Murrey Math Lines v6Murrey Math Lines v6
This is not just another Murrey Math indicator. It's a complete, ground-up modernization of the classic concept, rebuilt with the latest Pine Script features for unparalleled performance, accuracy, and usability. While preserving the core mathematical genius of T.H. Murrey's system, this version introduces a suite of modern tools designed for today's trader.
What are Murrey Math Lines?
Murrey Math Lines (MML) are a powerful system of support and resistance based on geometric formulas developed by T.H. Murrey. As a derivation of W.D. Gann's observations, Murrey's geometry simplifies Gann's theories into a more accessible application. The core principle is that price action tends to trend and retrace in 1/8th intervals.
These intervals create a "trading octave" with distinct levels, each having its own characteristic behavior:
& - Ultimate Resistance & Support: These lines are the hardest to break. They represent the top and bottom of the expected price range and are prime areas for reversals.
- Major Pivot: This is the most significant level, offering the strongest support and resistance within the octave. Price has a high probability of stopping and reversing here.
& - Strong Pivot/Reversal: These are strong, secondary pivot points where price often struggles to pass through.
& - The Trading Range: The price tends to consolidate between these two lines about 50% of the time. A decisive break outside this range often signals the start of a new trend.
& - Weak Support/Resistance: These levels are weaker, but when price moves too quickly towards them, they can act as initial stopping points or areas for a minor reversal.
& - Extended Octave: These lines show extreme overbought and oversold conditions beyond the primary 0/8 to 8/8 octave.
Modern Enhancements in This Version
Session-Locked Precision: Anchor the Murrey Lines to the start of a specific trading session (e.g., NYSE open). The levels remain constant for the entire session, providing a stable and reliable framework for your daily analysis.
Visual Trading & Reversal Zones: Instead of just lines, this indicator can fill the key trading range (3/8 to 5/8) and reversal zones (0/8-1/8 & 7/8-8/8) with color, giving you an instant visual reference of market sentiment.
Dynamic "Closest Price" Labels: Declutter your chart! The indicator can intelligently display only the label for the Murrey level closest to the current price, keeping your view clean while providing critical information at a glance.
Integrated Alert System: Never miss a key level touch again. Set up alerts for when the price approaches major lines, the trading range, or all lines, customized to your trading style.
Advanced Pine Script Engine: Built on a modern codebase using User-Defined Types and dynamic drawing objects (line, box, label). This ensures the indicator is fast, efficient, and non-repainting, even on lower timeframes.
Intuitive User Interface: Settings are neatly organized into collapsible groups with clear tooltips, making it incredibly easy to customize every aspect of the indicator, from calculation parameters to colors.
A Note on Accuracy
Some of the other Murrey Math indicators on TradingView use different formulas and therefore produce varying results. This version has been carefully checked against MML indicators on other professional platforms to ensure its calculations are accurate and reliable.
Credits
This indicator is a complete overhaul and modernization of the original "MM Lines " script. Full credit for the original calculation logic and concept goes to its author, JRL_6.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "N+credit最新动态"
HARSI PRO v2 - Advanced Adaptive Heikin-Ashi RSI OscillatorThis script is a fully re-engineered and enhanced version of the original Heikin-Ashi RSI Oscillator created by JayRogers. While it preserves the foundational concept and visual structure of the original indicatorusing Heikin-Ashi-style candles to represent RSI movementit introduces a range of institutional-grade engines and real-time analytics modules.
The core idea behind HARSI is to visualize the internal structure of RSI behavior using candle representations. This gives traders a clearer sense of trend continuity, exhaustion, and momentum inflection. In this upgraded version, the system is extended far beyond basic visualization into a comprehensive diagnostic and context-tracking tool.
Core Enhancements and Features
1. Heikin-Ashi RSI Candles
The base HARSI logic transforms RSI values into open, high, low, and close components, which are plotted as Heikin-Ashi-style candles. The open values are smoothed with a user-controlled bias setting, and the high/low are calculated from zero-centered RSI values.
2. Smoothed RSI Histogram and Plot
A secondary RSI plot and histogram are available for traditional RSI interpretation, optionally smoothed using a custom midpoint EMA process.
3. Dynamic Stochastic RSI Ribbon
The indicator optionally includes a smoothed Stochastic RSI ribbon with directional fill to highlight acceleration and reversal zones.
4. Real-Time Meta-State Engine
This engine determines the current market environmentneutral, breakout, or reversalbased on multiple adaptive conditions including volatility compression, momentum thrust, volume behavior, and composite reversal scoring.
5. Adaptive Overbought/Oversold Zone Engine
Instead of using fixed RSI thresholds, this engine dynamically adjusts OB/OS boundaries based on recent RSI range and normalized price volatility. This makes the OB/OS levels context-sensitive and more accurate across different instruments and regimes.
6. Composite Reversal Score Engine
A real-time score between 0 and 5 is generated using four components:
* OB/OS proximity (zone score)
* RSI slope behavior
* Volume state (burst or exhaustion)
* Trend continuation penalty based on position versus trend bias
This score allows for objective filtering of reversal zones and breakout traps.
7. Kalman Velocity Filter
A Kalman-style adaptive smoothing filter is applied to RSI for calculating velocity and acceleration. This allows for real-time detection of stalls and thrusts in RSI behavior.
8. Predictive Breakout Estimator
Uses ATR compression and RSI thrusting conditions to detect likely breakout environments. This logic contributes to the Meta-State Engine and the Breakout Risk dashboard metric.
9. Volume Acceleration Model
Real-time detection of volume bursts and fades based on VWMA baselines. Volume exhaustion warnings are used to qualify or disqualify reversals and breakouts.
10. Trend Bias and Regime Detection
Uses RSI slope, HARSI body impulse, and normalized ATR to classify the current trend state and directional bias. This forms the basis for filtering false reversals during strong trends.
11. Dashboard with Tooltips
A clean, table displays six key metrics in real time:
* Meta State
* Reversal Score
* Trend Bias
* Volume State
* Volatility Regime
* Breakout Risk
Each cell includes a descriptive tooltip explaining why the value is being shown based on internal state calculations.
How It Works Internally
* The system calculates a zero-centered RSI and builds candle structures using high, low, and smoothed open/close values.
* Volatility normalization is used throughout the script, including ATR-based thresholds and dynamic scaling of OB/OS zones.
* Momentum is filtered through smoothed slope calculations and HARSI body size measurements.
* Volume activity is compared against VWMA using configurable multipliers to detect institutional-level activity or exhaustion.
* Each regime detection module contributes to a centralized metaState classifier that determines whether the environment is conducive to reversal, breakout, or neutral action.
* All major signal and context values are continuously updated in a dashboard table with logic-driven color coding and tooltips.
Based On and Credits
This script is based on the original Heikin-Ashi RSI Oscillator by JayRogers . All visual elements from the original version, including candle plotting and color configurations, have been retained and extended. Significant backend enhancements were added by AresIQ for the 2025 release. The script remains open-source under the original attribution license. Credit to JayRogers is preserved and required for any derivative versions.
Quantum Flow Navigator @DaviddTechQuantum Flow Navigator – DaviddTech
Precision Strategy Builder Powered by Adaptive Filters, Statistical Noise Reduction & Multi-Modal Confirmation
🚀 Bullish Signal : Enter when ALMA, FluxWave, and QuickSilver all confirm bullish trend, with high volume and valid noise filter state.
🔻 Bearish Signal : Enter short when all components align bearishly and filters validate the signal.
🚪 Exit : Automatically managed by dynamic SL/TP or indicator-based reversal logic.
✅ Overview & DaviddTech Methodology
Quantum Flow Navigator is an advanced, multi-component trading system engineered around the strict modular logic of the DaviddTech methodology .
It integrates every core component required for a fully rule-based and signal-driven strategy—baseline, confirmations, volume filter, exit system, and noise filter.
Designed for traders who demand structure, clarity, and data-backed decision-making on 15M, 1H, and 4H charts.
🔍 Indicator Components
Baseline: Adaptive ALMA Filter
Smooth and responsive dynamic trend detection, with momentum validation and optional filled zones for enhanced visual feedback.
Confirmation #1: FluxWave Oscillator
Developed from an enhanced Trendlio concept by @dudeowns , FluxWave uses ALMA-smoothed rate-of-change logic with configurable signal behavior.
Confirmation #2: QuickSilver Band System
Custom breakout engine that maps volatility envelopes using multi-layered deviation bands for clear confirmation of structure breaks and trend direction.
Volume Filter: Normalized Volume Energy
Innovative volume filter inspired by @ceyhun 's work. Filters trades by classifying energy into High, Normal, or Low based on normalized volume context.
Exit System: Dynamic Momentum Stop Loss
Choose from Smart Adaptive, Trailing, Stepped, Percentage, ATR, or Volatility-adjusted logic. Supports TP via risk/reward, ATR multiples, or percentage targets.
Noise Filtration: Quantum Statistical Noise Reduction
Fuses Kalman smoothing with wavelet decomposition to eliminate non-signal noise and improve trade quality and confidence.
🎨 Visual System & Dashboard
🚀/🔻/🚪 Emoji Labels : Buy, sell, and exit trades clearly marked for instant recognition.
Color-Shifting Bars : Reflect FluxWave’s trend bias in real-time.
ALMA Fill Zone : Visual trend envelope between price and ALMA baseline.
QuickSilver Bands : Volatility envelopes with graduated depth for support/resistance awareness.
SL & TP Visuals : Dynamic stop-loss and take-profit zones plotted directly on chart.
Navigator Panel : In-chart dashboard displays real-time trend status, volume energy, noise filter state, signal strength, and active position tracking.
📈 How to Trade with It
Entry Mode Selection : Choose between Combined, ALMA, FluxWave, QuickSilver, or Custom scoring logic.
Final Signals : Trigger only when confirmations align, volume energy is valid, and noise is low.
Dashboard Summary : Use real-time signal display to validate entry strength.
Timeframes : 15M–1H recommended for swing/intraday setups; 5M–15M for automation.
💡 Advanced Features
Entry Strength Scoring: Composite weight of all active components + filters.
Cooldown System: Limits excessive signals in volatile periods.
Multiple Exit Strategies: SL & TP modes with optional indicator-based exits.
Statistical Filtering: Wavelet + Kalman combination optimizes entry confidence.
Full Alert Suite: Covers entries, exits, filter triggers, volume states, and more.
🧠 Suggested Strategy Usage
Wait for full confirmation from ALMA, FluxWave, and QuickSilver.
Ensure volume energy is High and noise filter confirms trend clarity.
Use adaptive SL/TP or indicator-based exits.
Monitor dashboard for live signal strength ≥ threshold.
Use “Balanced” mode for general use; switch to “Aggressive” for tighter signals.
📝 Credits & Originality
Concept based on DaviddTech’s component-driven methodology .
FluxWave Oscillator built as an evolved version of Trendlio with full signal customization — credit @dudeowns .
Volume Energy Filter adapted from the work of @ceyhun .
Noise filtration and system architecture developed independently using Pine Script v6.
All code and logic is original, non-rehashed, and completely refactored to ensure uniqueness.
Quantum Flow Navigator fuses adaptive baselines, confirmation logic, energy-based filters, and statistical refinement into a precision signal engine—optimized for traders who value structure, clarity, and control.
FT SessionsFT Sessions
Overview
The FT Sessions is a highly customizable and powerful indicator designed for intraday traders who focus on session-based analysis. This script visually highlights global market sessions—Asia, Frankfurt, London, and New York (AM & PM)—on the chart, making it easier to track session ranges and analyze intraday price movements.
Key Features
Customizable Session Times and Colors:
Define your own session times and assign unique colors for better visibility.
Session Range Visualization:
Displays high and low ranges for each session.
Optional transparent range areas with outlines for clarity.
Configurable session range labels for enhanced readability.
Flexible Timezone Settings:
Choose a UTC offset or sync with the exchange's timezone.
User-Friendly Customization:
Compact settings for easier adjustments.
Enable or disable specific sessions to focus on relevant market activity.
How This Script Differs from LuxAlgo
This script draws inspiration from LuxAlgo's session tracking concept but has been developed with significant modifications and unique features:
Built from Scratch in Pine Script v5:
Fully optimized for Pine Script’s latest version, improving performance and functionality.
Expanded Session Range Features:
Five unique sessions (Asia, Frankfurt, London, New York AM, New York PM) with customizable ranges, colors, and labels.
Real-time updating of session ranges for improved intraday analysis.
4H Timeframe Optimization:
Automatically notifies users if applied to an unsupported timeframe, ensuring session accuracy.
Highly Configurable Input Options:
Advanced timezone handling and compact session management settings.
Unique Coding Structure:
Designed to maximize efficiency and minimize resource usage on TradingView.
While LuxAlgo focuses on session concepts, this script brings a fresh, customizable approach specifically tailored for intraday traders seeking precision in tracking session activity.
How It Works
The indicator tracks price movements within each session.
Highlights the high and low range of each session directly on the chart.
Updates session ranges in real-time to reflect evolving market conditions.
Practical Applications
Intraday Trading: Plan trades based on major market session ranges.
Breakout Strategies: Use session high and low levels to identify potential breakouts.
Session-Specific Patterns: Spot consolidations and reversals within session activity.
Important Notes
Optimized for the 4H timeframe. If applied to another timeframe, a notification will appear.
Best used in combination with other tools (e.g., volume or trend indicators) for a complete trading strategy.
Credits
This script draws inspiration from LuxAlgo's open-source session-tracking methodology. However, it introduces substantial improvements and unique features that set it apart. Full credit is given to LuxAlgo for their original open-source concept.
Disclaimer
This script is for informational and educational purposes only. Always test on a demo account before applying to live markets.
Smart Money Concept Strategy - Uncle SamThis strategy combines concepts from two popular TradingView scripts:
Smart Money Concepts (SMC) : The strategy identifies key levels in the market (swing highs and lows) and draws trend lines to visualize potential breakouts. It uses volume analysis to gauge the strength of these breakouts.
Smart Money Breakouts : This part of the strategy incorporates the idea of "Smart Money" – institutional traders who often lead market movements. It looks for breakouts of established levels with significant volume, aiming to catch the beginning of new trends.
How the Strategy Works:
Identification of Key Levels: The script identifies swing highs and swing lows based on a user-defined lookback period. These levels are considered significant points where price has reversed in the past.
Drawing Trend Lines: Trend lines are drawn connecting these key levels, creating a visual representation of potential support and resistance zones.
Volume Analysis: The script analyzes the volume during the formation of these levels and during breakouts. Higher volume suggests stronger moves and increases the probability of a successful breakout.
Entry Conditions:
Long Entry: A long entry is triggered when the price breaks above a resistance line with significant volume, and the moving average trend filter (optional) is bullish.
Short Entry: A short entry is triggered when the price breaks below a support line with significant volume, and the moving average trend filter (optional) is bearish.
Exit Conditions:
Stop Loss: Customizable stop loss percentages are implemented to protect against adverse price movements.
Take Profit: Customizable take profit percentages are used to lock in profits.
Credits and Compliance:
This strategy is inspired by the concepts and code from "Smart Money Concepts (SMC) " and "Smart Money Breakouts ." I've adapted and combined elements of both scripts to create this strategy. Full credit is given to the original authors for their valuable contributions to the TradingView community.
To comply with TradingView's House Rules, I've made the following adjustments:
Clearly Stated Inspiration: The description explicitly mentions the original scripts and authors as the inspiration for this strategy.
No Direct Copying: The code has been modified and combined, not directly copied from the original scripts.
Educational Purpose: The primary purpose of this strategy is for learning and backtesting. It's not intended as financial advice.
Important Note:
This strategy is intended for educational and backtesting purposes only. It should not be used for live trading without thorough testing and understanding of the underlying concepts. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Moving Averages RefurbishedIntroduction
This is a collection of multiple moving averages, where you can have a rainbow of moving averages with different types that can be defined by the user.
There are already other indicators in this rainbow style, however certain averages are absent in certain indicators and present in others,
needing the merge to have a more complete solution.
Resources
Here there is the possibility to individually define each moving average.
In addition, it is possible to adjust some details, such as themes, coloring and periods.
Regarding the calculation of averages, credit goes to the following authors.
What I've done here is to group these averages together and allow them to combine.
Credits
TradingView
PineCoders
CrackingCryptocurrency
MightyZinger
Alex Orekhov (everget)
alexgrover
paragjyoti2012
Moving averages available
1. Exponential Moving Average
2. Simple Moving Average
3. Relative Moving Average
4. Weighted Moving Average
5. Ehlers Dynamic Smoothed Moving Average
6. Double Exponential Moving Average
7. Triple Exponential Moving Average
8. Smoothed Moving Average
9. Hull Moving Average
10. Fractal Adaptive Moving Average
11. Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average
12. Volatility Adjusted Moving Average
13. Jurik Moving Average
14. Optimized Exponential Moving Average
15. Exponential Hull Moving Average
16. Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
17. Coefficient of Variation Weighted Exponential Moving Average
18. Coefficient of Variation Weighted Moving Average
19. * Ehlrs Modified Fractal Adaptive Moving Average
20. Exponential Triangular Moving Average
21. Least Squares Moving Average
22. RSI Moving average
23. Simple Triangular Moving Average
24. Triple Hull Moving Average
25. Variable Index Dynamic Average
26. Volume-weighted Moving Average
27. Zero-Lag Exponential Moving Average
28. Zero-Lag Simple Moving Average
29. Elastic Volume Weighted Moving Average
30. Tillson T3
31. Geometric Moving Average
32. Welles Wilder Moving Average
33. Adjusted Moving Average
34. Corrective Moving average
35. Exponentially Deviating Moving Average
36. EMA Range
37. Sine-Weighted Moving Average
38. Adaptive Moving Average TABLE
39. Following Adaptive Moving Average
40. Hilbert based Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average
41. Median
42. * VWAP
43. * Rolling VWAP
44. Triangular Simple Moving Average
45. Triangular Exponential Moving Average
46. Moving Average Price Correlation
47. Regularized Exponential Moving Average
48. Repulsion Moving Average
49. * Symmetrically Weighted Moving Average
* fixed period averages
All-in-one CPR indicator Introduction and Acknowledgement:
The script is basically a mashup script and provides a combined functionality of various indicators. I'll explain the usefulness and the optimal usage of the script after giving the credits where it is due. A CPR indicator for visually identifying the trend along with the strength of the trend is NOT available in the public library of TradingView. Hence, the need of this indicator.
The credit of creating the original indicators remain unknown to me but I would like to acknowledge the authors whose formulae and codes I have used for creating this mashup indicator.
- Frank Ochoa
- Guruprasad Meduri
- Rafael Zioni
- Stoked Stocks
- Pine team for default indicators
The prime focus of the script is identifying and simplifying the 2 main aspects of a trend:
1. Direction / Underlying trend
2. Strength of the trend
Flaws in traditional CPR:
Some may see this as a flaw, some may not. So take my opinion with a grain of salt. In general, the traditional CPR indicator is used to plot just support and resistance levels, and the trend identification is purely discretionary. In addition to this, there is no way to assess the strength of the move without using a dedicated volumed based indicator. This causes amateur traders to take counter trades to the market direction.
What is the need of this hybrid indicator?
A CPR indicator that also aids in visually identifying the trend and the strength of the trend with respect to the price action in NOT available in the public library of TradingView. The traditional CPR can be used to assess the rough direction of the market but if it combined with the Hull ribbon, the probability of identifying the trend increases manifold. Hence, I decided to create this mashup indicator.
In addition to the basic CPR pivots, the script provides the functionality of the following indicators:
1. HMA based trend ribbons with auto buy/sell signals
2. Volatility based bands - Bollinger bands, Keltner channel, Donchian channel, envelope.
3. Coloured volume candles to determine the strength of the trend
4. CPR with daily, weekly, and monthly levels
5. Previous day high/low
6. Tomorrow CPR
7. 3 Simple moving averages
8. Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
Correct usage of the indicator:
The optimal usage of the indicators consists of mainly 2 parts:
1. Identification of the trend using the combination of CPR and Hull ribbon
2. Determining the strength of the trend
How to identify the trend?
In general, when the price is above CPR it is considered a bullish trend. Also, when the price is above the Hull ribbon, it is considered bullish. Reverse is true for a bearish trend. Combining the traditional CPR logic with the Hull trend ribbon, we can conclude that:
1. Bullish trend = Price above CPR and above the Hull ribbon
2. Bearish trend = Price below CPR and below the Hull ribbon
If the Hull ribbon is showing a zig-zag move, the trend will be sideways. Also, the time frame of the Hull ribbon can be defined as per the need of the user.
Exhibit: Identification of a bullish trend
Exhibit: Identification of a bullish trend with a contra move (pullback)
Exhibit: Identification of a bearish trend
Exhibit: Identification of a bearish trend with a contra move (pullback)
How to determine the strength of the trend?
1. Strong trend = The dark coloured candles represent volume more than 150% of the look back period. For instance
2. Moderate trend = The bright coloured candles represent volume between 50-150%.
3. Neutral trend = The Grey coloured candles represent a weak trend where the volume is less than 50%.
Exhibit: Identification of a strong bearish trend along with the trend direction
Exhibit: Identification of a strong bullish trend using only coloured candles
All the other indicators including the SMA, VWAP, Bollinger bands, Keltner channels, etc. can be used as per the taste of the trader.
Thanks for reading! I hope you find this indicator useful.
Happy learning. Cheers!
Rajat Kumar Singh (@johntradingwick)
Community Manager (India), TradingView
CyclicRsiLib█ OVERVIEW
This library is complementary for Cyclic RSI High Low With Noise Filter.
█ CREDITS
LoneSomeTheBlue
WhenToTrade
AlertFrequency()
: AlertFrequency
Parameters:
: : _string
Returns: : _freq
CyclicRSI()
: CyclicRSI
Parameters:
: : _source, _length, _expression
Returns: : osc
Credits to WhenToTrade
AddToZigzag()
: AddToZigzag
Parameters:
: : _id, value, max_array_size
Returns: : array.unshift, array.pop
Credits to LonesomeTheBlue
UpdateZigzag()
: UpdateZigzag
Parameters:
: : _id, value, max_array_size, dir
Returns: : AddToZigzag, array.set
Credits to LonesomeTheBlue
BoolZigzag()
: BoolZigzag
Parameters:
: : ph, pl, dirchanged, _id, dir
Returns: : AddToZigzag, UpdateZigzag
Credits to LonesomeTheBlue
NoiseSwitch()
: NoiseSwitch
Parameters:
: : _string, _id
Returns: : FilterNoise
LineGray()
: LineGray
Parameters:
: : _id
Returns: : LineGray
LabelDir()
: LabelDir
Parameters:
: : _id, _string, _color, _float
Returns: : LabelDir
TernaryLabel()
: TernaryLabel
Parameters:
: : _dir, _bool1, _bool2, _string1, _string2
Returns: : str_label
TernaryColor()
: TernaryColor
Parameters:
: : _dir, _bool1, _bool2
Returns: : col_label
Harmonic Table Combo Point B█ OVERVIEW
This indicator was intended as educational purpose only and alternative way to show value in table as shown in Harmonic Pattern Possibility Table .
█ CREDITS
Credit to Scott M Carney, Harmonic Trading Volume 3: Reaction vs. Reversal.
█ USAGE EXAMPLE
MACD-VWhat is it?
The MACD-V indicator is the normal version of the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator but normalized for volatility. It is normalized for volatility in order to compare momentum values across time and across tickers which the normal MACD indicator fails to do.
Formula
The formula for the MACD-V is as follows
MACD Line = [ / ATR(26)] * 100
Signal Line = EMA(9,MACD)
Histogram = MACD Line - Signal Line
How to Use
The MACD-V indicator is used to analyze normalized trends. If the MACD line is above 150, it is considered overbought. If the MACD line is below -150, it is considered oversold. Crossovers of the MACD line and the signal line are considered to be points of trend changes as well.
Features
Customizable Overbought/Oversold boundaries
Customizable colors
Credits
All credit for the idea behind this indicator goes to Alex Spiroglou CMT. His academic paper on the indicator can be found here .
In addition to Alex's idea for the paper, one TradingView user, Mik3Christ3ns3n has created a partial version of it which can be found here .
Harmonic Pattern Possibility Table█ OVERVIEW
This indicator was intended as educational purpose only based on Harmonic Pattern Table (Source Code) and Ratio For Harmonic Points to show Harmonic Pattern Possibility.
█ INSPIRATION
This indicator was build upon realizing there are some overlap for B = XA among Alternate Bat, Bat, Crab and Gartley.
Hence, the values split up to showcase the possibility of non overlap ratio.
█ USAGE
Possible pattern, priority pattern and selected pattern may differs based value input.
Therefore C = AB, D = BC, D = XA and Stop Loss will change based value input and also selected pattern.
█ CREDITS
Credit to Scott M Carney, Harmonic Trading Volume 3: Reaction vs. Reversal.
Ratio For Harmonic Points█ OVERVIEW
This indicator was intended as educational purpose only based on Harmonic Pattern Table (Source Code) to show indication of ratio for each Harmonic points from Point B until Stop Loss.
█ CREDITS
Credit to Scott M Carney, Harmonic Trading Volume 3: Reaction vs. Reversal.
█ USAGE EXAMPLE
Harmonic Trading System Educational (Source Code)This indicator was intended as educational purpose only for Harmonic Patterns using XABCD Pattern Tool.
This indicator was build upon Harmonic Trading : Volume One and Harmonic Trading : Volume Three, written by Scott M Carney.
Harmonic Trading System consist of 3 important elements such as Trade Identification, Trade Execution and Trade Management, each of these element description can be hover at each label.
Harmonic Trading System
1. Trade Identification
This technique use historically proven and repetitive price patterns that focus on overbought and oversold signals generated by price action.
Understanding parameters is critical to define specific opportunities based on individual harmonic pattern including ratio is important.
2. Trade Execution
During harmonic pattern is complete, must focus actual trade within specific time period.
3. Trade Management
Specific Initial Price Objective (IPO) based on risk and opportunity.
Indikator ini bertujuan sebagai pendidikan sahaja untuk Harmonic Pattern menggunakan XABCD Pattern Tool.
Indikator ini dibina berdasarkan buku Harmonic Trading : Volume One dan Harmonic Trading : Volume Three, ditulis oleh Scott M Carney.
Harmonic Trading System mengandungi 3 element penting seperti Trade Identification, Trade Execution dan Trade Management, penerangan setiap elemen boleh didapati dengan meletak mouse pada label.
Harmonic Trading System
1. Trade Identification
Teknik ini menggunakan price patterns yang berulang dan sejarahnya terbukti yang fokus pada signal overbought dan oversold terhasil daripada price action.
Memahami parameter adalah penting untuk mengenalpasti peluang secara spesifik berdasarkan harmonic patern yang tertentu termasuk ratio adalah penting.
2. Trade Execution
Semasa harmonic pattern adalah lengkap, mestilah focus pada trade yang sebenar dalam jangka masa yang spesifik.
3. Trade Management
Initial Price Objective (IPO) secara spesifik berdasarkan risiko dan peluang.
Indicator features :
1. List XAB=CD patterns including ratio and reference page.
2. For desktop display only, not for mobile.
3. Hover to label to display tooltip (example Trade identification).
Kemampuan indikator :
1. Senarai XAB=CD pattern termasuk ratio and rujukan muka surat.
2. Untuk paparan desktop sahaja, bukan untuk mobile.
3. Letak mouse pada labell untuk memaparkan tooltip (example Trade identification).
FAQ
1. Credits / Kredit
Scott M Carney, Harmonic Trading : Volume One
Scott M Carney, Harmonic Trading : Volume Three
2. Pattern and Chapter involved / Pattern dan Bab terlibat
Bullish Harmonic Trade Management Model - Harmonic Trading: Volume One - Page 209
Bearish Harmonic Trade Management Model - Harmonic Trading: Volume One - Page 220
The Harmonic Trading Process - Harmonic Trading: Volume Three - Page 42 to 44
Bullish Phases of Trading - Harmonic Trading: Volume Three - Page 48
Bearish Phases of Trading - Harmonic Trading: Volume Three - Page 50
3. Code Usage / Penggunaan Kod
Free to use for personal usage but credits are most welcomed especially for credits to Scott M Carney.
Bebas untuk kegunaan peribadi tetapi kredit adalah amat dialu-alukan terutamanya kredit kepada Scott M Carney.
Bullish Harmonic Trading System
Bearish Harmonic Trading System
Harmonic Pattern Educational Volume 2 (Source Code)This indicator was intended as educational purpose only for Harmonic Patterns using XABCD Pattern Tool.
This indicator was build upon Harmonic Trading : Volume Two, which was continuation from Harmonic Trading : Volume One and The Harmonic Trader, written by Scott M Carney.
Explaination was similar to previous build, build 0 and build 1 .
Volume 2 introduce Harmonic Ratio Progression, which result new patterns such as 5-0 and Alternate Bat.
Indikator ini bertujuan sebagai pendidikan sahaja untuk Harmonic Pattern menggunakan XABCD Pattern Tool.
Indikator ini dibina berdasarkan buku Harmonic Trading : Volume Two, juga sambungan daripada Harmonic Trading : Volume One and The Harmonic Trader, ditulis oleh Scott M Carney.
Penerangan yang sama berdasarkan binaan lepas, build 0 and build 1 .
Volume 2 memperkenalkan Harmonic Ratio Progression, membolehkan pattern baru seperti 5-0 dan Alternate Bat.
Indicator features :
1. List XAB=CD patterns including ratio and reference page.
2. For desktop display only, not for mobile.
Kemampuan indikator :
1. Senarai XAB=CD pattern termasuk ratio and rujukan muka surat.
2. Untuk paparan desktop sahaja, bukan untuk mobile.
FAQ
1. Credits / Kredit
Scott M Carney, Harmonic Trading : Volume One
2. Pattern and Chapter involved / Pattern dan Bab terlibat
Bullish 5-0 - Page 79
Bearish 5-0 - Page 88
Bullish Alternate Bat - Page 103
Bearish Alternate Bat - Page 106
3. Code Usage / Penggunaan Kod
Free to use for personal usage but credits are most welcomed especially for credits to Scott M Carney.
Bebas untuk kegunaan peribadi tetapi kredit adalah amat dialu-alukan terutamanya kredit kepada Scott M Carney.
5-0
Alternate Bat
Harmonic Pattern Educational Volume 1 (Source Code)This indicator was intended as educational purpose only for Harmonic Patterns using XABCD Pattern Tool.
This indicator was build upon Harmonic Trading : Volume One, which was continuation from The Harmonic Trader, written by Scott M Carney.
From the previous build , only Gartley and Butterfly were explained ideally based on The Harmonic Trader.
For this buid, Gartley and Butterfly were further refined and additional patterns such as Bat, Crab and Deep Crab were born based on Harmonic Trading : Volume One.
Explaination was similar to previous build . In addition, Perfect Patterns are added except for Deep Crab.
Indikator ini bertujuan sebagai pendidikan sahaja untuk Harmonic Pattern menggunakan XABCD Pattern Tool.
Indikator ini dibina berdasarkan buku Harmonic Trading : Volume One, juga sambungan daripada The Harmonic Trader, ditulis oleh Scott M Carney.
Berdasarkan binaan lepas , cuma Gartley dan Butterfly diterangkan secara ideal berdasarkan The Harmonic Trader.
Untuk binaan ini, Gartley dan Butterfly telah dihalusi dan pattern tambahan seperti Bat, Crab and Deep Crab telah lahir berdasarkan Harmonic Trading : Volume One.
Penerangan yang sama berdasarkan binaan lepas . Tambahan, Perfect Pattern telah ditambah kecuali untuk Deep Crab.
Indicator features :
1. List XAB=CD patterns including ratio and reference page.
2. For desktop display only, not for mobile.
Kemampuan indikator :
1. Senarai XAB=CD pattern termasuk ratio and rujukan muka surat.
2. Untuk paparan desktop sahaja, bukan untuk mobile.
FAQ
1. Credits / Kredit
Scott M Carney, Harmonic Trading : Volume One
2. Pattern and Chapter involved / Pattern dan Bab terlibat
Bullish Ideal Bat - Page 72
Bearish Ideal Bat - Page 83
Bullish Perfect Bat - Page 91
Bearish Perfect Bat - Page 94
Bullish Ideal Gartley - Page 99
Bearish Ideal Gartley - Page 106
Bullish Perfect Gartley - Page 115
Bearish Perfect Gartley - Page 118
Bullish Ideal Crab - Page 123
Bearish Ideal Crab - Page 130
Bullish Perfect Crab - Page 143
Bearish Perfect Crab - Page 146
Bullish Ideal Deep Crab - Page 137
Bearish Ideal Deep Crab - Page 140
Bullish Ideal Butterfly - Page 150
Bearish Ideal Butterfly - Page 158
Bullish Perfect Butterfly - Page 163
Bearish Perfect Butterfly - Page 166
3. Code Usage / Penggunaan Kod
Free to use for personal usage but credits are most welcomed especially for credits to Scott M Carney.
Bebas untuk kegunaan peribadi tetapi kredit adalah amat dialu-alukan terutamanya kredit kepada Scott M Carney.
Ideal / Perfect Bat
Ideal / Perfect Gartley
Ideal / Perfect Crab
Ideal Deep Crab
Ideal / Perfect Butterfly
Harmonic Pattern Educational Volume 0 (Source Code)This indicator was intended as educational purpose only for Harmonic Patterns using XABCD Pattern Tool.
Gartley and Butterfly patterns were ideal patterns explained from The Harmonic Trader written by Scott M Carney.
Some values are further updated later in Harmonic Trading: Volume Three, also by Scott M Carney.
The Harmonic Trader book was also known as Harmonic Trading: Volume Zero.
Usually Bullish Patterns show as "M" shape while Bearish Patterns show as "W" shape.
";" indicates range, example : 1.27;1.618 meaning that value between 1.27 to 1.618.
Indikator ini bertujuan sebagai pendidikan sahaja untuk Harmonic Pattern menggunakan XABCD Pattern Tool.
Pattern Gartley dan Butterfly, juga sebagai pattern ideal telah diterangkan dari buku The Harmonic Trader ditulis oleh Scott M Carney.
Beberapa nilai kemudiannya telah dikemaskini dalam Harmonic Trading: Volume Three, juga oleh Scott M Carney.
Buku The Harmonic Trader book juga dikenali sebagai Harmonic Trading: Volume Zero.
Kebiasaanya Bullish Pattern tunjuk sebagai bentuk "M" manakala Bearish Pattern tunjuk sebagai bentuk "W".
";" menunjukkan range, contoh : 1.27;1.618 bermaksud nilai 1.27 hingga 1.618.
Indicator features :
1. List XAB=CD patterns including ratio and reference page.
2. For desktop display only, not for mobile.
Kemampuan indikator :
1. Senarai XAB=CD pattern termasuk ratio and rujukan muka surat.
2. Untuk paparan desktop sahaja, bukan untuk mobile.
FAQ
1. Credits / Kredit
Scott M Carney, The Harmonic Trader
2. Pattern and Chapter involved / Pattern dan Bab terlibat
Bullish Ideal Gartley - Page 160
Bearish Ideal Gartley - Page 171
Bullish Ideal Butterfly - Page 194
Bearish Ideal Butterfly - Page 204
3. Code Usage / Penggunaan Kod
Free to use for personal usage but credits are most welcomed especially for credits to Scott M Carney.
Bebas untuk kegunaan peribadi tetapi kredit adalah amat dialu-alukan terutamanya kredit kepada Scott M Carney.
Bullish (M) / Bearish (W) Ideal Gartley
Bullish (M) / Bearish (W) Ideal Butterfly
AB=CD Pattern Educational (Source Code)This indicator was intended as educational purpose only for AB=CD Patterns.
AB=CD Patterns were explained and modernized starting from The Harmonic Trader and Harmonic Trading: Volume One until Volume Three written by Scott M Carney.
Indikator ini bertujuan sebagai pendidikan sahaja untuk AB=CD Pattern.
AB=CD Patterns telah diterangkan dan dimodenkan bermula dari The Harmonic Trader dan Harmonic Trading: Volume One hingga Volume Three ditulis oleh Scott M Carney.
Indicator features :
1. List AB=CD patterns including ratio and reference page.
2. For desktop display only, not for mobile.
Kemampuan indikator :
1. Senarai AB=CD pattern termasuk ratio and rujukan muka surat.
2. Untuk paparan desktop sahaja, bukan untuk mobile.
FAQ
1. Credits / Kredit
Scott M Carney
Scott M Carney, Harmonic Trading: Volume One until Volume Three
2. Pattern and Chapter involved / Pattern dan Bab terlibat
Ideal AB=CD - The Harmonic Trader - Page 118 & 129
Standard AB=CD - The Harmonic Trader - Page 116, 117, 127 & 128, Harmonic Trading: Volume One - Page 42, 51, Harmonic Trading: Volume Three - Page 76 & 78
Alternate AB=CD - The Harmonic Trader - Page 142 & 145, Harmonic Trading: Volume One - Page 62, 63
Perfect AB=CD - Harmonic Trading: Volume One - Page 64 & 66
Reciprocal AB=CD - Harmonic Trading: Volume Two - Page 74 & 76
AB=CD with ab=cd - The Harmonic Trader - Page 149 & 153
AB=CD with BC Layering Technique - Harmonic Trading: Volume Three - Page 81 & 84
3. Code Usage / Penggunaan Kod
Free to use for personal usage but credits are most welcomed especially for credits to Scott M Carney.
Bebas untuk kegunaan peribadi tetapi kredit adalah amat dialu-alukan terutamanya kredit kepada Scott M Carney.
Bullish / Bearish Ideal AB=CD
Bullish / Bearish Standard AB=CD
Bullish / Bearish Alternate AB=CD
Bullish / Bearish Perfect AB=CD
Bullish / Bearish Reciprocal AB=CD (Additional value for reciprocal retracement 3.140 and 3.618)
Bullish / Bearish AB=CD with ab=cd
Bullish / Bearish AB=CD with BC Layering Technique
Bat Action Magnet Move BAMM Theory Educational (Source Code)This indicator was intended as educational purpose only for BAMM, which also known as Bat Action Magnet Move.
Indikator ini bertujuan sebagai pendidikan sahaja untuk BAMM, juga dikenali sebagai Bat Action Magnet Move.
BAMM is usually used for Harmonic Patterns such as XAB=CD (Bat Pattern) and AB=CD (0.5 AB=CD Pattern) - Chapter 5.
BAMM also can be used for other Harmonic Pattern with the help of RSI Divergence, hence become RSI BAMM - Chapter 6.
BAMM kebiasaanya digunakan untuk Harmonic Pattern seperti XAB=CD (Bat Pattern) dan AB=CD (0.5 AB=CD Pattern) - Chapter 5.
BAMM juga boleh digunakan untuk Harmonic Pattern lain dengan bantuan RSI Divergence, menjadi RSI BAMM - Chapter 6.
FAQ
1. Credits / Kredit
Scott M Carney,
Scott M Carney, Harmonic Trading: Volume Two (Chapter 5 & Chapter 6)
Bullish XAB=CD BAMM Breakout - Page 144
Bearish XAB=CD BAMM Breakdown - Page 148
Bullish AB=CD BAMM Breakout - Page 153
Bearish AB=CD BAMM Breakdown - Page 156
2. Code Usage / Penggunaan Kod
Free to use for personal usage but credits are most welcomed especially for credits to Scott M Carney.
Bebas untuk kegunaan peribadi tetapi kredit adalah amat dialu-alukan terutamanya kredit kepada Scott M Carney.
2.0 AB=CD Pattern
XAB=CD Bat Pattern
Harmonic Trading Ratios Educational (Source Code)This table indicator was intended as educational purpose only for Harmonic Trading Ratios.
The ratios are used for Harmonic AB=CD and XAB=CD.
Ratio calculation are shown for Retracement and Projection based Primary, Primary Derived, Secondary Derived and Secondary Derived Extreme.
Primary Retracement : 0.618
Primary Projection : 1.618
Please take note that Secondary Derived Extreme is only available for Projection.
Indikator berjadual bertujuan sebagai pendidikan sahaja untuk Harmonic Trading Ratios.
Ratio digunakan untuk Harmonic AB=CD and XAB=CD.
Pengiraan ratio untuk Retracement and Projection adalah berdasarkan Primary, Primary Derived, Secondary Derived dan Secondary Derived Extreme.
Primary Retracement : 0.618
Primary Projection : 1.618
Sila ambil perhatian bahawa Secondary Derived Extreme adalah untuk Projection sahaja.
The values shown in table was based on Harmonic Trading: Volume One, Page 18 written by Scott M Carney.
Nilai yang ditunjukkan dalam jadual adalah berdasarkan buku Harmonic Trading: Volume One, Page 18 ditulis oleh Scott M Carney.
Indicator features :
1. List Harmonic Trading Ratios including calculation.
2. Show and draw individual Harmonic Trading Ratio.
3. For desktop display only, not for mobile.
Kemampuan indikator :
1. Senarai Harmonic Trading Ratios termasuk pengiraan.
2. Memapar dan melukis Harmonic Trading Ratio secara berasingan.
3. Untuk paparan desktop sahaja, bukan untuk mobile.
FAQ
1. Credits / Kredit
Scott M Carney,
Scott M Carney, Harmonic Trading: Volume One
2. Code Usage / Penggunaan Kod
Free to use for personal usage but credits are most welcomed especially for credits to Scott M Carney.
Bebas untuk kegunaan peribadi tetapi kredit adalah amat dialu-alukan terutamanya kredit kepada Scott M Carney.
Display for Bullish / Bearish Retracement
Paparan untuk Bullish / Bearish Retracement
Display for Primary Retracement and Primary Projection
Paparan untuk Primary Retracement and Primary Projection
Display for Secondary Derived Extreme Retracement and Secondary Derived Extreme Projection
Paparan untuk Secondary Derived Extreme Retracement and Secondary Derived Extreme Projection
Harmonic Pattern Table (Source Code)This table indicator was intended as helper / reference for using XABCD Pattern.
Indikator berjadual bertujuan sebagai bantuan / rujukan untuk kegunaan XABCD Pattern.
The values shown in table was based on Harmonic Trading Volume 3: Reaction vs. Reversal written by Scott M Carney.
Nilai yang ditunjukkan dalam jadual adalah berdasarkan buku Harmonic Trading Volume 3: Reaction vs. Reversal ditulis oleh Scott M Carney.
Indicator features :
1. List Harmonic Patterns.
2. Font size small for mobile app and font size normal for desktop.
Kemampuan indikator :
1. Senarai Harmonic Pattern.
2. Saiz font kecil untuk mobile app dan saiz size normal untuk desktop.
FAQ
1. Credits / Kredit
Scott M Carney,
Scott M Carney, Trading Volume 3: Reaction vs. Reversal
2. Code Usage / Penggunaan Kod
Free to use for personal usage but credits are most welcomed especially for credits to Scott M Carney.
Bebas untuk kegunaan peribadi tetapi kredit adalah amat dialu-alukan terutamanya kredit kepada Scott M Carney.
Default Settings.
Setting asal.
Setting for selected Harmonic Pattern (Example : Bat)
Setting untuk pilihan Harmonic Pattern (Contoh : Bat)
Setting for show Harmonic Pattern only (Example : Bat)
Setting untuk nama Harmonic Pattern sahaja(Contoh : Bat)
AB=CD Reciprocal Ratios Table (Source Code)This table indicator was intended as helper / reference for using ABCD Pattern.
Indikator berjadual bertujuan sebagai bantuan / rujukan untuk kegunaan ABCD Pattern.
The values shown in table was based on Harmonic Trading : Volume One book written by Scott M Carney.
Details of value, refer Chapter 4 : The AB=CD Pattern (Page 41).
These values are known as AB=CD Reciprocal Ratios.
Nilai yang ditunjukkan dalam jadual adalah berdasarkan buku Harmonic Trading : Volume One ditulis oleh Scott M Carney.
Nilai secara menyeluruh, rujuk Chapter 4 : The AB=CD Pattern (Muka surat 41).
Nilai berikut dipanggil sebagai AB=CD Reciprocal Ratios
Indicator features :
1. List AB=CD Reciprocal Ratios.
2. Font size small for mobile app and font size normal for desktop.
Kemampuan indikator :
1. Senarai AB=CD Reciprocal Ratio.
2. Saiz font kecil untuk mobile app dan saiz size normal untuk desktop.
FAQ
1. Credits / Kredit
Scott M Carney,
2. Code Usage / Penggunaan Kod
Free to use for personal usage but credits are most welcomed especially for credits to Scott M Carney/
Bebas untuk kegunaan peribadi tetapi kredit adalah amat dialu-alukan terutamanya kredit kepada Scott M Carney.
Settings with appropriate value.
Setting dengan nilai yang sesuai.
Default Settings.
Setting asal.
Settings with different table position.
Setting dengan posisi jadual yang berbeza.
FALSE BREAKOUT NO PROBLEM !! CHK TWIN MOV AVG SEGREGATED RIBBON PROBLEM DEFINITION 1 : To Avoid False Breakouts
PROBLEM DEFINITION 2 : To Ascertain if the trend has changed when a Stock opens with a Gap up or Gap Down
## PROBABLE SOLUTION : Use a Moving Average with lot of latency
## PROBLEM WITH ABOVE SOLUTION : Misses on lot of trades, Late exits leads to drain on winning trades
S O L U T I O N
An Indicator which plots two different types of Moving Averages at the same time
For the MA length 5-100 a fast plot of choice
For the MA Length 110-200 a plot with a lag to ascertain the trend
And then ONE LAST MAN STANDING with even bigger MA length for a lagging indicator to save the day
This indicator gives one 9X9 = 81 Permutation Combinations to look at the markets
One can devise strategies basis if one particular MA Type has crossed another MA Type
Feel free to post the strategies you have come out with!
//// CREDITS AND ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS //////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Following contributors helped the author ::
Credits to Neobutane for his Multiple Type Mov. Avg. Guppy at ......
hxxps://www.tradingview.c0m/script/UQAv1U0c-MA-Study-Different-Types-and-More-NeoButane/
Credits to Jose5770 for sharing Jurik MA code at .....
hxxps://www.tradingview.c0m/script/uqYvkHna-Trend-Direction-Force-Index/
Appreciate and Thank You for sharing your work.
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
P.S You might notice in the code that the few plots are skipped. It is done to fasten the indicator without compromising
on the functionality
National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI)This is one of the most important macro indicators in my trading arsenal due to its reliability across different market regimes. I'm excited to share this with the TradingView community because this Federal Reserve data is not only completely free but extraordinarily useful for portfolio management and risk assessment.
**Important Disclaimers**: Be aware that some NFCI components are updated only monthly but carry significant weighting in the composite index. Additionally, the Fed occasionally revises historical NFCI data, so historical backtests should be interpreted with some caution. Nevertheless, this remains a crucial leading indicator for financial stress conditions.
---
## What is the National Financial Conditions Index?
The National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) is a comprehensive measure of financial stress and liquidity conditions developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. This indicator synthesizes over 100 financial market variables into a single, interpretable metric that captures the overall state of financial conditions in the United States (Brave & Butters, 2011).
**Key Principle**: When the NFCI is positive, financial conditions are tighter than average; when negative, conditions are looser than average. Values above +1.0 historically coincide with financial crises, while values below -1.0 often signal bubble-like conditions.
## Scientific Foundation & Research
The NFCI methodology is grounded in extensive academic research:
### Core Research Foundation
- **Brave, S., & Butters, R. A. (2011)**. "Monitoring financial stability: A financial conditions index approach." *Economic Perspectives*, 35(1), 22-43.
- **Hatzius, J., Hooper, P., Mishkin, F. S., Schoenholtz, K. L., & Watson, M. W. (2010)**. "Financial conditions indexes: A fresh look after the financial crisis." *US Monetary Policy Forum Report*, No. 23.
- **Kliesen, K. L., Owyang, M. T., & Vermann, E. K. (2012)**. "Disentangling diverse measures: A survey of financial stress indexes." *Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review*, 94(5), 369-397.
### Methodological Validation
The NFCI employs Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to extract common factors from financial market data, following the methodology established by **English, W. B., Tsatsaronis, K., & Zoli, E. (2005)** in "Assessing the predictive power of measures of financial conditions for macroeconomic variables." The index has been validated through extensive academic research (Koop & Korobilis, 2014).
## NFCI Components Explained
This indicator provides access to all five official NFCI variants:
### 1. **Main NFCI**
The primary composite index incorporating all financial market sectors. This serves as the main signal for portfolio allocation decisions.
### 2. **Adjusted NFCI (ANFCI)**
Removes the influence of credit market disruptions to focus on non-credit financial stress. Particularly useful during banking crises when credit markets may be impaired but other financial conditions remain stable.
### 3. **Credit Sub-Index**
Isolates credit market conditions including corporate bond spreads, commercial paper rates, and bank lending standards. Important for assessing corporate financing stress.
### 4. **Leverage Sub-Index**
Measures systemic leverage through margin requirements, dealer financing, and institutional leverage metrics. Useful for identifying leverage-driven market stress.
### 5. **Risk Sub-Index**
Captures market-based risk measures including volatility, correlation, and tail risk indicators. Provides indication of risk appetite shifts.
## Practical Trading Applications
### Portfolio Allocation Framework
Based on the academic research, the NFCI can be used for portfolio positioning:
**Risk-On Positioning (NFCI declining):**
- Consider increasing equity exposure
- Reduce defensive positions
- Evaluate growth-oriented sectors
**Risk-Off Positioning (NFCI rising):**
- Consider reducing equity exposure
- Increase defensive positioning
- Favor large-cap, dividend-paying stocks
### Academic Validation
According to **Oet, M. V., Eiben, R., Bianco, T., Gramlich, D., & Ong, S. J. (2011)** in "The financial stress index: Identification of systemic risk conditions," financial conditions indices like the NFCI provide early warning capabilities for systemic risk conditions.
**Illing, M., & Liu, Y. (2006)** demonstrated in "Measuring financial stress in a developed country: An application to Canada" that composite financial stress measures can be useful for predicting economic downturns.
## Advanced Features of This Implementation
### Dynamic Background Coloring
- **Green backgrounds**: Risk-On conditions - potentially favorable for equity investment
- **Red backgrounds**: Risk-Off conditions - time for defensive positioning
- **Intensity varies**: Based on deviation from trend for nuanced risk assessment
### Professional Dashboard
Real-time analytics table showing:
- Current NFCI level and interpretation (TIGHT/LOOSE/NEUTRAL)
- Individual sub-index readings
- Change analysis
- Portfolio guidance (Risk On/Risk Off)
### Alert System
Professional-grade alerts for:
- Risk regime changes
- Extreme stress conditions (NFCI > 1.0)
- Bubble risk warnings (NFCI < -1.0)
- Major trend reversals
## Optimal Usage Guidelines
### Best Timeframes
- **Daily charts**: Recommended for intermediate-term positioning
- **Weekly charts**: Suitable for longer-term portfolio allocation
- **Intraday**: Less effective due to weekly update frequency
### Complementary Indicators
For enhanced analysis, combine NFCI signals with:
- **VIX levels**: Confirm stress readings
- **Credit spreads**: Validate credit sub-index signals
- **Moving averages**: Determine overall market trend context
- **Economic surprise indices**: Gauge fundamental backdrop
### Position Sizing Considerations
- **Extreme readings** (|NFCI| > 1.0): Consider higher conviction positioning
- **Moderate readings** (|NFCI| 0.3-1.0): Standard position sizing
- **Neutral readings** (|NFCI| < 0.3): Consider reduced conviction
## Important Limitations & Considerations
### Data Frequency Issues
**Critical Warning**: While the main NFCI updates weekly (typically Wednesdays), some underlying components update monthly. Corporate bond indices and commercial paper rates, which carry significant weight, may cause delayed reactions to current market conditions.
**Component Update Schedule:**
- **Weekly Updates**: Main NFCI composite, most equity volatility measures
- **Monthly Updates**: Corporate bond spreads, commercial paper rates
- **Quarterly Updates**: Banking sector surveys
- **Impact**: Significant portion of index weight may lag current conditions
### Historical Revisions
The Federal Reserve occasionally revises NFCI historical data as new information becomes available or methodologies are refined. This means backtesting results should be interpreted cautiously, and the indicator works best for forward-looking analysis rather than precise historical replication.
### Market Regime Dependency
The NFCI effectiveness may vary across different market regimes. During extended sideways markets or regime transitions, signals may be less reliable. Consider combining with trend-following indicators for optimal results.
**Bottom Line**: Use NFCI for medium-term portfolio positioning guidance. Trust the directional signals while remaining aware of data revision risks and update frequency limitations. This indicator is particularly valuable during periods of financial stress when reliable guidance is most needed.
---
**Data Source**: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
**Update Frequency**: Weekly (typically Wednesdays)
**Historical Coverage**: 1973-present
**Cost**: Free (public Fed data)
*This indicator is for educational and analytical purposes. Always conduct your own research and risk assessment before making investment decisions.*
## References
Brave, S., & Butters, R. A. (2011). Monitoring financial stability: A financial conditions index approach. *Economic Perspectives*, 35(1), 22-43.
English, W. B., Tsatsaronis, K., & Zoli, E. (2005). Assessing the predictive power of measures of financial conditions for macroeconomic variables. *BIS Papers*, 22, 228-252.
Hatzius, J., Hooper, P., Mishkin, F. S., Schoenholtz, K. L., & Watson, M. W. (2010). Financial conditions indexes: A fresh look after the financial crisis. *US Monetary Policy Forum Report*, No. 23.
Illing, M., & Liu, Y. (2006). Measuring financial stress in a developed country: An application to Canada. *Bank of Canada Working Paper*, 2006-02.
Kliesen, K. L., Owyang, M. T., & Vermann, E. K. (2012). Disentangling diverse measures: A survey of financial stress indexes. *Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review*, 94(5), 369-397.
Koop, G., & Korobilis, D. (2014). A new index of financial conditions. *European Economic Review*, 71, 101-116.
Oet, M. V., Eiben, R., Bianco, T., Gramlich, D., & Ong, S. J. (2011). The financial stress index: Identification of systemic risk conditions. *Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Working Paper*, 11-30.
