XAUUSD Multi-Timeframe Bias Scanner🎯 Purpose & Overview
This is a sophisticated trading indicator that analyzes XAUUSD (Gold) across 5 different timeframes simultaneously to determine market bias and trend direction.
⚙️ Core Components
2. Bias Calculation Engine
The heart of the indicator uses 5 technical factors to score each timeframe:
Technical Factors (Weighted):
Moving Average Alignment (30 points)
Bullish: EMA(9) > EMA(21) > EMA(50)
Bearish: EMA(9) < EMA(21) < EMA(50)
Price vs MA Position (20 points)
Score increases when price above MAs
Score decreases when price below MAs
RSI Momentum (20 points)
Bullish: RSI > 60 or > 50
Bearish: RSI < 40 or < 50
MACD Signals (15 points)
Bullish: MACD line > Signal line AND > 0
Bearish: MACD line < Signal line AND < 0
Volume Confirmation (15 points)
Volume spikes with price movement add confirmation
📊 Timeframe Analysis
Five Timeframes Monitored:
5-minute - Short-term noise (10% weight)
15-minute - Intraday direction (15% weight)
1-hour - Key intraday bias (25% weight)
4-hour - Primary directional bias (30% weight)
1-day - Overall trend context (20% weight)
Bias Scoring System:
0-100 Scale (50 = Neutral)
STRONG BULLISH: ≥70 (Green)
BULLISH: 55-69 (Lime)
NEUTRAL: 46-54 (Gray)
BEARISH: 31-45 (Orange)
STRONG BEARISH: ≤30 (Red)
🎨 Visual Features
1. Comprehensive Table Display
pinescript
var table biasTable = table.new(position.top_right, 3, 7, ...)
Shows a color-coded table with:
Timeframe name
Numerical bias score (0-100)
Strength description with color coding
2. Chart Visual Indicators
Background coloring based on overall bias
Label markers for strong bullish/bearish conditions
Real-time label showing all timeframe scores
3. Alert System
Triggers when overall bias crosses 70 (bullish) or 30 (bearish)
Configurable with sound options
🔄 How It Processes Data
Data Flow:
Requests security data for each timeframe using request.security()
Calculates technical indicators for each TF separately
Scores each TF based on 5 technical factors
Computes weighted overall bias
Updates visual displays and checks alert conditions
💡 Trading Applications
Bullish Scenarios:
Multiple timeframes show bullish alignment
Higher timeframe bias supports lower timeframe direction
Overall score > 70 indicates strong bullish conviction
Bearish Scenarios:
Multiple timeframes show bearish alignment
Higher timeframe bias confirms lower timeframe moves
Overall score < 30 indicates strong bearish conviction
Conflict Detection:
When timeframes show conflicting biases
Caution required - market may be consolidating
Wait for alignment before taking trades
🎚️ Customization Options
Users can modify:
Timeframe weights
Technical indicator parameters
Alert thresholds
Visual display preferences
Scoring sensitivity
📈 XAUUSD Specific Optimizations
The indicator considers Gold's unique characteristics:
High volatility periods
ATR-based volatility adjustments
Volume confirmation for breakouts
Multiple timeframe confirmation for trend reliability
This creates a powerful tool for identifying high-probability trade setups in XAUUSD by ensuring traders have a complete multi-timeframe perspective before entering positions.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "bear"
Kalman Trend Sniper# KALMAN TREND SNIPER
## ORIGINALITY STATEMENT
The Kalman Trend Sniper combines adaptive trend detection with precision entry validation to identify high-probability trading opportunities. Unlike static moving averages that use fixed parameters, this indicator adapts to changing market volatility through ATR-based gain adjustment and distinguishes trending from ranging markets using ADX regime detection.
The indicator's unique contribution is its three-phase entry validation system: signals must hold for three bars, undergo a pullback test to the signal level, and receive confirmation through price action before generating an entry. This structured approach helps traders enter established trends at favorable retracement levels rather than chasing momentum.
---
## TECHNICAL METHODOLOGY
### Kalman Filter Implementation
This indicator implements an Alpha-Beta variant of the Kalman filter, a recursive algorithm that estimates trend from noisy price data:
1. Prediction: kf = kf + velocity
2. Error calculation: error = price - kf
3. Correction: kf = kf + gain * error
4. Velocity update: velocity = velocity + (gain * error) / 2
The gain parameter determines filter responsiveness. Higher gain values track price more closely but increase noise sensitivity, while lower values provide smoother output but lag price changes.
### Adaptive Gain Mechanism
The indicator adjusts gain dynamically based on volatility:
Volatility Factor = Current ATR / Long-term ATR
Adaptive Gain = Base Gain * (0.7 + 0.6 * Volatility Factor)
This ATR ratio increases responsiveness during high-volatility periods and reduces sensitivity during consolidations, addressing the fixed-parameter limitation of traditional moving averages. The volatility factor is bounded between configurable minimum and maximum values to prevent extreme adjustments.
### Regime Detection
The indicator uses the Average Directional Index (ADX) to distinguish market conditions:
- Trending markets (ADX above threshold): Full gain applied, signals generated
- Ranging markets (ADX below threshold): Gain reduced 25%, fewer signals
This regime awareness helps reduce whipsaw signals during sideways consolidation periods.
### Signal Line Validation System
When the Kalman line changes direction in trending conditions, the indicator draws a horizontal signal line at the low (for long signals) or high (for short signals) of the signal candle. This line represents a potential support or resistance level.
The validation system then monitors three phases:
Phase 1 - Hold Period: Price must remain above (long) or below (short) the signal line for three consecutive bars. This requirement filters weak signals where price immediately violates the signal level.
Phase 2 - Test: After the hold period, the system waits for price to pull back and touch the signal line, with configurable tolerance for volatile instruments.
Phase 3 - Confirmation: Within eight bars of the test, a confirmation candle must close above (long) or below (short) the test candle's body, demonstrating renewed momentum. If confirmation does not occur within eight bars, the validation attempt expires.
Successful validation generates an R label at the entry point. This three-phase structure helps identify entries where trend direction and support/resistance validation align.
---
## USAGE INSTRUCTIONS
### Signal Interpretation
Triangle Signals:
- Upward triangle (teal): Kalman line turns bullish in trending market (ADX above threshold)
- Downward triangle (red): Kalman line turns bearish in trending market
Signal Lines (horizontal):
- Teal line: Potential long support level at signal candle low
- Red line: Potential short resistance level at signal candle high
- Gray line: First opposite-color candle after signal (initial reversal pressure)
R Labels (optional, disabled by default):
- Green R below price: Validation complete for long entry
- Red R above price: Validation complete for short entry
Stop Levels:
- Red dots: Long stop level (Kalman line minus ATR multiplier)
- Teal dots: Short stop level (Kalman line plus ATR multiplier)
### Dashboard Information
The dashboard displays real-time indicator state:
- Trend: Current Kalman direction (BULL/BEAR)
- Regime: Market classification (Trending when ADX exceeds threshold, Ranging otherwise)
- Gain: Current adaptive gain value
- Vol Factor: Volatility ratio (current ATR / long-term ATR)
- ADX: Trend strength (higher values indicate stronger trends)
- Z-Score: Standard deviation distance from Kalman line (when enabled)
- Stop Dist: Current ATR-based stop distance
- Lines: Number of active signal lines displayed
- R-Status: Validation system state (Idle / Waiting / Testing)
### Trading Applications
Trend Following Approach:
1. Wait for triangle signal in trending market (ADX above threshold)
2. Enter immediately at signal candle close or wait for pullback
3. Place stop at displayed stop level
4. Trail stop using Kalman line as dynamic support/resistance
Validation Entry Approach (conservative):
1. After triangle signal, observe three-bar hold period
2. Wait for pullback to signal line (test phase)
3. Enter on R label confirmation
4. Place stop below/above signal line
5. Provides higher probability entries but reduces trade frequency
Z-Score Mean Reversion (when enabled):
1. Watch for Z-Score exceeding entry threshold (default +/-2.0)
2. Consider counter-trend entries when price touches Kalman line
3. Target return to Kalman line (Z-Score near zero)
4. Use Z-Score threshold as stop level for extreme continuation
### Optimal Conditions
The indicator performs optimally in clearly trending markets where ADX consistently exceeds the threshold. Performance degrades in sideways, choppy conditions.
Recommended timeframes:
- 1-5 minute charts: Use Crypto_1M preset (faster adaptation)
- 15-60 minute charts: Use Crypto_15M preset (balanced)
- Hourly charts: Use Forex preset (smoother)
- Daily charts: Use Stocks_Daily preset (long-term trends)
Market conditions:
- High volatility (Vol Factor above 1.5): Expect faster adaptation, wider stops needed
- Normal volatility (Vol Factor 0.7-1.5): Standard behavior
- Low volatility (Vol Factor below 0.7): Expect slower adaptation, tighter stops possible
---
## PARAMETER DOCUMENTATION
### Kalman Filter Settings
Preset Mode: Select optimized configuration for specific markets
- Custom: Manual parameter control
- Crypto_1M: Base Gain 0.05, ATR 7 (fast response for 1-5 minute crypto charts)
- Crypto_15M: Base Gain 0.03, ATR 14 (balanced for 15-60 minute crypto charts)
- Forex: Base Gain 0.02, ATR 14 (standard for forex pairs)
- Stocks_Daily: Base Gain 0.01, ATR 20 (smooth for daily stock charts)
Base Gain (0.001-0.2): Core Kalman filter responsiveness parameter. Higher values increase sensitivity to price changes. Low values (0.01-0.02) provide smooth output with fewer whipsaws but slower trend changes. High values (0.06-0.08) offer fast response with more signals but increased whipsaw risk.
Adaptive (checkbox): When enabled, automatically adjusts gain based on ATR ratio. Recommended to keep enabled for dynamic volatility adaptation.
ATR (5-50): Short-term Average True Range period for current volatility measurement. Default 14 is industry standard. Lower values respond faster to volatility changes.
Long ATR (20-200): Long-term ATR period for baseline volatility comparison. Default 50 provides stable reference. The ratio between ATR and Long ATR determines adaptive adjustment magnitude.
Regime Filter (checkbox): Enables ADX-based trending/ranging detection. When enabled, reduces gain by 25 percent during ranging markets to minimize false signals.
ADX Period (7-30): Period for ADX calculation. Default 14 is standard. Lower values respond faster to trend strength changes.
Threshold (15-40): ADX level distinguishing trending from ranging markets. Default 25. Above threshold: trending (generate signals normally). Below threshold: ranging (reduce sensitivity).
Min Vol / Max Vol (0.3-3.0): Bounds for volatility factor adjustment. Prevents extreme gain changes during unusual volatility spikes or quiet periods. Default minimum 0.5, maximum 2.0.
Stop ATR x (1.0-3.0): Multiplier for ATR-based stop loss distance. Default 2.0 places stops two ATRs from Kalman line. Use 1.5 for tight stops (intraday), 2.5-3.0 for wide stops (swing trading).
Show Signals (checkbox): Displays triangle signals when Kalman changes direction in trending markets. Disable to use indicator purely as dynamic support/resistance without signals.
Z-Score (checkbox): Enables mean-reversion signal generation based on statistical deviation from Kalman line.
Period (10-100): Lookback period for Z-Score standard deviation calculation. Default 20 bars. Longer periods produce smoother, less sensitive readings.
Entry (1.5-3.5): Standard deviation threshold for Z-Score signals. Default 2.0 generates signals at plus/minus two standard deviations (approximately 95th percentile moves).
Bull / Bear Colors: Customize Kalman line colors for uptrend (default teal) and downtrend (default red).
Fill (checkbox): Shows semi-transparent fill between price and Kalman line for visual trend emphasis.
### Signal Line System Settings
Signal Lines (checkbox): Displays horizontal signal lines at low (long) or high (short) of signal candles. These function as dynamic support/resistance levels.
Reverse Lines (checkbox): Shows gray horizontal lines at first opposite-colored candle after signal. Helps identify initial resistance points in new trends.
Max Lines (0-20): Maximum number of signal lines to display simultaneously. Older lines are removed as new signals appear. Use 1-2 for clean charts, 3-5 for recent support/resistance history.
Style (Solid/Dotted/Dashed): Visual style for signal and reverse lines. Dotted provides subtle appearance, solid is most prominent.
Line % / Label % (0-100): Transparency percentage for lines and labels. Zero is fully opaque, 100 is invisible.
R Labels (checkbox): Shows R labels when validation confirmation occurs. Default disabled. Enable if you want visual confirmation of successful pullback entries.
Tolerance % (0-1.0): Price deviation tolerance for test candle detection. Zero requires exact touch. 0.5 allows 0.5 percent deviation for volatile instruments.
### Dashboard Settings
Show Dashboard (checkbox): Toggles visibility of information panel. Disable for clean chart presentation.
Position: Choose dashboard location from nine positions (Top/Middle/Bottom combined with Left/Center/Right).
---
## LIMITATIONS AND WARNINGS
This indicator is a technical analysis tool that processes historical price data. It does not predict future price movements.
Inherent limitations:
1. Lagging nature: Like all trend indicators, the Kalman filter lags price. Signals occur after trend changes begin, not before.
2. Ranging markets: Generates fewer signals and reduced performance when ADX falls below threshold. Not optimized for sideways consolidation.
3. Whipsaw risk: In choppy, indecisive markets near ADX threshold, signals may reverse quickly despite regime filtering.
4. Parameter sensitivity: Inappropriate Base Gain settings can cause over-trading (too high) or missed trends (too low).
5. Validation requirement: The three-phase confirmation system provides higher accuracy but significantly reduces trade frequency. Not all trends produce valid pullback entries.
Not suitable for:
- Scalping strategies requiring instant signals (Kalman filter has intentional smoothing)
- Ultra-high frequency trading (indicator updates once per bar close)
- Markets with extreme overnight gaps (stops may be exceeded)
- Strategies requiring signals on Heikin Ashi, Renko, Kagi, Point and Figure, or Range charts
Risk management requirements:
This indicator provides trend direction and signal levels but does not incorporate position sizing, risk management, or account balance considerations. Users must implement appropriate position sizing, maximum daily loss limits, and portfolio diversification. Past performance does not indicate future results.
Optimal usage:
- Works optimally in clearly trending markets where ADX consistently exceeds threshold
- Performance degrades in sideways, choppy conditions
- Designed for swing trading and position trading timeframes (15-minute and above)
- Requires confirmation from price action or additional technical analysis
---
## NO REPAINT GUARANTEE
This indicator operates on bar close confirmation only. All signals, signal lines, and validation labels appear exclusively when candles close. Historical signals remain exactly where they appeared. This makes the indicator suitable for automated trading and reliable backtesting. What you see in historical data matches what appeared in real-time.
---
## ALERTS
The indicator provides eight alert conditions:
1. Kalman Buy Signal: Fires when upward triangle appears (bullish trend change in trending market)
2. Kalman Sell Signal: Fires when downward triangle appears (bearish trend change in trending market)
3. Trend Change to Bullish: Fires whenever Kalman line changes to bullish (regardless of ADX)
4. Trend Change to Bearish: Fires whenever Kalman line changes to bearish (regardless of ADX)
5. SCT-R Long Retest Confirmed: Fires when green R label appears for long validation
6. SCT-R Short Retest Confirmed: Fires when red R label appears for short validation
7. SCT Test Long Detected: Fires when test candle appears for long signal (before confirmation)
8. SCT Test Short Detected: Fires when test candle appears for short signal (before confirmation)
Alert messages include context about bar close confirmation and current price levels.
---
## CALCULATION TRANSPARENCY
While complete proprietary optimization methodology is not disclosed, the core technical approach is fully explained: Alpha-Beta Kalman filter with ATR-based adaptive gain adjustment and ADX regime detection. The signal line validation system uses a three-phase structure (hold, test, confirmation) with configurable parameters. Users can understand indicator functionality and make informed decisions about application.
---
## DISCLAIMER
This indicator is provided as a technical analysis tool. It does not constitute financial advice, trading recommendations, or performance guarantees. All trading decisions carry risk. Users are responsible for their own trading decisions and risk management. Past results do not indicate future performance.
Scout Regiment - OBV# Scout Regiment - OBV Indicator
## English Documentation
### Overview
Scout Regiment - OBV (On-Balance Volume) is an advanced momentum indicator that combines volume and price movement to identify the strength of buying and selling pressure. This indicator features an oscillator-based approach with divergence detection to help traders spot potential trend reversals and confirm price movements.
### What is OBV?
On-Balance Volume (OBV) is a cumulative volume indicator that adds volume on up days and subtracts volume on down days:
- **Rising OBV**: Accumulation (buying pressure)
- **Falling OBV**: Distribution (selling pressure)
- **OBV Oscillator**: The difference between OBV and its smoothed moving average, making divergences easier to spot
### Key Features
#### 1. **OBV Oscillator Display**
Instead of displaying raw OBV values, this indicator shows the oscillator (difference between OBV and its smoothed line):
**Benefits:**
- Easier to identify divergences
- Clearer trend changes
- More sensitive to momentum shifts
- Zero line as reference point
**Visual Elements:**
- **Step Line**: Main OBV oscillator line
- Green: Positive oscillator (accumulation)
- Red: Negative oscillator (distribution)
- **Histogram**: Visual representation of oscillator strength
- Green bars: Above zero line
- Red bars: Below zero line
- **Zero Line**: White dotted horizontal line as reference
#### 2. **Smoothing Options**
Choose from multiple moving average types to smooth the OBV:
- **None**: Raw OBV (most sensitive)
- **SMA**: Simple Moving Average (equal weight)
- **EMA**: Exponential Moving Average (recent price emphasis) - Default
- **SMMA (RMA)**: Smoothed Moving Average (very smooth)
- **WMA**: Weighted Moving Average (linear weight)
- **VWMA**: Volume Weighted Moving Average (volume emphasis)
**Default Settings:**
- Type: EMA
- Length: 21 periods
- Best for: Most market conditions
#### 3. **Multi-Timeframe Analysis**
- Calculate OBV on any timeframe
- View higher timeframe momentum on lower timeframe charts
- Align trades with larger timeframe volume trends
- Empty field = Current chart timeframe
#### 4. **Visual Enhancements**
**Background Color**
- Light green: Positive oscillator (bullish volume pressure)
- Light red: Negative oscillator (bearish volume pressure)
- Optional display for cleaner charts
**Crossover Labels**
- "突破" (Breakout): When oscillator crosses above zero
- "跌破" (Breakdown): When oscillator crosses below zero
- Indicates potential trend changes
- Can be toggled on/off
#### 5. **Comprehensive Divergence Detection**
The indicator automatically detects four types of divergences:
**Regular Bullish Divergence (Yellow)**
- **Price**: Makes lower lows
- **OBV**: Makes higher lows
- **Signal**: Potential upward reversal
- **Label**: "看涨" (Bullish)
- **Use**: Enter long positions
**Regular Bearish Divergence (Blue)**
- **Price**: Makes higher highs
- **OBV**: Makes lower highs
- **Signal**: Potential downward reversal
- **Label**: "看跌" (Bearish)
- **Use**: Enter short positions or exit longs
**Hidden Bullish Divergence (Light Yellow)**
- **Price**: Makes higher lows
- **OBV**: Makes lower lows
- **Signal**: Trend continuation (uptrend)
- **Label**: "隐藏看涨" (Hidden Bullish)
- **Use**: Add to long positions
**Hidden Bearish Divergence (Light Blue)**
- **Price**: Makes lower highs
- **OBV**: Makes higher highs
- **Signal**: Trend continuation (downtrend)
- **Label**: "隐藏看跌" (Hidden Bearish)
- **Use**: Add to short positions
#### 6. **Customizable Divergence Detection**
**Pivot Lookback Settings:**
- **Left Lookback**: Bars to the left of pivot (default: 5)
- **Right Lookback**: Bars to the right of pivot (default: 5)
- Determines how "extreme" a point must be to qualify as a pivot
**Range Settings:**
- **Maximum Range**: Maximum bars between pivots (default: 60)
- **Minimum Range**: Minimum bars between pivots (default: 5)
- Filters out too-close or too-distant divergences
**Display Options:**
- Toggle regular divergences on/off
- Toggle hidden divergences on/off
- Toggle divergence labels on/off
- Show only the divergences you need
### Configuration Settings
#### Smoothing Settings
- **Smoothing Type**: Choose MA type (None/SMA/EMA/SMMA/WMA/VWMA)
- **Smoothing Length**: Number of periods for smoothing (default: 21)
#### Calculation Settings
- **Timeframe**: Select calculation timeframe (empty = current chart)
#### Display Settings
- **Show OBV Line**: Toggle step line display
- **Show OBV Histogram**: Toggle histogram display
- **Show Background Color**: Toggle background coloring
- **Show Crossover Labels**: Toggle breakout/breakdown labels
#### Divergence Settings
- **Pivot Right Lookback**: Right bars for pivot detection (default: 5)
- **Pivot Left Lookback**: Left bars for pivot detection (default: 5)
- **Range Maximum**: Max bars between divergences (default: 60)
- **Range Minimum**: Min bars between divergences (default: 5)
- **Show Regular Divergences**: Enable/disable regular divergences
- **Show Regular Labels**: Enable/disable regular divergence labels
- **Show Hidden Divergences**: Enable/disable hidden divergences
- **Show Hidden Labels**: Enable/disable hidden divergence labels
### How to Use
#### For Trend Confirmation
1. **Identify Trend with Price**
- Uptrend: Higher highs and higher lows
- Downtrend: Lower highs and lower lows
2. **Confirm with OBV Oscillator**
- Strong uptrend: OBV oscillator staying positive
- Strong downtrend: OBV oscillator staying negative
- Weak trend: OBV oscillator frequently crossing zero
3. **Volume Confirmation**
- Trend with increasing OBV = Strong trend
- Trend with decreasing OBV = Weak trend (watch for reversal)
#### For Divergence Trading
1. **Enable Divergence Detection**
- Start with regular divergences only
- Add hidden divergences for trend continuation
2. **Wait for Divergence Signal**
- Yellow label = Potential bullish reversal
- Blue label = Potential bearish reversal
3. **Confirm with Price Action**
- Wait for support/resistance break
- Look for candlestick confirmation
- Check higher timeframe alignment
4. **Enter Trade**
- Enter after confirmation
- Set stop loss beyond recent swing
- Target based on previous swing or support/resistance
#### For Breakout Trading
1. **Enable Crossover Labels**
- Identify when oscillator crosses zero line
2. **Confirm Volume Strength**
- Strong breakouts have large oscillator moves
- Weak breakouts barely cross zero
3. **Trade Direction**
- "突破" label = Enter long
- "跌破" label = Enter short
4. **Manage Position**
- Exit when oscillator crosses back
- Use price structure for stops
#### For Multi-Timeframe Analysis
1. **Set Higher Timeframe**
- Example: On 15min chart, set timeframe to 1H or 4H
2. **Identify Higher Timeframe Trend**
- Positive oscillator = Uptrend bias
- Negative oscillator = Downtrend bias
3. **Trade with the Trend**
- Only take long signals in uptrend
- Only take short signals in downtrend
4. **Time Entries**
- Use current timeframe for precise entry
- Confirm with higher timeframe direction
### Trading Strategies
#### Strategy 1: Regular Divergence Reversal
**Setup:**
1. Price in strong trend (up or down)
2. Regular divergence appears
3. Price reaches support/resistance level
**Entry:**
- Bullish: After "看涨" label, when price breaks above recent high
- Bearish: After "看跌" label, when price breaks below recent low
**Stop Loss:**
- Bullish: Below divergence low
- Bearish: Above divergence high
**Exit:**
- Take profit at next major support/resistance
- Or when opposite divergence appears
**Best For:** Swing trading, reversal trading
#### Strategy 2: Hidden Divergence Continuation
**Setup:**
1. Clear trend established
2. Price pulls back (retracement)
3. Hidden divergence appears
**Entry:**
- Bullish: After "隐藏看涨" label, when price resumes uptrend
- Bearish: After "隐藏看跌" label, when price resumes downtrend
**Stop Loss:**
- Behind the pullback swing point
**Exit:**
- Trail stop as trend continues
- Exit on regular divergence (reversal signal)
**Best For:** Trend following, adding to positions
#### Strategy 3: Zero Line Crossover
**Setup:**
1. Enable crossover labels
2. Oscillator crosses zero line
3. Confirm with price structure break
**Entry:**
- "突破" label = Buy signal
- "跌破" label = Sell signal
**Stop Loss:**
- Below/above recent swing
**Exit:**
- When oscillator crosses back over zero
- Or at predetermined target
**Best For:** Momentum trading, quick trades
#### Strategy 4: Multi-Timeframe Confluence
**Setup:**
1. Set indicator to higher timeframe (e.g., 4H on 1H chart)
2. Wait for higher TF oscillator to be positive (uptrend) or negative (downtrend)
3. Look for entries on current timeframe aligned with higher TF
**Entry:**
- Long: When both timeframes show positive oscillator or bullish divergence
- Short: When both timeframes show negative oscillator or bearish divergence
**Stop Loss:**
- Based on current timeframe structure
**Exit:**
- When higher timeframe oscillator turns negative (for longs) or positive (for shorts)
**Best For:** Swing trading, high-probability setups
### Best Practices
#### Volume Analysis
1. **Strong Moves Need Volume**
- Price increase + Rising OBV = Healthy uptrend
- Price increase + Falling OBV = Weak uptrend (warning)
2. **Watch for Confirmation**
- New highs with new OBV highs = Confirmed
- New highs without new OBV highs = Potential divergence
3. **Consider Context**
- Low volume periods (Asian session, holidays) = Less reliable
- High volume periods (News, London/NY overlap) = More reliable
#### Divergence Trading Tips
1. **Not All Divergences Work**
- Wait for price confirmation
- Stronger in oversold/overbought areas
- Better at support/resistance levels
2. **Multiple Divergences**
- Multiple divergences on same trend = Stronger signal
- Quick divergence failures = Ignore and wait for next
3. **Timeframe Matters**
- Higher timeframe divergences = More reliable
- Lower timeframe divergences = More frequent, less reliable
#### Smoothing Selection
1. **No Smoothing (None)**
- Most sensitive, more signals
- More noise, more false signals
- Best for: Scalping, very active trading
2. **EMA (Default)**
- Balanced approach
- Good for most strategies
- Best for: Swing trading, day trading
3. **SMMA (RMA)**
- Very smooth, fewer signals
- Less responsive to sudden changes
- Best for: Position trading, longer timeframes
### Indicator Combinations
**With Moving Averages:**
- Use EMAs for trend direction
- OBV for volume confirmation
- Enter when both align
**With RSI:**
- RSI for overbought/oversold
- OBV for volume confirmation
- Divergences on both = Stronger signal
**With Price Action:**
- Support/resistance for levels
- OBV for strength confirmation
- Breakouts with positive OBV = More likely to succeed
**With Bias Indicator:**
- Bias for price deviation
- OBV for volume confirmation
- Both showing divergence = High probability reversal
### Common Patterns
1. **Accumulation**: OBV rising while price consolidates (breakout likely)
2. **Distribution**: OBV falling while price consolidates (breakdown likely)
3. **Confirmation**: OBV and price both making new highs/lows (trend strong)
4. **Divergence**: OBV and price moving opposite directions (reversal warning)
5. **False Breakout**: Price breaks but OBV doesn't confirm (likely to fail)
### Performance Tips
- Disable unused display features for faster loading
- Start with regular divergences only, add hidden later
- Use histogram for quick visual reference
- Enable crossover labels for clear entry signals
- Test different smoothing lengths for your market
### Alert Conditions
The indicator includes alerts for:
- Regular bullish divergence detected
- Regular bearish divergence detected
- Hidden bullish divergence detected
- Hidden bearish divergence detected
**How to Set Alerts:**
1. Click on the indicator name
2. Select "Add Alert"
3. Choose condition
4. Configure notification method
---
## 中文说明文档
### 概述
Scout Regiment - OBV（能量潮）是一个高级动量指标，结合成交量和价格变动来识别买卖压力的强度。该指标采用振荡器方法并具有背离检测功能，帮助交易者发现潜在的趋势反转并确认价格走势。
### 什么是OBV？
能量潮（OBV）是一个累积成交量指标，在上涨日累加成交量，在下跌日减去成交量：
- **上升的OBV**：积累（买入压力）
- **下降的OBV**：派发（卖出压力）
- **OBV振荡器**：OBV与其平滑移动平均线之间的差值，使背离更容易识别
### 核心功能
#### 1. **OBV振荡器显示**
该指标不显示原始OBV值，而是显示振荡器（OBV与其平滑线之间的差值）：
**优势：**
- 更容易识别背离
- 趋势变化更清晰
- 对动量变化更敏感
- 零线作为参考点
**视觉元素：**
- **阶梯线**：主OBV振荡器线
- 绿色：正振荡器（积累）
- 红色：负振荡器（派发）
- **柱状图**：振荡器强度的可视化表示
- 绿色柱：零线以上
- 红色柱：零线以下
- **零线**：白色虚线作为参考
#### 2. **平滑选项**
选择多种移动平均类型来平滑OBV：
- **None**：原始OBV（最敏感）
- **SMA**：简单移动平均（等权重）
- **EMA**：指数移动平均（强调近期价格）- 默认
- **SMMA (RMA)**：平滑移动平均（非常平滑）
- **WMA**：加权移动平均（线性权重）
- **VWMA**：成交量加权移动平均（强调成交量）
**默认设置：**
- 类型：EMA
- 长度：21周期
- 适合：大多数市场状况
#### 3. **多时间框架分析**
- 在任何时间框架上计算OBV
- 在低时间框架图表上查看高时间框架动量
- 使交易与更大时间框架的成交量趋势保持一致
- 空字段 = 当前图表时间框架
#### 4. **视觉增强**
**背景颜色**
- 浅绿色：正振荡器（看涨成交量压力）
- 浅红色：负振荡器（看跌成交量压力）
- 可选显示，图表更清爽
**穿越标签**
- "突破"：振荡器向上穿越零线
- "跌破"：振荡器向下穿越零线
- 指示潜在趋势变化
- 可开关
#### 5. **全面的背离检测**
指标自动检测四种类型的背离：
**常规看涨背离（黄色）**
- **价格**：创新低
- **OBV**：创更高的低点
- **信号**：潜在向上反转
- **标签**："看涨"
- **用途**：进入多头仓位
**常规看跌背离（蓝色）**
- **价格**：创新高
- **OBV**：创更低的高点
- **信号**：潜在向下反转
- **标签**："看跌"
- **用途**：进入空头仓位或退出多头
**隐藏看涨背离（浅黄色）**
- **价格**：创更高的低点
- **OBV**：创更低的低点
- **信号**：趋势延续（上升趋势）
- **标签**："隐藏看涨"
- **用途**：加仓多头
**隐藏看跌背离（浅蓝色）**
- **价格**：创更低的高点
- **OBV**：创更高的高点
- **信号**：趋势延续（下降趋势）
- **标签**："隐藏看跌"
- **用途**：加仓空头
#### 6. **可自定义的背离检测**
**枢轴回溯设置：**
- **左侧回溯**：枢轴点左侧K线数（默认：5）
- **右侧回溯**：枢轴点右侧K线数（默认：5）
- 决定一个点要多"极端"才能成为枢轴点
**范围设置：**
- **最大范围**：枢轴点之间最大K线数（默认：60）
- **最小范围**：枢轴点之间最小K线数（默认：5）
- 过滤太近或太远的背离
**显示选项：**
- 开关常规背离
- 开关隐藏背离
- 开关背离标签
- 只显示需要的背离
### 配置设置
#### 平滑设置
- **平滑类型**：选择MA类型（None/SMA/EMA/SMMA/WMA/VWMA）
- **平滑长度**：平滑周期数（默认：21）
#### 计算设置
- **时间周期**：选择计算时间框架（空 = 当前图表）
#### 显示设置
- **显示OBV点线**：切换阶梯线显示
- **显示OBV柱状图**：切换柱状图显示
- **显示背景颜色**：切换背景着色
- **显示突破标签**：切换突破/跌破标签
#### 背离设置
- **枢轴右侧回溯**：枢轴检测右侧K线数（默认：5）
- **枢轴左侧回溯**：枢轴检测左侧K线数（默认：5）
- **回看范围最大值**：背离之间最大K线数（默认：60）
- **回看范围最小值**：背离之间最小K线数（默认：5）
- **显示常规背离**：启用/禁用常规背离
- **显示常规背离标签**：启用/禁用常规背离标签
- **显示隐藏背离**：启用/禁用隐藏背离
- **显示隐藏背离标签**：启用/禁用隐藏背离标签
### 使用方法
#### 趋势确认
1. **用价格识别趋势**
- 上升趋势：更高的高点和更高的低点
- 下降趋势：更低的高点和更低的低点
2. **用OBV振荡器确认**
- 强劲上升趋势：OBV振荡器保持正值
- 强劲下降趋势：OBV振荡器保持负值
- 弱势趋势：OBV振荡器频繁穿越零线
3. **成交量确认**
- 趋势伴随上升的OBV = 强趋势
- 趋势伴随下降的OBV = 弱趋势（注意反转）
#### 背离交易
1. **启用背离检测**
- 先从常规背离开始
- 添加隐藏背离用于趋势延续
2. **等待背离信号**
- 黄色标签 = 潜在看涨反转
- 蓝色标签 = 潜在看跌反转
3. **用价格行为确认**
- 等待支撑/阻力突破
- 寻找K线确认
- 检查更高时间框架对齐
4. **进入交易**
- 确认后进入
- 在近期波动之外设置止损
- 基于前一波动或支撑/阻力设定目标
#### 突破交易
1. **启用穿越标签**
- 识别振荡器何时穿越零线
2. **确认成交量强度**
- 强突破有大振荡器移动
- 弱突破勉强穿越零线
3. **交易方向**
- "突破"标签 = 进入多头
- "跌破"标签 = 进入空头
4. **管理仓位**
- 振荡器反向穿越时退出
- 使用价格结构设置止损
#### 多时间框架分析
1. **设置更高时间框架**
- 例如：在15分钟图上，设置时间框架为1H或4H
2. **识别更高时间框架趋势**
- 正振荡器 = 上升趋势偏向
- 负振荡器 = 下降趋势偏向
3. **顺趋势交易**
- 仅在上升趋势中接受多头信号
- 仅在下降趋势中接受空头信号
4. **把握入场时机**
- 使用当前时间框架进行精确进入
- 用更高时间框架方向确认
### 交易策略
#### 策略1：常规背离反转
**设置：**
1. 价格处于强趋势（上涨或下跌）
2. 出现常规背离
3. 价格到达支撑/阻力水平
**入场：**
- 看涨：在"看涨"标签后，价格突破近期高点时
- 看跌：在"看跌"标签后，价格跌破近期低点时
**止损：**
- 看涨：背离低点之下
- 看跌：背离高点之上
**退出：**
- 在下一个主要支撑/阻力获利
- 或出现相反背离时
**适合：**波段交易、反转交易
#### 策略2：隐藏背离延续
**设置：**
1. 建立明确趋势
2. 价格回调（回撤）
3. 出现隐藏背离
**入场：**
- 看涨：在"隐藏看涨"标签后，价格恢复上升趋势时
- 看跌：在"隐藏看跌"标签后，价格恢复下降趋势时
**止损：**
- 在回调波动点之后
**退出：**
- 随着趋势延续移动止损
- 出现常规背离（反转信号）时退出
**适合：**趋势跟随、加仓
#### 策略3：零线穿越
**设置：**
1. 启用穿越标签
2. 振荡器穿越零线
3. 用价格结构突破确认
**入场：**
- "突破"标签 = 买入信号
- "跌破"标签 = 卖出信号
**止损：**
- 近期波动之下/之上
**退出：**
- 振荡器反向穿越零线时
- 或在预定目标
**适合：**动量交易、快速交易
#### 策略4：多时间框架汇合
**设置：**
1. 设置指标到更高时间框架（例如，在1H图上设置4H）
2. 等待更高TF振荡器为正（上升趋势）或负（下降趋势）
3. 在当前时间框架上寻找与更高TF一致的入场机会
**入场：**
- 多头：两个时间框架都显示正振荡器或看涨背离时
- 空头：两个时间框架都显示负振荡器或看跌背离时
**止损：**
- 基于当前时间框架结构
**退出：**
- 更高时间框架振荡器变为负（多头）或正（空头）时
**适合：**波段交易、高概率设置
### 最佳实践
#### 成交量分析
1. **强势波动需要成交量**
- 价格上涨 + 上升的OBV = 健康上升趋势
- 价格上涨 + 下降的OBV = 弱上升趋势（警告）
2. **注意确认**
- 新高伴随新OBV高点 = 已确认
- 新高没有新OBV高点 = 潜在背离
3. **考虑背景**
- 低成交量期（亚洲时段、假期）= 可靠性较低
- 高成交量期（新闻、伦敦/纽约重叠）= 更可靠
#### 背离交易技巧
1. **不是所有背离都有效**
- 等待价格确认
- 在超卖/超买区域更强
- 在支撑/阻力水平更好
2. **多重背离**
- 同一趋势上多个背离 = 更强信号
- 背离快速失败 = 忽略并等待下一个
3. **时间框架重要**
- 更高时间框架背离 = 更可靠
- 更低时间框架背离 = 更频繁，可靠性较低
#### 平滑选择
1. **无平滑（None）**
- 最敏感，更多信号
- 更多噪音，更多假信号
- 适合：剥头皮、非常活跃的交易
2. **EMA（默认）**
- 平衡方法
- 适合大多数策略
- 适合：波段交易、日内交易
3. **SMMA (RMA)**
- 非常平滑，更少信号
- 对突然变化响应较慢
- 适合：仓位交易、更长时间框架
### 指标组合
**与移动平均线配合：**
- 使用EMA确定趋势方向
- OBV确认成交量
- 两者一致时进入
**与RSI配合：**
- RSI用于超买超卖
- OBV用于成交量确认
- 两者都背离 = 更强信号
**与价格行为配合：**
- 支撑/阻力确定水平
- OBV确认强度
- 正OBV的突破 = 更可能成功
**与Bias指标配合：**
- Bias用于价格偏离
- OBV用于成交量确认
- 两者都显示背离 = 高概率反转
### 常见形态
1. **积累**：OBV上升而价格盘整（突破可能）
2. **派发**：OBV下降而价格盘整（跌破可能）
3. **确认**：OBV和价格都创新高/新低（趋势强劲）
4. **背离**：OBV和价格反向移动（反转警告）
5. **假突破**：价格突破但OBV不确认（可能失败）
### 性能提示
- 禁用未使用的显示功能以加快加载
- 先从常规背离开始，稍后添加隐藏背离
- 使用柱状图快速视觉参考
- 启用穿越标签以获得清晰的入场信号
- 为您的市场测试不同的平滑长度
### 警报条件
指标包含以下警报：
- 检测到常规看涨背离
- 检测到常规看跌背离
- 检测到隐藏看涨背离
- 检测到隐藏看跌背离
**如何设置警报：**
1. 点击指标名称
2. 选择"添加警报"
3. 选择条件
4. 配置通知方法
---
## Technical Support
For questions or issues, please refer to the TradingView community or contact the indicator creator.
## 技术支持
如有问题，请参考TradingView社区或联系指标创建者。
ICT/SMC DOL Detector PRO (Final)This indicator is designed to operate only on the 1-hour timeframe.
The ICT/SMC DOL Detector PRO is an educational indicator designed to identify and visualize Draw on Liquidity (DOL) levels across multiple time-frames. It tracks unmitigated daily highs and lows, clusters them into zones, and calculates confidence scores based on multiple factors including time decay, cluster size, and time-frame alignment.
This indicator is based on ICT (Inner Circle Trader) concepts and liquidity theory, which suggests that price tends to seek out areas of concentrated unfilled orders before reversing or continuing its trend.
What is a DOL (Draw on Liquidity)?
A Draw on Liquidity represents a daily high or low that has not been revisited (mitigated) by price. These levels act as "magnets" that draw price toward them because:
1. They represent untapped liquidity pools where unfilled orders exist
2. Market makers and institutions often target these levels to fill large orders
3. Price is drawn to these zones to clear pending orders
4. They can serve as potential reversal or continuation zones once liquidity is taken
Methodology
1. Level Tracking
The indicator monitors daily session highs and lows on the 1-hour time-frame, tracking:
- Session high price and time of formation
- Session low price and time of formation
- Whether each level has been breached (mitigated)
- Time elapsed since level formation
2. Clustering Algorithm
Unmitigated levels within a defined tolerance (default 0.5% of price) are grouped together to identify zones where multiple DOLs cluster. Larger clusters indicate stronger liquidity pools.
3. Confidence Scoring (The "AI" Logic)
Each DOL receives a confidence score (0-100%) based on three weighted factors. This is the core "AI" intelligence of the indicator:
**Factor 1: Cluster Size (50% weight)**
- Counts how many unmitigated levels exist within 0.5% of the price zone
- Formula: (levels_in_cluster / total_unmitigated_levels) × 50
- Logic: More unfilled orders clustered together = stronger liquidity pool = higher confidence
- Example: If 5 out of 10 total unmitigated levels cluster at 27,500, cluster score = (5/10) × 50 = 25%
**Factor 2: Time Decay (25% weight)**
- Calculates age of the level since formation
- Fresh levels (< 1 week old): Full 25% score
- Aging penalty: Loses 5% per week of age
- Maximum penalty: 25% (very old levels = 0% time score)
- Formula: max(0, 25 - (weeks_old × 5))
- Logic: Recent liquidity is more relevant than old liquidity that price has ignored for months
**Factor 3: Timeframe Alignment (25% weight)**
- Checks how many timeframes (1H, 4H, D1, W1) point in the same direction
- If multiple timeframes identify DOLs on the same side (all bullish or all bearish): Higher score
- If mixed signals: Lower score
- Formula: (aligned_timeframes / total_timeframes) × 25
- Logic: When multiple timeframes agree, the liquidity zone is validated across different time perspectives
**Total Confidence Score:**
```
Confidence = Cluster_Score + Time_Score + Alignment_Score
= (0-50%) + (0-25%) + (0-25%)
= 0-100%
```
**Example Calculation:**
```
DOL at 27,500:
- 6 out of 12 unmitigated levels cluster here → (6/12) × 50 = 25%
- Level is 2 weeks old → 25 - (2 × 5) = 15%
- 3 out of 4 timeframes bullish toward this level → (3/4) × 25 = 18.75%
- Total Confidence = 25% + 15% + 18.75% = 58.75% ≈ 59%
```
This mathematical approach removes subjectivity and provides objective, data-driven confidence scoring.
4. Multi-Timeframe Analysis
The indicator analyzes DOLs across four timeframes:
- **1H:** Intraday levels (fastest reaction)
- **4H:** Short-term swing levels
- **Daily:** Intermediate-term levels
- **Weekly:** Long-term structural levels
For each timeframe, it identifies:
- Highest confidence unmitigated high
- Highest confidence unmitigated low
- Directional bias (bullish if high > low confidence, bearish if low > high confidence)
5. Primary DOL Selection (AI Auto-Selection Logic)
When "Show AI DOL" is enabled, the indicator uses an automated selection algorithm to identify the most important targets:
**Step 1: Collect All Candidates**
The algorithm gathers all identified DOLs from all timeframes (1H, 4H, D1, W1) that meet minimum criteria:
- Must be unmitigated (not yet swept)
- Must have confidence score > 0%
- Must have at least 1 level in cluster
**Step 2: Calculate Confidence for Each**
Each candidate DOL receives its confidence score using the three-factor formula described above (Cluster + Time + Alignment).
**Step 3: Sort by Confidence**
All candidates are ranked from highest to lowest confidence score.
**Step 4: Select Primary and Secondary**
- **P1 (Primary DOL):** The DOL with the absolute highest confidence score
- **P2 (Secondary DOL):** The DOL with the second highest confidence score
**Why This Matters:**
Instead of manually scanning multiple timeframes and guessing which level is most important, the AI objectively identifies the two highest-probability liquidity targets based on quantifiable data.
**Example AI Selection:**
```
Available DOLs:
- 1H High: 27,400
- 4H High: 27,500
- D1 High: 27,500 ← P1 (Highest)
- W1 High: 27,650 ← P2 (Second Highest)
- 1H Low: 26,800
- D1 Low: 26,500
AI Selection:
P1 = 27,500 (Daily High with 92% confidence)
P2 = 27,650 (Weekly High with 88% confidence)
```
This provides a data-driven target selection rather than subjective manual interpretation. The AI removes emotion and bias, selecting targets based purely on mathematical probability.
Features
Why "AI" DOL?
The term "AI" in this indicator refers to the automated algorithmic selection process, not machine learning or neural networks. Specifically:
**What the AI Does:**
- Automatically evaluates all available DOLs across all timeframes
- Applies a weighted scoring algorithm (Cluster 50%, Time 25%, Alignment 25%)
- Objectively ranks DOLs by probability
- Selects the top 2 highest-confidence targets (P1 and P2)
- Removes human bias and emotion from target selection
**What the AI Does NOT Do:**
- It does not use machine learning or train on historical data
- It does not predict future price movements
- It does not adapt or "learn" over time
- It does not guarantee accuracy
The "AI" is simply an automated decision-making algorithm that applies consistent mathematical rules to identify the most statistically significant liquidity zones. Think of it as a "smart filter" rather than artificial intelligence in the traditional sense.
Visual Components
**Daily Level Lines:**
- Green lines: Unmitigated (not yet breached) levels
- Red lines: Mitigated (already breached) levels
- Dots at origin point showing where level was formed
- X marker when level gets breached
- Lines extend forward to show projection
**DOL Labels:**
- Display timeframe (1H, 4H, D1, W1) or "DOL" for AI selection
- Show confidence percentage in brackets
- Color-coded by timeframe:
- Lime: AI DOL (Smart selection)
- Aqua: 1-hour timeframe
- Blue: 4-hour timeframe
- Purple: Daily timeframe
- Orange: Weekly timeframe
**Info Box (Top Right):**
Displays comprehensive liquidity metrics:
- Total levels tracked
- Active (unmitigated) levels count
- Cleared (mitigated) levels count
- Flow direction (BID PRESSURE / OFFER PRESSURE)
- Most recent sweep
- Primary and Secondary DOL targets
- Multi-timeframe bias analysis
- Overall directional bias
Settings Explained
**Daily Levels Group:**
- Show Daily Highs/Lows: Toggle visibility of all daily level tracking
- Unbreached Color: Color for levels not yet hit
- Breached Color: Color for levels that have been swept
- Show X on Breach: Display marker when level is breached
- Show Dot at Origin: Display marker at level formation point
- Line Width: Thickness of level lines (1-5)
- Line Extension: How many bars forward to project (1-24)
- Max Days to Track: Historical lookback period (5-200 days)
**DOL Settings Group:**
- Cluster Tolerance %: Price range to group DOLs (0.1-2.0%)
- Show Price on Labels: Display actual price value on labels
- Backtest Mode: Only show recent labels for clean historical analysis
- Labels Lookback: Number of bars to show labels when backtesting (10-500)
**Info Box Group:**
- Show Info Box: Toggle info panel visibility
**DOL Toggles Group:**
- Show AI DOL: Display smart auto-selected primary target
- Show 1HR DOL: Display 1-hour timeframe DOLs
- Show 4HR DOL: Display 4-hour timeframe DOLs
- Show Daily DOL: Display daily timeframe DOLs
- Show Weekly DOL: Display weekly timeframe DOLs
**Advanced Group:**
- Manual Mode: Simplified display showing only daily high/low clusters
How to Use This Indicator
Educational Application
This indicator is intended for educational purposes to help traders:
1. **Understand Liquidity Concepts:** Visualize where unfilled orders may exist
2. **Identify Key Levels:** See where price may be drawn to
3. **Analyze Market Structure:** Understand how price interacts with liquidity
4. **Study Multi-Timeframe Alignment:** Observe when multiple timeframes agree
5. **Learn ICT Concepts:** Apply liquidity theory in practice
Interpretation Guidelines
**BID PRESSURE (Flow):**
When lows are being swept more than highs, it suggests:
- Sell-side liquidity being taken
- Potential for upward move to unfilled buy-side liquidity
- Market may be clearing the way for a bullish move
**OFFER PRESSURE (Flow):**
When highs are being swept more than lows, it suggests:
- Buy-side liquidity being taken
- Potential for downward move to unfilled sell-side liquidity
- Market may be clearing the way for a bearish move
**Confidence Scores:**
- 90-100%: Very high probability zone (strong cluster, recent, aligned)
- 80-89%: High probability zone (good cluster, relatively recent)
- 70-79%: Moderate probability zone (decent cluster or older)
- 60-69%: Lower probability zone (small cluster or very old)
- Below 60%: Weak zone (minimal confluence)
**Timeframe Analysis:**
- All timeframes LONG: Strong bullish alignment
- All timeframes SHORT: Strong bearish alignment
- Mixed: Conflicting signals, exercise caution
- Higher timeframes (D1, W1) carry more weight than lower (1H, 4H)
**DIRECTIONAL Indicator:**
- BULLISH: Overall bias suggests upward movement toward buy-side DOLs
- BEARISH: Overall bias suggests downward movement toward sell-side DOLs
- NEUTRAL: No clear directional bias, conflicting signals
Practical Application Examples
**Example 1: Bullish Setup**
```
Flow: BID PRESSURE (lows being swept)
P1: 27,500 (price above current market)
D1: LONG 27,500
W1: LONG 27,650
DIRECTIONAL: BULLISH
```
Interpretation: Price has cleared sell-side liquidity. High confidence buy-side DOL at 27,500. Daily and Weekly timeframes aligned bullish. Watch for move toward 27,500 target.
**Example 2: Bearish Setup**
```
Flow: OFFER PRESSURE (highs being swept)
P1: 26,200 (price below current market)
D1: SHORT 26,200
W1: SHORT 26,100
DIRECTIONAL: BEARISH
```
Interpretation: Price has cleared buy-side liquidity. High confidence sell-side DOL at 26,200. Daily and Weekly timeframes aligned bearish. Watch for move toward 26,200 target.
**Example 3: Mixed Signals - Wait**
```
Flow: BID PRESSURE
P1: 26,800
D1: LONG 27,000
W1: SHORT 26,200
DIRECTIONAL: NEUTRAL
```
Interpretation: Conflicting signals. Flow suggests up, but Weekly bias is down. Confidence scores moderate. Better to wait for clarity.
Important Considerations
This Indicator Does NOT:
- Predict the future
- Guarantee profitable trades
- Provide buy/sell signals
- Replace proper risk management
- Work in isolation without other analysis
This Indicator DOES:
- Visualize liquidity concepts
- Identify potential target zones
- Show timeframe alignment
- Calculate objective confidence scores
- Help understand market structure
Proper Usage:
1. Use as one component of a complete trading strategy
2. Combine with price action analysis
3. Confirm with other technical indicators
4. Consider fundamental factors
5. Always use proper risk management
6. Backtest any strategy before live trading
Risk Disclaimer
**FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY**
This indicator is for educational purposes only. Trading financial markets involves substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
**Important Limitations:**
- No indicator is 100% accurate, including the AI selection
- The "AI" is an automated algorithm, not predictive artificial intelligence
- DOL levels can be swept and price can continue in the same direction
- Confidence scores are mathematical calculations, not predictions or probabilities of success
- High confidence does not mean guaranteed profit
- Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent
- Always use stop losses and proper position sizing
**Understanding the AI Component:**
The AI auto-selection feature uses a fixed mathematical formula to rank DOLs. It does not:
- Predict where price will go
- Learn from past performance
- Adapt to market conditions
- Guarantee any level of accuracy
The confidence score represents the mathematical strength of a liquidity cluster based on objective factors (cluster size, recency, timeframe alignment), NOT a probability of the trade succeeding.
**Risk Warning:**
Trading is risky. Most traders lose money. This indicator cannot change that fundamental reality. Use it as an educational tool to understand market structure, not as a trading signal or system.
Technical Requirements
- **Timeframe:** Best used on 1-hour charts (required for accurate daily level tracking)
- **Markets:** Works on any market (forex, crypto, stocks, futures, indices)
- **Updates:** Real-time calculation on each bar close
- **Resources:** Uses max 500 lines and 500 labels (TradingView limits)
Backtesting Features
The indicator includes "Backtest Mode" to keep historical charts clean:
- When enabled, only shows labels from recent bars
- Adjustable lookback period (10-500 bars)
- All lines remain visible
- Helps review past setups without clutter
To use:
1. Enable "Backtest Mode" in settings
2. Adjust "Labels Lookback" to desired period
3. Review historical price action
4. Disable for live trading
Credits and Methodology
This indicator implements concepts from:
- ICT (Inner Circle Trader) liquidity theory
- Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
- Order flow analysis
- Multi-timeframe analysis principles
The clustering algorithm, confidence scoring, and timeframe synthesis are original implementations designed to quantify and visualize these concepts.
Version History
**v1.0 - Initial Release**
- Multi-timeframe DOL detection
- Confidence scoring system
- Info box with liquidity metrics
- Backtest mode for clean charts
- Black/white professional theme
Support and Updates
For questions, feedback, or suggestions, please use the TradingView comments section. Updates and improvements will be released as needed based on user feedback and market evolution.
**Remember:** This is an educational tool. Successful trading requires knowledge, discipline, risk management, and continuous learning. Use this indicator to enhance your understanding of market structure and liquidity, not as a standalone trading system.
掘金社区趋势系统Of course. Here is the English translation of the provided trading system rules:
### Trading System Core Elements Explained
#### 1. Core Indicators and Definitions
* **Bull-Bear Line (Purple Line):** The primary basis for measuring the strength of long and short forces.
* *Example: If the 5-minute chart candlestick is below the Bull-Bear Line, the bears have the advantage. If the candlestick is above it, the bulls have the advantage.*
* **Trading Line (Yellow Line):** The operational line.
* **Opening/Closing Positions:** The Bull-Bear Line and Trading Line are the levels for both opening trades and taking profits.
* *Clarification: We only open or close positions when the price is at or very close to the Trading Line or Bull-Bear Line. If the price is not near these lines, it is not an opportunity for us to open or close a position. Note that the above rules for the Trading Line and Bull-Bear Line apply to all timeframes. Profit targets are scaled up through higher timeframes.*
#### 2. How to Identify a One-Sided Trend
* **Uptrend:** When the ribbon is **green** and positioned **above the Trading Line** and **above the Bull-Bear Line**, it indicates an uptrend on that timeframe.
* **Multi-Timeframe Confirmation (Resonance):** If **three timeframes simultaneously** show this state (green ribbon above both lines), it is a multi-timeframe resonance. The trading strategy then is to **buy on dips to support**, with entry positions being the Trading Line and Bull-Bear Line on the various timeframes.
* **General Rule:** When the price is **above the Bull-Bear Line**, place more trust in emerging **long signals** (e.g., green ribbon) to enter long positions.
* **Downtrend (Conversely):** When the candlestick is **below the Bull-Bear Line**, place more trust in emerging **short signals** (e.g., red ribbon) to enter short positions.
#### 3. Gauging Long/Short Strength
* The primary references for measuring the strength of bulls and bears are:
1. The positional relationship between the **Candlestick**, the **Bull-Bear Line**, and the **Trading Line**.
2. The **color of the ribbon**.
* **During Bearish Advantage:** Place more trust in emerging bearish signals for shorting. Be cautious with long operations.
* **During Bullish Trend:** Place more trust in emerging bullish signals. Focus on long positions and be cautious with shorting.
#### 4. Strong Trending Markets
* **Strong Bullish Market:** A pullback **does not break the lower ribbon**. In a strong, one-sided rally, the pullback **does not break the 5-15 minute Trading Line**.
* **Strong Bearish Market:** A rebound **does not surpass the upper ribbon**. In the strongest one-sided decline, the rebound **does not surpass the 5-15 minute Trading Line**.
True Trend OscillatorCore Concept: The Range Filter
The main purpose of this indicator is not just to show the trend, but to actively filter out "noise" or sideways (ranging) markets.
It doesn't give you a buy or sell signal simply because a fast line crosses a slow one. Instead, it tells you if the market has sufficient strength to sustain a trend. If it doesn't, it signals this by painting the line gray, suggesting it's better to stay out.
How It Works: The 3 Key Components
Your indicator works by fusing three concepts: Price Momentum, Volatility Momentum, and a Threshold Filter.
1. Price Momentum Component (RSI)
What it does: It uses a standard RSI (14-period) to measure the internal strength of the price.
How it's used:
If the RSI is high (e.g., > 50), the "Bulls" have the momentum.
If the RSI is low (e.g., < 50), the "Bears" have the momentum.
2. "Energy" Component (Stochastic ATR)
What it does: This is the most advanced part of the indicator. It doesn't measure price; it measures volatility.
How it's used:
It calculates the ATR (Average True Range) to measure volatility.
It then calculates a Stochastic of the ATR. This measures where the current volatility is relative to its recent range (highs and lows of volatility).
The result is the value k, which represents the market's "energy" or "conviction".
3. The Fusion: Creating the Bull and Bear Lines
This is where the magic happens. The indicator combines price momentum (RSI) with energy (k) using a geometric mean (math.sqrt):
bull = math.sqrt(RSI * k)
bear = math.sqrt((100 - RSI) * k)
This means a strong "Bull" line needs not only a high RSI but also high "energy" (k).
The Visual Logic: How to Read the Oscillator
You have modified the indicator to display a single line (trendStrength) whose value is the strength of the dominant trend (math.max(bull, bear)).
The color of this line is the most important signal and is based on the Threshold Filter:
🟩 Green Color (Strong Bullish Trend)
The line is painted green (lime) only if TWO conditions are met:
Bullish strength is greater than bearish strength (bull > bear).
AND the bearish strength (the weaker side) is still above the threshold (math.min(bull, bear) > threshold).
Meaning: The bulls are winning, but the bears are still putting up a fight. This is a "true trend," not just a weak, random move.
🟥 Red Color (Strong Bearish Trend)
The line is painted red only if TWO conditions are met:
Bearish strength is greater than bullish strength (bear > bull).
AND the bullish strength (the weaker side) is still above the threshold (math.min(bull, bear) > threshold).
Meaning: The bears are winning in a real, strong trend.
⬜ Gray Color (Range-Bound or "Chop" Market)
The line is painted gray if either of the two forces (bullish or bearish) drops below the threshold.
Meaning: This is the filter signal. The indicator is telling you that the market has lost its directional energy. The trend has either exhausted itself, or the market is in a sideways chop. It's a "do not trade" or "take profits" signal.
Visual Summary
Main Line (and Area Fill): Shows the strength of the dominant trend. Its color (green, red, or gray) tells you the state of that trend.
Bar Coloring: You have the option (showBarColors) to have your main price chart candles painted the same color as the oscillator, allowing you to see the trend without looking at the panel below.
Background Lines (threshold, 80, 0): These are fixed reference levels. The threshold line (green by default) is the most important, as it's the filter that decides if you are in a trend or a range.
VWAP Diario + VWAP 08:00-12:00 ventanas NYWhat it plots
Daily VWAP (main line)
Anchored to the current trading day and only visible between 19:00 and 16:50 New York (UTC-5) to prevent any “ghost” segments.
Dynamic color: turns green when price closes above (bullish bias) and red when price closes below (bearish bias).
Optional standard-deviation/percentage bands (off by default).
08:00–12:00 VWAP (morning line)
Resets at 08:00 NY and shows until 12:00 NY only.
Acts as a morning value guide for early direction and pullbacks.
Clean rendering: Both lines use strict time masks and line breaks, so nothing is drawn outside their windows. You can toggle either line on/off.
How to Read It
Daily VWAP ≈ “fair value” of the whole session; use it for directional bias and confluence.
08:00–12:00 VWAP ≈ “fair value” of the morning; helps refine entries during the open.
Alignment:
Bullish environment: price and 08–12 VWAP sit above the Daily VWAP.
Rotation/mixed: price oscillates between the two lines.
Bearish: price and 08–12 VWAP sit below the Daily VWAP.
Two Mechanical Playbooks
Recommended charts: 1-minute for entries, 5-minute for context on NQ/Nasdaq100.
Primary execution window: 09:30–12:00 NY.
A) Trend Play (Break → Pullback to VWAP)
Goal: Join the day’s impulse with value confirmation.
Rules
Bias filter before 09:30
Bullish: 08–12 VWAP ≥ Daily VWAP; Bearish: 08–12 ≤ Daily.
First push 09:30–09:45 breaks the initial range high (bull) or low (bear).
Entry (pullback into confluence)
Wait for a pullback that tags/wicks the 08–12 VWAP or the Daily VWAP in the direction of bias.
Go long on bullish rejection (close back above); short on bearish rejection.
Stop-loss
Beyond the rejection wick or the touched VWAP (e.g., 1–1.5× ATR(1m/5m)).
Take-profit
TP1 = 1R (scale 50%); TP2 = 2–3R or day extremes (HOD/LOD).
If bands are on, consider exiting on a clean tag of the opposite band.
Management
Move to breakeven at 1R; exit early if price reclaims the opposite side of Daily VWAP.
Avoid when the morning is choppy and price sits glued between the two VWAPs.
B) Mean-Reversion Play (Controlled Reversal at Daily VWAP)
Goal: Capture a return to value after an overstretch and a clean rejection.
Rules
Stretch condition
Fast move away from Daily VWAP (3–5 bars) or beyond Band #1/#2 if enabled.
Rejection signal at Daily VWAP
A bar that touches Daily VWAP and closes back on the opposite side (pin/engulfing/strong close).
Entry
Long if a selloff rejects above Daily VWAP.
Short if a rally rejects below Daily VWAP.
Stop-loss
Just beyond the rejection wick or ~1× ATR(1m).
Take-profit
TP1 = 1R or the 08–12 VWAP; TP2 = 2–3R or a prior consolidation.
Management
If price crosses and holds on the other side of Daily VWAP (2 closes), cut the idea.
Avoid during high-impact news or when the session is strongly trending (prefer Play A).
Quality Filters
Volatility: Ensure ATR(14, 1m) or the 09:30–09:45 range exceeds your minimum.
Spread/liquidity: Skip abnormal spreads at the open.
News: If a red-level release is imminent, wait 2–3 bars after the print.
Coherence: Prefer trades when 08–12 and Daily VWAP don’t conflict.
Risk & Trade Management
Risk per trade: 0.25%–0.5% account risk.
Daily cap: 2–3 trades; stop for the day at –1R to –1.5R.
No over-reentry: Don’t chase if price is sitting exactly on a VWAP; wait for separation.
Log your metrics: setup type (A/B), confluences, distance to VWAP at trigger, time, R multiple.
Quick Pre-Trade Checklist
Bias aligned? (price vs Daily and 08–12 VWAP)
Choose Trend or Mean-Reversion play
Clear confluence at the VWAP line?
Realistic stop (≤ ~1.5× ATR 1m)?
Any imminent news?
TP plan: TP1 = 1R → BE, TP2 = 2–3R.
EPS Estimate Profile [SS]This is the EPS Estimate Profile indicator.
What it does
This indicator
Collects all EPS estimates over the course of a lookback and BINS them (sorts them into 10 equal sized categories).
Analyzes the returns from earnings releases based on the EPS estimate and the reaction.
Calculates the number of bullish vs bearish responses that transpired based on the EPS estimate profile.
Calculates the expected Open to High and Open to Low ATR based on the EPS estimate using regression.
Toggle to actual EPS release to compare once earnings results are released.
How to Use it
This indicator can be used to gain insight into whether an earnings release will be received bullishly or bearishly based on the company's EPS estimate.
The indicator allows you to see all historic estimates and how the market generally responded to those estimates, as well as a breakdown of how many times estimates in those ranges produced a bullish response or a bearish response to earnings.
Examples
Let's look at some examples:
Here is MSFT. MSFT's last EPS estimate was 3.672.
If we consult the table, we can see the average return associated with this estimate range is -4%.
Now let's flip to the Daily timeframe and take a look:
MSFT ended the day red and continued to sell into the coming days.
Let's look at another example:
MCDs. Last earnings estimate was 3.327, putting it at the top of the range with an average positive return of 4%.
Let's look on the daily:
We can see that the earnings had a huge, bullish effect on MCD, despite them coming in below their estimates.
If we toggle the indicator to "Actual" EPS release, to see the profile of Actual earnings releases vs response, we get this:
Since MCD under-performed, they were still at the top of the profile; but, we can see that the expected returns are more muted now, though still positive. And indeed, the reaction was still positive.
Distinguishing % Bullish/Bearish to Avg Returns
You will see the profile table displays both the average returns and the percent of bullish/bearish responses. In some cases, you will see that, despite a negative return, the profile reveals more bullish reactions than bearish.
What does this mean?
It means, despite there being more bullish responses, when bearish responses happen they tend to be more severe and profound, vs bullish responses likely are muted.
This can alert you to potential downside risk and help you manage risk accordingly should you elect to trade the earnings release.
ATR Prediction
You will notice in the bottom right corner of the screen a secondary table that lists the predicted open to high ATR and open to low ATR.
This is done using RAW EPS estimates (or raw ACTUAL estimates depending on which you select) and performing a regression to determine the expected ATR.
This is only for reference, the analysis should focus around the historic profile of return estimates and actual return values.
IMPORTANT NOTE: You MUST be on the Monthly timeframe to use this. Otherwise, you will get an error. If, on certain tickers with a huge history, such as MSFT and XOM or OXY, you get an error, you can simply reduce the lookback length to 80 and this will resolve the issue.
Conclusion
And that's the indicator!
A blend of some light math and fundamentals! A real joy honestly.
Hope you enjoy it!
Dynamic FVG & Trap Zones📘 Dynamic FVG & Trap Zones (DFTZ)
A Hybrid Model Combining Imbalance Mapping, Volume Behavior, and Trap Detection
Concept Overview
“Dynamic FVG & Trap Zones” is built to visualize real-time Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and identify liquidity trap events inside those gaps using adaptive volume filters and wick-based logic.
Traditional FVG indicators merely mark imbalance zones between consecutive candles, but this model goes further — it measures how volume reaction and price penetration inside those zones reveal potential f alse moves or trap formations by smart money.
⚙️ How It Works
1. FVG Detection
• A Bullish FVG is detected when low > high , showing a price void left by aggressive buying.
• A Bearish FVG forms when high < low , implying a selling imbalance.
• These zones are automatically drawn as semi-transparent boxes that extend forward for 10 bars and decay once they exceed the configurable lookback window.
2. Volume Normalization & Grading
• Every bar’s volume is compared against a dynamic SMA( volLookback ) average to calculate a Volume Grade = current vol / avg vol.
• Only bars exceeding the Min Volume Grade threshold are eligible to generate valid FVG zones, ensuring that low-participation moves are ignored.
• The Trap Volume Threshold sets how quiet the reaction bar must be (relative to average volume) to qualify as a trap event.
3. Trap Detection Logic
• Each active FVG zone monitors incoming candles.
• A potential trap is triggered when price re-enters the zone (body or wick depending on settings) but fails to expand with confirming volume.
• If the event occurs inside a Bullish FVG, it marks a Bear Trap (green zone turned red).
If it happens inside a Bearish FVG, it flags a Bull Trap (red zone turned green).
• This reversal in zone color visually conveys trapped liquidity and potential directional fade.
4. Exclusivity and Cooldown Control
• To avoid signal clustering, you can choose exclusivity modes:
Allow Both, Bear over Bull, or Bull over Bear.
• A built-in per-signal cooldown timer prevents back-to-back plots of the same type, enhancing signal clarity during rapid price action.
5. Adaptive Visualization
• Wick-based vs body-based trap detection (toggleable).
• Optional cooldown filtering on shapes ensures the chart only displays validated events.
• Old FVG boxes are pruned automatically beyond the chosen lookback horizon.
🧠 Why It’s Different
Unlike static FVG detectors or simple liquidity sweep tools, DFTZ blends:
• Volume context (Smart Volume Grade filtering)
• Behavioral trap detection within imbalance zones
• Dynamic cooldown mechanics that control over-signaling
• Forward-propagating zones that self-expire gracefully
This synergy makes it a compact yet powerful tool for visualizing imbalances + liquidity traps in one framework — ideal for discretionary traders combining SMC concepts with volume analytics.
📈 How to Use
• Primary Context: Use on 15 min to 1 h charts to spot active FVG zones forming after impulsive moves.
• Trap Signal Interpretation:
• 🔴 “Trap” below bar → Bullish reversal (Bear Trap).
• 🟢 “Trap” above bar → Bearish reversal (Bull Trap).
• Combine With: Market structure breaks, VWAP, or delta volume tools to confirm true reversal intent.
• Alerts: All major events (FVG creation & trap confirmation) trigger ready-to-use alerts for automation or back-testing.
🧩 Customization
Setting Function
Max FVG Lookback Controls how long old zones remain active.
Volume SMA Period Defines the baseline for volume grading.
Min Volume Grade & Trap Volume Threshold Tune the sensitivity of trap confirmation.
Wick-Based Trap Detection Enable to capture wick rejections inside zones.
Signal Cooldown Prevents rapid multiple plots on successive bars.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This tool is designed for educational and analytical purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or guarantee trading performance. Always conduct your own analysis and risk management before entering a position.
ZynAlgo Trend MiniZynAlgo Trend Mini — Multi-Timeframe Trend Scanner & Compact Table UI
What this indicator does
ZynAlgo Trend Dashboard Mini scans up to five user-selected timeframes and summarizes the trend state for each, using one of three signal modes: MA Cross, Price vs MA, or RSI. It then aggregates these per-timeframe signals into an Overall Trend line and optionally shows a score count (bull/bear/neutral). A compact table dashboard renders in the corner you choose, with multiple themes or fully custom colors.
How it works (conceptual)
1) Per-timeframe signal
Choose a Signal Mode for classification:
MA Cross — compares fast vs. slow MA. If % distance exceeds Neutral Zone %, it’s Bullish/Bearish; otherwise Neutral.
Price vs MA — compares price to a single MA; % deviation beyond Neutral Zone is Bullish/Bearish; within it is Neutral.
RSI — RSI above Bullish Level ⇒ Bullish; below Bearish Level ⇒ Bearish; between the two ⇒ Neutral.
Supported MA types: EMA/SMA/HMA/WMA; lengths and thresholds are user-defined.
2) Multi-timeframe aggregation
The script counts Bullish/Bearish/Neutral outcomes across enabled TFs, then sets Overall Trend by majority (ties → Neutral). Optional score text shows the counts.
3) Dashboard rendering
Three display modes: Detailed, Compact, Minimal. You can position the panel in common corners/center and toggle title, overall row, and score.
Inputs (with tooltip-style guidance)
⏰ Timeframes
Enable Timeframe 1–5 / Timeframe 1–5 — turn on specific TFs (e.g., 5 / 15 / 60 / 240 / D). Tip: “Only enabled TFs are counted in the overall trend.”
📊 Signal Settings
Signal Mode (MA Cross / Price vs MA / RSI) — “Pick how each TF is classified.”
MA Type / Fast MA Length / Slow MA Length — “Used by MA Cross and Price vs MA; shorter fast MA reacts quicker; longer slow MA smooths noise.”
RSI Length / Bullish Level / Bearish Level — “Used by RSI mode; levels define bullish/bearish thresholds.”
Neutral Zone % — “Dead-band around 0% for MA-based modes; inside the band = Neutral.”
🎨 Display
Display Mode (Detailed / Compact / Minimal) — “Switch between full rows, condensed line, or icon-only view.”
Position — “Choose a chart corner/center for the panel.”
Show Overall Trend / Show Score Count / Show Dashboard Title — “Toggle the overall line, counts, and title.”
📝 Text & Size
Dashboard Title / Text Size / Timeframe Text Size — “Set panel title and font sizes independently.”
🎨 Theme & Colors
Color Theme — presets: Dark Neon / Dark Professional / Light Modern / Light Classic / Cyberpunk / Matrix / Custom. Tip: “Pick a preset; choose Custom to define every color.”
Custom Colors (active when Theme=Custom) — border/background/header/row/text/title/TF label and bull/bear/neutral colors.
🧱 Border & Background
Border Width — “0 hides the frame; higher values increase panel emphasis.”
Alternate Row — “Subtle row striping for readability.” (enabled in code)
🔔 Alerts
Enable Alerts — “Master on/off for the four prebuilt alerts.”
Using the indicator (suggested workflow)
Choose timeframes (e.g., M5/M15/H1/H4/D1). Disable any you don’t want counted.
Select a signal model that fits your playbook (MA Cross, Price vs MA, or RSI), then set MA/RSI lengths and the Neutral Zone %.
Pick a display mode & position. Toggle Overall Trend, Score Count, and Title as needed.
Style with a theme (or Custom colors) for readability on your chart background.
(Optional) Alerts: enable and then create alerts for unanimous or majority trends (see list below).
Reading the dashboard
Per-TF cells/icons: color and text show the state (BULLISH / BEARISH / NEUTRAL).
Overall Trend row: majority summary with ▲ / ▼ / ● icon; optional score shows counts (Bull/Bear/Neutral).
Built-in alert conditions
All Timeframes Bullish — every enabled TF is Bullish (requires ≥3 enabled).
All Timeframes Bearish — every enabled TF is Bearish (requires ≥3 enabled).
Majority Bullish — majority Bullish and Overall Trend = Bullish.
Majority Bearish — majority Bearish and Overall Trend = Bearish.
Hidden plots for Overall/Bull/Bear counts are available for alert logic/custom uses.
Three interchangeable models in one panel (MA Cross, Price-Deviation, RSI) → one UI, multiple perspectives.
Flexible aggregation that adapts to enabled TFs only (disabled TFs are excluded cleanly).
Compact, themeable UI with Detailed/Compact/Minimal layouts and corner/center anchoring — designed for clarity on busy charts.
Bar-confirmed calculations via request.security (no forward-looking values used in the logic described).
Lightweight implementation (table rendering and per-bar updates gated on barstate.islast) to minimize overhead in common workflows.
🔶 RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading is risky & most day traders lose money. All content, tools, scripts, articles, & education provided by ZynAlgo are purely for informational & educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
GTI BGTI: RSI Suite (Standard • Stochastic • Smoothed)
A three-layer momentum and trend toolkit that combines Standard RSI, Stochastic RSI, and a Smoothed/“Macro” RSI to help you read intraday swings, trend transitions, and high-probability reversal/continuation spots.
All in one pane with intuitive coloring and optional divergence markers and alerts.
Why this works
* Stochastic RSI (K/D) visualizes fast momentum swings and timing.
* Standard RSI moves more gradually, helping confirm trend transitions that may span several Stochastic cycles.
* Smoothed RSI (Average → Macro) adds a second-pass filter and slope persistence to reveal the macro direction while suppressing noise.
Used together, Stochastic guides entries/exits around local highs/lows, while the RSI layers improve confidence when a small swing is likely part of a larger turn.
What you’ll see
* Standard RSI (yellow; pink above Bull line, aqua below Bear line).
* Stochastic RSI (K/D) with contextual colors:
* Greens when RSI is weak/oversold (bearish conditions → watch for bullish reversals/continuations).
* Reds when RSI is strong/overbought (bullish conditions → watch for bearish reversals/continuations).
* Smoothed (Macro) RSI with trend color:
* Red when macro is ascending (bullish),
* Aqua when macro is descending (bearish).
* Divergences (optional markers):
* Bearish: RSI Lower High + Price Higher High (red ⬇).
* Bullish: RSI Higher Low + Price Lower Low (green ⬆).
* No repaint: pivots confirm after the chosen right-bars window.
How to use it
* Bullish Reversal
* Macro RSI is reversing at a higher low after price has been in a overall downtrend
* Stochastic RSI is switching from green to red in an overall downtrend
* Bullish Oversold
* Macro RSI is reversing from a significantly low level after price has a short but strong dip during an overall uptrend
* Stochastic RSI is switching from green to red in an overall uptrend
* Bullish Continuation
* Macro RSI is ascending with a strong slope or forming a higher low above the 50 line
* Stochastic RSI is reaching a bottom but still painted red
* Bearish Reversal
* Macro RSI is reversing at a lower high after price has been in a overall uptrend
* Stochastic RSI is switching from red to green in an overall uptrend
* Bearish Overbought
* Macro RSI is reversing from a significantly high level after price has a short but strong jump during an overall downtrend
* Stochastic RSI is switching from red to green in an overall downtrend
* Bearish Continuation
* Macro RSI is descending with a strong slope or forming a lower high below the 50 line
* Stochastic RSI is reaching a top but still painted green
* Divergences: Use as signals of exhaustion—best when aligned with Macro RSI color/slope and key levels (e.g., Bull/Bear lines, 50 midline).
*** IMPORTANT ***
* Stack confluence, don’t single-signal trade. Look for:
* 1) Macro RSI color & slope (red = ascending/bullish, aqua = descending/bearish)
* 2) Standard RSI location (above/below Bull/Bear lines or 50)
* 3) Stoch flip + direction
* 4) Price structure (HH/HL vs LH/LL)
* 5) Divergence type (regular vs hidden) at meaningful levels
* Trade with the macro
* Prioritize longs when Macro RSI is red or just flipped up
* Prioritize shorts when Macro RSI is aqua or just flipped down
* Counter-trend setups = smaller size and faster management.
* Location > signal
* The same crossover/divergence is higher quality near Bull (~60)/Bear(~40) or extremes than in the mid-range chop around 50.
* Early vs confirmed
* Use the early pivot heads-up for anticipation, but scale in only after the confirmed pivot (right-bars complete). If early signal fails to confirm, stand down.
* Define invalidation upfront
* For divergence entries, place stops beyond the pivot extreme (LL/HH). If Macro RSI flips against your trade or RSI breaks back through 50 with slope, exit or tighten.
* Multi-timeframe alignment
* Best results come when entry timeframe (e.g., 1H) aligns with higher-TF macro (e.g., 4H/D). If they disagree, treat it as mean-reversion only.
* Avoid common traps
* Skip: isolated Stochastic flips without RSI support, divergences without price HH/LL confirmation, and serial divergences when Macro RSI slope is strong against the idea.
* Parameter guidance
* Start with defaults; then tune: confirmBars 3–7, minSlope 0.05–0.15 RSI pts/bar, pivot left/right tighter for faster but noisier signals, wider for cleaner but fewer.
* Alerts = workflow, not auto-trades
* Use Macro Flip + Divergence alerts as a checklist trigger; enter only when your confluence rules are met and risk is defined.
Key inputs (tweak to your market/timeframe)
* RSI / Stochastic lengths and K/D smoothing.
* Bull / Bear Lines (default 61.1 / 43.6).
* Average RSI Method/Length (SMA/EMA/RMA/WMA) + Macro Smooth Length.
* Trend confirmation: bars of persistence and minimum slope to reduce flip noise.
* Pivot look-back (left/right) for divergence confirmation strictness.
Alerts included
* Macro Flip Up / Down (Smoothed RSI regime change).
* RSI Bullish/Bearish Divergence (confirmed at pivot).
* Stochastic RSI continuation/divergence (optional).
Tips
* Level + Slope matter. High/low RSI level flags conditions; slope confirms impulse/continuation.
* Let Stochastic time the swing; let Macro RSI filter the trend.
* Tighten or loosen pivot windows to trade fewer/cleaner vs. more/faster signals.
OBV with Divergence (SMA Smoother)Title: OBV Divergence with SMA Smoothing
Description:
This indicator is a powerful tool designed to identify regular (reversal) and hidden (continuation) On-Balance Volume (OBV) divergences against price action. It uses a modified OBV calculation (an OBV Oscillator) and integrates pivot analysis to automatically highlight potential turning points or trend continuations directly on your chart.
Key Features
Advanced Divergence Detection: Automatically detects and labels four types of divergences:
Regular Bullish/Bearish: Signals potential trend reversals.
Regular Bullish: Price makes a Lower Low (LL) but the OBV Oscillator makes a Higher Low (HL).
Regular Bearish: Price makes a Higher High (HH) but the OBV Oscillator makes a Lower High (LH).
Hidden Bullish/Bearish: Signals potential trend continuations.
Hidden Bullish: Price makes a Higher Low (HL) but the OBV Oscillator makes a Lower Low (LL).
Hidden Bearish: Price makes a Lower High (LH) but the OBV Oscillator makes a Higher High (HH).
OBV Oscillator: Instead of plotting the raw OBV, this script uses the difference between the OBV and its Exponential Moving Average (EMA). This technique centers the indicator around zero, making it easier to visualize volume momentum shifts and clearly identify peaks and troughs for divergence analysis.
Optional SMA Smoothing Line (New Feature): An added Simple Moving Average (SMA) line can be toggled on to further smooth the OBV Oscillator. Traders can use this line for crossover signals or to confirm the underlying trend of the volume momentum, reducing whipsaws.
Customizable Lookback: The indicator allows you to define the lookback periods (Pivot Lookback Left/Right) for price and oscillator pivots, giving you precise control over sensitivity. The Max/Min of Lookback Range helps filter out divergences that are too close or too far apart.
ZS Master Vision Pro - Advanced Multi-Timeframe Trading SystemZS MASTER VISION PRO - PROFESSIONAL TRADING SUITE
Created by Zakaria Safri
A comprehensive, all-in-one trading system combining multiple proven technical analysis methods into a single, powerful indicator. Designed for traders who demand precision, clarity, and actionable signals across all timeframes.
KEY FEATURES
CORE TREND ALGORITHM
Adaptive ATR-based trend detection with dynamic support and resistance zones. Features Type A and Type B signal modes for different trading styles, strong signal detection in key reversal zones, and optional EMA source smoothing for noise reduction.
MULTI-LAYER EMA CLOUD SYSTEM
Five customizable EMA cloud layers for multi-timeframe analysis with theme-adaptive color coding across five professional themes. Optional line display for detailed MA tracking with configurable periods from scalping to position trading.
WAVE TREND OSCILLATOR
Advanced momentum oscillator with channel-based calculations featuring smart reversal detection at extreme overbought and oversold levels. Includes directional strength confirmation and customizable sensitivity with adjustable reaction periods.
DIVERGENCE SCANNER
Detects four types of divergence automatically:
- Regular Bullish: Price making lower lows while oscillator making higher lows
- Regular Bearish: Price making higher highs while oscillator making lower highs
- Hidden Bullish: Trend continuation signals in uptrends
- Hidden Bearish: Trend continuation signals in downtrends
Automatic fractal-based detection with clear visual labels on chart.
MARKET BIAS INDICATOR
Heikin Ashi-based trend strength analysis with real-time bias calculation showing Bullish or Bearish combined with Strong or Weak conditions. Smoothed for cleaner signals and perfect for trend confirmation.
MOMENTUM SYSTEM
Proprietary momentum calculation using adaptive smoothing with growing and falling state detection. Normalized values for consistent interpretation and responsive to rapid market changes.
DYNAMIC SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE
Automatic pivot-based support and resistance level detection with adjustable left and right bar lookback. Non-repainting levels with visual clarity through color-coded lines.
LIVE INFORMATION DASHBOARD
Real-time market analysis panel displaying current trend direction, market bias based on Heikin Ashi, Wave Trend status and value, and momentum trend with state. Customizable display options with theme-adaptive colors.
VISUAL CUSTOMIZATION
FIVE PROFESSIONAL COLOR THEMES:
Pro - Modern green and red color scheme (default)
Classic - Traditional teal and red combination
Cyberpunk - Neon cyan and magenta contrast
Ocean - Blue and orange contrast
Sunset - Gold and red warmth
SIGNAL STYLES:
Labels with emoji indicators (BUY with rocket, SELL with bear, STRONG with lightning)
Arrows for clean minimal appearance
Triangles for classic approach
DISPLAY OPTIONS:
Color-coded candles following trend direction
Trend background highlighting for instant trend recognition
Optional EMA line display for detailed analysis
Adjustable transparency levels for personal preference
SMART ALERTS
Pre-configured alert conditions for all major signals:
Buy signals for standard entry opportunities
Sell signals for standard exit or short opportunities
Strong buy signals for high-confidence long entries
Strong sell signals for high-confidence short entries
Bullish divergence detection alerts
Bearish divergence detection alerts
Alert messages automatically include ticker symbol, current price, and specific signal type for quick decision making.
HOW TO USE
FOR TREND TRADERS:
Enable EMA Clouds with focus on Cloud 5 featuring 50 and 200 period moving averages. Wait for trend background color change to confirm direction. Enter on STRONG signals aligned with higher timeframe trend direction. Use support and resistance levels for strategic exits.
FOR SWING TRADERS:
Enable Wave Trend Oscillator information display. Look for oversold and overbought reversal setups. Confirm potential reversals with divergence scanner. Enter on smart reversal signals with proper risk management.
FOR SCALPERS:
Use Type B signal mode for more frequent trading signals. Enable Cloud 1 with 5 and 13 periods for quick trend confirmation. Focus on momentum growing and falling states for entry timing. Take quick entries on regular buy and sell signals.
FOR POSITION TRADERS:
Use Type A mode with higher ATR multiplier set to 3.0 or above. Enable only Cloud 5 with 50 and 200 periods for major trend confirmation. Only take STRONG signals for highest probability setups. Hold positions through minor pullbacks and noise.
RECOMMENDED SETTINGS
STOCKS ON DAILY TIMEFRAME:
Trend Period: 180
ATR Period: 155
ATR Multiplier: 2.1
Signal Mode: Type A
FOREX ON HOURLY AND 4-HOUR TIMEFRAMES:
Trend Period: 150
ATR Period: 120
ATR Multiplier: 2.5
Signal Mode: Type A
CRYPTOCURRENCY ON 15-MINUTE AND 1-HOUR TIMEFRAMES:
Trend Period: 100
ATR Period: 80
ATR Multiplier: 3.0
Signal Mode: Type B
SCALPING ON 1-MINUTE AND 5-MINUTE TIMEFRAMES:
Trend Period: 50
ATR Period: 40
ATR Multiplier: 2.0
Signal Mode: Type B
WHAT IS INCLUDED
Trend Analysis using ATR-based adaptive algorithm
Five EMA Cloud Layers for multi-timeframe confluence
Wave Trend Oscillator for momentum and reversal detection
Divergence Scanner detecting four types of divergence
Market Bias using Heikin Ashi-based trend strength
Momentum System with advanced momentum tracking
Support and Resistance Levels with automatic pivot detection
Live Dashboard showing real-time market analysis
Smart Alerts featuring six pre-configured alert types
Five Color Themes offering professional visual options
TECHNICAL DETAILS
CALCULATION METHODS:
Average True Range (ATR) for volatility adaptation
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Simple Moving Average (SMA) for trend smoothing
Wave Trend channel oscillator for momentum analysis
Fractal-based divergence detection algorithm
Heikin Ashi transformation for bias calculation
Logarithmic momentum calculation for precision
PERFORMANCE CHARACTERISTICS:
Optimized for maximum speed and efficiency
No repainting signals ensuring reliability
Works on all timeframes from 1 minute to monthly
Compatible with all instruments including stocks, forex, crypto, and futures
RISK DISCLAIMER
This indicator is a technical analysis tool and should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions. Always use proper risk management and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Combine with other analysis methods and practice on demo accounts first. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading carries substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors.
SUPPORT AND UPDATES
Regular updates and continuous improvements
Based on proven technical analysis principles
Developed following Pine Coders best practices and standards
Clean, well-documented, and optimized code structure
WHY CHOOSE ZS MASTER VISION PRO
All-in-one solution eliminating the need for multiple indicators
Highly customizable to adapt to your specific trading style
Professional grade analysis with institutional-quality standards
Clean interface that is not cluttered or confusing
Works everywhere across all markets and all timeframes
Smart signals filtered for quality over quantity
Beautiful design featuring five professional color themes
Active development with regular improvements and updates
Transform your trading with ZS Master Vision Pro today.
Version 2.0 | Created by Zakaria Safri | Pine Script Version 5
Mythical EMAs + Dynamic VWAP BandThis indicator titled "Mythical EMAs + Dynamic VWAP Band." It overlays several volatility-adjusted Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) on the chart, along with a Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) line and a dynamic band around it.
Additionally, it uses background coloring (clouds) to visualize bullish or bearish trends, with intensity modulated by the price's position relative to the VWAP.
The EMAs are themed with mythical names (e.g., Hermes for the 9-period EMA), but this is just stylistic flavoring and doesn't affect functionality.
I'll break it down section by section, explaining what each part does, how it works, and its purpose in the context of technical analysis. This indicator is designed for traders to identify trends, momentum, and price fairness relative to volume-weighted averages, with volatility adjustments to make the EMAs more responsive in volatile markets.
### 1. **Volatility Calculation (ATR)**
```pine
atrLength = 14
volatility = ta.atr(atrLength)
```
- **What it does**: Calculates the Average True Range (ATR) over 14 periods (a common default). ATR measures market volatility by averaging the true range (the greatest of: high-low, |high-previous close|, |low-previous close|).
- **Purpose**: This volatility value is used later to dynamically adjust the EMAs, making them more sensitive in high-volatility conditions (e.g., during market swings) and smoother in low-volatility periods. It helps the indicator adapt to changing market environments rather than using static EMAs.
### 2. **Custom Mythical EMA Function**
```pine
mythical_ema(src, length, base_alpha, vol_factor) =>
alpha = (2 / (length + 1)) * base_alpha * (1 + vol_factor * (volatility / src))
ema = 0.0
ema := na(ema ) ? src : alpha * src + (1 - alpha) * ema
ema
```
- **What it does**: Defines a custom function to compute a modified EMA.
- It starts with the standard EMA smoothing factor formula: `2 / (length + 1)`.
- Multiplies it by a `base_alpha` (a user-defined multiplier to tweak responsiveness).
- Adjusts further for volatility: Adds a term `(1 + vol_factor * (volatility / src))`, where `vol_factor` scales the impact, and `volatility / src` normalizes ATR relative to the source price (making it scale-invariant).
- The EMA is then calculated recursively: If the previous EMA is NA (e.g., at the start), it uses the current source value; otherwise, it weights the current source by `alpha` and the prior EMA by `(1 - alpha)`.
- **Purpose**: This creates "adaptive" EMAs that react faster in volatile markets (higher alpha when volatility is high relative to price) without overreacting in calm periods. It's an enhancement over standard EMAs, which use fixed alphas and can lag in choppy conditions. The mythical theme is just naming—functionally, it's a volatility-weighted EMA.
### 3. **Calculating the EMAs**
```pine
ema9 = mythical_ema(close, 9, 1.2, 0.5) // Hermes - quick & nimble
ema20 = mythical_ema(close, 20, 1.0, 0.3) // Apollo - short-term foresight
ema50 = mythical_ema(close, 50, 0.9, 0.2) // Athena - wise strategist
ema100 = mythical_ema(close, 100, 0.8, 0.1) // Zeus - powerful oversight
ema200 = mythical_ema(close, 200, 0.7, 0.05) // Kronos - long-term patience
```
- **What it does**: Applies the custom EMA function to the close price with varying lengths (9, 20, 50, 100, 200 periods), base alphas (decreasing from 1.2 to 0.7 for longer periods to make shorter ones more responsive), and volatility factors (decreasing from 0.5 to 0.05 to reduce volatility influence on longer-term EMAs).
- **Purpose**: These form a multi-timeframe EMA ribbon:
- Shorter EMAs (e.g., 9 and 20) capture short-term momentum.
- Longer ones (e.g., 200) show long-term trends.
- Crossovers (e.g., short EMA crossing above long EMA) can signal buy/sell opportunities. The volatility adjustment makes them "mythical" by adding dynamism, potentially improving signal quality in real markets.
### 4. **VWAP Calculation**
```pine
vwap_val = ta.vwap(close) // VWAP based on close price
```
- **What it does**: Computes the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) using the built-in `ta.vwap` function, anchored to the close price. VWAP is the average price weighted by volume over the session (resets daily by default in Pine Script).
- **Purpose**: VWAP acts as a benchmark for "fair value." Prices above VWAP suggest bullishness (buyers in control), below indicate bearishness (sellers dominant). It's commonly used by institutional traders to assess entry/exit points.
### 5. **Plotting EMAs and VWAP**
```pine
plot(ema9, color=color.fuchsia, title='EMA 9 (Hermes)')
plot(ema20, color=color.red, title='EMA 20 (Apollo)')
plot(ema50, color=color.orange, title='EMA 50 (Athena)')
plot(ema100, color=color.aqua, title='EMA 100 (Zeus)')
plot(ema200, color=color.blue, title='EMA 200 (Kronos)')
plot(vwap_val, color=color.yellow, linewidth=2, title='VWAP')
```
- **What it does**: Overlays the EMAs and VWAP on the chart with distinct colors and titles for easy identification in TradingView's legend.
- **Purpose**: Visualizes the EMA ribbon and VWAP line. Traders can watch for EMA alignments (e.g., all sloping up for uptrend) or price interactions with VWAP.
### 6. **Dynamic VWAP Band**
```pine
band_pct = 0.005
vwap_upper = vwap_val * (1 + band_pct)
vwap_lower = vwap_val * (1 - band_pct)
p1 = plot(vwap_upper, color=color.new(color.yellow, 0), title="VWAP Upper Band")
p2 = plot(vwap_lower, color=color.new(color.yellow, 0), title="VWAP Lower Band")
fill_color = close >= vwap_val ? color.new(color.green, 80) : color.new(color.red, 80)
fill(p1, p2, color=fill_color, title="Dynamic VWAP Band")
```
- **What it does**: Creates a band ±0.5% around the VWAP.
- Plots the upper/lower bands with full transparency (color opacity 0, so lines are invisible).
- Fills the area between them dynamically: Semi-transparent green (opacity 80) if close ≥ VWAP (bullish bias), red if below (bearish bias).
- **Purpose**: Highlights deviations from VWAP visually. The color change provides an at-a-glance sentiment indicator—green for "above fair value" (potential strength), red for "below" (potential weakness). The narrow band (0.5%) focuses on short-term fairness, and the fill makes it easier to spot than just the line.
### 7. **Trend Clouds with VWAP Interaction**
```pine
bullish = ema9 > ema20 and ema20 > ema50
bearish = ema9 < ema20 and ema20 < ema50
bullish_above_vwap = bullish and close > vwap_val
bullish_below_vwap = bullish and close <= vwap_val
bearish_below_vwap = bearish and close < vwap_val
bearish_above_vwap = bearish and close >= vwap_val
bgcolor(bullish_above_vwap ? color.new(color.green, 50) : na, title="Bullish Above VWAP")
bgcolor(bullish_below_vwap ? color.new(color.green, 80) : na, title="Bullish Below VWAP")
bgcolor(bearish_below_vwap ? color.new(color.red, 50) : na, title="Bearish Below VWAP")
bgcolor(bearish_above_vwap ? color.new(color.red, 80) : na, title="Bearish Above VWAP")
```
- **What it does**: Defines trend conditions based on EMA alignments:
- Bullish: Shorter EMAs stacked above longer ones (9 > 20 > 50, indicating upward momentum).
- Bearish: The opposite (downward momentum).
- Sub-conditions combine with VWAP: E.g., bullish_above_vwap is true only if bullish and price > VWAP.
- Applies background colors (bgcolor) to the entire chart pane:
- Strong bullish (above VWAP): Green with opacity 50 (less transparent, more intense).
- Weak bullish (below VWAP): Green with opacity 80 (more transparent, less intense).
- Strong bearish (below VWAP): Red with opacity 50.
- Weak bearish (above VWAP): Red with opacity 80.
- If no condition matches, no color (na).
- **Purpose**: Creates "clouds" for trend visualization, enhanced by VWAP context. This helps traders confirm trends—e.g., a strong bullish cloud (darker green) suggests a high-conviction uptrend when price is above VWAP. The varying opacity differentiates signal strength: Darker for aligned conditions (trend + VWAP agreement), lighter for misaligned (potential weakening or reversal).
### Overall Indicator Usage and Limitations
- **How to use it**: Add this to a TradingView chart (e.g., stocks, crypto, forex). Look for EMA crossovers, price bouncing off EMAs/VWAP, or cloud color changes as signals. Bullish clouds with price above VWAP might signal buys; bearish below for sells.
- **Strengths**: Combines momentum (EMAs), volume (VWAP), and volatility adaptation for a multi-layered view. Dynamic colors make it intuitive.
- **Limitations**:
- EMAs lag in ranging markets; volatility adjustment helps but doesn't eliminate whipsaws.
- VWAP resets daily (standard behavior), so it's best for intraday/session trading.
- No alerts or inputs for customization (e.g., changeable lengths)—it's hardcoded.
- Performance depends on the asset/timeframe; backtest before using.
- **License**: Mozilla Public License 2.0, so it's open-source and modifiable.
ICT PDA - Gold & BTC (QuickScalp Bias/FVG/OB/OTE + Alerts)What this script does
This indicator implements a complete ICT Price Delivery Algorithm (PDA) workflow tailored for XAUUSD and BTCUSD. It combines HTF bias, OTE zones, Fair Value Gaps, Order Blocks, micro-BOS confirmation, and liquidity references into a single, cohesive tool with early and final alerts. The script is not a mashup for cosmetic plotting; each component feeds the next decision step.
Why this is original/useful
Symbol-aware impulse filter: A dynamic displacement threshold kTune adapts to Gold/BTC volatility (body/ATR vs. per-symbol factor), reducing noise on fast markets without hiding signals.
Scalping preset: “Quick Clean” mode limits drawings to the most recent bars and keeps only the latest FVG/OB zones for a clear chart.
Three display modes: Full, Clean, and Signals-Only to match analysis vs. execution.
Actionable alerts: Early heads-up when price enters OTE in the HTF bias direction, and Final alerts once mitigation + micro-break confirm the setup.
How it works (high-level logic)
HTF Bias: Uses request.security() on a user-selected timeframe (e.g., 240m) and EMA filter. Bias = close above/below HTF EMA.
Dealing Range & OTE: Recent swing high/low (pivot length configurable) define the range; OTE (62–79%) boxes are drawn contextually for up/down ranges.
Displacement: A candle’s body/ATR must exceed kTune and break short-term structure (displacement up/down).
FVG: 3-bar imbalance (bull: low > high ; bear: high < low ). Latest gaps are tracked and extended.
Order Blocks: Last opposite candle prior to a qualifying displacement that breaks recent highs/lows; zones are drawn and extended.
Entry & Alerts:
Long: Bullish bias + price inside buy-OTE + mitigation of a bullish FVG or OB + micro BOS up → “PDA Long (Final)”.
Short: Bearish bias + price inside sell-OTE + mitigation of a bearish FVG or OB + micro BOS down → “PDA Short (Final)”.
Early Alerts: Trigger as soon as price enters OTE in the direction of the active bias.
Inputs & controls (key ones)
Bias (HTF): timeframe minutes, EMA length.
Structure: ATR length, Impulse Threshold (Body/ATR), swing pivot length, OB look-back.
OTE/FVG/OB/LP toggles: show/hide components.
Auto-Tune: per-symbol factors for Gold/BTC + manual tweak.
Display/Performance: View Mode, keep-N latest FVG/OB, limit drawings to last N bars.
Recommended usage (scalping)
Timeframes: Execute on M1–M5 with HTF bias from 120–240m.
Defaults (starting point): ATR=14, Impulse Threshold≈1.6; Gold factor≈1.05, BTC factor≈0.90; Keep FVG/OB=2; last 200–300 bars; View Mode=Clean.
Workflow: Wait for OTE in bias direction → see mitigation (FVG/OB) → confirm with micro BOS → manage risk to nearest liquidity (prev-day H/L or recent swing).
Alerts available
“PDA Early Long/Short”
“PDA Long (Final)” / “PDA Short (Final)”
Attach alerts on “Any alert() function call” or the listed conditions.
Chart & screenshots
Please include symbol and timeframe on screenshots. The on-chart HUD shows the script name and state to help reviewers understand context.
Limitations / notes
This is a discretionary framework. Signals can cluster during news or extreme volatility; use your own risk management. No guarantee of profitability.
Changelog (brief)
v1.2 QuickScalp: added Quick Clean preset, safer array handling, symbol-aware impulse tuning, display modes.
------------------------------
ملخص عربي:
المؤشر يطبق تسلسل PDA عملي للذهب والبتكوين: تحيز من فريم أعلى، مناطق OTE، فجوات FVG، بلوكات أوامر OB، وتأكيد micro-BOS، مع تنبيهات مبكرة ونهائية. تمت إضافة وضع “Quick Clean” لتقليل العناصر على الشارت وحساسية إزاحة تتكيّف مع الأصل. للاستخدام كسكالب: نفّذ على M1–M5 مع تحيز 120–240 دقيقة، وابدأ من الإعدادات المقترحة بالأعلى. هذا إطار سلوكي وليس توصية مالية.
Reversal Probability Meter PRO [optimized for Xau/Usd m5]🎯 Reversal Probability Meter PRO
A powerful multi-factor reversal probability detector that calculates the likelihood of bullish or bearish reversals using RSI, EMA bias, ATR spikes, candle patterns, volume spikes, and higher timeframe (HTF) trend alignment.
🧩 MAIN FEATURES
1. Reversal Probability (Bullish & Bearish)
Displays two key metrics:
Bull % — probability of bullish reversal
Bear % — probability of bearish reversal
These are computed using RSI, EMAs, ATR, demand/supply zones, candle confirmations, and volume spikes.
📊 Interpretation:
Bull % > 70% → Buying pressure building up
Bull % > 85% → Strong bullish reversal confirmed
Bear % > 70% → Selling pressure building up
Bear % > 85% → Strong bearish reversal confirmed
2. Alert Probability Threshold
Adjustable via alertThreshold (default = 85%).
Alerts trigger only when probability ≥ threshold, and confirmed by zone + volume spike + candle pattern.
🔔 Alerts Available:
✅ Bullish Smart Reversal
🔻 Bearish Smart Reversal
To activate: Right-click chart → “Add alert” → choose the alert condition from the indicator.
3. Demand / Supply Zone Detection
The script determines the price position within the last zoneLook (default 30) bars:
🟢 DEMAND → Lower 35% of range (potential bounce zone)
🔴 SUPPLY → Upper 35% of range (potential rejection zone)
⚪ MID → Neutral area
📘 Purpose: Validates reversals based on context:
Bullish only valid in Demand zones
Bearish only valid in Supply zones
4. Higher Timeframe (HTF) Trend Alignment
Reads EMA bias from a higher timeframe (default = 15m) for trend confirmation.
Reversals against HTF trend are automatically weighted down prevents false countertrend signals.
📈 Example:
M5 chart under M15 downtrend → Bullish probability is reduced.
5. Candle Confirmation Patterns
Two key price action confirmations:
Bullish: Engulfing or Pin Bar
Bearish: Engulfing or Pin Bar
A valid reversal requires both a candle confirmation and a volume spike.
6. Volume & ATR Spike Filters
Volume Spike: volume > SMA(20) × 1.3
ATR Spike: ATR > SMA(ATR, 50) × volMult
🎯 Ensures that only strong market moves with real energy are considered valid reversals.
7. Reversal Momentum Histogram
A color-gradient oscillator showing the momentum difference:
Green = bullish dominance
Red = bearish dominance
Flat near 0 = neutral
Controlled by showOscillator toggle.
8. Smart Info Panel
A compact dashboard displayed on the top-right with 4 rows:
Row Info Description
1 Bull % Bullish reversal probability
2 Bear % Bearish reversal probability
3 Zone Market context (DEMAND / SUPPLY / MID)
4 Signal Strength Current signal intensity (probability %)
Dynamic Colors:
90% → Bright (strong signal)
75–90% → Yellow/Orange (medium)
<75% → Gray (weak)
9. Sensitivity Mode
Fine-tunes indicator reactivity:
🟥 Aggressive: Detects reversals early (more signals, less accurate)
🟨 Normal: Balanced, default mode
🟩 Conservative: Filters only strongest reversals (fewer but more reliable)
10. Custom Color Options
Customize bullish and bearish colors via bullBaseColor and bearBaseColor inputs for your preferred chart theme.
⚙️ HOW TO USE
Add to Chart
→ Paste the script into Pine Editor → “Add to chart”.
Select Timeframe
→ Best for M5–M30 (scalping/intraday).
→ H1–H4 for swing trading.
Monitor the Info Panel:
Bull % ≥ 85% + Zone = Demand → Strong bullish reversal signal
Bear % ≥ 85% + Zone = Supply → Strong bearish reversal signal
Watch the Histogram:
Rising green bars = bullish momentum gaining
Deep red bars = bearish momentum gaining
Enable Alerts:
Right-click chart → “Add alert”
Choose Bullish Smart Reversal or Bearish Smart Reversal
🧠 TRADING TIPS
Use Conservative mode for noisy lower timeframes (M5–M15).
Use Aggressive mode for higher timeframes (H1–H4).
Combine with manual support/resistance or zone boxes for precision entries. Personally i use Order Block.
Best reversal setups occur when all align:
Bull % > 85%
Zone = DEMAND
Volume spike present
Candle = Bullish engulfing
HTF trend supportive
Dynamic Equity Allocation Model"Cash is Trash"? Not Always. Here's Why Science Beats Guesswork.
Every retail trader knows the frustration: you draw support and resistance lines, you spot patterns, you follow market gurus on social media—and still, when the next bear market hits, your portfolio bleeds red. Meanwhile, institutional investors seem to navigate market turbulence with ease, preserving capital when markets crash and participating when they rally. What's their secret?
The answer isn't insider information or access to exotic derivatives. It's systematic, scientifically validated decision-making. While most retail traders rely on subjective chart analysis and emotional reactions, professional portfolio managers use quantitative models that remove emotion from the equation and process multiple streams of market information simultaneously.
This document presents exactly such a system—not a proprietary black box available only to hedge funds, but a fully transparent, academically grounded framework that any serious investor can understand and apply. The Dynamic Equity Allocation Model (DEAM) synthesizes decades of financial research from Nobel laureates and leading academics into a practical tool for tactical asset allocation.
Stop drawing colorful lines on your chart and start thinking like a quant. This isn't about predicting where the market goes next week—it's about systematically adjusting your risk exposure based on what the data actually tells you. When valuations scream danger, when volatility spikes, when credit markets freeze, when multiple warning signals align—that's when cash isn't trash. That's when cash saves your portfolio.
The irony of "cash is trash" rhetoric is that it ignores timing. Yes, being 100% cash for decades would be disastrous. But being 100% equities through every crisis is equally foolish. The sophisticated approach is dynamic: aggressive when conditions favor risk-taking, defensive when they don't. This model shows you how to make that decision systematically, not emotionally.
Whether you're managing your own retirement portfolio or seeking to understand how institutional allocation strategies work, this comprehensive analysis provides the theoretical foundation, mathematical implementation, and practical guidance to elevate your investment approach from amateur to professional.
The choice is yours: keep hoping your chart patterns work out, or start using the same quantitative methods that professionals rely on. The tools are here. The research is cited. The methodology is explained. All you need to do is read, understand, and apply.
The Dynamic Equity Allocation Model (DEAM) is a quantitative framework for systematic allocation between equities and cash, grounded in modern portfolio theory and empirical market research. The model integrates five scientifically validated dimensions of market analysis—market regime, risk metrics, valuation, sentiment, and macroeconomic conditions—to generate dynamic allocation recommendations ranging from 0% to 100% equity exposure. This work documents the theoretical foundations, mathematical implementation, and practical application of this multi-factor approach.
1. Introduction and Theoretical Background
1.1 The Limitations of Static Portfolio Allocation
Traditional portfolio theory, as formulated by Markowitz (1952) in his seminal work "Portfolio Selection," assumes an optimal static allocation where investors distribute their wealth across asset classes according to their risk aversion. This approach rests on the assumption that returns and risks remain constant over time. However, empirical research demonstrates that this assumption does not hold in reality. Fama and French (1989) showed that expected returns vary over time and correlate with macroeconomic variables such as the spread between long-term and short-term interest rates. Campbell and Shiller (1988) demonstrated that the price-earnings ratio possesses predictive power for future stock returns, providing a foundation for dynamic allocation strategies.
The academic literature on tactical asset allocation has evolved considerably over recent decades. Ilmanen (2011) argues in "Expected Returns" that investors can improve their risk-adjusted returns by considering valuation levels, business cycles, and market sentiment. The Dynamic Equity Allocation Model presented here builds on this research tradition and operationalizes these insights into a practically applicable allocation framework.
1.2 Multi-Factor Approaches in Asset Allocation
Modern financial research has shown that different factors capture distinct aspects of market dynamics and together provide a more robust picture of market conditions than individual indicators. Ross (1976) developed the Arbitrage Pricing Theory, a model that employs multiple factors to explain security returns. Following this multi-factor philosophy, DEAM integrates five complementary analytical dimensions, each tapping different information sources and collectively enabling comprehensive market understanding.
2. Data Foundation and Data Quality
2.1 Data Sources Used
The model draws its data exclusively from publicly available market data via the TradingView platform. This transparency and accessibility is a significant advantage over proprietary models that rely on non-public data. The data foundation encompasses several categories of market information, each capturing specific aspects of market dynamics.
First, price data for the S&P 500 Index is obtained through the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (ticker: SPY). The use of a highly liquid ETF instead of the index itself has practical reasons, as ETF data is available in real-time and reflects actual tradability. In addition to closing prices, high, low, and volume data are captured, which are required for calculating advanced volatility measures.
Fundamental corporate metrics are retrieved via TradingView's Financial Data API. These include earnings per share, price-to-earnings ratio, return on equity, debt-to-equity ratio, dividend yield, and share buyback yield. Cochrane (2011) emphasizes in "Presidential Address: Discount Rates" the central importance of valuation metrics for forecasting future returns, making these fundamental data a cornerstone of the model.
Volatility indicators are represented by the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) and related metrics. The VIX, often referred to as the market's "fear gauge," measures the implied volatility of S&P 500 index options and serves as a proxy for market participants' risk perception. Whaley (2000) describes in "The Investor Fear Gauge" the construction and interpretation of the VIX and its use as a sentiment indicator.
Macroeconomic data includes yield curve information through US Treasury bonds of various maturities and credit risk premiums through the spread between high-yield bonds and risk-free government bonds. These variables capture the macroeconomic conditions and financing conditions relevant for equity valuation. Estrella and Hardouvelis (1991) showed that the shape of the yield curve has predictive power for future economic activity, justifying the inclusion of these data.
2.2 Handling Missing Data
A practical problem when working with financial data is dealing with missing or unavailable values. The model implements a fallback system where a plausible historical average value is stored for each fundamental metric. When current data is unavailable for a specific point in time, this fallback value is used. This approach ensures that the model remains functional even during temporary data outages and avoids systematic biases from missing data. The use of average values as fallback is conservative, as it generates neither overly optimistic nor pessimistic signals.
3. Component 1: Market Regime Detection
3.1 The Concept of Market Regimes
The idea that financial markets exist in different "regimes" or states that differ in their statistical properties has a long tradition in financial science. Hamilton (1989) developed regime-switching models that allow distinguishing between different market states with different return and volatility characteristics. The practical application of this theory consists of identifying the current market state and adjusting portfolio allocation accordingly.
DEAM classifies market regimes using a scoring system that considers three main dimensions: trend strength, volatility level, and drawdown depth. This multidimensional view is more robust than focusing on individual indicators, as it captures various facets of market dynamics. Classification occurs into six distinct regimes: Strong Bull, Bull Market, Neutral, Correction, Bear Market, and Crisis.
3.2 Trend Analysis Through Moving Averages
Moving averages are among the oldest and most widely used technical indicators and have also received attention in academic literature. Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992) examined in "Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns" the profitability of trading rules based on moving averages and found evidence for their predictive power, although later studies questioned the robustness of these results when considering transaction costs.
The model calculates three moving averages with different time windows: a 20-day average (approximately one trading month), a 50-day average (approximately one quarter), and a 200-day average (approximately one trading year). The relationship of the current price to these averages and the relationship of the averages to each other provide information about trend strength and direction. When the price trades above all three averages and the short-term average is above the long-term, this indicates an established uptrend. The model assigns points based on these constellations, with longer-term trends weighted more heavily as they are considered more persistent.
3.3 Volatility Regimes
Volatility, understood as the standard deviation of returns, is a central concept of financial theory and serves as the primary risk measure. However, research has shown that volatility is not constant but changes over time and occurs in clusters—a phenomenon first documented by Mandelbrot (1963) and later formalized through ARCH and GARCH models (Engle, 1982; Bollerslev, 1986).
DEAM calculates volatility not only through the classic method of return standard deviation but also uses more advanced estimators such as the Parkinson estimator and the Garman-Klass estimator. These methods utilize intraday information (high and low prices) and are more efficient than simple close-to-close volatility estimators. The Parkinson estimator (Parkinson, 1980) uses the range between high and low of a trading day and is based on the recognition that this information reveals more about true volatility than just the closing price difference. The Garman-Klass estimator (Garman and Klass, 1980) extends this approach by additionally considering opening and closing prices.
The calculated volatility is annualized by multiplying it by the square root of 252 (the average number of trading days per year), enabling standardized comparability. The model compares current volatility with the VIX, the implied volatility from option prices. A low VIX (below 15) signals market comfort and increases the regime score, while a high VIX (above 35) indicates market stress and reduces the score. This interpretation follows the empirical observation that elevated volatility is typically associated with falling markets (Schwert, 1989).
3.4 Drawdown Analysis
A drawdown refers to the percentage decline from the highest point (peak) to the lowest point (trough) during a specific period. This metric is psychologically significant for investors as it represents the maximum loss experienced. Calmar (1991) developed the Calmar Ratio, which relates return to maximum drawdown, underscoring the practical relevance of this metric.
The model calculates current drawdown as the percentage distance from the highest price of the last 252 trading days (one year). A drawdown below 3% is considered negligible and maximally increases the regime score. As drawdown increases, the score decreases progressively, with drawdowns above 20% classified as severe and indicating a crisis or bear market regime. These thresholds are empirically motivated by historical market cycles, in which corrections typically encompassed 5-10% drawdowns, bear markets 20-30%, and crises over 30%.
3.5 Regime Classification
Final regime classification occurs through aggregation of scores from trend (40% weight), volatility (30%), and drawdown (30%). The higher weighting of trend reflects the empirical observation that trend-following strategies have historically delivered robust results (Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen, 2012). A total score above 80 signals a strong bull market with established uptrend, low volatility, and minimal losses. At a score below 10, a crisis situation exists requiring defensive positioning. The six regime categories enable a differentiated allocation strategy that not only distinguishes binarily between bullish and bearish but allows gradual gradations.
4. Component 2: Risk-Based Allocation
4.1 Volatility Targeting as Risk Management Approach
The concept of volatility targeting is based on the idea that investors should maximize not returns but risk-adjusted returns. Sharpe (1966, 1994) defined with the Sharpe Ratio the fundamental concept of return per unit of risk, measured as volatility. Volatility targeting goes a step further and adjusts portfolio allocation to achieve constant target volatility. This means that in times of low market volatility, equity allocation is increased, and in times of high volatility, it is reduced.
Moreira and Muir (2017) showed in "Volatility-Managed Portfolios" that strategies that adjust their exposure based on volatility forecasts achieve higher Sharpe Ratios than passive buy-and-hold strategies. DEAM implements this principle by defining a target portfolio volatility (default 12% annualized) and adjusting equity allocation to achieve it. The mathematical foundation is simple: if market volatility is 20% and target volatility is 12%, equity allocation should be 60% (12/20 = 0.6), with the remaining 40% held in cash with zero volatility.
4.2 Market Volatility Calculation
Estimating current market volatility is central to the risk-based allocation approach. The model uses several volatility estimators in parallel and selects the higher value between traditional close-to-close volatility and the Parkinson estimator. This conservative choice ensures the model does not underestimate true volatility, which could lead to excessive risk exposure.
Traditional volatility calculation uses logarithmic returns, as these have mathematically advantageous properties (additive linkage over multiple periods). The logarithmic return is calculated as ln(P_t / P_{t-1}), where P_t is the price at time t. The standard deviation of these returns over a rolling 20-trading-day window is then multiplied by √252 to obtain annualized volatility. This annualization is based on the assumption of independently identically distributed returns, which is an idealization but widely accepted in practice.
The Parkinson estimator uses additional information from the trading range (High minus Low) of each day. The formula is: σ_P = (1/√(4ln2)) × √(1/n × Σln²(H_i/L_i)) × √252, where H_i and L_i are high and low prices. Under ideal conditions, this estimator is approximately five times more efficient than the close-to-close estimator (Parkinson, 1980), as it uses more information per observation.
4.3 Drawdown-Based Position Size Adjustment
In addition to volatility targeting, the model implements drawdown-based risk control. The logic is that deep market declines often signal further losses and therefore justify exposure reduction. This behavior corresponds with the concept of path-dependent risk tolerance: investors who have already suffered losses are typically less willing to take additional risk (Kahneman and Tversky, 1979).
The model defines a maximum portfolio drawdown as a target parameter (default 15%). Since portfolio volatility and portfolio drawdown are proportional to equity allocation (assuming cash has neither volatility nor drawdown), allocation-based control is possible. For example, if the market exhibits a 25% drawdown and target portfolio drawdown is 15%, equity allocation should be at most 60% (15/25).
4.4 Dynamic Risk Adjustment
An advanced feature of DEAM is dynamic adjustment of risk-based allocation through a feedback mechanism. The model continuously estimates what actual portfolio volatility and portfolio drawdown would result at the current allocation. If risk utilization (ratio of actual to target risk) exceeds 1.0, allocation is reduced by an adjustment factor that grows exponentially with overutilization. This implements a form of dynamic feedback that avoids overexposure.
Mathematically, a risk adjustment factor r_adjust is calculated: if risk utilization u > 1, then r_adjust = exp(-0.5 × (u - 1)). This exponential function ensures that moderate overutilization is gently corrected, while strong overutilization triggers drastic reductions. The factor 0.5 in the exponent was empirically calibrated to achieve a balanced ratio between sensitivity and stability.
5. Component 3: Valuation Analysis
5.1 Theoretical Foundations of Fundamental Valuation
DEAM's valuation component is based on the fundamental premise that the intrinsic value of a security is determined by its future cash flows and that deviations between market price and intrinsic value are eventually corrected. Graham and Dodd (1934) established in "Security Analysis" the basic principles of fundamental analysis that remain relevant today. Translated into modern portfolio context, this means that markets with high valuation metrics (high price-earnings ratios) should have lower expected returns than cheaply valued markets.
Campbell and Shiller (1988) developed the Cyclically Adjusted P/E Ratio (CAPE), which smooths earnings over a full business cycle. Their empirical analysis showed that this ratio has significant predictive power for 10-year returns. Asness, Moskowitz, and Pedersen (2013) demonstrated in "Value and Momentum Everywhere" that value effects exist not only in individual stocks but also in asset classes and markets.
5.2 Equity Risk Premium as Central Valuation Metric
The Equity Risk Premium (ERP) is defined as the expected excess return of stocks over risk-free government bonds. It is the theoretical heart of valuation analysis, as it represents the compensation investors demand for bearing equity risk. Damodaran (2012) discusses in "Equity Risk Premiums: Determinants, Estimation and Implications" various methods for ERP estimation.
DEAM calculates ERP not through a single method but combines four complementary approaches with different weights. This multi-method strategy increases estimation robustness and avoids dependence on single, potentially erroneous inputs.
The first method (35% weight) uses earnings yield, calculated as 1/P/E or directly from operating earnings data, and subtracts the 10-year Treasury yield. This method follows Fed Model logic (Yardeni, 2003), although this model has theoretical weaknesses as it does not consistently treat inflation (Asness, 2003).
The second method (30% weight) extends earnings yield by share buyback yield. Share buybacks are a form of capital return to shareholders and increase value per share. Boudoukh et al. (2007) showed in "The Total Shareholder Yield" that the sum of dividend yield and buyback yield is a better predictor of future returns than dividend yield alone.
The third method (20% weight) implements the Gordon Growth Model (Gordon, 1962), which models stock value as the sum of discounted future dividends. Under constant growth g assumption: Expected Return = Dividend Yield + g. The model estimates sustainable growth as g = ROE × (1 - Payout Ratio), where ROE is return on equity and payout ratio is the ratio of dividends to earnings. This formula follows from equity theory: unretained earnings are reinvested at ROE and generate additional earnings growth.
The fourth method (15% weight) combines total shareholder yield (Dividend + Buybacks) with implied growth derived from revenue growth. This method considers that companies with strong revenue growth should generate higher future earnings, even if current valuations do not yet fully reflect this.
The final ERP is the weighted average of these four methods. A high ERP (above 4%) signals attractive valuations and increases the valuation score to 95 out of 100 possible points. A negative ERP, where stocks have lower expected returns than bonds, results in a minimal score of 10.
5.3 Quality Adjustments to Valuation
Valuation metrics alone can be misleading if not interpreted in the context of company quality. A company with a low P/E may be cheap or fundamentally problematic. The model therefore implements quality adjustments based on growth, profitability, and capital structure.
Revenue growth above 10% annually adds 10 points to the valuation score, moderate growth above 5% adds 5 points. This adjustment reflects that growth has independent value (Modigliani and Miller, 1961, extended by later growth theory). Net margin above 15% signals pricing power and operational efficiency and increases the score by 5 points, while low margins below 8% indicate competitive pressure and subtract 5 points.
Return on equity (ROE) above 20% characterizes outstanding capital efficiency and increases the score by 5 points. Piotroski (2000) showed in "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information" that fundamental quality signals such as high ROE can improve the performance of value strategies.
Capital structure is evaluated through the debt-to-equity ratio. A conservative ratio below 1.0 multiplies the valuation score by 1.2, while high leverage above 2.0 applies a multiplier of 0.8. This adjustment reflects that high debt constrains financial flexibility and can become problematic in crisis times (Korteweg, 2010).
6. Component 4: Sentiment Analysis
6.1 The Role of Sentiment in Financial Markets
Investor sentiment, defined as the collective psychological attitude of market participants, influences asset prices independently of fundamental data. Baker and Wurgler (2006, 2007) developed a sentiment index and showed that periods of high sentiment are followed by overvaluations that later correct. This insight justifies integrating a sentiment component into allocation decisions.
Sentiment is difficult to measure directly but can be proxied through market indicators. The VIX is the most widely used sentiment indicator, as it aggregates implied volatility from option prices. High VIX values reflect elevated uncertainty and risk aversion, while low values signal market comfort. Whaley (2009) refers to the VIX as the "Investor Fear Gauge" and documents its role as a contrarian indicator: extremely high values typically occur at market bottoms, while low values occur at tops.
6.2 VIX-Based Sentiment Assessment
DEAM uses statistical normalization of the VIX by calculating the Z-score: z = (VIX_current - VIX_average) / VIX_standard_deviation. The Z-score indicates how many standard deviations the current VIX is from the historical average. This approach is more robust than absolute thresholds, as it adapts to the average volatility level, which can vary over longer periods.
A Z-score below -1.5 (VIX is 1.5 standard deviations below average) signals exceptionally low risk perception and adds 40 points to the sentiment score. This may seem counterintuitive—shouldn't low fear be bullish? However, the logic follows the contrarian principle: when no one is afraid, everyone is already invested, and there is limited further upside potential (Zweig, 1973). Conversely, a Z-score above 1.5 (extreme fear) adds -40 points, reflecting market panic but simultaneously suggesting potential buying opportunities.
6.3 VIX Term Structure as Sentiment Signal
The VIX term structure provides additional sentiment information. Normally, the VIX trades in contango, meaning longer-term VIX futures have higher prices than short-term. This reflects that short-term volatility is currently known, while long-term volatility is more uncertain and carries a risk premium. The model compares the VIX with VIX9D (9-day volatility) and identifies backwardation (VIX > 1.05 × VIX9D) and steep backwardation (VIX > 1.15 × VIX9D).
Backwardation occurs when short-term implied volatility is higher than longer-term, which typically happens during market stress. Investors anticipate immediate turbulence but expect calming. Psychologically, this reflects acute fear. The model subtracts 15 points for backwardation and 30 for steep backwardation, as these constellations signal elevated risk. Simon and Wiggins (2001) analyzed the VIX futures curve and showed that backwardation is associated with market declines.
6.4 Safe-Haven Flows
During crisis times, investors flee from risky assets into safe havens: gold, US dollar, and Japanese yen. This "flight to quality" is a sentiment signal. The model calculates the performance of these assets relative to stocks over the last 20 trading days. When gold or the dollar strongly rise while stocks fall, this indicates elevated risk aversion.
The safe-haven component is calculated as the difference between safe-haven performance and stock performance. Positive values (safe havens outperform) subtract up to 20 points from the sentiment score, negative values (stocks outperform) add up to 10 points. The asymmetric treatment (larger deduction for risk-off than bonus for risk-on) reflects that risk-off movements are typically sharper and more informative than risk-on phases.
Baur and Lucey (2010) examined safe-haven properties of gold and showed that gold indeed exhibits negative correlation with stocks during extreme market movements, confirming its role as crisis protection.
7. Component 5: Macroeconomic Analysis
7.1 The Yield Curve as Economic Indicator
The yield curve, represented as yields of government bonds of various maturities, contains aggregated expectations about future interest rates, inflation, and economic growth. The slope of the yield curve has remarkable predictive power for recessions. Estrella and Mishkin (1998) showed that an inverted yield curve (short-term rates higher than long-term) predicts recessions with high reliability. This is because inverted curves reflect restrictive monetary policy: the central bank raises short-term rates to combat inflation, dampening economic activity.
DEAM calculates two spread measures: the 2-year-minus-10-year spread and the 3-month-minus-10-year spread. A steep, positive curve (spreads above 1.5% and 2% respectively) signals healthy growth expectations and generates the maximum yield curve score of 40 points. A flat curve (spreads near zero) reduces the score to 20 points. An inverted curve (negative spreads) is particularly alarming and results in only 10 points.
The choice of two different spreads increases analysis robustness. The 2-10 spread is most established in academic literature, while the 3M-10Y spread is often considered more sensitive, as the 3-month rate directly reflects current monetary policy (Ang, Piazzesi, and Wei, 2006).
7.2 Credit Conditions and Spreads
Credit spreads—the yield difference between risky corporate bonds and safe government bonds—reflect risk perception in the credit market. Gilchrist and Zakrajšek (2012) constructed an "Excess Bond Premium" that measures the component of credit spreads not explained by fundamentals and showed this is a predictor of future economic activity and stock returns.
The model approximates credit spread by comparing the yield of high-yield bond ETFs (HYG) with investment-grade bond ETFs (LQD). A narrow spread below 200 basis points signals healthy credit conditions and risk appetite, contributing 30 points to the macro score. Very wide spreads above 1000 basis points (as during the 2008 financial crisis) signal credit crunch and generate zero points.
Additionally, the model evaluates whether "flight to quality" is occurring, identified through strong performance of Treasury bonds (TLT) with simultaneous weakness in high-yield bonds. This constellation indicates elevated risk aversion and reduces the credit conditions score.
7.3 Financial Stability at Corporate Level
While the yield curve and credit spreads reflect macroeconomic conditions, financial stability evaluates the health of companies themselves. The model uses the aggregated debt-to-equity ratio and return on equity of the S&P 500 as proxies for corporate health.
A low leverage level below 0.5 combined with high ROE above 15% signals robust corporate balance sheets and generates 20 points. This combination is particularly valuable as it represents both defensive strength (low debt means crisis resistance) and offensive strength (high ROE means earnings power). High leverage above 1.5 generates only 5 points, as it implies vulnerability to interest rate increases and recessions.
Korteweg (2010) showed in "The Net Benefits to Leverage" that optimal debt maximizes firm value, but excessive debt increases distress costs. At the aggregated market level, high debt indicates fragilities that can become problematic during stress phases.
8. Component 6: Crisis Detection
8.1 The Need for Systematic Crisis Detection
Financial crises are rare but extremely impactful events that suspend normal statistical relationships. During normal market volatility, diversified portfolios and traditional risk management approaches function, but during systemic crises, seemingly independent assets suddenly correlate strongly, and losses exceed historical expectations (Longin and Solnik, 2001). This justifies a separate crisis detection mechanism that operates independently of regular allocation components.
Reinhart and Rogoff (2009) documented in "This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly" recurring patterns in financial crises: extreme volatility, massive drawdowns, credit market dysfunction, and asset price collapse. DEAM operationalizes these patterns into quantifiable crisis indicators.
8.2 Multi-Signal Crisis Identification
The model uses a counter-based approach where various stress signals are identified and aggregated. This methodology is more robust than relying on a single indicator, as true crises typically occur simultaneously across multiple dimensions. A single signal may be a false alarm, but the simultaneous presence of multiple signals increases confidence.
The first indicator is a VIX above the crisis threshold (default 40), adding one point. A VIX above 60 (as in 2008 and March 2020) adds two additional points, as such extreme values are historically very rare. This tiered approach captures the intensity of volatility.
The second indicator is market drawdown. A drawdown above 15% adds one point, as corrections of this magnitude can be potential harbingers of larger crises. A drawdown above 25% adds another point, as historical bear markets typically encompass 25-40% drawdowns.
The third indicator is credit market spreads above 500 basis points, adding one point. Such wide spreads occur only during significant credit market disruptions, as in 2008 during the Lehman crisis.
The fourth indicator identifies simultaneous losses in stocks and bonds. Normally, Treasury bonds act as a hedge against equity risk (negative correlation), but when both fall simultaneously, this indicates systemic liquidity problems or inflation/stagflation fears. The model checks whether both SPY and TLT have fallen more than 10% and 5% respectively over 5 trading days, adding two points.
The fifth indicator is a volume spike combined with negative returns. Extreme trading volumes (above twice the 20-day average) with falling prices signal panic selling. This adds one point.
A crisis situation is diagnosed when at least 3 indicators trigger, a severe crisis at 5 or more indicators. These thresholds were calibrated through historical backtesting to identify true crises (2008, 2020) without generating excessive false alarms.
8.3 Crisis-Based Allocation Override
When a crisis is detected, the system overrides the normal allocation recommendation and caps equity allocation at maximum 25%. In a severe crisis, the cap is set at 10%. This drastic defensive posture follows the empirical observation that crises typically require time to develop and that early reduction can avoid substantial losses (Faber, 2007).
This override logic implements a "safety first" principle: in situations of existential danger to the portfolio, capital preservation becomes the top priority. Roy (1952) formalized this approach in "Safety First and the Holding of Assets," arguing that investors should primarily minimize ruin probability.
9. Integration and Final Allocation Calculation
9.1 Component Weighting
The final allocation recommendation emerges through weighted aggregation of the five components. The standard weighting is: Market Regime 35%, Risk Management 25%, Valuation 20%, Sentiment 15%, Macro 5%. These weights reflect both theoretical considerations and empirical backtesting results.
The highest weighting of market regime is based on evidence that trend-following and momentum strategies have delivered robust results across various asset classes and time periods (Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen, 2012). Current market momentum is highly informative for the near future, although it provides no information about long-term expectations.
The substantial weighting of risk management (25%) follows from the central importance of risk control. Wealth preservation is the foundation of long-term wealth creation, and systematic risk management is demonstrably value-creating (Moreira and Muir, 2017).
The valuation component receives 20% weight, based on the long-term mean reversion of valuation metrics. While valuation has limited short-term predictive power (bull and bear markets can begin at any valuation), the long-term relationship between valuation and returns is robustly documented (Campbell and Shiller, 1988).
Sentiment (15%) and Macro (5%) receive lower weights, as these factors are subtler and harder to measure. Sentiment is valuable as a contrarian indicator at extremes but less informative in normal ranges. Macro variables such as the yield curve have strong predictive power for recessions, but the transmission from recessions to stock market performance is complex and temporally variable.
9.2 Model Type Adjustments
DEAM allows users to choose between four model types: Conservative, Balanced, Aggressive, and Adaptive. This choice modifies the final allocation through additive adjustments.
Conservative mode subtracts 10 percentage points from allocation, resulting in consistently more cautious positioning. This is suitable for risk-averse investors or those with limited investment horizons. Aggressive mode adds 10 percentage points, suitable for risk-tolerant investors with long horizons.
Adaptive mode implements procyclical adjustment based on short-term momentum: if the market has risen more than 5% in the last 20 days, 5 percentage points are added; if it has declined more than 5%, 5 points are subtracted. This logic follows the observation that short-term momentum persists (Jegadeesh and Titman, 1993), but the moderate size of adjustment avoids excessive timing bets.
Balanced mode makes no adjustment and uses raw model output. This neutral setting is suitable for investors who wish to trust model recommendations unchanged.
9.3 Smoothing and Stability
The allocation resulting from aggregation undergoes final smoothing through a simple moving average over 3 periods. This smoothing is crucial for model practicality, as it reduces frequent trading and thus transaction costs. Without smoothing, the model could fluctuate between adjacent allocations with every small input change.
The choice of 3 periods as smoothing window is a compromise between responsiveness and stability. Longer smoothing would excessively delay signals and impede response to true regime changes. Shorter or no smoothing would allow too much noise. Empirical tests showed that 3-period smoothing offers an optimal ratio between these goals.
10. Visualization and Interpretation
10.1 Main Output: Equity Allocation
DEAM's primary output is a time series from 0 to 100 representing the recommended percentage allocation to equities. This representation is intuitive: 100% means full investment in stocks (specifically: an S&P 500 ETF), 0% means complete cash position, and intermediate values correspond to mixed portfolios. A value of 60% means, for example: invest 60% of wealth in SPY, hold 40% in money market instruments or cash.
The time series is color-coded to enable quick visual interpretation. Green shades represent high allocations (above 80%, bullish), red shades low allocations (below 20%, bearish), and neutral colors middle allocations. The chart background is dynamically colored based on the signal, enhancing readability in different market phases.
10.2 Dashboard Metrics
A tabular dashboard presents key metrics compactly. This includes current allocation, cash allocation (complement), an aggregated signal (BULLISH/NEUTRAL/BEARISH), current market regime, VIX level, market drawdown, and crisis status.
Additionally, fundamental metrics are displayed: P/E Ratio, Equity Risk Premium, Return on Equity, Debt-to-Equity Ratio, and Total Shareholder Yield. This transparency allows users to understand model decisions and form their own assessments.
Component scores (Regime, Risk, Valuation, Sentiment, Macro) are also displayed, each normalized on a 0-100 scale. This shows which factors primarily drive the current recommendation. If, for example, the Risk score is very low (20) while other scores are moderate (50-60), this indicates that risk management considerations are pulling allocation down.
10.3 Component Breakdown (Optional)
Advanced users can display individual components as separate lines in the chart. This enables analysis of component dynamics: do all components move synchronously, or are there divergences? Divergences can be particularly informative. If, for example, the market regime is bullish (high score) but the valuation component is very negative, this signals an overbought market not fundamentally supported—a classic "bubble warning."
This feature is disabled by default to keep the chart clean but can be activated for deeper analysis.
10.4 Confidence Bands
The model optionally displays uncertainty bands around the main allocation line. These are calculated as ±1 standard deviation of allocation over a rolling 20-period window. Wide bands indicate high volatility of model recommendations, suggesting uncertain market conditions. Narrow bands indicate stable recommendations.
This visualization implements a concept of epistemic uncertainty—uncertainty about the model estimate itself, not just market volatility. In phases where various indicators send conflicting signals, the allocation recommendation becomes more volatile, manifesting in wider bands. Users can understand this as a warning to act more cautiously or consult alternative information sources.
11. Alert System
11.1 Allocation Alerts
DEAM implements an alert system that notifies users of significant events. Allocation alerts trigger when smoothed allocation crosses certain thresholds. An alert is generated when allocation reaches 80% (from below), signaling strong bullish conditions. Another alert triggers when allocation falls to 20%, indicating defensive positioning.
These thresholds are not arbitrary but correspond with boundaries between model regimes. An allocation of 80% roughly corresponds to a clear bull market regime, while 20% corresponds to a bear market regime. Alerts at these points are therefore informative about fundamental regime shifts.
11.2 Crisis Alerts
Separate alerts trigger upon detection of crisis and severe crisis. These alerts have highest priority as they signal large risks. A crisis alert should prompt investors to review their portfolio and potentially take defensive measures beyond the automatic model recommendation (e.g., hedging through put options, rebalancing to more defensive sectors).
11.3 Regime Change Alerts
An alert triggers upon change of market regime (e.g., from Neutral to Correction, or from Bull Market to Strong Bull). Regime changes are highly informative events that typically entail substantial allocation changes. These alerts enable investors to proactively respond to changes in market dynamics.
11.4 Risk Breach Alerts
A specialized alert triggers when actual portfolio risk utilization exceeds target parameters by 20%. This is a warning signal that the risk management system is reaching its limits, possibly because market volatility is rising faster than allocation can be reduced. In such situations, investors should consider manual interventions.
12. Practical Application and Limitations
12.1 Portfolio Implementation
DEAM generates a recommendation for allocation between equities (S&P 500) and cash. Implementation by an investor can take various forms. The most direct method is using an S&P 500 ETF (e.g., SPY, VOO) for equity allocation and a money market fund or savings account for cash allocation.
A rebalancing strategy is required to synchronize actual allocation with model recommendation. Two approaches are possible: (1) rule-based rebalancing at every 10% deviation between actual and target, or (2) time-based monthly rebalancing. Both have trade-offs between responsiveness and transaction costs. Empirical evidence (Jaconetti, Kinniry, and Zilbering, 2010) suggests rebalancing frequency has moderate impact on performance, and investors should optimize based on their transaction costs.
12.2 Adaptation to Individual Preferences
The model offers numerous adjustment parameters. Component weights can be modified if investors place more or less belief in certain factors. A fundamentally-oriented investor might increase valuation weight, while a technical trader might increase regime weight.
Risk target parameters (target volatility, max drawdown) should be adapted to individual risk tolerance. Younger investors with long investment horizons can choose higher target volatility (15-18%), while retirees may prefer lower volatility (8-10%). This adjustment systematically shifts average equity allocation.
Crisis thresholds can be adjusted based on preference for sensitivity versus specificity of crisis detection. Lower thresholds (e.g., VIX > 35 instead of 40) increase sensitivity (more crises are detected) but reduce specificity (more false alarms). Higher thresholds have the reverse effect.
12.3 Limitations and Disclaimers
DEAM is based on historical relationships between indicators and market performance. There is no guarantee these relationships will persist in the future. Structural changes in markets (e.g., through regulation, technology, or central bank policy) can break established patterns. This is the fundamental problem of induction in financial science (Taleb, 2007).
The model is optimized for US equities (S&P 500). Application to other markets (international stocks, bonds, commodities) would require recalibration. The indicators and thresholds are specific to the statistical properties of the US equity market.
The model cannot eliminate losses. Even with perfect crisis prediction, an investor following the model would lose money in bear markets—just less than a buy-and-hold investor. The goal is risk-adjusted performance improvement, not risk elimination.
Transaction costs are not modeled. In practice, spreads, commissions, and taxes reduce net returns. Frequent trading can cause substantial costs. Model smoothing helps minimize this, but users should consider their specific cost situation.
The model reacts to information; it does not anticipate it. During sudden shocks (e.g., 9/11, COVID-19 lockdowns), the model can only react after price movements, not before. This limitation is inherent to all reactive systems.
12.4 Relationship to Other Strategies
DEAM is a tactical asset allocation approach and should be viewed as a complement, not replacement, for strategic asset allocation. Brinson, Hood, and Beebower (1986) showed in their influential study "Determinants of Portfolio Performance" that strategic asset allocation (long-term policy allocation) explains the majority of portfolio performance, but this leaves room for tactical adjustments based on market timing.
The model can be combined with value and momentum strategies at the individual stock level. While DEAM controls overall market exposure, within-equity decisions can be optimized through stock-picking models. This separation between strategic (market exposure) and tactical (stock selection) levels follows classical portfolio theory.
The model does not replace diversification across asset classes. A complete portfolio should also include bonds, international stocks, real estate, and alternative investments. DEAM addresses only the US equity allocation decision within a broader portfolio.
13. Scientific Foundation and Evaluation
13.1 Theoretical Consistency
DEAM's components are based on established financial theory and empirical evidence. The market regime component follows from regime-switching models (Hamilton, 1989) and trend-following literature. The risk management component implements volatility targeting (Moreira and Muir, 2017) and modern portfolio theory (Markowitz, 1952). The valuation component is based on discounted cash flow theory and empirical value research (Campbell and Shiller, 1988; Fama and French, 1992). The sentiment component integrates behavioral finance (Baker and Wurgler, 2006). The macro component uses established business cycle indicators (Estrella and Mishkin, 1998).
This theoretical grounding distinguishes DEAM from purely data-mining-based approaches that identify patterns without causal theory. Theory-guided models have greater probability of functioning out-of-sample, as they are based on fundamental mechanisms, not random correlations (Lo and MacKinlay, 1990).
13.2 Empirical Validation
While this document does not present detailed backtest analysis, it should be noted that rigorous validation of a tactical asset allocation model should include several elements:
In-sample testing establishes whether the model functions at all in the data on which it was calibrated. Out-of-sample testing is crucial: the model should be tested in time periods not used for development. Walk-forward analysis, where the model is successively trained on rolling windows and tested in the next window, approximates real implementation.
Performance metrics should be risk-adjusted. Pure return consideration is misleading, as higher returns often only compensate for higher risk. Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, Calmar Ratio, and Maximum Drawdown are relevant metrics. Comparison with benchmarks (Buy-and-Hold S&P 500, 60/40 Stock/Bond portfolio) contextualizes performance.
Robustness checks test sensitivity to parameter variation. If the model only functions at specific parameter settings, this indicates overfitting. Robust models show consistent performance over a range of plausible parameters.
13.3 Comparison with Existing Literature
DEAM fits into the broader literature on tactical asset allocation. Faber (2007) presented a simple momentum-based timing system that goes long when the market is above its 10-month average, otherwise cash. This simple system avoided large drawdowns in bear markets. DEAM can be understood as a sophistication of this approach that integrates multiple information sources.
Ilmanen (2011) discusses various timing factors in "Expected Returns" and argues for multi-factor approaches. DEAM operationalizes this philosophy. Asness, Moskowitz, and Pedersen (2013) showed that value and momentum effects work across asset classes, justifying cross-asset application of regime and valuation signals.
Ang (2014) emphasizes in "Asset Management: A Systematic Approach to Factor Investing" the importance of systematic, rule-based approaches over discretionary decisions. DEAM is fully systematic and eliminates emotional biases that plague individual investors (overconfidence, hindsight bias, loss aversion).
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Extreme Pressure Zones Indicator (EPZ) [BullByte]Extreme Pressure Zones Indicator(EPZ)
The Extreme Pressure Zones (EPZ) Indicator is a proprietary market analysis tool designed to highlight potential overbought and oversold "pressure zones" in any financial chart. It does this by combining several unique measurements of price action and volume into a single, bounded oscillator (0–100). Unlike simple momentum or volatility indicators, EPZ captures multiple facets of market pressure: price rejection, trend momentum, supply/demand imbalance, and institutional (smart money) flow. This is not a random mashup of generic indicators; each component was chosen and weighted to reveal extreme market conditions that often precede reversals or strong continuations.
What it is?
EPZ estimates buying/selling pressure and highlights potential extreme zones with a single, bounded 0–100 oscillator built from four normalized components. Context-aware weighting adapts to volatility, trendiness, and relative volume. Visual tools include adaptive thresholds, confirmed-on-close extremes, divergence, an MTF dashboard, and optional gradient candles.
Purpose and originality (not a mashup)
Purpose: Identify when pressure is building or reaching potential extremes while filtering noise across regimes and symbols.
Originality: EPZ integrates price rejection, momentum cascade, pressure distribution, and smart money flow into one bounded scale with context-aware weighting. It is not a cosmetic mashup of public indicators.
Why a trader might use EPZ
EPZ provides a multi-dimensional gauge of market extremes that standalone indicators may miss. Traders might use it to:
Spot Reversals: When EPZ enters an "Extreme High" zone (high red), it implies selling pressure might soon dominate. This can hint at a topside reversal or at least a pause in rallies. Conversely, "Extreme Low" (green) can highlight bottom-fish opportunities. The indicator's divergence module (optional) also finds hidden bullish/bearish divergences between price and EPZ, a clue that price momentum is weakening.
Measure Momentum Shifts: Because EPZ blends momentum and volume, it reacts faster than many single metrics. A rising MPO indicates building bullish pressure, while a falling MPO shows increasing bearish pressure. Traders can use this like a refined RSI: above 50 means bullish bias, below 50 means bearish bias, but with context provided by the thresholds.
Filter Trades: In trend-following systems, one could require EPZ to be in the bullish (green) zone before taking longs, or avoid new trades when EPZ is extreme. In mean-reversion systems, one might specifically look to fade extremes flagged by EPZ.
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation: The dashboard can fetch a higher timeframe EPZ value. For example, you might trade a 15-minute chart only when the 60-minute EPZ agrees on pressure direction.
Components and how they're combined
Rejection (PRV) – Captures price rejection based on candle wicks and volume (see Price Rejection Volume).
Momentum Cascade (MCD) – Blends multiple momentum periods (3,5,8,13) into a normalized momentum score.
Pressure Distribution (PDI) – Measures net buy/sell pressure by comparing volume on up vs down candles.
Smart Money Flow (SMF) – An adaptation of money flow index that emphasizes unusual volume spikes.
Each of these components produces a 0–100 value (higher means more bullish pressure). They are then weighted and averaged into the final Market Pressure Oscillator (MPO), which is smoothed and scaled. By combining these four views, EPZ stands out as a comprehensive pressure gauge – the whole is greater than the sum of parts
Context-aware weighting:
Higher volatility → more PRV weight
Trendiness up (RSI of ATR > 25) → more MCD weight
Relative volume > 1.2x → more PDI weight
SMF holds a stable weight
The weighted average is smoothed and scaled into MPO ∈ with 50 as the neutral midline.
What makes EPZ stand out
Four orthogonal inputs (price action, momentum, pressure, flow) unified in a single bounded oscillator with consistent thresholds.
Adaptive thresholds (optional) plus robust extreme detection that also triggers on crossovers, so static thresholds work reliably too.
Confirm Extremes on Bar Close (default ON): dots/arrows/labels/alerts print on closed bars to avoid repaint confusion.
Clean dashboard, divergence tools, pre-alerts, and optional on-price gradients. Visual 3D layering uses offsets for depth only,no lookahead.
Recommended markets and timeframes
Best: liquid symbols (index futures, large-cap equities, major FX, BTC/ETH).
Timeframes: 5–15m (more signals; consider higher thresholds), 1H–4H (balanced), 1D (clear regimes).
Use caution on illiquid or very low TFs where wick/volume geometry is erratic.
Logic and thresholds
MPO ∈ ; 50 = neutral. Above 50 = bullish pressure; below 50 = bearish.
Static thresholds (defaults): thrHigh = 70, thrLow = 30; warning bands 5 pts inside extremes (65/35).
Adaptive thresholds (optional):
thrHigh = min(BaseHigh + 5, mean(MPO,100) + stdev(MPO,100) × ExtremeSensitivity)
thrLow = max(BaseLow − 5, mean(MPO,100) − stdev(MPO,100) × ExtremeSensitivity)
Extreme detection
High: MPO ≥ thrHigh with peak/slope or crossover filter.
Low: MPO ≤ thrLow with trough/slope or crossover filter.
Cooldown: 5 bars (default). A new extreme will not print until the cooldown elapses, even if MPO re-enters the zone.
Confirmation
"Confirm Extremes on Bar Close" (default ON) gates extreme markers, pre-alerts, and alerts to closed bars (non-repainting).
Divergences
Pivot-based bullish/bearish divergence; tags appear only after left/right bars elapse (lookbackPivot).
MTF
HTF MPO retrieved with lookahead_off; values can update intrabar and finalize at HTF close. This is disclosed and expected.
Inputs and defaults (key ones)
Core: Sensitivity=1.0; Analysis Period=14; Smoothing=3; Adaptive Thresholds=OFF.
Extremes: Base High=70, Base Low=30; Extreme Sensitivity=1.5; Confirm Extremes on Bar Close=ON; Cooldown=5; Dot size Small/Tiny.
Visuals: Heatmap ON; 3D depth optional; Strength bars ON; Pre-alerts OFF; Divergences ON with tags ON; Gradient candles OFF; Glow ON.
Dashboard: ON; Position=Top Right; Size=Normal; MTF ON; HTF=60m; compact overlay table on price chart.
Advanced caps: Max Oscillator Labels=80; Max Extreme Guide Lines=80; Divergence objects=60.
Dashboard: what each element means
Header: EPZ ANALYSIS.
Large readout: Current MPO; color reflects state (extreme, approaching, or neutral).
Status badge: "Extreme High/Low", "Approaching High/Low", "Bullish/Neutral/Bearish".
HTF cell (when MTF ON): Higher-timeframe MPO, color-coded vs extremes; updates intrabar, settles at HTF close.
Predicted (when MTF OFF): Simple MPO extrapolation using momentum/acceleration—illustrative only.
Thresholds: Current thrHigh/thrLow (static or adaptive).
Components: ASCII bars + values for PRV, MCD, PDI, SMF.
Market metrics: Volume Ratio (x) and ATR% of price.
Strength: Bar indicator of |MPO − 50| × 2.
Confidence: Heuristic gauge (100 in extremes, 70 in warnings, 50 with divergence, else |MPO − 50|). Convenience only, not probability.
How to read the oscillator
MPO Value (0–100): A reading of 50 is neutral. Values above ~55 are increasingly bullish (green), while below ~45 are increasingly bearish (red). Think of these as "market pressure".
Extreme Zones: When MPO climbs into the bright orange/red area (above the base-high line, default 70), the chart will display a dot and downward arrow marking that extreme. Traders often treat this as a sign to tighten stops or look for shorts. Similarly, a bright green dot/up-arrow appears when MPO falls below the base-low (30), hinting at a bullish setup.
Heatmap/Candles: If "Pressure Heatmap" is enabled, the background of the oscillator pane will fade green or red depending on MPO. Users can optionally color the price candles by MPO value (gradient candles) to see these extremes on the main chart.
Prediction Zone(optional): A dashed projection line extends the MPO forward by a small number of bars (prediction_bars) using current MPO momentum and acceleration. This is a heuristic extrapolation best used for short horizons (1–5 bars) to anticipate whether MPO may touch a warning or extreme zone. It is provisional and becomes less reliable with longer projection lengths — always confirm predicted moves with bar-close MPO and HTF context before acting.
Divergences: When price makes a higher high but EPZ makes a lower high (bearish divergence), the indicator can draw dotted lines and a "Bear Div" tag. The opposite (lower low price, higher EPZ) gives "Bull Div". These signals confirm waning momentum at extremes.
Zones: Warning bands near extremes; Extreme zones beyond thresholds.
Crossovers: MPO rising through 35 suggests easing downside pressure; falling through 65 suggests waning upside pressure.
Dots/arrows: Extreme markers appear on closed bars when confirmation is ON and respect the 5-bar cooldown.
Pre-alert dots (optional): Proximity cues in warning zones; also gated to bar close when confirmation is ON.
Histogram: Distance from neutral (50); highlights strengthening or weakening pressure.
Divergence tags: "Bear Div" = higher price high with lower MPO high; "Bull Div" = lower price low with higher MPO low.
Pressure Heatmap : Layered gradient background that visually highlights pressure strength across the MPO scale; adjustable intensity and optional zone overlays (warning / extreme) for quick visual scanning.
A typical reading: If the oscillator is rising from neutral towards the high zone (green→orange→red), the chart may see strong buying culminating in a stall. If it then turns down from the extreme, that peak EPZ dot signals sell pressure.
Alerts
EPZ: Extreme Context — fires on confirmed extremes (respects cooldown).
EPZ: Approaching Threshold — fires in warning zones if no extreme.
EPZ: Divergence — fires on confirmed pivot divergences.
Tip: Set alerts to "Once per bar close" to align with confirmation and avoid intrabar repaint.
Practical usage ideas
Trend continuation: In positive regimes (MPO > 50 and rising), pullbacks holding above 50 often precede continuation; mirror for bearish regimes.
Exhaustion caution: E High/E Low can mark exhaustion risk; many wait for MPO rollover or divergence to time fades or partial exits.
Adaptive thresholds: Useful on assets with shifting volatility regimes to maintain meaningful "extreme" levels.
MTF alignment: Prefer setups that agree with the HTF MPO to reduce countertrend noise.
Examples
Screenshots captured in TradingView Replay to freeze the bar at close so values don't fluctuate intrabar. These examples use default settings and are reproducible on the same bars; they are for illustration, not cherry-picking or performance claims.
Example 1 — BTCUSDT, 1h — E Low
MPO closed at 26.6 (below the 30 extreme), printing a confirmed E Low. HTF MPO is 26.6, so higher-timeframe pressure remains bearish. Components are subdued (Momentum/Pressure/Smart$ ≈ 29–37), with Vol Ratio ≈ 1.19x and ATR% ≈ 0.37%. A prior Bear Div flagged weakening impulse into the drop. With cooldown set to 5 bars, new extremes are rate-limited. Many traders wait for MPO to curl up and reclaim 35 or for a fresh Bull Div before considering countertrend ideas; if MPO cannot reclaim 35 and HTF stays weak, treat bounces cautiously. Educational illustration only.
Example 2 — ETHUSD, 30m — E High
A strong impulse pushed MPO into the extreme zone (≥ 70), printing a confirmed E High on close. Shortly after, MPO cooled to ~61.5 while a Bear Div appeared, showing momentum lag as price pushed a higher high. Volume and volatility were elevated (≈ 1.79x / 1.25%). With a 5-bar cooldown, additional extremes won't print immediately. Some treat E High as exhaustion risk—either waiting for MPO rollover under 65/50 to fade, or for a pullback that holds above 50 to re-join the trend if higher-timeframe pressure remains constructive. Educational illustration only.
Known limitations and caveats
The MPO line itself can change intrabar; extreme markers/alerts do not repaint when "Confirm Extremes on Bar Close" is ON.
HTF values settle at the close of the HTF bar.
Illiquid symbols or very low TFs can be noisy; consider higher thresholds or longer smoothing.
Prediction line (when enabled) is a visual extrapolation only.
For coders
Pine v6. MTF via request.security with lookahead_off.
Extremes include crossover triggers so static thresholds also yield E High/E Low.
Extreme markers and pre-alerts are gated by barstate.isconfirmed when confirmation is ON.
Arrays prune oldest objects to respect resource limits; defaults (80/80/60) are conservative for low TFs.
3D layering uses negative offsets purely for drawing depth (no lookahead).
Screenshot methodology:
To make labels legible and to demonstrate non-repainting behavior, the examples were captured in TradingView Replay with "Confirm Extremes on Bar Close" enabled. Replay is used only to freeze the bar at close so plots don't change intrabar. The examples use default settings, include both Extreme Low and Extreme High cases, and can be reproduced by scrolling to the same bars outside Replay. This is an educational illustration, not a performance claim.
Disclaimer
This script is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Markets involve risk; past behavior does not guarantee future results. You are responsible for your own testing, risk management, and decisions.
Market Sentiment Trend Gauge [LevelUp]Market Sentiment Trend Gauge simplifies technical analysis by mathematically combining momentum, trend direction, volatility position, and comparison against a market benchmark, into a single trend score from -100 to +100. Displayed in a separate pane below your chart, it resolves conflicting signals from RSI, moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and market correlations, providing clear insights into trend direction, strength, and relative performance.
THE PROBLEM MARKET SENTIMENT TREND GAUGE (MSTG) SOLVES
Traditional indicators often produce conflicting signals, such as RSI showing overbought while prices rise or moving averages indicating an uptrend despite market underperformance. MSTG creates a weighted composite score to answer: "What's the overall bias for this asset?"
KEY COMPONENTS AND WEIGHTINGS
The trend score combines
▪ Momentum (25%): Normalized 14-period RSI, capped at ±100.
▪ Trend Direction (35%): 10/21-period EMA relationships,
▪ Volatility Position (20%): Price position, 20-period Bollinger Bands, capped at ±100.
▪ Market Comparison (20%): Daily performance vs. SPY benchmark, capped at ±100.
Final score = Weighted sum, smoothed with 5-period EMA.
INTERPRETING THE MSTG CHART
Trend Score Ranges and Colors
▪ Bright Green (>+30): Strong bullish; ideal for long entries.
▪ Light Green (+10 to +30): Weak bullish; cautiously favorable.
▪ Gray (-10 to +10): Neutral; avoid directional trades.
▪ Light Red (-10 to -30): Weak bearish; exercise caution.
▪ Bright Red (<-30): Strong bearish; high-risk for longs, consider shorts.
Reference Lines
▪ Zero Line (Gray): Separates bullish/bearish; crossovers signal trend changes.
▪ ±30 Lines (Dotted, Green/Red): Thresholds for strong trends.
▪ ±60 Lines (Dashed, Green/Red): Extreme strength zones (not overbought/oversold); manage risk (tighten stops, partial profits) but trends may persist.
Background Colors
▪ Green Tint (>+20): Bullish environment; favorable for longs.
▪ Red Tint (<-20): Bearish environment; caution for longs.
▪ Light Gray Tint (-20 to +20): Neutral/range-bound; wait for signals.
Extreme Readings vs. Traditional Signals
MSTG ±60 indicates maximum alignment of all factors, not reversals (unlike RSI >70/<30). Use for risk management, not automatic exits. Strong trends can sustain extremes; breakdowns occur below +30 or above -30.
INFORMATION TABLE INTERPRETATION
Trend Score Symbols
▲▲ >+30 strong bullish
▲ +10 to +30
● -10 to +10 neutral
▼ -30 to -10
▼▼ <-30 strong bearish
Colors: Green (positive), White (neutral), Red (negative).
Momentum Score
+40 to +100 strong bullish
0 to +40 moderate bullish
-40 to 0 moderate bearish
-100 to -40 strong bearish
Market vs. Stock
▪ Green: Stock outperforming market
▪ Red: Stock underperforming market
Example Interpretations:
-0.45% / +1.23% (Green): Market down, stock up = Strong relative strength
+2.10% / +1.50% (Red): Both rising, but stock lagging = Relative weakness
-1.20% / -0.80% (Green): Both falling, but stock declining less = Defensive strength
UNDERSTANDING EXTREME READINGS VS TRADITIONAL OVERBOUGHT/OVERSOLD
⚠️ Critical distinctions
Traditional Overbought/Oversold Signals:
▪ Single indicator (like RSI >70 or <30) showing momentum excess
▪ Often suggests immediate reversal or pullback expected
▪ Based on "price moved too far, too fast" concept
MSTG Extreme Readings (±60):
▪ Composite alignment of 4 different factors (momentum, trend, volatility, relative strength)
▪ Indicates maximum strength in current direction
▪ NOT a reversal signal - means "all systems extremely bullish/bearish"
Key Differences:
▪ RSI >70: "Price got ahead of itself, expect pullback"
▪ MSTG >+60: "Everything is extremely bullish right now"
▪ Strong trends can maintain extreme MSTG readings during major moves
▪ Breakdowns happen when MSTG falls below +30, not at +60
Proper Usage of Extreme Readings:
▪ Risk Management: Tighten stops, take partial profits
▪ Position Sizing: Reduce new position sizes at extremes
▪ Trend Continuation: Watch for sustained extreme readings in strong markets
▪ Exit Signals: Look for breakdown below +30, not reversal from +60
TRADING WITH MSTG
Quick Assessment
1. Check trend symbol for direction.
2. Confirm momentum strength.
3. Note relative performance color.
Examples:
▲▲ 55.2 (Green), Momentum +28.4, Outperforming: Strong buy setup.
▼ -18.6 (Red), Momentum -43.2, Underperforming: Defensive positioning.
Entry Conditions
▪ Long: stock outperforming market
- Score >+30 (bright green)
- Sustained green background
- ▲▲ symbol,
▪ Short: stock underperforming market
- Score <-30 (bright red)
- Sustained red background
- ▼▼ symbol
Avoid Trading When:
▪ Gray zone (-10 to +10).
▪ Rapid color changes or frequent zero-line crosses (choppy market).
▪ Gray background (range-bound).
Risk Management:
▪ Stop Loss: Exit on zero-line crossover against position.
▪ Take Profit: Partial at ±60 for risk control.
▪ Position Sizing: Larger when signals align; smaller in extremes or mixed conditions.
KEY ADVANTAGES
▪ Unified View: Weighted composite reduces noise and conflicts.
▪ Visual Clarity: 5-color system with gradients for rapid recognition.
▪ Market Context: Relative strength vs. SPY identifies leaders/laggards.
▪ Flexibility: Works across timeframes (1-min to weekly); customizable table.
▪ Noise Reduction: EMA smoothing minimizes false signals.
EXAMPLES
Strong Bull: Trend Score 71.9, Momentum Score 76.9
Neutral: Trend Score 0.1, Momentum Score -9.2
Strong Bear: Trend Score -51.7, Momentum Score -51.5
PERFORMANCE AND LIMITATIONS
Strengths: Trend identification, noise reduction, relative performance versus market.
Limitations: Lags at turning points, less effective in extreme volatility or non-trending markets.
Recommendations: View on multiple timeframes, combine with price action and fundamentals.
Trend Score with Dynamic Stop Loss RTH
📘 Trend Score with Dynamic Stop Loss (RTH) — Guide
🔎 Overview
This indicator tracks intraday momentum during Regular Trading Hours and flags trend flips using a cumulative TrendScore. It also draws dynamic stop-loss levels and shows a live stats table for quick decision-making and journaling.
⸻
⚙️ Core Concepts
1) TrendScore (per bar)
• +1 if the current bar makes a higher high than the previous bar (counted once per bar).
• –1 if the current bar makes a lower low than the previous bar (counted once per bar).
• If a bar takes both the prior high and low, the net contribution can cancel out within that bar.
2) Cumulative TrendScore (running total)
• The per-bar TrendScore accumulates across the session to form the cumulative TrendScore (TS).
• TS resets to 0 at session open and is cleared at session close.
• Rising TS = persistent upside pressure; falling TS = persistent downside pressure.
⸻
🔄 Flip Rules (3-point reversal of the cumulative TrendScore)
A flip occurs when the cumulative TrendScore reverses by 3 points in the opposite direction of the current trend.
• Bullish Flip
• Trigger: After a decline, the cumulative TrendScore rises by +3 from its down-leg.
• Interpretation: Bulls have taken control.
• Stop-loss: the lowest price of the prior (down) leg.
• Bearish Flip
• Trigger: After a rise, the cumulative TrendScore falls by –3 from its up-leg.
• Interpretation: Bears have taken control.
• Stop-loss: the highest price of the prior (up) leg.
Flip bars are marked with ▲ (lime) for bullish and ▼ (red) for bearish.
Note: If you prefer a different reversal distance, adjust the flip distance setting in the script’s inputs (default is 3).
⸻
📏 Stop-Loss Lines
• A dotted line is drawn at the prior leg’s extreme:
Green (below price) after a bullish flip.
Red (above price) after a bearish flip.
• Options:
Remove on touch for a clean chart.
Freeze on touch to keep a visual record for journaling.
• All stop lines are cleared at session end.
⸻
🧮 Stats Table (what you see)
• Trend: Bull / Bear / Neutral
• Bars in Trend: Count since the flip bar
• Since Flip: Current close minus flip bar close
• Since SL: Current close minus active stop level
• MFE-Maximum Favorable Excursion: Highest favorable move since flip
• MAE-Maximum Adverse Excursion: Largest adverse move since flip
Table colors reflect the current trend (green for bull, red for bear).
⸻
📊 Trading Playbook
Entries
• Aggressive: Enter immediately on a flip marker.
• Conservative: Wait for a small pullback that doesn’t violate the stop.
Stops
• Place the stop at the script’s flip stop-loss line (the prior leg extreme).
Exits
Choose one style and stick with it:
• Stop-only: Exit when the stop is hit.
• Time-based: Flatten at session close.
• Targets: Scale/close at 1R, 2R.
• Trailing: Trail behind minor swings once MFE > 1R.
Ultimately Exit choice is your own edge, so you must decide for yourself.
💡 Best Practices
• Skip the first few bars after the open (gap noise).
• Use regular candles (Heikin-Ashi will distort highs/lows).
• If you want fewer flips, increase the flip distance (e.g., 4 or 5). For more
responsiveness, use 2. Otherwise, increase your time frame to 5m, 10m, 15m.
• Keep SL lines frozen (not auto-removed) if you’re journaling.
Sniper-2025 Sniper-2025 Indicator Explanation
Overview
The Sniper-2025 indicator is a versatile technical analysis tool designed for TradingView, combining a Hyper Wave oscillator, Smart Money Flow analysis, divergence detection, reversal signals, confluence visualization, and a machine learning-based k-Nearest Neighbors (k-NN) prediction model. It provides traders with actionable buy and sell signals, trend insights, and confluence indicators to enhance decision-making across various trading strategies. The indicator is highly customizable, allowing users to adjust sensitivity, colors, and display options to suit their preferences.
Key Features
1. Hyper Wave Oscillator: A normalized oscillator based on price data, smoothed with either a Simple Moving Average (SMA) or Exponential Moving Average (EMA), highlighting momentum and potential reversal points.
2. Smart Money Flow: Tracks bullish and bearish money flow using a smoothed Money Flow Index (MFI), providing insights into market strength and direction.
3. Divergence Detection: Identifies bullish and bearish divergences between price and the oscillator, with optional labels displaying price levels.
4. Reversal Signals: Detects major and minor reversal conditions based on volume, oscillator values, and RSI, visualized as triangles and circles on the chart.
5. Confluence Meter and Areas: Visualizes alignment between the oscillator and MFI, indicating bullish or bearish confluence with customizable colors and shaded areas.
6. Signal and Divergence Labels: Displays labels for key oscillator levels (e.g., Z-Buy, Z-V-Sell) and money flow conditions (e.g., C-Buy, T-Sell) with customizable visibility and sizes.
7. Trend and Control Table: Shows the current trend (Bullish/Bearish) and control (Bull/Bear) in a customizable table positioned on the chart.
8. k-NN Prediction: Uses a k-Nearest Neighbors algorithm to predict price movement direction based on RSI indicators, with adjustable prediction sensitivity.
9. Gradient Fills and Alerts: Visualizes overbought and oversold zones with gradient fills and provides alert conditions for key crossovers and crossunders.
How It Works
- Hyper Wave Oscillator: The oscillator is calculated by normalizing the close price relative to the highest, lowest, and average prices over a user-defined length (default: 15). It is smoothed using SMA or EMA (default: SMA, length 3) to generate a signal line. Crossovers and crossunders of the oscillator and signal line are plotted as circles, indicating potential buy or sell signals.
- Smart Money Flow: The MFI is calculated over a user-defined length (default: 10) and smoothed (default: 6). It tracks bullish (positive) or bearish (negative) money flow, with colors changing based on direction (blue for bullish, red for bearish). The indicator compares current MFI to its historical average to identify strong trends.
- Divergence Detection: The script identifies divergences by comparing oscillator peaks/troughs with price highs/lows. Bullish divergences (price makes lower lows, oscillator does not) and bearish divergences (price makes higher highs, oscillator does not) are plotted as lines, with optional labels showing the divergence type and price.
- Reversal Signals: Major reversals are detected when volume exceeds a threshold (based on a 7-period SMA and reversal factor, default: 4) and the oscillator exceeds ±4. Minor reversals consider RSI (±20) and oscillator crossovers. Signals are plotted as triangles (major) or circles (minor), with blue for bullish and red for bearish.
- Confluence Meter and Areas: The confluence meter, displayed on the right, shows alignment between the oscillator and MFI using a gradient from red (bearish) to blue (bullish). Shaded areas at ±55 highlight strong bullish or bearish confluence when both indicators align.
- Signal and Divergence Labels: Labels are plotted on the candlestick chart when the oscillator crosses key levels (±20, ±40) or when money flow conditions are met (e.g., MFI crossing 0 or ±20/±40). Users can toggle label visibility and adjust sizes (Small, Normal, Large, Huge).
- Trend and Control Table: A table displays the trend (based on oscillator SMA) and control (based on MFI direction), with customizable position (default: Top Right), text color, and background color. Sensitivity for trend and control calculations can be adjusted.
- k-NN Prediction: The k-NN algorithm predicts price movement direction by comparing current RSI values (5-period and 20-period WMAs) to historical data. The number of neighbors (default: 200) and trend length (default: 20) control prediction sensitivity. A green line shows the prediction, with gradient fills indicating overbought (lime) and oversold (red) zones.
- Gradient Fills and Alerts: Gradient fills highlight the prediction's position relative to overbought/oversold zones, calculated using a 2000-period lookback and standard deviation. Alerts are triggered for crossovers/crossunders of the prediction line with its WMA, overbought/oversold levels, or the zero line.
Usage Instructions
1. Add the Sniper-2025 indicator to your TradingView chart.
2. Interpret signals:
- Z-Buy/Z-V-Buy (green labels): Potential buy signals when the oscillator crosses below -20/-40.
- Z-Sell/Z-V-Sell (red labels): Potential sell signals when the oscillator crosses above 20/40.
- C-Buy/C-Sell (green/red labels): Money flow shifts to bullish/bearish when MFI crosses 0.
- T-Buy/T-Sell (green/red labels): Money flow crosses ±20, indicating stronger trends.
- T-V-Buy/T-V-Sell (green/red labels): Money flow crosses ±40, indicating very strong trends.
- Divergence Labels: Green (D-Bullish) or red (D-Bearish) labels indicate potential reversals.
- Reversal Signals: Blue triangles/circles for bullish reversals, red for bearish.
- Confluence Meter: Blue (bullish) or red (bearish) gradient indicates alignment strength.
- Table: Check "Trend" and "Control" for market direction (🟩/🟥 for trend, 🟢/🔴 for control).
- k-NN Prediction: Green line above 0 suggests bullish momentum; below 0 suggests bearish. Watch for crossovers with the WMA or overbought/oversold zones.
3. Set alerts for crossovers/crossunders of the prediction line, oscillator, or MFI to automate trading signals.
Customization Options
- Hyper Wave: Adjust Main Length (mL, default: 15) for oscillator sensitivity, Signal Type (sT, SMA/EMA), and Signal Length (sLHW, default: 3). Customize colors and transparency.
- Smart Money Flow: Set Money Flow Length (mfL, default: 10) and Smooth (mfS, default: 6) for MFI sensitivity. Choose bullish/bearish colors.
- Divergence: Modify Divergence Sensibility (dvT, default: 20) for short-term (lower) or long-term (higher) divergences. Toggle visibility and price display on labels.
- Reversal: Adjust Reversal Factor (rsF, default: 4) for signal strength (higher = fewer, stronger signals). Set colors for bullish/bearish signals.
- Confluence: Toggle Confluence Meter (sCNF) and Areas (sCNB), and customize colors.
- Labels: Enable/disable specific signal labels (e.g., showZBuy, showHSell) and adjust Label Size (default: Normal).
- Table: Toggle Trend and Control display, adjust sensitivities, and set position and colors.
- k-NN Prediction: Adjust Prediction Data (numNeighbors, default: 200) for sensitivity and Trend Length (momentumWindow, default: 20) for responsiveness.
Conclusion
The Sniper-2025 indicator is a powerful tool for traders seeking a comprehensive analysis of price momentum, money flow, divergences, reversals, and predictive signals. Its customizable settings and clear visualizations make it suitable for both novice and experienced traders. Use the indicator to identify high-probability trading opportunities, monitor market trends, and refine strategies with its machine learning-driven predictions.
Kio IQ [TradingIQ]Introducing: “Kio IQ ”
Kio IQ is an all-in-one trading indicator that brings momentum, trend strength, multi-timeframe analysis, trend divergences, pullbacks, early trend shift signals, and trend exhaustion signals together in one clear view.
🔶 The Philosophy of Kio IQ
Markets move in trends—and capturing them reliably is the key to consistency in trading. Without a tool to see the bigger picture, it’s easy to mistake a pullback for a breakout, a fakeout for the real deal, or random market noise as a meaningful price move.
Kio IQ cuts through that random market noise—scanning multiple timeframes, analyzing short, medium, and long-term momentum, and telling you on the spot whether a move is strong, weak, a trap, or simply a small move within a larger trend.
With Kio IQ, price action reveals its next move.
You’ll instantly see:
Which way it’s pushing — up, down, or stuck in the middle.
How hard it’s pushing — from fading weakness to full-blown strength.
When the gears are shifting — early warnings, explosive moves, smart pullbacks, or signs it’s running out of steam.
🔶 Why This Matters
Markets move in phases—sometimes they’re powering in one direction, sometimes they’re slowing down, and sometimes they’re reversing.
Knowing which phase you’re in can help you:
Avoid chasing a move that’s about to run out of steam.
Jump on a move when it’s just getting started.
Spot pullbacks inside a bigger trend (good for entries).
See when different timeframes are all pointing the same way.
🔶 What Kio IQ Shows You
Simple color-coded phases: “Strong Up,” “Up,” “Weak Up,” “Weak Down,” “Down,” “Strong Down.”
Clear visual signals
Full Shift: Strong momentum in one direction.
Half Shift: Momentum is building but not full power yet.
Pullback Shift: A small move against the trend that may be ending.
Early Scout / Lookout: First hints of a possible shift.
Exhaustion: Momentum is very stretched and may slow down.
Divergences: When price moves one way but momentum moves the opposite way—often a warning of a change.
Multi-Timeframe Table: See the trend strength for multiple timeframes (5m, current, 30m, 4h, 1D, and optional 1W/1M) all in one place.
Trend Strength %: A single number that tells you how strong the trend is across all timeframes.
Optional meters: A “momentum bar” and “trend strength gauge” for quick checks.
🔶 How It Works Behind the Scenes
Kio IQ measures price movement in different “speeds”:
Slow view: Big picture trend.
Medium view: The main engine for detecting the current phase.
Fast view: Catches recent changes in momentum.
Super-fast view: Finds tiny pullbacks inside the bigger move.
It compares these views to decide whether the market is strong up, weak up, weak down, strong down, or in between. Then it blends data from multiple timeframes so you see the whole picture, not just the current chart.
🔶 What You’ll See on the Chart
🔷 Full Shift Oscillator (FSO)
The image above highlights the Full Shift Oscillator (FSO).
The FSO is the cornerstone of Kio IQ, delivering mid-term momentum analysis. Using a proprietary formula, it captures momentum on a smooth, balanced scale — responsive enough to avoid lag, yet stable enough to prevent excessive noise or false signals.
The Key Upside Level for the FSO is +20, while the Key Downside Level is -20.
The image above shows the FSO above +20 and below -20, and the corresponding price movement.
FSML above +20 confirms sustained upside momentum — the market is being driven by consistent, broad-based buying pressure, not just a price spike.
FSML below -20 confirms sustained downside momentum — sellers are firmly in control across the market.
We do not chase the first sudden price move. Entries are only considered when the market demonstrates persistence, not impulse.
🔷 Half Shift Oscillator (HSO)
The image above highlights the Half Shift Oscillator (HSO).
The HSO is the FSO’s wingman — faster, more reactive, and designed to catch the earliest signs of strength, weakness, or momentum shifts.
While HSO reacts first, it is not a standalone confirmation of a major momentum change or trade-worthy strength.
Using the same proprietary formula as the FSO but scaled down, the HSO delivers smooth, balanced short-term momentum analysis. It is more responsive than the FSO, serving as the scout that spots potential setups before the main signal confirms.
The Key Upside Level for the FSO is +4, while the Key Downside Level is -4.
🔷 PlayBook Strategy: Shift Sync
Shift Sync is a momentum alignment play that triggers when short-term and mid-term momentum lock into the same direction, signaling strong directional control.
🔹 UpShift Sync – Bullish Alignment
HSO > +4 – Short-term momentum is firmly bullish.
FSO > +20 – Mid-term momentum confirms the bullish bias.
When both thresholds are met, buyers are in control and price is primed for continuation higher.
🔹 DownShift Sync – Bearish Alignment
HSO < -4 – Short-term momentum is firmly bearish.
FSO < -20 – Mid-term momentum confirms the bearish bias.
When both thresholds are met, sellers dominate and price is primed for continuation lower.
Execution:
Look for an entry opportunity in the direction of the alignment when conditions are met.
Avoid choppy conditions where alignment is frequently lost.
Why It Works
Think of the market as a tug-of-war between traders on different timeframes. Short-term traders (captured by the HSO) are quick movers — scalpers, intraday players, and algos hunting immediate edge. Mid-term traders (captured by the FSO) are swing traders, funds, and institutions who move slower but carry more weight.
Most of the time, these groups pull in opposite directions, creating chop and fakeouts. But when they suddenly lean the same way, the rope gets yanked hard in one direction. That’s when momentum has the highest chance to drive price further with minimal resistance.
Shift Sync works because it isolates those rare moments when multiple market “tribes” agree on direction — and when they do, price doesn’t just move, it flies.
Best Market Conditions
Shift Sync works best when the higher timeframe trend (daily, weekly, or monthly) is moving in the same direction as the alignment. This higher timeframe confluence increases follow-through potential and reduces the likelihood of false moves.
The image above shows an example of an UpShift Sync signal where the momentum table shows that the 1D momentum is bullish.
The image above shows bonus confluence, where the 1M and 1W momentum are also bullish.
The image above shows an example of a DownShift Sync signal where the momentum table shows that the 1D momentum is bearish. Bonus confluence also exists, where the 1W and 1M chart are also bearish.
Common Mistakes
Chasing late signals – Avoid entering if the Shift Sync trigger has been active for a long time. Instead, wait for a Shift Sync Pullback to look for opportunities to join in the direction of the trend.
Ignoring higher timeframe bias – Taking Shift Sync setups against the daily, weekly, or monthly trend reduces follow-through potential and increases the risk of a failed move.
🔷 Micro Shift Oscillator (MSO)
The image above highlights the Micro Shift Oscillator (MSO)
The MSO is the finishing touch to the FSO and HSO — the fastest and most reactive of the three. It’s built to spot pullback opportunities when the FSO and HSO are aligned, helping traders join strong price moves at the right time.
The MSO may reveal the earliest signs of a momentum shift, but that’s not its primary role. Its purpose is to identify retracement and pullback opportunities within the overarching trend, allowing traders to join the move while momentum remains intact.
🔷 Playbook Strategy: Shift Sync Pullback
Key Levels:
MSO Upside Trigger: +3
MSO Downside Trigger: -3
🔹 UpShift Pullback
Momentum Confirmation:
FSO > +20 – Mid-term momentum is strongly bullish.
HSO > +4 – Short-term momentum confirms alignment with the FSO.
Pullback Trigger:
MSO ≤ -3 – Signals a short-term retracement within the ongoing bullish trend and marks the earliest re-entry opportunity.
Entry Zone:
The blue arrow on the top chart shows where momentum remains intact while price pulls back into a zone primed for a move higher.
Setup Validity: Both FSO and HSO must remain above their bullish thresholds during the pullback.
Invalid Example:
If either the FSO or HSO drop below their bullish thresholds, momentum alignment breaks. No trade is taken.
🔹 DownShift Pullback
Momentum Confirmation:
FSO < -20 – Mid-term momentum is strongly bearish.
HSO < -4 – Short-term momentum aligns with the FSO, confirming seller dominance.
Pullback Trigger:
MSO ≥ +3 – Indicates a short-term retracement against the bearish trend, pointing to possible short-entry opportunities.
Entry Zone:
The purple arrow on the top chart marks valid pullback conditions — all three oscillators meet their bearish thresholds, and price is positioned to continue lower.
Setup Validity: Both FSO and HSO must remain below their bearish thresholds during the pullback.
Invalid Example:
If either oscillator rises above the bearish threshold, momentum alignment is lost and the MSO signal is ignored.
Why It Works
Even in strong trends, price rarely moves in a straight line. Supply and demand dynamics naturally create retracements as traders take profits, bet on reversals, or hedge positions.
While many momentum traders fear these pullbacks, they’re often the fuel for the next leg of the move — offering a “second chance” to join the trend at a more favorable price.
The Shift Sync Pullback pinpoints moments when both short-term (HSO) and mid-term (FSO) momentum remain firmly aligned, even as price moves temporarily against the trend. This alignment suggests the retracement is a pause, not a reversal.
By entering during a controlled pullback, traders often secure better entries, tighter stops, and stronger follow-through potential when the trend resumes.
Best Market Conditions:
Works best when the higher timeframe (daily, weekly, or monthly) is trending in the same direction as the pullback setup.
Consistent momentum is ideal — avoid erratic, news-driven chop.
Following a recent breakout (Gate Breaker setup) when momentum is still fresh.
Common Mistakes
Ignoring threshold breaks – Entering when either HSO or FSO dips through their momentum threshold often leads to taking trades in weakening trends.
Trading against higher timeframe bias – A pullback against the daily or weekly trend is more likely to fail; use higher timeframe confluence as a filter.
🔷 Macro Shift Oscillator (MaSO)
The chart above shows the MaSO in isolation.
While the MaSO is not part of any active Kio IQ playbook strategies, it delivers the clearest view of the prevailing macro trend.
MaSO > 0 – Macro trend is bullish. Readings above +4 signal extreme bullish conditions.
MaSO < 0 – Macro trend is bearish. Readings below -4 signal extreme bearish conditions.
Use the MaSO for context, not entries — it frames the environment in which all other signals occur
🔷 Shift Gates – Kio IQ Momentum Barriers
The image above shows UpShift Gates.
UpShift Gates mark the highest price reached during periods when the FSO is above +20 — moments when mid-term momentum is firmly bullish and buyers are in control.
UpShift Gates are upside breakout levels — key swing highs formed before a pullback during periods of strong bullish momentum. When price reclaims an UpShift Gate with momentum confirmation, it signals a potential continuation of the uptrend.
The image above shows DownShift Gates.
DownShift Gates Mark The Lowest Price Reached During Periods When The FSO Is Below -20 — Moments When Mid-Term Momentum Is Firmly Bearish And Sellers Are In Control.
DownShift Gates are downside breakout levels — key swing lows formed before an upside pullback during periods of strong bearish momentum. When price reclaims a DownShift Gate with momentum confirmation, it signals a potential continuation of the downtrend.
🔷 Playbook Strategy: Gate Breakers
Core Rule:
Long signal when price decisively closes beyond an UpGate (for longs) or DownGate (for shorts). The breakout must show commitment — no wick-only tests.
🔹 UpGate Breaker (UpGate)
Trigger: Price closes above the UpShift Gate level.
Bonus Confluence: MaSO > 0 at the moment of the break — confirms that the macro trend bias is in favor of the breakout.
Invalidation: Avoid taking the signal if the gate level forms part of a DownShift Rift (bearish divergence) — this signals underlying weakness despite the break.
The chart above shows valid UpGate Breakers.
The chart above shows an invalidated UpGate Breaker setup.
🔹 DownGate Breaker (DownGate)
Trigger: Price closes below the DownShift Gate level.
Bonus Confluence: MaSO < 0 at the moment of the break — confirms that the macro trend bias is in favor of the breakdown.
Invalidation: Avoid taking the trade if the gate level forms part of an UpShift Rift (bullish divergence) — this signals underlying strength despite the break.
The chart above shows a valid DownGate Breaker.
Why It Works
Key swing levels like Shift Gates attract a high concentration of resting orders — stop losses from traders caught on the wrong side and breakout orders from momentum traders waiting for confirmation.
When price decisively clears a gate with a strong close, these orders trigger in quick succession, creating a burst of directional momentum.
Adding the MaSO filter ensures you’re breaking gates with the prevailing macro bias, improving the odds that the move will continue rather than stall.
The divergence-based invalidation rule (Rift filter) prevents entries when underlying momentum is moving in the opposite direction, helping avoid “fake breakouts” that trap traders.
Best Market Conditions:
Works best in markets with clear trend structure and visible Shift Gates (not during chop).
Strongest when higher timeframe (1D, 1W, 1M) momentum aligns with the breakout direction.
MaSO > 0 for bullish breakouts, MaSO < 0 for bearish breakouts
Most reliable after a period of consolidation near the gate, where pressure builds before the break.
Common Mistakes
Trading wick-only tests – A breakout without a decisive candle close beyond the gate often fails.
Ignoring MaSO bias – Taking a break in the opposite macro direction greatly reduces follow-through odds.
Skipping the Rift filter – Entering when the gate forms part of a divergence setup exposes you to higher reversal risk.
Chasing extended moves – If price is already far beyond the gate by the time you see it, risk/reward is poor; wait for the next setup or a retest.
🔷 Shift Rifts - Kio IQ Divergences
This chart shows an UpShift Rift — a bullish divergence where price action and momentum part ways, signaling a potential trend reversal or acceleration.
Setup:
Price Action: Price is marking lower lows, indicating short-term weakness.
FSO Reading: The Full Shift Oscillator (FSO) is marking higher lows over the same period, showing underlying momentum strengthening despite falling prices.
The rift between price and the FSO suggests selling pressure is losing force while buyers quietly regain control.
When confirmed by broader trend alignment in Kio IQ’s multi-timeframe momentum table, the UpShift Rift becomes a setup for a bullish move.
This chart shows a DownShift Rift — a bearish divergence where price action and momentum split, signaling a potential downside reversal.
Setup:
Price Action: Price is marking higher highs, suggesting continued strength on the surface.
FSO Reading: The Full Shift Oscillator (FSO) is marking lower highs over the same period, revealing weakening momentum beneath the price advance.
The rift between price and momentum signals that buying pressure is fading, even as price makes new highs. This disconnect often precedes a momentum shift in favor of sellers.
When aligned with multi-timeframe bearish signals in Kio IQ’s momentum table, the DownShift Rift becomes a strong setup for downside continuation or reversal.
🔷 Playbook Strategy: Rift Reversal
The Rift Reversal is a divergence-based reversal play that signals when momentum is fading and an trend reversal is likely. It’s designed to catch early turning points before the broader market catches on.
Trader’s Note:
This strategy is not intended for beginners — it requires confidence in reading divergence and trusting momentum shifts even when price action still appears weak. Best suited for traders experienced in managing reversals, as entries often occur before the broader market confirms the move.
🔹 UpRift Reversal
Core Setup:
Price Action – Forms a lower low.
Momentum Rift – The FSO forms a higher low, signaling bullish divergence and weakening selling pressure.
Trigger:
A confirmed UpRift Reversal signal is printed when:
Bullish Divergence is detected — price makes a new low, but the oscillator fails to confirm.
Momentum begins turning up from the divergence low (marked on chart as ⇝)
The image above shows a valid UpRift Reversal play.
🔹 DownRift Reversal
Core Setup:
Price Action – Forms a higher high.
Momentum Rift – The FSO forms a lower high, signaling bearish divergence and weakening buying pressure.
Trigger
A confirmed DownRift Reversal signal is printed when:
Bearish Divergence is detected — price makes a new high, but the oscillator fails to confirm.
Momentum begins turning down from the divergence high (marked on chart as ⇝).
Why It Works
Shift Rifts work because momentum often fades before a price reverses.
Price is the final scoreboard — it reflects what has already happened. Momentum, on the other hand, is a leading indicator of pressure. When the FSO begins to move in the opposite direction of price, it signals that the dominant side in the market is losing steam, even if the scoreboard hasn’t flipped yet.
In an UpShift Rift, sellers keep pushing price lower, but each push has less force — buyers are quietly building pressure under the surface.
In a DownShift Rift, buyers keep marking new highs, but they’re spending more effort for less result — sellers are starting to take control.
These disconnects happen because large participants often scale into or out of positions gradually, creating momentum shifts before price reflects it. Shift Rifts capture those turning points early.
Best Market Conditions:
Best in markets that have been trending strongly but are starting to show signs of exhaustion.
Works well after a prolonged move into key support/resistance, where large players may take profits or reverse positions.
Higher win potential when the Rift aligns with higher timeframe momentum bias in Kio IQ’s multi-timeframe table.
Common Mistakes
Forcing Rifts in choppy markets – In sideways chop, small oscillations can look like divergences but lack conviction.
Ignoring multi-timeframe bias – Trading an UpShift Rift when higher timeframes are strongly bearish (or vice versa) reduces follow-through odds.
Entering too early – Divergences can extend before reversing; wait for momentum to confirm a turn (⇝) before making a trading decision.
Confusing normal pullbacks with Rifts – Not every dip in momentum is a divergence; the Rift requires a clear and opposing trend between price and FSO.
🔷 Shift Count – Momentum Stage Tracker
Purpose:
Shift Count measures how far a bullish or bearish push has progressed, from its first spark to potential exhaustion.
It tracks momentum in defined steps so traders can instantly gauge whether a move is just starting, picking up steam, fully extended, or at risk of reversing.
How It Works
Bullish Momentum:
Start (1–2) → New momentum emerging, early entry window.
Acceleration (3–4) → Momentum in full swing, best for holding or adding to a position.
Extreme Bullish Momentum / Final Stages (5) → Watch for signs of reversal or take partial profits.
Exhaust – Can only occur after 5 is reached, signaling that the rally may be losing steam.
Bearish Momentum:
Start (-1 to -2) → New selling pressure emerging.
Acceleration (-3 to -4) → Bear trend accelerating.
Extreme Bearish Momentum / Final Stages (-5) → Watch for reversal or scale out.
Exhaust – Can only occur after -5 is reached, signaling that the sell-off may be running out of force.
The chart above shows a full 5-UpShift count.
The chart above shows a full 5-DownShift count.
Why It’s Useful
Markets often move in momentum “steps” before reversing or taking a breather.
Shift Count makes these steps visible, helping traders:
Spot the early stages of a potential move.
Identify when a move is picking up steam.
Identify when a move is mature and vulnerable to reversal.
Combine with other Kio IQ strategies for better-timed entries and exits.
Why This Works
It’s visually obvious where you are in the momentum cycle without overthinking.
You can build rules like:
Only enter in Start phase when higher timeframe agrees.
Manage positions aggressively once in Acceleration phase.
Be ready to exit or fade in Exhaust phase.
Best Market Conditions
Trending markets where pullbacks are shallow.
Works best when combined with Shift Sync Pullback or Gate Breaker triggers to confirm timing.
Higher timeframe direction confluence.
Common Mistakes
Treating Exhaust as always a reversal — sometimes strong markets push past 5/-5 multiple times.
Ignoring higher timeframe bias — a “Start” on a 1-minute chart against a strong daily trend is much riskier.
🔷 Playbook Strategy: Exhaust Flip
Core idea: When Shift Count reaches 5 (or -5) and then prints Exhaust, momentum has likely climaxed, whether temporarily or leading to a full reversal. We take the first qualified signal against the prior move.
Trader’s Note:
This strategy is not intended for beginners — it requires confidence in trusting momentum shifts even when price action still appears strong. Best suited for traders experienced in managing reversals, as entries often occur before the broader market confirms the move.
🔹 UpExhaust Flip (fade a bullish run)
Setup:
Shift Count hits 5, then an Exhaust print occurs.
Invalidation
The local high is broken to the upside.
The chart above explains the UpExhaust Flip strategy in greater detail.
🔹 DownExhaust Flip (fade a bearish run)
Setup:
Shift Count hits -5, then an Exhaust print occurs.
Invalidation
The local low is broken to the downside.
The chart above explains the DownExhaust Flip strategy in greater detail.
Bonus Confluence (optional, not required)
Rift assist: An UpShift Rift (for longs) or DownShift Rift (for shorts) near Exhaust strengthens the flip.
MaSO context: Neutral or opposite-leaning MaSO helps. Avoid flips straight against a strong MaSO bias unless you have a structure break.
Why It Works
Exhaust marks climax behavior: the prior side has pushed hard, then failed to extend after meeting significant pushback. Liquidity gets thin at the edges; aggressive profit-taking meets early contrarians. A small confirmation (micro structure break or HSO turn) is often enough to flip the tape for a snapback.
Best Market Conditions
After extended, one-sided runs (multiple Shift Count steps without meaningful pullbacks).
Near Shift Gates or obvious swing extremes where trapped orders cluster.
When higher-timeframe momentum is neutral or softening (you’re fading the last thrust of a decisive move, not a fresh trend).
Common Mistakes
Fading too early: Taking the trade at 5 without waiting for the Exhaust.
Fading freight trains: Fighting a fresh Shift Sync in the same direction right after Exhaust (often just a pause).
No structure reference: Entering without a clear micro swing to anchor risk.
🔷 MTF Shift Table
The MTF Shift Table table provides a compact, multi-timeframe view of market momentum shifts. Each cell represents the current shift count within a given timeframe, while the classification label indicates whether momentum is strong, weak, or normal.
The chart above further outlines the MTF Shift Table.
Why It Works
Markets rarely move in a perfectly linear fashion — momentum develops, stalls, and transitions at different speeds across different timeframes. This table allows you to:
See momentum alignment at a glance – If multiple higher and lower timeframes show a sustained shift count in the same direction, the move has greater structural support.
Spot divergences early – A shorter timeframe reversing against a longer-term sustained count can warn of potential pullbacks or trend exhaustion before price confirms.
Identify “momentum stacking” opportunities – When shift counts escalate across timeframes in sequence, it often signals a stronger and more durable move.
Avoid false enthusiasm – A single timeframe spike without agreement from other periods may be noise rather than genuine momentum.
The Trend Score provides a concise, at-a-glance evaluation of an asset’s directional strength across multiple timeframes. It distills complex momentum and Shift data into a single, easy-to-read metric, allowing traders to quickly determine whether the prevailing conditions favor bullish or bearish continuation. The Trend Scale scales from -100 to 100.
How to Use It in Practice
Trend Confirmation – Confirm that your intended trade direction is backed by multiple timeframes maintaining consistent momentum.
Risk Timing – Reduce position size or take partial profits when lower timeframes begin shifting against the dominant momentum classification.
Multi-timeframe Confluence – Combine with other system signals (e.g., FSO, HSO) for higher-probability entries.
This table effectively turns a complex multi-timeframe read into a single, glanceable heatmap of momentum structure, enabling quicker and more confident decision-making.
The MTF Shift Table is the confluence backbone of every playbook strategy for Kio IQ.
🔷 Momentum Meter
The Momentum Meter is a composite gauge built from three of Kio IQ’s core momentum engines:
HSO – Short-term momentum scout
FSO – Mid-term momentum backbone
MaSO – Macro trend context
By combining these three readings, the meter provides the most strict and lagging momentum classification in Kio IQ.
It only flips direction when a composite score of all three oscillators reach defined thresholds, filtering out short-lived counter-moves and false starts.
Why It Works
Many momentum tools flip too quickly — reacting to short-lived spikes that don’t represent real directional commitment. The Momentum Meter avoids this by requiring alignment across short, mid, and macro momentum engines before it shifts bias.
This triple-confirmation rule filters out noise, catching only those moments when traders of all speeds — scalpers, swing traders, and long-term participants — are leaning in the same direction. When that happens, price movement tends to be more sustained and less prone to immediate reversal.
In other words, the Momentum Meter doesn’t just tell you “momentum looks good” — it tells you momentum looks good to everyone who matters, across all horizons.
How It Works
Blue = All three engines align bullish.
Pink = All three engines align bearish.
The meter ignores smaller pullbacks or temporary oscillations that might flip the faster indicators — it waits for total alignment before changing state.
Because of this strict confirmation requirement, the Momentum Meter reacts slower but delivers higher-conviction shifts.
How to Interpret Readings
Blue (Bullish Alignment):
Sustained buying pressure across short, mid, and macro views. Often marks the “full confirmation” stage of a move.
Pink (Bearish Alignment):
Sustained selling pressure across all views. Confirms sellers are in control.
Practical Uses
Trend Followers – Use as a “stay-in” confirmation once a position is already open.
Swing Traders – Great for filtering out low-conviction setups; if the Momentum Meter disagrees with your intended direction, conditions aren’t fully aligned.
Confluence and Direction Filter – The Momentum Meter can be used as a form of confluence i.e. blue = longs only, pink = shorts only.
Limitations
Will always turn after the faster oscillators (HSO/MSO). This is intentional.
Works best in trending markets — in choppy conditions it may lag shifts significantly.
Should be used as a bias filter, not a standalone entry signal.
🔷 Trend Strength Meter
The Trend Strength Meter is a compact visual gauge that scores the current trend’s strength on a scale from -5 to +5:
+5 = Extremely strong bullish trend
0 = Neutral, no clear trend
-5 = Extremely strong bearish trend
This is an optional tool in Kio IQ — designed for quick reference rather than as a primary trading trigger.
Why it works
Single-indicator trend reads can be misleading — they might look strong on one metric while quietly weakening on another. The Trend Strength Meter solves this by blending multiple inputs (momentum alignment, structure persistence, and multi-timeframe data) into one composite score.
This matters because trend health isn’t just about direction — it’s about persistence. A +5 or -5 score means the market is not only trending but holding that trend with structural support across multiple timeframes.
By tracking both direction and staying power, the Trend Strength Meter flags when a move is at risk of fading before price action fully confirms it — giving you a head start on adjusting your position or taking profits.
How It Works
The Trend Strength Meter evaluates multiple market inputs — including momentum alignment, price structure, and persistence — to assign a numeric value representing how firmly the current move is holding.
The scoring logic:
Positive values indicate bullish conditions.
Negative values indicate bearish conditions.
Higher magnitude (closer to ±5) = stronger conviction in that direction.
Values near zero suggest the market is in a transition or range.
How to Interpret Readings
+4 to +5 (Strong Up) – Trend is well-established, often with multi-timeframe agreement.
+1 to +3 (Up) – Bullish bias present, but not at maximum conviction.
0 (Neutral) – No dominant trend; could be consolidation or pre-shift phase.
-1 to -3 (Down) – Bearish bias present but moderate.
-4 to -5 (Strong Down) – Trend is firmly bearish, with consistent downside momentum.
Why It Works
A single timeframe or momentum reading can give a false sense of trend health.
The Trend Strength Meter aggregates multiple layers of market data into one simplified score, making it easy to see whether a move has the underlying support to continue — or whether it’s more likely to stall.
Because the score considers both direction and persistence, it can flag when a move is losing strength even before price structure fully shifts.
🔷 Kio IQ – Supplemental Playbook Strategies
These phases are part of the Kio IQ Playbook—situational tools that can help you anticipate potential momentum changes.
While they can be useful for planning and tactical adjustments, they are not primary trade triggers and should be treated as early, lower-conviction cues.
🔹 1. Scouting Phase (Light Early Cue)
Purpose: Provide the earliest possible hint that momentum may be shifting.
Upshift Trigger: FSO crosses above the 0 line.
Downshift Trigger: FSO crosses below the 0 line.
Why It Works
The 0 line in the Full Shift Oscillator (FSO) acts as a neutral momentum boundary.
When the FSO moves above 0, it suggests that medium-term momentum has shifted to bullish territory.
When it moves below 0, it suggests that medium-term momentum has shifted to bearish territory.
This crossover is often the first measurable sign of a momentum reversal or acceleration, well before slower indicators confirm it.
Think of it as "momentum poking its head above water"—you’re spotting the change before it becomes obvious on price alone.
Best Use
Works best when confirmed later by Lookout Phase or other primary Kio IQ signals.
Ideal for scouting in anticipation of potential opportunities.
Helpful when monitoring multiple assets and you want a quick filter for shifts worth watching.
Can act as a trade trigger when the MTF Shift Table shows confluence (i.e., UpShift Scouting Signal + Bullish MTF Table + High Trend Strength Score).
Common Mistakes
Acting on Scouting Phase signals against the MTF Shift Table as a stand-alone trade trigger. Without higher timeframe alignment or additional confirmation, many Scouting Phase crossovers can fade quickly or reverse, leading to premature entries.
Ignoring market context
A bullish Scouting Phase in a strong downtrend can easily fail.
Always check higher timeframe trend alignment.
Overreacting to noise: On lower timeframes, small fluctuations can create false scouting signals.
Best Practices
Filter with trend: Only act on Scouting Phases that align with the dominant higher timeframe trend.
Watch volatility: In low-volatility conditions, false scouting triggers are more likely.
🔹 2. Lookout Phase (Early Momentum Alert)
Purpose:
The Lookout Phase signals an early alert that momentum is potentially strengthening in a given direction. It’s more meaningful than the Scouting Phase, but still considered a preliminary cue.
Triggers:
Upshift: FSO crosses above the HSO.
Downshift: FSO crosses below the HSO.
Why It Works:
The Lookout Phase is designed to identify moments when mid-term momentum (FSO) overtakes short-term momentum (HSO). Since the FSO is smoother and reacts more gradually, its crossover of the faster-reacting HSO can indicate a shift from short-lived fluctuations to a more sustained directional move.
This makes it a valuable early read on momentum transitions—especially when supported by higher-timeframe context.
Best Practices:
Always check the MTF Shift Table for higher-timeframe alignment before acting on a Lookout Phase signal.
Look for confluence with the Momentum Meter
Treat Lookout Phase entries as probing positions—small, exploratory trades that can be scaled into if follow-through develops.
Common Mistakes:
Treating Lookout Phase signals as a definitive trade trigger without context
Entering solely on a Lookout Phase crossover, without considering the MTF Shift Table or broader market structure, can result in chasing short-lived momentum bursts that fail to follow through.
Ignoring prevailing higher-timeframe momentum
Trading a Lookout Phase signal that is counter to the dominant trend or higher-timeframe bias increases the risk of whipsaws and false moves.
🔶 Summary
Kio IQ is an all-in-one trading indicator that combines momentum, trend strength, multi-timeframe analysis, divergences, pullbacks, and exhaustion alerts into a clear, structured view. It helps traders cut through market noise by showing whether a move is strong, weak, a trap, or simply part of a larger trend. With tools like the Full Shift Oscillator, Multi-Timeframe Shift Table, Shift Gates, and Rift Divergences, Kio IQ simplifies complex market behavior into easy-to-read signals. It’s designed to help traders spot early shifts, align with momentum, and recognize when trends are building or losing steam—all in one place.
Skrip berbayar
Wickless Tap Signals Wickless Tap Signals — TradingView Indicator (v6)
A precision signal-only tool that marks BUY/SELL events when price “retests” the base of a very strong impulse candle (no wick on the retest side) in the direction of trend.
What it does (in plain English)
Finds powerful impulse candles:
Bull case: a green candle with no lower wick (its open ≈ low).
Bear case: a red candle with no upper wick (its open ≈ high).
Confirms trend with an EMA filter:
Only looks for bullish bases while price is above the EMA.
Only looks for bearish bases while price is below the EMA.
Waits for the retest (“tap”):
Later, if price revisits the base of that wickless candle
Bullish: taps the candle’s low/open → BUY signal
Bearish: taps the candle’s high/open → SELL signal
Optional level “consumption” so each base can trigger one signal, not many.
The idea: a wickless impulse often marks strong initiative order flow. The first retest of that base frequently acts as a springboard (bull) or ceiling (bear).
Exact rules (formal)
Let tick = syminfo.mintick, tol = tapTicks * tick.
Trend filter
inUp = close > EMA(lenEMA)
inDn = close < EMA(lenEMA)
Wickless impulse candles (confirmed on bar close)
Bullish wickless: close > open and abs(low - open) ≤ tol
Bearish wickless: close < open and abs(high - open) ≤ tol
When such a candle closes with trend alignment:
Store bullTapLevel = low (for bull case) and its bar index.
Store bearTapLevel = high (for bear case) and its bar index.
Signals (must happen on a later bar than the origin)
BUY: low ≤ bullTapLevel + tol and inUp and bar_index > bullBarIdx
SELL: high ≥ bearTapLevel - tol and inDn and bar_index > bearBarIdx
One-shot option
If enabled, once a signal fires, the stored level is cleared so it won’t trigger again.
Inputs (Settings)
Trend EMA Length (lenEMA): Default 200.
Use 50–100 for intraday, 200 for swing/position.
Tap Tolerance (ticks) (tapTicks): Default 1.
Helps account for tiny feed discrepancies. Set 0 for strict equality.
One Signal per Level (oneShot): Default ON.
If OFF, multiple taps can create multiple signals.
Plot Tap Levels (plotLevels): Draws horizontal lines at active bases.
Show Pattern Labels (showLabels): Marks the origin wickless candles.
Plots & Visuals
EMA trend line for context.
Tap Levels:
Green line at bullish base (origin candle’s low/open).
Red line at bearish base (origin candle’s high/open).
Signals:
BUY: triangle-up below the bar on the tap.
SELL: triangle-down above the bar on the tap.
Labels (optional):
Marks the original wickless impulse candle that created each level.
Alerts
Two alert conditions are built in:
“BUY Signal” — fires when a bullish tap occurs.
“SELL Signal” — fires when a bearish tap occurs.
How to set:
Add the indicator to your chart.
Click Alerts (⏰) → Condition = this indicator.
Choose BUY Signal or SELL Signal.
Set your alert frequency and delivery method.
Recommended usage
Timeframes: Works on any; start with 5–15m intraday, or 1H–1D for swing.
Markets: Equities, futures, FX, crypto. For thin/illiquid assets, consider a slightly larger Tap Tolerance.
Confluence ideas (optional, but helpful):
Higher-timeframe trend agreeing with your chart timeframe.
Volume surge on the origin wickless candle.
S/R, order blocks, or SMC structures near the tap level.
Avoid major news moments when slippage is high.
No-repaint behavior
Origin patterns are detected only on bar close (barstate.isconfirmed), so bases are created with confirmed data.
Signals come after the origin bar, on subsequent taps.
There is no lookahead; lines and shapes reflect information known at the time.
(As with all real-time indicators, an intrabar tap can trigger an alert during the live bar; the signal then remains if that condition held at bar close.)
Known limitations & design choices
Single active level per side: The script tracks only the most recent bullish base and most recent bearish base.
Want a queue of multiple simultaneous bases? That’s possible with arrays; ask and we’ll extend it.
Heikin Ashi / non-standard candles: Wick definitions change; for consistent behavior use regular OHLC candles.
Gaps: On large gaps, taps can occur instantly at the open. Consider one-shot ON to avoid rapid repeats.
This is an indicator, not a strategy: It does not place trades or compute PnL. For backtesting, we can convert it into a strategy with SL/TP logic (ATR or structure-based).
Practical tips
Tap Tolerance:
If you miss obvious taps by a hair, increase to 1–2 ticks.
For FX/crypto with tiny ticks, even 0 or 1 is often enough.
EMA length:
Shorten for faster signals; lengthen for cleaner trend selection.
Risk management (manual suggestion):
For BUY signals, consider a stop slightly below the tap level (or ATR-based).
For SELL signals, consider a stop slightly above the tap level.
Scale out or trail using structure or ATR.
Quick checklist
✅ Price above EMA → watch for a green no-lower-wick candle → store its low → BUY on tap.
✅ Price below EMA → watch for a red no-upper-wick candle → store its high → SELL on tap.
✅ Use Tap Tolerance to avoid missing precise touches by one tick.
✅ Consider One Signal per Level to keep trades uncluttered.
FAQ
Q: Why did I not get a signal even though price touched the level?
A: Check Tap Tolerance (maybe too strict), trend alignment at the tap bar, and that the tap happened after the origin candle. Also confirm you’re on regular candles.
Q: Can I see multiple bases at once?
A: This version tracks the latest bull and bear bases. We can extend to arrays to keep N recent bases per side.
Q: Will it repaint?
A: No. Bases form on confirmed closes, and signals only on later bars.
Q: Can I backtest it?
A: This is a study. Ask for the strategy variant and we’ll add entries, exits, SL/TP, and stats.
