ADR by Saurabh MaggoADR levels for intraday
This Pine Script v5 indicator plots Average Daily Range (ADR) levels on a 5-minute NSE chart, ideal for intraday traders. It marks key price levels (L3+, L3-, L2+, L2-, L1+, L1-) at 9:15 AM IST each day, based on the daily open and a customizable ATR period.
Features:
Configurable Levels: Adjust ATR period (default 5) and multipliers (L3=0.5, L2=0.25, L1=0.125) to set price targets.
Today Only Option: Toggle Show Recent to display only the current day’s levels or all historical levels.
Visual Customization: Choose vibrant colors for each level via settings, with a glow effect
(toggleable, transparency=20) and adjustable circle size (default 2, range 1–5) for enhanced visibility, optimized for dark chart backgrounds.
Clean Design: Single-point plotting at 9:15 AM IST ensures a clutter-free chart, with dynamic points that move with the chart.
Usage: Perfect for NSE intraday trading, this indicator helps identify high-probability price targets. Customize levels, colors, and visuals to suit your strategy.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "daily"
ADR Pivot LevelsThe ADR (Average Daily Range) indicator shows the average range of price movement over a trading day. The ADR is used to estimate volatility and to determine target levels. It helps to set Take-Profit and Stop-Loss orders. It is suitable for intraday trading on lower time frames.
The “ADR Pivot Levels” produces a sequence of horizontal line levels above and below the Center Line (reference level). They are sized based on the instrument's volatility, representing the average historical price movement on a selected higher timeframe using the average daily range (ADR) indicator.
BACAP PRICE STRUCTURE 21 EMA TREND21dma-STRUCTURE
Overview
The 21dma-STRUCTURE indicator is a sophisticated overlay indicator that visualizes price action relative to a triple 21-period exponential moving average structure. Originally developed by BalarezoCapital and enhanced by PrimeTrading, this indicator provides clear visual cues for trend direction and momentum through dynamic bar coloring and EMA structure analysis.
Key Features
Triple EMA Structure
- 21 EMA High: Tracks the exponential moving average of high prices
- 21 EMA Close: Tracks the exponential moving average of closing prices
- 21 EMA Low: Tracks the exponential moving average of low prices
- Dynamic Cloud: Gray fill between high and low EMAs for visual structure reference
Smart Bar Coloring System
- Blue Bars: Price closes above all three EMAs (strong bullish momentum)
- Pink Bars: Daily high falls below the lowest EMA (strong bearish signal)
- Gray Bars: Neutral conditions or transitional phases
- Color Memory: Maintains previous color until new condition is met
Dynamic Center Line
- Trend-Following Color: Green when all EMAs are rising, red when all are falling
- Color Persistence: Maintains trend color during sideways movement
- Visual Clarity: Thicker center line for easy trend identification
Customizable Visual Elements
- Adjustable line thickness for all EMA plots
- Customizable colors for bullish and bearish conditions
- Configurable trend colors for uptrend and downtrend phases
- Optional bar color changes with toggle control
How to Use
Trend Identification
- Rising Green Center Line: All EMAs trending upward (bullish structure)
- Falling Red Center Line: All EMAs trending downward (bearish structure)
- Flat Center Line: Maintains last trend color during consolidation
Momentum Analysis
- Blue Bars: Strong bullish momentum with price above entire EMA structure
- Pink Bars: Strong bearish momentum with high below lowest EMA
- Gray Bars: Neutral or transitional momentum phases
Entry and Exit Signals
- Bullish Setup: Look for blue bars during green center line periods
- Bearish Setup: Look for pink bars during red center line periods
- Exit Consideration: Watch for color changes as potential momentum shifts
Structure Trading
- Support/Resistance: Use EMA cloud as dynamic support and resistance zones
- Breakout Confirmation: Bar color changes can confirm structure breakouts
- Trend Continuation: Color persistence suggests ongoing momentum
Settings
Visual Customization
- Change Bar Color: Toggle to enable/disable bar coloring
- Line Size: Adjust thickness of EMA lines (default: 3)
- Bullish Candle Color: Customize blue bar color
- Bearish Candle Color: Customize pink bar color
Trend Colors
- Uptrend Color: Color for rising EMA center line (default: green)
- Downtrend Color: Color for falling EMA center line (default: red)
- Cloud Color: Fill color between high and low EMAs (default: gray)
Advanced Features
Modified Bar Logic
Unlike traditional EMA systems, this indicator uses refined conditions:
- Bullish signals require close above ALL three EMAs
- Bearish signals require high below the LOWEST EMA
- Enhanced precision reduces false signals compared to single EMA systems
Trend Memory System
- Intelligent color persistence during sideways movement
- Reduces noise from minor EMA fluctuations
- Maintains trend context during consolidation periods
Performance Optimization
- Efficient calculation methods for real-time performance
- Clean visual design that doesn't clutter charts
- Compatible with all timeframes and instruments
Best Practices
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
- Use higher timeframes to identify overall trend direction
- Apply on multiple timeframes for confluence
- Combine with weekly/monthly charts for position trading
Risk Management
- Use bar color changes as early warning signals
- Consider position sizing based on EMA structure strength
- Set stops relative to EMA support/resistance levels
Combination Strategies
- Pair with volume indicators for confirmation
- Use alongside RSI or MACD for momentum confirmation
- Combine with key support/resistance levels
Market Context
- More effective in trending markets than choppy conditions
- Consider overall market environment and sector strength
- Adjust expectations during high volatility periods
Technical Specifications
- Based on 21-period exponential moving averages
- Uses Pine Script v6 for optimal performance
- Overlay indicator that works with any chart type
- Maximum 500 lines for clean performance
Ideal Applications
- Swing trading on daily charts
- Position trading on weekly charts
- Intraday momentum trading (adjust timeframe accordingly)
- Trend following strategies
- Structure-based trading approaches
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions. Always combine with other forms of analysis, proper risk management, and consider your individual trading plan and risk tolerance.
Compatible with Pine Script v6 | Works on all timeframes | Optimized for trending markets
TBL HTF Highs&LowsThis script plots the previous Daily, Weekly, and Monthly High and Low levels directly on your chart, helping you identify key higher-timeframe support and resistance zones.
Features:
Daily, Weekly, Monthly Lines: Toggle visibility for each timeframe's high/low levels.
Customization Options:
Choose color, style (Solid, Dashed, Dotted), width, and transparency for each line type.
Automatic Updates: Lines update at the start of each new session (day, week, or month).
Summary Table: Displays the latest Pre-Daily High/Low (PDH/PDL), Pre-Weekly High/Low (PWH/PWL), and Pre-Monthly High/Low (PMH/PML) in the top-right corner of the chart.
Configurable Table Font Size: Choose between Tiny, Small, Medium, or Large text.
Use Case:
Ideal for traders who rely on key higher-timeframe levels for confluence, breakout trading, or mean-reversion strategies. The visual lines and summary table provide instant context without cluttering your chart.
Fallback VWAP (No Volume? No Problem!) – Yogi365Fallback VWAP (No Volume? No Problem!) – Yogi365
This script plots Daily, Weekly, and Monthly VWAPs with ±1 Standard Deviation bands. When volume data is missing or zero (common in indices or illiquid assets), it automatically falls back to a TWAP-style calculation, ensuring that your VWAP levels always remain visible and accurate.
Features:
Daily, Weekly, and Monthly VWAPs with ±1 Std Dev bands.
Auto-detection of missing volume and seamless fallback.
Clean, color-coded trend table showing price vs VWAP/bands.
Uses hlc3 for VWAP source.
Labels indicate when fallback is used.
Best Used On:
Any asset or index where volume is unavailable.
Intraday and swing trading.
Works on all timeframes but optimized for overlay use.
How it Works:
If volume == 0, the script uses a constant fallback volume (1), turning the VWAP into a TWAP (Time-Weighted Average Price) — still useful for intraday or index-based analysis.
This ensures consistent plotting on instruments like indices (e.g., NIFTY, SENSEX,DJI etc.) which might not provide volume on TradingView.
Yearly Performance Table with CAGROverview
This Pine Script indicator provides a clear table displaying the annual performance of an asset, along with two different average metrics: the arithmetic mean and the geometric mean (CAGR).
Core Features
Annual Performance Calculation:
Automatically detects the first trading day of each calendar year.
Calculates the percentage return for each full calendar year.
Based on closing prices from the first to the last trading day of the respective year.
Flexible Display:
Adjustable Period: Displays data for 1-50 years (default: 10 years).
Daily Timeframe Only: Functions exclusively on daily charts.
Automatic Update: Always shows the latest available years.
Two Average Metrics:
AVG (Arithmetic Mean)
A simple average of all annual returns. (Formula: (R₁ + R₂ + ... + Rₙ) ÷ n)
Important: Can be misleading in the presence of volatile returns.
GEO (Geometric Mean / CAGR)
Compound Annual Growth Rate. (Formula: ^(1/n) - 1)
Represents the true average annual growth rate.
Fully accounts for the compounding effect.
Limitations
Daily Charts Only: Does not work on intraday or weekly/monthly timeframes.
Calendar Year Basis: Calculations are based on calendar years, not rolling 12-month periods.
Historical Data: Dependent on the availability of historical data from the broker/data provider.
Interpretation of Results
CAGR as Benchmark: The geometric mean is more suitable for performance comparisons.
Annual Patterns: Individual year figures can reveal seasonal or cyclical trends.
DCA Investment Tracker Pro [tradeviZion]DCA Investment Tracker Pro: Educational DCA Analysis Tool
An educational indicator that helps analyze Dollar-Cost Averaging strategies by comparing actual performance with historical data calculations.
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💡 Why I Created This Indicator
As someone who practices Dollar-Cost Averaging, I was frustrated with constantly switching between spreadsheets, calculators, and charts just to understand how my investments were really performing. I wanted to see everything in one place - my actual performance, what I should expect based on historical data, and most importantly, visualize where my strategy could take me over the long term .
What really motivated me was watching friends and family underestimate the incredible power of consistent investing. When Napoleon Bonaparte first learned about compound interest, he reportedly exclaimed "I wonder it has not swallowed the world" - and he was right! Yet most people can't visualize how their $500 monthly contributions today could become substantial wealth decades later.
Traditional DCA tracking tools exist, but they share similar limitations:
Require manual data entry and complex spreadsheets
Use fixed assumptions that don't reflect real market behavior
Can't show future projections overlaid on actual price charts
Lose the visual context of what's happening in the market
Make compound growth feel abstract rather than tangible
I wanted to create something different - a tool that automatically analyzes real market history, detects volatility periods, and shows you both current performance AND educational projections based on historical patterns right on your TradingView charts. As Warren Buffett said: "Someone's sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago." This tool helps you visualize your financial tree growing over time.
This isn't just another calculator - it's a visualization tool that makes the magic of compound growth impossible to ignore.
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🎯 What This Indicator Does
This educational indicator provides DCA analysis tools. Users can input investment scenarios to study:
Theoretical Performance: Educational calculations based on historical return data
Comparative Analysis: Study differences between actual and theoretical scenarios
Historical Projections: Theoretical projections for educational analysis (not predictions)
Performance Metrics: CAGR, ROI, and other analytical metrics for study
Historical Analysis: Calculates historical return data for reference purposes
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🚀 Key Features
Volatility-Adjusted Historical Return Calculation
Analyzes 3-20 years of actual price data for any symbol
Automatically detects high-volatility stocks (meme stocks, growth stocks)
Uses median returns for volatile stocks, standard CAGR for stable stocks
Provides conservative estimates when extreme outlier years are detected
Smart fallback to manual percentages when data insufficient
Customizable Performance Dashboard
Educational DCA performance analysis with compound growth calculations
Customizable table sizing (Tiny to Huge text options)
9 positioning options (Top/Middle/Bottom + Left/Center/Right)
Theme-adaptive colors (automatically adjusts to dark/light mode)
Multiple display layout options
Future Projection System
Visual future growth projections
Timeframe-aware calculations (Daily/Weekly/Monthly charts)
1-30 year projection options
Shows projected portfolio value and total investment amounts
Investment Insights
Performance vs benchmark comparison
ROI from initial investment tracking
Monthly average return analysis
Investment milestone alerts (25%, 50%, 100% gains)
Contribution tracking and next milestone indicators
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📊 Step-by-Step Setup Guide
1. Investment Settings 💰
Initial Investment: Enter your starting lump sum (e.g., $60,000)
Monthly Contribution: Set your regular DCA amount (e.g., $500/month)
Return Calculation: Choose "Auto (Stock History)" for real data or "Manual" for fixed %
Historical Period: Select 3-20 years for auto calculations (default: 10 years)
Start Year: When you began investing (e.g., 2020)
Current Portfolio Value: Your actual portfolio worth today (e.g., $150,000)
2. Display Settings 📊
Table Sizes: Choose from Tiny, Small, Normal, Large, or Huge
Table Positions: 9 options - Top/Middle/Bottom + Left/Center/Right
Visibility Toggles: Show/hide Main Table and Stats Table independently
3. Future Projection 🔮
Enable Projections: Toggle on to see future growth visualization
Projection Years: Set 1-30 years ahead for analysis
Live Example - NASDAQ:META Analysis:
Settings shown: $60K initial + $500/month + Auto calculation + 10-year history + 2020 start + $150K current value
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🔬 Pine Script Code Examples
Core DCA Calculations:
// Calculate total invested over time
months_elapsed = (year - start_year) * 12 + month - 1
total_invested = initial_investment + (monthly_contribution * months_elapsed)
// Compound growth formula for initial investment
theoretical_initial_growth = initial_investment * math.pow(1 + annual_return, years_elapsed)
// Future Value of Annuity for monthly contributions
monthly_rate = annual_return / 12
fv_contributions = monthly_contribution * ((math.pow(1 + monthly_rate, months_elapsed) - 1) / monthly_rate)
// Total expected value
theoretical_total = theoretical_initial_growth + fv_contributions
Volatility Detection Logic:
// Detect extreme years for volatility adjustment
extreme_years = 0
for i = 1 to historical_years
yearly_return = ((price_current / price_i_years_ago) - 1) * 100
if yearly_return > 100 or yearly_return < -50
extreme_years += 1
// Use median approach for high volatility stocks
high_volatility = (extreme_years / historical_years) > 0.2
calculated_return = high_volatility ? median_of_returns : standard_cagr
Performance Metrics:
// Calculate key performance indicators
absolute_gain = actual_value - total_invested
total_return_pct = (absolute_gain / total_invested) * 100
roi_initial = ((actual_value - initial_investment) / initial_investment) * 100
cagr = (math.pow(actual_value / initial_investment, 1 / years_elapsed) - 1) * 100
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📊 Real-World Examples
See the indicator in action across different investment types:
Stable Index Investments:
AMEX:SPY (SPDR S&P 500) - Shows steady compound growth with standard CAGR calculations
Classic DCA success story: $60K initial + $500/month starting 2020. The indicator shows SPY's historical 10%+ returns, demonstrating how consistent broad market investing builds wealth over time. Notice the smooth theoretical growth line vs actual performance tracking.
MIL:VUAA (Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS) - Shows both data limitation and solution approaches
Data limitation example: VUAA shows "Manual (Auto Failed)" and "No Data" when default 10-year historical setting exceeds available data. The indicator gracefully falls back to manual percentage input while maintaining all DCA calculations and projections.
MIL:VUAA (Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS) - European ETF with successful 5-year auto calculation
Solution demonstration: By adjusting historical period to 5 years (matching available data), VUAA auto calculation works perfectly. Shows how users can optimize settings for newer assets. European market exposure with EUR denomination, demonstrating DCA effectiveness across different markets and currencies.
NYSE:BRK.B (Berkshire Hathaway) - Quality value investment with Warren Buffett's proven track record
Value investing approach: Berkshire Hathaway's legendary performance through DCA lens. The indicator demonstrates how quality companies compound wealth over decades. Lower volatility than tech stocks = standard CAGR calculations used.
High-Volatility Growth Stocks:
NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) - Demonstrates volatility-adjusted calculations for extreme price swings
High-volatility example: NVIDIA's explosive AI boom creates extreme years that trigger volatility detection. The indicator automatically switches to "Median (High Vol): 50%" calculations for conservative projections, protecting against unrealistic future estimates based on outlier performance periods.
NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla) - Shows how 10-year analysis can stabilize volatile tech stocks
Stable long-term growth: Despite Tesla's reputation for volatility, the 10-year historical analysis (34.8% CAGR) shows consistent enough performance that volatility detection doesn't trigger. Demonstrates how longer timeframes can smooth out extreme periods for more reliable projections.
NASDAQ:META (Meta Platforms) - Shows stable tech stock analysis using standard CAGR calculations
Tech stock with stable growth: Despite being a tech stock and experiencing the 2022 crash, META's 10-year history shows consistent enough performance (23.98% CAGR) that volatility detection doesn't trigger. The indicator uses standard CAGR calculations, demonstrating how not all tech stocks require conservative median adjustments.
Notice how the indicator automatically detects high-volatility periods and switches to median-based calculations for more conservative projections, while stable investments use standard CAGR methods.
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📈 Performance Metrics Explained
Current Portfolio Value: Your actual investment worth today
Expected Value: What you should have based on historical returns (Auto) or your target return (Manual)
Total Invested: Your actual money invested (initial + all monthly contributions)
Total Gains/Loss: Absolute dollar difference between current value and total invested
Total Return %: Percentage gain/loss on your total invested amount
ROI from Initial Investment: How your starting lump sum has performed
CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate of your initial investment (Note: This shows initial investment performance, not full DCA strategy)
vs Benchmark: How you're performing compared to the expected returns
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⚠️ Important Notes & Limitations
Data Requirements: Auto mode requires sufficient historical data (minimum 3 years recommended)
CAGR Limitation: CAGR calculation is based on initial investment growth only, not the complete DCA strategy
Projection Accuracy: Future projections are theoretical and based on historical returns - actual results may vary
Timeframe Support: Works ONLY on Daily (1D), Weekly (1W), and Monthly (1M) charts - no other timeframes supported
Update Frequency: Update "Current Portfolio Value" regularly for accurate tracking
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📚 Educational Use & Disclaimer
This analysis tool can be applied to various stock and ETF charts for educational study of DCA mathematical concepts and historical performance patterns.
Study Examples: Can be used with symbols like AMEX:SPY , NASDAQ:QQQ , AMEX:VTI , NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:GOOGL , NASDAQ:AMZN , NASDAQ:TSLA , NASDAQ:NVDA for learning purposes.
EDUCATIONAL DISCLAIMER: This indicator is a study tool for analyzing Dollar-Cost Averaging strategies. It does not provide investment advice, trading signals, or guarantees. All calculations are theoretical examples for educational purposes only. Past performance does not predict future results. Users should conduct their own research and consult qualified financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
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Cumulative Intraday Volume with Long/Short LabelsThis indicator calculates a running total of volume for each trading day, then shows on the price chart when that total crosses levels you choose. Every day at 6:00 PM Eastern Time, the total goes back to zero so it always reflects only the current day’s activity. From that moment on, each time a new candle appears the indicator looks at whether the candle closed higher than it opened or lower. If it closed higher, the candle’s volume is added to the running total; if it closed lower, the same volume amount is subtracted. As a result, the total becomes positive when buyers have dominated so far today and negative when sellers have dominated.
Because futures markets close at 6 PM ET, the running total resets exactly then, mirroring the way most intraday traders think in terms of a single session. Throughout the day, you will see this running total move up or down according to whether more volume is happening on green or red candles. Once the total goes above a number you specify (for example, one hundred thousand contracts), the indicator will place a small “Long” label at that candle on the main price chart to let you know buying pressure has reached that level. Similarly, once the total goes below a negative number you choose (for example, minus one hundred thousand), a “Short” label will appear at that candle to signal that selling pressure has reached your chosen threshold. You can set these threshold numbers to whatever makes sense for your trading style or the market you follow.
Because raw volume alone never turns negative, this design uses candle direction as a sign. Green candles (where the close is higher than the open) add volume, and red candles (where the close is lower than the open) subtract volume. Summing those signed volume values tells you in a single number whether buying or selling has been stronger so far today. That number resets every evening, so it does not carry over any buying or selling from previous sessions.
Once you have this indicator on your chart, you simply watch the “summed volume” line as it moves throughout the day. If it climbs past your long threshold, you know buyers are firmly in control and a long entry might make sense. If it falls past your short threshold, you know sellers are firmly in control and a short entry might make sense. In quieter markets or times of low volume, you might use a smaller threshold so that even modest buying or selling pressure will trigger a label. During very active periods, a larger threshold will prevent too many signals when volume spikes frequently.
This approach is straightforward but can be surprisingly powerful. It does not rely on complex formulas or hidden statistical measures. Instead, it simply adds and subtracts daily volume based on candle color, then alerts you when that total reaches levels you care about. Over several years of historical testing, this formula has shown an ability to highlight moments when intraday sentiment shifts decisively from buyers to sellers or vice versa. Because the indicator resets every day at 6 PM, it always reflects only today’s sentiment and remains easy to interpret without carrying over past data. You can use it on any intraday timeframe, but it works especially well on five-minute or fifteen-minute charts for futures contracts.
If you want a clear gauge of whether buyers or sellers are dominating in real time, and you prefer a rule-based method rather than a complex model, this indicator gives you exactly that. It shows net buying or selling pressure at a glance, resets each session like most intraday traders do, and marks the moments when that pressure crosses the levels you decide are important. By combining a daily reset with signed volume, you get a single number that tells you precisely what the crowd is doing at any given moment, without any of the guesswork or hidden calculations that more complicated indicators often carry.
NDOG & NWOG Indicatorndicator automatically identifies and displays New Day Opening Gaps (NDOG) and New Week Opening Gaps (NWOG) directly on your chart. It focuses on gaps based on specific session times in the New York (NY) timezone.
Key Features:
NDOG: Identifies the gap between the NY 4:59 PM (daily close) and the NY 6:00 PM (daily open).
NWOG: Identifies the gap between the Friday NY 4:59 PM (weekly close) and the Sunday NY 6:00 PM (weekly open).
Draws customizable lines for the high and low levels of each gap.
Option to show an additional mid-level line for each gap.
Includes options for line colors, styles, and width.
Allows filtering gaps by a minimum size.
Control the maximum number of recent NDOGs and NWOGs displayed.
Optionally shows text labels on the lines and a summary table on the chart.
This tool can help traders visualize potential areas of interest related to these specific opening gaps.
Note: Calculations are based on the "America/New_York" timezone.
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. This indicator is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Use at your own risk.
Key Levels with Alerts
Introducing the "Key Levels with Alerts" Indicator
This powerful and fully customizable indicator for the TradingView platform helps you easily identify and monitor crucial **daily, weekly, and monthly price levels** directly on your chart. Beyond just visual representation, the indicator offers advanced alert capabilities to notify you of any price breaks at these significant areas.
Key Levels Identified by the Indicator
This indicator calculates and displays six vital price levels based on the previous day's, week's, and month's closed candles:
1. **PDH (Previous Day High):** The highest price of the previous day.
2. **PDL (Previous Day Low):** The lowest price of the previous day.
3. **PWH (Previous Week High):** The highest price of the previous week.
4. **PWL (Previous Week Low):** The lowest price of the previous week.
5. **PMH (Previous Month High):** The highest price of the previous month.
6. **PML (Previous Month Low):** The lowest price of the previous month.
Core Features
* **Visual Line Display:** Each of these six levels is plotted as a **horizontal line** on your chart. These lines start from the current candle and extend forward for a specified number of candles (defaulting to 20 candles).
* **Complete Style Customization:** For every level (PDH, PDL, PWH, PWL, PMH, PML), you can **independently customize** the line's color, width, and style (solid, dashed, dotted) directly through the indicator's settings. This feature allows you to easily differentiate between the various levels.
* **Toggleable Labels:** You can choose whether to display text labels like "PDH", "PDL", "PWH", "PWL", "PMH", "PML" at the end of each line. The style of these labels will also automatically match their corresponding line colors.
* **Line Visibility Control:** Beyond just labels, you can also independently **show or hide the lines themselves** for PDH, PDL, PWH, PWL, PMH, and PML.
* **Price Break Alerts:** This is one of the indicator's most important features. You can set up alerts for each of these levels:
* **PDH Break Alert:** Triggers when the price moves above the **Previous Day High**.
* **PDL Break Alert:** Triggers when the price moves below the **Previous Day Low**.
* **PWH Break Alert:** Triggers when the price moves above the **Previous Week High**.
* **PWL Break Alert:** Triggers when the price moves below the **Previous Week Low**.
* **PMH Break Alert:** Triggers when the price moves above the **Previous Month High**.
* **PML Break Alert:** Triggers when the price moves below the **Previous Month Low**.
* **Clear Alert Messages:** Each alert message includes the **symbol or ticker name** (e.g., ` `) so you can quickly identify which asset the alert pertains to and which level has been broken.
* **Enable/Disable Alerts:** You have the flexibility to enable or disable each PDH, PDL, PWH, PWL, PMH, and PML alert independently via the indicator's settings.
Why This Indicator Is Useful
Daily, weekly, and monthly High and Low levels often act as **key support and resistance areas**. Traders use these levels to identify potential entry and exit points, set stop-loss and take-profit targets, and understand overall market sentiment. This indicator, with its clear visualization and timely alerts, helps you effectively leverage this crucial information in your trading strategies.
OA - Sigma BandsDescription:
The OA - Sigma Bands indicator is a fully adaptive, volatility-sensitive dynamic band system designed to detect price expansion and potential breakouts. Unlike traditional fixed-width Bollinger Bands, OA - Sigma Bands adjust their boundaries based on a combination of standard deviation (σ) and Average Daily Range (ADR), making them more responsive to real market behavior and shifts in volatility.
Key Concepts & Logic
This tool constructs three distinct band regions:
Sigma Bands (±σ):
Calculated using the standard deviation of the closing price over a user-defined lookback period. This acts as the core volatility filter to identify statistically significant price deviations.
ADR Zones (±ADR):
These zones provide an additional layer based on the percentage average of daily price ranges over the last 20 bars. They help visualize intraday or short-term expected volatility.
Dynamic Adjustment Logic:
When price breaks outside the upper/lower sigma or ADR boundaries for a defined number of bars (user input), the system recalibrates. This ensures that the bands evolve with volatility and don’t remain outdated in trending markets.
Inputs & Customization
Sigma Multiplier: Set how wide the sigma bands should be (default: 1.5).
Lookback Period: Controls how many bars are used to calculate the standard deviation (default: 200).
Break Confirmation Bars: Determines how many candles must close beyond a boundary to trigger band recalibration.
ADR Period: Internally fixed at 20 bars for stable short-term volatility measurement.
Full Color Customization: Customize the band colors and fill transparency to suit your chart style.
Benefits & Use Cases
Breakout Trading: Detect when price exits statistically significant ranges, confirming trend expansion.
Mean Reversion: Use the outer bands as potential reversion zones in sideways or low-volatility markets.
Volatility Awareness: Visually identify when price is compressed or expanding.
Dynamic Structure: The auto-updating nature makes it more reliable than static historical zones.
Overlay-Ready: Designed to sit directly on price charts with minimal clutter.
Disclaimer
This script is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, financial guidance, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always perform your own research and apply proper risk management before making trading decisions.
If you enjoy this script or find it useful, feel free to give it or leave a comment!
AutoFib Breakout Strategy for Uptrend AssetsThis trading strategy is designed to help you catch powerful upward moves on assets that are in a long-term uptrend, such as Gold (XAUUSD). It uses a popular technical tool called the Fibonacci Extension, combined with a trend filter and a risk-managed exit system.
✅ When to Use This Strategy
• Works best on higher timeframes: Daily (1D), 3-Day (3D), or Weekly (W).
• Best used on uptrending assets like Gold.
• Designed for swing trading – holding trades from a few days to weeks.
📊 How It Works
1. Find the Trend
We only want to trade in the direction of the trend.
• The strategy uses the 200-period EMA (Exponential Moving Average) to identify if the market is in an uptrend.
• If the price is above the 200 EMA, we consider it an uptrend and allow long trades.
2. Identify Breakout Levels
• The strategy detects recent high and low pivot points to draw Fibonacci extension levels.
• It focuses on the 1.618 Fibonacci level, which is often a target in strong trends.
• When the price breaks above this level in an uptrend, it signals a potential momentum breakout – a good time to buy.
3. Enter a Trade
• The strategy enters a long (buy) position when the price closes above the 1.618 Fibonacci level and the market is in an uptrend (above the 200 EMA).
4. Manage Risk Automatically
• The trade includes a stop-loss set to 1x the ATR (Average True Range) below the entry price – this protects against sudden drops.
• It sets a take-profit at 3x the ATR above the entry – aiming for higher rewards than risks.
⚠️ Important Notes
• 📈 Higher Timeframes Preferred: This strategy works best on Daily (D), 3-Day (3D), and Weekly (W) charts, especially on Gold (XAUUSD).
• 🧪 Not for Deep Backtesting: Due to the nature of how pivot points and Fib levels are calculated, this strategy may not perform well in backtesting simulations (because the historical calculations can shift). It is better used for live analysis and forward testing.
Schmit Trading LiquidityDescription
Schmit Trading Liquidity Marker automatically spots and labels open liquidity sweep levels by detecting classic stop-run patterns (Bull→Bear for highs, Bear→Bull for lows) across multiple timeframes. Lines are drawn exactly at the wick of the triggering candle and removed as soon as price “sweeps” through them, keeping your chart clean and focused on live levels only.
How It Works
1. Pattern Detection
• Liquidity High: When a bullish candle is immediately followed by a bearish candle (Bull→Bear), the script records the higher of the two wicks.
• Liquidity Low: When a bearish candle is immediately followed by a bullish candle (Bear→Bull), the script records the lower of the two wicks.
2. Multi-Timeframe Support
• Choose up to six timeframes (5 min, 15 min, 30 min, 1 h, 4 h, daily) via checkboxes.
• Each timeframe is evaluated independently, and liquidity levels are drawn on your current chart.
3. Precision Wick Placement
• Lines start at bar_index – 1 so they align exactly with the wick of the signal candle, regardless of your chart’s timeframe.
4. Automatic Cleanup
• As soon as price closes beyond a drawn line (sweep), that line is deleted automatically.
Inputs
Input Name Description
Show 5 min. Enable liquidity detection on the 5-minute timeframe.
Show 15 min. Enable liquidity detection on the 15-minute timeframe.
Show 30 min. Enable liquidity detection on the 30-minute timeframe.
Show 1 h. Enable liquidity detection on the 1-hour timeframe.
Show 4 h. Enable liquidity detection on the 4-hour timeframe.
Show 1 D. Enable liquidity detection on the daily timeframe.
High Line Color. Color of Bull→Bear (liquidity high) lines (default: red).
Low Line Color. Color of Bear→Bull (liquidity low) lines (default: blue).
Line Length. How many bars each liquidity line extends to the right.
Usage Tips
• Focus on Live Zones: Combine with volume or order-flow tools to confirm genuine
liquidity sweeps.
• Multiple TFs: Enable higher timeframes for major liquidity clusters; lower timeframes
for fine‐tuning entries.
• Chart Cleanliness: Lines self‐delete on sweep, ensuring no manual cleanup is needed.
⸻
Disclosure & License
This indicator is Open-Source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0. Feel free to review, adapt, and improve the code. No performance guarantees—use responsibly and backtest any strategy before trading live.
CommonUtils█ OVERVIEW
This library is a utility tool for Pine Script™ developers. It provides a collection of helper functions designed to simplify common tasks such as mapping user-friendly string inputs to Pine Script™ constants and formatting timeframe strings for display. The primary goal is to make main scripts cleaner, more readable, and reduce repetitive boilerplate code. It is envisioned as an evolving resource, with potential for new utilities to be added over time based on community needs and feedback.
█ CONCEPTS
The library primarily focuses on two main concepts:
Input Mapping
Pine Script™ often requires specific constants for function parameters (e.g., `line.style_dashed` for line styles, `position.top_center` for table positions). However, presenting these technical constants directly to users in script inputs can be confusing. Input mapping involves:
Allowing users to select options from more descriptive, human-readable strings (e.g., "Dashed", "Top Center") in the script's settings.
Providing functions within this library (e.g., `mapLineStyle`, `mapTablePosition`) that take these user-friendly strings as input.
Internally, these functions use switch statements or similar logic to convert (map) the input string to the corresponding Pine Script™ constant required by built-in functions.
This approach enhances user experience and simplifies the main script's logic by centralizing the mapping process.
Timeframe Formatting
Raw timeframe strings obtained from variables like `timeframe.period` (e.g., "1", "60", "D", "W") or user inputs are not always ideal for direct display in labels or panels. The `formatTimeframe` function addresses this by:
Taking a raw timeframe string as input.
Parsing this string to identify its numerical part and unit (e.g., minutes, hours, days, weeks, months, seconds, milliseconds).
Converting it into a more standardized and readable format (e.g., "1min", "60min", "Daily", "Weekly", "1s", "10M").
Offering an optional `customSuffix` parameter (e.g., " FVG", " Period") to append to the formatted string, making labels more descriptive, especially in multi-timeframe contexts.
The function is designed to correctly interpret various common timeframe notations used in TradingView.
█ NOTES
Ease of Use: The library functions are designed with simple and understandable signatures. They typically take a string input and return the corresponding Pine Script™ constant or a formatted string.
Default Behaviors: Mapping functions (`mapLineStyle`, `mapTablePosition`, `mapTextSize`) generally return a sensible default value (e.g., `line.style_solid` for `mapLineStyle`) in case of a non-matching input. This helps prevent errors in the main script.
Extensibility of Formatting: The `formatTimeframe` function, with its `customSuffix` parameter, allows for flexible customization of timeframe labels to suit the specific descriptive needs of different indicators or contexts.
Performance Considerations: These utility functions primarily use basic string operations and switch statements. For typical use cases, their impact on overall script performance is negligible. However, if a function like `formatTimeframe` were to be called excessively in a loop with dynamic inputs (which is generally not its intended use), performance should be monitored.
No Dependencies: This library is self-contained and does not depend on any other external Pine Script™ libraries.
█ EXPORTED FUNCTIONS
mapLineStyle(styleString)
Maps a user-provided line style string to its corresponding Pine Script™ line style constant.
Parameters:
styleString (simple string) : The input string representing the desired line style (e.g., "Solid", "Dashed", "Dotted" - typically from constants like LS1, LS2, LS3).
Returns: The Pine Script™ constant for the line style (e.g., line.style_solid). Defaults to line.style_solid if no match.
mapTablePosition(positionString)
Maps a user-provided table position string to its corresponding Pine Script™ position constant.
Parameters:
positionString (simple string) : The input string representing the desired table position (e.g., "Top Right", "Top Center" - typically from constants like PP1, PP2).
Returns: The Pine Script™ constant for the table position (e.g., position.top_right). Defaults to position.top_right if no match.
mapTextSize(sizeString)
Maps a user-provided text size string to its corresponding Pine Script™ size constant.
Parameters:
sizeString (simple string) : The input string representing the desired text size (e.g., "Tiny", "Small" - typically from constants like PTS1, PTS2).
Returns: The Pine Script™ constant for the text size (e.g., size.tiny). Defaults to size.small if no match.
formatTimeframe(tfInput, customSuffix)
Formats a raw timeframe string into a more display-friendly string, optionally appending a custom suffix.
Parameters:
tfInput (simple string) : The raw timeframe string from user input or timeframe.period (e.g., "1", "60", "D", "W", "1S", "10M", "2H").
customSuffix (simple string) : An optional suffix to append to the formatted timeframe string (e.g., " FVG", " Period"). Defaults to an empty string.
Returns: The formatted timeframe string (e.g., "1min", "60min", "Daily", "Weekly", "1s", "10min", "2h") with the custom suffix appended.
Dr Avinash Talele momentum indicaterTrend and Volatility Metrics
EMA10, EMA20, EMA50:
Show the percentage distance of the current price from the 10, 20, and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages.
Positive values indicate the price is above the moving average (bullish momentum).
Negative values indicate the price is below the moving average (bearish or corrective phase).
Use: Helps traders spot if a stock is extended or pulling back to support.
RVol (Relative Volume):
Compares current volume to the 20-day average.
Positive values mean higher-than-average trading activity (potential institutional interest).
Negative values mean lower activity (less conviction).
Use: High RVol often precedes strong moves.
ADR (Average Daily Range):
Shows the average daily price movement as a percentage.
Use: Higher ADR = more volatility = more trading opportunities.
50D Avg. Vol & 50D Avg. Vol ₹:
The 50-day average volume (in millions) and value traded (in crores).
Use: Confirms liquidity and suitability for larger trades.
ROC (Rate of Change) Section
1W, 1M, 3M, 6M, 12M:
Show the percentage price change over the last 1 week, 1 month, 3 months, 6 months, and 12 months.
Positive values (green) = uptrend, Negative values (red) = downtrend.
Use: Quickly see if the stock is gaining or losing momentum over different timeframes.
Momentum Section
1M, 3M, 6M:
Show the percentage gain from the lowest price in the last 1, 3, and 6 months.
Use: Measures how much the stock has bounced from recent lows, helping find strong rebounds or new leaders.
52-Week High/Low Section
From 52WH / From 52WL:
Show how far the current price is from its 52-week high and low, as a percentage.
Closer to 52WH = strong uptrend; Closer to 52WL = possible value or turnaround setup.
Use: Helps traders identify stocks breaking out to new highs or rebounding off lows.
U/D Ratio
U/D Ratio:
The ratio of up-volume to down-volume over the last 50 days.
Above 1 = more buying volume (bullish), Below 1 = more selling volume (bearish).
Use: Confirms accumulation or distribution.
How This Table Helps Analysts and Traders
Instant Trend Assessment:
With EMA distances and ROC, analysts can instantly see if the stock is trending, consolidating, or reversing.
Momentum Confirmation:
ROC and Momentum sections highlight stocks with strong recent moves, ideal for momentum and breakout traders.
Liquidity and Volatility Check:
Volume and ADR ensure the stock is tradable and has enough price movement to justify a trade.
Relative Positioning:
52-week high/low stats show whether the stock is near breakout levels or potential reversal zones.
Volume Confirmation:
RVol and U/D ratio help confirm if moves are backed by real buying/selling interest.
Actionable Insights:
By combining these metrics, traders can filter for stocks with strong trends, robust momentum, and institutional backing—ideal for swing, position, or even intraday trading.
1A Monthly P&L Table - Using Library1A Monthly P&L Table: Track Your Performance Month-by-Month
Overview:
The 1A Monthly P&L Table is a straightforward yet powerful indicator designed to give you an immediate overview of your asset's (or strategy's) percentage performance on a monthly basis. Displayed conveniently in the bottom-right corner of your chart, this tool helps you quickly assess historical gains and losses, making it easier to analyze trends in performance over time.
Key Features:
Monthly Performance at a Glance: Clearly see the percentage change for each past month.
Cumulative P&L: A running total of the displayed monthly P&L is provided, giving you a quick sum of performance over the selected period.
Customizable Display:
Months to Display: Choose how many past months you want to see in the table (from 1 to 60 months).
Text Size: Adjust the text size (Tiny, Small, Normal, Large, Huge) to fit your viewing preferences.
Text Color: Customize the color of the text for better visibility against your chart background.
Intraday & Daily Compatibility: The table is optimized to display on daily and intraday timeframes, ensuring it's relevant for various trading styles. (Note: For very long-term analysis on weekly/monthly charts, you might consider other tools, as this focuses on granular monthly P&L.)
How It Works:
The indicator calculates the percentage change from the close of the previous month to the close of the current month. For the very first month displayed, it calculates the P&L from the opening price of the chart's first bar to the close of that month. This data is then neatly organized into a table, updated on the last bar of the day or session.
Ideal For:
Traders and investors who want a quick, visual summary of monthly performance.
Analyzing seasonal trends or consistent periods of profitability/drawdown.
Supplementing backtesting results with a clear month-by-month breakdown.
Settings:
Text Color: Changes the color of all text within the table.
Text Size: Controls the font size of the table content.
Months to Display: Determines the number of recent months included in the table.
Leslie's EMA Ribbon: 5/9/21 + VWAPEMA + VWAP Crossover Indicator with Alerts
This script blends three Exponential Moving Averages (5, 9, 21) with VWAP to identify momentum shifts and volume-confirmed trend signals. It’s optimized for the Daily timeframe, but also adaptable to shorter-term trading.
🔍 Why this combination?
EMAs provide fast and reliable trend signals:
- 5/9 EMA crossover → short-term shifts (more frequent)
- 9/21 EMA crossover → swing confirmation (less noise)
- VWAP adds volume context used by institutions for fair value tracking.
- 9EMA crossing VWAP confirms price action supported by volume.
Together, these tools offer a multi-layered view of market momentum — combining speed, confirmation, and conviction.
⚙️ Features:
Clean plots with dynamic labels on latest bar
Adjustable line weights for clarity
Alerts included for all crossovers:
- 5EMA / 9EMA
- 9EMA / 21EMA
- 9EMA / VWAP
✅ How to Use:
- Best on the Daily timeframe
- Use 5/9 as early signals, 9/21 for trend filtering, and 9/VWAP for volume-backed setups
- Turn on alerts to stay informed of key shifts without staring at charts
cd_respect2_EQ_Cx🔹 Overview:
Many traders form a bias or look for trade setups by analyzing the high (H) and low (L) of previous higher timeframe candles. For example: a close above the previous daily high, a failure to close after breaking the high, or approaching the level without making a new high. As we’ve been taught to focus on these key levels, I wanted to draw attention to what's happening at the mid-levels (Equilibrium) of the current and higher timeframe candles.
We’ve all heard the phrase “Strong price reacts from equilibrium,” yet most of us wait at the extremes.
While working on equilibrium levels of both higher timeframes and the current timeframe, I noticed that when a current candle closes above/below the previous HTF candle's high/low, price often respects the part of the candle that caused the break — which I refer to as the Last Block. When respected, price tends to continue with momentum; when lost, a pullback or reversal often follows.
________________________________________
🔹 About the Indicator:
This tool analyzes four different higher timeframes and shows:
• Current candle equilibrium levels
• Previous candle equilibrium levels (2 display options):
1. On Box – classic display
2. On Candle – equilibrium is linked to the last candle that includes the level, making those candles more meaningful or "strengthened"
• Alerts (standard) and on-screen warnings when price approaches previous equilibrium levels
• High/Low levels of previous HTF candles
• High/Low levels of live HTF candles
• Last Block: the upper or lower part of the candle that caused the breakout when price closes above/below the previous HTF high/low
• Countdown timer until the close of selected HTFs
________________________________________
🔹 Menus & Usage:
🔸 Show/Hide Tab:
• Toggle Previous Equilibrium display (On Candle / On Box)
• Toggle Live Equilibrium levels, color selection, and left extension
• Toggle Current Candle Equilibrium and colors
• Alert on Chart: flashing on-screen visual alert
• Approach Limit: sets how close price must be to trigger alert
• Remaining Time (RT): toggle countdown display for selected timeframes
________________________________________
🔸 HTF H/L Levels Tab:
• Show previous and live HTF candle highs/lows
• Customize colors, starting points, and left extension options
________________________________________
🔸 Timeframes & Options Tab:
• Select which timeframes to display
• Choose level colors
• Enable price alerts
• Control visibility in the time chart
• Toggle Last Block display (close-to-high/low)
________________________________________
🔸 Look Back HTF Candles Tab:
• Delete filled levels: removes invalidated zones; only unmitigated remain
• Back Control: set how many candles to look back per timeframe (unlimited if not set)
________________________________________
🔸 HTF Boxes Tab:
• Display HTF candles in boxes
• Set colors (single color or per timeframe)
• Adjust font sizes across the chart
________________________________________
🔹 Usage & Last Blocks:
The core idea behind both equilibrium levels and last blocks is:
Price should “gain” and respect them to validate continuation.
Viewing multiple timeframes together strengthens bias.
Each level is treated as part of the candle it's associated with — defining the “area to be gained.”
“Did price respect the level because of that candle, or did the candle gain significance because it aligned with the level? That’s open for debate.”
(In my opinion, the candle gains significance because it aligns with the level.)
When respected, these levels/blocks act as support; when lost, they act as resistance.
In suitable timeframes, reclaiming previous equilibrium levels may be interpreted as CHoCH / CISD / IDM depending on the context.
________________________________________
🔹 Usage Example – Last Blocks:
I personally trade on 1-minute and use Daily / H4 / H1 / 15m as selected timeframes.
For example, if price reclaims the previous 15m level, I view it as a Change of Character. I then expect the next candle to show respect in that direction.
Choose timeframes based on your trading style.
Sometimes, HTF levels (past and live) cluster tightly — these areas are key watch zones for me.
That’s the reason I decided to share this indicator.
________________________________________
🔹 Chart Examples:
🔸 Example 1:
Price closes above both the 12:45 15m candle and the 12:00 H1 equilibrium levels.
Last Block forms. After retracing, price mitigates the block and respects live equilibrium levels (H4/H1/15m).
🔸 Example 2:
Explained on chart – Levels that pushed price down in the bearish trend later acted as support.
🔸 Example 3 – CHoCH/CISD/IDM Alternative:
Explained on chart – Replacing structural signals with equilibrium levels.
I see this pattern often — very effective.
🔸 Example 4:
Many levels are clustered in a narrow range; price shows respect across the board.
________________________________________
🔹 Final Note:
Hope you like the tool. I’d love to hear your thoughts and suggestions.
"Keep in mind, strong price reverses from equilibrium."
Happy trading!
Range Progress TrackerRANGE PROGRESS TRACKER(RPT)
PURPOSE
This indicator helps traders visually and statistically understand how much of the typical price range (measured by ATR) has already been covered in the current period (Daily, Weekly, or Monthly). It includes key features to assist in trend exhaustion analysis, reversal spotting, and smart alerting.
CORE LOGIC
The indicator calculates the current range of the selected time frame (e.g., Daily), which is:
Current Range = High - Low
This is then compared to the ATR (Average True Range) of the same time frame, which represents the average price movement range over a defined period (default is 14).
The comparison is expressed as a percentage, calculated with this formula:
Range % = (Current Range / ATR) × 100
This percentage shows how much of the “average expected move” has already occurred.
WHY IT MATTERS
When the current range approaches or exceeds 100% of ATR, it means the price has already moved as much as it typically does in a full session.
This indicates a lower probability of continuing the trend with a new high or low, especially when the price is already near the session's high or low.
This setup can signal:
A possible consolidation phase
A reversal in trend
The market entering a corrective phase
SMART ALERTS
The indicator can alert you when:
A new high is made after the range percentage exceeds your set threshold.
A new low is made after the range percentage exceeds your set threshold.
You can adjust the Range % Alert Threshold in the settings to tailor it to your trading style.
Bear Market Probability Model# Bear Market Probability Model: A Multi-Factor Risk Assessment Framework
The Bear Market Probability Model represents a comprehensive quantitative framework for assessing systemic market risk through the integration of 13 distinct risk factors across four analytical categories: macroeconomic indicators, technical analysis factors, market sentiment measures, and market breadth metrics. This indicator synthesizes established financial research methodologies to provide real-time probabilistic assessments of impending bear market conditions, offering institutional-grade risk management capabilities to retail and professional traders alike.
## Theoretical Foundation
### Historical Context of Bear Market Prediction
Bear market prediction has been a central focus of financial research since the seminal work of Dow (1901) and the subsequent development of technical analysis theory. The challenge of predicting market downturns gained renewed academic attention following the market crashes of 1929, 1987, 2000, and 2008, leading to the development of sophisticated multi-factor models.
Fama and French (1989) demonstrated that certain financial variables possess predictive power for stock returns, particularly during market stress periods. Their three-factor model laid the groundwork for multi-dimensional risk assessment, which this indicator extends through the incorporation of real-time market microstructure data.
### Methodological Framework
The model employs a weighted composite scoring methodology based on the theoretical framework established by Campbell and Shiller (1998) for market valuation assessment, extended through the incorporation of high-frequency sentiment and technical indicators as proposed by Baker and Wurgler (2006) in their seminal work on investor sentiment.
The mathematical foundation follows the general form:
Bear Market Probability = Σ(Wi × Ci) / ΣWi × 100
Where:
- Wi = Category weight (i = 1,2,3,4)
- Ci = Normalized category score
- Categories: Macroeconomic, Technical, Sentiment, Breadth
## Component Analysis
### 1. Macroeconomic Risk Factors
#### Yield Curve Analysis
The inclusion of yield curve inversion as a primary predictor follows extensive research by Estrella and Mishkin (1998), who demonstrated that the term spread between 3-month and 10-year Treasury securities has historically preceded all major recessions since 1969. The model incorporates both the 2Y-10Y and 3M-10Y spreads to capture different aspects of monetary policy expectations.
Implementation:
- 2Y-10Y Spread: Captures market expectations of monetary policy trajectory
- 3M-10Y Spread: Traditional recession predictor with 12-18 month lead time
Scientific Basis: Harvey (1988) and subsequent research by Ang, Piazzesi, and Wei (2006) established the theoretical foundation linking yield curve inversions to economic contractions through the expectations hypothesis of the term structure.
#### Credit Risk Premium Assessment
High-yield credit spreads serve as a real-time gauge of systemic risk, following the methodology established by Gilchrist and Zakrajšek (2012) in their excess bond premium research. The model incorporates the ICE BofA High Yield Master II Option-Adjusted Spread as a proxy for credit market stress.
Threshold Calibration:
- Normal conditions: < 350 basis points
- Elevated risk: 350-500 basis points
- Severe stress: > 500 basis points
#### Currency and Commodity Stress Indicators
The US Dollar Index (DXY) momentum serves as a risk-off indicator, while the Gold-to-Oil ratio captures commodity market stress dynamics. This approach follows the methodology of Akram (2009) and Beckmann, Berger, and Czudaj (2015) in analyzing commodity-currency relationships during market stress.
### 2. Technical Analysis Factors
#### Multi-Timeframe Moving Average Analysis
The technical component incorporates the well-established moving average convergence methodology, drawing from the work of Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992), who provided empirical evidence for the profitability of technical trading rules.
Implementation:
- Price relative to 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages
- Moving average convergence/divergence analysis
- Multi-timeframe MACD assessment (daily and weekly)
#### Momentum and Volatility Analysis
The model integrates Relative Strength Index (RSI) analysis following Wilder's (1978) original methodology, combined with maximum drawdown analysis based on the work of Magdon-Ismail and Atiya (2004) on optimal drawdown measurement.
### 3. Market Sentiment Factors
#### Volatility Index Analysis
The VIX component follows the established research of Whaley (2009) and subsequent work by Bekaert and Hoerova (2014) on VIX as a predictor of market stress. The model incorporates both absolute VIX levels and relative VIX spikes compared to the 20-day moving average.
Calibration:
- Low volatility: VIX < 20
- Elevated concern: VIX 20-25
- High fear: VIX > 25
- Panic conditions: VIX > 30
#### Put-Call Ratio Analysis
Options flow analysis through put-call ratios provides insight into sophisticated investor positioning, following the methodology established by Pan and Poteshman (2006) in their analysis of informed trading in options markets.
### 4. Market Breadth Factors
#### Advance-Decline Analysis
Market breadth assessment follows the classic work of Fosback (1976) and subsequent research by Brown and Cliff (2004) on market breadth as a predictor of future returns.
Components:
- Daily advance-decline ratio
- Advance-decline line momentum
- McClellan Oscillator (Ema19 - Ema39 of A-D difference)
#### New Highs-New Lows Analysis
The new highs-new lows ratio serves as a market leadership indicator, based on the research of Zweig (1986) and validated in academic literature by Zarowin (1990).
## Dynamic Threshold Methodology
The model incorporates adaptive thresholds based on rolling volatility and trend analysis, following the methodology established by Pagan and Sossounov (2003) for business cycle dating. This approach allows the model to adjust sensitivity based on prevailing market conditions.
Dynamic Threshold Calculation:
- Warning Level: Base threshold ± (Volatility × 1.0)
- Danger Level: Base threshold ± (Volatility × 1.5)
- Bounds: ±10-20 points from base threshold
## Professional Implementation
### Institutional Usage Patterns
Professional risk managers typically employ multi-factor bear market models in several contexts:
#### 1. Portfolio Risk Management
- Tactical Asset Allocation: Reducing equity exposure when probability exceeds 60-70%
- Hedging Strategies: Implementing protective puts or VIX calls when warning thresholds are breached
- Sector Rotation: Shifting from growth to defensive sectors during elevated risk periods
#### 2. Risk Budgeting
- Value-at-Risk Adjustment: Incorporating bear market probability into VaR calculations
- Stress Testing: Using probability levels to calibrate stress test scenarios
- Capital Requirements: Adjusting regulatory capital based on systemic risk assessment
#### 3. Client Communication
- Risk Reporting: Quantifying market risk for client presentations
- Investment Committee Decisions: Providing objective risk metrics for strategic decisions
- Performance Attribution: Explaining defensive positioning during market stress
### Implementation Framework
Professional traders typically implement such models through:
#### Signal Hierarchy:
1. Probability < 30%: Normal risk positioning
2. Probability 30-50%: Increased hedging, reduced leverage
3. Probability 50-70%: Defensive positioning, cash building
4. Probability > 70%: Maximum defensive posture, short exposure consideration
#### Risk Management Integration:
- Position Sizing: Inverse relationship between probability and position size
- Stop-Loss Adjustment: Tighter stops during elevated risk periods
- Correlation Monitoring: Increased attention to cross-asset correlations
## Strengths and Advantages
### 1. Comprehensive Coverage
The model's primary strength lies in its multi-dimensional approach, avoiding the single-factor bias that has historically plagued market timing models. By incorporating macroeconomic, technical, sentiment, and breadth factors, the model provides robust risk assessment across different market regimes.
### 2. Dynamic Adaptability
The adaptive threshold mechanism allows the model to adjust sensitivity based on prevailing volatility conditions, reducing false signals during low-volatility periods and maintaining sensitivity during high-volatility regimes.
### 3. Real-Time Processing
Unlike traditional academic models that rely on monthly or quarterly data, this indicator processes daily market data, providing timely risk assessment for active portfolio management.
### 4. Transparency and Interpretability
The component-based structure allows users to understand which factors are driving risk assessment, enabling informed decision-making about model signals.
### 5. Historical Validation
Each component has been validated in academic literature, providing theoretical foundation for the model's predictive power.
## Limitations and Weaknesses
### 1. Data Dependencies
The model's effectiveness depends heavily on the availability and quality of real-time economic data. Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) updates may have lags that could impact model responsiveness during rapidly evolving market conditions.
### 2. Regime Change Sensitivity
Like most quantitative models, the indicator may struggle during unprecedented market conditions or structural regime changes where historical relationships break down (Taleb, 2007).
### 3. False Signal Risk
Multi-factor models inherently face the challenge of balancing sensitivity with specificity. The model may generate false positive signals during normal market volatility periods.
### 4. Currency and Geographic Bias
The model focuses primarily on US market indicators, potentially limiting its effectiveness for global portfolio management or non-USD denominated assets.
### 5. Correlation Breakdown
During extreme market stress, correlations between risk factors may increase dramatically, reducing the model's diversification benefits (Forbes and Rigobon, 2002).
## References
Akram, Q. F. (2009). Commodity prices, interest rates and the dollar. Energy Economics, 31(6), 838-851.
Ang, A., Piazzesi, M., & Wei, M. (2006). What does the yield curve tell us about GDP growth? Journal of Econometrics, 131(1-2), 359-403.
Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2006). Investor sentiment and the cross‐section of stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 61(4), 1645-1680.
Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., & Davis, S. J. (2016). Measuring economic policy uncertainty. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(4), 1593-1636.
Barber, B. M., & Odean, T. (2001). Boys will be boys: Gender, overconfidence, and common stock investment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116(1), 261-292.
Beckmann, J., Berger, T., & Czudaj, R. (2015). Does gold act as a hedge or a safe haven for stocks? A smooth transition approach. Economic Modelling, 48, 16-24.
Bekaert, G., & Hoerova, M. (2014). The VIX, the variance premium and stock market volatility. Journal of Econometrics, 183(2), 181-192.
Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). Simple technical trading rules and the stochastic properties of stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 47(5), 1731-1764.
Brown, G. W., & Cliff, M. T. (2004). Investor sentiment and the near-term stock market. Journal of Empirical Finance, 11(1), 1-27.
Campbell, J. Y., & Shiller, R. J. (1998). Valuation ratios and the long-run stock market outlook. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 24(2), 11-26.
Dow, C. H. (1901). Scientific stock speculation. The Magazine of Wall Street.
Estrella, A., & Mishkin, F. S. (1998). Predicting US recessions: Financial variables as leading indicators. Review of Economics and Statistics, 80(1), 45-61.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1989). Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds. Journal of Financial Economics, 25(1), 23-49.
Forbes, K. J., & Rigobon, R. (2002). No contagion, only interdependence: measuring stock market comovements. The Journal of Finance, 57(5), 2223-2261.
Fosback, N. G. (1976). Stock market logic: A sophisticated approach to profits on Wall Street. The Institute for Econometric Research.
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Multi-Timeframe Session HighlighterWhat is the Multi-Timeframe Session Highlighter?
It’s a simple Pine Script indicator that paints two special candles on your chart, no matter what timeframe you’re looking at. Think of it as a highlighter pen for session starts and ends—can be used for session-based strategies or just keeping an eye on key turning points.
How it works:
Green Bar (Session Open): Marks the exact bar when your chosen higher-timeframe session kicks off. If you select “4H,” on the indicator, you’ll see green on every 4-hour open, even if you’re staring at a 15-minute chart.
Red Bar (Session Close): Highlights the very last lower-timeframe candle immediately before that session wraps up. So on a 1H chart with “Daily” selected, you’ll get a red band on the 23:00 hour before the new daily bar at midnight.
Customizable: Pick your own colors and transparency level to match your chart theme.
Getting started:
Add the indicator to your chart.
In the inputs, select the session timeframe (for example, “240” for 4H or “D” for daily).
Choose your favorite green and red shades.
That’s it.
Clock&Flow MM+InfoThis script is an indicator that helps you visualize various moving averages directly on the price chart and gain some additional insights.
Here's what it essentially does:
Displays Different Moving Averages: You can choose to see groups of moving averages with different periods, set to nominal cyclical durations. You can also opt to configure them for instruments traded with classic or extended trading hours (great for Futures), and they'll adapt to your chosen timeframe.
Colored Bands: It allows you to add colored bands to the background of the chart that change weekly or daily, helping you visualize time cycles. You can customize the band colors.
Information Table: A small table appears in a corner of the chart, indicating which cycle the moving averages belong to (daily, weekly, monthly, etc.), corresponding to the timeframe you are using on the chart.
Customization: You can easily enable or disable the various groups of moving averages or the colored bands through the indicator's settings.
It's a useful tool for traders who use moving averages to identify trends and support/resistance levels, and who want a quick overview of market cycles.
Questo script è un indicatore che aiuta a visualizzare diverse medie mobili direttamente sul grafico dei prezzi e a ottenere alcune informazioni aggiuntive.
In pratica, fa queste cose:
Mostra diverse medie mobili: Puoi scegliere di vedere gruppi di medie mobili con periodi diversi impostati sulle durate cicliche nominali. Puoi scegliere se impostarle per uno strumento quotato con orario di negoziazione classico o esteso (ottimo per i Futures) e si adattano al tuo timeframe).
Bande colorate: Ti permette di aggiungere delle bande colorate sullo sfondo del grafico che cambiano ogni settimana o ogni giorno, per aiutarti a visualizzare i cicli temporali. Puoi scegliere il colore delle bande.
Tabella informativa: In un angolo del grafico, compare una piccola tabella che indica a quale ciclo appartengono le medie mobili (giornaliero, settimanale, mensile, ecc.) e corrispondono in base al timeframe che stai usando sul grafico.
Personalizzazione: Puoi facilmente attivare o disattivare i vari gruppi di medie mobili o le bande colorate tramite le impostazioni dell'indicatore.
È uno strumento utile per i trader che usano le medie mobili per identificare trend e supporti/resistenze, e che vogliono avere un colpo d'occhio sui cicli di mercato.
Supertrend with Volume Filter AlertSupertrend with Volume Filter Alert - Indicator Overview
What is the Supertrend Indicator?
The Supertrend indicator is a popular trend-following tool used by traders to identify the direction of the market and potential entry/exit points. It is based on the Average True Range (ATR), which measures volatility, and plots a line on the chart that acts as a dynamic support or resistance level. When the price is above the Supertrend line, it signals an uptrend (bullish), and when the price is below, it indicates a downtrend (bearish). The indicator is particularly effective in trending markets but can generate false signals during choppy or sideways conditions.
How This Script Works
The "Supertrend with Volume Filter Alert" enhances the classic Supertrend indicator by adding a customizable volume filter to improve signal reliability.
Here's how it functions:
Supertrend Calculation:The Supertrend is calculated using the ATR over a user-defined period (default: 55) and a multiplier (default: 1.85). These parameters control the sensitivity of the indicator:A higher ATR period smooths out volatility, making the indicator less reactive to short-term price fluctuations.The multiplier determines the distance of the Supertrend line from the price, affecting how quickly it responds to trend changes.The script plots the Supertrend line in cyan for uptrends and red for downtrends, making it easy to visualize the market direction.
Volume Filter:A key feature of this script is the volume filter, which helps filter out false signals in choppy markets. The filter compares the current volume to the average volume over a lookback period (default: 20) and only triggers signals if the volume exceeds the average by a specified multiplier (default: 2.0).This ensures that trend changes are accompanied by significant market participation, increasing the likelihood of a genuine trend shift.
Signals and Alerts:
Buy signals (cyan triangle below the bar) are generated when the price crosses above the Supertrend line (indicating an uptrend) and the volume condition is met.Sell signals (red triangle above the bar) are generated when the price crosses below the Supertrend line (indicating a downtrend) and the volume condition is met.Alerts are set up for both buy and sell signals, notifying traders only when the volume filter confirms the trend change.
Customizable Settings for Multiple Markets
The default settings in this script (ATR Period: 55, ATR Multiplier: 1.85, Volume Lookback Period: 20, Volume Multiplier: 2.0) were carefully chosen to provide a balance of sensitivity and reliability across various markets, including stocks, indices (like the S&P 500), forex, and cryptocurrencies.
Here's why these settings work well:
ATR Period (55): A longer ATR period smooths out volatility, making the indicator less prone to whipsaws in volatile markets like crypto or forex, while still being responsive enough for trending markets like indices.
ATR Multiplier (1.85): This multiplier strikes a balance between capturing early trend changes and avoiding noise. A smaller multiplier would make the indicator too sensitive, while a larger one might miss early opportunities.
Volume Lookback Period (20): A 20-bar lookback for volume averaging provides a robust baseline for identifying significant volume spikes, adaptable to both short-term (e.g., daily charts) and longer-term (e.g., weekly charts) timeframes.
Volume Multiplier (2.0): Requiring volume to be at least 2x the average ensures that only high-conviction moves trigger signals, which is crucial for markets with varying liquidity levels.
These parameters are fully customizable, allowing traders to adjust the indicator to their specific market, timeframe, or trading style. For example, you might reduce the ATR period for faster-moving markets or increase the volume multiplier for more conservative signal filtering.
How the Volume Filter Reduces Bad Trades in Choppy Markets
One of the main drawbacks of the Supertrend indicator is its tendency to generate false signals during choppy or ranging markets, where price fluctuates without a clear trend. The volume filter in this script addresses this issue by ensuring that trend changes are backed by significant market activity:
In choppy markets, price movements often lack strong volume, leading to false breakouts or reversals. By requiring volume to be a multiple (default: 2x) of the average volume over the lookback period, the script filters out these low-volume, low-conviction moves.This reduces the likelihood of taking bad trades during sideways markets, as only trend changes with strong volume confirmation will trigger signals. For example, on a daily chart of the S&P 500, a buy signal will only fire if the price crosses above the Supertrend line and the volume on that day is at least twice the 20-day average, indicating genuine buying pressure.
Usage Tips
Markets and Timeframes: This indicator is versatile and can be used on various assets (stocks, indices, forex, crypto) and timeframes (1-minute, 1-hour, daily, etc.). Adjust the settings based on the market's volatility and your trading strategy.
Combine with Other Indicators: While the volume filter improves reliability, consider using additional indicators like RSI or MACD to confirm trends, especially in ranging markets.
Backtesting: Test the indicator on historical data for your chosen market to optimize the settings and ensure they align with your trading goals.
Alerts: Set up alerts for buy and sell signals to stay informed of high-probability trend changes without constantly monitoring the chart.
ConclusionThe "Supertrend with Volume Filter Alert" is a powerful tool for trend-following traders, combining the simplicity of the Supertrend indicator with a volume-based filter to enhance signal accuracy. Its customizable settings make it adaptable to multiple markets, while the volume filter helps reduce false signals in choppy conditions, allowing traders to focus on high-probability trades. Whether you're trading stocks, indices, forex, or crypto, this indicator can help you identify trends with greater confidence.
