Moving Average PropertiesThis indicator calculates and visualizes the Relative Smoothness (RS) and Relative Lag (RL) or call it accuracy of a selected moving average (MA) in comparison to the SMA of length 2 (the lowest possible length for a moving average and also the one closest to the price).
Median RS (Relative Smoothness):
Interpretation: The median RS represents the median value of the Relative Smoothness calculated for the selected moving average across a specified look-back period (max bar lookback is set at 3000).
Significance: A more negative (larger) median RS suggests that the chosen moving average has exhibited smoother price behavior compared to a simple moving average over the analyzed period. A less negative value indicates a relatively choppier price movement.
Median RL (Relative Lag):
Interpretation: The median RL represents the median value of the Relative Lag calculated for the selected moving average compared to a simple moving average of length 2.
Significance: A higher median RL indicates that the chosen moving average tends to lag more compared to a simple moving average. Conversely, lower values suggest less lag in the selected moving average.
Ratio of Median RS to Median RL:
Interpretation: This ratio is calculated by dividing the median RS by the median RL.
Significance: Traders might use this ratio to assess the balance between smoothness and lag in the chosen moving average. This a measure of for every % of lag what is the smoothness achieved. This can be used a benchmark to decide what length to choose for a MA to get an equivalent value between two stocks. For example a TESLA stock on a 15 minute time frame with a length of 12 has a value (ratio of RS/RL) of -150 , where as APPLE stock of length 35 on a 15 minute chart also has a value (ratio of RS/RL) of -150.
I imply that a MA of length 12 working on TESLA stock is equivalent to MA of length 35 on a APPLE stock. (THIS IS A EXAMPLE).
My assumption is that finding the right moving average length for a stock isn't a one-size-fits-all situation. It's not just about using a fixed length; it's about adapting to the unique characteristics of each stock. I believe that what works for one stock might not work for another because they have different levels of smoothness or lag in their price movements. So, instead of applying the same length to all stocks, I suggest adjusting the length of the moving average to match the values that we know work best for achieving the desired smoothness or lag or its ratio (RS/RL). This way, we're customizing the indicator for each stock, tailoring it to their individual behaviors rather than sticking to a one-size-fits-all approach.
Users can choose from various types of moving averages (EMA, SMA, WMA, VWMA, HMA) and customize the length of the moving average. RS measures the smoothness of the MA, while RL measures its lag compared to a simple moving average. The script plots the median RS and RL values, the selected MA, and the ratio of median RS to median RL on the price chart. Traders can use this information to assess the performance of different moving averages and potentially inform their trading decisions.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "ha溢价率"
Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top Indicator - Daily Timeframe Only1 Day Timeframe Only
The Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top Indicator has garnered attention for its historical effectiveness in identifying the timing of Bitcoin's market cycle peaks with remarkable precision, typically within a margin of 3 days.
It utilizes a specific combination of moving averages—the 111-day moving average and a 2x multiple of the 350-day moving average—to signal potential tops in the Bitcoin market.
The 111-day moving average (MA): This shorter-term MA is chosen to reflect more recent price action and trends within the Bitcoin market.
The 350-day moving average (MA) multiplied by 2: This longer-term MA is adjusted to capture broader market trends and cycles over an extended period.
The key premise behind the Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top Indicator is that a potential market top for Bitcoin can be signaled when the 111-day MA crosses above the 350-day MA (which has been doubled). Historically, this crossover event has shown a remarkable correlation with the peaks of Bitcoin's price cycles, making it a tool of interest for traders and investors aiming to anticipate significant market shifts.
#Bitcoin
Liquidity Grabs | Flux Charts💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Introducing our new Liquidity Grabs indicator! This indicator can renders bubbles with different sizes at candles that have liquidity grabs, which happen when a liquidity areas (buyside / sellside liquidity) is swept. These candles often fill a lot of market orders that were sitting on the liquidity zone. You can check "How Does It Work" section for more information.
Features of the new Liquidity Grabs Indicator :
Renders Liquidity Grabs
Customizable Algorithm
Customizable Styles
Alerts
🚩UNIQUENESS
Liquidity grabs can be useful when determining candles that have executed a lot of market orders, and planning your trades accordingly. This indicator renders liquidity grabs in an unique bubble style, the size of the bubble is calculated by the size of the wick that caused the liquidity grab. The indicator also lets you customize the pivot length and the wick-body ratio for liquidity grabs.
📌 HOW DOES IT WORK ?
Liquidity grabs occur when one of the latest pivots has a false breakout. Then, if the wick to body ratio of the bar is higher than 0.5 (can be changed from the settings) a bubble is plotted. Using the wick length as a metric to measure liquidity is good because long wicks can translate to a large amount of buyers / sellers entering the market.
The bubble size is determined by the wick to body ratio of the candle.
⚙️SETTINGS
1. General Configuration
Pivot Length -> This setting determines the range of the pivots. This means a candle has to have the highest / lowest wick of the previous X bars and the next X bars to become a high / low pivot.
Wick-Body Ratio -> After a pivot has a false breakout, the wick-body ratio of the latest candle is tested. The resulting ratio must be higher than this setting for it to be considered as a liquidity grab.
It's All MidsIt's All Mids extends mid-lines of a candle forward until the price revisits (covers) the midpoint. A higher timeframe can be used for the mid candles than the chart (but not the reverse). There is no data to support this is a meaningful concept.
While this script is intended to be functional, correct and useful it is important that you understand that not only is this the first script I've written but also that "I am an idiot."(tm) Using a stranger's indicator is questionable, but using a self-proclaimed idiot's indicator to trade real money is unquestionably stupid. Don't be like me. Be smart. You are responsible for what you do with this script. The source is unlocked, so feel free to copy and modify it.
Terms:
- A "mid" is the (high+low)/2 price of a previous candle that has not been auctioned since the candle close. All candles will initially have a mid unless they close on exactly their midpoint.
- A "covered" mid is a mid for which the midpoint has been auctioned since the candle closed. There is an option to display a number of these so that when a mid is hit the line doesn't just disappear from the chart and you forget what you were doing.
- A "low priority" mid is the mid of a candle which was auctioned in the previous candle(s) (chart's timeframe, not the mid's timeframe)-- chopchopchop. I have no data to show that this matters, or really, that anything matters at all.
My use: I chart a 60m mid on ES on a 5 or 15 minute chart. I am lying. I use it for something else but if I tell you that then I give away my incredible alpha that has made me so rich I can spend my time crying in corner about all the money I've lost.
VWAP 8EMA Crossover Scalping IndicatorWhy?
Everybody, especially in Indian context, from 9:15 AM to 3:30 PM, wants to trade in BankNifty.
And even 15m is Too Big timeframe for The Great Indian Options buyers. Everyone knows how potentially BankNifty (& FinNifty on Tuesday and Sensex on Friday) can show dance within 15m.
So there always been an overarching longing among traders to have something in shorter timeframes. And this 5m timeframe, looks like a universally (sic) accepted Standard Timeframe for Indian Options traders.
So here is this.
What?
The time we are publishing this public indicator Indian market (Nifty) is in ATH at ~22200.
In any such super trending market it's always good to wait for a dip and then in suitable time, enter the trade in the direction of the larger trend. The reversal trading systems, in such a situation, proves to be ineffective.
Of course there are time when market is sideways and keeps on oscillating between +/2 standard deviation of the 20 SMA. In such a situation the reversal play works perfectly. But not so in such a trending market.
So the question comes up - after a dip what's the right point to enter.
Hence comes the importance of such a crossover based trading system.
In this indicator, it's a well-known technique (nothing originally from ours, it's taken from social media, exact one we forgot) to find out the 8EMA and VWAP crossover.
So we learned from social media, practice in our daily trading a bit, actuate it and now publishing it.
A few salient points
It does not make sense to jump into the trade just on the crossover (or crossunder).
So we added some more sugar to it, e.g. we check the color the candle. Also the next candle if crosses and closes above (or below) the breakout candle's high/low.
The polarity (color) of both the alert (breakout/breakdown) and confirmation candle to be same (green for crossover, red from crossunder).
Of course, it does provider BUY and SELL alerts separately.
These all we have found out doing backtesting and forward testing with 1/2 lots and saw this sort of approaches works.
Hence all of these are added to this script.
Nomenclature
Here green line is the 8EMA and the red line is the VWAP.
Also there is a black dotted line. That's 50 EMA. It's to show you the trend.
The recent trade is shown in the top right of the chart as green (for buy) or red (for sell) with SL and 1:1 target.
How to trade using this system?
This is roughly we have found the best possible use of this indicator.
Lets explain with a bullish BUY positive crossover (means 8EMA is crossing over the daily VWAP)
Keep timeframe as 5m
Check the direction/slope of the black dotted line (50 EMA). If it's upwards, only take bullish positions.
Open the chart which has the VWAP. (e.g. FinNifty spot or MidcapNifty spot does not have vwap). So in those cases Future is the way to go.
Wait for a breakout crossover and let the indicator gives a green, triangular UP arrow.
Draw a horizontal line to the close of that candle for next few (say 6 candles i.e. 30m) candles.
Wait for the price first to retest the 8EMA or even better the VWAP (or near to the 8EMA, VWAP)
Let the price moves and closes above the horizontal line drawn in the 4th step.
Take a bullish trade, keeping VWAP as the SL and 1:1 as the target.
Additionally, Options buyer can consult ADX also to see if the ADX is more than 25 and moving up for the bullish trade. (This has to be added seperately in the chart, it's not a part of the indicator).
Mention
The concept we have taken from some social media. Forget exactly where we heard this first time. We just coded it with some additional steps.
Statutory Disclaimer
There is no silver bullet / holy grail in trading. Nothing works 100% time. One has to be careful about the loss (s)he can bear in case of the trade goes against.
We, as the author of this script, is not responsible for any trading or position decision one is taken based on the outcome of this.
It is our sole discretion to change, add, delete the portion or withdraw the whole script without any prior notice or intimation.
In Indian Context: We are not SEBI registered.
Fusion Traders - RSI Overbought/Oversold + Divergence IndicatorFusion Traders - RSI Overbought/Oversold + Divergence Indicator - new version
This indicator has lots of various add ons.
RSI overbought / oversold with changeable inputs
Divergence indicator
DESCRIPTION:
This script combines the Relative Strength Index ( RSI ), Moving Average and Divergence indicator to make a better decision when to enter or exit a trade.
- The Moving Average line (MA) has been made hidden by default but enhanced with an RSIMA cloud.
- When the RSI is above the selected MA it turns into green and when the RSI is below the select MA it turns into red.
- When the RSI is moving into the Overbought or Oversold area, some highlighted areas will appear.
- When some divergences or hidden divergences are detected an extra indication will be highlighted.
- When the divergence appear in the Overbought or Oversold area the more weight it give to make a decision.
- The same colour pallet has been used as the default candlestick colours so it looks familiar.
HOW TO USE:
The prerequisite is that we have some knowledge about the Elliot Wave Theory, the Fibonacci Retracement and the Fibonacci Extension tools.
We are hoping you like this indicator and added to your favourite indicators. If you have any question then comment below, and I'll do my best to help.
FEATURES:
• You can show/hide the RSI .
• You can show/hide the MA.
• You can show/hide the lRSIMA cloud.
• You can show/hide the Stoch RSI cloud.
• You can show/hide and adjust the Overbought and Oversold zones.
• You can show/hide and adjust the Overbought Extended and Oversold Extended zones.
• You can show/hide the Overbought and Oversold highlighted zones.
HOW TO GET ACCESS TO THE SCRIPT:
• Favorite the script and add it to your chart.
ICT Hydra MacrosThis indicator allows you to set a colored box at each time frame specified as Macro.
The purpose of this customizable color box is to be able to identify the start and end of the desired time frame, as well as the highest and lowest price during that time frame.
It also allows to place the schedule in numbers inside the box in order to quickly identify the painted time frame.
The indicator has up to 26 customizable boxes both in time frame and color. This allows to have different time frames that each Trader considers convenient for his strategy.
Settings:
General Settings:
Limit Days to Draw: Indicates the number of past days in which boxes will be drawn. Default value is 5 past days.
Timeframe Limit: Indicates the maximum time frame in which the boxes will be displayed. Default value is 5 minutes.
Timezone: Indicates the desired Timezone to calculate the schedules that will be configured later.
Macros Settings:
Show Macros Boxes: Enables or disables all boxes. It is enabled by default.
Display Text: Enables or disables all labels inside the boxes containing the time frame corresponding to the box. It is enabled by default.
Macros Transparency: Indicates the transparency percentage of the selected color for all boxes. By default it contains a value of 80% transparency.
Macro 1-26: Indicates the start time and end time, as well as the color of the individual box. Each Macro can be enabled or disabled individually. Note that the boxes of each Macro will be visible only if the "Show Macros Boxes" property is enabled. By default, there are specified certain Macros or time frames with a duration of 20 minutes, which are Manipulation or Expansion Macros that mentor Hydra has taught us based on the knowledge that ICT has provided for everyone.
The objective of this indicator is to provide a visual tool on the Macros or Time Frames in which the Trader can easily observe the desired schedule and which will automatically adjust according to the time and price on all 4 sides of the box.
Unbounded RSIIntroducing the concept of "Unbounded RSI".
Instead of indexing the average gain and average loss, over the time period of interest, we leave the average gain and loss unbounded. Instead we "bound" them by difference of each and smoothen out this difference in an envelope using exponential average. See code.
What this does to traditional RSI concept?
No concept of "overbought", "oversold"
No concept of "60-40", "70-30" bands and arguments over it
No concept of "Range Shifts"
...
How to use it?
I am generally a positional long trader. So I present my version. Of course, I expect each individual who decide to use this concept, to come up with their ideas, based on their style and temperament.
The points below, I apply on a Weekly Timeframe Chart.
Once, we see a long consolidation and price breakout, we should be able to see "Green" histogram bars. These appear, once we have the stock at least 20% up from the 52WL and the "Unbounded RSI" has turned positive. This can be a good time to "enter" into the scrip.
The height of the bars are significant, since they essentially show, that the "gap" between the avg. gain and avg. loss is widening, indicating momentum. Swing trading can thrive in these environments I guess.
Falling heights indicate that gaps to close, though, the "gap can still be green". This means, momentum is now falling. Swing traders and "quick buck makers", would ideally book profits here. If the color of the bars still remain "Green" it indicates that momentum has reduced but still the gains are "more" than loss on the timeperiod selected.
Once the histogram turns red, it means that the gain is now lower than loss. An increasing height underground, means this loss is widening. Generally, this will corelate with price action (not necessarily volume).
At this time, exits should be looked for, may be also check other factors/indicators to decide, but surely the momentum and the gain% over the timeperiod selected has now gone.
Note for Pine Coders:
The source code can easily be modified to develop this concept further.
For example:
Use different smoothing algorithms
Remove 52WL condition and introduce new additional conditions
Instead of price change of the stock for gain/loss calculations, we use the concept of Relative Strength (RS, not RSI) and measuere the gain/loss based on a benchmark index . I intend to work on this concept, soon.
You shall see a variable "unboundedRSI" which is actually a ratio of the Avg. Gain / Avg. Loss. This ratio is not plotted. It is kept there, for future use.
Many more
CCOMET_Scanner_LibraryLibrary "CCOMET_Scanner_Library"
- A Trader's Edge (ATE)_Library was created to assist in constructing CCOMET Scanners
Loc_tIDs_Col(_string, _firstLocation)
TickerIDs: You must form this single tickerID input string exactly as described in the scripts info panel (little gray 'i' that
is circled at the end of the settings in the settings/input panel that you can hover your cursor over this 'i' to read the
details of that particular input). IF the string is formed correctly then it will break up this single string parameter into
a total of 40 separate strings which will be all of the tickerIDs that the script is using in your CCOMET Scanner.
Locations: This function is used when there's a desire to print an assets ALERT LABELS. A set Location on the scale is assigned to each asset.
This is created so that if a lot of alerts are triggered, they will stay relatively visible and not overlap each other.
If you set your '_firstLocation' parameter as 1, since there are a max of 40 assets that can be scanned, the 1st asset's location
is assigned the value in the '_firstLocation' parameter, the 2nd asset's location is the (1st asset's location+1)...and so on.
Parameters:
_string (simple string) : (string)
A maximum of 40 Tickers (ALL joined as 1 string for the input parameter) that is formulated EXACTLY as described
within the tooltips of the TickerID inputs in my CCOMET Scanner scripts:
assets = input.text_area(tIDset1, title="TickerID (MUST READ TOOLTIP)", tooltip="Accepts 40 TICKERID's for each
copy of the script on the chart. TEXT FORMATTING RULES FOR TICKERID'S:
(1) To exclude the EXCHANGE NAME in the Labels, de-select the next input option.
(2) MUST have a space (' ') AFTER each TickerID.
(3) Capitalization in the Labels will match cap of these TickerID's.
(4) If your asset has a BaseCurrency & QuoteCurrency (ie. ADAUSDT ) BUT you ONLY want Labels
to show BaseCurrency(ie.'ADA'), include a FORWARD SLASH ('/') between the Base & Quote (ie.'ADA/USDT')", display=display.none)
_firstLocation (simple int) : (simple int)
Optional (starts at 1 if no parameter added).
Location that you want the first asset to print its label if is triggered to do so.
ie. loc2=loc1+1, loc3=loc2+1, etc.
Returns: Returns 40 output variables in the tuple (ie. between the ' ') with the TickerIDs, 40 variables for the locations for alert labels, and 40 Colors for labels/plots
TickeridForLabelsAndSecurity(_ticker, _includeExchange)
This function accepts the TickerID Name as its parameter and produces a single string that will be used in all of your labels.
Parameters:
_ticker (simple string) : (string)
For this parameter, input the varible named '_coin' from your 'f_main()' function for this parameter. It is the raw
Ticker ID name that will be processed.
_includeExchange (simple bool) : (bool)
Optional (if parameter not included in function it defaults to false ).
Used to determine if the Exchange name will be included in all labels/triggers/alerts.
Returns: ( )
Returns 2 output variables:
1st ('_securityTickerid') is to be used in the 'request.security()' function as this string will contain everything
TV needs to pull the correct assets data.
2nd ('lblTicker') is to be used in all of the labels in your CCOMET Scanner as it will only contain what you want your labels
to show as determined by how the tickerID is formulated in the CCOMET Scanner's input.
InvalID_LblSz(_barCnt, _close, _securityTickerid, _invalidArray, _tablePosition, _stackVertical, _lblSzRfrnce)
INVALID TICKERIDs: This is to add a table in the middle right of your chart that prints all the TickerID's that were either not formulated
correctly in the '_source' input or that is not a valid symbol and should be changed.
LABEL SIZES: This function sizes your Alert Trigger Labels according to the amount of Printed Bars the chart has printed within
a set time period, while also keeping in mind the smallest relative reference size you input in the 'lblSzRfrnceInput'
parameter of this function. A HIGHER % of Printed Bars(aka...more trades occurring for that asset on the exchange),
the LARGER the Name Label will print, potentially showing you the better opportunities on the exchange to avoid
exchange manipulation liquidations.
*** SHOULD NOT be used as size of labels that are your asset Name Labels next to each asset's Line Plot...
if your CCOMET Scanner includes these as you want these to be the same size for every asset so the larger ones dont cover the
smaller ones if the plots are all close to each other ***
Parameters:
_barCnt (float) : (float)
Get the 1st variable('barCnt') from the Security function's tuple and input it as this functions 1st input
parameter which will directly affect the size of the 2nd output variable ('alertTrigLabel') that is also outputted by this function.
_close (float) : (float)
Put your 'close' variable named '_close' from the security function here.
_securityTickerid (string) : (string)
Throughout the entire charts updates, if a '_close' value is never registered then the logic counts the asset as INVALID.
This will be the 1st TickerID variable (named _securityTickerid) outputted from the tuple of the TickeridForLabels()
function above this one.
_invalidArray (array) : (array string)
Input the array from the original script that houses all of the invalidArray strings.
_tablePosition (simple string) : (string)
Optional (if parameter not included, it defaults to position.middle_right). Location on the chart you want the table printed.
Possible strings include: position.top_center, position.top_left, position.top_right, position.middle_center,
position.middle_left, position.middle_right, position.bottom_center, position.bottom_left, position.bottom_right.
_stackVertical (simple bool) : (bool)
Optional (if parameter not included, it defaults to true). All of the assets that are counted as INVALID will be
created in a list. If you want this list to be prited as a column then input 'true' here, otherwise they will all be in a row.
_lblSzRfrnce (string) : (string)
Optional (if parameter not included, it defaults to size.small). This will be the size of the variable outputted
by this function named 'assetNameLabel' BUT also affects the size of the output variable 'alertTrigLabel' as it uses this parameter's size
as the smallest size for 'alertTrigLabel' then uses the '_barCnt' parameter to determine the next sizes up depending on the "_barCnt" value.
Returns: ( )
Returns 2 variables:
1st output variable ('AssetNameLabel') is assigned to the size of the 'lblSzRfrnceInput' parameter.
2nd output variable('alertTrigLabel') can be of variying sizes depending on the 'barCnt' parameter...BUT the smallest
size possible for the 2nd output variable ('alertTrigLabel') will be the size set in the 'lblSzRfrnceInput' parameter.
PrintedBarCount(_time, _barCntLength, _barCntPercentMin)
The Printed BarCount Filter looks back a User Defined amount of minutes and calculates the % of bars that have printed
out of the TOTAL amount of bars that COULD HAVE been printed within the same amount of time.
Parameters:
_time (int) : (int)
The time associated with the chart of the particular asset that is being screened at that point.
_barCntLength (int) : (int)
The amount of time (IN MINUTES) that you want the logic to look back at to calculate the % of bars that have actually
printed in the span of time you input into this parameter.
_barCntPercentMin (int) : (int)
The minimum % of Printed Bars of the asset being screened has to be GREATER than the value set in this parameter
for the output variable 'bc_gtg' to be true.
Returns: ( )
Returns 2 outputs:
1st is the % of Printed Bars that have printed within the within the span of time you input in the '_barCntLength' parameter.
2nd is true/false according to if the Printed BarCount % is above the threshold that you input into the '_barCntPercentMin' parameter.
Table to filter trades per dayThis script contains a block of code that allows users to filter the total number of trades, loss trades, win trades and win rate per day in a table. This makes it easier to compare which days were profitable and which were not.
Be aware that this script can only be used in strategy scripts. To use the script, open it and copy every line from "START" to "STOP". Then, paste these lines at the very bottom of the strategy script that you want to attach it to.
The user has the ability to adjust the position of the table and customize the size of the text displayed.
If the user sets "Check when the trade:" to "Opened", the script will monitor when the trade opens and add it to the table once it has been closed. If "Check when the trade:" is set to "Closed", the script will track when the trade is closed and add it to the table once it has been closed.
It is recommended to run the script on the "Exchange" setting for more accurate results, even though a "Set the timezone" option is available. This will prevent discrepancies caused by daylight saving time changes.
Please note that the code will only work properly if you choose a daily timeframe or lower.
Turtle Trader StrategyTurtle Trader Strategy :
Introduction :
This strategy is based on the well known « Turtle Trader Strategy », that has proven itself over the years. It sends long and short signals with pyramid orders of up to 5, meaning that the strategy can trigger up to 5 orders in the same direction. Good risk and money management.
It's important to note that the strategy combines 2 systems working together (S1 and S2). Let’s describe the specific features of this strategy.
1/ Position size :
Position size is very important for turtle traders to manage risk properly. This position sizing strategy adapts to market volatility and to account (gains and losses). It’s based on ATR (Average True Range) which can also be called « N ». Its length is per default 20.
ATR(20) = (previous_atr(20)*19 + actual_true_range)/20
The number of units to buy is :
Unit = 1% * account/(ATR(20)*dollar_per_point)
where account is the actual account value and dollar_per_point is the variation in dollar of the asset with a 1 point move.
Depending on your risk aversion, you can increase the percentage of your account, but turtle traders default to 1%. If you trade contracts, units must be rounded down by default.
There is also an additional rule to reduce the risk if the value of the account falls below the initial capital : in this case and only in this case, account in the unit formula must be replace by :
account = actual_account*actual_account/initial capital
2/ Open a position :
2 systems are working together :
System 1 : Entering a new 20 day breakout
System 2 : Entering a new 55 day breakout
A breakout is a new high or new low. If it’s a new high, we open long position and vice versa if it’s a new low we enter in short position.
We add an additional rule :
System 1 : Breakout is ignored if last long/short position was a winner
System 2 : All signals are taken
This additional rule allows the trader to be in the major trends if the system 1 signal has been skipped. If a signal for system 1 has been skipped, and next candle is also a new 20 day breakout, S1 doesn’t give a signal. We have to wait S2 signal or wait for a candle that doesn’t make a new breakout to reactivate S1.
3/ Pyramid orders :
Turtle Strategy allows us to add extra units to the position if the price moves in our favor. I've configured the strategy to allow up to 5 orders to be added in the same direction. So if the price varies from 0.5*ATR(20) , we add units with the position size formula. Note that the value of account will be replaced by "remaining_account", i.e. the cash remaining in our account after subtracting the value of open positions.
4/ Stop Loss :
We set a stop loss at 1.5*ATR(20) below the entry price for longs and above the entry price for shorts. If pyramid units are added, the stop is increased/decreased by 0.5*ATR(20). Note that if SL is configured for a loss of more than 10%, we set the SL to 10% for the first entry order to avoid big losses. This configuration does not work for pyramid orders as SL moves by 0.5*ATR(20).
5/ Exit signals :
System 1 :
Exit long on a 10 day low
Exit short on a 10 day high
System 2 :
Exit long on a 20 day low
Exit short on a 20 day high
6/ What types of orders are placed ?
To enter in a position, stop orders are placed meaning that we place orders that will be automatically triggered by the signal at the exact breakout price. Stop loss and exit signals are also stop orders. Pyramid orders are market orders which will be triggered at the opening of the next candle to avoid repainting.
PARAMETERS :
Risk % of capital : Percentage used in the position size formula. Default is 1%
ATR period : ATR length used to calculate ATR. Default is 20
Stop ATR : Parameters used to fix stop loss. Default is 1.5 meaning that stop loss will be set at : buy_price - 1.5*ATR(20) for long and buy_price + 1.5*ATR(20) for short. Turtle traders default is 2 but 1.5 is better for cryptocurrency as there is a huge volatility.
S1 Long : System 1 breakout length for long. Default is 20
S2 Long : System 2 breakout length for long. Default is 55
S1 Long Exit : System 1 breakout length to exit long. Default is 10
S2 Long Exit : System 2 breakout length to exit long. Default is 20
S1 Short : System 1 breakout length for short. Default is 15
S2 Short : System 2 breakout length for short. Default is 55
S1 Short Exit : System 1 breakout length to exit short. Default is 7
S2 Short Exit : System 2 breakout length to exit short. Default is 20
Initial capital : $1000
Fees : Interactive Broker fees apply to this strategy. They are set at 0.18% of the trade value.
Slippage : 3 ticks or $0.03 per trade. Corresponds to the latency time between the moment the signal is received and the moment the order is executed by the broker.
Pyramiding : Number of orders that can be passed in the same direction. Default is 5.
Important : Turtle traders don't trade crypto. For this specific asset type, I modify some parameters such as SL and Short S1 in order to maximize return while limiting drawdown. This strategy is the most optimal on BINANCE:BTCUSD in 1D timeframe with the parameters set per default. If you want to use this strategy for a different crypto please adapt parameters.
NOTE :
It's important to note that the first entry order (long or short) will be the largest. Subsequent pyramid orders will have fewer units than the first order. We've set a maximum SL for the first order of 10%, meaning that you won't lose more than 10% of the value of your first order. However, it is possible to lose more on your pyramid orders, as the SL is increased/decreased by 0.5*ATR(20), which does not secure a loss of more than 10% on your pyramid orders. The risk remains well managed because the value of these orders is less than the value of the first order. Remain vigilant to this small detail and adjust your risk according to your risk aversion.
Enjoy the strategy and don’t forget to take the trade :)
Opening RangeThe opening range or first 30 minutes of trading during the day sets the tone and becomes an important reference through the rest of the day. Price will react as it reaches the high and low of the opening range.
Backtesting has shown that the strategies based on the opening range have merit and provide an edge in trading. By not being aware of these points of reference you put yourself at risk.
In addition to the opening range, the distance from the high or low of the opening range plus the width of the opening range forms another important reference point.
Opening Range Rules.
Price must break out of the opening range in order to have a trending day. As long as price is inside the opening range, expect the trade to be choppy.
Once price leaves the opening range the market can begin to trend. However, before it trends most times it will retest the boundary of the opening range. This is a critical point, and a better than average entry for a position to join the trend. However, if price closes back inside the opening range watch out. Re-entry to the opening range has a high probability of going to the middle of the opening range, and a better than average probability of crossing the entire opening range.
In the above chart we can see price broke below the opening range then returned to retest the opening range before beginning a downward trend that delivered 175 pts on NQ.
Upon re-entering the opening range price tried to break down again but ultimately traveled up until it hit the 50% mark of the opening range.
Once a trend has begun the first target is the green line which is 1 width of the opening range outside of the opening range.
Once price broke out of the opening range to the upside, it came back to retest the opening range high, before beginning an uptrend that delivered 120 pts on NQ.
Z-Score Forecaster[SS]Hello everyone,
I just released a neat library for Forecasting stock and equities. In it, it has a couple of novel approaches to forecasting (namely, a Moving Average forecaster and a Z-Score Forecaster). These were accomplished applying basic theories on Autoregression, ARIMA modelling and Z-Score to make new approaches to forecasting.
This is one of the novel approaches, the Z-Score forecaster.
How this function works is it identifies the current trend over the duration of the Z-Score assessment period. So, if the Z-Score is being assessed over the previous 75 candles, it will identify the trend over the previous 75 candles. It will then plot out the forecasted levels according to the trend, up to a maximum of the max Z-Score the ticker has reached within its period. At that point, it will show a likely trend reversal.
Here is an example:
This shows that SPY may go to 475.42 before reversing, as 475.42 is the highest z-score that has been achieved in the current trend.
When it is in an uptrend, the forecast line will be green, when in a downtrend, it will be red.
The forecasting line is accomplished through pinescript's new polyline feature.
In addition to the line, you can also have the indicator plot out a forecast table. The Z-Score Forecast table was formatted in a similar way to ARIMA, where it makes no bias about trend, it simply plots out both ends of the spectrum. So, if an uptrend were to continue, it will list the various uptrend targets along the way, vice versa for downtrends.
It will also display what Z-Score these targets would amount to. Here is an example:
Looking at SPY on the daily, we can see that a likely upside target would be around 484 at just over 2 Standard Deviations (Z-Score).
Its not liklely to go higher than that because then we are getting into 3 and 4 standard deviations.
Remember, everything generally should be within 1 and -1 standard deviations of the mean. So if we look at the table, we can see that would be between 466 and 430.
Customization
You can customize the Z-Score length and source. You can also toggle off and on alerts. The alerts will pop up when a ticker is trading at a previous maximum or previous minimum.
I have also added a manual feature to plot the Z-Score SMA, which is simply the SMA over the desired Z-Score lookback time.
And that's the indicator!
If you are interested in the library, you can access it here .
Thanks for checking this out and leave your questions below!
Volume Profile Histogram [SS]I usually (and by usually, I mean the past year xD) release a significant indicator as my Christmas gift to the community on Christmas Eve. Last year, it was the Z-Score buy and sell signal; this year, it's something a little more conventional. So here is this year’s gift—hope you like it! 🎁
Seems like everyone has their take on Volume Profiles (aka SVP or VSP). I decided to create one, and in true Steversteves fashion, you can expect to find all the goodies that come with most of my stuff, including a volume profile presented in a bell-curve/histogram style (chart above) and statistical frequency tables showing the cases by ranges:
And it wouldn't be a true Steversteves indicator without some kind of ATR thing:
So, what does it do?
At the end of the day, it is a form of an SVP indicator. However, it is meant to operate on a larger scale, sorting volume in a traditional bell-curve style. In addition to displaying volume, it breaks down buying vs. selling volume. Selling volume is classified as such when the open is greater than close, while buying is when close is greater than open. This breakdown allows you to see the distribution, by price range, of where selling and buying occur.
This permits the indicator to provide 2 Points of Control (POCs). A POC is defined as an area of high volume activity. Because buying and selling volumes are broken down into two, we can identify areas with high selling and areas with high buying. Sometimes they coincide, sometimes they differ.
If we look at SQQQ, for example:
We can see that the bearish point of control is one point below the bullish POC. This is interesting because it essentially shows where people may be "panic selling" or setting their stop-outs. If SQQQ drops below 18.8, then it's likely to trigger panic selling, as indicated by the histogram.
Conversely, we can observe that traders tend to position long between $18 and $24. The POC is noted in the stats table and also displayed on the chart. Bullish POC is shown in purple, bearish in yellow. These, of course, can be toggled off.
The Frequency Table:
The frequency table shows how many observations were obtained in each price range. The histogram illustrates the cumulative volume traded, while the frequency simply counts how many cases occurred over the lookback period.
ATR Range Analytics by Volume:
The indicator also has the ability to display range analytics by volume. When you toggle on the range analytics by volume option, a range chart will appear:
www.tradingview.com
The range chart goes from the minimum recorded volume to the maximum recorded volume in the period, showing the average range and direction associated with this volume. This is crucial to pay attention to because not all stocks behave the same way.
For example, in the chart above (AMD), we can see that low volume produces a general bearish bias, and high volume produces a general bullish bias. However, if we look at the range analytics for SPY:
Low volume has the inverse effect. Low volume is associated with a more bullish bias, and high volume indicates a more bearish bias. In the ATR chart, the threshold volume to transition from bullish bias to bearish bias is approximately > 78,607,268 traded shares.
The Stats Table:
The stats table can be toggled on or off. It simply displays the POCs and the time range for the VSP. The default time range is 1 trading year (252 days), assuming you are on the daily timeframe. However, you can use this on any timeframe.
The percentages displayed in the histogram is the cumulative percent of buying and selling volume independently. So when you see the percentage on the selling histogram, its the percent of cumulative selling only. Same for the buying.
And that's the indicator! I hope you enjoy it. Let me know your thoughts. I hope you all have safe holidays, a Merry Christmas for you North Americans, and a Happy Christmas for you UKers, and whatever else you celebrate/care about and do! Safe trades, everyone, and enjoy your holidays! 🎁🎄🎄🎄⭐⭐⭐ 🕎 🕎 🕎
PB wTF50What kind of traders/investors are we?
We are trend followers, always on the lookout for the next big move in the market. Our scripts are meticulously crafted for higher timeframes (daily, weekly, monthly) aiming to capture the large market trends.
What does this script do?
The Pb wTF50 script simplifies the complex world of investing by colour-coding bars to indicate the trend direction. Green bars signify a bullish trend, red indicates a bearish trend, and a combination of both signifies a sideways market. This visual representation ensures investors can quickly gauge the market's direction and act accordingly.
How is the PB wTF50 produced?
The PB wTF50 script employs the simple moving averages (SMAs) as its backbone. Bars positioned above both the SMAs turn green, indicating a bullish trend. Conversely, bars below these SMAs turn red, signalling a bearish trend.
What is the best timeframe to use the script?
The PB wTF50 script is designed for the weekly timeframe. This ensures that traders and investors are aligned with the long-term market trend, filtering out the noise of shorter timeframes.
What makes this script unique?
The challenges of identifying the onset, progression, and culmination of trends are well-known in the investing community. The PbF script addresses these challenges head-on.
The PB wTF50 is not a lagging indicator. It is aligned with price movement, which helps investors and traders focus on what the asset’s price is doing. The asset’s price is the primary indicator of its direction.
Lagging indicators can be used alongside the PB wTF50 to confirm the asset’s direction.
The PBwTF50 continues to remain green during extended periods of bullish pullbacks and red during extended periods of bearish pullbacks. This helps investors and traders hold positions during corrections in the market.
When interacting with OB/OS zones, investors and traders are positioned to align with the trend and ignore short-term fluctuations against the trend.
The PB wTF50 can be used to enter additional positions, also known as compounding, when an asset’s price has pulled back into an OS zone, but the trend filter has remained green in a bull trend/OB zone, but the trend filter has remained red in a bear trend.
In essence, the PB wTF50 script is a trend filter that gives investors and traders the ability to apply discretion with the start and end of long-term trends as they develop.
Analytics Trading DashboardThe Analytics Trading Dashboard is a tool designed to bring key information about a company into an easy-to-view dashboard. The indicator combines Company Info, Fundamental Data, Price & Volume Data, and Analyst Recommendations all into one table.
Let’s dive into the details by section:
Company Info:
Name – Company name.
Market Cap – Total dollar market value of the company’s outstanding shares of stock.
Float Shares / Shares Outstanding – Floating shares indicate the number of shares available for trading. Outstanding shares are any shares held by shareholders and company insiders.
Sector – The stock's sector.
Industry Group - The industry group the stock belongs to.
IPO Date – Date on which a security is first publicly traded.
Dividend – The latest dividend amount if the company pays one.
Fundamental Data:
EPS Due – The date the company is set to report earnings next.
EPS Est Next Qtr – The earnings per share estimate for the upcoming report.
EPS Est % Chg (Current Qtr) – The earnings growth as a percentage based on the reported earnings of the same quarter from the previous year.
EPS % Chg (Last Qtr) – The earnings growth of the last reported quarter as a percentage versus the same quarter from the previous year.
Last Qtr EPS Surprise – The amount reported earnings beat or missed estimates from the last reported quarter.
Last 3 Qtrs Avg. EPS Growth – The average percentage growth of the last 3 earnings reports.
# Qtrs of EPS Acceleration – The number of consecutive quarters that EPS has increased.
Last 3 Qtrs Avg. Rev Growth – The average percentage growth of the last 3 revenue numbers reported.
# Qtrs of Rev Acceleration – The number of consecutive quarters that revenue has increased.
Gross Margin – Measures gross profit compared to revenue as a percentage.
Debt/Equity Ratio – The ratio of debt to equity, or financial leverage.
Price and Volume Data:
52 Week High – The highest high of the last 52 weeks.
% Off 52 Week High – The percentage the current price has decreased from the 52-week high.
Price vs. Moving Average – The distance as a percentage that the current price is from the selected moving average.
Average Volume – The average number of shares traded based on the selected lookback period.
Average $ Volume – The average of the total value of shares traded based on the selected lookback period.
Pocket Pivots – The number of pocket pivots that have occurred in the selected lookback period.
Up/Down Volume Ratio - A 50-day ratio derived by dividing total volume on up days by the total volume on down days.
ATR – The average true range shown as a dollar value and percentage of current price.
ADR – The average daily range shown as a dollar value and percentage of current price.
Beta - Beta is a measure of its volatility relative to the overall market, indicating how much the stock's price is expected to fluctuate compared to the market average.
Analyst Ratings:
Strong Buy – The number of strong buy recommendations.
Buy – The number of buy recommendations.
Hold – The number of hold recommendations.
Sell – The number of sell recommendations.
Strong Sell – The number of strong sell recommendations.
The Analytics Trading Dashboard also comes with the flexibility to select your preferred moving average for price and volume analysis, as well as to choose the specific lookback period for calculating the Average True Range (ATR), Average Daily Range (ADR), and Pocket Pivots lookback period.
Machine Learning: STDEV Oscillator [YinYangAlgorithms]This Indicator aims to fill a gap within traditional Standard Deviation Analysis. Rather than its usual applications, this Indicator focuses on applying Standard Deviation within an Oscillator and likewise applying a Machine Learning approach to it. By doing so, we may hope to achieve an Adaptive Oscillator which can help display when the price is deviating from its standard movement. This Indicator may help display both when the price is Overbought or Underbought, and likewise, where the price may face Support and Resistance. The reason for this is that rather than simply plotting a Machine Learning Standard Deviation (STDEV), we instead create a High and a Low variant of STDEV, and then use its Highest and Lowest values calculated within another Deviation to create Deviation Zones. These zones may help to display these Support and Resistance locations; and likewise may help to show if the price is Overbought or Oversold based on its placement within these zones. This Oscillator may also help display Momentum when the High and/or Low STDEV crosses the midline (0). Lastly, this Oscillator may also be useful for seeing the spacing between the High and Low of the STDEV; large spacing may represent volatility within the STDEV which may be helpful for seeing when there is Momentum in the form of volatility.
Tutorial:
Above is an example of how this Indicator looks on BTC/USDT 1 Day. As you may see, when the price has parabolic movement, so does the STDEV. This is due to this price movement deviating from the mean of the data. Therefore when these parabolic movements occur, we create the Deviation Zones accordingly, in hopes that it may help to project future Support and Resistance locations as well as helping to display when the price is Overbought and Oversold.
If we zoom in a little bit, you may notice that the Support Zone (Blue) is smaller than the Resistance Zone (Orange). This is simply because during the last Bull Market there was more parabolic price deviation than there was during the Bear Market. You may see this if you refer to their values; the Resistance Zone goes to ~18k whereas the Support Zone is ~10.5k. This is completely normal and the way it is supposed to work. Due to the nature of how STDEV works, this Oscillator doesn’t use a 1:1 ratio and instead can develop and expand as exponential price action occurs.
The Neutral (0) line may also act as a Support and Resistance location. In the example above we can see how when the STDEV is below it, it acts as Resistance; and when it’s above it, it acts as Support.
This Neutral line may also provide us with insight as towards the momentum within the market and when it has shifted. When the STDEV is below the Neutral line, the market may be considered Bearish. When the STDEV is above the Neutral line, the market may be considered Bullish.
The Red Line represents the STDEV’s High and the Green Line represents the STDEV’s Low. When the STDEV’s High and Low get tight and close together, this may represent there is currently Low Volatility in the market. Low Volatility may cause consolidation to occur, however it also leaves room for expansion.
However, when the STDEV’s High and Low are quite spaced apart, this may represent High levels of Volatility in the market. This may mean the market is more prone to parabolic movements and expansion.
We will conclude our Tutorial here. Hopefully this has given you some insight into how applying Machine Learning to a High and Low STDEV then creating Deviation Zones based on it may help project when the Momentum of the Market is Bullish or Bearish; likewise when the price is Overbought or Oversold; and lastly where the price may face Support and Resistance in the form of STDEV.
If you have any questions, comments, ideas or concerns please don't hesitate to contact us.
HAPPY TRADING!
Historical Volatility StudyThe goal of this script it to provide you an idea to forecast the future momentum by looking at historical volatility.
This chart has basically three parts.
1. Three lines are there. The multi color line represents the historical annualized volatility in terms of minimum look back period . The white line represents the historical annualized volatility in terms of medium term look back period . The green line represents the historical annualized volatility in terms of longer term look back period .
2. The back ground color has three components. Green zone is the zone where overall volatility is on the lower side. Red zone is the zone where overall volatility is on the higher side. Purple zone means fluctuating volatility.
3. The multi color line has three colors. Red color means volatility moving towards extreme low. Yellow means it is moving towards extreme high. Purple means it is in normal course of action.
This tool can be used as a confirmation tool with other studies to aid you to make better decisions. For example- look at the diagram below.
Make your thorough study before making any trading decision. Thanks.
Breakout Detector (Previous MTF High Low Levels) [LuxAlgo]The Breakout Detector (Previous MTF High Low Levels) indicator highlights breakouts of previous high/low levels from a higher timeframe.
The indicator is able to: display take-profit/stop-loss levels based on a user selected Win/Loss ratio, detect false breakouts, and display a dashboard with various useful statistics.
Do note that previous high/low levels are subject to backpainting, that is they are drawn retrospectively in their corresponding location. Other elements in the script are not subject to backpainting.
🔶 USAGE
Breakouts occur when the price closes above a previous Higher Timeframe (HTF) High or below a previous HTF Low.
On the advent of a breakout, the closing price acts as an entry level at which a Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) are placed. When a TP or SL level is reached, the SL/TP box border is highlighted.
When there is a breakout in the opposite direction of an active breakout, previous breakout levels stop being updated. Not reaching an SL/TP level will result in a partial loss/win,
which will result in the box being highlighted with a dotted border (default). This can also be set as a dashed or solid border.
Detection of False Breakouts (default on) can be helpful to avoid false positives, these can also be indicative of potential trend reversals.
This indicator contains visualization when a new HTF interval begins (thick vertical grey line) and a dashboard for reviewing the breakout results (both defaults enabled; and can be disabled).
As seen in the example above, the active, open breakout is colored green/red.
You can enable the setting ' Cancel TP/SL at the end of HTF ', which will stop updating previous TP/SL levels on the occurrence of a new HTF interval.
🔶 DETAILS
🔹 Principles
Every time a new timeframe period starts, the previous high and low are detected of the higher timeframe. On that bar only there won't be a breakout detection.
A breakout is confirmed when the close price breaks the previous HTF high/low
A breakout in the same direction as the active breakout is ignored.
A breakout in the opposite direction stops previous breakout levels from being updated.
Take Profit/Stop Loss, partially or not, will be highlighted in an easily interpretable manner.
🔹 Set Higher Timeframe
There are 2 options for choosing a higher timeframe:
• Choose a specific higher timeframe (in this example, Weekly higher TF on a 4h chart)
• Choose a multiple of the current timeframe (in this example, 75 minutes TF on a 15 min chart - 15 x 5)
Do mind, that when using this option, non-standard TFs can give less desired timeframe changes.
🔹 Setting Win/Loss Levels
The Stop Loss (SL) / Take Profit (TP) setting has 2 options:
W%:L% : A fixed percentage is chosen, for TP and SL.
W:L : In this case L (Loss-part) is set through Loss Settings , W (Win-part) is calculated by multiplying L , for example W : L = 2 : 1, W will be twice as large as the L .
🔹 Loss Settings
The last drawing at the right is still active (colored green/red)
The Loss part can be:
A multiple of the Average True Range (ATR) of the last 200 bars.
A multiple of the Range Cumulative Mean (RCM).
The Latest Swing (with Length setting)
Range Cumulative Mean is the sum of the Candle Range (high - low) divided by its bar index.
🔹 False Breakouts
A False Breakout is confirmed when the price of the bar immediately after the breakout bar returns above/below the breakout level.
🔹 Dashboard
🔶 ALERTS
This publication provides several alerts
Bullish/Bearish Breakout: A new Breakout.
Bullish/Bearish False Breakout: False Breakout detected, 1 bar after the Breakout.
Bullish/Bearish TP: When the TP/profit level has been reached.
Bullish/Bearish Fail: When the SL/stop-loss level has been reached.
Note that when a new Breakout causes the previous Breakout to stop being updated, only an alert is provided of the new Breakout.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 Set Higher Timeframe
Option : HTF/Mult
HTF : When HTF is chosen as Option , set the Higher Timeframe (higher than current TF)
Mult : When Mult is chosen as Option , set the multiple of current TF (for example 3, curr. TF 15min -> 45min)
🔹 Set Win/Loss Level
SL/TP : W:L or W%:L%: Set the Win/Loss Ratio (Take Profit/Stop Loss)
• W : L : Set the Ratio of Win (TP) against Loss (SL) . The L level is set at Loss Settings
• W% : L% : Set a fixed percentage of breakout price as SL/TP
🔹 Loss Settings
When W : L is chosen as SL/TP Option, this sets the Loss part (L)
Base :
• RCM : Range Cumulative Mean
• ATR : Average True Range of last 200 bars
• Last Swing : Last Swing Low when bullish breakout, last Swing High when bearish breakout
Multiple : x times RCM/ATR
Swing Length : Sets the 'left' period ('right' period is always 1)
Colours : colour of TP/SL box and border
Borders : Style border when breakout levels stop being updated, but TP/SL is not reached. (Default dotted dot , other option is dashed dsh or solid sol )
🔹 Extra
Show Timeframe Change : Show a grey vertical line when a new Higher Timeframe interval begins
Detect False Outbreak
Cancel TP/SL at end of HTF
🔹 Show Dashboard
Location: Location of the dashboard (Top Right or Bottom Right/Left)
Size: Text size (Tiny, Small, Normal)
See USAGE/DETAILS for more information
RSI & Backed-Weighted MA StrategyRSI & MA Strategy :
INTRODUCTION :
This strategy is based on two well-known indicators that work best together: the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average (MA). We're going to use the RSI as a trend-follower indicator, rather than a reversal indicator as most are used to. To the signals sent by the RSI, we'll add a condition on the chart's MA, filtering out irrelevant signals and considerably increasing our winning rate. This is a medium/long-term strategy. There's also a money management method enabling us to reinvest part of the profits or reduce the size of orders in the event of substantial losses.
RSI :
The RSI is one of the best-known and most widely used indicators in trading. Its purpose is to warn traders when an asset is overbought or oversold. It was designed to send reversal signals, but we're going to use it as a trend indicator by increasing its length to 20. The RSI formula is as follows :
RSI (n) = 100 - (100 / (1 + (H (n)/L (n))))
With n the length of the RSI, H(n) the average of days closing above the open and L(n) the average of days closing below the open.
MA :
The Moving Average is also widely used in technical analysis, to smooth out variations in an asset. The SMA formula is as follows :
SMA (n) = (P1 + P2 + ... + Pn) / n
where n is the length of the MA.
However, an SMA does not weight any of its terms, which means that the price 10 days ago has the same importance as the price 2 days ago or today's price... That's why in this strategy we use a RWMA, i.e. a back-weighted moving average. It weights old prices more heavily than new ones. This will enable us to limit the impact of short-term variations and focus on the trend that was dominating. The RWMA used weights :
The 4 most recent terms by : 100 / (4+(n-4)*1.30)
The other oldest terms by : weight_4_first_term*1.30
So the older terms are weighted 1.30 more than the more recent ones. The moving average thus traces a trend that accentuates past values and limits the noise of short-term variations.
PARAMETERS :
RSI Length : Lenght of RSI. Default is 20.
MA Type : Choice between a SMA or a RWMA which permits to minimize the impact of short term reversal. Default is RWMA.
MA Length : Length of the selected MA. Default is 19.
RSI Long Signal : Minimum value of RSI to send a LONG signal. Default is 60.
RSI Short signal : Maximum value of RSI to send a SHORT signal. Default is 40.
ROC MA Long Signal : Maximum value of Rate of Change MA to send a LONG signal. Default is 0.
ROC MA Short signal : Minimum value of Rate of Change MA to send a SHORT signal. Default is 0.
TP activation in multiple of ATR : Threshold value to trigger trailing stop Take Profit. This threshold is calculated as multiple of the ATR (Average True Range). Default value is 5 meaning that to trigger the trailing TP the price need to move 5*ATR in the right direction.
Trailing TP in percentage : Percentage value of trailing Take Profit. This Trailing TP follows the profit if it increases, remaining selected percentage below it, but stops if the profit decreases. Default is 3%.
Fixed Ratio : This is the amount of gain or loss at which the order quantity is changed. Default is 400, which means that for each $400 gain or loss, the order size is increased or decreased by a user-selected amount.
Increasing Order Amount : This is the amount to be added to or subtracted from orders when the fixed ratio is reached. The default is $200, which means that for every $400 gain, $200 is reinvested in the strategy. On the other hand, for every $400 loss, the order size is reduced by $200.
Initial capital : $1000
Fees : Interactive Broker fees apply to this strategy. They are set at 0.18% of the trade value.
Slippage : 3 ticks or $0.03 per trade. Corresponds to the latency time between the moment the signal is received and the moment the order is executed by the broker.
Important : A bot has been used to test the different parameters and determine which ones maximize return while limiting drawdown. This strategy is the most optimal on BITSTAMP:ETHUSD with a timeframe set to 6h. Parameters are set as follows :
MA type: RWMA
MA Length: 19
RSI Long Signal: >60
RSI Short Signal : <40
ROC MA Long Signal : <0
ROC MA Short Signal : >0
TP Activation in multiple ATR : 5
Trailing TP in percentage : 3
ENTER RULES :
The principle is very simple:
If the asset is overbought after a bear market, we are LONG.
If the asset is oversold after a bull market, we are SHORT.
We have defined a bear market as follows : Rate of Change (20) RWMA < 0
We have defined a bull market as follows : Rate of Change (20) RWMA > 0
The Rate of Change is calculated using this formula : (RWMA/RWMA(20) - 1)*100
Overbought is defined as follows : RSI > 60
Oversold is defined as follows : RSI < 40
LONG CONDITION :
RSI > 60 and (RWMA/RWMA(20) - 1)*100 < -1
SHORT CONDITION :
RSI < 40 and (RWMA/RWMA(20) - 1)*100 > 1
EXIT RULES FOR WINNING TRADE :
We have a trailing TP allowing us to exit once the price has reached the "TP Activation in multiple ATR" parameter, i.e. 5*ATR by default in the profit direction. TP trailing is triggered at this point, not limiting our gains, and securing our profits at 3% below this trigger threshold.
Remember that the True Range is : maximum(H-L, H-C(1), C-L(1))
with C : Close, H : High, L : Low
The Average True Range is therefore the average of these TRs over a length defined by default in the strategy, i.e. 20.
RISK MANAGEMENT :
This strategy may incur losses. The method for limiting losses is to set a Stop Loss equal to 3*ATR. This means that if the price moves against our position and reaches three times the ATR, we exit with a loss.
Sometimes the ATR can result in a SL set below 10% of the trade value, which is not acceptable. In this case, we set the SL at 10%, limiting losses to a maximum of 10%.
MONEY MANAGEMENT :
The fixed ratio method was used to manage our gains and losses. For each gain of an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we increase the order size by a value defined by the user in the "Increasing order amount" parameter. Similarly, each time we lose an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we decrease the order size by the same user-defined value. This strategy increases both performance and drawdown.
Enjoy the strategy and don't forget to take the trade :)
Goldmine Wealth Builder - DKK/SKKGoldmine Wealth Builder
Version 1.0
Introduction to Long-Term Investment Strategies: DKK, SKK1 and SKK2
In the dynamic realm of long-term investing, the DKK, SKK1, and SKK2 strategies stand as valuable pillars. These strategies, meticulously designed to assist investors in building robust portfolios, combine the power of Super Trend, RSI (Relative Strength Index), Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), and their crossovers. By providing clear alerts and buy signals on a daily time frame, they equip users with the tools needed to make well-informed investment decisions and navigate the complexities of the financial markets. These strategies offer a versatile and structured approach to both conservative and aggressive investment, catering to the diverse preferences and objectives of investors.
Each part of this strategy provides a unique perspective and approach to the accumulation of assets, making it a versatile and comprehensive method for investors seeking to optimize their portfolio performance. By diligently applying this multi-faceted approach, investors can make informed decisions and effectively capitalize on potential market opportunities.
DKK Strategy for ETFs and Funds:
The DKK system is a strategy designed for accumulating ETFs and Funds as long-term investments in your portfolio. It simplifies the process of identifying trend reversals and opportune moments to invest in listed ETFs and Funds, particularly during bull markets. Here's a detailed explanation of the DKK system:
Objective: The primary aim of the DKK system is to build a long-term investment portfolio by focusing on ETFs and Funds. It facilitates the identification of stocks that are in the process of reversing their trends, allowing investors to benefit from upward price movements in these financial instruments.
Stock Selection Criteria: The DKK system employs specific criteria for selecting ETFs and Funds:
• 200EMA (Exponential Moving Average): The system monitors whether the prices of ETFs and Funds are consistently below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average. This is considered an indicator of weakness, especially on a daily time frame.
• RSI (Relative Strength Index): The system looks for an RSI value of less than 40. An RSI below 40 is often seen as an indication of a weak or oversold condition in a financial instrument.
Alert Signal: Once the DKK system identifies ETFs and Funds meeting these criteria, it provides an alert signal:
• Red Upside Triangle Sign: This signal is automatically generated on the daily chart of ETFs and Funds. It serves as a clear indicator to investors that it's an opportune time to accumulate these financial instruments for long-term investment.
It's important to note that the DKK system is specifically designed for ETFs and Funds, so it should be applied to these types of investments. Additionally, it's recommended to track index ETFs and specific types of funds, such as REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) and INVITs (Infrastructure Investment Trusts), in line with the DKK system's approach. This strategy simplifies the process of identifying investment opportunities within this asset class, particularly during periods of market weakness.
SKK1 Strategy for Conservative Stock Investment:
The SKK 1 system is a stock investment strategy tailored for conservative investors seeking long-term portfolio growth with a focus on stability and prudent decision-making. This strategy is meticulously designed to identify pivotal market trends and stock price movements, allowing investors to make informed choices and capitalize on upward market trends while minimizing risk. Here's a comprehensive overview of the SKK 1 system, emphasizing its suitability for conservative investors:
Objective: The primary objective of the SKK 1 system is to accumulate stocks as long-term investments in your portfolio while prioritizing capital preservation. It offers a disciplined approach to pinpointing potential entry points for stocks, particularly during market corrections and trend reversals, thereby enabling you to actively participate in bullish market phases while adopting a conservative risk management stance.
Stock Selection Criteria: The SKK 1 system employs a stringent set of criteria to select stocks for investment:
• Correction Mode: It identifies stocks that have undergone a correction, signifying a decline in stock prices from their recent highs. This conservative approach emphasizes the importance of seeking stocks with a history of stability.
• 200EMA (Exponential Moving Average): The system diligently analyses daily stock price movements, specifically looking for stocks that have fallen to or below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average. This indicator suggests potential overselling and aligns with a conservative strategy of buying low.
Trend Reversal Confirmation: The SKK 1 system doesn't merely pinpoint stocks in correction mode; it takes an extra step to confirm a trend reversal. It employs the following indicators:
• Short-term Downtrends Reversal: This aspect focuses on identifying the reversal of short-term downtrends in stock prices, observed through the transition of the super trend indicator from the red zone to the green zone. This cautious approach ensures that the trend is genuinely shifting.
• Super Trend Zones: These zones are crucial for assessing whether a stock is in a bullish or bearish trend. The system consistently monitors these zones to confirm a potential trend reversal.
Alert & Buy Signals: When the SKK 1 system identifies stocks that have reached a potential bottom and are on the verge of a trend reversal, it issues vital alert signals, aiding conservative investors in prudent decision-making:
• Orange Upside Triangle Sign: This signal serves as a cautious heads-up, indicating that a stock may be poised for a trend reversal. It advises investors to prepare funds for potential investment without taking undue risks.
• Green Upside Triangle Sign: This is the confirmation of a trend reversal, signifying a robust buy signal. Conservative investors can confidently enter the market at this point, accumulating stocks for a long-term investment, secure in the knowledge that the trend is in their favor.
In summary, the SKK 1 system is a systematic and conservative approach to stock investing. It excels in identifying stocks experiencing corrections and ensures that investors act when there's a strong indication of a trend reversal, all while prioritizing capital preservation and risk management. This strategy empowers conservative investors to navigate the intricacies of the stock market with confidence, providing a calculated and stable path toward long-term portfolio growth.
Note: The SKK1 strategy, known for its conservative approach to stock investment, also provides an option to extend its methodology to ETFs and Funds for those investors who wish to accumulate assets more aggressively. By enabling this feature in the settings, you can harness the SKK1 strategy's careful criteria and signal indicators to accumulate aggressive investments in ETFs and Funds.
This flexible approach acknowledges that even within a conservative strategy, there may be opportunities for more assertive investments in assets like ETFs and Funds. By making use of this option, you can strike a balance between a conservative stance in your stock portfolio while exploring an aggressive approach in other asset classes. It offers the versatility to cater to a variety of investment preferences, ensuring that you can adapt your strategy to suit your financial goals and risk tolerance.
SKK 2 Strategy for Aggressive Stock Investment:
The SKK 2 strategy is designed for those who are determined not to miss significant opportunities within a continuous uptrend and seek a way to enter a trend that doesn't present entry signals through the SKK 1 strategy. While it offers a more aggressive entry approach, it is ideal for individuals willing to take calculated risks to potentially reap substantial long-term rewards. This strategy is particularly suitable for accumulating stocks for aggressive long-term investment. Here's a detailed description of the SKK 2 strategy:
Objective: The primary aim of the SKK 2 strategy is to provide an avenue for investors to identify short-term trend reversals and seize the opportunity to enter stocks during an uptrend, thereby capitalizing on a sustained bull run. It acknowledges that there may not always be clear entry signals through the SKK 1 strategy and offers a more aggressive alternative.
Stock Selection Criteria: The SKK 2 strategy utilizes a specific set of criteria for stock selection:
1. 50EMA (Exponential Moving Average): It targets stocks that are trading below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average. This signals a short-term reversal from the top and indicates that the stock is in a downtrend.
2. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The strategy considers stocks with an RSI of less than 40, which is an indicator of weakness in the stock.
Alert Signals: The SKK 2 strategy provides distinct alert signals that facilitate entry during an aggressive reversal:
• Red Downside Triangle Sign: This signal is triggered when the stock is below the 50EMA and has an RSI of less than 40. It serves as a clear warning of a short-term reversal from the top and a downtrend, displayed on the daily chart.
• Purple Upside Triangle Sign: This sign is generated when a reversal occurs through a bullish candle, and the RSI is greater than 40. It signifies the stock has bottomed out from a short-term downtrend and is now reversing. This purple upside triangle serves as an entry signal on the chart, presenting an attractive opportunity to accumulate stocks during a strong bullish phase, offering a chance to seize a potentially favorable long-term investment.
In essence, the SKK 2 strategy caters to aggressive investors who are willing to take calculated risks to enter stocks during a continuous uptrend. It focuses on identifying short-term reversals and provides well-defined signals for entry. While this strategy is more aggressive in nature, it has the potential to yield substantial rewards for those who are comfortable with a higher level of risk and are looking for opportunities to build a strong long-term portfolio.
Introduction to Strategy Signal Information Chart
This chart provides essential information on strategy signals for DKK, SKK1, and SKK2. By quickly identifying "Buy" and "Alert" signals for each strategy, investors can efficiently gauge market conditions and make informed decisions to optimize their investment portfolios.
In Conclusion
These investment strategies, whether conservative like DKK and SKK1 or more aggressive like SKK2, offer a range of options for investors to navigate the complex world of long-term investments. The combination of Super Trend, RSI, and EMAs with their crossovers provides clear signals on a daily time frame, empowering users to make well-informed decisions and potentially capitalize on market opportunities. Whether you're looking for stability or are ready to embrace more risk, these strategies have something to offer for building and growing your investment portfolio.
The only Indicator you need
Maybe even a bit more than you need.
Gives you the option to color the bars based on Trading Sessions (Asia, London and US).
Session timings are based on UTC-4, but can be changed individually as needed.
Helps keeping a clear view of what happened during the Sessions without having to stack multiple Session Indicators, or having the background of your chart looking like a rainbow.
Keeping it plain and simple.
Also has the Option for plotting previous Weeks High and Low on Chart.
Found this to be helpful in determining Price behaviour in these Areas.
Also has an option to color the chart background for different time periods.
Helps marking News Releases on the Chart and avoid entering a Trade before major releases.
Has 2 presets for 30min / 2h into US Session and 2 Custom Timeperiods. All can of course be changed as you see fit.
Colors and plotting can obviously be changed as usual.
I am thankful for further Input and Ideas!
ATR SpikeALWAYS TRADE THE DIRECTION OF THE TREND
This indicator is useful for 5-minute Bank Nifty intraday trading.
It compares the Open-Close value for a 5-minute bar with the current ATR value.
When a bar has higher than the ATR value then it means that the current bar has a higher Open-Close than the ATR.
This means that after a period of dull action, some action has taken place.
And more action will follow in the direction of the immediate trend.
It signals the start of momentum which I look for as a intraday trader.
Feel free to experiment and change values as it suits you.
I use it on Bank Nifty only on 5 minute timeframe with 14 period ATR.
