SuperTrend + Relative Volume (Kernel Optimized)Introducing our new KDE Optimized Supertrend + Relative Volume Indicator!
This innovative indicator combines the power of the Supertrend indicator along with Relative Volume. It utilizes the Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) to estimate the probability of a candlestick marking a significant trend break or reversal.
❓How to Interpret the KDE %:
The KDE % is a crucial metric that reflects the likelihood that the current candlestick represents a true break in the SuperTrend line, supported by an increase in relative volume. It estimates the probability of a trend shift or continuation based on historical SuperTrend breaks and volume patterns:
Low KDE %: A lower probability that the current break is significant. Price action is less likely to reverse, and the trend may continue.
Moderate KDE - High KDE %: An increased possibility that a trend reversal or consolidation could occur. Traders should start watching for confirmation signals.
📌How Does It Work?
The SuperTrend indicator uses the Average True Range (ATR) to determine the direction of the trend and identifies when the price crosses the SuperTrend line, signaling a potential trend reversal. Here's how the KDE Optimized SuperTrend Indicator works:
SuperTrend Calculation: The SuperTrend indicator is calculated, and when the price breaks above (bullish) or below (bearish) the SuperTrend line, it is logged as a significant event.
Relative Volume: For each break in the SuperTrend line, we calculate the relative volume (current volume vs. the average volume over a defined period). High relative volume can suggest stronger confirmation of the trend break.
KDE Array Calculation: KDE is applied to the break points and relative volume data:
Define the KDE options: Bandwidth, Number of Steps, and Array Range (Array Max - Array Min).
Create a density range array using the defined number of steps, corresponding to potential break points.
Apply a Gaussian kernel function to the break points and volume data to estimate the likelihood of the trend break being significant.
KDE Value and Signal Generation: The KDE array is updated as each break occurs. The KDE % is calculated for the breakout candlestick, representing the likelihood of the trend break being significant. If the KDE value exceeds the defined activation threshold, a darker bullish or bearish arrow is plotted after bar confirmation. If the KDE value falls below the threshold, a more transparent arrow is drawn, indicating a possible but lower probability break.
⚙️Settings:
SuperTrend Settings:
ATR Length: The period over which the Average True Range (ATR) is calculated.
Multiplier: The multiplier applied to the ATR to determine the SuperTrend threshold.
KDE Settings:
Bandwidth: Determines the smoothness of the KDE function and the width of the influence of each break point.
Number of Bins (Steps): Defines the precision of the KDE algorithm, with higher values offering more detailed calculations.
KDE Threshold %: The level at which relative volume is considered significant for confirming a break.
Relative Volume Length: The number of historic candles used in calculating KDE %
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New Daily Low with Offset Alert FeatureThis indicator plots the current day’s low as a horizontal line on your chart and provides an optional offset line above it. It’s designed for traders who want to monitor when price is near or breaking below the daily low. You can set alerts based on the built-in alert conditions to be notified whenever the market approaches or crosses below these key levels.
How to Use With Alerts:
1. Add the indicator to your chart and choose a timeframe (e.g., 15 minutes).
2. In the script inputs, enable or adjust the daily low line and any offset percentage if desired.
3. Open the “Alerts” menu in TradingView and select the corresponding alert condition:
• Cross Below Daily Low to detect when price dips below the day’s low.
• Cross Below Daily Low + Offset if you prefer a small cushion above the actual low.
4. Configure the alert’s frequency and notifications to stay updated on potential breakdowns.
This setup helps you catch new lows or near-breakdowns quickly, making it useful for both intraday traders and swing traders watching key support levels.
HTF Candle Range Box (Fixed to HTF Bars)### **Higher Timeframe Candle Range Box (HTF Box Indicator)**
This indicator visually highlights the price range of the most recently closed higher-timeframe (HTF) candle, directly on a lower-timeframe chart. It dynamically adjusts based on the user-selected HTF setting (e.g., 15-minute, 1-hour) and ensures that the box is displayed only on the bars that correspond to that specific HTF candle’s duration.
For instance, if a trader is on a **1-minute chart** with the **HTF set to 15 minutes**, the indicator will draw a box spanning exactly 15 one-minute candles, corresponding to the previous 15-minute HTF candle. The box updates only when a new HTF candle completes, ensuring that it does not change mid-formation.
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### **How It Works:**
1. **Retrieves Higher Timeframe Data**
The script uses TradingView’s `request.security` function to pull **high, low, open, and close** values from the **previously completed HTF candle** (using ` ` to avoid repainting). It also fetches the **high and low of the candle before that** (using ` `) for comparison.
2. **Determines Breakout Behavior**
It compares the **last closed HTF candle** to the **one before it** to determine whether:
- It **broke above** the previous high.
- It **broke below** the previous low.
- It **broke both** the high and low.
- It **stayed within the previous candle’s range** (no breakout).
3. **Classifies the Candle & Assigns Color**
- **Green (Bullish)**
- Closes above the previous candle’s high.
- Breaks below the previous candle’s low but closes back inside the previous range **if it opened above** the previous high.
- **Red (Bearish)**
- Closes below the previous candle’s low.
- Breaks above the previous candle’s high but closes back inside the previous range **if it opened below** the previous low.
- **Orange (Neutral/Indecisive)**
- Stays within the previous candle’s range.
- Breaks both the high and low but closes inside the previous range without a clear bias.
4. **Box Placement on the Lower Timeframe**
- The script tracks the **bar index** where each HTF candle starts on the lower timeframe (e.g., every 15 bars on a 1-minute chart if HTF = 15 minutes).
- It **only displays the box on those bars**, ensuring that the range is accurately reflected for that time period.
- The box **resets and updates** only when a new HTF candle completes.
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### **Key Features & Advantages:**
✅ **Clear Higher Timeframe Context:**
- The indicator provides a structured way to analyze HTF price action while trading in a lower timeframe.
- It helps traders identify **HTF support and resistance zones**, potential **breakouts**, and **failed breakouts**.
✅ **Fixed Box Display (No Mid-Candle Repainting):**
- The box is drawn **only after the HTF candle closes**, avoiding misleading fluctuations.
- Unlike other indicators that update live, this one ensures the trader is looking at **confirmed data** only.
✅ **Flexible Timeframe Selection:**
- The user can set **any HTF resolution** (e.g., 5min, 15min, 1hr, 4hr), making it adaptable for different strategies.
✅ **Dynamic Color Coding for Quick Analysis:**
- The **color of the box reflects the market sentiment**, making it easier to spot trends, reversals, and fake-outs.
✅ **No Clutter – Only Applies to the Relevant Bars:**
- Instead of spanning across the whole chart, the range box is **only visible on the bars belonging to the last HTF period**, keeping the chart clean and focused.
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### **Example Use Case:**
💡 Imagine a trader is scalping on the **1-minute chart** but wants to factor in **HTF 15-minute structure** to avoid getting caught in bad trades. With this indicator:
- They can see whether the last **15-minute candle** was bullish, bearish, or indecisive.
- If it was **bullish (green)**, they may look for **buying opportunities** at lower timeframes.
- If it was **bearish (red)**, they might anticipate **a potential pullback or continuation down**.
- If the **HTF candle failed to break out**, they know the market is **ranging**, avoiding unnecessary trades.
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### **Final Thoughts:**
This indicator is a **powerful addition for traders who combine multiple timeframes** in their analysis. It provides a **clean and structured way to track HTF price movements** without cluttering the chart or requiring constant manual switching between timeframes. Whether used for **intraday trading, swing trading, or scalping**, it adds an extra layer of confirmation for trade entries and exits.
🔹 **Best for traders who:**
- Want **HTF structure awareness while trading lower timeframes**.
- Need **confirmation of breakouts, failed breakouts, or indecision zones**.
- Prefer a **non-repainting tool that only updates after confirmed HTF closes**.
Let me know if you want any adjustments or additional features! 🚀
Johnny's Volatility-Driven Trend Identifier w/ Reversal SignalsJohnny's Volatility-Driven Trend Identifier w/ Reversal Signals is designed to identify high-probability trend shifts and reversals by incorporating volatility, momentum, and impulse-based filtering. It is specifically built for traders who want to capture strong trend movements while minimizing false signals caused by low volatility noise.
By leveraging Rate of Change (ROC), Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Average True Range (ATR)-based volatility detection, the indicator dynamically adapts to market conditions. It highlights breakout trends, reversals, and early signs of momentum shifts using strategically placed labels and color-coded trend visualization.
Inspiration taken from Top G indicator .
What This Indicator Does
The Volatility-Driven Trend Identifier works by:
Measuring Market Extremes & Momentum:
Uses ROC normalization with standard deviation to identify impulse moves in price action.
Implements RSI filtering to determine overbought/oversold conditions that validate trend strength.
Utilizes ATR-based volatility tracking to ensure signals only appear when meaningful market movements are occurring.
Identifying Key Trend Events:
Power Peak (🔥): Marks a confirmed strong downtrend, ideal for shorting opportunities.
Surge (🚀): Indicates a confirmed strong uptrend, signaling a potential long entry.
Soft Surge (↗): Highlights a mild bullish reentry or early uptrend formation.
Soft Peak (↘): Shows a mild bearish reentry or early downtrend formation.
Providing Adaptive Filtering for Reliable Signals:
Filters out weak trends with a volatility check, ensuring signals appear only in strong market conditions.
Implements multi-level confirmation by combining trend strength metrics, preventing false breakouts.
Uses gradient-based visualization to color-code market sentiment for quick interpretation.
What This Indicator Signals
Breakouts & Impulse Moves: 🚀🔥
The Surge (🚀) and Power Peak (🔥) labels indicate confirmed momentum breakouts, where the trend has been validated by a combination of ROC impulse, RSI confirmation, and ATR volatility filtering.
These signals suggest that the market is entering a strong trend, and traders can align their entries accordingly.
Early Trend Formation & Reentries: ↗ ↘
The Soft Surge (↗) and Soft Peak (↘) labels indicate areas where a trend might be forming, but is not yet fully confirmed.
These signals help traders anticipate potential entries before the trend gains full strength.
Volatility-Adaptive Trend Filtering: 📊
Since the indicator only activates in volatile conditions, it avoids the pitfalls of low-range choppy markets where false signals frequently occur.
ATR-driven adaptive windowing allows the indicator to dynamically adjust its sensitivity based on real-time volatility conditions.
How to Use This Indicator
1. Identifying High-Probability Entries
Bullish Entries (Long Trades)
Look for 🚀 Surge signals in an uptrend.
Confirm with RSI (should be above 50 for momentum).
Ensure volatility is increasing to validate the breakout.
Use ↗ Soft Surge signals for early entries before the trend fully confirms.
Bearish Entries (Short Trades)
Look for 🔥 Power Peak signals in a downtrend.
RSI should be below 50, indicating downward momentum.
Volatility should be rising, ensuring market momentum is strong.
Use ↘ Soft Peak signals for early entries before a full bearish confirmation.
2. Avoiding False Signals
Ignore signals when the market is ranging (low ATR).
Check RSI and ROC alignment to ensure trend confirmation.
Use additional confluences (e.g., price action, support/resistance levels, moving averages) for enhanced accuracy.
3. Trend Confirmation & Filtering
The stronger the trend, the higher the likelihood that Surge (🚀) and Power Peak (🔥) signals will continue in their direction.
Soft Surge (↗) and Soft Peak (↘) act as early warning signals before major breakouts occur.
What Makes This a Machine Learning-Inspired Moving Average?
While this indicator is not a direct implementation of machine learning (as Pine Script lacks AI/ML capabilities), it mimics machine learning principles by adapting dynamically to market conditions using the following techniques:
Adaptive Trend Selection:
It does not rely on fixed moving averages but instead adapts dynamically based on volatility expansion and momentum detection.
ATR-based filtering adjusts the indicator’s sensitivity to real-time conditions.
Multi-Factor Confirmation (Feature Engineering Equivalent in ML):
Combines ROC, RSI, and ATR in a structured way, similar to how ML models use multiple inputs to filter and classify data.
Implements conditional trend recognition, ensuring that only valid signals pass through the filter.
Noise Reduction with Data Smoothing:
The algorithm avoids false signals by incorporating trend intensity thresholds, much like how ML models remove outliers to refine predictions.
Adaptive filtering ensures that low-volatility environments do not produce misleading signals.
Why Use This Indicator?
✔ Reduces False Signals: Multi-factor validation ensures only high-confidence signals are triggered.
✔ Works in All Market Conditions: Volatility-adaptive nature allows the indicator to perform well in both trending and ranging markets.
✔ Great for Swing & Intraday Trading: It helps spot momentum shifts early and allows traders to catch major market moves before they fully develop.
✔ Visually Intuitive: Color-coded trends and clear signal markers make it easy to interpret.
Sunil BB Blast Heikin Ashi StrategySunil BB Blast Heikin Ashi Strategy
The Sunil BB Blast Heikin Ashi Strategy is a trend-following trading strategy that combines Bollinger Bands with Heikin-Ashi candles for precise market entries and exits. It aims to capitalize on price volatility while ensuring controlled risk through dynamic stop-loss and take-profit levels based on a user-defined Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR).
Key Features:
Trading Window:
The strategy operates within a user-defined time window (e.g., from 09:20 to 15:00) to align with market hours or other preferred trading sessions.
Trade Direction:
Users can select between Long Only, Short Only, or Long/Short trade directions, allowing flexibility depending on market conditions.
Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger Bands are used to identify potential breakout or breakdown zones. The strategy enters trades when price breaks through the upper or lower Bollinger Band, indicating a possible trend continuation.
Heikin-Ashi Candles:
Heikin-Ashi candles help smooth price action and filter out market noise. The strategy uses these candles to confirm trend direction and improve entry accuracy.
Risk Management (Risk-to-Reward Ratio):
The strategy automatically adjusts the take-profit (TP) level and stop-loss (SL) based on the selected Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR). This ensures that trades are risk-managed effectively.
Automated Alerts and Webhooks:
The strategy includes automated alerts for trade entries and exits. Users can set up JSON webhooks for external execution or trading automation.
Active Position Tracking:
The strategy tracks whether there is an active position (long or short) and only exits when price hits the pre-defined SL or TP levels.
Exit Conditions:
The strategy exits positions when either the take-profit (TP) or stop-loss (SL) levels are hit, ensuring risk management is adhered to.
Default Settings:
Trading Window:
09:20-15:00
This setting confines the strategy to the specified hours, ensuring trading only occurs during active market hours.
Strategy Direction:
Default: Long/Short
This allows for both long and short trades depending on market conditions. You can select "Long Only" or "Short Only" if you prefer to trade in one direction.
Bollinger Band Length (bbLength):
Default: 19
Length of the moving average used to calculate the Bollinger Bands.
Bollinger Band Multiplier (bbMultiplier):
Default: 2.0
Multiplier used to calculate the upper and lower bands. A higher multiplier increases the width of the bands, leading to fewer but more significant trades.
Take Profit Multiplier (tpMultiplier):
Default: 2.0
Multiplier used to determine the take-profit level based on the calculated stop-loss. This ensures that the profit target aligns with the selected Risk-to-Reward Ratio.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
Default: 1.0
The ratio used to calculate the take-profit relative to the stop-loss. A higher RRR means larger profit targets.
Trade Automation (JSON Webhooks):
Allows for integration with external systems for automated execution:
Long Entry JSON: Customizable entry condition for long positions.
Long Exit JSON: Customizable exit condition for long positions.
Short Entry JSON: Customizable entry condition for short positions.
Short Exit JSON: Customizable exit condition for short positions.
Entry Logic:
Long Entry:
The strategy enters a long position when:
The Heikin-Ashi candle shows a bullish trend (green close > open).
The price is above the upper Bollinger Band, signaling a breakout.
The previous candle also closed higher than it opened.
Short Entry:
The strategy enters a short position when:
The Heikin-Ashi candle shows a bearish trend (red close < open).
The price is below the lower Bollinger Band, signaling a breakdown.
The previous candle also closed lower than it opened.
Exit Logic:
Take-Profit (TP):
The take-profit level is calculated as a multiple of the distance between the entry price and the stop-loss level, determined by the selected Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR).
Stop-Loss (SL):
The stop-loss is placed at the opposite Bollinger Band level (lower for long positions, upper for short positions).
Exit Trigger:
The strategy exits a trade when either the take-profit or stop-loss level is hit.
Plotting and Visuals:
The Heikin-Ashi candles are displayed on the chart, with green candles for uptrends and red candles for downtrends.
Bollinger Bands (upper, lower, and basis) are plotted for visual reference.
Entry points for long and short trades are marked with green and red labels below and above bars, respectively.
Strategy Alerts:
Alerts are triggered when:
A long entry condition is met.
A short entry condition is met.
A trade exits (either via take-profit or stop-loss).
These alerts can be used to trigger notifications or webhook events for automated trading systems.
Notes:
The strategy is designed for use on intraday charts but can be applied to any timeframe.
It is highly customizable, allowing for tailored risk management and trading windows.
The Sunil BB Blast Heikin Ashi Strategy combines two powerful technical analysis tools (Bollinger Bands and Heikin-Ashi candles) with strong risk management, making it suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
Feebacks are welcome from the users.
JJ Highlight Time Ranges with First 5 Minutes and LabelsTo effectively use this Pine Script as a day trader , here’s how the various elements can help you manage trades, track time sessions, and monitor price movements:
Key Components for a Day Trader:
1. First 5-Minute Highlight:
- Purpose: Day traders often rely on the first 5 minutes of the trading session to gauge market sentiment, watch for opening price gaps, or plan entries. This script draws a horizontal line at the high or low of the first 5 minutes, which can act as a key level for the rest of the day.
- How to Use: If the price breaks above or below the first 5-minute line, it can signal momentum. You might enter a long position if the price breaks above the first 5-minute high or a short if it breaks below the first 5-minute low.
2. Session Time Highlights:
- Morning Session (9:15–10:30 AM): The market often shows its strongest price action during the first hour of trading. This session is highlighted in yellow. You can use this highlight to focus on the most volatile period, as this is when large institutional moves tend to occur.
- Afternoon Session (12:30–2:55 PM): The blue highlight helps you track the mid-afternoon session, where liquidity may decrease, and price action can sometimes be choppier. Day traders should be more cautious during this period.
- How to Use: By highlighting these key times, you can:
- Focus on key breakouts during the morning session.
- Be more conservative in your trades during the afternoon, as market volatility may drop.
3. Dynamic Labels:
- Top/Bottom Positioning: The script places labels dynamically based on the selected position (Top or Bottom). This allows you to quickly glance at the session's start and identify where you are in terms of time.
- How to Use: Use these labels to remind yourself when major time segments (morning or afternoon) begin. You can adjust your trading strategy depending on the session, e.g., being more aggressive in the morning and more cautious in the afternoon.
Trading Strategy Suggestions:
1. Momentum Trades:
- After the first 5 minutes, use the high/low of that period to set up breakout trades.
- Long Entry: If the price breaks the high of the first 5 minutes (especially if there's a strong trend).
- Short Entry: If the price breaks the low of the first 5 minutes, signaling a potential downtrend.
2. Session-Based Strategy:
- Morning Session (9:15–10:30 AM):
- Look for strong breakout patterns such as support/resistance levels, moving average crossovers, or candlestick patterns (like engulfing candles or pin bars).
- This is a high liquidity period, making it ideal for executing quick trades.
- Afternoon Session (12:30–2:55 PM):
- The market tends to consolidate or show less volatility. Scalping and mean-reversion strategies work better here.
- Avoid chasing big moves unless you see a clear breakout in either direction.
3. Support and Resistance:
- The first 5-minute high/low often acts as a key support or resistance level for the rest of the day. If the price holds above or below this level, it’s an indication of trend continuation.
4. Breakout Confirmation:
- Look for breakouts from the highlighted session time ranges (e.g., 9:15 AM–10:30 AM or 12:30 PM–2:55 PM).
- If a breakout happens during a key time window, combine that with other technical indicators like volume spikes , RSI , or MACD for confirmation.
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Example Day Trader Usage:
1. First 5 Minutes Strategy: After the market opens at 9:15 AM, watch the price action for the first 5 minutes. The high and low of these 5 minutes are critical levels. If the price breaks above the high of the first 5 minutes, it might indicate a strong bullish trend for the day. Conversely, breaking below the low may suggest bearish movement.
2. Morning Session: After the first 5 minutes, focus on the **9:15 AM–10:30 AM** window. During this time, look for breakout setups at key support/resistance levels, especially when paired with high volume or momentum indicators. This is when many institutions make large trades, so price action tends to be more volatile and predictable.
3. Afternoon Session: From 12:30 PM–2:55 PM, the market might experience lower volatility, making it ideal for scalping or range-bound strategies. You could look for reversals or fading strategies if the market becomes too quiet.
Conclusion:
As a day trader, you can use this script to:
- Track and react to key price levels during the first 5 minutes.
- Focus on high volatility in the morning session (9:15–10:30 AM) and **be cautious** during the afternoon.
- Use session-based timing to adjust your strategies based on the time of day.
Enhanced SMA Strategy with Trend Lines & S&R by DaxThe Enhanced SMA Strategy with Trend Lines & Support/Resistance (S&R) by Dax indicator is a technical analysis tool designed to improve trading decisions by combining the simplicity of the Simple Moving Average (SMA) with the insight provided by trend lines and support/resistance levels. This hybrid approach aims to create a more robust and reliable trading strategy.
Key Components:
Simple Moving Average (SMA):
SMA is a basic trend-following indicator that calculates the average of a set of price data over a specified period. It helps identify the direction of the market, such as whether an asset is in an uptrend or downtrend.
The Enhanced SMA Strategy may use multiple SMAs, such as short-term (e.g., 20-period) and long-term (e.g., 50-period), to detect crossovers that signal buy or sell opportunities. For example, a bullish crossover occurs when a short-term SMA crosses above a long-term SMA, indicating a potential buying signal, while a bearish crossover signals a potential sell.
Trend Lines:
Trend lines are drawn on the price chart to visually identify the direction of the market, acting as dynamic support and resistance levels. A trend line is drawn by connecting two or more price points that demonstrate the overall price movement.
Trend lines can help traders see potential breakout or breakdown points. A price breaking above a downtrend line or below an uptrend line often signals a trend reversal.
Support and Resistance (S&R):
Support levels are price levels where an asset tends to find buying interest and stop falling, while Resistance levels are points where selling pressure emerges and prevent the price from rising further.
These levels are critical in determining where price reversals or consolidations are likely to occur. Enhanced S&R indicators can automatically identify these levels and draw horizontal lines at these critical points on the chart.
Combining S&R with SMA can help traders decide whether a breakout or bounce is likely at these levels, increasing the odds of a successful trade.
How It Works:
Trend Identification: The SMA is used to determine the trend direction. A rising SMA indicates an uptrend, while a falling SMA suggests a downtrend.
Signal Generation: The strategy often uses a combination of SMA crossovers (bullish or bearish) along with the confirmation of price action near trend lines and support/resistance levels. For example:
If a price breaks above resistance and the short-term SMA crosses above the long-term SMA, a buy signal is confirmed.
Conversely, if the price breaks below support and the short-term SMA crosses below the long-term SMA, a sell signal is given.
Dynamic Support/Resistance: Trend lines are drawn automatically or manually to spot areas where price might reverse. The Enhanced SMA Strategy checks if the price is close to these levels, providing a more precise entry/exit point based on the broader market context.
Advantages of the Enhanced SMA Strategy with Trend Lines & S&R:
Improved Accuracy: By combining trend-following (SMA) with key levels like trend lines and S&R, the strategy filters out false signals, leading to more reliable trade setups.
Trend Confirmation: The use of trend lines and S&R confirms the broader market context, reducing the risk of trading against the trend or entering at weak price points.
Flexible: This strategy can be applied to various timeframes, from short-term day trading to longer-term swing trading.
Visual Clarity: The combination of trend lines, S&R, and moving averages provides a clear and visually intuitive strategy for identifying key price levels and trend shifts.
How to Use It:
Draw Trend Lines: Identify the most recent price peaks and troughs to draw trend lines, marking the potential resistance and support levels.
Use SMAs: Apply two different-period SMAs to detect the trend (e.g., 20-period and 50-period). Pay attention to crossovers for buy/sell signals.
Watch for Breakouts or Reversals: Monitor how the price behaves at support or resistance levels and the trend lines. A price move beyond these levels, accompanied by a confirming SMA crossover, can signal a strong trade opportunity.
Conclusion:
The Enhanced SMA Strategy with Trend Lines & S&R by Dax is a powerful, multi-layered approach to technical analysis. It enhances the basic SMA strategy by incorporating additional tools like trend lines and support/resistance levels, which help traders make more informed decisions with higher accuracy. This method is suitable for both novice and experienced traders, offering clear trade signals while reducing the risk of false entries.
Trend Heuristics (+Signals)Trend Heuristics - Enhanced Rolling VWAP with Smart Signals
This indicator is an enhanced version of the Rolling VWAP (RVWAP) concept, originally based on PineCoders' ConditionalAverages library. It combines volume-weighted average price analysis with advanced signal detection for both sweeps and breakouts.
Core Features
1. Rolling VWAP System
- Implements a dynamic rolling VWAP that adapts to different timeframes
- Includes standard deviation bands for volatility measurement
- Offers flexible time period settings (fixed or auto-adjusting)
- Provides customizable visual elements including bands and fills
2. Dual Signal System
Sweep Signals
Detects high-probability reversal points with these conditions:
- Bullish Sweep:
- Opens above upper band
- Tests below upper band (low)
- Closes above upper band
- Shows stronger lower wick
- Closes above previous high
- Has favorable close position (upper 50% of candle)
- Bearish Sweep:
- Opens below lower band
- Tests above lower band (high)
- Closes below lower band
- Shows stronger upper wick
- Closes below previous low
- Has favorable close position (lower 50% of candle)
Breakout Signals
Identifies potential trend changes with these conditions:
- Bullish Breakout:
- Opens below VWAP
- Closes above upper band
- Indicates strong momentum shift upward
- Bearish Breakout:
- Opens above VWAP
- Closes below lower band
- Indicates strong momentum shift downward
Technical Details
Base Components
- Built upon PineCoders' ConditionalAverages library
- Incorporates custom alert system via CustomAlertLib
- Uses standard deviation for band calculations
Customization Options
- Adjustable standard deviation multiplier
- Flexible time period settings
- Independent controls for sweep and breakout signals
- Customizable visual elements (colors, sizes, positions)
- Custom alert message formatting
Use Cases
1. Trend Following:
- Use VWAP as dynamic support/resistance
- Monitor breakout signals for trend changes
2. Mean Reversion:
- Use sweep signals for counter-trend opportunities
- Standard deviation bands for range identification
3. Volume Analysis:
- VWAP provides volume-weighted price levels
- Helps identify significant price levels
Notes
- Best performed on liquid instruments with consistent volume
- Most effective on timeframes from 1hours to 4 hours and 1D, anything greater isn't very good
- Recommended to use in conjunction with other technical analysis tools
- Signals can be filtered based on higher timeframe trends
Credits
- Original Rolling VWAP concept by PineCoders
Volume & Range Spike DiamondVolume & Range Spike Diamond
Detect significant volume and price range breakouts directly on your chart with this intuitive indicator.
This TradingView indicator highlights bullish and bearish breakout opportunities by analyzing both volume and price range spikes. Perfect for identifying strong market movements in real-time.
Key Features:
Volume Increase Threshold (%): Customize the percentage increase in volume required to trigger a spike.
Price Range Increase Threshold (%): Define the percentage increase in the price range for additional precision.
Volume Lookback Period: Set the number of bars to calculate the average volume for comparison.
Bullish and Bearish Signals: Highlights bullish spikes below bars and bearish spikes above bars using colored diamonds.
Detailed Labels: Optionally display labels with percentage increases for volume and range.
Alerts Integration: Receive notifications for bullish and bearish breakout conditions.
How It Works:
The indicator compares the current bar's volume to the average volume of previous bars over the specified lookback period.
It also evaluates the price range (high - low) of the current bar against the previous bar.
If both volume and price range exceed their respective thresholds, a breakout condition is flagged.
Bullish spikes are displayed with upward-pointing diamonds below the bars, while bearish spikes use downward-pointing diamonds above the bars.
Optional labels show detailed percentage increases for both metrics.
Customization Options:
// Inputs
volumeIncreaseThreshold = input.float(50, "Volume Increase Threshold (%)", minval=0, step=5)
rangeIncreaseThreshold = input.float(200, "Price Range Increase Threshold (%)", minval=0, step=5)
lookbackPeriod = input.int(5, "Volume Lookback Period", minval=1, maxval=50)
showLastLabel = input.bool(false, "Show Only Last Label")
Alerts Configuration:
Bullish Volume Breakout: Triggered when a bullish spike is detected.
Bearish Volume Breakout: Triggered when a bearish spike is detected.
Enhance your trading strategy by detecting high-probability breakout opportunities with this reliable indicator!
Multi SMA EMA VWAP1. Moving Average Crossover
This is one of the most common strategies with moving averages, and it involves observing crossovers between EMAs and SMAs to determine buy or sell signals.
Buy signal: When a faster EMA (like a short-term EMA) crosses above a slower SMA, it can indicate a potential upward movement.
Sell signal: When a faster EMA crosses below a slower SMA, it can indicate a potential downward movement.
With 4 EMAs and 5 SMAs, you can set up crossovers between different combinations, such as:
EMA(9) crosses above SMA(50) → buy.
EMA(9) crosses below SMA(50) → sell.
2. Divergence Confirmation Between EMAs and SMAs
Divergence between the EMAs and SMAs can offer additional confirmation. If the EMAs are pointing in one direction and the SMAs are still in the opposite direction, it is a sign that the movement could be stronger and continue in the same direction.
Positive divergence: If the EMAs are making new highs while the SMAs are still below, it could be a sign that the market is in a strong trend.
Negative divergence: If the EMAs are making new lows and the SMAs are still above, you might consider that the market is in a downtrend or correction.
3. Using EMAs as Dynamic Support and Resistance
EMAs can act as dynamic support and resistance in strong trends. If the price approaches a faster EMA from above and doesn’t break it, it could be a good entry point for a long position (buy). If the price approaches a slower EMA from below and doesn't break it, it could be a good point to sell (short).
Buy: If the price is above all EMAs and approaches the fastest EMA (e.g., EMA(9)), it could be a good buy point if the price bounces upward.
Sell: If the price is below all EMAs and approaches the fastest EMA, it could be a good sell point if the price bounces downward.
4. Combining SMAs and EMAs to Filter Signals
SMAs can serve as a trend filter to avoid trading in sideways markets. For example:
Bullish trend condition: If the longer-term SMAs (such as SMA(100) or SMA(200)) are below the price, and the shorter EMAs are aligned upward, you can look for buy signals.
Bearish trend condition: If the longer-term SMAs are above the price and the shorter EMAs are aligned downward, you can look for sell signals.
5. Consolidation Zone Between EMAs and SMAs
When the price moves between EMAs and SMAs without a clear trend (consolidation zone), you can expect a breakout. In this case, you can use the EMAs and SMAs to identify the direction of the breakout:
If the price is in a narrow range between the EMAs and SMAs and then breaks above the fastest EMA, it’s a sign that an upward trend may begin.
If the price breaks below the fastest EMA, it could indicate a potential downward trend.
6. "Golden Cross" and "Death Cross" Strategy
These are classic strategies based on crossovers between moving averages of different periods.
Golden Cross: Occurs when a faster EMA (e.g., EMA(50)) crosses above a slower SMA (e.g., SMA(200)), which suggests a potential bullish trend.
Death Cross: Occurs when a faster EMA crosses below a slower SMA, which suggests a potential bearish trend.
Additional Recommendations:
Combining with other indicators: You can combine EMA and SMA signals with other indicators like the RSI (Relative Strength Index) or MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence) for confirmation and to avoid false signals.
Risk management: Always use stop-loss and take-profit orders to protect your capital. Moving averages are trend-following indicators but don’t guarantee that the price will move in the same direction.
Timeframe analysis: It’s recommended to use different timeframes to confirm the trend (e.g., use EMAs on hourly charts along with SMAs on daily charts).
VWAP
1. VWAP + EMAs for Trend Confirmation
VWAP can act as a trend filter, confirming the direction provided by the EMAs.
Buy Signal: If the price is above the VWAP and the EMAs are aligned in an uptrend (e.g., short-term EMAs are above longer-term EMAs), this indicates that the trend is bullish and you can look for buy opportunities.
Sell Signal: If the price is below the VWAP and the EMAs are aligned in a downtrend (e.g., short-term EMAs are below longer-term EMAs), this suggests a bearish trend and you can look for sell opportunities.
In this case, VWAP is used to confirm the overall trend. For example:
Bullish: Price above VWAP, EMAs aligned to the upside (e.g., EMA(9) > EMA(50) > EMA(200)), buy.
Bearish: Price below VWAP, EMAs aligned to the downside (e.g., EMA(9) < EMA(50) < EMA(200)), sell.
2. VWAP as Dynamic Support and Resistance
VWAP can act as a dynamic support or resistance level during the day. Combining this with EMAs and SMAs helps you refine your entry and exit points.
Support: If the price is above VWAP and starts pulling back to VWAP, it could act as support. If the price bounces off the VWAP and aligns with bullish EMAs (e.g., EMA(9) crossing above EMA(50)), you can consider entering a buy position.
Resistance: If the price is below VWAP and approaches VWAP from below, it can act as resistance. If the price fails to break through VWAP and aligns with bearish EMAs (e.g., EMA(9) crossing below EMA(50)), it could be a good signal for a sell.
Market Structure V3Indicator Description:
The Market Structure indicator is a unique and innovative tool for identifying and visualizing key market structures based on dynamic swing highs and lows. This indicator stands apart from similar tools by utilizing a distinct methodology for updating levels and identifying trends, ensuring precision and flexibility in market analysis.
Key Features of Uniqueness:
1. No Fixed Lookback Periods for Extremum Detection:
- Unlike most indicators that rely on a predefined number of candles (lookback period) to determine highs or lows, this script dynamically updates levels based solely on price action.
- A new high (resistance) or low (support) is confirmed only when the closing price breaks above the previous high or below the previous low, representing the last significant extremums .
- This approach eliminates arbitrary lookback-based restrictions, allowing the indicator to adapt seamlessly to different market conditions and timeframes.
2. Dynamic Level Adjustments:
- Levels are recalculated and adjusted in real time as new price action unfolds, providing traders with highly accurate and relevant support and resistance levels.
- The upper and lower bounds serve as dynamic anchors for trend analysis, updating only when a confirmed breakout occurs.
3. Fractal and Trend-Driven Logic:
- The script inherently respects the fractal nature of price movements by focusing on confirmed breakouts of previous significant extremums , avoiding reliance on shorter-term noise.
- This makes the indicator particularly effective for identifying true trend reversals and continuations.
4. Visual Clarity and Structure Mapping:
- The indicator labels the following structural points directly on the chart:
- **Higher Highs (HH)** for uptrend confirmation.
- **Lower Highs (LH)** for potential trend weakening.
- **Lower Lows (LL)** for downtrend confirmation.
- **Higher Lows (HL)** for potential trend reversals.
- Levels and labels are updated dynamically and accurately reflect the market's structural evolution.
5. Clean and Noise-Free Analysis:
- The absence of arbitrary inputs (e.g., lookback periods) ensures the indicator focuses only on meaningful price action, reducing false signals.
- Works seamlessly across all instruments and timeframes without requiring constant parameter adjustments.
6. Highly Adaptable:
- Suitable for any financial market, including stocks, forex, and cryptocurrencies.
- Performs equally well on all timeframes, from intraday to long-term analysis.
How the Indicator Works:
1. Dynamic Level Updates :
- The indicator evaluates price action in real time and identifies significant levels based on breakouts above previous highs or below previous lows.
- Upper Bound (Resistance) : Updated only when the closing price exceeds the previous significant high.
- Lower Bound (Support) : Updated only when the closing price falls below the previous significant low.
2. Trend Determination:
- Identifies and marks structural points (HH, LH, LL, HL) as trends develop.
- Swing points are updated dynamically without relying on fixed lookback parameters, ensuring that levels reflect the true market structure.
3. Confirmation Logic:
- The script uses a user-configurable parameter `Extremum confirmation bars count` to refine the process of confirming significant swing points.
- This ensures flexibility in adapting to different market conditions while maintaining precision in level detection.
Unique Advantages Over Similar Indicators:
1. No Arbitrary Inputs:
- Unlike other indicators that require users to set the number of candles for extremum detection, this script eliminates the need for such settings, relying solely on actual price breakouts.
2. Dynamic Real-Time Adjustments:
- The logic of level updates is event-driven (based on closing prices crossing key levels), making it more reactive and precise compared to static lookback-based calculations.
3. Enhanced Structural Clarity:
- Focuses exclusively on confirmed significant levels , avoiding clutter and ambiguity often seen in lookback-based indicators.
4. Fractal and Self-Adaptive Nature:
- The script inherently respects market fractality, making it effective across all timeframes and market conditions.
Practical Applications:
- Trend Identification:
Helps identify whether the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or consolidation phase.
- Entry and Exit Points:
Use swing highs and lows as references for entering or exiting positions.
- Support and Resistance Levels:
Dynamic levels provide actionable areas for placing stop-losses and take-profits.
Input Parameters:
- Extremum Confirmation Bars Count:
Adjusts the sensitivity of extremum detection. The higher the value, the more conservative the indicator becomes in confirming levels. Default is `3`.
Chart Setup and Usage Notes:
1. Clean Visualization:
- Ensure a clean chart for better visibility of structural points and levels.
- Do not overlay with additional indicators unless explicitly required.
2. User Guidance:
- Combine this indicator with volume analysis or other confirmation tools to enhance decision-making.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis and trade responsibly.
Turtle Trade Channels Indicator with EMATurtle Trade Channels Indicator with EMA (TuTCI + EMA)
This custom indicator combines the classic Turtle Trading Channel strategy with an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) filter to provide clear entry and exit signals, as well as trend direction guidance.
Features:
Turtle Channels: The indicator calculates the upper and lower Turtle Trading Channels based on the highest and lowest values over a user-defined period ( Entry Length for the channel).
Entry/Exit Signals: Alerts you to potential buy and sell opportunities with visual signals on the chart.
Long Entry: When the price crosses above the upper channel.
Short Entry: When the price crosses below the lower channel.
Long Exit: When the price breaks below the exit line.
Short Exit: When the price breaks above the exit line.
EMA Filter: A 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is included to identify the overall trend. The background color turns green when the price is above the EMA (bullish trend) and red when the price is below the EMA (bearish trend).
Highlighter: Optional background highlighting for the most relevant signals, such as when the price crosses the upper or lower Turtle Channel. This feature helps to easily identify key market movements.
Visual Customization: Customize the EMA length, Entry/Exit lengths, and toggle signals and highlighting to suit your preferences.
How It Works:
The Turtle Trade Channels are designed to capture breakouts by identifying key price levels (highest high and lowest low) over a specified period. By combining this strategy with an EMA, the indicator ensures trades are aligned with the broader trend, increasing the probability of successful trades.
Uptrend: When the price is above the EMA, the indicator considers the trend to be bullish, and it highlights long entry signals.
Downtrend: When the price is below the EMA, the trend is considered bearish, and short entries are emphasized.
Customization:
Entry Length: Adjusts the period for calculating the Turtle Channel's entry levels.
Exit Length: Defines the period for calculating the exit levels.
EMA Length: The period for the Exponential Moving Average (default is set to 50).
Show Entry/Exit Signals: Toggle the visibility of entry/exit signals on the chart.
Highlighter On/Off: Toggle background highlighting for key signals.
This indicator is suitable for traders who follow trend-following strategies, particularly those influenced by the Turtle Trading methodology, and wish to use an EMA filter for better trend confirmation.
Use Cases:
Trend-following traders looking for clear entry/exit signals.
Breakout traders using the Turtle Trading concept to identify price breakouts.
Swing traders who want to incorporate trend analysis with price levels.
Trend FinderEnglish
Trend Finder is an indicator designed to identify breakouts and breakdowns based on specified timeframes. It monitors the previous high and low prices and changes the bar color when the current close price surpasses these levels.
Features
Customizable Timeframes: Set your preferred high/low and close resolutions.
Visual Alerts: Bars turn lime green on breakout above the previous high and red on breakdown below the previous low.
Alert Conditions: Receive notifications when significant price movements occur.
日本語
Trend Finderは、指定した時間枠に基づいてブレイクアウトとブレイクダウンを識別するためのインジケーターです。前日の高値と安値を監視し、現在の終値がこれらのレベルを超えたときにバーの色を変更します。
特徴
カスタマイズ可能な時間枠 高値/安値と終値の解像度を設定可能。
視覚的アラート 前日の高値を超えるとバーがライムグリーンに、安値を下回ると赤に変化。
アラート条件 重要な価格変動時に通知を受け取れます。
Chart Example
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always perform your own analysis before making trading decisions.
MarketStructureLibrary "MarketStructure"
Will draw out the market structure for the disired pivot length. The code is from my indicator "Marker structure" ().
Create(type, length, source, equalPivotsFactor, extendEqualPivotsZones, equalPivotsStyle, equalPivotsColor, alertFrequency)
Call on each bar. Will create a Structure object.
Parameters:
type (int) : the type of the Structure to create. 0 = internal, 1 = swing.
length (int) : The lenghts (left and right) for pivots to use.
source (string) : The source to be used for structural changes ('Close', 'High/low (aggresive)' (low in an uptrend) or 'High/low (passive)' (high in an uptrend)).
equalPivotsFactor (float) : Set how the limits are for an equal pivot. This is a factor of the Average True Length (ATR) of length 14. If a low pivot is considered to be equal if it doesn't break the low pivot (is at a lower value) and is inside the previous low pivot + this limit.
extendEqualPivotsZones (bool) : Set to true if you want the equal pivots zones to be extended.
equalPivotsStyle (string) : Set the style of equal pivot zones.
equalPivotsColor (color) : Set the color of equal pivot zones.
alertFrequency (string)
Returns: The 'structure' object.
Pivot(structure)
Sets the pivots in the structure.
Parameters:
structure (Structure)
Returns: The 'structure' object.
PivotLabels(structure)
Draws labels for the pivots found.
Parameters:
structure (Structure)
Returns: The 'structure' object.
EqualHighOrLow(structure)
Draws the boxsa for equal highs/lows. Also creates labels for the pivots included.
Parameters:
structure (Structure)
Returns: The 'structure' object.
BreakOfStructure(structure)
Will create lines when a break of strycture occures.
Parameters:
structure (Structure)
Returns: The 'structure' object.
ChangeOfCharacter(structure)
Will create lines when a change of character occures.
Parameters:
structure (Structure)
Returns: The 'structure' object.
StructureBreak
Holds drawings for a structure break.
Fields:
Line (series line) : The line object.
Label (series label) : The label object.
Pivot
Holds all the values for a found pivot.
Fields:
Price (series float) : The price of the pivot.
BarIndex (series int) : The bar_index where the pivot occured.
Type (series int) : The type of the pivot (-1 = low, 1 = high).
ChangeOfCharacterBroken (series bool) : Sets to true if a change of character has happened.
BreakOfStructureBroken (series bool) : Sets to true if a break of structure has happened.
Structure
Holds all the values for the market structure.
Fields:
Length (series int) : Define the left and right lengths of the pivots used.
Type (series int) : Set the type of the market structure. Two types can be used, 'internal' and 'swing' (0 = internal, 1 = swing).
Trend (series int) : This will be set internally and can be -1 = downtrend, 1 = uptrend.
Source (series string) : Set the source for structural chandeg. Can be 'Close', 'High/low (aggresive)' (low in an uptrend) or 'High/low (passive)' (high in an uptrend).
EqualPivotsFactor (series float) : Set how the limits are for an equal pivot. This is a factor of the Average True Length (ATR) of length 14. If a low pivot is considered to be equal if it doesn't break the low pivot (is at a lower value) and is inside the previous low pivot + this limit.
ExtendEqualPivotsZones (series bool) : Set to true if you want the equal pivots zones to be extended.
ExtendEqualPivotsStyle (series string) : Set the style of equal pivot zones.
ExtendEqualPivotsColor (series color) : Set the color of equal pivot zones.
EqualHighs (array) : Holds the boxes for zones that contains equal highs.
EqualLows (array) : Holds the boxes for zones that contains equal lows.
BreakOfStructures (array) : Holds all the break of structures within the trend (before a change of character).
Pivots (array) : All the pivots in the current trend, added with the latest first, this is cleared when the trend changes.
AlertFrequency (series string) : set the frequency for alerts.
ORB Screener with Trailing SLThis is an extension to our already published script ORB with ATR Trailing SL indicator
Many people requested to add screener to the existing indicator but since it's slowing down the performance heavily, we decided to add this as a separate screener.
Note: This screener does NOT plot the chart and so you want to have both plotting and screener, use both scripts together.
Overview:
The ORB Screener is a TradingView indicator designed to assist traders in identifying breakout opportunities based on the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) strategy. It features multi-symbol screening, customizable session timeframes, and a detailed table for quick visual reference and stock scanning.
The ORB Screener utilizes the ORB strategy to calculate breakout levels for multiple symbols. It identifies the high and low during a specified session (e.g., first 5 minutes after market open) and provides insights on whether the price is above the high (bullish), below the low (bearish), or between the range (neutral).
Additionally, the script calculates and displays the RSI values for each symbol, aiding traders in assessing momentum alongside breakout status.
Note: One can add up to 40 symbols for screening the stocks.
Key Features and Inputs:
ORB Session Time: Define a specific timeframe (e.g., "0915-0920") during which the ORB high and low are calculated. This serves as the foundation for identifying breakouts.
Multi-Symbol Screening: Screen up to 40 symbols at once, enabling you to monitor multiple opportunities without switching charts.
Breakout Validation:
Select from two methods for confirming a breakout: Close (based on closing prices) or Touch (based on intraday highs/lows).
Breakout Status Indicators:
Above High: Indicates a current bullish breakout when the price exceeds the ORB high.
Below Low: Indicates a current bearish breakout when the price falls below the ORB low.
Between Range: Indicates no breakout (price remains within the range).
RSI Integration : Calculates the RSI for each symbol to help traders evaluate momentum alongside breakout signals.
Customizable Table Display:
Position: Place the data table at the top, middle, or bottom of the chart and align it left, center, or right.
Size: Choose from multiple table size options for optimal visibility (Auto, Huge, Large, Normal, Small, Tiny).
Visual Feedback:
Green Background: Indicates a breakout happened at least once above the ORB high.
Red Background: Indicates a breakout happened at least once below the ORB low.
Gray Background: Indicates price is within the ORB range.
Adaptive Kalman Trend Filter (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Adaptive Kalman Trend Filter indicator is an advanced trend-following tool designed to help traders accurately identify market trends. Utilizing the Kalman Filter—a statistical algorithm rooted in control theory and signal processing—this indicator adapts to changing market conditions, smoothing price data to filter out noise. By focusing on state vector-based calculations, it dynamically adjusts trend and range measurements, making it an excellent tool for both trend-following and range-based trading strategies. The indicator's adaptive nature is enhanced by options for volatility adjustment and three unique Kalman filter models, each tailored for different market conditions.
█ How It Works
The Kalman Filter works by maintaining a model of the market state through matrices that represent state variables, error covariances, and measurement uncertainties. Here’s how each component plays a role in calculating the indicator’s trend:
⚪ State Vector (X): The state vector is a two-dimensional array where each element represents a market property. The first element is an estimate of the true price, while the second element represents the rate of change or trend in that price. This vector is updated iteratively with each new price, maintaining an ongoing estimate of both price and trend direction.
⚪ Covariance Matrix (P): The covariance matrix represents the uncertainty in the state vector’s estimates. It continuously adapts to changing conditions, representing how much error we expect in our trend and price estimates. Lower covariance values suggest higher confidence in the estimates, while higher values indicate less certainty, often due to market volatility.
⚪ Process Noise (Q): The process noise matrix (Q) is used to account for uncertainties in price movements that aren’t explained by historical trends. By allowing some degree of randomness, it enables the Kalman Filter to remain responsive to new data without overreacting to minor fluctuations. This noise is particularly useful in smoothing out price movements in highly volatile markets.
⚪ Measurement Noise (R): Measurement noise is an external input representing the reliability of each new price observation. In this indicator, it is represented by the setting Measurement Noise and determines how much weight is given to each new price point. Higher measurement noise makes the indicator less reactive to recent prices, smoothing the trend further.
⚪ Update Equations:
Prediction: The state vector and covariance matrix are first projected forward using a state transition matrix (F), which includes market estimates based on past data. This gives a “predicted” state before the next actual price is known.
Kalman Gain Calculation: The Kalman gain is calculated by comparing the predicted state with the actual price, balancing between the covariance matrix and measurement noise. This gain determines how much of the observed price should influence the state vector.
Correction: The observed price is then compared to the predicted price, and the state vector is updated using this Kalman gain. The updated covariance matrix reflects any adjustment in uncertainty based on the latest data.
█ Three Kalman Filter Models
Standard Model: Assumes that market fluctuations follow a linear progression without external adjustments. It is best suited for stable markets.
Volume Adjusted Model: Adjusts the filter sensitivity based on trading volume. High-volume periods result in stronger trends, making this model suitable for volume-driven assets.
Parkinson Adjusted Model: Uses the Parkinson estimator, accounting for volatility through high-low price ranges, making it effective in markets with high intraday fluctuations.
These models enable traders to choose a filter that aligns with current market conditions, enhancing trend accuracy and responsiveness.
█ Trend Strength
The Trend Strength provides a visual representation of the current trend's strength as a percentage based on oscillator calculations from the Kalman filter. This table divides trend strength into color-coded segments, helping traders quickly assess whether the market is strongly trending or nearing a reversal point. A high trend strength percentage indicates a robust trend, while a low percentage suggests weakening momentum or consolidation.
█ Trend Range
The Trend Range section evaluates the market's directional movement over a specified lookback period, highlighting areas where price oscillations indicate a trend. This calculation assesses how prices vary within the range, offering an indication of trend stability or the likelihood of reversals. By adjusting the trend range setting, traders can fine-tune the indicator’s sensitivity to longer or shorter trends.
█ Sigma Bands
The Sigma Bands in the indicator are based on statistical standard deviations (sigma levels), which act as dynamic support and resistance zones. These bands are calculated using the Kalman Filter's trend estimates and adjusted for volatility (if enabled). The bands expand and contract according to market volatility, providing a unique visualization of price boundaries. In high-volatility periods, the bands widen, offering better protection against false breakouts. During low volatility, the bands narrow, closely tracking price movements. Traders can use these sigma bands to spot potential entry and exit points, aiming for reversion trades or trend continuation setups.
Trend Based
Volatility Based
█ How to Use
Trend Following:
When the Kalman Filter is green, it signals a bullish trend, and when it’s red, it indicates a bearish trend. The Sigma Cloud provides additional insights into trend strength. In a strong bullish trend, the cloud remains below the Kalman Filter line, while in a strong bearish trend, the cloud stays above it. Expansion and contraction of the Sigma Cloud indicate market momentum changes. Rapid expansion suggests an impulsive move, which could either signal the continuation of the trend or be an early sign of a possible trend reversal.
Mean Reversion: Watch for prices touching the upper or lower sigma bands, which often act as dynamic support and resistance.
Volatility Breakouts: Enable volatility-adjusted sigma bands. During high volatility, watch for price movements that extend beyond the bands as potential breakout signals.
Trend Continuation: When the Kalman Filter line aligns with a high trend strength, it signals a continuation in that direction.
█ Settings
Measurement Noise: Adjusts how sensitive the indicator is to price changes. Higher values smooth out fluctuations but delay reaction, while lower values increase sensitivity to short-term changes.
Kalman Filter Model: Choose between the standard, volume-adjusted, and Parkinson-adjusted models based on market conditions.
Band Sigma: Sets the standard deviation used for calculating the sigma bands, directly affecting the width of the dynamic support and resistance.
Volatility Adjusted Bands: Enables bands to dynamically adapt to volatility, increasing their effectiveness in fluctuating markets.
Trend Strength: Defines the lookback period for trend strength calculation. Shorter periods result in more responsive trend strength readings, while longer periods smooth out the calculation.
Trend Range: Specifies the lookback period for the trend range, affecting the assessment of trend stability over time.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
ICT Setup 03 [TradingFinder] Judas Swing NY 9:30am + CHoCH/FVG🔵 Introduction
Judas Swing is an advanced trading setup designed to identify false price movements early in the trading day. This advanced trading strategy operates on the principle that major market players, or "smart money," drive price in a certain direction during the early hours to mislead smaller traders.
This deceptive movement attracts liquidity at specific levels, allowing larger players to execute primary trades in the opposite direction, ultimately causing the price to return to its true path.
The Judas Swing setup functions within two primary time frames, tailored separately for Forex and Stock markets. In the Forex market, the setup uses the 8:15 to 8:30 AM window to identify the high and low points, followed by the 8:30 to 8:45 AM frame to execute the Judas move and identify the CISD Level break, where Order Block and Fair Value Gap (FVG) zones are subsequently detected.
In the Stock market, these time frames shift to 9:15 to 9:30 AM for identifying highs and lows and 9:30 to 9:45 AM for executing the Judas move and CISD Level break.
Concepts such as Order Block and Fair Value Gap (FVG) are crucial in this setup. An Order Block represents a chart region with a high volume of buy or sell orders placed by major financial institutions, marking significant levels where price reacts.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) refers to areas where price has moved rapidly without balance between supply and demand, highlighting zones of potential price action and future liquidity.
Bullish Setup :
Bearish Setup :
🔵 How to Use
The Judas Swing setup enables traders to pinpoint entry and exit points by utilizing Order Block and FVG concepts, helping them align with liquidity-driven moves orchestrated by smart money. This setup applies two distinct time frames for Forex and Stocks to capture early deceptive movements, offering traders optimized entry or exit moments.
🟣 Bullish Setup
In the Bullish Judas Swing setup, the first step is to identify High and Low points within the initial time frame. These levels serve as key points where price may react, forming the basis for analyzing the setup and assisting traders in anticipating future market shifts.
In the second time frame, a critical stage of the bullish setup begins. During this phase, the price may create a false break or Fake Break below the low level, a deceptive move by major players to absorb liquidity. This false move often causes smaller traders to enter positions incorrectly. After this fake-out, the price reverses upward, breaking the CISD Level, a critical point in the market structure, signaling a potential bullish trend.
Upon breaking the CISD Level and reversing upward, the indicator identifies both the Order Block and Fair Value Gap (FVG). The Order Block is an area where major players typically place large buy orders, signaling potential price support. Meanwhile, the FVG marks a region of supply-demand imbalance, signaling areas where price might react.
Ultimately, after these key zones are identified, a trader may open a buy position if the price reaches one of these critical areas—Order Block or FVG—and reacts positively. Trading at these levels enhances the chance of success due to liquidity absorption and support from smart money, marking an opportune time for entering a long position.
🟣 Bearish Setup
In the Bearish Judas Swing setup, analysis begins with marking the High and Low levels in the initial time frame. These levels serve as key zones where price could react, helping to signal possible trend reversals. Identifying these levels is essential for locating significant bearish zones and positioning traders to capitalize on downward movements.
In the second time frame, the primary bearish setup unfolds. During this stage, price may exhibit a Fake Break above the high, causing a brief move upward and misleading smaller traders into incorrect positions. After this false move, the price typically returns downward, breaking the CISD Level—a crucial bearish trend indicator.
With the CISD Level broken and a bearish trend confirmed, the indicator identifies the Order Block and Fair Value Gap (FVG). The Bearish Order Block is a region where smart money places significant sell orders, prompting a negative price reaction. The FVG denotes an area of supply-demand imbalance, signifying potential selling pressure.
When the price reaches one of these critical areas—the Bearish Order Block or FVG—and reacts downward, a trader may initiate a sell position. Entering trades at these levels, due to increased selling pressure and liquidity absorption, offers traders an advantage in profiting from price declines.
🔵 Settings
Market : The indicator allows users to choose between Forex and Stocks, automatically adjusting the time frames for the "Opening Range" and "Trading Permit" accordingly: Forex: 8:15–8:30 AM for identifying High and Low points, and 8:30–8:45 AM for capturing the Judas move and CISD Level break. Stocks: 9:15–9:30 AM for identifying High and Low points, and 9:30–9:45 AM for executing the Judas move and CISD Level break.
Refine Order Block : Enables finer adjustments to Order Block levels for more accurate price responses.
Mitigation Level OB : Allows users to set specific reaction points within an Order Block, including: Proximal: Closest level to the current price. 50% OB: Midpoint of the Order Block. Distal: Farthest level from the current price.
FVG Filter : The Judas Swing indicator includes a filter for Fair Value Gap (FVG), allowing different filtering based on FVG width: FVG Filter Type: Can be set to "Very Aggressive," "Aggressive," "Defensive," or "Very Defensive." Higher defensiveness narrows the FVG width, focusing on narrower gaps.
Mitigation Level FVG : Like the Order Block, you can set price reaction levels for FVG with options such as Proximal, 50% OB, and Distal.
CISD : The Bar Back Check option enables traders to specify the number of past candles checked for identifying the CISD Level, enhancing CISD Level accuracy on the chart.
🔵 Conclusion
The Judas Swing indicator helps traders spot reliable trading opportunities by detecting false price movements and key levels such as Order Block and FVG. With a focus on early market movements, this tool allows traders to align with major market participants, selecting entry and exit points with greater precision, thereby reducing trading risks.
Its extensive customization options enable adjustments for various market types and trading conditions, giving traders the flexibility to optimize their strategies. Based on ICT techniques and liquidity analysis, this indicator can be highly effective for those seeking precision in their entry points.
Overall, Judas Swing empowers traders to capitalize on significant market movements by leveraging price volatility. Offering precise and dependable signals, this tool presents an excellent opportunity for enhancing trading accuracy and improving performance
William Fractals + SignalsWilliams Fractals + Trading Signals
This indicator identifies Williams Fractals and generates trading signals based on price sweeps of these fractal levels.
Williams Fractals are specific candlestick patterns that identify potential market turning points. Each fractal requires a minimum of 5 bars (2 before, 1 center, 2 after), though this indicator allows you to customize the number of bars checked.
Up Fractal (High Point) forms when you have a center bar whose HIGH is higher than the highs of 'n' bars before and after it. For example, with n=2, you'd see a pattern where the center bar's high is higher than 2 bars before and 2 bars after it. The indicator also recognizes patterns where up to 4 bars after the center can have equal highs before requiring a lower high.
Down Fractal (Low Point) forms when you have a center bar whose LOW is lower than the lows of 'n' bars before and after it. For example, with n=2, you'd see a pattern where the center bar's low is lower than 2 bars before and 2 bars after it. The indicator also recognizes patterns where up to 4 bars after the center can have equal lows before requiring a higher low.
Trading Signals:
The indicator generates signals when price "sweeps" these fractal levels:
Buy Signal (Green Triangle) triggers when price sweeps a down fractal. This requires price to go BELOW the down fractal's low level and then CLOSE ABOVE it . This pattern often indicates a failed breakdown and potential reversal upward.
Sell Signal (Red Triangle) triggers when price sweeps an up fractal. This requires price to go ABOVE the up fractal's high level and then CLOSE BELOW it. This pattern often indicates a failed breakout and potential reversal downward.
Customizable Settings:
1. Periods (default: 10) - How many bars to check before and after the center bar (minimum value: 2)
2. Maximum Stored Fractals (default: 1) - How many fractal levels to keep in memory. Older levels are removed when this limit is reached to prevent excessive signals and maintain indicator performance.
Important Notes:
• The indicator checks the actual HIGH and LOW prices of each bar, not just closing prices
• Fractal levels are automatically removed after generating a signal to prevent repeated triggers
• Signals are only generated on bar close to avoid false triggers
• Alerts include the ticker symbol and the exact price level where the sweep occurred
Common Use Cases:
• Identifying potential reversal points
• Finding stop-hunt levels where price might reverse
• Setting stop-loss levels above up fractals or below down fractals
• Trading failed breakouts/breakdowns at fractal levels
Supertrend EMA & KNNSupertrend EMA & KNN
The Supertrend EMA indicator cuts through the noise to deliver clear trend signals.
This tool is built using the good old Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) with a novel of machine learning; KNN (K Nearest Neighbors) breakout detection method.
Key Features:
Effortless Trend Identification: Supertrend EMA simplifies trend analysis by automatically displaying a color-coded EMA. Green indicates an uptrend, red signifies a downtrend, and the absence of color suggests a potential range.
Dynamic Breakout Detection: Unlike traditional EMAs, Supertrend EMA incorporates a KNN-based approach to identify breakouts. This allows for faster color changes compared to standard EMAs, offering a more dynamic picture of the trend.
Customizable Parameters: Fine-tune the indicator to your trading style. Adjust the EMA length for trend smoothing, KNN lookback window for breakout sensitivity, and breakout threshold for filtering noise.
A Glimpse Under the Hood:
Dual EMA Power: The indicator utilizes two EMAs. A longer EMA (controlled by the "EMA Length" parameter) provides a smooth trend direction, while a shorter EMA (controlled by the "Short EMA Length" parameter) triggers color changes, aiming for faster response to breakouts.
KNN Breakout Detection: This innovative feature analyzes price action over a user-defined lookback period (controlled by the "KNN Lookback Length" parameter) to identify potential breakouts. If the price surpasses a user-defined threshold (controlled by the "Breakout Threshold" parameter) above the recent highs, a green color is triggered, signaling a potential uptrend. Conversely, a breakdown below the recent lows triggers a red color, indicating a potential downtrend.
Trading with Supertrend EMA:
Ride the Trend: When the indicator displays green, look for long (buy) opportunities, especially when confirmed by bullish price action patterns on lower timeframes. Conversely, red suggests potential shorting (sell) opportunities, again confirmed by bearish price action on lower timeframes.
Embrace Clarity: The color-coded EMA provides a clear visual representation of the trend, allowing you to focus on price action and refine your entry and exit strategies.
A Word of Caution:
While Supertrend EMA offers faster color changes than traditional EMAs, it's important to acknowledge a slight inherent lag. Breakout detection relies on historical data, and there may be a brief delay before the color reflects a new trend.
To achieve optimal results, consider:
Complementary Tools: Combine Supertrend EMA with other indicators or price action analysis for additional confirmation before entering trades.
Solid Risk Management: Always practice sound risk management strategies such as using stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
Supertrend EMA is a powerful tool designed to simplify trend identification and enhance your trading experience. However, remember, no single indicator guarantees success. Use it with a comprehensive trading strategy and disciplined risk management for optimal results.
Disclaimer:
While the Supertrend EMA indicator can be a valuable tool for identifying potential trend changes, it's important to note that it's not infallible. Market conditions can be highly dynamic, and indicators may sometimes provide false signals. Therefore, it's crucial to use this indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and sound risk management practices. Always conduct thorough research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
3AM EST CRT Indicator3AM EST Candle Range Theory Indicator
The 3AM EST Candle Range Theory Indicator is designed to highlight a crucial period in the trading day for Forex and other markets that operate 24/7. This indicator focuses on the 3AM EST candle, which represents the early hours of the U.S. market morning and the midpoint of the European trading session. During this period, volatility often picks up, and the 3AM candle can serve as a powerful reference point for price action throughout the day.
Key Features of the Indicator
3AM Candle Highlighting: The 3AM candle is automatically highlighted in blue, making it easy to spot on the chart. This helps traders quickly identify this pivotal candle without manually searching for it.
Range Lines: The high and low of the 3AM candle are marked by black lines extending across the day. These levels often act as support and resistance, influencing price movement throughout the trading session. Observing how the price interacts with these levels can provide insights into potential breakouts, reversals, or consolidations.
Labels: The high of the 3AM candle is labeled as "3am CRH" (Candle Range High) and the low as "3am CRL" (Candle Range Low). These labels serve as visual cues for traders, reinforcing the importance of these levels on the chart.
How to Use the 3AM EST Candle Range Indicator
Support and Resistance: The high and low of the 3AM candle often serve as strong intraday support and resistance levels. Traders can observe if the price respects or breaks these levels to make decisions about potential entries and exits.
Breakout Trading: If the price breaks above the 3am high (CRH), it can signal bullish momentum, especially when accompanied by increased volume. Conversely, a break below the 3am low (CRL) may indicate bearish momentum. These breakouts can provide potential trade opportunities.
Reversals and Continuations: Often, price will test and reject one of these levels, creating an opportunity for reversal trades. If the price re-enters the 3AM candle range after breaking out, it could signal a potential continuation back into the original trend.
Session Range Guidance: Since the 3AM candle encapsulates both the early U.S. and active European sessions, it often provides a strong reference for the range and sentiment in the early trading hours. The 3AM range can give a sense of market direction and volatility for the day.
Benefits
Clear Visual Cues: The blue candle highlight, black lines, and labels make this indicator visually intuitive and easy to understand at a glance.
Useful Across Market Conditions: Whether markets are trending or ranging, the 3AM high and low can serve as reliable reference points for intraday support and resistance.
Applicable to Various Strategies: This indicator can enhance a variety of trading strategies, including breakout, range trading, and trend-following.
Summary
The 3AM EST Candle Range Theory Indicator provides traders with a reliable way to gauge intraday price levels based on the 3AM EST candle. By observing how the price interacts with the high and low of this candle, traders can gain insights into potential support, resistance, and breakout points. This can be particularly useful for short-term traders looking to capitalize on intraday volatility or longer-term traders seeking reference points for daily price action analysis.
Alboncalc: Top and Bottom Detector - Straight Line ContinuityDescription:
The "Alboncalc: Top and Bottom Detector - Straight Line Continuity" is an innovative indicator for identifying key price reversal points (tops and bottoms) with precision. Unlike traditional indicators that focus on abstract data representations like oscillators or momentum-based lines, this indicator directly overlays the price chart. It draws a continuous line connecting highs and lows (tops and bottoms), providing traders with a clear and immediate visual representation of market swings. The lines automatically adjust in real-time, maintaining a straight path during trend continuations and only shifting when a trend reversal is detected.
Originality and Usefulness:
This indicator stands out from other tools available on TradingView due to its unique ability to maintain a continuous line across price swings, preserving accuracy and visual clarity. Most traditional top-and-bottom detectors merely mark points or provide indicators that are disconnected from price action, making it harder for traders to spot patterns. This script takes a different approach by drawing lines directly on the price chart, offering greater precision and better trend visualization. This innovation is particularly useful for traders who rely on visual cues and price action analysis to make decisions. It simplifies the process of identifying reversal points and trends without needing to rely on lagging indicators.
How It Works:
This indicator detects tops and bottoms based on user-defined periods. When the highest point in a given period is detected, it marks it as a top, and similarly, when the lowest point is detected, it marks it as a bottom. As the price moves, the indicator adjusts the lines to connect consecutive tops and bottoms. If the trend continues in the same direction (e.g., an uptrend), the line remains straight and extends. If a reversal is detected, a new line is drawn to connect the previous bottom (or top) to the new reversal point, providing an accurate visual representation of market trends.
How to Use:
1. Load the Indicator: Add the "Alboncalc: Top and Bottom Detector - Straight Line Continuity" to your chart from the TradingView script library.
2. Customize Settings: Adjust the "Top Period" and "Bottom Period" inputs to fine-tune the sensitivity of top and bottom detection based on your preferred timeframe.
3. Observe Price Action: As the price moves, the indicator will draw lines directly over the price chart, connecting tops and bottoms.
4. Interpret the Lines: Use the continuous lines to identify ongoing trends and potential reversal points. The line remains straight during trend continuation, indicating sustained movement in one direction. A new line signifies a reversal in the trend.
This tool is ideal for traders using trend-following strategies, breakout detection, or those who prefer clean, visual price action analysis (Only Tops and Bottons).
Underlying Concepts:
The core of this indicator is based on the highest high and lowest low concept, which is common in technical analysis. The logic is simple:
- A top is detected when the price reaches a high point compared to a user-defined number of prior candles (i.e., the `top_period`).
- A bottom is detected when the price hits a low point compared to the prior candles (i.e., the `bottom_period`).
When the price continues in the same trend, the line is extended without a break. This behavior ensures that trends are represented in a clear and consistent manner, which helps traders better identify trend continuations and reversals.
Code Breakdown:
```pinescript
//@version=5
indicator("Top and Bottom Detector - Straight Line Continuity", overlay=true)
```
- This initializes the indicator and specifies that it will overlay directly on the price chart.
```pinescript
var int top_period = input.int(5, title="Top Period", minval=1)
var int bottom_period = input.int(5, title="Bottom Period", minval=1)
```
- These inputs allow the user to customize the number of candles used to identify tops and bottoms. A higher period results in fewer but more significant top/bottom detections, while a lower period increases sensitivity.
```pinescript
isTop = ta.highest(top_period) == high
isBottom = ta.lowest(bottom_period) == low
```
- These lines check if the current candle has the highest high or the lowest low in the defined period. If true, the current price is either a top or a bottom.
```pinescript
var line currentLine = na
var float last_price = na
var int last_index = na
var bool isUpTrend = na
```
- These variables store the current line being drawn (`currentLine`), the last detected price (`last_price`), and the direction of the trend (`isUpTrend`). `last_index` tracks where the last top or bottom was detected.
```pinescript
if (isTop or isBottom)
if (not na(last_price))
if ((isTop and isUpTrend) or (isBottom and not isUpTrend))
line.set_xy2(currentLine, bar_index, (isTop ? high : low))
else
currentLine := line.new(x1=last_index, y1=last_price, x2=bar_index, y2=(isTop ? high : low), color=color.yellow, width=2)
last_price := (isTop ? high : low)
last_index := bar_index
isUpTrend := isTop
```
- The `if` block handles the logic of drawing the line. If a top or bottom is detected, and the trend continues (either an uptrend for tops or a downtrend for bottoms), the current line is extended using `line.set_xy2`. If a reversal is detected, a new line is drawn using `line.new`.
- The `last_price` and `last_index` variables are updated after each detection, and the `isUpTrend` flag is set based on whether a top or bottom was found.
Conclusion:
This indicator offers a more precise and visually intuitive way of identifying tops and bottoms directly on the price chart, making it an essential tool for traders focused on price action. Its ability to draw continuous lines through ongoing trends and adjust only upon a reversal makes it superior in terms of visual clarity compared to most conventional indicators.
$TUBR: 7-25-99 Moving Average7, 25, and 99 Period Moving Averages
This indicator plots three moving averages: the 7-period, 25-period, and 99-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA). These moving averages are widely used to smooth out price action and help traders identify trends over different time frames. Let's break down the significance of these specific moving averages from both supply and demand perspectives and a price action perspective.
1. Supply and Demand Perspective:
- 7-period Moving Average (Short-Term) :
The 7-period moving average represents the short-term sentiment in the market. It captures the rapid fluctuations in price and is heavily influenced by recent supply and demand changes. Traders often look to the 7-period SMA for immediate price momentum, with price moving above or below this line signaling short-term strength or weakness.
- Bullish Supply/Demand : When price is above the 7-period SMA, it suggests that buyers are currently in control and demand is higher than supply. Conversely, price falling below this line indicates that supply is overpowering demand, leading to a short-term downtrend.
Is current price > average price in past 7 candles (depending on timeframe)? This will tell you how aggressive buyers are in short term.
- Key Supply/Demand Zones : The 7-period SMA often acts as dynamic support or resistance in a trending market, where traders might use it to enter or exit positions based on how price interacts with this level.
- 25-period Moving Average (Medium-Term) :
The 25-period SMA smooths out more of the noise compared to the 7-period, providing a more stable indication of intermediate trends. This moving average is often used to gauge the market's supply and demand balance over a broader timeframe than the short-term 7-period SMA.
- Supply/Demand Balance : The 25-period SMA reflects the medium-term equilibrium between supply and demand. A crossover between the price and the 25-period SMA may indicate a shift in this balance. When price sustains above the 25-period SMA, it shows that demand is strong enough to maintain an upward trend. Conversely, if the price stays below it, supply is likely exceeding demand.
Is current price > average price in past 25 candles (depending on timeframe)? This will tell you how aggressive buyers are in mid term.
- Momentum Shift : Crossovers between the 7-period and 25-period SMAs can indicate momentum shifts between short-term and medium-term demand. For example, if the 7-period crosses above the 25-period, it often signifies growing short-term demand relative to the medium-term trend, signaling potential buy opportunities. What this crossover means is that if 7MA > 25MA that means in past 7 candles average price is more than past 25 candles.
- 99-period Moving Average (Long-Term):
The 99-period SMA represents the long-term trend and reflects the market's supply and demand over an extended period. This moving average filters out short-term fluctuations and highlights the market's overall trajectory.
- Long-Term Supply/Demand Dynamics : The 99-period SMA is slower to react to changes in supply and demand, providing a more stable view of the market's overall trend. Price staying above this line shows sustained demand dominance, while price consistently staying below reflects ongoing supply pressure.
Is current price > average price in past 99 candles (depending on timeframe)? This will tell you how aggressive buyers are in long term.
- Market Trend Confirmation : When both the 7-period and 25-period SMAs are above the 99-period SMA, it signals a strong bullish trend with demand outweighing supply across all timeframes. If all three SMAs are below the 99-period SMA, it points to a bear market where supply is overpowering demand in both the short and long term.
2. Price Action Perspective :
- 7-period Moving Average (Short-Term Trends):
The 7-period moving average closely tracks price action, making it highly responsive to quick shifts in price. Traders often use it to confirm short-term reversals or continuations in price action. In an uptrend, price typically stays above the 7-period SMA, whereas in a downtrend, price stays below it.
- Short-Term Price Reversals : Crossovers between the price and the 7-period SMA often indicate short-term reversals. When price breaks above the 7-period SMA after staying below it, it suggests a potential bullish reversal. Conversely, a price breakdown below the 7-period SMA could signal a bearish reversal.
- 25-period Moving Average (Medium-Term Trends) :
The 25-period SMA helps identify the medium-term price action trend. It balances short-term volatility and longer-term stability, providing insight into the more persistent trend. Price pullbacks to the 25-period SMA during an uptrend can act as a buying opportunity for trend traders, while pullbacks during a downtrend may offer shorting opportunities.
- Pullback and Continuation: In trending markets, price often retraces to the 25-period SMA before continuing in the direction of the trend. For instance, if the price is in a bullish trend, traders may look for support at the 25-period SMA for potential continuation trades.
- 99-period Moving Average (Long-Term Trend and Market Sentiment ):
The 99-period SMA is the most critical for identifying the overall market trend. Price consistently trading above the 99-period SMA indicates long-term bullish momentum, while price staying below the 99-period SMA suggests bearish sentiment.
- Trend Confirmation : Price action above the 99-period SMA confirms long-term upward momentum, while price action below it confirms a downtrend. The space between the shorter moving averages (7 and 25) and the 99-period SMA gives a sense of the strength or weakness of the trend. Larger gaps between the 7 and 99 SMAs suggest strong bullish momentum, while close proximity indicates consolidation or potential reversals.
- Price Action in Trending Markets : Traders often use the 99-period SMA as a dynamic support/resistance level. In strong trends, price tends to stay on one side of the 99-period SMA for extended periods, with breaks above or below signaling major changes in market sentiment.
Why These Numbers Matter:
7-Period MA : The 7-period moving average is a popular choice among short-term traders who want to capture quick momentum changes. It helps visualize immediate market sentiment and is often used in conjunction with price action to time entries or exits.
- 25-Period MA: The 25-period MA is a key indicator for swing traders. It balances sensitivity and stability, providing a clearer picture of the intermediate trend. It helps traders stay in trades longer by filtering out short-term noise, while still being reactive enough to detect reversals.
- 99-Period MA : The 99-period moving average provides a broad view of the market's direction, filtering out much of the short- and medium-term noise. It is crucial for identifying long-term trends and assessing whether the market is bullish or bearish overall. It acts as a key reference point for longer-term trend followers, helping them stay with the broader market sentiment.
Conclusion:
From a supply and demand perspective, the 7, 25, and 99-period moving averages help traders visualize shifts in the balance between buyers and sellers over different time horizons. The price action interaction with these moving averages provides valuable insight into short-term momentum, intermediate trends, and long-term market sentiment. Using these three MAs together gives a more comprehensive understanding of market conditions, helping traders align their strategies with prevailing trends across various timeframes.
------------- RULE BASED SYSTEM ---------------
Overview of the Rule-Based System:
This system will use the following moving averages:
7-period MA: Represents short-term price action.
25-period MA: Represents medium-term price action.
99-period MA: Represents long-term price action.
1. Trend Identification Rules:
Bullish Trend:
The 7-period MA is above the 25-period MA, and the 25-period MA is above the 99-period MA.
This structure shows that short, medium, and long-term trends are aligned in an upward direction, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Bearish Trend:
The 7-period MA is below the 25-period MA, and the 25-period MA is below the 99-period MA.
This suggests that the market is in a downtrend, with bearish momentum dominating across timeframes.
Neutral/Consolidation:
The 7-period MA and 25-period MA are flat or crossing frequently with the 99-period MA, and they are close to each other.
This indicates a sideways or consolidating market where there’s no strong trend direction.
2. Entry Rules:
Bullish Entry (Buy Signals):
Primary Buy Signal:
The price crosses above the 7-period MA, AND the 7-period MA is above the 25-period MA, AND the 25-period MA is above the 99-period MA.
This indicates the start of a new upward trend, with alignment across the short, medium, and long-term trends.
Pullback Buy Signal (for trend continuation):
The price pulls back to the 25-period MA, and the 7-period MA remains above the 25-period MA.
This indica
tes that the pullback is a temporary correction in an uptrend, and buyers may re-enter the market as price approaches the 25-period MA.
You can further confirm the signal by waiting for price action (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns) at the 25-period MA level.
Breakout Buy Signal:
The price crosses above the 99-period MA, and the 7-period and 25-period MAs are also both above the 99-period MA.
This confirms a strong bullish breakout after consolidation or a long-term downtrend.
Bearish Entry (Sell Signals):
Primary Sell Signal:
The price crosses below the 7-period MA, AND the 7-period MA is below the 25-period MA, AND the 25-period MA is below the 99-period MA.
This indicates the start of a new downtrend with alignment across the short, medium, and long-term trends.
Pullback Sell Signal (for trend continuation):
The price pulls back to the 25-period MA, and the 7-period MA remains below the 25-period MA.
This indicates that the pullback is a temporary retracement in a downtrend, providing an opportunity to sell as price meets resistance at the 25-period MA.
Breakdown Sell Signal:
The price breaks below the 99-period MA, and the 7-period and 25-period MAs are also below the 99-period MA.
This confirms a strong bearish breakdown after consolidation or a long-term uptrend reversal.
3. Exit Rules:
Bullish Exit (for long positions):
Short-Term Exit:
The price closes below the 7-period MA, and the 7-period MA starts crossing below the 25-period MA.
This indicates weakening momentum in the uptrend, suggesting an exit from the long position.
Stop-Loss Trigger:
The price falls below the 99-period MA, signaling the breakdown of the long-term trend.
This can act as a final exit signal to minimize losses if the long-term uptrend is invalidated.
Bearish Exit (for short positions):
Short-Term Exit:
The price closes above the 7-period MA, and the 7-period MA starts crossing above the 25-period MA.
This indicates a potential weakening of the downtrend and signals an exit from the short position.
Stop-Loss Trigger:
The price breaks above the 99-period MA, invalidating the bearish trend.
This signals that the market may be reversing to the upside, and exiting short positions would be prudent.
CPR by NKDCentral Pivot Range (CPR) Trading Strategy:
The Central Pivot Range (CPR) is a widely-used tool in technical analysis, helping traders pinpoint potential support and resistance levels in the market. By using the CPR effectively, traders can better gauge market trends and determine favorable entry and exit points. This guide explores how the CPR works, outlines its calculation, and describes how traders can enhance their strategies using an extended 10-line version of CPR.
What Really Central Pivot Range (CPR) is?
At its core, the CPR consists of three key lines:
Pivot Point (PP) – The central line, calculated as the average of the previous day’s high, low, and closing prices.
Upper Range (R1) – Positioned above the Pivot Point, acting as a potential ceiling where price may face resistance.
Lower Range (S1) – Found below the Pivot Point, serving as a potential floor where price might find support.
Advanced traders often expand on the traditional three-line CPR by adding extra levels above and below the pivot, creating up to a 10-line system. This extended CPR allows for a more nuanced understanding of the market and helps identify more detailed trading opportunities.
Applying CPR for Trading Success
1. How CPR is Calculation
The CPR relies on the previous day's high (H), low (L), and close (C) prices to create its structure:
Pivot Point (PP) = (H + L + C) / 3
First Resistance (R1) = (2 * PP) - L
First Support (S1) = (2 * PP) - H
Additional resistance levels (R2, R3) and support levels (S2, S3) are calculated by adding or subtracting multiples of the previous day’s price range (H - L) from the Pivot Point.
2. Recognizing the Market Trend
To effectively trade using CPR, it’s essential to first determine whether the market is trending up (bullish) or down (bearish). In an upward-trending market, traders focus on buying at support levels, while in a downward market, they look to sell near resistance.
3. Finding Ideal Entry Points
Traders often look to enter trades when price approaches key levels within the CPR range. Support levels (S1, S2) offer buying opportunities, while resistance levels (R1, R2) provide selling opportunities. These points are considered potential reversal zones, where price may bounce or reverse direction.
4. Managing Risk with Stop-Loss Orders
Proper risk management is crucial in any trading strategy. A stop-loss should be set slightly beyond the support level for buy positions and above the resistance level for sell positions, ensuring that losses are contained if the market moves against the trader’s position.
5. Determining Profit Targets
Profit targets are typically set based on the distance between entry points and the next support or resistance level. Many traders apply a risk-reward ratio, aiming for larger potential profits compared to the potential losses. However, if the next resistance and support level is far then middle levels are used for targets (i.e. 50% of R1 and R2)
6. Confirmation Through Other Indicators
While CPR provides strong support and resistance levels, traders often use additional indicators to confirm potential trade setups. Indicators such as moving averages can
help validate the signals provided by the CPR.
7. Monitoring Price Action At CPR Levels
Constantly monitoring price movement near CPR levels is essential. If the price fails to break through a resistance level (R1) or holds firm at support (S1), it can offer cues on when to exit or adjust a trade. However, a strong price break past these levels often signals a continued trend.
8. Trading Breakouts with CPR
When the price breaks above resistance or below support with strong momentum, it may signal a potential breakout. Traders can capitalize on these movements by entering positions in the direction of the breakout, ideally confirmed by volume or other technical indicators.
9. Adapting to Changing Market Conditions
CPR should be used in the context of broader market influences, such as economic reports, news events, or geopolitical shifts. These factors can dramatically affect market direction and how price reacts to CPR levels, making it important to stay informed about external market conditions.
10. Practice and Backtesting for Improvements
Like any trading tool, the CPR requires practice. Traders are encouraged to backtest their strategies on historical price data to get a better sense of how CPR works in different market environments. Continuous analysis and practice help improve decision-making and strategy refinement.
The Advantages of Using a 10-Line CPR System
An extended 10-line CPR system—comprising up to five resistance and five support levels—provides more granular control and insight into market movements. This expanded view helps traders better gauge trends and identify more opportunities for entry and exit. Key benefits include:
R2, S2 Levels: These act as secondary resistance or support zones, giving traders additional opportunities to refine their trade entries and exits.
R3, S3 Levels: Provide an even wider range for identifying reversals or trend continuations in more volatile markets.
Flexibility: The broader range of levels allows traders to adapt to changing market conditions and make more precise decisions based on market momentum.
So in Essential:
The Central Pivot Range is a valuable tool for traders looking to identify critical price levels in the market. By providing a clear framework for identifying potential support and resistance zones, it helps traders make informed decisions about entering and exiting trades. However, it’s important to combine CPR with sound risk management and additional confirmation through other technical indicators for the best results.
Although no trading tool guarantees success, the CPR, when used effectively and combined with practice, can significantly enhance a trader’s ability to navigate market fluctuations.
