Altcoin Reversal or Correction DetectionINDICATOR OVERVIEW: Altcoin Reversal or Correction Detection
Altcoin Reversal or Correction Detection is a powerful crypto-specific indicator designed exclusively for altcoins by analyzing their RSI values across multiple timeframes alongside Bitcoin’s RSI. Since BTC's price movements have a strong influence on altcoins, this tool helps traders better understand whether a reversal or correction signal is truly reliable or just noise. Even if an altcoin appears oversold or overbought, it may continue trending with BTC—so this indicator gives you the full picture.
The indicator is optimized for CRYPTO MARKETS only. Not suitable for BTC itself—this is a precision tool built only for ALTCOINS only.
This indicator is not only for signals but also serves as a tool for observing all the information from different timeframes of BTC and altcoins collectively.
How the Calculation Works: Algorithm Overview
The Altcoin Reversal or Correction Detection indicator relies on an algorithm that compares the RSI values of the altcoin across multiple timeframes with Bitcoin's RSI values. This allows the indicator to identify key market moments where a reversal or correction might occur.
BTC-Altcoin RSI Correlation: The algorithm looks for the correlation between Bitcoin's price movements and the altcoin's price actions, as BTC often influences the direction of altcoins. When both Bitcoin and the altcoin show either overbought or oversold conditions in a significant number of timeframes, the indicator signals the potential for a reversal or correction.
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation: Unlike traditional indicators that may focus on a single timeframe, this tool checks multiple timeframes for both BTC and the altcoin. When the same overbought/oversold conditions are met across multiple timeframes, it confirms the likelihood of a trend reversal or correction, providing a more reliable signal. The more timeframes that align with this pattern, the stronger the signal becomes.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions & Extreme RSI Values: The algorithm also takes into account the size of the RSI values, especially focusing on extreme overbought and oversold levels. The greater the RSI values are in these extreme regions, the stronger the potential reversal or correction signal. This means that not only do multiple timeframes need to confirm the condition, but the magnitude of the overbought or oversold RSI level plays a crucial role in determining the strength of the signal.
Signal Strength Levels: The signals are classified into three levels:
Early Signal
Strong Signal
Very Strong Signal
By taking into account the multi-timeframe analysis of both BTC and the altcoin RSI values, along with the magnitude of these RSI values, the indicator offers a highly reliable method for detecting potential reversals and corrections.
Who Is This Indicator Suitable For?
This indicator can also be used to detect reversal points, but it is especially effective for scalping. It highlights potential correction points, making it perfect for quick entries during smaller market pullbacks or short-term trend shifts, which is more suitable for scalpers looking to capitalize on short-term movements
Integration with other tools
Use this tool alongside key Support and Resistance zones to further enhance your trade by filtering for even better quality entries and focusing only on high-quality reversal or correction setups. It can be also used with other indicators and suitable with other personalised strategies.
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ThinkTech AI SignalsThink Tech AI Strategy
The Think Tech AI Strategy provides a structured approach to trading by integrating liquidity-based entries, ATR volatility thresholds, and dynamic risk management. This strategy generates buy and sell signals while automatically calculating take profit and stop loss levels, boasting a 64% win rate based on historical data.
Usage
The strategy can be used to identify key breakout and retest opportunities. Liquidity-based zones act as potential accumulation and distribution areas and may serve as future support or resistance levels. Buy and sell zones are identified using liquidity zones and ATR-based filters. Risk management is built-in, automatically calculating take profit and stop loss levels using ATR multipliers. Volume and trend filtering options help confirm directional bias using a 50 EMA and RSI filter. The strategy also allows for session-based trading, limiting trades to key market hours for higher probability setups.
Settings
The risk/reward ratio can be adjusted to define the desired stop loss and take profit calculations. The ATR length and threshold determine ATR-based breakout conditions for dynamic entries. Liquidity period settings allow for customized analysis of price structure for support and resistance zones. Additional trend and RSI filters can be enabled to refine trade signals based on moving averages and momentum conditions. A session filter is included to restrict trade signals to specific market hours.
Style
The strategy includes options to display liquidity lines, showing key support and resistance areas. The first 15-minute candle breakout zones can also be visualized to highlight critical market structure points. A win/loss statistics table is included to track trade performance directly on the chart.
This strategy is intended for descriptive analysis and should be used alongside other confluence factors. Optimize your trading process with Think Tech AI today!
Mark Hours/Minutes (Formula + Minutes)This Pine Script code is a TradingView indicator that analyzes the hour and minutes of each candle in a 1-minute timeframe and plots a red triangle above the candle if one of the following conditions is met:
Sum/Difference Condition: The sum or the absolute difference of the hours and minutes is equal to 29, 35, or 71, with a tolerance of +/- 1.
Minutes Condition: The minutes are equal to 00, 29, or 35.
This indicator is based on the Goldbach theory and the "algo path" concept popularized by Hopiplaka, which posits that algorithmic trading paths often initiate from minute values of 00, 29, and 35. Use this indicator according to your trading strategy.
Stop/Take BoundsThe Stop/Take Bounds indicator is tool for setting dynamic stop-loss and take-profit levels based on percentage distance from the price. Unlike traditional ATR-based methods, this indicator allows traders to set stop levels as a fixed percentage of the price and define the take-profit multiple.
- Stop-loss distanceis determined as a percentage of the current price (e.g., 1% means the stop-loss is always 1% away from the price).
- Take-profit distance is calculated by multiplying the stop-loss distance by a user-defined multiplier (e.g., a multiplier of 2 places the take-profit level twice as far as the stop-loss).
- The indicator plots red lines for stop-loss levels and green lines for take-profit levels, making it easy to visualize risk-to-reward scenarios.
How to Use
1. Set Stop-Loss Distance (%) – Define how far the stop-loss should be from the price.
2. Set Take-Profit Multiplier – Choose how many times larger the take-profit should be compared to the stop-loss.
3. Apply to Long and Short Trades – The indicator automatically plots levels for both long and short positions.
4. Use in Manual or Algorithmic Trading – Ideal for discretionary traders as well as for integration into algorithmic strategies.
Use Cases
- Risk Management – Helps maintain disciplined risk-to-reward ratios.
- Strategy Development – Can be used in the creation of algorithmic trading systems.
- Trailing Stop Simulation – Can act as a trailing stop mechanism when used dynamically.
This indicator is a great addition to any trading strategy!
Quarterly Theory ICT 01 [TradingFinder] XAMD + Q1-Q4 Sessions🔵 Introduction
The Quarterly Theory ICT indicator is an advanced analytical system based on the concepts of ICT (Inner Circle Trader) and fractal time. It divides time into quarterly periods and accurately determines entry and exit points for trades by using the True Open as the starting point of each cycle. This system is applicable across various time frames including annual, monthly, weekly, daily, and even 90-minute sessions.
Time is divided into four quarters: in the first quarter (Q1), which is dedicated to the Accumulation phase, the market is in a consolidation state, laying the groundwork for a new trend; in the second quarter (Q2), allocated to the Manipulation phase (also known as Judas Swing), sudden price changes and false moves occur, marking the true starting point of a trend change; the third quarter (Q3) is dedicated to the Distribution phase, during which prices are broadly distributed and price volatility peaks; and the fourth quarter (Q4), corresponding to the Continuation/Reversal phase, either continues or reverses the previous trend.
By leveraging smart algorithms and technical analysis, this system identifies optimal price patterns and trading positions through the precise detection of stop-run and liquidity zones.
With the division of time into Q1 through Q4 and by incorporating key terms such as Quarterly Theory ICT, True Open, Accumulation, Manipulation (Judas Swing), Distribution, Continuation/Reversal, ICT, fractal time, smart algorithms, technical analysis, price patterns, trading positions, stop-run, and liquidity, this system enables traders to identify market trends and make informed trading decisions using real data and precise analysis.
♦ Important Note :
This indicator and the "Quarterly Theory ICT" concept have been developed based on material published in primary sources, notably the articles on Daye( traderdaye ) and Joshuuu . All copyright rights are reserved.
🔵 How to Use
The Quarterly Theory ICT strategy is built on dividing time into four distinct periods across various time frames such as annual, monthly, weekly, daily, and even 90-minute sessions. In this approach, time is segmented into four quarters, during which the phases of Accumulation, Manipulation (Judas Swing), Distribution, and Continuation/Reversal appear in a systematic and recurring manner.
The first segment (Q1) functions as the Accumulation phase, where the market consolidates and lays the foundation for future movement; the second segment (Q2) represents the Manipulation phase, during which prices experience sudden initial changes, and with the aid of the True Open concept, the real starting point of the market’s movement is determined; in the third segment (Q3), the Distribution phase takes place, where prices are widely dispersed and price volatility reaches its peak; and finally, the fourth segment (Q4) is recognized as the Continuation/Reversal phase, in which the previous trend either continues or reverses.
This strategy, by harnessing the concepts of fractal time and smart algorithms, enables precise analysis of price patterns across multiple time frames and, through the identification of key points such as stop-run and liquidity zones, assists traders in optimizing their trading positions. Utilizing real market data and dividing time into Q1 through Q4 allows for a comprehensive and multi-level technical analysis in which optimal entry and exit points are identified by comparing prices to the True Open.
Thus, by focusing on keywords like Quarterly Theory ICT, True Open, Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution, Continuation/Reversal, ICT, fractal time, smart algorithms, technical analysis, price patterns, trading positions, stop-run, and liquidity, the Quarterly Theory ICT strategy acts as a coherent framework for predicting market trends and developing trading strategies.
🔵b]Settings
Cycle Display Mode: Determines whether the cycle is displayed on the chart or on the indicator panel.
Show Cycle: Enables or disables the display of the ranges corresponding to each quarter within the micro cycles (e.g., Q1/1, Q1/2, Q1/3, Q1/4, etc.).
Show Cycle Label: Toggles the display of textual labels for identifying the micro cycle phases (for example, Q1/1 or Q2/2).
Table Display Mode: Enables or disables the ability to display cycle information in a tabular format.
Show Table: Determines whether the table—which summarizes the phases (Q1 to Q4)—is displayed.
Show More Info: Adds additional details to the table, such as the name of the phase (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution, or Continuation/Reversal) or further specifics about each cycle.
🔵 Conclusion
Quarterly Theory ICT provides a fractal and recurring approach to analyzing price behavior by dividing time into four quarters (Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4) and defining the True Open at the beginning of the second phase.
The Accumulation, Manipulation (Judas Swing), Distribution, and Continuation/Reversal phases repeat in each cycle, allowing traders to identify price patterns with greater precision across annual, monthly, weekly, daily, and even micro-level time frames.
Focusing on the True Open as the primary reference point enables faster recognition of potential trend changes and facilitates optimal management of trading positions. In summary, this strategy, based on ICT principles and fractal time concepts, offers a powerful framework for predicting future market movements, identifying optimal entry and exit points, and managing risk in various trading conditions.
AO/AC Trading Zones Strategy [Skyrexio] Overview
AO/AC Trading Zones Strategy leverages the combination of Awesome Oscillator (AO), Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator (AC), Williams Fractals, Williams Alligator and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Combination of AO and AC is used for creating so-called trading zones to create the signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over. In some special cases strategy uses AO and AC combination to trail profit (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Both AC and AO shall print two consecutive increasing values. At the price candle close which corresponds to this condition algorithm opens the first long trade with 10% of capital.
4. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
5. If AO and AC both continue printing the rising values strategy opens the long trade on each candle close with 10% of capital while number of opened trades reaches 5.
6. If AO and AC both has printed 5 rising values in a row algorithm close all trades if candle's low below the low of the 5-th candle with rising AO and AC values in a row.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting:
EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation).
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. We'll begin with the simplest: the EMA.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that assigns greater weight to recent price data, making it more responsive to current market changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This tool is widely used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. The EMA is calculated as follows:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy, the EMA acts as a long-term trend filter. For instance, long trades are considered only when the price closes above the EMA (default: 100-period). This increases the likelihood of entering trades aligned with the prevailing trend.
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
In this strategy if the most recent up fractal breakout occurs above the Alligator's teeth and follows the last down fractal breakout below the teeth, the algorithm identifies an uptrend. Long trades can be opened during this phase if a signal aligns. If the price breaks a down fractal below the teeth line during an uptrend, the strategy assumes the uptrend has ended and closes all open long trades.
By combining the EMA as a long-term trend filter with the Alligator and fractals as short-term filters, this approach increases the likelihood of opening profitable trades while staying aligned with market dynamics.
Now let's talk about the trading zones concept and its signals. To understand this we need to briefly introduce what is AO and AC. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), developed by Bill Williams, is a momentum indicator designed to measure market momentum by contrasting recent price movements with a longer-term historical perspective. It helps traders detect potential trend reversals and assess the strength of ongoing trends.
The formula for AO is as follows:
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
The Acceleration/Deceleration (AC) Indicator, introduced by Bill Williams, measures the rate of change in market momentum. It highlights shifts in the driving force of price movements and helps traders spot early signs of trend changes. The AC Indicator is particularly useful for identifying whether the current momentum is accelerating or decelerating, which can indicate potential reversals or continuations. For AC calculation we shall use the AO calculated above is the following formula:
AC = AO − SMA5(AO) , where SMA5(AO)is the 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Awesome Oscillator
When the AC is above the zero line and rising, it suggests accelerating upward momentum.
When the AC is below the zero line and falling, it indicates accelerating downward momentum.
When the AC is below zero line and rising it suggests the decelerating the downtrend momentum. When AC is above the zero line and falling, it suggests the decelerating the uptrend momentum.
Now let's discuss the trading zones concept and how it can create the signal. Zones are created by the combination of AO and AC. We can divide three zone types:
Greed zone: when the AO and AC both are rising
Red zone: when the AO and AC both are decreasing
Gray zone: when one of AO or AC is rising, the other is falling
Gray zone is considered as uncertainty. AC and AO are moving in the opposite direction. Strategy skip such price action to decrease the chance to stuck in the losing trade during potential sideways. Red zone is also not interesting for the algorithm because both indicators consider the trend as bearish, but strategy opens only long trades. It is waiting for the green zone to increase the chance to open trade in the direction of the potential uptrend. When we have 2 candles in a row in the green zone script executes a long trade with 10% of capital.
Two green zone candles in a row is considered by algorithm as a bullish trend, but now so strong, that's the reason why trade is going to be closed when the combination of Alligator and Fractals will consider the the trend change from bullish to bearish. If id did not happens, algorithm starts to count the green zone candles in a row. When we have 5 in a row script change the trade closing condition. Such situation is considered is a high probability strong bull market and all trades will be closed if candle's low will be lower than fifth green zone candle's low. This is used to increase probability to secure the profit. If long trades are initiated, the strategy continues utilizing subsequent signals until the total number of trades reaches a maximum of 5. Each trade uses 10% of capital.
Why we use trading zones signals? If currently strategy algorithm considers the high probability of the short-term uptrend with the Alligator and Fractals combination pointed out above and the long-term trend is also suggested by the EMA filter as bullish. Rising AC and AO values in the direction of the most likely main trend signaling that we have the high probability of the fastest bullish phase on the market. The main idea is to take part in such rapid moves and add trades if this move continues its acceleration according to indicators.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.12.31. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -9.49%
Maximum Single Profit: +24.33%
Net Profit: +4374.70 USDT (+43.75%)
Total Trades: 278 (39.57% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.203
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 668.16 USDT (-5.43%)
Average Profit per Trade: 15.74 USDT (+1.37%)
Average Trade Duration: 60 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
Arpeet MACDOverview
This strategy is based on the zero-lag version of the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator, which captures short-term trends by quickly responding to price changes, enabling high-frequency trading. The strategy uses two moving averages with different periods (fast and slow lines) to construct the MACD indicator and introduces a zero-lag algorithm to eliminate the delay between the indicator and the price, improving the timeliness of signals. Additionally, the crossover of the signal line and the MACD line is used as buy and sell signals, and alerts are set up to help traders seize trading opportunities in a timely manner.
Strategy Principle
Calculate the EMA (Exponential Moving Average) or SMA (Simple Moving Average) of the fast line (default 12 periods) and slow line (default 26 periods).
Use the zero-lag algorithm to double-smooth the fast and slow lines, eliminating the delay between the indicator and the price.
The MACD line is formed by the difference between the zero-lag fast line and the zero-lag slow line.
The signal line is formed by the EMA (default 9 periods) or SMA of the MACD line.
The MACD histogram is formed by the difference between the MACD line and the signal line, with blue representing positive values and red representing negative values.
When the MACD line crosses the signal line from below and the crossover point is below the zero axis, a buy signal (blue dot) is generated.
When the MACD line crosses the signal line from above and the crossover point is above the zero axis, a sell signal (red dot) is generated.
The strategy automatically places orders based on the buy and sell signals and triggers corresponding alerts.
Advantage Analysis
The zero-lag algorithm effectively eliminates the delay between the indicator and the price, improving the timeliness and accuracy of signals.
The design of dual moving averages can better capture market trends and adapt to different market environments.
The MACD histogram intuitively reflects the comparison of bullish and bearish forces, assisting in trading decisions.
The automatic order placement and alert functions make it convenient for traders to seize trading opportunities in a timely manner, improving trading efficiency.
Risk Analysis
In volatile markets, frequent crossover signals may lead to overtrading and losses.
Improper parameter settings may cause signal distortion and affect strategy performance.
The strategy relies on historical data for calculations and has poor adaptability to sudden events and black swan events.
Optimization Direction
Introduce trend confirmation indicators, such as ADX, to filter out false signals in volatile markets.
Optimize parameters to find the best combination of fast and slow line periods and signal line periods, improving strategy stability.
Combine other technical indicators or fundamental factors to construct a multi-factor model, improving risk-adjusted returns of the strategy.
Introduce stop-loss and take-profit mechanisms to control single-trade risk.
Summary
The MACD Dual Crossover Zero Lag Trading Strategy achieves high-frequency trading by quickly responding to price changes and capturing short-term trends. The zero-lag algorithm and dual moving average design improve the timeliness and accuracy of signals. The strategy has certain advantages, such as intuitive signals and convenient operation, but also faces risks such as overtrading and parameter sensitivity. In the future, the strategy can be optimized by introducing trend confirmation indicators, parameter optimization, multi-factor models, etc., to improve the robustness and profitability of the strategy.
Classic Nacked Z-Score ArbitrageThe “Classic Naked Z-Score Arbitrage” strategy employs a statistical arbitrage model based on the Z-score of the price spread between two assets. This strategy follows the premise of pair trading, where two correlated assets, typically from the same market sector, are traded against each other to profit from relative price movements (Gatev, Goetzmann, & Rouwenhorst, 2006). The approach involves calculating the Z-score of the price spread between two assets to determine market inefficiencies and capitalize on short-term mispricing.
Methodology
Price Spread Calculation:
The strategy calculates the spread between the two selected assets (Asset A and Asset B), typically from different sectors or asset classes, on a daily timeframe.
Statistical Basis – Z-Score:
The Z-score is used as a measure of how far the current price spread deviates from its historical mean, using the standard deviation for normalization.
Trading Logic:
• Long Position:
A long position is initiated when the Z-score exceeds the predefined threshold (e.g., 2.0), indicating that Asset A is undervalued relative to Asset B. This signals an arbitrage opportunity where the trader buys Asset B and sells Asset A.
• Short Position:
A short position is entered when the Z-score falls below the negative threshold, indicating that Asset A is overvalued relative to Asset B. The strategy involves selling Asset B and buying Asset A.
Theoretical Foundation
This strategy is rooted in mean reversion theory, which posits that asset prices tend to return to their long-term average after temporary deviations. This form of arbitrage is widely used in statistical arbitrage and pair trading techniques, where investors seek to exploit short-term price inefficiencies between two assets that historically maintain a stable price relationship (Avery & Sibley, 2020).
Further, the Z-score is an effective tool for identifying significant deviations from the mean, which can be seen as a signal for the potential reversion of the price spread (Braucher, 2015). By capturing these inefficiencies, traders aim to profit from convergence or divergence between correlated assets.
Practical Application
The strategy aligns with the Financial Algorithmic Trading and Market Liquidity analysis, emphasizing the importance of statistical models and efficient execution (Harris, 2024). By utilizing a simple yet effective risk-reward mechanism based on the Z-score, the strategy contributes to the growing body of research on market liquidity, asset correlation, and algorithmic trading.
The integration of transaction costs and slippage ensures that the strategy accounts for practical trading limitations, helping to refine execution in real market conditions. These factors are vital in modern quantitative finance, where liquidity and execution risk can erode profits (Harris, 2024).
References
• Gatev, E., Goetzmann, W. N., & Rouwenhorst, K. G. (2006). Pairs Trading: Performance of a Relative-Value Arbitrage Rule. The Review of Financial Studies, 19(3), 1317-1343.
• Avery, C., & Sibley, D. (2020). Statistical Arbitrage: The Evolution and Practices of Quantitative Trading. Journal of Quantitative Finance, 18(5), 501-523.
• Braucher, J. (2015). Understanding the Z-Score in Trading. Journal of Financial Markets, 12(4), 225-239.
• Harris, L. (2024). Financial Algorithmic Trading and Market Liquidity: A Comprehensive Analysis. Journal of Financial Engineering, 7(1), 18-34.
Auto-Adjusting Kalman Filter by TenozenNew year, new indicator! Auto-Adjusting Kalman Filter is an indicator designed to provide an adaptive approach to trend analysis. Using the Kalman Filter (a recursive algorithm used in signal processing), this algo dynamically adjusts to market conditions, offering traders a reliable way to identify trends and manage risk! In other words, it's a remaster of my previous indicator, Kalman Filter by Tenozen.
What's the difference with the previous indicator (Kalman Filter by Tenozen)?
The indicator adjusts its parameters (Q and R) in real-time using the Average True Range (ATR) as a measure of market volatility. This ensures the filter remains responsive during high-volatility periods and smooth during low-volatility conditions, optimizing its performance across different market environments.
The filter resets on a user-defined timeframe, aligning its calculations with dominant trends and reducing sensitivity to short-term noise. This helps maintain consistency with the broader market structure.
A confidence metric, derived from the deviation of price from the Kalman filter line (measured in ATR multiples), is visualized as a heatmap:
Green : Bullish confidence (higher values indicate stronger trends).
Red : Bearish confidence (higher values indicate stronger trends).
Gray : Neutral zone (low confidence, suggesting caution).
This provides a clear, objective measure of trend strength.
How it works?
The Kalman Filter estimates the "true" price by filtering out market noise. It operates in two steps, that is, prediction and update. Prediction is about projection the current state (price) forward. Update is about adjusting the prediction based on the latest price data. The filter's parameters (Q and R) are scaled using normalized ATR, ensuring adaptibility to changing market conditions. So it means that, Q (Process Noise) increases during high volatility, making the filter more responsive to price changes and R (Measurement Noise) increases during low volatility, smoothing out the filter to avoid overreacting to minor fluctuations. Also, the trend confidence is calculated based on the deviation of price from the Kalman filter line, measured in ATR multiples, this provides a quantifiable measure of trend strength, helping traders assess market conditions objectively.
How to use?
Use the Kalman Filter line to identify the prevailing trend direction. Trade in alignment with the filter's slope for higher-probability setups.
Look for pullbacks toward the Kalman Filter line during strong trends (high confidence zones)
Utilize the dynamic stop-loss and take-profit levels to manage risk and lock in profits
Confidence Heatmap provides an objective measure of market sentiment, helping traders avoid low-confidence (neutral) zones and focus on high-probability opportunities
Guess that's it! I hope this indicator helps! Let me know if you guys got some feedback! Ciao!
VWAP Fibonacci Bands (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The VWAP Fibonacci Bands is a sophisticated yet user-friendly indicator designed to assist traders in visualizing market trends, volatility, and potential support/resistance levels. Developed by Zeiierman, this tool integrates the MIDAS (Market Interpretation Data Analysis System) methodology with Standard Deviation Bands and user-defined Fibonacci levels to provide a comprehensive market analysis framework.
This indicator is built for traders who want a dynamic and customizable approach to understanding market movements, offering features that adapt to varying market conditions. Whether you're a scalper, swing trader, or long-term investor.
█ How It Works
⚪ Anchor Point System
The indicator begins its calculations based on an anchor point, which can be set to:
A specific date for historical analysis or alignment with significant market events.
A timeframe-based reset, dynamically restarting calculations at the beginning of each selected period (e.g., daily, weekly, or monthly).
This dual-anchor method ensures flexibility, allowing the indicator to align with various trading strategies.
⚪ MIDAS Calculation
The MIDAS calculation is central to this indicator. It uses cumulative price and volume data to compute a volume-weighted average price (VWAP), offering a trendline that reflects the true value weighted by trading activity.
⚪ Standard Deviation Bands
The upper and lower bands are calculated using the standard deviation of price movements around the MIDAS line.
⚪ Fibonacci Levels
User-defined Fibonacci ratios are used to plot additional support and resistance levels between the bands. These levels provide visual cues for potential price reversals or trend continuations.
█ How to Use
⚪ Trend Identification
Uptrend: The price remains above the MIDAS line.
Downtrend: The price stays below the MIDAS line and aligns with the lower bands.
⚪ Support and Resistance
The upper and lower bands act as support and resistance levels.
Fibonacci levels provide intermediate zones for potential price reversals.
⚪ Volatility Analysis
Wider bands indicate periods of high volatility.
Narrower bands suggest low-volatility conditions, often preceding breakouts.
⚪ Overbought/Oversold Conditions
Look for the price beyond the upper or lower bands to identify extreme conditions.
█ Settings
Set Anchor Method
Anchor Method: Choose between Timeframe or Date to define the starting point of calculations.
Anchor Timeframe: For Timeframe mode, specify the interval (e.g., Daily, Weekly).
Anchor Date: For Date mode, set the exact starting date for historical alignment.
Set Std Dev Multiplier
Controls the width of the bands:
Higher values widen the bands, filtering out minor fluctuations.
Lower values tighten the bands for more responsive analysis.
Set Fibonacci Levels
Define custom Fibonacci ratios (e.g., 0.236, 0.382) to plot intermediate levels between the bands.
█ Tips for Fine-Tuning
⚪ For Trend Trading:
Use higher Std Dev Multipliers to focus on long-term trends and avoid noise. Adjust Anchor Timeframe to Weekly or Monthly for broader trend analysis.
⚪ For Reversal Trading:
Tighten the bands with a lower Std Dev Multiplier.
Use shorter anchor timeframes for intraday reversals (e.g., Hourly).
⚪ For Volatile Markets:
Increase the Std Dev Multiplier to accommodate wider price swings.
⚪ For Quiet Markets:
Decrease the Std Dev Multiplier to highlight smaller fluctuations.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Leverage Aware Trade OptimizerWelcome to the Leverage-Aware Trade Optimizer (LATO)! I’m thrilled to have you exploring this dynamic algorithm! LATO combines advanced market oscillation tracking, leverage-aware trade optimization, and real-time market analysis to help you make smarter, more informed trading decisions. Whether you're just starting or you’re an experienced trader, LATO provides powerful tools and insights to enhance your strategies. LATO is here to support you in optimizing your trades with precision, so feel free to dive in and explore all the features. Let’s make your trading experience as effective and rewarding as possible. Safe trading!
Leverage-Aware Trade Optimizer (LATO)
Short Title: LATO
Category: Trading Tools / Technical Analysis
Overview
The Leverage-Aware Trade Optimizer (LATO) is a powerful algorithm designed to track and analyze market oscillations, identify reversal zones, and provide dynamic trading levels for optimal decision-making. With built-in risk management features, LATO enhances traders’ ability to make well-informed decisions based on a comprehensive range of market indicators, including price oscillations, probabilities, and leverage-related risks.
Key Features
Comprehensive Market Oscillation Tracking: LATO utilizes advanced indicators such as the Indexed Position Oscillator (IPO), Candle Relative Percentage (CRP), and Oscillating Range Indicator (ORI) to track price fluctuations and detect key market oscillations, providing a detailed view of price movements.
Dynamic Price Levels for Trading Decisions: The script calculates critical price levels such as WAP, WBP, XAP, and XBP. These weighted and expanded prices help identify potential support and resistance zones for accurate trade entries and exits.
Reversal Detection and Trend Identification: LATO is designed to recognize top and bottom reversal zones using user-defined thresholds (e.g., upper_reversal, lower_reversal). The algorithm signals potential trend changes with event markers such as UP, DOWN, UIP, and DIP, enabling traders to anticipate market reversals.
Risk and Leverage Mapping: By estimating liquidation levels for various leverage values (5x, 10x, 20x, etc.), LATO assists in risk management, helping traders visualize leverage exposure and optimize their trades according to risk tolerance.
Integrated Visualization and Event Labels: LATO enhances visual analysis by plotting key levels, trend lines, and event markers on the chart. Custom labels summarize critical values, including SOD (Sell Odds), BOD (Buy Odds), ORI (Oscillating Range Indicator), and PVI (Price Volatility Index), offering a quick, actionable summary for traders.
User Inputs
Orders Deviation (order_deviation): Controls the deviation for calculating trade levels.
Top Reversal (upper_reversal): Sets the threshold for the upper reversal zone.
Bottom Reversal (lower_reversal): Sets the threshold for the lower reversal zone.
How It Works
LATO tracks market oscillations through the Indexed Position Oscillator (IPO) and Candle Relative Percentage (CRP), dynamically adjusting as the market fluctuates. The algorithm then identifies key levels using weighted prices (e.g., WAP, WBP) and generates reversal signals based on defined thresholds.
Once the Leverage-Aware Trade Optimizer (LATO) is applied to a chart, it automatically calculates dynamic support and resistance levels and identifies potential buying or selling opportunities. The script also plots liquidation zones based on different leverage levels and visualizes these areas through color-coded lines.
Use Case Scenarios
Trend Reversal Detection: Identify when the market is likely to reverse based on the ORI and price action.
Dynamic Price Levels: Use the weighted price levels and trend lines to pinpoint entry/exit points.
Leverage Risk Management: Monitor liquidation levels and use them for managing risk while trading with leverage.
Oscillation Tracking: Track key oscillations for detecting overbought or oversold conditions.
Alert Setup for LATO
You can set up alerts based on the key conditions like UP, DOWN, UIP, and DIP, as well as specific market movements.
Down Trend Alert (DOWN): Alerts when there’s a downtrend, triggered by a crossover of WBP and BL5, with specific conditions for ORI and SOD.
Up Trend Alert (UP): Alerts when there’s an uptrend, triggered by a crossunder of WAP and SL5, with ORI below -0.5.
Upper Reversal Alert (UIP): Alerts when ORI crosses below the lower_reversal threshold.
Downward Reversal Alert (DIP): Alerts when ORI crosses above the upper_reversal threshold.
Conclusion
The Leverage-Aware Trade Optimizer (LATO) is a comprehensive trading tool designed for traders seeking to optimize their trade entries and exits. By combining multiple indicators, dynamic price levels, and reversal zone detection, LATO offers an advanced approach to market analysis and decision-making. Whether you’re trading with leverage or simply looking for trend confirmation, LATO provides the insights you need to maximize your trading potential.
Notes
This script is designed to be used on any time frame.
Adjust the order_deviation parameter based on the asset volatility you are trading.
The reversal thresholds (upper and lower) should be fine-tuned depending on market conditions.
Absolute Strength Index [ASI] (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Absolute Strength Index (ASI) is a next-generation oscillator designed to measure the strength and direction of price movements by leveraging percentile-based normalization of historical returns. Developed by Zeiierman, this indicator offers a highly visual and intuitive approach to identifying market conditions, trend strength, and divergence opportunities.
By dynamically scaling price returns into a bounded oscillator (-10 to +10), the ASI helps traders spot overbought/oversold conditions, trend reversals, and momentum changes with enhanced precision. It also incorporates advanced features like divergence detection and adaptive signal smoothing for versatile trading applications.
█ How It Works
The ASI's core calculation methodology revolves around analyzing historical price returns, classifying them into top and bottom percentiles, and normalizing the current price movement within this framework. Here's a breakdown of its key components:
⚪ Returns Lookback
The ASI evaluates historical price returns over a user-defined period (Returns Lookback) to measure recent price behavior. This lookback window determines the sensitivity of the oscillator:
Shorter Lookback: Higher responsiveness to recent price movements, suitable for scalping or high-volatility assets.
Longer Lookback: Smoother oscillator behavior is ideal for identifying larger trends and avoiding false signals.
⚪ Percentile-Based Thresholds
The ASI categorizes returns into two groups:
Top Percentile (Winners): The upper X% of returns, representing the strongest upward price moves.
Bottom Percentile (Losers): The lower X% of returns, capturing the sharpest downward movements.
This percentile-based normalization ensures the ASI adapts to market conditions, filtering noise and emphasizing significant price changes.
⚪ Oscillator Normalization
The ASI normalizes current returns relative to the top and bottom thresholds:
Values range from -10 to +10, where:
+10 represents extreme bullish strength (above the top percentile threshold).
-10 indicates extreme bearish weakness (below the bottom percentile threshold).
⚪ Signal Line Smoothing
A signal line is optionally applied to the ASI using a variety of moving averages:
Options: SMA, EMA, WMA, RMA, or HMA.
Effect: Smooths the ASI to filter out noise, with shorter lengths offering higher responsiveness and longer lengths providing stability.
⚪ Divergence Detection
One of ASI's standout features is its ability to detect and highlight bullish and bearish divergences:
Bullish Divergence: The ASI forms higher lows while the price forms lower lows, signaling potential upward reversals.
Bearish Divergence: The ASI forms lower highs while the price forms higher highs, indicating potential downward reversals.
█ Key Differences from RSI
Dynamic Adaptability: ASI adjusts to market conditions through percentile-based scaling, while RSI uses static thresholds.
█ How to Use ASI
⚪ Trend Identification
Bullish Strength: ASI above zero suggests upward momentum, suitable for trend-following trades.
Bearish Weakness: ASI below zero signals downward momentum, ideal for short trades or exits from long positions.
⚪ Overbought/Oversold Levels
Overbought Zone: ASI in the +8 to +10 range indicates potential exhaustion of bullish momentum.
Oversold Zone: ASI in the -8 to -10 range points to potential reversal opportunities.
⚪ Divergence Signals
Look for bullish or bearish divergence labels to anticipate trend reversals before they occur.
⚪ Signal Line Crossovers
A crossover between the ASI and its signal line (e.g., EMA or SMA) can indicate a shift in momentum:
Bullish Crossover: ASI crosses above the signal line, signaling potential upside.
Bearish Crossover: ASI crosses below the signal line, suggesting downside momentum.
█ Settings Explained
⚪ Absolute Strength Index
Returns Lookback: Sets the sensitivity of the oscillator. Shorter periods detect short-term changes, while longer periods focus on broader trends.
Top/Bottom Percentiles: Adjust thresholds for defining winners and losers. Narrower percentiles increase sensitivity to outliers.
Signal Line Type: Choose from SMA, EMA, WMA, RMA, or HMA for smoothing.
Signal Line Length: Fine-tune the responsiveness of the signal line.
⚪ Divergence
Divergence Lookback: Adjusts the period for detecting divergence. Use longer lookbacks to reduce noise.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Adaptive Volatility-Scaled Oscillator [AVSO] (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Adaptive Volatility-Scaled Oscillator (AVSO) is a dynamic trading indicator that measures and visualizes volatility-adjusted market behavior. By scaling various metrics (such as volume, price changes, standard deviation, ATR, and Yang-Zhang volatility) and applying adaptive smoothing, AVSO helps traders identify market conditions where volatility deviates significantly from the norm.
This indicator uses standardized scaling (Z-Score logic) to highlight periods of abnormally high or low volatility relative to recent history. With gradient coloring and clear volatility zones, AVSO provides a visually intuitive way to analyze market volatility and adapt trading strategies accordingly.
█ How It Works
⚪ Scaling Metrics: The indicator scales user-selected metrics (e.g., volume, ATR, standard deviation) relative to the market and price, providing a standardized volatility measure.
⚪ Z-Score Standardization: The scaled metric is normalized using a Z-Score to measure how far current volatility deviates from its recent mean.
Positive Z-Score: Above-average volatility.
Negative Z-Score: Below-average volatility.
⚪ Adaptive Smoothing: An Adaptive EMA smooths the Z-Score, dynamically adjusting its length based on the strength of the volatility. Stronger deviations result in shorter smoothing, increasing responsiveness.
█ Unique Feature: Yang-Zhang Volatility
The Yang-Zhang volatility estimator sets this indicator apart by providing a more robust and accurate measure of volatility compared to traditional methods like ATR or standard deviation.
⚪ What Makes Yang-Zhang Volatility Unique?
Comprehensive Calculation: It combines overnight price gaps (log returns from the previous close to the current open) and intraday price movements (high, low, and close).
Accurate for Gapped Markets: Traditional volatility measures can misrepresent price movement when significant gaps occur between sessions. Yang-Zhang accounts for these gaps, making it highly reliable for assets prone to overnight price jumps, such as stocks, cryptocurrencies, and futures.
Adaptable to Real Market Conditions : By including both close-to-open returns and intraday volatility, it provides a balanced and adaptive measure that captures the full volatility picture.
⚪ Why This Matters to Traders
Better Volatility Insights: Yang-Zhang offers a clearer view of true market volatility, especially in markets with price gaps or uneven trading sessions.
Improved Trade Timing: By identifying volatility spikes and calm periods more effectively, traders can time their entries and exits with greater confidence.
█ How to Use
Identify High and Low Volatility
A high Z-Score (>2) indicates significant market volatility. This can signal momentum-driven moves, breakouts, or areas of increased risk.
A low Z-Score (<-2) suggests low volatility or a calm market environment. This often occurs before a potential breakout or reversal.
Trade Signals
High Volatility Zones (background highlight): Monitor for potential breakouts, trend continuations, or reversals.
Low Volatility Zones: Anticipate range-bound conditions or upcoming volatility spikes.
█ Settings
Source: Select the price source for scaling calculations (close, high, low, open).
Metric Measure: Choose the volatility measure:
Volume: Scales raw volume.
Close: Uses closing price changes.
Standard Deviation: Price dispersion.
ATR: Average True Range.
Yang: Yang-Zhang volatility estimate.
Bars to Analyze: Number of historical bars used to calculate the mean and standard deviation of the scaled metric.
ATR / Standard Deviation Period: Lookback period for ATR or Standard Deviation calculation.
Yang Volatility Period: Period for the Yang-Zhang volatility estimator.
Smoothing Period: Base smoothing length for the adaptive smoothing line.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Newday_smaThis algorithm is based on SMA (Simple Moving Average) to identify price trends, detecting "positive price zones" (where the price is above the SMA) and "negative price zones" (where the price is below the SMA), and then connecting turning points within those zones with lines.
Key Steps:
SMA Period Selection: The user can select the SMA period to be 5, 10, or 20.
SMA Calculation: The SMA of the current price is calculated based on the selected period.
Identify Positive and Negative Price Zones:
Positive Price Zone: When the closing price is higher than the SMA, it’s considered a positive price zone.
Negative Price Zone: When the closing price is lower than the SMA, it’s considered a negative price zone.
Identify Turning Points:
In the positive price zone, if the current closing price falls below the SMA, a potential turning point is detected, and the algorithm looks for the lowest point (the lowest high in that zone).
In the negative price zone, if the current closing price rises above the SMA, a potential turning point is detected, and the algorithm looks for the highest point (the highest low in that zone).
Connect the Turning Points:
When transitioning from the negative price zone to the positive price zone, a line is drawn from the lowest point of the negative zone to the highest point of the positive zone.
When transitioning from the positive price zone to the negative price zone, a line is drawn from the highest point of the positive zone to the lowest point of the negative zone.
Dynamic Updates: As new candles form, the algorithm continuously updates the turning points and draws the lines accordingly.
Key Features:
Flexible SMA Period Selection: The user can choose from different SMA periods (5, 10, or 20).
Dynamic Turning Point Recognition: The algorithm dynamically identifies turning points based on the relationship between the price and the SMA, marking fluctuations in price.
Connecting Turning Points: The algorithm connects the key points in positive and negative price zones with lines to help identify price trends.
Use Cases:
This algorithm is useful for technical analysis, especially for short-term trading.
It helps identify support and resistance levels, assisting users in making buy and sell decisions.
Trend Speed Analyzer (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Trend Speed Analyzer by Zeiierman is designed to measure the strength and speed of market trends, providing traders with actionable insights into momentum dynamics. By combining a dynamic moving average with wave and speed analysis, it visually highlights shifts in trend direction, market strength, and potential reversals. This tool is ideal for identifying breakout opportunities, gauging trend consistency, and understanding the dominance of bullish or bearish forces over various timeframes.
█ How It Works
The indicator employs a Dynamic Moving Average (DMA) enhanced with an Accelerator Factor, allowing it to adapt dynamically to market conditions. The DMA is responsive to price changes, making it suitable for both long-term trends and short-term momentum analysis.
Key components include:
Trend Speed Analysis: Measures the speed of market movements, highlighting momentum shifts with visual cues.
Wave Analysis: Tracks bullish and bearish wave sizes to determine market strength and bias.
Normalized Speed Values: Ensures consistency across different market conditions by adjusting for volatility.
⚪ Average Wave and Max Wave
These metrics analyze the size of bullish and bearish waves over a specified Lookback Period:
Average Wave: This represents the mean size of bullish and bearish movements, helping traders gauge overall market strength.
Max Wave: Highlights the largest movements within the period, identifying peak momentum during trend surges.
⚪ Current Wave Ratio
This feature compares the current wave's size against historical data:
Average Wave Ratio: Indicates if the current momentum exceeds historical averages. A value above 1 suggests the trend is gaining strength.
Max Wave Ratio: Shows whether the current wave surpasses previous peak movements, signaling potential breakouts or trend accelerations.
⚪ Dominance
Dominance metrics reveal whether bulls or bears have controlled the market during the Lookback Period:
Average Dominance: Compares the net difference between average bullish and bearish wave sizes.
Max Dominance: Highlights which side had the stronger individual waves, indicating key power shifts in market dynamics.
Positive values suggest bullish dominance, while negative values point to bearish control. This helps traders confirm trend direction or anticipate reversals.
█ How to Use
Identify Trends: Leverage the color-coded candlesticks and dynamic trend line to assess the overall market direction with clarity.
Monitor Momentum: Use the Trend Speed histogram to track changes in momentum, identifying periods of acceleration or deceleration.
Analyze Waves: Compare the sizes of bullish and bearish waves to identify the prevailing market bias and detect potential shifts in sentiment. Additionally, fluctuations in Current Wave ratio values should be monitored as early indicators of possible trend reversals.
Evaluate Dominance: Utilize dominance metrics to confirm the strength and direction of the current trend.
█ Settings
Maximum Length: Sets the smoothing of the trend line.
Accelerator Multiplier: Adjusts sensitivity to price changes.
Lookback Period: Defines the range for wave calculations.
Enable Table: Displays statistical metrics for in-depth analysis.
Enable Candles: Activates color-coded candlesticks.
Collection Period: Normalizes trend speed values for better accuracy.
Start Date: Limits calculations to a specific timeframe.
Timer Option: Choose between using all available data or starting from a custom date.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Fractal Trend Detector [Skyrexio]Introduction
Fractal Trend Detector leverages the combination of Williams fractals and Alligator Indicator to help traders to understand with the high probability what is the current trend: bullish or bearish. It visualizes the potential uptrend with the coloring bars in green, downtrend - in red color. Indicator also contains two additional visualizations, the strong uptrend and downtrend as the green and red zones and the white line - trend invalidation level (more information in "Methodology and it's justification" paragraph)
Features
Optional strong up and downtrends visualization: with the specified parameter in settings user can add/hide the green and red zones of the strong up and downtrends.
Optional trend invalidation level visualization: with the specified parameter in settings user can add/hide the white line which shows the current trend invalidation price.
Alerts: user can set up the alert and have notifications when uptrend/downtrend has been started, strong uptrend/downtrend started.
Methodology and it's justification
In this script we apply the concept of trend given by Bill Williams in his book "Trading Chaos". This approach leverages the Alligator and Fractals in conjunction. Let's briefly explain these two components.
The Williams Alligator, created by Bill Williams, is a technical analysis tool used to identify trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three moving averages, called the jaw, teeth, and lips, which represent different time periods:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest line, showing a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars forward.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines are spread apart and aligned, the "alligator" is "awake," indicating a strong trend. When the lines intertwine, the "alligator" is "sleeping," signaling a non-trending or range-bound market. This indicator helps traders identify when to enter or avoid trades.
Williams Fractals, introduced by Bill Williams, are a technical analysis tool used to identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal is a series of at least five consecutive bars where the middle bar has the highest high (for a up fractal) or the lowest low (for a down fractal), compared to the two bars on either side.
Key Points:
Up fractal: Formed when the middle bar shows a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, signaling a potential turning point downward.
Down fractal: Formed when the middle bar has a lower low than the two surrounding bars, indicating a potential upward reversal.
Fractals are often used with other indicators to confirm trend direction or reversal, helping traders make more informed trading decisions.
How we can use its combination? Let's explain the uptrend example. The up fractal breakout to the upside can be interpret as bullish sign, there is a high probability that uptrend has just been started. It can be explained as following: the up fractal created is the potential change in market's behavior. A lot of traders made a decision to sell and it created the pullback with the fractal at the top. But if price is able to reach the fractal's top and break it, this is a high probability sign that market "changed his opinion" and bullish trend has been started. The moment of breaking is the potential changing to the uptrend. Here is another one important point, this breakout shall happen above the Alligator's teeth line. If not, this crossover doesn't count and the downtrend potentially remaining. The inverted logic is true for the down fractals and downtrend.
According to this methodology we received the high probability up and downtrend changes, but we can even add it. If current trend established by the indicator as the uptrend and alligator's lines have the following order: lips is higher than teeth, teeth is higher than jaw, script count it as a strong uptrend and start print the green zone - zone between lips and jaw. It can be used as a high probability support of the current bull market. The inverted logic can be used for bearish trend and red zones: if lips is lower than teeth and teeth is lower than jaw it's interpreted by the indicator as a strong down trend.
Indicator also has the trend invalidation line (white line). If current bar is green and market condition is interpreted by the script as an uptrend you will see the invalidation line below current price. This is the price level which shall be crossed by the price to change up trend to down trend according to algorithm. This level is recalculated on every candle. The inverted logic is valid for downtrend.
How to use indicator
Apply it to desired chart and time frame. It works on every time frame.
Setup the settings with enabling/disabling visualization of strong up/downtrend zones and trend invalidation line. "Show Strong Bullish/Bearish Trends" and "Show Trend Invalidation Price" checkboxes in the settings. By default they are turned on.
Analyze the price action. Indicator colored candle in green if it's more likely that current state is uptrend, in red if downtrend has the high probability to be now. Green zones between two lines showing if current uptrend is likely to be strong. This zone can be used as a high probability support on the uptrend. The red zone show high probability of strong downtrend and can be used as a resistance. White line is showing the level where uptrend or downtrend is going be invalidated according to indicator's algorithm. If current bar is green invalidation line will be below the current price, if red - above the current price.
Set up the alerts if it's needed. Indicator has four custom alerts called "Uptrend has been started" when current bar closed as green and the previous was not green, "Downtrend has been started" when current bar closed red and the previous was not red, "Uptrend became strong" if script started printing the green zone "Downtrend became strong" if script started printing the red zone.
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test indicators before live implementation.
Adaptive Kalman filter - Trend Strength Oscillator (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Adaptive Kalman Filter - Trend Strength Oscillator by Zeiierman is a sophisticated trend-following indicator that uses advanced mathematical techniques, including vector and matrix operations, to decompose price movements into trend and oscillatory components. Unlike standard indicators, this model assumes that price is driven by two latent (unobservable) factors: a long-term trend and localized oscillations around that trend. Through a dynamic "predict and update" process, the Kalman Filter leverages vectors to adaptively separate these components, extracting a clearer view of market direction and strength.
█ How It Works
This indicator operates on a trend + local change Kalman Filter model. It assumes that price movements consist of two underlying components: a core trend and an oscillatory term, representing smaller price fluctuations around that trend. The Kalman Filter adaptively separates these components by observing the price series over time and performing real-time updates as new data arrives.
Predict and Update Procedure: The Kalman Filter uses an adaptive predict-update cycle to estimate both components. This cycle allows the filter to adjust dynamically as the market evolves, providing a smooth yet responsive signal. The trend component extracted from this process is plotted directly, giving a clear view of the prevailing direction. The oscillatory component indicates the tendency or strength of the trend, reflected in the green/red coloration of the oscillator line.
Trend Strength Calculation: Trend strength is calculated by comparing the current oscillatory value against a configurable number of past values.
█ Three Kalman filter Models
This indicator offers three distinct Kalman filter models, each designed to handle different market conditions:
Standard Model: This is a conventional Kalman Filter, balancing responsiveness and smoothness. It works well across general market conditions.
Volume-Adjusted Model: In this model, the filter’s measurement noise automatically adjusts based on trading volume. Higher volumes indicate more informative price movements, which the filter treats with higher confidence. Conversely, low-volume movements are treated as less informative, adding robustness during low-activity periods.
Parkinson-Adjusted Model: This model adjusts measurement noise based on price volatility. It uses the price range (high-low) to determine the filter’s sensitivity, making it ideal for handling markets with frequent gaps or spikes. The model responds with higher confidence in low-volatility periods and adapts to high-volatility scenarios by treating them with more caution.
█ How to Use
Trend Detection: The oscillator oscillates around zero, with positive values indicating a bullish trend and negative values indicating a bearish trend. The further the oscillator moves from zero, the stronger the trend. The Kalman filter trend line on the chart can be used in conjunction with the oscillator to determine the market's trend direction.
Trend Reversals: The blue areas in the oscillator suggest potential trend reversals, helping traders identify emerging market shifts. These areas can also indicate a potential pullback within the prevailing trend.
Overbought/Oversold: The thresholds, such as 70 and -70, help identify extreme conditions. When the oscillator reaches these levels, it suggests that the trend may be overextended, possibly signaling an upcoming reversal.
█ Settings
Process Noise 1: Controls the primary level of uncertainty in the Kalman filter model. Higher values make the filter more responsive to recent price changes, but may also increase susceptibility to random noise.
Process Noise 2: This secondary noise setting works with Process Noise 1 to adjust the model's adaptability. Together, these settings manage the uncertainty in the filter's internal model, allowing for finely-tuned adjustments to smoothness versus responsiveness.
Measurement Noise: Sets the uncertainty in the observed price data. Increasing this value makes the filter rely more on historical data, resulting in smoother but less reactive filtering. Lower values make the filter more responsive but potentially more prone to noise.
O sc Smoothness: Controls the level of smoothing applied to the trend strength oscillator. Higher values result in a smoother oscillator, which may cause slight delays in response. Lower values make the oscillator more reactive to trend changes, useful for capturing quick reversals or volatility within the trend.
Kalman Filter Model: Choose between Standard, Volume-Adjusted, and Parkinson-Adjusted models. Each model adapts the Kalman filter for specific conditions, whether balancing general market data, adjusting based on volume, or refining based on volatility.
Trend Lookback: Defines how far back to look when calculating the trend strength, which impacts the indicator's sensitivity to changes in trend strength. Shorter values make the oscillator more reactive to recent trends, while longer values provide a smoother reading.
Strength Smoothness: Adjusts the level of smoothing applied to the trend strength oscillator. Higher values create a more gradual response, while lower values make the oscillator more sensitive to recent changes.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
EMD Oscillator (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) Oscillator is an advanced indicator designed to analyze market trends and cycles with high precision. It breaks down complex price data into simpler parts called Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs), allowing traders to see underlying patterns and trends that aren’t visible with traditional indicators. The result is a dynamic oscillator that provides insights into overbought and oversold conditions, as well as trend direction and strength. This indicator is suitable for all types of traders, from beginners to advanced, looking to gain deeper insights into market behavior.
█ How It Works
The core of this indicator is the Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) process, a method typically used in signal processing and advanced scientific fields. It works by breaking down price data into various “layers,” each representing different frequencies in the market’s movement. Imagine peeling layers off an onion: each layer (or IMF) reveals a different aspect of the price action.
⚪ Data Decomposition (Sifting): The indicator “sifts” through historical price data to detect natural oscillations within it. Each oscillation (or IMF) highlights a unique rhythm in price behavior, from rapid fluctuations to broader, slower trends.
⚪ Adaptive Signal Reconstruction: The EMD Oscillator allows traders to select specific IMFs for a custom signal reconstruction. This reconstructed signal provides a composite view of market behavior, showing both short-term cycles and long-term trends based on which IMFs are included.
⚪ Normalization: To make the oscillator easy to interpret, the reconstructed signal is scaled between -1 and 1. This normalization lets traders quickly spot overbought and oversold conditions, as well as trend direction, without worrying about the raw magnitude of price changes.
The indicator adapts to changing market conditions, making it effective for identifying real-time market cycles and potential turning points.
█ Key Calculations: The Math Behind the EMD Oscillator
The EMD Oscillator’s advanced nature lies in its high-level mathematical operations:
⚪ Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs)
IMFs are extracted from the data and act as the building blocks of this indicator. Each IMF is a unique oscillation within the price data, similar to how a band might be divided into treble, mid, and bass frequencies. In the EMD Oscillator:
Higher-Frequency IMFs: Represent short-term market “noise” and quick fluctuations.
Lower-Frequency IMFs: Capture broader market trends, showing more stable and long-term patterns.
⚪ Sifting Process: The Heart of EMD
The sifting process isolates each IMF by repeatedly separating and refining the data. Think of this as filtering water through finer and finer mesh sieves until only the clearest parts remain. Mathematically, it involves:
Extrema Detection: Finding all peaks and troughs (local maxima and minima) in the data.
Envelope Calculation: Smoothing these peaks and troughs into upper and lower envelopes using cubic spline interpolation (a method for creating smooth curves between data points).
Mean Removal: Calculating the average between these envelopes and subtracting it from the data to isolate one IMF. This process repeats until the IMF criteria are met, resulting in a clean oscillation without trend influences.
⚪ Spline Interpolation
The cubic spline interpolation is an advanced mathematical technique that allows smooth curves between points, which is essential for creating the upper and lower envelopes around each IMF. This interpolation solves a tridiagonal matrix (a specialized mathematical problem) to ensure that the envelopes align smoothly with the data’s natural oscillations.
To give a relatable example: imagine drawing a smooth line that passes through each peak and trough of a mountain range on a map. Spline interpolation ensures that line is as smooth and close to reality as possible. Achieving this in Pine Script is technically demanding and demonstrates a high level of mathematical coding.
⚪ Amplitude Normalization
To make the oscillator more readable, the final signal is scaled by its maximum amplitude. This amplitude normalization brings the oscillator into a range of -1 to 1, creating consistent signals regardless of price level or volatility.
█ Comparison with Other Signal Processing Methods
Unlike standard technical indicators that often rely on fixed parameters or pre-defined mathematical functions, the EMD adapts to the data itself, capturing natural cycles and irregularities in real-time. For example, if the market becomes more volatile, EMD adjusts automatically to reflect this without requiring parameter changes from the trader. In this way, it behaves more like a “smart” indicator, intuitively adapting to the market, unlike most traditional methods. EMD’s adaptive approach is akin to AI’s ability to learn from data, making it both resilient and robust in non-linear markets. This makes it a great alternative to methods that struggle in volatile environments, such as fixed-parameter oscillators or moving averages.
█ How to Use
Identify Market Cycles and Trends: Use the EMD Oscillator to spot market cycles that represent phases of buying or selling pressure. The smoothed version of the oscillator can help highlight broader trends, while the main oscillator reveals immediate cycles.
Spot Overbought and Oversold Levels: When the oscillator approaches +1 or -1, it may indicate that the market is overbought or oversold, signaling potential entry or exit points.
Confirm Divergences: If the price movement diverges from the oscillator's direction, it may indicate a potential reversal. For example, if prices make higher highs while the oscillator makes lower highs, it could be a sign of weakening trend strength.
█ Settings
Window Length (N): Defines the number of historical bars used for EMD analysis. A larger window captures more data but may slow down performance.
Number of IMFs (M): Sets how many IMFs to extract. Higher values allow for a more detailed decomposition, isolating smaller cycles within the data.
Amplitude Window (L): Controls the length of the window used for amplitude calculation, affecting the smoothness of the normalized oscillator.
Extraction Range (IMF Start and End): Allows you to select which IMFs to include in the reconstructed signal. Starting with lower IMFs captures faster cycles, while ending with higher IMFs includes slower, trend-based components.
Sifting Stopping Criterion (S-number): Sets how precisely each IMF should be refined. Higher values yield more accurate IMFs but take longer to compute.
Max Sifting Iterations (num_siftings): Limits the number of sifting iterations for each IMF extraction, balancing between performance and accuracy.
Source: The price data used for the analysis, such as close or open prices. This determines which price movements are decomposed by the indicator.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Curved Price Channels (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Curved Price Channels (Zeiierman) is designed to plot dynamic channels around price movements, much like the traditional Donchian Channels, but with a key difference: the channels are curved instead of straight. This curvature allows the channels to adapt more fluidly to price action, providing a smoother representation of the highest high and lowest low levels.
Just like Donchian Channels, the Curved Price Channels help identify potential breakout points and areas of trend reversal. However, the curvature offers a more refined approach to visualizing price boundaries, making it potentially more effective in capturing price trends and reversals in markets that exhibit significant volatility or price swings.
The included trend strength calculation further enhances the indicator by offering insight into the strength of the current trend.
█ How It Works
The Curved Price Channels are calculated based on the asset's average true range (ATR), scaled by the chosen length and multiplier settings. This adaptive size allows the channels to expand and contract based on recent market volatility. The central trendline is calculated as the average of the upper and lower curved bands, providing a smoothed representation of the overall price trend.
Key Calculations:
Adaptive Size: The ATR is used to dynamically adjust the width of the channels, making them responsive to changes in market volatility.
Upper and Lower Bands: The upper band is calculated by taking the maximum close value and adjusting it downward by a factor proportional to the ATR and the multiplier. Similarly, the lower band is calculated by adjusting the minimum close value upward.
Trendline: The trendline is the average of the upper and lower bands, representing the central tendency of the price action.
Trend Strength
The Trend Strength feature in the Curved Price Channels is a powerful feature designed to help traders gauge the strength of the current trend. It calculates the strength of a trend by analyzing the relationship between the price's position within the curved channels and the overall range of the channels themselves.
Range Calculation:
The indicator first determines the distance between the upper and lower curved channels, known as the range. This range represents the overall volatility of the price within the given period.
Range = Upper Band - Lower Band
Relative Position:
The next step involves calculating the relative position of the closing price within this range. This value indicates where the current price sits in relation to the overall range.
RelativePosition = (Close - Trendline) / Range
Normalization:
To assess the trend strength over time, the current range is normalized against the maximum and minimum ranges observed over a specified look-back period.
NormalizedRange = (Range - Min Range) / (Max Range - Min Range)
Trend Strength Calculation:
The final Trend Strength is calculated by multiplying the relative position by the normalized range and then scaling it to a percentage.
TrendStrength = Relative Position * Normalized Range * 100
This approach ensures that the Trend Strength not only reflects the direction of the trend but also its intensity, providing a more comprehensive view of market conditions.
█ Comparison with Donchian Channels
Curved Price Channels offer several advantages over Donchian Channels, particularly in their ability to adapt to changing market conditions.
⚪ Adaptability vs. Fixed Structure
Donchian Channels: Use a fixed period to plot straight lines based on the highest high and lowest low. This can be limiting because the channels do not adjust to volatility; they remain the same width regardless of how much or how little the price is moving.
Curved Price Channels: Adapt dynamically to market conditions using the Average True Range (ATR) as a measure of volatility. The channels expand and contract based on recent price movements, providing a more accurate reflection of the market's current state. This adaptability allows traders to capture both large trends and smaller fluctuations more effectively.
⚪ Sensitivity to Market Movements
Donchian Channels: Are less sensitive to recent price action because they rely on a fixed look-back period. This can result in late signals during fast-moving markets, as the channels may not adjust quickly enough to capture new trends.
Curved Price Channels: Respond more quickly to changes in market volatility, making them more sensitive to recent price action. The multiplier setting further allows traders to adjust the channel's sensitivity, making it possible to capture smaller price movements during periods of low volatility or filter out noise during high volatility.
⚪ Enhanced Trend Strength Analysis
Donchian Channels: Do not provide direct insight into the strength of a trend. Traders must rely on additional indicators or their judgment to gauge whether a trend is strong or weak.
Curved Price Channels: Includes a built-in trend strength calculation that takes into account the distance between the upper and lower channels relative to the trendline. A broader range between the channels typically indicates a stronger trend, while a narrower range suggests a weaker trend. This feature helps traders not only identify the direction of the trend but also assess its potential longevity and strength.
⚪ Dynamic Support and Resistance
Donchian Channels: Offer static support and resistance levels that may not accurately reflect changing market dynamics. These levels can quickly become outdated in volatile markets.
Curved Price Channels: Offer dynamic support and resistance levels that adjust in real-time, providing more relevant and actionable trading signals. As the channels curve to reflect price movements, they can help identify areas where the price is likely to encounter support or resistance, making them more useful in volatile or trending markets.
█ How to Use
Traders can use the Curved Price Channels in similar ways to Donchian Channels but with the added benefits of the adaptive, curved structure:
Breakout Identification:
Just like Donchian Channels, when the price breaks above the upper curved band, it may signal the start of a bullish trend, while a break below the lower curved band could indicate a bearish trend. The curved nature of the channels helps in capturing these breakouts more precisely by adjusting to recent volatility.
Volatility:
The width of the price channels in the Curved Price Channels indicator serves as a clear indicator of current market volatility. A wider channel indicates that the market is experiencing higher volatility, as prices are fluctuating more dramatically within the period. Conversely, a narrower channel suggests that the market is in a lower volatility state, with price movements being more subdued.
Typically, higher volatility is observed during negative trends, where market uncertainty or fear drives larger price swings. In contrast, lower volatility is often associated with positive trends, where prices tend to move more steadily and predictably. The adaptive nature of the Curved Price Channels reflects these volatility conditions in real time, allowing traders to assess the market environment quickly and adjust their strategies accordingly.
Support and Resistance:
The trend line act as dynamic support and resistance levels. Due to it's adaptive nature, this level is more reflective of the current market environment than the fixed level of Donchian Channels.
Trend Direction and Strength:
The trend direction and strength are highlighted by the trendline and the directional candle within the Curved Price Channels indicator. If the price is above the trendline, it indicates a positive trend, while a price below the trendline signals a negative trend. This directional bias is visually represented by the color of the directional candle, making it easy for traders to quickly identify the current market trend.
In addition to the trendline, the indicator also displays Max and Min values. These represent the highest and lowest trend strength values within the lookback period, providing a reference point for understanding the current trend strength relative to historical levels.
Max Value: Indicates the highest recorded trend strength during the lookback period. If the Max value is greater than the Min value, it suggests that the market has generally experienced more positive (bullish) conditions during this time frame.
Min Value: Represents the lowest recorded trend strength within the same period. If the Min value is greater than the Max value, it indicates that the market has been predominantly negative (bearish) over the lookback period.
By assessing these Max and Min values, traders gain an immediate understanding of the underlying trend. If the current trend strength is close to the Max value, it indicates a strong bullish trend. Conversely, if the trend strength is near the Min value, it suggests a strong bearish trend.
█ Settings
Trend Length: Defines the number of bars used to calculate the core trendline and adaptive size. A length of 200 will create a smooth, long-term trendline that reacts slowly to price changes, while a length of 20 will create a more responsive trendline that tracks short-term movements.
Multiplier: Adjusts the width of the curved price channels. A higher value tightens the channels, making them more sensitive to price movements, while a lower value widens the channels. A multiplier of 10 will create tighter channels that are more sensitive to minor price fluctuations, which is useful in low-volatility markets. A multiplier of 2 will create wider channels that capture larger trends and are better suited for high-volatility markets.
Trend Strength Length: Defines the period over which the maximum and minimum ranges are calculated to normalize the trend strength. A length of 200 will smooth out the trend strength readings, providing a stable indication of trend health, whereas a length of 50 will make the readings more reactive to recent price changes.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Curved Smart Money Concepts Probability (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Curved Smart Money Concepts Probability indicator, developed by Zeiierman, is a sophisticated trading tool designed to leverage the principles of Smart Money trading. This indicator identifies key market structure points and adapts to changing market conditions, providing traders with actionable insights into market trends and potential reversals. The trading tool stands out due to its unique curved structure and advanced probability features, which enhance its effectiveness and usability for traders.
█ How It Works
The indicator operates by analyzing market data to identify pivotal moments where institutional investors might be influencing price movements. It employs a combination of adaptive trend lengths, multipliers for sensitivity adjustments, and pivot periods to accurately capture market structure shifts. The indicator calculates upper and lower bands based on adaptive sizes and identifies zones of overbought (premium) and oversold (discount) conditions.
Key Features of Probability Calculations
The Curved Smart Money Concepts Probability indicator integrates sophisticated probability calculations to enhance trading decision-making:
Win/Loss Tracking: The indicator tracks the number of successful (win) and unsuccessful (loss) trades based on the identified market structure points (ChoCH, SMS, BMS). This provides a historical context of the indicator's performance.
Probability Percentages: For each market structure point (ChoCH, SMS, BMS), the indicator calculates the probability of the next move being successful or not. This is presented as a percentage, giving traders a quantifiable measure of confidence in the signals.
Dynamic Adaptation: The probability calculations adapt to market conditions by considering the frequency and success rate of the signals, allowing traders to adjust their strategies based on the indicator’s historical accuracy.
Visual Representation: Probabilities are displayed on the chart, helping traders quickly assess the likelihood of future price movements based on past performance.
Key benefits of the Curved Structure
The Curved Smart Money Concepts Probability indicator features a unique curved structure that offers several advantages over traditional linear structures:
Noise Reduction: The curved structure smooths out short-term market fluctuations, reducing the noise often seen in linear structures. This helps traders focus on the true trend direction rather than getting distracted by minor price movements.
Adaptive Sensitivity: The curved structure adjusts its sensitivity based on market conditions. This means it can effectively capture both short-term and long-term trends by dynamically adapting to changes in market volatility, something linear structures struggle with.
Enhanced Trend Detection: By providing a more gradual transition between market phases, the curved structure helps in identifying trends more accurately. This is particularly useful in volatile markets where linear structures might give false signals due to their rigid nature.
Improved Market Structure Analysis: The curved structure's ability to adapt and smooth out irregularities provides a clearer picture of the overall market structure. This clarity is essential for identifying premium and discount zones, as well as mid-range support and resistance levels, which are crucial for effective ICT Smart Money Trading.
█ Terminology
ChoCH (Change of Character): Indicates a potential reversal in market direction. It is identified when the price breaks a significant high or low, suggesting a shift from a bullish to bearish trend or vice versa.
SMS (Smart Money Shift): Represents the transition phase in market structure where smart money begins accumulating or distributing assets. It typically follows a BMS and indicates the start of a new trend.
BMS (Bullish/Bearish Market Structure): Confirms the trend direction. Bullish Market Structure (BMS) confirms an uptrend, while Bearish Market Structure (BMS) confirms a downtrend. It is characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows (bullish) or lower highs and lower lows (bearish).
Premium: A zone where the price is considered overbought. It is calculated as the upper range of the current market structure and indicates a potential area for selling or shorting.
Mid Range: The midpoint between the high and low of the market structure. It often acts as a support or resistance level, helping traders identify potential reversal or continuation points.
Discount: A zone where the price is considered oversold. It is calculated as the lower range of the current market structure and indicates a potential area for buying or going long.
█ How to Use
Identifying Trends and Reversals: Traders can use the indicator to identify the overall market trend and potential reversal points. By observing the ChoCH, SMS, and BMS signals, traders can gauge whether the market is transitioning into a new trend or continuing the current trend.
Example Strategies
⚪ Trend Following Strategy:
Identify the current market trend using BMS signals.
Enter a trade in the direction of the trend when the price retraces to the mid-range zone.
Set a stop-loss just below the mid-range (for long trades) or above the mid-range (for short trades).
Take profit in the premium/discount zone or when a ChoCH signal indicates a potential reversal.
⚪ Reversal Strategy:
Wait for a ChoCH signal to identify a potential market reversal.
Enter a trade in the direction of the new trend as indicated by the SMS signal.
Set a stop-loss just beyond the recent high (for short trades) or low (for long trades).
Take profit when the price reaches the premium or discount zone opposite to the entry.
█ Settings
Curved Trend Length: Determines the length of the trend used to calculate the adaptive size of the structure. Adjusting this length allows traders to capture either longer-term trends (for smoother curves) or short-term trends (for more reactive curves).
Curved Multiplier: Scales the adjustment factors for the upper and lower bands. Increasing the multiplier widens the bands, reducing sensitivity to price changes. Decreasing it narrows the bands, making the structure more responsive.
Pivot Period: Sets the period for capturing trends. A higher period captures broader trends, while a lower period focuses on short-term trends.
Response Period: Adjusts the structure’s responsiveness. A low value focuses on short-term changes, while a high value smoothens the structure.
Premium/Discount Range: Allows toggling between displaying the active range or previous range to analyze real-time or historical levels.
Structure Candles: Enables the display of curved structure candles on the chart, providing a modified view of price action.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
ICT Market Structure Screener (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The ICT Market Structure Screener (Zeiierman) is designed to identify and display key market structure levels and patterns based on Smart Money Concepts. It highlights bullish and bearish structures, premium and discount levels, and generates alerts for significant market structure changes, making it a valuable tool for traders looking to understand institutional trading behaviors and market trends. A key feature of this indicator is its screener function, which allows traders to monitor multiple symbols simultaneously. This feature provides a consolidated view of the market structure for various assets, making it easier to identify trading opportunities across a diverse portfolio.
█ How It Works
The ICT Market Structure Screener operates by identifying high and low pivot points within a specified period, then analyzing these pivots to determine changes in market structure. The indicator tracks price movements and categorizes them into bullish or bearish structures, indicating potential trend reversals or continuations. By plotting premium and discount levels, it helps traders identify overbought and oversold conditions. The indicator also provides real-time updates and alerts for significant changes in the market structure.
█ Terminology
ChoCH (Change of Character): Indicates a potential reversal in market direction. It is identified when the price breaks a significant high or low, suggesting a shift from a bullish to bearish trend or vice versa.
SMS (Smart Money Shift): Represents the transition phase in market structure where smart money begins accumulating or distributing assets. It typically follows a BMS and indicates the start of a new trend.
BMS (Bullish/Bearish Market Structure): Confirms the trend direction. Bullish Market Structure (BMS) confirms an uptrend, while Bearish Market Structure (BMS) confirms a downtrend. It is characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows (bullish) or lower highs and lower lows (bearish).
Premium: A zone where the price is considered overbought. It is calculated as the upper range of the current market structure and indicates a potential area for selling or shorting.
Mid Range: The midpoint between the high and low of the market structure. It often acts as a support or resistance level, helping traders identify potential reversal or continuation points.
Discount: A zone where the price is considered oversold. It is calculated as the lower range of the current market structure and indicates a potential area for buying or going long.
█ How to Use
The ICT Market Structure Screener allows traders to follow smart money moves in the market more effectively. By identifying key market levels and monitoring bullish and bearish structures, traders can easily spot trend changes and strong trends. The indicator's premium and discount levels help identify overbought and oversold conditions, providing valuable entry and exit points. Alerts for ChoCH, SMS, and BMS keep traders informed about significant market changes, enabling real-time adjustments to trading strategies.
The screener functionality is particularly valuable for monitoring multiple markets simultaneously. The screener table displays critical information such as current price, trend direction, signal type, and premium/discount levels for each symbol. This makes it easier to track the market structure of various assets at a glance and quickly identify trading opportunities across different markets.
Example Strategies:
⚪ Trend Following: Use the indicator to identify the current market trend (bullish or bearish) and trade in the direction of the trend. Enter trades on pullbacks to premium (for shorts) or discount (for longs) levels.
⚪ Reversal Trading: Look for ChoCH signals to identify potential trend reversals. Enter trades when the price breaks a significant high or low and confirms a change in market structure, or wait for a retest of the nearest Orderblock that was formed.
⚪ Support and Resistance: Utilize the mid-range, premium, and discount levels as support and resistance zones. Enter trades when the price approaches these levels and shows signs of reversal or continuation.
⚪ Multi-Symbol Analysis: Use the screener table to monitor multiple symbols and quickly assess their market structure. This helps in diversifying trading opportunities and managing a portfolio of assets efficiently.
█ Settings
Period: The pivot period for calculating the structure. Increasing the period captures broader trends, making the structure more representative of long-term movements. Decreasing the period focuses on shorter-term trends, increasing sensitivity.
Response: Enabling this option uses the response period instead of the pivot period, providing more flexibility in capturing short-term or long-term structures. The period for the response, which determines the structure's sensitivity. Increasing the response period smoothens the structure, making it less reactive to short-term fluctuations. Decreasing the response period makes the structure more responsive to short-term changes.
Structure Display: Choose between displaying the active range or the previous range. 'Active Range' shows real-time premium, discount, and mid-range levels based on the current structure. 'Previous Range' displays past ranges, useful for analyzing historical support/resistance levels.
Ticker Symbols: List of symbols to include in the screener. Enabling the option includes the symbol in the screener, allowing the user to track its structure. Disabling it excludes the symbol from the screener, reducing the number of tracked symbols.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Hourly Trading System (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Hourly Trading System (Zeiierman) is designed to enhance your trading by highlighting critical price levels and trends on an hourly basis. This indicator plots the open prices of hourly and 4-hour candles, visualizes retests, displays average price lines, and overlays higher timeframe candlesticks. It is particularly beneficial for intraday traders seeking to capitalize on short-term price movements and volume patterns.
█ How It Works
This indicator works by plotting significant price levels and zones based on hourly and 4-hour candle opens. It also includes functionalities for identifying retests of these levels, calculating and displaying average prices, and showing high and low labels for each hour.
█ Timeframe
The Hourly Trading System is designed to be used on the 1-minute or 5-minute timeframe. This system is tailored for intraday trading, allowing traders to find optimal entries around hourly opening levels and providing an easy method to identify the hourly trend. It works effectively on any market.
█ How to Use
Trend Analysis
Quickly gauge where the current price stands relative to key hourly and 4-hour levels. The plotted lines and zones serve as potential support and resistance areas, helping traders identify crucial points for entry or exit.
Utilize the 1-hour average and higher timeframe candles to understand the overall market trend. Aligning intraday strategies with larger trends can enhance trading decisions.
Use the bar coloring to quickly gauge the 1-hour trend on a lower timeframe. The bar colors indicate whether the hourly trend is bullish (green) or bearish (red), helping traders make quicker decisions in alignment with the overall trend.
Retest Identification
Enable retest signals to see where the price retested the hourly open levels. These retest points often signal strong price reactions, offering opportunities for trades based on support/resistance flips.
One effective strategy to incorporate is looking for price flips when a new hour starts. This approach involves monitoring price action at the beginning of each hour. If the price breaks and retests the hourly open level with strong momentum, it could indicate a potential trend reversal or continuation. This strategy is effective in volatile markets where price movements are significant at the start of each new hour.
Liquidity Sweep Strategy
Another common and effective strategy is the liquidity sweep. This involves identifying key levels where liquidity is likely to accumulate, such as previous hour highs and lows, and observing how the price interacts with these price levels. When the price sweeps through these levels, triggering stop-loss orders or pending orders, it often results in a sharp price movement followed by a reversal. Traders can capitalize on these movements by entering trades in the direction of the reversal once the liquidity sweep has occurred.
Equal Highs and Lows Strategy
The Equal Highs and Lows strategy leverages the concept of identifying levels where the price forms multiple highs or lows at the same level over different hourly periods. These equal highs and lows often indicate strong support or resistance levels where liquidity is accumulated. When the price approaches these levels, it is likely to trigger stop-loss orders and lead to significant price movements. Traders can look for breakouts or reversals around these levels to enter trades with higher probability setups.
█ Settings
Zone Width: Specifies the width of the zone around the 1-Hour Open as a percentage. Adjust this to widen or narrow the zone.
Show Retests: Enables or disables the display of retest markers. Retest markers show where the price has retested the 1-Hour Open line.
Number of Retests: Sets the number of retests to display. Adjust this to see more or fewer retest markers.
Volume Filter: Enables or disables the volume filter for retests. Use this to highlight retests with significant volume.
Volume Filter Length: Sets the length of the volume filter, smoothing the volume data to reduce noise.
1-Hour Average Line: Enables or disables the 1-hour average price line. This line shows the average price over the past hour.
Hourly High & Low Labels: Enables or disables the display of hourly high and low labels, marking the highest and lowest prices within each hour.
Candlesticks: Enables or disables the display of candlesticks on the chart, providing a detailed view of price action.
Bar Color: Enables or disables bar coloring based on price direction, with up bars in green and down bars in red.
Timeframe: Sets the timeframe for higher timeframe candles. Adjust this to match the period you want to analyze.
Number of Candles: Sets the number of higher timeframe candles to display. Increase this to see more candles on the chart.
Location: Sets the location for higher timeframe candles, allowing you to position them left or right on the chart.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Analyst Table (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Analyst Table (Zeiierman) provides a comprehensive visual representation of analyst estimates and recommendations for any stock. This indicator displays crucial analyst data, including the highest, average, and lowest price targets, directly on the price chart. Additionally, it features a well-organized table summarizing various types of analyst recommendations, offering traders valuable insights into market sentiment and expectations. This tool is ideal for traders seeking a quick overview of analyst opinions and recommendations on specific stocks.
█ How It Works
The indicator works by retrieving analyst data such as price targets and recommendations from the TradingView data feed. It visually represents these estimates on the chart and creates a structured table for easy reference, consolidating all the information in an organized format.
Key Components:
High Estimate Line: A dotted line representing the highest price target.
Low Estimate Line: A dotted line representing the lowest price target.
Target Estimate Box: A box representing the range between the average and median price targets.
Analyst Table: A table displaying detailed information about various analyst recommendations and price targets.
█ How to Use
Traders can use this indicator to gain insights into the expectations of financial analysts regarding the future performance of an asset. By observing the highest, lowest, and average price targets, traders can assess the range of possible future prices as predicted by analysts. The recommendation table helps in understanding the general sentiment among analysts, whether it's bullish, bearish, or neutral.
Visual Analysis: Use the visual indicators to quickly gauge where the current price stands relative to analyst targets.
Sentiment Assessment: Refer to the table to understand the distribution of buy, hold, and sell recommendations.
█ Settings
The indicator settings allow users to enable or disable different target lines, select colors for the lines and table cells, and choose the position and size of the analyst table on the chart.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
