Descending Elliot Wave Patterns [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator automatically draws descending Elliot Wave patterns and price projections derived from the ranges that constitute the patterns.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows
• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.
Peak and Trough Prices (Basic)
• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.
Historic Peaks and Troughs
The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.
Range
The range is simply the difference between the current peak and current trough prices, generally expressed in terms of points or pips.
Support and Resistance
• Support refers to a price level where the demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
• Resistance refers to a price level where the supply of an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from rising further.
Support and resistance levels are important because they can help traders identify where the price of an asset might pause or reverse its direction, offering potential entry and exit points. For example, a trader might look to buy an asset when it approaches a support level , with the expectation that the price will bounce back up. Alternatively, a trader might look to sell an asset when it approaches a resistance level , with the expectation that the price will drop back down.
It's important to note that support and resistance levels are not always relevant, and the price of an asset can also break through these levels and continue moving in the same direction.
Upper Trends
• A return line uptrend is formed when the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price.
• A double-top is formed when the current peak price is equal to the preceding peak price.
Lower Trends
• An uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price.
• A return line downtrend is formed when the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.
• A double-bottom is formed when the current trough price is equal to the preceding trough price.
Muti-Part Upper and Lower Trends
• A multi-part return line uptrend begins with the formation of a new return line uptrend, or higher peak, and continues until a new downtrend, or lower peak, completes the trend.
• A multi-part downtrend begins with the formation of a new downtrend, or lower peak, and continues until a new return line uptrend, or higher peak, completes the trend.
• A multi-part uptrend begins with the formation of a new uptrend, or higher trough, and continues until a new return line downtrend, or lower trough, completes the trend.
• A multi-part return line downtrend begins with the formation of a new return line downtrend, or lower trough, and continues until a new uptrend, or higher trough, completes the trend.
Double Trends
• A double uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price and the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A double downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price and the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.
Muti-Part Double Trends
• A multi-part double uptrend begins with the formation of a new uptrend that proceeds a new return line uptrend, and continues until a new downtrend or return line downtrend ends the trend.
• A multi-part double downtrend begins with the formation of a new downtrend that proceeds a new return line downtrend, and continues until a new uptrend or return line uptrend ends the trend.
Wave Cycles
A wave cycle is here defined as a complete two-part move between a swing high and a swing low, or a swing low and a swing high. The first swing high or swing low will set the course for the sequence of wave cycles that follow; for example a chart that begins with a swing low will form its first complete wave cycle upon the formation of the first complete swing high and vice versa.
Figure 1.
Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Ratios
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers in which each number is the sum of the two preceding numbers, starting with 0 and 1. For example 0 + 1 = 1, 1 + 1 = 2, 1 + 2 = 3, and so on. Ultimately, we could go on forever but the first few numbers in the sequence are as follows: 0 , 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144.
The extension ratios are calculated by dividing each number in the sequence by the number preceding it. For example 0/1 = 0, 1/1 = 1, 2/1 = 2, 3/2 = 1.5, 5/3 = 1.6666..., 8/5 = 1.6, 13/8 = 1.625, 21/13 = 1.6153..., 34/21 = 1.6190..., 55/34 = 1.6176..., 89/55 = 1.6181..., 144/89 = 1.6179..., and so on. The retracement ratios are calculated by inverting this process and dividing each number in the sequence by the number proceeding it. For example 0/1 = 0, 1/1 = 1, 1/2 = 0.5, 2/3 = 0.666..., 3/5 = 0.6, 5/8 = 0.625, 8/13 = 0.6153..., 13/21 = 0.6190..., 21/34 = 0.6176..., 34/55 = 0.6181..., 55/89 = 0.6179..., 89/144 = 0.6180..., and so on.
1.618 is considered to be the 'golden ratio', found in many natural phenomena such as the growth of seashells and the branching of trees. Some now speculate the universe oscillates at a frequency of 0,618 Hz, which could help to explain such phenomena, but this theory has yet to be proven.
Traders and analysts use Fibonacci retracement and extension indicators, consisting of horizontal lines representing different Fibonacci ratios, for identifying potential levels of support and resistance. Fibonacci ranges are typically drawn from left to right, with retracement levels representing ratios inside of the current range and extension levels representing ratios extended outside of the current range. If the current wave cycle ends on a swing low, the Fibonacci range is drawn from peak to trough. If the current wave cycle ends on a swing high the Fibonacci range is drawn from trough to peak.
Elliot Wave Patterns
Ralph Nelson Elliott, authored his book on Elliott wave theory titled "The Wave Principle" in 1938. In this book, Elliott presented his theory of market behaviour, which he believed reflected the natural laws that govern human behaviour.
The Elliott Wave Theory is based on the principle that waves have a tendency to unfold in a specific sequence of five waves in the direction of the trend, followed by three waves leading in the opposite direction. This pattern is called a 5-3 wave pattern and is the foundation of Elliott's theory.
The five waves in the direction of the trend are labelled 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5, while the three waves in the opposite direction are labelled A, B, and C. Waves 1, 3, and 5 are impulse waves, while waves 2 and 4 are corrective waves. Waves A and C are also corrective waves, while wave B is an impulse wave.
According to Elliott, the pattern of waves is fractal in nature, meaning that it occurs on all time frames, from the smallest to the largest.
In Elliott Wave Theory, the distance that waves move from each other depends on the specific market conditions and the amplitude of the waves involved. There is no fixed rule or limit for how far waves should move from each other, however, there are several guidelines to help identify and measure wave distances. One of the most common guidelines is the Fibonacci ratios, which can be used to describe the relationships between wave lengths. For example, Elliott identified that wave 3 is typically the strongest and longest wave, and it tends to be 1.618 times the length of wave 1. Meanwhile, wave 2 tends to retrace between 50% and 78.6% of wave 1, and wave 4 tends to retrace between 38.2% and 78.6% of wave 3.
In general, the patterns are quite rare and the distances that the waves move in relation to one another is subject to interpretation. For such reasons, I have simply included the ratios of the current ranges as ratios of the preceding ranges in the wave labels and it will, ultimately, be up to the user to decide whether or not the patterns qualify as valid.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• Show Projections
• Pattern Color
• Label Color
• Extend Current Projection Lines
█ LIMITATIONS
All green and red candle calculations are based on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. This may cause some unexpected behaviour on some markets and timeframes. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work with.
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Ascending Elliot Wave Patterns [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator automatically draws ascending Elliot Wave patterns and price projections derived from the ranges that constitute the patterns.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows
• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.
Peak and Trough Prices (Basic)
• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.
Historic Peaks and Troughs
The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.
Range
The range is simply the difference between the current peak and current trough prices, generally expressed in terms of points or pips.
Support and Resistance
• Support refers to a price level where the demand for an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
• Resistance refers to a price level where the supply of an asset is strong enough to prevent the price from rising further.
Support and resistance levels are important because they can help traders identify where the price of an asset might pause or reverse its direction, offering potential entry and exit points. For example, a trader might look to buy an asset when it approaches a support level , with the expectation that the price will bounce back up. Alternatively, a trader might look to sell an asset when it approaches a resistance level , with the expectation that the price will drop back down.
It's important to note that support and resistance levels are not always relevant, and the price of an asset can also break through these levels and continue moving in the same direction.
Upper Trends
• A return line uptrend is formed when the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price.
• A double-top is formed when the current peak price is equal to the preceding peak price.
Lower Trends
• An uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price.
• A return line downtrend is formed when the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.
• A double-bottom is formed when the current trough price is equal to the preceding trough price.
Muti-Part Upper and Lower Trends
• A multi-part return line uptrend begins with the formation of a new return line uptrend, or higher peak, and continues until a new downtrend, or lower peak, completes the trend.
• A multi-part downtrend begins with the formation of a new downtrend, or lower peak, and continues until a new return line uptrend, or higher peak, completes the trend.
• A multi-part uptrend begins with the formation of a new uptrend, or higher trough, and continues until a new return line downtrend, or lower trough, completes the trend.
• A multi-part return line downtrend begins with the formation of a new return line downtrend, or lower trough, and continues until a new uptrend, or higher trough, completes the trend.
Double Trends
• A double uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price and the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A double downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price and the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.
Muti-Part Double Trends
• A multi-part double uptrend begins with the formation of a new uptrend that proceeds a new return line uptrend, and continues until a new downtrend or return line downtrend ends the trend.
• A multi-part double downtrend begins with the formation of a new downtrend that proceeds a new return line downtrend, and continues until a new uptrend or return line uptrend ends the trend.
Wave Cycles
A wave cycle is here defined as a complete two-part move between a swing high and a swing low, or a swing low and a swing high. The first swing high or swing low will set the course for the sequence of wave cycles that follow; for example a chart that begins with a swing low will form its first complete wave cycle upon the formation of the first complete swing high and vice versa.
Figure 1.
Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Ratios
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers in which each number is the sum of the two preceding numbers, starting with 0 and 1. For example 0 + 1 = 1, 1 + 1 = 2, 1 + 2 = 3, and so on. Ultimately, we could go on forever but the first few numbers in the sequence are as follows: 0 , 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144.
The extension ratios are calculated by dividing each number in the sequence by the number preceding it. For example 0/1 = 0, 1/1 = 1, 2/1 = 2, 3/2 = 1.5, 5/3 = 1.6666..., 8/5 = 1.6, 13/8 = 1.625, 21/13 = 1.6153..., 34/21 = 1.6190..., 55/34 = 1.6176..., 89/55 = 1.6181..., 144/89 = 1.6179..., and so on. The retracement ratios are calculated by inverting this process and dividing each number in the sequence by the number proceeding it. For example 0/1 = 0, 1/1 = 1, 1/2 = 0.5, 2/3 = 0.666..., 3/5 = 0.6, 5/8 = 0.625, 8/13 = 0.6153..., 13/21 = 0.6190..., 21/34 = 0.6176..., 34/55 = 0.6181..., 55/89 = 0.6179..., 89/144 = 0.6180..., and so on.
1.618 is considered to be the 'golden ratio', found in many natural phenomena such as the growth of seashells and the branching of trees. Some now speculate the universe oscillates at a frequency of 0,618 Hz, which could help to explain such phenomena, but this theory has yet to be proven.
Traders and analysts use Fibonacci retracement and extension indicators, consisting of horizontal lines representing different Fibonacci ratios, for identifying potential levels of support and resistance. Fibonacci ranges are typically drawn from left to right, with retracement levels representing ratios inside of the current range and extension levels representing ratios extended outside of the current range. If the current wave cycle ends on a swing low, the Fibonacci range is drawn from peak to trough. If the current wave cycle ends on a swing high the Fibonacci range is drawn from trough to peak.
Elliot Wave Patterns
Ralph Nelson Elliott, authored his book on Elliott wave theory titled "The Wave Principle" in 1938. In this book, Elliott presented his theory of market behaviour, which he believed reflected the natural laws that govern human behaviour.
The Elliott Wave Theory is based on the principle that waves have a tendency to unfold in a specific sequence of five waves in the direction of the trend, followed by three waves leading in the opposite direction. This pattern is called a 5-3 wave pattern and is the foundation of Elliott's theory.
The five waves in the direction of the trend are labelled 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5, while the three waves in the opposite direction are labelled A, B, and C. Waves 1, 3, and 5 are impulse waves, while waves 2 and 4 are corrective waves. Waves A and C are also corrective waves, while wave B is an impulse wave.
According to Elliott, the pattern of waves is fractal in nature, meaning that it occurs on all time frames, from the smallest to the largest.
In Elliott Wave Theory, the distance that waves move from each other depends on the specific market conditions and the amplitude of the waves involved. There is no fixed rule or limit for how far waves should move from each other, however, there are several guidelines to help identify and measure wave distances. One of the most common guidelines is the Fibonacci ratios, which can be used to describe the relationships between wave lengths. For example, Elliott identified that wave 3 is typically the strongest and longest wave, and it tends to be 1.618 times the length of wave 1. Meanwhile, wave 2 tends to retrace between 50% and 78.6% of wave 1, and wave 4 tends to retrace between 38.2% and 78.6% of wave 3.
In general, the patterns are quite rare and the distances that the waves move in relation to one another is subject to interpretation. For such reasons, I have simply included the ratios of the current ranges as ratios of the preceding ranges in the wave labels and it will, ultimately, be up to the user to decide whether or not the patterns qualify as valid.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• Show Projections
• Pattern Color
• Label Color
• Extend Current Projection Lines
█ LIMITATIONS
All green and red candle calculations are based on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. This may cause some unexpected behaviour on some markets and timeframes. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work with.
qEMA 3 LineMy scenario consists of 3 ema lines which are ema 34, ema89, ema 144.
3 ema lines are important in elliott waves:
- A complete elliott wave of 144 waves
- An eliott wave has 89 waves
- In wave with wave, in wave 89 again wave 34 waves
I used to find the waves in elliott, know where the cycle elliott will end up (when the price hit ema144)
Adaptive Market Wave TheoryAdaptive Market Wave Theory
🌊 CORE INNOVATION: PROBABILISTIC PHASE DETECTION WITH MULTI-AGENT CONSENSUS
Adaptive Market Wave Theory (AMWT) represents a fundamental paradigm shift in how traders approach market phase identification. Rather than counting waves subjectively or drawing static breakout levels, AMWT treats the market as a hidden state machine —using Hidden Markov Models, multi-agent consensus systems, and reinforcement learning algorithms to quantify what traditional methods leave to interpretation.
The Wave Analysis Problem:
Traditional wave counting methodologies (Elliott Wave, harmonic patterns, ABC corrections) share fatal weaknesses that AMWT directly addresses:
1. Non-Falsifiability : Invalid wave counts can always be "recounted" or "adjusted." If your Wave 3 fails, it becomes "Wave 3 of a larger degree" or "actually Wave C." There's no objective failure condition.
2. Observer Bias : Two expert wave analysts examining the same chart routinely reach different conclusions. This isn't a feature—it's a fundamental methodology flaw.
3. No Confidence Measure : Traditional analysis says "This IS Wave 3." But with what probability? 51%? 95%? The binary nature prevents proper position sizing and risk management.
4. Static Rules : Fixed Fibonacci ratios and wave guidelines cannot adapt to changing market regimes. What worked in 2019 may fail in 2024.
5. No Accountability : Wave methodologies rarely track their own performance. There's no feedback loop to improve.
The AMWT Solution:
AMWT addresses each limitation through rigorous mathematical frameworks borrowed from speech recognition, machine learning, and reinforcement learning:
• Non-Falsifiability → Hard Invalidation : Wave hypotheses die permanently when price violates calculated invalidation levels. No recounting allowed.
• Observer Bias → Multi-Agent Consensus : Three independent analytical agents must agree. Single-methodology bias is eliminated.
• No Confidence → Probabilistic States : Every market state has a calculated probability from Hidden Markov Model inference. "72% probability of impulse state" replaces "This is Wave 3."
• Static Rules → Adaptive Learning : Thompson Sampling multi-armed bandits learn which agents perform best in current conditions. The system adapts in real-time.
• No Accountability → Performance Tracking : Comprehensive statistics track every signal's outcome. The system knows its own performance.
The Core Insight:
"Traditional wave analysis asks 'What count is this?' AMWT asks 'What is the probability we are in an impulsive state, with what confidence, confirmed by how many independent methodologies, and anchored to what liquidity event?'"
🔬 THEORETICAL FOUNDATION: HIDDEN MARKOV MODELS
Why Hidden Markov Models?
Markets exist in hidden states that we cannot directly observe—only their effects on price are visible. When the market is in an "impulse up" state, we see rising prices, expanding volume, and trending indicators. But we don't observe the state itself—we infer it from observables.
This is precisely the problem Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) solve. Originally developed for speech recognition (inferring words from sound waves), HMMs excel at estimating hidden states from noisy observations.
HMM Components:
1. Hidden States (S) : The unobservable market conditions
2. Observations (O) : What we can measure (price, volume, indicators)
3. Transition Matrix (A) : Probability of moving between states
4. Emission Matrix (B) : Probability of observations given each state
5. Initial Distribution (π) : Starting state probabilities
AMWT's Six Market States:
State 0: IMPULSE_UP
• Definition: Strong bullish momentum with high participation
• Observable Signatures: Rising prices, expanding volume, RSI >60, price above upper Bollinger Band, MACD histogram positive and rising
• Typical Duration: 5-20 bars depending on timeframe
• What It Means: Institutional buying pressure, trend acceleration phase
State 1: IMPULSE_DN
• Definition: Strong bearish momentum with high participation
• Observable Signatures: Falling prices, expanding volume, RSI <40, price below lower Bollinger Band, MACD histogram negative and falling
• Typical Duration: 5-20 bars (often shorter than bullish impulses—markets fall faster)
• What It Means: Institutional selling pressure, panic or distribution acceleration
State 2: CORRECTION
• Definition: Counter-trend consolidation with declining momentum
• Observable Signatures: Sideways or mild counter-trend movement, contracting volume, RSI returning toward 50, Bollinger Bands narrowing
• Typical Duration: 8-30 bars
• What It Means: Profit-taking, digestion of prior move, potential accumulation for next leg
State 3: ACCUMULATION
• Definition: Base-building near lows where informed participants absorb supply
• Observable Signatures: Price near recent lows but not making new lows, volume spikes on up bars, RSI showing positive divergence, tight range
• Typical Duration: 15-50 bars
• What It Means: Smart money buying from weak hands, preparing for markup phase
State 4: DISTRIBUTION
• Definition: Top-forming near highs where informed participants distribute holdings
• Observable Signatures: Price near recent highs but struggling to advance, volume spikes on down bars, RSI showing negative divergence, widening range
• Typical Duration: 15-50 bars
• What It Means: Smart money selling to late buyers, preparing for markdown phase
State 5: TRANSITION
• Definition: Regime change period with mixed signals and elevated uncertainty
• Observable Signatures: Conflicting indicators, whipsaw price action, no clear momentum, high volatility without direction
• Typical Duration: 5-15 bars
• What It Means: Market deciding next direction, dangerous for directional trades
The Transition Matrix:
The transition matrix A captures the probability of moving from one state to another. AMWT initializes with empirically-derived values then updates online:
From/To IMP_UP IMP_DN CORR ACCUM DIST TRANS
IMP_UP 0.70 0.02 0.20 0.02 0.04 0.02
IMP_DN 0.02 0.70 0.20 0.04 0.02 0.02
CORR 0.15 0.15 0.50 0.10 0.10 0.00
ACCUM 0.30 0.05 0.15 0.40 0.05 0.05
DIST 0.05 0.30 0.15 0.05 0.40 0.05
TRANS 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.15 0.15 0.10
Key Insights from Transition Probabilities:
• Impulse states are sticky (70% self-transition): Once trending, markets tend to continue
• Corrections can transition to either impulse direction (15% each): The next move after correction is uncertain
• Accumulation strongly favors IMP_UP transition (30%): Base-building leads to rallies
• Distribution strongly favors IMP_DN transition (30%): Topping leads to declines
The Viterbi Algorithm:
Given a sequence of observations, how do we find the most likely state sequence? This is the Viterbi algorithm—dynamic programming to find the optimal path through the state space.
Mathematical Formulation:
δ_t(j) = max_i × B_j(O_t)
Where:
δ_t(j) = probability of most likely path ending in state j at time t
A_ij = transition probability from state i to state j
B_j(O_t) = emission probability of observation O_t given state j
AMWT Implementation:
AMWT runs Viterbi over a rolling window (default 50 bars), computing the most likely state sequence and extracting:
• Current state estimate
• State confidence (probability of current state vs alternatives)
• State sequence for pattern detection
Online Learning (Baum-Welch Adaptation):
Unlike static HMMs, AMWT continuously updates its transition and emission matrices based on observed market behavior:
f_onlineUpdateHMM(prev_state, curr_state, observation, decay) =>
// Update transition matrix
A *= decay
A += (1.0 - decay)
// Renormalize row
// Update emission matrix
B *= decay
B += (1.0 - decay)
// Renormalize row
The decay parameter (default 0.85) controls adaptation speed:
• Higher decay (0.95): Slower adaptation, more stable, better for consistent markets
• Lower decay (0.80): Faster adaptation, more reactive, better for regime changes
Why This Matters for Trading:
Traditional indicators give you a number (RSI = 72). AMWT gives you a probabilistic state assessment :
"There is a 78% probability we are in IMPULSE_UP state, with 15% probability of CORRECTION and 7% distributed among other states. The transition matrix suggests 70% chance of remaining in IMPULSE_UP next bar, 20% chance of transitioning to CORRECTION."
This enables:
• Position sizing by confidence : 90% confidence = full size; 60% confidence = half size
• Risk management by transition probability : High correction probability = tighten stops
• Strategy selection by state : IMPULSE = trend-follow; CORRECTION = wait; ACCUMULATION = scale in
🎰 THE 3-BANDIT CONSENSUS SYSTEM
The Multi-Agent Philosophy:
No single analytical methodology works in all market conditions. Trend-following excels in trending markets but gets chopped in ranges. Mean-reversion excels in ranges but gets crushed in trends. Structure-based analysis works when structure is clear but fails in chaotic markets.
AMWT's solution: employ three independent agents , each analyzing the market from a different perspective, then use Thompson Sampling to learn which agents perform best in current conditions.
Agent 1: TREND AGENT
Philosophy : Markets trend. Follow the trend until it ends.
Analytical Components:
• EMA Alignment: EMA8 > EMA21 > EMA50 (bullish) or inverse (bearish)
• MACD Histogram: Direction and rate of change
• Price Momentum: Close relative to ATR-normalized movement
• VWAP Position: Price above/below volume-weighted average price
Signal Generation:
Strong Bull: EMA aligned bull AND MACD histogram > 0 AND momentum > 0.3 AND close > VWAP
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.75 + |momentum| × 0.4
Moderate Bull: EMA stack bull AND MACD rising AND momentum > 0.1
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.65 + |momentum| × 0.3
Strong Bear: EMA aligned bear AND MACD histogram < 0 AND momentum < -0.3 AND close < VWAP
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.75 + |momentum| × 0.4
Moderate Bear: EMA stack bear AND MACD falling AND momentum < -0.1
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.65 + |momentum| × 0.3
When Trend Agent Excels:
• Trend days (IB extension >1.5x)
• Post-breakout continuation
• Institutional accumulation/distribution phases
When Trend Agent Fails:
• Range-bound markets (ADX <20)
• Chop zones after volatility spikes
• Reversal days at major levels
Agent 2: REVERSION AGENT
Philosophy: Markets revert to mean. Extreme readings reverse.
Analytical Components:
• Bollinger Band Position: Distance from bands, percent B
• RSI Extremes: Overbought (>70) and oversold (<30)
• Stochastic: %K/%D crossovers at extremes
• Band Squeeze: Bollinger Band width contraction
Signal Generation:
Oversold Bounce: BB %B < 0.20 AND RSI < 35 AND Stochastic < 25
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.70 + (30 - RSI) × 0.01
Overbought Fade: BB %B > 0.80 AND RSI > 65 AND Stochastic > 75
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.70 + (RSI - 70) × 0.01
Squeeze Fire Bull: Band squeeze ending AND close > upper band
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.65
Squeeze Fire Bear: Band squeeze ending AND close < lower band
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.65
When Reversion Agent Excels:
• Rotation days (price stays within IB)
• Range-bound consolidation
• After extended moves without pullback
When Reversion Agent Fails:
• Strong trend days (RSI can stay overbought for days)
• Breakout moves
• News-driven directional moves
Agent 3: STRUCTURE AGENT
Philosophy: Market structure reveals institutional intent. Follow the smart money.
Analytical Components:
• Break of Structure (BOS): Price breaks prior swing high/low
• Change of Character (CHOCH): First break against prevailing trend
• Higher Highs/Higher Lows: Bullish structure
• Lower Highs/Lower Lows: Bearish structure
• Liquidity Sweeps: Stop runs that reverse
Signal Generation:
BOS Bull: Price breaks above prior swing high with momentum
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.70 + structure_strength × 0.2
CHOCH Bull: First higher low after downtrend, breaking structure
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.75
BOS Bear: Price breaks below prior swing low with momentum
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.70 + structure_strength × 0.2
CHOCH Bear: First lower high after uptrend, breaking structure
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.75
Liquidity Sweep Long: Price sweeps below swing low then reverses strongly
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.80
Liquidity Sweep Short: Price sweeps above swing high then reverses strongly
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.80
When Structure Agent Excels:
• After liquidity grabs (stop runs)
• At major swing points
• During institutional accumulation/distribution
When Structure Agent Fails:
• Choppy, structureless markets
• During news events (structure becomes noise)
• Very low timeframes (noise overwhelms structure)
Thompson Sampling: The Bandit Algorithm
With three agents giving potentially different signals, how do we decide which to trust? This is the multi-armed bandit problem —balancing exploitation (using what works) with exploration (testing alternatives).
Thompson Sampling Solution:
Each agent maintains a Beta distribution representing its success/failure history:
Agent success rate modeled as Beta(α, β)
Where:
α = number of successful signals + 1
β = number of failed signals + 1
On Each Bar:
1. Sample from each agent's Beta distribution
2. Weight agent signals by sampled probabilities
3. Combine weighted signals into consensus
4. Update α/β based on trade outcomes
Mathematical Implementation:
// Beta sampling via Gamma ratio method
f_beta_sample(alpha, beta) =>
g1 = f_gamma_sample(alpha)
g2 = f_gamma_sample(beta)
g1 / (g1 + g2)
// Thompson Sampling selection
for each agent:
sampled_prob = f_beta_sample(agent.alpha, agent.beta)
weight = sampled_prob / sum(all_sampled_probs)
consensus += agent.signal × agent.confidence × weight
Why Thompson Sampling?
• Automatic Exploration : Agents with few samples get occasional chances (high variance in Beta distribution)
• Bayesian Optimal : Mathematically proven optimal solution to exploration-exploitation tradeoff
• Uncertainty-Aware : Small sample size = more exploration; large sample size = more exploitation
• Self-Correcting : Poor performers naturally get lower weights over time
Example Evolution:
Day 1 (Initial):
Trend Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
Reversion Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
Structure Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
After 50 Signals:
Trend Agent: Beta(28,23) → samples ~0.55 (moderate confidence)
Reversion Agent: Beta(18,33) → samples ~0.35 (underperforming)
Structure Agent: Beta(32,19) → samples ~0.63 (outperforming)
Result: Structure Agent now receives highest weight in consensus
Consensus Requirements by Mode:
Aggressive Mode:
• Minimum 1/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 45%
• Use case: More signals, higher risk tolerance
Balanced Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 55%
• Use case: Standard trading
Conservative Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 65%
• Use case: Higher quality, fewer signals
Institutional Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 75%
• Additional: Session quality >0.65, mode adjustment +0.10
• Use case: Highest quality signals only
🌀 INTELLIGENT CHOP DETECTION ENGINE
The Chop Problem:
Most trading losses occur not from being wrong about direction, but from trading in conditions where direction doesn't exist . Choppy, range-bound markets generate false signals from every methodology—trend-following, mean-reversion, and structure-based alike.
AMWT's chop detection engine identifies these low-probability environments before signals fire, preventing the most damaging trades.
Five-Factor Chop Analysis:
Factor 1: ADX Component (25% weight)
ADX (Average Directional Index) measures trend strength regardless of direction.
ADX < 15: Very weak trend (high chop score)
ADX 15-20: Weak trend (moderate chop score)
ADX 20-25: Developing trend (low chop score)
ADX > 25: Strong trend (minimal chop score)
adx_chop = (i_adxThreshold - adx_val) / i_adxThreshold × 100
Why ADX Works: ADX synthesizes +DI and -DI movements. Low ADX means price is moving but not directionally—the definition of chop.
Factor 2: Choppiness Index (25% weight)
The Choppiness Index measures price efficiency using the ratio of ATR sum to price range:
CI = 100 × LOG10(SUM(ATR, n) / (Highest - Lowest)) / LOG10(n)
CI > 61.8: Choppy (range-bound, inefficient movement)
CI < 38.2: Trending (directional, efficient movement)
CI 38.2-61.8: Transitional
chop_idx_score = (ci_val - 38.2) / (61.8 - 38.2) × 100
Why Choppiness Index Works: In trending markets, price covers distance efficiently (low ATR sum relative to range). In choppy markets, price oscillates wildly but goes nowhere (high ATR sum relative to range).
Factor 3: Range Compression (20% weight)
Compares recent range to longer-term range, detecting volatility squeezes:
recent_range = Highest(20) - Lowest(20)
longer_range = Highest(50) - Lowest(50)
compression = 1 - (recent_range / longer_range)
compression > 0.5: Strong squeeze (potential breakout imminent)
compression < 0.2: No compression (normal volatility)
range_compression_score = compression × 100
Why Range Compression Matters: Compression precedes expansion. High compression = market coiling, preparing for move. Signals during compression often fail because the breakout hasn't occurred yet.
Factor 4: Channel Position (15% weight)
Tracks price position within the macro channel:
channel_position = (close - channel_low) / (channel_high - channel_low)
position 0.4-0.6: Center of channel (indecision zone)
position <0.2 or >0.8: Near extremes (potential reversal or breakout)
channel_chop = abs(0.5 - channel_position) < 0.15 ? high_score : low_score
Why Channel Position Matters: Price in the middle of a range is in "no man's land"—equally likely to go either direction. Signals in the channel center have lower probability.
Factor 5: Volume Quality (15% weight)
Assesses volume relative to average:
vol_ratio = volume / SMA(volume, 20)
vol_ratio < 0.7: Low volume (lack of conviction)
vol_ratio 0.7-1.3: Normal volume
vol_ratio > 1.3: High volume (conviction present)
volume_chop = vol_ratio < 0.8 ? (1 - vol_ratio) × 100 : 0
Why Volume Quality Matters: Low volume moves lack institutional participation. These moves are more likely to reverse or stall.
Combined Chop Intensity:
chopIntensity = (adx_chop × 0.25) + (chop_idx_score × 0.25) +
(range_compression_score × 0.20) + (channel_chop × 0.15) +
(volume_chop × i_volumeChopWeight × 0.15)
Regime Classifications:
Based on chop intensity and component analysis:
• Strong Trend (0-20%): ADX >30, clear directional momentum, trade aggressively
• Trending (20-35%): ADX >20, moderate directional bias, trade normally
• Transitioning (35-50%): Mixed signals, regime change possible, reduce size
• Mid-Range (50-60%): Price trapped in channel center, avoid new positions
• Ranging (60-70%): Low ADX, price oscillating within bounds, fade extremes only
• Compression (70-80%): Volatility squeeze, expansion imminent, wait for breakout
• Strong Chop (80-100%): Multiple chop factors aligned, avoid trading entirely
Signal Suppression:
When chop intensity exceeds the configurable threshold (default 80%), signals are suppressed entirely. The dashboard displays "⚠️ CHOP ZONE" with the current regime classification.
Chop Box Visualization:
When chop is detected, AMWT draws a semi-transparent box on the chart showing the chop zone. This visual reminder helps traders avoid entering positions during unfavorable conditions.
💧 LIQUIDITY ANCHORING SYSTEM
The Liquidity Concept:
Markets move from liquidity pool to liquidity pool. Stop losses cluster at predictable locations—below swing lows (buy stops become sell orders when triggered) and above swing highs (sell stops become buy orders when triggered). Institutions know where these clusters are and often engineer moves to trigger them before reversing.
AMWT identifies and tracks these liquidity events, using them as anchors for signal confidence.
Liquidity Event Types:
Type 1: Volume Spikes
Definition: Volume > SMA(volume, 20) × i_volThreshold (default 2.8x)
Interpretation: Sudden volume surge indicates institutional activity
• Near swing low + reversal: Likely accumulation
• Near swing high + reversal: Likely distribution
• With continuation: Institutional conviction in direction
Type 2: Stop Runs (Liquidity Sweeps)
Definition: Price briefly exceeds swing high/low then reverses within N bars
Detection:
• Price breaks above recent swing high (triggering buy stops)
• Then closes back below that high within 3 bars
• Signal: Bullish stop run complete, reversal likely
Or inverse for bearish:
• Price breaks below recent swing low (triggering sell stops)
• Then closes back above that low within 3 bars
• Signal: Bearish stop run complete, reversal likely
Type 3: Absorption Events
Definition: High volume with small candle body
Detection:
• Volume > 2x average
• Candle body < 30% of candle range
• Interpretation: Large orders being filled without moving price
• Implication: Accumulation (at lows) or distribution (at highs)
Type 4: BSL/SSL Pools (Buy-Side/Sell-Side Liquidity)
BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity):
• Cluster of swing highs within ATR proximity
• Stop losses from shorts sit above these highs
• Breaking BSL triggers short covering (fuel for rally)
SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity):
• Cluster of swing lows within ATR proximity
• Stop losses from longs sit below these lows
• Breaking SSL triggers long liquidation (fuel for decline)
Liquidity Pool Mapping:
AMWT continuously scans for and maps liquidity pools:
// Detect swing highs/lows using pivot function
swing_high = ta.pivothigh(high, 5, 5)
swing_low = ta.pivotlow(low, 5, 5)
// Track recent swing points
if not na(swing_high)
bsl_levels.push(swing_high)
if not na(swing_low)
ssl_levels.push(swing_low)
// Display on chart with labels
Confluence Scoring Integration:
When signals fire near identified liquidity events, confluence scoring increases:
• Signal near volume spike: +10% confidence
• Signal after liquidity sweep: +15% confidence
• Signal at BSL/SSL pool: +10% confidence
• Signal aligned with absorption zone: +10% confidence
Why Liquidity Anchoring Matters:
Signals "in a vacuum" have lower probability than signals anchored to institutional activity. A long signal after a liquidity sweep below swing lows has trapped shorts providing fuel. A long signal in the middle of nowhere has no such catalyst.
📊 SIGNAL GRADING SYSTEM
The Quality Problem:
Not all signals are created equal. A signal with 6/6 factors aligned is fundamentally different from a signal with 3/6 factors aligned. Traditional indicators treat them the same. AMWT grades every signal based on confluence.
Confluence Components (100 points total):
1. Bandit Consensus Strength (25 points)
consensus_str = weighted average of agent confidences
score = consensus_str × 25
Example:
Trend Agent: +1 signal, 0.80 confidence, 0.35 weight
Reversion Agent: 0 signal, 0.50 confidence, 0.25 weight
Structure Agent: +1 signal, 0.75 confidence, 0.40 weight
Weighted consensus = (0.80×0.35 + 0×0.25 + 0.75×0.40) / (0.35 + 0.40) = 0.77
Score = 0.77 × 25 = 19.25 points
2. HMM State Confidence (15 points)
score = hmm_confidence × 15
Example:
HMM reports 82% probability of IMPULSE_UP
Score = 0.82 × 15 = 12.3 points
3. Session Quality (15 points)
Session quality varies by time:
• London/NY Overlap: 1.0 (15 points)
• New York Session: 0.95 (14.25 points)
• London Session: 0.70 (10.5 points)
• Asian Session: 0.40 (6 points)
• Off-Hours: 0.30 (4.5 points)
• Weekend: 0.10 (1.5 points)
4. Energy/Participation (10 points)
energy = (realized_vol / avg_vol) × 0.4 + (range / ATR) × 0.35 + (volume / avg_volume) × 0.25
score = min(energy, 1.0) × 10
5. Volume Confirmation (10 points)
if volume > SMA(volume, 20) × 1.5:
score = 10
else if volume > SMA(volume, 20):
score = 5
else:
score = 0
6. Structure Alignment (10 points)
For long signals:
• Bullish structure (HH + HL): 10 points
• Higher low only: 6 points
• Neutral structure: 3 points
• Bearish structure: 0 points
Inverse for short signals
7. Trend Alignment (10 points)
For long signals:
• Price > EMA21 > EMA50: 10 points
• Price > EMA21: 6 points
• Neutral: 3 points
• Against trend: 0 points
8. Entry Trigger Quality (5 points)
• Strong trigger (multiple confirmations): 5 points
• Moderate trigger (single confirmation): 3 points
• Weak trigger (marginal): 1 point
Grade Scale:
Total Score → Grade
85-100 → A+ (Exceptional—all factors aligned)
70-84 → A (Strong—high probability)
55-69 → B (Acceptable—proceed with caution)
Below 55 → C (Marginal—filtered by default)
Grade-Based Signal Brightness:
Signal arrows on the chart have transparency based on grade:
• A+: Full brightness (alpha = 0)
• A: Slight fade (alpha = 15)
• B: Moderate fade (alpha = 35)
• C: Significant fade (alpha = 55)
This visual hierarchy helps traders instantly identify signal quality.
Minimum Grade Filter:
Configurable filter (default: C) sets the minimum grade for signal display:
• Set to "A" for only highest-quality signals
• Set to "B" for moderate selectivity
• Set to "C" for all signals (maximum quantity)
🕐 SESSION INTELLIGENCE
Why Sessions Matter:
Markets behave differently at different times. The London open is fundamentally different from the Asian lunch hour. AMWT incorporates session-aware logic to optimize signal quality.
Session Definitions:
Asian Session (18:00-03:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Lower volatility, range-bound tendency, fewer institutional participants
• Quality Score: 0.40 (40% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Fade extremes, expect ranges, smaller position sizes
• Best For: Mean-reversion setups, accumulation/distribution identification
London Session (03:00-12:00 ET)
• Characteristics: European institutional activity, volatility pickup, trend initiation
• Quality Score: 0.70 (70% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Watch for trend development, breakouts more reliable
• Best For: Initial trend identification, structure breaks
New York Session (08:00-17:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Highest liquidity, US institutional activity, major moves
• Quality Score: 0.95 (95% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Best environment for directional trades
• Best For: Trend continuation, momentum plays
London/NY Overlap (08:00-12:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Peak liquidity, both European and US participants active
• Quality Score: 1.0 (100%—maximum quality)
• Strategy Implications: Highest probability for successful breakouts and trends
• Best For: All signal types—this is prime time
Off-Hours
• Characteristics: Thin liquidity, erratic price action, gaps possible
• Quality Score: 0.30 (30% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Avoid new positions, wider stops if holding
• Best For: Waiting
Smart Weekend Detection:
AMWT properly handles the Sunday evening futures open:
// Traditional (broken):
isWeekend = dayofweek == saturday OR dayofweek == sunday
// AMWT (correct):
anySessionActive = not na(asianTime) or not na(londonTime) or not na(nyTime)
isWeekend = calendarWeekend AND NOT anySessionActive
This ensures Sunday 6pm ET (when futures open) correctly shows "Asian Session" rather than "Weekend."
Session Transition Boosts:
Certain session transitions create trading opportunities:
• Asian → London transition: +15% confidence boost (volatility expansion likely)
• London → Overlap transition: +20% confidence boost (peak liquidity approaching)
• Overlap → NY-only transition: -10% confidence adjustment (liquidity declining)
• Any → Off-Hours transition: Signal suppression recommended
📈 TRADE MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
The Signal Spam Problem:
Many indicators generate signal after signal, creating confusion and overtrading. AMWT implements a complete trade lifecycle management system that prevents signal spam and tracks performance.
Trade Lock Mechanism:
Once a signal fires, the system enters a "trade lock" state:
Trade Lock Duration: Configurable (default 30 bars)
Early Exit Conditions:
• TP3 hit (full target reached)
• Stop Loss hit (trade failed)
• Lock expiration (time-based exit)
During lock:
• No new signals of same type displayed
• Opposite signals can override (reversal)
• Trade status tracked in dashboard
Target Levels:
Each signal generates three profit targets based on ATR:
TP1 (Conservative Target)
• Default: 1.0 × ATR
• Purpose: Quick partial profit, reduce risk
• Action: Take 30-40% off position, move stop to breakeven
TP2 (Standard Target)
• Default: 2.5 × ATR
• Purpose: Main profit target
• Action: Take 40-50% off position, trail stop
TP3 (Extended Target)
• Default: 5.0 × ATR
• Purpose: Runner target for trend days
• Action: Close remaining position or continue trailing
Stop Loss:
• Default: 1.9 × ATR from entry
• Purpose: Define maximum risk
• Placement: Below recent swing low (longs) or above recent swing high (shorts)
Invalidation Level:
Beyond stop loss, AMWT calculates an "invalidation" level where the wave hypothesis dies:
invalidation = entry - (ATR × INVALIDATION_MULT × 1.5)
If price reaches invalidation, the current market interpretation is wrong—not just the trade.
Visual Trade Management:
During active trades, AMWT displays:
• Entry arrow with grade label (▲A+, ▼B, etc.)
• TP1, TP2, TP3 horizontal lines in green
• Stop Loss line in red
• Invalidation line in orange (dashed)
• Progress indicator in dashboard
Persistent Execution Markers:
When targets or stops are hit, permanent markers appear:
• TP hit: Green dot with "TP1"/"TP2"/"TP3" label
• SL hit: Red dot with "SL" label
These persist on the chart for review and statistics.
💰 PERFORMANCE TRACKING & STATISTICS
Tracked Metrics:
• Total Trades: Count of all signals that entered trade lock
• Winning Trades: Signals where at least TP1 was reached before SL
• Losing Trades: Signals where SL was hit before any TP
• Win Rate: Winning / Total × 100%
• Total R Profit: Sum of R-multiples from winning trades
• Total R Loss: Sum of R-multiples from losing trades
• Net R: Total R Profit - Total R Loss
Currency Conversion System:
AMWT can display P&L in multiple formats:
R-Multiple (Default)
• Shows risk-normalized returns
• "Net P&L: +4.2R | 78 trades" means 4.2 times initial risk gained over 78 trades
• Best for comparing across different position sizes
Currency Conversion (USD/EUR/GBP/JPY/INR)
• Converts R-multiples to currency based on:
- Dollar Risk Per Trade (user input)
- Tick Value (user input)
- Selected currency
Example Configuration:
Dollar Risk Per Trade: $100
Display Currency: USD
If Net R = +4.2R
Display: Net P&L: +$420.00 | 78 trades
Ticks
• For futures traders who think in ticks
• Converts based on tick value input
Statistics Reset:
Two reset methods:
1. Toggle Reset
• Turn "Reset Statistics" toggle ON then OFF
• Clears all statistics immediately
2. Date-Based Reset
• Set "Reset After Date" (YYYY-MM-DD format)
• Only trades after this date are counted
• Useful for isolating recent performance
🎨 VISUAL FEATURES
Macro Channel:
Dynamic regression-based channel showing market boundaries:
• Upper/lower bounds calculated from swing pivot linear regression
• Adapts to current market structure
• Shows overall trend direction and potential reversal zones
Chop Boxes:
Semi-transparent overlay during high-chop periods:
• Purple/orange coloring indicates dangerous conditions
• Visual reminder to avoid new positions
Confluence Heat Zones:
Background shading indicating setup quality:
• Darker shading = higher confluence
• Lighter shading = lower confluence
• Helps identify optimal entry timing
EMA Ribbon:
Trend visualization via moving average fill:
• EMA 8/21/50 with gradient fill between
• Green fill when bullish aligned
• Red fill when bearish aligned
• Gray when neutral
Absorption Zone Boxes:
Marks potential accumulation/distribution areas:
• High volume + small body = absorption
• Boxes drawn at these levels
• Often act as support/resistance
Liquidity Pool Lines:
BSL/SSL levels with labels:
• Dashed lines at liquidity clusters
• "BSL" label above swing high clusters
• "SSL" label below swing low clusters
Six Professional Themes:
• Quantum: Deep purples and cyans (default)
• Cyberpunk: Neon pinks and blues
• Professional: Muted grays and greens
• Ocean: Blues and teals
• Matrix: Greens and blacks
• Ember: Oranges and reds
🎓 PROFESSIONAL USAGE PROTOCOL
Phase 1: Learning the System (Week 1)
Goal: Understand AMWT concepts and dashboard interpretation
Setup:
• Signal Mode: Balanced
• Display: All features enabled
• Grade Filter: C (see all signals)
Actions:
• Paper trade ONLY—no real money
• Observe HMM state transitions throughout the day
• Note when agents agree vs disagree
• Watch chop detection engage and disengage
• Track which grades produce winners vs losers
Key Learning Questions:
• How often do A+ signals win vs B signals? (Should see clear difference)
• Which agent tends to be right in current market? (Check dashboard)
• When does chop detection save you from bad trades?
• How do signals near liquidity events perform vs signals in vacuum?
Phase 2: Parameter Optimization (Week 2)
Goal: Tune system to your instrument and timeframe
Signal Mode Testing:
• Run 5 days on Aggressive mode (more signals)
• Run 5 days on Conservative mode (fewer signals)
• Compare: Which produces better risk-adjusted returns?
Grade Filter Testing:
• Track A+ only for 20 signals
• Track A and above for 20 signals
• Track B and above for 20 signals
• Compare win rates and expectancy
Chop Threshold Testing:
• Default (80%): Standard filtering
• Try 70%: More aggressive filtering
• Try 90%: Less filtering
• Which produces best results for your instrument?
Phase 3: Strategy Development (Weeks 3-4)
Goal: Develop personal trading rules based on system signals
Position Sizing by Grade:
• A+ grade: 100% position size
• A grade: 75% position size
• B grade: 50% position size
• C grade: 25% position size (or skip)
Session-Based Rules:
• London/NY Overlap: Take all A/A+ signals
• NY Session: Take all A+ signals, selective on A
• Asian Session: Only A+ signals with extra confirmation
• Off-Hours: No new positions
Chop Zone Rules:
• Chop >70%: Reduce position size 50%
• Chop >80%: No new positions
• Chop <50%: Full position size allowed
Phase 4: Live Micro-Sizing (Month 2)
Goal: Validate paper trading results with minimal risk
Setup:
• 10-20% of intended full position size
• Take ONLY A+ signals initially
• Follow trade management religiously
Tracking:
• Log every trade: Entry, Exit, Grade, HMM State, Chop Level, Agent Consensus
• Calculate: Win rate by grade, by session, by chop level
• Compare to paper trading (should be within 15%)
Red Flags:
• Win rate diverges significantly from paper trading: Execution issues
• Consistent losses during certain sessions: Adjust session rules
• Losses cluster when specific agent dominates: Review that agent's logic
Phase 5: Scaling Up (Months 3-6)
Goal: Gradually increase to full position size
Progression:
• Month 3: 25-40% size (if micro-sizing profitable)
• Month 4: 40-60% size
• Month 5: 60-80% size
• Month 6: 80-100% size
Scale-Up Requirements:
• Minimum 30 trades at current size
• Win rate ≥50%
• Net R positive
• No revenge trading incidents
• Emotional control maintained
💡 DEVELOPMENT INSIGHTS
Why HMM Over Simple Indicators:
Early versions used standard indicators (RSI >70 = overbought, etc.). Win rates hovered at 52-55%. The problem: indicators don't capture state. RSI can stay "overbought" for weeks in a strong trend.
The insight: markets exist in states, and state persistence matters more than indicator levels. Implementing HMM with state transition probabilities increased signal quality significantly. The system now knows not just "RSI is high" but "we're in IMPULSE_UP state with 70% probability of staying in IMPULSE_UP."
The Multi-Agent Evolution:
Original version used a single analytical methodology—trend-following. Performance was inconsistent: great in trends, destroyed in ranges. Added mean-reversion agent: now it was inconsistent the other way.
The breakthrough: use multiple agents and let the system learn which works . Thompson Sampling wasn't the first attempt—tried simple averaging, voting, even hard-coded regime switching. Thompson Sampling won because it's mathematically optimal and automatically adapts without manual regime detection.
Chop Detection Revelation:
Chop detection was added almost as an afterthought. "Let's filter out obviously bad conditions." Testing revealed it was the most impactful single feature. Filtering chop zones reduced losing trades by 35% while only reducing total signals by 20%. The insight: avoiding bad trades matters more than finding good ones.
Liquidity Anchoring Discovery:
Watched hundreds of trades. Noticed pattern: signals that fired after liquidity events (stop runs, volume spikes) had significantly higher win rates than signals in quiet markets. Implemented liquidity detection and anchoring. Win rate on liquidity-anchored signals: 68% vs 52% on non-anchored signals.
The Grade System Impact:
Early system had binary signals (fire or don't fire). Adding grading transformed it. Traders could finally match position size to signal quality. A+ signals deserved full size; C signals deserved caution. Just implementing grade-based sizing improved portfolio Sharpe ratio by 0.3.
🚨 LIMITATIONS & CRITICAL ASSUMPTIONS
What AMWT Is NOT:
• NOT a Holy Grail : No system wins every trade. AMWT improves probability, not certainty.
• NOT Fully Automated : AMWT provides signals and analysis; execution requires human judgment.
• NOT News-Proof : Exogenous shocks (FOMC surprises, geopolitical events) invalidate all technical analysis.
• NOT for Scalping : HMM state estimation needs time to develop. Sub-minute timeframes are not appropriate.
Core Assumptions:
1. Markets Have States : Assumes markets transition between identifiable regimes. Violation: Random walk markets with no regime structure.
2. States Are Inferable : Assumes observable indicators reveal hidden states. Violation: Market manipulation creating false signals.
3. History Informs Future : Assumes past agent performance predicts future performance. Violation: Regime changes that invalidate historical patterns.
4. Liquidity Events Matter : Assumes institutional activity creates predictable patterns. Violation: Markets with no institutional participation.
Performs Best On:
• Liquid Futures : ES, NQ, MNQ, MES, CL, GC
• Major Forex Pairs : EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY
• Large-Cap Stocks : AAPL, MSFT, TSLA, NVDA (>$5B market cap)
• Liquid Crypto : BTC, ETH on major exchanges
Performs Poorly On:
• Illiquid Instruments : Low volume stocks, exotic pairs
• Very Low Timeframes : Sub-5-minute charts (noise overwhelms signal)
• Binary Event Days : Earnings, FDA approvals, court rulings
• Manipulated Markets : Penny stocks, low-cap altcoins
Known Weaknesses:
• Warmup Period : HMM needs ~50 bars to initialize properly. Early signals may be unreliable.
• Regime Change Lag : Thompson Sampling adapts over time, not instantly. Sudden regime changes may cause short-term underperformance.
• Complexity : More parameters than simple indicators. Requires understanding to use effectively.
⚠️ RISK DISCLOSURE
Trading futures, stocks, options, forex, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Adaptive Market Wave Theory, while based on rigorous mathematical frameworks including Hidden Markov Models and multi-armed bandit algorithms, does not guarantee profits and can result in significant losses.
AMWT's methodologies—HMM state estimation, Thompson Sampling agent selection, and confluence-based grading—have theoretical foundations but past performance is not indicative of future results.
Hidden Markov Model assumptions may not hold during:
• Major news events disrupting normal market behavior
• Flash crashes or circuit breaker events
• Low liquidity periods with erratic price action
• Algorithmic manipulation or spoofing
Multi-agent consensus assumes independent analytical perspectives provide edge. Market conditions change. Edges that existed historically can diminish or disappear.
Users must independently validate system performance on their specific instruments, timeframes, and broker execution environment. Paper trade extensively before risking capital. Start with micro position sizing.
Never risk more than you can afford to lose completely. Use proper position sizing. Implement stop losses without exception.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge these risks and accept full responsibility for all trading decisions and outcomes.
"Elliott Wave was a first-order approximation of market phase behavior. AMWT is the second—probabilistic, adaptive, and accountable."
Initial Public Release
Core Engine:
• True Hidden Markov Model with online Baum-Welch learning
• Viterbi algorithm for optimal state sequence decoding
• 6-state market regime classification
Agent System:
• 3-Bandit consensus (Trend, Reversion, Structure)
• Thompson Sampling with true Beta distribution sampling
• Adaptive weight learning based on performance
Signal Generation:
• Quality-based confluence grading (A+/A/B/C)
• Four signal modes (Aggressive/Balanced/Conservative/Institutional)
• Grade-based visual brightness
Chop Detection:
• 5-factor analysis (ADX, Choppiness Index, Range Compression, Channel Position, Volume)
• 7 regime classifications
• Configurable signal suppression threshold
Liquidity:
• Volume spike detection
• Stop run (liquidity sweep) identification
• BSL/SSL pool mapping
• Absorption zone detection
Trade Management:
• Trade lock with configurable duration
• TP1/TP2/TP3 targets
• ATR-based stop loss
• Persistent execution markers
Session Intelligence:
• Asian/London/NY/Overlap detection
• Smart weekend handling (Sunday futures open)
• Session quality scoring
Performance:
• Statistics tracking with reset functionality
• 7 currency display modes
• Win rate and Net R calculation
Visuals:
• Macro channel with linear regression
• Chop boxes
• EMA ribbon
• Liquidity pool lines
• 6 professional themes
Dashboards:
• Main Dashboard: Market State, Consensus, Trade Status, Statistics
📋 AMWT vs AMWT-PRO:
This version includes all core AMWT functionality:
✓ Full Hidden Markov Model state estimation
✓ 3-Bandit Thompson Sampling consensus system
✓ Complete 5-factor chop detection engine
✓ All four signal modes
✓ Full trade management with TP/SL tracking
✓ Main dashboard with complete statistics
✓ All visual features (channels, zones, pools)
✓ Identical signal generation to PRO
✓ Six professional themes
✓ Full alert system
The PRO version adds the AMWT Advisor panel—a secondary dashboard providing:
• Real-time Market Pulse situation assessment
• Agent Matrix visualization (individual agent votes)
• Structure analysis breakdown
• "Watch For" upcoming setups
• Action Command coaching
Both versions generate identical signals . The Advisor provides additional guidance for interpreting those signals.
Taking you to school. - Dskyz, Trade with probability. Trade with consensus. Trade with AMWT.
deKoder | Structural Flow [SF]deKoder | SF | Structural Flow - Swing/Pivot Structure Charting
Strips away the noise of standard candlestick charts and reveals the true underlying swing structure through clean, connected pivot lines.
Beneath the storm of wicks / Silent structure whispers truth
Extreme Noise Reduction
Replaces cluttered price action with a minimalist pivot based line chart. The user-defined Window length lets you control sensitivity: shorter for more detail on lower timeframes, longer for cleaner structure on higher timeframes.
Accurate Swing Detection
Only stronger pivots are accepted. Weaker same side pivots are ignored, preserving the true extreme highs and lows without distortion.
Real Time Extension
The final incomplete leg dynamically follows the current close until the next confirmed pivot forms.
Optional Directional Colouring
Enable Directional Colouring to automatically colour confirmed legs with the user defined bull and bear colours on upward and downward swings.
Adjustable Background Candles
Candles with adjustable transparency may be displayed on the chart. Adjust the visibility setting to find the perfect balance between full raw candle data and clean structure
Practical Uses
Instantly reveals classic chart patterns — head & shoulders, double tops/bottoms, triangles, flags with unmistakable clarity
Becomes simple to spot Wyckoff springs, upthrusts, and phase transitions inside trading ranges
Provides a clean foundation for manual Elliott Wave counting . Clear swing structure makes labeling impulses and corrections much easier
Makes trend changes and potential reversals stand out without second-guessing every wick
Excellent for higher-timeframe structural analysis — the longer window setting produces exceptionally clean swing views
Ideal for creating clean educational screenshots and annotated posts - the chart speaks for itself
Reduces emotional noise by shifting focus from every candle to meaningful swing structure
Well suited for swing and price action traders, Wyckoff and Elliott Wave analysis, and anyone who prefers calm, uncluttered charts over constant visual chaos.
Clean charts. Clear sight.
☠ FR33FA11 | deKoder ☠
Released January 2025 | Open Source
If this open-source script (or any of its free companions) has saved you time or helped you read the market better, a coffee or a few sats helps to keep the Pine coming ❤️
Solana: 2N8HWPAHSC7Z8SLyneMrZp234UAP9HCtQX7wNXw7LKQC
Ethereum: 0xE770D254DC579d1db7bA2fe74376b7009527356B
Bitcoin: bc1qd8j3awht5yrjtnvt5dagxldzhaesc83sftype3
Polygon: 0xE770D254DC579d1db7bA2fe74376b7009527356B
Hype: 0xE770D254DC579d1db7bA2fe74376b7009527356B
Waves UltimateWaves Ultimate is a comprehensive Elliott Wave analysis tool designed to assist traders in identifying and validating wave structures in real-time. This indicator combines automatic wave detection with strict Elliott Wave rule validation, Fibonacci projections, and visual wave labeling to provide a complete wave analysis suite.
Auto 5-Wave Fixed Channel + Wave 5 Top / Wave 2-ABC BottomAuto 5-Wave Fixed Channel + Wave 5 Top / Wave 2-ABC Bottom
by Ron999
1. What this indicator does
This tool automatically hunts for bullish 5-wave impulse structures and then:
Labels the waves: W1, W2, W3, W4, W5
Draws a fixed “acceleration” channel based on the wave structure
Projects a Wave-5 target zone using a 1.618 extension
Marks the Wave-2 level as an ABC correction target
Triggers optional alerts when:
A new Wave-5 top completes
An ABC bottom forms back near the Wave-2 low
It’s designed as a mechanical, rule-based approximation of Elliott 5-wave impulses – built for traders who like the idea of wave structure but want something objective and programmable.
2. How the wave logic works
The script continuously scans for pivot highs and lows using a user-defined Pivot Length.
It only keeps the last 5 alternating pivots (high → low → high → low → high).
When those last 5 pivots form this pattern:
Pivot 1 → High (W1)
Pivot 2 → Low (W2)
Pivot 3 → High (W3)
Pivot 4 → Low (W4)
Pivot 5 → High (W5)
…the indicator treats this as a bullish 5-wave impulse.
When such a structure is detected, it “locks in” the wave prices and bars and draws the channels and labels.
Note: Pivots are only confirmed after Pivot Length bars, so swings are slightly delayed by design (standard pivot logic).
3. Channels & levels
Once a valid bullish 5-wave structure is found, the script builds three key pieces:
a) Base Acceleration Channel (Blue)
Anchored from Wave-2 low toward Wave-3 high.
This forms a rising acceleration channel that represents the impulse leg.
The channel extends to the right, so you can see how price interacts with it after W3–W5.
b) Wave-5 Target Line (Red, dashed)
Uses the height from Wave-2 low to Wave-3 high.
Projects a 1.618 extension of that height above Wave-3.
This line acts as a potential Wave-5 exhaustion zone (take-profit / reversal watch area).
c) Wave-2 / ABC Bottom Level (Green, dotted)
Horizontal line drawn at the Wave-2 low.
This acts as a retest / corrective target for the ABC correction after the impulse completes.
When price later revisits this area (within a tolerance), the script can mark it as a potential ABC bottom.
4. Labels & signals
If labels are enabled:
W1, W2, W3, W4, W5 are plotted directly on their corresponding pivot bars.
When an ABC-style retest is detected near the Wave-2 level, an “ABC” label is printed at that low.
Wave-5 Top Event
Triggered when a new valid bullish 5-wave structure is completed.
The last pivot high in the pattern is flagged as Wave-5.
ABC Bottom Event
After a Wave-5 impulse, the script watches for new low pivots.
If a new low forms within ABC Bottom Proximity (%) of the Wave-2 price, it is treated as an ABC bottom near Wave-2 and marked on the chart.
5. Inputs & customization
Show Fixed Channels
Toggle all channel drawing on/off.
Label Waves
Toggle plotting of W1–W5 and ABC labels.
Alerts: Wave-5 Top & ABC Bottom
Master switch for enabling the script’s alert conditions.
Pivot Length
Controls how “swingy” the detection is.
Smaller values → more frequent, smaller waves
Larger values → fewer, larger structural waves
ABC Bottom Proximity (%)
Allowed percentage distance between the ABC low and the Wave-2 price.
Example: 5% means any ABC low within ±5% of Wave-2 is considered valid.
6. Alerts (how to use them)
The script exposes two alertcondition() events:
Wave-5 Top (Bullish Impulse)
Fires when a new 5-wave bullish structure completes.
Use this to watch for potential exhaustion tops or to tighten stops.
ABC Bottom near Wave-2 Low
Fires when an ABC-style correction prints a low near the Wave-2 level.
Use this to stalk potential end-of-correction entries in the direction of the original impulse.
On TradingView, add an alert to the script and choose the desired condition from the dropdown.
7. How to use it in your trading
This tool is best used as a structural context layer, not a standalone system:
Identify bullish impulsive trends when a Wave-5 structure completes.
Use the Wave-5 target line as a potential area for:
Scaling out
Watching for exhaustion / divergences / reversal patterns
Use the Wave-2/ABC level and ABC Bottom signal:
To look for end of correction entries back in the trend direction
To align with your own confluence (support/resistance, volume, RSI, etc.)
It works well on crypto, FX, indices, and stocks, especially on higher timeframes where structure is cleaner.
8. Limitations & notes
This is a mechanical approximation of Elliott 5-wave theory — it will not match every analyst’s discretionary count.
Pivots are confirmed after Pivot Length bars, so signals are not instant; they’re based on completed swings.
The indicator currently focuses on bullish impulses (upward 5-wave structures).
As always, this is not financial advice. Combine it with your own strategy, risk management, and confirmation tools.
Created & coded by: Ron999
Built for traders who want wave structure + fixed channels, without the subjective Elliott argument on every chart. files.catbox.moe
Enhanced Neowave Wave 1 Finder with ZigZagThis script is an advanced technical analysis indicator for the TradingView platform, written in Pine Script version 5. Its primary goal is to identify potential Elliott Wave "Wave 1" patterns, enhanced with principles from Neowave theory and a custom ZigZag indicator for more accurate pivot detection. The script is designed to be overlaid on the main price chart.
Core Functionality: Blending ZigZag and Neowave
The indicator's methodology is a two-part process. First, it identifies significant price swings using a robust ZigZag indicator. Then, it analyzes these swings based on a set of rules derived from Neowave and classic technical analysis to validate them as potential Wave 1 patterns.
Part 1: ZigZag Integration
The first major component is a comprehensive ZigZag indicator that forms the foundation for all subsequent analysis.
Pivot Detection: The pivots() function is the engine of the ZigZag. It scans the historical price data for significant high and low points (pivots) over a user-defined Length.
Segment Drawing: Once pivots are identified, the script draws lines connecting them, creating the classic ZigZag pattern on the chart.
Extended Direction & Ratios: This is an enhanced feature. The script doesn't just identify highs and lows; it categorizes them as:
Higher High (HH) or Lower High (LH)
Lower Low (LL) or Higher Low (HL)
This classification is crucial for understanding the market structure. It also calculates the price ratio of the most recent ZigZag leg relative to the previous one, which is used later for pattern validation.
Dynamic Updates: The ZigZag is not static. On each new bar, it can update its most recent pivot point if a new, more extreme price (a higher high or a lower low) is printed before the direction officially changes. This ensures the ZigZag is always reflecting the most current and significant price action.
Part 2: Neowave Wave 1 Finder
With the market structure defined by the ZigZag, the second part of the script applies a rigorous set of rules to identify potential Wave 1 patterns. A Wave 1 is the initial move of a new trend in Elliott Wave theory.
Key Validation Criteria
For a price move between two ZigZag pivots to be considered a valid Wave 1, it must pass a series of checks:
Significance: The move must have a minimum percentage change (Minimum Wave Length) and last for a minimum number of bars, filtering out insignificant noise.
Volume Confirmation: A genuine impulse wave is typically supported by increasing volume. The script checks if the volume during the potential Wave 1 is significantly higher than the recent average (Volume Increase Threshold).
Momentum Alignment: The direction of the wave must be confirmed by momentum indicators.
For a bullish (upward) Wave 1, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) must be in a bullish regime (above 50) and the MACD line must be above its signal line.
For a bearish (downward) Wave 1, the RSI must be below 50 and the MACD line must be below its signal line.
Structural Analysis (Impulse vs. Diagonal): The script attempts to differentiate between two types of Wave 1:
Impulse Wave: A strong, clean, and direct move.
Diagonal Wave: A more complex, overlapping, and often wedge-shaped pattern. This is identified by analyzing the time and price complexity of the move, along with the ZigZag leg ratios.
Wave 2 Retracement Check: A critical Neowave rule is that a valid Wave 1 must be followed by a valid Wave 2 retracement. The script looks at the next ZigZag leg to ensure it doesn't retrace more than 100% of the potential Wave 1. It also uses the ZigZag ratios to confirm the retracement falls within typical Fibonacci levels (e.g., 38.2% to 78.6%).
Display and User Interface
The script provides a rich visual experience to aid the trader in their analysis.
Wave Labels and Boxes: When a valid Wave 1 is detected, it is highlighted with a colored line (green for bullish, red for bearish) and a shaded background box. A label clearly marks it as "Wave 1 IMPULSE" or "Wave 1 DIAGONAL".
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Upon detection of a Wave 1, the script automatically draws key Fibonacci retracement levels (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%). These levels are potential targets for the end of the subsequent Wave 2, offering potential entry points for a Wave 3 trade.
Information Labels: Additional labels provide at-a-glance confirmation of the conditions, showing whether volume and momentum criteria were met.
Customizable Inputs: Users have extensive control over the indicator's parameters, including the ZigZag length, volume thresholds, RSI levels, and the colors of all visual elements.
Alerts: The indicator can be configured to generate an alert whenever a new bullish or bearish Wave 1 pattern is confirmed, allowing traders to be notified of potential opportunities in real-time.
Grothendieck-Teichmüller Geometric SynthesisDskyz's Grothendieck-Teichmüller Geometric Synthesis (GTGS)
THEORETICAL FOUNDATION: A SYMPHONY OF GEOMETRIES
The 🎓 GTGS is built upon a revolutionary premise: that market dynamics can be modeled as geometric and topological structures. While not a literal academic implementation—such a task would demand computational power far beyond current trading platforms—it leverages core ideas from advanced mathematical theories as powerful analogies and frameworks for its algorithms. Each component translates an abstract concept into a practical market calculation, distinguishing GTGS by identifying deeper structural patterns rather than relying on standard statistical measures.
1. Grothendieck-Teichmüller Theory: Deforming Market Structure
The Theory : Studies symmetries and deformations of geometric objects, focusing on the "absolute" structure of mathematical spaces.
Indicator Analogy : The calculate_grothendieck_field function models price action as a "deformation" from its immediate state. Using the nth root of price ratios (math.pow(price_ratio, 1.0/prime)), it measures market "shape" stretching or compression, revealing underlying tensions and potential shifts.
2. Topos Theory & Sheaf Cohomology: From Local to Global Patterns
The Theory : A framework for assembling local properties into a global picture, with cohomology measuring "obstructions" to consistency.
Indicator Analogy : The calculate_topos_coherence function uses sine waves (math.sin) to represent local price "sections." Summing these yields a "cohomology" value, quantifying price action consistency. High values indicate coherent trends; low values signal conflict and uncertainty.
3. Tropical Geometry: Simplifying Complexity
The Theory : Transforms complex multiplicative problems into simpler, additive, piecewise-linear ones using min(a, b) for addition and a + b for multiplication.
Indicator Analogy : The calculate_tropical_metric function applies tropical_add(a, b) => math.min(a, b) to identify the "lowest energy" state among recent price points, pinpointing critical support levels non-linearly.
4. Motivic Cohomology & Non-Commutative Geometry
The Theory : Studies deep arithmetic and quantum-like properties of geometric spaces.
Indicator Analogy : The motivic_rank and spectral_triple functions compute weighted sums of historical prices to capture market "arithmetic complexity" and "spectral signature." Higher values reflect structured, harmonic price movements.
5. Perfectoid Spaces & Homotopy Type Theory
The Theory : Abstract fields dealing with p-adic numbers and logical foundations of mathematics.
Indicator Analogy : The perfectoid_conv and type_coherence functions analyze price convergence and path identity, assessing the "fractal dust" of price differences and price path cohesion, adding fractal and logical analysis.
The Combination is Key : No single theory dominates. GTGS ’s Unified Field synthesizes all seven perspectives into a comprehensive score, ensuring signals reflect deep structural alignment across mathematical domains.
🎛️ INPUTS: CONFIGURING THE GEOMETRIC ENGINE
The GTGS offers a suite of customizable inputs, allowing traders to tailor its behavior to specific timeframes, market sectors, and trading styles. Below is a detailed breakdown of key input groups, their functionality, and optimization strategies, leveraging provided tooltips for precision.
Grothendieck-Teichmüller Theory Inputs
🧬 Deformation Depth (Absolute Galois) :
What It Is : Controls the depth of Galois group deformations analyzed in market structure.
How It Works : Measures price action deformations under automorphisms of the absolute Galois group, capturing market symmetries.
Optimization :
Higher Values (15-20) : Captures deeper symmetries, ideal for major trends in swing trading (4H-1D).
Lower Values (3-8) : Responsive to local deformations, suited for scalping (1-5min).
Timeframes :
Scalping (1-5min) : 3-6 for quick local shifts.
Day Trading (15min-1H) : 8-12 for balanced analysis.
Swing Trading (4H-1D) : 12-20 for deep structural trends.
Sectors :
Stocks : Use 8-12 for stable trends.
Crypto : 3-8 for volatile, short-term moves.
Forex : 12-15 for smooth, cyclical patterns.
Pro Tip : Increase in trending markets to filter noise; decrease in choppy markets for sensitivity.
🗼 Teichmüller Tower Height :
What It Is : Determines the height of the Teichmüller modular tower for hierarchical pattern detection.
How It Works : Builds modular levels to identify nested market patterns.
Optimization :
Higher Values (6-8) : Detects complex fractals, ideal for swing trading.
Lower Values (2-4) : Focuses on primary patterns, faster for scalping.
Timeframes :
Scalping : 2-3 for speed.
Day Trading : 4-5 for balanced patterns.
Swing Trading : 5-8 for deep fractals.
Sectors :
Indices : 5-8 for robust, long-term patterns.
Crypto : 2-4 for rapid shifts.
Commodities : 4-6 for cyclical trends.
Pro Tip : Higher towers reveal hidden fractals but may slow computation; adjust based on hardware.
🔢 Galois Prime Base :
What It Is : Sets the prime base for Galois field computations.
How It Works : Defines the field extension characteristic for market analysis.
Optimization :
Prime Characteristics :
2 : Binary markets (up/down).
3 : Ternary states (bull/bear/neutral).
5 : Pentagonal symmetry (Elliott waves).
7 : Heptagonal cycles (weekly patterns).
11,13,17,19 : Higher-order patterns.
Timeframes :
Scalping/Day Trading : 2 or 3 for simplicity.
Swing Trading : 5 or 7 for wave or cycle detection.
Sectors :
Forex : 5 for Elliott wave alignment.
Stocks : 7 for weekly cycle consistency.
Crypto : 3 for volatile state shifts.
Pro Tip : Use 7 for most markets; 5 for Elliott wave traders.
Topos Theory & Sheaf Cohomology Inputs
🏛️ Temporal Site Size :
What It Is : Defines the number of time points in the topological site.
How It Works : Sets the local neighborhood for sheaf computations, affecting cohomology smoothness.
Optimization :
Higher Values (30-50) : Smoother cohomology, better for trends in swing trading.
Lower Values (5-15) : Responsive, ideal for reversals in scalping.
Timeframes :
Scalping : 5-10 for quick responses.
Day Trading : 15-25 for balanced analysis.
Swing Trading : 25-50 for smooth trends.
Sectors :
Stocks : 25-35 for stable trends.
Crypto : 5-15 for volatility.
Forex : 20-30 for smooth cycles.
Pro Tip : Match site size to your average holding period in bars for optimal coherence.
📐 Sheaf Cohomology Degree :
What It Is : Sets the maximum degree of cohomology groups computed.
How It Works : Higher degrees capture complex topological obstructions.
Optimization :
Degree Meanings :
1 : Simple obstructions (basic support/resistance).
2 : Cohomological pairs (double tops/bottoms).
3 : Triple intersections (complex patterns).
4-5 : Higher-order structures (rare events).
Timeframes :
Scalping/Day Trading : 1-2 for simplicity.
Swing Trading : 3 for complex patterns.
Sectors :
Indices : 2-3 for robust patterns.
Crypto : 1-2 for rapid shifts.
Commodities : 3-4 for cyclical events.
Pro Tip : Degree 3 is optimal for most trading; higher degrees for research or rare event detection.
🌐 Grothendieck Topology :
What It Is : Chooses the Grothendieck topology for the site.
How It Works : Affects how local data integrates into global patterns.
Optimization :
Topology Characteristics :
Étale : Finest topology, captures local-global principles.
Nisnevich : A1-invariant, good for trends.
Zariski : Coarse but robust, filters noise.
Fpqc : Faithfully flat, highly sensitive.
Sectors :
Stocks : Zariski for stability.
Crypto : Étale for sensitivity.
Forex : Nisnevich for smooth trends.
Indices : Zariski for robustness.
Timeframes :
Scalping : Étale for precision.
Swing Trading : Nisnevich or Zariski for reliability.
Pro Tip : Start with Étale for precision; switch to Zariski in noisy markets.
Unified Field Configuration Inputs
⚛️ Field Coupling Constant :
What It Is : Sets the interaction strength between geometric components.
How It Works : Controls signal amplification in the unified field equation.
Optimization :
Higher Values (0.5-1.0) : Strong coupling, amplified signals for ranging markets.
Lower Values (0.001-0.1) : Subtle signals for trending markets.
Timeframes :
Scalping : 0.5-0.8 for quick, strong signals.
Swing Trading : 0.1-0.3 for trend confirmation.
Sectors :
Crypto : 0.5-1.0 for volatility.
Stocks : 0.1-0.3 for stability.
Forex : 0.3-0.5 for balance.
Pro Tip : Default 0.137 (fine structure constant) is a balanced starting point; adjust up in choppy markets.
📐 Geometric Weighting Scheme :
What It Is : Determines the framework for combining geometric components.
How It Works : Adjusts emphasis on different mathematical structures.
Optimization :
Scheme Characteristics :
Canonical : Equal weighting, balanced.
Derived : Emphasizes higher-order structures.
Motivic : Prioritizes arithmetic properties.
Spectral : Focuses on frequency domain.
Sectors :
Stocks : Canonical for balance.
Crypto : Spectral for volatility.
Forex : Derived for structured moves.
Indices : Motivic for arithmetic cycles.
Timeframes :
Day Trading : Canonical or Derived for flexibility.
Swing Trading : Motivic for long-term cycles.
Pro Tip : Start with Canonical; experiment with Spectral in volatile markets.
Dashboard and Visual Configuration Inputs
📋 Show Enhanced Dashboard, 📏 Size, 📍 Position :
What They Are : Control dashboard visibility, size, and placement.
How They Work : Display key metrics like Unified Field , Resonance , and Signal Quality .
Optimization :
Scalping : Small size, Bottom Right for minimal chart obstruction.
Swing Trading : Large size, Top Right for detailed analysis.
Sectors : Universal across markets; adjust size based on screen setup.
Pro Tip : Use Large for analysis, Small for live trading.
📐 Show Motivic Cohomology Bands, 🌊 Morphism Flow, 🔮 Future Projection, 🔷 Holographic Mesh, ⚛️ Spectral Flow :
What They Are : Toggle visual elements representing mathematical calculations.
How They Work : Provide intuitive representations of market dynamics.
Optimization :
Timeframes :
Scalping : Enable Morphism Flow and Spectral Flow for momentum.
Swing Trading : Enable all for comprehensive analysis.
Sectors :
Crypto : Emphasize Morphism Flow and Future Projection for volatility.
Stocks : Focus on Cohomology Bands for stable trends.
Pro Tip : Disable non-essential visuals in fast markets to reduce clutter.
🌫️ Field Transparency, 🔄 Web Recursion Depth, 🎨 Mesh Color Scheme :
What They Are : Adjust visual clarity, complexity, and color.
How They Work : Enhance interpretability of visual elements.
Optimization :
Transparency : 30-50 for balanced visibility; lower for analysis.
Recursion Depth : 6-8 for balanced detail; lower for older hardware.
Color Scheme :
Purple/Blue : Analytical focus.
Green/Orange : Trading momentum.
Pro Tip : Use Neon Purple for deep analysis; Neon Green for active trading.
⏱️ Minimum Bars Between Signals :
What It Is : Minimum number of bars required between consecutive signals.
How It Works : Prevents signal clustering by enforcing a cooldown period.
Optimization :
Higher Values (10-20) : Fewer signals, avoids whipsaws, suited for swing trading.
Lower Values (0-5) : More responsive, allows quick reversals, ideal for scalping.
Timeframes :
Scalping : 0-2 bars for rapid signals.
Day Trading : 3-5 bars for balance.
Swing Trading : 5-10 bars for stability.
Sectors :
Crypto : 0-3 for volatility.
Stocks : 5-10 for trend clarity.
Forex : 3-7 for cyclical moves.
Pro Tip : Increase in choppy markets to filter noise.
Hardcoded Parameters
Tropical, Motivic, Spectral, Perfectoid, Homotopy Inputs : Fixed to optimize performance but influence calculations (e.g., tropical_degree=4 for support levels, perfectoid_prime=5 for convergence).
Optimization : Experiment with codebase modifications if advanced customization is needed, but defaults are robust across markets.
🎨 ADVANCED VISUAL SYSTEM: TRADING IN A GEOMETRIC UNIVERSE
The GTTMTSF ’s visuals are direct representations of its mathematics, designed for intuitive and precise trading decisions.
Motivic Cohomology Bands :
What They Are : Dynamic bands ( H⁰ , H¹ , H² ) representing cohomological support/resistance.
Color & Meaning : Colors reflect energy levels ( H⁰ tightest, H² widest). Breaks into H¹ signal momentum; H² touches suggest reversals.
How to Trade : Use for stop-loss/profit-taking. Band bounces with Dashboard confirmation are high-probability setups.
Morphism Flow (Webbing) :
What It Is : White particle streams visualizing market momentum.
Interpretation : Dense flows indicate strong trends; sparse flows signal consolidation.
How to Trade : Follow dominant flow direction; new flows post-consolidation signal trend starts.
Future Projection Web (Fractal Grid) :
What It Is : Fibonacci-period fractal projections of support/resistance.
Color & Meaning : Three-layer lines (white shadow, glow, colored quantum) with labels showing price, topological class, anomaly strength (φ), resonance (ρ), and obstruction ( H¹ ). ⚡ marks extreme anomalies.
How to Trade : Target ⚡/● levels for entries/exits. High-anomaly levels with weakening Unified Field are reversal setups.
Holographic Mesh & Spectral Flow :
What They Are : Visuals of harmonic interference and spectral energy.
How to Trade : Bright mesh nodes or strong Spectral Flow warn of building pressure before price movement.
📊 THE GEOMETRIC DASHBOARD: YOUR MISSION CONTROL
The Dashboard translates complex mathematics into actionable intelligence.
Unified Field & Signals :
FIELD : Master value (-10 to +10), synthesizing all geometric components. Extreme readings (>5 or <-5) signal structural limits, often preceding reversals or continuations.
RESONANCE : Measures harmony between geometric field and price-volume momentum. Positive amplifies bullish moves; negative amplifies bearish moves.
SIGNAL QUALITY : Confidence meter rating alignment. Trade only STRONG or EXCEPTIONAL signals for high-probability setups.
Geometric Components :
What They Are : Breakdown of seven mathematical engines.
How to Use : Watch for convergence. A strong Unified Field is reliable when components (e.g., Grothendieck , Topos , Motivic ) align. Divergence warns of trend weakening.
Signal Performance :
What It Is : Tracks indicator signal performance.
How to Use : Assesses real-time performance to build confidence and understand system behavior.
🚀 DEVELOPMENT & UNIQUENESS: BEYOND CONVENTIONAL ANALYSIS
The GTTMTSF was developed to analyze markets as evolving geometric objects, not statistical time-series.
Why This Is Unlike Anything Else :
Theoretical Depth : Uses geometry and topology, identifying patterns invisible to statistical tools.
Holistic Synthesis : Integrates seven deep mathematical frameworks into a cohesive Unified Field .
Creative Implementation : Translates PhD-level mathematics into functional Pine Script , blending theory and practice.
Immersive Visualization : Transforms charts into dynamic geometric landscapes for intuitive market understanding.
The GTTMTSF is more than an indicator; it’s a new lens for viewing markets, for traders seeking deeper insight into hidden order within chaos.
" Where there is matter, there is geometry. " - Johannes Kepler
— Dskyz , Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Risk-Adjusted Momentum Oscillator# Risk-Adjusted Momentum Oscillator (RAMO): Momentum Analysis with Integrated Risk Assessment
## 1. Introduction
Momentum indicators have been fundamental tools in technical analysis since the pioneering work of Wilder (1978) and continue to play crucial roles in systematic trading strategies (Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993). However, traditional momentum oscillators suffer from a critical limitation: they fail to account for the risk context in which momentum signals occur. This oversight can lead to significant drawdowns during periods of market stress, as documented extensively in the behavioral finance literature (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979; Shefrin & Statman, 1985).
The Risk-Adjusted Momentum Oscillator addresses this gap by incorporating real-time drawdown metrics into momentum calculations, creating a self-regulating system that automatically adjusts signal sensitivity based on current risk conditions. This approach aligns with modern portfolio theory's emphasis on risk-adjusted returns (Markowitz, 1952) and reflects the sophisticated risk management practices employed by institutional investors (Ang, 2014).
## 2. Theoretical Foundation
### 2.1 Momentum Theory and Market Anomalies
The momentum effect, first systematically documented by Jegadeesh & Titman (1993), represents one of the most robust anomalies in financial markets. Subsequent research has confirmed momentum's persistence across various asset classes, time horizons, and geographic markets (Fama & French, 1996; Asness, Moskowitz & Pedersen, 2013). However, momentum strategies are characterized by significant time-varying risk, with particularly severe drawdowns during market reversals (Barroso & Santa-Clara, 2015).
### 2.2 Drawdown Analysis and Risk Management
Maximum drawdown, defined as the peak-to-trough decline in portfolio value, serves as a critical risk metric in professional portfolio management (Calmar, 1991). Research by Chekhlov, Uryasev & Zabarankin (2005) demonstrates that drawdown-based risk measures provide superior downside protection compared to traditional volatility metrics. The integration of drawdown analysis into momentum calculations represents a natural evolution toward more sophisticated risk-aware indicators.
### 2.3 Adaptive Smoothing and Market Regimes
The concept of adaptive smoothing in technical analysis draws from the broader literature on regime-switching models in finance (Hamilton, 1989). Perry Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average (1995) pioneered the application of efficiency ratios to adjust indicator responsiveness based on market conditions. RAMO extends this concept by incorporating volatility-based adaptive smoothing, allowing the indicator to respond more quickly during high-volatility periods while maintaining stability during quiet markets.
## 3. Methodology
### 3.1 Core Algorithm Design
The RAMO algorithm consists of several interconnected components:
#### 3.1.1 Risk-Adjusted Momentum Calculation
The fundamental innovation of RAMO lies in its risk adjustment mechanism:
Risk_Factor = 1 - (Current_Drawdown / Maximum_Drawdown × Scaling_Factor)
Risk_Adjusted_Momentum = Raw_Momentum × max(Risk_Factor, 0.05)
This formulation ensures that momentum signals are dampened during periods of high drawdown relative to historical maximums, implementing an automatic risk management overlay as advocated by modern portfolio theory (Markowitz, 1952).
#### 3.1.2 Multi-Algorithm Momentum Framework
RAMO supports three distinct momentum calculation methods:
1. Rate of Change: Traditional percentage-based momentum (Pring, 2002)
2. Price Momentum: Absolute price differences
3. Log Returns: Logarithmic returns preferred for volatile assets (Campbell, Lo & MacKinlay, 1997)
This multi-algorithm approach accommodates different asset characteristics and volatility profiles, addressing the heterogeneity documented in cross-sectional momentum studies (Asness et al., 2013).
### 3.2 Leading Indicator Components
#### 3.2.1 Momentum Acceleration Analysis
The momentum acceleration component calculates the second derivative of momentum, providing early signals of trend changes:
Momentum_Acceleration = EMA(Momentum_t - Momentum_{t-n}, n)
This approach draws from the physics concept of acceleration and has been applied successfully in financial time series analysis (Treadway, 1969).
#### 3.2.2 Linear Regression Prediction
RAMO incorporates linear regression-based prediction to project momentum values forward:
Predicted_Momentum = LinReg_Value + (LinReg_Slope × Forward_Offset)
This predictive component aligns with the literature on technical analysis forecasting (Lo, Mamaysky & Wang, 2000) and provides leading signals for trend changes.
#### 3.2.3 Volume-Based Exhaustion Detection
The exhaustion detection algorithm identifies potential reversal points by analyzing the relationship between momentum extremes and volume patterns:
Exhaustion = |Momentum| > Threshold AND Volume < SMA(Volume, 20)
This approach reflects the established principle that sustainable price movements require volume confirmation (Granville, 1963; Arms, 1989).
### 3.3 Statistical Normalization and Robustness
RAMO employs Z-score normalization with outlier protection to ensure statistical robustness:
Z_Score = (Value - Mean) / Standard_Deviation
Normalized_Value = max(-3.5, min(3.5, Z_Score))
This normalization approach follows best practices in quantitative finance for handling extreme observations (Taleb, 2007) and ensures consistent signal interpretation across different market conditions.
### 3.4 Adaptive Threshold Calculation
Dynamic thresholds are calculated using Bollinger Band methodology (Bollinger, 1992):
Upper_Threshold = Mean + (Multiplier × Standard_Deviation)
Lower_Threshold = Mean - (Multiplier × Standard_Deviation)
This adaptive approach ensures that signal thresholds adjust to changing market volatility, addressing the critique of fixed thresholds in technical analysis (Taylor & Allen, 1992).
## 4. Implementation Details
### 4.1 Adaptive Smoothing Algorithm
The adaptive smoothing mechanism adjusts the exponential moving average alpha parameter based on market volatility:
Volatility_Percentile = Percentrank(Volatility, 100)
Adaptive_Alpha = Min_Alpha + ((Max_Alpha - Min_Alpha) × Volatility_Percentile / 100)
This approach ensures faster response during volatile periods while maintaining smoothness during stable conditions, implementing the adaptive efficiency concept pioneered by Kaufman (1995).
### 4.2 Risk Environment Classification
RAMO classifies market conditions into three risk environments:
- Low Risk: Current_DD < 30% × Max_DD
- Medium Risk: 30% × Max_DD ≤ Current_DD < 70% × Max_DD
- High Risk: Current_DD ≥ 70% × Max_DD
This classification system enables conditional signal generation, with long signals filtered during high-risk periods—a approach consistent with institutional risk management practices (Ang, 2014).
## 5. Signal Generation and Interpretation
### 5.1 Entry Signal Logic
RAMO generates enhanced entry signals through multiple confirmation layers:
1. Primary Signal: Crossover between indicator and signal line
2. Risk Filter: Confirmation of favorable risk environment for long positions
3. Leading Component: Early warning signals via acceleration analysis
4. Exhaustion Filter: Volume-based reversal detection
This multi-layered approach addresses the false signal problem common in traditional technical indicators (Brock, Lakonishok & LeBaron, 1992).
### 5.2 Divergence Analysis
RAMO incorporates both traditional and leading divergence detection:
- Traditional Divergence: Price and indicator divergence over 3-5 periods
- Slope Divergence: Momentum slope versus price direction
- Acceleration Divergence: Changes in momentum acceleration
This comprehensive divergence analysis framework draws from Elliott Wave theory (Prechter & Frost, 1978) and momentum divergence literature (Murphy, 1999).
## 6. Empirical Advantages and Applications
### 6.1 Risk-Adjusted Performance
The risk adjustment mechanism addresses the fundamental criticism of momentum strategies: their tendency to experience severe drawdowns during market reversals (Daniel & Moskowitz, 2016). By automatically reducing position sizing during high-drawdown periods, RAMO implements a form of dynamic hedging consistent with portfolio insurance concepts (Leland, 1980).
### 6.2 Regime Awareness
RAMO's adaptive components enable regime-aware signal generation, addressing the regime-switching behavior documented in financial markets (Hamilton, 1989; Guidolin, 2011). The indicator automatically adjusts its parameters based on market volatility and risk conditions, providing more reliable signals across different market environments.
### 6.3 Institutional Applications
The sophisticated risk management overlay makes RAMO particularly suitable for institutional applications where drawdown control is paramount. The indicator's design philosophy aligns with the risk budgeting approaches used by hedge funds and institutional investors (Roncalli, 2013).
## 7. Limitations and Future Research
### 7.1 Parameter Sensitivity
Like all technical indicators, RAMO's performance depends on parameter selection. While default parameters are optimized for broad market applications, asset-specific calibration may enhance performance. Future research should examine optimal parameter selection across different asset classes and market conditions.
### 7.2 Market Microstructure Considerations
RAMO's effectiveness may vary across different market microstructure environments. High-frequency trading and algorithmic market making have fundamentally altered market dynamics (Aldridge, 2013), potentially affecting momentum indicator performance.
### 7.3 Transaction Cost Integration
Future enhancements could incorporate transaction cost analysis to provide net-return-based signals, addressing the implementation shortfall documented in practical momentum strategy applications (Korajczyk & Sadka, 2004).
## References
Aldridge, I. (2013). *High-Frequency Trading: A Practical Guide to Algorithmic Strategies and Trading Systems*. 2nd ed. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons.
Ang, A. (2014). *Asset Management: A Systematic Approach to Factor Investing*. New York: Oxford University Press.
Arms, R. W. (1989). *The Arms Index (TRIN): An Introduction to the Volume Analysis of Stock and Bond Markets*. Homewood, IL: Dow Jones-Irwin.
Asness, C. S., Moskowitz, T. J., & Pedersen, L. H. (2013). Value and momentum everywhere. *Journal of Finance*, 68(3), 929-985.
Barroso, P., & Santa-Clara, P. (2015). Momentum has its moments. *Journal of Financial Economics*, 116(1), 111-120.
Bollinger, J. (1992). *Bollinger on Bollinger Bands*. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). Simple technical trading rules and the stochastic properties of stock returns. *Journal of Finance*, 47(5), 1731-1764.
Calmar, T. (1991). The Calmar ratio: A smoother tool. *Futures*, 20(1), 40.
Campbell, J. Y., Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1997). *The Econometrics of Financial Markets*. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
Chekhlov, A., Uryasev, S., & Zabarankin, M. (2005). Drawdown measure in portfolio optimization. *International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance*, 8(1), 13-58.
Daniel, K., & Moskowitz, T. J. (2016). Momentum crashes. *Journal of Financial Economics*, 122(2), 221-247.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1996). Multifactor explanations of asset pricing anomalies. *Journal of Finance*, 51(1), 55-84.
Granville, J. E. (1963). *Granville's New Key to Stock Market Profits*. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall.
Guidolin, M. (2011). Markov switching models in empirical finance. In D. N. Drukker (Ed.), *Missing Data Methods: Time-Series Methods and Applications* (pp. 1-86). Bingley: Emerald Group Publishing.
Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A new approach to the economic analysis of nonstationary time series and the business cycle. *Econometrica*, 57(2), 357-384.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to buying winners and selling losers: Implications for stock market efficiency. *Journal of Finance*, 48(1), 65-91.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. *Econometrica*, 47(2), 263-291.
Kaufman, P. J. (1995). *Smarter Trading: Improving Performance in Changing Markets*. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Korajczyk, R. A., & Sadka, R. (2004). Are momentum profits robust to trading costs? *Journal of Finance*, 59(3), 1039-1082.
Leland, H. E. (1980). Who should buy portfolio insurance? *Journal of Finance*, 35(2), 581-594.
Lo, A. W., Mamaysky, H., & Wang, J. (2000). Foundations of technical analysis: Computational algorithms, statistical inference, and empirical implementation. *Journal of Finance*, 55(4), 1705-1765.
Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio selection. *Journal of Finance*, 7(1), 77-91.
Murphy, J. J. (1999). *Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications*. New York: New York Institute of Finance.
Prechter, R. R., & Frost, A. J. (1978). *Elliott Wave Principle: Key to Market Behavior*. Gainesville, GA: New Classics Library.
Pring, M. J. (2002). *Technical Analysis Explained: The Successful Investor's Guide to Spotting Investment Trends and Turning Points*. 4th ed. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Roncalli, T. (2013). *Introduction to Risk Parity and Budgeting*. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press.
Shefrin, H., & Statman, M. (1985). The disposition to sell winners too early and ride losers too long: Theory and evidence. *Journal of Finance*, 40(3), 777-790.
Taleb, N. N. (2007). *The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable*. New York: Random House.
Taylor, M. P., & Allen, H. (1992). The use of technical analysis in the foreign exchange market. *Journal of International Money and Finance*, 11(3), 304-314.
Treadway, A. B. (1969). On rational entrepreneurial behavior and the demand for investment. *Review of Economic Studies*, 36(2), 227-239.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). *New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems*. Greensboro, NC: Trend Research.
Trend of Multiple Oscillator Dashboard ModifiedDescription: The "Trend of Multiple Oscillator Dashboard Modified" is a powerful Pine Script indicator that provides a dashboard view of various oscillator and trend-following indicators across multiple timeframes. This indicator helps traders to assess trend conditions comprehensively by integrating popular technical indicators, including MACD, EMA, Stochastic, Elliott Wave, DID (Curta, Media, Longa), Price Volume Trend (PVT), Kuskus Trend, and Wave Trend Oscillator. Each indicator’s trend signal (bullish, bearish, or neutral) is displayed in a color-coded dashboard, making it easy to spot the consensus or divergence in trends across different timeframes.
Key Features:
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Displays trend signals across five predefined timeframes (1, 2, 3, 5, and 10 minutes) for each included indicator.
Customizable Inputs: Allows for customization of key parameters for each oscillator and trend-following indicator.
Trend Interpretation: Each indicator is visually represented with green (bullish), red (bearish), and yellow (neutral) trend markers, making trend identification intuitive and quick.
Trade Condition Controls: Input options for the number of positive and negative conditions needed to trigger entries and exits, allowing users to refine the decision-making criteria.
Delay Management: Options for re-entry conditions based on both price movement (in points) and the minimum number of candles since the last exit, giving users flexibility in managing trade entries.
Usage: This indicator is ideal for traders who rely on multiple oscillators and moving averages to gauge trend direction and strength across timeframes. The dashboard allows users to observe trends at a glance and make informed decisions based on the alignment of various trend indicators. It’s particularly useful in consolidating signals for strategies that require multiple conditions to align before entering or exiting trades.
Note: Ensure that you’re familiar with each oscillator’s functionality, as some indicators like Elliott Wave and Wave Trend are simplified for visual coherence in this dashboard.
Disclaimer: This script is intended for educational and informational purposes only. Use it with caution and adapt it to your specific trading plan.
Developer's Remark: "This indicator's comprehensive design allows traders to filter noise and identify the most robust trends effectively. Use it to visualize trends across timeframes, understand oscillator behavior, and enhance decision-making with a more strategic approach."
Multi-Timeframe Recursive Zigzag [Trendoscope®]🎲 Welcome to the Advanced World of Zigzag Analysis
Embark on a journey through the most comprehensive and feature-rich Zigzag implementation you’ll ever encounter. Our Multi-Timeframe Recursive Zigzag Indicator is not just another tool; it's a groundbreaking advancement in technical analysis.
🎯 Key Features
Multi Time-Frame Support - One of the rare open-source Zigzag indicators with robust multi-timeframe capabilities, this feature sets our tool apart, enabling a broader and more dynamic market analysis.
Innovative Recursive Zigzag Algorithm - At its core is our unique Recursive Zigzag Algorithm, a pioneering development that powers multiple Zigzag levels, offering an intricate view of market movements. This proprietary algorithm is the backbone of our advanced pattern recognition indicators.
Sub-Waves and Micro-Waves Analysis - Dive deeper into market trends with our Sub-Waves and Micro-Waves feature. Sub-Waves reveal the interconnectedness of various Zigzag levels, while Micro-Waves offer insight into the fundamental waves at the base level.
Enhanced Indicator Tracking - Integrate and track your custom indicators or oscillators with the zigzag, capturing their values at each Zigzag level, complete with retracement ratios. This offers a comprehensive view of market dynamics.
Curved Zigzag Visualization - Experience a new way of visualizing market movements with our Curved Zigzag Display, employing Pine Script’s polyline feature for a more intuitive and visually appealing representation.
Built-in Customizable Alerts - Stay ahead with built-in alerts that can be customized via user input settings.
🎯 Practical Applications
Our Zigzag Indicator is designed with an understanding of its inherent nature - the last unconfirmed pivot that consistently repaints. This characteristic, while by design, directs its usage more towards pattern recognition rather than direct identification of market tops and bottoms. Here's how you can leverage the Zigzag Indicator:
Harmonic Patterns - Ideal for those familiar with harmonic patterns, this tool simplifies the manual spotting of complex XABCD, ABC, and ABCD patterns on charts.
Chart Patterns - Effortlessly identify patterns like Double/Triple Taps, Head and Shoulders, Inverse Head and Shoulders, and Cup and Handle patterns with enhanced clarity. Navigate through challenging patterns such as Triangles, Wedges, Flags, and Price Channels, where the Zigzag Indicator adds a layer of precision to your breakout strategy.
Elliott Wave Components - The indicator's detailed pivot highlighting aids in identifying key Elliott Wave components, enhancing your wave analysis and decision-making process.
🎲 Deep Dive into Indicator Features
Join us as we explore the intricate features of our indicator in more detail.
🎯 Multi-Timeframe Capability
Our indicator comes equipped with an input option for selecting the desired resolution. This unique feature allows users to view higher timeframe Zigzag patterns directly on their lower timeframe charts.
🎯 Recursive Multi Level Zigzag
Our advanced recursive approach creates multi-level Zigzags from lower-level data. For instance, the level 0 Zigzag forms the base, calculated from specified length and depth parameters, while level 1 Zigzag is derived using level 0 as its foundation, and so forth.
The indicator not only displays multiple Zigzag levels but also offers settings to emphasize specific levels for more detailed analysis.
🎯 Sub-Components and Micro-Components of Zigzag Wave
Sub-components within a Zigzag wave consist of the previous level's Zigzag pivots. Meanwhile, the micro-components are composed of the base level (Level 0) Zigzag pivots encapsulated within the wave.
🎯 Curved Zigzag
Experience a new perspective with our curved Zigzag display. This innovative feature utilizes the polyline curved option to automatically generate sinusoidal waves based on multiple points.
🎯 Indicator Tracking
Default indicators such as RSI, MFI, and OBV are included, alongside the ability to track one external indicator at each Zigzag pivot.
🎯 Customizable Alerts
Our indicator employs the `alert()` function for alert creation. While this means the absence of a customization text box in the alert settings, we've included a custom text area for users to create their own alert templates.
Template placeholders include:
{alertType} - type of alert. Either Confirmed Pivot Update or Last Pivot Update. Depends on the alert type selected in the inputs.
When Last Pivot Update type is selected, the alerts are triggered whenever there is a new Zigzag Pivot. This may also be a repaint of last unconfirmed pivot.
When Confirmed Pivot Update type is selected, the alerts are triggered only when a pivot becomes a confirmed pivot.
{level} - Zigzag level on which the alert is triggered.
{pivot} - Details of the last pivot or confirmed pivot including price, ratio, indicator values and ratios, subcomponent and micro-component pivots.
🎲 User Settings Overview
🎯 Zigzag and Generic Settings
This involves some generic zigzag calculation settings such as length, depth, and timeframe. And few display options such as theme, Highlight Level and Curved Zigzag. By default, zigzag calculation is done based on the latest real time bar. An option is provided to disable this and use only confirmed bars for the calculation.
Indicator Settings
Allows users to track one or more oscillators or volume indicators. Option to add any indicator via external input is provided.
🎯 Alert Settings
Has input fields required to select and customize alerts.
Volatility Percentile (H-LINES)A simple script that adjusts the Volatility Percentile Indicator visibly in order to better accommodate entries/exits and certain trading setups/strategies.
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TL;DR - Remember after a full reset, we are looking for initial crosses UP on the UpperSwingline and crosses DOWN on the LowerSwingline for primary and secondary signal derivation.
Vice versa also works great but the prior method mentioned is a little more consistent in my experience, but you should mess around and optimise this for your own setups and strategies anyway.
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ORIGINAL SCRIPT HERE:
^Click image for a redirect to that script.
ALL CREDIT GOES TO: www.tradingview.com
He wrote everything so give credit where it's due, good bit of kit this here script is.
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HOW I USE MY VISUALLY ALTERED VERSION OF THIS SCRIPT
First of all, the alterations I've made seem only to be consistently viable with renko charts though if you can get the sought after results using candles or any other chart type then perfect, but be wary. All my back-testing done only with LinReg, HMA and SWMA - ATR type settings exclusively on renko charts. The changes I've made to the original script essentially just turns it visibly into an oscillator and uses a couple horizontal lines to generate signals, very simple - absolutely nothing has changed in the actual code of calculating this indicator.
What I believe my adjustments have achieved is quite simple. A full reset/oscillation on the indicator tries to map the strongest parts of a move or at least the part of the move where volume and the rate of transactions is at its peak to even facilitate said move. *take this statement with a pinch of salt though I do believe it's interacting with accumulation/distribution patterns, which is expected of volatility*
For ease of communication let's refer to the area between the the first UpperSwingline cross to the subsequent LowerSwingline cross, as the primary move. Then afterwards when it crosses the UpperSwingline again to make the full reset, the area in between those two points referred to as the secondary move.
Though more interestingly/practically the indicator ends up giving you two signals. In order for this to work we have to first decide that a spike up in volatility which crosses the UpperSwingline implies a significant level of interest at that price level. Usually that means a reversal is brewing, if price has already moved, trended and is approaching a certain area of value; which causes a spike of new positions to be taken, then you know that this is a level where contrarians are looking to enter. Now here's the tricky part, when volatility crosses the LowerSwingline price action becomes a little more open for interpretation, the way I personally like to look at this secondary signal is the potential for an exhaustion period to prolong itself a little longer. I know that's not the perfect analysis for what's going on, a more in-depth look into what's going on would best be described using Elliott Wave Theory, if a cross on the UpperSwingline near a significant area of value gives us a reversal trade lets just assume for the sake of argument that a new Elliott Wave can begin forming here. Making the move from that initial UpperSwngline cross to the cross on the LowerSwingline, the area that encompasses those two points: the impulse wave. After this point my analogy kind of falls apart and sadly my knowledge just isn't what it needs to be in order for me to properly analyse what's going on here but I must digress. Price after crossing the LowerSwingline up until the point where it makes a full reset by crossing the UpperSwingline again, within this area price seems to do either one of two things:
Situation 1 - Most likely occurs after a major trend reversal from major support/resistance or area of value (price has trended to new territory, maybe spent time a little time consolidating but hasn't broken the key level, momentum shifts, price action breaks current structure and you get the signal that primary move is a reversal) = Exhaustion Period, price will continue in direction of primary move during the secondary move. This here is for our trend-followers, you wanna take a continuation trade? Just wait for the pullback/rally to hit a FiB retracement level and enter - or any other means to find a decent support/resistance to enter.
Situation 2 - Most likely occurs when market enters a range or consolidation (price was previously seen as being at either a discount or premium so Situation 1 could have already played out and now you're looking at a full reset after that, imagine this spot to be the centre line of a linear regression channel or bang in the middle of your range, could even occur if price breaks a key moving average and decides it ought to consolidate around it for a while. Basically at any point where a somewhat prolonged consolidation is expected and not a quick reversal) = Corrective Wave, price will move against the direction of primary move during the secondary move. Now you might be expecting me to say this ones for you reversal traders but not really, if this is occurring then there probably isn't a definitive direction the market has chosen so you can use this opportunity to take range trades in the direction or against the direction of whatever the current trend or latest trend was depending on whatever slight bias you may have. <--- Situation 2 is very useful for finding cleaner entries if you do have a trend bias, say price underwent Situation 1, is now at key moving average but your bias is that it will break and continue up, so you wait and allow the secondary move of Situation 2 to take your entry to a much better R:R before entering a position.
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Elliot Wave Helper Table█ OVERVIEW
This indicator is intend to be helper to help Elliot Wave user to properly Elliot Wave tools according to correct degree such as 12345 or ABCWXY. The abbreviation changes according to timeframe.
█ FEATURES
1. Abbreviation degree adaptive to timeframe. Eg : Subminutte for 1 minute chart, etc.
2. Works for custom timeframe. Eg : Subminutte for 1 to 4 minute chart, etc.
3. Show reference table if necessary.
█ REFERENCE
Adaptive Elliot Wave Degree Chart
█ EXAMPLES / USAGES
Trend/Retracement - ZigZag - New wayZigZag for Trend and Retracements - New way
It's another way to plot ZigZag based on lookback period for trend and % of trend lookback period to plot retracements.
█ OVERVIEW
Plot ZigZag, Trend lines, Retracements, Support levels, Resistance levels
█ Objective:
Draw ZigZag lines along with unbroken support and resistance levels. ZigZag lines are drawn for main trend and the retracements.
Main Trend – This is calculated based on lookback period.
Retracements – Retracements are calculated as 25% of main trend.
Support and Resistance line: The indicator draws 2 types of support and resistance lines
1. Un-broken – Once formed (plotted), these are the support and resistance which are not yet broken
2. Tested – One can also choose to see support and resistance lines which are tested but not broken. Tested support/resistance are those levels which are touched by high/low price but close price has not crossed the level.
█ How main trend point is calculated:
E.g.
Chart timeframe = 15m
Lookback period = 250
Retracement = 25% of main trend ( 25% of 250 = 62 )
A price point on a chart is considered as trend point if distance between current price and previous highest price is 250 candles
A price point is considered as a retracement if distance between current price and previous highest price is 62 candles. Please note retracements are calculated only after finding a main trend point.
█ Input parameters:
Zigzag Parameters
Use predefined Lookback – If checked pre-defined timeframe-based lookback parameters are used.
Trend lookback candles – If ‘Use predefined Lookback’ is unchecked then this value is used as lookback period.
Retracement % of look back candles– If ‘Use predefined Lookback’ is unchecked then this value is used for calculating retracement lookback period
Mark retracements – If unchecked only main trend lines are plotted
Plot support/resistance – To plot support/resistance levels
Show support/resistance tested lines – If checked tested support/resistance liens are shown on the chart
█ TF based Lookback period config (Defaults are set as specified below, One can change these defaults to use different lookback periods)
The defaults set here are used based on the chart timeframe. e.g. if chart timeframe is changed from say 15m to 60m then 60m chart defaults (i.e. trend lookback = 90) are used to plot the trend and the retracements. At the bottom-right of the chart, parameters used for plotting are displayed all the time.
Timeframe in minute – Default = 5m
Trend lookback candles – Default = 375 (~ 5 days of data)
Timeframe in minute – Default = 15m
Trend lookback candles – Default = 250 (~10 days of data)
Timeframe in minute – Default = 60m
Trend lookback candles = Default = 90 (~ 15 days of data)
Trend lookback candles for timeframe 'D' – Default = 30 (~1 month data)
Trend lookback candles for timeframe 'W' – Default = 21 (~6 months data)
Trend lookback candles for timeframe 'M' – Default = 12 (~1year data)
Retracement % of look back candles – Default = 25%
█ When and where one can use this indicator (Refer to chart examples)
To view support and resistance based on lookback period
To view ZigZag lines
One can use it to find chart patterns easily
Trend and retracement lines can help in drawing Elliott waves.
█ Chart examples:
1. Chart patterns can be easily identified - One can disable the candle charts which will help to identify and draw chart patterns easily
2. Trend and retracement lines can also help is analyzing charts (e.g. Elliott Waves can be marked based on trend lines)
3. Tested but not broken support and resistance lines can be viewed
4. You can select 'NOT' to plot tested support and resistance lines
5. Uncheck the Mark retracements to plot main trend lines (Retracements are not marked)
Time Wolna_2021_iun3[wozdux] Description of the Time_Wolna indicator
The indicator is designed to study the behavior of time. There are many indicators that study just the price, a little less indicators that study the volume of trading and vanishingly few indicators that study time.
This is not an oscillator, it does not have oversold or overbought levels. This indicator has an indefinite beginning and an indefinite end. Its value is not in the absolute values of the indicator, but in relative ones. This indicator calculates the time of price rise and the time of price decline. It clearly shows how long the price rises and how long the price falls.
The initial idea was to use my RSIVol indicator to study the time. Each bar is counted as a unit of time. If the price rises during the period of one bar, then one is added, if the price falls, then one is subtracted. By default, the blue line shows this time movement according to the RsiVol indicator.
The basic RsiVol indicator is shown at the bottom of the diagram. The bill goes along the blue line, which calculates the movement of the volume price. If the blue RSIVol line is above the yellow level, then the blue Time_Wolna time line is colored green. If the blue line in the base RsiVol indicator falls below the lower yellow level, then the blue time line of the Time_Wolna indicator turns red.
The result is a broken line that clearly shows the waves of rising and falling prices. In principle, the time indicator makes it easier to recognize waves.
It is known that time plays an important role in Elliott wave analysis, although in practice this is almost never done. The mention of Elliott is just a lyrical digression.
Time is very difficult to study. This indicator does not give clear buy or sell signals. This is just an analysis tool to help analysts.
In addition to the RsiVol indicator, simply the Rsi from the price and a simple moving average from the price are also used.
So, the settings of this indicator.
"switch Price == close <==> ( High+Low)/2" -- select the base price in all subsequent calculations
"Key EMA=> True=ema(Price); False=ema(Price*Volume)" --The key for switching the moving average from the price or from the volume price.
"T==> EMA(price, T)" --The period for calculating the moving average
" key red==> Yes/No Rsi")--the key turns on or off the RSI line red line
"key green==> Yes/No Orsi") --the key turns on or off the Volume RSI line green line
" key olive==> Yes/No RsiVol200 " -- the key enables or disables the Volumetric RSIVol200 olive line. This is RsiVol minus the 200-period moving average.
"keyVol blue==> Yes/No " - the key enables or disables the base blue line RSIVol
"keyVol blue==> V->tt(RsiVol) ->tt(ema(Price))"—The blue line selection will be calculated as the time from RSIVol or as the time from the moving average EMA.
"keyVol blue==> : 1=Time, 2=Time* price, 3=Time*(Ci-Ck) 4=Time*Volume, 5=Time*price*Volume")- selection for the blue baseline. By default, the time of the price rise or fall is calculated simply. Key=1. But you can investigate the joint influence of time and price and then the key is=2. If we study the combined effect of time and price changes per bar, then the key=3. If we study the joint influence of time and volume, then the key=4. If we study the joint influence of time, price and volume, then the key=5.
"key RsiO red + green==> : 1=Time, 2=Time*Price, 3=Time*(Ci-Ck) 4=Time*Volume, 5=Time*Price*Volume") - - - similar settings for the red green line. By default, the time of the price rise or fall is calculated simply. Key=1. But you can investigate the joint influence of time and price and then the key is=2. If we study the combined effect of time and price changes per bar, then the key=3. If we study the joint influence of time and volume, then the key=4. If we study the joint influence of time, price and volume, then the key=5.
"Key Color – - here you can disable changing the color of the blue line to green or red when the base indicator RsiVol exits above the upper and below the lower levels.
"Level nul ==> * Down Level Rsi - screen configuration in order to raise or lower chart
"Level nul ==> * Down Level ORsi -- beauty setup in order to raise or lower chart
"Level nul ==> * DownLevel RsiVol200 -- beauty setup in order to raise or lower chart
"blue =volume * price" – period for calculation of volumetric rates
"blue => RSIVOL(Volume*price,len) and EMA" – the period for calculating RsiVol
"blue__o1=> ema ( RSIVOL, o1)" – additional smoothing RsiVol
"red=rsi (Price,14)" – the period for calculating Rsi
"red= ema ( RSI ,3)" -- additional smoothing Rsi
"fuchsia__ => RsiVol200 (vp,200)" - the period for calculating RsiVol200
"fuchsia__o2=> ema ( RSIVOL200 , o2)" -- additional smoothing RsiVol200
To study the time between two fixed dates. Setting the start point of the calculation and the end point of the calculation
"Data(0)=Year" – the year of the start date
"Data(0)= Month" – the month of the start date
"Data (0)=Day" the day of the start date
"Data(1)=Year" – the year of the end date.
"Data(1)=Year" – month of the end date.
"Data(1)=Day" -- the day of the end date.
--------русский вариант описания ------
Описание индикатора Time_Wolna
Индикатор призван изучать поведение времени. Есть много индикаторов изучающих просто цену, немного меньше индикаторов изучающих объем торгов и исчезающе мало индикаторов, изучающих время.
Это не осциллятор у него нет уровней перепроданности или перекупленности. Данный индикатор имеет неопределенное начало и неопределенный конец. Ценность его не в абсолютных значениях индикатора, а в относительных. Этот индикатор высчитывает время подъема цены и время снижения цены. Он наглядно показывает сколько времени цена поднимается и сколько времени цена опускается.
Первоначальная идея была использовать мой индикатор RSIVol для изучения времени. Каждый бар считается за единицу времени. Если цена поднимается за период одного бара, то прибавляется единица, если цена опускается, то вычитается единица. По умолчанию голубая линия показывает такое движения времени по индикатору RsiVol.
Внизу на диаграмме показан базовый индикатор RsiVol. Счёт идет по синей линии, которая вычисляет движение объемной цены. Если синяя линия RSIVol находится выше желтого уровня, то голубая линия времени Time_Wolna окрашивается в зеленый цвет. Если синяя линия в базовом индикаторе RsiVol опускается ниже нижнего желтого уровня, то голубая линия времени индикатора Time_Wolna окрашивается в красный цвет.
В результате получается ломанная линия, четко показывающая волны восхождения и снижения цены. В принципе индикатор времени позволяет легче распознавать волны.
Известно, что время играет важную роль в волновом анализе Эллиотта, хотя на практике это почти никогда не делается. Упоминание Эллиотта это просто лирическое отступление.
Время очень трудно изучать. Этот индикатор не дает четких сигналов на покупку или продажу. Это всего лишь инструмент анализа в помощь аналитикам.
Кроме индикатора RsiVol, используются и просто Rsi от цены и простая скользящая средняя от цены.
Итак, настройки данного индикатора.
"switch Price == close <==> ( High+Low)/2" -- выбираем базовую цену во всех последующих вычислениях
"Key EMA=> True=ema(Price); False=ema(Price*Volume)" --Ключ переключения скользящей средней от цены или от объемной цены.
" T==> EMA(price,T)"--Период вычисления скользящей средней
"key red==> Yes/No Rsi")--ключ включает или выключает линию RSI красная линия
"key green==> Yes/No Orsi") --ключ включает или выключает линию Объемной RSI зеленая линия
"key olive==> Yes/No RsiVol200" -- ключ включает или выключает линию Объемной RSIVol200 оливковая линия. Это RsiVol минус 200-периодная скользящая средняя.
"keyVol blue==> Yes/No " – ключ включает или выключает базовую голубую линию RSIVol
"keyVol blue==> V->tt(RsiVol) ->tt(ema(Price))"—выбор голубая линия будет вычисляться как время от RSIVol или как время от скользящей средней EMA.
"keyVol blue==> : 1=Time, 2=Time* price, 3=Time*(Ci-Ck) 4=Time*Volume, 5=Time*price*Volume")—выбор для голубой базовой линии. По умолчанию вычисляется просто время подъема или опускания цены. Ключ=1. Но можно исследовать совместное влияние времени и цены и тогда ключ=2. Если изучаем совместное влияние времени и изменения цены за один бар, то ключ=3. Если изучаем совместное влияние времени и объема, то ключ=4. Если изучаем совместное влияние времени, цены и объема, то ключ=5.
"key RsiO red + green==> : 1=Time, 2=Time*Price, 3=Time*(Ci-Ck) 4=Time*Volume, 5=Time*Price*Volume") ---аналогичные настройки для красной зеленой линии. По умолчанию вычисляется просто время подъема или опускания цены. Ключ=1. Но можно исследовать совместное влияние времени и цены и тогда ключ=2. Если изучаем совместное влияние времени и изменения цены за один бар, то ключ=3. Если изучаем совместное влияние времени и объема, то ключ=4. Если изучаем совместное влияние времени, цены и объема, то ключ=5.
"Key Color" – здесь можно отключить изменение цвета голубой линии на зеленый или красный в моменты выхода базового индикатора RsiVol выше верхнего и ниже нижнего уровней.
"Level nul ==> * Down Level Rsi - косметическая настройка для того, чтобы поднять или опустить график
"Level nul ==> * Down Level ORsi -- косметическая настройка для того, чтобы поднять или опустить график
"Level nul ==> * DownLevel RsiVol200 -- косметическая настройка для того, чтобы поднять или опустить график
" blue =>volume * price" – период для вычисления объемной цены
" blue => RSIVOL(Volume*price,len) and EMA" – период для вычисления RsiVol
"blue__o1=> ema ( RSIVOL, o1)" – дополнительное сглаживание RsiVol
" red=rsi (Price,14)" – период для вычисления Rsi
" red= ema ( RSI ,3)" -- дополнительное сглаживание Rsi
"fuchsia__ => RsiVol200 (vp,200)" -- период для вычисления RsiVol200
"fuchsia__o2=> ema ( RSIVOL200 , o2)" -- дополнительное сглаживание RsiVol200
Для исследования времени между двумя фиксированными датами. Задаем начальную точку вычисления и конечную точку вычисления
"Data(0)=Year" – год начальной даты
"Data(0)= Month" – месяц начальной даты
"Data(0)=Day" день начальной даты
"Data(1)=Year" – год конечной даты.
"Data(1)=Year" – месяц конечной даты.
"Data(1)=Day" -- день конечной даты.
Ranked TickThe NYSE TICK is, very simply, the number of stocks ticking down or up at any given time. It is, therefore, an internal indication of buying and selling pressure. By itself, it can be difficult to interpret. This “Ranked Tick” makes the TICK an oscillator that varies from 0 to 100. This indicator can be of great help in determining when the market is overbought or oversold.
This oscillator is a percentile ranking of the high + low of the current bar of the TICK compared to the recent values of the same sum over a certain number of bars, which the user can set as an input, the “Rank Length”. This indicator can be of great help in determining when the market is overbought or oversold.
It was conceived by SergioT for TradeStation, and he was gracious enough to share his TradeStation script with all the traders at elliottwavetrader.net. I transcribed it into Pine Script so that everyone at TradingView could also have it.
Confluence Zone Calculation for Support in Bullish TendsConfluence Zone Calculation for Support in Bullish Tends
(or Restance in bearish ones)
Ever wondered why sometimes the zag of an Elliot Wave zigzag is stopped after just a few points?
(Like in the given Chart where I draw a line for a typical zag action.)
It has often to do with confluence Zones. Most people think that the lower edge of a narrow range, repeated a few times, creates big support - confluence zones are stronger.
You can make them visible by getting fibonaccis from just one specific high to several different significant lows (for example the range lines mentioned above). The areas where significant lows and their fibos appear very close together are confluence zones. They can brake a falling price like a security net.
This script caluculates Confluence zones for you by using a second useful "secret": the secret that signifant lows test or create temporal rsi lows (vice-verse with highs).
The thicker (non-aqua clored)lines show actual lows, are corresponding with those rsi lows, the thinner are fibo lines deriving from them. (The white line stands for the high taken for the calculation.)
Note: Only those lines are valid which reach to the actual last bar.
Best practise is to let the script calculate,then redraw your lines of interest by hand and get rid of the rest of the spider web-like turmoil of lines by deleting the script from the chart.
Note further: I had to omit some calculations, because otherwise calculation time gets too long for TV and it stops with calculation Time out. (For your transparency I calculated all fibo codes but skipped some in "sline"-function; the number-suffix makes a jump when i omit a value ).
Note further further: Resistance confluence lines for bullish trends need a different script, because if you do it totally right vou in this case work from a single LOW of your interes t.
I hope it enriches your knowledge and is a help for your studies and tradings.
Feedback and Questions welcome
yoxxx
SMA/pivot/Bollinger/MACD/RSI en pantalla gráficoMulti-indicador con los indicadores que empleo más pero sin añadir ventanas abajo.
Contiene:
Cruce de 3 medias móviles
La idea es no tenerlas en pantalla, pero están dibujadas también. Yo las dejo ocultas salvo que las quiera mirar para algo.
Lo que presento en pantalla es la media lenta con verde si el cruce de las 3 marca alcista, amarillo si no está claro y rojo si marca bajista.
Pivot
Normalmente los tengo ocultos pero los muestro cuando me interesa. Están todos aunque aparezcan 2 seguidos.
Bandas de Bollinger
No dibujo la línea central porque empleo la media como tal.
Parabollic SAR
Lo empleo para dibujar las ondas de Elliott como postula Matías Menéndez Larre en el capítulo 11 de su libro "Las ondas de Elliott". Así que, aunque se puede mostrar, lo mantengo oculto y lo que muestro es dónde cambia (SAR cambio).
MACD
No está dibujado porque necesitaría sacarlo del gráfico.
Marco en la parte superior cuándo la señal sobrepasa al MACD hacia arriba o hacia abajo con un flecha indicando el sentido de esta señal.
RSI
Similar al MACD pero en la parte inferior.
Probablemente, programe otro indicador para visualizar en una ventanita MACD, RSI y volumen todo junto. El volumen en la principal hay veces que no te permite ver bien alguna sombra y los otros 2 te quitan mucho espacio para graficar si los tienes permanentemente en 2 ventanas separadas.
Bill Williams Trading Chaos Vol 1-NoviceThis is a revision of a script developed by tekolo. I hope tekolo takes a look. The concepts are here but I struggle with pine. I am very much a novice, but I tried to put information from the original book, Trading Chaos, Volume One by Bill Williams. There are too many plots to get this to wor. I made a lot of plot lines into comments to get it to run. I'm hoping someone with an interest in this material and some programming skills will be kind enough to take these thoughts and put them in a script that the Pine Editor would actually run. Thanks for taking a look. I do believe in these leading indicators. This is information included for Novice Level Trading in the Bill Williams book. There are more indicators developed in his material, but the jest is that Price is an end result of the marketplace. Market participation (Volume), Market Bias (Momentum), Increased Participation and Bias (Acceleration) all preceed the formation of the Trend. This along with Elliott Wave interpretation using his indicators as a basis for locating key points of the Elliott Wave, are most of what I understand about this interesting man's work. Again, I am a novice at all of this, but the leading indicators that result in price seem interesting. Thanks!
VaRz BTC/Gold Risk MeterVaRz Risk Meter (BTC vs Risk-On & Gold Safe-Haven Proxy)
The VaRz Risk Meter is a macro sentiment oscillator designed to measure Bitcoin’s relative strength and directional bias using key risk-appetite and safe-haven flows.
Indicator Components
VIX → Market fear & volatility benchmark
NASDAQ 100 (NDX) → Primary risk-on proxy (growth/tech capital flow)
Gold (XAUUSD) → Safe-haven strength alternative to USD index
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) → Used only for normalization reference, not bias calculation
Core Logic
All assets are normalized on a 0–100 scale using a 100-period rolling window to create a balanced comparison across markets.
The Bitcoin Macro Bias Histogram is calculated as:
NASDAQ strength − VIX fear − Gold safe-haven strength
This produces a macro directional regime for Bitcoin:
Market Regimes Interpretation
Indicator State Meaning for BTC
NASDAQ high + VIX low + Gold weak Risk-On environment → Bullish for Bitcoin
Gold strong + VIX rising + NASDAQ weak Risk-Off / flight to safety → Bearish pressure on BTC
All assets near 50 with no trend Neutral / Sideways → Macro indecision
How to Use
This is not a direct entry signal, but a macro bias filter
Best combined with:
Market Structure, Liquidity zones, Orderflow, Volume analysis, and Elliott Wave context
Bias becomes more reliable on higher timeframes (1W, 1M) but works on any chart
Key Insight
Bitcoin behaves as a hybrid risk asset. This indicator helps track when capital is:
Rotating into risk markets (favorable for BTC)
or
Seeking protection in gold and volatility hedges (unfavorable for BTC)
The histogram visually maps these shifts to give traders a clear macro regime awareness in one window.
CPR + Elliott Wave 3 Combo (Ultra Safe)This will help you to identify the stage of a script. In Elliot wave patter, 3rd wave is the longest length. This will identify the 3rd wave
DANGHIEU EMA 34/89/200 Ribbon (Scaled HTF)📘 Indicator Description – EMA 34/89/200 Ribbon (Scaled HTF)
The EMA 34/89/200 Ribbon (Scaled HTF) indicator is designed to replicate higher-timeframe EMAs directly on your current chart without switching timeframes.
Using a precise HTF Scaling Algorithm, the script converts EMAs from 1H, 2H, 4H, 6H, 12H, 1D, and even 1W into equivalent lengths on lower timeframes—allowing traders to perform true multi-timeframe trend analysis on a single chart.
The 34-EMA and 89-EMA form a dynamic trend ribbon that changes color based on the relationship between the two moving averages. This helps traders quickly identify trend direction, momentum strength, and potential market reversals. The indicator also includes optional crossover markers (X symbols) to highlight bullish and bearish crossovers for cleaner signal recognition. EMA200 is included as the long-term trend anchor.
This tool is ideal for scalpers, day traders, and swing traders who require higher-timeframe context while trading lower-timeframe entries.
🟦 How to Use the Indicator
1. Choose the Higher Timeframe to Simulate
Use the “HTF to Simulate” dropdown to select the timeframe you want to emulate (e.g., 4H, 2H, 1D, 1W).
The script automatically scales the EMA lengths so they match the selected HTF.
2. Read the Ribbon for Trend Direction
Green Ribbon → EMA34 above EMA89 → Bullish momentum
Red Ribbon → EMA34 below EMA89 → Bearish momentum
The ribbon expands when momentum strengthens and contracts during consolidation.
3. Use EMA Crossovers as Signal Zones
Optional X markers highlight crossover points:
Bullish Crossover → EMA34 crosses above EMA89
Bearish Crossover → EMA34 crosses below EMA89
These crossovers often align with trend shifts or early momentum changes.
4. EMA200 as Trend Filter
The EMA200 acts as the macro trend filter:
Price above EMA200 → only consider long setups
Price below EMA200 → only consider short setups
Combining ribbon trend + EMA200 alignment improves signal accuracy.
5. Multi-Timeframe Trading Strategy
This indicator is powerful for:
Scalping with HTF bias
Pullback entry on lower timeframe during HTF trend
Identifying trend exhaustion when the ribbon flips
Confirming wave structure (Elliott Wave, Dow Theory)
Spotting strong momentum phases and squeeze zones
Example workflow:
Select 4H as HTF simulation.
Trade on 15m or 5m chart.
Enter only when price aligns with the HTF ribbon + EMA200 trend.
Use EMA crossovers as confirmation signals.
