Price Compression Scanner (Chartink Logic)Breakout above range high → BUY
🔹 Breakdown below range low → SELL
🔹 Best with volume expansion
🔹 Works well for swing trades & momentum breakouts
Highs
Highest High of last 10 days (ending 1 day agos) < Highest High of previous 10 days
Highest High of last 10 days < Highest High of earlier 10 days
➡️ Lower highs (falling resistance)
Lows
3. Lowest Low of last 10 days > Lowest Low of previous 10 days
4. Lowest Low of last 10 days > Lowest Low of earlier 10 days
Cari dalam skrip untuk "breakout"
ORB 5 Minute w/FVG and Retracement Breakout strategy creates five minute breakout lines on the 1 minute chart. Highlights any fair value gaps created within ORB and creates an arrow showing when a candle retraces into the fvg.
Break out strategy 0Breakout strategy (for verification)
Not recommended.
If you enter with a high (low) breakout for any period
ブレークアウトストラテジー(検証用)
推奨するものではありません。
任意の期間の高値（安値）ブレークアウトでエントリーした場合
Breakout Condition Indicator - Long - V2 - Mega 86Script used for swing trading - contains certain adjustable metrics that I use for scanning and day or entry
Breakout Bar CandidateShows the values of True Range, LS volatility and whether the volume is above or below average
MAC's V6 finalBreakout retest strategy
Works best on a NQ 1 hour chart
Also works on other futures charts
Adjust the initial capital to 100000
and the margin requirement percent to 0
Breakout ORB + HTF EMA + ATR Targets (America/Denver)This is a perfect simple chart for those trading Crypto pairs between the London and US market overlays.
Breakout Retest ScannerStill working on it, but break the previous day high or low, retest and get an alert of some sort.
Breakout Josip strategy is focused on analyzing price movements during specific time intervals (from 9:00 AM to 12:00 PM) each day. It tracks the highest and lowest prices in that period and uses them to set targets for potential trades, placing horizontal lines based on these levels. Additionally, you're interested in tracking the success and failure of trades based on whether price breaks certain levels during this time range. The strategy also calculates various metrics like the percentage of successful trades, failed trades, and total trades during a selected time range.
Breakout Candles + RSIHello!
This is my firt script :)
This indicator looks for candles that are significantly larger than the previous X candle.
It is possible to set the following:
Multiplier: deviation from the size of the previous X candle (if set to 3 the size of the actual candle's body /abs(open - close)/ must be larger than the size of the bigger candle from the prevous X candles)
Previous candles: the number of previous candles to size check
Upper RSI limit: if the RSI14 close higher than the specified number, the candle will ignore
Lower RSI limit: if the RSI14 close lower than the specified number, the candle will ignore
Without dojis: if checked, watches candles only that do not have a bottom spike (bullish) or top spike (bearish). Useful for Heikin-Ashi candles
Feel free to left any suggestion!
Thank You!
Breakout Peak Detection - cryptofnqDetect peaks (and valleys) after the indicator has broken out of horizontal bands.
The peaks (and valleys) are connected by lines and the final line is extended to the right.
This can be used with built-in indicator functions or with other chart indicators.
I'm a coder, not a trader. If you find a useful strategy based on my scripts, please drop me a line.
Breakout Volume [racer8]BV determines when volume is high by comparing the previous volume high over n periods to the current volume.
If the current volume exceeds the previous volume high, then the indicator columns will turn red. Enjoy :)
Breakout Volume Can Help Confirm Other SignalsVolume can help confirm signals we might discover using other methods of technical analysis.
This indicator tracks volume intelligently. Its logic spots above-average turnover and then tests against the price change. BrkVol highlights sessions with heavy volume and directional moves. This can help take out the noise and help confirm the trend.
Tesla is a classic example of this, with the stock rallying after showing heavy-volume gains on October 24- 25, December 16 and January 8.
UCS_Ready Set Go2017 - First Code
This is a another way of looking at DMI indicator. Almost similar to any oscillator. You still need to understand the indicator and chart before you can trade with these.
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ICT Killzones + NY Midnight# ICT Killzones + NY Midnight - Complete Description
## 📋 General Overview
**ICT Killzones + NY Midnight** is a professional technical indicator designed for intraday traders using the **ICT (Inner Circle Trading)** methodology to identify high-potential liquidity zones based on the main trading sessions.
The indicator combines:
- **3 main Killzones** (London, New York AM, Asian)
- **Midnight New York opening line** with extension options
- **Support/Resistance lines** based on session highs and lows
- **Complete customization** of colors, styles, and parameters
---
## 🎯 ICT Killzones Concept
**Killzones** are specific periods of the day when there is high liquidity in the market due to the opening of major trading sessions. According to ICT methodology, prices tend to visit the high and low of these sessions before continuing with a significant move.
### The 3 Main Killzones:
**1. London Open (London Zone)**
- **Time:** 02:00 - 05:00 UTC (New York Time)
- **Characteristic:** First major session of the day
- **Liquidity:** Medium-High
- **Usage:** Identify key levels of the European session
**2. New York AM (Morning New York)**
- **Time:** 08:30 - 11:00 UTC (New York Time)
- **Characteristic:** New York session opening
- **Liquidity:** Very High
- **Usage:** Most volatile and liquid session of the day
**3. Asian (Asian Session)**
- **Time:** 20:00 - 00:00 UTC (New York Time)
- **Characteristic:** Session overlapping with London
- **Liquidity:** Medium
- **Usage:** Identify levels established in Asian session
---
## 📊 Indicator Components
### Shaded Boxes (Killzones)
- Colored rectangles showing the range (high-low) of each session
- Created automatically during each zone's trading hours
- Customizable in color, opacity, and session
### High/Low Horizontal Lines
- **Upper Line:** Marks the highest point reached during the session
- **Lower Line:** Marks the lowest point reached during the session
- Extend beyond the box by a configurable number of bars
- Serve as key support/resistance levels
### Labels
- Display the name of each zone (London, NY AM, Asian)
- Customizable in text and background color
- Located at the beginning of each zone
### NY Midnight Line
- Horizontal line at the opening price at 00:00 (Midnight New York)
- Includes optional dotted vertical line
- Extension options: 1 day, 2 days, infinite right or both sides
- Label with exact price information
---
## ⚙️ Available Configuration
### Group: Killzones
**London Open**
- Toggle: Enable/Disable
- Session: Customize time (default: 0200-0500)
- Box Color: Color of the shaded box
- Line Color: Color of high/low lines
**New York AM**
- Toggle: Enable/Disable
- Session: Customize time (default: 0830-1100)
- Box Color: Color of the shaded box
- Line Color: Color of high/low lines
**Asian**
- Toggle: Enable/Disable
- Session: Customize time (default: 2000-0000)
- Box Color: Color of the shaded box
- Line Color: Color of high/low lines
### Group: Killzone Lines
- **Line Extension Length:** Number of bars the lines extend (10-500, default: 100)
- **Label Text Color:** Color of zone name text
- **Label Background Color:** Background color of labels
### Group: Midnight NY Open
- **Show Midnight NY Open:** Enable/Disable midnight line
- **Extend:** Extension options:
- 1 Day: Extends for 1 full day
- 2 Days: Extends for 2 full days
- Right: Extends infinitely to the right
- Both: Extends in both directions
- **Line Color:** Color of horizontal line
- **Line Width:** Line thickness (1-5)
- **Line Style:** Solid, Dashed, Dotted
- **Show Label:** Show/Hide label with price
- **Show Vertical Line:** Show vertical line at exact midnight moment
- **VLine Color:** Color of vertical line
---
## 📈 How to Use the Indicator
### Identifying Liquidity Zones
1. Observe the shaded boxes representing each killzone
2. The highs and lows of these zones are important liquidity levels
3. Price tends to visit these levels before major moves
### Trading with Levels
- **Pullbacks:** Wait for price to retrace to high/low lines
- **Breakouts:** Trade when price breaks these levels
- **Support/Resistance:** Use levels as entry/exit points
- **Take Profits:** Place targets at opposite levels of the killzone
### Midnight NY
- Marks the start of a new day for the New York market
- Price usually experiences significant moves from this level
- Use as a reference level for session analysis
### Combination of Zones
- When 2 or more zones have lines very close together, they create **confluence zones**
- These areas are stronger price decision points
- Higher probability of bounce or breakdown
---
## 💡 Professional Tips
### Timeframe Compatibility
- **Best on:** 1m, 5m, 15m, 30m, 1h
- **Not recommended:** Daily, Weekly, Monthly (ICT is intraday strategy)
### Customization by Market
- **Forex:** Adjust times according to pairs (timezone differences)
- **Crypto:** Applicable 24/7 (use standard NY times)
- **Indices/Stocks:** Respect actual session hours
### Visual Optimization
- Make boxes more transparent if many overlap
- Use contrasting colors to differentiate zones
- Increase line extension on lower timeframes
### Best Practices
1. Combine with market structure analysis
2. Use together with volume analysis
3. Respect overall market sentiment
4. Validate with additional fibonacci or pivot levels
5. Maintain discipline in risk management
---
## 🔧 Technical Features
- **Maximum objects:** 500 lines, 100 labels, 500 boxes
- **History:** Up to 5000 bars back
- **Timezone:** UTC-5 (New York Standard Time)
- **Pine Script Version:** v5
- **License:** CC BY-NC-SA 4.0
---
## 📌 Key Difference Between Boxes and Lines
| Aspect | Boxes | Lines |
|--------|-------|-------|
| **Purpose** | Visualize complete session range | Mark specific highs and lows |
| **Color** | Semi-transparent (fill) | Solid or opaque (outline) |
| **Extension** | Only during session | Extends configurable |
| **Usage** | General liquidity zone | Specific S/R levels |
---
## 🎨 Color Recommendations
**Option 1: Distinctive Colors**
- London: Light Cyan
- NY AM: Bright Orange
- Asian: Magenta/Pink
**Option 2: Importance Scale**
- NY AM (most important): Red
- London (important): Blue
- Asian (medium): Green
**Option 3: Professional**
- London: Blue-Gray
- NY AM: Black/Dark Gray
- Asian: Medium Gray
---
## ⚠️ Important Limitations
1. **Does not work on timeframes above 1H**
2. **Requires sufficient historical data**
3. **Sessions may vary with daylight saving time changes**
4. **Not a complete system, requires additional confirmation**
5. **Best on liquid markets (Forex, major indices)**
---
## 📞 Support and Usage
To change configuration:
1. Open the indicator on TradingView
2. Click the gear icon ⚙️
3. Adjust parameters as needed
4. Changes apply in real-time
---
## 🚀 Quick Start Guide
### Step 1: Add the Indicator
- Copy and paste the Pine Script code to TradingView Editor
- Click "Add to Chart"
### Step 2: Configure Zones
- Go to Settings → Killzones
- Enable/Disable each zone as needed
- Adjust colors for boxes and lines separately
### Step 3: Customize Lines
- Go to Settings → Killzone Lines
- Set your preferred line extension length
- Adjust label colors
### Step 4: Set Midnight Line
- Go to Settings → Midnight NY Open
- Choose extension type (1 Day, 2 Days, Right, or Both)
- Customize colors and line style
### Step 5: Start Trading
- Identify support/resistance levels at zone boundaries
- Look for price reactions at these levels
- Combine with your trading strategy
---
## 📊 Example Trading Scenarios
### Scenario 1: Simple Support/Resistance
- Price approaches a London killzone low line
- This acts as support
- Enter long when price bounces off this level
### Scenario 2: Confluence Zone
- London high line = NY AM low line (very close)
- Price has high probability to bounce here
- Use as strong support/resistance level
### Scenario 3: Breakout Trade
- Price clearly breaks above NY AM high line
- Follow the breakout with proper risk management
- Target next resistance level
### Scenario 4: Midnight New York
- Use midnight line as overnight reference
- Morning gap from midnight line
- Plan intraday moves based on this level
---
## 🎓 Educational Value
This indicator teaches traders about:
- **Market Microstructure:** Understanding when liquidity appears
- **Session Analysis:** How different markets interact
- **Price Action:** How prices react to key levels
- **Risk Management:** Where to place stops based on levels
- **Technical Analysis:** Building confluence through multiple techniques
---
**Indicator Developed:** 2026
**Based on:** ICT Inner Circle Trading Methodology
**License:** CC BY-NC-SA 4.0 © LuxAlgo
SmartDCA by TradeAkademiSmartDCA is an advanced position-management strategy built to deliver consistent results even as market conditions shift. Its price-action–driven structure, intelligent DCA scaling model, and multiple entry options provide a powerful automation framework suitable for both beginners and professional traders. With flexible TP/DCA configurations and safety modules such as Smart Take Profit, Risk Reset Exit, and Fail Safe Stop, positions scale more efficiently, risks are managed proactively, and capital remains protected at every stage. SmartDCA is a fully customizable, modern trading engine that offers high adaptability across different assets and timeframes.
The strategy supports five entry methodologies:
• Break_Default - Opens positions on breakout confirmations based on the selected period’s local highs and lows.
• Break_Volatility - Uses the same breakout logic while filtering entries that would place the target level outside the system’s defined safety zone.
• Break_Safety - Extends the volatility model with an additional candle-quality filter, avoiding structurally weak entries and behaving more conservatively.
• RSI_Based - Generates entries when RSI drops below 30 or rises above 70.
• Ema_Based - Opens positions based on directional shifts in the moving average.
SmartDCA is fully configurable: entry logic, DCA percentage and multiplier, take-profit (TP) settings, maximum DCA steps, order-size mode, and directional preferences can all be tailored to fit any asset, market condition, or timeframe.
Default parameters are optimized for the 30-minute chart.
The strategy also includes two optional mechanisms:
Smart Take Profit - Closes profitable trades early when price approaches the target within a configurable proximity, reducing exposure to potential reversal signals.
Trend Following Exit - After a defined DCA step, the position is closed at breakeven once price returns to the average entry level.
Smart Pivot Trend█ OVERVIEW
Smart Pivot Trend is a market structure–based trend indicator that combines swing pivots, volatility adaptation (ATR), and dynamic range levels to determine which side of the market is in control — buyers or sellers. Instead of moving averages, trend direction is defined through structural breaks inside pivot ranges.
The indicator visualizes the active trend, evolving market structure, and historical support/resistance levels created at moments of control shifts. It helps identify trend transitions, structure breaks, and areas where price has an increased probability of reaction.
█ CONCEPT
Built around adaptive swing structure. The core idea is that trend emerges from market structure, not from price relative to an average.
- Swing highs and swing lows form the current structural range.
- Two internal percentage-based levels inside this range act as decision zones.
- Break above the upper level → bullish control.
- Break below the lower level → bearish control.
To prevent structure from becoming outdated during strong moves, pivots are dynamically adjusted when price deviates beyond ATR × multiplier. This mechanism makes the structure volatility-aware rather than static.
As a result, the indicator combines:
- a dynamic, living market structure (active pivot trend)
- static “market memory” levels marking previous control shifts
█ FEATURES
Calculations
- Swing pivots as the foundation of market structure
- Internal range levels as structural decision zones
- ATR-based adaptive pivot correction (volatility-aware structure)
- Smooth Factor — controls the degree of structural correction relative to price; defines how fast pivots adapt during strong moves
- Trend change detection through structural range breaks
Visualization
- Active trend line based on current structure
- Historical support/resistance levels plotted at trend flips
- Triangles marking breaks of those levels
- Gradient fill between price and the active trend line
- Trend-based coloring (green = bullish, red = bearish)
- Optional candle coloring based on current structural trend (bullish / bearish control)
Signals
- BUY / SELL — on structural trend changes
- Bullish Break / Bearish Break — when historical levels are broken
- Impulse breaks (when candles break levels with strong momentum)
Alerts
- Trend change to bullish
- Trend change to bearish
- Resistance break
- Support break
█ HOW TO USE
Main settings:
- Swing Length — sensitivity of swing detection
- Lower / Upper Level — internal structural decision levels
- ATR Length / Multiplier — influence of volatility on pivot adaptation
- Smooth Factor — speed of structural adjustment to price
- Visual options — colors, hiding lines, deleting broken levels, color candles by trend
Trend logic:
- Price above active pivot low → bullish structure
- Price below active pivot high → bearish structure
█ APPLICATION
Trend-following
- The indicator can act as a directional filter for signals from other tools.
- Entries are taken only when signals from external indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD, momentum tools, price action setups, breakout systems) align with the current Smart Pivot Trend direction.
- Highest probability occurs when entries happen during pullbacks to the active trend line in the direction of the prevailing structure.
Market structure shifts
- A trend flip represents a transfer of control between buyers and sellers.
- These moments often precede larger moves because the swing structure changes.
Breakout trading
- Historical levels mark areas where control previously changed.
- Their break often leads to volatility expansion and impulsive movement.
Pullback trading
- The active trend line acts as dynamic support/resistance.
- Pullbacks to this line in strong trends often provide favorable risk-to-reward setups.
█ ADAPTATION TO TRADING STYLE
The Swing Length and Smooth Factor parameters allow the indicator to be tailored to different trading styles:
Shorter Swing Length + higher Smooth Factor
- structure reacts faster
- more frequent trend shifts
- suitable for scalping and intraday trading
Longer Swing Length + lower Smooth Factor
- slower structural changes
- filters minor fluctuations
- better suited for swing trading and longer-term positions
This allows the indicator to function both as a fast micro-structure engine and as a stable higher-level trend filter.
█ NOTES
- This is a structural analysis tool, not a standalone trading system
- Best results come when combined with key S/R levels, higher timeframe context, and price action
- In ranging markets, trend flips may occur more frequently — a natural behavior of structure-based systems
ICT Kill Zone [KTY]ICT Kill Zone Indicator
This indicator displays ICT Kill Zones, which are high-liquidity trading periods during major exchange opening hours.
Smart money tends to make significant moves during these times, resulting in increased volatility and trading volume.
Four Kill Zones
- AS KZ (Asian): Lower volatility, range formation period
- LDN KZ (London): European session start, liquidity surge
- NY KZ (New York): Europe + US overlap, strongest moves
- LDN CL KZ (London Close): London closing, position unwinding period
Market Hours Display
- Shows actual trading hours for Asian, London, and New York markets
- High/low lines for each session
Session Indicators
- Visual markers at the bottom of chart showing active kill zones
- Labels when each kill zone begins
1. Identify which kill zone is currently active
2. Signals during kill zones (CHoCH/BOS, OB, FVG) have higher significance
3. Watch for Asian range breakout in London/New York sessions
4. Be cautious of false moves outside kill zone hours
Pro Tips:
- New York kill zone typically has the strongest moves
- London open often sets the daily direction
- Asian session forms the range that gets broken later
- Combine kill zones with other ICT concepts for best results
Show Kill Zones: Toggle kill zone display on/off
Show Market Hours: Toggle market hours lines on/off
Show Latest Data Only: Display only the most recent kill zone
Daylight Saving Time: Apply DST adjustment (On/Off)
Asian Kill Zone Started
London Kill Zone Started
New York Kill Zone Started
London Close Kill Zone Started
This indicator is designed for educational purposes.
Kill zones only display on 15-minute or lower timeframes.
Always combine with proper risk management.
If you find this indicator helpful, please leave a like and follow for more ICT-based tools!
ICT Supply & Demand [KTY]ICT Supply & Demand Indicator
This indicator automatically detects and displays Supply and Demand zones based on swing highs and lows.
Supply and Demand zones are horizontal support/resistance areas where price previously showed strong buying or selling pressure.
Automatic Detection
- Supply Zone (Red): Formed at swing highs where selling pressure was strong
- Demand Zone (Green): Formed at swing lows where buying pressure was strong
- Zones are automatically removed when price breaks through
Dynamic Extension
- Zones extend automatically as new bars form
- Clear visual labels showing SUPPLY and DEMAND
1. Identify Supply and Demand zones on your chart
2. Watch for price reaction when re-entering the zone
3. Combine with Order Block, FVG, or Market Structure for confluence
4. Use zones as reference for take-profit or stop-loss targets
Pro Tips:
- Zones that align with OB or FVG have higher significance
- Multiple touches on a zone increase chance of breakout
- Fresh (untested) zones tend to have stronger reactions
Show Supply & Demand Zones: Toggle zone display on/off
Supply Zone Color: Customize supply zone color
Demand Zone Color: Customize demand zone color
Label Color: Customize text color
Supply Zone Detected
Demand Zone Detected
Supply Zone Broken
Demand Zone Broken
This indicator is designed for educational purposes.
Supply and Demand zones do not guarantee price reversal.
Always combine with proper risk management.
If you find this indicator helpful, please leave a like and follow for more ICT-based tools!
ORB Fusion🎯 CORE INNOVATION: INSTITUTIONAL ORB FRAMEWORK WITH FAILED BREAKOUT INTELLIGENCE
ORB Fusion represents a complete institutional-grade Opening Range Breakout system combining classic Market Profile concepts (Initial Balance, day type classification) with modern algorithmic breakout detection, failed breakout reversal logic, and comprehensive statistical tracking. Rather than simply drawing lines at opening range extremes, this system implements the full trading methodology used by professional floor traders and market makers—including the critical concept that failed breakouts are often higher-probability setups than successful breakouts .
The Opening Range Hypothesis:
The first 30-60 minutes of trading establishes the day's value area —the price range where the majority of participants agree on fair value. This range is formed during peak information flow (overnight news digestion, gap reactions, early institutional positioning). Breakouts from this range signal directional conviction; failures to hold breakouts signal trapped participants and create exploitable reversals.
Why Opening Range Matters:
1. Information Aggregation : Opening range reflects overnight news, pre-market sentiment, and early institutional orders. It's the market's initial "consensus" on value.
2. Liquidity Concentration : Stop losses cluster just outside opening range. Breakouts trigger these stops, creating momentum. Failed breakouts trap traders, forcing reversals.
3. Statistical Persistence : Markets exhibit range expansion tendency —when price accepts above/below opening range with volume, it often extends 1.0-2.0x the opening range size before mean reversion.
4. Institutional Behavior : Large players (market makers, institutions) use opening range as reference for the day's trading plan. They fade extremes in rotation days and follow breakouts in trend days.
Historical Context:
Opening Range Breakout methodology originated in commodity futures pits (1970s-80s) where floor traders noticed consistent patterns: the first 30-60 minutes established a "fair value zone," and directional moves occurred when this zone was violated with conviction. J. Peter Steidlmayer formalized this observation in Market Profile theory, introducing the "Initial Balance" concept—the first hour (two 30-minute periods) defining market structure.
📊 OPENING RANGE CONSTRUCTION
Four ORB Timeframe Options:
1. 5-Minute ORB (0930-0935 ET):
Captures immediate market direction during "opening drive"—the explosive first few minutes when overnight orders hit the tape.
Use Case:
• Scalping strategies
• High-frequency breakout trading
• Extremely liquid instruments (ES, NQ, SPY)
Characteristics:
• Very tight range (often 0.2-0.5% of price)
• Early breakouts common (7 of 10 days break within first hour)
• Higher false breakout rate (50-60%)
• Requires sub-minute chart monitoring
Psychology: Captures panic buyers/sellers reacting to overnight news. Range is small because sample size is minimal—only 5 minutes of price discovery. Early breakouts often fail because they're driven by retail FOMO rather than institutional conviction.
2. 15-Minute ORB (0930-0945 ET):
Balances responsiveness with statistical validity. Captures opening drive plus initial reaction to that drive.
Use Case:
• Day trading strategies
• Balanced scalping/swing hybrid
• Most liquid instruments
Characteristics:
• Moderate range (0.4-0.8% of price typically)
• Breakout rate ~60% of days
• False breakout rate ~40-45%
• Good balance of opportunity and reliability
Psychology: Includes opening panic AND the first retest/consolidation. Sophisticated traders (institutions, algos) start expressing directional bias. This is the "Goldilocks" timeframe—not too reactive, not too slow.
3. 30-Minute ORB (0930-1000 ET):
Classic ORB timeframe. Default for most professional implementations.
Use Case:
• Standard intraday trading
• Position sizing for full-day trades
• All liquid instruments (equities, indices, futures)
Characteristics:
• Substantial range (0.6-1.2% of price)
• Breakout rate ~55% of days
• False breakout rate ~35-40%
• Statistical sweet spot for extensions
Psychology: Full opening auction + first institutional repositioning complete. By 10:00 AM ET, headlines are digested, early stops are hit, and "real" directional players reveal themselves. This is when institutional programs typically finish their opening positioning.
Statistical Advantage: 30-minute ORB shows highest correlation with daily range. When price breaks and holds outside 30m ORB, probability of reaching 1.0x extension (doubling the opening range) exceeds 60% historically.
4. 60-Minute ORB (0930-1030 ET) - Initial Balance:
Steidlmayer's "Initial Balance"—the foundation of Market Profile theory.
Use Case:
• Swing trading entries
• Day type classification
• Low-frequency institutional setups
Characteristics:
• Wide range (0.8-1.5% of price)
• Breakout rate ~45% of days
• False breakout rate ~25-30% (lowest)
• Best for trend day identification
Psychology: Full first hour captures A-period (0930-1000) and B-period (1000-1030). By 10:30 AM ET, all early positioning is complete. Market has "voted" on value. Subsequent price action confirms (trend day) or rejects (rotation day) this value assessment.
Initial Balance Theory:
IB represents the market's accepted value area . When price extends significantly beyond IB (>1.5x IB range), it signals a Trend Day —strong directional conviction. When price remains within 1.0x IB, it signals a Rotation Day —mean reversion environment. This classification completely changes trading strategy.
🔬 LTF PRECISION TECHNOLOGY
The Chart Timeframe Problem:
Traditional ORB indicators calculate range using the chart's current timeframe. This creates critical inaccuracies:
Example:
• You're on a 5-minute chart
• ORB period is 30 minutes (0930-1000 ET)
• Indicator sees only 6 bars (30min ÷ 5min/bar = 6 bars)
• If any 5-minute bar has extreme wick, entire ORB is distorted
The Problem Amplifies:
• On 15-minute chart with 30-minute ORB: Only 2 bars sampled
• On 30-minute chart with 30-minute ORB: Only 1 bar sampled
• Opening spike or single large wick defines entire range (invalid)
Solution: Lower Timeframe (LTF) Precision:
ORB Fusion uses `request.security_lower_tf()` to sample 1-minute bars regardless of chart timeframe:
```
For 30-minute ORB on 15-minute chart:
- Traditional method: Uses 2 bars (15min × 2 = 30min)
- LTF Precision: Requests thirty 1-minute bars, calculates true high/low
```
Why This Matters:
Scenario: ES futures, 15-minute chart, 30-minute ORB
• Traditional ORB: High = 5850.00, Low = 5842.00 (range = 8 points)
• LTF Precision ORB: High = 5848.50, Low = 5843.25 (range = 5.25 points)
Difference: 2.75 points distortion from single 15-minute wick hitting 5850.00 at 9:31 AM then immediately reversing. LTF precision filters this out by seeing it was a fleeting wick, not a sustained high.
Impact on Extensions:
With inflated range (8 points vs 5.25 points):
• 1.5x extension projects +12 points instead of +7.875 points
• Difference: 4.125 points (nearly $200 per ES contract)
• Breakout signals trigger late; extension targets unreachable
Implementation:
```pinescript
getLtfHighLow() =>
float ha = request.security_lower_tf(syminfo.tickerid, "1", high)
float la = request.security_lower_tf(syminfo.tickerid, "1", low)
```
Function returns arrays of 1-minute high/low values, then finds true maximum and minimum across all samples.
When LTF Precision Activates:
Only when chart timeframe exceeds ORB session window:
• 5-minute chart + 30-minute ORB: LTF used (chart TF > session bars needed)
• 1-minute chart + 30-minute ORB: LTF not needed (direct sampling sufficient)
Recommendation: Always enable LTF Precision unless you're on 1-minute charts. The computational overhead is negligible, and accuracy improvement is substantial.
⚖️ INITIAL BALANCE (IB) FRAMEWORK
Steidlmayer's Market Profile Innovation:
J. Peter Steidlmayer developed Market Profile in the 1980s for the Chicago Board of Trade. His key insight: market structure is best understood through time-at-price (value area) rather than just price-over-time (traditional charts).
Initial Balance Definition:
IB is the price range established during the first hour of trading, subdivided into:
• A-Period : First 30 minutes (0930-1000 ET for US equities)
• B-Period : Second 30 minutes (1000-1030 ET)
A-Period vs B-Period Comparison:
The relationship between A and B periods forecasts the day:
B-Period Expansion (Bullish):
• B-period high > A-period high
• B-period low ≥ A-period low
• Interpretation: Buyers stepping in after opening assessed
• Implication: Bullish continuation likely
• Strategy: Buy pullbacks to A-period high (now support)
B-Period Expansion (Bearish):
• B-period low < A-period low
• B-period high ≤ A-period high
• Interpretation: Sellers stepping in after opening assessed
• Implication: Bearish continuation likely
• Strategy: Sell rallies to A-period low (now resistance)
B-Period Contraction:
• B-period stays within A-period range
• Interpretation: Market indecisive, digesting A-period information
• Implication: Rotation day likely, stay range-bound
• Strategy: Fade extremes, sell high/buy low within IB
IB Extensions:
Professional traders use IB as a ruler to project price targets:
Extension Levels:
• 0.5x IB : Initial probe outside value (minor target)
• 1.0x IB : Full extension (major target for normal days)
• 1.5x IB : Trend day threshold (classifies as trending)
• 2.0x IB : Strong trend day (rare, ~10-15% of days)
Calculation:
```
IB Range = IB High - IB Low
Bull Extension 1.0x = IB High + (IB Range × 1.0)
Bear Extension 1.0x = IB Low - (IB Range × 1.0)
```
Example:
ES futures:
• IB High: 5850.00
• IB Low: 5842.00
• IB Range: 8.00 points
Extensions:
• 1.0x Bull Target: 5850 + 8 = 5858.00
• 1.5x Bull Target: 5850 + 12 = 5862.00
• 2.0x Bull Target: 5850 + 16 = 5866.00
If price reaches 5862.00 (1.5x), day is classified as Trend Day —strategy shifts from mean reversion to trend following.
📈 DAY TYPE CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM
Four Day Types (Market Profile Framework):
1. TREND DAY:
Definition: Price extends ≥1.5x IB range in one direction and stays there.
Characteristics:
• Opens and never returns to IB
• Persistent directional movement
• Volume increases as day progresses (conviction building)
• News-driven or strong institutional flow
Frequency: ~20-25% of trading days
Trading Strategy:
• DO: Follow the trend, trail stops, let winners run
• DON'T: Fade extremes, take early profits
• Key: Add to position on pullbacks to previous extension level
• Risk: Getting chopped in false trend (see Failed Breakout section)
Example: FOMC decision, payroll report, earnings surprise—anything creating one-sided conviction.
2. NORMAL DAY:
Definition: Price extends 0.5-1.5x IB, tests both sides, returns to IB.
Characteristics:
• Two-sided trading
• Extensions occur but don't persist
• Volume balanced throughout day
• Most common day type
Frequency: ~45-50% of trading days
Trading Strategy:
• DO: Take profits at extension levels, expect reversals
• DON'T: Hold for massive moves
• Key: Treat each extension as a profit-taking opportunity
• Risk: Holding too long when momentum shifts
Example: Typical day with no major catalysts—market balancing supply and demand.
3. ROTATION DAY:
Definition: Price stays within IB all day, rotating between high and low.
Characteristics:
• Never accepts outside IB
• Multiple tests of IB high/low
• Decreasing volume (no conviction)
• Classic range-bound action
Frequency: ~25-30% of trading days
Trading Strategy:
• DO: Fade extremes (sell IB high, buy IB low)
• DON'T: Chase breakouts
• Key: Enter at extremes with tight stops just outside IB
• Risk: Breakout finally occurs after multiple failures
Example: [/b> Pre-holiday trading, summer doldrums, consolidation after big move.
4. DEVELOPING:
Definition: Day type not yet determined (early in session).
Usage: Classification before 12:00 PM ET when IB extension pattern unclear.
ORB Fusion's Classification Algorithm:
```pinescript
if close > ibHigh:
ibExtension = (close - ibHigh) / ibRange
direction = "BULLISH"
else if close < ibLow:
ibExtension = (ibLow - close) / ibRange
direction = "BEARISH"
if ibExtension >= 1.5:
dayType = "TREND DAY"
else if ibExtension >= 0.5:
dayType = "NORMAL DAY"
else if close within IB:
dayType = "ROTATION DAY"
```
Why Classification Matters:
Same setup (bullish ORB breakout) has opposite implications:
• Trend Day : Hold for 2.0x extension, trail stops aggressively
• Normal Day : Take profits at 1.0x extension, watch for reversal
• Rotation Day : Fade the breakout immediately (likely false)
Knowing day type prevents catastrophic errors like fading a trend day or holding through rotation.
🚀 BREAKOUT DETECTION & CONFIRMATION
Three Confirmation Methods:
1. Close Beyond Level (Recommended):
Logic: Candle must close above ORB high (bull) or below ORB low (bear).
Why:
• Filters out wicks (temporary liquidity grabs)
• Ensures sustained acceptance above/below range
• Reduces false breakout rate by ~20-30%
Example:
• ORB High: 5850.00
• Bar high touches 5850.50 (wick above)
• Bar closes at 5848.00 (inside range)
• Result: NO breakout signal
vs.
• Bar high touches 5850.50
• Bar closes at 5851.00 (outside range)
• Result: BREAKOUT signal confirmed
Trade-off: Slightly delayed entry (wait for close) but much higher reliability.
2. Wick Beyond Level:
Logic: [/b> Any touch of ORB high/low triggers breakout.
Why:
• Earliest possible entry
• Captures aggressive momentum moves
Risk:
• High false breakout rate (60-70%)
• Stop runs trigger signals
• Requires very tight stops (difficult to manage)
Use Case: Scalping with 1-2 point profit targets where any penetration = trade.
3. Body Beyond Level:
Logic: [/b> Candle body (close vs open) must be entirely outside range.
Why:
• Strictest confirmation
• Ensures directional conviction (not just momentum)
• Lowest false breakout rate
Example: Trade-off: [/b> Very conservative—misses some valid breakouts but rarely triggers on false ones.
Volume Confirmation Layer:
All confirmation methods can require volume validation:
Volume Multiplier Logic: Rationale: [/b> True breakouts are driven by institutional activity (large size). Volume spike confirms real conviction vs. stop-run manipulation.
Statistical Impact: [/b>
• Breakouts with volume confirmation: ~65% success rate
• Breakouts without volume: ~45% success rate
• Difference: 20 percentage points edge
Implementation Note: [/b>
Volume confirmation adds complexity—you'll miss breakouts that work but lack volume. However, when targeting 1.5x+ extensions (ambitious goals), volume confirmation becomes critical because those moves require sustained institutional participation.
Recommended Settings by Strategy: [/b>
Scalping (1-2 point targets): [/b>
• Method: Close
• Volume: OFF
• Rationale: Quick in/out doesn't need perfection
Intraday Swing (5-10 point targets): [/b>
• Method: Close
• Volume: ON (1.5x multiplier)
• Rationale: Balance reliability and opportunity
Position Trading (full-day holds): [/b>
• Method: Body
• Volume: ON (2.0x multiplier)
• Rationale: Must be certain—large stops require high win rate
🔥 FAILED BREAKOUT SYSTEM
The Core Insight: [/b>
Failed breakouts are often more profitable [/b> than successful breakouts because they create trapped traders with predictable behavior.
Failed Breakout Definition: [/b>
A breakout that:
1. Initially penetrates ORB level with confirmation
2. Attracts participants (volume spike, momentum)
3. Fails to extend (stalls or immediately reverses)
4. Returns inside ORB range within N bars
Psychology of Failure: [/b>
When breakout fails:
• Breakout buyers are trapped [/b>: Bought at ORB high, now underwater
• Early longs reduce: Take profit, fearful of reversal
• Shorts smell blood: See failed breakout as reversal signal
• Result: Cascade of selling as trapped bulls exit + new shorts enter
Mirror image for failed bearish breakouts (trapped shorts cover + new longs enter).
Failure Detection Parameters: [/b>
1. Failure Confirmation Bars (default: 3): [/b>
How many bars after breakout to confirm failure?
Logic: Settings: [/b>
• 2 bars: Aggressive failure detection (more signals, more false failures)
• 3 bars Balanced (default)
• 5-10 bars: Conservative (wait for clear reversal)
Why This Matters:
Too few bars: You call "failed breakout" when price is just consolidating before next leg.
Too many bars: You miss the reversal entry (price already back in range).
2. Failure Buffer (default: 0.1 ATR): [/b>
How far inside ORB must price return to confirm failure?
Formula: Why Buffer Matters: clear rejection [/b> (not just hovering at level).
Settings: [/b>
• 0.0 ATR: No buffer, immediate failure signal
• 0.1 ATR: Small buffer (default) - filters noise
• [b>0.2-0.3 ATR: Large buffer - only dramatic failures count
Example: Reversal Entry System: [/b>
When failure confirmed, system generates complete reversal trade:
For Failed Bull Breakout (Short Reversal): [/b>
Entry: [/b> Current close when failure confirmed
Stop Loss: [/b> Extreme high since breakout + 0.10 ATR padding
Target 1: [/b> ORB High - (ORB Range × 0.5)
Target 2: Target 3: [/b> ORB High - (ORB Range × 1.5)
Example:
• ORB High: 5850, ORB Low: 5842, Range: 8 points
• Breakout to 5853, fails, reverses to 5848 (entry)
• Stop: 5853 + 1 = 5854 (6 point risk)
• T1: 5850 - 4 = 5846 (-2 points, 1:3 R:R)
• T2: 5850 - 8 = 5842 (-6 points, 1:1 R:R)
• T3: 5850 - 12 = 5838 (-10 points, 1.67:1 R:R)
[b>Why These Targets? [/b>
• T1 (0.5x ORB below high): Trapped bulls start panic
• T2 (1.0x ORB = ORB Mid): Major retracement, momentum fully reversed
• T3 (1.5x ORB): Reversal extended, now targeting opposite side
Historical Performance: [/b>
Failed breakout reversals in ORB Fusion's tracking system show:
• Win Rate: 65-75% (significantly higher than initial breakouts)
• Average Winner: 1.2x ORB range
• Average Loser: 0.5x ORB range (protected by stop at extreme)
• Expectancy: Strongly positive even with <70% win rate
Why Failed Breakouts Outperform: [/b>
1. Information Advantage: You now know what price did (failed to extend). Initial breakout trades are speculative; reversal trades are reactive to confirmed failure.
2. Trapped Participant Pressure: Every trapped bull becomes a seller. This creates sustained pressure.
3. Stop Loss Clarity: Extreme high is obvious stop (just beyond recent high). Breakout trades have ambiguous stops (ORB mid? Recent low? Too wide or too tight).
4. Mean Reversion Edge: Failed breakouts return to value (ORB mid). Initial breakouts try to escape value (harder to sustain).
Critical Insight: [/b>
"The best trade is often the one that trapped everyone else."
Failed breakouts create asymmetric opportunity because you're trading against [/b> trapped participants rather than with [/b> them. When you see a failed breakout signal, you're seeing real-time evidence that the market rejected directional conviction—that's exploitable.
📐 FIBONACCI EXTENSION SYSTEM
Six Extension Levels: [/b>
Extensions project how far price will travel after ORB breakout. Based on Fibonacci ratios + empirical market behavior.
1. 1.272x (27.2% Extension): [/b>
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 0.272)
Psychology: [/b> Initial probe beyond ORB. Early momentum + trapped shorts (on bull side) covering.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~75-80% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• First resistance/support after breakout
• Partial profit target (take 30-50% off)
• Watch for rejection here (could signal failure in progress)
Why 1.272? [/b> Related to harmonic patterns (1.272 is √1.618). Empirically, markets often stall at 25-30% extension before deciding whether to continue or fail.
2. 1.5x (50% Extension):
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 0.5)
Psychology: [/b> Breakout gaining conviction. Requires sustained buying/selling (not just momentum spike).
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~60-65% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• Major partial profit (take 50-70% off)
• Move stops to breakeven
• Trail remaining position
Why 1.5x? [/b> Classic halfway point to 2.0x. Markets often consolidate here before final push. If day type is "Normal," this is likely the high/low for the day.
3. 1.618x (Golden Ratio Extension): [/b>
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 0.618)
Psychology: [/b> Strong directional day. Institutional conviction + retail FOMO.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~45-50% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• Final partial profit (close 80-90%)
• Trail remainder with wide stop (allow breathing room)
Why 1.618? [/b> Fibonacci golden ratio. Appears consistently in market geometry. When price reaches 1.618x extension, move is "mature" and reversal risk increases.
4. 2.0x (100% Extension): [/b>
Formula: ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 1.0)
Psychology: [/b> Trend day confirmed. Opening range completely duplicated.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~30-35% after confirmed breakout
Trading: Why 2.0x? [/b> Psychological level—range doubled. Also corresponds to typical daily ATR in many instruments (opening range ~ 0.5 ATR, daily range ~ 1.0 ATR).
5. 2.618x (Super Extension):
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 1.618)
Psychology: [/b> Parabolic move. News-driven or squeeze.
Probability of Reach: [/b> ~10-15% after confirmed breakout
[b>Trading: Why 2.618? [/b> Fibonacci ratio (1.618²). Rare to reach—when it does, move is extreme. Often precedes multi-day consolidation or reversal.
6. 3.0x (Extreme Extension): [/b>
Formula: [/b> ORB High/Low + (ORB Range × 2.0)
Psychology: [/b> Market melt-up/crash. Only in extreme events.
[b>Probability of Reach: [/b> <5% after confirmed breakout
Trading: [/b>
• Close immediately if reached
• These are outlier events (black swans, flash crashes, squeeze-outs)
• Holding for more is greed—take windfall profit
Why 3.0x? [/b> Triple opening range. So rare it's statistical noise. When it happens, it's headline news.
Visual Example:
ES futures, ORB 5842-5850 (8 point range), Bullish breakout:
• ORB High : 5850.00 (entry zone)
• 1.272x : 5850 + 2.18 = 5852.18 (first resistance)
• 1.5x : 5850 + 4.00 = 5854.00 (major target)
• 1.618x : 5850 + 4.94 = 5854.94 (strong target)
• 2.0x : 5850 + 8.00 = 5858.00 (trend day)
• 2.618x : 5850 + 12.94 = 5862.94 (extreme)
• 3.0x : 5850 + 16.00 = 5866.00 (parabolic)
Profit-Taking Strategy:
Optimal scaling out at extensions:
• Breakout entry at 5850.50
• 30% off at 1.272x (5852.18) → +1.68 points
• 40% off at 1.5x (5854.00) → +3.50 points
• 20% off at 1.618x (5854.94) → +4.44 points
• 10% off at 2.0x (5858.00) → +7.50 points
[b>Average Exit: Conclusion: [/b> Scaling out at extensions produces 40% higher expectancy than holding for home runs.
📊 GAP ANALYSIS & FILL PSYCHOLOGY
[b>Gap Definition: [/b>
Price discontinuity between previous close and current open:
• Gap Up : Open > Previous Close + noise threshold (0.1 ATR)
• Gap Down : Open < Previous Close - noise threshold
Why Gaps Matter: [/b>
Gaps represent unfilled orders [/b>. When market gaps up, all limit buy orders between yesterday's close and today's open are never filled. Those buyers are "left behind." Psychology: they wait for price to return ("fill the gap") so they can enter. This creates magnetic pull [/b> toward gap level.
Gap Fill Statistics (Empirical): [/b>
• Gaps <0.5% [/b>: 85-90% fill within same day
• Gaps 0.5-1.0% [/b>: 70-75% fill within same day, 90%+ within week
• Gaps >1.0% [/b>: 50-60% fill within same day (major news often prevents fill)
Gap Fill Strategy: [/b>
Setup 1: Gap-and-Go
Gap opens, extends away from gap (doesn't fill).
• ORB confirms direction away from gap
• Trade WITH ORB breakout direction
• Expectation: Gap won't fill today (momentum too strong)
Setup 2: Gap-Fill Fade
Gap opens, but fails to extend. Price drifts back toward gap.
• ORB breakout TOWARD gap (not away)
• Trade toward gap fill level
• Target: Previous close (gap fill complete)
Setup 3: Gap-Fill Rejection
Gap fills (touches previous close) then rejects.
• ORB breakout AWAY from gap after fill
• Trade away from gap direction
• Thesis: Gap filled (orders executed), now resume original direction
[b>Example: Scenario A (Gap-and-Go):
• ORB breaks upward to $454 (away from gap)
• Trade: LONG breakout, expect continued rally
• Gap becomes support ($452)
Scenario B (Gap-Fill):
• ORB breaks downward through $452.50 (toward gap)
• Trade: SHORT toward gap fill at $450.00
• Target: $450.00 (gap filled), close position
Scenario C (Gap-Fill Rejection):
• Price drifts to $450.00 (gap filled) early in session
• ORB establishes $450-$451 after gap fill
• ORB breaks upward to $451.50
• Trade: LONG breakout (gap is filled, now resume rally)
ORB Fusion Integration: [/b>
Dashboard shows:
• Gap type (Up/Down/None)
• Gap size (percentage)
• Gap fill status (Filled ✓ / Open)
This informs setup confidence:
• ORB breakout AWAY from unfilled gap: +10% confidence (gap becomes support/resistance)
• ORB breakout TOWARD unfilled gap: -10% confidence (gap fill may override ORB)
[b>📈 VWAP & INSTITUTIONAL BIAS [/b>
[b>Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP): [/b>
Average price weighted by volume at each price level. Represents true "average" cost for the day.
[b>Calculation: Institutional Benchmark [/b>: Institutions (mutual funds, pension funds) use VWAP as performance benchmark. If they buy above VWAP, they underperformed; below VWAP, they outperformed.
2. [b>Algorithmic Target [/b>: Many algos are programmed to buy below VWAP and sell above VWAP to achieve "fair" execution.
3. [b>Support/Resistance [/b>: VWAP acts as dynamic support (price above) or resistance (price below).
[b>VWAP Bands (Standard Deviations): [/b>
• [b>1σ Band [/b>: VWAP ± 1 standard deviation
- Contains ~68% of volume
- Normal trading range
- Bounces common
• [b>2σ Band [/b>: VWAP ± 2 standard deviations
- Contains ~95% of volume
- Extreme extension
- Mean reversion likely
ORB + VWAP Confluence: [/b>
Highest-probability setups occur when ORB and VWAP align:
Bullish Confluence: [/b>
• ORB breakout upward (bullish signal)
• Price above VWAP (institutional buying)
• Confidence boost: +15%
Bearish Confluence: [/b>
• ORB breakout downward (bearish signal)
• Price below VWAP (institutional selling)
• Confidence boost: +15%
[b>Divergence Warning:
• ORB breakout upward BUT price below VWAP
• Conflict: Breakout says "buy," VWAP says "sell"
• Confidence penalty: -10%
• Interpretation: Retail buying but institutions not participating (lower quality breakout)
📊 MOMENTUM CONTEXT SYSTEM
[b>Innovation: Candle Coloring by Position
Rather than fixed support/resistance lines, ORB Fusion colors candles based on their [b>relationship to ORB :
[b>Three Zones: [/b>
1. Inside ORB (Blue Boxes): [/b>
[b>Calculation:
• Darker blue: Near extremes of ORB (potential breakout imminent)
• Lighter blue: Near ORB mid (consolidation)
[b>Trading: [/b> Coiled spring—await breakout.
[b>2. Above ORB (Green Boxes):
[b>Calculation: 3. Below ORB (Red Boxes):
Mirror of above ORB logic.
[b>Special Contexts: [/b>
[b>Breakout Bar (Darkest Green/Red): [/b>
The specific bar where breakout occurs gets maximum color intensity regardless of distance. This highlights the pivotal moment.
[b>Failed Breakout Bar (Orange/Warning): [/b>
When failed breakout is confirmed, that bar gets orange/warning color. Visual alert: "reversal opportunity here."
[b>Near Extension (Cyan/Magenta Tint): [/b>
When price is within 0.5 ATR of an extension level, candle gets tinted cyan (bull) or magenta (bear). Indicates "target approaching—prepare to take profit."
[b>Why Visual Context? [/b>
Traditional indicators show lines. ORB Fusion shows [b>context-aware momentum [/b>. Glance at chart:
• Lots of blue? Consolidation day (fade extremes).
• Progressive green? Trend day (follow).
• Green then orange? Failed breakout (reversal setup).
This visual language communicates market state instantly—no interpretation needed.
🎯 TRADE SETUP GENERATION & GRADING [/b>
[b>Algorithmic Setup Detection: [/b>
ORB Fusion continuously evaluates market state and generates current best trade setup with:
• Action (LONG / SHORT / FADE HIGH / FADE LOW / WAIT)
• Entry price
• Stop loss
• Three targets
• Risk:Reward ratio
• Confidence score (0-100)
• Grade (A+ to D)
[b>Setup Types: [/b>
[b>1. ORB LONG (Bullish Breakout): [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b>
• Bullish ORB breakout confirmed
• Not failed
[b>Parameters:
• Entry: Current close
• Stop: ORB mid (protects against failure)
• T1: ORB High + 0.5x range (1.5x extension)
• T2: ORB High + 1.0x range (2.0x extension)
• T3: ORB High + 1.618x range (2.618x extension)
[b>Confidence Scoring:
[b>Trigger: [/b>
• Bearish breakout occurred
• Failed (returned inside ORB)
[b>Parameters: [/b>
• Entry: Close when failure confirmed
• Stop: Extreme low since breakout + 0.10 ATR
• T1: ORB Low + 0.5x range
• T2: ORB Low + 1.0x range (ORB mid)
• T3: ORB Low + 1.5x range
[b>Confidence Scoring:
[b>Trigger:
• Inside ORB
• Close > ORB mid (near high)
[b>Parameters: [/b>
• Entry: ORB High (limit order)
• Stop: ORB High + 0.2x range
• T1: ORB Mid
• T2: ORB Low
[b>Confidence Scoring: [/b>
Base: 40 points (lower base—range fading is lower probability than breakout/reversal)
[b>Use Case: [/b> Rotation days. Not recommended on normal/trend days.
[b>6. FADE LOW (Range Trade):
Mirror of FADE HIGH.
[b>7. WAIT:
[b>Trigger: [/b>
• ORB not complete yet OR
• No clear setup (price in no-man's-land)
[b>Action: [/b> Observe, don't trade.
[b>Confidence: [/b> 0 points
[b>Grading System:
```
Confidence → Grade
85-100 → A+
75-84 → A
65-74 → B+
55-64 → B
45-54 → C
0-44 → D
```
[b>Grade Interpretation: [/b>
• [b>A+ / A: High probability setup. Take these trades.
• [b>B+ / B [/b>: Decent setup. Trade if fits system rules.
• [b>C [/b>: Marginal setup. Only if very experienced.
• [b>D [/b>: Poor setup or no setup. Don't trade.
[b>Example Scenario: [/b>
ES futures:
• ORB: 5842-5850 (8 point range)
• Bullish breakout to 5851 confirmed
• Volume: 2.0x average (confirmed)
• VWAP: 5845 (price above VWAP ✓)
• Day type: Developing (too early, no bonus)
• Gap: None
[b>Setup: [/b>
• Action: LONG
• Entry: 5851
• Stop: 5846 (ORB mid, -5 point risk)
• T1: 5854 (+3 points, 1:0.6 R:R)
• T2: 5858 (+7 points, 1:1.4 R:R)
• T3: 5862.94 (+11.94 points, 1:2.4 R:R)
[b>Confidence: LONG with 55% confidence.
Interpretation: Solid setup, not perfect. Trade it if your system allows B-grade signals.
[b>📊 STATISTICS TRACKING & PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS [/b>
[b>Real-Time Performance Metrics: [/b>
ORB Fusion tracks comprehensive statistics over user-defined lookback (default 50 days):
[b>Breakout Performance: [/b>
• [b>Bull Breakouts: [/b> Total count, wins, losses, win rate
• [b>Bear Breakouts: [/b> Total count, wins, losses, win rate
[b>Win Definition: [/b> Breakout reaches ≥1.0x extension (doubles the opening range) before end of day.
[b>Example: [/b>
• ORB: 5842-5850 (8 points)
• Bull breakout at 5851
• Reaches 5858 (1.0x extension) by close
• Result: WIN
[b>Failed Breakout Performance: [/b>
• [b>Total Failed Breakouts [/b>: Count of breakouts that failed
• [b>Reversal Wins [/b>: Count where reversal trade reached target
• [b>Failed Reversal Win Rate [/b>: Wins / Total Failed
[b>Win Definition for Reversals: [/b>
• Failed bull → reversal short reaches ORB mid
• Failed bear → reversal long reaches ORB mid
[b>Extension Tracking: [/b>
• [b>Average Extension Reached [/b>: Mean of maximum extension achieved across all breakout days
• [b>Max Extension Overall [/b>: Largest extension ever achieved in lookback period
[b>Example: 🎨 THREE DISPLAY MODES
[b>Design Philosophy: [/b>
Not all traders need all features. Beginners want simplicity. Professionals want everything. ORB Fusion adapts.
[b>SIMPLE MODE: [/b>
[b>Shows: [/b>
• Primary ORB levels (High, Mid, Low)
• ORB box
• Breakout signals (triangles)
• Failed breakout signals (crosses)
• Basic dashboard (ORB status, breakout status, setup)
• VWAP
[b>Hides: [/b>
• Session ORBs (Asian, London, NY)
• IB levels and extensions
• ORB extensions beyond basic levels
• Gap analysis visuals
• Statistics dashboard
• Momentum candle coloring
• Narrative dashboard
[b>Use Case: [/b>
• Traders who want clean chart
• Focus on core ORB concept only
• Mobile trading (less screen space)
[b>STANDARD MODE:
[b>Shows Everything in Simple Plus: [/b>
• Session ORBs (Asian, London, NY)
• IB levels (high, low, mid)
• IB extensions
• ORB extensions (1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x)
• Gap analysis and fill targets
• VWAP bands (1σ and 2σ)
• Momentum candle coloring
• Context section in dashboard
• Narrative dashboard
[b>Hides: [/b>
• Advanced extensions (2.618x, 3.0x)
• Detailed statistics dashboard
[b>Use Case: [/b>
• Most traders
• Balance between information and clarity
• Covers 90% of use cases
[b>ADVANCED MODE:
[b>Shows Everything:
• All session ORBs
• All IB levels and extensions
• All ORB extensions (including 2.618x and 3.0x)
• Full gap analysis
• VWAP with both 1σ and 2σ bands
• Momentum candle coloring
• Complete statistics dashboard
• Narrative dashboard
• All context metrics
[b>Use Case: [/b>
• Professional traders
• System developers
• Those who want maximum information density
[b>Switching Modes: [/b>
Single dropdown input: "Display Mode" → Simple / Standard / Advanced
Entire indicator adapts instantly. No need to toggle 20 individual settings.
📖 NARRATIVE DASHBOARD
[b>Innovation: Plain-English Market State [/b>
Most indicators show data. ORB Fusion explains what the data [b>means [/b>.
[b>Narrative Components: [/b>
[b>1. Phase: [/b>
• "📍 Building ORB..." (during ORB session)
• "📊 Trading Phase" (after ORB complete)
• "⏳ Pre-Market" (before ORB session)
[b>2. Status (Current Observation): [/b>
• "⚠️ Failed breakout - reversal likely"
• "🚀 Bullish momentum in play"
• "📉 Bearish momentum in play"
• "⚖️ Consolidating in range"
• "👀 Monitoring for setup"
[b>3. Next Level:
Tells you what to watch for:
• "🎯 1.5x @ 5854.00" (next extension target)
• "Watch ORB levels" (inside range, await breakout)
[b>4. Setup: [/b>
Current trade setup + grade:
• "LONG " (bullish breakout, A-grade)
• "🔥 SHORT REVERSAL " (failed bull breakout, A+-grade)
• "WAIT " (no setup)
[b>5. Reason: [/b>
Why this setup exists:
• "ORB Bullish Breakout"
• "Failed Bear Breakout - High Probability Reversal"
• "Range Fade - Near High"
[b>6. Tip (Market Insight):
Contextual advice:
• "🔥 TREND DAY - Trail stops" (day type is trending)
• "🔄 ROTATION - Fade extremes" (day type is rotating)
• "📊 Gap unfilled - magnet level" (gap creates target)
• "📈 Normal conditions" (no special context)
[b>Example Narrative:
```
📖 ORB Narrative
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Phase | 📊 Trading Phase
Status | 🚀 Bullish momentum in play
Next | 🎯 1.5x @ 5854.00
📈 Setup | LONG
Reason | ORB Bullish Breakout
💡 Tip | 🔥 TREND DAY - Trail stops
```
[b>Glance Interpretation: [/b>
"We're in trading phase. Bullish breakout happened (momentum in play). Next target is 1.5x extension at 5854. Current setup is LONG with A-grade. It's a trend day, so trail stops (don't take early profits)."
Complete market state communicated in 6 lines. No interpretation needed.
[b>Why This Matters:
Beginner traders struggle with "So what?" question. Indicators show lines and signals, but what does it mean [/b>? Narrative dashboard bridges this gap.
Professional traders benefit too—rapid context assessment during fast-moving markets. No time to analyze; glance at narrative, get action plan.
🔔 INTELLIGENT ALERT SYSTEM
[b>Four Alert Types: [/b>
[b>1. Breakout Alert: [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b> ORB breakout confirmed (bull or bear)
[b>Message: [/b>
```
🚀 ORB BULLISH BREAKOUT
Price: 5851.00
Volume Confirmed
Grade: A
```
[b>Frequency: [/b> Once per bar (prevents spam)
[b>2. Failed Breakout Alert: [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b> Breakout fails, reversal setup generated
[b>Message: [/b>
```
🔥 FAILED BULLISH BREAKOUT!
HIGH PROBABILITY SHORT REVERSAL
Entry: 5848.00
Stop: 5854.00
T1: 5846.00
T2: 5842.00
Historical Win Rate: 73%
```
[b>Why Comprehensive? [/b> Failed breakout alerts include complete trade plan. You can execute immediately from alert—no need to check chart.
[b>3. Extension Alert:
[b>Trigger: [/b> Price reaches extension level for first time
[b>Message: [/b>
```
🎯 Bull Extension 1.5x reached @ 5854.00
```
[b>Use: [/b> Profit-taking reminder. When extension hit, consider scaling out.
[b>4. IB Break Alert: [/b>
[b>Trigger: [/b> Price breaks above IB high or below IB low
[b>Message: [/b>
```
📊 IB HIGH BROKEN - Potential Trend Day
```
[b>Use: [/b> Day type classification. IB break suggests trend day developing—adjust strategy to trend-following mode.
[b>Alert Management: [/b>
Each alert type can be enabled/disabled independently. Prevents notification overload.
[b>Cooldown Logic: [/b>
Alerts won't fire if same alert type triggered within last bar. Prevents:
• "Breakout" alert every tick during choppy breakout
• Multiple "extension" alerts if price oscillates at level
Ensures: One clean alert per event.
⚙️ KEY PARAMETERS EXPLAINED
[b>Opening Range Settings: [/b>
• [b>ORB Timeframe [/b> (5/15/30/60 min): Duration of opening range window
- 30 min recommended for most traders
• [b>Use RTH Only [/b> (ON/OFF): Only trade during regular trading hours
- ON recommended (avoids thin overnight markets)
• [b>Use LTF Precision [/b> (ON/OFF): Sample 1-minute bars for accuracy
- ON recommended (critical for charts >1 minute)
• [b>Precision TF [/b> (1/5 min): Timeframe for LTF sampling
- 1 min recommended (most accurate)
[b>Session ORBs: [/b>
• [b>Show Asian/London/NY ORB [/b> (ON/OFF): Display multi-session ranges
- OFF in Simple mode
- ON in Standard/Advanced if trading 24hr markets
• [b>Session Windows [/b>: Time ranges for each session ORB
- Defaults align with major session opens
[b>Initial Balance: [/b>
• [b>Show IB [/b> (ON/OFF): Display Initial Balance levels
- ON recommended for day type classification
• [b>IB Session Window [/b> (0930-1030): First hour of trading
- Default is standard for US equities
• [b>Show IB Extensions [/b> (ON/OFF): Project IB extension targets
- ON recommended (identifies trend days)
• [b>IB Extensions 1-4 [/b> (0.5x, 1.0x, 1.5x, 2.0x): Extension multipliers
- Defaults are Market Profile standard
[b>ORB Extensions: [/b>
• [b>Show Extensions [/b> (ON/OFF): Project ORB extension targets
- ON recommended (defines profit targets)
• [b>Enable Individual Extensions [/b> (1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x, 2.618x, 3.0x)
- Enable 1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x minimum
- Disable 2.618x and 3.0x unless trading very volatile instruments
[b>Breakout Detection:
• [b>Confirmation Method [/b> (Close/Wick/Body):
- Close recommended (best balance)
- Wick for scalping
- Body for conservative
• [b>Require Volume Confirmation [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (increases reliability)
• [b>Volume Multiplier [/b> (1.0-3.0):
- 1.5x recommended
- Lower for thin instruments
- Higher for heavy volume instruments
[b>Failed Breakout System: [/b>
• [b>Enable Failed Breakouts [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON strongly recommended (highest edge)
• [b>Bars to Confirm Failure [/b> (2-10):
- 3 bars recommended
- 2 for aggressive (more signals, more false failures)
- 5+ for conservative (fewer signals, higher quality)
• [b>Failure Buffer [/b> (0.0-0.5 ATR):
- 0.1 ATR recommended
- Filters noise during consolidation near ORB level
• [b>Show Reversal Targets [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (visualizes trade plan)
• [b>Reversal Target Mults [/b> (0.5x, 1.0x, 1.5x):
- Defaults are tested values
- Adjust based on average daily range
[b>Gap Analysis:
• [b>Show Gap Analysis [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON if trading instruments that gap frequently
- OFF for 24hr markets (forex, crypto—no gaps)
• [b>Gap Fill Target [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON to visualize previous close (gap fill level)
[b>VWAP:
• [b>Show VWAP [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (key institutional level)
• [b>Show VWAP Bands [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON in Standard/Advanced
- OFF in Simple
• [b>Band Multipliers (1.0σ, 2.0σ):
- Defaults are standard
- 1σ = normal range, 2σ = extreme
[b>Day Type: [/b>
• [b>Show Day Type Analysis [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON recommended (critical for strategy adaptation)
• [b>Trend Day Threshold [/b> (1.0-2.5 IB mult):
- 1.5x recommended
- When price extends >1.5x IB, classifies as Trend Day
[b>Enhanced Visuals:
• [b>Show Momentum Candles [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON for visual context
- OFF if chart gets too colorful
• [b>Show Gradient Zone Fills [/b> (ON/OFF):
- ON for professional look
- OFF for minimalist chart
• [b>Label Display Mode [/b> (All/Adaptive/Minimal):
- Adaptive recommended (shows nearby labels only)
- All for information density
- Minimal for clean chart
• [b>Label Proximity [/b> (1.0-5.0 ATR):
- 3.0 ATR recommended
- Labels beyond this distance are hidden (Adaptive mode)
[b>🎓 PROFESSIONAL USAGE PROTOCOL [/b>
[b>Phase 1: Learning the System (Week 1) [/b>
[b>Goal: [/b> Understand ORB concepts and dashboard interpretation
[b>Setup: [/b>
• Display Mode: STANDARD
• ORB Timeframe: 30 minutes
• Enable ALL features (IB, extensions, failed breakouts, VWAP, gap analysis)
• Enable statistics tracking
[b>Actions: [/b>
• Paper trade ONLY—no real money
• Observe ORB formation every day (9:30-10:00 AM ET for US markets)
• Note when ORB breakouts occur and if they extend
• Note when breakouts fail and reversals happen
• Watch day type classification evolve during session
• Track statistics—which setups are working?
[b>Key Learning: [/b>
• How often do breakouts reach 1.5x extension? (typically 50-60% of confirmed breakouts)
• How often do breakouts fail? (typically 30-40%)
• Which setup grade (A/B/C) actually performs best? (should see A-grade outperforming)
• What day type produces best results? (trend days favor breakouts, rotation days favor fades)
[b>Phase 2: Parameter Optimization (Week 2) [/b>
[b>Goal: [/b> Tune system to your instrument and timeframe
[b>ORB Timeframe Selection:
• Run 5 days with 15-minute ORB
• Run 5 days with 30-minute ORB
• Compare: Which captures better breakouts on your instrument?
• Typically: 30-minute optimal for most, 15-minute for very liquid (ES, SPY)
[b>Volume Confirmation Testing:
• Run 5 days WITH volume confirmation
• Run 5 days WITHOUT volume confirmation
• Compare: Does volume confirmation increase win rate?
• If win rate improves by >5%: Keep volume confirmation ON
• If no improvement: Turn OFF (avoid missing valid breakouts)
[b>Failed Breakout Bars:
[b>Goal: [/b> Develop personal trading rules based on system signals
[b>Setup Selection Rules: [/b>
Define which setups you'll trade:
• [b>Conservative: [/b> Only A+ and A grades
• [b>Balanced: [/b> A+, A, B+ grades
• [b>Aggressive: [/b> All grades B and above
Test each approach for 5-10 trades, compare results.
[b>Position Sizing by Grade: [/b>
Consider risk-weighting by setup quality:
• A+ grade: 100% position size
• A grade: 75% position size
• B+ grade: 50% position size
• B grade: 25% position size
Example: If max risk is $1000/trade:
• A+ setup: Risk $1000
• A setup: Risk $750
• B+ setup: Risk $500
This matches bet sizing to edge.
[b>Day Type Adaptation: [/b>
Create rules for different day types:
Trend Days:
• Take ALL breakout signals (A/B/C grades)
• Hold for 2.0x extension minimum
• Trail stops aggressively (1.0 ATR trail)
• DON'T fade—reversals unlikely
Rotation Days:
• ONLY take failed breakout reversals
• Ignore initial breakout signals (likely to fail)
• Take profits quickly (0.5x extension)
• Focus on fade setups (Fade High/Fade Low)
Normal Days:
• Take A/A+ breakout signals only
• Take ALL failed breakout reversals (high probability)
• Target 1.0-1.5x extensions
• Partial profit-taking at extensions
Time-of-Day Rules: [/b>
Breakouts at different times have different probabilities:
10:00-10:30 AM (Early Breakout):
• ORB just completed
• Fresh breakout
• Probability: Moderate (50-55% reach 1.0x)
• Strategy: Conservative position sizing
10:30-12:00 PM (Mid-Morning):
• Momentum established
• Volume still healthy
• Probability: High (60-65% reach 1.0x)
• Strategy: Standard position sizing
12:00-2:00 PM (Lunch Doldrums):
• Volume dries up
• Whipsaw risk increases
• Probability: Low (40-45% reach 1.0x)
• Strategy: Avoid new entries OR reduce size 50%
2:00-4:00 PM (Afternoon Session):
• Late-day positioning
• EOD squeezes possible
• Probability: Moderate-High (55-60%)
• Strategy: Watch for IB break—if trending all day, follow
[b>Phase 4: Live Micro-Sizing (Month 2) [/b>
[b>Goal: [/b> Validate paper trading results with minimal risk
[b>Setup: [/b>
• 10-20% of intended full position size
• Take ONLY A+ and A grade setups
• Follow stop loss and targets religiously
[b>Execution: [/b>
• Execute from alerts OR from dashboard setup box
• Entry: Close of signal bar OR next bar market order
• Stop: Use exact stop from setup (don't widen)
• Targets: Scale out at T1/T2/T3 as indicated
[b>Tracking: [/b>
• Log every trade: Entry, Exit, Grade, Outcome, Day Type
• Calculate: Win rate, Average R-multiple, Max consecutive losses
• Compare to paper trading results (should be within 15%)
[b>Red Flags: [/b>
• Win rate <45%: System not suitable for this instrument/timeframe
• Major divergence from paper trading: Execution issues (slippage, late entries, emotional exits)
• Max consecutive losses >8: Hitting rough patch OR market regime changed
[b>Phase 5: Scaling Up (Months 3-6)
[b>Goal: [/b> Gradually increase to full position size
[b>Progression: [/b>
• Month 3: 25-40% size (if micro-sizing profitable)
• Month 4: 40-60% size
• Month 5: 60-80% size
• Month 6: 80-100% size
[b>Milestones Required to Scale Up: [/b>
• Minimum 30 trades at current size
• Win rate ≥48%
• Profit factor ≥1.2
• Max drawdown <20%
• Emotional control (no revenge trading, no FOMO)
[b>Advanced Techniques:
[b>Multi-Timeframe ORB: Assumes first 30-60 minutes establish value. Violation: Market opens after major news, price discovery continues for hours (opening range meaningless).
2. [b>Volume Indicates Conviction: ES, NQ, RTY, SPY, QQQ—high liquidity, clean ORB formation, reliable extensions
• [b>Large-Cap Stocks: AAPL, MSFT, TSLA, NVDA (>$5B market cap, >5M daily volume)
• [b>Liquid Futures: CL (crude oil), GC (gold), 6E (EUR/USD), ZB (bonds)—24hr markets benefit from session ORBs
• [b>Major Forex Pairs: [/b> EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY—London/NY session ORBs work well
[b>Performs Poorly On: [/b>
• [b>Illiquid Stocks: <$1M daily volume, wide spreads, gappy price action
• [b>Penny Stocks: [/b> Manipulated, pump-and-dump, no real price discovery
• [b>Low-Volume ETFs: Exotic sector ETFs, leveraged products with thin volume
• [b>Crypto on Sketchy Exchanges: Wash trading, spoofing invalidates volume analysis
• [b>Earnings Days: [/b> ORB completes before earnings release, then completely resets (useless)
• Binary Event Days: FDA approvals, court rulings—discontinuous price action
[b>Known Weaknesses: [/b>
• [b>Slow Starts: ORB doesn't complete until 10:00 AM (30-min ORB). Early morning traders have no signals for 30 minutes. Consider using 15-minute ORB if this is problematic.
• [b>Failure Detection Lag: [/b> Failed breakout requires 3+ bars to confirm. By the time system signals reversal, price may have already moved significantly back inside range. Manual traders watching in real-time can enter earlier.
• [b>Extension Overshoot: [/b> System projects extensions mathematically (1.5x, 2.0x, etc.). Actual moves may stop short (1.3x) or overshoot (2.2x). Extensions are targets, not magnets.
• [b>Day Type Misclassification: [/b> Early in session, day type is "Developing." By the time it's classified definitively (often 11:00 AM+), half the day is over. Strategy adjustments happen late.
• [b>Gap Assumptions: [/b> System assumes gaps want to fill. Strong trend days never fill gaps (gap becomes support/resistance forever). Blindly trading toward gaps can backfire on trend days.
• [b>Volume Data Quality: Forex doesn't have centralized volume (uses tick volume as proxy—less reliable). Crypto volume is often fake (wash trading). Volume confirmation less effective on these instruments.
• [b>Multi-Session Complexity: [/b> When using Asian/London/NY ORBs simultaneously, chart becomes cluttered. Requires discipline to focus on relevant session for current time.
[b>Risk Factors: [/b>
• [b>Opening Gaps: Large gaps (>2%) can create distorted ORBs. Opening range might be unusually wide or narrow, making extensions unreliable.
• [b>Low Volatility Environments:[/b> When VIX <12, opening ranges can be tiny (0.2-0.3%). Extensions are equally tiny. Profit targets don't justify commission/slippage.
• [b>High Volatility Environments:[/b> When VIX >30, opening ranges are huge (2-3%+). Extensions project unrealistic targets. Failed breakouts happen faster (volatility whipsaw).
• [b>Algorithm Dominance:[/b> In heavily algorithmic markets (ES during overnight session), ORB levels can be manipulated—algos pin price to ORB high/low intentionally. Breakouts become stop-runs rather than genuine directional moves.
[b>⚠️ RISK DISCLOSURE[/b>
Trading futures, stocks, options, forex, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Opening Range Breakout strategies, while based on sound market structure principles, do not guarantee profits and can result in significant losses.
The ORB Fusion indicator implements professional trading concepts including Opening Range theory, Market Profile Initial Balance analysis, Fibonacci extensions, and failed breakout reversal logic. These methodologies have theoretical foundations but past performance—whether backtested or live—is not indicative of future results.
Opening Range theory assumes the first 30-60 minutes of trading establish a meaningful value area and that breakouts from this range signal directional conviction. This assumption may not hold during:
• Major news events (FOMC, NFP, earnings surprises)
• Market structure changes (circuit breakers, trading halts)
• Low liquidity periods (holidays, early closures)
• Algorithmic manipulation or spoofing
Failed breakout detection relies on patterns of trapped participant behavior. While historically these patterns have shown statistical edges, market conditions change. Institutional algorithms, changing market structure, or regime shifts can reduce or eliminate edges that existed historically.
Initial Balance classification (trend day vs rotation day vs normal day) is a heuristic framework, not a deterministic prediction. Day type can change mid-session. Early classification may prove incorrect as the day develops.
Extension projections (1.272x, 1.5x, 1.618x, 2.0x, etc.) are probabilistic targets derived from Fibonacci ratios and empirical market behavior. They are not "support and resistance levels" that price must reach or respect. Markets can stop short of extensions, overshoot them, or ignore them entirely.
Volume confirmation assumes high volume indicates institutional participation and conviction. In algorithmic markets, volume can be artificially high (HFT activity) or artificially low (dark pools, internalization). Volume is a proxy, not a guarantee of conviction.
LTF precision sampling improves ORB accuracy by using 1-minute bars but introduces additional data dependencies. If 1-minute data is unavailable, inaccurate, or delayed, ORB calculations will be incorrect.
The grading system (A+/A/B+/B/C/D) and confidence scores aggregate multiple factors (volume, VWAP, day type, IB expansion, gap context) into a single assessment. This is a mechanical calculation, not artificial intelligence. The system cannot adapt to unprecedented market conditions or events outside its programmed logic.
Real trading involves slippage, commissions, latency, partial fills, and rejected orders not present in indicator calculations. ORB Fusion generates signals at bar close; actual fills occur with delay. Opening range forms during highest volatility (first 30 minutes)—spreads widen, slippage increases. Execution quality significantly impacts realized results.
Statistics tracking (win rates, extension levels reached, day type distribution) is based on historical bars in your lookback window. If lookback is small (<50 bars) or market regime changed, statistics may not represent future probabilities.
Users must independently validate system performance on their specific instruments, timeframes, and broker execution environment. Paper trade extensively (100+ trades minimum) before risking capital. Start with micro position sizing (5-10% of intended size) for 50+ trades to validate execution quality matches expectations.
Never risk more than you can afford to lose completely. Use proper position sizing (0.5-2% risk per trade maximum). Implement stop losses on every single trade without exception. Understand that most retail traders lose money—sophisticated indicators do not change this fundamental reality. They systematize analysis but cannot eliminate risk.
The developer makes no warranties regarding profitability, suitability, accuracy, reliability, or fitness for any purpose. Users assume full responsibility for all trading decisions, parameter selections, risk management, and outcomes.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and accepted these risk disclosures and limitations, and you accept full responsibility for all trading activity and potential losses.
[b>═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════[/b>
[b>CLOSING STATEMENT[/b>
[b>═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════[/b>
Opening Range Breakout is not a trick. It's a framework. The first 30-60 minutes reveal where participants believe value lies. Breakouts signal directional conviction. Failures signal trapped participants. Extensions define profit targets. Day types dictate strategy. Failed breakouts create the highest-probability reversals.
ORB Fusion doesn't predict the future—it identifies [b>structure[/b>, detects [b>breakouts[/b>, recognizes [b>failures[/b>, and generates [b>probabilistic trade plans[/b> with defined risk and reward.
The edge is not in the opening range itself. The edge is in recognizing when the market respects structure (follow breakouts) versus when it violates structure (fade breakouts). The edge is in detecting failures faster than discretionary traders. The edge is in systematic classification that prevents catastrophic errors—like fading a trend day or holding through rotation.
Most indicators draw lines. ORB Fusion implements a complete institutional trading methodology: Opening Range theory, Market Profile classification, failed breakout intelligence, Fibonacci projections, volume confirmation, gap psychology, and real-time performance tracking.
Whether you're a beginner learning market structure or a professional seeking systematic ORB implementation, this system provides the framework.
"The market's first word is its opening range. Everything after is commentary." — ORB Fusion
TA Confluence Scanner v2.9 | Mint_Algo📘 TA Confluence Scanner
Introduction
The TA Confluence Scanner is a multi-factor trend system designed to filter market noise and identify high-probability trade setups. By combining adaptive algorithms (KAMA) with Price Action methodologies (SMC, Breakouts, Fractals), this indicator operates on the principle of Confluence : a signal is only valid when multiple independent tools agree on the direction.
Instead of relying on a single lagging indicator (like just MA fast and slow crossover), this script acts as a "Scanner," evaluating the market state through Volatility, Trend Structure, and Equilibrium.
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Important Note
To make this "Plug & Play," I have included optimized presets in the settings for different timeframes (1m/15m-1h/4h-1D) and trading styles (Scalper, Intraday, Swing, Investor) tested on symbols:
FX:EURUSD
IG:NASDAQ
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BINANCE:ETHUSD
CAPITALCOM:US500
OANDA:XAUUSD
NASDAQ:AAPL
NASDAQ:TSLA
BUT default settings already include a good preset which excludes most of the noise and grabs the trend better (fewer entries, but quality is higher).
Check the presets at the bottom 👇
───────────────────────────────────────────────────
Core Features
Adaptive Trend Filter (KAMA): Adjusts to market volatility to distinguish between chop and true trends.
SMC Equilibrium (EQ) Fans: A three-tiered dynamic structure (Fast, Medium, Slow) for trailing stops and targets.
Confluence Counter: Visually displays the strength of a signal (e.g., "Strong 4/6") based on how many factors align.
Re-Entry Logic: Identifies low-risk entry points within an existing trend.
Automated S/R & Breakouts: Detects key pivot levels and structural breaks.
───────────────────────────────────────────────────
Settings & Components Breakdown
1. KAMA (Primary Trend Filter)
The backbone of the system. It calculates the Efficiency Ratio (ER) of price movement.
How it works: If the ER is high (strong trend), KAMA follows price closely. If ER is low (ranging), KAMA flattens out to prevent false signals.
Tuning:
Fast (ER ~100/5/60): For Scalping.
Smooth: Default settings are optimized for a balance between lag and noise reduction.
2. SMC Equilibrium (EQ Structure)
Based on the HL2 formula (High+Low / 2), this creates a "fan" of three lines:
EQ1 (Fast): The aggressive line. Used for early exits or scalping stops.
EQ2 (Medium): The baseline trend structure.
EQ3 (Slow): The major trend container. Used for position trading.
Usage: Use these lines to gauge how far price has deviated from its "fair value."
3. Breakout & Internal Trend
Lookback Period: Defines the range for a valid breakout. A lower lookback (e.g., 10) gives earlier signals but more noise; a higher lookback (e.g., 20-30) confirms significant structural breaks.
Internal Trend: A simplified SMA check to ensure immediate momentum aligns with the macro trend.
4. Signal Strength (The Confluence Meter)
The indicator counts active signals from: KAMA, Internal Trend, S/R, FVG, Breakout, and EQ.
Strong Signal: When the count hits your threshold (e.g., 4/6 ). This suggests a high-probability reversal or breakout.
Medium Signal (Triangles): These appear when the trend is active but not all filters align. These are excellent continuation/re-entry points.
───────────────────────────────────────────────────
How to Trade (Strategy Guide)
🎯 The Entry
Wait for a Strong Signal (Large Label). This confirms that volatility, structure, and momentum have aligned.
Conservative: Wait for the candle to close.
Aggressive: Enter on the breakout of the KAMA line.
🔄 Re-Entry & Continuation
Markets rarely move in a straight line.
Scenario: You missed the initial "Strong" entry, or you took profit and want to re-enter.
The Signal: Look for the small Triangles (Medium signals). These often appear after a pullback when price resumes the main trend.
Logic: If the main KAMA trend is still green/red, but the "Strong" signal isn't firing, a Triangle indicates a safe place to add to a position.
⚠️ Pyramiding & Risk Management (Advanced)
The EQ Lines (Fast/Medium/Slow) are designed for a tiered position management strategy:
Entry: Open position (e.g., 0.03 lots).
First Take Profit: When price extends far beyond EQ1 (Fast) , lock in partial profits.
Trailing Stop: Move your Stop Loss to trace the EQ2 (Medium) line.
Trend Riding: Hold the "Runner" portion of your position until price closes back under EQ3 (Slow) or the KAMA line.
Tip: Use William Fractals (Period 2) to pinpoint exact swing highs/lows for tightening stops.
───────────────────────────────────────────────────
Presets & Optimized Settings
To make this "Plug & Play," I have included optimized presets in the settings for different trading styles.
(If you don't see some parameters, that means they are turned off in trading mode)
⚡ SCALPER (1m - 5m)
KAMA:
ER: 100
Fast Length: 15
Slow Length: 30
FVG:
Size %: 0.01
Trend Detection:
Length: 20
Breakout:
Lookback Period: 10
S/R Detection:
Pivot Length: 10
Tolerance: 0.3
SMC EQ:
Default: 10
EQ1: 10
EQ2 (Main): 30
EQ3: 120
Signal Strength:
Strong: 4
Medium: 3
📊 INTRADAY (15m - 1H)
KAMA:
ER: 100
Fast Length: 5
Slow Length: 30
Trend Detection:
Length: 100
Breakout:
Lookback Period: 30
S/R Detection:
Pivot Length: 20
Tolerance: 0.5
SMC EQ:
Default: 10
EQ1: 10
EQ2 (Main): 40
EQ3: 80
Signal Strength:
Strong: 4
Medium: 3
📈 SWING (4H - 1D)
KAMA:
ER: 30
Fast Length: 4
Slow Length: 30
Trend Detection:
Length: 50
Breakout:
Lookback Period: 20
S/R Detection:
Pivot Length: 30
Tolerance: 0.7
SMC EQ:
Default: 10
EQ1: 10
EQ2: 50
EQ3 (Main): 60
Signal Strength:
Strong: 4
Medium: 3
💼 INVESTOR (4H - 1D+)
KAMA:
ER: 30
Fast Length: 5
Slow Length: 10
Trend Detection:
Length: 100
Breakout:
Lookback Period: 50
S/R Detection:
Pivot Length: 30
Tolerance: 0.7
SMC EQ:
Default: 10
EQ1: 10
EQ2: 50
EQ3 (Main): 100
Signal Strength:
Strong: 4
Medium: 3
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Notes
FVG (Fair Value Gaps): Optional. Enable if you trade volatile assets like Crypto/Gold where imbalances are common.
Support/Resistance: The built-in Pivot system is optional. Disable it if you prefer drawing your own levels to keep the chart clean.
Recommended Pairing:
For best results, pair this with a momentum oscillator like RSI to detect the range regime of a trend. Or DI+ and DI- (when it crosses over each other, that means the "range of possible" regime change of a trend).
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Disclaimer:
This tool is for informational purposes only. "Confluence" increases probability but does not guarantee results. Always manage your risk.
CYCLE BY RiotWolftradingDescription of the "CYCLE" Indicator
The "CYCLE" indicator is a custom Pine Script v5 script for TradingView that visualizes cyclic patterns in price action, dividing the trading day into specific sessions and 90-minute quarters (Q1-Q4). It is designed to identify and display market phases (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution, and Continuation/Reversal) along with key support and resistance levels within those sessions. Additionally, it allows customization of boxes, lines, labels, and colors to suit user preferences.
Main Features
Cycle Phases:
Accumulation (1900-0100): Represents the phase where large operators accumulate positions.
Manipulation (0100-0700): Identifies potential manipulative moves to mislead retail traders.
Distribution (0700-1300): The phase where large operators distribute their positions.
Continuation/Reversal (1300-1900): Indicates whether the price continues the trend or reverses.
90-Minute Quarters (Q1-Q4):
Divides each 6-hour cycle (360 minutes) into four 90-minute quarters (Q1: 00:00-01:30, Q2: 01:30-03:00, Q3: 03:00-04:30, Q4: 04:30-06:00 UTC).
Each quarter is displayed with a colored box (Q1: light purple, Q2: light blue, Q3: light gray, Q4: light pink) and labels (defaulted to black).
Support and Resistance Visualization:
Draws boxes or lines (based on settings) showing the high and low levels of each session.
Optionally displays accumulated volume at the highs and lows within the boxes.
Daily Lines and Last 3 Boxes:
How to Use the Indicator
Step 1: Add the Indicator to TradingView
Open TradingView and select the chart where you want to apply the indicator (e.g., UMG9OOR on a 5-minute timeframe, as shown in the screenshot).
Go to the Pine Editor (at the bottom of the TradingView interface).
Copy and paste the provided code.
Click Compile and then Add to Chart.
Step 2: Configure the Indicator
Click on the indicator name on the chart ("CYCLE") and select Settings (or double-click the name).
Adjust the options based on your needs:
Cycle Phases: Enable/disable phases (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution, Continuation/Reversal) and adjust their time slots if needed.
90-Minute Quarters: Enable/disable quarters (Q1-Q4).
Step 3: Interpret the Indicator
Identify Cycle Phases:
Observe the red boxes indicating the phases (Accumulation, Manipulation, etc.).
The high and low levels within each phase are potential support/resistance zones.
If volume is enabled, pay attention to the accumulated volume at highs and lows, as it may indicate the strength of those levels.
Use the 90-Minute Quarters (Q1-Q4):
The colored boxes (Q1-Q4) divide the day into 90-minute segments.
Each quarter shows the price range (high and low) during that period.
Use these boxes to identify price patterns within each quarter, such as breakouts or consolidations.
The labels (Q1, Q2, etc.) help you track time and anticipate potential moves in the next quarter.
Analyze Support and Resistance:
The high and low levels of each phase/quarter act as support and resistance.
Daily lines (if enabled) show key levels from the previous day, useful for planning entries/exits.
The "last 3 boxes below price" (if enabled) highlight potential support levels the price might target.
Avoid Manipulation:
During the Manipulation phase (0100-0700), be cautious of sharp moves or false breakouts.
Use the high/low levels of this phase to identify potential traps (as explained in your first question about manipulation candles).
Step 4: Trading Strategy
Entries and Exits:
Support/Resistance: Use the high/low levels of phases and quarters to set entry or exit points.
For example, if the price bounces off a Q1 support level, consider a buy.
Breakouts: If the price breaks a high/low of a quarter (e.g., Q2), wait for confirmation to enter in the direction of the breakout.
Volume: If accumulated volume is high near a key level, that level may be more significant.
Risk Management:
Place stop-loss orders below lows (for buys) or above highs (for sells) identified by the indicator.
Avoid trading during the Manipulation phase unless you have a specific strategy to handle false breakouts.
Time Context:
Use the quarters (Q1-Q4) to plan your trades based on time. For example, if Q3 is typically volatile in your market, prepare for larger moves between 03:00-04:30 UTC.
Step 5: Adjustments and Testing
Test on Different Timeframes: The indicator is set for a 5-minute timeframe (as in the screenshot), but you can test it on other timeframes (e.g., 1-minute, 15-minute) by adjusting the time slots if needed.
Adjust Colors and Styles: If the default colors are not visible on your chart, change them for better clarity.
---
📌 1. **Accumulation: Strong Institutional Activity**
- During the **accumulation phase, we see **high volume: 82.773K, which suggests strong buying interest**, likely from institutional players.
- This sets the base for the following upward move in price.
---
📌 2. **Manipulation: False Breakout with Lower Volume**
- Later, there's a manipulation phase where price breaks above previous highs, but the volume (71.814K) is **lower than during accumulation**.
- This implies that buyers are not as aggressive as before—no real demandbehind the breakout.
- It’s likely a bull trap, where smart money is selling into the breakout to exit their positions.
---
### 📌 3. Distribution: Weakness and Lack of Demand
- The market enters a distribution phase, and volume drops even further (only 7.914K).
- Price struggles to go higher, and you start seeing rejections at the top.
- This shows that demand is drying up, and smart money is offloading positions**—not accumulating anymore.
---
### 💡 Why Take the Short Here?
- Volume is not increasing with new highs—showing weak demand**.
- The manipulation volume is weaker than the accumulation volume, confirming the breakout was likely false.
- Structure starts to break down (Q levels falling), which confirms weakness.
- This creates a high-probability short setup:
- **Entry:** after confirmation of distribution and structural breakdown.
- **Stop loss:** above the manipulation high.
- **Target:** down toward previous lows or value zones.
---
### ✅ Conclusion
Since the manipulation volume failed to exceed the accumulation volume, the breakout lacked real strength. Combined with decreasing volume in the distribution phase, this indicates fading demand and supply taking control—which justifies entering a short position.
