Optimal Moving Average (AI/ML) [wbburgin]Some traders swear by the 200-period moving average. Others, by the 100-period. Others, the 14-period. It depends on your asset, your timeframe, the trend…
The fact of the matter is that no moving average will ever be a consistent indicator for a serious trader - a fixed-length moving average will always need confirmation indicators and tests. When your instrument is trending, you need a faster moving average to better fit the data; when your instrument is ranging, you need a slower moving average that cleans the data. This just is not possible given the way the moving average is traditionally coded, which makes it a lagging indicator.
Thus we need a moving average that:
can project the next prices, and
can change its length depending on what best fits these future prices.
The Optimal Moving Average selects the optimal moving average length for a projected future price. The algorithm classifies moving averages by their effectiveness in predicting future price movement. If a moving average of length n has historically been accurate in predicting the next bar, the moving average will be tested compared to its peers ( n -1, n +5, n -100, etc.) and promoted or demoted depending on its effectiveness. This means that the indicator will not have a length input like other static moving averages or machine-learning moving averages on TradingView- it will select the ideal length for your chart from the average that has the least error and best prediction.
Advantages over other ML Moving Averages on TradingView
The vast majority of AI/ML moving average algorithms classify their moving averages only by if the average is above or below the current price.
This approach is inherently flawed because the model
Is not predictive of future prices (the structural lagging problem still exists),
Is not built on a variable-length MA (cannot select alternating lengths depending on the bar), and
does not classify the scale of difference between the MA and the price.
This indicator solves all those problems. It classifies moving averages by the scale of which their rate predicts the next price. Thus it is quick to catch trend changes but also acts as support or resistance, and models the projected price more accurately than a traditional moving average.
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Support & Resistance AI (K means/median) [ThinkLogicAI]█ OVERVIEW
K-means is a clustering algorithm commonly used in machine learning to group data points into distinct clusters based on their similarities. While K-means is not typically used directly for identifying support and resistance levels in financial markets, it can serve as a tool in a broader analysis approach.
Support and resistance levels are price levels in financial markets where the price tends to react or reverse. Support is a level where the price tends to stop falling and might start to rise, while resistance is a level where the price tends to stop rising and might start to fall. Traders and analysts often look for these levels as they can provide insights into potential price movements and trading opportunities.
█ BACKGROUND
The K-means algorithm has been around since the late 1950s, making it more than six decades old. The algorithm was introduced by Stuart Lloyd in his 1957 research paper "Least squares quantization in PCM" for telecommunications applications. However, it wasn't widely known or recognized until James MacQueen's 1967 paper "Some Methods for Classification and Analysis of Multivariate Observations," where he formalized the algorithm and referred to it as the "K-means" clustering method.
So, while K-means has been around for a considerable amount of time, it continues to be a widely used and influential algorithm in the fields of machine learning, data analysis, and pattern recognition due to its simplicity and effectiveness in clustering tasks.
█ COMPARE AND CONTRAST SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE METHODS
1) K-means Approach:
Cluster Formation: After applying the K-means algorithm to historical price change data and visualizing the resulting clusters, traders can identify distinct regions on the price chart where clusters are formed. Each cluster represents a group of similar price change patterns.
Cluster Analysis: Analyze the clusters to identify areas where clusters tend to form. These areas might correspond to regions of price behavior that repeat over time and could be indicative of support and resistance levels.
Potential Support and Resistance Levels: Based on the identified areas of cluster formation, traders can consider these regions as potential support and resistance levels. A cluster forming at a specific price level could suggest that this level has been historically significant, causing similar price behavior in the past.
Cluster Standard Deviation: In addition to looking at the means (centroids) of the clusters, traders can also calculate the standard deviation of price changes within each cluster. Standard deviation is a measure of the dispersion or volatility of data points around the mean. A higher standard deviation indicates greater price volatility within a cluster.
Low Standard Deviation: If a cluster has a low standard deviation, it suggests that prices within that cluster are relatively stable and less likely to exhibit sudden and large price movements. Traders might consider placing tighter stop-loss orders for trades within these clusters.
High Standard Deviation: Conversely, if a cluster has a high standard deviation, it indicates greater price volatility within that cluster. Traders might opt for wider stop-loss orders to allow for potential price fluctuations without getting stopped out prematurely.
Cluster Density: Each data point is assigned to a cluster so a cluster that is more dense will act more like gravity and
2) Traditional Approach:
Trendlines: Draw trendlines connecting significant highs or lows on a price chart to identify potential support and resistance levels.
Chart Patterns: Identify chart patterns like double tops, double bottoms, head and shoulders, and triangles that often indicate potential reversal points.
Moving Averages: Use moving averages to identify levels where the price might find support or resistance based on the average price over a specific period.
Psychological Levels: Identify round numbers or levels that traders often pay attention to, which can act as support and resistance.
Previous Highs and Lows: Identify significant previous price highs and lows that might act as support or resistance.
The key difference lies in the approach and the foundation of these methods. Traditional methods are based on well-established principles of technical analysis and market psychology, while the K-means approach involves clustering price behavior without necessarily incorporating market sentiment or specific price patterns.
It's important to note that while the K-means approach might provide an interesting way to analyze price data, it should be used cautiously and in conjunction with other traditional methods. Financial markets are influenced by a wide range of factors beyond just price behavior, and the effectiveness of any method for identifying support and resistance levels should be thoroughly tested and validated. Additionally, developments in trading strategies and analysis techniques could have occurred since my last update.
█ K MEANS ALGORITHM
The algorithm for K means is as follows:
Initialize cluster centers
assign data to clusters based on minimum distance
calculate cluster center by taking the average or median of the clusters
repeat steps 1-3 until cluster centers stop moving
█ LIMITATIONS OF K MEANS
There are 3 main limitations of this algorithm:
Sensitive to Initializations: K-means is sensitive to the initial placement of centroids. Different initializations can lead to different cluster assignments and final results.
Assumption of Equal Sizes and Variances: K-means assumes that clusters have roughly equal sizes and spherical shapes. This may not hold true for all types of data. It can struggle with identifying clusters with uneven densities, sizes, or shapes.
Impact of Outliers: K-means is sensitive to outliers, as a single outlier can significantly affect the position of cluster centroids. Outliers can lead to the creation of spurious clusters or distortion of the true cluster structure.
█ LIMITATIONS IN APPLICATION OF K MEANS IN TRADING
Trading data often exhibits characteristics that can pose challenges when applying indicators and analysis techniques. Here's how the limitations of outliers, varying scales, and unequal variance can impact the use of indicators in trading:
Outliers are data points that significantly deviate from the rest of the dataset. In trading, outliers can represent extreme price movements caused by rare events, news, or market anomalies. Outliers can have a significant impact on trading indicators and analyses:
Indicator Distortion: Outliers can skew the calculations of indicators, leading to misleading signals. For instance, a single extreme price spike could cause indicators like moving averages or RSI (Relative Strength Index) to give false signals.
Risk Management: Outliers can lead to overly aggressive trading decisions if not properly accounted for. Ignoring outliers might result in unexpected losses or missed opportunities to adjust trading strategies.
Different Scales: Trading data often includes multiple indicators with varying units and scales. For example, prices are typically in dollars, volume in units traded, and oscillators have their own scale. Mixing indicators with different scales can complicate analysis:
Normalization: Indicators on different scales need to be normalized or standardized to ensure they contribute equally to the analysis. Failure to do so can lead to one indicator dominating the analysis due to its larger magnitude.
Comparability: Without normalization, it's challenging to directly compare the significance of indicators. Some indicators might have a larger numerical range and could overshadow others.
Unequal Variance: Unequal variance in trading data refers to the fact that some indicators might exhibit higher volatility than others. This can impact the interpretation of signals and the performance of trading strategies:
Volatility Adjustment: When combining indicators with varying volatility, it's essential to adjust for their relative volatilities. Failure to do so might lead to overemphasizing or underestimating the importance of certain indicators in the trading strategy.
Risk Assessment: Unequal variance can impact risk assessment. Indicators with higher volatility might lead to riskier trading decisions if not properly taken into account.
█ APPLICATION OF THIS INDICATOR
This indicator can be used in 2 ways:
1) Make a directional trade:
If a trader thinks price will go higher or lower and price is within a cluster zone, The trader can take a position and place a stop on the 1 sd band around the cluster. As one can see below, the trader can go long the green arrow and place a stop on the one standard deviation mark for that cluster below it at the red arrow. using this we can calculate a risk to reward ratio.
Calculating risk to reward: targeting a risk reward ratio of 2:1, the trader could clearly make that given that the next resistance area above that in the orange cluster exceeds this risk reward ratio.
2) Take a reversal Trade:
We can use cluster centers (support and resistance levels) to go in the opposite direction that price is currently moving in hopes of price forming a pivot and reversing off this level.
Similar to the directional trade, we can use the standard deviation of the cluster to place a stop just in case we are wrong.
In this example below we can see that shorting on the red arrow and placing a stop at the one standard deviation above this cluster would give us a profitable trade with minimal risk.
Using the cluster density table in the upper right informs the trader just how dense the cluster is. Higher density clusters will give a higher likelihood of a pivot forming at these levels and price being rejected and switching direction with a larger move.
█ FEATURES & SETTINGS
General Settings:
Number of clusters: The user can select from 3 to five clusters. A good rule of thumb is that if you are trading intraday, less is more (Think 3 rather than 5). For daily 4 to 5 clusters is good.
Cluster Method: To get around the outlier limitation of k means clustering, The median was added. This gives the user the ability to choose either k means or k median clustering. K means is the preferred method if the user things there are no large outliers, and if there appears to be large outliers or it is assumed there are then K medians is preferred.
Bars back To train on: This will be the amount of bars to include in the clustering. This number is important so that the user includes bars that are recent but not so far back that they are out of the scope of where price can be. For example the last 2 years we have been in a range on the sp500 so 505 days in this setting would be more relevant than say looking back 5 years ago because price would have to move far to get there.
Show SD Bands: Select this to show the 1 standard deviation bands around the support and resistance level or unselect this to just show the support and resistance level by itself.
Features:
Besides the support and resistance levels and standard deviation bands, this indicator gives a table in the upper right hand corner to show the density of each cluster (support and resistance level) and is color coded to the cluster line on the chart. Higher density clusters mean price has been there previously more than lower density clusters and could mean a higher likelihood of a reversal when price reaches these areas.
█ WORKS CITED
Victor Sim, "Using K-means Clustering to Create Support and Resistance", 2020, towardsdatascience.com
Chris Piech, "K means", stanford.edu
█ ACKNOLWEDGMENTS
@jdehorty- Thanks for the publish template. It made organizing my thoughts and work alot easier.
TCG AI ToolsIntroduction:
This script is a result of an AI recommended created trading strategy that is design to offer new traders’ easy access to trend information and oversold/overbought conditions. Here we have combined commonly used indicators into a single unique visualization that quickly identifies trend changes and both RSI and Bollinger Band based overbought and oversold conditions, and allows all three indicators to be used simultaneously while taking up limited space on the chart.
The value in combining these three indicators is found in the harmony and clarity they are able to provide new traders. Trend changes can be difficult to identify based solely on candlestick analysis, therefore using the moving averages allows the trader to simplify the process of establishing bullish or bearish trends. Once a trend is established it can be very attractive for new traders to establish entries at the wrong time. For this reason, it is useful to include two different overbought and oversold indicators. The Bollinger Bands are included as one of the methods for establishing extreme prices that often result in reversals, and the relative strength index is similarly utilized as a second means to warn traders of extreme conditions.
Using the Indicator
1. MA10 MA20 Trend Indicator
The large red/green horizontal bar located at the 0 line on the X axis is the trend direction indicator. This visualization compares the 10 and 20 period moving averages to establish trend. When the MA10 is above the MA20 the trend is considered bullish and supportive of long positions and indicates such by changing the color of the horizontal bar to green. When the MA10 is below MA20 the trend is considered bearish and indicates such by changing the color of the horizontal bar to red. Color changes occur at the moment of a MA crossover/under.
2. Relative Strength Index.
The vertical red and green bars that make up the background of the panel indicate conditions wherein the RSI is considered overbought or oversold. When the vertical bar is red it indicates that RSI is below 30 suggesting that current conditions are oversold and supportive of long entries. When the vertical bar is green it suggests that the current conditions are overbought and are supportive of short entries.
3. Bollinger Band Extremes
Within the horizontal red/green bar there are red and green arrows. These arrows represent periods where the price is exceeding the upper or lower Bollinger bands and indicate overbought/oversold conditions. When a green arrow appears, it indicates that the price has crossed below the lower BB and is supportive of long entries. If a red arrow appears it indicates that the price has crossed above the upper Bollinger band and conditions are supportive of short entries.
Universal Moving Average Convergence DivergenceI changed MACD formula to divergence of (MA26/MA12 - 1).
And its make it more useful.
Cuz:
1) comparability with all other coins with different prices.
2) fix small numbers in low price coines like shiba
3) making a good indicator like RSI to use it for optimization and ML/AI projects as a variable
Most important thing about this indicator is that its Universal
Now you can compare the UMACD of Shiba with Bitcoin without any problem in matamatics space.No need to use virtuality and its important in Optimization problems that we rediuse the problem from a picture to a number(A plot to a list of numbers)
If we don't care about exagrated pumps and dumps, we can say to it Normalized-MACD too. Cuz in normal situations its MAX ≈ 0.1 and MIN ≈ -0.1
MoonFlag DailyThis is a useful indicator as it shows potential long and short regions by coloring the AI wavecloud green or red.
There is an option to show a faint white background in regions where the green/red cloud parts are failing as a trade from the start position of each region.
Its a combination of 3 algos I developed, and there is an option to switch to see these individually, although this has lots of info and is a bit confusing.
It does have alerts and there are text boxes in the indicator settings where a comment can be input - this is useful for webhooks bots auto trading.
Most useful in this indicator is that at the end of each green/long or red/short region there is a label that shows the % gain or loss for a trade.
The label at the end of the chart shows the % of winning longs/shorts and the average % gain or loss for all the longs/shorts within the set test period (set in settings)
So, I generally set the chart initially on a 15min timeframe with the indicator timeframe (in settings) set to run on say 30min or 1hour. I then select a long test period (several plus months) and then optimize the wavelcloud length (in settings) to give the best %profit per trade. (Longs always seem to give better results than shorts)
I then, change the chart timeframe to much faster, say 1min or 5min, but leave the indicator timeframe at 1 hour. In this manner - the label only shows a few trades however, the algo is run at every bar close and when this is set to 1min, this means that losses will be minimised at the bot exits quickly. In comparison - if the chart is on a 15min timeframe - it can take this amount before the bot will exit a trade and by then there could be catastrophic losses.
It is quite hard to get a positive result - although with a bit of playing around - just as a background indicator - I find this useful. I generally set-up on say 4charts all with different timeframes and then look for consistency between the long/short signal positions. (Although when I run as a bot I use a fast timeframe)
Please do leave some comments and get in touch.
MoonFlag (Josef Tainsh PhD)
EPS AIThis indicator can be accessed by ANYONE by searching in the public indicator library located at the top of your chart!
Enjoy!
Introduction
This indicator uses machine learning to predict the next Earnings Per Share (EPS) figure.
The algorithm learns from previous figures in order to more accurately predict the next.
As time continues, this indicator will become more accurate as it learns from an increased amount of data from earnings results.
When the Future Projected EPS is positive, the line will appear green . When the Future Projected EPS is negative, the line will appear as red and sit below the EPS.
Settings Panel
The settings panel contains two tick-boxes.
Quarterly Earnings : When selected, the EPS and future projected EPS will utilise quarterly results. Yearly results are used by default.
Diluted EPS : When selected, the Diluted EPS and future projected Diluted EPS will be utilised. Basic EPS is used by default.
Indicator Utility
The EPS AI can be utilised on every securities instrument and time-frame.
This indicator has been built in Pinescript V4 and will operate in real-time.
This indicator can be accessed by ANYONE by searching in the public indicator library located at the top of your chart!
Enjoy!
Alcides Indicator(AI) LiteAlcides Indicator (AI) Lite is a simple to use indicator that can be used with any type of asset, trading in any market including FOREX, Stocks, Commodities, Cryptocurrencies etc. The Lite version uses levels from either 1 hr or 4 hr time frame based on user input to indicate entry (BUY) into or exit (SELL) from an asset. The indicator also plots support for BUYs and Resistance for SELLs which can be used as a reference while setting your Stop Loss. BUY, SELL and TAKE GAINS alerts can be set on trading view to help monitor the asset as well.
Even though the indicator signals BUYs and SELLs based on chosen Time Frame levels, the user must always use their discretion based on their TA and FA. Also, indicator repainting can occur based on time of signal/chart used (ex. 5m chart on 1 hr timeframe levels can repaint a BUY/SELL after 1 hr closes).
Works best with Heikin Ashi candles and lower timeframes like 5m, 15m, 30m.
The full version has more time frame levels to choose from, a few extra useful features and also recommends sell and buy levels based on the chosen time from.
Contact me for access and more information.
ANB AI Alert (my ANN)Hi guy
This is a high level trend predicting study. It is modified from the strategy by sirlof.
Feel free to use it as you like.
::USAGE only on 15 minutes
1. add the study in your chart
2. create an alert on the right
3. select ANB AI Alert (my ANN)(0,1D)
4. select the option you wish
5. select once per bar close alert
6. you can select email alert which i usually like
7. once the trade is alerted, execute your trade
TP: DYNAMIC (read more)
SL: null
Setting TP and SL: this is in consideration with the daily volatility and sessions
USDCAD TP 400 points, no stop loss.
To maximize profit, use trailing stops. most trades are 500 to 1800 points
Intelligent Volume-weighted Moving Average (AI)Introduction
This indicator uses machine learning (Artificial Intelligence) to solve a real human problem.
The volume-weighted moving average (VWMA) is one of the most used indicators on the planet, yet no one really knows what pair of volume-weighted moving average lengths works best in combination with each other. A reason for this is because no two VWMA lengths are always going to be the best on every instrument, time-frame, and at any given point in time.
The "Intelligent Volume-weighted Moving Average" solves the moving average problem by adapting the period length to match the most profitable combination of volume-weighted moving averages in real time.
How does the Intelligent Volume-weighted Moving Average work?
The artificial intelligence that operates these moving average lengths was created by an algorithm that tests every single combination across the entire chart history of an instrument for maximum profitability in real-time.
No matter what happens, the combination of these volume-weighted moving averages will be the most profitable.
Can we learn from the Intelligent Volume-weighted Moving Average?
There are many lessons to be learned from the Intelligent VWMA. Most will come with time as it is still a new concept. Adopting the usefulness of this AI will change how we perceive moving averages to work.
Limitations
This indicator does not change what has already been plotted and does not repaint in any way shape or form which means it is excellent for trading in real-time!
Ultimately, there are no limiting factors within the range of combinations that has been programmed. The volume-weighted moving averages will operate normally, but may change lengths in unexpected ways - maybe it knows something we don't?
Thresholds
The range of VWMA lengths is between 5 to 40.
The black crosses can be turned off in the settings panel.
Test this indicator!
I am also publishing tools that can be used to back-test this indicator and understand what period length is currently being used.
There will be many more updates to come so stay tuned!
Updated documentation and access to this indicator can be found at www.kenzing.com
OpenAI Signal Generator - Enhanced Accuracy# AI-Powered Trading Signal Generator Guide
## Overview
This is an advanced trading signal generator that combines multiple technical indicators using AI-enhanced logic to generate high-accuracy trading signals. The indicator uses a sophisticated combination of RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, EMAs, ADX, and volume analysis to provide reliable buy/sell signals with comprehensive market analysis.
## Key Features
### 1. Multi-Indicator Analysis
- **RSI (Relative Strength Index)**
- Length: 14 periods (default)
- Overbought: 70 (default)
- Oversold: 30 (default)
- Used for identifying overbought/oversold conditions
- **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**
- Fast Length: 12 (default)
- Slow Length: 26 (default)
- Signal Length: 9 (default)
- Identifies trend direction and momentum
- **Bollinger Bands**
- Length: 20 periods (default)
- Multiplier: 2.0 (default)
- Measures volatility and potential reversal points
- **EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages)**
- Fast EMA: 9 periods (default)
- Slow EMA: 21 periods (default)
- Used for trend confirmation
- **ADX (Average Directional Index)**
- Length: 14 periods (default)
- Threshold: 25 (default)
- Measures trend strength
- **Volume Analysis**
- MA Length: 20 periods (default)
- Threshold: 1.5x average (default)
- Confirms signal strength
### 2. Advanced Features
- **Customizable Signal Frequency**
- Daily
- Weekly
- 4-Hour
- Hourly
- On Every Close
- **Enhanced Filtering**
- EMA crossover confirmation
- ADX trend strength filter
- Volume confirmation
- ATR-based volatility filter
- **Comprehensive Alert System**
- JSON-formatted alerts
- Detailed technical analysis
- Multiple timeframe analysis
- Customizable alert frequency
## How to Use
### 1. Initial Setup
1. Open TradingView and create a new chart
2. Select your preferred trading pair
3. Choose an appropriate timeframe
4. Apply the indicator to your chart
### 2. Configuration
#### Basic Settings
- **Signal Frequency**: Choose how often signals are generated
- Daily: Signals at the start of each day
- Weekly: Signals at the start of each week
- 4-Hour: Signals every 4 hours
- Hourly: Signals every hour
- On Every Close: Signals on every candle close
- **Enable Signals**: Toggle signal generation on/off
- **Include Volume**: Toggle volume analysis on/off
#### Technical Parameters
##### RSI Settings
- Adjust `rsi_length` (default: 14)
- Modify `rsi_overbought` (default: 70)
- Modify `rsi_oversold` (default: 30)
##### EMA Settings
- Fast EMA Length (default: 9)
- Slow EMA Length (default: 21)
##### MACD Settings
- Fast Length (default: 12)
- Slow Length (default: 26)
- Signal Length (default: 9)
##### Bollinger Bands
- Length (default: 20)
- Multiplier (default: 2.0)
##### Enhanced Filters
- ADX Length (default: 14)
- ADX Threshold (default: 25)
- Volume MA Length (default: 20)
- Volume Threshold (default: 1.5)
- ATR Length (default: 14)
- ATR Multiplier (default: 1.5)
### 3. Signal Interpretation
#### Buy Signal Requirements
1. RSI crosses above oversold level (30)
2. Price below lower Bollinger Band
3. MACD histogram increasing
4. Fast EMA above Slow EMA
5. ADX above threshold (25)
6. Volume above threshold (if enabled)
7. Market volatility check (if enabled)
#### Sell Signal Requirements
1. RSI crosses below overbought level (70)
2. Price above upper Bollinger Band
3. MACD histogram decreasing
4. Fast EMA below Slow EMA
5. ADX above threshold (25)
6. Volume above threshold (if enabled)
7. Market volatility check (if enabled)
### 4. Visual Indicators
#### Chart Elements
- **Moving Averages**
- SMA (Blue line)
- Fast EMA (Yellow line)
- Slow EMA (Purple line)
- **Bollinger Bands**
- Upper Band (Green line)
- Middle Band (Orange line)
- Lower Band (Green line)
- **Signal Markers**
- Buy Signals: Green triangles below bars
- Sell Signals: Red triangles above bars
- **Background Colors**
- Light green: Buy signal period
- Light red: Sell signal period
### 5. Alert System
#### Alert Types
1. **Signal Alerts**
- Generated when buy/sell conditions are met
- Includes comprehensive technical analysis
- JSON-formatted for easy integration
2. **Frequency-Based Alerts**
- Daily/Weekly/4-Hour/Hourly/Every Close
- Includes current market conditions
- Technical indicator values
#### Alert Message Format
```json
{
"symbol": "TICKER",
"side": "BUY/SELL/NONE",
"rsi": "value",
"macd": "value",
"signal": "value",
"adx": "value",
"bb_upper": "value",
"bb_middle": "value",
"bb_lower": "value",
"ema_fast": "value",
"ema_slow": "value",
"volume": "value",
"vol_ma": "value",
"atr": "value",
"leverage": 10,
"stop_loss_percent": 2,
"take_profit_percent": 5
}
```
## Best Practices
### 1. Signal Confirmation
- Wait for multiple confirmations
- Consider market conditions
- Check volume confirmation
- Verify trend strength with ADX
### 2. Risk Management
- Use appropriate position sizing
- Implement stop losses (default 2%)
- Set take profit levels (default 5%)
- Monitor market volatility
### 3. Optimization
- Adjust parameters based on:
- Trading pair volatility
- Market conditions
- Timeframe
- Trading style
### 4. Common Mistakes to Avoid
1. Trading without volume confirmation
2. Ignoring ADX trend strength
3. Trading against the trend
4. Not considering market volatility
5. Overtrading on weak signals
## Performance Monitoring
Regularly review:
1. Signal accuracy
2. Win rate
3. Average profit per trade
4. False signal frequency
5. Performance in different market conditions
## Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use proper risk management and trade responsibly. Trading involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.
AI-123's BTC vs Gold (Lag Correlation)
DISCLAIMER
I made this indicator with the help of ChatGPT and using what I have learned so far from The Pine Script Mastery Course, LOTS of edits based on what I have learned so far had to be made as well as additions and modifications to my liking thanks to what I have learned so far. I am aware this already exists but I have done my best to make a first ever script/indicator while learning how to properly publish as well, so please bear that in mind.
Overview
This indicator analyzes the correlation between Bitcoin (BTC) and Gold (XAUUSD), with a customizable lag applied to the Gold price, providing insight into the macro relationship between these two assets.
It is designed for traders and investors who want to track how Bitcoin and Gold move in relation to each other, particularly when Gold is lagged by a specific number of days.
Key Features:
BTC and Gold (Lagged) Price Overlay: Display Bitcoin (BTC) and Gold (XAUUSD) prices on the chart, with an adjustable lag applied to the Gold price.
Rolling Correlation Calculation: Measures the correlation between Bitcoin and lagged Gold prices over a customizable lookback period.
Adjustable Lag: The number of days that Gold is lagged relative to Bitcoin is fully customizable (default: 20 days).
Customizable Correlation Length: Allows you to choose the lookback period for the correlation (default: 50 days), providing flexibility for short-term or long-term analysis.
Normalized Plotting: Prices of Bitcoin and Gold are normalized for better visual alignment with the correlation values. BTC is divided by 1000, and Gold by 100.
Correlation Scaling: The correlation value is amplified by 10 for better visual clarity and comparison with price data.
Zero Line: Horizontal line representing a correlation of 0, making it easier to identify positive or negative correlation shifts.
Maximum Correlation Lines: Horizontal lines at +10 and -10 values for extreme correlation scenarios.
Input Settings:
Gold Symbol: Customize the Gold ticker (default: OANDA:XAUUSD).
Bitcoin Symbol: Customize the Bitcoin ticker (default: BINANCE:BTCUSDT).
Lag (in trading days): Adjust the number of trading days to lag the Gold price relative to Bitcoin (default: 20).
Correlation Length (days): Set the number of days over which the rolling correlation is calculated (default: 50).
How to Use:
Price Comparison: The BTC (Spot) and Lagged Gold plots give you a side-by-side visual comparison of the two assets, normalized for clarity.
Correlation Line: The correlation line helps you gauge the strength and direction of the relationship between BTC and lagged Gold. Positive values indicate a strong positive correlation, while negative values indicate a negative correlation.
Visual Analysis: Watch how the correlation shifts with changes in lag and correlation length to identify potential market dynamics between Bitcoin and Gold.
Potential Applications:
Macro Trading: Track how Bitcoin and Gold behave in relation to each other during periods of economic uncertainty or inflation.
Sentiment Analysis: Use the correlation data to understand the sentiment between digital and traditional assets.
Strategic Timing: Identify potential opportunities where Bitcoin and Gold show a strong correlation or diverge based on the lag adjustment.
Understanding Macro Trends/Correlations.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is for informational purposes only. The correlation between Bitcoin and Gold does not guarantee future performance, and users should conduct their own research and use risk management strategies when making trading decisions.
Notes: This script uses historical data, so results may vary across different timeframes.
Customization options allow users to adjust the lag and correlation length to better fit their trading strategy.
Future Enhancements: Additional Correlation Line: A second correlation line for different lengths of lag or different assets.
Color-Coding of Correlation: Future updates may include color-coded correlation strength, visually indicating positive or negative correlation more effectively.
Enhanced Order Flow Pressure GaugeShort Description:
Estimates bullish/bearish pressure by analyzing each candle’s close position within its range, then weighting that by volume. Detects potential trend shifts and provides real-time signals.
Full Description:
1. Purpose
The Enhanced Order Flow Pressure Gauge (OFPG+) is designed to approximate buy vs. sell pressure within each bar, even if you don’t have full Level II / order flow data. By measuring the candle’s close relative to its high-low range and multiplying by volume, OFPG+ provides insights into which side of the market (bulls or bears) is more aggressive in a given interval.
2. Key Components
Pressure Score (Histogram):
Raw measure of each bar’s close position (rangePos) minus midpoint, multiplied by volume. If the bar closes near its high with decent volume, the score is positive (bullish). Conversely, a close near its low yields a negative (bearish) reading.
Cumulative Pressure:
Sum of all pressure readings over time (similar to cumulative delta), reflecting the overall market bias.
Pressure Delta:
The change in cumulative pressure from one bar to the next, plotted as a line. Rising values suggest increasing bullish momentum, while falling values show growing bearish influence.
3. Visual Cues & Signals
Histogram (Pressure Profile): A color-coded bar for each candle, indicating net bullish (blue) or bearish (gray) intrabar pressure.
Pressure Delta Line: Plotted over the histogram. Turns bullish (blue) when net buy pressure is increasing, or bearish (gray) when net selling accelerates.
Background Highlights:
Turns lightly blue if the smoothed pressure line exceeds the positive threshold, or lightly gray if it goes below the negative threshold.
Bullish / Bearish Signals:
Bullish Signal occurs when the smoothed pressure line crosses above the positive threshold, combined with a positive Delta.
Bearish Signal occurs when the smoothed pressure line crosses below the negative threshold, combined with a negative Delta.
Confirmed Signals:
After a bullish/bearish signal, OFPG+ checks the highest or lowest smoothed pressure values over a user-defined number of bars (signalLookback) to confirm momentum.
Plotshapes (diamond icons) appear on the chart to mark these confirmed reversals.
4. Usage Scenarios
Trend-Following / Momentum: Watch for transitions from negative to positive net pressure or vice versa. Helps identify potential turning points.
Reversal Confirmation: The threshold-based signals plus the “confirmed” checks can help filter choppy conditions.
Volume-Weighted Insights: By factoring in volume, strong closes near the highs or lows are weighted more heavily, capturing sentiment shifts.
5. Inputs & Parameters
Smoothing Length (length): The EMA period for smoothing the raw pressure score.
Volume Weight (volWeight): Scales the volume impact on pressure calculations.
Pressure Threshold (threshold): Defines when pressure is considered significantly bullish or bearish.
Signal Lookback (signalLookback): Number of bars to confirm momentum after a signal.
6. Alerts
Bullish Signal & Confirmed Bullish
Bearish Signal & Confirmed Bearish
These alerts can notify you in real-time about potential shifts in the market’s buying or selling pressure.
7. Disclaimer
This script provides an approximation of order flow by analyzing candle structure and volume. It does not represent actual exchange-level order data.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Always conduct thorough analysis and use proper risk management.
Not financial advice. Use at your own discretion.
AI indicatorThis script is a trading indicator designed for future trading signals on the TradingView platform. It uses a combination of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and a Simple Moving Average (SMA) to generate buy and sell signals. Here's a breakdown of its components and logic:
1. Inputs
The script includes configurable inputs to make it adaptable for different market conditions:
RSI Length: Determines the number of periods for calculating RSI. Default is 14.
RSI Overbought Level: Signals when RSI is above this level (default 70), indicating potential overbought conditions.
RSI Oversold Level: Signals when RSI is below this level (default 30), indicating potential oversold conditions.
Moving Average Length: Defines the SMA length used to confirm price trends (default 50).
2. Indicators Used
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Measures the speed and change of price movements.
A value above 70 typically indicates overbought conditions.
A value below 30 typically indicates oversold conditions.
SMA (Simple Moving Average):
Used to smooth price data and identify trends.
Price above the SMA suggests an uptrend, while price below suggests a downtrend.
3. Buy and Sell Signal Logic
Buy Condition:
The RSI value is below the oversold level (e.g., 30), indicating the market might be undervalued.
The current price is above the SMA, confirming an uptrend.
Sell Condition:
The RSI value is above the overbought level (e.g., 70), indicating the market might be overvalued.
The current price is below the SMA, confirming a downtrend.
These conditions ensure that trades align with market trends, reducing false signals.
4. Visual Features
Buy Signals: Displayed as green labels (plotshape) below the price bars when the buy condition is met.
Sell Signals: Displayed as red labels (plotshape) above the price bars when the sell condition is met.
Moving Average Line: A blue line (plot) added to the chart to visualize the SMA trend.
5. How It Works
When the buy condition is true (RSI < 30 and price > SMA), a green label appears below the corresponding price bar.
When the sell condition is true (RSI > 70 and price < SMA), a red label appears above the corresponding price bar.
The blue SMA line helps to visualize the overall trend and acts as confirmation for signals.
6. Advantages
Combines Momentum and Trend Analysis:
RSI identifies overbought/oversold conditions.
SMA confirms whether the market is trending up or down.
Simple Yet Effective:
Reduces noise by using well-established indicators.
Easy to interpret for beginners and experienced traders alike.
Customizable:
Parameters like RSI length, oversold/overbought levels, and SMA length can be adjusted to fit different assets or timeframes.
7. Limitations
Lagging Indicator: SMA is a lagging indicator, so it may not capture rapid market reversals quickly.
Not Foolproof: No trading indicator can guarantee 100% accuracy. False signals can occur in choppy or sideways markets.
Needs Volume Confirmation: The script does not consider trading volume, which could enhance signal reliability.
8. How to Use It
Copy the script into TradingView's Pine Editor.
Save and add it to your chart.
Adjust the RSI and SMA parameters to suit your preferred asset and timeframe.
Look for buy signals (green labels) in uptrends and sell signals (red labels) in downtrends.
Dynamic ALMA with signalsEnhanced ALMA with Signals
This TradingView indicator is designed to enhance your trading strategy by utilizing the Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA), a unique moving average that provides smoother price action while minimizing lag. The script not only plots the ALMA line but also dynamically adjusts its parameters based on market volatility to adapt to different trading conditions. Additionally, it highlights potential bounce points off the line, as well as breakout points, giving traders clear signals for potential support, resistance levels, and breakouts.
Key Features:
Dynamic ALMA Line with Glow Effect:
The core of this indicator is the ALMA line, which is dynamically adjusted to market volatility, providing more accurate signals in varying conditions. The line adapts to both trending and consolidating markets by adjusting its sensitivity in real time. A glow effect is created by plotting the ALMA line multiple times with increasing transparency, making it visually distinct.
Bounce Detection Signals with Volatility Filter:
The script detects and labels potential support and resistance bounces based on the crossover and crossunder of the price with the ALMA line, further filtered by a volatility condition. This helps in filtering out false signals during low-volatility conditions, making the signals more reliable.
Visual Enhancements:
Custom glow effects and labels for bounce detection enhance chart readability and help traders quickly identify key levels.
Inputs:
Base Window Size: Sets the number of bars used in calculating the ALMA, allowing traders to adjust the sensitivity of the moving average. This parameter is dynamically adjusted based on current market volatility.
Offset: Determines the position of the ALMA curve. Higher values move the curve further away from the price. This value remains constant for stability.
Sigma: Controls the smoothness of the ALMA curve; a higher sigma results in a smoother curve. This value also remains constant.
ATR Period and Threshold Multiplier: Used to calculate the Average True Range (ATR) for the volatility filter, which determines whether the market conditions are sufficiently volatile to consider bounce signals.
How It Works:
Dynamic ALMA Calculation:
The script calculates the ALMA (Arnaud Legoux Moving Average) using the ta.alma function, dynamically adjusting the window size based on market volatility measured by the ATR (Average True Range). This ensures that the ALMA line remains responsive in high-volatility environments and smooth in low-volatility conditions.
Glow Effect:
To create a glow effect around the ALMA line, the script plots the ALMA multiple times with varying degrees of transparency. This visual enhancement helps the ALMA line stand out on the chart.
Bounce Detection with Volatility Filter:
The script uses two conditions to detect potential bounces:
Support Bounce: Detected when the low of the bar crosses above the ALMA line (ta.crossover(low, alma)) and the close is above the ALMA, while the volatility filter confirms sufficient market activity. This suggests potential support at the ALMA line.
Resistance Bounce: Detected when the high of the bar crosses below the ALMA line (ta.crossunder(high, alma)) and the close is below the ALMA, while the volatility filter confirms sufficient market activity. This indicates potential resistance at the ALMA line.
Labeling Bounce Points:
When a bounce is detected, the script labels it on the chart:
Support Bounces (S): Labeled with a blue "S" below the bar where a support bounce is detected.
Resistance Bounces (R): Labeled with a white "R" above the bar where a resistance bounce is detected.
Usage:
This enhanced indicator helps traders visualize key support and resistance levels more effectively by dynamically adjusting the ALMA moving average to market conditions. By detecting and labeling potential bounce points and filtering these signals based on volatility, traders can better identify entry and exit points in their trading strategy. The dynamic adjustments and visual enhancements make it easier to spot critical levels quickly and adapt to changing market conditions.
Customize the inputs to fit your trading style, and use this enhanced ALMA indicator to gain a more refined understanding of market trends, potential reversals, and breakouts.
AI Big Players Move Pattern with Buy/Sell Signals.Big Players Move Pattern with Buy/Sell Signals
Description:
The "Big Players Move Pattern with Buy/Sell Signals" indicator is a powerful tool designed to help traders identify potential market movements driven by institutional investors, also known as big players or smart money. This indicator leverages key patterns such as volume spikes, support and resistance breakouts, and accumulation/distribution trends to generate actionable buy and sell signals.
Key Features:
Volume Spike Detection:
Volume Spike Length: The indicator calculates the moving average of volume over a user-defined period (default: 20 periods).
Volume Spike Multiplier: A volume spike is detected when the current volume exceeds the moving average volume by a specified multiplier (default: 2.0).
Visual Cue: Volume spikes are plotted on the chart with an orange triangle, indicating potential big player activity.
Support and Resistance Breakouts:
Support/Resistance Length: The indicator identifies key support and resistance levels based on the highest highs and lowest lows over a user-defined period (default: 50 periods).
Breakout Detection: The indicator detects and highlights breakouts above resistance levels and breakdowns below support levels.
Visual Cues: Breakouts are plotted with green upward labels, while breakdowns are plotted with red downward labels.
Accumulation/Distribution Line:
Trend Analysis: The accumulation/distribution line is calculated to provide insights into whether a stock is being accumulated (bought) or distributed (sold) by big players.
Visual Cue: The line is plotted on the chart, helping traders understand underlying market trends.
Buy and Sell Signals:
Buy Signal: Generated when a volume spike coincides with a price crossover above the support level.
Sell Signal: Generated when a volume spike coincides with a price crossover below the resistance level.
Visual Cues: Buy signals are plotted with green labels, and sell signals are plotted with red labels.
Alerts:
Custom Alerts: The indicator includes customizable alerts for volume spikes, buy signals, and sell signals, ensuring that traders never miss a significant market movement.
Benefits:
Early Detection: By identifying the activities of big players, traders can position themselves early to capitalize on significant price movements.
Visual Clarity: Clear visual indicators and signals help traders make informed decisions quickly and accurately.
Customization: Adjustable parameters allow traders to tailor the indicator to their specific trading strategies and timeframes.
Use Cases:
Day Trading: Ideal for identifying intraday movements and capitalizing on short-term opportunities.
Swing Trading: Effective for capturing medium-term trends driven by institutional activities.
Position Trading: Useful for understanding long-term accumulation and distribution patterns by big players.
Enhance your trading strategy with the "Big Players Move Pattern with Buy/Sell Signals" indicator and gain a competitive edge by tracking the movements of institutional investors.
AI-Bank-Nifty Tech AnalysisThis code is a TradingView indicator that analyzes the Bank Nifty index of the Indian stock market. It uses various inputs to customize the indicator's appearance and analysis, such as enabling analysis based on the chart's timeframe, detecting bullish and bearish engulfing candles, and setting the table position and style.
The code imports an external script called BankNifty_CSM, which likely contains functions that calculate technical indicators such as the RSI, MACD, VWAP, and more. The code then defines several table cell colors and other styling parameters.
Next, the code defines a table to display the technical analysis of eight bank stocks in the Bank Nifty index. It then defines a function called get_BankComponent_Details that takes a stock symbol as input, requests the stock's OHLCV data, and calculates several technical indicators using the imported CSM_BankNifty functions.
The code also defines two functions called get_EngulfingBullish_Detection and get_EngulfingBearish_Detection to detect bullish and bearish engulfing candles.
Finally, the code calculates the technical analysis for each bank stock using the get_BankComponent_Details function and displays the results in the table. If the engulfing input is enabled, the code also checks for bullish and bearish engulfing candles and displays buy/sell signals accordingly.
The FRAMA stands for "Fractal Adaptive Moving Average," which is a type of moving average that adjusts its smoothing factor based on the fractal dimension of the price data. The fractal dimension reflects self-similarity at different scales. The FRAMA uses this property to adapt to the scale of price movements, capturing short-term and long-term trends while minimizing lag. The FRAMA was developed by John F. Ehlers and is commonly used by traders and analysts in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy and sell signals. I tried to create this indicator in Pine.
In this context, "RS" stands for "Relative Strength," which is a technical indicator that compares the performance of a particular stock or market sector against a benchmark index.
The "Alligator" is a technical analysis tool that consists of three smoothed moving averages. Introduced by Bill Williams in his book "Trading Chaos," the three lines are called the Jaw, Teeth, and Lips of the Alligator. The Alligator indicator helps traders identify the trend direction and its strength, as well as potential entry and exit points. When the three lines are intertwined or close to each other, it indicates a range-bound market, while a divergence between them indicates a trending market. The position of the price in relation to the Alligator lines can also provide signals, such as a buy signal when the price crosses above the Alligator lines and a sell signal when the price crosses below them.
In addition to these, we have several other commonly used technical indicators, such as MACD, RSI, MFI (Money Flow Index), VWAP, EMA, and Supertrend. I used all the built-in functions for these indicators from TradingView. Thanks to the developer of this TradingView Indicator.
I also created a BankNifty Components Table and checked it on the dashboard.
AI-EngulfingCandleThis script is the combination of RSI and Engulfing Pattern
How it works
1. when RSI > 70 and form the bullish engulfing pattern . it gives sell signal
2. when RSI < 30 and form the bearish engulfing pattern . it gives buy signal
settings:
basic setting for RSI has been enabled in the script to set the levels accordingly to your trades
TradingIQ - Reversal IQIntroducing "Reversal IQ" by TradingIQ
Reversal IQ is an exclusive trading algorithm developed by TradingIQ, designed to trade trend reversals in the market. By integrating artificial intelligence and IQ Technology, Reversal IQ analyzes historical and real-time price data to construct a dynamic trading system adaptable to various asset and timeframe combinations.
Philosophy of Reversal IQ
Reversal IQ integrates IQ Technology (AI) with the timeless concept of reversal trading. Markets follow trends that inevitably reverse at some point. Rather than relying on rigid settings or manual judgment to capture these reversals, Reversal IQ dynamically designs, creates, and executes reversal-based trading strategies.
Reversal IQ is designed to work straight out of the box. In fact, its simplicity requires just one user setting, making it incredibly straightforward to manage.
AI Aggressiveness is the only setting that controls how Reversal IQ works.
Traders don’t have to spend hours adjusting settings and trying to find what works best - Reversal IQ handles this on its own.
Key Features of Reversal IQ
Self-Learning Reversal Detection
Employs AI and IQ Technology to identify trend reversals in real-time.
AI-Generated Trading Signals
Provides reversal trading signals derived from self-learning algorithms.
Comprehensive Trading System
Offers clear entry and exit labels.
AI-Determined Profit Target and Stop Loss
Position exit levels are clearly defined and calculated by the AI once the trade is entered.
Performance Tracking
Records and presents trading performance data, easily accessible for user analysis.
Configurable AI Aggressiveness
Allows users to adjust the AI's aggressiveness to match their trading style and risk tolerance.
Long and Short Trading Capabilities
Supports both long and short positions to trade various market conditions.
IQ Channel
The IQ Channel represents what Reversal IQ considers a tradable long opportunity or a tradable short opportunity. The channel is dynamic and adjusts from chart to chart.
IQMA – Proprietary Moving Average
Introduces the IQ Moving Average (IQMA), designed to classify overarching market trends.
IQCandles – Trend Classification Tool
Complements IQMA with candlestick colors designed for trend identification and analysis.
How It Works
Reversal IQ operates on a straightforward heuristic: go long during an extended downside move and go short during an extended upside move.
What defines an "extended move" is determined by IQ Technology, TradingIQ's exclusive AI algorithm. For Reversal IQ, the algorithm assesses the extent to which historical high and low prices are breached. By learning from these price level violations, Reversal IQ adapts to trade future, similar violations in a recurring manner. It calculates a price area, distant from the current price, where a reversal is anticipated.
In simple terms, price peaks (tops) and troughs (bottoms) are stored for Reversal IQ to learn from. The degree to which these levels are violated by subsequent price movements is also recorded. Reversal IQ continuously evaluates this stored data, adapting to market volatility and raw price fluctuations to better capture price reversals.
What classifies as a price top or price bottom?
For Reversal IQ, price tops are considered the highest price attained before a significant downside reversal. Price bottoms are considered the lowest price attained before a significant upside reversal. The highest price achieved is continuously calculated before a significant counter trend price move renders the high price as a swing high. The lowest price achieved is continuously calculated before a significant counter trend price move renders the low price as a swing low.
The image above illustrates the IQ channel and explains the corresponding prices and levels
The blue lower line represents the Long Reversal Level, with the price highlighted in blue showing the Long Reversal Price.
The red upper line represents the Short Reversal Level, with the price highlighted in red showing the Short Reversal Price.
Limit orders are placed at both of these levels. As soon as either level is touched, a trade is immediately executed.
The image above shows a long position being entered after the Long Reversal Level was reached. The profit target and stop loss are calculated by Reversal IQ
The blue line indicates where the profit target is placed (acting as a limit order).
The red line shows where the stop loss is placed (acting as a stop loss order).
Green arrows indicate that the strategy entered a long position at the highlighted price level.
You can also hover over the trade labels to get more information about the trade—such as the entry price, profit target, and stop loss.
The image above demonstrates the profit target being hit for the trade. All profitable trades are marked by a blue arrow and blue line. Hover over the blue arrow to obtain more details about the trade exit.
The image above depicts a short position being entered after the Short Reversal Level was touched. The profit target and stop loss are calculated by the AI
The blue line indicates where the profit target is placed (acting as a limit order).
The red line shows where the stop loss is placed (acting as a stop loss order).
The image above shows the profit target being hit for the short trade. Profitable trades are indicated by a blue arrow and blue line. Hover over the blue arrow to access more information about the trade exit.
Long Entry: Green Arrow
Short Entry: Red Arrow
Profitable Trades: Blue Arrow
Losing Trades: Red Arrow
IQMA
The IQMA implements a dynamic moving average that adapts to market conditions by adjusting its smoothing factor based on its own slope. This makes it more responsive in volatile conditions (steeper slopes) and smoother in less volatile conditions.
The IQMA is not used by Reversal IQ as a trade condition; however, the IQMA can be used by traders to characterize the overarching trend and elect to trade only long positions during bullish conditions and only short positions during bearish conditions.
The IQMA is an adaptive smoothing function that applies a combination of multiple moving averages to reduce lag and noise in the data. The adaptiveness is achieved by dynamically adjusting the Volatility Factor (VF) based on the slope (derivative) of the price trend, making it more responsive to strong trends and smoother in consolidating markets.
This process effectively makes the moving average a self-adjusting filter, the IQMA attempts to track both trending and ranging market conditions by dynamically changing its sensitivity in response to price movements.
When IQMA is blue, an overarching uptrend is in place. When IQMA is red, an overarching downtrend is in place.
IQ Candles
IQ Candles are price candles color-coordinated with IQMA. IQ Candles help visualize the overarching trend and are not used by Reversal IQ to determine trade entries and trade exits.
AI Aggressiveness
Reversal IQ has only one setting that controls its functionality.
AI Aggressiveness controls the aggressiveness of the AI. This setting has three options: Sniper, Aggressive, and Very Aggressive.
Sniper Mode
In Sniper Mode, Reversal IQ will prioritize trading large deviations from established reversal levels and extracting the largest countertrend move possible from them.
Aggressive Mode
In Aggressive Mode, Reversal IQ still prioritizes quality but allows for strong, quantity-based signals. More trades will be executed in this mode with tighter stops and profit targets. Aggressive mode forces Reversal IQ to learn from narrower raw-dollar violations of historical levels.
Very Aggressive Mode
In Very Aggressive Mode, Reversal IQ still prioritizes the strongest quantity-based signals. Stop and target distances aren't inherently affected, but entries will be aggressive while prioritizing performance. Very Aggressive mode forces Reversal IQ to learn from narrower raw-dollar violations of historical levels and also forces it to embrace volatility more aggressively.
AI Direction
The AI Direction setting controls the trade direction Reversal IQ is allowed to take.
“Both” allows for both long and short trades.
“Long” allows for only long trades.
“Short” allows for only short trades.
Verifying Reversal IQ’s Effectiveness
Reversal IQ automatically tracks its performance and displays the profit factor for the long strategy and the short strategy it uses. This information can be found in a table located in the top-right corner of your chart.
The image above shows the long strategy profit factor and the short strategy profit factor for Reversal IQ.
A profit factor greater than 1 indicates a strategy profitably traded historical price data.
A profit factor less than 1 indicates a strategy unprofitably traded historical price data.
A profit factor equal to 1 indicates a strategy did not lose or gain money when trading historical price data.
Using Reversal IQ
While Reversal IQ is a full-fledged trading system with entries and exits, it was designed for the manual trader to take its trading signals and analysis indications to greater heights - offering numerous applications beyond its built-in trading system.
The hallmark feature of Reversal IQ is its sniper-like reversal signals. While exits are dynamically calculated as well, Reversal IQ simply has a knack for "sniping" price reversals.
When performing live analysis, you can use the IQ Channel to evaluate price reversal areas, whether price has extended too far in one direction, and whether price is likely to reverse soon.
Of course, in times of exuberance or panic, price may push through the reversal levels. While infrequent, it can happen to any indicator.
The deeper price moves into the bullish reversal area (blue) the better chance that price has extended too far and will reverse to the upside soon. The deeper price moves into the bearish reversal area (red) the better chance that price has extended too far and will reverse to the downside soon.
Of course, you can set alerts for all Reversal IQ entry and exit signals, effectively following along its systematic conquest of price movement.
Palgo Trading - Palgo🎯THE PALGO INDICATOR
The "Palgo Trading - Palgo" indicator, developed by PALGOTRADING is a sophisticated technical analysis tool designed to identify potential buy and sell signals by combining trend analysis with momentum and optional AI-driven sentiment assessment. This indicator provides a clear visual representation of potential trading opportunities directly on the price chart.
At its core, the Palgo indicator synthesizes information from well-established technical analysis concepts with statistical functions, and has optional AI Integration for social analysis of the asset using external data :
Supertrend: This indicator identifies the prevailing trend direction. A positive Supertrend value suggests an upward trend, while a negative value indicates a downward trend. The Palgo indicator utilizes a Supertrend with a customizable multiplier and a user-configurable Average True Range (ATR) length (defaulting to 21).
🛜Signal Generation Logic
The indicator generates buy and sell signals based on a calculated "final direction" value. This value is derived by combining the Supertrend direction and a modified RSI. The modification involves scaling the RSI output to a range of -0.5 to 0.5 and then further adjusting it.
The buy and sell conditions are as follows:
Buy Signal: A buy signal is triggered when the "final direction" crosses above a positive activation threshold while the current signal is not already bullish. Upon signal generation, a "Buy" label (colored green) appears below the bar, and initial Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels are calculated and stored.
Sell Signal: Conversely, a sell signal is triggered when the "final direction" crosses below a negative activation threshold while the current signal is not already bearish. A "Sell" label (colored red) is plotted above the bar, and corresponding TP and SL levels are determined.
✅ Optimized Take-Profit / Stop-Loss
The Take-Profit (TP) & Stop-Loss (SL) signals are optimized with Kernel Density Estimation (KDE), the script uses KDE activated by gaussian function on previous pivot points and trains the model, then tries to estimate new pivot points early, to determine new TP / SL levels for the current signal. Kernel Density Estimation takes values of the previous confirmed pivots' RSI values, body size & more factors to determine their role. This indicator can generate up to 5 TP signals per signal.
📈 Signal Trail
Palgo also includes a "Signal Trail" that visually shows the market's momentum. This trail is like a dynamic line that follows the price.
When the market is in an uptrend and looking strong, you'll see a green trail.
When it's in a downtrend and looking weak, you'll see a red trail.
This trail helps you see if the market is currently aligned with Palgo's bullish (buy) or bearish (sell) signal. It also acts as a visual guide for potential support or resistance levels.
📊Backtesting Dashboard
The Palgo indicator includes an optional Backtesting Dashboard to help you understand its historical performance. This dashboard appears directly on your chart and provides a quick summary of how the indicator's signals have performed in the past.
Here's what you'll see on the dashboard:
Sensitivity: This shows the specific "Sensitivity" setting you've chosen for the indicator. This setting influences how often signals are generated.
Wins: This number tells you how many trades initiated by the Palgo indicator historically ended in profit (reached a Take-Profit target or closed profitably when the signal reversed).
Loss: This number indicates how many trades historically ended in a loss (hit the Stop-Loss).
Winrate: This is a very important metric, displayed as a percentage. It shows you the proportion of winning trades compared to the total number of trades (Wins / (Wins + Loss)). A higher winrate generally suggests a more effective strategy.
This dashboard is a valuable tool for reviewing the indicator's effectiveness with different settings and helping you make informed decisions about its use in your trading.
🤖AI Integration (Optional):
A unique feature of the Palgo indicator is the optional integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) sentiment analysis. When the "Use AI" input is enabled, the indicator incorporates two additional user-defined inputs:
Impression Change %: This input represents the percentage change in overall market sentiment as assessed by an external AI.
Positivity Change: This input reflects the change in positive sentiment, also provided by an AI.
These AI inputs are combined to create an "AI Score," which then influences the "final direction" calculation. A positive AI Score amplifies the bullish signals and dampens bearish signals, while a negative AI Score has the opposite effect.
❓Why PALGO ?
All-in-One Analysis: Palgo combines trend, momentum, and advanced statistical analysis into one easy-to-use tool, giving you a complete picture without needing multiple indicators.
Dynamic Profit & Loss Management: Unlike many tools with fixed targets, Palgo's smart profit and stop-loss system adapts to the market using KDE. This helps you potentially capture more gains and limit losses effectively.
Optional AI Insights: For an extra edge, Palgo can tap into Artificial Intelligence (AI) to gauge overall market mood. If the AI sees a lot of positive buzz, it can strengthen buy signals; if it's negative, it can reinforce sell signals. This helps you trade with a better understanding of the market's pulse.
Clear and Customizable: Palgo is designed to be very visual. It changes the color of the price bars, adds clear "Buy" or "Sell" labels, and marks your profit and stop-loss points. You can also change the colors to suit your preference.
Palgo aims to be a comprehensive and adaptable trading tool, giving you clearer insights.
⚙️Visualizations and Customization
The Palgo indicator offers several visual cues to aid traders:
Bar Coloring: The price bars are colored green when the indicator identifies a bullish signal and red during a bearish signal.
Signal Labels: Clear "Buy" and "Sell" labels are plotted at the signal generation points.
Take Profit and Stop Loss Markers: Distinct shapes and labels indicate when the price reaches the calculated TP and SL levels.
Style Options: Users can customize the colors for bullish and bearish bars, text, and TP/SL markers within the indicator's settings.
TradingIQ - Nova IQIntroducing "Nova IQ" by TradingIQ
Nova IQ is an exclusive Trading IQ algorithm designed for extended price move scalping. It spots overextended micro price moves and bets against them. In this way, Nova IQ functions similarly to a reversion strategy.
Nova IQ analyzes historical and real-time price data to construct a dynamic trading system adaptable to various asset and timeframe combinations.
Philosophy of Nova IQ
Nova IQ integrates AI with the concept of central-value reversion scalping. On lower timeframes, prices may overextend for small periods of time - which Nova IQ looks to bet against. In this sense, Nova IQ scalps against small, extended price moves on lower timeframes.
Nova IQ is designed to work straight out of the box. In fact, its simplicity requires just one user setting, making it incredibly straightforward to manage.
Use HTF (used to apply a higher timeframe trade filter) is the only setting that controls how Nova IQ works.
Traders don’t have to spend hours adjusting settings and trying to find what works best - Nova IQ handles this on its own.
Key Features of Nova IQ
Self-Learning Market Scalping
Employs AI and IQ Technology to scalp micro price overextensions.
AI-Generated Trading Signals
Provides scalping signals derived from self-learning algorithms.
Comprehensive Trading System
Offers clear entry and exit labels.
Performance Tracking
Records and presents trading performance data, easily accessible for user analysis.
Higher Timeframe Filter
Allows users to implement a higher timeframe trading filter.
Long and Short Trading Capabilities
Supports both long and short positions to trade various market conditions.
Nova Oscillator (NOSC)
The Nova IQ Oscillator (NOSC) is an exclusive self-learning oscillator developed by Trading IQ. Using IQ Technology, the NOSC functions as an all-in-one oscillator for evaluating price overextensions.
Nova Bands (NBANDS)
The Nova Bands (NBANDS) are based on a proprietary calculation and serve as a custom two-layer smoothing filter that uses exponential decay. These bands adaptively smooth prices to identify potential trend retracement opportunities.
How It Works
Nova IQ operates on a simple heuristic: scalp long during micro downside overextensions and short during micro upside overextensions.
What constitutes an "overextension" is defined by IQ Technology, TradingIQ's proprietary AI algorithm. For Nova IQ, this algorithm evaluates the typical extent of micro overextensions before a reversal occurs. By learning from these patterns, Nova IQ adapts to identify and trade future overextensions in a consistent manner.
In essence, Nova IQ learns from price movements within scalping timeframes to pinpoint price areas for capitalizing on the reversal of an overextension.
As a trading system, Nova IQ enters all positions using market orders at the bar’s close. Each trade is exited with a profit-taking limit order and a stop-loss order. Thanks to its self-learning capability, Nova IQ determines the most suitable profit target and stop-loss levels, eliminating the need for the user to adjust any settings.
What classifies as a tradable overextension?
For Nova IQ, tradable overextensions are not manually set but are learned by the system. Nova IQ utilizes NOSC to identify and classify micro overextensions. By analyzing multiple variations of NOSC, along with its consistency in signaling overextensions and its tendency to remain in extreme zones, Nova IQ dynamically adjusts NOSC to determine what constitutes overextension territory for the indicator.
When NOSC reaches the downside overextension zone, long trades become eligible for entry. Conversely, when NOSC reaches the upside overextension zone, short trades become eligible for entry.
The image above illustrates NOSC and explains the corresponding overextension zones
The blue lower line represents the Downside Overextension Zone.
The red upper line represents the Upside Overextension Zone.
Any area between the two deviation points is not considered a tradable price overextension.
When either of the overextension zones are breached, Nova IQ will get to work at determining a trade opportunity.
The image above shows a long position being entered after the Downside Overextension Zone was reached.
The blue line on the price scale shows the AI-calculated profit target for the scalp position. The redline shows the AI-calculated stop loss for the scalp position.
Blue arrows indicate that the strategy entered a long position at the highlighted price level.
Yellow arrows indicate a position was closed.
You can also hover over the trade labels to get more information about the trade—such as the entry price and exit price.
The image above depicts a short position being entered after the Upside Overextension Zone was breached.
The blue line on the price scale shows the AI-calculated profit target for the scalp position. The redline shows the AI-calculated stop loss for the scalp position.
Red arrows indicate that the strategy entered a short position at the highlighted price level.
Yellow arrows indicate that NOVA IQ exited a position.
Long Entry: Blue Arrow
Short Entry: Red Arrow
Closed Trade: Yellow Arrow
Nova Bands
The Nova Bands (NBANDS) are based on a proprietary calculation and serve as a custom two-layer smoothing filter that uses exponential decay and cosine factors.
These bands adaptively smooth the price to identify potential trend retracement opportunities.
The image above illustrates how to interpret NBANDS. While NOSC focuses on identifying micro overextensions, NBANDS is designed to capture larger price overextensions. As a result, the two indicators complement each other well and can be effectively used together to identify a broader range of price overextensions in the market.
While the Nova Bands are not part of the core heuristic and do not use IQ technology, they provide valuable insights for discretionary traders looking to refine their strategies.
Use HTF (Use Higher Timeframe) Setting
Nova IQ has only one setting that controls its functionality.
“Use HTF” controls whether the AI uses a higher timeframe trading filter. This setting can be true or false. If true, the trader must select the higher timeframe to implement.
No Higher TF Filter
Nova IQ operates with standard aggression when the higher timeframe setting is turned off. In this mode, it exclusively learns from the price data of the current chart, allowing it to trade more aggressively without the influence of a higher timeframe filter.
Higher TF Filter
Nova IQ demonstrates reduced aggression when the "Use HTF" (Higher Timeframe) setting is enabled. In this mode, Nova IQ learns from both the current chart's data and the selected higher timeframe data, factoring in the higher timeframe trend when seeking scalping opportunities. As a result, trading opportunities only arise when both the higher timeframe and the chart's timeframe simultaneously display overextensions, making this mode more selective in its entries.
In this mode, Nova IQ calculates NOSC on the higher timeframe, learns from the corresponding price data, and applies the same rules to NOSC as it does for the current chart's timeframe. This ensures that Nova IQ consistently evaluates overextensions across both timeframes, maintaining its trading logic while incorporating higher timeframe insights.
AI Direction
The AI Direction setting controls the trade direction Nova IQ is allowed to take.
“Trade Longs” allows for long trades.
“Trade Shorts” allows for short trades.
Verifying Nova IQ’s Effectiveness
Nova IQ automatically tracks its performance and displays the profit factor for the long strategy and the short strategy it uses. This information can be found in a table located in the top-right corner of your chart showing the long strategy profit factor and the short strategy profit factor.
The image above shows the long strategy profit factor and the short strategy profit factor for Nova IQ.
A profit factor greater than 1 indicates a strategy profitably traded historical price data.
A profit factor less than 1 indicates a strategy unprofitably traded historical price data.
A profit factor equal to 1 indicates a strategy did not lose or gain money when trading historical price data.
Using Nova IQ
While Nova IQ is a full-fledged trading system with entries and exits - it was designed for the manual trader to take its trading signals and analysis indications to greater heights, offering numerous applications beyond its built-in trading system.
The hallmark feature of Nova IQ is its to ignore noise and only generate signals during tradable overextensions.
The best way to identify overextensions with Nova IQ is with NOSC.
NOSC is naturally adept at identifying micro overextensions. While it can be interpreted in a manner similar to traditional oscillators like RSI or Stochastic, NOSC’s underlying calculation and self-learning capabilities make it significantly more advanced and useful than conventional oscillators.
Additionally, manual traders can benefit from using NBANDS. Although NBANDS aren't a core component of Nova IQ's guiding heuristic, they can be valuable for manual trading. Prices rarely extend beyond these bands, and it's uncommon for prices to consistently trade outside of them.
NBANDS do not incorporate IQ Technology; however, when combined with NOSC, traders can identify strong double-confluence opportunities.
Mxwll OptAlgoIntroducing the Mxwll OptAlgo
Mxwll OptAlgo is a sophisticated algorithmic trading tool designed to identify potential long and short signals. It leverages an optimized combination of the M-Swift average, M-Smooth average, and M-RSI to fine-tune custom lengths and improve signal accuracy. The Mxwll OptAlgo provides long and short signals across various trading assets and timeframes. Additionally, it features optimized Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) settings to help traders manage risk.
Key Features
Step-by-Step Complete Optimization: A systematic approach to optimize trading parameters.
Buy/Sell Signals: Clear indicators for long and short positions.
Easy to Use: User-friendly interface for seamless trading.
Predictive counter trend channels
Integrated trend following system and counter trend trading system
3-optimized strategies working cooperatively
Alerts and auto trading capabilities
How It Works
The Mxwll OptAlgo is comprised of three strategies:
Trend following using the OptAlgo
AI Reversal counter trend trading
Market crash shorting
Mxwll OptAlgo can be used for market analysis and trading similarly to any moving average.
The Mxwll OptAlgo MA is composed of two distinct moving averages to be used for trend following strategies.
M-Swift Average: The M-Swift Average accounts for volume and weights current price movement heavier than older price movement - allowing for improved responsiveness to current price movement. Volume is additionally weighted to the average to determine the significance of the price move and the resulting response of the M-Swift average. The M-Swift average consists of an HVWMA with OBV weighting. The HVWMA is used to create a moving average that adapts to volume, attempting to respond to significant price moves with high volume quicker and significant price moves with low volume slower - which might not be indicative of the start of a strong trend. To further reduce the M-Swift average’s responsiveness to weak volume price moves, the average is weighted with a normalized OBV. With this, the M-Swift moving average uses these two indicators to create a responsive moving average to significant price moves with high volume.
M-Smooth Average: The M-Smooth average consists of a McGinley average.
The McGinley Average is designed to address some of the limitations of traditional moving averages, such as the Simple Moving Average (SMA) or Exponential Moving Average (EMA), by reducing their lag and more accurately reflecting the market's true movements, especially during periods of volatility.
The McGinley Dynamic automatically adjusts its smoothing factor based on market speed. This means it responds more quickly to fast-moving markets and slows down during periods of consolidation, reducing the likelihood of false signals.
Unlike traditional moving averages that have a fixed period and can lag significantly behind fast-moving prices, the McGinley Dynamic adjusts dynamically, which helps to reduce lag and keeps the moving average closer to the price action.
The M-Smooth average uses bar low prices as a series during an uptrend - bar high prices as a series during a downtrend. A cross above the M-Smooth average indicates an uptrend, while a cross below the M-Smooth average indicates a downtrend. When this cross event occurs the M-Smooth average will “flip” from calculating on lows to highs, or highs to lows, contingent on the direction of the trend. The expectation is that a cross event of the M-Smooth average requires a substantial price move and, subsequent to this cross, price will continue to trend in the direction of the cross.
OptAlgo: The OptAlgo is simply the average of the M-Swift average and the M-smooth average.
By combining the M-Swift average and the M-Smooth average, the final output results in an average that slows during ranging markets and quickly adjusts to high volume breakouts and high volume reversals that initiate a trend. Due to the combination, the average will keep up quickly with a trend but remain at an appropriate distance from the current price - requiring a significant counter trend price move to change the direction of the OptAlgo average.
How does the OptAlgo follow trends?
The OptAlgo, comprising the two moving averages above, considers a cross event of the OptAlgo as a change in trend indication. The OptAlgo can be thought of as a moving average that significantly deviates from price. For price to cross the OptAlgo, a substantial price move must occur, and this event is treated as a "strong trend" or "new trend" indication.
M-RSI: The M-RSI is a fundamental component of the trend following strategy. Prior to a trend following “long” or “short” signal, the M-RSI must generate a signal in confluence with an OptAlgo cross event. When price crosses over the opt algo its color will change to green, indicating an uptrend. A buy signal will generate should the M-RSI provide a similar indication. The M-RSI portion of the trend following strategy is explained below. When price crosses under the opt algo its color will change to green, indicating a downtrend, and a sell signal becomes eligible. The foundational logic for using the Opt Algo as a trend following strategy is to treat crossovers/crossunders of the Opt Algo as strong trend indications, and trade them.
Steps to generate a trend following long signal:
1: M-RSI extends into oversold territory
2: Price crosses over the OptAlgo
Steps to generate a trend following short signal:
1: M-RSI extends into overbought territory
2: Price crosses under the OptAlgo
Our trend following strategy considers crossovers/crossunders at key market turning points as buy/sell opportunities. This strategy integrates the Mxwll RSI and Mxwll OptAlgo MA to determine entry points in anticipation of trend continuation.
The Mxwll RSI must move below/above the optimized OB/OS level prior to a cross event for a long/short signal to be considered. Entry points for this strategy are marked as "Long" or "Short".
At its core, the OptAlgo trend following strategy tries to enter a trend as close to the origin point as possible. As with any trend following strategy, price may not continue to move in the expected direction following entry, resulting in a losing trade.
AI Reversal Predictions
Our AI reversals strategy uses AI suggested turning points to capitalize on price reversions back towards the OptAlgo. These levels are considered by the AI on the selected days, and entry points at these levels are marked as "LLO" or "SLO".
How AI reversals work
Our AI reversals strategy attempts to trade price reversions back toward the Opt Algo.
These levels are calculated on specific days of the week, but can be traded any day. The internal algorithm determines which HTF highs/lows are most likely to function as tradable support/resistance levels. For instance, if Friday consists of heavy trading activity and high/low prices are tracked/recorded as causing significant support / resistance when tested in the future, the algorithm will consider support and resistance levels created on Friday as future tradable levels.
Additionally, if support/resistance levels created on Wednesday are recorded as weak or unpredictable when traded at in the future, the algorithm will not consider support/resistance levels generated on Thursday as tradable, and will not generate long or shit signals for these levels.
In the background, the AI reversals strategy is tracking success rates at multiple support and resistance levels. The best performers, if there are any, will be considered tradable. A “best performer” is calculated as the raw price move up to a threshold (i.e. 0.5%) that occurs subsequent to a test of the level.
Crash Short
The "Crash Short" strategy prioritizes short positions during retracements of a sell off. A simple yet effective strategy.
How Crash Short Works
The Crash Short strategy uses a customized momentum indicator (similar to ROC, MOM, etc.) to identify strong downside price moves. When our customized momentum indicator gives strong sell indications, the RSI is then referenced to identify an upside retracement. When the RSI exceeds a user-inputted level, a “Crash Short” signal is generated.
What is the customized momentum indicator?
The customized momentum indicator is the RoCR (Rate of Change Ratio). Instead of classic ROC, which is close - close , the RoCR divides the current close by a previous close. This formula creates a ratio that is more normalized than a simple price difference. This ratio is used to determine upside/downside momentum, with values greater than 1 indicating bullish momentum and values less than 1 indicating bearish momentum. The RoCR looks for deviating values to the downside (less than 1) to identify strong selling. From there, once the RSI crosses over an optimized level (such as 35), the indicator will print a sell signal titled "Crash Short".
Predictive Countertrend Channels
Our Predictive Countertrend Channel applies a two-stage recursive filter to smooth data using exponential decay and periodic adjustments for trend extraction. Our counter trend channels aren't directly used for signal processing; however, these channels provide useful visual cues for extended market moves.
Instructions for Optimization
Step 1: Optimize Mxwll OptAlgo
Begin by optimizing the M-Swift and M-Smooth averages for better signal accuracy.
This step simply finds better performing M-Swift and M-Smooth lookbacks. Again, if the strategy is unprofitable you will be notified and from there decide not to use the strategy.
Step 2: Optimize Mxwll RSI
Refine the Mxwll RSI settings to explore potential adjustments in smoothness and signal output. This step aims to evaluate whether these adjustments could improve the accuracy of the signals generated by Mxwll OptAlgo, while being mindful of any potential impacts.
Step 3: Optimize TP/SL
Consider adjusting the Take Profit and Stop Loss settings to potentially manage risk.
Step 4: Optimize Bars Between Trades
Set the number of bars between trades to regulate the frequency of trade executions. This adjustment may help in reducing the risk of overtrading and support a more disciplined trading strategy.
Step 5: Optimize Trade Flip
Adjust the trade flip parameters to potentially improve the management of transitions between long and short positions. This adjustment is intended to help achieve smoother trade executions, though outcomes may vary.
Step 6: Optimize RSI OB/OB Levels
Consider adjusting the overbought (OB) and oversold (OS) RSI levels to explore potential improvements in signal sensitivity. Careful calibration of these levels may help refine the accuracy of trend reversal signals, although results may depend on market conditions.
Finished!
From this point, consider setting alerts to make the most of the Mxwll Opt Algo's potential accuracy.
The effectiveness of the Opt Algo signal output can be evaluated using the "PF" table, which indicates the profit factor score for the strategy. A profit factor (PF) of less than or equal to 1 suggests that the strategy may not be profitable.
Disclaimer
No strategy works on any timeframe on any asset, so, if the Opt Algo underperforms for the asset/timeframe you're analyzing, the Opt Algo PF table lets you know it hasn't been generating accurate signals, in which case you can decide not to use it!
Optimization Disclaimer
Optimization can be tricky. It's helpful to test numerous strategies in aggregate to see if a strategy has potential. Despite this, optimization can cause overfitting. Overfitting occurs when a strategy is too closely fit to the data it's trading. Overfit backtests are deceptively phenomenal. While the historical performance looks great, the future expectancy of the strategy remains unpredictable - an overfit strategy will profit from periods of random price movement which, being random, are irreproducible and cannot be profited from other than their initial occurrence. When a strategy trades random price movement profitably, any and all profit earned can be reduced to chance. Keep this in mind when using the in-built optimization system. Optimization should be kept to a minimum, a tool to point you in the right direction, whether confirming potential or signifying a useless system.
BTC D-AccumulatorBTC D-Accumulator — Adaptive Bitcoin Macro Accumulation System
Overview
BTC D-Accumulator is an advanced Bitcoin-focused accumulation detection and signal generation tool designed for daily timeframe traders and long-term investors. Its main purpose is to help users identify potential macro accumulation zones and market cycle resets with high statistical confidence. By combining on-chain metrics (NUPL, CVDD), adaptive EMA-based trend filtering, and a proprietary math-driven crossover logic, it delivers clear accumulation signals classified into four levels of conviction: AI BUY, BUY, Low Accumulation, and Risky Accumulation.
What It Does
BTC D-Accumulator analyzes BTC price action and market health across several complementary dimensions:
1. On-Chain Valuation Metrics - NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) is used to gauge sentiment extremes and potential undervaluation. CVDD (Cumulative Value Days Destroyed) defines probabilistic long-term floor values based on historical spending behavior.
2. Macro Crossover Logic - A custom math-based moving average crossover system dynamically adjusts its periods to the timeframe. Detects major market cycle resets or restarts (AI SELL / AI BUY signals).
3. Dynamic EMA Filtering - Evaluates BTC’s position relative to EMA50, EMA100, and EMA200 to confirm broader trend context and filter signals.
4. Momentum and Mean Reversion Conditions - RSI and smoothed RSI values ensure that signals are only triggered when the market is statistically oversold. A custom dual-line momentum engine measures directional bias and deceleration.
5. Visual Labels & Alerts - Each signal is displayed with a label directly on the chart (AI BUY, BUY, or arrows for other accumulation levels). Built-in alerts allow traders to be notified instantly when accumulation signals appear.
How It Works
BTC D-Accumulator uses the combined state of these components to classify price action into four actionable accumulation signals:
1. AI BUY – Strongest macro accumulation signal triggered by a proprietary math crossover and confirmed by other criteria.
2. BUY – High-probability accumulation signal combining on-chain undervaluation and momentum exhaustion.
3. GREEN ARROW – Moderate accumulation signal triggered when BTC is below major EMAs and shows volatility compression.
4. ORANGE ARROW – Early accumulation attempt during oversold conditions but with less confluence; higher risk.
Result: Signals only appear when multiple valuation, momentum, and trend filters align, improving selectivity and reducing noise.
How To Use It
1. Confirm the Context: Always ensure you are viewing BTC pairs (BTCUSD, BTCUSDT, BTCUSDC) on the Daily timeframe. Assess the overall market trend and sentiment before taking action.
2. Act According to the Signal Type:
-- AI BUY: Indicates a major cycle reset or strong accumulation opportunity; suitable for scaling into long-term positions.
-- BUY: Signals a statistically favorable zone for adding exposure with high confidence.
-- Low Accumulation: Moderate conviction entry; consider using partial position size.
-- Risky Accumulation: Early accumulation in potentially unstable market conditions; requires tighter risk control.
3. Manage Exposure: Use stop losses and scale entries progressively rather than committing all capital at once. Combine with your macro thesis and portfolio objectives.
Why It Is Unique
1. Integrates on-chain valuation metrics (NUPL, CVDD) with adaptive EMA filtering and math-based cycle detection.
2. Designed specifically for Bitcoin daily charts, avoiding false signals in other pairs or timeframes.
3. Provides four clearly classified accumulation signals, enabling flexible strategy deployment across different conviction levels.
4. Includes real-time visual labels and alerts for improved situational awareness and automation.
Apply Risk Management
Never rely exclusively on signals without understanding Bitcoin’s broader context. Maintain a clear risk/reward plan, diversify across entries, and size positions responsibly.
Timeframe Selection
Optimized for the Daily timeframe only. Using lower or higher timeframes will disable or distort signals.
Asset Selection
Only applicable to BTCUSD/BTCUSDT/BTCUSDC
Best Suited For
Bitcoin investors, swing traders, and position traders who want a systematic framework to identify macro accumulation opportunities.
Important Notes
The signals generated by BTC D-Accumulator are intended to support informed decisions, not to replace independent analysis. While the indicator incorporates advanced on-chain and price-based metrics, it does not guarantee outcomes. Use all information in combination with your trading plan and risk management practices.
License
This indicator was developed by the ProphetAlgoAI team. Its use is restricted to TradingView under a private, invite-only agreement. Redistribution or usage outside TradingView is strictly prohibited without explicit authorization from the ProphetAlgoAI team.
AiTrend Pattern Matrix for kNN Forecasting (AiBitcoinTrend)The AiTrend Pattern Matrix for kNN Forecasting (AiBitcoinTrend) is a cutting-edge indicator that combines advanced mathematical modeling, AI-driven analytics, and segment-based pattern recognition to forecast price movements with precision. This tool is designed to provide traders with deep insights into market dynamics by leveraging multivariate pattern detection and sophisticated predictive algorithms.
👽 Core Features
Segment-Based Pattern Recognition
At its heart, the indicator divides price data into discrete segments, capturing key elements like candle bodies, high-low ranges, and wicks. These segments are normalized using ATR-based volatility adjustments to ensure robustness across varying market conditions.
AI-Powered k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN) Prediction
The predictive engine uses the kNN algorithm to identify the closest historical patterns in a multivariate dictionary. By calculating the distance between current and historical segments, the algorithm determines the most likely outcomes, weighting predictions based on either proximity (distance) or averages.
Dynamic Dictionary of Historical Patterns
The indicator maintains a rolling dictionary of historical patterns, storing multivariate data for:
Candle body ranges, High-low ranges, Wick highs and lows.
This dynamic approach ensures the model adapts continuously to evolving market conditions.
Volatility-Normalized Forecasting
Using ATR bands, the indicator normalizes patterns, reducing noise and enhancing the reliability of predictions in high-volatility environments.
AI-Driven Trend Detection
The indicator not only predicts price levels but also identifies market regimes by comparing current conditions to historically significant highs, lows, and midpoints. This allows for clear visualizations of trend shifts and momentum changes.
👽 Deep Dive into the Core Mathematics
👾 Segment-Based Multivariate Pattern Analysis
The indicator analyzes price data by dividing each bar into distinct segments, isolating key components such as:
Body Ranges: Differences between the open and close prices.
High-Low Ranges: Capturing the full volatility of a bar.
Wick Extremes: Quantifying deviations beyond the body, both above and below.
Each segment contributes uniquely to the predictive model, ensuring a rich, multidimensional understanding of price action. These segments are stored in a rolling dictionary of patterns, enabling the indicator to reference historical behavior dynamically.
👾 Volatility Normalization Using ATR
To ensure robustness across varying market conditions, the indicator normalizes patterns using Average True Range (ATR). This process scales each component to account for the prevailing market volatility, allowing the algorithm to compare patterns on a level playing field regardless of differing price scales or fluctuations.
👾 k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN) Algorithm
The AI core employs the kNN algorithm, a machine-learning technique that evaluates the similarity between the current pattern and a library of historical patterns.
Euclidean Distance Calculation:
The indicator computes the multivariate distance across four distinct dimensions: body range, high-low range, wick low, and wick high. This ensures a comprehensive and precise comparison between patterns.
Weighting Schemes: The contribution of each pattern to the forecast is either weighted by its proximity (distance) or averaged, based on user settings.
👾 Prediction Horizon and Refinement
The indicator forecasts future price movements (Y_hat) by predicting logarithmic changes in the price and projecting them forward using exponential scaling. This forecast is smoothed using a user-defined EMA filter to reduce noise and enhance actionable clarity.
👽 AI-Driven Pattern Recognition
Dynamic Dictionary of Patterns: The indicator maintains a rolling dictionary of N multivariate patterns, continuously updated to reflect the latest market data. This ensures it adapts seamlessly to changing market conditions.
Nearest Neighbor Matching: At each bar, the algorithm identifies the most similar historical pattern. The prediction is based on the aggregated outcomes of the closest neighbors, providing confidence levels and directional bias.
Multivariate Synthesis: By combining multiple dimensions of price action into a unified prediction, the indicator achieves a level of depth and accuracy unattainable by single-variable models.
Visual Outputs
Forecast Line (Y_hat_line):
A smoothed projection of the expected price trend, based on the weighted contribution of similar historical patterns.
Trend Regime Bands:
Dynamic high, low, and midlines highlight the current market regime, providing actionable insights into momentum and range.
Historical Pattern Matching:
The nearest historical pattern is displayed, allowing traders to visualize similarities
👽 Applications
Trend Identification:
Detect and follow emerging trends early using dynamic trend regime analysis.
Reversal Signals:
Anticipate market reversals with high-confidence predictions based on historically similar scenarios.
Range and Momentum Trading:
Leverage multivariate analysis to understand price ranges and momentum, making it suitable for both breakout and mean-reversion strategies.
Disclaimer: This information is for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
