Price relation viewer - add percent change of two symbols (BETA)This script is very much beta!
This is a simple script to visualize how two symbols move in relation to each other. For example if the underlying symbol is a 2x Gold ETF (meaning the ticker moves at 2x the spot price of gold---if gold goes up 3% this ticker should go up 6%) and the comparison symbol is an 2x inverse gold ETF (at gold up 3% this should move down 6%). If these ETFs were 100% accurate at tracking the price of gold then this tool would report a value of zero at all times.
Day 1
Ticker - $10
Comparison - $10
Day 2
Ticker - $12
Comp - $11
This tool value - |20%| + -|10%| = 10%
It uses a short simple moving average to smooth things out a bit (see inputs). It is important to keep your axis scale in mind when using this! Two symbols that are always near zero mean they are offsetting each other very well but the value displayed might range from 0 to 0.005, but the graphed area can make it look extreme if autoscaled.
This is a tool with very specific uses : comparing how one digital currency moves in relation to bitcoin's price, comparing how gold moves in relation to silver, etc.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "GOLD"
Line Break StrategyLine Break Strategy
Entry rule:
Long on a bullish line and short on a bearish line.
Backtest:
Profit factors are shown below for three-line break.
Daily time frame, FXCM broker.
EURUSD: 1.267, USDJPY: 1.039, GBPUSD: -0.816, AUDUSD: -0.959
S&P500: -0.783, Nikkei225: 1.099
CrudeOil: 1.03, Gold: 1.196
BTCUSD: -0.883
Reference:
Steve Nison, Beyond Candlesticks - New Japanese Charting Techniques Revealed
Note:
This strategy doesn't work properly on the linebreak chart.
A good example is shown below. The entry prices are not always correct.
If you have signal, but the next candle moves in the opposite direction, the entry price is drawn at the Open of the new candle instead of the Close of the previous candle.
The results of backtest are unreliable due to this reason.
Earnings MultiplesMultiplies Quarterly Earnings x 13, x 21, x 34, x 55, x 89, x 144, x 233.
Yes its a fibonacci sequence.
"Goldilocks zone" seems to be in the 55x - 89x area.
Also when companies become profitable, the indicator looks like a "starburst".
EMA & SMA with FRACTAL DEVIATION BANDS by @XeL_ArjonaEMA & SMA with FRACTAL DEVIATION BANDS
Ver. 1.0.25.08.2015
By Ricardo M Arjona @XeL_Arjona
DISCLAIMER:
DISCLAIMER:
The Following indicator/code IS NOT intended to be a formal investment advice or recommendation by the author, nor should be construed as such. Users will be fully responsible by their use regarding their own trading vehicles/assets. The embedded code and ideas within this work are FREELY AND PUBLICLY available on the Web for NON LUCRATIVE ACTIVITIES and must remain as is.
WHAT IS THIS?
This is the adaptation of the FRACTAL DEVIATION BANDS to be used on Traditional Moving Averages (Simple & Exponential).
ALL NEW IDEAS OR MODIFICATIONS to these indicator(s) are Welcome in favor to deploy a better and more accurate readings. I will be very glad to be notified at Twitter or TradingVew accounts at: @XeL_Arjona
Any important addition to this work MUST REMAIN PUBLIC by means of CreativeCommons CC & TradingView.
2015
Acc/Dist. Cloud with Fractal Deviation Bands by @XeL_ArjonaACCUMULATION / DISTRIBUTION CLOUD with MORPHIC DEVIATION BANDS
Ver. 2.0.beta.23:08:2015
by Ricardo M. Arjona @XeL_Arjona
DISCLAIMER
The Following indicator/code IS NOT intended to be a formal investment advice or recommendation by the author, nor should be construed as such. Users will be fully responsible by their use regarding their own trading vehicles/assets.
The embedded code and ideas within this work are FREELY AND PUBLICLY available on the Web for NON LUCRATIVE ACTIVITIES and must remain as is.
Pine Script code MOD's and adaptations by @XeL_Arjona with special mention in regard of:
Buy (Bull) and Sell (Bear) "Power Balance Algorithm by Vadim Gimelfarb published at Stocks & Commodities V. 21:10 (68-72).
Custom Weighting Coefficient for Exponential Moving Average (nEMA) adaptation work by @XeL_Arjona with contribution help from @RicardoSantos at TradingView @pinescript chat room.
Morphic Numbers (PHI & Plastic) Pine Script adaptation from it's algebraic generation formulas by @XeL_Arjona
Fractal Deviation Bands idea by @XeL_Arjona
CHANGE LOG:
ACCUMULATION / DISTRIBUTION CLOUD: I decided to change it's name from the Buy to Sell Pressure. The code is essentially the same as older versions and they are the center core (VORTEX?) of all derived New stuff which are:
MORPHIC NUMBERS: The "Golden Ratio" expressed by the result of the constant "PHI" and the newer and same in characteristics "Plastic Number" expressed as "PN". For more information about this regard take a look at: HERE!
CUSTOM(K) EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGE: Some code has cleaned from last version to include as custom function the nEMA , which use an additional input (K) to customise the way the "exponentially" is weighted from the custom array. For the purpose of this indicator, I implement a volatility algorithm using the Average True Range of last 9 periods multiplied by the morphic number used in the fractal study. (Golden Ratio as default) The result is very similar in response to classic EMA but tend to accelerate or decelerate much more responsive with wider bars presented in trending average.
FRACTAL DEVIATION BANDS: The main idea is based on the so useful Standard Deviation process to create Bands in favor of a multiplier (As John Bollinger used in it's own bands) from a custom array, in which for this case is the "Volume Pressure Moving Average" as the main Vortex for the "Fractallitly", so then apply as many "Child bands" using the older one as the new calculation array using the same morphic constant as multiplier (Like Fibonacci but with other approach rather than %ratios). Results are AWSOME! Market tend to accelerate or decelerate their Trend in favor of a Fractal approach. This bands try to catch them, so please experiment and feedback me your own observations.
EXTERNAL TICKER FOR VOLUME DATA: I Added a way to input volume data for this kind of study from external tickers. This is just a quicky-hack given that currently TradingView is not adding Volume to their Indexes so; maybe this is temporary by now. It seems that this part of the code is conflicting with intraday timeframes, so You are advised.
This CODE is versioned as BETA FOR TESTING PROPOSES. By now TradingView Admins are changing lot's of things internally, so maybe this could conflict with correct rendering of this study with special tickers or timeframes. I will try to code by itself just the core parts of this study in order to use them at discretion in other areas. ALL NEW IDEAS OR MODIFICATIONS to these indicator(s) are Welcome in favor to deploy a better and more accurate readings. I will be very glad to be notified at Twitter or TradingView accounts at: @XeL_Arjona
AMIT'S EMA'SIndicator Name:** AMIT'S EMA'S
**📝 Description:**
This all-in-one TradingView indicator is designed for serious traders who want clear trend direction, powerful candlestick signals, and session-based analysis—all in one screen.
### 🔹 Features:
#### 1. **Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):**
* Tracks **EMA 21, 50, 100, and 200** to identify short-, medium-, and long-term trends.
* Color-coded for quick recognition of crossovers and momentum shifts.
* Helps spot golden/death crosses and trend alignment zones.
#### 2. **Custom Candlestick Patterns:**
* **Big Bar Up:** Highlights large bullish candles indicating potential breakouts or strong buying interest.
* **Big Bar Down:** Marks large bearish candles signaling breakdowns or heavy selling pressure.
#### 3. **Reversal Candlestick Patterns:**
* **3 Line Strike Up:** A strong bullish reversal signal after three consecutive down candles, followed by a large bullish candle engulfing them.
* **3 Line Strike Down:** A strong bearish reversal signal after three up candles, followed by a large bearish engulfing candle.
* Patterns are plotted with icons/labels for easy spotting.
#### 4. **Session Timings with Background Highlight:**
* Visual background shading to mark major **trading sessions**:
* Asian
* London
* New York
* Helps identify volatility zones and session overlap opportunities.
#### 5. **Trend Cloud:**
* A dynamic cloud formed using a combination of EMAs or custom logic to represent **overall trend bias**.
* Green cloud = bullish trend.
* Red cloud = bearish trend.
* Acts as a visual filter to avoid counter-trend trades.
---
**🛠️ Customization Options:**
* Enable/disable specific EMAs or patterns.
* Adjustable candle size threshold for "Big Bar" detection.
* Session times and cloud smoothing periods can be tailored.
**📈 Best For:**
* Intraday traders
* Swing traders
* Trend followers
* Price action traders
---
EU Session Only StrategyThe name of the strategy is the EU session only, but you choose which time is important for you to follow, it can also be the beginning of the US session, a few hours after the news (2 hours after the US open level) or based on the daily open level.
📌 Indicator Description: "EU Session Only Strategy"
This TradingView indicator, written in Pine Script version 6, represents a simple yet effective intraday trading strategy focused exclusively on the European trading session.
🎯 Purpose and Use
The goal of this strategy is to:
Automatically identify the European session open price for the current trading day.
Trade only during a defined intraday time window (e.g., between 08:00 and 18:00 UTC).
Enter a trade only if the price moves a certain distance (in pips) away from the EU open level.
Limit the number of trades per day to avoid overtrading.
Automatically close all open positions at the end of the day to minimize overnight risk.
⚙️ How It Works
🔹 1. EU Open Level
When the European session opens (e.g., 09:00 UTC), the strategy records the opening price at that moment (eu_open_price).
This level is displayed as a red horizontal line on the chart.
🔹 2. Entry Conditions
The strategy checks if the current price:
Is above the EU open level by at least a defined number of pips → Buy signal.
Is below the EU open level by at least a defined number of pips → Sell signal.
Trading is allowed only within the specified time range (e.g., 08:00 to 18:00 UTC).
A maximum number of trades per day is enforced (e.g., 2 trades max).
🔹 3. Exit Conditions
If an opposite signal appears during the day, the strategy automatically closes the current position.
At the start of each new day, all open positions are closed, regardless of direction or profit.
✅ Advantages
A clear and efficient system based on price reaction around a key daily level.
Suitable for automated backtesting and optimization on TradingView.
Reduces risk with daily trade limits and end-of-day auto-closing.
Ideal for forex pairs that show volatility during the European session (e.g.,GOLD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, etc.).
Breakout Retest MTF Strategy + Demand ZonesTrendline breakout
Retest
Confirmation candles
CONFIRMATION BY MACD RSI VOLUME
demand zone , order blocks and fibo golden zones
STOP LOSS USING ATR
XAU/USD Custom Levels
XAU/USD Dynamic Support & Resistance Levels
This indicator automatically draws horizontal support and resistance levels for Gold (XAU/USD) based on the current market price, eliminating the need for manual price range adjustments.
**Key Features:**
- **Dynamic Price Range**: Automatically calculates levels above and below the current price using a customizable percentage range (default 5%)
- **Multi-Tier Level System**: Four distinct level types with different visual styling:
- Major Levels (100s) - Blue, thick lines
- Sub Levels (50s) - Red, medium lines
- Sub-Sub Levels (25s) - Yellow, thin lines
- Mini Levels (12.5s) - Gray, dotted lines
- **Fully Customizable**: Adjust range percentage, step size, colors, and line history through input settings
- **Universal Compatibility**: Works at any gold price level - whether $1800, $2500, $3300 or beyond
**How It Works:**
The script centers the level grid around the current closing price and extends lines from a specified number of bars back to the right edge of the chart. The hierarchical level system helps identify key psychological price points and potential support/resistance zones commonly used in gold trading.
**Settings:**
- Price Range %: Control how far above/below current price to draw levels (1-20%)
- Level Step Size: Adjust spacing between levels (1.0-50.0)
- Bars Back: Set how far back in history to start the lines
- Color Customization: Personalize colors for each level type
Perfect for gold traders who need clean, automatically-updating support and resistance levels without manual configuration.
Futures Margin Lookup TableThis script applies a table to the upper right corner of the screen, which provides the intraday and overnight margin requirements of the currently selected symbol.
In this indicator the user must provide the broker data in the form of specifically formatted text blocks. The data for which should be found on the broker website.
The purpose for it's creation is due to the non-standard way each individual broker may price their margins and lack of information within TradingView when connected to some (maybe all) brokers, including when paper trading, as the flat percentage rule is not accurate.
An example of information for NinjaTrader could look like this
MES;Micro S&P;$50;$2406
ES;E-Mini S&P;$500;$24,053
GC;Gold;$500;$16500
NQ;E-Mini Nasdaq;$1,000;$34,810
FDAX;Dax Index;€2,000;€44,311
Each symbol begins a new line, and the values on that line are separated by semicolons (;)
Each line consists of the following...
SYMBOL : Search string used to match to the beginning of the current chart symbol.
NAME: Human readable name
INTRA: Intraday trading margin requirement per contract
OVERNIGHT: Overnight trading margin requirement per contract
The script simply finds a matching line within your provided information using the current chart symbol.
So for example the continuous chart for NQ1! would match to the user specified line starting with NQ... as would the individual contract dates such as NQM2025, NQK2025, etc.
NOTES:
There is a possibility that symbols with similar starting characters could match.
If this is the case put the longer symbol higher in the list.
There is also a line / character limit to the text input fields within pinescript
Ensure the text you paste into them is not truncated.
If so there are 3 input fields for just this purpose.
Find the last complete line and continue the remaining symbol lines on the subsequent inputs.
Rifaat Ultra Gold AI v6.1🔄 SL moves with each new candle if the price moves in favor of the trade.
🟢 Break-Even Protection
If a certain profit percentage is reached, the SL is moved to the entry point (zero loss).
🔕 Audio and Visual Alerts
A sound notification on buy/sell signals.
A visual alert on the screen.
🎛️ Settings Control
Adjustable from the settings menu.
Fibonacci PivotsCreates Golden Zones based off the Pivots Standard with Daily Timeframe
-updated version with selectable TF
Bull & Bear Power Separados📄 English Description for TradingView
Bull & Bear Power – Elder Style
This indicator displays the strength of buyers (Bull Power) and sellers (Bear Power) separately, based on Alexander Elder’s original concept.
It uses a 13-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) as the baseline, calculating:
Bull Power = High – EMA
Bear Power = Low – EMA
✔️ Bull Power (green) shows buying pressure.
✔️ Bear Power (red) shows selling pressure.
Great for analyzing true market momentum and spotting early signs of potential trend reversals.
Can be used as confirmation together with moving averages (e.g., MMA30 and MMA50) or price action signals.
✅ On 1H gold charts (XAUUSD), it has shown solid behavior in filtering entries during clear trends.
Developed and shared for educational purposes by El Bit Criollo.
Enhanced Daily Sentiment & Auction Area Trading StrategyDetermine Daily Sentiment (Anchor Chart - Daily TF):
Analyze Yesterday's Daily Candle: Look at the previous day's daily candlestick (high, low, open, close). This is the "most important information."
Establish Bias: If yesterday's candle was bullish (closed higher), the bias for today is generally long (approx. 80% of the time). If bearish, the bias is short.
Moving Average Context: Note if the daily price is above or below its short-term moving average (e.g., 21 or 50 MA). This should align with the candle's bias (e.g., bullish daily candle above its MA).
Pre-Market & Opening Analysis (Information Gathering):
Check for Gaps: Observe if the market is gapping up or down in the pre-market session relative to yesterday's close. This provides an early clue to current sentiment.
Consider Overall Sentiment: Briefly factor in relevant news or overarching market sentiment (e.g., data releases, overall market feeling from yields, gold etc.). Trading Window: Focus primarily on trading within the first hour of the U.S. market open, as this is when volatility is typically highest, which the strategy relies on.
Setup 5-Minute Chart for Execution (Trading TF - 5-min):
Apply Moving Average: Use the same short-term moving average (e.g., 21 or 50 MA) as on the daily chart.
Seek Alignment (Crucial): The 5-minute chart's trend and price action relative to its MA must align with the daily chart's bias and MA relationship.
If Daily bias is LONG (price above daily MA), the 5-minute chart should also show price establishing itself above its 5-min MA, ideally with a similar "45-degree angle" uptrend.
If Daily bias is SHORT (price below daily MA), the 5-minute chart should also show price establishing itself below its 5-min MA, with a similar downtrend. If there's no clear alignment between the daily and 5-minute chart structure/MA, do not trade.
Identify the "Auction Area" (Value/Congestion) on the 5-Minute Chart:
This is a recent area of congestion, a small support/resistance flip, or where price has paused, consolidated, and is retesting, often near the 5-minute MA.
Uptrend (Long Bias): Look for a pullback (a small "V" shape dip) towards the 5-minute MA or a recent small resistance-turned-support area. This is the "auction retest" before a potential breakout higher.
Downtrend (Short Bias): Look for a pullback rally (an inverted "V" shape) towards the 5-minute MA or a recent small support-turned-resistance area.
LANZ Strategy 4.0 [Backtest]🔷 LANZ Strategy 4.0 — Strategy Execution Based on Confirmed Structure + Risk-Based SL/TP
LANZ Strategy 4.0 is the official backtesting engine for the LANZ Strategy 4.0 trading logic. It simulates real-time executions based on breakout of Strong/Weak Highs or Lows, using a consistent structural system with SL/TP dynamically calculated per trade. With integrated risk management and lot size logic, this script allows traders to validate LANZ Strategy 4.0 performance with real strategy metrics.
🧠 Core Components:
Confirmed Breakout Entries: Trades are executed only when price breaks the most recent structural level (Strong High or Strong Low), detected using swing pivots.
Dynamic SL and TP Logic: SL is placed below/above the breakout point with a customizable buffer. TP is defined using a fixed Risk-Reward (RR) ratio.
Capital-Based Risk Management: Lot size is calculated based on account equity, SL distance, and pip value (e.g. $10 per pip on XAUUSD).
Clean and Controlled Executions: Only one trade is active at a time. No new entries are allowed until the current position is closed.
📊 Visual Features:
Automatic plotting of Entry, SL, and TP levels.
Full control of swing sensitivity (swingLength) and SL buffer.
SL and TP lines extend visually for clarity of trade risk and reward zones.
⚙️ How It Works:
Detects pivots and classifies trend direction.
Waits for breakout above Strong High (BUY) or below Strong Low (SELL).
Calculates dynamic SL and TP based on buffer and RR.
Computes trade size automatically based on risk per trade %.
Executes entry and manages exits via strategy engine.
📝 Notes:
Ideal for evaluating the LANZ Strategy 4.0 logic over historical data.
Must be paired with the original indicator (LANZ Strategy 4.0) for live trading.
Best used on assets with clear structural behavior (gold, indices, FX).
📌 Credits:
Backtest engine developed by LANZ based on the official rules of LANZ Strategy 4.0. This script ensures visual and logical consistency between live charting and backtesting simulations.
LTA - Futures Contract Size CalculatorLTA - Futures Contract Size Calculator
This indicator helps futures traders calculate the potential stop-loss (SL) value for their trades with ease. Simply input your entry price, stop-loss price, and number of contracts, and the indicator will compute the ticks moved, price movement, and total SL value in USD.
Key Features:
Supports a wide range of futures contracts, including:
Index Futures: E-mini S&P 500 (ES), Micro E-mini S&P 500 (MES), E-mini Nasdaq-100 (NQ), Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 (MNQ)
Commodity Futures: Crude Oil (CL), Gold (GC), Micro Gold (MGC), Silver (SI), Micro Silver (SIL), Platinum (PL), Micro Platinum (MPL), Natural Gas (NG), Micro Natural Gas (MNG)
Bond Futures: 30-Year T-Bond (ZB)
Currency Futures: Euro FX (6E), Japanese Yen (6J), Australian Dollar (6A), British Pound (6B), Canadian Dollar (6C), Swiss Franc (6S), New Zealand Dollar (6N)
Displays key metrics in a clean table (bottom-right corner):
Instrument, Entry Price, Stop-Loss Price, Number of Contracts, Tick Size, Ticks Moved, Price Movement, and Total SL Value.
Automatically calculates based on the selected instrument’s tick size and tick value.
User-friendly interface with a dark theme for better visibility.
How to Use:
Add the indicator to your chart.
Select your instrument from the dropdown (ensure it matches your chart’s symbol, e.g., "NG1!" for NATURAL GAS (NG)).
Input your Entry Price, Stop-Loss Price, and Number of Contracts.
View the results in the table, including the Total SL Value in USD.
Ideal For:
Futures traders looking to quickly assess stop-loss risk.
Beginners and pros trading indices, commodities, bonds, or currencies.
Note: Ensure your chart symbol matches the selected instrument for accurate calculations. For best results, test with a few contracts and price levels to confirm the output.
This description is tailored for TradingView’s audience, providing a clear overview of the indicator’s functionality, supported instruments, and usage instructions. It also includes a note to help users avoid common pitfalls (e.g., mismatched symbols). If you’d like to adjust the tone, add more details, or include specific TradingView tags (e.g., , ), let me know!
Topological Market Stress (TMS) - Quantum FabricTopological Market Stress (TMS) - Quantum Fabric
What Stresses The Market?
Topological Market Stress (TMS) represents a revolutionary fusion of algebraic topology and quantum field theory applied to financial markets. Unlike traditional indicators that analyze price movements linearly, TMS examines the underlying topological structure of market data—detecting when the very fabric of market relationships begins to tear, warp, or collapse.
Drawing inspiration from the ethereal beauty of quantum field visualizations and the mathematical elegance of topological spaces, this indicator transforms complex mathematical concepts into an intuitive, visually stunning interface that reveals hidden market dynamics invisible to conventional analysis.
Theoretical Foundation: Topology Meets Markets
Topological Holes in Market Structure
In algebraic topology, a "hole" represents a fundamental structural break—a place where the normal connectivity of space fails. In markets, these topological holes manifest as:
Correlation Breakdown: When traditional price-volume relationships collapse
Volatility Clustering Failure: When volatility patterns lose their predictive power
Microstructure Stress: When market efficiency mechanisms begin to fail
The Mathematics of Market Topology
TMS constructs a topological space from market data using three key components:
1. Correlation Topology
ρ(P,V) = correlation(price, volume, period)
Hole Formation = 1 - |ρ(P,V)|
When price and volume decorrelate, topological holes begin forming.
2. Volatility Clustering Topology
σ(t) = volatility at time t
Clustering = correlation(σ(t), σ(t-1), period)
Breakdown = 1 - |Clustering|
Volatility clustering breakdown indicates structural instability.
3. Market Efficiency Topology
Efficiency = |price - EMA(price)| / ATR
Measures how far price deviates from its efficient trajectory.
Multi-Scale Topological Analysis
Markets exist across multiple temporal scales simultaneously. TMS analyzes topology at three distinct scales:
Micro Scale (3-15 periods): Immediate structural changes, market microstructure stress
Meso Scale (10-50 periods): Trend-level topology, medium-term structural shifts
Macro Scale (50-200 periods): Long-term structural topology, regime-level changes
The final stress metric combines all scales:
Combined Stress = 0.3×Micro + 0.4×Meso + 0.3×Macro
How TMS Works
1. Topological Space Construction
Each market moment is embedded in a multi-dimensional topological space where:
- Price efficiency forms one dimension
- Correlation breakdown forms another
- Volatility clustering breakdown forms the third
2. Hole Detection Algorithm
The indicator continuously scans this topological space for:
Hole Formation: When stress exceeds the formation threshold
Hole Persistence: How long structural breaks maintain
Hole Collapse: Sudden topology restoration (regime shifts)
3. Quantum Visualization Engine
The visualization system translates topological mathematics into intuitive quantum field representations:
Stress Waves: Main line showing topological stress intensity
Quantum Glow: Surrounding field indicating stress energy
Fabric Integrity: Background showing structural health
Multi-Scale Rings: Orbital representations of different timeframes
4. Signal Generation
Stable Topology (✨): Normal market structure, standard trading conditions
Stressed Topology (⚡): Increased structural tension, heightened volatility expected
Topological Collapse (🕳️): Major structural break, regime shift in progress
Critical Stress (🌋): Extreme conditions, maximum caution required
Inputs & Parameters
🕳️ Topological Parameters
Analysis Window (20-200, default: 50)
Primary period for topological analysis
20-30: High-frequency scalping, rapid structure detection
50: Balanced approach, recommended for most markets
100-200: Long-term position trading, major structural shifts only
Hole Formation Threshold (0.1-0.9, default: 0.3)
Sensitivity for detecting topological holes
0.1-0.2: Very sensitive, detects minor structural stress
0.3: Balanced, optimal for most market conditions
0.5-0.9: Conservative, only major structural breaks
Density Calculation Radius (0.1-2.0, default: 0.5)
Radius for local density estimation in topological space
0.1-0.3: Fine-grained analysis, sensitive to local changes
0.5: Standard approach, balanced sensitivity
1.0-2.0: Broad analysis, focuses on major structural features
Collapse Detection (0.5-0.95, default: 0.7)
Threshold for detecting sudden topology restoration
0.5-0.6: Very sensitive to regime changes
0.7: Balanced, reliable collapse detection
0.8-0.95: Conservative, only major regime shifts
📊 Multi-Scale Analysis
Enable Multi-Scale (default: true)
- Analyzes topology across multiple timeframes simultaneously
- Provides deeper insight into market structure at different scales
- Essential for understanding cross-timeframe topology interactions
Micro Scale Period (3-15, default: 5)
Fast scale for immediate topology changes
3-5: Ultra-fast, tick/minute data analysis
5-8: Fast, 5m-15m chart optimization
10-15: Medium-fast, 30m-1H chart focus
Meso Scale Period (10-50, default: 20)
Medium scale for trend topology analysis
10-15: Short trend structures
20-25: Medium trend structures (recommended)
30-50: Long trend structures
Macro Scale Period (50-200, default: 100)
Slow scale for structural topology
50-75: Medium-term structural analysis
100: Long-term structure (recommended)
150-200: Very long-term structural patterns
⚙️ Signal Processing
Smoothing Method (SMA/EMA/RMA/WMA, default: EMA) Method for smoothing stress signals
SMA: Simple average, stable but slower
EMA: Exponential, responsive and recommended
RMA: Running average, very smooth
WMA: Weighted average, balanced approach
Smoothing Period (1-10, default: 3)
Period for signal smoothing
1-2: Minimal smoothing, noisy but fast
3-5: Balanced, recommended for most applications
6-10: Heavy smoothing, slow but very stable
Normalization (Fixed/Adaptive/Rolling, default: Adaptive)
Method for normalizing stress values
Fixed: Static 0-1 range normalization
Adaptive: Dynamic range adjustment (recommended)
Rolling: Rolling window normalization
🎨 Quantum Visualization
Fabric Style Options:
Quantum Field: Flowing energy visualization with smooth gradients
Topological Mesh: Mathematical topology with stepped lines
Phase Space: Dynamical systems view with circular markers
Minimal: Clean, simple display with reduced visual elements
Color Scheme Options:
Quantum Gradient: Deep space blue → Quantum red progression
Thermal: Black → Hot orange thermal imaging style
Spectral: Purple → Gold full spectrum colors
Monochrome: Dark gray → Light gray elegant simplicity
Multi-Scale Rings (default: true)
- Display orbital rings for different time scales
- Visualizes how topology changes across timeframes
- Provides immediate visual feedback on cross-scale dynamics
Glow Intensity (0.0-1.0, default: 0.6)
Controls the quantum glow effect intensity
0.0: No glow, pure line display
0.6: Balanced, recommended setting
1.0: Maximum glow, full quantum field effect
📋 Dashboard & Alerts
Show Dashboard (default: true)
Real-time topology status display
Current market state and trading recommendations
Stress level visualization and fabric integrity status
Show Theory Guide (default: true)
Educational panel explaining topological concepts
Dashboard interpretation guide
Trading strategy recommendations
Enable Alerts (default: true)
Extreme stress detection alerts
Topological collapse notifications
Hole formation and recovery signals
Visual Logic & Interpretation
Main Visualization Elements
Quantum Stress Line
Primary indicator showing topological stress intensity
Color intensity reflects current market state
Line style varies based on selected fabric style
Glow effect indicates stress energy field
Equilibrium Line
Silver line showing average stress level
Reference point for normal market conditions
Helps identify when stress is elevated or suppressed
Upper/Lower Bounds
Red upper bound: High stress threshold
Green lower bound: Low stress threshold
Quantum fabric fill between bounds shows stress field
Multi-Scale Rings
Aqua circles : Micro-scale topology (immediate changes)
Orange circles: Meso-scale topology (trend-level changes)
Provides cross-timeframe topology visualization
Dashboard Information
Topology State Icons:
✨ STABLE: Normal market structure, standard trading conditions
⚡ STRESSED: Increased structural tension, monitor closely
🕳️ COLLAPSE: Major structural break, regime shift occurring
🌋 CRITICAL: Extreme conditions, reduce risk exposure
Stress Bar Visualization:
Visual representation of current stress level (0-100%)
Color-coded based on current topology state
Real-time percentage display
Fabric Integrity Dots:
●●●●● Intact: Strong market structure (0-30% stress)
●●●○○ Stressed: Weakening structure (30-70% stress)
●○○○○ Fractured: Breaking down structure (70-100% stress)
Action Recommendations:
✅ TRADE: Normal conditions, standard strategies apply
⚠️ WATCH: Monitor closely, increased vigilance required
🔄 ADAPT: Change strategy, regime shift in progress
🛑 REDUCE: Lower risk exposure, extreme conditions
Trading Strategies
In Stable Topology (✨ STABLE)
- Normal trading conditions apply
- Use standard technical analysis
- Regular position sizing appropriate
- Both trend-following and mean-reversion strategies viable
In Stressed Topology (⚡ STRESSED)
- Increased volatility expected
- Widen stop losses to account for higher volatility
- Reduce position sizes slightly
- Focus on high-probability setups
- Monitor for potential regime change
During Topological Collapse (🕳️ COLLAPSE)
- Major regime shift in progress
- Adapt strategy immediately to new market character
- Consider closing positions that rely on previous regime
- Wait for new topology to stabilize before major trades
- Opportunity for contrarian plays if collapse is extreme
In Critical Stress (🌋 CRITICAL)
- Extreme market conditions
- Significantly reduce risk exposure
- Avoid new positions until stress subsides
- Focus on capital preservation
- Consider hedging existing positions
Advanced Techniques
Multi-Timeframe Topology Analysis
- Use higher timeframe TMS for regime context
- Use lower timeframe TMS for precise entry timing
- Alignment across timeframes = highest probability trades
Topology Divergence Trading
- Most powerful at regime boundaries
- Price makes new high/low but topology stress decreases
- Early warning of potential reversals
- Combine with key support/resistance levels
Stress Persistence Analysis
- Long periods of stable topology often precede major moves
- Extended stress periods often resolve in regime changes
- Use persistence tracking for position sizing decisions
Originality & Innovation
TMS represents a genuine breakthrough in applying advanced mathematics to market analysis:
True Topological Analysis: Not a simplified proxy but actual topological space construction and hole detection using correlation breakdown, volatility clustering analysis, and market efficiency measurement.
Quantum Aesthetic: Transforms complex topology mathematics into an intuitive, visually stunning interface inspired by quantum field theory visualizations.
Multi-Scale Architecture: Simultaneous analysis across micro, meso, and macro timeframes provides unprecedented insight into market structure dynamics.
Regime Detection: Identifies fundamental market character changes before they become obvious in price action, providing early warning of structural shifts.
Practical Application: Clear, actionable signals derived from advanced mathematical concepts, making theoretical topology accessible to practical traders.
This is not a combination of existing indicators or a cosmetic enhancement of standard tools. It represents a fundamental reimagining of how we measure, visualize, and interpret market dynamics through the lens of algebraic topology and quantum field theory.
Best Practices
Start with defaults: Parameters are optimized for broad market applicability
Match timeframe: Adjust scales based on your trading timeframe
Confirm with price action: TMS shows market character, not direction
Respect topology changes: Reduce risk during regime transitions
Use appropriate strategies: Adapt approach based on current topology state
Monitor persistence: Track how long topology states maintain
Cross-timeframe analysis: Align multiple timeframes for highest probability trades
Alerts Available
Extreme Topological Stress: Market fabric under severe deformation
Topological Collapse Detected: Regime shift in progress
Topological Hole Forming: Market structure breakdown detected
Topology Stabilizing: Market structure recovering to normal
Chart Requirements
Recommended Markets: All liquid markets (forex, stocks, crypto, futures)
Optimal Timeframes: 5m to Daily (adaptable to any timeframe)
Minimum History: 200 bars for proper topology construction
Best Performance: Markets with clear regime characteristics
Academic Foundation
This indicator draws from cutting-edge research in:
- Algebraic topology and persistent homology
- Quantum field theory visualization techniques
- Market microstructure analysis
- Multi-scale dynamical systems theory
- Correlation topology and network analysis
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and research purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or provide direct buy/sell signals. Topological analysis reveals market structure characteristics, not future price direction. Always use proper risk management and combine with your own analysis. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
See markets through the lens of topology. Trade the structure, not the noise.
Bringing advanced mathematics to practical trading through quantum-inspired visualization.
Trade with insight. Trade with structure.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
Information Asymmetry Gradient (IAG) What is the Information Asymmetry Gradient (IAG)?
The Information Asymmetry Gradient (IAG) is a unique market regime and imbalance detector that quantifies the subtle, directional “information flow” in price and volume. Inspired by information theory and market microstructure, IAG is designed to help traders spot the early buildup of conviction or surprise—the kind of hidden imbalance that often precedes major price moves.
Unlike traditional volume or momentum indicators, IAG focuses on the efficiency and directionality of information transfer: how much “informational energy” is being revealed by up-moves versus down-moves, normalized by price movement. It’s not just about net flow, but about the quality and asymmetry of that flow.
Theoretical Foundation
Information Asymmetry: Markets move when new information is revealed. If one side (buyers or sellers) is consistently more “informationally efficient” per unit of price change, an imbalance is building—even if price hasn’t moved much yet.
Gradient: By tracking the rate of change (gradient) between fast and slow information flows, IAG highlights when a subtle imbalance is accelerating.
Volatility of Asymmetry: Sudden spikes in the volatility of information asymmetry often signal regime uncertainty or the approach of a “surprise” move.
How IAG Works
Directional Information Content: For each bar, IAG estimates the “information per unit of price change” for both up-moves and down-moves, using volume and price action.
Asymmetry Calculation: Computes the difference (or ratio) between up and down information content, revealing directional bias.
Gradient Detection: Calculates both a fast and slow EMA of the asymmetry, then measures their difference (the “gradient”), normalized as a Z-score.
Volatility of Asymmetry: Tracks the standard deviation of asymmetry over a rolling window, with Z-score normalization to spot “information shocks.”
Flow Strength: Quantifies the conviction of the current information flow on a 0–100 scale.
Regime Detection: Flags “extreme” asymmetry, “building” flow, and “high volatility” states.
Inputs:
🌌 Core Asymmetry Parameters
Fast Information Period (short_len, default 8): EMA period for detecting immediate information flow changes.
5–8: Scalping (1–5min)
8–12: Day trading (15min–1hr)
12–20: Swing trading (4hr+)
Slow Information Period (long_len, default 34): EMA period for baseline information context. Should be 3–5x fast period.
Default (34): Fibonacci number, stable for most assets.
Gradient Smoothing (gradient_smooth, default 3): Smooths the gradient calculation.
1–2: Raw, responsive
3–5: Balanced
6–10: Very smooth
📊 Asymmetry Method
Calculation Mode (calc_mode, default "Weighted"):
“Simple”: Basic volume split by direction
“Weighted”: Volume × price movement (default, most robust)
“Logarithmic”: Log-scaled for large moves
Use Ratio (show_ratio, default false):
“Difference”: UpInfo – DownInfo (additive)
“Ratio”: UpInfo / DownInfo (multiplicative, better for comparing volatility regimes)
🌊 Volatility Analysis
Volatility Window (stdev_len, default 21): Lookback for measuring asymmetry volatility.
Volatility Alert Level (vol_threshold, default 1.5): Z-score threshold for volatility alerts.
🎨 Visual Settings
Color Theme (color_theme, default "Starry Night"):
Van Gogh-inspired palettes:
“Starry Night”: Deep blues and yellows
“Sunflowers”: Warm yellows and browns
“Café Terrace”: Night blues and warm lights
“Wheat Field”: Golden and sky blue
Show Swirl Effects (show_swirls, default true): Adds swirling background to visualize information turbulence.
Show Signal Stars (show_stars, default true): Star markers at significant asymmetry points.
Show Info Dashboard (show_dashboard, default true): Top-right panel with current metrics and market state.
Show Flow Visualization (show_flow, default true): Main gradient line with artistic effects.
Color Schemes
Dynamic color gradients adapt to both the direction and intensity of the information gradient, using Van Gogh-inspired palettes for visual clarity and artistic flair.
Glow and aura effects: The main line is layered with glows for depth and to highlight strong signals.
Swirl background: Visualizes the “turbulence” of information flow, darker and more intense as flow strength and volatility rise.
Visual Logic
Main Gradient Line: Plots the normalized information gradient (Z-score), color-coded by direction and intensity.
Glow/Aura: Multiple layers for visual depth and to highlight strong signals.
Threshold Zones: Dotted lines and filled areas mark “Building” and “Extreme” asymmetry zones.
Volatility Ribbon: Area plot of volatility Z-score, highlighting information shocks.
Signal Stars: Circular markers at each “Extreme” event, color-coded for bullish/bearish; cross markers for volatility spikes.
Dashboard: Top-right panel shows current status (Extreme, Building, High Volatility, Balanced), gradient value, flow strength, information balance, and volatility status.
Trading Guide: Bottom-left panel explains all states and how to interpret them.
How to Use IAG
🌟 EXTREME: Major information imbalance—potential for explosive move or reversal.
🌙 BUILDING: Asymmetry is forming—watch for a breakout or trend acceleration.
🌪️ HIGH VOLATILITY: Information flow is unstable—expect regime uncertainty or “surprise” moves.
☁️ BALANCED: No clear bias—market is in equilibrium.
Positive Gradient: Bullish information flow (buyers have the edge).
Negative Gradient: Bearish information flow (sellers have the edge).
Flow >66%: Strong conviction—crowd is acting in unison.
Volatility Spike: Regime uncertainty—be alert for sudden moves.
Tips:
- Use lower periods for scalping, higher for swing trading.
- “Weighted” mode is most robust for most assets.
- Combine with price action or your own system for confirmation.
- Works on all assets and timeframes—tune to your style.
Alerts
IAG Extreme Asymmetry: Extreme information asymmetry detected.
IAG Building Flow: Information flow building.
IAG High Volatility: Information volatility spike.
IAG Bullish/Bearish Extreme: Directional extreme detected.
Originality & Usefulness
IAG is not a mashup of existing indicators. It is a novel approach to quantifying the “surprise” or “conviction” element in market moves, focusing on the efficiency and directionality of information transfer per unit of price change. The multi-layered color logic, artistic visual effects, and regime dashboard are unique to this script. IAG is designed for anticipation, not confirmation—helping you see subtle imbalances before they become obvious in price.
Chart Info
Script Name: Information Asymmetry Gradient (IAG) – Starry Night
Recommended Use: Any asset, any timeframe. Tune parameters to your style.
Disclaimer
This script is for research and educational purposes only. It does not provide financial advice or direct buy/sell signals. Always use proper risk management and combine with your own strategy. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
Bear Market Probability Model# Bear Market Probability Model: A Multi-Factor Risk Assessment Framework
The Bear Market Probability Model represents a comprehensive quantitative framework for assessing systemic market risk through the integration of 13 distinct risk factors across four analytical categories: macroeconomic indicators, technical analysis factors, market sentiment measures, and market breadth metrics. This indicator synthesizes established financial research methodologies to provide real-time probabilistic assessments of impending bear market conditions, offering institutional-grade risk management capabilities to retail and professional traders alike.
## Theoretical Foundation
### Historical Context of Bear Market Prediction
Bear market prediction has been a central focus of financial research since the seminal work of Dow (1901) and the subsequent development of technical analysis theory. The challenge of predicting market downturns gained renewed academic attention following the market crashes of 1929, 1987, 2000, and 2008, leading to the development of sophisticated multi-factor models.
Fama and French (1989) demonstrated that certain financial variables possess predictive power for stock returns, particularly during market stress periods. Their three-factor model laid the groundwork for multi-dimensional risk assessment, which this indicator extends through the incorporation of real-time market microstructure data.
### Methodological Framework
The model employs a weighted composite scoring methodology based on the theoretical framework established by Campbell and Shiller (1998) for market valuation assessment, extended through the incorporation of high-frequency sentiment and technical indicators as proposed by Baker and Wurgler (2006) in their seminal work on investor sentiment.
The mathematical foundation follows the general form:
Bear Market Probability = Σ(Wi × Ci) / ΣWi × 100
Where:
- Wi = Category weight (i = 1,2,3,4)
- Ci = Normalized category score
- Categories: Macroeconomic, Technical, Sentiment, Breadth
## Component Analysis
### 1. Macroeconomic Risk Factors
#### Yield Curve Analysis
The inclusion of yield curve inversion as a primary predictor follows extensive research by Estrella and Mishkin (1998), who demonstrated that the term spread between 3-month and 10-year Treasury securities has historically preceded all major recessions since 1969. The model incorporates both the 2Y-10Y and 3M-10Y spreads to capture different aspects of monetary policy expectations.
Implementation:
- 2Y-10Y Spread: Captures market expectations of monetary policy trajectory
- 3M-10Y Spread: Traditional recession predictor with 12-18 month lead time
Scientific Basis: Harvey (1988) and subsequent research by Ang, Piazzesi, and Wei (2006) established the theoretical foundation linking yield curve inversions to economic contractions through the expectations hypothesis of the term structure.
#### Credit Risk Premium Assessment
High-yield credit spreads serve as a real-time gauge of systemic risk, following the methodology established by Gilchrist and Zakrajšek (2012) in their excess bond premium research. The model incorporates the ICE BofA High Yield Master II Option-Adjusted Spread as a proxy for credit market stress.
Threshold Calibration:
- Normal conditions: < 350 basis points
- Elevated risk: 350-500 basis points
- Severe stress: > 500 basis points
#### Currency and Commodity Stress Indicators
The US Dollar Index (DXY) momentum serves as a risk-off indicator, while the Gold-to-Oil ratio captures commodity market stress dynamics. This approach follows the methodology of Akram (2009) and Beckmann, Berger, and Czudaj (2015) in analyzing commodity-currency relationships during market stress.
### 2. Technical Analysis Factors
#### Multi-Timeframe Moving Average Analysis
The technical component incorporates the well-established moving average convergence methodology, drawing from the work of Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992), who provided empirical evidence for the profitability of technical trading rules.
Implementation:
- Price relative to 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages
- Moving average convergence/divergence analysis
- Multi-timeframe MACD assessment (daily and weekly)
#### Momentum and Volatility Analysis
The model integrates Relative Strength Index (RSI) analysis following Wilder's (1978) original methodology, combined with maximum drawdown analysis based on the work of Magdon-Ismail and Atiya (2004) on optimal drawdown measurement.
### 3. Market Sentiment Factors
#### Volatility Index Analysis
The VIX component follows the established research of Whaley (2009) and subsequent work by Bekaert and Hoerova (2014) on VIX as a predictor of market stress. The model incorporates both absolute VIX levels and relative VIX spikes compared to the 20-day moving average.
Calibration:
- Low volatility: VIX < 20
- Elevated concern: VIX 20-25
- High fear: VIX > 25
- Panic conditions: VIX > 30
#### Put-Call Ratio Analysis
Options flow analysis through put-call ratios provides insight into sophisticated investor positioning, following the methodology established by Pan and Poteshman (2006) in their analysis of informed trading in options markets.
### 4. Market Breadth Factors
#### Advance-Decline Analysis
Market breadth assessment follows the classic work of Fosback (1976) and subsequent research by Brown and Cliff (2004) on market breadth as a predictor of future returns.
Components:
- Daily advance-decline ratio
- Advance-decline line momentum
- McClellan Oscillator (Ema19 - Ema39 of A-D difference)
#### New Highs-New Lows Analysis
The new highs-new lows ratio serves as a market leadership indicator, based on the research of Zweig (1986) and validated in academic literature by Zarowin (1990).
## Dynamic Threshold Methodology
The model incorporates adaptive thresholds based on rolling volatility and trend analysis, following the methodology established by Pagan and Sossounov (2003) for business cycle dating. This approach allows the model to adjust sensitivity based on prevailing market conditions.
Dynamic Threshold Calculation:
- Warning Level: Base threshold ± (Volatility × 1.0)
- Danger Level: Base threshold ± (Volatility × 1.5)
- Bounds: ±10-20 points from base threshold
## Professional Implementation
### Institutional Usage Patterns
Professional risk managers typically employ multi-factor bear market models in several contexts:
#### 1. Portfolio Risk Management
- Tactical Asset Allocation: Reducing equity exposure when probability exceeds 60-70%
- Hedging Strategies: Implementing protective puts or VIX calls when warning thresholds are breached
- Sector Rotation: Shifting from growth to defensive sectors during elevated risk periods
#### 2. Risk Budgeting
- Value-at-Risk Adjustment: Incorporating bear market probability into VaR calculations
- Stress Testing: Using probability levels to calibrate stress test scenarios
- Capital Requirements: Adjusting regulatory capital based on systemic risk assessment
#### 3. Client Communication
- Risk Reporting: Quantifying market risk for client presentations
- Investment Committee Decisions: Providing objective risk metrics for strategic decisions
- Performance Attribution: Explaining defensive positioning during market stress
### Implementation Framework
Professional traders typically implement such models through:
#### Signal Hierarchy:
1. Probability < 30%: Normal risk positioning
2. Probability 30-50%: Increased hedging, reduced leverage
3. Probability 50-70%: Defensive positioning, cash building
4. Probability > 70%: Maximum defensive posture, short exposure consideration
#### Risk Management Integration:
- Position Sizing: Inverse relationship between probability and position size
- Stop-Loss Adjustment: Tighter stops during elevated risk periods
- Correlation Monitoring: Increased attention to cross-asset correlations
## Strengths and Advantages
### 1. Comprehensive Coverage
The model's primary strength lies in its multi-dimensional approach, avoiding the single-factor bias that has historically plagued market timing models. By incorporating macroeconomic, technical, sentiment, and breadth factors, the model provides robust risk assessment across different market regimes.
### 2. Dynamic Adaptability
The adaptive threshold mechanism allows the model to adjust sensitivity based on prevailing volatility conditions, reducing false signals during low-volatility periods and maintaining sensitivity during high-volatility regimes.
### 3. Real-Time Processing
Unlike traditional academic models that rely on monthly or quarterly data, this indicator processes daily market data, providing timely risk assessment for active portfolio management.
### 4. Transparency and Interpretability
The component-based structure allows users to understand which factors are driving risk assessment, enabling informed decision-making about model signals.
### 5. Historical Validation
Each component has been validated in academic literature, providing theoretical foundation for the model's predictive power.
## Limitations and Weaknesses
### 1. Data Dependencies
The model's effectiveness depends heavily on the availability and quality of real-time economic data. Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) updates may have lags that could impact model responsiveness during rapidly evolving market conditions.
### 2. Regime Change Sensitivity
Like most quantitative models, the indicator may struggle during unprecedented market conditions or structural regime changes where historical relationships break down (Taleb, 2007).
### 3. False Signal Risk
Multi-factor models inherently face the challenge of balancing sensitivity with specificity. The model may generate false positive signals during normal market volatility periods.
### 4. Currency and Geographic Bias
The model focuses primarily on US market indicators, potentially limiting its effectiveness for global portfolio management or non-USD denominated assets.
### 5. Correlation Breakdown
During extreme market stress, correlations between risk factors may increase dramatically, reducing the model's diversification benefits (Forbes and Rigobon, 2002).
## References
Akram, Q. F. (2009). Commodity prices, interest rates and the dollar. Energy Economics, 31(6), 838-851.
Ang, A., Piazzesi, M., & Wei, M. (2006). What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth? Journal of Econometrics, 131(1-2), 359-403.
Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2006). Investor sentiment and the cross‐section of stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 61(4), 1645-1680.
Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., & Davis, S. J. (2016). Measuring economic policy uncertainty. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(4), 1593-1636.
Barber, B. M., & Odean, T. (2001). Boys will be boys: Gender, overconfidence, and common stock investment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116(1), 261-292.
Beckmann, J., Berger, T., & Czudaj, R. (2015). Does gold act as a hedge or a safe haven for stocks? A smooth transition approach. Economic Modelling, 48, 16-24.
Bekaert, G., & Hoerova, M. (2014). The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility. Journal of Econometrics, 183(2), 181-192.
Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). Simple technical trading rules and the stochastic properties of stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 47(5), 1731-1764.
Brown, G. W., & Cliff, M. T. (2004). Investor sentiment and the near-term stock market. Journal of Empirical Finance, 11(1), 1-27.
Campbell, J. Y., & Shiller, R. J. (1998). Valuation ratios and the long-run stock market outlook. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 24(2), 11-26.
Dow, C. H. (1901). Scientific stock speculation. The Magazine of Wall Street.
Estrella, A., & Mishkin, F. S. (1998). Predicting US recessions: Financial variables as leading indicators. Review of Economics and Statistics, 80(1), 45-61.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1989). Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds. Journal of Financial Economics, 25(1), 23-49.
Forbes, K. J., & Rigobon, R. (2002). No contagion, only interdependence: measuring stock market comovements. The Journal of Finance, 57(5), 2223-2261.
Fosback, N. G. (1976). Stock market logic: A sophisticated approach to profits on Wall Street. The Institute for Econometric Research.
Gilchrist, S., & Zakrajšek, E. (2012). Credit spreads and business cycle fluctuations. American Economic Review, 102(4), 1692-1720.
Harvey, C. R. (1988). The real term structure and consumption growth. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(2), 305-333.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-291.
Magdon-Ismail, M., & Atiya, A. F. (2004). Maximum drawdown. Risk, 17(10), 99-102.
Nickerson, R. S. (1998). Confirmation bias: A ubiquitous phenomenon in many guises. Review of General Psychology, 2(2), 175-220.
Pagan, A. R., & Sossounov, K. A. (2003). A simple framework for analysing bull and bear markets. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 18(1), 23-46.
Pan, J., & Poteshman, A. M. (2006). The information in option volume for future stock prices. The Review of Financial Studies, 19(3), 871-908.
Taleb, N. N. (2007). The black swan: The impact of the highly improbable. Random House.
Whaley, R. E. (2009). Understanding the VIX. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 35(3), 98-105.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New concepts in technical trading systems. Trend Research.
Zarowin, P. (1990). Size, seasonality, and stock market overreaction. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 25(1), 113-125.
Zweig, M. E. (1986). Winning on Wall Street. Warner Books.
Normalized DXY+Custom USD Index (DXY+) – Normalized Dollar Strength with Bitcoin, Gold, and Yuan.
This custom USD strength index replicates the structure of the official U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), while expanding it to include modern financial assets such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), gold (XAU), and the Chinese yuan (CNY).
Weights for the core fiat currencies (EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK, CHF) follow the official ICE DXY methodology. Additional components are weighted proportionally based on their estimated global economic influence.
The index is normalized from its initial valid data point, meaning it starts at 100 on the first day all asset inputs are available. From that point forward, it tracks the relative strength of the U.S. dollar against this expanded basket.
This provides a more comprehensive and modernized view of the dollar's strength—not only against traditional fiat currencies, but also in the context of rising decentralized assets and non-Western trade power.
FXC Candle strategyFxc candle strategy for Gold scalping.
Scalping is a fast-paced trading strategy focusing on capturing small, frequent price movements for incremental profits. High market liquidity and tight spreads are needed for scalping, minimizing execution risks. Scalpers should trade during peak liquidity to avoid slippage
Custom USD IndexThis is a modernized, expanded version of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), designed to provide a more accurate representation of the dollar’s global strength in today’s diversified economy.
Unlike the traditional DXY, which excludes major players like China and entirely omits real-world stores of value, this custom index (DXY+) includes:
Fiat Currencies (78.3% total weight):
EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, AUD, CHF, and CNY — equally weighted to reflect the global currency landscape.
Gold (17.5%):
Gold (XAUUSD) is included as a traditional reserve asset and inflation hedge, acknowledging its continued monetary relevance.
Cryptocurrencies (2.8% total weight):
Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) represent the emerging digital monetary layer.
The index rises when the U.S. dollar strengthens relative to this blended basket, and falls when the dollar weakens against it. This is ideal for traders, economists, and macro analysts seeking a more inclusive and up-to-date measure of dollar performance.
Adaptive Multi-TF Indicator Table with Presets giua64📌 Script Name:
Adaptive Multi-Timeframe Indicator Table with Presets — giua64
📄 Description:
This script displays an adaptive multi-timeframe dashboard that summarizes the signals of three key technical indicators:
Moving Averages (MAs), Relative Strength Index (RSI), and MACD.
It provides a fast and visually intuitive overview of market conditions across five timeframes (5m, 15m, 30m, 1h, 4h), helping traders quickly identify potential directional biases (e.g., bullish, bearish, or neutral) based on either predefined presets or fully manual settings.
🧰 Preset Configurations:
You can choose between four trading styles, each with optimized indicator parameters:
Scalping
• MAs: 5 / 10 (Fast), 20 / 50 (Slow)
• RSI: 7 periods | Overbought: 70 | Oversold: 30
• MACD: 5 / 13 | Signal: 3
Intraday
• MAs: 9 / 21 (Fast), 50 / 100 (Slow)
• RSI: 14 periods | Overbought: 60 | Oversold: 40
• MACD: 12 / 26 | Signal: 9
Swing
• MAs: 10 / 20 (Fast), 50 / 200 (Slow)
• RSI: 14 periods | Overbought: 65 | Oversold: 35
• MACD: 12 / 26 | Signal: 9
Manual
• Full custom control over all indicator settings.
🛠️ All settings can be customized manually from the options panel, including the exact MA periods, RSI thresholds, and MACD structure.
🧠 How It Works:
For each timeframe, the script evaluates:
MA crossover status (two levels):
The first symbol refers to the crossover of the fast MAs
The second symbol refers to the crossover of the slow MAs
🟢 = Bullish crossover
🔴 = Bearish crossover
➖ = Flat or no clear signal
RSI Direction:
↑ = RSI above upper threshold (potential overbought)
↓ = RSI below lower threshold (potential oversold)
→ = RSI in neutral range
MACD Line vs Signal Line:
↑ = MACD line is above signal line (bullish)
↓ = MACD line is below signal line (bearish)
→ = Flat or neutral signal
Each signal is assigned a numerical score. These are aggregated per timeframe to compute a combined score that reflects the directional bias for that specific time window.
🧠 Adaptive Logic by Asset:
This script is designed to be universally compatible across all asset types — including forex, crypto, stocks, indices, and commodities.
Thanks to its multi-timeframe nature and flexible indicator presets, the script automatically adjusts its behavior based on the asset selected, ensuring relevant analysis without requiring manual recalibration.
🧾 Summary Table Output:
At the bottom of the dashboard, a combined sentiment is displayed for:
3TF → 5m, 15m, 30m
4TF → Adds 1h
5TF → Adds 4h
Each row shows:
Signal → LONG / SHORT / NEUTRAL
Confidence (%) → Based on score aggregation and signal consistency
📌 Customization Options:
Table Position: Left, Right, or Center
Text Size: Small, Normal, or Large
Full Manual Configuration: All MA, RSI, and MACD parameters can be adjusted as needed
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This script is for educational and analytical purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice or guarantee any trading results.
Always do your own research and apply responsible risk management.
