Cumulative Volume Delta Strategy | Flux Charts💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Introducing the Cumulative Volume Delta Strategy (CVDS) Indicator, an advanced tool designed to enhance trading strategies by identifying potential trend reversals through volume dynamics. This script features integrated order block detection, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), and a dynamic take-profit (TP) and stop-loss (SL) system. For an in-depth understanding of the strategy, refer to the "HOW DOES IT WORK?" section below.
Features of the new Cumulative Volume Delta Strategy (CVDS) Indicator :
Cumulative Volume Delta-based Strategy
Order Block and Fair Value Gap (FVG) Entry Methods
Dynamic TP/SL System
Customizable Risk Management Settings
Alerts for Buy, Sell, TP, and SL Signals
📌 HOW DOES IT WORK ?
The CVDS indicator operates by tracking the net volume difference between buyers and sellers to identify divergences that could indicate potential trend reversals. A cumulative volume delta (CVD) calculation is employed to measure the intensity of these divergences in relation to price movements. The net volume sum is reset every trading day (can be changed from the settings using the anchor period option), and divergences are detected when the cumulative volume crosses the 0-line over or under.
Once a significant divergence is detected, the indicator identifies breakout points, confirmed by either Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) or Order Blocks (OBs). Depending on your chosen entry mode, the indicator will trigger a buy or sell entry when the confirmation signal aligns with the breakout direction. Alerts for Buy, Sell, Take-Profit, and Stop-Loss are available.
Note that the indicator cannot run on 1-minute and 1-second charts, as it needs to get data from a lower timeframe. 1-minutes & 1-second timeframes are the minimum timeframes in their ranges respectively.
🚩 UNIQUENESS
What sets this indicator apart is the combination of volume divergence analysis with advanced price action tools like Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and Order Blocks (OBs). The ability to choose between these methods, along with a dynamic TP/SL system that adapts based on volatility, provides flexibility for traders in any market condition. The backtesting dashboard provides metrics about the performance of the indicator. You can use it to tune the settings for best use in the current ticker. The CVD-based strategy ensures that trades are initiated only when meaningful divergences between volume and price occur, filtering out noise and increasing the likelihood of profitable trades.
⚙️ SETTINGS
1. General Configuration
Anchor Period: Time anchor period used in CVD calculation. This is essentially the period that the volume delta sum will be reset. Lower timeframes may result in more entries at the cost of less reliable results.
Entry Mode: Choose between FVGs or OBs to trigger your entries based on the confirmation signals.
Retracement Requirement: Enable to confirm the entry after a retracement toward the FVG or OB.
2. Fair Value Gaps
FVG Sensitivity: Modify the sensitivity of FVG detection, allowing for more or fewer gaps to be considered valid.
3. Order Blocks (OB)
Swing Length: Define the swing length to identify OB formations. Shorter lengths find smaller OBs, while longer lengths detect larger structures.
4. TP / SL
TP / SL Method:
a) Dynamic: The TP / SL zones will be auto-determined by the algorithm based on the Average True Range (ATR) of the current ticker.
b) Fixed : You can adjust the exact TP / SL ratios from the settings below.
Dynamic Risk: The risk you're willing to take if "Dynamic" TP / SL Method is selected. Higher risk usually means a better winrate at the cost of losing more if the strategy fails. This setting is has a crucial effect on the performance of the indicator, as different tickers may have different volatility so the indicator may have increased performance when this setting is correctly adjusted.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "algo"
ICT Professional Accumulation DistributionICT Professional Accumulation Distribution (ICT AD) provides a x-ray view into market accumulation and distribution. You can literally see the institutions at work.
The indicator consists of two cumulative lines derived from:
Cumulative change from open to close
Cumulative change from previous close to new open
By overlaying these two cumulative lines, you can detect real meaningful divergence that is narrative based not mathematically derived. You're seeing the real works of algorithms in play working in this area.
These divergences are only useful at extremes (topping or bottoming formations), not while trending. It will probably confirm your suspicion about making a important high or low.
This works on all timeframes but is most impactful on the daily.
How to use:
Method 1:
Enable the option for "Show Open vs Close."
Calculate the shift by subtracting the "Open vs Close" line value from the ICT Accumulation/Distribution (AD) line value.
Look for divergences between the two cumulative lines.
Method 2:
Switch the chart's display mode to "Line View" (representing the Open vs Close).
look for divergences between the line chart and the ICT AD line.
Mars Signals - SSL Trend AnalyzerIntroduction
The "Mars Signals - Precision Trend Analyzer with SSL Baseline & Price Action Zones" is a comprehensive technical analysis tool designed for traders seeking to enhance their market analysis and trading strategies. This indicator integrates multiple advanced trading concepts, including dynamic moving averages, trend detection algorithms, momentum indicators, volume analysis, higher timeframe confirmation, candlestick pattern recognition, and precise price action zones. By combining these elements, the indicator aims to provide clear and actionable buy and sell signals, helping traders to make informed decisions in various market conditions.
Core Components and Functionality
1.Dynamic Baseline Calculation
Moving Average Types: The indicator allows users to select from a variety of moving average types for the baseline calculation, including Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Hull Moving Average (HMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), Double EMA (DEMA), Triple EMA (TEMA), Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA), Triangular Moving Average (TMA), Kijun (from Ichimoku Kinko Hyo), and McGinley's Dynamic.
Baseline Length: Users can customize the length of the moving average, providing flexibility to adjust the sensitivity of the baseline to market movements.
Signal Line Generation: The indicator computes a dynamic signal line based on the relationship between the close price and the moving averages of the high and low prices. This signal line adapts to market volatility and trend changes.
2.SSL Baseline Integration
SSL Baseline: In addition to the primary baseline, the indicator incorporates an SSL (Semaphore Signal Level) Baseline, which further refines trend detection by considering the highs and lows over a specified period.
Dual Confirmation: The combination of the primary baseline and the SSL baseline enhances the reliability of the trend signals by requiring agreement between both baselines before generating a signal.
3.Momentum and Trend Filters
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The indicator uses the RSI to assess the momentum of price movements, filtering out signals that occur during overbought or oversold conditions.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD is employed to identify the direction and strength of the trend, adding another layer of confirmation to the signals.
Average Directional Index (ADX): The ADX measures the strength of the trend, ensuring that signals are generated only when the market shows significant directional movement.
4.Volume Analysis
Volume Filter: An optional volume filter compares the current volume to its moving average, allowing traders to focus on signals that occur during periods of higher market activity.
5.Higher Timeframe Confirmation
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: The indicator can incorporate data from a higher timeframe, comparing the current price to the higher timeframe's baseline and signal line. This feature helps traders align their trades with the broader market trend.
6.Candlestick Pattern Recognition
Bullish Patterns: The indicator detects bullish patterns such as Bullish Engulfing, Piercing Line, Hammer, and Doji.
Bearish Patterns: It also identifies bearish patterns like Bearish Engulfing, Dark Cloud Cover, Shooting Star, and Doji.
Pattern Prioritization: The patterns are prioritized to highlight the most significant formations, which can serve as additional confirmation for trade entries and exits.
7.Price Action Zones
Support and Resistance Levels: The indicator automatically identifies pivot highs and lows to establish dynamic support and resistance levels.
Zone Visualization: It draws shaded rectangles on the chart to represent these zones, providing a clear visual aid for potential reversal or breakout areas.
ATR-Based Zone Width: The zones' thickness is dynamically calculated using the Average True Range (ATR), adjusting to the current market volatility.
Background Coloring: The chart background changes color when the price is above the maximum resistance or below the minimum support, alerting traders to significant price movements.
Interpreting the Signals
1.Buy Signals
Conditions:
Price crosses above the signal line.
RSI is below 70 (not overbought).
MACD line is above the signal line (indicating bullish momentum).
ADX is above the user-defined threshold (default is 20), confirming a strong trend.
(Optional) Volume is above its moving average if the volume filter is enabled.
(Optional) Price is above the higher timeframe baseline and signal line if the higher timeframe filter is enabled.
(Optional) A bullish candlestick pattern is detected if the candlestick pattern filter is enabled.
Visual Indicators:
An upward-pointing label with the text "BUY" appears below the price bar.
The baseline and SSL baseline lines turn to colors indicating bullish conditions.
2.Sell Signals
Conditions:
Price crosses below the signal line.
RSI is above 30 (not oversold).
MACD line is below the signal line (indicating bearish momentum).
ADX is above the user-defined threshold, confirming a strong trend.
(Optional) Volume is above its moving average if the volume filter is enabled.
(Optional) Price is below the higher timeframe baseline and signal line if the higher timeframe filter is enabled.
(Optional) A bearish candlestick pattern is detected if the candlestick pattern filter is enabled.
Visual Indicators:
A downward-pointing label with the text "SELL" appears above the price bar.
The baseline and SSL baseline lines turn to colors indicating bearish conditions.
3.Support and Resistance Zones
Interpretation:
Resistance Zones: Represent areas where the price may face selling pressure. A break above these zones can signal a strong bullish move.
Support Zones: Represent areas where the price may find buying interest. A break below these zones can signal a strong bearish move.
Background Color:
The background turns red when the price is above the maximum resistance, indicating potential overextension.
The background turns green when the price is below the minimum support, indicating potential undervaluation.
Effective Usage Strategies
1.Customization
Adjusting Baseline and SSL Settings: Traders should experiment with different moving average types and lengths to match their trading style and the specific characteristics of the asset being analyzed.
Filtering Parameters: Modify RSI, MACD, and ADX settings to fine-tune the sensitivity of the signals.
Volume and Higher Timeframe Filters: Enable these filters to add robustness to the signals, especially in volatile markets or when trading higher timeframes.
2.Combining with Other Analysis
Fundamental Analysis: Use the indicator in conjunction with fundamental insights to validate technical signals.
Risk Management: Always apply proper risk management techniques, such as setting stop-loss and take-profit levels based on the support and resistance zones provided by the indicator.
3.Backtesting
Historical Analysis: Utilize the indicator's settings to backtest trading strategies on historical data, helping to identify the most effective configurations before applying them in live trading.
4.Monitoring Market Conditions
Volatility Awareness: Pay attention to the ATR and ADX readings to understand market volatility and trend strength, adjusting strategies accordingly.
Event Considerations: Be cautious around major economic announcements or events that may impact market behavior beyond technical indications.
Indicator Inputs and Customization Options
Baseline Type and Length: Select from multiple moving average types and specify the period length.
ADX Settings: Adjust the length, smoothing, and threshold for trend strength confirmation.
Volume Filter: Enable or disable the volume confirmation filter.
Higher Timeframe Filter: Choose to incorporate higher timeframe analysis and specify the desired timeframe.
Candlestick Patterns: Enable or disable the detection of candlestick patterns for additional signal confirmation.
SSL Baseline Type and Length: Customize the SSL baseline settings separately from the primary baseline.
Price Action Zones Settings:
Zone Thickness: Adjust the visual thickness of the support and resistance zones.
Lookback Period: Define how far back the indicator looks for pivot points.
ATR Multiplier for Zone Width: Set the multiplier for ATR to determine the dynamic width of the zones.
Maximum Number of Zones: Limit the number of support and resistance zones displayed.
Pivot Bars: Customize the number of bars to the left and right used for identifying pivot highs and lows.
Conclusion
The "Mars Signals - Precision Trend Analyzer with SSL Baseline & Price Action Zones" is a versatile and powerful tool that amalgamates essential technical analysis techniques into a single, user-friendly indicator. By providing clear visual signals and incorporating multiple layers of confirmation, it assists traders in identifying high-probability trading opportunities. Whether you are a day trader, swing trader, or long-term investor, this indicator can be tailored to suit your trading style and enhance your decision-making process.
To maximize the benefits of this indicator:
Understand Each Component: Familiarize yourself with how each part of the indicator contributes to the overall signal generation.
Customize Thoughtfully: Adjust the settings based on the asset class, market conditions, and your risk tolerance.
Practice Diligently: Use demo accounts or paper trading to practice and refine your strategy before deploying it in live markets.
Stay Informed: Continuously educate yourself on technical analysis and market dynamics to make the most informed decisions.
Disclaimer
Trading financial markets involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This indicator is a tool to aid in analysis and should not be the sole basis for any trading decision. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting with a licensed financial advisor.
Candle Range Theory | Flux Charts💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Introducing our new Candle Range Theory Indicator! This powerful tool offers a strategy built around the Candle Range Theory, which analyzes market movements through the relative size and structure of price candles. For more information about the process, check the "HOW DOES IT WORK" section.
Features of the new Candle Range Theory Indicator :
Implementation of the Candle Range Theory
FVG & Order Block Entry Methods
2 Different TP / SL Methods
Customizable Execution Settings
Customizable Backtesting Dashboard
Alerts for Buy, Sell, TP & SL Signals
📌 HOW DOES IT WORK ?
The Candle Range Theory (CRT) indicator operates by identifying significant price movements through the relative size and structure of candlesticks. A key part of the strategy is determining large candles based on their range compared to the Average True Range (ATR) in a higher timeframe. Once identified, a breakout of either the high wick or the low wick of the large candle is required. This breakout is considered a liquidity grab. After that, the indicator waits for confirmation through Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) or Order Blocks (OBs). The confirmation structure must be the opposite direction of the breakout, for example if the high wick is broken, a bearish FVG is required for the short entry. After a confirmation signal is received, the indicator will trigger entry points based on your chosen entry method (FVG or OB), and exit points will be calculated using either a dynamic ATR-based TP/SL method or fixed percentages. Alerts for Buy, Sell, Take-Proft, and Stop-Loss are available.
🚩 UNIQUENESS
This indicator stands out because it combines two highly effective entry methods: Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and Order Blocks (OBs). You can choose between these strategies depending on market conditions. Additionally, the dynamic TP/SL system uses the ticker's volatility to automatically calculate stop-loss and take-profit targets. The backtesting dashboard provides metrics about the performance of the indicator. You can use it to tune the settings for best use in the current tiker. The Candle Range Theory approach offers more flexibility compared to traditional indicators, allowing for better customization and control based on your risk tolerance.
⚙️ SETTINGS
1. General Configuration
Higher Timeframe: Customize the higher timeframe for analysis. Recommended combinations include M15 -> H4, H4 -> Daily, Daily -> Weekly, and Weekly -> Monthly.
HTF Candle Size: Define the size of the higher timeframe candles as Big, Normal, or Small to filter valid setups based on their range relative to ATR.
Entry Mode: Choose between FVGs and Order Blocks for your entry triggers.
Require Retracement: Enable this option if you want a retracement to the FVG or OB for entry confirmation.
Show HTF Candle Lines: Toggle to display the higher timeframe candle lines for better visual clarity.
2. Fair Value Gaps
FVG Sensitivity: You may select between Low, Normal, High or Extreme FVG detection sensitivity. This will essentially determine the size of the spotted FVGs, with lower sensitivities resulting in spotting bigger FVGs, and higher sensitivities resulting in spotting all sizes of FVGs.
3. Order Blocks
Swing Length: Swing length is used when finding order block formations. Smaller values will result in finding smaller order blocks.
4. TP / SL
TP / SL Method:
a) Dynamic: The TP / SL zones will be auto-determined by the algorithm based on the Average True Range (ATR) of the current ticker.
b) Fixed : You can adjust the exact TP / SL ratios from the settings below.
Dynamic Risk: The risk you're willing to take if "Dynamic" TP / SL Method is selected. Higher risk usually means a better winrate at the cost of losing more if the strategy fails. This setting is has a crucial effect on the performance of the indicator, as different tickers may have different volatility so the indicator may have increased performance when this setting is correctly adjusted.
MomentumSignal Kit RSI-MACD-ADX-CCI-CMF-TSI-EStoch// ----------------------------------------
// Description:
// ----------------------------------------
// MomentumKit RSI/MACD-ADX-CCI-CMF-TSI-EStoch Suite is a comprehensive momentum indicator suite designed to provide robust buy and sell signals through the consensus of multiple normalized momentum indicators. This suite integrates the following indicators:
// - **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**
// - **Stochastic RSI**
// - **Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)** with enhanced logic
// - **True Strength Index (TSI)**
// - **Commodity Channel Index (CCI)**
// - **Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)**
// - **Average Directional Index (ADX)**
// - **Ehlers' Stochastic**
//
// **Key Features:**
// 1. **Normalization:** Each indicator is normalized to a consistent scale, facilitating easier comparison and interpretation across different momentum metrics. This uniform scaling allows traders to seamlessly analyze multiple indicators simultaneously without the confusion of differing value ranges.
//
// 2. **Consensus-Based Signals:** By combining multiple indicators, MomentumKit generates buy and sell signals based on the agreement among various momentum measurements. This multi-indicator consensus approach enhances signal reliability and reduces the likelihood of false positives.
//
// 3. **Overlap Analysis:** The normalization process aids in identifying overlapping signals, where multiple indicators point towards a potential change in price or momentum. Such overlaps are strong indicators of significant market movements, providing traders with timely and actionable insights.
//
// 4. **Enhanced Logic for MACD:** The MACD component within MomentumKit utilizes enhanced logic to improve its responsiveness and accuracy in detecting trend changes.
//
// 5. **Debugging Features:** MomentumKit includes advanced debugging tools that display individual buy and sell signals generated by each indicator. These features are intended for users with technical and programming skills, allowing them to:
// - **Visualize Signal Generation:** See real-time buy and sell signals for each integrated indicator directly on the chart.
// - **Adjust Signal Thresholds:** Modify the criteria for what constitutes a buy or sell signal for each indicator, enabling tailored analysis based on specific trading strategies.
// - **Filter and Manipulate Signals:** Enable or disable specific indicators' contributions to the overall buy and sell signals, providing flexibility in signal generation.
// - **Monitor Indicator Behavior:** Utilize debug plots and labels to understand how each indicator reacts to market movements, aiding in strategy optimization.
//
// **Work in Progress:**
// MomentumKit is continuously evolving, with ongoing enhancements to its algorithms and user interface. Current debugging features are designed to offer deep insights for technically adept users, allowing for extensive customization and fine-tuning. Future updates aim to introduce more user-friendly interfaces and automated optimization tools to cater to a broader audience.
//
// **Usage Instructions:**
// - **Visibility Controls:** Users can toggle the visibility of individual indicators to focus on specific momentum metrics as needed.
// - **Parameter Adjustments:** Each indicator comes with customizable parameters, allowing traders to fine-tune the suite according to their trading strategies and market conditions.
// - **Debugging Features:** Enable the debugging mode to visualize individual indicator signals and adjust their contribution to the overall buy/sell signals. This requires a basic understanding of the underlying indicators and their operational thresholds.
//
// **Benefits:**
// - **Simplified Analysis:** Normalization simplifies the process of analyzing multiple indicators, making it easier to identify consistent signals across different momentum measurements.
// - **Improved Decision-Making:** Consensus-based signals backed by multiple normalized indicators provide a higher level of confidence in trading decisions.
// - **Versatility:** Suitable for various trading styles and market conditions, MomentumKit offers a versatile toolset for both novice and experienced traders.
//
// **Technical Requirements:**
// - **Programming Knowledge:** To fully leverage the debugging and signal manipulation features, users should possess a foundational understanding of Pine Script and the mechanics of momentum indicators.
// - **Customization Skills:** Ability to adjust indicator parameters and debug filters to align with specific trading strategies.
//
// **Disclaimer:**
// This indicator suite is intended for educational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own analysis or consult a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Motive Wave Scanner [Trendoscope®]Motive Wave Scanner is a simple algorithm to find out motive waves as per the rules of Elliott Wave theory.
It is an extension to our previous open source script Interactive Motive Wave Checklist which provides interactive capability to select six points of a five wave formation. Once users select them, the rules of motive waves are applied to manually selected points to highlight them as either diagonal wave, motive wave or none.
This indicator does the same. But, instead of requesting the pivots manually from the user, the indicator automatically picks and scans them through zigzag.
We have already published a similar script as protected source. But, due to some changes in the pine engine, there have been few issues in the runtime. In this publication, we not only address those runtime issues but also making it open source for the users to make use of the source code and enhance it further.
🎲 What are motive waves
Motive waves are strong upward or downward movement with 5 subwaves.
Motive Wave in the upward direction will start with Swing High, Ends with Swing High and consists of 3 Higher Highs and 2 Higher Lows representing strong upward trend.
Motive Wave in the downward direction will start with Swing Low, Ends with Swing low and consists of 3 Lower Lows and 2 Lower Highs representing strong downward trend.
🎲 Types of Motive Waves
Motive Waves are broadly classified by two types:
Impulse Waves
Diagonal Waves
Diagonal Waves are further classified into Contracting and Expanding Diagonals. These can fall into the category of either leading diagonal and ending diagonal.
🎲 Rules of Motive Waves
🎯 Generic Rule of any motive waves are as follows
Should consist of 5 alternating waves. (Swing High followed by Swing low and vice versa)
This can start from Swing High and end in Swing High or start from Swing Low and end in Swing Low of a zigzag.
Wave-2 should not move beyond Wave-1. This means, the Wave-2 is always shorter than Wave-1 with respect to distance between the price of start and end.
Wave-3 always moves beyond Wave-1. This means, the Wave-3 is always longer than Wave-2 in terms of price
Among Wave-1, Wave-3, and Wave-5, Wave-3 is never the shortest one. This means, either Wave-1 or Wave-5 can be longer than Wave-3 but not both. Wave-3 can also be longest among the three.
Here is the pictorial representation of the rules of the Motive Waves
For a wave to be considered as motive wave, it also needs to follow the rules of either impulse or diagonal waves.
🎯 Rules for a 5 wave pattern to be considered as Impulse Wave are:
Wave-4 never overlaps with Wave-1 price range
Wave-1, Wave-3 and Wave-5 should not be either expanding or contracting. Meaning, we cannot have Wave-1 > Wave-3 > Wave-5 , and we cannot have Wave-1 < Wave-3 < Wave-5
Pictorial representation of the impulse wave rules are as below:
🎯 Rules for the Diagonal Waves are as follows
Contrary to the first rule of impulse wave, in case of diagonal wave, Wave-4 always overlaps with Wave-1 price range. But, it will not go beyond Wave-3
Waves are progressively expanding or contracting - Wave1 > Wave3 > Wave5 and Wave2 > Wave4 to be contracting diagonal. Wave1 < Wave3 < Wave5 and Wave2 < Wave4 to be expanding diagonal wave.
Pictorial representation of the Contracting Diagonal Wave is as below. Here, the Wave-1, Wave-3 and Wave-5 are in contracting formation.
Pictorial representation of the Expanding Diagonal Wave is as below. Here, the Wave-1, Wave-3 and Wave-5 are in expanding formation.
🎲 Indicator Settings
Indicator settings are defined as below:
Repaint Warning : If Repaint is selected, the indicator will throw a runtime error after certain bars or when alerts are set. This is due to some pine internal issue. At present, we do not have any solution for this until the internal issue is resolved by Tradingview Pine Team.
MTF Regression with Forecast### **MTF Regression with Forecast, Treasury Yield, Additional Variable & VWAP Filter - Enhanced with Long Regression**
Unlock advanced market insights with our **MTF Regression** indicator, meticulously designed for traders seeking comprehensive multi-timeframe analysis combined with powerful forecasting tools. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, this indicator offers a suite of features to enhance your trading strategy.
#### **🔍 Key Features:**
- **Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Regression:**
- **Fast, Slow, & Long Regressions:** Analyze price trends across multiple timeframes to capture both short-term movements and long-term trends.
- **Customizable Price Inputs:**
- **Flexible Price Selection:** Choose between Close, Open, High, or Low prices to suit your trading style.
- **Price Transformation:** Option to apply Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) for smoother trend analysis.
- **Diverse Regression Methods:**
- **Multiple Algorithms:** Select from Linear, Exponential, Hull Moving Average (HMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), or Spline regressions to best fit your analysis needs.
- **Integrated External Data:**
- **10-Year Treasury Yield:** Incorporate macroeconomic indicators to refine regression accuracy.
- **Additional Variables:** Enhance your analysis by integrating data from other tickers (e.g., NASDAQ:AAPL).
- **Advanced Filtering Options:**
- **VWAP Filter:** Align signals with the Volume Weighted Average Price for improved trade entries.
- **Price Action Filter:** Ensure price behavior supports the generated signals for higher reliability.
- **Enhanced Signal Generation:**
- **Bullish & Bearish Signals:** Identify potential trend reversals and continuations with clear visual cues.
- **Predictive Signals:** Forecast future price movements with forward-looking arrows based on regression slopes.
- **Slope & Acceleration Thresholds:** Customize minimum slope and acceleration levels to fine-tune signal sensitivity.
- **Forecasting Capabilities:**
- **Projection Lines:** Visualize future price trends by extending regression lines based on current slope data.
- **User-Friendly Interface:**
- **Organized Settings Groups:** Easily navigate through price inputs, regression settings, integration options, and more.
- **Customizable Alerts:** Stay informed with configurable alerts for bullish, bearish, and predictive signals.
#### **📈 Why Choose MTF Regression Indicator?**
- **Comprehensive Analysis:** Combines multiple regression techniques and external data sources for a well-rounded market view.
- **Flexibility:** Highly customizable to fit various trading strategies and preferences.
- **Enhanced Decision-Making:** Provides clear signals and forecasts to support informed trading decisions.
- **Efficiency:** Optimized to deliver reliable performance without overloading your trading platform.
Elevate your trading game with the **MTF Regression with Forecast, Treasury Yield, Additional Variable & VWAP Filter** indicator. Harness the power of multi-timeframe analysis and predictive forecasting to stay ahead in the dynamic markets.
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*Feel free to reach out for more information or support. Happy Trading!*
HTF Inversion Fair Value Gap | Flux Charts💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Introducing our new Higher Timeframe Inversion Fair Value Gaps (IFVG) indicator! Inversion Fair Value Gaps occur when a Fair Value Gap becomes invalidated. They reverse the role of the original Fair Value Gap, making a bullish zone bearish and vice versa. This indicator finds the latest IFVG in a higher timeframe and renders it in the current chart with it's divergence. For more information about the process, read the "HOW DOES IT WORK" section of the description.
Features of the new Higher Timeframe IFVG Indicator :
Renders The Higher Timeframe IFVG
Invalidation Borders
Variety Of Zone Detection / Sensitivity / Filtering / Invalidation Settings
High Customizability
🚩 UNIQUENESS
This indicator lets you take a look at the bigger picture by rendering the latest IFVG in a higher timeframe. You can see the current IFVG divergence to see how is the price action acting around the IFVG. You also can customize the FVG Filtering method, FVG & IFVG Zone Invalidation, Detection Sensitivity etc. according to your needs to get the best performance from the indicator.
📌 HOW DOES IT WORK ?
A Fair Value Gap generally occur when there is an imbalance in the market. They can be detected by specific formations within the chart. An Inversion Fair Value Gap is when a FVG becomes invalidated, thus reversing the direction of the FVG.
This indicator then renders the IFVG in a higher timeframe in your chart like this :
The opaque dashed lines at the top and the bottom of the IFVG indicate the bars that formed the original FVG. The middle dashed line that is semi-transparent shows the candlestick that invalidated the original FVG, thus created the current IFVG. The vertical solid top & bottom wicks indicate the current divergence of the highest & lowest points to the current IFVG.
The IFVGs can act as strong support & resistance points, depending on their creation volume and invalidation volume. Traders can use them for confirmation signals to their positions.
⚙️ SETTINGS
1. General Configuration
Higher Timeframe -> The higher timeframe to detect latest IFVG from. Keep in mind that his setting must be higher than the current timeframe.
IFVG Zone Invalidation -> Select between Wick & Close price for IFVG Zone Invalidation.
2. Fair Value Gaps
FVG Zone Invalidation -> Select between Wick & Close price for FVG Zone Invalidation.
Zone Filtering -> With "Average Range" selected, algorithm will find FVG zones in comparison with average range of last bars in the chart. With the "Volume Threshold" option, you may select a Volume Threshold % to spot FVGs with a larger total volume than average.
FVG Detection -> With the "Same Type" option, all 3 bars that formed the FVG should be the same type. (Bullish / Bearish). If the "All" option is selected, bar types may vary between Bullish / Bearish.
Detection Sensitivity -> You may select between Low, Normal or High FVG detection sensitivity. This will essentially determine the size of the spotted FVGs, with lower sensitivities resulting in spotting bigger FVGs, and higher sensitivities resulting in spotting all sizes of FVGs.
3. Dasboard
You can enable / disable the mitigation dashboard and customize it here.
4. Customization
Offset -> The number of candlesticks the IFVG will be rendered to the right of the latest bar.
Width -> The width of the rendered IFVG in candlesticks.
Rolling Straddle PremiumScript is Basically intended to provide insight's on the Rolling Straddle premium for the selected index based on the input settings.
Important thing to consider for the script to work seamlessly:
Specify the LTP in the input field (need not be very accurate)
Specify the Expiry Date for the Option Strike.
Ensure Profile matches to the chart script (Index Script)
Note: Zones marked in Blue, is the max level that indicator can track the option prices. beyond which it may fail to track, during such time consider reloading the indicator with Latest LTP .
Labels on the chart indicate that If i had shorted the Straddle, what would be my current position of that Straddle. however the rational behind shorting is only the pivot high points (not sure if this is right or wrong! )
Note On Labels: Labels are delayed basis the pivot point candles specified in the indicator settings.
EN: Entry Price (Straddle Premium) of the Strike Specified.
Cur: Current Price ( Current Straddle Premium ) of the Strike Specified.
SH: Max Straddle Premium ( Increase in Premium ) since position is active.
SL: Min Straddle Premium ( Premium Erosion ) since position is active.
Auto Signal Buy/SellAuto Signal Buy/Sell with Time Filter and Dynamic ZLEMA (GMT+2) 🌟
Are you looking for an indicator that combines efficiency and simplicity while integrating advanced elements like SuperTrend, ZLEMA (Zero Lag EMA), and a MACD DEMA for clear and precise buy/sell signals? 📈 Introducing Auto Signal Buy/Sell, the ultimate indicator designed for intraday and swing traders, optimized for market hours in GMT+2.
🛠️ Key Features:
- **Advanced SuperTrend**: Follow the dominant trend with a robust SuperTrend, adjustable to your preferences (customizable multiplier and period).
- **Dynamic ZLEMA**: Get a zero-lag EMA curve with a visual signal. Additionally, the ZLEMA turns blue when it’s nearly flat, helping you easily spot market consolidation phases.
- **MACD DEMA**: An enhanced version of the traditional MACD, using the Double EMA to capture more responsive buy/sell cross signals. 📊
- **Buy/Sell Signals**: Visual arrows clearly indicate potential entry and exit points on your chart, filtered by MACD crossovers and the SuperTrend trend.
- **Smart Time Filter (GMT+2)**: This script adapts to trading hours (customizable) and only displays signals during trading hours. The background turns light blue when the market is closed, preventing confusion during inactivity periods. 🕒
⚙️ Full Customization:
- Adjustable trading hours (default 9 AM to 5 PM in GMT+2) with dynamic background indicating when markets are closed.
- Flexible settings for SuperTrend, ZLEMA, and MACD DEMA to suit any strategy.
🎯 Why Choose This Indicator?
- Optimized for maximum precision with advanced algorithms like ZLEMA and DEMA.
- Easy to use: it provides clear, visual signals directly on the chart—no need to decipher complex indicators.
- A complete intraday and swing indicator that combines trend analysis and signal filtering with precise market hours.
🚀 Boost Your Trading!
Add this indicator to your toolkit and enhance your decision-making. Thanks to its intuitive interface and clear visual signals, you can trade with confidence. 💡
Don't forget to like 👍 and comment if you find this indicator useful! Your feedback helps us continue improving such tools. 🚀
📌 How to Use:
1. Add the indicator to your chart.
2. Adjust the SuperTrend and ZLEMA settings to suit your needs.
3. Follow the buy/sell signals and watch for the light blue background outside of trading hours.
4. Trade effectively and stay in control, even during consolidation phases.
buysellsignal-yashgode9The "buysellsignal-yashgode9" indicator utilizes a signal library to generate buy and sell signals based on price action, allowing traders to make informed decisions in their trading strategies.
Overview of the Indicator
The "buysellsignal-yashgode9" indicator is a technical analysis tool that identifies potential buying and selling points in the market. It does this by leveraging a signal library imported from `yashgode9/signalLib/2`, which contains predefined algorithms for analyzing market trends based on specified parameters.
Key Features
1.Input Parameters: The indicator allows users to customize several parameters:
- Depth: Determines the number of bars to look back for price analysis (default is 150).
- Deviation: Sets the threshold for price movement (default is 120).
- Backstep: Defines how many bars to step back when evaluating signals (default is 100).
- Label Transparency: Adjusts the transparency of labels displayed on the chart.
- Color Customization: Users can specify colors for buy and sell signals.
2.Signal Generation: The core functionality is driven by the `signalLib.signalLib` function, which analyzes the low and high prices over the specified depth and deviation. It returns a direction indicator along with price points (`zee1` and `zee2`) that are used to determine whether to issue a buy or sell signal.
3. Labeling and Visualization:
- The indicator creates labels on the chart to indicate buy and sell points based on the direction of the signal.
- Labels are color-coded according to user-defined settings, enhancing visual clarity.
- The indicator also manages the deletion of previous labels and lines to avoid clutter on the chart.
4. Repainting Logic: The script includes a repainting option, allowing it to update signals in real-time as new price data comes in. This can be beneficial for traders who want to see the most current signals but may also lead to misleading signals if not used cautiously.
Conclusion:-
The "buysellsignal-yashgode9" indicator is a versatile tool for traders looking to enhance their decision-making process by identifying key market entry and exit points. By allowing customization of parameters and colors, it caters to individual trading preferences while providing clear visual signals based on price action analysis. This indicator is particularly useful for those who rely on technical analysis in their trading strategies, as it combines automated signal generation with user-friendly visual cues.
Benefits and Applications:
1.Intraday Trading: The "buysellsignal-yashgode9" indicator is particularly well-suited for intraday trading, as it provides accurate and timely buy and sell signals based on the current market dynamics.
2.Trend-following Strategies: Traders who employ trend-following strategies can leverage the indicator's ability to identify the overall market direction, allowing them to align their trades with the dominant trend.
3.Swing Trading: The dynamic price tracking and signal generation capabilities of the indicator can be beneficial for swing traders, who aim to capture medium-term price movements.
Security Measures:
1. The code includes a security notice at the beginning, indicating that it is subject to the Mozilla Public License 2.0, which is a reputable open-source license.
2. The code does not appear to contain any obvious security vulnerabilities or malicious content that could compromise user data or accounts.
NOTE:- This indicator is provided under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 and is subject to its terms and conditions.
Disclaimer: The usage of "buysellsignal-yashgode9" indicator might or might not contribute to your trading capital(money) profits and losses and the author is not responsible for the same.
IMPORTANT NOTICE:
While the indicator aims to provide reliable buy and sell signals, it is crucial to understand that the market can be influenced by unpredictable events, such as natural disasters, political unrest, changes in monetary policies, or economic crises. These unforeseen situations may occasionally lead to false signals generated by the "buysellsignal-yashgode9" indicator.
Users should exercise caution and diligence when relying on the indicator's signals, as the market's behavior can be unpredictable, and external factors may impact the accuracy of the signals. It is recommended to thoroughly backtest the indicator's performance in various market conditions and to use it as one of the many tools in a comprehensive trading strategy, rather than solely relying on its output.
Ultimately, the success of the "buysellsignal-yashgode9" indicator will depend on the user's ability to adapt it to their specific trading style, market conditions, and risk management approach. Continuous monitoring, analysis, and adjustment of the indicator's settings may be necessary to maintain its effectiveness in the ever-evolving financial markets.
Author:- yashgode9
PineScript-version:- 5
This indicator aims to enhance trading decision-making by combining DEPTH, DEVIATION, BACKSTEP with custom signal generation, offering a comprehensive tool for traders seeking clear buy and sell signals on the TradingView platform.
[DarkTrader] Strong High LowThe Strong High Low indicator calculates strong high and low pivots based on price action and the Average True Range (ATR). The calculation for both the high and low pivots involves analyzing recent candle behavior to identify significant levels where price reversal is likely. Specifically, it looks for consecutive bearish or bullish candles to determine whether a strong high or low has been established.
Indicator In Use :
For strong highs, the indicator checks if three consecutive candles are bearish, meaning their closing price is lower than their opening price. It further examines prior candles to confirm that they followed a specific pattern where a reversal could occur. If one of these earlier candles closed higher than it opened, the indicator assumes that this was a strong high, and it records either the high of the second or third candle from the pattern, depending on their relationship to each other.
Similarly, for strong lows, the indicator searches for three consecutive bullish candles where the close is higher than the open. The algorithm then reviews prior candles in the sequence to ensure that the market condition supports a potential low pivot. If an earlier candle closes lower than it opens, it marks this as a strong low. The final low point for the pivot is chosen based on a comparison between the second and third candles of the pattern.
Once the high and low pivots are determined, the indicator adjusts these levels using the ATR value. The ATR is added to the strong high pivot and subtracted from the strong low pivot to create slightly modified levels. This helps accommodate market volatility by widening the range of the high and low pivots, making the levels more reliable in reflecting potential reversal zones.
Finally, the strong high and low pivot lines are drawn on the chart, extending both to the left and right of the current price, based on the user-defined offset values. These lines give a visual cue of where key resistance and support levels exist, with labels marking the exact pivot values for easy reference.
[ALGOA+] Markov Chains Library by @metacamaleoLibrary "MarkovChains"
Markov Chains library by @metacamaleo. Created in 09/08/2024.
This library provides tools to calculate and visualize Markov Chain-based transition matrices and probabilities. This library supports two primary algorithms: a rolling window Markov Chain and a conditional Markov Chain (which operates based on specified conditions). The key concepts used include Markov Chain states, transition matrices, and future state probabilities based on past market conditions or indicators.
Key functions:
- `mc_rw()`: Builds a transition matrix using a rolling window Markov Chain, calculating probabilities based on a fixed length of historical data.
- `mc_cond()`: Builds a conditional Markov Chain transition matrix, calculating probabilities based on the current market condition or indicator state.
Basically, you will just need to use the above functions on your script to default outputs and displays.
Exported UDTs include:
- s_map: An UDT variable used to store a map with dummy states, i.e., if possible states are bullish, bearish, and neutral, and current is bullish, it will be stored
in a map with following keys and values: "bullish", 1; "bearish", 0; and "neutral", 0. You will only use it to customize your own script, otherwise, it´s only for internal use.
- mc_states: This UDT variable stores user inputs, calculations and MC outputs. As the above, you don´t need to use it, but you may get features to customize your own script.
For example, you may use mc.tm to get the transition matrix, or the prob map to customize the display. As you see, functions are all based on mc_states UDT. The s_map UDT is used within mc_states´s s array.
Optional exported functions include:
- `mc_table()`: Displays the transition matrix in a table format on the chart for easy visualization of the probabilities.
- `display_list()`: Displays a map (or array) of string and float/int values in a table format, used for showing transition counts or probabilities.
- `mc_prob()`: Calculates and displays probabilities for a given number of future bars based on the current state in the Markov Chain.
- `mc_all_states_prob()`: Calculates probabilities for all states for future bars, considering all possible transitions.
The above functions may be used to customize your outputs. Use the returned variable mc_states from mc_rw() and mc_cond() to display each of its matrix, maps or arrays using mc_table() (for matrices) and display_list() (for maps and arrays) if you desire to debug or track the calculation process.
See the examples in the end of this script.
Have good trading days!
Best regards,
@metacamaleo
-----------------------------
KEY FUNCTIONS
mc_rw(state, length, states, pred_length, show_table, show_prob, table_position, prob_position, font_size)
Builds the transition matrix for a rolling window Markov Chain.
Parameters:
state (string) : The current state of the market or system.
length (int) : The rolling window size.
states (array) : Array of strings representing the possible states in the Markov Chain.
pred_length (int) : The number of bars to predict into the future.
show_table (bool) : Boolean to show or hide the transition matrix table.
show_prob (bool) : Boolean to show or hide the probability table.
table_position (string) : Position of the transition matrix table on the chart.
prob_position (string) : Position of the probability list on the chart.
font_size (string) : Size of the table font.
Returns: The transition matrix and probabilities for future states.
mc_cond(state, condition, states, pred_length, show_table, show_prob, table_position, prob_position, font_size)
Builds the transition matrix for conditional Markov Chains.
Parameters:
state (string) : The current state of the market or system.
condition (string) : A string representing the condition.
states (array) : Array of strings representing the possible states in the Markov Chain.
pred_length (int) : The number of bars to predict into the future.
show_table (bool) : Boolean to show or hide the transition matrix table.
show_prob (bool) : Boolean to show or hide the probability table.
table_position (string) : Position of the transition matrix table on the chart.
prob_position (string) : Position of the probability list on the chart.
font_size (string) : Size of the table font.
Returns: The transition matrix and probabilities for future states based on the HMM.
Uptrick: Momentum-Volatility Composite Signal### Title: Uptrick: Momentum-Volatility Composite Signal
### Overview
The "Uptrick: Momentum-Volatility Composite Signal" is an innovative trading tool designed to offer traders a sophisticated synthesis of momentum, volatility, volume flow, and trend detection into a single comprehensive indicator. This tool stands out by providing an integrated view of market dynamics, which is critical for identifying potential trading opportunities with greater precision and confidence. Its unique approach differentiates it from traditional indicators available on the TradingView platform, making it a valuable asset for traders aiming to enhance their market analysis.
### Unique Features
This indicator integrates multiple crucial elements of market behavior:
- Momentum Analysis : Utilizes Rate of Change (ROC) metrics to assess the speed and strength of market movements.
- Volatility Tracking : Incorporates Average True Range (ATR) metrics to measure market volatility, aiding in risk assessment.
- Volume Flow Analysis : Analyzes shifts in volume to detect buying or selling pressure, adding depth to market understanding.
- Trend Detection : Uses the difference between short-term and long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) to detect market trends, providing insights into potential reversals or confirmations.
Customization and Inputs
The Uptrick indicator offers a variety of user-defined settings tailored to fit different trading styles and strategies, enhancing its adaptability across various market conditions:
Rate of Change Length (rocLength) : This setting defines the period over which momentum is calculated. Shorter periods may be preferred by day traders who need to respond quickly to market changes, while longer periods could be better suited for position traders looking at more extended trends.
ATR Length (atrLength) : Adjusts the timeframe for assessing volatility. A shorter ATR length can help day traders manage the quick shifts in market volatility, whereas longer lengths might be more applicable for swing or position traders who deal with longer-term market movements.
Volume Flow Length (volumeFlowLength): Determines the analysis period for volume flow to identify buying or selling pressure. Day traders might opt for shorter periods to catch rapid volume changes, while longer periods could serve swing traders to understand the accumulation or distribution phases better.
Short EMA Length (shortEmaLength): Specifies the period for the short-term EMA, crucial for trend detection. Shorter lengths can aid day traders in spotting immediate trend shifts, whereas longer lengths might help swing traders in identifying more sustainable trend changes.
Long EMA Length (longEmaLength): Sets the period for the long-term EMA, which is useful for observing longer-term market trends. This setting is particularly valuable for position traders who need to align with the broader market direction.
Composite Signal Moving Average Length (maLength): This parameter sets the smoothing period for the composite signal's moving average, helping to reduce noise in the signal output. A shorter moving average length can be beneficial for day traders reacting to market conditions swiftly, while a longer length might help swing and position traders in smoothing out less significant fluctuations to focus on significant trends.
These customization options ensure that traders can fine-tune the Uptrick indicator to their specific trading needs, whether they are scanning for quick opportunities or analyzing more prolonged market trends.
### Functionality Details
The indicator operates through a sophisticated algorithm that integrates multiple market dimensions:
1. Momentum and Volatility Calculation : Combines ROC and ATR to gauge the market’s momentum and stability.
2. Volume and Trend Analysis : Integrates volume data with EMAs to provide a comprehensive view of current market trends and potential shifts.
3. Signal Composite : Each component is normalized and combined into a composite signal, offering traders a nuanced perspective on when to enter or exit trades.
The indicator performs its calculations as follows:
Momentum and Volatility Calculation:
roc = ta.roc(close, rocLength)
atr = ta.atr(atrLength)
Volume and Trend Analysis:
volumeFlow = ta.cum(volume) - ta.ema(ta.cum(volume), volumeFlowLength)
emaShort = ta.ema(close, shortEmaLength)
emaLong = ta.ema(close, longEmaLength)
emaDifference = emaShort - emaLong
Composite Signal Calculation:
Normalizes each component (ROC, ATR, volume flow, EMA difference) and combines them into a composite signal:
rocNorm = (roc - ta.sma(roc, rocLength)) / ta.stdev(roc, rocLength)
atrNorm = (atr - ta.sma(atr, atrLength)) / ta.stdev(atr, atrLength)
volumeFlowNorm = (volumeFlow - ta.sma(volumeFlow, volumeFlowLength)) / ta.stdev(volumeFlow, volumeFlowLength)
emaDiffNorm = (emaDifference - ta.sma(emaDifference, longEmaLength)) / ta.stdev(emaDifference, longEmaLength)
compositeSignal = (rocNorm + atrNorm + volumeFlowNorm + emaDiffNorm) / 4
### Originality
The originality of the Uptrick indicator lies in its ability to merge diverse market metrics into a unified signal. This multi-faceted approach goes beyond traditional indicators by offering a deeper, more holistic analysis of market conditions, providing traders with insights that are not only based on price movements but also on underlying market dynamics.
### Practical Application
The Uptrick indicator excels in environments where understanding the interplay between volume, momentum, and volatility is crucial. It is especially useful for:
- Day Traders : Can leverage real-time data to make quick decisions based on sudden market changes.
- Swing Traders : Benefit from understanding medium-term trends to optimize entry and exit points.
- Position Traders : Utilize long-term market trend data to align with overall market movements.
### Best Practices
To maximize the effectiveness of the Uptrick indicator, consider the following:
- Combine with Other Indicators : Use alongside other technical tools like RSI or MACD for additional validation.
- Adapt Settings to Market Conditions : Adjust the indicator settings based on the asset and market volatility to improve signal accuracy.
- Risk Management : Implement robust risk management strategies, including setting stop-loss orders based on the volatility measured by the ATR.
### Practical Examples and Demonstrations
- Example for Day Trading : In a volatile market, a trader notices a sharp increase in the momentum score coinciding with a surge in volume but stable volatility, signaling a potential bullish breakout.
- Example for Swing Trading : On a 4-hour chart, the indicator shows a gradual alignment of decreasing volatility and increasing buying volume, suggesting a strengthening upward trend suitable for a long position.
### Alerts and Their Uses
- Alert Configurations : Set alerts for when the composite score crosses predefined thresholds to capture potential buy or sell events.
- Strategic Application : Use alerts to stay informed of significant market moves without the need to continuously monitor the markets, enabling timely and informed trading decisions.
Technical Notes
Efficiency and Compatibility: The indicator is designed for efficiency, running smoothly across different trading platforms including TradingView, and can be easily integrated with existing trading setups. It leverages advanced mathematical models for normalizing and smoothing data, ensuring consistent and reliable signal quality across different market conditions.
Limitations : The effectiveness of the Uptrick indicator can vary significantly across different market conditions and asset classes. It is designed to perform best in liquid markets where data on volume, volatility, and price trends are readily available and reliable. Traders should be aware that in low-liquidity or highly volatile markets, the signals might be less reliable and require additional confirmation.
Usage Recommendations : While the Uptrick indicator is a powerful tool, it is recommended to use it in conjunction with other analysis methods to confirm signals. Traders should also continuously monitor the performance and adjust settings as needed to align with their specific trading strategies and market conditions.
### Conclusion
The "Uptrick: Momentum-Volatility Composite Signal" is a revolutionary tool that offers traders an advanced methodology for analyzing market dynamics. By combining momentum, volatility, volume, and trend detection into a single, cohesive indicator, it provides a powerful, actionable insight into market movements, making it an indispensable tool for traders aiming to optimize their trading strategies.
Larry Connors RSI 3 StrategyThe Larry Connors RSI 3 Strategy is a short-term mean-reversion trading strategy. It combines a moving average filter and a modified version of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify potential buying opportunities in an uptrend. The strategy assumes that a short-term pullback within a long-term uptrend is an opportunity to buy at a discount before the trend resumes.
Components of the Strategy:
200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA): The price must be above the 200-day SMA, indicating a long-term uptrend.
2-Period RSI: This is a very short-term RSI, used to measure the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. The standard RSI is typically calculated over 14 periods, but Connors uses just 2 periods to capture extreme overbought and oversold conditions.
Three-Day RSI Drop: The RSI must decline for three consecutive days, with the first drop occurring from an RSI reading above 60.
RSI Below 10: After the three-day drop, the RSI must reach a level below 10, indicating a highly oversold condition.
Buy Condition: All the above conditions must be satisfied to trigger a buy order.
Sell Condition: The strategy closes the position when the RSI rises above 70, signaling that the asset is overbought.
Who Was Larry Connors?
Larry Connors is a trader, author, and founder of Connors Research, a firm specializing in quantitative trading research. He is best known for developing strategies that focus on short-term market movements. Connors co-authored several popular books, including "Street Smarts: High Probability Short-Term Trading Strategies" with Linda Raschke, which has become a staple among traders seeking reliable, rule-based strategies. His research often emphasizes simplicity and robust testing, which appeals to both retail and institutional traders.
Scientific Foundations
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), originally developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1978, is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It oscillates between 0 and 100 and is typically used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in an asset. However, the use of a 2-period RSI in Connors' strategy is unconventional, as most traders rely on longer periods, such as 14. Connors' research showed that using a shorter period like 2 can better capture short-term reversals, particularly when combined with a longer-term trend filter such as the 200-day SMA.
Connors' strategies, including this one, are built on empirical research using historical data. For example, in a study of over 1,000 signals generated by this strategy, Connors found that it performed consistently well across various markets, especially when trading ETFs and large-cap stocks (Connors & Alvarez, 2009).
Risks and Considerations
While the Larry Connors RSI 3 Strategy is backed by empirical research, it is not without risks:
Mean-Reversion Assumption: The strategy is based on the premise that markets revert to the mean. However, in strong trending markets, the strategy may underperform as prices can remain oversold or overbought for extended periods.
Short-Term Nature: The strategy focuses on very short-term movements, which can result in frequent trading. High trading frequency can lead to increased transaction costs, which may erode profits.
Market Conditions: The strategy performs best in certain market environments, particularly in stable uptrends. In highly volatile or strongly trending markets, the strategy's performance can deteriorate.
Data and Backtesting Limitations: While backtests may show positive results, they rely on historical data and do not account for future market conditions, slippage, or liquidity issues.
Scientific literature suggests that while technical analysis strategies like this can be effective in certain market conditions, they are not foolproof. According to Lo et al. (2000), technical strategies may show patterns that are statistically significant, but these patterns often diminish once they are widely adopted by traders.
References
Connors, L., & Alvarez, C. (2009). Short-Term Trading Strategies That Work. TradingMarkets Publishing Group.
Lo, A. W., Mamaysky, H., & Wang, J. (2000). Foundations of Technical Analysis: Computational Algorithms, Statistical Inference, and Empirical Implementation. The Journal of Finance, 55(4), 1705-1770.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. Trend Research
Kalman PSaR [BackQuant]Kalman PSaR
Overview and Innovation
The Kalman PSaR combines the well-known Parabolic SAR (PSaR) with the advanced smoothing capabilities of the Kalman Filter . This innovative tool aims to enhance the traditional PSaR by integrating Kalman filtering, which reduces noise and improves trend detection. The Kalman PSaR adapts dynamically to price movements, making it a highly effective indicator for spotting trend shifts while minimizing the impact of false signals caused by market volatility.
Please Find the Basic Kalman Here:
Kalman Filter Dynamics
The Kalman Filter is a powerful algorithm for estimating the true value of a system amidst noisy data. In the Kalman PSaR, this filter is applied to the high, low, and closing prices, resulting in a smoother and more accurate representation of price action. The filter’s parameters—process noise and measurement noise—are customizable, allowing traders to fine-tune the sensitivity of the indicator to market conditions. By reducing the impact of noise, the Kalman-filtered PSaR offers clearer signals for identifying trend reversals and continuations.
Enhanced PSaR Calculation
The traditional Parabolic SAR is a popular trend-following indicator that highlights potential entry and exit points based on price acceleration. In the Kalman PSaR, this calculation is enhanced by the Kalman-filtered prices, providing a smoother and more reliable signal. The indicator continuously updates based on the acceleration factor and max step values, while the Kalman filter ensures that sudden price spikes or market noise do not trigger false signals.
Min Step and Max Step: These settings control the sensitivity of the PSaR. The Min Step sets the initial acceleration factor, while the Max Step limits how fast the PSaR adapts to price changes, helping traders fine-tune the indicator’s responsiveness.
Optional Smoothing Techniques To further enhance the signal clarity, the Kalman PSaR includes an optional smoothing feature. Traders can choose from various smoothing methods, such as SMA, Hull, EMA, WMA, TEMA, and more, to reduce short-term fluctuations and emphasize the underlying trend. The smoothing period is customizable, allowing traders to adjust the indicator’s behavior according to their preferred trading style and timeframe.
Color-Coded Candle Painting The Kalman PSaR features color-coded candles that change according to the trend direction. When the price is above the PSaR, candles are painted green to indicate a long trend, and when the price is below the PSaR, candles are painted red to signal a short trend. This visual representation makes it easy to interpret market sentiment at a glance, improving decision-making speed during fast-moving markets.
Key Features and Customization
Kalman Filter Customization: The process noise and measurement noise parameters allow traders to adjust how aggressively the filter adapts to price changes, making it suitable for both volatile and stable markets.
Smoothing Options: A variety of moving average types, such as SMA, Hull, EMA, and more, can be applied to smooth the PSaR values, ensuring that the signal remains clear even in choppy markets.
Dynamic Trend Detection: The Kalman PSaR dynamically updates based on price movements, helping traders spot trend reversals early while filtering out false signals caused by short-term volatility.
Bar Coloring and PSaR Plotting: Traders can choose to color candles based on trend direction or plot the PSaR directly on the chart for additional visual clarity.
Practical Applications
Trend-Following Strategies: The Kalman PSaR excels in trend-following strategies by providing timely signals of trend changes. The dynamic nature of the indicator allows traders to capture significant price movements while avoiding market noise.
Reversal Identification: The indicator’s ability to filter out noise and provide smoother signals makes it ideal for identifying reversals in volatile markets.
Risk Management: By plotting clear stop levels based on the PSaR, traders can use this indicator to effectively manage risk, placing stop-loss orders at key points based on the trend direction.
Conclusion
The Kalman PSaR is a fusion of the classic Parabolic SAR and the Kalman filter, offering enhanced trend detection with reduced noise. Its customizable filtering and smoothing options, combined with dynamic trend-following capabilities, make it a versatile tool for traders seeking to improve their timing and signal accuracy. The adaptive nature of the Kalman filter, combined with the robust PSaR logic, helps traders stay on the right side of the market and manage risk more effectively.
