are 3 different Silver Bullet windows (New York local time):
The London Open Silver Bullet (03 AM — 04 AM ~ 03:00 — 04:00)
The AM Session Silver Bullet (10 AM — 11 AM ~ 10:00 — 11:00)
The PM Session Silver Bullet (02 PM — 03 PM ~ 14:00 — 15:00)
🔶 USAGE
This technique can visualise potential support/resistance lines, which can be used as targets.
The script contains 2 main components:
• forming of a Fair Value Gap (FVG)
• drawing support/resistance (S/R) lines
🔹 Forming of FVG
When HTF candles forms an FVG, the FVG will be drawn at the end (close) of the last HTF candle.
To make it easier to visualise the 2 HTF candles that form the FVG, you can enable
• SHOW -> HTF candles
During the SB session, when a FVG is broken, the FVG will be removed, together with its S/R lines.
The same goes if price did not retrace into FVG at the last bar of the SB session
Only exception is when "Remove broken FVG's" is disabled.
In this case a FVG can be broken, as long as price bounces back before the end of the SB session, it will remain to be visible:
🔹 Drawing support/resistance lines
S/R target lines are drawn immediately when price retraces into the FVG.
They will remain updated until they are broken (target hit)
Potential S/R lines are formed by:
• previous swings (swing settings (left-right)
• New Week Opening Gap (NWOG): close on Friday - weekly open
• New Day Opening Gap (NWOG): close previous day - current daily open
Only non-broken lines are included.
Broken =
• minimum of open and close below potential S/R line
• maximum of open and close above potential S/R line
NDOG lines are coloured fuchsia (as in the ICT lectures), NWOG are coloured white (darkmode) or black (lightmode ~ ICT lectures)
Swing line colour can be set as desired.
Here S/R includes NDOG lines:
The same situation, with "Extend Target-lines to their source" enabled:
Here with NWOG lines:
This publication contains a "Minimum Trade Framework (mTFW)", which represents the best-case expected price delivery, this is not your actual trade entry - exit range.
• 40 ticks for index futures or indices
• 15 pips for Forex pairs
The minimum distance (if applicable) can be shown by enabling "Show" - "Minimum Trade Framework" -> blue arrow from close to mTFW
Potential S/R lines needs to be higher (bullish) or lower (bearish) than mTFW.
🔶 SETTINGS
(check USAGE for deeper insights and explanation)
🔹 Only last x bars: when enabled, the script will do most of the calculations at these last x candles, potentially this can speeds calculations.
🔹 Swing settings (left-right): Sets the length, which will set the lookback period/sensitivity of the ZigZag patterns (which directs the trend and points for S/R lines)
🔹 FVG
HTF (minutes): 1-15 minutes.
• When the chart TF is equal of higher, calculations are based on current TF.
• Chart TF > 15 minutes will give the warning: "Please use a timeframe <= 15 minutes".
Remove broken FVG's: when enabled the script will remove FVG (+ associated S/R lines) immediately when FVG is broken at opposite direction.
FVG's still will be automatically removed at the end of the SB session, when there is no retrace, together with associated S/R lines,...
~ trend: Only include FVG in the same direction as the current trend
Note -> when set 'right' (swing setting) rather high ( > 3), he trend change will be delayed as well (default 'right' max 5)
Extend: extend FVG to max right side of SB session
🔹 Targets – support/resistance
Extend Target-lines to their source: extend lines to their origin
Colours (Swing S/R lines)
🔹 Show
SB session: show lines and labels of SB session (+ colour)
• Labels can be disabled separately in the 'Style' section, colour is set at the 'Inputs' section
Trend : Show trend (ZigZag, coloured ~ trend)
HTF candles: Show the 2 HTF candles that form the FVG
Minimum Trade Framework: blue arrow (if applicable)
🔶 ALERTS
There are 4 signals provided (bullish/bearish):
FVG Formed
FVG Retrace
Target reached
FVG cancelled
You can choose between dynamic alerts - only 1 alert needs to be set for all signals, or you can set specific alerts as desired.
💜 PURPLE BARS 😈
• Since TradingView has chosen to give away our precious Purple coloured Wizard Badge, bars are coloured purple 😊😉
Liquidation Estimates (Real-Time) [LuxAlgo]The Liquidation Estimates (Real-Time) experimental indicator attempts to highlight real-time long and short liquidations on all timeframes. Here with liquidations, we refer to the process of forcibly closing a trader's position in the market.
By analyzing liquidation data, traders can gauge market sentiment, identify potential support and resistance levels, identify potential trend reversals, and make informed decisions about entry and exit points.
🔶 USAGE
Liquidation refers to the process of forcibly closing a trader's position. It occurs when a trader's margin account can no longer support their open positions due to significant losses or a lack of sufficient margin to meet the maintenance requirements.
Liquidations can be categorized as either a long liquidation or a short liquidation. A long liquidation is a situation where long positions are being liquidated, while short liquidation is a situation where short positions are being liquidated.
The green bars indicate long liquidations – meaning the number of long positions liquidated in the market. Typically, long liquidations occur when there is a sudden drop in the asset price that is being traded. This is because traders who were bullish on the asset and had opened long positions on the same will now face losses since the market has moved against them.
Similarly, the red bars indicate short liquidations – meaning the number of short positions liquidated in the futures market. Short liquidations occur when there is a sudden spike in the price of the asset that is being traded. This is because traders who were bearish on the asset and had opened short positions will now face losses since the market has moved against them.
Liquidation patterns or clusters of liquidations could indicate potential trend reversals.
🔹 Dominance
Liquidation dominance (Difference) displays the difference between long and short liquidations, aiming to help identify the dominant side.
🔹 Total Liquidations
Total liquidations display the sum of long and short liquidations.
🔹 Cumulative Liquidations
Cumulative liquidations are essentially the cumulative sum of the difference between short and long liquidations aiming to confirm the trend and the strength of the trend.
🔶 DETAILS
It's important to note that liquidation data is not provided on the Trading View's platform or can not be fetched from anywhere else.
Yet we know that the liquidation data is closely tied in with trading volumes in the market and the movement in the underlying asset’s price. As a result, this script analyzes available data sources extracts the required information, and presents an educated estimate of the liquidation data.
The data presented does not reflect the actual individual quantitative value of the liquidation data, traders and analysts shall look to the changes over time and the correlation between liquidation data and price movements.
The script's output with the default option values has been visually checked/compared with the liquidation chart presented on coinglass.com.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹Liquidations Input
Mode: defines the presentation of the liquidations chart. Details are given in the tooltip of the option.
Longs Reference Price: defines the base price in calculating long liquidations.
Shorts Reference Price: defines the base price in calculating short liquidations.
🔶 RELATED SCRIPTS
Liquidation-Levels
Liquidity-Sentiment-Profile
Buyside-Sellside-Liquidity
Scoopy StacksWaffle Around Multiple
(Open, High, Low, Close) Stacks On
Pre/Post Market & (Daily, Weekly,
Monthly, Yearly) Sessions With
Meticulous Columns, Rows, Tooltips,
Colors, Custom Ideas, and Alerts.
Sessions Use Two Step Incremental Values
Default Value: (1) Shows Two Previous
(O, H, L, C); Increasing Value Swaps
Sessions With Next Two Stacks.
⬛️ KEY WORDS:
🟢 Crossover | 🔴 Crossunder
📗 High | 📕 Low
📔 Open | 📓 Close
🥇 First Idea | 🥈 Second Idea
🥉 Third Idea | 🎖️ Fourth Idea
🟥 ALERTS:
Default Option: (Per Bar)
Alerts Once Conditions Are Met
(Bar Close) Alerts When Bar Closes
Default Option: (Reg)
Alerts During Regular Market
Trading Hours, (0930-1600)
(Ext) Alerts During Extended
Market Hours, (1600-0930)
(24/7) Alerts All Day
Optional Preferences:
Regular Alerts - Stocks
Extended Alerts - Futures
24/7 Alerts - Crypto
🟧 STACKS:
Default Value: (1)
Incremental Stack Value, Increasing Value
Swaps Sessions With the Next Two Stacks
(✓) Swap Stacks?
Pre/Post Market High/Lows,
1-2 Day High/Lows, 1-2 Week High/Lows,
1-2 Month High/Lows, 1-2 Year High/Lows
( ) Swap Stacks?
Pre/Post Market Open/Close,
1-2 Day Open/Close, 1-2 Week Open/Close,
1-2 Month Open/Close, 1-2 Year Open/Close
🟨 EXAMPLES:
Default Stack:
🟢 | 📗 Pre Market High (PRE) | 4600.00
🔴 | 📕 Post Market Low (POST) | 420.00
Optional: (Open)
🟢 | 📔 Post Market Open (POST) | 4400.00
Optional: (Close)
🔴 | 📓 Pre Market Close (PRE) | 430.00
Default Stack Value: (1)
🔴 | 📗 1 Day High (1DH) | 460.00
Next Stack Value: (3)
🟢 | 📕 4 Day Low (4DL) | 420.00
Optional: (Open)
🔴 | 📔 2 Day Open (2DO) | 440.00
Optional: (Close)
🟢 | 📓 3 Day Close (3DC) | 430.00
Default Stack Value: (5)
🟢 | 📗 5 Week High (5WH) | 460.00
Next Stack Value: (7)
🔴 | 📕 8 Week Low (8WL) | 420.00
Optional: (Open)
🔴 | 📔 7 Week Open (7WO) | 4400.00
Optional: (Close)
🟢 | 📓 6 Week Close (6WC) | 430.00
Default Stack Value: (9)
🔴 | 📗 9 Month High (9MH) | 460.00
Next Stack Value: (11)
🟢 | 📕 12 Month Low (12ML) | 420.00
Optional: (Open)
🟢 | 📔 11 Month Open (11MO) | 4400.00
Optional: (Close)
🔴 | 📓 10 Month Close (10MC) | 430.00
Default Stack Value: (13)
🟢 | 📗 13 Year High (13YH) | 460.00
Next Stack Value: (15)
🟢 | 📕 16 Year Low (16YL) | 420.00
Optional: (Open)
🔴 | 📔 15 Year Open (15YO) | 4400.00
Optional: (Close)
🔴 | 📓 14 Year Close (14YC) | 430.00
🟩 TABLES:
Default Value: (1)
Moves Table Up, Down, Left, or Right
Based on Second Default Value
First Default Value: (Top Right)
Sets Table Placement, Middle Center
Allows Table To Move In All Directions
Second Default Value: (Default)
Fixed Table Position, Switching Values
Moves Direction of the Table
🟦 IDEAS:
(✓) Show Ideas?
Shows Four Ideas With Custom Texts
and Values; Ideas Are Based Around
Post-It Note Reminders with Alerts
Suggestions For Text Ideas:
Take Profit, Stop Loss, Trim, Hold,
Long, Short, Bounce Spot, Retest,
Chop, Support, Resistance, Buy, Sell
🟪 EXAMPLES:
Default Value: (5)
Shows the Custom Table Value For
Sorted Table Positions and Alerts
Default Text: (🥇)
Shown On First Table Cell and
Message Appearing On Alerts
Alert Shows: 🟢 | 🥇 | 5.00
Default Value: (10)
Shows the Custom Table Value For
Sorted Table Positions and Alerts
Default Text: (🥈)
Shown On Second Table Cell and
Message Appearing On Alerts
Alert Shows: 🔴 | 🥈 | 10.00
Default Value: (50)
Shows the Custom Table Value For
Sorted Table Positions and Alerts
Default Text: (🥉)
Shown On Third Table Cell and
Message Appearing On Alerts
Alert Shows: 🟢 | 🥉 | 50.00
Default Value: (100)
Shows the Custom Table Value For
Sorted Table Positions and Alerts
Default Text: (🎖️)
Shown On Fourth Table Cell and
Message Appearing On Alerts
Alert Shows: 🔴 | 🎖️ | 100.00
⬛️ REFERENCES:
Pre-market Highs & Lows on regular
trading hours (RTH) chart
By Twingall
Previous Day Week Highs & Lows
By Sbtnc
Screener for 40+ instruments
By QuantNomad
Daily Weekly Monthly Yearly Opens
By Meliksah55
Ribbit RangesBounce Around Multiple
(Open, High, Low, Close) Ranges
On Pre/Post Market & (Daily, Weekly,
Monthly, Yearly) Sessions With
Meticulous Lines, Labels, Tooltips,
Colors, Custom Ideas, and Alerts.
Sessions Use Two Step Incremental Values
Default Value: (1) Shows Two Previous
(O, H, L, C); Increasing Value Swaps
Sessions With Next Two Ranges.
⬛️ KEY WORDS:
🟢 Crossover | 🔴 Crossunder
📗 High | 📕 Low
📔 Open | 📓 Close
🥇 First Idea | 🥈 Second Idea
🥉 Third Idea | 🎖️ Fourth Idea
🟥 ALERTS:
Default Option: (Per Bar)
Alerts Once Conditions Are Met
(Bar Close) Alerts When Bar Closes
Default Option: (Reg)
Alerts During Regular Market
Trading Hours, (0930-1600)
(Ext) Alerts During Extended
Market Hours, (1600-0930)
(24/7) Alerts All Day
Optional Preferences:
Regular Alerts - Stocks
Extended Alerts - Futures
24/7 Alerts - Crypto
🟧 RANGES:
Default Value: (1)
Incremental Range Value, Increasing Value
Swaps Sessions With the Next Two Ranges
(✓) Swap Ranges?
Pre/Post Market High/Lows,
1-2 Day High/Lows, 1-2 Week High/Lows,
1-2 Month High/Lows, 1-2 Year High/Lows
( ) Swap Ranges?
Pre/Post Market Open/Close,
1-2 Day Open/Close, 1-2 Week Open/Close,
1-2 Month Open/Close, 1-2 Year Open/Close
🟨 EXAMPLES:
Default Range:
🟢 | 📗 Pre Market High (PRE) | 4600.00
🔴 | 📕 Post Market Low (POST) | 420.00
Optional: (Open)
🟢 | 📔 Post Market Open (POST) | 4400.00
Optional: (Close)
🔴 | 📓 Pre Market Close (PRE) | 430.00
Default Range Value: (1)
🔴 | 📗 1 Day High (1DH) | 460.00
Next Range Value: (3)
🟢 | 📕 4 Day Low (4DL) | 420.00
Optional: (Open)
🔴 | 📔 2 Day Open (2DO) | 440.00
Optional: (Close)
🟢 | 📓 3 Day Close (3DC) | 430.00
Default Range Value: (5)
🟢 | 📗 5 Week High (5WH) | 460.00
Next Range Value: (7)
🔴 | 📕 8 Week Low (8WL) | 420.00
Optional: (Open)
🔴 | 📔 7 Week Open (7WO) | 4400.00
Optional: (Close)
🟢 | 📓 6 Week Close (6WC) | 430.00
Default Range Value: (9)
🔴 | 📗 9 Month High (9MH) | 460.00
Next Range Value: (11)
🟢 | 📕 12 Month Low (12ML) | 420.00
Optional: (Open)
🟢 | 📔 11 Month Open (11MO) | 4400.00
Optional: (Close)
🔴 | 📓 10 Month Close (10MC) | 430.00
Default Range Value: (13)
🟢 | 📗 13 Year High (13YH) | 460.00
Next Range Value: (15)
🟢 | 📕 16 Year Low (16YL) | 420.00
Optional: (Open)
🔴 | 📔 15 Year Open (15YO) | 4400.00
Optional: (Close)
🔴 | 📓 14 Year Close (14YC) | 430.00
🟩 COLORS:
(✓) Swap Colors?
Text Color Is Shown Using
Background Color
( ) Swap Colors?
Background Color Is Shown
Using Text Color
🟦 IDEAS:
(✓) Show Ideas?
Plots Four Ideas With Custom Lines
and Labels; Ideas Are Based Around
Post-It Note Reminders with Alerts
Suggestions For Text Ideas:
Take Profit, Stop Loss, Trim, Hold,
Long, Short, Bounce Spot, Retest,
Chop, Support, Resistance, Buy, Sell
🟪 EXAMPLES:
Default Value: (5)
Shows the Custom Value For
Lines, Labels, and Alerts
Default Text: (🥇)
Shown On First Label and
Message Appearing On Alerts
Alert Shows: 🟢 | 🥇 | 5.00
Default Value: (10)
Shows the Custom Value For
Lines, Labels, and Alerts
Default Text: (🥈)
Shown On Second Label and
Message Appearing On Alerts
Alert Shows: 🔴 | 🥈 | 10.00
Default Value: (50)
Shows the Custom Value For
Lines, Labels, and Alerts
Default Text: (🥉)
Shown On Third Label and
Message Appearing On Alerts
Alert Shows: 🟢 | 🥉 | 50.00
Default Value: (100)
Shows the Custom Value For
Lines, Labels, and Alerts
Default Text: (🎖️)
Shown On Fourth Label and
Message Appearing On Alerts
Alert Shows: 🔴 | 🎖️ | 100.00
⬛️ REFERENCES:
Pre-market Highs & Lows on regular
trading hours (RTH) chart
By Twingall
Previous Day Week Highs & Lows
By Sbtnc
Screener for 40+ instruments
By QuantNomad
Daily Weekly Monthly Yearly Opens
By Meliksah55
OI Volume Oscillator Cross DynamicsThe OI Volume Oscillator Cross Dynamics is a custom indicator designed to analyze the relationship between Open Interest (OI) and Volume Oscillator in the cryptocurrency markets. This tool aims to assist traders in identifying potential market sentiment shifts, enabling them to make informed trading decisions based on the dynamic interplay of these key market components.
Key Components:
Open Interest (OI): This component represents the total number of outstanding derivative contracts, such as futures and options, that have not been settled. Open Interest provides insights into market participation and trader commitment, offering a broader perspective on the flow of money into the market.
Volume Oscillator: The Volume Oscillator is a momentum indicator that showcases the difference between two volume moving averages. It is instrumental in identifying bullish or bearish market trends by providing insights into buying and selling pressure in the market.
Functional Dynamics:
Crossover Analysis: The indicator identifies points where the Volume Oscillator crosses above or below the Open Interest, marking potential shifts in market sentiment. These crossover points are visually represented, making them easily identifiable for analysis.
Visual Cues: The indicator uses visual shapes and colors to enhance interpretability. Bullish crossovers are marked with green upward triangles, while bearish crossovers are represented by red downward triangles.
Customization: The indicator allows for customization of the Volume Oscillator’s sensitivity through a multiplier, enabling traders to adjust the indicator according to their trading strategy and market outlook.
Usage Guidelines:
Bullish Scenario: A crossover of the Volume Oscillator above the Open Interest is interpreted as a bullish signal, indicating potential upward price movement due to increased buying pressure or trading activity.
Bearish Scenario: A crossover of the Volume Oscillator below the Open Interest is seen as a bearish signal, suggesting potential downward price movement due to increased selling pressure or reduced trading activity.
Conclusion:
The OI Volume Oscillator Cross Dynamics indicator is designed to provide traders with a nuanced perspective of market activity through the combined analysis of Open Interest and Volume Oscillator. Its design aims to offer valuable insights, allowing for a strategic approach to trading based on the observed market dynamics.
The code is open source and utilizes Binance info but you can alter the code to meet your needs to go beyond just Bitcoin if needed.
Euclidean Distance Predictive Candles [SS]Finally releasing this, its been in the works for the past 2 weeks and has undergone many iterations.
I am not sure if I am 100% happy with it yet, but I guess its best to release and get feedback to make improvements.
So this is the Euclidean distance predictive candle indicator and what it does is exactly what it sounds like, it uses Euclidean distance to identify similar candles and then plot the candles and range that immediately proceeded like candles.
While this is using a general machine learning/data science approach (Euclidean distance), I do not employ the KNN (Nearest Neighbors) algo into this. The reason being is it simply offered no predictive advantage than isolating for the last case. I tried it, I didn't like it, the results were not improve and, at times, acutally hindered so I ditched it. Perhaps it was my approach but using some other KNN indicators, I just don't really find them all that more advantageous to simply relying on the Law of Large Numbers and collecting more data rather than less data (which we will get into later in this explanation).
So using this indicator:
There is a lot of customizability here. And the reason is, not all settings are going to work the same for all tickers. To help you narrow down your parameters, I have included various backtest results that show you how the model is performing. You see in the AMZN chart above, with the current settings, it is performing optimally, with a cumulative range pass of 99% (meaning that, of all the cases, the indicator accurately predicted the next day high OR low range 99% of the time), and the ability to predict the candle slightly over 52%.
The recommended settings, from me, are as follows:
So these are generally my recommended settings.
Euclidian Tolerance: This will determine the parameters to look for similar candles. In general, the lower the tolerance, the greater the precision. I recommend keeping it between 0.5, for tickers with larger prices (like ES1! futures or NQ1!) or 0.05 for tickers with lower TPs, like SPY or QQQ.
If the ED Tolerance is too extreme that the indicator cannot find identical setups, it will alert you:
But in general, the more precise you can get it, the better.
Anchor Type: You will see the option to anchor by "Predicted Open" or by "Previous Close". I suggest sticking with anchoring by predicted open. All this means is, it is going to anchor your range, candle, high and low targets by the predicted open price. Anchoring by previous close will anchor by the close of yesterday. Both work okay, but in general the results from anchoring to predicted open have higher pass rates and more accurately depict the candle.
Euclidean Distance Measurement Type: You can choose to measure by candle body or from high to low wicks. I haven't played around with measuring from high to low wicks all that much, because candle body tends to do the job. But remember, ED is a neutral measurement. Which means, its not going to distinguish between a red or green candle, just the formation of the candle. Thus, I tend to recommend, pragmatically, not to necessarily rely on the candle being red or green, but one the formation of the candle (where are the wicks going, are there more bearish wicks or bullish wicks) etc. Examples will follow.
Range Prediction Type: You can filter the range prediction type by last instance (in which, it will pull the previous identical candle and plot the next candle that followed it, adjusted for the current ranges) or "Average of All Cases". So this is where we need to talk a little bit about the law of large numbers.
In general, in statistics, when you have a huge amount of random data, the law of large numbers stipulates that, within this randomness should be repeated events. This is why sometimes chart patterns work, sometimes they don't. When we filter by the average of all cases, we are relying on the law of large numbers. In general, if you are getting good Backtest readings from Last Instance, then you don't need to use this function. But it provides an alternative insight into potential candle formations next day. Its not a bad idea to compare between the two and look for similarities and differences.
So now that we have covered the boring details, let's get into how to use the indicator and some examples.
So the indicator is plotting the range and candle for the next day. As such, we are not looking at the current candle being plotted, but we are looking at the previous candle (see image below for example):
The green arrow shows the prediction for Friday, along with the corresponding result. The purple arrow shows the prediction for Monday which we have yet to realize.
So remember when you are using this, you need to look at the previous candle, and not the candle that it is currently plotting with realtime data, because it is plotting for the next candle.
If you are plotting by last instance, the indicator will tell you which day it is pulling its data from if you have opted to toggle on the demographic data:
You can see the green arrow pointing to the date where it is pulling from. This data serves as the example candle with the candle proceeding this date being the anchored candle (or the predicted candle).
Price Targets and Probability:
In the chart, you can see the green arrow pointing to the green portion of the table. In this table, it will give you the current TPs. These represent the current time target price, which means, the TPs shown here are for Friday. On Monday, the table will update with the TPs for Monday, etc. If you want to view the TPs in advance, you can view them from the actual candle itself.
Below the TPs, you see a bullish 7:6. It means, in a total of 13 cases, the next candle was bullish 7 times and bearish 6 times. Where do we see the number of cases? In the demographic table as well:
Auxiliary functions
Because you are using the previous candle, if you want to avoid confusion, you can have the indicator plot the price targets over the predicted candle, to anchor your attention so to speak. Simply select "Label" in the "Show Price Targets" section, which will look like this:
You can also ask the indicator to plot the demographic data of Higher High, Low, etc. information. What this does is simply looks at all the cases and plots how many times higher highs, lows, lower lows, highs etc. were made:
This will just count all of the cases identified and plot the number of times higher highs, lows, etc. were made.
Concluding Remarks
This is a kind of complex indicator and I can appreciate it may take some getting used to.
I will try to post a tutorial video at some point next week for it, so stay tuned for that.
But this isn't designed to make your life more complicated, just to help give you insights into potential outcomes for the next day or hour or 5 minute (it can be used on all timeframes).
If you find it helpful, great! If not, that's okay, too :-).
Please be aware, this is not my forte of indicators. I am not a data scientist or programmer. My background is in Epi and we don't use these types of data science approaches, so if you have any suggestions or critiques, feel free to share them below.
Otherwise, I hope you enjoy!
Take care everyone and safe trades!
Histogram-based price zonesThis indicator provides a new approach to creating price zones that can be used as support and resistance. The approach does not use pivot points or Fibonacci levels. Instead, it uses the frequency of occurence of local maxima and minima to determine zones of interest where price often changed direction.
The algorithm is as follows:
- Gather price data from the last Lookback trading periods
- Calculate rolling minima and rolling maxima along the price points with window size Window size
- Build a histogram from the rolling extrema which are binned into different zones. The number of bins and therefore the width of a zone can be adjusted with the parameter Zone width factor
- Select only the top fullest bins. The number of bins selected for plotting can be controlled with Zone multiplier
The result are a number of boxes that appear on the chart which mark levels of interest to watch for. You can combine multiple instances of this indicator on different settings to find zones that are very relevant.
Shown as an example is the Nasdaq 100 futures ( NQ1! ) on the D timeframe with levels built from the last 100 periods with default settings. The boxes are the only output of the indicator, no signals are created.
Supertrend x4 w/ Cloud FillSuperTrend is one of the most common ATR based trailing stop indicators.
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. In this version you can change the ATR calculation method from the settings. Default method is RMA, when the alternative method is SMA.
The indicator is easy to use and gives an accurate reading about an ongoing trend. It is constructed with two parameters, namely period and multiplier.
The implementation of 4 supertrends and cloud fills allows for a better overall picture of the higher and lower timeframe trend one is trading a particular security in.
The default values used while constructing a supertrend indicator is 10 for average true range or trading period.
The key aspect what differentiates this indicator is the Multiplier. The multiplier is based on how much bigger of a range you want to capture. In our case by default, it starts with 2.636 and 3.336 for Set 1 & Set 2 respectively giving a narrow band range or Short Term (ST) timeframe visual. On the other hand, the multipliers for Set 3 & Set 4 goes up to 9.736 and 8.536 for the multiplier respectively giving a large band range or Long Term (LT) timeframe visual.
A ‘Supertrend’ indicator can be used on equities, futures or forex, or even crypto markets and also on minutes, hourly, daily, and weekly charts as well, but generally, it fails in a sideways-moving market. That's why with this implementation it enables one to stay out of the market if they choose to do so when the market is ranging.
This Supertrend indicator is modelled around trends and areas of interest versus buy and sell signals. Therefore, to better understand this indicator, one must calibrate it to one's need first, which means day trader (shorter timeframe) vs swing trader (longer time frame), and then understand how it can be utilized to improve your entries, exits, risk and position sizing.
Example:
In this chart shown above using SPX500:OANDA, 15R Time Frame, we can see that there is at any give time 1 to 4 clouds/bands of Supertrends. These four are called Set 1, Set 2, Set 3 and Set 4 in the indicator. Set's 1 & 2 are considered short term, whereas Set's 3 & 4 are considered long term. The term short and long are subjective based on one's trading style. For instance, if a person is a 1min chart trader, which would be short term, to get an idea of the trend you would have to look at a longer time frame like a 5min for instance. Similarly, in this cases the timeframes = Multiplier value that you set.
Optional Ideas:
+ Apply some basic EMA/SMA indicator script of your choice for easier understanding of the trend or to allow smooth transition to using this indicator.
+ Split the chart into two vertical layouts and applying this same script coupled with xdecow's 2 WWV candle painting script on both the layouts. Now you can use the left side of the chart to show all bearish move candles only (make the bullish candles transparent) and do the opposite for the right side of the chart. This way you enhance focus to just stick to one side at a given time.
Credits:
This indicator is a derivative of the fine work done originally by KivancOzbilgic
Here is the source to his original indicator: ).
Disclaimer:
This indicator and tip is for educational and entertainment purposes only. This not does constitute to financial advice of any sort.
[blackcat] L1 NinjaTrader ChannelNinjaTrader is a popular charting software widely used for trading analysis and execution in financial markets such as stocks, futures, and forex. It provides rich features and tools to assist traders in technical analysis, trade strategy development, and trade execution. When I discovered a built-in channel technical indicator in NinjaTrader and became interested in it but didn't understand its principles, I utilized my extensive development experience to simulate a similar version based on its characteristics, naming it "Ninja Channel" for reference only. First, I observed the characteristics and behavior of the built-in channel indicator. Pay attention to how it calculates and plots the channels, as well as its parameter settings and usage methods. This information can help me better understand the principles and functions of this indicator. Then, I attempted to simulate a similar channel indicator using my existing knowledge of technical analysis tools. I used charting tools and indicators to plot and calculate the upper and lower boundaries of the channel according to my needs and preferences. Please remember that this simulated version is for reference only; there is no guarantee that it will be exactly identical to the built-in channel indicator in NinjaTrader. The original built-in indicator may have more complex calculation methods with more precise results. Therefore, before engaging in actual trading activities, it is recommended that you carefully study and understand the principles and usage methods of the original indicator.
The Ninja Channel belongs to a type of technical indicator used for analyzing price range fluctuations and trends. It constructs an upper-lower boundary channel based on high-low points or moving average line fluctuations of prices to assist traders in determining overbought/oversold zones, trend strength/weaknesses,and price reversal points.
The main uses of Ninja Channel include:
1.Trend determination: The Ninja Channel helps traders determine price trends.When prices are located above half partofthechannel,it indicates an uptrend; when prices are located below half partofthechannel,it indicates adowntrend. Traders can formulate corresponding trading strategies based on trend analysis.
2.Overbought/oversold zones: The upper and lower boundaries of the Ninja Channel can be used to determine overbought and oversold zones.When prices touch or exceed the upper boundary of the channel, it may indicate an overbought market condition with a potential price pullback or reversal; when prices touch or fall below the lower boundary of the channel, it may indicate an oversold market condition with a potential price rebound or reversal.Traders can develop counter-trend or reversal trading strategies based on these overbought/oversold zones.
3.Dynamic support and resistance: The upper and lower boundaries of the Ninja Channel can be seen as dynamic support and resistance levels.When prices approach the upper boundary ofthechannel,theupperboundarymay act asresistance, limiting upward price movement; when prices approachthelowerboundaryofthechannel,thelowerboundarymayactassupport,limiting downward price movement.Traderscanmake trading decisions based on these dynamic supportandresistancelevels.
Of course, for this newly created indicator,some aspects are still unfamiliar.However,the learning process can refer to some common channel-type technical indicators including Bollinger Bands,Keltner Channels,and Donchian Channels. Each indicator has its unique calculation method and parameter settings.Traderscan choose suitable indicators according to their own needsandpreferences.
In summary,NinjaChannel is a type of technical indicator used for analyzingprice range fluctuationsandtrends.It helps traders determine trends,overbought/oversoldzones,anddynamic support/resistance levels in order to formulate appropriate trading strategies.However,technicalindicatorsareonly auxiliary tools.Traderstill needsto consider other factorsandsrisk managementstrategiesinorder tomakemore informedtradingdecisions.
Kaschko's Seasonal TrendThis script calculates the average price moves (using each bar's close minus the previous bar's close) for the trading days, weeks or months (depending on the timeframe it is applied to) of a number of past calendar years (up to 30) to construct a seasonal trend which is then drawn as a seasonal chart (overlay) onto the price chart. Supported are the 1D,1W,1M timeframes.
The seasonal chart is adjusted to the price chart (so that both occupy the same height on the overall chart) and it is also de-trended, which means that the seasonal chart's starting value is the same in each year and the progression during the year is adjusted so that no abrupt gap occurs between years and the highs and lows of consecutive years of the seasonal chart (if projected over more than one year) are also at the same level. Of course, this also means that the absolute value of the seasonal chart has no meaning at all.
You can configure the number of bars the seasonal chart is drawn into the future. This projection shows how price could move in the future if the market shows the same seasonal tendencies like in the past. On the daily chart, the trading week of year (TWOY), trading day of month (TDOM) and trading day of year (TDOY) are shown in the status line.
Caution is advised as seasonality is based on the past. It is not a reliable prediction of the future. But it can still be used as an additional confirmation or contradiction of an otherwise recognized possible impending trend.
I have used a virtually identical indicator for a long time in a commercial software package popular among futures traders, but have not found anything comparable here. Therefore I implemented it myself. I hope you find it useful.
Time Session Filter - MACD exampleTime Session Filter in TradingView Strategy: A Comprehensive Guide
Welcome to this educational TradingView blog where we dive deep into the functionality and utility of the time session filter in trading strategies. It's interesting to note that the time session filter is a commonly overlooked feature in Pine Script, often not integrated into overall trading strategies. Yet, when used wisely, this tool can significantly enhance your trading approach. In essence, the session filter ensures that trades are only made within a specific, user-defined time frame. By incorporating this often-neglected building block, you can make your strategy more adaptable to various market conditions and trading preferences.
What is a Time Session Filter?
A time session filter is designed to:
Select Times of the Day to Trade: The filter allows you to choose specific hours during the day in which trades are allowed to be excecuted.
Toggle Days to Trade: You can decide which days of the week you want to trade, giving you the flexibility to avoid days that are historically not profitable for your strategy.
Close Trade When Session Ends: The filter can automatically close any open trade once the specified time session concludes, reducing the risk associated with holding positions outside your chosen time frame.
The user interface is streamlined, taking minimal space for the input sections, making it convenient to integrate with other indicators in your overall strategy script. In addition the script colors the background of the chart green when the timesession filter is on and makes the background red when the filter doesn't allow any trades. This helps you to visualise the selected timeframes in relation to chart patterns.
Best Practices for Time Selection
From my personal trading experience I share some input settings you can try to play around with:
Stocks: Trading stocks sometimes yield better results if you only trade in the mornings until lunchtime. This is the period when markets are generally more active, and traders are keenly participating.
Cryptocurrencies: For cryptocurrencies, it sometimes makes sense to avoid trading on Fridays, a day when futures contracts often expire. Various other market-moving events also typically occur on Fridays.
Random Selection: Interestingly, sometimes choosing a random selection of times and days can improve the script's performance, adding an element of unpredictability that might outperform more systematic approaches.
Strategy Overview
This strategy script incorporates various elements, including risk position size and MACD indicator, to provide a comprehensive trading strategy. For a detailed explanation of risk position sizing, please refer to this article:
For a complete understanding of the MACD indicator utilized, visit the following explanation:
Additionally, for high time frame trend filters, consult this resource for more info:
Educational Purposes and Risks
Please note that this script is for educational purposes and serves merely as an example of how to incorporate a time session filter into a trading strategy for pinescript. It is a simplified strategy without a fixed stop-loss, which can result in higher exposure to significant losses. The time session filter can be a powerful addition to your trading strategy, providing you with the tools to tailor your approach according to time-specific market conditions. By understanding its functionalities and best practices, you can make more informed trading decisions, but always remember that trading carries inherent risks.
Happy trading!
Options Scalping NiftyThis Indicator is Owned by Team Option Scalping.
Top Right Corner TABLE ( 6 , 10 )
When you are trading in Nifty futures , we have to check major Stocks which is contributing to Nifty move. So we have given that in this tab.
This table consist of 5 Major Indices and 5 Stocks :
• BankNifty
• Nifty
•FinNifty
• Dow
• VIX
• RIL
• HDFCBANK
• INFY
• TCS
• ICICBANK
And following data of each stock has been provided:
• LTP
• Daily Change
• Daily Percentage Change
• 15-minute Change Percentage
• 1-Hour Change Percentage
This Table is completely different from Our other publish indicator named "Options Scalping V2". That consist of banking stocks data, and this consist of Nifty Stocks data. Data set are same but constituents are different.
Are stop orders making money? [yohtza]Who is this indicator for and what does it do?
This is an indicator that helps price action traders in determining the strength of the trend and potential counter trend traps that present themselves during the move. It highlights the background of the bar at which counter trend traders that trade with stop orders (breakout entries) were able to achieve the same amount of reward as was their risk for that trade.
What is it based on?
When there is a strong trend in effect, the counter trend traders are unable to buy above(in bear trend) or sell below (in bull trend) a bar with a stop order and get an equal reward for the risk they are taking.
The first time counter trend traders are able to buy and make money in bear or sell and make money in bull it is a warning sign that market is likely transitioning into trading range phase of the market cycle.
Another application of the indicator is for discovering potential traps. If market comes very close to the take profit level of counter trend traders and reverses, they will usually try to get out with as much profit or as small of a loss as possible and that will often create a fast move (also called giving up) and a good with trend entry.
How does it work?
The indicator is using exponential moving average as a filter for when the market is trending and then scans for signals where counter trend traders enter. Next it looks if the stoploss or profit target was hit for that trade. If the profit target was hit it draws a box around the bar on which the traders entered, the box height is based on stoploss and profit target price levels.
Indicator inputs
- Scan for doji signal bars
When this option is selected, bars that have small bodies (less than 50% of their height) are also included as bars on which counter traders enter. If the option is not selected it only looks for bull trend bars (bodies are greater than 50% of their height) below the moving average and bear trend bars above the moving average.
- Border and background colors and border style
It is possible to select different colors and chose between solid, dashed and dotted borders
- Ema period
Default setting is 20 bar exponential moving average but feel free to use which you prefer
- Tick value
This is the value of the minimal movement of the chart you are trading on. For example for S&P 500 E-mini futures the value is 0.25 and that is the default setting.
Strategy:Reversal-CatcherWhat
This is a plain and vanilla reversal based strategy for intraday (15m) timeframe on Futures prices of the assets.
Now what all it comprises of?
It finds out the dynamic support & resistance from Bollinger Band (20 period, 1.5 std dev).
It finds out the potential divergence of price deviation from 5 period exponential moving average (EMA).
If the previous candle (N-1) shows a divergence it confirms the reversal by checking the present candle (N) to be closed inside the Bollinger Band.
It confirms the momentum by checking RSI shows a crossover/crossunder to oversold (30) / overbought (70) region.
It also confirms whether the trend is up (then only reversal trade to short) or down (then only reversal trade to long). The trend is checked with EMA-21 and EMA-50.
Re-affirmation Condition : It re-affirms the position of two successive candles called as `hhLLong` and `hhLLShort` in the script.
Why
In Indian context, retail participants are pre-dominantly (yes- 80% of Indian daily volume) Options buyers mainly in weekly indices (Nifty, BankNifty, FinNifty, CNXMidcap, Sensex, Bankx .. well everyday is expiry now in India, except -- Thank God -- Saturday & Sunday).
And in Index Options the momentum plays a big role.
If one can catch a good reversal point the potential of high Risk-to-Reward trade (hence earn handsomely) is very likely (please note: there is no holy grail in trading. Nothing works 100%).
So this is the attempt to catch a reversal.
Re-affirmation of Reversal
hhLLong : It's a reversal point after an uptrend. It checks the relative positioning of current candle compared to that of previous candle. [The details are in the script. Check for variable hhLLong in script.
hhLLShort : It's a reversal point after a downtrend. It checks the relative positioning of current candle compared to that of previous candle. [The details are in the script. Check for variable hhLLShort in script.
Unique-ness
What's unique in it? Why we decided to publicly share this:
Already given the context of The Great Indian Options Buyers community. It should be helpful to them, we believe.
It takes Very Less Number of Trades with High Accuracy . Please check the result in NSE:NIFTY1! in 15m timeframe. 71% accuracy with roughly a trade in a month.
There is no point giving brokers' the brokerages taking 10 trades a day and ending not-so-good EoD. Better lets take less trades with better result possibility. .
Mention
There are many people uses this variation of Bolling Band, 5EMA
Many people use RSI, trends and relative positioning of candles.
--> We are grateful to all of them. It's really difficult to mention everyone's name. But all people somehow influence the thought process. Thanks for all of them.
Statutory Disclaimer
There is no silver bullet / holy grail in trading. Nothing works 100% time. One has to be careful about the loss (s)he can bear in case of the trade goes against.
We, as the author of this script, is not responsible for any trading or position decision one is taken based on the outcome of this.
It is our sole discretion to change, add, delete the portion or withdraw the whole script without any prior notice or intimation.
In Indian Context : We are not SEBI registered, will never be SEBI registered.
Liquidity Heatmap [BigBeluga]The Liquidity Heatmap is an indicator designed to spot possible resting liquidity or potential stop loss using volume or Open interest.
The Open interest is the total number of outstanding derivative contracts for an asset—such as options or futures—that have not been settled. Open interest keeps track of every open position in a particular contract rather than tracking the total volume traded.
The Volume is the total quantity of shares or contracts traded for the current timeframe.
🔶 HOW IT WORKS
Based on the user choice between Volume or OI, the idea is the same for both.
On each candle, we add the data (volume or OI) below or above (long or short) that should be the hypothetical liquidation levels; More color of the liquidity level = more reaction when the price goes through it.
Gradient color is calculated between an average of 2 points that the user can select. For example: 500, and the script will take the average of the highest data between 500 and 250 (half of the user's choice), and the gradient will be based on that.
If we take volume as an example, a big volume spike will mean a lot of long or short activity in that candle. A liquidity level will be displayed below/above the set leverage (4.5 = 20x leverage as an example) so when the price revisits that zone, all the 20x leverage should be liquidated.
Huge volume = a lot of activity
Huge OI = a lot of positions opened
More volume / OI will result in a stronger color that will generate a stronger reaction.
🔶 ROUTE
Here's an example of a route for long liquidity:
Enable the filter = consider only green candles.
Set the leverage to 4.5 (20x).
Choose Data = Volume.
Process:
A green candle is formed.
A liquidity level is established.
The level is placed below to simulate the 20x leverage.
Color is applied, considering the average volume within the chosen area.
Route completed.
🔶 FEATURE
Possibility to change the color of both long and short liquidity
Manual opacity value
Manual opacity average
Leverage
Autopilot - set a good average automatically of the opacity value
Enable both long or short liquidity visualization
Filtering - grab only red/green candle of the corresponding side or grab every candle
Data - nzVolume - Volume - nzOI - OI
🔶 TIPS
Since the limit of the line is 500, it's best to plot 2 scripts: one with only long and another with only short.
🔶 CONCLUSION
The liquidity levels are an interesting way to think about possible levels, and those are not real levels.
Globex High/LowThis indicator marks the opening, high, and low of the Globex range in futures (6 PM ET - 9:30 AM ET). In addition, it also will calculate and plot the 1st and 2nd standard deviations above and below the globex range. These levels can be used as support and resistance in the New York session (9:30 AM ET - 4 PM ET). Price often respects the globex range to some degree during regular trading hours. This can be modified for any time range you prefer.
SHAHRAM - Money Management This indiator will help you to calculate your position size for managing the risk calculator.
Features :
Click-able Price Entry & SL & TP
calculations works on Forex, CFD, Stock, Futures and Crypto markets.
Usage:
Step 1: Set your entry price
Step 2: Set your stop loss
Step 3: Set your Target
Step 4: Choose the symbol, forex will be automatically detected
Step 5: Fill in your balance and set your risk settings
Parameters
- Set symbol: Forex (auto detection), US100, US30, BTC, XAUUSD, NGAS, XBRUSD, XTIUSD, AUS200, US500, OIL, GOLD, SILVER,...
- Account balance
- Risk in %
- Contract size
- Levels: Stop loss, Entry, Target
- Display settings for the Trading Panel
Trading panel
- Show Live P/L
- Show Risk to reward
- Show lot size
- Show risk in %
- Show account balance
- Show money at risk (no commissions included)
You need change the lot size in Account Setting of this indicator For Gold,Oil... and Other Symbol like as different pip value.
Simply choose your entry level and stop level than target price on the chart and the indicator will calculate your invest size and other documents. You can change your account risk and base currency units in the settings along with changing the scaling of the calculation to adjust the results with the lot sizing units of your broker. This allows the calculator to be used with CFDs, forex, Gold, etc.. Hope it helps in your trading it has been the single most useful tool in my trading as it has helped me always keep my risk locked up and on point that is why I released it.
Copyright BY : @shahramlife
indiator will help you to calculate your position size for managing the risk calculator.
Price on chart Binance spot USDT and Bybit perpetual USDT.P.A simple indicator showing the current time candles from the SPOT market on Binance and Futures from Bybit.
Crunchster's Turtle and Trend SystemThis is a combination of two popular systematic trading strategies - in the trend following category.
The strategy is designed for use on the daily timeframe. Specific features of this system are outlined below:
1. Two different strategies to choose from, "Trend" which is a volatility adjusted Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crossover strategy and "Breakout" which is my adaptation of the well documented "Turtle Strategy"
2. Uses advanced position sizing and risk management, usually reserved for institutional portfolio management, a proven technique utilised by Commodity Trading Advisors and Managed Futures funds (Algo/Quant funds).
"Trend" uses a fast (user defined) and slow EMA crossover, where the slow length is 5 times the fast length. The resulting signal is adjusted for the volatility of returns over a 252 lookback period, which helps to normalise the signal across different assets. The system goes long or short when it detects a new trend has formed.
"Break" uses the highest high or lowest low over a user defined lookback period to define the recent range. This is converted into a price normalised signal to allow the system to detect when a breakout occurs. The system goes long or short based off the breakout signal.
Position sizing is based on recent price volatility and the user defined annualised risk target. In essence positions are inverse volatility weighted, so larger size is opened during lower volatility and smaller size during increased volatility. Recent volatility is calculated as the standard deviation of returns with 14 period lookback, then extrapolated into an annualised volatility of expected returns. Annualised recent volatility is then referenced to the risk target set by the user to adjust the position size. The default settings are a conservative 15% annual risk target/volatility. Initial capital should be set as the maximum risk capital per trade (ie if $10,000 total capital and 10% risk per trade, initial capital should be $1000). Maximum leverage per position can be set independently, to facilitate hitting risk targets that are greater than the natural volatility of the traded asset, and to accommodate low volatility conditions, whilst maintaining overall risk controls. Direction (long or short) is at the user's discretion.
Hard stop losses are based on multiples of the average true range of recent price (14 period lookback), user configurable.
Strategy trailing stops are based off recent highest highs or lowest lows (user defined lookback) to cut the position if the trend or momentum is lost.
Although both strategies can be run simultaneously, optimal diversification will be achieved if ran separately/individually to avoid masking of entries.
CCI+EMA Strategy with Percentage or ATR TP/SL [Alifer]This is a momentum strategy based on the Commodity Channel Index (CCI), with the aim of entering long trades in oversold conditions and short trades in overbought conditions.
Optionally, you can enable an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to only allow trading in the direction of the larger trend. Please note that the strategy will not plot the EMA. If you want, for visual confirmation, you can add to the chart an Exponential Moving Average as a second indicator, with the same settings used in the strategy’s built-in EMA.
The strategy also allows you to set internal Stop Loss and Take Profit levels, with the option to choose between Percentage-based TP/SL or ATR-based TP/SL.
The strategy can be adapted to multiple assets and timeframes:
Pick an asset and a timeframe
Zoom back as far as possible to identify meaningful positive and negative peaks of the CCI
Set Overbought and Oversold at a rough average of the peaks you identified
Adjust TP/SL according to your risk management strategy
Like the strategy? Give it a boost!
Have any questions? Leave a comment or drop me a message.
CAUTIONARY WARNING
Please note that this is a complex trading strategy that involves several inputs and conditions. Before using it in live trading, it is highly recommended to thoroughly test it on historical data and use risk management techniques to safeguard your capital. After backtesting, it's also highly recommended to perform a first live test with a small amount. Additionally, it's essential to have a good understanding of the strategy's behavior and potential risks. Only risk what you can afford to lose .
USED INDICATORS
1 — COMMODITY CHANNEL INDEX (CCI)
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is a technical analysis indicator used to measure the momentum of an asset. It was developed by Donald Lambert and first published in Commodities magazine (now Futures) in 1980. Despite its name, the CCI can be used in any market and is not just for commodities. The CCI compares current price to average price over a specific time period. The indicator fluctuates above or below zero, moving into positive or negative territory. While most values, approximately 75%, fall between -100 and +100, about 25% of the values fall outside this range, indicating a lot of weakness or strength in the price movement.
The CCI was originally developed to spot long-term trend changes but has been adapted by traders for use on all markets or timeframes. Trading with multiple timeframes provides more buy or sell signals for active traders. Traders often use the CCI on the longer-term chart to establish the dominant trend and on the shorter-term chart to isolate pullbacks and generate trade signals.
CCI is calculated with the following formula:
(Typical Price - Simple Moving Average) / (0.015 x Mean Deviation)
Some trading strategies based on CCI can produce multiple false signals or losing trades when conditions turn choppy. Implementing a stop-loss strategy can help cap risk, and testing the CCI strategy for profitability on your market and timeframe is a worthy first step before initiating trades.
2 — AVERAGE TRUE RANGE (ATR)
The Average True Range (ATR) is a technical analysis indicator that measures market volatility by calculating the average range of price movements in a financial asset over a specific period of time. The ATR was developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr. and introduced in his book “New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems” in 1978.
The ATR is calculated by taking the average of the true range over a specified period. The true range is the greatest of the following:
The difference between the current high and the current low.
The difference between the previous close and the current high.
The difference between the previous close and the current low.
The ATR can be used to set stop-loss orders. One way to use ATR for stop-loss orders is to multiply the ATR by a factor (such as 2 or 3) and subtract it from the entry price for long positions or add it to the entry price for short positions. This can help traders set stop-loss orders that are more adaptive to market volatility.
3 — EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGE (EMA)
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average (MA) that places a greater weight and significance on the most recent data points.
The EMA is calculated by taking the average of the true range over a specified period. The true range is the greatest of the following:
The difference between the current high and the current low.
The difference between the previous close and the current high.
The difference between the previous close and the current low.
The EMA can be used by traders to produce buy and sell signals based on crossovers and divergences from the historical average. Traders often use several different EMA lengths, such as 10-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages.
The formula for calculating EMA is as follows:
Compute the Simple Moving Average (SMA).
Calculate the multiplier for weighting the EMA.
Calculate the current EMA using the following formula:
EMA = Closing price x multiplier + EMA (previous day) x (1-multiplier)
STRATEGY EXPLANATION
1 — INPUTS AND PARAMETERS
The strategy uses the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) with additional options for an Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL).
length : The period length for the CCI calculation.
overbought : The overbought level for the CCI. When CCI crosses above this level, it may signal a potential short entry.
oversold : The oversold level for the CCI. When CCI crosses below this level, it may signal a potential long entry.
useEMA : A boolean input to enable or disable the use of Exponential Moving Average (EMA) as a filter for long and short entries.
emaLength : The period length for the EMA if it is used.
2 — CCI CALCULATION
The CCI indicator is calculated using the following formula:
(src - ma) / (0.015 * ta.dev(src, length))
src is the typical price (average of high, low, and close) and ma is the Simple Moving Average (SMA) of src over the specified length.
3 — EMA CALCULATION
If the useEMA option is enabled, an EMA is calculated with the given emaLength .
4 — TAKE PROFIT AND STOP LOSS METHODS
The strategy offers two methods for TP and SL calculations: percentage-based and ATR-based.
tpSlMethod_percentage : A boolean input to choose the percentage-based method.
tpSlMethod_atr : A boolean input to choose the ATR-based method.
5 — PERCENTAGE-BASED TP AND SL
If tpSlMethod_percentage is chosen, the strategy calculates the TP and SL levels based on a percentage of the average entry price.
tp_percentage : The percentage value for Take Profit.
sl_percentage : The percentage value for Stop Loss.
6 — ATR-BASED TP AND SL
If tpSlMethod_atr is chosen, the strategy calculates the TP and SL levels based on Average True Range (ATR).
atrLength : The period length for the ATR calculation.
atrMultiplier : A multiplier applied to the ATR to set the SL level.
riskRewardRatio : The risk-reward ratio used to calculate the TP level.
7 — ENTRY CONDITIONS
The strategy defines two conditions for entering long and short positions based on CCI and, optionally, EMA.
Long Entry: CCI crosses below the oversold level, and if useEMA is enabled, the closing price should be above the EMA.
Short Entry: CCI crosses above the overbought level, and if useEMA is enabled, the closing price should be below the EMA.
8 — TP AND SL LEVELS
The strategy calculates the TP and SL levels based on the chosen method and updates them dynamically.
For the percentage-based method, the TP and SL levels are calculated as a percentage of the average entry price.
For the ATR-based method, the TP and SL levels are calculated using the ATR value and the specified multipliers.
9 — EXIT CONDITIONS
The strategy defines exit conditions for both long and short positions.
If there is a long position, it will be closed either at TP or SL levels based on the chosen method.
If there is a short position, it will be closed either at TP or SL levels based on the chosen method.
Additionally, positions will be closed if CCI crosses back above oversold in long positions or below overbought in short positions.
10 — PLOTTING
The script plots the CCI line along with overbought and oversold levels as horizontal lines.
The CCI line is colored red when above the overbought level, green when below the oversold level, and white otherwise.
The shaded region between the overbought and oversold levels is plotted as well.
Crunchster's Normalised Trend StrategyThis is a unique rules-based, systematic trading strategy - in the trend following category.
The strategy is designed for use on the daily timeframe. Specific features of this strategy are outlined below:
1. Uses a transformed price series (which I dub "real price") to generate signals rather than ticker price
2. Uses advanced position sizing and risk management, usually reserved for institutional portfolio management, a proven technique utilised by Commodity Trading Advisors and Managed Futures funds (Algo/Quant funds).
"Real Price" is a transformed price series derived from the sum of volatility adjusted (daily) returns, over the entire price series of an asset. The lookback period of the volatility adjustment is user defined.
A Hull moving average (HMA) is derived from the real price, and used as the main trend determinant. The lookback period of the HMA is user defined. Default lookback of 100 periods (days) ensures a responsive trend indicator, but without leading to over-trading from frequent crossovers (average holding period 14 days on BTC).
The core strategy is very simple, go long when real price crosses over HMA, go short when real price crosses under HMA. New position triggers automatically close open positions in the counter direction.
Position sizing is based on recent price volatility and the user defined annualised risk target. In essence positions are inverse volatility weighted, so larger size is opened during lower volatility and smaller size during increased volatility. Recent volatility is calculated as the standard deviation of returns with 14 period lookback, then extrapolated into an annualised volatility of expected returns. Annualised recent volatility is then referenced to the risk target set by the user to adjust the position size. The default settings are a very conservative 10% annual risk target. Initial capital should be set as the maximum risk capital per trade (ie if $10,000 total capital and 10% risk per trade, initial capital should be $1000). Maximum leverage per position can be set independently, to facilitate hitting risk targets that are greater than the natural volatility of the traded asset, and to accommodate low volatility conditions, whilst maintaining overall risk controls.
Hard stop losses are based on multiples of the average true range of recent price (14 period lookback), user configurable.
Please leave comments regarding further features or refinements. I plan to develop further adding alternative moving average selections and the ability to select/deselect long and short strategies.
3 hours ago
Release Notes:
Added option to compound profits versus using a fixed position capital. Be mindful that compounding will potentially increase profits, but also increase drawdowns and overall risk. Leverage will still cap overall exposure with compounding and therefore provides an additional layer of risk control.
2 hours ago
Release Notes:
Added function to toggle long/short strategy legs on and off.
