Daily HIGH/LOW strategyThis is a DAILY High/LOW strategy combined with a moving average and volume for more accuracy.
The rules are simple :
For long if we had a cross of the high with the previous high and close of the candle is above moving average and chaikin money flow volume is positive we have a long entry.
We exit when we cross down the moving average with the close of the candle.
For short if we had a crossdown of the low with the previous low and close of the candle is below moving average and chaikin money flow volume is negative we have a short entry.
We exit when we cross above the moving average with the close of the candle.
This strategy has no risk management inside so use it with caution.
If you have any questions, let me know
Cari dalam skrip untuk "accuracy"
[jav] Better Bollinger BandsBetter Bollinger Bands (BBB)
This script is a modification of classic Bollinger Bands (BB).
CHARACTERISTICS
Main improvement over BB:
There is no need to introduce a standard deviation multiplier (usually 2).
Here, only a length is needed (usually 20 bars for BB).
Other features:
The type of moving average can be selected: sma, ema, vwma, wma or rma.
An inner band is plotted as an additional indication of approaching extreme levels.
Classic BB can also be shown on the graph for the sake of comparison.
CALCULATIONS
The calculation of BBB is done by adding three different contributions:
Standard deviation of price
Standard deviation of (price minus moving average)
Average of (high - low) over length.
RESULTS
It looks like BBB follows prices more smoothly (without the typical overshoots of BB). Also, it fits extreme values with higher accuracy. Finally, usually it doesn't cross through prices at less relevant, intermediate higher highs or lower lows, which can be advantageous.
See the comparison between red BBB vs blue BB:
Both vwma and ema seem to give decent BBB values using the standard length of 20 bars.
Continuous DivergenceDivergence is generally measured on the RSI and limited to finding either:
1. higher highs on the price and lower highs on the RSI (bearish divergence)
2. lower lows on the price and higher lows on the RSI (bullish divergence)
Continuous Divergence (CD) does two things differently. Firstly, it uses the MFI as its primary source of data, due to its volume component giving it higher accuracy. Secondly, it doesn't measure discrete divergence - i.e. between peaks and troughs - but rather a continuous divergence measurement.
Essentially it is measuring at any given time, the correlation between the price and the MFI. This is smoothed with a moving average (configurable) to get cleaner lines.
CD is used to detect both a slowing down of momentum on the current trend, and a reversal of trend due to changing momentum.
[CP]Pivot Boss Candlestick Scanner - No Repainting This indicator is based on the high probability candlestick patterns described in the ’Secrets of a Pivot Boss’ book.
The indicator does not suffer from repainting.
I have kept this indicator open source, so that you can take this indicator and design a complete trading system around it.
Although the patterns have some statistical edge in the markets, blindly using them as Buy/Sell Indicators will certainly result in a heavy loss.
I like some of these setups more than others, and I have listed them in the order of my likeness.
The first one I like the most, the last one, I like the least.
The patterns are universal and work well in both intraday, daily and even larger timeframes.
Signals in the example charts are manually marked by,
Hammer - profitable short signal
Rocket - profitable long signal
X - unprofitable long or short signal
GENERAL USER INPUTS:
These settings exist as the indicator uses ‘Labels’ to mark the patterns and Pine Script limits a maximum of 500 labels on a chart.
If you want to go back in the past and check how the indicator was doing, set the Start and End dates both and check the ’Use the date range above to mark the Candlestick Setups?’ option.
EXTREME REVERSAL SETUP:
This is by far my favorite setup in the lot. Classic Mean Reversion setup.
The logic, as explained in the book, goes like this,
1. The first bar of the pattern is about two times larger than the average size of the candles in the lookback period.
2. The body of the first bar of the pattern should encompass more than 50 percent of the bar’s total range, but usually not more than 85 percent.
3. The second bar of the pattern opposes the first.
The setup works extremely well in high beta stocks like Vedanta VEDL.
Feel free to play with the settings in order to better align this pattern with your favorite stock.
Check out the examples below,
No indicator is perfect, failed patterns are marked with an X.
OUTSIDE REVERSAL SETUP:
My second favorite setup, it is quite good at catching intraday trends.
Here’s the logic,
1. The engulfing bar of a bullish outside reversal setup has a low that is below the prior bar’s low and a close that is above the prior bar’s high. Reverse the conditions for bearish outside reversal.
2. The engulfing bar is usually 5 to 25 percent larger than the size of the average bar in the lookback period.
Settings for this pattern simply reflect these conditions. Feel free to modify them as you wish.
The pattern is pretty powerful and will sometimes help you catch literally all the highs and lows of the market, as shown in the examples of Vedanta VEDL and RELIANCE stocks below.
As usual, this pattern is not PERFECT either.
DOJI REVERSAL SETUP:
Doji candles signify market indecision and this pattern tries to profit off these market conditions.
Logic:
1. The open and close price of the doji should fall within 10 percent of each other, as measured by the total range of the candlestick.
2. For a bullish doji, the high of the doji candlestick should be below the ten-period simple moving average. Vice-versa for bearish.
3. For a bullish doji setup, one of the two bars following the doji must close above the high of the doji. Vice-versa for bearish.
Feel free to modify the settings and optimize according to the stock you are trading.
Don't optimize too much :)
This pattern works brilliantly well on larger intraday timeframes, like 15m/30m/60m.
This pattern also has a higher propensity to give false indications than the two described above.
Doji reversal typically helps to catch larger trend reversals. Check out the examples below from RELIANCE and NIFTY charts,
Note that the RELIANCE chart below is the same as shown for the Outside Reversal Setup above, notice the confluence of Outside
Reversal and Doji Reversal on the 31st August.
Confluence of patterns usually increases the probability of success.
RELIANCE 15m Chart - Pattern can catch nice trends on higher timeframes
NIFTY 15m Chart
WICK REVERSAL SETUP:
This pattern tries to capture candlesticks with large wick sizes, as they often indicate trend reversal when coupled with significant support and resistance levels.
Logic:
1. The body is used to determine the size of the reversal wick. A wick that is between 2.5 to 3.5 times larger than the size of the body is ideal.
2. For a bullish reversal wick to exist, the close of the bar should fall within the top 35 percent of the overall range of the candle.
3. For a bearish reversal wick to exist, the close of the bar should fall within the bottom 35 percent of the overall range of the candle.
This pattern must always be coupled with important support resistance levels, else there will be a lot of false signals.
The chart below is the same NIFTY chart as above with the Wick Reversal candles marked as well.
You can see that there are a lot of false signals, but the price also indicates ’pausing’ at important levels by printing a wick reversal setup.
You can use this information to your advantage when riding a trend.
FINAL WORDS:
Settings for various patterns simply reflect the logic described.
You will probably need to tweak and optimize the pattern settings for the stock that you are trading.
Higher Beta/Higher Volatility stocks are a great choice for these patterns.
Using these patterns at critical support and resistance levels will result in dramatically high accuracy.
Be creative and try to develop a proper system around this indicator, with rules for position sizing, stop loss etc.
You do not have to trade all the patterns. Even trading just one pattern with a proper system is good enough.
DO NOT USE THIS INDICATOR AS A BUY/SELL SYSTEM, YOU WILL LOSE MONEY.
Feel free to drop any feedback in the comments section below, or if you have any unique candlestick patterns that you would like me to code.
Multi Level ZigzagAt first I thought of doing double zig zag. Once developed I thought it is not much effort to make it multi level zigzag. This script is not same as multi-zigzag indicator (link in the end). In multi zigzag indicator we use zigzag based on different length and each zigzag has no relation to each other. In this script however, each zigzags are related to each other. We cannot just derive Zigzag 4 without deriving Zigzag 3. (Though we can hide each of them individually)
The logic is simple.
Zigzag1: This is the basic zigzag plotted based on given length.
Zigzag2, Zigzag2, Zigzag3 : These are built based on lower level zigzags.
For example, Zigzag2 is built based on Zigzag1 pivots. For calculation, we just use N*2 number of Zigzag1 pivots to derive the next level. Similarly Zigzag2 will become input for Zigzag 3 and Zigzag3 will become input for Zigzag4
Input parameters allow you to chose upto 4 levels of zigzag along with zigzag line color and length. Max array lines also defines how many lines back you want to calculate the zigzag pivots and display then in the stats. Lowering this number will not reduce the number of lines - but, it will limit possibility of calculating higher level zigzags. Stats table just highlight which pivots are applicable for which outer level.
Application: Can be used in pattern recognization scripts to improve accuracy.
Disclaimer: This is not working in intraday charts. Nothing I could do at this point of time. Use it only for daily + timeframes.
Related scripts:
Bollinger Band Width PercentileIntroducing the Bollinger Band Width Percentile
Definitions :
Bollinger Band Width Percentile is derived from the Bollinger Band Width indicator.
It shows the percentage of bars over a specified lookback period that the Bollinger Band Width was less than the current Bollinger Band Width.
Bollinger Band Width is derived from the Bollinger Bands® indicator.
It quantitatively measures the width between the Upper and Lower Bands of the Bollinger Bands.
Bollinger Bands® is a volatility-based indicator.
It consists of three lines which are plotted in relation to a security's price.
The Middle Line is typically a Simple Moving Average.
The Upper and Lower Bands are typically 2 standard deviations above, and below the SMA (Middle Line).
Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index, measured by the standard deviation of logarithmic returns.
The Broad Concept :
Quoting Tradingview specifically for commonly noted limitations of the BBW indicator which I have based this indicator on....
“ Bollinger Bands Width (BBW) outputs a Percentage Difference between the Upper Band and the Lower Band.
This value is used to define the narrowness of the bands.
What needs to be understood however is that a trader cannot simply look at the BBW value and determine if the Band is truly narrow or not.
The significance of an instruments relative narrowness changes depending on the instrument or security in question.
What is considered narrow for one security may not be for another.
What is considered narrow for one security may even change within the scope of the same security depending on the timeframe.
In order to accurately gauge the significance of a narrowing of the bands, a technical analyst will need to research past BBW fluctuations and price performance to increase trading accuracy. ”
Here I present the Bollinger Band Width Percentile as a refinement of the BBW to somewhat overcome the limitations cited above.
Much of the work researching past BBW fluctuations, and making relative comparisons is done naturally by calculating the Bollinger Band Width Percentile.
This calculation also means that it can be read in a similar fashion across assets, greatly simplifying the interpretation of it.
Plotted Components of the Bollinger Band Width Percentile indicator :
Scale High
Mid Line
Scale Low
BBWP plot
Moving Average 1
Moving Average 2
Extreme High Alert
Extreme Low Alert
Bollinger Band Width Percentile Properties:
BBWP Length
The time period to be used in calculating the Moving average which creates the Basis for the BBW component of the BBWP.
Basis Type
The type of moving average to be used as the Basis for the BBW component of the BBWP.
BBWP Lookback
The lookback period to be used in calculating the BBWP itself.
BBWP Plot settings
The BBWP plot settings give a choice between a user defined solid color, and a choice of "Blue Green Red", or "Blue Red" spectrum palettes.
Moving Averages
Has 2 Optional User definable and adjustable moving averages of the BBWP.
Visual Alerts
Optional User adjustable High and low Signal columns.
How to read the BBWP :
A BBWP read of 95 % ... means that the current BBW level is greater than 95% of the lookback period.
A BBWP read of 5 % .... means that the current BBW level is lower than 95% of the lookback period.
Proposed interpretations :
When the BBWP gets above 90 % and particularly when it hits 100% ... this can be a signal that volatility is reaching a maximum and that a macro High or Low is about to be set.
When the BBWP gets below 10 % and particularly when it hits 0% ...... this can be a signal that volatility is reaching a minimum and that there could be a violent range breakout into a trending move.
When the BBWP hits a low level < 5 % and then gets above its moving average ...... this can be an early signal that a consolidation phase is ending and a trending move is beginning.
When the BBWP hits a high level > 95 % and then falls below its moving average ... this can be an early signal that a trending move is ending and a consolidation phase is beginning.
Essential knowledge :
The BBWP was designed with the daily timeframe in mind, but technical analysists may find use for it on other time frames also.
High and Low BBWP readings do not entail any direction bias.
Deeper Concepts :
In finance, “mean reversion” is the assumption that a financial instrument's price will tend to move towards the average price over time.
If we apply that same logic to volatility as represented here by the Bollinger band width percentile, the assumption is that the Bollinger band width percentile will tend to contract from extreme highs, and expand from extreme lows over time corresponding to repeated phases of contraction and expansion of volatility.
It is clear that for most assets there are periods of directional trending behavior followed by periods of “consolidation” ( trading sideways in a range ).
This often ends with a tightening range under reducing volume and volatility ( popularly known as “the squeeze” ).
The squeeze typically ends with a “breakout” from the range characterized by a rapid increase in volume, and volatility when price action again trends directionally, and the cycle repeats.
Typical Use Cases :
The Bollinger Band Width Percentile may be especially useful for Options traders, as it can provide a bias for when Options are relatively expensive, or inexpensive from a Volatility (Vega) perspective.
When the Bollinger Band Width Percentile is relatively high ( 85 percentile or above ) it may be more advantageous to be a net seller of Vega.
When the Bollinger Band Width Percentile is relatively low ( 15 percentile or below ) it may be advantageous to be net long Vega.
Here we examine a number of actionable signals on BTCUSD daily timeframe using the BBWP and a momentum oscillator ( using the TSI here but can equally be used with Bollinger bands, moving averages, or the traders preferred momentum oscillator ).
In this first case we will examine how a spot trader and an options trader could each use a low BBWP read to alert them to a good potential trade setup.
note: using a period of 30 for both the Bollinger bands and the BBWP period ( approximately a month ) and a BBWP lookback of 350 ( approximately a year )
As we see the Bollinger Bands have gradually contracted while price action trended down and the BBWP also fell consistently while below its moving average ( denoting falling volatility ) down to an extremely low level <5% until it broke above its moving average along with a break of range to the upside ( signaling the end of the consolidation at a low level and the beginning of a new trending move to the upside with expanding volatility).
In this next case we will continue to follow the price action presuming that the traders have taken or locked in profit at reasonable take profit levels from the previous trade setup.
Here we see the contraction of the Bollinger bands, and the BBWP alongside price action breaking below the BB Basis giving a warning that the trending move to the upside is likely over.
We then see the BBWP rising and getting above its moving average while price action fails to get above the BB Basis, likewise the TSI fails to get above its signal line and actually crosses below its zeroline.
The trader would normally take this as a signal that the next trending move could be to the downside.
The next trending move turns out to be a dramatic downside move which causes the BBWP to hit 100% signaling that volatility is likely to hit a maximum giving good opportunities for profitable trades to the skilled trader as outlined.
Limitations :
Here we will look at 2 cases where blindly taking BBWP signals could cause the trader to take a failed trade.
In this first example we will look at blindly taking a low volatility options trade
Low Volatility and corresponding low BBWP levels do not automatically mean there has to be expansion immediately, these periods of extreme low volatility can go on for quite some time.
In this second example we will look at blindly taking a high volatility spot short trade
High volatility and corresponding high BBWP levels do not automatically mean there has to be a macro high and contraction of volatility immediately, these periods of extreme high volatility can also go on for quite some time, hence the famous saying "The trend is your friend until the end of the trend" and lesser well known, but equally valid saying "never try to short the top of a parabolic blow off top"
Markets are variable and past performance is no guarantee of future results, this is not financial advice, I am not a financial advisor.
Final thoughts
The BBWP is an improvement over the BBW in my opinion, and is a novel, and useful addition to a Technical Analysts toolkit.
It is not a standalone indicator and is meant to be used in conjunction with other tools for direction bias, and Good Risk Management to base sound trades off.
John Bollinger has suggested using Bolliger bands, and its related indicators with two or three other non-correlated indicators that provide more direct market signals.
He believes it is crucial to use indicators based on different types of data.
Some of his favored technical techniques are moving average divergence/convergence (MACD), on-balance volume and relative strength index (RSI).
Thanks
Massive respect to John Bollinger, long-time technician of the markets, and legendary creator of both the Bollinger Bands® in the 1980´s, and the Bollinger band Width indicator in 2010 which this indicator is based on.
His work continues to inspire, decades after he brought the original Bollinger Bands to the market.
Much respect also to Eric Crown who gave me the fundamental knowledge of Technical Analysis, and Options trading.
NSDT Pivot ZonesThis is a new take on Traditional Pivot Points. By modifying the calculations, we were able to create "pivot zones" with a decent degree of accuracy.
[blackcat] L1 Swing Reversal IndicatorLevel: 1
Background
Many asked me about swing reversal indicators. There are many but less of them can guarantee high win rate. Because market is complex, the reversals can be nested together, which means sub level reversals will be contained in higher level waves. This can be well explained by Elloit wave theory.
Function
Here it is a simple moving average based swing reversal indicator as an example for many others to improve it. Although it simple, it could be very powerful to dedicated trading pairs in specific time frame. One can adjust N1~N4 as SMA peiords from short to long to customized this indicator or even by trying different moving average types to enhance its accuracy.
Key Signal
N1~N4 --> SMA look back periods
OB --> Overbought Threshold
OS --> Oversold Threshold
Pros and Cons
Simpe but powerful. More feedbacks are appreciated.
Remarks
Easy to be customized or integrated to your trading system.
Readme
In real life, I am a prolific inventor. I have successfully applied for more than 60 international and regional patents in the past 12 years. But in the past two years or so, I have tried to transfer my creativity to the development of trading strategies. Tradingview is the ideal platform for me. I am selecting and contributing some of the hundreds of scripts to publish in Tradingview community. Welcome everyone to interact with me to discuss these interesting pine scripts.
The scripts posted are categorized into 5 levels according to my efforts or manhours put into these works.
Level 1 : interesting script snippets or distinctive improvement from classic indicators or strategy. Level 1 scripts can usually appear in more complex indicators as a function module or element.
Level 2 : composite indicator/strategy. By selecting or combining several independent or dependent functions or sub indicators in proper way, the composite script exhibits a resonance phenomenon which can filter out noise or fake trading signal to enhance trading confidence level.
Level 3 : comprehensive indicator/strategy. They are simple trading systems based on my strategies. They are commonly containing several or all of entry signal, close signal, stop loss, take profit, re-entry, risk management, and position sizing techniques. Even some interesting fundamental and mass psychological aspects are incorporated.
Level 4 : script snippets or functions that do not disclose source code. Interesting element that can reveal market laws and work as raw material for indicators and strategies. If you find Level 1~2 scripts are helpful, Level 4 is a private version that took me far more efforts to develop.
Level 5 : indicator/strategy that do not disclose source code. private version of Level 3 script with my accumulated script processing skills or a large number of custom functions. I had a private function library built in past two years. Level 5 scripts use many of them to achieve private trading strategy.
Horcrux OscilatorDoes your oscilator give exit signal on time? Mine does. However worst the idea is, I had to come up with a horcrux plan :P
Concept is as below:
I use 7 standard deviation Bollinger bands to identify which level current price is in. Standard deviations used are from 0.5 (lowest level) to 3.5(highest level) with 0.5 step . This creates overall 16 levels ranging from 0 to 15 with 0 being the highest level and 15 being the lowest.
LookbackPeriod is used to calculate max and min values of these threshold over certain bars. Average of max and min constitutes threshold.
Horcrux value is difference between max state and current state in LookbackPeriod.
Lower the horcrux much closer the current state to the highest state. Hence, horcrux higher than threshold is considered as green region where prices are moving up. Decrease in number of horcruxes means price state moving closer to highest state (which is the lower level). Hence, indicates reduced momentum or reversal.
Use higher LookbackPeriod for increased accuracy. Increase BBLength for long term trades. Adjustment is used to adjust threshold line by up to + or - 20%
Bollinger Bands %B + ATR This indicator is best suitable for the 30-minutes interval OIL charts, due to ATR accuracy.
BB%B is great for showing oversold/overbought market conditions and offers excellent entry/exit opportunities for Day Trading (30 minutes chart), as well as reliable convergence/divergence patterns. ATR is conveniently combined and shows potential market volatility levels for the day when used in 30-minutes charts, thus demarcating your day trade exit point.
To use the ATR on this indicator: Just read the ATR value of the lowest (for a new bull trend) or the highest (for a new bear trend) candlestick of the newly formed trend leg. Let's suppose the ATR reads 0.2891, then you project a move of 2.891 points towards the given trend direction using the ruler tool (30-minutes charts). That's all, and there you have your take profit target!
Good Luck!!!
Stoch X, an Indicator of Indicators by DGTStochastic refers to a randomly determined process and financial markets use stochastic models to represent the seemingly random behaviour of assets and then used by quantitative analysts to value options on asset prices
The stochastic oscillator, developed by George Lane, presents the location of the closing price of a stock in relation to the high and low range of the price of a stock over a period of time. Lane has said that the stochastic oscillator does not follow price or volume or anything similar. He indicates that the oscillator follows the speed or momentum of price.
Traditionally, readings over 80 are considered in the overbought range, and readings under 20 are considered oversold. Please note that, very strong trends can maintain overbought or oversold conditions for an extended period and traders should look to changes in the stochastic oscillator for clues about future trend shifts. It is advised to check the higher timeframe of your trading timeframe and see where you are in the “big picture”
Signal crosses , intersection of stochastic and its signal line is considered to be a signal that a reversal may be in the works
Divergence between the stochastic oscillator and trending price action is also seen as an important reversal signal
Lane also reveals in interviews that, as a rule, the momentum or speed of the price of a stock changes before the price changes itself . In this way, the stochastic oscillator can be used to foreshadow reversals when the indicator reveals bullish or bearish divergences. This signal is the first, and arguably the most important, trading signal Lane identified.
What is Stochastic X ?
Stochastic X , is essentially an indicator of an indicator, providing stochastic calculation to some of well known indicators, such as RSI, MFI, OBV, etc. This means that it is a measure of selected specific indicator relative to its own high/low range over a user defined period of time.
Features of Stoch X
1- Displays Stoch of and indicator plus a companion indicator (companion display can be disabled from user dialog box)
Available options
Stoch Source plus PM A, where Source is close price and PMA refers to Price Distance to its Moving Average (for further details you may check my study of Price Distance to its MA by DGT, and different application of distance concept available with “MACD-X, More Than MACD" And “P-MACD”)
Stoch RSI plus RSI , Stoch RSI, developed by Tushar Chande and Stanley Kroll, is a build-in indicator available on Trading View, where Stoch X adds RSI as a companion indicator to Stoch RSI
Stoch MFI and MFI , where MFI is Money Flow Index, measures buying and selling pressure through analyzing both price and volume
Stoch OBV + VO , Where OBV is On Balance Volume, is a momentum indicator that measures positive and negative volume flow. VO stands for Volume Oscillator which aims to confirm a market turnaround or trend reversal
Stoch EWO + EWO , EWO stands for Elliott Wave Oscillator
By default the threshold levels are indicated and are displayed differently for the regular Stoch or Stoch RSI. Overbought band (70-80), oversold band (20-30) and middle line (0) are emphasized
Warning : Centered Oscillators base line is moved from 0 to 50 to better suit with Stoch X, which is applied to PMA, VO and EWO
2- Can be plotted along with Stoch in the same window using the same scaling
To avoid misinterpreting the area between Stoch X and its Signal Line is highlighted automatically in case Stoch is selected to be plotted
3- Squeeze Indicator added as Add-on in the bottom of the Stoch X
During volatile market conditions the stochastic oscillator has been known to produce false signals. One way to help with this is to take the price trend as a filter, or basic chart pattern analysis can help to identify major, underlying trends and increase the Stoch X's accuracy.
This study implements Squeeze Indicator to help and add additional insight for filtering false signals. Blue diamond shapes indicates the squeeze release, that is volatility increased and according to momentum direction the buy/sell possibility can be considered. Orange ones displays consolidation periods, that is low volatility and the market is assumed to be in squeeze and no trade is recommended. in this phase.
Disclaimer: Trading success is all about following your trading strategy and the indicators should fit within your trading strategy, and not to be traded upon solely
The script is for informational and educational purposes only. Use of the script does not constitutes professional and/or financial advice. You alone the sole responsibility of evaluating the script output and risks associated with the use of the script. In exchange for using the script, you agree not to hold dgtrd TradingView user liable for any possible claim for damages arising from any decision you make based on use of the script
Study RSI3M3 from Walter J. BressertDear Trader,
Walter Bressert started with cycle trading and published is findings in different books.
In one off his documents "Timing is everything, The Cycle Trading Pattern" he's using a very simple oscillator.
This oscillator called RSI3M3.
The RSI3M3 is a 3-bar RSI smoothed with a 3-bar moving average.
Oscillator/Cycle Combinations that Identify Trading Cycle Tops and Bottoms.
Trading cycles show distinct tops and bottoms that are frequently accompanied by overbought and oversold levels of an oscillator that is derived from price activity.
This oscillator shows the ebb and flow of market energy, or the buying and selling power as it tops and bottoms.
Although not based on time, it quite frequently identifies cycle tops and bottoms with accuracy of 80-90% depending on the market and time frame.
With this kind of accuracy the oscillator can be used to identify high probability trading situations at tops and bottoms of cycles.
Even better, the oscillator can be used to generate mechanical buy and sell signals that take much of the judgment and stress out of trading.
In combination with other indicator, like the MACD, this could be a powerfull tool to make youre strategy more accurate.
Happy trading,
ADutchTourist
CME Equity Futures Price Limits
Breakers for CME's futures contracts. Should work on CST/EST/UTC charts.
CME says it uses the last 30 seconds of the session to grab a reference price, so I took the open of the last session's candle because it's easier.
Out of session breakers: +/-5%
Limit downs: -7%/-13%/-20%
There are some minor nuances for the later part of the NY session but I don't really care to add that in right now.
Options:
- Input a manual reference price to override the selected price for accuracy.
- Show only the current/last session's limits. This breaks the in session limit down lines.
Live prices:
www.cmegroup.com
Month codes:
www.cmegroup.com
Reference:
www.cmegroup.com
It's best to check the last updated reference price to ensure it's correct.
Dekidaka-Ashi - Candles And Volume Teaming Up (Again)The introduction of candlestick methods for market price data visualization might be one of the most important events in the history of technical analysis, as it totally changed the way to see a trading chart. Candlestick charts are extremely efficient, as they allow the trader to visualize the opening, high, low and closing price (OHLC) each at the same time, something impossible with a traditional line chart. Candlesticks are also cleaner than bars charts and make a more efficient use of space. Japanese peoples are always better than everyone at an incredible amount of stuff, look at what they made, the candlesticks/renko/kagi/heikin-ashi charts, the Ichimoku, manga, ecchi...
However classical candlesticks only include historical market price data, and won't include other type of data such as volume, which is considered by many investors a key information toward effective financial forecasting as volume is an indicator of trading activity. In order to tackle to this problem solutions where proposed, the most common one being to adapt the width of the candle based on the amount of volume, this method is the most commonly accepted one when it comes to visualizing both volume and OHLC data using candlesticks.
Now why proposing an additional tool for volume data visualization ? Because the classical width approach don't provide usable data regarding volume (as the width is directly related to the volume data). Therefore a new trading tool based on candlesticks that allow the trader to gain access to information about the volume is proposed. The approach is based on rescaling the volume directly to the price without the direct use of user settings. We will also see that this tool allow to create support and resistances as well as providing signals based on a breakout methodology.
Dekidaka-Ashi - Kakatte Koi Yo!
"Dekidaka" (出来高) mean "Volume" in a financial context, while "Ashi" (足) mean "leg" or "bar". In general methods based on candlesticks will have "Ashi" in their name.
Now that the name of the indicator has been explained lets see how it works, the indicator should be overlayed directly to a candlestick chart. The proposed method don't alter the shape of the candlesticks and allow to visualize any information given by the candles. As you can see on the figure below the candle body of the proposed tool only return the border of the candle, this allow to show the high/low wick of the candle.
The body size of the candle is based on two things : the absolute close/open difference, and the volume, if the absolute close/open difference is high and the volume is high then the body of the candle will be clearly visible, if the volume is high but the absolute close/open difference is low, then the body will be less visible. This approach is used because of the rescaling method used, the volume is divided by the sum between the current volume value and the precedent volume value, this rescale the volume in a (0,1) range, this result is multiplied by the absolute close/open difference and added/subtracted to the high/low price. The original approach was based on normalization using the rolling maximum, but this approach would have led to repainting.
You have access to certain settings that can help you obtain a better visualization, the first one being the body size setting, with higher values increasing the body amplitude.
In green body with size 2, in red with size 1. The smooth parameter will smooth the volume data before being used, this allow to create more visible bodies.
Here smooth = 100.
Making Bands From The Dekidaka-Ashi
This tool is made so it output two rescaled volume values, with the highest value being denoted as "Dekidaka-high" and the lowest one as "Dekidaka-low". In order to get bands we must use two moving averages, one using the Dekidaka-high as input and the other one using Dekidaka-low, the body size parameter should be fairly high, therefore i will hide the tool as it could cause trouble visualizing the bands.
Bands with both MA's of period 20 and the body size equal to 20. Larger periods of the MA's will require a larger amount of body size.
Breakout Signals
There is a wide variety of signals that can be made from candles, ones i personally like comes from the HA candles. The proposed tool is no exception and can produce a wide variety of signals. The signals generated are basic ones based on a breakout methodology, here is each signal with their associated label :
Strong Bullish signal "⇈" : The high price cross the Dekidaka-high and the closing price is greater than the opening price
Strong Bearish signal "⇊" : The low price cross the Dekidaka-low and the closing price is lower than the opening price
Weak Bullish signal "↑" : The high price cross the Dekidaka-high and the closing price is lower than the opening price
Weak Bearish signal "↓" : The low price cross the Dekidaka-low and the closing price is greater than the opening price
Uncertain "↕" : The high price cross the Dekidaka-high and the low price cross the the Dekidaka-low
In order to see the signals on the chart check the "Show signals" option. Note that such signals are not based on an advanced study, and even if they are based on a breakout methodology we can see that volatile movement rarely produce signals, therefore signals mostly occur during low volume/volatility periods, which isn't necessarily a great thing.
Conclusion
A trading tool based on candlesticks that aim to include volume information has been presented and a brief methodology has been introduced. A study of the signals generated is required, however i'am not confident at all on their accuracy, i could work on that in the future. We have also seen how to make bands from the tool.
Candlesticks remain a beautiful charting technique that can provide an enormous amount of information to the trader, and even if the accuracy of patterns based on candlesticks is subject to debates, we can all agree that candlesticks will remain the most widely used type of financial chart.
On a side note i mostly use a dark color for a bullish candle, and a light gray for a bearish candle, with the border color being of the same color as the bullish candle. This is in my opinion the best setup for a candlestick chart, as candles using the traditional green/red can kill the eyes and because this setup allow to apply a wide variety of colors to the plot of overlayed indicators without the fear of causing conflict with the candles color.
Thanks for reading ! :3 Nya
A Word
This morning i received some hateful messages on twitter, the users behind them certainly coming from tradingview, so lets be clear, i know i'am not the most liked person in this community, i know that perfectly, but no one merit to be receive hateful messages. I'am not responsible for the losses of peoples using my indicators, nor is tradingview, using technical indicators does not guarantee long term returns, your ability to be profitable will mostly be based on the quality and quantity of knowledge you have.
SAR Trend Trader w/ Alerts By: jhanson107This strategy utilizes Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse) along with EMA filtering to improve accuracy. Use the strategy to find optimal settings for the pair your are trading.
Long:
1. SAR below price action
2. Above slow EMA (Default 100 EMA)
3. Update trailing stop daily and exit trade once stopped out.
Short
1. SAR above price action
2. Below slow EMA (Default 100 EMA)
3. Update trailing stop daily and exit trade once stopped out.
White Bars = No trade zone which helps filter out bad trades compared to only using Parabolic SAR.
SAR Trend Trader Strategy By: jhanson107This strategy utilizes Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse) along with EMA filtering to improve accuracy. Use the strategy to find optimal settings for the pair your are trading.
Long:
1. SAR below price action
2. Above slow EMA (Default 100 EMA)
3. Update trailing stop daily and exit trade once stopped out.
Short
1. SAR above price action
2. Below slow EMA (Default 100 EMA)
3. Update trailing stop daily and exit trade once stopped out.
White Bars = No trade zone which helps filter out bad trades compared to only using Parabolic SAR.
Time Series ForecastIntroduction
Forecasting is a blurry science that deal with lot of uncertainty. Most of the time forecasting is made with the assumption that past values can be used to forecast a time series, the accuracy of the forecast depend on the type of time series, the pre-processing applied to it, the forecast model and the parameters of the model.
In tradingview we don't have much forecasting models appart from the linear regression which is definitely not adapted to forecast financial markets, instead we mainly use it as support/resistance indicator. So i wanted to try making a forecasting tool based on the lsma that might provide something at least interesting, i hope you find an use to it.
The Method
Remember that the regression model and the lsma are closely related, both share the same equation ax + b but the lsma will use running parameters while a and b are constants in a linear regression, the last point of the lsma of period p is the last point of the linear regression that fit a line to the price at time p to 1, try to add a linear regression with count = 100 and an lsma of length = 100 and you will see, this is why the lsma is also called "end point moving average".
The forecast of the linear regression is the linear extrapolation of the fitted line, however the proposed indicator forecast is the linear extrapolation between the value of the lsma at time length and the last value of the lsma when short term extrapolation is false, when short term extrapolation is checked the forecast is the linear extrapolation between the lsma value prior to the last point and the last lsma value.
long term extrapolation, length = 1000
short term extrapolation, length = 1000
How To Use
Intervals are create from the running mean absolute error between the price and the lsma. Those intervals can be interpreted as possible support and resistance levels when using long term extrapolation, make sure that the intervals have been priorly tested, this mean the intervals are more significants.
The short term extrapolation is made with the assumption that the price will follow the last two lsma points direction, the forecast tend to become inaccurate during a trend change or when noise affect heavily the lsma.
You can test both method accuracy with the replay mode.
Comparison With The Linear Regression
Both methods share similitudes, but they have different results, lets compare them.
In blue the indicator and in red a linear regression of both period 200, the linear regression is always extremely conservative since she fit a line using the least squares method, at the contrary the indicator is less conservative which can be an advantage as well as a problem.
Conclusion
Linear models are good when what we want to forecast is approximately linear, thats not the case with market price and this is why other methods are used. But the use of the lsma to provide a forecast is still an interesting method that might require further studies.
Thanks for reading !
Keltner Channels around Hull MAKeltner Channels around Hull Moving Average
Script shared upon request. No guarantees on accuracy.
Bitcoin Golden RatioGives the top and bottom of the cryptocurrencies cycles.
When DMA111 crosses DMA350*2, the top is in.
Show accumulation phases and resistances with very precise accuracy.
Simple LinesIntroduction
Making lines is great in technical analysis since it can highlights principal movements and make the analysis of the price easier when using certain methodologies (Elliott Waves, patterns).
However most of the indicators making lines (Zig-Zag, simple linear regression) are non causal (repaint), this is the challenge i tried to overcome, making an indicator capable of making lines in a smart way (able to follow price without loosing a linear approach) and with the least lag possible, i inspired myself from the behaviour of the renko when using a small brick size. This indicator does not repaint .
The code is short and i hope, understandable for all of you, making lines is not a difficult task and its important to know that when a problem appear complex it does not mean that the code used to solve this problem must be complex. Lets see the indicator in details.
The indicator
The indicator have 4 parameters, the length parameter who control the length of lines, the emphasis parameter who control the stability and also the ability to make lines closer to the price (thus minimizing the sum of squares) , the mult parameter which is similar to emphasis and a point option that we will discuss later.
When emphasis and mult are both equal to 1 the indicator will sometimes draw a perfect line, however this line will try to follow the price and thus can create a noisy result.
This is where emphasis and mult will correct this behaviour. The emphasis parameter give a more periodic look as well as some control to the lines but can also destroy them.
This should not happen with mult , this parameter also give more predictability to the lines. Overall it correct the drawbacks of the parameters combinations mentioned earlier.
Its also possible to mix both the emphasis and mult parameter, but take into account that when both are equals the result consist of less reactive lengthy lines with low accuracy. Its better to only use one of them and let the other stay to 1.
Point Option
The indicator can sometimes have a weird look, appearing almost flat or just dont appearing at all. When such thing happen use the point option.
XPDUSD without point option.
with point option :
Time Frame Problem and Its Fix
When using higher time-frames the result of the indicator can appear different, in general the higher the time frame the lengthier are the lines. In order to fix this you can use decimals in the length parameter
length and mult both equal to 5.5, emphasis cant use decimals.
Conclusion
I have highlighted a simple way to make use of the small renko box size method in order to return reactive lines without making the indicator repaint. However Its ability to be close to the price as well as being always super reactive is not a guarantee.
For any suggestion/help feel free to pm me, i would be happy to help you :)
RSI Alligator StrategyHello trading family! Just wanted to give a quick write up and share the new code for the RSI Alligator Strategy. I amended it to show every crossover signal, weak and strong, so we can accurately gauge its effectiveness.
Having played with this for a couple hours now I have learned a few things
-Using Heikin Ashi seems to smooth it out a bit and provides about 20% fewer signals, leading to overall more accuracy. However, it can be misleading as the Heikin Ashi opening price doesn't always line up with the market price, especially in cases of large moves. Overall though it didn't seem too far off except for a few instances.
-Also, using the Heikin Ashi gives you a better idea of the trend, which this indicator is primarily used to detect and exploit.
-Having tested on TF of 1H-1D, overall profitability is found to be highest between 4H-12H, with 1D giving the "safest" longer term signals, and lower TF's generating many more signals due to volatility.
-Instead of waiting for the next signal in order to close, you can often use a crossover/crossunder of the 5 and 13 to close the previous trade, especially if paired with a Heikin Ashi of opposite color (green to close a short, red to close a long)
-You will also notice several instances where the Green 5 period show divergences that aren't visible on the regular RSI, another handy little feature
So far I have still only tested this on BTCUSD. Feel free to apply it to any coin and let me know what you find.
Here is the script. If you have any ideas or suggestions please let me know!
ACW SUPERTREND v3 as per testing
xbtusd works fine on 5,15,30 and above
100% accuracy on 30mins
ethusd works on any time frame
100% accuracy on 30mins
updated the code script to provide go long , go short 2/3 candles as compared to acw supertrend v2
script is still being updated
