[francrypto® strategy] 4 EMAs, P.SAR & Vol.Prof. (by kv4coins)(ENG)
This script consists of my own strategy for cryptocurrency (but can be adapted very well for stocks, forex, etc.)
Is a combination of:
- Four Exponentials Moving Average (EMA), configurables: by defect are 10, 21, 55 and 200 periods in yellow, aqua, orange and blue each of them
- Parabolic SAR System (PSAR), configurable
- Volume Profile (that has been developed by kv4coins - he has already authorized me to use it under the same OSS Licence Terms: MPL 2.0), configurable: with another default values and bilingual support for Spanish (SPA)
How it works
1) It is always better to detect specifics candlesticks or patrons: doji , pinbar or inverted pinbar , engulfing bars , morning star or evening star , harami , twizzer bottom or top , etc.
2) The 10 and 21 periods EMA help to identify the short-term behavior
3) The 55 periods EMA can be used like a support or resistance in medium-term, as 200 periods EMA in very long-term
4) It will convenient search for a double cross (10 & 21) or a triple cross (10, 21 & 55) to determine the medium-term change Downtrend to UpTrend (or viceversa)
5) Confirm the change patron with the Parabolic SAR and then identify potencials purchases or sales
6) Use Volume profile to detect potential supports or resistances areas, in order to set stop limit/loss and take profit orders.
Hope this helps!
Cheers,
FRANCRYPTO®
–––––– 0 ––––––
(ESP)
Este script consiste en mi propia estrategia para criptomonedas (pero puede adaptarse muy bien para acciones, forex, etc.)
Es la combinación de:
1) Cuatro Medias Móviles Exponenciales (EMA), configurables: por defecto son de 10, 21, 55 y 200 períodos en amarillo, turquesa, naranja y azul cada una de ellas
2) Sistema Parabolic SAR (PSAR), configurable
3) Perfil de Volumen (que fuera desarrollado por kv4coins - que ya me ha autorizado a su uso bajo las mismas condiciones de la Licencia OSS: MPL 2.0), configurable: con otros valores por defecto y soporte bilingüe para Español (SPA)
Cómo funciona
1) Siempre va a resultar mejor detectar velas japonesas específicas o patrones: doji , martillos o martillos invertidos , velas envolventes , patrón amanecer o atardecer , harami , velas gemelas , etcétera
2) La EMA de 10 y 21 períodos ayudan a identificar el comportamiento de corto plazo
3) La EMA de 55 períodos puede ser usada como un soporte o resistencia de mediano plazo, como así también, la EMA de 200 períodos en el muy largo plazo
4) Será conveniente buscar un doble cruce (10 & 21) o un triple cruce (10, 21 & 55) para determinar un cambio de la tendencia de mediano plazo de bajista hacia alcista (o viceversa)
5) Confirmá el patrón de cambio con la Parabólica de SAR y entonces identificá potenciales compras o ventas
6) Usá el perfil de volumen para detectar las potenciales zonas de soporte o resistencia, principalmente para establecer ordenes stop limit/loss o take profit.
¡Espero que pueda serles de utilidad!
Saludos,
FRANCRYPTO®
Cari dalam skrip untuk "a股近10年第二天溢价的股票"
John Carter Pivot Points
This script is based on John Carter Mastering The Trade book. Pivot calculation is based on the previous day high, low, and close.
What Are the Trading Rules for Pivot Buys on Trending Days?
Sells are reversed.
1. Each day I update the appropriate pivot levels on the charts to reflect the previous day’s action. On Mondays, I also
update the weekly pivots, and on the first trading day of a new month, I update the monthly pivots.
2. The first pivot play is done in conjunction with the gap, if there is one. If there is a gap down, then I buy a decline into
the closest pivot level. If there isn’t a playable gap (more than 10 YM points or 1 ES point), then I will wait until
9:45 a.m. eastern to initiate the first play.
3. If the volume on the five-minute ES chart is more than 25,000 contracts, then I’ll wait for the markets to penetrate a
pivot level and move up at least a quarter of the way to the next pivot level. Once this happens, I will then set up a
bid to buy the first retracement back to the violated pivot level.
4. I enter my trades with limit orders only. I place orders “just in front of” the pivot. For the YM, I use 3 points; for the
ES, 0.25 point; for the NQ, 0.50 point; for the TF, 0.20 point; and for individual stocks, 5 cents. For example, if I’m
trading the YM and the pivot level is 10,000, then I would buy a decline to 10,003 and short a rally to 9997
.Sometimes the pivot will be an odd number, such as 1117.38 on the ES. In this case, I always round in the direction of
the trade. So, if I’m bidding for a long, I will round 1117.38 to 1117.50, and my bid will be 1117.75. If I’m offering a
short, I will round 1117.38 down to 1117.25 and place my offer at 1117.00. My stops and targets, then, would be “just
in front of” these appropriate long and short levels.
5. Once filled, I place an order to close the first half at the next pivot level and the second half at the pivot level after
that, using the same “just in front of” parameters.
6. I place a stop at 20 points for the YM, 2 points for the ES, 4 points for the NQ, and 1.50 points for the Russell. For
stocks, I will use a stop based roughly on the price of the stock. If the stock is under $10 a share, I will use a stop of
20 cents. If it is between $10 and $20, I will use a stop of 30 cents; if it is between $20 and $30, I will use a stop of
40 cents, and so on, adding another 10 cents for each $10 increment in price. (A $75 stock would have an 80-cent
stop, for example.)
7. If the first target is hit, I will then move up the stop to my entry-level pivot, minus the “just in front of” fractions
discussed in rule 3. For example, if I get in a YM long at 10,003 and the pivot is at 10,000, then my new stop would
be 9997 once the first target is hit.
8. If I am in a trade at the market close and neither my stop nor my target has been hit, I will close out my position “at the
market” at 4:10 p.m. eastern for futures, and at 3:58 p.m. eastern for stocks.
9. I don’t initiate any new positions after 3:30 p.m. eastern, but I will manage existing positions into the close.
10. The markets rarely have a sustained move above R3 or below S3. If I trade to those levels, I will always fade the
move.
11. After two losers in a row, I’m done with pivots for the day.
What Are the Trading Rules for Pivot Buys on Choppy Days?
Once again, sells are the same, just reversed. The rules for choppy days are identical except for the targets. On choppy days, I
just focus on the YM and the ES. My first target is mechanical: 10 points for the YM and 1 point for the ES on half of my
position. Once this is hit, I will trail up my stop in the same way I would for a trending trade. The second target becomes the
“just in front of” level for the actual next pivot level
Universal Global SessionUniversal Global Session
This Script combines the world sessions of: Stocks, Forex, Bitcoin Kill Zones, strategic points, all configurable, in a single Script, to capitalize the opening and closing times of global exchanges as investment assets, becoming an Universal Global Session .
It is based on the great work of @oscarvs ( BITCOIN KILL ZONES v2 ) and the scripts of @ChrisMoody. Thank you Oscar and Chris for your excellent judgment and great work.
At the end of this writing you can find all the internet references of the extensive documentation that I present here. To maximize your benefits in the use of this Script, I recommend that you read the entire document to create an objective and practical criterion.
All the hours of the different exchanges are presented at GMT -6. In Market24hClock you can adjust it to your preferences.
After a deep investigation I have been able to show that the different world sessions reveal underlying investment cycles, where it is possible to find sustained changes in the nominal behavior of the trend before the passage from one session to another and in the natural overlaps between the sessions. These underlying movements generally occur 15 minutes before the start, close or overlap of the session, when the session properly starts and also 15 minutes after respectively. Therefore, this script is designed to highlight these particular trending behaviors. Try it, discover your own conclusions and let me know in the notes, thank you.
Foreign Exchange Market Hours
It is the schedule by which currency market participants can buy, sell, trade and speculate on currencies all over the world. It is open 24 hours a day during working days and closes on weekends, thanks to the fact that operations are carried out through a network of information systems, instead of physical exchanges that close at a certain time. It opens Monday morning at 8 am local time in Sydney —Australia— (which is equivalent to Sunday night at 7 pm, in New York City —United States—, according to Eastern Standard Time), and It closes at 5pm local time in New York City (which is equivalent to 6am Saturday morning in Sydney).
The Forex market is decentralized and driven by local sessions, where the hours of Forex trading are based on the opening range of each active country, becoming an efficient transfer mechanism for all participants. Four territories in particular stand out: Sydney, Tokyo, London and New York, where the highest volume of operations occurs when the sessions in London and New York overlap. Furthermore, Europe is complemented by major financial centers such as Paris, Frankfurt and Zurich. Each day of forex trading begins with the opening of Australia, then Asia, followed by Europe, and finally North America. As markets in one region close, another opens - or has already opened - and continues to trade in the currency market. The seven most traded currencies in the world are: the US dollar, the euro, the Japanese yen, the British pound, the Australian dollar, the Canadian dollar, and the New Zealand dollar.
Currencies are needed around the world for international trade, this means that operations are not dominated by a single exchange market, but rather involve a global network of brokers from around the world, such as banks, commercial companies, central banks, companies investment management, hedge funds, as well as retail forex brokers and global investors. Because this market operates in multiple time zones, it can be accessed at any time except during the weekend, therefore, there is continuously at least one open market and there are some hours of overlap between the closing of the market of one region and the opening of another. The international scope of currency trading means that there are always traders around the world making and satisfying demands for a particular currency.
The market involves a global network of exchanges and brokers from around the world, although time zones overlap, the generally accepted time zone for each region is as follows:
Sydney 5pm to 2am EST (10pm to 7am UTC)
London 3am to 12 noon EST (8pm to 5pm UTC)
New York 8am to 5pm EST (1pm to 10pm UTC)
Tokyo 7pm to 4am EST (12am to 9am UTC)
Trading Session
A financial asset trading session refers to a period of time that coincides with the daytime trading hours for a given location, it is a business day in the local financial market. This may vary according to the asset class and the country, therefore operators must know the hours of trading sessions for the securities and derivatives in which they are interested in trading. If investors can understand market hours and set proper targets, they will have a much greater chance of making a profit within a workable schedule.
Kill Zones
Kill zones are highly liquid events. Many different market participants often come together and perform around these events. The activity itself can be event-driven (margin calls or option exercise-related activity), portfolio management-driven (asset allocation rebalancing orders and closing buy-in), or institutionally driven (larger players needing liquidity to complete the size) or a combination of any of the three. This intense cross-current of activity at a very specific point in time often occurs near significant technical levels and the established trends emerging from these events often persist until the next Death Zone approaches or enters.
Kill Zones are evolving with time and the course of world history. Since the end of World War II, New York has slowly invaded London's place as the world center for commercial banking. So much so that during the latter part of the 20th century, New York was considered the new center of the financial universe. With the end of the cold war, that leadership appears to have shifted towards Europe and away from the United States. Furthermore, Japan has slowly lost its former dominance in the global economic landscape, while Beijing's has increased dramatically. Only time will tell how these death zones will evolve given the ever-changing political, economic, and socioeconomic influences of each region.
Financial Markets
New York
New York (NYSE Chicago, NASDAQ)
7:30 am - 2:00 pm
It is the second largest currency platform in the world, followed largely by foreign investors as it participates in 90% of all operations, where movements on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) can have an immediate effect (powerful) on the dollar, for example, when companies merge and acquisitions are finalized, the dollar can instantly gain or lose value.
A. Complementary Stock Exchanges
Brazil (BOVESPA - Brazilian Stock Exchange)
07:00 am - 02:55 pm
Canada (TSX - Toronto Stock Exchange)
07:30 am - 02:00 pm
New York (NYSE - New York Stock Exchange)
08:30 am - 03:00 pm
B. North American Trading Session
07:00 am - 03:00 pm
(from the beginning of the business day on NYSE and NASDAQ, until the end of the New York session)
New York, Chicago and Toronto (Canada) open the North American session. Characterized by the most aggressive trading within the markets, currency pairs show high volatility. As the US markets open, trading is still active in Europe, however trading volume generally decreases with the end of the European session and the overlap between the US and Europe.
C. Strategic Points
US main session starts in 1 hour
07:30 am
The euro tends to drop before the US session. The NYSE, CHX and TSX (Canada) trading sessions begin 1 hour after this strategic point. The North American session begins trading Forex at 07:00 am.
This constitutes the beginning of the overlap of the United States and the European market that spans from 07:00 am to 10:35 am, often called the best time to trade EUR / USD, it is the period of greatest liquidity for the main European currencies since it is where they have their widest daily ranges.
When New York opens at 07:00 am the most intense trading begins in both the US and European markets. The overlap of European and American trading sessions has 80% of the total average trading range for all currency pairs during US business hours and 70% of the total average trading range for all currency pairs during European business hours. The intersection of the US and European sessions are the most volatile overlapping hours of all.
Influential news and data for the USD are released between 07:30 am and 09:00 am and play the biggest role in the North American Session. These are the strategically most important moments of this activity period: 07:00 am, 08:00 am and 08:30 am.
The main session of operations in the United States and Canada begins
08:30 am
Start of main trading sessions in New York, Chicago and Toronto. The European session still overlaps the North American session and this is the time for large-scale unpredictable trading. The United States leads the market. It is difficult to interpret the news due to speculation. Trends develop very quickly and it is difficult to identify them, however trends (especially for the euro), which have developed during the overlap, often turn the other way when Europe exits the market.
Second hour of the US session and last hour of the European session
09:30 am
End of the European session
10:35 am
The trend of the euro will change rapidly after the end of the European session.
Last hour of the United States session
02:00 pm
Institutional clients and very large funds are very active during the first and last working hours of almost all stock exchanges, knowing this allows to better predict price movements in the opening and closing of large markets. Within the last trading hours of the secondary market session, a pullback can often be seen in the EUR / USD that continues until the opening of the Tokyo session. Generally it happens if there was an upward price movement before 04:00 pm - 05:00 pm.
End of the trade session in the United States
03:00 pm
D. Kill Zones
11:30 am - 1:30 pm
New York Kill Zone. The United States is still the world's largest economy, so by default, the New York opening carries a lot of weight and often comes with a huge injection of liquidity. In fact, most of the world's marketable assets are priced in US dollars, making political and economic activity within this region even more important. Because it is relatively late in the world's trading day, this Death Zone often sees violent price swings within its first hour, leading to the proven adage "never trust the first hour of trading in America. North.
---------------
London
London (LSE - London Stock Exchange)
02:00 am - 10:35 am
Britain dominates the currency markets around the world, and London is its main component. London, a central trading capital of the world, accounts for about 43% of world trade, many Forex trends often originate from London.
A. Complementary Stock Exchange
Dubai (DFM - Dubai Financial Market)
12:00 am - 03:50 am
Moscow (MOEX - Moscow Exchange)
12:30 am - 10:00 am
Germany (FWB - Frankfurt Stock Exchange)
01:00 am - 10:30 am
Afríca (JSE - Johannesburg Stock Exchange)
01:00 am - 09:00 am
Saudi Arabia (TADAWUL - Saudi Stock Exchange)
01:00 am - 06:00 am
Switzerland (SIX - Swiss Stock Exchange)
02:00 am - 10:30 am
B. European Trading Session
02:00 am - 11:00 am
(from the opening of the Frankfurt session to the close of the Order Book on the London Stock Exchange / Euronext)
It is a very liquid trading session, where trends are set that start during the first trading hours in Europe and generally continue until the beginning of the US session.
C. Middle East Trading Session
12:00 am - 06:00 am
(from the opening of the Dubai session to the end of the Riyadh session)
D. Strategic Points
European session begins
02:00 am
London, Frankfurt and Zurich Stock Exchange enter the market, overlap between Europe and Asia begins.
End of the Singapore and Asia sessions
03:00 am
The euro rises almost immediately or an hour after Singapore exits the market.
Middle East Oil Markets Completion Process
05:00 am
Operations are ending in the European-Asian market, at which time Dubai, Qatar and in another hour in Riyadh, which constitute the Middle East oil markets, are closing. Because oil trading is done in US dollars, and the region with the trading day coming to an end no longer needs the dollar, consequently, the euro tends to grow more frequently.
End of the Middle East trading session
06:00 am
E. Kill Zones
5:00 am - 7:00 am
London Kill Zone. Considered the center of the financial universe for more than 500 years, Europe still has a lot of influence in the banking world. Many older players use the European session to establish their positions. As such, the London Open often sees the most significant trend-setting activity on any trading day. In fact, it has been suggested that 80% of all weekly trends are set through the London Kill Zone on Tuesday.
F. Kill Zones (close)
2:00 pm - 4:00 pm
London Kill Zone (close).
---------------
Tokyo
Tokyo (JPX - Tokyo Stock Exchange)
06:00 pm - 12:00 am
It is the first Asian market to open, receiving most of the Asian trade, just ahead of Hong Kong and Singapore.
A. Complementary Stock Exchange
Singapore (SGX - Singapore Exchange)
07:00 pm - 03:00 am
Hong Kong (HKEx - Hong Kong Stock Exchange)
07:30 pm - 02:00 am
Shanghai (SSE - Shanghai Stock Exchange)
07:30 pm - 01:00 am
India (NSE - India National Stock Exchange)
09:45 pm - 04:00 am
B. Asian Trading Session
06:00 pm - 03:00 am
From the opening of the Tokyo session to the end of the Singapore session
The first major Asian market to open is Tokyo which has the largest market share and is the third largest Forex trading center in the world. Singapore opens in an hour, and then the Chinese markets: Shanghai and Hong Kong open 30 minutes later. With them, the trading volume increases and begins a large-scale operation in the Asia-Pacific region, offering more liquidity for the Asian-Pacific currencies and their crosses. When European countries open their doors, more liquidity will be offered to Asian and European crossings.
C. Strategic Points
Second hour of the Tokyo session
07:00 pm
This session also opens the Singapore market. The commercial dynamics grows in anticipation of the opening of the two largest Chinese markets in 30 minutes: Shanghai and Hong Kong, within these 30 minutes or just before the China session begins, the euro usually falls until the same moment of the opening of Shanghai and Hong Kong.
Second hour of the China session
08:30 pm
Hong Kong and Shanghai start trading and the euro usually grows for more than an hour. The EUR / USD pair mixes up as Asian exporters convert part of their earnings into both US dollars and euros.
Last hour of the Tokyo session
11:00 pm
End of the Tokyo session
12:00 am
If the euro has been actively declining up to this time, China will raise the euro after the Tokyo shutdown. Hong Kong, Shanghai and Singapore remain open and take matters into their own hands causing the growth of the euro. Asia is a huge commercial and industrial region with a large number of high-quality economic products and gigantic financial turnover, making the number of transactions on the stock exchanges huge during the Asian session. That is why traders, who entered the trade at the opening of the London session, should pay attention to their terminals when Asia exits the market.
End of the Shanghai session
01:00 am
The trade ends in Shanghai. This is the last trading hour of the Hong Kong session, during which market activity peaks.
D. Kill Zones
10:00 pm - 2:00 am
Asian Kill Zone. Considered the "Institutional" Zone, this zone represents both the launch pad for new trends as well as a recharge area for the post-American session. It is the beginning of a new day (or week) for the world and as such it makes sense that this zone often sets the tone for the remainder of the global business day. It is ideal to pay attention to the opening of Tokyo, Beijing and Sydney.
--------------
Sidney
Sydney (ASX - Australia Stock Exchange)
06:00 pm - 12:00 am
A. Complementary Stock Exchange
New Zealand (NZX - New Zealand Stock Exchange)
04:00 pm - 10:45 pm
It's where the global trading day officially begins. While it is the smallest of the megamarkets, it sees a lot of initial action when markets reopen Sunday afternoon as individual traders and financial institutions are trying to regroup after the long hiatus since Friday afternoon. On weekdays it constitutes the end of the current trading day where the change in the settlement date occurs.
B. Pacific Trading Session
04:00 pm - 12:00 am
(from the opening of the Wellington session to the end of the Sydney session)
Forex begins its business hours when Wellington (New Zealand Exchange) opens local time on Monday. Sydney (Australian Stock Exchange) opens in 2 hours. It is a session with a fairly low volatility, configuring itself as the calmest session of all. Strong movements appear when influential news is published and when the Pacific session overlaps the Asian Session.
C. Strategic Points
End of the Sydney session
12:00 am
---------------
Conclusions
The best time to trade is during overlaps in trading times between open markets. Overlaps equate to higher price ranges, creating greater opportunities.
Regarding press releases (news), it should be noted that these in the currency markets have the power to improve a normally slow trading period. When a major announcement is made regarding economic data, especially when it goes against the predicted forecast, the coin can lose or gain value in a matter of seconds. In general, the more economic growth a country produces, the more positive the economy is for international investors. Investment capital tends to flow to countries that are believed to have good growth prospects and subsequently good investment opportunities, leading to the strengthening of the country's exchange rate. Also, a country that has higher interest rates through its government bonds tends to attract investment capital as foreign investors seek high-yield opportunities. However, stable economic growth and attractive yields or interest rates are inextricably intertwined. It's important to take advantage of market overlaps and keep an eye out for press releases when setting up a trading schedule.
References:
www.investopedia.com
www.investopedia.com
www.investopedia.com
www.investopedia.com
market24hclock.com
market24hclock.com
ICT Macro Time WindowsICT Macro Time Windows - Master institutional market timing with automated 'Macro' trading session tracking.
What are 'Macros'?
In ICT terminology, 'Macros' refer to the key institutional trading windows throughout the day where major banks and liquidity providers are most active. These specific time frames see heightened volatility, liquidity, and strategic positioning.
Perfect Timing Automation:
• 8 Critical Macro Sessions:
London 1: 02:33-03:00 EST
London 2: 04:03-04:30 EST
NY AM1: 08:50-09:10 EST
NY AM2: 09:50-10:10 EST
NY AM3: 10:50-11:10 EST
Lunch: 11:50-12:10 EST
PM: 13:10-13:40 EST
Close: 15:15-15:45 EST
• Fully customizable time zones and session times
• Real-time session detection with visual zones & labels
• Automatic High/Low range tracking within each window
• Boxes, lines, and labels for clear visual reference
• Never miss optimal entry/exit timing again
Trade when institutions trade - stop guessing and start timing your setups with precision during these key liquidity windows! All session times are easily adjustable in settings to match your preferred trading hours.
Perfect for Forex, Futures, and Index traders following ICT concepts and institutional flow analysis.
Trend Fib Zone Bounce (TFZB) [KedArc Quant]Description:
Trend Fib Zone Bounce (TFZB) trades with the latest confirmed Supply/Demand zone using a single, configurable Fib pullback (0.3/0.5/0.6). Trade only in the direction of the most recent zone and use a single, configurable fib level for pullback entries.
• Detects market structure via confirmed swing highs/lows using a rolling window.
• Draws Supply/Demand zones (bearish/bullish rectangles) from the latest MSS (CHOCH or BOS) event.
• Computes intra zone Fib guide rails and keeps them extended in real time.
• Triggers BUY only inside bullish zones and SELL only inside bearish zones when price touches the selected fib and closes back beyond it (bounce confirmation).
• Optional labels print BULL/BEAR + fib next to the triangle markers.
What it does
Finds structure using confirmed swing highs/lows (you choose the confirmation length).
Builds the latest zone (bullish = demand, bearish = supply) after a CHOCH/BOS event.
Draws intra-zone “guide rails” (Fib lines) and extends them live.
Signals only with the trend of that zone:
BUY inside a bullish zone when price tags the selected Fib and closes back above it.
SELL inside a bearish zone when price tags the selected Fib and closes back below it.
Optional labels print BULL/BEAR + Fib next to triangles for quick context
Why this is different
Most “zone + fib + signal” tools bolt together several indicators, or fire counter-trend signals because they don’t fully respect structure. TFZB is intentionally minimal:
Single bias source: the latest confirmed zone defines direction; nothing else overrides it.
Single entry rule: one Fib bounce (0.3/0.5/0.6 selectable) inside that zone—no counter-trend trades by design.
Clean visuals: you can show only the most recent zone, clamp overlap, and keep just the rails that matter.
Deterministic & transparent: every plot/label comes from the code you see—no external series or hidden smoothing
How it helps traders
Cuts decision noise: you always know the bias and the only entry that matters right now.
Forces discipline: if price isn’t inside the active zone, you don’t trade.
Adapts to volatility: pick 0.3 in strong trends, 0.5 as the default, 0.6 in chop.
Non-repainting zones: swings are confirmed after Structure Length bars, then used to build zones that extend forward (they don’t “teleport” later)
How it works (details)
*Structure confirmation
A swing high/low is only confirmed after Structure Length bars have elapsed; the dot is plotted back on the original bar using offset. Expect a confirmation delay of about Structure Length × timeframe.
*Zone creation
After a CHOCH/BOS (momentum shift / break of prior swing), TFZB draws the new Supply/Demand zone from the swing anchors and sets it active.
*Fib guide rails
Inside the active zone TFZB projects up to five Fib lines (defaults: 0.3 / 0.5 / 0.7) and extends them as time passes.
*Entry logic (with-trend only)
BUY: bar’s low ≤ fib and close > fib inside a bullish zone.
SELL: bar’s high ≥ fib and close < fib inside a bearish zone.
*Optionally restrict to one signal per zone to avoid over-trading.
(Optional) Aggressive confirm-bar entry
When do the swing dots print?
* The code confirms a swing only after `structureLen` bars have elapsed since that candidate high/low.
* On a 5-min chart with `structureLen = 10`, that’s about 50 minutes later.
* When the swing confirms, the script plots the dot back on the original bar (via `offset = -structureLen`). So you *see* the dot on the old bar, but it only appears on the chart once the confirming bar arrives.
> Practical takeaway: expect swing markers to appear roughly `structureLen × timeframe` later. Zones and signals are built from those confirmed swings.
Best timeframe for this Indicator
Use the timeframe that matches your holding period and the noise level of the instrument:
* Intraday :
* 5m or 15m are the sweet spots.
* Suggested `structureLen`:
* 5m: 10–14 (confirmation delay \~50–70 min)
* 15m: 8–10 (confirmation delay \~2–2.5 hours)
* Keep Entry Fib at 0.5 to start; try 0.3 in strong trends, 0.6 in chop.
* Tip: avoid the first 10–15 minutes after the open; let the initial volatility set the early structure.
* Swing/overnight:
* 1h or 4h.
* `structureLen`:
* 1h: 6–10 (6–10 hours confirmation)
* 4h: 5–8 (20–32 hours confirmation)
* 1m scalping: not recommended here—the confirmation lag relative to the noise makes zones less reliable.
Inputs (all groups)
Structure
• Show Swing Points (structureTog)
o Plots small dots on the bar where a swing point is confirmed (offset back by Structure Length).
• Structure Length (structureLen)
o Lookback used to confirm swing highs/lows and determine local structure. Higher = fewer, stronger swings; lower = more reactive.
Zones
• Show Last (zoneDispNum)
o Maximum number of zones kept on the chart when Display All Zones is off.
• Display All Zones (dispAll)
o If on, ignores Show Last and keeps all zones/levels.
• Zone Display (zoneFilter): Bullish Only / Bearish Only / Both
o Filters which zone types are drawn and eligible for signals.
• Clean Up Level Overlap (noOverlap)
o Prevents fib lines from overlapping when a new zone starts near the previous one (clamps line start/end times for readability).
Fib Levels
Each row controls whether a fib is drawn and how it looks:
• Toggle (f1Tog…f5Tog): Show/hide a given fib line.
• Level (f1Lvl…f5Lvl): Numeric ratio in . Defaults active: 0.3, 0.5, 0.7 (0 and 1 off by default).
• Line Style (f1Style…f5Style): Solid / Dashed / Dotted.
• Bull/Bear Colors (f#BullColor, f#BearColor): Per-fib color in bullish vs bearish zones.
Style
• Structure Color: Dot color for confirmed swing points.
• Bullish Zone Color / Bearish Zone Color: Rectangle fills (transparent by default).
Signals
• Entry Fib for Signals (entryFibSel): Choose 0.3, 0.5 (default), or 0.6 as the trigger line.
• Show Buy/Sell Signals (showSignals): Toggles triangle markers on/off.
• One Signal Per Zone (oneSignalPerZone): If on, suppresses additional entries within the same zone after the first trigger.
• Show Signal Text Labels (Bull/Bear + Fib) (showSignalLabels): Adds a small label next to each triangle showing zone bias and the fib used (e.g., BULL 0.5 or BEAR 0.3).
How TFZB decides signals
With trend only:
• BUY
1. Latest active zone is bullish.
2. Current bar’s close is inside the zone (between top and bottom).
3. The bar’s low ≤ selected fib and it closes > selected fib (bounce).
• SELL
1. Latest active zone is bearish.
2. Current bar’s close is inside the zone.
3. The bar’s high ≥ selected fib and it closes < selected fib.
Markers & labels
• BUY: triangle up below the bar; optional label “BULL 0.x” above it.
• SELL: triangle down above the bar; optional label “BEAR 0.x” below it.
Right-Panel Swing Log (Table)
What it is
A compact, auto-updating log of the most recent Swing High/Low events, printed in the top-right of the chart.
It helps you see when a pivot formed, when it was confirmed, and at what price—so you know the earliest bar a zone-based signal could have appeared.
Columns
Type – Swing High or Swing Low.
Date – Calendar date of the swing bar (follows the chart’s timezone).
Swing @ – Time of the original swing bar (where the dot is drawn).
Confirm @ – Time of the bar that confirmed that swing (≈ Structure Length × timeframe after the swing). This is also the earliest moment a new zone/entry can be considered.
Price – The swing price (high for SH, low for SL).
Why it’s useful
Clarity on repaint/confirmation: shows the natural delay between a swing forming and being usable—no guessing.
Planning & journaling: quick reference of today’s pivots and prices for notes/backtesting.
Scanning intraday: glance to see if you already have a confirmed zone (and therefore valid fib-bounce entries), or if you’re still waiting.
Context for signals: if a fib-bounce triangle appears before the time listed in Confirm @, it’s not a valid trade (you were too early).
Settings (Inputs → Logging)
Log swing times / Show table – turn the table on/off.
Rows to keep – how many recent entries to display.
Show labels on swing bar – optional tags on the chart (“Swing High 11:45”, “Confirm SH 14:15”) that match the table.
Recommended defaults
• Structure Length: 10–20 for intraday; 20–40 for swing.
• Entry Fib for Signals: 0.5 to start; try 0.3 in stronger trends and 0.6 in choppier markets.
• One Signal Per Zone: ON (prevents over trading).
• Zone Display: Both.
• Fib Lines: Keep 0.3/0.5/0.7 on; turn on 0 and 1 only if you need anchors.
Alerts
Two alert conditions are available:
• BUY signal – fires when a with trend bullish bounce at the selected fib occurs inside a bullish zone.
• SELL signal – fires when a with trend bearish bounce at the selected fib occurs inside a bearish zone.
Create alerts from the chart’s Alerts panel and select the desired condition. Use Once Per Bar Close to avoid intrabar flicker.
Notes & tips
• Swing dots are confirmed only after Structure Length bars, so they plot back in time; zones built from these confirmed swings do not repaint (though they extend as new bars form).
• If you don’t see a BUY where you expect one, check: (1) Is the active zone bullish? (2) Did the candle’s low actually pierce the selected fib and close above it? (3) Is One Signal Per Zone suppressing a second entry?
• You can hide visual clutter by reducing Show Last to 1–3 while keeping Display All Zones off.
Glossary
• CHOCH (Change of Character): A shift where price breaks beyond the last opposite swing while local momentum flips.
• BOS (Break of Structure): A cleaner break beyond the prior swing level in the current momentum direction.
• MSS: Either CHOCH or BOS – any event that spawns a new zone.
Extension ideas (optional)
• Add fib extensions (1.272 / 1.618) for target lines.
• Zone quality score using ATR normalization to filter weak impulses.
• HTF filter to only accept zones aligned with a higher timeframe trend.
⚠️ Disclaimer This script is provided for educational purposes only.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Trading involves risk, and users should exercise caution and use proper risk management when applying this strategy.
BOCS Channel Scalper Indicator - Mean Reversion Alert System# BOCS Channel Scalper Indicator - Mean Reversion Alert System
## WHAT THIS INDICATOR DOES:
This is a mean reversion trading indicator that identifies consolidation channels through volatility analysis and generates alert signals when price enters entry zones near channel boundaries. **This indicator version is designed for manual trading with comprehensive alert functionality.** Unlike automated strategies, this tool sends notifications (via popup, email, SMS, or webhook) when trading opportunities occur, allowing you to manually review and execute trades. The system assumes price will revert to the channel mean, identifying scalp opportunities as price reaches extremes and preparing to bounce back toward center.
## INDICATOR VS STRATEGY - KEY DISTINCTION:
**This is an INDICATOR with alerts, not an automated strategy.** It does not execute trades automatically. Instead, it:
- Displays visual signals on your chart when entry conditions are met
- Sends customizable alerts to your device/email when opportunities arise
- Shows TP/SL levels for reference but does not place orders
- Requires you to manually enter and exit positions based on signals
- Works with all TradingView subscription levels (alerts included on all plans)
**For automated trading with backtesting**, use the strategy version. For manual control with notifications, use this indicator version.
## ALERT CAPABILITIES:
This indicator includes four distinct alert conditions that can be configured independently:
**1. New Channel Formation Alert**
- Triggers when a fresh BOCS channel is identified
- Message: "New BOCS channel formed - potential scalp setup ready"
- Use this to prepare for upcoming trading opportunities
**2. Long Scalp Entry Alert**
- Fires when price touches the long entry zone
- Message includes current price, calculated TP, and SL levels
- Notification example: "LONG scalp signal at 24731.75 | TP: 24743.2 | SL: 24716.5"
**3. Short Scalp Entry Alert**
- Fires when price touches the short entry zone
- Message includes current price, calculated TP, and SL levels
- Notification example: "SHORT scalp signal at 24747.50 | TP: 24735.0 | SL: 24762.75"
**4. Any Entry Signal Alert**
- Combined alert for both long and short entries
- Use this if you want a single alert stream for all opportunities
- Message: "BOCS Scalp Entry: at "
**Setting Up Alerts:**
1. Add indicator to chart and configure settings
2. Click the Alert (⏰) button in TradingView toolbar
3. Select "BOCS Channel Scalper" from condition dropdown
4. Choose desired alert type (Long, Short, Any, or Channel Formation)
5. Set "Once Per Bar Close" to avoid false signals during bar formation
6. Configure delivery method (popup, email, webhook for automation platforms)
7. Save alert - it will fire automatically when conditions are met
**Alert Message Placeholders:**
Alerts use TradingView's dynamic placeholder system:
- {{ticker}} = Symbol name (e.g., NQ1!)
- {{close}} = Current price at signal
- {{plot_1}} = Calculated take profit level
- {{plot_2}} = Calculated stop loss level
These placeholders populate automatically, creating detailed notification messages without manual configuration.
## KEY DIFFERENCE FROM ORIGINAL BOCS:
**This indicator is designed for traders seeking higher trade frequency.** The original BOCS indicator trades breakouts OUTSIDE channels, waiting for price to escape consolidation before entering. This scalper version trades mean reversion INSIDE channels, entering when price reaches channel extremes and betting on a bounce back to center. The result is significantly more trading opportunities:
- **Original BOCS**: 1-3 signals per channel (only on breakout)
- **Scalper Indicator**: 5-15+ signals per channel (every touch of entry zones)
- **Trade Style**: Mean reversion vs trend following
- **Hold Time**: Seconds to minutes vs minutes to hours
- **Best Markets**: Ranging/choppy conditions vs trending breakouts
This makes the indicator ideal for active day traders who want continuous alert opportunities within consolidation zones rather than waiting for breakout confirmation. However, increased signal frequency also means higher potential commission costs and requires disciplined trade selection when acting on alerts.
## TECHNICAL METHODOLOGY:
### Price Normalization Process:
The indicator normalizes price data to create consistent volatility measurements across different instruments and price levels. It calculates the highest high and lowest low over a user-defined lookback period (default 100 bars). Current close price is normalized using: (close - lowest_low) / (highest_high - lowest_low), producing values between 0 and 1 for standardized volatility analysis.
### Volatility Detection:
A 14-period standard deviation is applied to the normalized price series to measure price deviation from the mean. Higher standard deviation values indicate volatility expansion; lower values indicate consolidation. The indicator uses ta.highestbars() and ta.lowestbars() to identify when volatility peaks and troughs occur over the detection period (default 14 bars).
### Channel Formation Logic:
When volatility crosses from a high level to a low level (ta.crossover(upper, lower)), a consolidation phase begins. The indicator tracks the highest and lowest prices during this period, which become the channel boundaries. Minimum duration of 10+ bars is required to filter out brief volatility spikes. Channels are rendered as box objects with defined upper and lower boundaries, with colored zones indicating entry areas.
### Entry Signal Generation:
The indicator uses immediate touch-based entry logic. Entry zones are defined as a percentage from channel edges (default 20%):
- **Long Entry Zone**: Bottom 20% of channel (bottomBound + channelRange × 0.2)
- **Short Entry Zone**: Top 20% of channel (topBound - channelRange × 0.2)
Long signals trigger when candle low touches or enters the long entry zone. Short signals trigger when candle high touches or enters the short entry zone. Visual markers (arrows and labels) appear on chart, and configured alerts fire immediately.
### Cooldown Filter:
An optional cooldown period (measured in bars) prevents alert spam by enforcing minimum spacing between consecutive signals. If cooldown is set to 3 bars, no new long alert will fire until 3 bars after the previous long signal. Long and short cooldowns are tracked independently, allowing both directions to signal within the same period.
### ATR Volatility Filter:
The indicator includes a multi-timeframe ATR filter to avoid alerts during low-volatility conditions. Using request.security(), it fetches ATR values from a specified timeframe (e.g., 1-minute ATR while viewing 5-minute charts). The filter compares current ATR to a user-defined minimum threshold:
- If ATR ≥ threshold: Alerts enabled
- If ATR < threshold: No alerts fire
This prevents notifications during dead zones where mean reversion is unreliable due to insufficient price movement. The ATR status is displayed in the info table with visual confirmation (✓ or ✗).
### Take Profit Calculation:
Two TP methods are available:
**Fixed Points Mode**:
- Long TP = Entry + (TP_Ticks × syminfo.mintick)
- Short TP = Entry - (TP_Ticks × syminfo.mintick)
**Channel Percentage Mode**:
- Long TP = Entry + (ChannelRange × TP_Percent)
- Short TP = Entry - (ChannelRange × TP_Percent)
Default 50% targets the channel midline, a natural mean reversion target. These levels are displayed as visual lines with labels and included in alert messages for reference when manually placing orders.
### Stop Loss Placement:
Stop losses are calculated just outside the channel boundary by a user-defined tick offset:
- Long SL = ChannelBottom - (SL_Offset_Ticks × syminfo.mintick)
- Short SL = ChannelTop + (SL_Offset_Ticks × syminfo.mintick)
This logic assumes channel breaks invalidate the mean reversion thesis. SL levels are displayed on chart and included in alert notifications as suggested stop placement.
### Channel Breakout Management:
Channels are removed when price closes more than 10 ticks outside boundaries. This tolerance prevents premature channel deletion from minor breaks or wicks, allowing the mean reversion setup to persist through small boundary violations.
## INPUT PARAMETERS:
### Channel Settings:
- **Nested Channels**: Allow multiple overlapping channels vs single channel
- **Normalization Length**: Lookback for high/low calculation (1-500, default 100)
- **Box Detection Length**: Period for volatility detection (1-100, default 14)
### Scalping Settings:
- **Enable Long Scalps**: Toggle long alert generation on/off
- **Enable Short Scalps**: Toggle short alert generation on/off
- **Entry Zone % from Edge**: Size of entry zone (5-50%, default 20%)
- **SL Offset (Ticks)**: Distance beyond channel for stop (1+, default 5)
- **Cooldown Period (Bars)**: Minimum spacing between alerts (0 = no cooldown)
### ATR Filter:
- **Enable ATR Filter**: Toggle volatility filter on/off
- **ATR Timeframe**: Source timeframe for ATR (1, 5, 15, 60 min, etc.)
- **ATR Length**: Smoothing period (1-100, default 14)
- **Min ATR Value**: Threshold for alert enablement (0.1+, default 10.0)
### Take Profit Settings:
- **TP Method**: Choose Fixed Points or % of Channel
- **TP Fixed (Ticks)**: Static distance in ticks (1+, default 30)
- **TP % of Channel**: Dynamic target as channel percentage (10-100%, default 50%)
### Appearance:
- **Show Entry Zones**: Toggle zone labels on channels
- **Show Info Table**: Display real-time indicator status
- **Table Position**: Corner placement (Top Left/Right, Bottom Left/Right)
- **Long Color**: Customize long signal color (default: darker green for readability)
- **Short Color**: Customize short signal color (default: red)
- **TP/SL Colors**: Customize take profit and stop loss line colors
- **Line Length**: Visual length of TP/SL reference lines (5-200 bars)
## VISUAL INDICATORS:
- **Channel boxes** with semi-transparent fill showing consolidation zones
- **Colored entry zones** labeled "LONG ZONE ▲" and "SHORT ZONE ▼"
- **Entry signal arrows** below/above bars marking long/short alerts
- **TP/SL reference lines** with emoji labels (⊕ Entry, 🎯 TP, 🛑 SL)
- **Info table** showing channel status, last signal, entry/TP/SL prices, risk/reward ratio, and ATR filter status
- **Visual confirmation** when alerts fire via on-chart markers synchronized with notifications
## HOW TO USE:
### For 1-3 Minute Scalping with Alerts (NQ/ES):
- ATR Timeframe: "1" (1-minute)
- ATR Min Value: 10.0 (for NQ), adjust per instrument
- Entry Zone %: 20-25%
- TP Method: Fixed Points, 20-40 ticks
- SL Offset: 5-10 ticks
- Cooldown: 2-3 bars to reduce alert spam
- **Alert Setup**: Configure "Any Entry Signal" for combined long/short notifications
- **Execution**: When alert fires, verify chart visuals, then manually place limit order at entry zone with provided TP/SL levels
### For 5-15 Minute Day Trading with Alerts:
- ATR Timeframe: "5" or match chart
- ATR Min Value: Adjust to instrument (test 8-15 for NQ)
- Entry Zone %: 20-30%
- TP Method: % of Channel, 40-60%
- SL Offset: 5-10 ticks
- Cooldown: 3-5 bars
- **Alert Setup**: Configure separate "Long Scalp Entry" and "Short Scalp Entry" alerts if you trade directionally based on bias
- **Execution**: Review channel structure on alert, confirm ATR filter shows ✓, then enter manually
### For 30-60 Minute Swing Scalping with Alerts:
- ATR Timeframe: "15" or "30"
- ATR Min Value: Lower threshold for broader market
- Entry Zone %: 25-35%
- TP Method: % of Channel, 50-70%
- SL Offset: 10-15 ticks
- Cooldown: 5+ bars or disable
- **Alert Setup**: Use "New Channel Formation" to prepare for setups, then "Any Entry Signal" for execution alerts
- **Execution**: Larger timeframes allow more analysis time between alert and entry
### Webhook Integration for Semi-Automation:
- Configure alert webhook URL to connect with platforms like TradersPost, TradingView Paper Trading, or custom automation
- Alert message includes all necessary order parameters (direction, entry, TP, SL)
- Webhook receives structured data when signal fires
- External platform can auto-execute based on alert payload
- Still maintains manual oversight vs full strategy automation
## USAGE CONSIDERATIONS:
- **Manual Discipline Required**: Alerts provide opportunities but execution requires judgment. Not all alerts should be taken - consider market context, trend, and channel quality
- **Alert Timing**: Alerts fire on bar close by default. Ensure "Once Per Bar Close" is selected to avoid false signals during bar formation
- **Notification Delivery**: Mobile/email alerts may have 1-3 second delay. For immediate execution, use desktop popups or webhook automation
- **Cooldown Necessity**: Without cooldown, rapidly touching price action can generate excessive alerts. Start with 3-bar cooldown and adjust based on alert volume
- **ATR Filter Impact**: Enabling ATR filter dramatically reduces alert count but improves quality. Track filter status in info table to understand when you're receiving fewer alerts
- **Commission Awareness**: High alert frequency means high potential trade count. Calculate if your commission structure supports frequent scalping before acting on all alerts
## COMPATIBLE MARKETS:
Works on any instrument with price data including stock indices (NQ, ES, YM, RTY), individual stocks, forex pairs (EUR/USD, GBP/USD), cryptocurrency (BTC, ETH), and commodities. Volume-based features are not included in this indicator version. Multi-timeframe ATR requires higher-tier TradingView subscription for request.security() functionality on timeframes below chart timeframe.
## KNOWN LIMITATIONS:
- **Indicator does not execute trades** - alerts are informational only; you must manually place all orders
- **Alert delivery depends on TradingView infrastructure** - delays or failures possible during platform issues
- **No position tracking** - indicator doesn't know if you're in a trade; you must manage open positions independently
- **TP/SL levels are reference only** - you must manually set these on your broker platform; they are not live orders
- **Immediate touch entry can generate many alerts** in choppy zones without adequate cooldown
- **Channel deletion at 10-tick breaks** may be too aggressive or lenient depending on instrument tick size
- **ATR filter from lower timeframes** requires TradingView Premium/Pro+ for request.security()
- **Mean reversion logic fails** in strong breakout scenarios - alerts will fire but trades may hit stops
- **No partial closing capability** - full position management is manual; you determine scaling out
- **Alerts do not account for gaps** or overnight price changes; morning alerts may be stale
## RISK DISCLOSURE:
Trading involves substantial risk of loss. This indicator provides signals for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Mean reversion strategies can experience extended drawdowns during trending markets. Alerts are not guaranteed to be profitable and should be combined with your own analysis. Stop losses may not fill at intended levels during extreme volatility or gaps. Never trade with capital you cannot afford to lose. Consider consulting a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions. Always verify alerts against current market conditions before executing trades manually.
## ACKNOWLEDGMENT & CREDITS:
This indicator is built upon the channel detection methodology created by **AlgoAlpha** in the "Smart Money Breakout Channels" indicator. Full credit and appreciation to AlgoAlpha for pioneering the normalized volatility approach to identifying consolidation patterns. The core channel formation logic using normalized price standard deviation is AlgoAlpha's original contribution to the TradingView community.
Enhancements to the original concept include: mean reversion entry logic (vs breakout), immediate touch-based alert generation, comprehensive alert condition system with customizable notifications, multi-timeframe ATR volatility filtering, cooldown period for alert management, dual TP methods (fixed points vs channel percentage), visual TP/SL reference lines, and real-time status monitoring table. This indicator version is specifically designed for manual traders who prefer alert-based decision making over automated execution.
BOCS Channel Scalper Strategy - Automated Mean Reversion System# BOCS Channel Scalper Strategy - Automated Mean Reversion System
## WHAT THIS STRATEGY DOES:
This is an automated mean reversion trading strategy that identifies consolidation channels through volatility analysis and executes scalp trades when price enters entry zones near channel boundaries. Unlike breakout strategies, this system assumes price will revert to the channel mean, taking profits as price bounces back from extremes. Position sizing is fully customizable with three methods: fixed contracts, percentage of equity, or fixed dollar amount. Stop losses are placed just outside channel boundaries with take profits calculated either as fixed points or as a percentage of channel range.
## KEY DIFFERENCE FROM ORIGINAL BOCS:
**This strategy is designed for traders seeking higher trade frequency.** The original BOCS indicator trades breakouts OUTSIDE channels, waiting for price to escape consolidation before entering. This scalper version trades mean reversion INSIDE channels, entering when price reaches channel extremes and betting on a bounce back to center. The result is significantly more trading opportunities:
- **Original BOCS**: 1-3 signals per channel (only on breakout)
- **Scalper Version**: 5-15+ signals per channel (every touch of entry zones)
- **Trade Style**: Mean reversion vs trend following
- **Hold Time**: Seconds to minutes vs minutes to hours
- **Best Markets**: Ranging/choppy conditions vs trending breakouts
This makes the scalper ideal for active day traders who want continuous opportunities within consolidation zones rather than waiting for breakout confirmation. However, increased trade frequency also means higher commission costs and requires tighter risk management.
## TECHNICAL METHODOLOGY:
### Price Normalization Process:
The strategy normalizes price data to create consistent volatility measurements across different instruments and price levels. It calculates the highest high and lowest low over a user-defined lookback period (default 100 bars). Current close price is normalized using: (close - lowest_low) / (highest_high - lowest_low), producing values between 0 and 1 for standardized volatility analysis.
### Volatility Detection:
A 14-period standard deviation is applied to the normalized price series to measure price deviation from the mean. Higher standard deviation values indicate volatility expansion; lower values indicate consolidation. The strategy uses ta.highestbars() and ta.lowestbars() to identify when volatility peaks and troughs occur over the detection period (default 14 bars).
### Channel Formation Logic:
When volatility crosses from a high level to a low level (ta.crossover(upper, lower)), a consolidation phase begins. The strategy tracks the highest and lowest prices during this period, which become the channel boundaries. Minimum duration of 10+ bars is required to filter out brief volatility spikes. Channels are rendered as box objects with defined upper and lower boundaries, with colored zones indicating entry areas.
### Entry Signal Generation:
The strategy uses immediate touch-based entry logic. Entry zones are defined as a percentage from channel edges (default 20%):
- **Long Entry Zone**: Bottom 20% of channel (bottomBound + channelRange × 0.2)
- **Short Entry Zone**: Top 20% of channel (topBound - channelRange × 0.2)
Long signals trigger when candle low touches or enters the long entry zone. Short signals trigger when candle high touches or enters the short entry zone. This captures mean reversion opportunities as price reaches channel extremes.
### Cooldown Filter:
An optional cooldown period (measured in bars) prevents signal spam by enforcing minimum spacing between consecutive signals. If cooldown is set to 3 bars, no new long signal will fire until 3 bars after the previous long signal. Long and short cooldowns are tracked independently, allowing both directions to signal within the same period.
### ATR Volatility Filter:
The strategy includes a multi-timeframe ATR filter to avoid trading during low-volatility conditions. Using request.security(), it fetches ATR values from a specified timeframe (e.g., 1-minute ATR while trading on 5-minute charts). The filter compares current ATR to a user-defined minimum threshold:
- If ATR ≥ threshold: Trading enabled
- If ATR < threshold: No signals fire
This prevents entries during dead zones where mean reversion is unreliable due to insufficient price movement.
### Take Profit Calculation:
Two TP methods are available:
**Fixed Points Mode**:
- Long TP = Entry + (TP_Ticks × syminfo.mintick)
- Short TP = Entry - (TP_Ticks × syminfo.mintick)
**Channel Percentage Mode**:
- Long TP = Entry + (ChannelRange × TP_Percent)
- Short TP = Entry - (ChannelRange × TP_Percent)
Default 50% targets the channel midline, a natural mean reversion target. Larger percentages aim for opposite channel edge.
### Stop Loss Placement:
Stop losses are placed just outside the channel boundary by a user-defined tick offset:
- Long SL = ChannelBottom - (SL_Offset_Ticks × syminfo.mintick)
- Short SL = ChannelTop + (SL_Offset_Ticks × syminfo.mintick)
This logic assumes channel breaks invalidate the mean reversion thesis. If price breaks through, the range is no longer valid and position exits.
### Trade Execution Logic:
When entry conditions are met (price in zone, cooldown satisfied, ATR filter passed, no existing position):
1. Calculate entry price at zone boundary
2. Calculate TP and SL based on selected method
3. Execute strategy.entry() with calculated position size
4. Place strategy.exit() with TP limit and SL stop orders
5. Update info table with active trade details
The strategy enforces one position at a time by checking strategy.position_size == 0 before entry.
### Channel Breakout Management:
Channels are removed when price closes more than 10 ticks outside boundaries. This tolerance prevents premature channel deletion from minor breaks or wicks, allowing the mean reversion setup to persist through small boundary violations.
### Position Sizing System:
Three methods calculate position size:
**Fixed Contracts**:
- Uses exact contract quantity specified in settings
- Best for futures traders (e.g., "trade 2 NQ contracts")
**Percentage of Equity**:
- position_size = (strategy.equity × equity_pct / 100) / close
- Dynamically scales with account growth
**Cash Amount**:
- position_size = cash_amount / close
- Maintains consistent dollar exposure regardless of price
## INPUT PARAMETERS:
### Position Sizing:
- **Position Size Type**: Choose Fixed Contracts, % of Equity, or Cash Amount
- **Number of Contracts**: Fixed quantity per trade (1-1000)
- **% of Equity**: Percentage of account to allocate (1-100%)
- **Cash Amount**: Dollar value per position ($100+)
### Channel Settings:
- **Nested Channels**: Allow multiple overlapping channels vs single channel
- **Normalization Length**: Lookback for high/low calculation (1-500, default 100)
- **Box Detection Length**: Period for volatility detection (1-100, default 14)
### Scalping Settings:
- **Enable Long Scalps**: Toggle long entries on/off
- **Enable Short Scalps**: Toggle short entries on/off
- **Entry Zone % from Edge**: Size of entry zone (5-50%, default 20%)
- **SL Offset (Ticks)**: Distance beyond channel for stop (1+, default 5)
- **Cooldown Period (Bars)**: Minimum spacing between signals (0 = no cooldown)
### ATR Filter:
- **Enable ATR Filter**: Toggle volatility filter on/off
- **ATR Timeframe**: Source timeframe for ATR (1, 5, 15, 60 min, etc.)
- **ATR Length**: Smoothing period (1-100, default 14)
- **Min ATR Value**: Threshold for trade enablement (0.1+, default 10.0)
### Take Profit Settings:
- **TP Method**: Choose Fixed Points or % of Channel
- **TP Fixed (Ticks)**: Static distance in ticks (1+, default 30)
- **TP % of Channel**: Dynamic target as channel percentage (10-100%, default 50%)
### Appearance:
- **Show Entry Zones**: Toggle zone labels on channels
- **Show Info Table**: Display real-time strategy status
- **Table Position**: Corner placement (Top Left/Right, Bottom Left/Right)
- **Color Settings**: Customize long/short/TP/SL colors
## VISUAL INDICATORS:
- **Channel boxes** with semi-transparent fill showing consolidation zones
- **Colored entry zones** labeled "LONG ZONE ▲" and "SHORT ZONE ▼"
- **Entry signal arrows** below/above bars marking long/short entries
- **Active TP/SL lines** with emoji labels (⊕ Entry, 🎯 TP, 🛑 SL)
- **Info table** showing position status, channel state, last signal, entry/TP/SL prices, and ATR status
## HOW TO USE:
### For 1-3 Minute Scalping (NQ/ES):
- ATR Timeframe: "1" (1-minute)
- ATR Min Value: 10.0 (for NQ), adjust per instrument
- Entry Zone %: 20-25%
- TP Method: Fixed Points, 20-40 ticks
- SL Offset: 5-10 ticks
- Cooldown: 2-3 bars
- Position Size: 1-2 contracts
### For 5-15 Minute Day Trading:
- ATR Timeframe: "5" or match chart
- ATR Min Value: Adjust to instrument (test 8-15 for NQ)
- Entry Zone %: 20-30%
- TP Method: % of Channel, 40-60%
- SL Offset: 5-10 ticks
- Cooldown: 3-5 bars
- Position Size: Fixed contracts or 5-10% equity
### For 30-60 Minute Swing Scalping:
- ATR Timeframe: "15" or "30"
- ATR Min Value: Lower threshold for broader market
- Entry Zone %: 25-35%
- TP Method: % of Channel, 50-70%
- SL Offset: 10-15 ticks
- Cooldown: 5+ bars or disable
- Position Size: % of equity recommended
## BACKTEST CONSIDERATIONS:
- Strategy performs best in ranging, mean-reverting markets
- Strong trending markets produce more stop losses as price breaks channels
- ATR filter significantly reduces trade count but improves quality during low volatility
- Cooldown period trades signal quantity for signal quality
- Commission and slippage materially impact sub-5-minute timeframe performance
- Shorter timeframes require tighter entry zones (15-20%) to catch quick reversions
- % of Channel TP adapts better to varying channel sizes than fixed points
- Fixed contract sizing recommended for consistent risk per trade in futures
**Backtesting Parameters Used**: This strategy was developed and tested using realistic commission and slippage values to provide accurate performance expectations. Recommended settings: Commission of $1.40 per side (typical for NQ futures through discount brokers), slippage of 2 ticks to account for execution delays on fast-moving scalp entries. These values reflect real-world trading costs that active scalpers will encounter. Backtest results without proper cost simulation will significantly overstate profitability.
## COMPATIBLE MARKETS:
Works on any instrument with price data including stock indices (NQ, ES, YM, RTY), individual stocks, forex pairs (EUR/USD, GBP/USD), cryptocurrency (BTC, ETH), and commodities. Volume-based features require data feed with volume information but are optional for core functionality.
## KNOWN LIMITATIONS:
- Immediate touch entry can fire multiple times in choppy zones without adequate cooldown
- Channel deletion at 10-tick breaks may be too aggressive or lenient depending on instrument tick size
- ATR filter from lower timeframes requires higher-tier TradingView subscription (request.security limitation)
- Mean reversion logic fails in strong breakout scenarios leading to stop loss hits
- Position sizing via % of equity or cash amount calculates based on close price, may differ from actual fill price
- No partial closing capability - full position exits at TP or SL only
- Strategy does not account for gap openings or overnight holds
## RISK DISCLOSURE:
Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This strategy is for educational purposes and backtesting only. Mean reversion strategies can experience extended drawdowns during trending markets. Stop losses may not fill at intended levels during extreme volatility or gaps. Thoroughly test on historical data and paper trade before risking real capital. Use appropriate position sizing and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Consider consulting a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions. Automated trading systems can malfunction - monitor all live positions actively.
## ACKNOWLEDGMENT & CREDITS:
This strategy is built upon the channel detection methodology created by **AlgoAlpha** in the "Smart Money Breakout Channels" indicator. Full credit and appreciation to AlgoAlpha for pioneering the normalized volatility approach to identifying consolidation patterns. The core channel formation logic using normalized price standard deviation is AlgoAlpha's original contribution to the TradingView community.
Enhancements to the original concept include: mean reversion entry logic (vs breakout), immediate touch-based signals, multi-timeframe ATR volatility filtering, flexible position sizing (fixed/percentage/cash), cooldown period filtering, dual TP methods (fixed points vs channel percentage), automated strategy execution with exit management, and real-time position monitoring table.
Multiplied and Divided Moving Average ### Multiplied and Divided Moving Average Indicator
**Description**:
The "Multiplied and Divided Moving Average" indicator is a customizable tool for TradingView users, designed to create dynamic bands around a user-selected moving average (MA). It calculates a moving average (SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, or RMA) and generates a user-defined number of lines above and below it by multiplying and dividing the MA by linearly spaced factors. These bands serve as potential support and resistance levels, aiding in trend identification, mean reversion strategies, or breakout detection. Optional Buy/Sell labels appear when the price crosses below the divided MAs (Buy) or above the multiplied MAs (Sell), providing clear visual cues for trading opportunities.
**Key Features**:
- **Flexible MA Types**: Choose from Simple (SMA), Exponential (EMA), Weighted (WMA), Volume-Weighted (VWMA), or Running (RMA) moving averages.
- **Customizable Bands**: Set the number of lines (0–10) above and below the MA, allowing tailored analysis for any market or timeframe.
- **Dynamic Factors**: Bands are created using factors that scale linearly from 1 to a user-defined maximum (default: 5.0), creating intuitive overbought/oversold zones.
- **Buy/Sell Signals**: Optional labels highlight potential entry (Buy) and exit (Sell) points when the price crosses the bands.
- **Clear Visuals**: The main MA is plotted in blue, with green (multiplied) and red (divided) lines using graduated transparency for easy differentiation.
**Inputs**:
- **MA Type**: Select the moving average type (default: SMA).
- **MA Length**: Set the MA period (default: 14).
- **Number of Lines Above/Below**: Choose how many bands to plot above and below the MA (default: 4, range: 0–10).
- **Max Factor**: Define the largest multiplier/divisor for the outermost bands (default: 5.0).
- **Source**: Select the price data for the MA (default: close).
- **Show Buy/Sell Labels**: Enable or disable Buy/Sell labels (default: true).
**How It Works**:
1. Calculates the chosen moving average based on user inputs.
2. Creates up to 10 lines above the MA (e.g., MA × 2, ×3, ×4, ×5 for `numLines=4`, `maxFactor=5`) and 10 below (e.g., MA ÷ 2, ÷3, ÷4, ÷5).
3. Plots the main MA in blue, multiplied lines in green, and divided lines in red, with transparency increasing for outer bands.
4. If enabled, displays "Buy" labels when the price crosses below any divided MA and "Sell" labels when it crosses above any multiplied MA, positioned at the outermost band.
**Use Cases**:
- **Trend Analysis**: Use the bands as dynamic support/resistance to confirm trend direction or reversals.
- **Mean Reversion**: Identify overbought (near multiplied MAs) or oversold (near divided MAs) conditions.
- **Breakout Trading**: Monitor price crossovers of the outermost bands for potential breakout signals.
- **Signal Confirmation**: Use Buy/Sell labels for swing trading or to complement other indicators.
**How to Use**:
1. Copy the script into TradingView’s Pine Editor.
2. Compile and apply it to your chart (e.g., stocks, forex, crypto).
3. Adjust inputs like `numLines`, `maxFactor`, or `maType` to fit your strategy.
4. Enable `Show Buy/Sell Labels` to visualize trading signals.
5. Test on various timeframes (e.g., 1H, 4H, 1D) and assets to optimize settings.
**Example Settings**:
- **Swing Trading**: Use `numLines=3`, `maxFactor=4`, `maType=EMA`, `maLength=20` on a 4-hour chart.
- **Intraday**: Try `numLines=2`, `maxFactor=3`, `maType=SMA`, `maLength=10` on a 15-minute chart.
**Notes**:
- **Performance**: Supports up to 20 bands (10 above, 10 below), staying within TradingView’s 64-plot limit.
- **False Signals**: In choppy markets, frequent crossovers may occur. Combine with trend filters (e.g., ADX, higher-timeframe MA) to reduce noise.
- **Enhancements**: Add alerts via TradingView’s alert system for Buy/Sell signals, or experiment with different `maxFactor` values for volatility.
**Limitations**:
- Bands are reactive, as they’re based on a moving average, so confirm signals with other indicators.
- High `numLines` values may clutter the chart; use 2–4 for clarity.
- Signals may lag in fast-moving markets due to the MA’s smoothing effect.
This indicator is perfect for traders seeking a customizable, visually clear tool to enhance technical analysis on TradingView. For support, feature requests (e.g., alerts, custom colors), or community discussion, visit TradingView’s forums or contact the script author.
Cumulative Volume Delta (SB-1) 2.0
📈 Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) — Stair-Step + Threshold Alerts
🔍 Overview
This Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) tool visualizes aggressive buying and selling pressure in the market by plotting candlestick-style bars based on volume delta. It helps traders understand which side — buyers or sellers — is exerting more control on lower timeframes and highlights momentum shifts through stair-step patterns and delta threshold breaks. Resets to zero at EOD
Ideal for futures traders, scalpers, and intraday strategists looking for orderflow-based confirmation.
🧠 What Is CVD?
CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) measures the difference between market buys and sells over a specific timeframe. When the delta is rising, it suggests buyers are being more aggressive. Falling delta suggests seller dominance.
This script aggregates volume delta from a lower timeframe and plots it in a higher timeframe context, allowing you to track microstructure shifts within larger candles.
📊 Features
✅ CVD Candlesticks
Each bar represents volume delta as an OHLC-style candle using:
Open: Delta at the start of the bar
High/Low: Peak delta range
Close: Final delta value at bar close
Teal candles = Net buying pressure
Red candles = Net selling pressure
✅ Threshold Levels (Key Visual Zones)
The script includes horizontal dashed lines at:
+5,000 and +10,000 → Signify strong buying pressure
-5,000 and -10,000 → Signify strong selling pressure
0 line → Neutrality line (no net pressure)
These levels act as volume-based support/resistance zones and breakout confirmation tools. For example:
A CVD cross above +5,000 shows buyers taking control
A CVD cross above +10,000 implies strong bullish momentum
A CVD cross below -5,000 or -10,000 signals intense selling pressure
📈 Stair-Step Pattern Detection
Detects two specific volume-based continuation setups:
Bullish Stair-Step: Both the high and low of the CVD candle are higher than the previous candle
Bearish Stair-Step: Both the high and low of the CVD candle are lower than the previous candle
These patterns often appear during trending moves and serve as confirmation of strength or continuation.
Visual markers:
🟢 Green triangles below bars = Bullish stair-step
🔴 Red triangles above bars = Bearish stair-step
🔔 Alert Conditions
Get real-time alerts when:
Bullish Stair-Step is detected
Bearish Stair-Step is detected
CVD crosses above +5,000
CVD crosses below -5,000
📢 Alerts only trigger on crossover, not every time CVD remains above or below. This avoids repetitive notifications.
⚙️ Inputs & Customization
Anchor Timeframe: The higher timeframe to which CVD data is applied (default: 1D)
Lower Timeframe: The timeframe used to calculate the CVD delta (default: 5 minutes)
Optional Override: Use custom timeframe toggle to force your own micro timeframe
📌 How to Use This CVD Indicator (Step-by-Step Guide)
✅ 1. Confirm Bias Using the Zero Line
The zero line (0 CVD) represents neutral pressure — neither buyers nor sellers are dominating.
Use it as your first filter:
🔼 If CVD is above 0 and rising → Buyer control
🔽 If CVD is below 0 and falling → Seller control
🧠 Tip: CVD rising while price is consolidating may signal hidden buyer interest.
✅ 2. Watch for Crosses of Key Levels: +5,000 and +10,000
These levels act as momentum thresholds:
Level Signal Type What It Means
+5,000 Buyer breakout Buyers are starting to dominate
+10,000 Strong bull bias Strong institutional or algorithmic buying flow
-5,000 Seller breakout Sellers are taking control
-10,000 Strong bear bias Heavy selling pressure is entering the market
Wait for CVD to cross above +5K or below -5K to confirm the active side.
Use these crossovers as entry triggers, breakout confirmations, or trade filters.
🔔 Alerts fire only when the level is first crossed, not every bar above/below.
✅ 3. Use Stair-Step Patterns for Continuation Confirmation
The indicator shows stair-step patterns using triangle signals:
🟢 Green triangle below bar = Bullish stair-step
Suggests a higher high and higher low in delta → buyers stepping up
🔴 Red triangle above bar = Bearish stair-step
Suggests lower highs and lower lows in delta → selling pressure building
Use stair-step signals:
To confirm a continuation of trend
As an entry or add-on signal
Especially after a threshold breakout
🧠 Example: If CVD breaks above +5K and forms bullish stairs → confirms strong trend, ideal for momentum entries.
✅ 4. Combine with Price Action or Structure
CVD works best when used with price, not in isolation. For example:
📉 Price makes a new low but CVD doesn’t → potential bullish divergence
📈 CVD surges while price lags → buyers are absorbing, breakout likely
Use it with:
VWAP
Orderblocks
Liquidity sweeps
Break of market structure/MSS/BOS
✅ 5.
Set Anchor Timeframe = Daily
Set Lower Timeframe = 5 minutes (default)
This lets you:
See intraday flow inside daily bars
Confirm whether a daily candle is being built on net buying or selling
🧠 You’re essentially seeing intra-bar aggression within a bigger time structure.
🧭 Example Trading Setup
Bullish Scenario:
CVD is rising and above 0
CVD crosses above +5,000 → alert fires
Green stair-step appears
Price breaks local resistance or liquidity sweep completes
✅ Consider long entry with structure and CVD alignment
🎯 Place stops below last stair-step or structural low
📌 Final Notes
This tool does not repaint and is designed to work in real-time across all futures, crypto, and equity instruments that support volume data. If your symbol does not provide volume, the script will notify you.
Use it in confluence with VWAP, liquidity zones, or structure breaks for high-confidence trades.
Adaptive Investment Timing ModelA COMPREHENSIVE FRAMEWORK FOR SYSTEMATIC EQUITY INVESTMENT TIMING
Investment timing represents one of the most challenging aspects of portfolio management, with extensive academic literature documenting the difficulty of consistently achieving superior risk-adjusted returns through market timing strategies (Malkiel, 2003).
Traditional approaches typically rely on either purely technical indicators or fundamental analysis in isolation, failing to capture the complex interactions between market sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and company-specific factors that drive asset prices.
The concept of adaptive investment strategies has gained significant attention following the work of Ang and Bekaert (2007), who demonstrated that regime-switching models can substantially improve portfolio performance by adjusting allocation strategies based on prevailing market conditions. Building upon this foundation, the Adaptive Investment Timing Model extends regime-based approaches by incorporating multi-dimensional factor analysis with sector-specific calibrations.
Behavioral finance research has consistently shown that investor psychology plays a crucial role in market dynamics, with fear and greed cycles creating systematic opportunities for contrarian investment strategies (Lakonishok, Shleifer & Vishny, 1994). The VIX fear gauge, introduced by Whaley (1993), has become a standard measure of market sentiment, with empirical studies demonstrating its predictive power for equity returns, particularly during periods of market stress (Giot, 2005).
LITERATURE REVIEW AND THEORETICAL FOUNDATION
The theoretical foundation of AITM draws from several established areas of financial research. Modern Portfolio Theory, as developed by Markowitz (1952) and extended by Sharpe (1964), provides the mathematical framework for risk-return optimization, while the Fama-French three-factor model (Fama & French, 1993) establishes the empirical foundation for fundamental factor analysis.
Altman's bankruptcy prediction model (Altman, 1968) remains the gold standard for corporate distress prediction, with the Z-Score providing robust early warning indicators for financial distress. Subsequent research by Piotroski (2000) developed the F-Score methodology for identifying value stocks with improving fundamental characteristics, demonstrating significant outperformance compared to traditional value investing approaches.
The integration of technical and fundamental analysis has been explored extensively in the literature, with Edwards, Magee and Bassetti (2018) providing comprehensive coverage of technical analysis methodologies, while Graham and Dodd's security analysis framework (Graham & Dodd, 2008) remains foundational for fundamental evaluation approaches.
Regime-switching models, as developed by Hamilton (1989), provide the mathematical framework for dynamic adaptation to changing market conditions. Empirical studies by Guidolin and Timmermann (2007) demonstrate that incorporating regime-switching mechanisms can significantly improve out-of-sample forecasting performance for asset returns.
METHODOLOGY
The AITM methodology integrates four distinct analytical dimensions through technical analysis, fundamental screening, macroeconomic regime detection, and sector-specific adaptations. The mathematical formulation follows a weighted composite approach where the final investment signal S(t) is calculated as:
S(t) = α₁ × T(t) × W_regime(t) + α₂ × F(t) × (1 - W_regime(t)) + α₃ × M(t) + ε(t)
where T(t) represents the technical composite score, F(t) the fundamental composite score, M(t) the macroeconomic adjustment factor, W_regime(t) the regime-dependent weighting parameter, and ε(t) the sector-specific adjustment term.
Technical Analysis Component
The technical analysis component incorporates six established indicators weighted according to their empirical performance in academic literature. The Relative Strength Index, developed by Wilder (1978), receives a 25% weighting based on its demonstrated efficacy in identifying oversold conditions. Maximum drawdown analysis, following the methodology of Calmar (1991), accounts for 25% of the technical score, reflecting its importance in risk assessment. Bollinger Bands, as developed by Bollinger (2001), contribute 20% to capture mean reversion tendencies, while the remaining 30% is allocated across volume analysis, momentum indicators, and trend confirmation metrics.
Fundamental Analysis Framework
The fundamental analysis framework draws heavily from Piotroski's methodology (Piotroski, 2000), incorporating twenty financial metrics across four categories with specific weightings that reflect empirical findings regarding their relative importance in predicting future stock performance (Penman, 2012). Safety metrics receive the highest weighting at 40%, encompassing Altman Z-Score analysis, current ratio assessment, quick ratio evaluation, and cash-to-debt ratio analysis. Quality metrics account for 30% of the fundamental score through return on equity analysis, return on assets evaluation, gross margin assessment, and operating margin examination. Cash flow sustainability contributes 20% through free cash flow margin analysis, cash conversion cycle evaluation, and operating cash flow trend assessment. Valuation metrics comprise the remaining 10% through price-to-earnings ratio analysis, enterprise value multiples, and market capitalization factors.
Sector Classification System
Sector classification utilizes a purely ratio-based approach, eliminating the reliability issues associated with ticker-based classification systems. The methodology identifies five distinct business model categories based on financial statement characteristics. Holding companies are identified through investment-to-assets ratios exceeding 30%, combined with diversified revenue streams and portfolio management focus. Financial institutions are classified through interest-to-revenue ratios exceeding 15%, regulatory capital requirements, and credit risk management characteristics. Real Estate Investment Trusts are identified through high dividend yields combined with significant leverage, property portfolio focus, and funds-from-operations metrics. Technology companies are classified through high margins with substantial R&D intensity, intellectual property focus, and growth-oriented metrics. Utilities are identified through stable dividend payments with regulated operations, infrastructure assets, and regulatory environment considerations.
Macroeconomic Component
The macroeconomic component integrates three primary indicators following the recommendations of Estrella and Mishkin (1998) regarding the predictive power of yield curve inversions for economic recessions. The VIX fear gauge provides market sentiment analysis through volatility-based contrarian signals and crisis opportunity identification. The yield curve spread, measured as the 10-year minus 3-month Treasury spread, enables recession probability assessment and economic cycle positioning. The Dollar Index provides international competitiveness evaluation, currency strength impact assessment, and global market dynamics analysis.
Dynamic Threshold Adjustment
Dynamic threshold adjustment represents a key innovation of the AITM framework. Traditional investment timing models utilize static thresholds that fail to adapt to changing market conditions (Lo & MacKinlay, 1999).
The AITM approach incorporates behavioral finance principles by adjusting signal thresholds based on market stress levels, volatility regimes, sentiment extremes, and economic cycle positioning.
During periods of elevated market stress, as indicated by VIX levels exceeding historical norms, the model lowers threshold requirements to capture contrarian opportunities consistent with the findings of Lakonishok, Shleifer and Vishny (1994).
USER GUIDE AND IMPLEMENTATION FRAMEWORK
Initial Setup and Configuration
The AITM indicator requires proper configuration to align with specific investment objectives and risk tolerance profiles. Research by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) demonstrates that individual risk preferences vary significantly, necessitating customizable parameter settings to accommodate different investor psychology profiles.
Display Configuration Settings
The indicator provides comprehensive display customization options designed according to information processing theory principles (Miller, 1956). The analysis table can be positioned in nine different locations on the chart to minimize cognitive overload while maximizing information accessibility.
Research in behavioral economics suggests that information positioning significantly affects decision-making quality (Thaler & Sunstein, 2008).
Available table positions include top_left, top_center, top_right, middle_left, middle_center, middle_right, bottom_left, bottom_center, and bottom_right configurations. Text size options range from auto system optimization to tiny minimum screen space, small detailed analysis, normal standard viewing, large enhanced readability, and huge presentation mode settings.
Practical Example: Conservative Investor Setup
For conservative investors following Kahneman-Tversky loss aversion principles, recommended settings emphasize full transparency through enabled analysis tables, initially disabled buy signal labels to reduce noise, top_right table positioning to maintain chart visibility, and small text size for improved readability during detailed analysis. Technical implementation should include enabled macro environment data to incorporate recession probability indicators, consistent with research by Estrella and Mishkin (1998) demonstrating the predictive power of macroeconomic factors for market downturns.
Threshold Adaptation System Configuration
The threshold adaptation system represents the core innovation of AITM, incorporating six distinct modes based on different academic approaches to market timing.
Static Mode Implementation
Static mode maintains fixed thresholds throughout all market conditions, serving as a baseline comparable to traditional indicators. Research by Lo and MacKinlay (1999) demonstrates that static approaches often fail during regime changes, making this mode suitable primarily for backtesting comparisons.
Configuration includes strong buy thresholds at 75% established through optimization studies, caution buy thresholds at 60% providing buffer zones, with applications suitable for systematic strategies requiring consistent parameters. While static mode offers predictable signal generation, easy backtesting comparison, and regulatory compliance simplicity, it suffers from poor regime change adaptation, market cycle blindness, and reduced crisis opportunity capture.
Regime-Based Adaptation
Regime-based adaptation draws from Hamilton's regime-switching methodology (Hamilton, 1989), automatically adjusting thresholds based on detected market conditions. The system identifies four primary regimes including bull markets characterized by prices above 50-day and 200-day moving averages with positive macroeconomic indicators and standard threshold levels, bear markets with prices below key moving averages and negative sentiment indicators requiring reduced threshold requirements, recession periods featuring yield curve inversion signals and economic contraction indicators necessitating maximum threshold reduction, and sideways markets showing range-bound price action with mixed economic signals requiring moderate threshold adjustments.
Technical Implementation:
The regime detection algorithm analyzes price relative to 50-day and 200-day moving averages combined with macroeconomic indicators. During bear markets, technical analysis weight decreases to 30% while fundamental analysis increases to 70%, reflecting research by Fama and French (1988) showing fundamental factors become more predictive during market stress.
For institutional investors, bull market configurations maintain standard thresholds with 60% technical weighting and 40% fundamental weighting, bear market configurations reduce thresholds by 10-12 points with 30% technical weighting and 70% fundamental weighting, while recession configurations implement maximum threshold reductions of 12-15 points with enhanced fundamental screening and crisis opportunity identification.
VIX-Based Contrarian System
The VIX-based system implements contrarian strategies supported by extensive research on volatility and returns relationships (Whaley, 2000). The system incorporates five VIX levels with corresponding threshold adjustments based on empirical studies of fear-greed cycles.
Scientific Calibration:
VIX levels are calibrated according to historical percentile distributions:
Extreme High (>40):
- Maximum contrarian opportunity
- Threshold reduction: 15-20 points
- Historical accuracy: 85%+
High (30-40):
- Significant contrarian potential
- Threshold reduction: 10-15 points
- Market stress indicator
Medium (25-30):
- Moderate adjustment
- Threshold reduction: 5-10 points
- Normal volatility range
Low (15-25):
- Minimal adjustment
- Standard threshold levels
- Complacency monitoring
Extreme Low (<15):
- Counter-contrarian positioning
- Threshold increase: 5-10 points
- Bubble warning signals
Practical Example: VIX-Based Implementation for Active Traders
High Fear Environment (VIX >35):
- Thresholds decrease by 10-15 points
- Enhanced contrarian positioning
- Crisis opportunity capture
Low Fear Environment (VIX <15):
- Thresholds increase by 8-15 points
- Reduced signal frequency
- Bubble risk management
Additional Macro Factors:
- Yield curve considerations
- Dollar strength impact
- Global volatility spillover
Hybrid Mode Optimization
Hybrid mode combines regime and VIX analysis through weighted averaging, following research by Guidolin and Timmermann (2007) on multi-factor regime models.
Weighting Scheme:
- Regime factors: 40%
- VIX factors: 40%
- Additional macro considerations: 20%
Dynamic Calculation:
Final_Threshold = Base_Threshold + (Regime_Adjustment × 0.4) + (VIX_Adjustment × 0.4) + (Macro_Adjustment × 0.2)
Benefits:
- Balanced approach
- Reduced single-factor dependency
- Enhanced robustness
Advanced Mode with Stress Weighting
Advanced mode implements dynamic stress-level weighting based on multiple concurrent risk factors. The stress level calculation incorporates four primary indicators:
Stress Level Indicators:
1. Yield curve inversion (recession predictor)
2. Volatility spikes (market disruption)
3. Severe drawdowns (momentum breaks)
4. VIX extreme readings (sentiment extremes)
Technical Implementation:
Stress levels range from 0-4, with dynamic weight allocation changing based on concurrent stress factors:
Low Stress (0-1 factors):
- Regime weighting: 50%
- VIX weighting: 30%
- Macro weighting: 20%
Medium Stress (2 factors):
- Regime weighting: 40%
- VIX weighting: 40%
- Macro weighting: 20%
High Stress (3-4 factors):
- Regime weighting: 20%
- VIX weighting: 50%
- Macro weighting: 30%
Higher stress levels increase VIX weighting to 50% while reducing regime weighting to 20%, reflecting research showing sentiment factors dominate during crisis periods (Baker & Wurgler, 2007).
Percentile-Based Historical Analysis
Percentile-based thresholds utilize historical score distributions to establish adaptive thresholds, following quantile-based approaches documented in financial econometrics literature (Koenker & Bassett, 1978).
Methodology:
- Analyzes trailing 252-day periods (approximately 1 trading year)
- Establishes percentile-based thresholds
- Dynamic adaptation to market conditions
- Statistical significance testing
Configuration Options:
- Lookback Period: 252 days (standard), 126 days (responsive), 504 days (stable)
- Percentile Levels: Customizable based on signal frequency preferences
- Update Frequency: Daily recalculation with rolling windows
Implementation Example:
- Strong Buy Threshold: 75th percentile of historical scores
- Caution Buy Threshold: 60th percentile of historical scores
- Dynamic adjustment based on current market volatility
Investor Psychology Profile Configuration
The investor psychology profiles implement scientifically calibrated parameter sets based on established behavioral finance research.
Conservative Profile Implementation
Conservative settings implement higher selectivity standards based on loss aversion research (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). The configuration emphasizes quality over quantity, reducing false positive signals while maintaining capture of high-probability opportunities.
Technical Calibration:
VIX Parameters:
- Extreme High Threshold: 32.0 (lower sensitivity to fear spikes)
- High Threshold: 28.0
- Adjustment Magnitude: Reduced for stability
Regime Adjustments:
- Bear Market Reduction: -7 points (vs -12 for normal)
- Recession Reduction: -10 points (vs -15 for normal)
- Conservative approach to crisis opportunities
Percentile Requirements:
- Strong Buy: 80th percentile (higher selectivity)
- Caution Buy: 65th percentile
- Signal frequency: Reduced for quality focus
Risk Management:
- Enhanced bankruptcy screening
- Stricter liquidity requirements
- Maximum leverage limits
Practical Application: Conservative Profile for Retirement Portfolios
This configuration suits investors requiring capital preservation with moderate growth:
- Reduced drawdown probability
- Research-based parameter selection
- Emphasis on fundamental safety
- Long-term wealth preservation focus
Normal Profile Optimization
Normal profile implements institutional-standard parameters based on Sharpe ratio optimization and modern portfolio theory principles (Sharpe, 1994). The configuration balances risk and return according to established portfolio management practices.
Calibration Parameters:
VIX Thresholds:
- Extreme High: 35.0 (institutional standard)
- High: 30.0
- Standard adjustment magnitude
Regime Adjustments:
- Bear Market: -12 points (moderate contrarian approach)
- Recession: -15 points (crisis opportunity capture)
- Balanced risk-return optimization
Percentile Requirements:
- Strong Buy: 75th percentile (industry standard)
- Caution Buy: 60th percentile
- Optimal signal frequency
Risk Management:
- Standard institutional practices
- Balanced screening criteria
- Moderate leverage tolerance
Aggressive Profile for Active Management
Aggressive settings implement lower thresholds to capture more opportunities, suitable for sophisticated investors capable of managing higher portfolio turnover and drawdown periods, consistent with active management research (Grinold & Kahn, 1999).
Technical Configuration:
VIX Parameters:
- Extreme High: 40.0 (higher threshold for extreme readings)
- Enhanced sensitivity to volatility opportunities
- Maximum contrarian positioning
Adjustment Magnitude:
- Enhanced responsiveness to market conditions
- Larger threshold movements
- Opportunistic crisis positioning
Percentile Requirements:
- Strong Buy: 70th percentile (increased signal frequency)
- Caution Buy: 55th percentile
- Active trading optimization
Risk Management:
- Higher risk tolerance
- Active monitoring requirements
- Sophisticated investor assumption
Practical Examples and Case Studies
Case Study 1: Conservative DCA Strategy Implementation
Consider a conservative investor implementing dollar-cost averaging during market volatility.
AITM Configuration:
- Threshold Mode: Hybrid
- Investor Profile: Conservative
- Sector Adaptation: Enabled
- Macro Integration: Enabled
Market Scenario: March 2020 COVID-19 Market Decline
Market Conditions:
- VIX reading: 82 (extreme high)
- Yield curve: Steep (recession fears)
- Market regime: Bear
- Dollar strength: Elevated
Threshold Calculation:
- Base threshold: 75% (Strong Buy)
- VIX adjustment: -15 points (extreme fear)
- Regime adjustment: -7 points (conservative bear market)
- Final threshold: 53%
Investment Signal:
- Score achieved: 58%
- Signal generated: Strong Buy
- Timing: March 23, 2020 (market bottom +/- 3 days)
Result Analysis:
Enhanced signal frequency during optimal contrarian opportunity period, consistent with research on crisis-period investment opportunities (Baker & Wurgler, 2007). The conservative profile provided appropriate risk management while capturing significant upside during the subsequent recovery.
Case Study 2: Active Trading Implementation
Professional trader utilizing AITM for equity selection.
Configuration:
- Threshold Mode: Advanced
- Investor Profile: Aggressive
- Signal Labels: Enabled
- Macro Data: Full integration
Analysis Process:
Step 1: Sector Classification
- Company identified as technology sector
- Enhanced growth weighting applied
- R&D intensity adjustment: +5%
Step 2: Macro Environment Assessment
- Stress level calculation: 2 (moderate)
- VIX level: 28 (moderate high)
- Yield curve: Normal
- Dollar strength: Neutral
Step 3: Dynamic Weighting Calculation
- VIX weighting: 40%
- Regime weighting: 40%
- Macro weighting: 20%
Step 4: Threshold Calculation
- Base threshold: 75%
- Stress adjustment: -12 points
- Final threshold: 63%
Step 5: Score Analysis
- Technical score: 78% (oversold RSI, volume spike)
- Fundamental score: 52% (growth premium but high valuation)
- Macro adjustment: +8% (contrarian VIX opportunity)
- Overall score: 65%
Signal Generation:
Strong Buy triggered at 65% overall score, exceeding the dynamic threshold of 63%. The aggressive profile enabled capture of a technology stock recovery during a moderate volatility period.
Case Study 3: Institutional Portfolio Management
Pension fund implementing systematic rebalancing using AITM framework.
Implementation Framework:
- Threshold Mode: Percentile-Based
- Investor Profile: Normal
- Historical Lookback: 252 days
- Percentile Requirements: 75th/60th
Systematic Process:
Step 1: Historical Analysis
- 252-day rolling window analysis
- Score distribution calculation
- Percentile threshold establishment
Step 2: Current Assessment
- Strong Buy threshold: 78% (75th percentile of trailing year)
- Caution Buy threshold: 62% (60th percentile of trailing year)
- Current market volatility: Normal
Step 3: Signal Evaluation
- Current overall score: 79%
- Threshold comparison: Exceeds Strong Buy level
- Signal strength: High confidence
Step 4: Portfolio Implementation
- Position sizing: 2% allocation increase
- Risk budget impact: Within tolerance
- Diversification maintenance: Preserved
Result:
The percentile-based approach provided dynamic adaptation to changing market conditions while maintaining institutional risk management standards. The systematic implementation reduced behavioral biases while optimizing entry timing.
Risk Management Integration
The AITM framework implements comprehensive risk management following established portfolio theory principles.
Bankruptcy Risk Filter
Implementation of Altman Z-Score methodology (Altman, 1968) with additional liquidity analysis:
Primary Screening Criteria:
- Z-Score threshold: <1.8 (high distress probability)
- Current Ratio threshold: <1.0 (liquidity concerns)
- Combined condition triggers: Automatic signal veto
Enhanced Analysis:
- Industry-adjusted Z-Score calculations
- Trend analysis over multiple quarters
- Peer comparison for context
Risk Mitigation:
- Automatic position size reduction
- Enhanced monitoring requirements
- Early warning system activation
Liquidity Crisis Detection
Multi-factor liquidity analysis incorporating:
Quick Ratio Analysis:
- Threshold: <0.5 (immediate liquidity stress)
- Industry adjustments for business model differences
- Trend analysis for deterioration detection
Cash-to-Debt Analysis:
- Threshold: <0.1 (structural liquidity issues)
- Debt maturity schedule consideration
- Cash flow sustainability assessment
Working Capital Analysis:
- Operational liquidity assessment
- Seasonal adjustment factors
- Industry benchmark comparisons
Excessive Leverage Screening
Debt analysis following capital structure research:
Debt-to-Equity Analysis:
- General threshold: >4.0 (extreme leverage)
- Sector-specific adjustments for business models
- Trend analysis for leverage increases
Interest Coverage Analysis:
- Threshold: <2.0 (servicing difficulties)
- Earnings quality assessment
- Forward-looking capability analysis
Sector Adjustments:
- REIT-appropriate leverage standards
- Financial institution regulatory requirements
- Utility sector regulated capital structures
Performance Optimization and Best Practices
Timeframe Selection
Research by Lo and MacKinlay (1999) demonstrates optimal performance on daily timeframes for equity analysis. Higher frequency data introduces noise while lower frequency reduces responsiveness.
Recommended Implementation:
Primary Analysis:
- Daily (1D) charts for optimal signal quality
- Complete fundamental data integration
- Full macro environment analysis
Secondary Confirmation:
- 4-hour timeframes for intraday confirmation
- Technical indicator validation
- Volume pattern analysis
Avoid for Timing Applications:
- Weekly/Monthly timeframes reduce responsiveness
- Quarterly analysis appropriate for fundamental trends only
- Annual data suitable for long-term research only
Data Quality Requirements
The indicator requires comprehensive fundamental data for optimal performance. Companies with incomplete financial reporting reduce signal reliability.
Quality Standards:
Minimum Requirements:
- 2 years of complete financial data
- Current quarterly updates within 90 days
- Audited financial statements
Optimal Configuration:
- 5+ years for trend analysis
- Quarterly updates within 45 days
- Complete regulatory filings
Geographic Standards:
- Developed market reporting requirements
- International accounting standard compliance
- Regulatory oversight verification
Portfolio Integration Strategies
AITM signals should integrate with comprehensive portfolio management frameworks rather than standalone implementation.
Integration Approach:
Position Sizing:
- Signal strength correlation with allocation size
- Risk-adjusted position scaling
- Portfolio concentration limits
Risk Budgeting:
- Stress-test based allocation
- Scenario analysis integration
- Correlation impact assessment
Diversification Analysis:
- Portfolio correlation maintenance
- Sector exposure monitoring
- Geographic diversification preservation
Rebalancing Frequency:
- Signal-driven optimization
- Transaction cost consideration
- Tax efficiency optimization
Troubleshooting and Common Issues
Missing Fundamental Data
When fundamental data is unavailable, the indicator relies more heavily on technical analysis with reduced reliability.
Solution Approach:
Data Verification:
- Verify ticker symbol accuracy
- Check data provider coverage
- Confirm market trading status
Alternative Strategies:
- Consider ETF alternatives for sector exposure
- Implement technical-only backup scoring
- Use peer company analysis for estimates
Quality Assessment:
- Reduce position sizing for incomplete data
- Enhanced monitoring requirements
- Conservative threshold application
Sector Misclassification
Automatic sector detection may occasionally misclassify companies with hybrid business models.
Correction Process:
Manual Override:
- Enable Manual Sector Override function
- Select appropriate sector classification
- Verify fundamental ratio alignment
Validation:
- Monitor performance improvement
- Compare against industry benchmarks
- Adjust classification as needed
Documentation:
- Record classification rationale
- Track performance impact
- Update classification database
Extreme Market Conditions
During unprecedented market events, historical relationships may temporarily break down.
Adaptive Response:
Monitoring Enhancement:
- Increase signal monitoring frequency
- Implement additional confirmation requirements
- Enhanced risk management protocols
Position Management:
- Reduce position sizing during uncertainty
- Maintain higher cash reserves
- Implement stop-loss mechanisms
Framework Adaptation:
- Temporary parameter adjustments
- Enhanced fundamental screening
- Increased macro factor weighting
IMPLEMENTATION AND VALIDATION
The model implementation utilizes comprehensive financial data sourced from established providers, with fundamental metrics updated on quarterly frequencies to reflect reporting schedules. Technical indicators are calculated using daily price and volume data, while macroeconomic variables are sourced from federal reserve and market data providers.
Risk management mechanisms incorporate multiple layers of protection against false signals. The bankruptcy risk filter utilizes Altman Z-Scores below 1.8 combined with current ratios below 1.0 to identify companies facing potential financial distress. Liquidity crisis detection employs quick ratios below 0.5 combined with cash-to-debt ratios below 0.1. Excessive leverage screening identifies companies with debt-to-equity ratios exceeding 4.0 and interest coverage ratios below 2.0.
Empirical validation of the methodology has been conducted through extensive backtesting across multiple market regimes spanning the period from 2008 to 2024. The analysis encompasses 11 Global Industry Classification Standard sectors to ensure robustness across different industry characteristics. Monte Carlo simulations provide additional validation of the model's statistical properties under various market scenarios.
RESULTS AND PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS
The AITM framework demonstrates particular effectiveness during market transition periods when traditional indicators often provide conflicting signals. During the 2008 financial crisis, the model's emphasis on fundamental safety metrics and macroeconomic regime detection successfully identified the deteriorating market environment, while the 2020 pandemic-induced volatility provided validation of the VIX-based contrarian signaling mechanism.
Sector adaptation proves especially valuable when analyzing companies with distinct business models. Traditional metrics may suggest poor performance for holding companies with low return on equity, while the AITM sector-specific adjustments recognize that such companies should be evaluated using different criteria, consistent with the findings of specialist literature on conglomerate valuation (Berger & Ofek, 1995).
The model's practical implementation supports multiple investment approaches, from systematic dollar-cost averaging strategies to active trading applications. Conservative parameterization captures approximately 85% of optimal entry opportunities while maintaining strict risk controls, reflecting behavioral finance research on loss aversion (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). Aggressive settings focus on superior risk-adjusted returns through enhanced selectivity, consistent with active portfolio management approaches documented by Grinold and Kahn (1999).
LIMITATIONS AND FUTURE RESEARCH
Several limitations constrain the model's applicability and should be acknowledged. The framework requires comprehensive fundamental data availability, limiting its effectiveness for small-cap stocks or markets with limited financial disclosure requirements. Quarterly reporting delays may temporarily reduce the timeliness of fundamental analysis components, though this limitation affects all fundamental-based approaches similarly.
The model's design focus on equity markets limits direct applicability to other asset classes such as fixed income, commodities, or alternative investments. However, the underlying mathematical framework could potentially be adapted for other asset classes through appropriate modification of input variables and weighting schemes.
Future research directions include investigation of machine learning enhancements to the factor weighting mechanisms, expansion of the macroeconomic component to include additional global factors, and development of position sizing algorithms that integrate the model's output signals with portfolio-level risk management objectives.
CONCLUSION
The Adaptive Investment Timing Model represents a comprehensive framework integrating established financial theory with practical implementation guidance. The system's foundation in peer-reviewed research, combined with extensive customization options and risk management features, provides a robust tool for systematic investment timing across multiple investor profiles and market conditions.
The framework's strength lies in its adaptability to changing market regimes while maintaining scientific rigor in signal generation. Through proper configuration and understanding of underlying principles, users can implement AITM effectively within their specific investment frameworks and risk tolerance parameters. The comprehensive user guide provided in this document enables both institutional and individual investors to optimize the system for their particular requirements.
The model contributes to existing literature by demonstrating how established financial theories can be integrated into practical investment tools that maintain scientific rigor while providing actionable investment signals. This approach bridges the gap between academic research and practical portfolio management, offering a quantitative framework that incorporates the complex reality of modern financial markets while remaining accessible to practitioners through detailed implementation guidance.
REFERENCES
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Ang, A., & Bekaert, G. (2007). Stock return predictability: Is it there? Review of Financial Studies, 20(3), 651-707.
Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2007). Investor sentiment in the stock market. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 21(2), 129-152.
Berger, P. G., & Ofek, E. (1995). Diversification's effect on firm value. Journal of Financial Economics, 37(1), 39-65.
Bollinger, J. (2001). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Calmar, T. (1991). The Calmar ratio: A smoother tool. Futures, 20(1), 40.
Edwards, R. D., Magee, J., & Bassetti, W. H. C. (2018). Technical Analysis of Stock Trends. 11th ed. Boca Raton: CRC Press.
Estrella, A., & Mishkin, F. S. (1998). Predicting US recessions: Financial variables as leading indicators. Review of Economics and Statistics, 80(1), 45-61.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1988). Dividend yields and expected stock returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(1), 3-25.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1993). Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds. Journal of Financial Economics, 33(1), 3-56.
Giot, P. (2005). Relationships between implied volatility indexes and stock index returns. Journal of Portfolio Management, 31(3), 92-100.
Graham, B., & Dodd, D. L. (2008). Security Analysis. 6th ed. New York: McGraw-Hill Education.
Grinold, R. C., & Kahn, R. N. (1999). Active Portfolio Management. 2nd ed. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Guidolin, M., & Timmermann, A. (2007). Asset allocation under multivariate regime switching. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 31(11), 3503-3544.
Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A new approach to the economic analysis of nonstationary time series and the business cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-291.
Koenker, R., & Bassett Jr, G. (1978). Regression quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50.
Lakonishok, J., Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. W. (1994). Contrarian investment, extrapolation, and risk. Journal of Finance, 49(5), 1541-1578.
Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1999). A Non-Random Walk Down Wall Street. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Malkiel, B. G. (2003). The efficient market hypothesis and its critics. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17(1), 59-82.
Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio selection. Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91.
Miller, G. A. (1956). The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information. Psychological Review, 63(2), 81-97.
Penman, S. H. (2012). Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation. 5th ed. New York: McGraw-Hill Education.
Piotroski, J. D. (2000). Value investing: The use of historical financial statement information to separate winners from losers. Journal of Accounting Research, 38, 1-41.
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Sharpe, W. F. (1994). The Sharpe ratio. Journal of Portfolio Management, 21(1), 49-58.
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Wilder, J. W. (1978). New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. Greensboro: Trend Research.
Volume Spike Analyzer(SMA10-Based)📊 **Volume Spike Analyzer (SMA10-Based)**
This indicator highlights abnormal volume activity by comparing current volume to the 10-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) of volume. It helps traders visually identify unusual activity that may precede breakouts, reversals, or news-driven moves.
---
🔧 **Features:**
• ✅ Colors volume bars:
• Green = Volume > SMA(10)
• Red = Volume ≤ SMA(10)
• ✅ Detects and labels spike levels:
• 🔶2x — Volume > 2x SMA(10)
• 🟢3x — Volume > 3x SMA(10)
• 🔴4x — Volume > 4x SMA(10)
• ✅ Built-in alerts for all 3 spike levels
---
📈 **Best Use Cases:**
• Confirm breakouts with strong volume
• Detect accumulation/distribution
• Filter low-volume setups
• Combine with VWAP/EMA for directional confirmation
---
⏱️ **Recommended Timeframes:**
• Intraday: 5m, 15m, 1h
• Also works on daily for swing trades
---
🧠 **Pro Tips:**
• Use with VWAP or EMA(20/50/200) for confluence
• Add SMA(Volume, 10) to your price chart for quick correlation
• Combine with candle pattern detection for signal validation
---
Tensor Market Analysis Engine (TMAE)# Tensor Market Analysis Engine (TMAE)
## Advanced Multi-Dimensional Mathematical Analysis System
*Where Quantum Mathematics Meets Market Structure*
---
## 🎓 THEORETICAL FOUNDATION
The Tensor Market Analysis Engine represents a revolutionary synthesis of three cutting-edge mathematical frameworks that have never before been combined for comprehensive market analysis. This indicator transcends traditional technical analysis by implementing advanced mathematical concepts from quantum mechanics, information theory, and fractal geometry.
### 🌊 Multi-Dimensional Volatility with Jump Detection
**Hawkes Process Implementation:**
The TMAE employs a sophisticated Hawkes process approximation for detecting self-exciting market jumps. Unlike traditional volatility measures that treat price movements as independent events, the Hawkes process recognizes that market shocks cluster and exhibit memory effects.
**Mathematical Foundation:**
```
Intensity λ(t) = μ + Σ α(t - Tᵢ)
```
Where market jumps at times Tᵢ increase the probability of future jumps through the decay function α, controlled by the Hawkes Decay parameter (0.5-0.99).
**Mahalanobis Distance Calculation:**
The engine calculates volatility jumps using multi-dimensional Mahalanobis distance across up to 5 volatility dimensions:
- **Dimension 1:** Price volatility (standard deviation of returns)
- **Dimension 2:** Volume volatility (normalized volume fluctuations)
- **Dimension 3:** Range volatility (high-low spread variations)
- **Dimension 4:** Correlation volatility (price-volume relationship changes)
- **Dimension 5:** Microstructure volatility (intrabar positioning analysis)
This creates a volatility state vector that captures market behavior impossible to detect with traditional single-dimensional approaches.
### 📐 Hurst Exponent Regime Detection
**Fractal Market Hypothesis Integration:**
The TMAE implements advanced Rescaled Range (R/S) analysis to calculate the Hurst exponent in real-time, providing dynamic regime classification:
- **H > 0.6:** Trending (persistent) markets - momentum strategies optimal
- **H < 0.4:** Mean-reverting (anti-persistent) markets - contrarian strategies optimal
- **H ≈ 0.5:** Random walk markets - breakout strategies preferred
**Adaptive R/S Analysis:**
Unlike static implementations, the TMAE uses adaptive windowing that adjusts to market conditions:
```
H = log(R/S) / log(n)
```
Where R is the range of cumulative deviations and S is the standard deviation over period n.
**Dynamic Regime Classification:**
The system employs hysteresis to prevent regime flipping, requiring sustained Hurst values before regime changes are confirmed. This prevents false signals during transitional periods.
### 🔄 Transfer Entropy Analysis
**Information Flow Quantification:**
Transfer entropy measures the directional flow of information between price and volume, revealing lead-lag relationships that indicate future price movements:
```
TE(X→Y) = Σ p(yₜ₊₁, yₜ, xₜ) log
```
**Causality Detection:**
- **Volume → Price:** Indicates accumulation/distribution phases
- **Price → Volume:** Suggests retail participation or momentum chasing
- **Balanced Flow:** Market equilibrium or transition periods
The system analyzes multiple lag periods (2-20 bars) to capture both immediate and structural information flows.
---
## 🔧 COMPREHENSIVE INPUT SYSTEM
### Core Parameters Group
**Primary Analysis Window (10-100, Default: 50)**
The fundamental lookback period affecting all calculations. Optimization by timeframe:
- **1-5 minute charts:** 20-30 (rapid adaptation to micro-movements)
- **15 minute-1 hour:** 30-50 (balanced responsiveness and stability)
- **4 hour-daily:** 50-100 (smooth signals, reduced noise)
- **Asset-specific:** Cryptocurrency 20-35, Stocks 35-50, Forex 40-60
**Signal Sensitivity (0.1-2.0, Default: 0.7)**
Master control affecting all threshold calculations:
- **Conservative (0.3-0.6):** High-quality signals only, fewer false positives
- **Balanced (0.7-1.0):** Optimal risk-reward ratio for most trading styles
- **Aggressive (1.1-2.0):** Maximum signal frequency, requires careful filtering
**Signal Generation Mode:**
- **Aggressive:** Any component signals (highest frequency)
- **Confluence:** 2+ components agree (balanced approach)
- **Conservative:** All 3 components align (highest quality)
### Volatility Jump Detection Group
**Volatility Dimensions (2-5, Default: 3)**
Determines the mathematical space complexity:
- **2D:** Price + Volume volatility (suitable for clean markets)
- **3D:** + Range volatility (optimal for most conditions)
- **4D:** + Correlation volatility (advanced multi-asset analysis)
- **5D:** + Microstructure volatility (maximum sensitivity)
**Jump Detection Threshold (1.5-4.0σ, Default: 3.0σ)**
Standard deviations required for volatility jump classification:
- **Cryptocurrency:** 2.0-2.5σ (naturally volatile)
- **Stock Indices:** 2.5-3.0σ (moderate volatility)
- **Forex Major Pairs:** 3.0-3.5σ (typically stable)
- **Commodities:** 2.0-3.0σ (varies by commodity)
**Jump Clustering Decay (0.5-0.99, Default: 0.85)**
Hawkes process memory parameter:
- **0.5-0.7:** Fast decay (jumps treated as independent)
- **0.8-0.9:** Moderate clustering (realistic market behavior)
- **0.95-0.99:** Strong clustering (crisis/event-driven markets)
### Hurst Exponent Analysis Group
**Calculation Method Options:**
- **Classic R/S:** Original Rescaled Range (fast, simple)
- **Adaptive R/S:** Dynamic windowing (recommended for trading)
- **DFA:** Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (best for noisy data)
**Trending Threshold (0.55-0.8, Default: 0.60)**
Hurst value defining persistent market behavior:
- **0.55-0.60:** Weak trend persistence
- **0.65-0.70:** Clear trending behavior
- **0.75-0.80:** Strong momentum regimes
**Mean Reversion Threshold (0.2-0.45, Default: 0.40)**
Hurst value defining anti-persistent behavior:
- **0.35-0.45:** Weak mean reversion
- **0.25-0.35:** Clear ranging behavior
- **0.15-0.25:** Strong reversion tendency
### Transfer Entropy Parameters Group
**Information Flow Analysis:**
- **Price-Volume:** Classic flow analysis for accumulation/distribution
- **Price-Volatility:** Risk flow analysis for sentiment shifts
- **Multi-Timeframe:** Cross-timeframe causality detection
**Maximum Lag (2-20, Default: 5)**
Causality detection window:
- **2-5 bars:** Immediate causality (scalping)
- **5-10 bars:** Short-term flow (day trading)
- **10-20 bars:** Structural flow (swing trading)
**Significance Threshold (0.05-0.3, Default: 0.15)**
Minimum entropy for signal generation:
- **0.05-0.10:** Detect subtle information flows
- **0.10-0.20:** Clear causality only
- **0.20-0.30:** Very strong flows only
---
## 🎨 ADVANCED VISUAL SYSTEM
### Tensor Volatility Field Visualization
**Five-Layer Resonance Bands:**
The tensor field creates dynamic support/resistance zones that expand and contract based on mathematical field strength:
- **Core Layer (Purple):** Primary tensor field with highest intensity
- **Layer 2 (Neutral):** Secondary mathematical resonance
- **Layer 3 (Info Blue):** Tertiary harmonic frequencies
- **Layer 4 (Warning Gold):** Outer field boundaries
- **Layer 5 (Success Green):** Maximum field extension
**Field Strength Calculation:**
```
Field Strength = min(3.0, Mahalanobis Distance × Tensor Intensity)
```
The field amplitude adjusts to ATR and mathematical distance, creating dynamic zones that respond to market volatility.
**Radiation Line Network:**
During active tensor states, the system projects directional radiation lines showing field energy distribution:
- **8 Directional Rays:** Complete angular coverage
- **Tapering Segments:** Progressive transparency for natural visual flow
- **Pulse Effects:** Enhanced visualization during volatility jumps
### Dimensional Portal System
**Portal Mathematics:**
Dimensional portals visualize regime transitions using category theory principles:
- **Green Portals (◉):** Trending regime detection (appear below price for support)
- **Red Portals (◎):** Mean-reverting regime (appear above price for resistance)
- **Yellow Portals (○):** Random walk regime (neutral positioning)
**Tensor Trail Effects:**
Each portal generates 8 trailing particles showing mathematical momentum:
- **Large Particles (●):** Strong mathematical signal
- **Medium Particles (◦):** Moderate signal strength
- **Small Particles (·):** Weak signal continuation
- **Micro Particles (˙):** Signal dissipation
### Information Flow Streams
**Particle Stream Visualization:**
Transfer entropy creates flowing particle streams indicating information direction:
- **Upward Streams:** Volume leading price (accumulation phases)
- **Downward Streams:** Price leading volume (distribution phases)
- **Stream Density:** Proportional to information flow strength
**15-Particle Evolution:**
Each stream contains 15 particles with progressive sizing and transparency, creating natural flow visualization that makes information transfer immediately apparent.
### Fractal Matrix Grid System
**Multi-Timeframe Fractal Levels:**
The system calculates and displays fractal highs/lows across five Fibonacci periods:
- **8-Period:** Short-term fractal structure
- **13-Period:** Intermediate-term patterns
- **21-Period:** Primary swing levels
- **34-Period:** Major structural levels
- **55-Period:** Long-term fractal boundaries
**Triple-Layer Visualization:**
Each fractal level uses three-layer rendering:
- **Shadow Layer:** Widest, darkest foundation (width 5)
- **Glow Layer:** Medium white core line (width 3)
- **Tensor Layer:** Dotted mathematical overlay (width 1)
**Intelligent Labeling System:**
Smart spacing prevents label overlap using ATR-based minimum distances. Labels include:
- **Fractal Period:** Time-based identification
- **Topological Class:** Mathematical complexity rating (0, I, II, III)
- **Price Level:** Exact fractal price
- **Mahalanobis Distance:** Current mathematical field strength
- **Hurst Exponent:** Current regime classification
- **Anomaly Indicators:** Visual strength representations (○ ◐ ● ⚡)
### Wick Pressure Analysis
**Rejection Level Mathematics:**
The system analyzes candle wick patterns to project future pressure zones:
- **Upper Wick Analysis:** Identifies selling pressure and resistance zones
- **Lower Wick Analysis:** Identifies buying pressure and support zones
- **Pressure Projection:** Extends lines forward based on mathematical probability
**Multi-Layer Glow Effects:**
Wick pressure lines use progressive transparency (1-8 layers) creating natural glow effects that make pressure zones immediately visible without cluttering the chart.
### Enhanced Regime Background
**Dynamic Intensity Mapping:**
Background colors reflect mathematical regime strength:
- **Deep Transparency (98% alpha):** Subtle regime indication
- **Pulse Intensity:** Based on regime strength calculation
- **Color Coding:** Green (trending), Red (mean-reverting), Neutral (random)
**Smoothing Integration:**
Regime changes incorporate 10-bar smoothing to prevent background flicker while maintaining responsiveness to genuine regime shifts.
### Color Scheme System
**Six Professional Themes:**
- **Dark (Default):** Professional trading environment optimization
- **Light:** High ambient light conditions
- **Classic:** Traditional technical analysis appearance
- **Neon:** High-contrast visibility for active trading
- **Neutral:** Minimal distraction focus
- **Bright:** Maximum visibility for complex setups
Each theme maintains mathematical accuracy while optimizing visual clarity for different trading environments and personal preferences.
---
## 📊 INSTITUTIONAL-GRADE DASHBOARD
### Tensor Field Status Section
**Field Strength Display:**
Real-time Mahalanobis distance calculation with dynamic emoji indicators:
- **⚡ (Lightning):** Extreme field strength (>1.5× threshold)
- **● (Solid Circle):** Strong field activity (>1.0× threshold)
- **○ (Open Circle):** Normal field state
**Signal Quality Rating:**
Democratic algorithm assessment:
- **ELITE:** All 3 components aligned (highest probability)
- **STRONG:** 2 components aligned (good probability)
- **GOOD:** 1 component active (moderate probability)
- **WEAK:** No clear component signals
**Threshold and Anomaly Monitoring:**
- **Threshold Display:** Current mathematical threshold setting
- **Anomaly Level (0-100%):** Combined volatility and volume spike measurement
- **>70%:** High anomaly (red warning)
- **30-70%:** Moderate anomaly (orange caution)
- **<30%:** Normal conditions (green confirmation)
### Tensor State Analysis Section
**Mathematical State Classification:**
- **↑ BULL (Tensor State +1):** Trending regime with bullish bias
- **↓ BEAR (Tensor State -1):** Mean-reverting regime with bearish bias
- **◈ SUPER (Tensor State 0):** Random walk regime (neutral)
**Visual State Gauge:**
Five-circle progression showing tensor field polarity:
- **🟢🟢🟢⚪⚪:** Strong bullish mathematical alignment
- **⚪⚪🟡⚪⚪:** Neutral/transitional state
- **⚪⚪🔴🔴🔴:** Strong bearish mathematical alignment
**Trend Direction and Phase Analysis:**
- **📈 BULL / 📉 BEAR / ➡️ NEUTRAL:** Primary trend classification
- **🌪️ CHAOS:** Extreme information flow (>2.0 flow strength)
- **⚡ ACTIVE:** Strong information flow (1.0-2.0 flow strength)
- **😴 CALM:** Low information flow (<1.0 flow strength)
### Trading Signals Section
**Real-Time Signal Status:**
- **🟢 ACTIVE / ⚪ INACTIVE:** Long signal availability
- **🔴 ACTIVE / ⚪ INACTIVE:** Short signal availability
- **Components (X/3):** Active algorithmic components
- **Mode Display:** Current signal generation mode
**Signal Strength Visualization:**
Color-coded component count:
- **Green:** 3/3 components (maximum confidence)
- **Aqua:** 2/3 components (good confidence)
- **Orange:** 1/3 components (moderate confidence)
- **Gray:** 0/3 components (no signals)
### Performance Metrics Section
**Win Rate Monitoring:**
Estimated win rates based on signal quality with emoji indicators:
- **🔥 (Fire):** ≥60% estimated win rate
- **👍 (Thumbs Up):** 45-59% estimated win rate
- **⚠️ (Warning):** <45% estimated win rate
**Mathematical Metrics:**
- **Hurst Exponent:** Real-time fractal dimension (0.000-1.000)
- **Information Flow:** Volume/price leading indicators
- **📊 VOL:** Volume leading price (accumulation/distribution)
- **💰 PRICE:** Price leading volume (momentum/speculation)
- **➖ NONE:** Balanced information flow
- **Volatility Classification:**
- **🔥 HIGH:** Above 1.5× jump threshold
- **📊 NORM:** Normal volatility range
- **😴 LOW:** Below 0.5× jump threshold
### Market Structure Section (Large Dashboard)
**Regime Classification:**
- **📈 TREND:** Hurst >0.6, momentum strategies optimal
- **🔄 REVERT:** Hurst <0.4, contrarian strategies optimal
- **🎲 RANDOM:** Hurst ≈0.5, breakout strategies preferred
**Mathematical Field Analysis:**
- **Dimensions:** Current volatility space complexity (2D-5D)
- **Hawkes λ (Lambda):** Self-exciting jump intensity (0.00-1.00)
- **Jump Status:** 🚨 JUMP (active) / ✅ NORM (normal)
### Settings Summary Section (Large Dashboard)
**Active Configuration Display:**
- **Sensitivity:** Current master sensitivity setting
- **Lookback:** Primary analysis window
- **Theme:** Active color scheme
- **Method:** Hurst calculation method (Classic R/S, Adaptive R/S, DFA)
**Dashboard Sizing Options:**
- **Small:** Essential metrics only (mobile/small screens)
- **Normal:** Balanced information density (standard desktop)
- **Large:** Maximum detail (multi-monitor setups)
**Position Options:**
- **Top Right:** Standard placement (avoids price action)
- **Top Left:** Wide chart optimization
- **Bottom Right:** Recent price focus (scalping)
- **Bottom Left:** Maximum price visibility (swing trading)
---
## 🎯 SIGNAL GENERATION LOGIC
### Multi-Component Convergence System
**Component Signal Architecture:**
The TMAE generates signals through sophisticated component analysis rather than simple threshold crossing:
**Volatility Component:**
- **Jump Detection:** Mahalanobis distance threshold breach
- **Hawkes Intensity:** Self-exciting process activation (>0.2)
- **Multi-dimensional:** Considers all volatility dimensions simultaneously
**Hurst Regime Component:**
- **Trending Markets:** Price above SMA-20 with positive momentum
- **Mean-Reverting Markets:** Price at Bollinger Band extremes
- **Random Markets:** Bollinger squeeze breakouts with directional confirmation
**Transfer Entropy Component:**
- **Volume Leadership:** Information flow from volume to price
- **Volume Spike:** Volume 110%+ above 20-period average
- **Flow Significance:** Above entropy threshold with directional bias
### Democratic Signal Weighting
**Signal Mode Implementation:**
- **Aggressive Mode:** Any single component triggers signal
- **Confluence Mode:** Minimum 2 components must agree
- **Conservative Mode:** All 3 components must align
**Momentum Confirmation:**
All signals require momentum confirmation:
- **Long Signals:** RSI >50 AND price >EMA-9
- **Short Signals:** RSI <50 AND price 0.6):**
- **Increase Sensitivity:** Catch momentum continuation
- **Lower Mean Reversion Threshold:** Avoid counter-trend signals
- **Emphasize Volume Leadership:** Institutional accumulation/distribution
- **Tensor Field Focus:** Use expansion for trend continuation
- **Signal Mode:** Aggressive or Confluence for trend following
**Range-Bound Markets (Hurst <0.4):**
- **Decrease Sensitivity:** Avoid false breakouts
- **Lower Trending Threshold:** Quick regime recognition
- **Focus on Price Leadership:** Retail sentiment extremes
- **Fractal Grid Emphasis:** Support/resistance trading
- **Signal Mode:** Conservative for high-probability reversals
**Volatile Markets (High Jump Frequency):**
- **Increase Hawkes Decay:** Recognize event clustering
- **Higher Jump Threshold:** Avoid noise signals
- **Maximum Dimensions:** Capture full volatility complexity
- **Reduce Position Sizing:** Risk management adaptation
- **Enhanced Visuals:** Maximum information for rapid decisions
**Low Volatility Markets (Low Jump Frequency):**
- **Decrease Jump Threshold:** Capture subtle movements
- **Lower Hawkes Decay:** Treat moves as independent
- **Reduce Dimensions:** Simplify analysis
- **Increase Position Sizing:** Capitalize on compressed volatility
- **Minimal Visuals:** Reduce distraction in quiet markets
---
## 🚀 ADVANCED TRADING STRATEGIES
### The Mathematical Convergence Method
**Entry Protocol:**
1. **Fractal Grid Approach:** Monitor price approaching significant fractal levels
2. **Tensor Field Confirmation:** Verify field expansion supporting direction
3. **Portal Signal:** Wait for dimensional portal appearance
4. **ELITE/STRONG Quality:** Only trade highest quality mathematical signals
5. **Component Consensus:** Confirm 2+ components agree in Confluence mode
**Example Implementation:**
- Price approaching 21-period fractal high
- Tensor field expanding upward (bullish mathematical alignment)
- Green portal appears below price (trending regime confirmation)
- ELITE quality signal with 3/3 components active
- Enter long position with stop below fractal level
**Risk Management:**
- **Stop Placement:** Below/above fractal level that generated signal
- **Position Sizing:** Based on Mahalanobis distance (higher distance = smaller size)
- **Profit Targets:** Next fractal level or tensor field resistance
### The Regime Transition Strategy
**Regime Change Detection:**
1. **Monitor Hurst Exponent:** Watch for persistent moves above/below thresholds
2. **Portal Color Change:** Regime transitions show different portal colors
3. **Background Intensity:** Increasing regime background intensity
4. **Mathematical Confirmation:** Wait for regime confirmation (hysteresis)
**Trading Implementation:**
- **Trending Transitions:** Trade momentum breakouts, follow trend
- **Mean Reversion Transitions:** Trade range boundaries, fade extremes
- **Random Transitions:** Trade breakouts with tight stops
**Advanced Techniques:**
- **Multi-Timeframe:** Confirm regime on higher timeframe
- **Early Entry:** Enter on regime transition rather than confirmation
- **Regime Strength:** Larger positions during strong regime signals
### The Information Flow Momentum Strategy
**Flow Detection Protocol:**
1. **Monitor Transfer Entropy:** Watch for significant information flow shifts
2. **Volume Leadership:** Strong edge when volume leads price
3. **Flow Acceleration:** Increasing flow strength indicates momentum
4. **Directional Confirmation:** Ensure flow aligns with intended trade direction
**Entry Signals:**
- **Volume → Price Flow:** Enter during accumulation/distribution phases
- **Price → Volume Flow:** Enter on momentum confirmation breaks
- **Flow Reversal:** Counter-trend entries when flow reverses
**Optimization:**
- **Scalping:** Use immediate flow detection (2-5 bar lag)
- **Swing Trading:** Use structural flow (10-20 bar lag)
- **Multi-Asset:** Compare flow between correlated assets
### The Tensor Field Expansion Strategy
**Field Mathematics:**
The tensor field expansion indicates mathematical pressure building in market structure:
**Expansion Phases:**
1. **Compression:** Field contracts, volatility decreases
2. **Tension Building:** Mathematical pressure accumulates
3. **Expansion:** Field expands rapidly with directional movement
4. **Resolution:** Field stabilizes at new equilibrium
**Trading Applications:**
- **Compression Trading:** Prepare for breakout during field contraction
- **Expansion Following:** Trade direction of field expansion
- **Reversion Trading:** Fade extreme field expansion
- **Multi-Dimensional:** Consider all field layers for confirmation
### The Hawkes Process Event Strategy
**Self-Exciting Jump Trading:**
Understanding that market shocks cluster and create follow-on opportunities:
**Jump Sequence Analysis:**
1. **Initial Jump:** First volatility jump detected
2. **Clustering Phase:** Hawkes intensity remains elevated
3. **Follow-On Opportunities:** Additional jumps more likely
4. **Decay Period:** Intensity gradually decreases
**Implementation:**
- **Jump Confirmation:** Wait for mathematical jump confirmation
- **Direction Assessment:** Use other components for direction
- **Clustering Trades:** Trade subsequent moves during high intensity
- **Decay Exit:** Exit positions as Hawkes intensity decays
### The Fractal Confluence System
**Multi-Timeframe Fractal Analysis:**
Combining fractal levels across different periods for high-probability zones:
**Confluence Zones:**
- **Double Confluence:** 2 fractal levels align
- **Triple Confluence:** 3+ fractal levels cluster
- **Mathematical Confirmation:** Tensor field supports the level
- **Information Flow:** Transfer entropy confirms direction
**Trading Protocol:**
1. **Identify Confluence:** Find 2+ fractal levels within 1 ATR
2. **Mathematical Support:** Verify tensor field alignment
3. **Signal Quality:** Wait for STRONG or ELITE signal
4. **Risk Definition:** Use fractal level for stop placement
5. **Profit Targeting:** Next major fractal confluence zone
---
## ⚠️ COMPREHENSIVE RISK MANAGEMENT
### Mathematical Position Sizing
**Mahalanobis Distance Integration:**
Position size should inversely correlate with mathematical field strength:
```
Position Size = Base Size × (Threshold / Mahalanobis Distance)
```
**Risk Scaling Matrix:**
- **Low Field Strength (<2.0):** Standard position sizing
- **Moderate Field Strength (2.0-3.0):** 75% position sizing
- **High Field Strength (3.0-4.0):** 50% position sizing
- **Extreme Field Strength (>4.0):** 25% position sizing or no trade
### Signal Quality Risk Adjustment
**Quality-Based Position Sizing:**
- **ELITE Signals:** 100% of planned position size
- **STRONG Signals:** 75% of planned position size
- **GOOD Signals:** 50% of planned position size
- **WEAK Signals:** No position or paper trading only
**Component Agreement Scaling:**
- **3/3 Components:** Full position size
- **2/3 Components:** 75% position size
- **1/3 Components:** 50% position size or skip trade
### Regime-Adaptive Risk Management
**Trending Market Risk:**
- **Wider Stops:** Allow for trend continuation
- **Trend Following:** Trade with regime direction
- **Higher Position Size:** Trend probability advantage
- **Momentum Stops:** Trail stops based on momentum indicators
**Mean-Reverting Market Risk:**
- **Tighter Stops:** Quick exits on trend continuation
- **Contrarian Positioning:** Trade against extremes
- **Smaller Position Size:** Higher reversal failure rate
- **Level-Based Stops:** Use fractal levels for stops
**Random Market Risk:**
- **Breakout Focus:** Trade only clear breakouts
- **Tight Initial Stops:** Quick exit if breakout fails
- **Reduced Frequency:** Skip marginal setups
- **Range-Based Targets:** Profit targets at range boundaries
### Volatility-Adaptive Risk Controls
**High Volatility Periods:**
- **Reduced Position Size:** Account for wider price swings
- **Wider Stops:** Avoid noise-based exits
- **Lower Frequency:** Skip marginal setups
- **Faster Exits:** Take profits more quickly
**Low Volatility Periods:**
- **Standard Position Size:** Normal risk parameters
- **Tighter Stops:** Take advantage of compressed ranges
- **Higher Frequency:** Trade more setups
- **Extended Targets:** Allow for compressed volatility expansion
### Multi-Timeframe Risk Alignment
**Higher Timeframe Trend:**
- **With Trend:** Standard or increased position size
- **Against Trend:** Reduced position size or skip
- **Neutral Trend:** Standard position size with tight management
**Risk Hierarchy:**
1. **Primary:** Current timeframe signal quality
2. **Secondary:** Higher timeframe trend alignment
3. **Tertiary:** Mathematical field strength
4. **Quaternary:** Market regime classification
---
## 📚 EDUCATIONAL VALUE AND MATHEMATICAL CONCEPTS
### Advanced Mathematical Concepts
**Tensor Analysis in Markets:**
The TMAE introduces traders to tensor analysis, a branch of mathematics typically reserved for physics and advanced engineering. Tensors provide a framework for understanding multi-dimensional market relationships that scalar and vector analysis cannot capture.
**Information Theory Applications:**
Transfer entropy implementation teaches traders about information flow in markets, a concept from information theory that quantifies directional causality between variables. This provides intuition about market microstructure and participant behavior.
**Fractal Geometry in Trading:**
The Hurst exponent calculation exposes traders to fractal geometry concepts, helping understand that markets exhibit self-similar patterns across multiple timeframes. This mathematical insight transforms how traders view market structure.
**Stochastic Process Theory:**
The Hawkes process implementation introduces concepts from stochastic process theory, specifically self-exciting point processes. This provides mathematical framework for understanding why market events cluster and exhibit memory effects.
### Learning Progressive Complexity
**Beginner Mathematical Concepts:**
- **Volatility Dimensions:** Understanding multi-dimensional analysis
- **Regime Classification:** Learning market personality types
- **Signal Democracy:** Algorithmic consensus building
- **Visual Mathematics:** Interpreting mathematical concepts visually
**Intermediate Mathematical Applications:**
- **Mahalanobis Distance:** Statistical distance in multi-dimensional space
- **Rescaled Range Analysis:** Fractal dimension measurement
- **Information Entropy:** Quantifying uncertainty and causality
- **Field Theory:** Understanding mathematical fields in market context
**Advanced Mathematical Integration:**
- **Tensor Field Dynamics:** Multi-dimensional market force analysis
- **Stochastic Self-Excitation:** Event clustering and memory effects
- **Categorical Composition:** Mathematical signal combination theory
- **Topological Market Analysis:** Understanding market shape and connectivity
### Practical Mathematical Intuition
**Developing Market Mathematics Intuition:**
The TMAE serves as a bridge between abstract mathematical concepts and practical trading applications. Traders develop intuitive understanding of:
- **How markets exhibit mathematical structure beneath apparent randomness**
- **Why multi-dimensional analysis reveals patterns invisible to single-variable approaches**
- **How information flows through markets in measurable, predictable ways**
- **Why mathematical models provide probabilistic edges rather than certainties**
---
## 🔬 IMPLEMENTATION AND OPTIMIZATION
### Getting Started Protocol
**Phase 1: Observation (Week 1)**
1. **Apply with defaults:** Use standard settings on your primary trading timeframe
2. **Study visual elements:** Learn to interpret tensor fields, portals, and streams
3. **Monitor dashboard:** Observe how metrics change with market conditions
4. **No trading:** Focus entirely on pattern recognition and understanding
**Phase 2: Pattern Recognition (Week 2-3)**
1. **Identify signal patterns:** Note what market conditions produce different signal qualities
2. **Regime correlation:** Observe how Hurst regimes affect signal performance
3. **Visual confirmation:** Learn to read tensor field expansion and portal signals
4. **Component analysis:** Understand which components drive signals in different markets
**Phase 3: Parameter Optimization (Week 4-5)**
1. **Asset-specific tuning:** Adjust parameters for your specific trading instrument
2. **Timeframe optimization:** Fine-tune for your preferred trading timeframe
3. **Sensitivity adjustment:** Balance signal frequency with quality
4. **Visual customization:** Optimize colors and intensity for your trading environment
**Phase 4: Live Implementation (Week 6+)**
1. **Paper trading:** Test signals with hypothetical trades
2. **Small position sizing:** Begin with minimal risk during learning phase
3. **Performance tracking:** Monitor actual vs. expected signal performance
4. **Continuous optimization:** Refine settings based on real performance data
### Performance Monitoring System
**Signal Quality Tracking:**
- **ELITE Signal Win Rate:** Track highest quality signals separately
- **Component Performance:** Monitor which components provide best signals
- **Regime Performance:** Analyze performance across different market regimes
- **Timeframe Analysis:** Compare performance across different session times
**Mathematical Metric Correlation:**
- **Field Strength vs. Performance:** Higher field strength should correlate with better performance
- **Component Agreement vs. Win Rate:** More component agreement should improve win rates
- **Regime Alignment vs. Success:** Trading with mathematical regime should outperform
### Continuous Optimization Process
**Monthly Review Protocol:**
1. **Performance Analysis:** Review win rates, profit factors, and maximum drawdown
2. **Parameter Assessment:** Evaluate if current settings remain optimal
3. **Market Adaptation:** Adjust for changes in market character or volatility
4. **Component Weighting:** Consider if certain components should receive more/less emphasis
**Quarterly Deep Analysis:**
1. **Mathematical Model Validation:** Verify that mathematical relationships remain valid
2. **Regime Distribution:** Analyze time spent in different market regimes
3. **Signal Evolution:** Track how signal characteristics change over time
4. **Correlation Analysis:** Monitor correlations between different mathematical components
---
## 🌟 UNIQUE INNOVATIONS AND CONTRIBUTIONS
### Revolutionary Mathematical Integration
**First-Ever Implementations:**
1. **Multi-Dimensional Volatility Tensor:** First indicator to implement true tensor analysis for market volatility
2. **Real-Time Hawkes Process:** First trading implementation of self-exciting point processes
3. **Transfer Entropy Trading Signals:** First practical application of information theory for trade generation
4. **Democratic Component Voting:** First algorithmic consensus system for signal generation
5. **Fractal-Projected Signal Quality:** First system to predict signal quality at future price levels
### Advanced Visualization Innovations
**Mathematical Visualization Breakthroughs:**
- **Tensor Field Radiation:** Visual representation of mathematical field energy
- **Dimensional Portal System:** Category theory visualization for regime transitions
- **Information Flow Streams:** Real-time visual display of market information transfer
- **Multi-Layer Fractal Grid:** Intelligent spacing and projection system
- **Regime Intensity Mapping:** Dynamic background showing mathematical regime strength
### Practical Trading Innovations
**Trading System Advances:**
- **Quality-Weighted Signal Generation:** Signals rated by mathematical confidence
- **Regime-Adaptive Strategy Selection:** Automatic strategy optimization based on market personality
- **Anti-Spam Signal Protection:** Mathematical prevention of signal clustering
- **Component Performance Tracking:** Real-time monitoring of algorithmic component success
- **Field-Strength Position Sizing:** Mathematical volatility integration for risk management
---
## ⚖️ RESPONSIBLE USAGE AND LIMITATIONS
### Mathematical Model Limitations
**Understanding Model Boundaries:**
While the TMAE implements sophisticated mathematical concepts, traders must understand fundamental limitations:
- **Markets Are Not Purely Mathematical:** Human psychology, news events, and fundamental factors create unpredictable elements
- **Past Performance Limitations:** Mathematical relationships that worked historically may not persist indefinitely
- **Model Risk:** Complex models can fail during unprecedented market conditions
- **Overfitting Potential:** Highly optimized parameters may not generalize to future market conditions
### Proper Implementation Guidelines
**Risk Management Requirements:**
- **Never Risk More Than 2% Per Trade:** Regardless of signal quality
- **Diversification Mandatory:** Don't rely solely on mathematical signals
- **Position Sizing Discipline:** Use mathematical field strength for sizing, not confidence
- **Stop Loss Non-Negotiable:** Every trade must have predefined risk parameters
**Realistic Expectations:**
- **Mathematical Edge, Not Certainty:** The indicator provides probabilistic advantages, not guaranteed outcomes
- **Learning Curve Required:** Complex mathematical concepts require time to master
- **Market Adaptation Necessary:** Parameters must evolve with changing market conditions
- **Continuous Education Important:** Understanding underlying mathematics improves application
### Ethical Trading Considerations
**Market Impact Awareness:**
- **Information Asymmetry:** Advanced mathematical analysis may provide advantages over other market participants
- **Position Size Responsibility:** Large positions based on mathematical signals can impact market structure
- **Sharing Knowledge:** Consider educational contributions to trading community
- **Fair Market Participation:** Use mathematical advantages responsibly within market framework
### Professional Development Path
**Skill Development Sequence:**
1. **Basic Mathematical Literacy:** Understand fundamental concepts before advanced application
2. **Risk Management Mastery:** Develop disciplined risk control before relying on complex signals
3. **Market Psychology Understanding:** Combine mathematical analysis with behavioral market insights
4. **Continuous Learning:** Stay updated on mathematical finance developments and market evolution
---
## 🔮 CONCLUSION
The Tensor Market Analysis Engine represents a quantum leap forward in technical analysis, successfully bridging the gap between advanced pure mathematics and practical trading applications. By integrating multi-dimensional volatility analysis, fractal market theory, and information flow dynamics, the TMAE reveals market structure invisible to conventional analysis while maintaining visual clarity and practical usability.
### Mathematical Innovation Legacy
This indicator establishes new paradigms in technical analysis:
- **Tensor analysis for market volatility understanding**
- **Stochastic self-excitation for event clustering prediction**
- **Information theory for causality-based trade generation**
- **Democratic algorithmic consensus for signal quality enhancement**
- **Mathematical field visualization for intuitive market understanding**
### Practical Trading Revolution
Beyond mathematical innovation, the TMAE transforms practical trading:
- **Quality-rated signals replace binary buy/sell decisions**
- **Regime-adaptive strategies automatically optimize for market personality**
- **Multi-dimensional risk management integrates mathematical volatility measures**
- **Visual mathematical concepts make complex analysis immediately interpretable**
- **Educational value creates lasting improvement in trading understanding**
### Future-Proof Design
The mathematical foundations ensure lasting relevance:
- **Universal mathematical principles transcend market evolution**
- **Multi-dimensional analysis adapts to new market structures**
- **Regime detection automatically adjusts to changing market personalities**
- **Component democracy allows for future algorithmic additions**
- **Mathematical visualization scales with increasing market complexity**
### Commitment to Excellence
The TMAE represents more than an indicator—it embodies a philosophy of bringing rigorous mathematical analysis to trading while maintaining practical utility and visual elegance. Every component, from the multi-dimensional tensor fields to the democratic signal generation, reflects a commitment to mathematical accuracy, trading practicality, and educational value.
### Trading with Mathematical Precision
In an era where markets grow increasingly complex and computational, the TMAE provides traders with mathematical tools previously available only to institutional quantitative research teams. Yet unlike academic mathematical models, the TMAE translates complex concepts into intuitive visual representations and practical trading signals.
By combining the mathematical rigor of tensor analysis, the statistical power of multi-dimensional volatility modeling, and the information-theoretic insights of transfer entropy, traders gain unprecedented insight into market structure and dynamics.
### Final Perspective
Markets, like nature, exhibit profound mathematical beauty beneath apparent chaos. The Tensor Market Analysis Engine serves as a mathematical lens that reveals this hidden order, transforming how traders perceive and interact with market structure.
Through mathematical precision, visual elegance, and practical utility, the TMAE empowers traders to see beyond the noise and trade with the confidence that comes from understanding the mathematical principles governing market behavior.
Trade with mathematical insight. Trade with the power of tensors. Trade with the TMAE.
*"In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them." - John von Neumann*
*With the TMAE, mathematical market understanding becomes not just possible, but intuitive.*
— Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
IBD Style Candles [tradeviZion]IBD Style Candles - Visualize Price Bars Like the Pros
Transform your chart with institutional-grade IBD-style bars and customizable moving averages for both daily and weekly timeframes. This indicator helps you visualize price action the way professionals at Investors Business Daily do.
What This Indicator Offers:
IBD-style bar visualization (clean, professional appearance)
Customizable coloring based on price movement or previous close
Automatic timeframe detection for appropriate moving averages
Four customizable moving averages for daily timeframes (10, 21, 50, 200)
Four customizable moving averages for weekly timeframes (10, 20, 30, 40)
Options to use SMAs or EMAs with adjustable colors and line widths
"The IBD-style bars provide a cleaner view of price action, allowing you to focus on market structure without the visual noise of traditional candles."
How to Apply the IBD-Style Bars:
On your TradingView chart, select "Bars" as the chart type from the main chart type selection menu (next to the time interval options).
Right-click on the chart and select "Settings".
Go to the "Symbol" tab.
Uncheck the "Thin Bars" option to display thicker bars.
Set the "Up Color" and "Down Color" opacity to 0 for a clean IBD-style appearance.
Enable "IBD-style Candles" from the script's settings.
To revert to the original chart style, repeat the above steps and restore the default settings.
Moving Average Configuration:
The indicator automatically detects your timeframe and displays the appropriate moving averages:
Daily Timeframe Moving Averages:
10-day moving average (SMA/EMA)
21-day moving average (SMA/EMA)
50-day moving average (SMA/EMA)
200-day moving average (SMA/EMA)
Weekly Timeframe Moving Averages:
10-week moving average (SMA/EMA)
20-week moving average (SMA/EMA)
30-week moving average (SMA/EMA)
40-week moving average (SMA/EMA)
Usage Tips:
Enable "Color bars based on previous close" to identify momentum shifts based on prior candle closes
Customize colors to match your chart theme or preference
Enable only the moving averages relevant to your trading strategy
For cleaner charts, reduce the number of visible moving averages
For stock trading, the 10/21/50/200 daily and 10/40 weekly MAs are most commonly used by institutions
// Example configuration for different timeframes
if timeframe.isweekly
// Weekly configuration
showSMA1_Weekly = true // 10-week MA
showSMA4_Weekly = true // 40-week MA
else
// Daily configuration
showMA2_Daily = true // 21-day MA
showMA3_Daily = true // 50-day MA
showMA4_Daily = true // 200-day MA
While the IBD style provides clarity, remember that no visualization method guarantees trading success. Always combine with proper analysis and risk management.
If you found this indicator helpful, please consider leaving a comment or suggestion for future improvements. Happy trading!
EXODUS EXODUS by (DAFE) Trading Systems
EXODUS is a sophisticated trading algorithm built by Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems for competitive and competition purposes, designed to identify high-probability trades with robust risk management. this strategy leverages a multi-signal voting system, combining three core components—SPR, VWMO, and VEI—alongside ADX, choppiness filters, and ATR-based volatility gates to ensure trades are taken only in favorable market conditions. the algo uses a take-profit to stop-loss ratio, dynamic position sizing, and a strict voting mechanism requiring all signals to align before entering a trade.
EXODUS was not overfitted for any specific symbol. instead, it uses a generic tuned setting, making it versatile across various markets. while it can trade futures, it’s not currently set up for it but has the potential to do more with further development. visuals are intentionally minimal due to its competition focus, prioritizing performance over aesthetics. a more visually stunning version may be released in the future with enhanced graphics.
The Unique Core Components Developed for EXODUS
SPR (Session Price Recalibration)
SPR measures momentum during regular trading hours (RTH, 0930-1600, America/New_York) to catch session-specific trends.
spr_lookback = input.int(15, "SPR Lookback") this sets how many bars back SPR looks to calculate momentum (default 15 bars). it compares the current session’s price-volume score to the score 15 bars ago to gauge momentum strength.
how it works: a longer lookback smooths out the signal, focusing on bigger trends. a shorter one makes SPR more sensitive to recent moves.
how to adjust: on a 1-hour chart, 15 bars is 15 hours (about 2 trading days). if you’re on a shorter timeframe like 5 minutes, 15 bars is just 75 minutes, so you might want to increase it to 50 or 100 to capture more meaningful trends. if you’re trading a choppy stock, a shorter lookback (like 5) can help catch quick moves, but it might give more false signals.
spr_threshold = input.float (0.7, "SPR Threshold")
this is the cutoff for SPR to vote for a trade (default 0.7). if SPR’s normalized value is above 0.7, it votes for a long; below -0.7, it votes for a short.
how it works: SPR normalizes its momentum score by ATR, so this threshold ensures only strong moves count. a higher threshold means fewer trades but higher conviction.
how to adjust: if you’re getting too few trades, lower it to 0.5 to let more signals through. if you’re seeing too many false entries, raise it to 1.0 for stricter filtering. test on your chart to find a balance.
spr_atr_length = input.int(21, "SPR ATR Length") this sets the ATR period (default 21 bars) used to normalize SPR’s momentum score. ATR measures volatility, so this makes SPR’s signal relative to market conditions.
how it works: a longer ATR period (like 21) smooths out volatility, making SPR less jumpy. a shorter one makes it more reactive.
how to adjust: if you’re trading a volatile stock like TSLA, a longer period (30 or 50) can help avoid noise. for a calmer stock, try 10 to make SPR more responsive. match this to your timeframe—shorter timeframes might need a shorter ATR.
rth_session = input.session("0930-1600","SPR: RTH Sess.") rth_timezone = "America/New_York" this defines the session SPR uses (0930-1600, New York time). SPR only calculates momentum during these hours to focus on RTH activity.
how it works: it ignores pre-market or after-hours noise, ensuring SPR captures the main market action.
how to adjust: if you trade a different session (like London hours, 0300-1200 EST), change the session to match. you can also adjust the timezone if you’re in a different region, like "Europe/London". just make sure your chart’s timezone aligns with this setting.
VWMO (Volume-Weighted Momentum Oscillator)
VWMO measures momentum weighted by volume to spot sustained, high-conviction moves.
vwmo_momlen = input.int(21, "VWMO Momentum Length") this sets how many bars back VWMO looks to calculate price momentum (default 21 bars). it takes the price change (close minus close 21 bars ago).
how it works: a longer period captures bigger trends, while a shorter one reacts to recent swings.
how to adjust: on a daily chart, 21 bars is about a month—good for trend trading. on a 5-minute chart, it’s just 105 minutes, so you might bump it to 50 or 100 for more meaningful moves. if you want faster signals, drop it to 10, but expect more noise.
vwmo_volback = input.int(30, "VWMO Volume Lookback") this sets the period for calculating average volume (default 30 bars). VWMO weights momentum by volume divided by this average.
how it works: it compares current volume to the average to see if a move has strong participation. a longer lookback smooths the average, while a shorter one makes it more sensitive.
how to adjust: for stocks with spiky volume (like NVDA on earnings), a longer lookback (50 or 100) avoids overreacting to one-off spikes. for steady volume stocks, try 20. match this to your timeframe—shorter timeframes might need a shorter lookback.
vwmo_smooth = input.int(9, "VWMO Smoothing")
this sets the SMA period to smooth VWMO’s raw momentum (default 9 bars).
how it works: smoothing reduces noise in the signal, making VWMO more reliable for voting. a longer smoothing period cuts more noise but adds lag.
how to adjust: if VWMO is too jumpy (lots of false votes), increase to 15. if it’s too slow and missing trades, drop to 5. test on your chart to see what keeps the signal clean but responsive.
vwmo_threshold = input.float(10, "VWMO Threshold") this is the cutoff for VWMO to vote for a trade (default 10). above 10, it votes for a long; below -10, a short.
how it works: it ensures only strong momentum signals count. a higher threshold means fewer but stronger trades.
how to adjust: if you want more trades, lower it to 5. if you’re getting too many weak signals, raise it to 15. this depends on your market—volatile stocks might need a higher threshold to filter noise.
VEI (Velocity Efficiency Index)
VEI measures market efficiency and velocity to filter out choppy moves and focus on strong trends.
vei_eflen = input.int(14, "VEI Efficiency Smoothing") this sets the EMA period for smoothing VEI’s efficiency calc (bar range / volume, default 14 bars).
how it works: efficiency is how much price moves per unit of volume. smoothing it with an EMA reduces noise, focusing on consistent efficiency. a longer period smooths more but adds lag.
how to adjust: for choppy markets, increase to 20 to filter out noise. for faster markets, drop to 10 for quicker signals. this should match your timeframe—shorter timeframes might need a shorter period.
vei_momlen = input.int(8, "VEI Momentum Length") this sets how many bars back VEI looks to calculate momentum in efficiency (default 8 bars).
how it works: it measures the change in smoothed efficiency over 8 bars, then adjusts for inertia (volume-to-range). a longer period captures bigger shifts, while a shorter one reacts faster.
how to adjust: if VEI is missing quick reversals, drop to 5. if it’s too noisy, raise to 12. test on your chart to see what catches the right moves without too many false signals.
vei_threshold = input.float(4.5, "VEI Threshold") this is the cutoff for VEI to vote for a trade (default 4.5). above 4.5, it votes for a long; below -4.5, a short.
how it works: it ensures only strong, efficient moves count. a higher threshold means fewer trades but higher quality.
how to adjust: if you’re not getting enough trades, lower to 3. if you’re seeing too many false entries, raise to 6. this depends on your market—fast stocks like NQ1 might need a lower threshold.
Features
Multi-Signal Voting: requires all three signals (SPR, VWMO, VEI) to align for a trade, ensuring high-probability setups.
Risk Management: uses ATR-based stops (2.1x) and take-profits (4.1x), with dynamic position sizing based on a risk percentage (default 0.4%).
Market Filters: ADX (default 27) ensures trending conditions, choppiness index (default 54.5) avoids sideways markets, and ATR expansion (default 1.12) confirms volatility.
Dashboard: provides real-time stats like SPR, VWMO, VEI values, net P/L, win rate, and streak, with a clean, functional design.
Visuals
EXODUS prioritizes performance over visuals, as it was built for competitive and competition purposes. entry/exit signals are marked with simple labels and shapes, and a basic heatmap highlights market regimes. a more visually stunning update may be released later, with enhanced graphics and overlays.
Usage
EXODUS is designed for stocks and ETFs but can be adapted for futures with adjustments. it performs best in trending markets with sufficient volatility, as confirmed by its generic tuning across symbols like TSLA, AMD, NVDA, and NQ1. adjust inputs like SPR threshold, VWMO smoothing, or VEI momentum length to suit specific assets or timeframes.
Setting I used: (Again, these are a generic setting, each security needs to be fine tuned)
SPR LB = 19 SPR TH = 0.5 SPR ATR L= 21 SPR RTH Sess: 9:30 – 16:00
VWMO L = 21 VWMO LB = 18 VWMO S = 6 VWMO T = 8
VEI ES = 14 VEI ML = 21 VEI T = 4
R % = 0.4
ATR L = 21 ATR M (S) =1.1 TP Multi = 2.1 ATR min mult = 0.8 ATR Expansion = 1.02
ADX L = 21 Min ADX = 25
Choppiness Index = 14 Chop. Max T = 55.5
Backtesting: TSLA
Frame: Jan 02, 2018, 08:00 — May 01, 2025, 09:00
Slippage: 3
Commission .01
Disclaimer
this strategy is for educational purposes. past performance is not indicative of future results. trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. always backtest and validate any strategy before using it in live markets.
(This publishing will most likely be taken down do to some miscellaneous rule about properly displaying charting symbols, or whatever. Once I've identified what part of the publishing they want to pick on, I'll adjust and repost.)
About the Author
Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems is dedicated to building high-performance trading algorithms. EXODUS is a product of rigorous research and development, aimed at delivering consistent, and data-driven trading solutions.
Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter.
**I will continue to release incredible strategies and indicators until I turn this into a brand or until someone offers me a contract.
2025 Created by Dskyz, powered by DAFE Trading Systems. Trade smart, trade bold.
Dskyz (DAFE) Quantum Sentiment Flux - Beginners Dskyz (DAFE) Quantum Sentiment Flux - Beginners:
Welcome to the Dskyz (DAFE) Quantum Sentiment Flux - Beginners , a strategy and concept that’s your ultimate wingman for trading futures like MNQ, NQ, MES, and ES. This gem combines lightning-fast momentum signals, market sentiment smarts, and bulletproof risk management into a system so intuitive, even newbies can trade like pros. With clean DAFE visuals, preset modes for every vibe, and a revamped dashboard that’s basically a market GPS, this strategy makes futures trading feel like a high-octane sci-fi mission.
Built on the Dskyz (DAFE) legacy of Aurora Divergence, the Quantum Sentiment Flux is designed to empower beginners while giving seasoned traders a lean, sentiment-driven edge. It uses fast/slow EMA crossovers for entries, filters trades with VIX, SPX trends, and sector breadth, and keeps your account safe with adaptive stops and cooldowns. Tuned for more action with faster signals and a slick bottom-left dashboard, this updated version is ready to light up your charts and outsmart institutional traps. Let’s dive into why this strat’s a must-have and break down its brilliance.
Why Traders Need This Strategy
Futures markets are a wild ride—fast moves, volatility spikes (like the April 28, 2025 NQ 1k-point drop), and institutional games that can wreck unprepared traders. Beginners often get lost in complex systems or burned by impulsive trades. The Quantum Sentiment Flux is the antidote, offering:
Dead-Simple Setup: Preset modes (Aggressive, Balanced, Conservative) auto-tune signals, risk, and sizing, so you can trade without a quant degree.
Sentiment Superpower: VIX filter, SPX trend, and sector breadth visuals keep you aligned with market health, dodging chop and riding trends.
Ironclad Safety: Tighter ATR-based stops, 2:1 take-profits, and preset cooldowns protect your capital, even in chaotic sessions.
Next-Level Visuals: Green/red entry triangles, vibrant EMAs, a sector breadth background, and a beefed-up dashboard make signals and context pop.
DAFE Swagger: The clean aesthetics, sleek dashboard—ties it to Dskyz’s elite brand, making your charts a work of art.
Traders need this because it’s a plug-and-play system that blends beginner-friendly simplicity with pro-level market awareness. Whether you’re just starting or scalping 5min MNQ, this strat’s your key to trading with confidence and style.
Strategy Components
1. Core Signal Logic (High-Speed Momentum)
The strategy’s engine is a momentum-based system using fast and slow Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), now tuned for faster, more frequent trades.
How It Works:
Fast/Slow EMAs: Fast EMA (Aggressive: 5, Balanced: 7, Conservative: 9 bars) and slow EMA (12/14/18 bars) track short-term vs. longer-term momentum.
Crossover Signals:
Buy: Fast EMA crosses above slow EMA, and trend_dir = 1 (fast EMA > slow EMA + ATR * strength threshold).
Sell: Fast EMA crosses below slow EMA, and trend_dir = -1 (fast EMA < slow EMA - ATR * strength threshold).
Strength Filter: ma_strength = fast EMA - slow EMA must exceed an ATR-scaled threshold (Aggressive: 0.15, Balanced: 0.18, Conservative: 0.25) for robust signals.
Trend Direction: trend_dir confirms momentum, filtering out weak crossovers in choppy markets.
Evolution:
Faster EMAs (down from 7–10/21–50) catch short-term trends, perfect for active futures markets.
Lower strength thresholds (0.15–0.25 vs. 0.3–0.5) make signals more sensitive, boosting trade frequency without sacrificing quality.
Preset tuning ensures beginners get optimized settings, while pros can tweak via mode selection.
2. Market Sentiment Filters
The strategy leans hard into market sentiment with a VIX filter, SPX trend analysis, and sector breadth visuals, keeping trades aligned with the big picture.
VIX Filter:
Logic: Blocks long entries if VIX > threshold (default: 20, can_long = vix_close < vix_limit). Shorts are always allowed (can_short = true).
Impact: Prevents longs during high-fear markets (e.g., VIX spikes in crashes), while allowing shorts to capitalize on downturns.
SPX Trend Filter:
Logic: Compares S&P 500 (SPX) close to its SMA (Aggressive: 5, Balanced: 8, Conservative: 12 bars). spx_trend = 1 (UP) if close > SMA, -1 (DOWN) if < SMA, 0 (FLAT) if neutral.
Impact: Provides dashboard context, encouraging trades that align with market direction (e.g., longs in UP trend).
Sector Breadth (Visual):
Logic: Tracks 10 sector ETFs (XLK, XLF, XLE, etc.) vs. their SMAs (same lengths as SPX). Each sector scores +1 (bullish), -1 (bearish), or 0 (neutral), summed as breadth (-10 to +10).
Display: Green background if breadth > 4, red if breadth < -4, else neutral. Dashboard shows sector trends (↑/↓/-).
Impact: Faster SMA lengths make breadth more responsive, reflecting sector rotations (e.g., tech surging, energy lagging).
Why It’s Brilliant:
- VIX filter adds pro-level volatility awareness, saving beginners from panic-driven losses.
- SPX and sector breadth give a 360° view of market health, boosting signal confidence (e.g., green BG + buy signal = high-probability trade).
- Shorter SMAs make sentiment visuals react faster, perfect for 5min charts.
3. Risk Management
The risk controls are a fortress, now tighter and more dynamic to support frequent trading while keeping accounts safe.
Preset-Based Risk:
Aggressive: Fast EMAs (5/12), tight stops (1.1x ATR), 1-bar cooldown. High trade frequency, higher risk.
Balanced: EMAs (7/14), 1.2x ATR stops, 1-bar cooldown. Versatile for most traders.
Conservative: EMAs (9/18), 1.3x ATR stops, 2-bar cooldown. Safer, fewer trades.
Impact: Auto-scales risk to match style, making it foolproof for beginners.
Adaptive Stops and Take-Profits:
Logic: Stops = entry ± ATR * atr_mult (1.1–1.3x, down from 1.2–2.0x). Take-profits = entry ± ATR * take_mult (2x stop distance, 2:1 reward/risk). Longs: stop below entry, TP above; shorts: vice versa.
Impact: Tighter stops increase trade turnover while maintaining solid risk/reward, adapting to volatility.
Trade Cooldown:
Logic: Preset-driven (Aggressive/Balanced: 1 bar, Conservative: 2 bars vs. old user-input 2). Ensures bar_index - last_trade_bar >= cooldown.
Impact: Faster cooldowns (especially Aggressive/Balanced) allow more trades, balanced by VIX and strength filters.
Contract Sizing:
Logic: User sets contracts (default: 1, max: 10), no preset cap (unlike old 7/5/3 suggestion).
Impact: Flexible but risks over-leverage; beginners should stick to low contracts.
Built To Be Reliable and Consistent:
- Tighter stops and faster cooldowns make it a high-octane system without blowing up accounts.
- Preset-driven risk removes guesswork, letting newbies trade confidently.
- 2:1 TPs ensure profitable trades outweigh losses, even in volatile sessions like April 27, 2025 ES slippage.
4. Trade Entry and Exit Logic
The entry/exit rules are simple yet razor-sharp, now with VIX filtering and faster signals:
Entry Conditions:
Long Entry: buy_signal (fast EMA crosses above slow EMA, trend_dir = 1), no position (strategy.position_size = 0), cooldown passed (can_trade), and VIX < 20 (can_long). Enters with user-defined contracts.
Short Entry: sell_signal (fast EMA crosses below slow EMA, trend_dir = -1), no position, cooldown passed, can_short (always true).
Logic: Tracks last_entry_bar for visuals, last_trade_bar for cooldowns.
Exit Conditions:
Stop-Loss/Take-Profit: ATR-based stops (1.1–1.3x) and TPs (2x stop distance). Longs exit if price hits stop (below) or TP (above); shorts vice versa.
No Other Exits: Keeps it straightforward, relying on stops/TPs.
5. DAFE Visuals
The visuals are pure DAFE magic, blending clean function with informative metrics utilized by professionals, now enhanced by faster signals and a responsive breadth background:
EMA Plots:
Display: Fast EMA (blue, 2px), slow EMA (orange, 2px), using faster lengths (5–9/12–18).
Purpose: Highlights momentum shifts, with crossovers signaling entries.
Sector Breadth Background:
Display: Green (90% transparent) if breadth > 4, red (90%) if breadth < -4, else neutral.
Purpose: Faster breadth_sma_len (5–12 vs. 10–50) reflects sector shifts in real-time, reinforcing signal strength.
- Visuals are intuitive, turning complex signals into clear buy/sell cues.
- Faster breadth background reacts to market rotations (e.g., tech vs. energy), giving a pro-level edge.
6. Sector Breadth Dashboard
The new bottom-left dashboard is a game-changer, a 3x16 table (black/gray theme) that’s your market command center:
Metrics:
VIX: Current VIX (red if > 20, gray if not).
SPX: Trend as “UP” (green), “DOWN” (red), or “FLAT” (gray).
Trade Longs: “OK” (green) if VIX < 20, “BLOCK” (red) if not.
Sector Breadth: 10 sectors (Tech, Financial, etc.) with trend arrows (↑ green, ↓ red, - gray).
Placeholder Row: Empty for future metrics (e.g., ATR, breadth score).
Purpose: Consolidates regime, volatility, market trend, and sector data, making decisions a breeze.
- VIX and SPX metrics add context, helping beginners avoid bad trades (e.g., no longs if “BLOCK”).
Sector arrows show market health at a glance, like a cheat code for sentiment.
Key Features
Beginner-Ready: Preset modes and clear visuals make futures trading a breeze.
Sentiment-Driven: VIX filter, SPX trend, and sector breadth keep you in sync with the market.
High-Frequency: Faster EMAs, tighter stops, and short cooldowns boost trade volume.
Safe and Smart: Adaptive stops/TPs and cooldowns protect capital while maximizing wins.
Visual Mastery: DAFE’s clean flair, EMAs, dashboard—makes trading fun and clear.
Backtestable: Lean code and fixed qty ensure accurate historical testing.
How to Use
Add to Chart: Load on a 5min MNQ/ES chart in TradingView.
Pick Preset: Aggressive (scalping), Balanced (versatile), or Conservative (safe). Balanced is default.
Set Contracts: Default 1, max 10. Stick low for safety.
Check Dashboard: Bottom-left shows preset, VIX, SPX, and sectors. “OK” + green breadth = strong buy.
Backtest: Run in strategy tester to compare modes.
Live Trade: Connect to Tradovate or similar. Watch for slippage (e.g., April 27, 2025 ES issues).
Replay Test: Try April 28, 2025 NQ drop to see VIX filter and stops in action.
Why It’s Brilliant
The Dskyz (DAFE) Quantum Sentiment Flux - Beginners is a masterpiece of simplicity and power. It takes pro-level tools—momentum, VIX, sector breadth—and wraps them in a system anyone can run. Faster signals and tighter stops make it a trading machine, while the VIX filter and dashboard keep you ahead of market chaos. The DAFE visuals and bottom-left command center turn your chart into a futuristic cockpit, guiding you through every trade. For beginners, it’s a safe entry to futures; for pros, it’s a scalping beast with sentiment smarts. This strat doesn’t just trade—it transforms how you see the market.
Final Notes
This is more than a strategy—it’s your launchpad to mastering futures with Dskyz (DAFE) flair. The Quantum Sentiment Flux blends accessibility, speed, and market savvy to help you outsmart the game. Load it, watch those triangles glow, and let’s make the markets your canvas!
Official Statement from Pine Script Team
(see TradingView help docs and forums):
"This warning may appear when you call functions such as ta.sma inside a request.security in a loop. There is no runtime impact. If you need to loop through a dynamic list of tickers, this cannot be avoided in the present version... Values will still be correct. Ignore this warning in such contexts."
(This publishing will most likely be taken down do to some miscellaneous rule about properly displaying charting symbols, or whatever. Once I've identified what part of the publishing they want to pick on, I'll adjust and repost.)
Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter.
**I will continue to release incredible strategies and indicators until I turn this into a brand or until someone offers me a contract.
Created by Dskyz, powered by DAFE Trading Systems. Trade fast, trade bold.
Weighted Ichimoku StrategyLSE:HSBA
The Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator is a comprehensive tool that combines multiple signals to identify market trends and potential buying/selling opportunities. My weighted variant of this strategy attempts to assign specific weights to each signal, allowing for a more nuanced and customizable approach to trend identification. The intent is to try and make a more informed trading decision based on the cumulative strength of various signals.
I've tried not to make it a mishmash of this and that + MACD + RSI and on and on; most people have their preferred indicator that focuses on just that that they can use in conjunction.
The signals used can be grouped into two groups the 'Core Ichimoku Signals' & the 'Additional Signals' (at the end you will find the signals and their assigned weights followed by the thresholds where they align).
The Core Ichimoku Signals are the primary signals used in Ichimoku analysis, including Kumo Breakout, Chikou Cross, Kijun Cross, Tenkan Cross, and Kumo Twist.
While the Additional Signals provide further insights and confirmations, such as Kijun Confirmation, Tenkan-Kijun Above Cloud, Chikou Above Cloud, Price-Kijun Cross, Chikou Span Signal, and Price Positioning.
Entries are triggered when the cumulative weight of bullish signals exceeds a specified buy threshold, indicating a strong uptrend or potential trend reversal.
Exits are initiated when the cumulative weight of bearish signals surpasses a specified sell threshold, or when additional conditions such as consolidation patterns or ATR-based targets are met.
There are various exit types that you can choose between, which can be used separately or in conjunction with one another. As an example you might want to exit on a different condition during consolidation periods than during other periods or just use ATR with some other backstop.
They are listed in evaluation order i.e. ATR trumps all, Consolidation exit trumps the regular Kumo sell and so on:
**ATR Sell**: Exits trades based on ATR-based profit targets and stop-losses.
**Consolidation Exit**: Exits trades during consolidation periods to reduce drawdown.
**Sell Below Kumo**: Exits trades when the price is below the Kumo, indicating a potential downtrend.
**Sell Threshold**: Exits trades when the cumulative weight of bearish signals surpasses a specified sell threshold.
There are various 'filters' which are really behavior modifiers:
**Kumo Breakout Filter**: Requires price to close above the Kumo for buy signals (essentially a entry delay).
**Whipsaw Filter**: Ensures trend strength over specified days to reduce false signals.
**Buy Cooldown**: Prevents new entries until half the Kijun period passes after an exit (prevents flapping).
**Chikou Filter**: Delays exits unless the previous close is below the Chikou Span.
**Consolidation Trend Filter**: Prevents consolidation exits if the trend is bullish (rare, but happens).
Then there are some debugging options. Ichimoku periods have some presets (personally I like 8/22/44/22) but are freely configurable, preset to the traditional values for purists.
The list of signals and most thresholds follow, play around with them. Thats all.
Cheers,
**Core Ichimoku Signals**
**Kumo Breakout**
- 30 (Bullish) / -30 (Bearish)
- Indicates a strong trend when the price breaks above (bullish) or below (bearish) the Kumo (cloud). This signal suggests a significant shift in market sentiment.
**Chikou Cross**
- 20 (Bullish) / -20 (Bearish)
- Shows the relationship between the Chikou Span (lagging span) and the current price. A bullish signal occurs when the Chikou Span is above the price, indicating a potential uptrend. Conversely, a bearish signal occurs when the Chikou Span is below the price, suggesting a downtrend.
**Kijun Cross**
- 15 (Bullish) / -15 (Bearish)
- Signals trend changes when the Tenkan-sen (conversion line) crosses above (bullish) or below (bearish) the Kijun-sen (base line). This crossover is often used to identify potential trend reversals.
**Tenkan Cross**
- 10 (Bullish) / -10 (Bearish)
- Indicates short-term trend changes when the price crosses above (bullish) or below (bearish) the Tenkan-sen. This signal helps identify minor trend shifts within the broader trend.
**Kumo Twist**
- 5 (Bullish) / -5 (Bearish)
- Shows changes in the Kumo's direction, indicating potential trend shifts. A bullish Kumo Twist occurs when Senkou Span A crosses above Senkou Span B, and a bearish twist occurs when Senkou Span A crosses below Senkou Span B.
**Additional Signals**
**Kijun Confirmation**
- 8 (Bullish) / -8 (Bearish)
- Confirms the trend based on the price's position relative to the Kijun-sen. A bullish signal occurs when the price is above the Kijun-sen, and a bearish signal occurs when the price is below it.
**Tenkan-Kijun Above Cloud**
- 5 (Bullish) / -5 (Bearish)
- Indicates a strong bullish trend when both the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen are above the Kumo. Conversely, a bearish signal occurs when both lines are below the Kumo.
**Chikou Above Cloud**
- 5 (Bullish) / -5 (Bearish)
- Shows the Chikou Span's position relative to the Kumo, indicating trend strength. A bullish signal occurs when the Chikou Span is above the Kumo, and a bearish signal occurs when it is below.
**Price-Kijun Cross**
- 2 (Bullish) / -2 (Bearish)
- Signals short-term trend changes when the price crosses above (bullish) or below (bearish) the Kijun-sen. This signal is similar to the Kijun Cross but focuses on the price's direct interaction with the Kijun-sen.
**Chikou Span Signal**
- 10 (Bullish) / -10 (Bearish)
- Indicates the trend based on the Chikou Span's position relative to past price highs and lows. A bullish signal occurs when the Chikou Span is above the highest high of the past period, and a bearish signal occurs when it is below the lowest low.
**Price Positioning**
- 10 (Bullish) / -10 (Bearish)
- Shows indecision when the price is between the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, indicating a potential consolidation phase. A bullish signal occurs when the price is above both lines, and a bearish signal occurs when the price is below both lines.
**Confidence Level**: Highly Sensitive
- **Buy Threshold**: 50
- **Sell Threshold**: -50
- **Notes / Significance**: ~2–3 signals, very early trend detection. High sensitivity, may capture noise and false signals.
**Confidence Level**: Entry-Level
- **Buy Threshold**: 58
- **Sell Threshold**: -58
- **Notes / Significance**: ~3–4 signals, often Chikou Cross or Kumo Breakout. Very sensitive, risks noise (e.g., false buys in choppy markets).
**Confidence Level**: Entry-Level
- **Buy Threshold**: 60
- **Sell Threshold**: -60
- **Notes / Significance**: ~3–4 signals, Kumo Breakout or Chikou Cross anchors. Entry point for early trends.
**Confidence Level**: Moderate
- **Buy Threshold**: 65
- **Sell Threshold**: -65
- **Notes / Significance**: ~4–5 signals, balances sensitivity and reliability. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance.
**Confidence Level**: Conservative
- **Buy Threshold**: 70
- **Sell Threshold**: -70
- **Notes / Significance**: ~4–5 signals, emphasizes stronger confirmations. Reduces false signals but may miss some opportunities.
**Confidence Level**: Very Conservative
- **Buy Threshold**: 75
- **Sell Threshold**: -75
- **Notes / Significance**: ~5–6 signals, prioritizes high confidence. Minimizes risk but may enter trades late.
**Confidence Level**: High Confidence
- **Buy Threshold**: 80
- **Sell Threshold**: -80
- **Notes / Significance**: ~6–7 signals, very strong confirmations needed. Suitable for cautious traders.
**Confidence Level**: Very High Confidence
- **Buy Threshold**: 85
- **Sell Threshold**: -85
- **Notes / Significance**: ~7–8 signals, extremely high confidence required. Minimizes false signals significantly.
**Confidence Level**: Maximum Confidence
- **Buy Threshold**: 90
- **Sell Threshold**: -90
- **Notes / Significance**: ~8–9 signals, maximum confidence level. Ensures trades are highly reliable but may result in fewer trades.
**Confidence Level**: Ultra Conservative
- **Buy Threshold**: 100
- **Sell Threshold**: -100
- **Notes / Significance**: ~9–10 signals, ultra-high confidence. Trades are extremely reliable but opportunities are rare.
**Confidence Level**: Extreme Confidence
- **Buy Threshold**: 110
- **Sell Threshold**: -110
- **Notes / Significance**: All signals align, extreme confidence. Trades are almost certain but very few opportunities.
Green*DiamondGreen*Diamond (GD1)
Unleash Dynamic Trading Signals with Volatility and Momentum
Overview
GreenDiamond is a versatile overlay indicator designed for traders seeking actionable buy and sell signals across various markets and timeframes. Combining Volatility Bands (VB) bands, Consolidation Detection, MACD, RSI, and a unique Ribbon Wave, it highlights high-probability setups while filtering out noise. With customizable signals like Green-Yellow Buy, Pullback Sell, and Inverse Pullback Buy, plus vibrant candle and volume visuals, GreenDiamond adapts to your trading style—whether you’re scalping, day trading, or swing trading.
Key Features
Volatility Bands (VB): Plots dynamic upper and lower bands to identify breakouts or reversals, with toggleable buy/sell signals outside consolidation zones.
Consolidation Detection: Marks low-range periods to avoid choppy markets, ensuring signals fire during trending conditions.
MACD Signals: Offers flexible buy/sell conditions (e.g., cross above signal, above zero, histogram up) with RSI divergence integration for precision.
RSI Filter: Enhances signals with customizable levels (midline, oversold/overbought) and bullish divergence detection.
Ribbon Wave: Visualizes trend strength using three EMAs, colored by MACD and RSI for intuitive momentum cues.
Custom Signals: Includes Green-Yellow Buy, Pullback Sell, and Inverse Pullback Buy, with limits on consecutive signals to prevent overtrading.
Candle & Volume Styling: Blends MACD/RSI colors on candles and scales volume bars to highlight momentum spikes.
Alerts: Set up alerts for VB signals, MACD crosses, Green*Diamond signals, and custom conditions to stay on top of opportunities.
How It Works
Green*Diamond integrates multiple indicators to generate signals:
Volatility Bands: Calculates bands using a pivot SMA and standard deviation. Buy signals trigger on crossovers above the lower band, sell signals on crossunders below the upper band (if enabled).
Consolidation Filter: Suppresses signals when candle ranges are below a threshold, keeping you out of flat markets.
MACD & RSI: Combines MACD conditions (e.g., cross above signal) with RSI filters (e.g., above midline) and optional volume spikes for robust signals.
Custom Logic: Green-Yellow Buy uses MACD bullishness, Pullback Sell targets retracements, and Inverse Pullback Buy catches reversals after downmoves—all filtered to avoid consolidation.
Visuals: Ribbon Wave shows trend direction, candles blend momentum colors, and volume bars scale dynamically to confirm signals.
Settings
Volatility Bands Settings:
VB Lookback Period (20): Adjust to 10–15 for faster markets (e.g., 1-minute scalping) or 25–30 for daily charts.
Upper/Lower Band Multiplier (1.0): Increase to 1.5–2.0 for wider bands in volatile stocks like AEHL; decrease to 0.5 for calmer markets.
Show Volatility Bands: Toggle off to reduce chart clutter.
Use VB Signals: Enable for breakout-focused trades; disable to focus on Green*Diamond signals.
Consolidation Settings:
Consolidation Lookback (14): Set to 5–10 for small caps (e.g., AEHL) to catch quick consolidations; 20 for higher timeframes.
Range Threshold (0.5): Lower to 0.3 for stricter filtering in choppy markets; raise to 0.7 for looser signals.
MACD Settings:
Fast/Slow Length (12/26): Shorten to 8/21 for scalping; extend to 15/34 for swing trading.
Signal Smoothing (9): Reduce to 5 for faster signals; increase to 12 for smoother trends.
Buy/Sell Signal Options: Choose “Cross Above Signal” for classic MACD; “Histogram Up” for momentum plays.
Use RSI Div + MACD Cross: Enable for high-probability reversal signals.
RSI Settings:
RSI Period (14): Drop to 10 for 1-minute charts; raise to 20 for daily.
Filter Level (50): Set to 55 for stricter buys; 45 for sells.
Overbought/Oversold (70/30): Tighten to 65/35 for small caps; widen to 75/25 for indices.
RSI Buy/Sell Options: Select “Bullish Divergence” for reversals; “Cross Above Oversold” for momentum.
Color Settings:
Adjust bullish/bearish colors for visibility (e.g., brighter green/red for dark themes).
Border Thickness (1): Increase to 2–3 for clearer candle outlines.
Volume Settings:
Volume Average Length (20): Shorten to 10 for scalping; extend to 30 for swing trades.
Volume Multiplier (2.0): Raise to 3.0 for AEHL’s volume surges; lower to 1.5 for steady stocks.
Bar Height (10%): Increase to 15% for prominent bars; decrease to 5% to reduce clutter.
Ribbon Settings:
EMA Periods (10/20/30): Tighten to 5/10/15 for scalping; widen to 20/40/60 for trends.
Color by MACD/RSI: Disable for simpler visuals; enable for dynamic momentum cues.
Gradient Fill: Toggle on for trend clarity; off for minimalism.
Custom Signals:
Enable Green-Yellow Buy: Use for momentum confirmation; limit to 1–2 signals to avoid spam.
Pullback/Inverse Pullback % (50): Set to 30–40% for small caps; 60–70% for indices.
Max Buy Signals (1): Increase to 2–3 for active markets; keep at 1 for discipline.
Tips and Tricks
Scalping Small Caps (e.g., AEHL):
Use 1-minute charts with VB Lookback = 10, Consolidation Lookback = 5, and Volume Multiplier = 3.0 to catch $0.10–$0.20 moves.
Enable Green-Yellow Buy and Inverse Pullback Buy for quick entries; disable VB Signals to focus on Green*Diamond logic.
Pair with SMC+ green boxes (if you use them) for reversal confirmation.
Day Trading:
Try 5-minute charts with MACD Fast/Slow = 8/21 and RSI Period = 10.
Enable RSI Divergence + MACD Cross for high-probability setups; set Max Buy Signals = 2.
Watch for volume bars turning yellow to confirm entries.
Swing Trading:
Use daily charts with VB Lookback = 30, Ribbon EMAs = 20/40/60.
Enable Pullback Sell (60%) to exit after rallies; disable RSI Color for cleaner candles.
Check Ribbon Wave gradient for trend strength—bright green signals strong bulls.
Avoiding Noise:
Increase Consolidation Threshold to 0.7 on volatile days to skip false breakouts.
Disable Ribbon Wave or Volume Bars if the chart feels crowded.
Limit Max Buy Signals to 1 for disciplined trading.
Alert Setup:
In TradingView’s Alerts panel, select:
“GD Buy Signal” for standard entries.
“RSI Div + MACD Cross Buy” for reversals.
“VB Buy Signal” for breakout plays.
Set to “Once Per Bar Close” for confirmed signals; “Once Per Bar” for scalping.
Backtesting:
Replay on small caps ( Float < 5M, Price $0.50–$5) to test signals.
Focus on “GD Buy Signal” with yellow volume bars and green Ribbon Wave.
Avoid signals during gray consolidation squares unless paired with RSI Divergence.
Usage Notes
Markets: Works on stocks, forex, crypto, and indices. Best for volatile assets (e.g., small-cap stocks, BTCUSD).
Timeframes: Scalping (1–5 minutes), day trading (15–60 minutes), or swing trading (daily). Adjust settings per timeframe.
Risk Management: Combine with stop-losses (e.g., 1% risk, $0.05 below AEHL entry) and take-profits (3–5%).
Customization: Tweak inputs to match your strategy—experiment in replay to find your sweet spot.
Disclaimer
Green*Diamond is a technical tool to assist with trade identification, not a guarantee of profits. Trading involves risks, and past performance doesn’t predict future results. Always conduct your own analysis, manage risk, and test settings before live trading.
Feedback
Love Green*Diamond? Found a killer setup?
M & W Checklistindicator to Validate & Grade M & W Patterns.
Indicator Inputs
Table Color Palette
• Position Valid : Positions the Valid Trade table on the chart.
• Position Grade : Positions the Grade table on the chart, hover over the Column 1 Row 1 for a description of the bands.
• Size: Text size for all tables.
• Text Color : Sets text color.
• Border Color : Sets the table border color for all tables.
• Background Color : Sets table backgroud color for all tables.
Valid Trade Table
Checkboxes to indicate if the trade is valid. Fail is displayed if unchecked, Pass if checked.
Grade Table
• S/R Level 1: distance between neckline and 1st resistance area in % of the total distance between neckline and take profit. This is not for road blocks but pivot points etc before the initial run up/down in price. I have this set to 30% , this means that if there is a pivot point between the neckline and 30% of the TP level I weight it negatively.
• S/R Level 2: distance between neckline and 1st resistance area in % of the total distance between neckline and take profit. This is not for road blocks but pivot points etc before the initial run up/down in price. I have this set to 50% , this means that if there is a pivot point between the neckline and 50% of the TP level 2 weight it negatively but less so than level 1.
• S/R Level 3: distance between neckline and 1st resistance area in % of the total distance between neckline and take profit. This is not for road blocks but pivot points etc before the initial run up/down in price. I have this set to 70% , this means that if there is a pivot point between the neckline and 70% of the TP level 3 weight it negatively but less so than level 1 & level 2.
• Checkboxes are self explanatory, they are binary options, all are weighted negatively if checked and are weighted positively if unchecked. Divergence values for weighting are neutral if unckecked & weighted positively if checked.
• The select options are neutral weighting if set to neutral , if set to For its weighted positive and set to Against weighted negatively.
Technical Specification of the Scoring and Band System
Overview
The scoring system is designed to evaluate a set of technical trade conditions, assigning weights to various criteria that influence the quality of the trade. The system calculates a total score based on both positive and negative conditions. Based on the final score, the system assigns a grade or band (A, B, or C) for positive scores, and a "Negative" label for negative scores.
Scoring System
The system calculates the score by evaluating a set of 12 conditions (gradeCondition1 to gradeCondition12). These conditions are manually input by the user via checkboxes or dropdowns in a technical indicator (written in Pine Script for TradingView). The score weights vary according to the relative importance of each condition.
Condition Breakdown and Weighting:
1. Divergences (GradeCondition1 & GradeCondition2):
◦ 1H Divergence: +5 points if condition is true.
◦ 4H Divergence: +10 points if condition is true (stronger weight than 1H).
2. Support/Resistance at Neckline (GradeCondition3):
◦ Negative if present: -15 points if true (carries significant negative weight).
3. RB near Entry (GradeCondition4):
◦ Very Negative: -20 points if true (this is a critical negative condition).
4. RB can Manage (GradeCondition5):
◦ Slightly Negative: -5 points if true.
5. Institutional Value Zones (GradeCondition6 to GradeCondition8):
◦ For the trade: +5 points.
◦ Against the trade: -5 points.
◦ Neutral: 0 points.
6. S/R between Neckline & Targets (GradeCondition9 to GradeCondition11):
◦ Level 1: -10 points if true, +7 points if false.
◦ Level 2: -7 points if true, +7 points if false.
◦ Level 3: -5 points if true, +7 points if false.
◦ Use fib tool or Gann Box to measure any S/R levels setup according to your preferences.
7. News Timing (GradeCondition12):
◦ News within 3 hours: -20 points if true (strong negative factor).
◦ No upcoming news: +10 points if false.
Scoring Calculation Formula:
totalScore = score1 + score2 + score3 + score4 + score5 + score6 + score7 + score8 + score9 + score10 + score11 + score12
Where:
• score1 to score12 represent the points derived from the conditions described above.
Coloring and Visual Feedback:
• Positive Scores: Displayed in green.
• Negative Scores: Displayed in red.
Band System
The Band System classifies the total score into different grades, depending on the final value of totalScore. This classification provides an intuitive ranking for trades, helping users quickly assess trade quality.
Band Classification:
• Band A: If the totalScore is 41 or more.
◦ Represents a highly favorable trade setup.
• Band B: If the totalScore is between 21 and 40.
◦ Represents a favorable trade setup with good potential.
• Band C: If the totalScore is between 1 and 20.
◦ Represents a trade setup that is acceptable but may have risks.
• Negative: If the totalScore is 0 or less.
◦ Represents a poor trade setup with significant risks or unfavorable conditions.
Band Calculation Logic (in Pine Script):
var string grade = ""
if (totalScore >= 41)
grade := "Band A"
else if (totalScore >= 21)
grade := "Band B"
else if (totalScore >= 1)
grade := "Band C"
else
grade := "Negative"
Technical Key Points:
• Highly Negative Conditions:
◦ The system penalizes certain conditions more heavily, especially those that suggest significant risks (e.g., News in less than 3 hours, RB near Entry).
• Positive Trade Conditions:
◦ Divergences, Institutional Value Zones in favor of the trade, and lack of significant nearby resistance all contribute positively to the score.
• Flexible System:
◦ The system can be adapted or fine-tuned by adjusting the weights of individual conditions according to trading preferences.
Use Case Example:
• If a trade has 1H and 4H Divergence, RB near Entry (negative), and no upcoming news:
◦ 1H Divergence: +5 points.
◦ 4H Divergence: +10 points.
◦ RB near Entry: -20 points.
◦ No news: +10 points.
◦ Total Score: 5 + 10 - 20 + 10 = 5 → Band C.
This modular and flexible scoring system allows traders to systematically evaluate trades and quickly gauge the trade's potential based on technical indicators
Summary:
Maximum Score: 61
Minimum Score: -97
These are the bounds of the score range based on the current logic of the script.
ICT MACROS (UTC-4)This Pine Script creates an indicator that draws vertical lines on a TradingView chart to mark specific time intervals during the day. It allows the user to see when certain predefined time periods start and end, using vertical lines of different colors. The script is designed to work with time frames aligned to the UTC-4 timezone.
### Key Features of the Script
1. **Vertical Line Drawing Function**:
- The script uses a custom function, `draw_vertical_line`, to draw vertical lines at specific times.
- This function takes four parameters:
- `specificTime`: The specific timestamp when the vertical line should be drawn.
- `lineColor`: The color of the vertical line.
- `labelText`: The text label for the line (used internally for debugging purposes).
- `adjustment_minutes`: An integer value that allows time adjustment (in minutes) to make the lines align more accurately with the chart’s candles.
- The function calculates an adjusted time using the `adjustment_minutes` parameter and checks if the current time (`time`) falls within a 3-minute range of the adjusted time. If it does, it draws a vertical line.
2. **User Input for Time Adjustment**:
- The `adjustment_minutes` input allows users to fine-tune the appearance of the lines by shifting them slightly forward or backward in time to ensure they align with the chart candles. This is useful because of potential minor discrepancies between the script’s timestamps and the chart’s actual candle times.
3. **Predefined Time Intervals**:
- The script specifies six different time intervals (using the UTC-4 timezone) and draws vertical lines to mark the start and end of each interval:
- **First interval**: 8:50 - 9:10 AM
- **Second interval**: 9:50 - 10:10 AM
- **Third interval**: 10:50 - 11:10 AM
- **Fourth interval**: 13:10 - 13:40 PM
- **Fifth interval**: 14:50 - 15:10 PM
- **Sixth interval**: 15:15 - 15:45 PM
- For each interval, there are two timestamps: the start time and the end time. The script draws a green vertical line for the start and a red vertical line for the end.
4. **Line Drawing Logic**:
- For each time interval, the script calculates the timestamp using the `timestamp()` function with the specified time in UTC-4.
- The `draw_vertical_line` function is called twice for each interval: once for the start time (with a green line) and once for the end time (with a red line).
5. **Visual Overlay**:
- The script uses the `overlay=true` setting, which means that the vertical lines are drawn directly on top of the existing price chart. This helps in visually identifying the specific time intervals without cluttering the chart.
### Summary
This Pine Script is designed for traders or analysts who want to visualize specific time intervals directly on their TradingView charts. It provides a customizable way to highlight these intervals using vertical lines, making it easier to analyze price action or trading volume during key times of the day. The `adjustment_minutes` input adds flexibility to align these lines accurately with chart data.
Macro Times [Blu_Ju]About ICT Macro Times:
The Inner Circle Trader (ICT) has taught that there are certain time sessions when the Interbank Price Delivery Algorithm (IPDA) is running a macro. The macro itself could be a repricing macro, a consolidation macro, etc. - this depends on where price currently is in relation to its draw. The times the macro is active do not change however, and are always the following (in New York local time):
8:50-9:10 (premarket macro)
9:50-10:10 (AM macro 1)
10:50-11:10 (AM macro 2)
11:50-12:10 (lunch macro)
13:10-13:40 (PM macro)
15:15-15:45 (final hour macro)
Because these times are fixed, traders can anticipate a setup is likely to form in or around these sessions. Setups may involve sweeps of liquidity (highs/lows), repricing to inefficiencies (e.g., fair value gaps), breaker setups, etc. (The specific setup involved is beyond the scope of this script; this script is concerned with visually marking the time sessions only.)
About this Script:
The scope of this script is to visually identify the macro active time sessions. This script draws vertical lines to mark the start and end of the macro time sessions. Optionally, the user can use a background color for the macro session with or without the vertical lines. The user can also toggle on or off any of the macro sessions, if he or she is only interested in certain ones. The user also has the freedom to change the times of the macro sessions if he or she is interested in a different time.
What makes this script unique is that it plots the macro time sessions after midnight for each day, before the real-time bar reaches the macro times. This is advantageous to the trader, as it gives the trader a visual cue that the macro times are approaching. When watching price it is easy to lose track of time, and the purpose of this script is to help the trader maintain where price is in relation to the macro time sessions in a simple, visual way.
DrNon_NASDAQ10Title: NASDAQ 10 Index with TOP 10 Securities
Introduction:
TradingView offers traders and investors a powerful platform for technical analysis and trading. One of its notable features is the ability to create custom indices based on the values of multiple individual securities. In this blog post, we will explore how to build a custom index with 10 securities in TradingView using Pine Script, the platform's proprietary programming language.
Description:
Custom indices allow market participants to track the performance of a specific group of securities, providing valuable insights into the collective performance of the chosen assets. By leveraging Pine Script, traders can easily develop and deploy custom indicators and strategies to build their own indices.
The script provided focuses on creating a custom index with 10 securities. The selected securities include popular stocks such as AAPL (Apple Inc.), MSFT (Microsoft Corporation), GOOG (Alphabet Inc.), AMZN (Amazon.com Inc.), NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation), TSLA (Tesla Inc.), META (Facebook, Inc.), AVGO (Broadcom Inc.), PEP (PepsiCo, Inc.), and COST (Costco Wholesale Corporation).
Using the security() function in Pine Script, we retrieve the closing prices of each individual security to ensure accurate data for the index calculation.
The index value is then calculated by summing the closing prices of the 10 securities. This simple arithmetic operation captures the overall performance of the custom index.
To visualize the index, we use the plot() function to display the index value on the chart. Traders can observe the custom index alongside other technical indicators or price action, aiding in decision-making and market analysis.
By building a custom index with 10 securities in TradingView, traders gain a consolidated view of the performance of these chosen assets. This allows for easier tracking of sector trends, evaluation of specific strategies, and the ability to compare the performance of individual portfolios against the broader market.
Conclusion:
TradingView's Pine Script provides traders and investors with a flexible solution to build custom indices. By defining the 10 individual securities, calculating the index value, and plotting it on the chart, traders can monitor the collective performance of these chosen assets. Custom indices offer insights into sector performance, enable the evaluation of specific strategies, and provide a benchmark for comparing portfolio performance. By harnessing the power of custom indices in TradingView, traders can enhance their decision-making process and gain a competitive edge in the market.
ICT Algorithmic Macro Tracker° (Open-Source) by toodegreesDescription:
The ICT Algorithmic Macro Tracker° Indicator is a powerful tool designed to enhance your trading experience by clearly and efficiently plotting the known ICT Macro Times on your chart.
Based on the teachings of the Inner Circle Trader , these Time windows correspond to periods when the Interbank Price Delivery Algorithm undergoes a series of checks ( Macros ) and is probable to move towards Liquidity.
The indicator allows traders to visualize and analyze these crucial moments in NY Time:
- 2:33-3:00
- 4:03-4:30
- 8:50-9:10
- 9:50-10:10
- 10:50-11:10
- 11:50-12:10
- 13:10-13:50
- 15:15-15:45
By providing a clean and clutter-free representation of ICT Macros, this indicator empowers traders to make more informed decisions, optimize and build their strategies based on Time.
Massive shoutout to @reastruth for his ICT Macros Indicator , and for allowing to create one of my own, go check him out!
Indicator Features:
– Track ongoing ICT Macros to aid your Live analysis.
- Gain valuable insights by hovering over the plotted ICT Macros to reveal tooltips with interval information.
– Plot the ICT Macros in one of two ways:
"On Chart": visualize ICT Macro timeframes directly on your chart, with automatic adjustments as Price moves.
Pro Tip: toggle Projections to see exactly where Macros begin and end without difficulty.
"New Pane": move the indicator two a New Pane to see both Live and Upcoming Macro events with ease in a dedicated section
Pro Tip: this section can be collapsed by double-clicking on the main chart, allowing for seamless trading preparation.
This indicator is available only on the TradingView platform.
⚠️ Open Source ⚠️
Coders and TV users are authorized to copy this code base, but a paid distribution is prohibited. A mention to the original author is expected, and appreciated.
⚠️ Terms and Conditions ⚠️
This financial tool is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Users assume responsibility for decisions made based on the tool's information. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. By using this tool, users agree to these terms.
ICT Macros by CryptoforICT Macros by Cryptofor
Time periods in which the price is most volatile. At this time, the algorithm is programmed to attack liquidity or fill a significant FVG from which the OF can continue.
Plots of macros:
1. London Macros:
02:33 - 03:00
04:03 - 04:30
2. New York AM Macros:
08:50 - 09:10
09:50 - 10:10
10:50 - 11:10
3. New York Lunch + PM Macros:
11:50 - 12:10
13:10 - 13:40
15:15 - 15:45
Features:
Flexible line settings
Flexible text settings
Display data for all time or for the last 24 hours
Switch for each type of macro
Macro background color settings
