SUPERTREND VALIDADO ADX EMAS VWAP # Modular Trading System - SuperTrend + ADX + Multi-Filter Confirmation
## Overview
Professional modular trading system designed for trend-following strategies on 4H timeframes. Features a clean, mobile-optimized interface with customizable filters and real-time status monitoring.
## Core Features
### Validated Components (Backtested)
- **SuperTrend (ATR 10, Multiplier 3.0)**: Primary trend direction filter with visual fill
- **ADX >23**: Trend strength confirmation (14-period)
- Proven performance: 52.11% win rate, 3.162 profit factor over 4 years
### Additional Filters (Optional)
- **DI Spread >9**: Directional movement confirmation
- **Volume > EMA20**: Volume confirmation above 20-period average
- **EMA System**: 7/21/50 with dynamic coloring
- **VWAP**: Daily volume-weighted average price
### Visual Elements
- **SuperTrend Line**: Green (bullish) / Red (bearish) with background fill
- **EMA 7**: Yellow when ADX >23, White when ADX ≤23
- **EMA 21**: Green (price above) / Red (price below)
- **EMA 50**: Blue reference line
- **VWAP**: Orange line
- **PDH/PDL**: Previous day high/low levels
- **EMA Cross Signals**: Small dots marking 7/21 crossovers
### Smart Money Concepts
- Automatic Previous Day High (PDH) / Previous Day Low (PDL) tracking
- Horizontal lines extending from current price
- Clear labeling for support/resistance levels
## Status Dashboard
Compact 2-column table (top-right) shows:
```
FILTERS | STATUS
1. ADX >23 | 47.6 OK / 18.2 NO
2. DI Spread >9 | Bullish / Bearish
3. SuperTrend | Bullish / Bearish
4. Volume >EMA20 | 1.25x OK / 0.14x NO
─────────────────────────────
SIGNAL | BUY / SELL / WAIT
```
Color-coded backgrounds:
- Green: Condition met
- Red: Condition not met
- Yellow: Waiting for confirmation
## Signal Logic
### Entry Conditions
**LONG**: All active filters must align
- SuperTrend bullish (green)
- ADX >23
- DI+ > DI- (if DI Spread enabled)
- Volume > EMA20 (if Volume enabled)
- Price > EMA21 and EMA7 > EMA21 (if EMAs enabled)
**SHORT**: All active filters must align
- SuperTrend bearish (red)
- ADX >23
- DI- > DI+ (if DI Spread enabled)
- Volume > EMA20 (if Volume enabled)
- Price < EMA21 and EMA7 < EMA21 (if EMAs enabled)
### Exit Conditions
- SuperTrend direction change
- Clear "EXIT" markers on chart
### Position Management
- One position per trend (no pyramiding)
- Prevents multiple entries in same direction
- "WAIT" status when conditions partially met
## Settings & Customization
### Filters (Enable/Disable)
**Core Filters:**
- ✓ SuperTrend (VALIDATED)
- ✓ ADX >23 (VALIDATED)
**Additional Filters:**
- ⚠️ DI Spread >9 (EXPERIMENTAL)
- ⚠️ Volume > EMA20 (EXPERIMENTAL)
- ⚠️ EMAs 7/21/50 (EXPERIMENTAL)
**Visual:**
- Show EMA 7/21 Crosses (dots)
### Parameters
**SuperTrend:**
- ATR Period: 10 (default)
- ATR Multiplier: 3.0 (default)
**ADX/DI:**
- ADX Length: 14 (default)
- ADX Threshold: 23 (default)
- DI Spread Threshold: 9 (default)
**Volume:**
- Volume EMA: 20 (default)
**EMAs:**
- Fast EMA: 7 (default)
- Medium EMA: 21 (default)
- Slow EMA: 50 (default)
## Alerts
Pre-configured alerts for:
- Long Signal (BUY - Entry confirmed)
- Short Signal (SELL - Entry confirmed)
- Exit Long (EXIT LONG - SuperTrend changed)
- Exit Short (EXIT SHORT - SuperTrend changed)
- EMA Cross Up (EMA 7 crossed above EMA 21)
- EMA Cross Down (EMA 7 crossed below EMA 21)
## Best Practices
### Recommended Setup (Validated System)
```
Enable ONLY:
- SuperTrend: ON
- ADX >23: ON
- All other filters: OFF
```
### Testing New Filters
1. Enable experimental filters
2. Backtest thoroughly before live trading
3. Compare performance metrics
4. Validate with demo account first
### Timeframe
- Optimized for: 4H charts
- Tested on: Bitcoin/USDT
- Works on: Any trending instrument
## Risk Management
This indicator provides entry/exit signals but does NOT include:
- Stop loss levels
- Take profit targets
- Position sizing
Always use proper risk management:
- Maximum 1-2% risk per trade
- Use stop losses
- Follow your trading plan
## Performance Notes
**Validated Backtest Results (SuperTrend + ADX only):**
- Win Rate: 52.11%
- Profit Factor: 3.162
- Return: +45.46% (4 years)
- Tested Period: 2020-2024
- Instrument: BTC/USDT 4H
**Important:** Adding additional filters changes the system. Results may vary. Always backtest your specific configuration before live trading.
## Mobile Optimization
- Compact table design
- Clear color coding
- Minimal chart clutter
- Large signal text
- Optimized for small screens
## Use Cases
✅ **Ideal for:**
- Trend-following strategies
- Swing trading (4H timeframe)
- Clear market conditions
- Systematic traders
❌ **NOT ideal for:**
- Scalping (too slow)
- Range-bound markets
- Counter-trend strategies
- Lateral/choppy conditions
## Credits & Methodology
Based on proven technical analysis principles:
- SuperTrend (volatility-based trend following)
- ADX (trend strength measurement)
- Directional Indicators (DI+/DI-)
- Volume analysis
- EMA systems
**Designed for:** Disciplined execution over frequent trading
**Philosophy:** Quality setups > Quantity of trades
## Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always:
- Test on demo account first
- Use proper risk management
- Never risk more than you can afford to lose
- Consult a financial advisor
Trading involves substantial risk. This tool does not constitute financial advice.
---
## Version History
**v2.0 (Current)**
- Modular filter system
- 2-column compact status table
- EMA 7 dynamic coloring (yellow when ADX >23)
- EMA 50 + VWAP added
- PDH/PDL levels
- EMA cross markers
- Improved signal logic
- One position per trend
- Multiple alert conditions
---
**For support, updates, or feedback, contact the developer.**
Cari dalam skrip untuk "bitcoin"
ALT Risk Strategy with Fear & Greed + ISM PMI📊 Overview
This advanced crypto trading strategy combines multiple macro indicators to identify optimal buy and sell zones for altcoins. It tracks the relationship between altcoin performance versus Bitcoin (ALT/BTC pairs) while incorporating broader market sentiment and economic data to generate risk-adjusted entry and exit signals.
🎯 Core Methodology
Base Risk Metric (65% weight):
MACD Momentum (5%): Normalized trend strength on weekly ALT/BTC pair
RSI (60%): Relative strength indicating overbought/oversold conditions
Price Deviation (35%): Distance from 150-period moving average
Fear & Greed Index (20% weight):
Analyzes market sentiment using multiple factors:
Price momentum and rate of return
Money flow and volume analysis
Volatility metrics (crypto: BVOL24H, traditional: VIX)
Dominance indicators (crypto: BTC.D, traditional: Gold)
Two modes: Crypto-focused or Traditional markets
Customizable smoothing and weighting
US ISM PMI Integration (15% weight):
Manufacturing economic indicator (contraction vs expansion)
PMI < 50 = Economic weakness = Better crypto buying opportunities
PMI > 50 = Economic strength = Risk-on environment
Configurable offset to lead/lag the signal
Daily data smoothed over customizable period
💰 Trading Logic
Tiered Buy System:
Level 1 (Risk < 70): Initial entry with conservative amount
Level 2 (Risk < 50): Double down as risk decreases
Level 3 (Risk < 30): Maximum accumulation at extreme lows
All purchases customizable by dollar amount
Tiered Sell System:
Level 1 (Risk > 70): Take partial profits (default 25%)
Level 2 (Risk > 85): Continue scaling out (default 35%)
Level 3 (Risk > 100): Final exit (default 40%)
Sells reset when new buys occur (can re-accumulate)
⚙️ Key Features
Multi-Asset Support: ETH, SOL, ADA, LINK, UNI, XRP, DOGE, AVAX, MATIC, RENDER, or custom
Exchange Selection: Works with Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, Bitfinex, Bybit
3Commas Integration: Optional webhook alerts for automated bot trading
Visual Risk Zones: Color-coded indicator (green/lime/yellow/orange/red/maroon)
Real-time Info Table: Displays current risk metric, F&G index, PMI value, weights, and position status
Flexible Weighting: Adjust influence of each component (Base/F&G/PMI)
Weekly Timeframe: Reduces noise and focuses on macro trends
📈 Use Cases
DCA Strategy: Dollar-cost averaging with intelligent timing
Swing Trading: Catching major market cycles (weeks to months)
Risk Management: Exit before major downturns, enter during fear
Macro Trading: Align crypto positions with economic conditions
Bot Automation: Connect to 3Commas for hands-free execution
🎓 Credits & Attribution
Original Concept & Base Risk Metric:
Inspired by community-developed ALT/BTC risk oscillators
Fear & Greed methodology adapted from crypto market sentiment research
Enhancements & Integration:
ISM PMI integration and weighting system
Multi-indicator combination framework
Tiered buy/sell logic with reset mechanism
3Commas webhook integration
Development:
Primary Development: Claude AI (Anthropic)
Collaboration & Testing: User feedback and iteration
Pine Script Implementation: TradingView v5
⚠️ Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational and informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Cryptocurrency trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before trading. The strategy uses lagging indicators (weekly timeframe) which may not react quickly to sudden market changes.
🔧 Recommended Settings
For better performance than default conservative settings:
Increase buy amounts: Try $50/$75/$100 for more meaningful positions
Adjust thresholds: Consider 40/60/80 for more frequent entries
Test different weights: Experiment with F&G and PMI influence
Optimize for your asset: Different cryptos may require different parameters
Version: 1.0
Last Updated: December 2025
Compatible With: TradingView Pine Script v5
Optimized BTC Mean Reversion (RSI 20/65)📈 Optimized BTC Mean Reversion (RSI 20/65)
Optimized BTC Mean Reversion (RSI 20/65) is a rule-based trading strategy designed to capture mean-reversion moves in strong market structures, primarily optimized for Bitcoin, but adaptable to other liquid cryptocurrencies.
The strategy combines RSI extremes, Stochastic momentum, and EMA trend filtering to identify high-probability reversal zones while maintaining strict risk management.
🔍 Strategy Logic
This system focuses on entering trades when price temporarily deviates from equilibrium, while still respecting the broader trend.
✅ Long Conditions
RSI below 20 (oversold)
Stochastic below 25
Price trading above the 200 EMA (or within a controlled deviation)
Designed to buy sharp pullbacks in bullish conditions
❌ Short Conditions
RSI above 65 (overbought)
Stochastic above 75
Price trading below the 200 EMA
Designed to sell relief rallies in bearish conditions
🛡 Risk Management
Fixed Stop Loss: 4%
Fixed Take Profit: 6%
Risk/Reward: 1 : 1.5
No pyramiding (single position at a time)
Full equity position sizing (adjustable)
All exits are predefined at entry, ensuring consistency and emotional discipline.
📊 Indicators Used
200 EMA – Trend direction filter
RSI (14) – Mean-reversion trigger (20 / 65 levels)
Stochastic Oscillator – Momentum confirmation
👁 Visual Features
EMA plotted directly on chart
Real-time Stop Loss, Take Profit, and Entry Price lines
Clear long/short entry markers
Works on all timeframes (optimized for intraday and swing trading)
🔔 Alerts
Long entry alerts
Short entry alerts
(Perfect for automation or discretionary execution)
⚠️ Disclaimer
This strategy is intended for educational and research purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always test on a demo account and adjust risk parameters to your own trading plan.
CRUX-3 Macro Regime Index"CRUX-3 Macro Regime Index"
Description:
CRUX-3 Macro Regime Index is a higher-timeframe macro indicator designed to evaluate how crypto markets are performing relative to traditional equities. It compares Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the broader altcoin market (TOTAL3) against the S&P 500 using Z-score normalization to highlight periods of relative outperformance or underperformance.
The indicator incorporates liquidity-based regime detection using Bitcoin dominance and stablecoin dominance to classify market environments as Risk-On, BTC-Led, or Risk-Off. Background shading visually highlights these regimes, helping users identify broader macro conditions rather than short-term trade signals.
CRUX-3 is intended for macro context, regime awareness, and allocation bias decisions, not for precise trade entries or timing.
How to Use:
Weekly timeframe recommended for best results
Rising Z-scores indicate crypto outperforming equities
ETH/SPX typically acts as an early rotation signal
TOTAL3/SPX confirms broader altcoin participation
Regime shading reflects liquidity conditions, not price forecasts
Regime Definitions:
Risk-On: BTC dominance and stablecoin dominance declining
BTC-Led: BTC dominance strong while stablecoin dominance eases
Risk-Off: BTC dominance and stablecoin dominance rising
Notes:
Forward regime bands are statistical reference guides based on historical behavior
This indicator does not predict future prices or market direction
Best used alongside price charts and other macro tools
Disclaimer:
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or trading recommendations.
Recommended Settings:
Timeframe: Weekly (1W)
Z-Score Lookback: 52
Forward Regime Bands: Enabled
Global M2 YoY % Change (USD) 10W-12W LEADthe base script is from @dylanleclair I modified it slightly according to the views on liquidity by professionals — average estimated lead time to price of btc, leading 10-12 weeks. liquidity and bitcoin’s price performance track pretty close and so it’s a cool tool for phase recognition, forward guidance and expectation management.
BTC Regime Oscillator (MC + Spread) [1D]ONLY SUPPOSED TO BE USED FOR BTC PERPS, AND SPOT LEVERAGING:
This is a risk oscillator that measures whether Bitcoin’s price is supported by real capital or is running ahead of it, and converts that into a simple risk-regime oscillator.
It's built with market cap, and FDV, and Z-scores compressed to -100 <-> 100
I created this indicator because I got tired of FOMO Twitter and Wall Street games.
DO NOT USE THIS AS A BEGIN-ALL-AND-END-ALL. YOU NEED TO USE THIS AS A CONFIRMATION INDICATOR, AND ON HTF ONLY (1D>) IF YOU USE THIS ON LOWER TIMEFRAMES, YOU ARE FEEDING YOUR MONEY TO A LOW-LIFE DING BAT ON WALL STREET. HERE IS HOW IT WORKS:
This indicator is Split up by
A) Market Cap
--> Represents real money in BTC
--> Ownership capital
--> If MC is rising, money is entering BTC
B) FDV (Fully Diluted Valuation)
--> For BTC: price(21M) (21,000,000)
--> Represents the theoretical valuation
--> Since BTC really has a fixed cap, FDV mostly tracks the price
C) Oscillators
Both MC and FDV are:
--> Logged (to handle scale)
--> Normalized (Z-score)
--> Compressed to -100 <-> 100
HERE ARE THREE THINGS YOU ARE GOING TO SEE ON THE CHART
A) The market cap oscillator (MC OSC)
--> Normalized trend of real capital
RISING: Indicates capital inflow
FALLING: Indicates capital outflow
B) FDV Oscillator
--> Normalized trend of valuation pressure
ABOVE MC: Price is ahead of capital
BELOW MC: Capital is keeping up
!!!! FDV IS CONTEXT NOT SIGNALS !!!!
C) Spread = (FDV - MC)
--> The difference between valuation and capital
(THIS IS THE CORE SIGNAL)
NEGATIVE: Capital is gonna lead price
NEAR 0: Balanced
POSITIVE: Price leads capital
(THIS MEANS STRESS FOR BTC, NOT DILLUTION!)
WHAT DOES -60, 0, 60 MEAN?:
--> These are meant to serve as risk zones, not buy/sell dynamics; this is not the same as an RSI oscillator.
A) 0 level
--> Price and capital are balanced
--> No structural stress
(TRADE WITH NORMAL POSITION SIZE, AND NORMAL EXPECTATIONS)
B) Below -60 (Supportive/Compressed)
--> BTC is relatively cheap to recent history
--> Capital supports price well
(ALWAYS REMEMBER TO CONFIRM THIS WITH WHAT THE CHART IS TELLING YOU)
--> Press trends
--> Use higher ATRs
--> Pullbacks are better here
C) Above 60 (Overextension, or fragile)
--> BTC is expensive relative to recent history
--> Price is ahead of capital
(ALWAYS REMEMBER TO CONFIRM THIS WITH WHAT THE CHART IS TELLING YOU)
--> Reduce leverage, use smaller ATR
--> Use lower ATRs, TP faster
--> Do not chase breakouts
--> Expect volatility and whipsaws
"Can I press trades right now? Or do I need to hog my capital?"
CONDITIONS:
Spread Less than 0 and below -60 = Press trades
Spread near 0 = Normal trading conditions
Spread is Greater than 0 or above 60+ = Capital protection
Intermarket Swing Projection [LuxAlgo]The Intermarket Swing Projection allows traders to plot price movement swings from any user-selected asset directly onto the chart in the form of zigzags and/or horizontal support and resistance levels.
This tool rescale the external asset price on the user chart, enabling traders to make direct comparisons.
It answers the question of how different the price behavior is between two assets, accounting for each asset's volatility.
🔶 USAGE
This tool is based on swing detection of two different assets: the chart and a user-selected asset. It allows traders to compare two assets on an equal footing while accounting for volatility and price behavior.
Traders can customize the detection by selecting a custom ticker, timeframe, the number of swings and length for swing detection. This makes the tool a Swiss army knife for asset comparison.
As we can see in the image below, the Show Last, Pivot Length, and Spread parameters are key to defining the final output of the tool.
"Show Last" defines how many pivots are displayed. "Pivot Length" is used for pivot detection; a larger value will detect larger market structures. "Spread" defines how far apart the horizontal levels will be from their original location in terms of volatility.
🔹 Comparing different assets
This image shows the Nasdaq 100 futures contract compared to four other futures contracts: S&P 500, gold, bitcoin, and euro/U.S. dollar.
Plotting all of these assets in Nasdaq 100 terms makes it easy to compare and analyze price behaviors and identify key levels.
In the top left chart, we have NQ vs. ES. It's no surprise that they are practically an exact match; a large portion of the S&P 500 is technology.
In the top right chart, NQ vs. GC, we see totally different behaviors. We can clearly see the summer consolidation in gold and the resumption of the uptrend, which took gold above 29,200 NQ points, up from 21,200.
In the bottom right chart, we see bitcoin making new highs, way above the Nasdaq in May, July, and October. However, the last high was way below the Nasdaq prices on October 27—the first lower high in a while. Sellers are pushing down.
Finally, the bottom left chart is NQ vs. 6E. We can see large volatility in the uptrend since February, with NQ unable to catch up until now. The last swing low was almost a match, and 6E is in a range.
As we can see, this tool allows us to perform intermarket analysis properly by accounting for each asset's volatility and price behavior. Then, we plot them on the same scale on equal terms, which makes performing this kind of analysis easy.
As we can see in the chart above, the assets are the same as in the previous image, but the timeframe is 1H with different settings.
Note the horizontal levels acting as support and resistance, as well as how NQ prices react to the zones marked with white circles. These levels are derived from custom assets selected by the user.
🔹 Displaying Elements
Zig-zag allows traders to clearly see the path that the selected asset's price took, as well as its turning points.
Horizontal levels are displayed from those turning points to the present and can be used as support or resistance. Traders can adjust the spread parameter in the settings panel to expand or contract those levels' volatility.
There are two color modes for the levels: average and pivots. In the first mode, green is used for levels below the average and red for levels above the average. The second uses green for swing lows and red for swing highs.
The backpaint feature is enabled by default and allows the swings to be displayed in the correct location. With this feature disabled, the swings will be displayed in the current location when a new swing is detected.
🔶 DETAILS
On a more technical note, the rescaling is formed by calculating three main elements from all the swings detected on the custom and chart assets:
The chart asset's average of all swing points
The chart asset's standard deviation of all swing points
The custom asset's z-score for each swing point
Then, the re-scaled swing point is calculated as the average plus the z-score multiplied by the standard deviation. This makes it possible to plot AAPL swings on an NQ chart, for example.
Thanks to re-scaling, we can directly compare the price behavior of two assets with different price ranges and volatility on the same chart.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 Trendlines
Ticker: Select the custom ticker.
Timeframe: Select a custom timeframe.
Show Last: Select how many swing points to display.
Pivot Length: Select the size for swing point detection.
Spread: Volatility multiplier for horizontal levels. Larger values mean the levels are farther apart.
Backpaint: Enable or disable the backpaint feature. When enabled, the drawings will be displayed where they were detected. When disabled, the drawings will be displayed at the moment of detection.
🔹 Style
Show ZigZag: Enable or disable the ZigZag display and choose a line style.
Show Levels: Enable or disable the levels display and choose a line style.
Color Mode: Choose between Average Mode, which colors all levels below the average bullish and all levels above bearish, and Pivot Mode, which colors swing highs bearish and swing lows bullish.
Bullish: Select a bullish color.
Bearish: Select a bearish color.
ZigZag: Select the ZigZag color.
BTC - FRIC: Friction & Realized Intensity CompositeTitle: BTC - FRIC: Friction & Realized Intensity Composite
Data: IntoTheBlock
Overview & Philosophy
FRIC (Friction & Realized Intensity Composite) is a specialized on-chain oscillator designed to visualize the "psychological battlegrounds" of the Bitcoin network.
Most indicators focus on Price or Momentum. FRIC focuses on Cost Basis. It operates on the thesis that the market experiences maximum "Friction" when the price revisits the cost basis of a large number of holders. These are the zones where investors are emotionally triggered to react—either to exit "at breakeven" after a loss (creating resistance) or to defend their entry (creating support).
This indicator answers two questions simultaneously:
Intensity: Is the market hitting a Wall (High Friction) or a Vacuum (Low Friction)?
Valuation: Is this happening at a market bottom or a top?
The "Alpha" (Wall vs. Vacuum)
Why we visualize both extremes: This indicator filters out the "Noise" (the middle range) to show you only the statistically significant anomalies.
1. The "Wall" (Positive Z-Score Bars)
What it is : A statistically high number of addresses are at breakeven.
The Implication : Expect a grind. Price action often slows down or reverses here because "Bag Holders" are selling into strength to get out flat, or new buyers are establishing a floor.
2. The "Vacuum" (Negative Z-Score Bars)
What it is : A statistically low number of addresses are at breakeven.
The Implication : Expect acceleration. The price is moving through a zone where very few people have a cost basis. With no natural "breakeven supply" to block the path, price often enters Price Discovery or Free Fall.
Methodology
The indicator constructs a composite view using two premium metrics from IntoTheBlock:
1. The "Activity" (Friction Z-Score): We utilize the Breakeven Addresses Percentage. This measures the % of all addresses where the current price equals the average cost basis.
- Normalization: We apply a rolling Z-Score (Standard Deviation) to this data.
- The Filter: We hide the "Noise" (e.g., Z-Scores between -2.0 and +2.0) to isolate only the events where market structure is truly stretched.
2. The "Context" (Valuation Heatmap): We utilize the MVRV Ratio to color-code the friction.
Deep Value (< 1.0): Price is below the average "Fair Value" of the network.
Overheated (> 3.0): Price is significantly extended above the "Fair Value."
Credit: The MVRV Ratio was originally conceptualized by Murad Mahmudov and David Puell. It remains one of the gold standards for detecting Bitcoin's fair value deviations.
How to Read the Indicator
The chart is visualized as a Noise-Filtered Heatmap.
1. The Bars (Intensity)
Bars Above Zero: High Friction (Congestion). The market is fighting through a supply wall.
Bars Below Zero: Low Friction (Vacuum). The market is accelerating through thin air.
Gray/Ghosted: Noise. Routine market activity; no significant signal.
2. The Colors (Valuation Context) The color tells you why the friction is happening:
🟦 Deep Blue (The "Capitulation Buy"):
Signal: High Friction + Low MVRV.
Meaning : Investors are panic-selling at breakeven/loss, but the asset is fundamentally undervalued. Historically, these are high-conviction cycle bottoms.
🟥 Dark Red (The "FOMO Sell"):
Signal: High Friction + High MVRV.
Meaning : Investors are churning at high valuations. Smart money is often distributing to late retail arrivers. Historically marks cycle tops.
🟨 Yellow/Orange (The "Trend Battle"):
Signal: High Friction + Neutral MVRV.
Meaning : The market is contesting a level within a trend (e.g., a mid-cycle correction).
Visual Guide & Features
10-Zone Heatmap: A granular color gradient that shifts from Dark Blue (Deep Value) → Sky Blue → Grey (Neutral) → Orange → Dark Red (Top).
Noise Filter
A unique feature that "ghosts out" insignificant data, leaving only the statistically relevant signals visible.
Data Check Monitor
A diagnostic table in the bottom-right corner that confirms the live connection to IntoTheBlock data streams and displays the current regime in real-time.
Settings
Lookback Period (Default: 90): The rolling window used for the Z-Score calculation. Shortening this (e.g., to 30) makes the indicator more sensitive to local volatility; lengthening it (e.g., to 365) aligns it with macro cycles.
Noise Threshold (Default: 2.0): The strictness of the filter. Only friction events exceeding this Z-Score will be highlighted in full color.
Show Status Table : Toggles the on-screen dashboard.
Disclaimer
This script is for research and educational purposes only. It relies on third-party on-chain data which may be subject to latency or revision. Past performance of on-chain metrics does not guarantee future price action.
Tags
bitcoin, btc, on-chain, mvrv, intotheblock, friction, z-score, fundamental, valuation, cycle
FlowTrinity — Crypto Dominance Rotation IndexFlowTrinity — Crypto Dominance Rotation Index
(Tracks BTC / Stablecoin / Altcoin dominance flows with standardized oscillators)
⚪ Overview
FlowTrinity decomposes total crypto market structure into three capital-flow regimes — BTC dominance, Stablecoin dominance, and Altcoin dominance — each normalized into oscillator form. Additionally, a fourth histogram tracks Total Market Cap expansion/contraction relative to BTC+Stable capital, revealing underlying rotation pressure not visible in raw dominance charts.
Each component is standardized through SMA/STD normalization, producing smoothed 0–100 style oscillations that highlight overbought/oversold rotation extremes, risk-on/risk-off transitions, and capital cycle inflection zones.
⚪ Flow Components
Stablecoin Dominance Oscillator —White line
Measures the combined USDT + USDC share of market dominance.
High values indicate increased hedging behavior or sidelined capital.
Low values coincide with renewed risk appetite and capital deployment into crypto assets.
Altcoin Dominance Oscillator — Orange Line
Tracks the share of liquidity rotating into altcoins (Total – BTC – Stable).
Rising values indicate broad market expansion and speculative activity.
Falling values reflect flight-to-safety or concentration back into majors.
BTC Dominance Oscillator — Purple line(off by default
Normalized BTC dominance revealing transitions between Bitcoin-led markets and altcoin-led cycles. Useful for identifying BTC absorption phases vs. altcoins dispersion regimes.
Total–BTC–Stable MarketCap Difference Histogram — histogram
A normalized histogram of total market cap change minus BTC+Stable market cap change.
• Positive → altcoin segment expanding
• Negative → capital retreating into BTC or stables
Acts as a structural layer confirming or contradicting dominance-based signals.
Normalization Logic
All flows use SMA + standard deviation scaling (lookback 7 / smoothing 7), enabling consistent comparison across unrelated dominance and market-cap metrics.
⚪ Use Cases
• Identify shifts between BTC-led and alt-led markets
• Detect early signs of liquidity rotation
• If Stablecoin OSC is oversold, liquidity may soon rotate to BTC or Altcoins, signaling potential price moves.
• If Stablecoin OSC is overbought and Altcoin OSC is oversold, it can indicate an early buying opportunity in Altcoins.
• Watching these oscillator positions helps spot early market rotations and plan entries or exits.
snapshot
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or investment guidance. Cryptocurrency trading involves significant risk; you are solely responsible for your trading decisions, based on your financial objectives and risk tolerance. The author assumes no liability for any losses arising from the use of this tool.
Gyspy Bot Trade Engine - V1.2B - Alerts - 12-7-25 - SignalLynxGypsy Bot Trade Engine (MK6 V1.2B) - Alerts & Visualization
Brought to you by Signal Lynx | Automation for the Night-Shift Nation 🌙
1. Executive Summary & Architecture
Gypsy Bot (MK6 V1.2B) is not merely a strategy; it is a massive, modular Trade Engine built specifically for the TradingView Pine Script V6 environment. While most tools rely on a single dominant indicator to generate signals, Gypsy Bot functions as a sophisticated Consensus Algorithm.
Note: This is the Indicator / Alerts version of the engine. It is designed for visual analysis and generating live alert signals for automation. If you wish to see Backtest data (Equity Curves, Drawdown, Profit Factors), please use the Strategy version of this script.
The engine calculates data from up to 12 distinct Technical Analysis Modules simultaneously on every bar closing. It aggregates these signals into a "Vote Count" and only fires a signal plot when a user-defined threshold of concurring signals is met. This "Voting System" acts as a noise filter, requiring multiple independent mathematical models—ranging from volume flow and momentum to cyclical harmonics and trend strength—to agree on market direction.
Beyond entries, Gypsy Bot features a proprietary Risk Management suite called the Dump Protection Team (DPT). This logic layer operates independently of the entry modules, specifically scanning for "Moon" (Parabolic) or "Nuke" (Crash) volatility events to signal forced exits, preserving capital during Black Swan events.
2. ⚠️ The Philosophy of "Curve Fitting" (Must Read)
One must be careful when applying Gypsy Bot to new pairs or charts.
To be fully transparent: Gypsy Bot is, by definition, a very advanced curve-fitting engine. Because it grants the user granular control over 12 modules, dozens of thresholds, and specific voting requirements, it is extremely easy to "over-fit" the data. You can easily toggle switches until the charts look perfect in hindsight, only to have the signals fail in live markets because they were tuned to historical noise rather than market structure.
To use this engine successfully:
Visual Verification: Do not just look for "green arrows." Look for signals that occur at logical market structure points.
Stability: Ensure signals are not flickering. This script uses closed-candle logic for key decisions to ensure that once a signal plots, it remains painted.
Regular Maintenance is Mandatory: Markets shift regimes (e.g., from Bull Trend to Crab Range). Gypsy Bot settings should be reviewed and adjusted at regular intervals to ensure the voting logic remains aligned with current market volatility.
Timeframe Recommendations:
Gypsy Bot is optimized for High Time Frame (HTF) trend following. It generally produces the most reliable results on charts ranging from 1-Hour to 12-Hours, with the 4-Hour timeframe historically serving as the "sweet spot" for most major cryptocurrency assets.
3. The Voting Mechanism: How Entries Are Generated
The heart of the Gypsy Bot engine is the ActivateOrders input (found in the "Order Signal Modifier" settings).
The engine constantly monitors the output of all enabled Modules.
Long Votes: GoLongCount
Short Votes: GoShortCount
If you have 10 Modules enabled, and you set ActivateOrders to 7:
The engine will ONLY plot a Buy Signal if 7 or more modules return a valid "Buy" signal on the same closed candle.
If only 6 modules agree, the signal is rejected.
4. Technical Deep Dive: The 12 Modules
Gypsy Bot allows you to toggle the following modules On/Off individually to suit the asset you are trading.
Module 1: Modified Slope Angle (MSA)
Logic: Calculates the geometric angle of a moving average relative to the timeline.
Function: Filters out "lazy" trends. A trend is only considered valid if the slope exceeds a specific steepness threshold.
Module 2: Correlation Trend Indicator (CTI)
Logic: Measures how closely the current price action correlates to a straight line (a perfect trend).
Function: Ensures that we are moving up with high statistical correlation, reducing fake-outs.
Module 3: Ehlers Roofing Filter
Logic: A spectral filter combining High-Pass (trend removal) and Super Smoother (noise removal).
Function: Isolates the "Roof" of price action to catch cyclical turning points before standard moving averages.
Module 4: Forecast Oscillator
Logic: Uses Linear Regression forecasting to predict where price "should" be relative to where it is.
Function: Signals when the regression trend flips. Offers "Aggressive" and "Conservative" calculation modes.
Module 5: Chandelier ATR Stop
Logic: A volatility-based trend follower that hangs a "leash" (ATR multiple) from extremes.
Function: Used as an entry filter. If price is above the Chandelier line, the trend is Bullish.
Module 6: Crypto Market Breadth (CMB)
Logic: Pulls data from multiple major tickers (BTC, ETH, and Perpetual Contracts).
Function: Calculates "Market Health." If Bitcoin is rising but the rest of the market is dumping, this module can veto a trade.
Module 7: Directional Index Convergence (DIC)
Logic: Analyzes the convergence/divergence between Fast and Slow Directional Movement indices.
Function: Identifies when trend strength is expanding.
Module 8: Market Thrust Indicator (MTI)
Logic: A volume-weighted breadth indicator using Advance/Decline and Volume data.
Function: One of the most powerful modules. Confirms that price movement is supported by actual volume flow. Recommended setting: "SSMA" (Super Smoother).
Module 9: Simple Ichimoku Cloud
Logic: Traditional Japanese trend analysis.
Function: Checks for a "Kumo Breakout." Price must be fully above/below the Cloud to confirm entry.
Module 10: Simple Harmonic Oscillator
Logic: Analyzes harmonic wave properties to detect cyclical tops and bottoms.
Function: Serves as a counter-trend or early-reversal detector.
Module 11: HSRS Compression / Super AO
Logic: Detects volatility compression (HSRS) or Momentum/Trend confluence (Super AO).
Function: Great for catching explosive moves resulting from consolidation.
Module 12: Fisher Transform (MTF)
Logic: Converts price data into a Gaussian normal distribution.
Function: Identifies extreme price deviations. Uses Multi-Timeframe (MTF) logic to ensure you aren't trading against the major trend.
5. Global Inhibitors (The Veto Power)
Even if 12 out of 12 modules vote "Buy," Gypsy Bot performs a final safety check using Global Inhibitors.
Bitcoin Halving Logic: Prevents trading during chaotic weeks surrounding Halving events (dates projected through 2040).
Miner Capitulation: Uses Hash Rate Ribbons to identify bearish regimes when miners are shutting down.
ADX Filter: Prevents trading in "Flat/Choppy" markets (Low ADX).
CryptoCap Trend: Checks the total Crypto Market Cap chart for broad market alignment.
6. Risk Management & The Dump Protection Team (DPT)
Even in this Indicator version, the RM logic runs to generate Exit Signals.
Dump Protection Team (DPT): Detects "Nuke" (Crash) or "Moon" (Pump) volatility signatures. If triggered, it plots an immediate Exit Signal (Yellow Plot).
Advanced Adaptive Trailing Stop (AATS): Dynamically tightens stops in low volatility ("Dungeon") and loosens them in high volatility ("Penthouse").
Staged Take Profits: Plots TP1, TP2, and TP3 events on the chart for visual confirmation or partial exit alerts.
7. Recommended Setup Guide
When applying Gypsy Bot to a new chart, follow this sequence:
Set Timeframe: 4 Hours (4H).
Tune DPT: Adjust "Dump/Moon Protection" inputs first. These filter out bad signals during high volatility.
Tune Module 8 (MTI): Experiment with the MA Type (SSMA is recommended).
Select Modules: Enable/Disable modules based on the asset's personality (Trending vs. Ranging).
Voting Threshold: Adjust ActivateOrders to filter out noise.
Alert Setup: Once visually satisfied, use the "Any Alert Function Call" option when creating an alert in TradingView to capture all Buy/Sell/Close events generated by the engine.
8. Technical Specs
Engine Version: Pine Script V6
Repainting: This indicator uses Closed Candle data for all Risk Management and Entry decisions. This ensures that signals do not vanish after the candle closes.
Visuals:
Blue Plot: Buy/Sell Signal.
Yellow Plot: Risk Management (RM) / DPT Close Signal.
Green/Lime/Olive Plots: Take Profit hits.
Disclaimer:
This script is a complex algorithmic tool for market analysis. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Cryptocurrency trading involves substantial risk of loss. Use this tool to assist your own decision-making, not to replace it.
9. About Signal Lynx
Automation for the Night-Shift Nation 🌙
Signal Lynx focuses on helping traders and developers bridge the gap between indicator logic and real-world automation. The same RM engine you see here powers multiple internal systems and templates, including other public scripts like the Super-AO Strategy with Advanced Risk Management.
We provide this code open source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 (MPL-2.0) to:
Demonstrate how Adaptive Logic and structured Risk Management can outperform static, one-layer indicators
Give Pine Script users a battle-tested RM backbone they can reuse, remix, and extend
If you are looking to automate your TradingView strategies, route signals to exchanges, or simply want safer, smarter strategy structures, please keep Signal Lynx in your search.
License: Mozilla Public License 2.0 (Open Source).
If you make beneficial modifications, please consider releasing them back to the community so everyone can benefit.
Gyspy Bot Trade Engine - V1.2B - Strategy 12-7-25 - SignalLynxGypsy Bot Trade Engine (MK6 V1.2B) - Ultimate Strategy & Backtest
Brought to you by Signal Lynx | Automation for the Night-Shift Nation 🌙
1. Executive Summary & Architecture
Gypsy Bot (MK6 V1.2B) is not merely a strategy; it is a massive, modular Trade Engine built specifically for the TradingView Pine Script environment. While most strategies rely on a single dominant indicator (like an RSI cross or a MACD flip) to generate signals, Gypsy Bot functions as a sophisticated Consensus Algorithm.
The engine calculates data from up to 12 distinct Technical Analysis Modules simultaneously on every bar closing. It aggregates these signals into a "Vote Count" and only executes a trade entry when a user-defined threshold of concurring signals is met. This "Voting System" acts as a noise filter, requiring multiple independent mathematical models—ranging from volume flow and momentum to cyclical harmonics and trend strength—to agree on market direction before capital is committed.
Beyond entries, Gypsy Bot features a proprietary Risk Management suite called the Dump Protection Team (DPT). This logic layer operates independently of the entry modules, specifically scanning for "Moon" (Parabolic) or "Nuke" (Crash) volatility events to force-exit positions, overriding standard stops to preserve capital during Black Swan events.
2. ⚠️ The Philosophy of "Curve Fitting" (Must Read)
One must be careful when applying Gypsy Bot to new pairs or charts.
To be fully transparent: Gypsy Bot is, by definition, a very advanced curve-fitting engine. Because it grants the user granular control over 12 modules, dozens of thresholds, and specific voting requirements, it is extremely easy to "over-fit" the data. You can easily toggle switches until the backtest shows a 100% win rate, only to have the strategy fail immediately in live markets because it was tuned to historical noise rather than market structure.
To use this engine successfully, you must adopt a specific optimization mindset:
Ignore Raw Net Profit: Do not tune for the highest dollar amount. A strategy that makes $1M in the backtest but has a 40% drawdown is useless.
Prioritize Stability: Look for a high Profit Factor (1.5+), a high Percent Profitable, and a smooth equity curve.
Regular Maintenance is Mandatory: Markets shift regimes (e.g., from Bull Trend to Crab Range). Parameters that worked perfectly in 2021 may fail in 2024. Gypsy Bot settings should be reviewed and adjusted at regular intervals (e.g., quarterly) to ensure the voting logic remains aligned with current market volatility.
Timeframe Recommendations:
Gypsy Bot is optimized for High Time Frame (HTF) trend following. It generally produces the most reliable results on charts ranging from 1-Hour to 12-Hours, with the 4-Hour timeframe historically serving as the "sweet spot" for most major cryptocurrency assets.
3. The Voting Mechanism: How Entries Are Generated
The heart of the Gypsy Bot engine is the ActivateOrders input (found in the "Order Signal Modifier" settings).
The engine constantly monitors the output of all enabled Modules.
Long Votes: GoLongCount
Short Votes: GoShortCount
If you have 10 Modules enabled, and you set ActivateOrders to 7:
The engine will ONLY trigger a Buy Entry if 7 or more modules return a valid "Buy" signal on the same closed candle.
If only 6 modules agree, the trade is rejected.
This allows you to mix "Leading" indicators (Oscillators) with "Lagging" indicators (Moving Averages) to create a high-probability entry signal that requires momentum, volume, and trend to all be in alignment.
4. Technical Deep Dive: The 12 Modules
Gypsy Bot allows you to toggle the following modules On/Off individually to suit the asset you are trading.
Module 1: Modified Slope Angle (MSA)
Logic: Calculates the geometric angle of a moving average relative to the timeline.
Function: It filters out "lazy" trends. A trend is only considered valid if the slope exceeds a specific steepness threshold. This helps avoid entering trades during weak drifts that often precede a reversal.
Module 2: Correlation Trend Indicator (CTI)
Logic: Based on John Ehlers' work, this measures how closely the current price action correlates to a straight line (a perfect trend).
Function: It outputs a confidence score (-1 to 1). Gypsy Bot uses this to ensure that we are not just moving up, but moving up with high statistical correlation, reducing fake-outs.
Module 3: Ehlers Roofing Filter
Logic: A sophisticated spectral filter that combines a High-Pass filter (to remove long-term drift) with a Super Smoother (to remove high-frequency noise).
Function: It attempts to isolate the "Roof" of the price action. It is excellent at catching cyclical turning points before standard moving averages react.
Module 4: Forecast Oscillator
Logic: Uses Linear Regression forecasting to predict where price "should" be relative to where it is.
Function: When the Forecast Oscillator crosses its zero line, it indicates that the regression trend has flipped. We offer both "Aggressive" and "Conservative" calculation modes for this module.
Module 5: Chandelier ATR Stop
Logic: A volatility-based trend follower that hangs a "leash" (ATR multiple) from the highest high (for longs) or lowest low (for shorts).
Function: Used here as an entry filter. If price is above the Chandelier line, the trend is Bullish. It also includes a "Bull/Bear Qualifier" check to ensure structural support.
Module 6: Crypto Market Breadth (CMB)
Logic: This is a macro-filter. It pulls data from multiple major tickers (BTC, ETH, and Perpetual Contracts) across different exchanges.
Function: It calculates a "Market Health" percentage. If Bitcoin is rising but the rest of the market is dumping, this module can veto a trade, ensuring you don't buy into a "fake" rally driven by a single asset.
Module 7: Directional Index Convergence (DIC)
Logic: Analyzes the convergence/divergence between Fast and Slow Directional Movement indices.
Function: Identifies when trend strength is expanding. A buy signal is generated only when the positive directional movement overpowers the negative movement with expanding momentum.
Module 8: Market Thrust Indicator (MTI)
Logic: A volume-weighted breadth indicator. It uses Advance/Decline data and Up/Down Volume data.
Function: This is one of the most powerful modules. It confirms that price movement is supported by actual volume flow. We recommend using the "SSMA" (Super Smoother) MA Type for the cleanest signals on the 4H chart.
Module 9: Simple Ichimoku Cloud
Logic: Traditional Japanese trend analysis using the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen.
Function: Checks for a "Kumo Breakout." Price must be fully above the Cloud (for longs) or below it (for shorts). This is a classic "trend confirmation" module.
Module 10: Simple Harmonic Oscillator
Logic: Analyzes the harmonic wave properties of price action to detect cyclical tops and bottoms.
Function: Serves as a counter-trend or early-reversal detector. It tries to identify when a cycle has bottomed out (for buys) or topped out (for sells) before the main trend indicators catch up.
Module 11: HSRS Compression / Super AO
Logic: Two options in one.
HSRS: Hirashima Sugita Resistance Support. Detects volatility compression (squeezes) relative to dynamic support/resistance bands.
Super AO: A combination of the Awesome Oscillator and SuperTrend logic.
Function: Great for catching explosive moves that result from periods of low volatility (consolidation).
Module 12: Fisher Transform (MTF)
Logic: Converts price data into a Gaussian normal distribution.
Function: Identifies extreme price deviations. This module uses Multi-Timeframe (MTF) logic to look at higher-timeframe trends (e.g., looking at the Daily Fisher while trading the 4H chart) to ensure you aren't trading against the major trend.
5. Global Inhibitors (The Veto Power)
Even if 12 out of 12 modules vote "Buy," Gypsy Bot performs a final safety check using Global Inhibitors. If any of these are triggered, the trade is blocked.
Bitcoin Halving Logic:
Hardcoded dates for past and projected future Bitcoin halvings (up to 2040).
Trading is inhibited or restricted during the chaotic weeks immediately surrounding a Halving event to avoid volatility crushes.
Miner Capitulation:
Uses Hash Rate Ribbons (Moving averages of Hash Rate).
If miners are capitulating (Shutting down rigs due to unprofitability), the engine flags a "Bearish" regime and can flip logic to Short-only or flat.
ADX Filter (Flat Market Protocol):
If the Average Directional Index (ADX) is below a specific threshold (e.g., 20), the market is deemed "Flat/Choppy." The bot will refuse to open trend-following trades in a flat market.
CryptoCap Trend:
Checks the total Crypto Market Cap chart. If the broad market is in a downtrend, it can inhibit Long entries on individual altcoins.
6. Risk Management & The Dump Protection Team (DPT)
Gypsy Bot separates "Entry Logic" from "Risk Management Logic."
Dump Protection Team (DPT)
This is a specialized logic branch designed to save the account during Black Swan events.
Nuke Protection: If the DPT detects a volatility signature consistent with a flash crash, it overrides all other logic and forces an immediate exit.
Moon Protection: If a parabolic pump is detected that violates statistical probability (Bollinger deviations), DPT can force a profit take before the inevitable correction.
Advanced Adaptive Trailing Stop (AATS)
Unlike a static trailing stop (e.g., "trail by 5%"), AATS is dynamic.
Penthouse Level: If price is at the top of the HSRS channel (High Volatility), the stop loosens to allow for wicks.
Dungeon Level: If price is compressed at the bottom, the stop tightens to protect capital.
Staged Take Profits
TP1: Scalp a portion (e.g., 10%) to cover fees and secure a win.
TP2: Take the bulk of profit.
TP3: Leave a "Runner" position with a loose trailing stop to catch "Moon" moves.
7. Recommended Setup Guide
When applying Gypsy Bot to a new chart, follow this sequence:
Set Timeframe: 4 Hours (4H).
Reset: Turn OFF Trailing Stop, Stop Loss, and Take Profits. (We want to see raw entry performance first).
Tune DPT: Adjust "Dump/Moon Protection" inputs first. These have the highest impact on net performance.
Tune Module 8 (MTI): This module is a heavy filter. Experiment with the MA Type (SSMA is recommended).
Select Modules: Enable/Disable modules 1-12 based on the asset's personality (Trending vs. Ranging).
Voting Threshold: Adjust ActivateOrders. A lower number = More Trades (Aggressive). A higher number = Fewer, higher conviction trades (Conservative).
Final Polish: Re-enable Stop Losses, Trailing Stops, and Staged Take Profits to smooth the equity curve and define your max risk per trade.
8. Technical Specs
Engine Version: Pine Script V6
Repainting: This strategy uses Closed Candle data for all Risk Management and Entry decisions. This ensures that Backtest results align closely with real-time behavior (no repainting of historical signals).
Alerts: This script generates Strategy alerts. If you require visual-only alerts, see the source code header for instructions on switching to "Study" (Indicator) mode.
Disclaimer:
This script is a complex algorithmic tool for market analysis. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this tool to assist your own decision-making, not to replace it.
9. About Signal Lynx
Automation for the Night-Shift Nation 🌙
Signal Lynx focuses on helping traders and developers bridge the gap between indicator logic and real-world automation. The same RM engine you see here powers multiple internal systems and templates, including other public scripts like the Super-AO Strategy with Advanced Risk Management.
We provide this code open source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 (MPL-2.0) to:
Demonstrate how Adaptive Logic and structured Risk Management can outperform static, one-layer indicators
Give Pine Script users a battle-tested RM backbone they can reuse, remix, and extend
If you are looking to automate your TradingView strategies, route signals to exchanges, or simply want safer, smarter strategy structures, please keep Signal Lynx in your search.
License: Mozilla Public License 2.0 (Open Source).
If you make beneficial modifications, please consider releasing them back to the community so everyone can benefit.
Moon Boys LineWe have the 44 and 125 day moving averages. When they cross, the trend is bullish or bearish.
Long Term Holder Supply 155 DayThe “Long Term Holder Supply 155 Day” indicator is designed to bring on-chain inspired long-term analysis directly into chart-based technical trading.
The concept comes from the idea of Long-Term Holder (LTH) Supply, frequently used in Bitcoin on-chain analytics to identify price zones where long-term holders accumulated coins. These areas tend to act as strong support and resistance because long-term holders historically accumulate during undervaluation phases and distribute during overheated cycles.
What makes this script original
Unlike traditional moving averages or basic Donchian channels, this indicator combines both concepts using the same 155-day window, creating a unified model that visually represents:
The average long-term holder cost basis (via SMA 155).
The range of supply and demand zones historically defined by price extremes (via Donchian 155).
A trend-reactive color system that makes interpretation intuitive and immediate.
This dual-structure is not commonly found in standard TradingView scripts and is inspired by on-chain research methodology adapted for chart traders.
How it works
1. SMA 155 (LTH Mean Price)
Represents the long-term holder cost basis proxy.
Turns green when price is above it (market strength above holder basis).
Turns red when price is below it (market trading at a discount relative to long-term holders).
This allows traders to quickly identify whether Bitcoin is in a LTH profit or LTH loss environment — a critical on-chain concept.
2. Donchian Channel 155 (LTH Supply Range)
Upper Band (Green): Highest high of the last 155 days — interpreted as the upper bound of LTH supply/resistance.
Lower Band (Red): Lowest low of the last 155 days — interpreted as the lower bound of LTH accumulation/support.
This creates a long-term structural range showing where long-term holders were historically more likely to buy (lower band) or distribute (upper band).
How to use it
Bullish conditions:
Price breaks above the SMA 155.
Price begins approaching or breaking the upper Donchian band → signs of macro strength and potential long-term breakout.
Bearish conditions:
Price drops below SMA 155 (LTH basis lost).
Price moves toward the lower Donchian band → zone where long-term holders historically accumulate during deep value phases.
Sideways Accumulation:
Price oscillates inside the Donchian bands while hugging the SMA 155 → potential long-term consolidation before trend reversal.
Who this indicator is for
Long-term Bitcoin analysts
Swing traders
Investors tracking macro cycles
Traders who want lightweight on-chain logic without needing blockchain datasets
Core methodology behind the script
The indicator is built around:
SMA 155 → represents long-term average cost basis
Donchian 155 → long-term supply/demand range
Color-based trend confirmation → chart-based interpretation of on-chain behavior
This combination brings an on-chain inspired long-term model into pure price action, making it usable even by traders without access to blockchain data.
Crypto Market Pulse: Dom vs Vol AnalyzerConcept & Methodology
The core logic of this indicator is based on the "Money Flow" theory. It aggregates data from multiple sources (CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL, BTC.D, BINANCE:BTCUSDT) to provide a comprehensive market overview in a single panel.
Key Calculations:
Total Market Cap & Volume: Fetches real-time data to determine the overall health of the market.
Inverse Dominance Logic: Unlike standard indicators, this script applies inverse color coding to Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D).
When BTC Dominance drops, it is colored Green (indicating liquidity flowing into Altcoins).
When BTC Dominance rises, it is colored Red (indicating risk for Altcoins).
Volume Delta: Compares the current timeframe's volume against the previous candle to calculate the percentage change, highlighting sudden liquidity injections.
█ Features
Real-time Dashboard: Displays Cap, Volume, BTC Price, and BTC Dominance.
Altcoin-Focus Coloring: Automatically interprets data to favor Altcoin traders (Green Signals = Good for Alts).
Dynamic Alerts:
Volume Surge Alert: Triggers when volume exceeds a user-defined threshold (default +50%), signaling potential breakout activity.
Dominance Drop Alert: Triggers when BTC Dominance falls significantly, signaling the start of potential Altcoin movement.
█ How to Use
Look for Confluence: The ideal "Altseason" signal is when the Total Cap is Green (Market up) AND BTC Dominance is Green (Dominance down). This indicates money is moving from BTC to Alts.
Volume Confirmation: Use the Volume row to confirm the strength of the move. A price rise without volume is often a fakeout.
Customization: You can adjust the table position and text size from the settings menu to fit your screen setup.
BTC Dynamic Volatility Trend Backtested from 2017 to present, this strategy has delivered a staggering 7100%+ cumulative return. It doesn't just track the market; it dominates it. By capturing major trends and strictly limiting drawdowns, it has significantly outperformed the standard 'Buy & Hold' BTC strategy, proving its ability to generate massive alpha across multiple bull and bear cycles.
自 2017 年至今，本策略实现了惊人的 7100%+ 累计收益率。它不仅仅是跟随市场，更是超越了市场。通过精准捕捉主升浪并严格控制回撤，该策略在穿越多轮牛熊周期后，大幅度跑赢了比特币‘买入持有’（Buy & Hold）的基准收益，展现了极致的阿尔法（Alpha）捕捉能力。"
Introduction ：Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication. This strategy is designed specifically for Bitcoin (BTC), capturing its unique characteristics: high volatility, frequent fakeouts, and massive trend persistence. It abandons complex indicators in favor of a robust logic: "Follow the Trend, Filter the Noise, Let Profits Run."
Core Logic
Trend Filter (Fibonacci EMA 144): We use the 144-period Exponential Moving Average as the baseline. Longs are only taken above this line, and shorts only below. This keeps you on the right side of the major trend.
Volatility Breakout (Donchian Channel 20): Entries are triggered only when price breaks the 20-day high (for longs) or low (for shorts). This confirms momentum and avoids trading in chop.
Dynamic Risk Management (ATR Chandelier Exit):
Instead of fixed % stops, we use Average True Range (ATR) to calculate stop losses.
The Ratchet Mechanism: The stop loss moves up with the price but never moves down (for longs). This locks in profits automatically as the trend develops and exits immediately when volatility turns against you.
Why Use This Strategy?
Zero Repainting: All signals are confirmed.
No Curve Fitting: Uses classic parameters (144, 20) that have worked for decades.
Mental Peace: The strategy handles the exit. You don't need to guess where to sell. It holds through minor corrections and exits only when the trend truly reverses.
Settings
Leverage %: Adjust your position size based on equity (default 100% = 1x).
Timeframe: Recommended for 4H charts.
中文版 (Chinese Version)
简介 ：大道至简。本策略专为 比特币 (BTC) 设计，针对其高波动、假突破多但趋势爆发力强的特点，摒弃了复杂的过度拟合指标，回归交易本质：“顺大势，滤噪音，截断亏损，让利润奔跑”。
核心逻辑
趋势过滤器 (斐波那契 EMA 144)： 使用 144 周期指数移动平均线作为多空分水岭。价格在均线之上只做多，之下只做空。这能有效过滤掉大部分震荡市的噪音。
波动率突破 (唐奇安通道 20)： 只有当价格突破过去 20 根 K 线的最高价（做多）或最低价（做空）时才进场。这确保了我们只在趋势确立的瞬间入场。
动态风控 (ATR 吊灯止损)：
拒绝固定点数止损，使用 ATR（平均真实波幅）根据市场热度动态计算安全距离。
棘轮机制： 止损线会跟随价格上涨而上移，但绝不会下移（做多时）。这实现了自动化的“利润锁定”，既能扛住正常的波动回调，又能在大势反转时果断离场。
策略优势
绝不重绘： 所有信号均为收盘确认或实时触价。
拒绝拟合： 使用经过数十年市场验证的经典参数组合。
心态管理： 策略全自动管理出场。你不需要纠结何时止盈，它会帮你吃到完整的鱼身，直到趋势结束。
使用建议
资金管理： 可通过参数调整仓位占比（默认 100% = 1倍杠杆）。
推荐周期： 建议在4小时 图表上运行效果最佳。
One Point Global Net Liquidity The "Fuel" Behind the MarketMost traders look at price action, but price is often just a reflection of the money supply available in the system. This indicator tracks Global Net Liquidity—the actual amount of fiat currency available to flow into risk assets like Crypto and Equities.
Unlike standard "Money Supply" (M2) charts, this indicator focuses on Central Bank Balance Sheets, which is a more direct proxy for "Quantitative Easing" (QE) and "Quantitative Tightening" (QT).
How It Works (The Formula)
This script aggregates the balance sheets of the "Big 4" Central Banks, which represent ~90% of global liquidity. It automatically converts all values to USD Trillions for a standardized view.
{Global Liquidity} = {US Net Liquidity} + {ECB} + {PBoC} + {BoJ}
1. US Net Liquidity (The "Trader's" Formula) We do not just use the Fed's Total Assets. We subtract the money that is "stuck" outside the private economy:
(+) Fed Balance Sheet: Total Assets.
(-) TGA (Treasury General Account): The government's checking account. When this goes up, liquidity is drained from markets.
(-) RRP (Reverse Repo): Money parked by banks at the Fed overnight. When this goes up, liquidity is removed from the system.
2. Global Additions
ECB (Eurozone): Converted to USD.
PBoC (China): Converted to USD.
BoJ (Japan): Converted to USD.
How to Use This Indicator This indicator is designed as an Overlay on the main chart (using the Left Scale).
Correlation: Generally, when the Orange Line (Liquidity) trends up, Bitcoin and the S&P 500 trend up. When Central Banks tighten (line down), risk assets struggle.
The "Divergence" Signal (Alpha):
Bullish: If Price makes a Lower Low but Liquidity makes a Higher Low, it often signals seller exhaustion and a potential bottom.
Bearish: If Price makes a New High but Liquidity fails to follow (or drops), the rally may be unsupported and prone to a reversal.
Settings
Scale: This indicator is pinned to the Scale Left to allow it to overlay price action without distortion.
Data: Uses daily data from ECONOMICS and FRED feeds.
Impulse Reactor RSI-SMA Trend Indicator [ApexLegion]Impulse Reactor RSI-SMA Trend Indicator
Introduction and Theoretical Background
Design Rationale
Standard indicators frequently generate binary 'BUY' or 'SELL' signals without accounting for the broader market context. This often results in erratic "Flip-Flop" behavior, where signals are triggered indiscriminately regardless of the prevailing volatility regime.
Impulse Reactor was engineered to address this limitation by unifying two critical requirements: Quantitative Rigor and Execution Flexibility.
The Solution
Composite Analytical Framework This script is not a simple visual overlay of existing indicators. It is an algorithmic synthesis designed to function as a unified decision-making engine. The primary objective was to implement rigorous quantitative analysis (Volatility Normalization, Structural Filtering) directly within an alert-enabled framework. This architecture is designed to process signals through strict, multi-factor validation protocols before generating real-time notifications, allowing users to focus on structurally validated setups without manual monitoring.
How It Works
This is not a simple visual mashup. It utilizes a cross-validation algorithm where the Trend Structure acts as a gatekeeper for Momentum signals:
Logic over Lag: Unlike simple moving average crossovers, this script uses a 15-layer Gradient Ribbon to detect "Laminar Flow." If the ribbon is knotted (Compression), the system mathematically suppresses all signals.
Volatility Normalization: The core calculation adapts to ATR (Average True Range). This means the indicator automatically expands in volatile markets and contracts in quiet ones, maintaining accuracy without constant manual tweaking.
Adaptive Signal Thresholding: It incorporates an 'Anti-Greed' algorithm (Dynamic Thresholding) that automatically adjusts entry criteria based on trend duration. This logic aims to mitigate the risk of entering positions during periods of statistical trend exhaustion.
Why Use It?
Market State Decoding: The gradient Ribbon visualizes the underlying trend phase in real-time.
◦ Cyan/Blue Flow: Strong Bullish Trend (Laminar Flow).
◦ Magenta/Pink Flow: Strong Bearish Trend.
◦ Compressed/Knotted: When the ribbon lines are tightly squeezed or overlapping, it signals Consolidation. The system filters signals here to avoid chop.
Noise Reduction: The goal is not to catch every pivot, but to isolate high-confidence setups. The logic explicitly filters out minor fluctuations to help maintain position alignment with the broader trend.
⚖️ Chapter 1: System Architecture
Introduction: Composite Analytical Framework
System Overview
Impulse Reactor serves as a comprehensive technical analysis engine designed to synthesize three distinct market dimensions—Momentum, Volatility, and Trend Structure—into a unified decision-making framework. Unlike traditional methods that analyze these metrics in isolation, this system functions as a central processing unit that integrates disparate data streams to construct a coherent model of market behavior.
Operational Objective
The primary objective is to transition from single-dimensional signal generation to a multi-factor assessment model. By fusing data from the Impulse Core (Volatility), Gradient Oscillator (Momentum), and Structural Baseline (Trend), the system aims to filter out stochastic noise and identify high-probability trade setups grounded in quantitative confluence.
Market Microstructure Analysis: Limitations of Conventional Models
Extensive backtesting and quantitative analysis have identified three critical inefficiencies in standard oscillator-based strategies:
• Bounded Oscillator Limitations (The "Oscillation Trap"): Traditional indicators such as RSI or Stochastics are mathematically constrained between fixed values (0 to 100). In strong trending environments, these metrics often saturate in "overbought" or "oversold" zones. Consequently, traders relying on static thresholds frequently exit structurally valid positions prematurely or initiate counter-trend trades against prevailing momentum, resulting in suboptimal performance.
• Quantitative Blindness to Quality: Standard moving averages and trend indicators often fail to distinguish the qualitative nature of price movement. They treat low-volume drift and high-velocity expansion identically. This inability to account for "Volatility Quality" leads to delayed responsiveness during critical market events.
• Fractal Dissonance (Timeframe Disconnect): Financial markets exhibit fractal characteristics where trends on lower timeframes may contradict higher timeframe structures. Manual integration of multi-timeframe analysis increases cognitive load and susceptibility to human error, often resulting in conflicting biases at the point of execution.
Core Design Principles
To mitigate the aforementioned systemic inefficiencies, Impulse Reactor employs a modular architecture governed by three foundational principles:
Principle A:
Volatility Precursor Analysis Market mechanics demonstrate that volatility expansion often functions as a leading indicator for directional price movement. The system is engineered to detect "Volatility Deviation" — specifically, the divergence between short-term and long-term volatility baselines—prior to its manifestation in price action. This allows for entry timing aligned with the expansion phase of market volatility.
Principle B:
Momentum Density Visualization The system replaces singular momentum lines with a "Momentum Density" model utilizing a 15-layer Simple Moving Average (SMA) Ribbon.
• Concept: This visualization represents the aggregate strength and consistency of the trend.
• Application: A fully aligned and expanded ribbon indicates a robust trend structure ("Laminar Flow") capable of withstanding minor counter-trend noise, whereas a compressed ribbon signals consolidation or structural weakness.
Principle C:
Adaptive Confluence Protocols Signal validity is strictly governed by a multi-dimensional confluence logic. The system suppresses signal generation unless there is synchronized confirmation across all three analytical vectors:
1. Volatility: Confirmed expansion via the Impulse Core.
2. Momentum: Directional alignment via the Hybrid Oscillator.
3. Structure: Trend validation via the Baseline. This strict filtering mechanism significantly reduces false positives in non-trending (choppy) environments while maintaining sensitivity to genuine breakouts.
🔍 Chapter 2: Core Modules & Algorithmic Logic
Module A: Impulse Core (Normalized Volatility Deviation)
Operational Logic The Impulse Core functions as a volatility-normalized momentum gauge rather than a standard oscillator. It is designed to identify "Volatility Contraction" (Squeeze) and "Volatility Expansion" phases by quantifying the divergence between short-term and long-term volatility states.
Volatility Z-Score Normalization
The formula implements a custom normalization algorithm. Unlike standard oscillators that rely on absolute price changes, this logic calculates the Z-Score of the Volatility Spread.
◦ Numerator: (atr_f - atr_s) captures the raw momentum of volatility expansion.
◦ Denominator: (std_f + 1e-6) standardizes this value against historical variance.
◦ Result: This allows the indicator scales consistently across assets (e.g., Bitcoin vs. Euro) without manual recalibration.
f_impulse() =>
atr_f = ta.atr(fastLen) // Fast Volatility Baseline
atr_s = ta.atr(slowLen) // Slow Volatility Baseline
std_f = ta.stdev(atr_f, devLen) // Volatility Standard Deviation
(atr_f - atr_s) / (std_f + 1e-6) // Normalized Differential Calculation
Algorithmic Framework
• Differential Calculation: The system computes the spread between a Fast Volatility Baseline (ATR-10) and a Slow Volatility Baseline (ATR-30).
• Normalization Protocol: To standardize consistency across diverse asset classes (e.g., Forex vs. Crypto), the raw differential is divided by the standard deviation of the volatility itself over a 30-period lookback.
• Signal Generation:
◦ Contraction (Squeeze): When the Fast ATR compresses below the Slow ATR, it registers a potential volatility buildup phase.
◦ Expansion (Release): A rapid divergence of the Fast ATR above the Slow ATR signals a confirmed volatility expansion, validating the strength of the move.
Module B: Gradient Oscillator (RSI-SMA Hybrid)
Design Rationale To mitigate the "noise" and "false reversal" signals common in single-line oscillators (like standard RSI), this module utilizes a 15-Layer Gradient Ribbon to visualize momentum density and persistence.
Technical Architecture
• Ribbon Array: The system generates 15 sequential Simple Moving Averages (SMA) applied to a volatility-adjusted RSI source. The length of each layer increases incrementally.
• State Analysis:
Momentum Alignment (Laminar Flow): When all 15 layers are expanded and parallel, it indicates a robust trend where buying/selling pressure is distributed evenly across multiple timeframes. This state helps filter out premature "overbought/oversold" signals.
• Consolidation (Compression): When the distance between the fastest layer (Layer 1) and the slowest layer (Layer 15) approaches zero or the layers intersect, the system identifies a "Non-Tradable Zone," preventing entries during choppy market conditions.
// Laminar Flow Validation
f_validate_trend() =>
// Calculate spread between Ribbon layers
ribbon_spread = ta.stdev(ribbon_array, 15)
// Only allow signals if Ribbon is expanded (Laminar Flow)
is_flowing = ribbon_spread > min_expansion_threshold
// If compressed (Knotted), force signal to false
is_flowing ? signal : na
Module C: Adaptive Signal Filtering (Behavioral Bias Mitigation)
This subsystem, operating as an algorithmic "Anti-Greed" Mechanism, addresses the statistical tendency for signal degradation following prolonged trends.
Dynamic Threshold Adjustment
• Win Streak Detection: The algorithm internally tracks the outcome of closed trade cycles.
• Sensitivity Multiplier: Upon detecting consecutive successful signals in the same direction, a Penalty_Factor is applied to the entry logic.
• Operational Impact: This effectively raises the Required_Slope threshold for subsequent signals. For example, after three consecutive bullish signals, the system requires a 30% steeper trend angle to validate a fourth entry. This enforces stricter discipline during extended trends to reduce the probability of entering at the point of trend exhaustion.
Anti-Greed Logic: Dynamic Threshold Calculation
f_adjust_threshold(base_slope, win_streak) =>
// Adds a 10% penalty to the difficulty for every consecutive win
penalty_factor = 0.10
risk_scaler = 1 + (win_streak * penalty_factor)
// Returns the new, harder-to-reach threshold
base_slope * risk_scaler
Module D: Trend Baseline (Triple-Smoothed Structure)
The Trend Baseline serves as the structural filter for all signals. It employs a Triple-Smoothed Hybrid Algorithm designed to balance lag reduction with noise filtration.
Smoothing Stages
1. Volatility Banding: Utilizes a SuperTrend-based calculation to establish the upper and lower boundaries of price action.
2. Weighted Filter: Applies a Weighted Moving Average (WMA) to prioritize recent price data.
3. Exponential Smoothing: A final Exponential Moving Average (EMA) pass is applied to create a seamless baseline curve.
Functionality
This "Heavy" baseline resists minor intraday volatility spikes while remaining responsive to sustained structural shifts. A signal is only considered valid if the price action maintains structural integrity relative to this baseline
🚦 Chapter 3: Risk Management & Exit Protocols
Quantitative Risk Management (TP/SL & Trailing)
Foundational Architecture: Volatility-Adjusted Geometry Unlike strategies relying on static nominal values, Impulse Reactor establishes dynamic risk boundaries derived from quantitative volatility metrics. This design aligns trade invalidation levels mathematically with the current market regime.
• ATR-Based Dynamic Bracketing:
The protocol calculates Stop-Loss and Take-Profit levels by applying Fibonacci coefficients (Default: 0.786 for SL / 1.618 for TP) to the Average True Range (ATR).
◦ High Volatility Environments: The risk bands automatically expand to accommodate wider variance, preventing premature exits caused by standard market noise.
◦ Low Volatility Environments: The bands contract to tighten risk parameters, thereby dynamically adjusting the Risk-to-Reward (R:R) geometry.
• Close-Validation Protocol ("Soft Stop"):
Institutional algorithms frequently execute liquidity sweeps—driving prices briefly below key support levels to accumulate inventory.
◦ Mechanism: When the "Soft Stop" feature is enabled, the system filters out intraday volatility spikes. The stop-loss is conditional; execution is triggered only if the candle closes beyond the invalidation threshold.
◦ Strategic Advantage: This logic distinguishes between momentary price wicks and genuine structural breakdowns, preserving positions during transient volatility.
• Step-Function Trailing Mechanism:
To protect unrealized PnL while allowing for normal price breathing, a two-phase trailing methodology is employed:
◦ Phase 1 (Activation): The trailing function remains dormant until the price advances by a pre-defined percentage threshold.
◦ Phase 2 (Dynamic Floor): Once armed, the stop level creates a moving floor, adjusting relative to price action while maintaining a volatility-based (ATR) buffer to systematically protect unrealized PnL.
• Algorithmic Exit Protocols (Dynamic Liquidity Analysis)
◦ Rationale: Inefficiencies of Static Targets Static "Take Profit" levels often result in suboptimal exits. They compel traders to close positions based on arbitrary figures rather than evolving market structure, potentially capping upside during significant trends or retaining positions while the underlying trend structure deteriorates.
◦ Solution: Structural Integrity Assessment The system utilizes a Dynamic Liquidity Engine to continuously audit the validity of the position. Instead of targeting a specific price point, the algorithm evaluates whether the trend remains statistically robust.
Multi-Factor Exit Logic (The Tri-Vector System)
The Smart Exit protocol executes only when specific algorithmic invalidation criteria are met:
• 1. Momentum Exhaustion (Confluence Decay): The system monitors a 168-hour rolling average of the Confluence Score. A significant deviation below this historical baseline indicates momentum exhaustion, signaling that the driving force behind the trend has dissipated prior to a price reversal. This enables preemptive exits before a potential drawdown.
• 2. Statistical Over-Extension (Mean Reversion): Utilizing the core volatility logic, the system identifies instances where price deviates beyond 2.0 standard deviations from the mean. While the trend may be technically bullish, this statistical anomaly suggests a high probability of mean reversion (elastic snap-back), triggering a defensive exit to capitalize on peak valuation.
• 3. Oscillator Rejection (Immediate Pivot): To manage sudden V-shaped volatility, the system monitors RSI pivots. If a sharp "Pivot High" or divergence is detected, the protocol triggers an immediate "Peak Exit," bypassing standard trend filters to secure liquidity during high-velocity reversals.
🎨 Chapter 4: Visualization Guide
Gradient Oscillator Ribbon
The 15-layer SMA ribbon visualized via plot(r1...r15) represents the "Momentum Density" of the market.
• Visuals:
◦ Cyan/Blue Ribbon: Indicates Bullish Momentum.
◦ Pink/Magenta Ribbon: Indicates Bearish Momentum.
• Interpretation:
◦ Laminar Flow: When the ribbon expands widely and flows in parallel, it signifies a robust trend where momentum is distributed evenly across timeframes. This is the ideal state for trend-following.
◦ Compression (Consolidation): If the ribbon becomes narrow, twisted, or knotted, it indicates a "Non-Tradable Zone" where the market lacks a unified direction. Traders are advised to wait for clarity.
◦ Over-Extension: If the top layer crosses the Overbought (85) or Oversold (15) lines, it visually warns of potential market overheating.
Trend Baseline
The thick, color-changing line plotted via plot(baseline) represents the Structural Backbone of the market.
• Visuals: Changes color based on the trend direction (Blue for Bullish, Pink for Bearish).
• Interpretation:
Structural Filter: Long positions are statistically favored only when price action sustains above this baseline, while short positions are favored below it.
Dynamic Support/Resistance: The baseline acts as a dynamic support level during uptrends and resistance during downtrends.
Entry Signals & Labels
Text labels ("Long Entry", "Short Entry") appear when the system detects high-probability setups grounded in quantitative confluence.
• Visuals: Labeled signals appear above/below specific candles.
• Interpretation:
These signals represent moments where Volatility (Expansion), Momentum (Alignment), and Structure (Trend) are synchronized.
Smart Exit: Labels such as "Smart Exit" or "Peak Exit" appear when the system detects momentum exhaustion or structural decay, prompting a defensive exit to preserve capital.
Dynamic TP/SL Boxes
The semi-transparent colored zones drawn via fill() represent the risk management geometry.
• Visuals: Colored boxes extending from the entry point to the Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels.
• Function:
Volatility-Adjusted Geometry: Unlike static price targets, these boxes expand during high volatility (to prevent wicks from stopping you out) and contract during low volatility (to optimize Risk-to-Reward ratios).
SAR + MACD Glow
Small glowing shapes appearing above or below candles.
• Visuals: Triangle or circle glows near the price bars.
• Interpretation:
This visual indicates a secondary confirmation where Parabolic SAR and MACD align with the main trend direction. It serves as an additional confluence factor to increase confidence in the trade setup.
Support/Resistance Table
A small table located at the bottom-right of the chart.
• Function: Automatically identifies and displays recent Pivot Highs (Resistance) and Pivot Lows (Support).
• Interpretation: These levels can be used as potential targets for Take Profit or invalidation points for manual Stop Loss adjustments.
🖥️ Chapter 5: Dashboard & Operational Guide
Integrated Analytics Panel (Dashboard Overview)
To facilitate rapid decision-making without manual calculation, the system aggregates critical market dimensions into a unified "Heads-Up Display" (HUD). This panel monitors real-time metrics across multiple timeframes and analytical vectors.
A. Intermediate Structure (12H Trend)
• Function: Anchors the intraday analysis to the broader market structure using a 12-hour rolling window.
• Interpretation:
◦ Bullish (> +0.5%): Indicates a positive structural bias. Long setups align with the macro flow.
◦ Bearish (< -0.5%): Indicates structural weakness. Short setups are statistically favored.
◦ Neutral: Represents a ranging environment where the Confluence Score becomes the primary weighting factor.
B. Composite Confluence Score (Signal Confidence)
• Definition: A probability metric derived from the synchronization of Volatility (Impulse Core), Momentum (Ribbon), and Trend (Baseline).
• Grading Scale:
Strong Buy/Sell (> 7.0 / < 3.0): Indicates full alignment across all three vectors. Represents a "Prime Setup" eligible for standard position sizing.
Buy/Sell (5.0–7.0 / 3.0–5.0): Indicates a valid trend but with moderate volatility confirmation.
Neutral: Signals conflicting data (e.g., Bullish Momentum vs. Bearish Structure). Trading is not recommended ("No-Trade Zone").
C. Statistical Deviation Status (Mean Reversion)
• Logic: Utilizes Bollinger Band deviation principles to quantify how far price has stretched from the statistical mean (20 SMA).
• Alert States:
Over-Extended (> 2.0 SD): Warning that price is statistically likely to revert to the mean (Elastic Snap-back), even if the trend remains technically valid. New entries are discouraged in this zone.
Normal: Price is within standard distribution limits, suitable for trend-following entries.
D. Volatility Regime Classification
• Metric: Compares current ATR against a 100-period historical baseline to categorize the market state.
• Regimes:
Low Volatility (Lvl < 1.0): Market Compression. Often precedes volatility expansion events.
Mid Volatility (Lvl 1.0 - 1.5): Standard operating environment.
High Volatility (Lvl > 1.5): Elevated market stress. Risk parameters should be adjusted (e.g., reduced position size) to account for increased variance.
E. Performance Telemetry
• Function: Displays the historical reliability of the Trend Baseline for the current asset and timeframe.
• Operational Threshold: If the displayed Win Rate falls below 40%, it suggests the current market behavior is incoherent (choppy) and does not respect trend logic. In such cases, switching assets or timeframes is recommended.
Operational Protocols & Signal Decoding
Visual Interpretation Standards
• Laminar Flow (Trade Confirmation): A valid trend is visually confirmed when the 15-layer SMA Ribbon is fully expanded and parallel. This indicates distributed momentum across timeframes.
• Consolidation (No-Trade): If the ribbon appears twisted, knotted, or compressed, the market lacks a unified directional vector.
• Baseline Interaction: The Triple-Smoothed Baseline acts as a dynamic support/resistance filter. Long positions remain valid only while price sustains above this structure.
System Calibration (Settings)
• Adaptive Signal Filtering (Prev. Anti-Greed): Enabled by default. This logic automatically raises the required trend slope threshold following consecutive wins to mitigate behavioral bias.
• Impulse Sensitivity: Controls the reactivity of the Volatility Core. Higher settings capture faster moves but may introduce more noise.
⚙️ Chapter 6: System Configuration & Alert Guide
This section provides a complete breakdown of every adjustable setting within Impulse Reactor to assist you in tailoring the engine to your specific needs.
🌐 LANGUAGE SETTINGS (Localization)
◦ Select Language (Default: English):
Function: Instantly translates all chart labels, dashboard texts into your preferred language.
Supported: English, Korean, Chinese, Spanish
⚡ IMPULSE CORE SETTINGS (Volatility Engine)
◦ Deviation Lookback (Default: 30): The period used to calculate the standard deviation of volatility.
Role: Sets the baseline for normalizing momentum. Higher values make the core smoother but slower to react.
◦ Fast Pulse Length (Default: 10): The short-term ATR period.
Role: Detects rapid volatility expansion.
◦ Slow Pulse Length (Default: 30): The long-term ATR baseline.
Role: Establishes the background volatility level. The core signal is derived from the divergence between Fast and Slow pulses.
🎯 TP/SL SETTINGS (Risk Management)
◦ SL/TP Fibonacci (Default: 0.786 / 1.618): Selects the Fibonacci ratio used for risk calculation.
◦ SL/TP Multiplier (Default: 1.5 / 2): Applies a multiplier to the ATR-based bands.
Role: Expands or contracts the Take Profit and Stop Loss boxes. Increase these values for higher volatility assets (like Altcoins) to avoid premature stop-outs.
◦ ATR Length (Default: 14): The lookback period for calculating the Average True Range used in risk geometry.
◦ Use Soft Stop (Close Basis):
Role: If enabled, Stop Loss alerts only trigger if a candle closes beyond the invalidation level. This prevents being stopped out by wick manipulations.
🔊 RIBBON SETTINGS (Momentum Visualization)
◦ Show SMA Ribbon: Toggles the visibility of the 15-layer gradient ribbon.
◦ Ribbon Line Count (Default: 15): The number of SMA lines in the ribbon array.
◦ Ribbon Start Length (Default: 2) & Step (Default: 1): Defines the spread of the ribbon.
Role: Controls the "thickness" of the momentum density visualization. A wider step creates a broader ribbon, useful for higher timeframes.
📎 DISPLAY OPTIONS
◦ Show Entry Lines / TP/SL Box / Position Labels / S/R Levels / Dashboard: Toggles individual visual elements on the chart to reduce clutter.
◦ Show SAR+MACD Glow: Enables the secondary confirmation shapes (triangles/circles) above/below candles.
📈 TREND BASELINE (Structural Filter)
◦ Supertrend Factor (Default: 12) & ATR Period (Default: 90): Controls the sensitivity of the underlying Supertrend algorithm used for the baseline calculation.
◦ WMA Length (40) & EMA Length (14): The smoothing periods for the Triple-Smoothed Baseline.
◦ Min Trend Duration (Default: 10): The minimum number of bars the trend must be established before a signal is considered valid.
🧠 SMART EXIT (Dynamic Liquidity)
◦ Use Smart Exit: Enables the momentum exhaustion logic.
◦ Exit Threshold Score (Default: 3): The sensitivity level for triggering a Smart Exit. Lower values trigger earlier exits.
◦ Average Period (168) & Min Hold Bars (5): Defines the rolling window for momentum decay analysis and the minimum duration a trade must be held before Smart Exit logic activates.
🛡️ TRAILING STOP (Step)
◦ Use Trailing Stop: Activates the step-function trailing mechanism.
◦ Step 1 Activation % (0.5) & Offset % (0.5): The price must move 0.5% in your favor to arm the first trail level, which sets a stop 0.5% behind price.
◦ Step 2 Activation % (1) & Offset % (0.2): Once price moves 1%, the trail tightens to 0.2%, securing the position.
🌀 SAR & MACD SETTINGS (Secondary Confirmation)
◦ SAR Start/Increment/Max: Standard Parabolic SAR parameters.
◦ SAR Score Scaling (ATR): Adjusts how much weight the SAR signal has in the overall confluence score.
◦ MACD Fast/Slow/Signal: Standard MACD parameters used for the "Glow" signals.
🔄 ANTI-GREED LOGIC (Behavioral Bias)
◦ Strict Entry after Win: Enables the negative feedback loop.
◦ Strict Multiplier (Default: 1.1): Increases the entry difficulty by 10% after each win.
Role: Prevents overtrading and entering at the top of an extended trend.
🌍 HTF FILTER (Multi-Timeframe)
◦ Use Auto-Adaptive HTF Filter: Automatically selects a higher timeframe (e.g., 1H -> 4H) to filter signals.
◦ Bypass HTF on Steep Trigger: Allows an entry even against the HTF trend if the local momentum slope is exceptionally steep (catch powerful reversals).
📉 RSI PEAK & CHOPPINESS
◦ RSI Peak Exit (Instant): Triggers an immediate exit if a sharp RSI pivot (V-shape) is detected.
◦ Choppiness Filter: Suppresses signals if the Choppiness Index is above the threshold (Default: 60), indicating a flat market.
📐 SLOPE TRIGGER LOGIC
◦ Force Entry on Steep Slope: Overrides other filters if the price angle is extremely vertical (high velocity).
◦ Slope Sensitivity (1.5): The angle required to trigger this override.
⛔ FLAT MARKET FILTER (ADX & ATR)
◦ Use ADX Filter: Blocks signals if ADX is below the threshold (Default: 20), indicating no trend.
◦ Use ATR Flat Filter: Blocks signals if volatility drops below a critical level (dead market).
🔔 Alert Configuration Guide
Impulse Reactor is designed with a comprehensive suite of alert conditions, allowing you to automate your trading or receive real-time notifications for specific market events.
How to Set Up:
Click the "Alert" (Clock) icon in the TradingView toolbar.
Select "Impulse Reactor " from the Condition dropdown.
Choose one of the specific trigger conditions below:
🚀 Entry Signals (Trend Initiation)
Long Entry:
Trigger: Fires when a confirmed Bullish Setup is detected (Momentum + Volatility + Structure align).
Usage: Use this to enter new Long positions.
Short Entry:
Trigger: Fires when a confirmed Bearish Setup is detected.
Usage: Use this to enter new Short positions.
🎯 Profit Taking (Target Levels)
Long TP:
Trigger: Fires when price hits the calculated Take Profit level for a Long trade.
Usage: Automate partial or full profit taking.
Short TP:
Trigger: Fires when price hits the calculated Take Profit level for a Short trade.
Usage: Automate partial or full profit taking.
🛡️ Defensive Exits (Risk Management)
Smart Exit:
Trigger: Fires when the system detects momentum decay or statistical exhaustion (even if the trend hasn't fully reversed).
Usage: Recommended for tightening stops or closing positions early to preserve gains.
Overbought / Oversold:
Trigger: Fires when the ribbon extends into extreme zones.
Usage: Warning signal to prepare for a potential reversal or pullback.
💡 Secondary Confirmation (Confluence)
SAR+MACD Bullish:
Trigger: Fires when Parabolic SAR and MACD align bullishly with the main trend.
Usage: Ideal for Pyramiding (adding to an existing winning position).
SAR+MACD Bearish:
Trigger: Fires when Parabolic SAR and MACD align bearishly.
Usage: Ideal for adding to short positions.
⚠️ Chapter 7: Conclusion & Risk Disclosure
Methodological Synthesis
Impulse Reactor represents a shift from reactive price tracking to proactive energy analysis. By decomposing market activity into its atomic components — Volatility, Momentum, and Structure — and reconstructing them into a coherent decision model, the system aims to provide a quantitative framework for market engagement. It is designed not to predict the future, but to identify high-probability conditions where kinetic energy and trend structure align.
Disclaimer & Risk Warnings
◦ Educational Purpose Only
This indicator, including all associated code, documentation, and visual outputs, is provided strictly for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments.
◦ No Guarantee of Performance
Past performance is not indicative of future results. All metrics displayed on the dashboard (including "Win Rate" and "P&L") are theoretical calculations based on historical data. These figures do not account for real-world trading factors such as slippage, liquidity gaps, spread costs, or broker commissions.
◦ High-Risk Warning
Trading cryptocurrencies, futures, and leveraged financial products involves a substantial risk of loss. The use of leverage can amplify both gains and losses. Users acknowledge that they are solely responsible for their trading decisions and should conduct independent due diligence before executing any trades.
◦ Software Limitations
The software is provided "as is" without warranty. Users should be aware that market data feeds on analysis platforms may experience latency or outages, which can affect signal generation accuracy.
3-bar Swing Liquidity Grab📊 3-BAR SWING LIQUIDITY GRAB
WHAT IT DOES
Automatically detects 3-bar swing highs/lows and alerts you to liquidity grab moments — when price breaks structural levels to trigger stop-losses, then reverses.
SIGNALS AT A GLANCE
Signal What It Means Trade Idea
SH 🟠▼ Swing High (Resistance) Reference level
SL 🔵▲ Swing Low (Support) Reference level
LQH 🔴❌ Fake break ABOVE resistance SHORT ⬇️
LQL 🟢❌ Fake break BELOW support LONG ⬆️
HOW TO TRADE IT
Spot the trend — Is price going up or down?
Wait for signal — LQL (green) in uptrend, LQH (red) in downtrend
Enter on signal — Place order on that bar
Stop Loss — Just outside the swing level
Take Profit — At the next swing level
SETTINGS EXPLAINED
Swing length: 1 = 3-bar swing, 2 = 5-bar swing (use 1 for scalp, 2 for larger TF)
Lookback bars: Time window to find liquidity grabs (10-20 for scalp, 50+ for position)
Toggles: Show/hide swing markers and signals
BEST ON THESE TIMEFRAMES
TF Type Settings
M5-M15 Scalp SL: 1, LB: 10-15
M15-H1 Intraday SL: 1, LB: 15-20
H1-H4 Swing SL: 1-2, LB: 20-50
D+ Position SL: 2, LB: 50+
KEY RULES
✅ DO:
Trade signals aligned with major trend
Always use stop loss
Use 2-5% risk per trade
Confirm with price action
❌ DON'T:
Trade choppy/sideways markets
Ignore the trend
Chase signals
Overtrade
REAL EXAMPLE
LONG Trade (LQL Signal):
text
Uptrend → Swing Low forms at 1.0950
→ Price dips to 1.0930 (below SL)
→ Closes at 1.0955 (above SL) = GREEN ❌ (LQL)
→ BUY at 1.0960
→ Stop Loss: 1.0920
→ Take Profit: 1.1050 (previous Swing High)
WORKS ON
✅ Crypto (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Altcoins)
✅ Forex (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, etc.)
✅ Stocks & Indices
✅ Commodities (Gold, Oil, etc.)
Any asset, any timeframe, any market.
DISCLAIMER
This is a technical analysis tool, not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management and test on a demo account first.
Estrategia Trend Following: 52w/26w BreakoutThis is a classic long-term Trend Following strategy, heavily inspired by the Donchian Channel system and the legendary "Turtle Trading" rules. It is designed to capture major market moves (bull runs) while filtering out short-term market noise and volatility.
This script is ideal for investors and swing traders who prefer a "hands-off" approach, looking to catch large trends rather than day-trading small fluctuations.
How it Works:
1. Entry Condition (The Breakout):
52-Week High: The strategy enters a Long position when the price breaks above the highest high of the last 252 trading days (approx. 1 year).
SuperTrend Filter: An additional filter using the SuperTrend indicator ensures that the breakout is supported by positive momentum, helping to reduce false signals during choppy lateral markets.
2. Exit Condition (The Trailing Stop):
26-Week Low: The strategy ignores short-term corrections. It only closes the position if the price closes below the lowest low of the last 126 trading days (approx. 6 months).
This wide stop allows the trade to "breathe" and stay open during significant pullbacks, ensuring you stay in the trend for as long as possible.
Features & Settings:
Customizable Lookback Periods: You can adjust the Entry (default 252 days) and Exit (default 126 days) periods in the settings menu.
Visual Aids:
Blue Line: Represents the 1-Year High (Entry Threshold).
Red Line: Represents the 6-Month Low (Dynamic Stop Loss).
Channel Shading: Visualizes the trading range between the high and low.
Labels: Clearly marks "BUY" and "EXIT" points on the chart.
Recommended Usage:
Timeframe: Daily (1D). This logic is designed for daily candles.
Assets: Works best on assets with strong trending characteristics (e.g., Bitcoin/Crypto, Tech Stocks, Indices like SPX/NDX, and Commodities).
Patience Required: This strategy generates very few signals. It may stay quiet for months and then hold a position for over a year.
BTC STH Proxy vs Realized Price (RP) Ratio | STH : LTH📊 REALIZED PRICE MARKET SIGNAL
Indicator that builds a Short-Term Holder (STH) price proxy using a configurable moving average of Bitcoin’s market price and compares it to Bitcoin’s Realized Price (RP) derived from on-chain data.
Realized Price (RP) is calculated from CoinMetrics Realized Market Cap divided by Glassnode circulating supply.
STH Proxy is a user-defined moving average (EMA/SMA/WMA) of BTC price, designed to mimic the behavior of the true STH Realized Price.
Users can adjust the MA type, length, and RP smoothing to closely replicate the STH curve seen on Glassnode, Bitbo, and Bitcoin Magazine Pro.
Optionally, the indicator can display the STH/RP ratio, which highlights transitions between market phases.
This tool provides a simple but effective way to visualize short-term vs long-term holder cost-basis dynamics using only publicly accessible on-chain aggregates and price data.
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💡TLDR: An alt take on the Short-Term Holder Realized Price / Long-Term Holder Realized Price cross model | (STH/LTH cross)
- A mix of MAs are used to mimic STH.
- RP here used as a proxy for the long-term holder (LTH) cost basis.
- Bull/Bear signals are generated when the STH proxy crosses above or below RP.
⭐ Free to use • Leave feedback • Happy trading!
Altcoin Relative Macro StrengthAltcoin Relative Macro Strength
Overview
The Altcoin Relative Macro Strength indicator measures the altcoin market's price performance relative to global macroeconomic conditions. By comparing TOTAL3ES (total altcoin market capitalization excluding Bitcoin, Ethereum and stable coins) against a composite macro trend, the indicator identifies periods of relative overvaluation and undervaluation.
Methodology
Global Macro Trend Calculation:
The macro trend synthesizes three primary components:
- ISM PMI – A proxy for the business cycle phase
- Global Liquidity – An aggregate measure of major central bank balance sheets and broad money supply
- IWM (Russell 2000) – Small-cap equity exposure, reflecting risk-on/risk-off market sentiment
Global Liquidity is calculated as:
Fed Balance Sheet - Reverse Repo - Treasury General Account + U.S. M2 + China M2
The final Global Macro Trend is:
ISM PMI × Global Liquidity × IWM
Theoretical Framework:
The global macro trend integrates liquidity expansion/contraction with business cycle dynamics and small-cap equity performance. The inclusion of IWM reflects altcoins' tendency to behave as high-beta risk assets, exhibiting sensitivity similar to small-cap equities. This composite exhibits strong directional correlation with altcoin market movements, capturing the risk-on/risk-off dynamics that drive altcoin performance.
Interpretation
Primary Signal:
The histogram displays the rolling percentage change of TOTAL3ES relative to the global macro trend (default: 21-period average). Positive divergence indicates altcoins are outperforming macro conditions; negative divergence suggests underperformance relative to the underlying economic and risk environment.
Data Tables:
Alts/Macro Change – Percentage deviation of the altcoin market's average value from the Global Macro Trend's average over the specified period
Macro Trend – Directional assessment of the macro trend based on slope and trend agreement:
🔵 BULLISH ▲ – Positive slope with upward trend
⚪ NEUTRAL → – Slope and trend direction disagree
🟣 BEARISH ▼ – Negative slope with downward trend
Macro Slope – Percentage rate of change in the global macro trend
Altcoin Valuation – Relative valuation category based on TOTAL3/Macro deviation:
🟢 Extreme Discount / Deep Discount / Discount
🟡 Fair Value
🔴 Premium / Large Premium / Extreme Premium
TOTAL3ES Mcap – Current total altcoin market capitalization (in billions)
Visual Components:
📊 Histogram: Alts/Macro Change
🟢 Green = Positive deviation (altcoins outperforming)
🔴 Red = Negative deviation (altcoins underperforming)
📈 Macro Slope Line
Color-coded to match trend assessment
Scaled for visibility (adjustable in settings)
Application
This indicator is designed to identify mean reversion opportunities by highlighting periods when the altcoin market materially diverges from fundamental macro and risk conditions. Extreme positive values may indicate overvaluation; extreme negative values may signal undervaluation relative to the prevailing economic and risk appetite backdrop.
Strategy Considerations:
- Identify extremes: Look for periods when the histogram reaches elevated positive or negative levels
- Assess valuation: Use the Altcoin Valuation reading to gauge relative over/undervaluation
Confirm with risk sentiment: Check whether macro conditions and risk appetite support or contradict current price levels
- Mean reversion: Consider that significant deviations from trend historically tend to revert
Note: This indicator identifies relative valuation based on macro conditions and risk sentiment—it does not predict price direction or timing.
Settings
Lookback Period – 21 bars (default) – Number of bars for calculating rolling averages
Macro Slope Scale – 3.0 (default) – Multiplier for macro slope line visibility
BTC Mon 8am Buy / Wed 2pm Sell (NY Time, Daily + Intraday)This strategy implements a fixed weekly time-based trading schedule for Bitcoin, using New York market hours as the reference clock. It is designed to test whether a consistent pattern exists between early-week accumulation and mid-week distribution in BTC price behavior.
Entry Rule — Monday 8:00 AM (NY Time)
The strategy enters a long position every Monday at exactly 08:00 AM Eastern Time, one hour after the U.S. equities market pre-open activity begins influencing global liquidity.
This timing attempts to capture early-week directional moves in Bitcoin, which sometimes occur as traditional markets come online.
Exit Rule — Wednesday 2:00 PM (NY Time)
The strategy closes the position every Wednesday at 2:00 PM Eastern Time, a point in the week where:
U.S. equity markets are still open
BTC often experiences mid-week volatility rotations
Liquidity is generally high
This exit removes exposure before later-week uncertainty and gives a consistent, measurable time window for each trade.
Timeframe Compatibility
Works on intraday charts (recommended 1h or lower) using precise time-based triggers.
Also runs on daily charts, where entries and exits occur on the Monday and Wednesday bars respectively (daily charts cannot show intraday timestamps).
All timestamps are synced to America/New_York regardless of the exchange’s native timezone.
Trading Frequency
Exactly one trade per week, preventing overtrading and allowing comparison of weekly performance across years of historical BTC price data.
Purpose of the Strategy
This is not a value-based or trend-following system, but a behavioral/time-cycle analysis tool.
It helps evaluate whether a repeating short-term edge exists based solely on:
Weekday timing
Liquidity cycles
Institutional market influence
BTC’s habitual early-week momentum patterns
It is ideal for:
Backtesting weekly BTC behavior
Studying time-based edges
Comparing alternative weekday/time combinations
Visualizing weekly P&L structure
Risk Notes
This strategy does not attempt to predict price direction and should not be assumed profitable without robust backtesting.
Time-based edges can appear, disappear, or invert depending on macro conditions.
There is no stop loss or risk management included by default, so the strategy reflects raw timing-based performance.
BTC – LEVR: Leverage Efficiency & Volume RatioLEVR: Leverage Efficiency & Volume Ratio
Observation-only. Data: IntoTheBlock.
Overview
The Leverage Efficiency & Volume Ratio (LEVR) is a market structure oscillator designed to detect "Paper Bubbles" and "Organic Bottoms" by separating speculative greed from network utility. While most indicators analyze price action, LEVR analyzes market fragility. It operates on the thesis that Sustainable Rallies are driven by Spot/Network Activity, while Fragile Rallies are driven by Derivatives Leverage.
Synergy
How it works with VERI
LEVR is designed to be the tactical counterpart to the fundamental VERI Indicator (Valuation & Entity Ratio Index).
Use VERI for Strategy: To identify Value. (Is Bitcoin cheap? Are Whales buying?)
Use LEVR for Risk: To identify Structure. (Is the current price move real, or is it a leverage bubble about to pop?)
The "Perfect Setup"
The strongest buy signals occur when VERI is in the Accumulation Zone (Whales buying) AND LEVR is in the Organic Zone (Leverage is flushed out) (as it was the case in the Dec 2022 Bear Market Bottom).
Why LEVR is Unique
Standard indicators often fail to contextualize Open Interest:
vs. Raw Open Interest: Raw OI always trends up over time as the market grows. LEVR solves this by normalizing OI against Active Addresses. This reveals when leverage is outpacing actual adoption.
vs. ELR (Estimated Leverage Ratio): Classic ELR divides Open Interest by Exchange Reserves. However, Exchange Reserves are notoriously difficult to track accurately. LEVR uses Active Addresses (Network Utility) as a cleaner, more reliable denominator for network health.
Methodology
The Mathematics: The indicator calculates a normalized Z-Score ratio between two IntoTheBlock datasets:
The Numerator (Greed): Perpetual Open Interest. The total dollar value of all open futures contracts. This represents the "Gambling" capital.
The Denominator (Utility): Active Addresses. The number of unique addresses transacting on-chain. This represents the "Real" user base.
The Formula : LEVR = Z-Score ( Perpetual Open Interest / Active Addresses )
How to Interpret the Visuals
The line color changes dynamically to reflect the current risk regime:
🟥 Speculative Premium (Red Line > 2.0) :
Signal: "Leverage Bubble."
Context: Open Interest is rising significantly faster than User Growth. The rally is fueled by debt.
Risk: High probability of a "Long Squeeze" or liquidation cascade.
🟦 Organic Base (Blue Line < -1.5) :
Signal: "Spot Driven Market."
Context: Speculators have been flushed out, but active network usage remains high. The line turns Blue to signal a healthy opportunity zone.
Risk: Low. Historically marks robust bottoms where hands are strong.
🟧 Neutral (Orange Line) :
The market is in a transition phase between organic growth and speculation.
Settings & Inputs
Users can customize the sensitivity of the Z-Score to fit their trading style (in brackets their current standard value):
Lookback Period (365) : The rolling window used to establish the "Baseline." A 365-day window captures the yearly trend.
Signal Smoothing (7) : A short moving average to reduce daily data noise.
Bubble Zone Top/Bottom (3.0 / 2.0) : The thresholds for the Red Zone. Raising the "Top" value will only show the most extreme, generational leverage bubbles.
Organic Zone Top/Bottom (-1.5 / -2.5) : The thresholds for the Green Zone. Lowering these values requires a deeper "flush" to trigger a signal.
Optimization
This indicator is mathematically optimized for the Daily (1D) timeframe. Using it on lower timeframes may result in noise due to the daily resolution of on-chain data.
Important Note on Historical Data
Please be aware that aggregated global Perpetual Open Interest data only becomes reliable and widely available starting around 2020-2021.
Pre-2021: The indicator will show a flat line or empty values. This is not a bug; it reflects the lack of historical derivatives market data for that period.
2021-Present: The indicator functions fully as intended.
Credits
Concept inspired by the "Estimated Leverage Ratio" (ELR) popularised by CryptoQuant and analysts like Willy Woo. LEVR adapts this concept for TradingView by substituting Exchange Reserves with Network Activity for better reliability.
Disclaimer
This tool is for research purposes only. It visualizes market structure data and does not constitute financial advice.
Tags
bitcoin, btc, open interest, leverage, on-chain, intotheblock, risk, derivatives, levr, veri
