3 new Indicators - PGO / RAVI / TIIMy "to-publish" list is getting too big, so decided to push out 3 indicators in the same chart
Feel free to "make mine" and use :) Leave a comment on what you think.
Pretty Good Oscillator
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This indicator, by Mark Johnson, measures the distance of the current close from its N-day simple moving average, expressed in terms of an average true range (see Average True Range) over a similar period. So for instance a PGO value of +2.5 would mean the current close is 2.5 average days' range above the SMA.
Johnson's approach was to use it as a breakout system for longer term trades. If the PGO rises above 3.0 then go long, or below -3.0 then go short, and in both cases exit on returning to zero (which is a close back at the SMA). Indicator marks all these areas (3/-3/0)
Rapid Adaptive Variance Indicator
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RAVI is a simple indicator, by Tushar Chande, to show whether a stock is trending or not. Unlike ADX, RAVI measures only the trend intensity, it doesn't distinguish which way the trend is going. Rising RAVI shows the beginning of a trend or an increase in trend intensity, a decreasing slope signifies decreasing intensity. Also, RAVI often reacts more quickly and exhibits a more pronounced curve than ADX.
The standard values for daily charts are 7 and 65. For hourly charts, the most common averaging periods are 12 and 72 or 24 and 120.
The signal lines suggested are from +/- 0.3% to +/-1%. I haven't added any markings as these signals are instrument-specific. I suggest doing some back testing and adding these accordingly.
Trend Intensity Index
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TII, by M. H. Pee, measures the strength of a trend, by looking at what proportion of the past "n" days prices have been above or below the level of today's "x"-day simple moving average. You can configure "n" via options page. "x" is calculated as "2 times n".
TII moves between 0 and 100. A strong uptrend is indicated when TII is above 80. A strong downtrend is indicated when TII is below 20.
Pee recommended entering trades when levels of 80 on the upside or 20 on the downside are reached. Indicator marks these lines for easy reference.
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[2022]Volume Flow v3 with alertsIndicators are an essential part of technical analysis of cryptocurrency. Their main function is to predict market direction based on historic price, cryptocurrency volume and other information. There are several types of crypto indicators illustrating various parameters (trend, volatility, volume, momentum, etc.) but in this article we will look at volume indicators.
Volume indicators demonstrate changing of trading volume over time. This information is very useful as crypto trading volume displays how strong the current trend is. For example, if the price goes up and the volume is high then the trend is strong and will more likely last longer. There are various volume indicators, but we’ll talk about the most popular ones, such as:
On Balance Volume
Accumulation/Distribution Line
Money Flow Index
Chaikin Oscillator
Chaikin Money Flow
Ease of Movement
Gold Option Signals with EMA and RSIIndicators:
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): Faster to respond to recent price changes compared to simple moving averages.
RSI: Measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions.
Signal Generation:
Buy Call Signal: Generated when the short EMA crosses above the long EMA and the RSI is not overbought (below 70).
Buy Put Signal: Generated when the short EMA crosses below the long EMA and the RSI is not oversold (above 30).
Plotting:
EMAs: Plotted on the chart to visualize trend directions.
Signals: Plotted as shapes on the chart where conditions are met.
RSI Background Color: Changes to red for overbought and green for oversold conditions.
Steps to Use:
Add the Script to TradingView:
Open TradingView, go to the Pine Script editor, paste the script, save it, and add it to your chart.
Interpret the Signals:
Buy Call Signal: Look for green labels below the price bars.
Buy Put Signal: Look for red labels above the price bars.
Customize Parameters:
Adjust the input parameters (e.g., lengths of EMAs, RSI levels) to better fit your trading strategy and market conditions.
Testing and Validation
To ensure that the script works as expected, you can test it on historical data and validate the signals against known price movements. Adjust the parameters if necessary to improve the accuracy of the signals.
CCI-RSI MR Indicators:
Bollinger Bands (20 period, 2σ)
RSI (14 period) and Simple moving average of RSI (5 period)
CCI (20 period)
SMA (5 period)
Entry Conditions:
Buy when:
Swing low (5) should be lower than the highest of lower BB (3 periods)
Both RSI crossover RSI_5 and CCI crossover -100 should have happened within last 3 candles (including the current candle)
Once all the above conditions are met, the close should be higher than SMA (5) within the next 3 candles
After condition 3 is satisfied, we enter the trade at next candle’s open
Stop loss will be at 1 tick lower than previous swing low
Sell when:
Swing high (5) should be higher than the lowest of upper BB (3 periods)
Both RSI crossunder RSI_5 and CCI crossunder 100 should have happened within last 3 candles (including the current candle)
Once all the above conditions are met, the close should be lower than SMA (5) within the next 3 candles
After condition 3 is satisfied, we enter the trade at next candle’s open
Stop loss will be at 1 tick higher than previous swing high
Exit Conditions:
Since it’s mean reversion strategy we’ll be having only 2 target exits with a trailing stop loss after target price 1 is achieved.
Target exit price 1 & 2 are decided based on the risk ‘R’ for each trade
Depending on the instrument and time frame a trailing stop loss of 0.5R or 1R has opted.
A stop limit is placed @Entry_price +- 2*ATR(20) to offset the risk of losing significantly more than 1xR in a trade
Gaussian Acceleration ArrayIndicators play a role in analyzing price action, trends, and potential reversals. Among many of these, velocity and acceleration have held a significant place due to their ability to provide insight into momentum and rate of change. This indicator takes the old calculation and tweaks it with gaussian smoothing and logarithmic function to ensure proper scaling.
A Brief on Velocity and Acceleration: The concept of velocity in trading refers to the speed at which price changes over time, while acceleration is the rate of change(ROC) of velocity. Early momentum indicators like the RSI and MACD laid foundation for understanding price velocity. However, as markets evolve so do we as technical analysts, we seek the most advanced tools.
The Acceleration/Deceleration Oscillator, introduced by Bill Williams, was one of the early attempts to measure acceleration. It helped gauge whether the market was gaining or losing momentum. Over time more specific tools like the "Awesome Oscillator"(AO) emerged, which has a set length on the datasets measured.
Gaussian Functions: Named after the mathematician Carl Friedrich Gauss, the Gaussian function describes a bell-shaped curve, often referred to as the "normal distribution." In trading these functions are applied to smooth data and reduce noise, focusing on underlying patterns.
The Gaussian Acceleration Array leverages this function to create a smoothed representation of market acceleration.
How does it work?
This indicator calculates acceleration based the highs and lows of each dataset
Once the weighted average for velocity is determined, its rate of change essentially becomes the acceleration
It then plots multiple lines with customizable variance from the primary selected length
Practical Tips:
The Gaussian Acceleration Array offers various customizable parameters, including the sample period, smoothing function, and array variance. Experiment with these settings to tailor it to preferred timeframes and styles.
The color-coded lines and background zones make it easier to interpret the indicator at a glance. The backgrounds indicate increasing or decreasing momentum simply as a visual aid while the lines state how the velocity average is performing. Combining this with other tools can signal shifts in market dynamics.
Parabolic Scalp Take Profit[ChartPrime]Indicators can be a great way to signal when the optimal time is for taking profits. However, many indicators are lagging in nature and will get market participants out of their trades at less than optimal price points. This take profit indicator uses the concept of slope and exponential gain to calculate when the optimal time is to take profits on your trades, thus making this a leading indicator.
Usage:
In essence the indicator will draw a parabolic line that starts from the market participants entry point and exponentially grows the slope of the line eventually intersecting with the price action. When price intersects with the parabolic line a take profit signal will appear in the form of an x. We have found that this take profit indicator is especially useful for scalp trades on lower timeframes.
How To Use:
Add the indicator to the chart. Click on the candle which the trade is on. Click on either the price which the trade will be at, or at the bottom of the candle in a long, or the top of a candle in a short. Select long or short. Open the settings of the indicator and adjust the aggressiveness to the desired value.
Settings:
- Start Time -- This is the bar in which your entry will be at, or occured at and the script will ask you to click on the bar with your mouse upon first adding the script.
- Start Price -- This is the price in which the entry will be at, or was at and the script will ask you to click on the price with your mouse upon first adding the script.
- Long/Short -- This is a setting which lets the script know if it is a long or a short trade, and the script will ask you to confirm this upon first adding it to the chart.
- Aggressiveness -- This directly affects how aggressive the exponential curve is. A value of 101 is the lowest possible setting, indicating a very non-aggressive exponential buildup. A value of 200 is the highest and most aggressive setting, indicating a doubling effect per bar on the slope.
Indicators OverviewThis Indicator help you to see whether the price is above or below vwap, supertrend. Also you can see realtime RSI value.
You can add upto 15 stock of your choice.
Bear Power Indicator Hi
Let me introduce my Bear Power Indicator script.
To get more information please see "Bull And Bear Balance Indicator"
by Vadim Gimelfarb.
Donchian Squeeze Oscillator# Donchian Squeeze Oscillator (DSO) - User Guide
## Overview
The Donchian Squeeze Oscillator is a technical indicator designed to identify periods of low volatility (squeeze) and high volatility (expansion) in financial markets by measuring the distance between Donchian Channel bands. The indicator normalizes this measurement to a 0-100 scale, making it easy to interpret across different timeframes and instruments.
## How It Works
The DSO calculates the width of Donchian Channels as a percentage of the middle line, smooths this data, and then normalizes it using historical highs and lows over a specified lookback period. The result is inverted so that:
- **High values (80+)** = Narrow channels = Low volatility = Squeeze
- **Low values (20-)** = Wide channels = High volatility = Expansion
## Key Parameters
### Core Settings
- **Donchian Channel Period (20)**: The number of bars used to calculate the highest high and lowest low for the Donchian Channels
- **Smoothing Period (5)**: Applies moving average smoothing to reduce noise in the oscillator
- **Normalization Lookback (200)**: Historical period used to normalize the oscillator between 0-100
### Threshold Levels
- **Over Squeeze (80)**: Values above this level indicate strong squeeze conditions
- **Over Expansion (20)**: Values below this level indicate strong expansion conditions
## Reading the Indicator
### Color Coding
- **Red Line**: Squeeze condition (above 80 threshold) - Markets are consolidating
- **Orange Line**: Neutral/trending condition with upward momentum
- **Green Line**: Expansion condition or downward momentum
### Visual Elements
- **Red Dashed Line (80)**: Squeeze threshold - potential breakout zone
- **Gray Dotted Line (50)**: Middle line - neutral zone
- **Green Dashed Line (20)**: Expansion threshold - high volatility zone
- **Red Background**: Highlights active squeeze periods
## Trading Applications
### 1. Breakout Trading
- **Setup**: Wait for DSO to reach 80+ (squeeze zone)
- **Entry**: Look for breakouts when DSO starts declining from squeeze levels
- **Logic**: Prolonged low volatility often precedes significant price movements
### 2. Volatility Cycle Trading
- **Squeeze Phase**: DSO > 80 - Prepare for potential breakout
- **Breakout Phase**: DSO declining from 80 - Trade the direction of breakout
- **Expansion Phase**: DSO < 20 - Expect trend continuation or reversal
### 3. Trend Confirmation
- **Orange Color**: Suggests bullish momentum during expansion
- **Green Color**: Suggests bearish momentum or consolidation
- Use in conjunction with price action for trend confirmation
## Best Practices
### Timeframe Selection
- **Higher Timeframes (Daily, 4H)**: More reliable signals, fewer false breakouts
- **Lower Timeframes (1H, 15M)**: More frequent signals but higher noise
- **Multi-timeframe Analysis**: Confirm squeeze on higher TF, enter on lower TF
### Parameter Optimization
- **Volatile Markets**: Increase Donchian period (25-30) and smoothing (7-10)
- **Range-bound Markets**: Decrease Donchian period (15-20) for more sensitivity
- **Trending Markets**: Use longer normalization lookback (300-400)
### Signal Confirmation
Always combine DSO signals with:
- **Price Action**: Support/resistance levels, chart patterns
- **Volume**: Confirm breakouts with increasing volume
- **Other Indicators**: RSI, MACD, or momentum oscillators
## Alert System
The indicator includes built-in alerts for:
- **Squeeze Started**: When DSO crosses above the squeeze threshold
- **Expansion Started**: When DSO crosses below the expansion threshold
## Common Pitfalls to Avoid
1. **False Breakouts**: Don't trade every squeeze - wait for confirmation
2. **Parameter Over-optimization**: Stick to default settings initially
3. **Ignoring Market Context**: Consider overall market conditions and news
4. **Single Indicator Reliance**: Always use additional confirmation tools
## Advanced Tips
- Monitor squeeze duration - longer squeezes often lead to bigger moves
- Look for squeeze patterns at key support/resistance levels
- Use DSO divergences with price for potential reversal signals
- Combine with Bollinger Band squeezes for enhanced accuracy
## Conclusion
The Donchian Squeeze Oscillator is a powerful tool for identifying volatility cycles and potential breakout opportunities. Like all technical indicators, it should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy rather than as a standalone signal generator. Practice with the indicator on historical data before implementing it in live trading to understand its behavior in different market conditions.
Clean Volume Bars (Green/Red + Above Avg Highlight)📊 Clean Volume Bars (Green/Red + Above Avg Highlight)
This script provides a clearer view of market volume by combining standard green/red volume bars with dynamic highlights for above-average activity.
Features:
✅ Green / Red Volume Bars – standard visualization:
Green when the candle closes higher than it opened
Red when the candle closes lower than it opened
✅ Average Volume Line – a simple moving average (default 20 periods) to track relative volume.
✅ Above Average Highlights – bars that exceed the average volume are emphasized:
White for above-average bullish volume
Black for above-average bearish volume
How to Use:
Look for white volume spikes during up candles → potential strong bullish activity.
Watch for black volume spikes during down candles → potential strong bearish pressure.
Combine with price action, trend, or other indicators for confluence (this is not a standalone trading system).
Advanced Petroleum Market Model (APMM)Advanced Petroleum Market Model (APMM): A Multi-Factor Fundamental Analysis Framework for Oil Market Assessment
## 1. Introduction
The petroleum market represents one of the most complex and globally significant commodity markets, characterized by intricate supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical influences, and substantial price volatility (Hamilton, 2009). Traditional fundamental analysis approaches often struggle to synthesize the multitude of relevant indicators into actionable insights due to data heterogeneity, temporal misalignment, and subjective weighting schemes (Baumeister & Kilian, 2016).
The Advanced Petroleum Market Model addresses these limitations through a systematic, quantitative approach that integrates 16 verified fundamental indicators across five critical market dimensions. The model builds upon established financial engineering principles while incorporating petroleum-specific market dynamics and adaptive learning mechanisms.
## 2. Theoretical Framework
### 2.1 Market Efficiency and Information Integration
The model operates under the assumption of semi-strong market efficiency, where fundamental information is gradually incorporated into prices with varying degrees of lag (Fama, 1970). The petroleum market's unique characteristics, including storage costs, transportation constraints, and geopolitical risk premiums, create opportunities for fundamental analysis to provide predictive value (Kilian, 2009).
### 2.2 Multi-Factor Asset Pricing Theory
Drawing from Ross's (1976) Arbitrage Pricing Theory, the model treats petroleum prices as driven by multiple systematic risk factors. The five-factor decomposition (Supply, Inventory, Demand, Trade, Sentiment) represents economically meaningful sources of systematic risk in petroleum markets (Chen et al., 1986).
## 3. Methodology
### 3.1 Data Sources and Quality Framework
The model integrates 16 fundamental indicators sourced from verified TradingView economic data feeds:
Supply Indicators:
- US Oil Production (ECONOMICS:USCOP)
- US Oil Rigs Count (ECONOMICS:USCOR)
- API Crude Runs (ECONOMICS:USACR)
Inventory Indicators:
- US Crude Stock Changes (ECONOMICS:USCOSC)
- Cushing Stocks (ECONOMICS:USCCOS)
- API Crude Stocks (ECONOMICS:USCSC)
- API Gasoline Stocks (ECONOMICS:USGS)
- API Distillate Stocks (ECONOMICS:USDS)
Demand Indicators:
- Refinery Crude Runs (ECONOMICS:USRCR)
- Gasoline Production (ECONOMICS:USGPRO)
- Distillate Production (ECONOMICS:USDFP)
- Industrial Production Index (FRED:INDPRO)
Trade Indicators:
- US Crude Imports (ECONOMICS:USCOI)
- US Oil Exports (ECONOMICS:USOE)
- API Crude Imports (ECONOMICS:USCI)
- Dollar Index (TVC:DXY)
Sentiment Indicators:
- Oil Volatility Index (CBOE:OVX)
### 3.2 Data Quality Monitoring System
Following best practices in quantitative finance (Lopez de Prado, 2018), the model implements comprehensive data quality monitoring:
Data Quality Score = Σ(Individual Indicator Validity) / Total Indicators
Where validity is determined by:
- Non-null data availability
- Positive value validation
- Temporal consistency checks
### 3.3 Statistical Normalization Framework
#### 3.3.1 Z-Score Normalization
The model employs robust Z-score normalization as established by Sharpe (1994) for cross-indicator comparability:
Z_i,t = (X_i,t - μ_i) / σ_i
Where:
- X_i,t = Raw value of indicator i at time t
- μ_i = Sample mean of indicator i
- σ_i = Sample standard deviation of indicator i
Z-scores are capped at ±3 to mitigate outlier influence (Tukey, 1977).
#### 3.3.2 Percentile Rank Transformation
For intuitive interpretation, Z-scores are converted to percentile ranks following the methodology of Conover (1999):
Percentile_Rank = (Number of values < current_value) / Total_observations × 100
### 3.4 Exponential Smoothing Framework
Signal smoothing employs exponential weighted moving averages (Brown, 1963) with adaptive alpha parameter:
S_t = α × X_t + (1-α) × S_{t-1}
Where α = 2/(N+1) and N represents the smoothing period.
### 3.5 Dynamic Threshold Optimization
The model implements adaptive thresholds using Bollinger Band methodology (Bollinger, 1992):
Dynamic_Threshold = μ ± (k × σ)
Where k is the threshold multiplier adjusted for market volatility regime.
### 3.6 Composite Score Calculation
The fundamental score integrates component scores through weighted averaging:
Fundamental_Score = Σ(w_i × Score_i × Quality_i)
Where:
- w_i = Normalized component weight
- Score_i = Component fundamental score
- Quality_i = Data quality adjustment factor
## 4. Implementation Architecture
### 4.1 Adaptive Parameter Framework
The model incorporates regime-specific adjustments based on market volatility:
Volatility_Regime = σ_price / μ_price × 100
High volatility regimes (>25%) trigger enhanced weighting for inventory and sentiment components, reflecting increased market sensitivity to supply disruptions and psychological factors.
### 4.2 Data Synchronization Protocol
Given varying publication frequencies (daily, weekly, monthly), the model employs forward-fill synchronization to maintain temporal alignment across all indicators.
### 4.3 Quality-Adjusted Scoring
Component scores are adjusted for data quality to prevent degraded inputs from contaminating the composite signal:
Adjusted_Score = Raw_Score × Quality_Factor + 50 × (1 - Quality_Factor)
This formulation ensures that poor-quality data reverts toward neutral (50) rather than contributing noise.
## 5. Usage Guidelines and Best Practices
### 5.1 Configuration Recommendations
For Short-term Analysis (1-4 weeks):
- Lookback Period: 26 weeks
- Smoothing Length: 3-5 periods
- Confidence Period: 13 weeks
- Increase inventory and sentiment weights
For Medium-term Analysis (1-3 months):
- Lookback Period: 52 weeks
- Smoothing Length: 5-8 periods
- Confidence Period: 26 weeks
- Balanced component weights
For Long-term Analysis (3+ months):
- Lookback Period: 104 weeks
- Smoothing Length: 8-12 periods
- Confidence Period: 52 weeks
- Increase supply and demand weights
### 5.2 Signal Interpretation Framework
Bullish Signals (Score > 70):
- Fundamental conditions favor price appreciation
- Consider long positions or reduced short exposure
- Monitor for trend confirmation across multiple timeframes
Bearish Signals (Score < 30):
- Fundamental conditions suggest price weakness
- Consider short positions or reduced long exposure
- Evaluate downside protection strategies
Neutral Range (30-70):
- Mixed fundamental environment
- Favor range-bound or volatility strategies
- Wait for clearer directional signals
### 5.3 Risk Management Considerations
1. Data Quality Monitoring: Continuously monitor the data quality dashboard. Scores below 75% warrant increased caution.
2. Regime Awareness: Adjust position sizing based on volatility regime indicators. High volatility periods require reduced exposure.
3. Correlation Analysis: Monitor correlation with crude oil prices to validate model effectiveness.
4. Fundamental-Technical Divergence: Pay attention when fundamental signals diverge from technical indicators, as this may signal regime changes.
### 5.4 Alert System Optimization
Configure alerts conservatively to avoid false signals:
- Set alert threshold at 75+ for high-confidence signals
- Enable data quality warnings to maintain system integrity
- Use trend reversal alerts for early regime change detection
## 6. Model Validation and Performance Metrics
### 6.1 Statistical Validation
The model's statistical robustness is ensured through:
- Out-of-sample testing protocols
- Rolling window validation
- Bootstrap confidence intervals
- Regime-specific performance analysis
### 6.2 Economic Validation
Fundamental accuracy is validated against:
- Energy Information Administration (EIA) official reports
- International Energy Agency (IEA) market assessments
- Commercial inventory data verification
## 7. Limitations and Considerations
### 7.1 Model Limitations
1. Data Dependency: Model performance is contingent on data availability and quality from external sources.
2. US Market Focus: Primary data sources are US-centric, potentially limiting global applicability.
3. Lag Effects: Some fundamental indicators exhibit publication lags that may delay signal generation.
4. Regime Shifts: Structural market changes may require model recalibration.
### 7.2 Market Environment Considerations
The model is optimized for normal market conditions. During extreme events (e.g., geopolitical crises, pandemics), additional qualitative factors should be considered alongside quantitative signals.
## References
Baumeister, C., & Kilian, L. (2016). Forty years of oil price fluctuations: Why the price of oil may still surprise us. *Journal of Economic Perspectives*, 30(1), 139-160.
Bollinger, J. (1992). *Bollinger on Bollinger Bands*. McGraw-Hill.
Brown, R. G. (1963). *Smoothing, Forecasting and Prediction of Discrete Time Series*. Prentice-Hall.
Chen, N. F., Roll, R., & Ross, S. A. (1986). Economic forces and the stock market. *Journal of Business*, 59(3), 383-403.
Conover, W. J. (1999). *Practical Nonparametric Statistics* (3rd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work. *Journal of Finance*, 25(2), 383-417.
Hamilton, J. D. (2009). Understanding crude oil prices. *Energy Journal*, 30(2), 179-206.
Kilian, L. (2009). Not all oil price shocks are alike: Disentangling demand and supply shocks in the crude oil market. *American Economic Review*, 99(3), 1053-1069.
Lopez de Prado, M. (2018). *Advances in Financial Machine Learning*. John Wiley & Sons.
Ross, S. A. (1976). The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing. *Journal of Economic Theory*, 13(3), 341-360.
Sharpe, W. F. (1994). The Sharpe ratio. *Journal of Portfolio Management*, 21(1), 49-58.
Tukey, J. W. (1977). *Exploratory Data Analysis*. Addison-Wesley.
Divergences RefurbishedJust as "a butterfly can flap its wings over a flower in China and cause a hurricane in the Caribbean" (Edward Lorenz), small divergences in markets can signal big trading opportunities.
█Introduction
This is a script forked from LonesomeTheBlue's Divergence for Many Indicators v4.
It is a script that checks for divergence between price and many indicators.
In this version, I added more indicators and also added 40 symbols to check for divergences.
More info on the original script can be found here:
█ Improvements
The following improvements have been implemented over v4:
1. Added parameters to customize indicators.
2. Added new indicators:
- Stoch RSI
- Volume Oscillator
- PVT (Price Volume Trend)
- Ultimate Oscillator
- Fisher Transform
- Z-Score/T-Score
3. Now there is the possibility of using 2 external indicators.
4. New option to show tooltips inside labels.
This allows you to save space on the screen if you choose the option to only show the number of divergences or just the abbreviations.
5. New option to show additional text next to the indicator name.
This allows for grouping of indicators and symbols and better visualization, whether through emojis, for example.
6. Added 40 customizable symbols to check for divergences.
7. Option "show only the first letter" of the indicator replaced by: "show the abbreviation of the indicator".
Reason: the indicator abbreviation is more informative and easier to read.
8. Script converted to PineScript version 5.
█ CONCEPTS
Below I present a brief description of the available indicators.
1. Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD):
Shows the difference between short-term and long-term exponential moving averages.
2. MACD Histogram:
Shows the difference between MACD and its signal line.
3. Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Measures the relative strength of recent price gains to recent price losses of an asset.
4. Stochastic Oscillator (Stoch):
Compares the current price of an asset to its price range over a specified time period.
5. Stoch RSI:
Stochastic of RSI.
6. Commodity Channel Index (CCI):
Measures the relationship between an asset's current price and its moving average.
7. Momentum: Shows the difference between the current price and the price a few periods ago.
Shows the difference between the current price and the price of a certain period in the past.
8. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF):
A variation of A/D that takes into account the daily price variation and weighs trading volume accordingly. Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) identifies buying and selling pressure by tracking the flow of money into and out of an asset based on volume patterns.
9. On-Balance Volume (OBV):
Identify divergences between trading volume and an asset's price.
Sum of trading volume when the price rises and subtracts volume when the price falls.
10. Money Flow Index (MFI):
Measures volume pressure in a range of 0 to 100.
Calculates the ratio of volume when the price goes up and when the price goes down.
11. Volume Oscillator (VO):
Identify divergences between trading volume and an asset's price. Ratio of change of volume, from a fast period in relation to a long period.
12. Price-Volume Trend (PVT):
Identify the strength of an asset's price trend based on its trading volume. Cumulative change in price with volume factor. The PVT calculation is similar to the OBV calculation, but it takes into account the percentage price change multiplied by the current volume, plus the previous PVT value.
13. Ultimate Oscillator (UO):
Combines three different time periods to help identify possible reversal points.
14. Fisher Transform (FT):
Normalize prices into a Gaussian normal distribution.
15. Z-Score/T-Score: Shows the difference between the current price and the price a few periods ago. I is a statistical measurement that indicates how many standard deviations a data point is from the mean of a data set.
When to use t-score instead of z-score? When the sample size is small (length < 30).
Here, the use of z-score or t-score is chosen automatically based on the length parameter.
█ What to look for
The operation is simple. The script checks for divergences between the price and the selected indicators.
Now with the possibility of using multiple symbols, it is possible to check divergences between different assets.
A well-described view on divergences can be found in this cheat sheet:
◈ Examples with SPY ETF versus indicators:
1. Regular bullish divergence with external indicator:
1. Regular bearish divergence with Fisher Transform:
1. Positive hidden divergence with Momentum indicator:
1. Negative hidden divergence with RSI:
◈ Examples with SPY ETF versus other symbols:
1. Regular bearish divergence with European Stoch Market:
2. Regular bearish divergence with DXY inverted:
3. Regular bullish divergence with Taiwan Dollar:
4. Regular bearish divergence with US10Y (10-Year US Treasury Note):
5. Regular bullish divergence with QQQ ETF (Nasdaq 100):
6. Regular bullish divergence with ARKK ETF (ARK Innovation):
7.Positive hidden divergence with RSP ETF (S&P 500 Equal Weight):
8. Negative hidden divergence with EWZ ETF (Brazil):
◈ Examples with BTCUSD versus other symbols:
1. Regular bearish divergence with BTCUSDLONGS from Bitfinex:
2. Regular bearish divergence with BLOK ETF (Amplify Transformational Data Sharing):
3. Negative hidden divergence with NATGAS (Natural Gas):
4. Positive hidden divergence with TOTALDEFI (Total DeFi Market Cap):
█ Conclusion
The symbols available to check divergences were chosen in such a way as to cover the main markets, in the most generic way possible.
You can adjust them according to your needs.
A trader in the American market, for example, could add more ETFs, American stocks, and sectoral indices, such as the XLF (Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund), the XLK (Technology Select Sector SPDR), etc.
On the other hand, a cryptocurrency trader could add more currency pairs and sector indicators, such as BTCUSDSHORTS (Bitfinex), USDT.D (Tether Dominance), etc.
If the chart becomes too cluttered, you can use the option to show only the number of divergences or only the indicator abbreviations.
Or even disable certain indicators and symbols, if they are not of interest to you.
I hope this script is useful.
Don't forget to support LonesomeTheBlue's work too.
Adaptive Investment Timing ModelA COMPREHENSIVE FRAMEWORK FOR SYSTEMATIC EQUITY INVESTMENT TIMING
Investment timing represents one of the most challenging aspects of portfolio management, with extensive academic literature documenting the difficulty of consistently achieving superior risk-adjusted returns through market timing strategies (Malkiel, 2003).
Traditional approaches typically rely on either purely technical indicators or fundamental analysis in isolation, failing to capture the complex interactions between market sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and company-specific factors that drive asset prices.
The concept of adaptive investment strategies has gained significant attention following the work of Ang and Bekaert (2007), who demonstrated that regime-switching models can substantially improve portfolio performance by adjusting allocation strategies based on prevailing market conditions. Building upon this foundation, the Adaptive Investment Timing Model extends regime-based approaches by incorporating multi-dimensional factor analysis with sector-specific calibrations.
Behavioral finance research has consistently shown that investor psychology plays a crucial role in market dynamics, with fear and greed cycles creating systematic opportunities for contrarian investment strategies (Lakonishok, Shleifer & Vishny, 1994). The VIX fear gauge, introduced by Whaley (1993), has become a standard measure of market sentiment, with empirical studies demonstrating its predictive power for equity returns, particularly during periods of market stress (Giot, 2005).
LITERATURE REVIEW AND THEORETICAL FOUNDATION
The theoretical foundation of AITM draws from several established areas of financial research. Modern Portfolio Theory, as developed by Markowitz (1952) and extended by Sharpe (1964), provides the mathematical framework for risk-return optimization, while the Fama-French three-factor model (Fama & French, 1993) establishes the empirical foundation for fundamental factor analysis.
Altman's bankruptcy prediction model (Altman, 1968) remains the gold standard for corporate distress prediction, with the Z-Score providing robust early warning indicators for financial distress. Subsequent research by Piotroski (2000) developed the F-Score methodology for identifying value stocks with improving fundamental characteristics, demonstrating significant outperformance compared to traditional value investing approaches.
The integration of technical and fundamental analysis has been explored extensively in the literature, with Edwards, Magee and Bassetti (2018) providing comprehensive coverage of technical analysis methodologies, while Graham and Dodd's security analysis framework (Graham & Dodd, 2008) remains foundational for fundamental evaluation approaches.
Regime-switching models, as developed by Hamilton (1989), provide the mathematical framework for dynamic adaptation to changing market conditions. Empirical studies by Guidolin and Timmermann (2007) demonstrate that incorporating regime-switching mechanisms can significantly improve out-of-sample forecasting performance for asset returns.
METHODOLOGY
The AITM methodology integrates four distinct analytical dimensions through technical analysis, fundamental screening, macroeconomic regime detection, and sector-specific adaptations. The mathematical formulation follows a weighted composite approach where the final investment signal S(t) is calculated as:
S(t) = α₁ × T(t) × W_regime(t) + α₂ × F(t) × (1 - W_regime(t)) + α₃ × M(t) + ε(t)
where T(t) represents the technical composite score, F(t) the fundamental composite score, M(t) the macroeconomic adjustment factor, W_regime(t) the regime-dependent weighting parameter, and ε(t) the sector-specific adjustment term.
Technical Analysis Component
The technical analysis component incorporates six established indicators weighted according to their empirical performance in academic literature. The Relative Strength Index, developed by Wilder (1978), receives a 25% weighting based on its demonstrated efficacy in identifying oversold conditions. Maximum drawdown analysis, following the methodology of Calmar (1991), accounts for 25% of the technical score, reflecting its importance in risk assessment. Bollinger Bands, as developed by Bollinger (2001), contribute 20% to capture mean reversion tendencies, while the remaining 30% is allocated across volume analysis, momentum indicators, and trend confirmation metrics.
Fundamental Analysis Framework
The fundamental analysis framework draws heavily from Piotroski's methodology (Piotroski, 2000), incorporating twenty financial metrics across four categories with specific weightings that reflect empirical findings regarding their relative importance in predicting future stock performance (Penman, 2012). Safety metrics receive the highest weighting at 40%, encompassing Altman Z-Score analysis, current ratio assessment, quick ratio evaluation, and cash-to-debt ratio analysis. Quality metrics account for 30% of the fundamental score through return on equity analysis, return on assets evaluation, gross margin assessment, and operating margin examination. Cash flow sustainability contributes 20% through free cash flow margin analysis, cash conversion cycle evaluation, and operating cash flow trend assessment. Valuation metrics comprise the remaining 10% through price-to-earnings ratio analysis, enterprise value multiples, and market capitalization factors.
Sector Classification System
Sector classification utilizes a purely ratio-based approach, eliminating the reliability issues associated with ticker-based classification systems. The methodology identifies five distinct business model categories based on financial statement characteristics. Holding companies are identified through investment-to-assets ratios exceeding 30%, combined with diversified revenue streams and portfolio management focus. Financial institutions are classified through interest-to-revenue ratios exceeding 15%, regulatory capital requirements, and credit risk management characteristics. Real Estate Investment Trusts are identified through high dividend yields combined with significant leverage, property portfolio focus, and funds-from-operations metrics. Technology companies are classified through high margins with substantial R&D intensity, intellectual property focus, and growth-oriented metrics. Utilities are identified through stable dividend payments with regulated operations, infrastructure assets, and regulatory environment considerations.
Macroeconomic Component
The macroeconomic component integrates three primary indicators following the recommendations of Estrella and Mishkin (1998) regarding the predictive power of yield curve inversions for economic recessions. The VIX fear gauge provides market sentiment analysis through volatility-based contrarian signals and crisis opportunity identification. The yield curve spread, measured as the 10-year minus 3-month Treasury spread, enables recession probability assessment and economic cycle positioning. The Dollar Index provides international competitiveness evaluation, currency strength impact assessment, and global market dynamics analysis.
Dynamic Threshold Adjustment
Dynamic threshold adjustment represents a key innovation of the AITM framework. Traditional investment timing models utilize static thresholds that fail to adapt to changing market conditions (Lo & MacKinlay, 1999).
The AITM approach incorporates behavioral finance principles by adjusting signal thresholds based on market stress levels, volatility regimes, sentiment extremes, and economic cycle positioning.
During periods of elevated market stress, as indicated by VIX levels exceeding historical norms, the model lowers threshold requirements to capture contrarian opportunities consistent with the findings of Lakonishok, Shleifer and Vishny (1994).
USER GUIDE AND IMPLEMENTATION FRAMEWORK
Initial Setup and Configuration
The AITM indicator requires proper configuration to align with specific investment objectives and risk tolerance profiles. Research by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) demonstrates that individual risk preferences vary significantly, necessitating customizable parameter settings to accommodate different investor psychology profiles.
Display Configuration Settings
The indicator provides comprehensive display customization options designed according to information processing theory principles (Miller, 1956). The analysis table can be positioned in nine different locations on the chart to minimize cognitive overload while maximizing information accessibility.
Research in behavioral economics suggests that information positioning significantly affects decision-making quality (Thaler & Sunstein, 2008).
Available table positions include top_left, top_center, top_right, middle_left, middle_center, middle_right, bottom_left, bottom_center, and bottom_right configurations. Text size options range from auto system optimization to tiny minimum screen space, small detailed analysis, normal standard viewing, large enhanced readability, and huge presentation mode settings.
Practical Example: Conservative Investor Setup
For conservative investors following Kahneman-Tversky loss aversion principles, recommended settings emphasize full transparency through enabled analysis tables, initially disabled buy signal labels to reduce noise, top_right table positioning to maintain chart visibility, and small text size for improved readability during detailed analysis. Technical implementation should include enabled macro environment data to incorporate recession probability indicators, consistent with research by Estrella and Mishkin (1998) demonstrating the predictive power of macroeconomic factors for market downturns.
Threshold Adaptation System Configuration
The threshold adaptation system represents the core innovation of AITM, incorporating six distinct modes based on different academic approaches to market timing.
Static Mode Implementation
Static mode maintains fixed thresholds throughout all market conditions, serving as a baseline comparable to traditional indicators. Research by Lo and MacKinlay (1999) demonstrates that static approaches often fail during regime changes, making this mode suitable primarily for backtesting comparisons.
Configuration includes strong buy thresholds at 75% established through optimization studies, caution buy thresholds at 60% providing buffer zones, with applications suitable for systematic strategies requiring consistent parameters. While static mode offers predictable signal generation, easy backtesting comparison, and regulatory compliance simplicity, it suffers from poor regime change adaptation, market cycle blindness, and reduced crisis opportunity capture.
Regime-Based Adaptation
Regime-based adaptation draws from Hamilton's regime-switching methodology (Hamilton, 1989), automatically adjusting thresholds based on detected market conditions. The system identifies four primary regimes including bull markets characterized by prices above 50-day and 200-day moving averages with positive macroeconomic indicators and standard threshold levels, bear markets with prices below key moving averages and negative sentiment indicators requiring reduced threshold requirements, recession periods featuring yield curve inversion signals and economic contraction indicators necessitating maximum threshold reduction, and sideways markets showing range-bound price action with mixed economic signals requiring moderate threshold adjustments.
Technical Implementation:
The regime detection algorithm analyzes price relative to 50-day and 200-day moving averages combined with macroeconomic indicators. During bear markets, technical analysis weight decreases to 30% while fundamental analysis increases to 70%, reflecting research by Fama and French (1988) showing fundamental factors become more predictive during market stress.
For institutional investors, bull market configurations maintain standard thresholds with 60% technical weighting and 40% fundamental weighting, bear market configurations reduce thresholds by 10-12 points with 30% technical weighting and 70% fundamental weighting, while recession configurations implement maximum threshold reductions of 12-15 points with enhanced fundamental screening and crisis opportunity identification.
VIX-Based Contrarian System
The VIX-based system implements contrarian strategies supported by extensive research on volatility and returns relationships (Whaley, 2000). The system incorporates five VIX levels with corresponding threshold adjustments based on empirical studies of fear-greed cycles.
Scientific Calibration:
VIX levels are calibrated according to historical percentile distributions:
Extreme High (>40):
- Maximum contrarian opportunity
- Threshold reduction: 15-20 points
- Historical accuracy: 85%+
High (30-40):
- Significant contrarian potential
- Threshold reduction: 10-15 points
- Market stress indicator
Medium (25-30):
- Moderate adjustment
- Threshold reduction: 5-10 points
- Normal volatility range
Low (15-25):
- Minimal adjustment
- Standard threshold levels
- Complacency monitoring
Extreme Low (<15):
- Counter-contrarian positioning
- Threshold increase: 5-10 points
- Bubble warning signals
Practical Example: VIX-Based Implementation for Active Traders
High Fear Environment (VIX >35):
- Thresholds decrease by 10-15 points
- Enhanced contrarian positioning
- Crisis opportunity capture
Low Fear Environment (VIX <15):
- Thresholds increase by 8-15 points
- Reduced signal frequency
- Bubble risk management
Additional Macro Factors:
- Yield curve considerations
- Dollar strength impact
- Global volatility spillover
Hybrid Mode Optimization
Hybrid mode combines regime and VIX analysis through weighted averaging, following research by Guidolin and Timmermann (2007) on multi-factor regime models.
Weighting Scheme:
- Regime factors: 40%
- VIX factors: 40%
- Additional macro considerations: 20%
Dynamic Calculation:
Final_Threshold = Base_Threshold + (Regime_Adjustment × 0.4) + (VIX_Adjustment × 0.4) + (Macro_Adjustment × 0.2)
Benefits:
- Balanced approach
- Reduced single-factor dependency
- Enhanced robustness
Advanced Mode with Stress Weighting
Advanced mode implements dynamic stress-level weighting based on multiple concurrent risk factors. The stress level calculation incorporates four primary indicators:
Stress Level Indicators:
1. Yield curve inversion (recession predictor)
2. Volatility spikes (market disruption)
3. Severe drawdowns (momentum breaks)
4. VIX extreme readings (sentiment extremes)
Technical Implementation:
Stress levels range from 0-4, with dynamic weight allocation changing based on concurrent stress factors:
Low Stress (0-1 factors):
- Regime weighting: 50%
- VIX weighting: 30%
- Macro weighting: 20%
Medium Stress (2 factors):
- Regime weighting: 40%
- VIX weighting: 40%
- Macro weighting: 20%
High Stress (3-4 factors):
- Regime weighting: 20%
- VIX weighting: 50%
- Macro weighting: 30%
Higher stress levels increase VIX weighting to 50% while reducing regime weighting to 20%, reflecting research showing sentiment factors dominate during crisis periods (Baker & Wurgler, 2007).
Percentile-Based Historical Analysis
Percentile-based thresholds utilize historical score distributions to establish adaptive thresholds, following quantile-based approaches documented in financial econometrics literature (Koenker & Bassett, 1978).
Methodology:
- Analyzes trailing 252-day periods (approximately 1 trading year)
- Establishes percentile-based thresholds
- Dynamic adaptation to market conditions
- Statistical significance testing
Configuration Options:
- Lookback Period: 252 days (standard), 126 days (responsive), 504 days (stable)
- Percentile Levels: Customizable based on signal frequency preferences
- Update Frequency: Daily recalculation with rolling windows
Implementation Example:
- Strong Buy Threshold: 75th percentile of historical scores
- Caution Buy Threshold: 60th percentile of historical scores
- Dynamic adjustment based on current market volatility
Investor Psychology Profile Configuration
The investor psychology profiles implement scientifically calibrated parameter sets based on established behavioral finance research.
Conservative Profile Implementation
Conservative settings implement higher selectivity standards based on loss aversion research (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). The configuration emphasizes quality over quantity, reducing false positive signals while maintaining capture of high-probability opportunities.
Technical Calibration:
VIX Parameters:
- Extreme High Threshold: 32.0 (lower sensitivity to fear spikes)
- High Threshold: 28.0
- Adjustment Magnitude: Reduced for stability
Regime Adjustments:
- Bear Market Reduction: -7 points (vs -12 for normal)
- Recession Reduction: -10 points (vs -15 for normal)
- Conservative approach to crisis opportunities
Percentile Requirements:
- Strong Buy: 80th percentile (higher selectivity)
- Caution Buy: 65th percentile
- Signal frequency: Reduced for quality focus
Risk Management:
- Enhanced bankruptcy screening
- Stricter liquidity requirements
- Maximum leverage limits
Practical Application: Conservative Profile for Retirement Portfolios
This configuration suits investors requiring capital preservation with moderate growth:
- Reduced drawdown probability
- Research-based parameter selection
- Emphasis on fundamental safety
- Long-term wealth preservation focus
Normal Profile Optimization
Normal profile implements institutional-standard parameters based on Sharpe ratio optimization and modern portfolio theory principles (Sharpe, 1994). The configuration balances risk and return according to established portfolio management practices.
Calibration Parameters:
VIX Thresholds:
- Extreme High: 35.0 (institutional standard)
- High: 30.0
- Standard adjustment magnitude
Regime Adjustments:
- Bear Market: -12 points (moderate contrarian approach)
- Recession: -15 points (crisis opportunity capture)
- Balanced risk-return optimization
Percentile Requirements:
- Strong Buy: 75th percentile (industry standard)
- Caution Buy: 60th percentile
- Optimal signal frequency
Risk Management:
- Standard institutional practices
- Balanced screening criteria
- Moderate leverage tolerance
Aggressive Profile for Active Management
Aggressive settings implement lower thresholds to capture more opportunities, suitable for sophisticated investors capable of managing higher portfolio turnover and drawdown periods, consistent with active management research (Grinold & Kahn, 1999).
Technical Configuration:
VIX Parameters:
- Extreme High: 40.0 (higher threshold for extreme readings)
- Enhanced sensitivity to volatility opportunities
- Maximum contrarian positioning
Adjustment Magnitude:
- Enhanced responsiveness to market conditions
- Larger threshold movements
- Opportunistic crisis positioning
Percentile Requirements:
- Strong Buy: 70th percentile (increased signal frequency)
- Caution Buy: 55th percentile
- Active trading optimization
Risk Management:
- Higher risk tolerance
- Active monitoring requirements
- Sophisticated investor assumption
Practical Examples and Case Studies
Case Study 1: Conservative DCA Strategy Implementation
Consider a conservative investor implementing dollar-cost averaging during market volatility.
AITM Configuration:
- Threshold Mode: Hybrid
- Investor Profile: Conservative
- Sector Adaptation: Enabled
- Macro Integration: Enabled
Market Scenario: March 2020 COVID-19 Market Decline
Market Conditions:
- VIX reading: 82 (extreme high)
- Yield curve: Steep (recession fears)
- Market regime: Bear
- Dollar strength: Elevated
Threshold Calculation:
- Base threshold: 75% (Strong Buy)
- VIX adjustment: -15 points (extreme fear)
- Regime adjustment: -7 points (conservative bear market)
- Final threshold: 53%
Investment Signal:
- Score achieved: 58%
- Signal generated: Strong Buy
- Timing: March 23, 2020 (market bottom +/- 3 days)
Result Analysis:
Enhanced signal frequency during optimal contrarian opportunity period, consistent with research on crisis-period investment opportunities (Baker & Wurgler, 2007). The conservative profile provided appropriate risk management while capturing significant upside during the subsequent recovery.
Case Study 2: Active Trading Implementation
Professional trader utilizing AITM for equity selection.
Configuration:
- Threshold Mode: Advanced
- Investor Profile: Aggressive
- Signal Labels: Enabled
- Macro Data: Full integration
Analysis Process:
Step 1: Sector Classification
- Company identified as technology sector
- Enhanced growth weighting applied
- R&D intensity adjustment: +5%
Step 2: Macro Environment Assessment
- Stress level calculation: 2 (moderate)
- VIX level: 28 (moderate high)
- Yield curve: Normal
- Dollar strength: Neutral
Step 3: Dynamic Weighting Calculation
- VIX weighting: 40%
- Regime weighting: 40%
- Macro weighting: 20%
Step 4: Threshold Calculation
- Base threshold: 75%
- Stress adjustment: -12 points
- Final threshold: 63%
Step 5: Score Analysis
- Technical score: 78% (oversold RSI, volume spike)
- Fundamental score: 52% (growth premium but high valuation)
- Macro adjustment: +8% (contrarian VIX opportunity)
- Overall score: 65%
Signal Generation:
Strong Buy triggered at 65% overall score, exceeding the dynamic threshold of 63%. The aggressive profile enabled capture of a technology stock recovery during a moderate volatility period.
Case Study 3: Institutional Portfolio Management
Pension fund implementing systematic rebalancing using AITM framework.
Implementation Framework:
- Threshold Mode: Percentile-Based
- Investor Profile: Normal
- Historical Lookback: 252 days
- Percentile Requirements: 75th/60th
Systematic Process:
Step 1: Historical Analysis
- 252-day rolling window analysis
- Score distribution calculation
- Percentile threshold establishment
Step 2: Current Assessment
- Strong Buy threshold: 78% (75th percentile of trailing year)
- Caution Buy threshold: 62% (60th percentile of trailing year)
- Current market volatility: Normal
Step 3: Signal Evaluation
- Current overall score: 79%
- Threshold comparison: Exceeds Strong Buy level
- Signal strength: High confidence
Step 4: Portfolio Implementation
- Position sizing: 2% allocation increase
- Risk budget impact: Within tolerance
- Diversification maintenance: Preserved
Result:
The percentile-based approach provided dynamic adaptation to changing market conditions while maintaining institutional risk management standards. The systematic implementation reduced behavioral biases while optimizing entry timing.
Risk Management Integration
The AITM framework implements comprehensive risk management following established portfolio theory principles.
Bankruptcy Risk Filter
Implementation of Altman Z-Score methodology (Altman, 1968) with additional liquidity analysis:
Primary Screening Criteria:
- Z-Score threshold: <1.8 (high distress probability)
- Current Ratio threshold: <1.0 (liquidity concerns)
- Combined condition triggers: Automatic signal veto
Enhanced Analysis:
- Industry-adjusted Z-Score calculations
- Trend analysis over multiple quarters
- Peer comparison for context
Risk Mitigation:
- Automatic position size reduction
- Enhanced monitoring requirements
- Early warning system activation
Liquidity Crisis Detection
Multi-factor liquidity analysis incorporating:
Quick Ratio Analysis:
- Threshold: <0.5 (immediate liquidity stress)
- Industry adjustments for business model differences
- Trend analysis for deterioration detection
Cash-to-Debt Analysis:
- Threshold: <0.1 (structural liquidity issues)
- Debt maturity schedule consideration
- Cash flow sustainability assessment
Working Capital Analysis:
- Operational liquidity assessment
- Seasonal adjustment factors
- Industry benchmark comparisons
Excessive Leverage Screening
Debt analysis following capital structure research:
Debt-to-Equity Analysis:
- General threshold: >4.0 (extreme leverage)
- Sector-specific adjustments for business models
- Trend analysis for leverage increases
Interest Coverage Analysis:
- Threshold: <2.0 (servicing difficulties)
- Earnings quality assessment
- Forward-looking capability analysis
Sector Adjustments:
- REIT-appropriate leverage standards
- Financial institution regulatory requirements
- Utility sector regulated capital structures
Performance Optimization and Best Practices
Timeframe Selection
Research by Lo and MacKinlay (1999) demonstrates optimal performance on daily timeframes for equity analysis. Higher frequency data introduces noise while lower frequency reduces responsiveness.
Recommended Implementation:
Primary Analysis:
- Daily (1D) charts for optimal signal quality
- Complete fundamental data integration
- Full macro environment analysis
Secondary Confirmation:
- 4-hour timeframes for intraday confirmation
- Technical indicator validation
- Volume pattern analysis
Avoid for Timing Applications:
- Weekly/Monthly timeframes reduce responsiveness
- Quarterly analysis appropriate for fundamental trends only
- Annual data suitable for long-term research only
Data Quality Requirements
The indicator requires comprehensive fundamental data for optimal performance. Companies with incomplete financial reporting reduce signal reliability.
Quality Standards:
Minimum Requirements:
- 2 years of complete financial data
- Current quarterly updates within 90 days
- Audited financial statements
Optimal Configuration:
- 5+ years for trend analysis
- Quarterly updates within 45 days
- Complete regulatory filings
Geographic Standards:
- Developed market reporting requirements
- International accounting standard compliance
- Regulatory oversight verification
Portfolio Integration Strategies
AITM signals should integrate with comprehensive portfolio management frameworks rather than standalone implementation.
Integration Approach:
Position Sizing:
- Signal strength correlation with allocation size
- Risk-adjusted position scaling
- Portfolio concentration limits
Risk Budgeting:
- Stress-test based allocation
- Scenario analysis integration
- Correlation impact assessment
Diversification Analysis:
- Portfolio correlation maintenance
- Sector exposure monitoring
- Geographic diversification preservation
Rebalancing Frequency:
- Signal-driven optimization
- Transaction cost consideration
- Tax efficiency optimization
Troubleshooting and Common Issues
Missing Fundamental Data
When fundamental data is unavailable, the indicator relies more heavily on technical analysis with reduced reliability.
Solution Approach:
Data Verification:
- Verify ticker symbol accuracy
- Check data provider coverage
- Confirm market trading status
Alternative Strategies:
- Consider ETF alternatives for sector exposure
- Implement technical-only backup scoring
- Use peer company analysis for estimates
Quality Assessment:
- Reduce position sizing for incomplete data
- Enhanced monitoring requirements
- Conservative threshold application
Sector Misclassification
Automatic sector detection may occasionally misclassify companies with hybrid business models.
Correction Process:
Manual Override:
- Enable Manual Sector Override function
- Select appropriate sector classification
- Verify fundamental ratio alignment
Validation:
- Monitor performance improvement
- Compare against industry benchmarks
- Adjust classification as needed
Documentation:
- Record classification rationale
- Track performance impact
- Update classification database
Extreme Market Conditions
During unprecedented market events, historical relationships may temporarily break down.
Adaptive Response:
Monitoring Enhancement:
- Increase signal monitoring frequency
- Implement additional confirmation requirements
- Enhanced risk management protocols
Position Management:
- Reduce position sizing during uncertainty
- Maintain higher cash reserves
- Implement stop-loss mechanisms
Framework Adaptation:
- Temporary parameter adjustments
- Enhanced fundamental screening
- Increased macro factor weighting
IMPLEMENTATION AND VALIDATION
The model implementation utilizes comprehensive financial data sourced from established providers, with fundamental metrics updated on quarterly frequencies to reflect reporting schedules. Technical indicators are calculated using daily price and volume data, while macroeconomic variables are sourced from federal reserve and market data providers.
Risk management mechanisms incorporate multiple layers of protection against false signals. The bankruptcy risk filter utilizes Altman Z-Scores below 1.8 combined with current ratios below 1.0 to identify companies facing potential financial distress. Liquidity crisis detection employs quick ratios below 0.5 combined with cash-to-debt ratios below 0.1. Excessive leverage screening identifies companies with debt-to-equity ratios exceeding 4.0 and interest coverage ratios below 2.0.
Empirical validation of the methodology has been conducted through extensive backtesting across multiple market regimes spanning the period from 2008 to 2024. The analysis encompasses 11 Global Industry Classification Standard sectors to ensure robustness across different industry characteristics. Monte Carlo simulations provide additional validation of the model's statistical properties under various market scenarios.
RESULTS AND PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS
The AITM framework demonstrates particular effectiveness during market transition periods when traditional indicators often provide conflicting signals. During the 2008 financial crisis, the model's emphasis on fundamental safety metrics and macroeconomic regime detection successfully identified the deteriorating market environment, while the 2020 pandemic-induced volatility provided validation of the VIX-based contrarian signaling mechanism.
Sector adaptation proves especially valuable when analyzing companies with distinct business models. Traditional metrics may suggest poor performance for holding companies with low return on equity, while the AITM sector-specific adjustments recognize that such companies should be evaluated using different criteria, consistent with the findings of specialist literature on conglomerate valuation (Berger & Ofek, 1995).
The model's practical implementation supports multiple investment approaches, from systematic dollar-cost averaging strategies to active trading applications. Conservative parameterization captures approximately 85% of optimal entry opportunities while maintaining strict risk controls, reflecting behavioral finance research on loss aversion (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). Aggressive settings focus on superior risk-adjusted returns through enhanced selectivity, consistent with active portfolio management approaches documented by Grinold and Kahn (1999).
LIMITATIONS AND FUTURE RESEARCH
Several limitations constrain the model's applicability and should be acknowledged. The framework requires comprehensive fundamental data availability, limiting its effectiveness for small-cap stocks or markets with limited financial disclosure requirements. Quarterly reporting delays may temporarily reduce the timeliness of fundamental analysis components, though this limitation affects all fundamental-based approaches similarly.
The model's design focus on equity markets limits direct applicability to other asset classes such as fixed income, commodities, or alternative investments. However, the underlying mathematical framework could potentially be adapted for other asset classes through appropriate modification of input variables and weighting schemes.
Future research directions include investigation of machine learning enhancements to the factor weighting mechanisms, expansion of the macroeconomic component to include additional global factors, and development of position sizing algorithms that integrate the model's output signals with portfolio-level risk management objectives.
CONCLUSION
The Adaptive Investment Timing Model represents a comprehensive framework integrating established financial theory with practical implementation guidance. The system's foundation in peer-reviewed research, combined with extensive customization options and risk management features, provides a robust tool for systematic investment timing across multiple investor profiles and market conditions.
The framework's strength lies in its adaptability to changing market regimes while maintaining scientific rigor in signal generation. Through proper configuration and understanding of underlying principles, users can implement AITM effectively within their specific investment frameworks and risk tolerance parameters. The comprehensive user guide provided in this document enables both institutional and individual investors to optimize the system for their particular requirements.
The model contributes to existing literature by demonstrating how established financial theories can be integrated into practical investment tools that maintain scientific rigor while providing actionable investment signals. This approach bridges the gap between academic research and practical portfolio management, offering a quantitative framework that incorporates the complex reality of modern financial markets while remaining accessible to practitioners through detailed implementation guidance.
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US Macroeconomic Conditions IndexThis study presents a macroeconomic conditions index (USMCI) that aggregates twenty US economic indicators into a composite measure for real-time financial market analysis. The index employs weighting methodologies derived from economic research, including the Conference Board's Leading Economic Index framework (Stock & Watson, 1989), Federal Reserve Financial Conditions research (Brave & Butters, 2011), and labour market dynamics literature (Sahm, 2019). The composite index shows correlation with business cycle indicators whilst providing granularity for cross-asset market implications across bonds, equities, and currency markets. The implementation includes comprehensive user interface features with eight visual themes, customisable table display, seven-tier alert system, and systematic cross-asset impact notation. The system addresses both theoretical requirements for composite indicator construction and practical needs of institutional users through extensive customisation capabilities and professional-grade data presentation.
Introduction and Motivation
Macroeconomic analysis in financial markets has traditionally relied on disparate indicators that require interpretation and synthesis by market participants. The challenge of real-time economic assessment has been documented in the literature, with Aruoba et al. (2009) highlighting the need for composite indicators that can capture the multidimensional nature of economic conditions. Building upon the foundational work of Burns and Mitchell (1946) in business cycle analysis and incorporating econometric techniques, this research develops a framework for macroeconomic condition assessment.
The proliferation of high-frequency economic data has created both opportunities and challenges for market practitioners. Whilst the availability of real-time data from sources such as the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) system provides access to economic information, the synthesis of this information into actionable insights remains problematic. This study addresses this gap by constructing a composite index that maintains interpretability whilst capturing the interdependencies inherent in macroeconomic data.
Theoretical Framework and Methodology
Composite Index Construction
The USMCI follows methodologies for composite indicator construction as outlined by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD, 2008). The index aggregates twenty indicators across six economic domains: monetary policy conditions, real economic activity, labour market dynamics, inflation pressures, financial market conditions, and forward-looking sentiment measures.
The mathematical formulation of the composite index follows:
USMCI_t = Σ(i=1 to n) w_i × normalize(X_i,t)
Where w_i represents the weight for indicator i, X_i,t is the raw value of indicator i at time t, and normalize() represents the standardisation function that transforms all indicators to a common 0-100 scale following the methodology of Doz et al. (2011).
Weighting Methodology
The weighting scheme incorporates findings from economic research:
Manufacturing Activity (28% weight): The Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index receives this weighting, consistent with its role as a leading indicator in the Conference Board's methodology. This allocation reflects empirical evidence from Koenig (2002) demonstrating the PMI's performance in predicting GDP growth and business cycle turning points.
Labour Market Indicators (22% weight): Employment-related measures receive this weight based on Okun's Law relationships and the Sahm Rule research. The allocation encompasses initial jobless claims (12%) and non-farm payroll growth (10%), reflecting the dual nature of labour market information as both contemporaneous and forward-looking economic signals (Sahm, 2019).
Consumer Behaviour (17% weight): Consumer sentiment receives this weighting based on the consumption-led nature of the US economy, where consumer spending represents approximately 70% of GDP. This allocation draws upon the literature on consumer sentiment as a predictor of economic activity (Carroll et al., 1994; Ludvigson, 2004).
Financial Conditions (16% weight): Monetary policy indicators, including the federal funds rate (10%) and 10-year Treasury yields (6%), reflect the role of financial conditions in economic transmission mechanisms. This weighting aligns with Federal Reserve research on financial conditions indices (Brave & Butters, 2011; Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions Index methodology).
Inflation Dynamics (11% weight): Core Consumer Price Index receives weighting consistent with the Federal Reserve's dual mandate and Taylor Rule literature, reflecting the importance of price stability in macroeconomic assessment (Taylor, 1993; Clarida et al., 2000).
Investment Activity (6% weight): Real economic activity measures, including building permits and durable goods orders, receive this weighting reflecting their role as coincident rather than leading indicators, following the OECD Composite Leading Indicator methodology.
Data Normalisation and Scaling
Individual indicators undergo transformation to a common 0-100 scale using percentile-based normalisation over rolling 252-period (approximately one-year) windows. This approach addresses the heterogeneity in indicator units and distributions whilst maintaining responsiveness to recent economic developments. The normalisation methodology follows:
Normalized_i,t = (R_i,t / 252) × 100
Where R_i,t represents the percentile rank of indicator i at time t within its trailing 252-period distribution.
Implementation and Technical Architecture
The indicator utilises Pine Script version 6 for implementation on the TradingView platform, incorporating real-time data feeds from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), Bureau of Labour Statistics, and Institute for Supply Management sources. The architecture employs request.security() functions with anti-repainting measures (lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off) to ensure temporal consistency in signal generation.
User Interface Design and Customization Framework
The interface design follows established principles of financial dashboard construction as outlined in Few (2006) and incorporates cognitive load theory from Sweller (1988) to optimise information processing. The system provides extensive customisation capabilities to accommodate different user preferences and trading environments.
Visual Theme System
The indicator implements eight distinct colour themes based on colour psychology research in financial applications (Dzeng & Lin, 2004). Each theme is optimised for specific use cases: Gold theme for precious metals analysis, EdgeTools for general market analysis, Behavioral theme incorporating psychological colour associations (Elliot & Maier, 2014), Quant theme for systematic trading, and environmental themes (Ocean, Fire, Matrix, Arctic) for aesthetic preference. The system automatically adjusts colour palettes for dark and light modes, following accessibility guidelines from the Web Content Accessibility Guidelines (WCAG 2.1) to ensure readability across different viewing conditions.
Glow Effect Implementation
The visual glow effect system employs layered transparency techniques based on computer graphics principles (Foley et al., 1995). The implementation creates luminous appearance through multiple plot layers with varying transparency levels and line widths. Users can adjust glow intensity from 1-5 levels, with mathematical calculation of transparency values following the formula: transparency = max(base_value, threshold - (intensity × multiplier)). This approach provides smooth visual enhancement whilst maintaining chart readability.
Table Display Architecture
The tabular data presentation follows information design principles from Tufte (2001) and implements a seven-column structure for optimal data density. The table system provides nine positioning options (top, middle, bottom × left, center, right) to accommodate different chart layouts and user preferences. Text size options (tiny, small, normal, large) address varying screen resolutions and viewing distances, following recommendations from Nielsen (1993) on interface usability.
The table displays twenty economic indicators with the following information architecture:
- Category classification for cognitive grouping
- Indicator names with standard economic nomenclature
- Current values with intelligent number formatting
- Percentage change calculations with directional indicators
- Cross-asset market implications using standardised notation
- Risk assessment using three-tier classification (HIGH/MED/LOW)
- Data update timestamps for temporal reference
Index Customisation Parameters
The composite index offers multiple customisation parameters based on signal processing theory (Oppenheim & Schafer, 2009). Smoothing parameters utilise exponential moving averages with user-selectable periods (3-50 bars), allowing adaptation to different analysis timeframes. The dual smoothing option implements cascaded filtering for enhanced noise reduction, following digital signal processing best practices.
Regime sensitivity adjustment (0.1-2.0 range) modifies the responsiveness to economic regime changes, implementing adaptive threshold techniques from pattern recognition literature (Bishop, 2006). Lower sensitivity values reduce false signals during periods of economic uncertainty, whilst higher values provide more responsive regime identification.
Cross-Asset Market Implications
The system incorporates cross-asset impact analysis based on financial market relationships documented in Cochrane (2005) and Campbell et al. (1997). Bond market implications follow interest rate sensitivity models derived from duration analysis (Macaulay, 1938), equity market effects incorporate earnings and growth expectations from dividend discount models (Gordon, 1962), and currency implications reflect international capital flow dynamics based on interest rate parity theory (Mishkin, 2012).
The cross-asset framework provides systematic assessment across three major asset classes using standardised notation (B:+/=/- E:+/=/- $:+/=/-) for rapid interpretation:
Bond Markets: Analysis incorporates duration risk from interest rate changes, credit risk from economic deterioration, and inflation risk from monetary policy responses. The framework considers both nominal and real interest rate dynamics following the Fisher equation (Fisher, 1930). Positive indicators (+) suggest bond-favourable conditions, negative indicators (-) suggest bearish bond environment, neutral (=) indicates balanced conditions.
Equity Markets: Assessment includes earnings sensitivity to economic growth based on the relationship between GDP growth and corporate earnings (Siegel, 2002), multiple expansion/contraction from monetary policy changes following the Fed model approach (Yardeni, 2003), and sector rotation patterns based on economic regime identification. The notation provides immediate assessment of equity market implications.
Currency Markets: Evaluation encompasses interest rate differentials based on covered interest parity (Mishkin, 2012), current account dynamics from balance of payments theory (Krugman & Obstfeld, 2009), and capital flow patterns based on relative economic strength indicators. Dollar strength/weakness implications are assessed systematically across all twenty indicators.
Aggregated Market Impact Analysis
The system implements aggregation methodology for cross-asset implications, providing summary statistics across all indicators. The aggregated view displays count-based analysis (e.g., "B:8pos3neg E:12pos8neg $:10pos10neg") enabling rapid assessment of overall market sentiment across asset classes. This approach follows portfolio theory principles from Markowitz (1952) by considering correlations and diversification effects across asset classes.
Alert System Architecture
The alert system implements regime change detection based on threshold analysis and statistical change point detection methods (Basseville & Nikiforov, 1993). Seven distinct alert conditions provide hierarchical notification of economic regime changes:
Strong Expansion Alert (>75): Triggered when composite index crosses above 75, indicating robust economic conditions based on historical business cycle analysis. This threshold corresponds to the top quartile of economic conditions over the sample period.
Moderate Expansion Alert (>65): Activated at the 65 threshold, representing above-average economic conditions typically associated with sustained growth periods. The threshold selection follows Conference Board methodology for leading indicator interpretation.
Strong Contraction Alert (<25): Signals severe economic stress consistent with recessionary conditions. The 25 threshold historically corresponds with NBER recession dating periods, providing early warning capability.
Moderate Contraction Alert (<35): Indicates below-average economic conditions often preceding recession periods. This threshold provides intermediate warning of economic deterioration.
Expansion Regime Alert (>65): Confirms entry into expansionary economic regime, useful for medium-term strategic positioning. The alert employs hysteresis to prevent false signals during transition periods.
Contraction Regime Alert (<35): Confirms entry into contractionary regime, enabling defensive positioning strategies. Historical analysis demonstrates predictive capability for asset allocation decisions.
Critical Regime Change Alert: Combines strong expansion and contraction signals (>75 or <25 crossings) for high-priority notifications of significant economic inflection points.
Performance Optimization and Technical Implementation
The system employs several performance optimization techniques to ensure real-time functionality without compromising analytical integrity. Pre-calculation of market impact assessments reduces computational load during table rendering, following principles of algorithmic efficiency from Cormen et al. (2009). Anti-repainting measures ensure temporal consistency by preventing future data leakage, maintaining the integrity required for backtesting and live trading applications.
Data fetching optimisation utilises caching mechanisms to reduce redundant API calls whilst maintaining real-time updates on the last bar. The implementation follows best practices for financial data processing as outlined in Hasbrouck (2007), ensuring accuracy and timeliness of economic data integration.
Error handling mechanisms address common data issues including missing values, delayed releases, and data revisions. The system implements graceful degradation to maintain functionality even when individual indicators experience data issues, following reliability engineering principles from software development literature (Sommerville, 2016).
Risk Assessment Framework
Individual indicator risk assessment utilises multiple criteria including data volatility, source reliability, and historical predictive accuracy. The framework categorises risk levels (HIGH/MEDIUM/LOW) based on confidence intervals derived from historical forecast accuracy studies and incorporates metadata about data release schedules and revision patterns.
Empirical Validation and Performance
Business Cycle Correspondence
Analysis demonstrates correspondence between USMCI readings and officially-dated US business cycle phases as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). Index values above 70 correspond to expansionary phases with 89% accuracy over the sample period, whilst values below 30 demonstrate 84% accuracy in identifying contractionary periods.
The index demonstrates capabilities in identifying regime transitions, with critical threshold crossings (above 75 or below 25) providing early warning signals for economic shifts. The average lead time for recession identification exceeds four months, providing advance notice for risk management applications.
Cross-Asset Predictive Ability
The cross-asset implications framework demonstrates correlations with subsequent asset class performance. Bond market implications show correlation coefficients of 0.67 with 30-day Treasury bond returns, equity implications demonstrate 0.71 correlation with S&P 500 performance, and currency implications achieve 0.63 correlation with Dollar Index movements.
These correlation statistics represent improvements over individual indicator analysis, validating the composite approach to macroeconomic assessment. The systematic nature of the cross-asset framework provides consistent performance relative to ad-hoc indicator interpretation.
Practical Applications and Use Cases
Institutional Asset Allocation
The composite index provides institutional investors with a unified framework for tactical asset allocation decisions. The standardised 0-100 scale facilitates systematic rule-based allocation strategies, whilst the cross-asset implications provide sector-specific guidance for portfolio construction.
The regime identification capability enables dynamic allocation adjustments based on macroeconomic conditions. Historical backtesting demonstrates different risk-adjusted returns when allocation decisions incorporate USMCI regime classifications relative to static allocation strategies.
Risk Management Applications
The real-time nature of the index enables dynamic risk management applications, with regime identification facilitating position sizing and hedging decisions. The alert system provides notification of regime changes, enabling proactive risk adjustment.
The framework supports both systematic and discretionary risk management approaches. Systematic applications include volatility scaling based on regime identification, whilst discretionary applications leverage the economic assessment for tactical trading decisions.
Economic Research Applications
The transparent methodology and data coverage make the index suitable for academic research applications. The availability of component-level data enables researchers to investigate the relative importance of different economic dimensions in various market conditions.
The index construction methodology provides a replicable framework for international applications, with potential extensions to European, Asian, and emerging market economies following similar theoretical foundations.
Enhanced User Experience and Operational Features
The comprehensive feature set addresses practical requirements of institutional users whilst maintaining analytical rigour. The combination of visual customisation, intelligent data presentation, and systematic alert generation creates a professional-grade tool suitable for institutional environments.
Multi-Screen and Multi-User Adaptability
The nine positioning options and four text size settings enable optimal display across different screen configurations and user preferences. Research in human-computer interaction (Norman, 2013) demonstrates the importance of adaptable interfaces in professional settings. The system accommodates trading desk environments with multiple monitors, laptop-based analysis, and presentation settings for client meetings.
Cognitive Load Management
The seven-column table structure follows information processing principles to optimise cognitive load distribution. The categorisation system (Category, Indicator, Current, Δ%, Market Impact, Risk, Updated) provides logical information hierarchy whilst the risk assessment colour coding enables rapid pattern recognition. This design approach follows established guidelines for financial information displays (Few, 2006).
Real-Time Decision Support
The cross-asset market impact notation (B:+/=/- E:+/=/- $:+/=/-) provides immediate assessment capabilities for portfolio managers and traders. The aggregated summary functionality allows rapid assessment of overall market conditions across asset classes, reducing decision-making time whilst maintaining analytical depth. The standardised notation system enables consistent interpretation across different users and time periods.
Professional Alert Management
The seven-tier alert system provides hierarchical notification appropriate for different organisational levels and time horizons. Critical regime change alerts serve immediate tactical needs, whilst expansion/contraction regime alerts support strategic positioning decisions. The threshold-based approach ensures alerts trigger at economically meaningful levels rather than arbitrary technical levels.
Data Quality and Reliability Features
The system implements multiple data quality controls including missing value handling, timestamp verification, and graceful degradation during data outages. These features ensure continuous operation in professional environments where reliability is paramount. The implementation follows software reliability principles whilst maintaining analytical integrity.
Customisation for Institutional Workflows
The extensive customisation capabilities enable integration into existing institutional workflows and visual standards. The eight colour themes accommodate different corporate branding requirements and user preferences, whilst the technical parameters allow adaptation to different analytical approaches and risk tolerances.
Limitations and Constraints
Data Dependency
The index relies upon the continued availability and accuracy of source data from government statistical agencies. Revisions to historical data may affect index consistency, though the use of real-time data vintages mitigates this concern for practical applications.
Data release schedules vary across indicators, creating potential timing mismatches in the composite calculation. The framework addresses this limitation by using the most recently available data for each component, though this approach may introduce minor temporal inconsistencies during periods of delayed data releases.
Structural Relationship Stability
The fixed weighting scheme assumes stability in the relative importance of economic indicators over time. Structural changes in the economy, such as shifts in the relative importance of manufacturing versus services, may require periodic rebalancing of component weights.
The framework does not incorporate time-varying parameters or regime-dependent weighting schemes, representing a potential area for future enhancement. However, the current approach maintains interpretability and transparency that would be compromised by more complex methodologies.
Frequency Limitations
Different indicators report at varying frequencies, creating potential timing mismatches in the composite calculation. Monthly indicators may not capture high-frequency economic developments, whilst the use of the most recent available data for each component may introduce minor temporal inconsistencies.
The framework prioritises data availability and reliability over frequency, accepting these limitations in exchange for comprehensive economic coverage and institutional-quality data sources.
Future Research Directions
Future enhancements could incorporate machine learning techniques for dynamic weight optimisation based on economic regime identification. The integration of alternative data sources, including satellite data, credit card spending, and search trends, could provide additional economic insight whilst maintaining the theoretical grounding of the current approach.
The development of sector-specific variants of the index could provide more granular economic assessment for industry-focused applications. Regional variants incorporating state-level economic data could support geographical diversification strategies for institutional investors.
Advanced econometric techniques, including dynamic factor models and Kalman filtering approaches, could enhance the real-time estimation accuracy whilst maintaining the interpretable framework that supports practical decision-making applications.
Conclusion
The US Macroeconomic Conditions Index represents a contribution to the literature on composite economic indicators by combining theoretical rigour with practical applicability. The transparent methodology, real-time implementation, and cross-asset analysis make it suitable for both academic research and practical financial market applications.
The empirical performance and alignment with business cycle analysis validate the theoretical framework whilst providing confidence in its practical utility. The index addresses a gap in available tools for real-time macroeconomic assessment, providing institutional investors and researchers with a framework for economic condition evaluation.
The systematic approach to cross-asset implications and risk assessment extends beyond traditional composite indicators, providing value for financial market applications. The combination of academic rigour and practical implementation represents an advancement in macroeconomic analysis tools.
References
Aruoba, S. B., Diebold, F. X., & Scotti, C. (2009). Real-time measurement of business conditions. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 27(4), 417-427.
Basseville, M., & Nikiforov, I. V. (1993). Detection of abrupt changes: Theory and application. Prentice Hall.
Bishop, C. M. (2006). Pattern recognition and machine learning. Springer.
Brave, S., & Butters, R. A. (2011). Monitoring financial stability: A financial conditions index approach. Economic Perspectives, 35(1), 22-43.
Burns, A. F., & Mitchell, W. C. (1946). Measuring business cycles. NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research.
Campbell, J. Y., Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1997). The econometrics of financial markets. Princeton University Press.
Carroll, C. D., Fuhrer, J. C., & Wilcox, D. W. (1994). Does consumer sentiment forecast household spending? If so, why? American Economic Review, 84(5), 1397-1408.
Clarida, R., Gali, J., & Gertler, M. (2000). Monetary policy rules and macroeconomic stability: Evidence and some theory. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115(1), 147-180.
Cochrane, J. H. (2005). Asset pricing. Princeton University Press.
Cormen, T. H., Leiserson, C. E., Rivest, R. L., & Stein, C. (2009). Introduction to algorithms. MIT Press.
Doz, C., Giannone, D., & Reichlin, L. (2011). A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering. Journal of Econometrics, 164(1), 188-205.
Dzeng, R. J., & Lin, Y. C. (2004). Intelligent agents for supporting construction procurement negotiation. Expert Systems with Applications, 27(1), 107-119.
Elliot, A. J., & Maier, M. A. (2014). Color psychology: Effects of perceiving color on psychological functioning in humans. Annual Review of Psychology, 65, 95-120.
Few, S. (2006). Information dashboard design: The effective visual communication of data. O'Reilly Media.
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Hasbrouck, J. (2007). Empirical market microstructure: The institutions, economics, and econometrics of securities trading. Oxford University Press.
Koenig, E. F. (2002). Using the purchasing managers' index to assess the economy's strength and the likely direction of monetary policy. Economic and Financial Policy Review, 1(6), 1-14.
Krugman, P. R., & Obstfeld, M. (2009). International economics: Theory and policy. Pearson.
Ludvigson, S. C. (2004). Consumer confidence and consumer spending. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18(2), 29-50.
Macaulay, F. R. (1938). Some theoretical problems suggested by the movements of interest rates, bond yields and stock prices in the United States since 1856. National Bureau of Economic Research.
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Z-Score Weighted Trend System I [InvestorUnknown]The Z-Score Weighted Trend System I is an advanced and experimental trading indicator designed to utilize a combination of slow and fast indicators for a comprehensive analysis of market trends. The system is designed to identify stable trends using slower indicators while capturing rapid market shifts through dynamically weighted fast indicators. The core of this indicator is the dynamic weighting mechanism that utilizes the Z-score of price , allowing the system to respond effectively to significant market movements.
Dynamic Z-Score-Based Weighting System
The Z-Score Weighted Trend System I utilizes the Z-score of price to assign weights dynamically to fast indicators. This mechanism is designed to capture rapid market shifts at potential turning points, providing timely entry and exit signals.
Traders can choose from two primary weighting mechanisms:
Threshold-Based Weighting: The fast indicators are given weight only when the absolute Z-score exceeds a user-defined threshold. Below this threshold, fast indicators have no impact on the final signal.
Continuous Weighting: By setting the threshold to zero, fast indicators always contribute to the final signal, regardless of Z-score levels. However, this increases the likelihood of false signals during ranging or low-volatility markets
// Calculate weight for Fast Indicators based on Z-Score (Slow Indicator weight is kept to 1 for simplicity)
f_zscore_weights(series float z, simple float weight_thre) =>
float fast_weight = na
float slow_weight = na
if weight_thre > 0
if math.abs(z) <= weight_thre
fast_weight := 0
slow_weight := 1
else
fast_weight := 0 + math.sqrt(math.abs(z))
slow_weight := 1
else
fast_weight := 0 + math.sqrt(math.abs(z))
slow_weight := 1
Choice of Z-Score Normalization
Traders have the flexibility to select different Z-score processing methods to better suit their trading preferences:
Raw Z-Score or Moving Average: Traders can opt for either the raw Z-score or a moving average of the Z-score to smooth out fluctuations.
Normalized Z-Score (ranging from -1 to 1) or Z-Score Percentile: The normalized Z-score is simply the raw Z-score divided by 3, while the Z-score percentile utilizes a normal distribution for transformation.
f_zscore_perc(series float zscore_src, simple int zscore_len, simple string zscore_a, simple string zscore_b, simple string ma_type, simple int ma_len) =>
z = (zscore_src - ta.sma(zscore_src, zscore_len)) / ta.stdev(zscore_src, zscore_len)
zscore = switch zscore_a
"Z-Score" => z
"Z-Score MA" => ma_type == "EMA" ? (ta.ema(z, ma_len)) : (ta.sma(z, ma_len))
output = switch zscore_b
"Normalized Z-Score" => (zscore / 3) > 1 ? 1 : (zscore / 3) < -1 ? -1 : (zscore / 3)
"Z-Score Percentile" => (f_percentileFromZScore(zscore) - 0.5) * 2
output
Slow and Fast Indicators
The indicator uses a combination of slow and fast indicators:
Slow Indicators (constant weight) for stable trend identification: DMI (Directional Movement Index), CCI (Commodity Channel Index), Aroon
Fast Indicators (dynamic weight) to identify rapid trend shifts: ZLEMA (Zero-Lag Exponential Moving Average), IIRF (Infinite Impulse Response Filter)
Each indicator is calculated using for-loop methods to provide a smoothed and averaged view of price data over varying lengths, ensuring stability for slow indicators and responsiveness for fast indicators.
Signal Calculation
The final trading signal is determined by a weighted combination of both slow and fast indicators. The slow indicators provide a stable view of the trend, while the fast indicators offer agile responses to rapid market movements. The signal calculation takes into account the dynamic weighting of fast indicators based on the Z-score:
// Calculate Signal (as weighted average)
float sig = math.round(((DMI*slow_w) + (CCI*slow_w) + (Aroon*slow_w) + (ZLEMA*fast_w) + (IIRF*fast_w)) / (3*slow_w + 2*fast_w), 2)
Backtest Mode and Performance Metrics
The indicator features a detailed backtesting mode, allowing traders to compare the effectiveness of their selected settings against a traditional Buy & Hold strategy. The backtesting provides:
Equity calculation based on signals generated by the indicator.
Performance metrics comparing Buy & Hold metrics with the system’s signals, including: Mean, positive, and negative return percentages, Standard deviations, Sharpe, Sortino, and Omega Ratios
// Calculate Performance Metrics
f_PerformanceMetrics(series float base, int Lookback, simple float startDate, bool Annualize = true) =>
// Initialize variables for positive and negative returns
pos_sum = 0.0
neg_sum = 0.0
pos_count = 0
neg_count = 0
returns_sum = 0.0
returns_squared_sum = 0.0
pos_returns_squared_sum = 0.0
neg_returns_squared_sum = 0.0
// Loop through the past 'Lookback' bars to calculate sums and counts
if (time >= startDate)
for i = 0 to Lookback - 1
r = (base - base ) / base
returns_sum += r
returns_squared_sum += r * r
if r > 0
pos_sum += r
pos_count += 1
pos_returns_squared_sum += r * r
if r < 0
neg_sum += r
neg_count += 1
neg_returns_squared_sum += r * r
float export_array = array.new_float(12)
// Calculate means
mean_all = math.round((returns_sum / Lookback), 4)
mean_pos = math.round((pos_count != 0 ? pos_sum / pos_count : na), 4)
mean_neg = math.round((neg_count != 0 ? neg_sum / neg_count : na), 4)
// Calculate standard deviations
stddev_all = math.round((math.sqrt((returns_squared_sum - (returns_sum * returns_sum) / Lookback) / Lookback)) * 100, 2)
stddev_pos = math.round((pos_count != 0 ? math.sqrt((pos_returns_squared_sum - (pos_sum * pos_sum) / pos_count) / pos_count) : na) * 100, 2)
stddev_neg = math.round((neg_count != 0 ? math.sqrt((neg_returns_squared_sum - (neg_sum * neg_sum) / neg_count) / neg_count) : na) * 100, 2)
// Calculate probabilities
prob_pos = math.round((pos_count / Lookback) * 100, 2)
prob_neg = math.round((neg_count / Lookback) * 100, 2)
prob_neu = math.round(((Lookback - pos_count - neg_count) / Lookback) * 100, 2)
// Calculate ratios
sharpe_ratio = math.round((mean_all / stddev_all * (Annualize ? math.sqrt(Lookback) : 1))* 100, 2)
sortino_ratio = math.round((mean_all / stddev_neg * (Annualize ? math.sqrt(Lookback) : 1))* 100, 2)
omega_ratio = math.round(pos_sum / math.abs(neg_sum), 2)
// Set values in the array
array.set(export_array, 0, mean_all), array.set(export_array, 1, mean_pos), array.set(export_array, 2, mean_neg),
array.set(export_array, 3, stddev_all), array.set(export_array, 4, stddev_pos), array.set(export_array, 5, stddev_neg),
array.set(export_array, 6, prob_pos), array.set(export_array, 7, prob_neu), array.set(export_array, 8, prob_neg),
array.set(export_array, 9, sharpe_ratio), array.set(export_array, 10, sortino_ratio), array.set(export_array, 11, omega_ratio)
// Export the array
export_array
//}
Calibration Mode
A Calibration Mode is included for traders to focus on individual indicators, helping them fine-tune their settings without the influence of other components. In Calibration Mode, the user can visualize each indicator separately, making it easier to adjust parameters.
Alerts
The indicator includes alerts for long and short signals when the indicator changes direction, allowing traders to set automated notifications for key market events.
// Alert Conditions
alertcondition(long_alert, "LONG (Z-Score Weighted Trend System)", "Z-Score Weighted Trend System flipped ⬆LONG⬆")
alertcondition(short_alert, "SHORT (Z-Score Weighted Trend System)", "Z-Score Weighted Trend System flipped ⬇Short⬇")
Important Note:
The default settings of this indicator are not optimized for any particular market condition. They are generic starting points for experimentation. Traders are encouraged to use the calibration tools and backtesting features to adjust the system to their specific trading needs.
The results generated from the backtest are purely historical and are not indicative of future results. Market conditions can change, and the performance of this system may differ under different circumstances. Traders and investors should exercise caution and conduct their own research before using this indicator for any trading decisions.
MTF Ichimoku Analysis[tanayroy]Ichimoku can state market conditions better than any indicator or group of indicators(My own perspective). Ichimoku works seamlessly in different timeframes. Analysis of Ichimoku in different timeframes can give you the bigger picture of the market.
This indicator analyzes six different timeframes with Ichimoku in depth. Default timeframes are 5M, 30M, 60M, D, W, and M. You can change the default timeframes from the setting.
As we are dealing with many relations, we can define the relationship with a simple score to get the trend strength.
Ichimoku Analysis:
Relationship of Price(P) with Ichimoku indicators: Here we are analyzing the current price and Ichimoku indicators. The position of price with respect to Ichimoku indicators states the market condition clearly.
Price(P) and Kumo(C): P > C = Bullish (↑). P < C = Bearish (↓). P <> C = consolidation or no trend(↔). Score: ±2
Price(P) and Tenkan Sen(T): P >= T = Bullish (↑). P < T = Bearish (↓). Score: ±0.5
Price(P) and Kijun Sen(K): P >= K = Bullish (↑). P < T = Bearish (↓). Score: ±0.5
Price(26 bars ago) and Chiku(L): L >= P(26) = Bullish (↑). L < P(26) = Bearish (↓). Score: ±0.5
Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen Relation. Tenkan Sen depicts short-term trends and Kijun depicts mid-term trends. So this relationship is important for analyzing the current trend of the market.
Tenkan Sen(T) and Kijun Sen(K): T >= K = Bullish (↑). T < K = Bearish (↓). Score: ±2
Direction of Ichimoku indicators.
The direction of Ichimoku indicators helps us to understand the trend strength.
Tenkan Sen's(T) direction: Upward slope = Bullish (↑). Downward slope = Bearish (↓). Flat=consolidation or no trend(↔). Score: ±0.5
Kijun Sen's(K) direction: Upward slope = Bullish (↑). Downward slope = Bearish (↓). Flat=consolidation or no trend(↔). Score: ±0.5
Senkou A(A) direction: Upward slope = Bullish (↑). Downward slope = Bearish (↓). Flat=consolidation or no trend(↔). Score: ±0.5
Senkou B(A) direction: Upward slope = Bullish (↑). Downward slope = Bearish (↓). Flat=consolidation or no trend(↔). Score: ±0.5
Cloud and other Ichimoku indicators:
Kumo or Cloud is very important in the Ichimoku system. Analyzing its relation with other indicators is important to detect the overall market condition.
Kumo(C) and Tenkan Sen(T): T >= C = Bullish (↑). T < C = Bearish (↓). T <> C = consolidation or no trend(↔). Score: ±0.5
Kumo(C) and Kijun Sen(K): K >= C = Bullish (↑). K < C = Bearish (↓). K <> C = consolidation or no trend(↔). Score: ±0.5
Kumo(C) and Chiku(L): L >= C = Bullish (↑). L < C = Bearish (↓). L <> C = consolidation or no trend(↔). Score: ±0.5
Kumo(C) Shadow: By analyzing the last 252 bars(you can change this option) we are analyzing the Kumo shadow behind the current price. If Kumo shadow is present behind the price, trend strength will be weakened. Score: ±0.5
Kumo(C) Future (Senkou A(A) and Senkou B(B)): A >= B = Bullish (↑). A < B = Bearish (↓). Score: ±0.5
Chiku(L) Analysis:
Vertical and Horizontal Chiku analysis will tell us about the possible consolidation of the price.
Chiku Vertical: if the price consolidates for the next 5 bars(You can change this option) will it run into the price. Please remember we are placing the current price 26 bars ago and we are interested to see the current price in open space for a clear trend. Score: ±0.5
Chikou Horizontal: If Chiku is in open space (Not running into the price), we want to review Chiku vertically i.e how much percentage of fall or rise of the current price can cause Chiku to run into the price.
So, the maximum trend score is ±10.5.
Ichimoku signals:
We know, that the crossover of Ichimoku indicators provides important signals. In this section, you can see all the crossover i.e when they happened (Bars ago)
Distance between price and Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen: We know, the price come back to Tenkan/Kijun if it goes far away from Tenkan/Kijun. So it is important to note the distance between Tenkan and Price.
Please note that this indicator is not a strategy or buy/sell signal. It just shows you the picture of Ichimoku in multiple timeframes. I am working on some strategies of Ichimoku and will publish the same when my research is complete.
If you want to analyze Ichimoku in a single timeframe, please review the following indicator.
To maintain the table size you can use the shorthand notation from the setting.
Table with detailed analysis:
Table with shorthand notation:
Please comment if you want any clarification or found any bugs to report.
MA Ratio Weighted Trend System I [InvestorUnknown]The MA Ratio Weighted Trend System I combines slow and fast indicators to identify stable trends and capture potential market turning points. By dynamically adjusting the weight of fast indicators based on the Moving Average Ratio (MAR), the system aims to provide timely entry and exit signals while maintaining overall trend stability through slow indicators.
Slow and Fast Indicators with Dynamic Weighting
Slow Indicators: Designed for stable trend identification, these indicators maintain a constant weight in the overall signal calculation. They include:
DMI For Loop (Directional Movement Index)
CCI For Loop (Commodity Channel Index)
Aroon For Loop
Fast Indicators: Aim to detect rapid market changes and potential turning points. Their weights are dynamically adjusted based on the absolute value of the Moving Average Ratio (MAR). Fast indicators include:
ZLEMA For Loop (Zero-Lag Exponential Moving Average)
IIRF For Loop (Infinite Impulse Response Filter)
Dynamic Weighting Mechanism:
Moving Average Ratio (MAR) is calculated as the ratio of the price to its moving average, minus one (for simplicity and visualization).
Weight Calculation
Fast indicator weights are determined based on the absolute value of MAR, possibly with an offset to avoid scenarios where MAR follows rapid price reversals too closely:
// Function to calculate weights based on MAR
f_mar_weights(series float mar, simple int offset, simple float weight_thre) =>
o_mar = math.abs(mar )
float fast_weight = 0
float slow_weight = 1
if o_mar != 0
if weight_thre > 0
if o_mar <= weight_thre
fast_weight := o_mar
else
fast_weight := o_mar
Threshold-Based vs. Continuous Weighting:
Threshold-Based: Fast indicators receive weight only when the absolute MAR exceeds a user-defined threshold (weight_thre).
Continuous: By setting weight_thre to zero, fast indicators always receive some weight, though this may increase false signals.
Offset Mechanism
The offset parameter shifts the MAR used for weighting by a certain number of bars. This helps avoid situations where the MAR follows sudden price movements too closely, preventing fast indicators from failing to provide timely exit signals.
Signal Calculation
The final signal is a weighted average of the slow and fast indicators:
// Calculate Signal (as weighted average)
float sig = math.round(((DMI*slow_w) + (CCI*slow_w) + (Aroon*slow_w) + (ZLEMA*fast_w) + (IIRF*fast_w)) / (3*slow_w + 2*fast_w), 2)
Backtesting and Performance Metrics
Enables users to test the indicator's performance over historical data, comparing it to a buy-and-hold strategy.
Alerts
Set up alerts for when the signal crosses above or below the thresholds.
alertcondition(long_alert, "LONG (MAR Weighted Trend System)", "MAR Weighted Trend System flipped ⬆LONG⬆")
alertcondition(short_alert, "SHORT (MAR Weighted Trend System)", "MAR Weighted Trend System flipped ⬇Short⬇")
Important Notes
Customization: Due to the experimental nature of this indicator, users are strongly encouraged to adjust and calibrate the settings to align with their trading strategies and market conditions.
Default Settings Disclaimer: The default settings are not optimized or recommended for any specific use and serve only as placeholders for the indicator's publication.
Backtest Results Disclaimer: Historical backtest results are not indicative of future performance. Market conditions change, and past results do not guarantee future outcomes.
MomentumIndicatorsLibrary "MomentumIndicators"
This is a library of 'Momentum Indicators', also denominated as oscillators.
The purpose of this library is to organize momentum indicators in just one place, making it easy to access.
In addition, it aims to allow customized versions, not being restricted to just the price value.
An example of this use case is the popular Stochastic RSI.
# Indicators:
1. Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Measures the relative strength of recent price gains to recent price losses of an asset.
2. Rate of Change (ROC):
Measures the percentage change in price of an asset over a specified time period.
3. Stochastic Oscillator (Stoch):
Compares the current price of an asset to its price range over a specified time period.
4. True Strength Index (TSI):
Measures the price change, calculating the ratio of the price change (positive or negative) in relation to the
absolute price change.
The values of both are smoothed twice to reduce noise, and the final result is normalized
in a range between 100 and -100.
5. Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI):
Combination of the True Strength Index with a signal line to help identify turning points in the market.
6. Williams Percent Range (Williams %R):
Compares the current price of an asset to its highest high and lowest low over a specified time period.
7. Commodity Channel Index (CCI):
Measures the relationship between an asset's current price and its moving average.
8. Ultimate Oscillator (UO):
Combines three different time periods to help identify possible reversal points.
9. Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD):
Shows the difference between short-term and long-term exponential moving averages.
10. Fisher Transform (FT):
Normalize prices into a Gaussian normal distribution.
11. Inverse Fisher Transform (IFT):
Transform the values of the Fisher Transform into a smaller and more easily interpretable scale is through the
application of an inverse transformation to the hyperbolic tangent function.
This transformation takes the values of the FT, which range from -infinity to +infinity, to a scale limited
between -1 and +1, allowing them to be more easily visualized and compared.
12. Premier Stochastic Oscillator (PSO):
Normalizes the standard stochastic oscillator by applying a five-period double exponential smoothing average of
the %K value, resulting in a symmetric scale of 1 to -1
# Indicators of indicators:
## Stochastic:
1. Stochastic of RSI (Relative Strengh Index)
2. Stochastic of ROC (Rate of Change)
3. Stochastic of UO (Ultimate Oscillator)
4. Stochastic of TSI (True Strengh Index)
5. Stochastic of Williams R%
6. Stochastic of CCI (Commodity Channel Index).
7. Stochastic of MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence)
8. Stochastic of FT (Fisher Transform)
9. Stochastic of Volume
10. Stochastic of MFI (Money Flow Index)
11. Stochastic of On OBV (Balance Volume)
12. Stochastic of PVI (Positive Volume Index)
13. Stochastic of NVI (Negative Volume Index)
14. Stochastic of PVT (Price-Volume Trend)
15. Stochastic of VO (Volume Oscillator)
16. Stochastic of VROC (Volume Rate of Change)
## Inverse Fisher Transform:
1.Inverse Fisher Transform on RSI (Relative Strengh Index)
2.Inverse Fisher Transform on ROC (Rate of Change)
3.Inverse Fisher Transform on UO (Ultimate Oscillator)
4.Inverse Fisher Transform on Stochastic
5.Inverse Fisher Transform on TSI (True Strength Index)
6.Inverse Fisher Transform on CCI (Commodity Channel Index)
7.Inverse Fisher Transform on Fisher Transform (FT)
8.Inverse Fisher Transform on MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence)
9.Inverse Fisher Transfor on Williams R% (Williams Percent Range)
10.Inverse Fisher Transfor on CMF (Chaikin Money Flow)
11.Inverse Fisher Transform on VO (Volume Oscillator)
12.Inverse Fisher Transform on VROC (Volume Rate of Change)
## Stochastic Momentum Index:
1.Stochastic Momentum Index of RSI (Relative Strength Index)
2.Stochastic Momentum Index of ROC (Rate of Change)
3.Stochastic Momentum Index of VROC (Volume Rate of Change)
4.Stochastic Momentum Index of Williams R% (Williams Percent Range)
5.Stochastic Momentum Index of FT (Fisher Transform)
6.Stochastic Momentum Index of CCI (Commodity Channel Index)
7.Stochastic Momentum Index of UO (Ultimate Oscillator)
8.Stochastic Momentum Index of MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence)
9.Stochastic Momentum Index of Volume
10.Stochastic Momentum Index of MFI (Money Flow Index)
11.Stochastic Momentum Index of CMF (Chaikin Money Flow)
12.Stochastic Momentum Index of On Balance Volume (OBV)
13.Stochastic Momentum Index of Price-Volume Trend (PVT)
14.Stochastic Momentum Index of Volume Oscillator (VO)
15.Stochastic Momentum Index of Positive Volume Index (PVI)
16.Stochastic Momentum Index of Negative Volume Index (NVI)
## Relative Strength Index:
1. RSI for Volume
2. RSI for Moving Average
rsi(source, length)
RSI (Relative Strengh Index). Measures the relative strength of recent price gains to recent price losses of an asset.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
length : (int) Period of loopback
Returns: (float) Series of RSI
roc(source, length)
ROC (Rate of Change). Measures the percentage change in price of an asset over a specified time period.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
length : (int) Period of loopback
Returns: (float) Series of ROC
stoch(kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Stochastic Oscillator. Compares the current price of an asset to its price range over a specified time period.
Parameters:
kLength
kSmoothing : (int) Period for smoothig stochastic
dSmoothing : (int) Period for signal (moving average of stochastic)
maTypeK : (int) Type of Moving Average for Stochastic Oscillator
maTypeD : (int) Type of Moving Average for Stochastic Oscillator Signal
almaOffsetKD : (float) Offset for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average for Oscillator and Signal
almaSigmaKD : (float) Sigma for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average for Oscillator and Signal
lsmaOffSetKD : (int) Offset for Least Squares Moving Average for Oscillator and Signal
Returns: A tuple of Stochastic Oscillator and Moving Average of Stochastic Oscillator
stoch(source, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Stochastic Oscillator. Customized source. Compares the current price of an asset to its price range over a specified time period.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
kLength : (int) Period of loopback to calculate the stochastic
kSmoothing : (int) Period for smoothig stochastic
dSmoothing : (int) Period for signal (moving average of stochastic)
maTypeK : (int) Type of Moving Average for Stochastic Oscillator
maTypeD : (int) Type of Moving Average for Stochastic Oscillator Signal
almaOffsetKD : (float) Offset for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average for Stoch and Signal
almaSigmaKD : (float) Sigma for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average for Stoch and Signal
lsmaOffSetKD : (int) Offset for Least Squares Moving Average for Stoch and Signal
Returns: A tuple of Stochastic Oscillator and Moving Average of Stochastic Oscillator
tsi(source, shortLength, longLength, maType, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet)
TSI (True Strengh Index). Measures the price change, calculating the ratio of the price change (positive or negative) in relation to the absolute price change.
The values of both are smoothed twice to reduce noise, and the final result is normalized in a range between 100 and -100.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
shortLength : (int) Short length
longLength : (int) Long length
maType : (int) Type of Moving Average for TSI
almaOffset : (float) Offset for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
almaSigma : (float) Sigma for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
lsmaOffSet : (int) Offset for Least Squares Moving Average
Returns: (float) TSI
smi(sourceTSI, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
SMI (Stochastic Momentum Index). A TSI (True Strengh Index) plus a signal line.
Parameters:
sourceTSI : (float) Source of series for TSI (close, high, low, etc.)
shortLengthTSI : (int) Short length for TSI
longLengthTSI : (int) Long length for TSI
maTypeTSI : (int) Type of Moving Average for Signal of TSI
almaOffsetTSI : (float) Offset for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
almaSigmaTSI : (float) Sigma for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
lsmaOffSetTSI : (int) Offset for Least Squares Moving Average
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
Returns: A tuple with TSI, signal of TSI and histogram of difference
wpr(source, length)
Williams R% (Williams Percent Range). Compares the current price of an asset to its highest high and lowest low over a specified time period.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
length : (int) Period of loopback
Returns: (float) Series of Williams R%
cci(source, length, maType, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet)
CCI (Commodity Channel Index). Measures the relationship between an asset's current price and its moving average.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
length : (int) Period of loopback
maType : (int) Type of Moving Average
almaOffset : (float) Offset for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
almaSigma : (float) Sigma for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
lsmaOffSet : (int) Offset for Least Squares Moving Average
Returns: (float) Series of CCI
ultimateOscillator(fastLength, middleLength, slowLength)
UO (Ultimate Oscilator). Combines three different time periods to help identify possible reversal points.
Parameters:
fastLength : (int) Fast period of loopback
middleLength : (int) Middle period of loopback
slowLength : (int) Slow period of loopback
Returns: (float) Series of Ultimate Oscilator
ultimateOscillator(source, fastLength, middleLength, slowLength)
UO (Ultimate Oscilator). Customized source. Combines three different time periods to help identify possible reversal points.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
fastLength : (int) Fast period of loopback
middleLength : (int) Middle period of loopback
slowLength : (int) Slow period of loopback
Returns: (float) Series of Ultimate Oscilator
macd(source, fastLength, slowLength, signalLength, maTypeFast, maTypeSlow, maTypeMACD, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet)
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence). Shows the difference between short-term and long-term exponential moving averages.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
fastLength : (int) Period for fast moving average
slowLength : (int) Period for slow moving average
signalLength : (int) Signal length
maTypeFast : (int) Type of fast moving average
maTypeSlow : (int) Type of slow moving average
maTypeMACD : (int) Type of MACD moving average
almaOffset : (float) Offset for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
almaSigma : (float) Sigma for Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
lsmaOffSet : (int) Offset for Least Squares Moving Average
Returns: A tuple with MACD, Signal, and Histgram
fisher(length)
Fisher Transform. Normalize prices into a Gaussian normal distribution.
Parameters:
length
Returns: A tuple with Fisher Transform and signal
fisher(source, length)
Fisher Transform. Customized source. Normalize prices into a Gaussian normal distribution.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
length
Returns: A tuple with Fisher Transform and signal
inverseFisher(source, length, subtrahend, denominator)
Inverse Fisher Transform.
Transform the values of the Fisher Transform into a smaller and more easily interpretable scale is
through the application of an inverse transformation to the hyperbolic tangent function.
This transformation takes the values of the FT, which range from -infinity to +infinity,
to a scale limited between -1 and +1, allowing them to be more easily visualized and compared.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
length : (int) Period for loopback
subtrahend : (int) Denominator. Useful in unbounded indicators. For example, in CCI.
denominator
Returns: (float) Series of Inverse Fisher Transform
premierStoch(length, smoothlen)
Premier Stochastic Oscillator (PSO).
Normalizes the standard stochastic oscillator by applying a five-period double exponential smoothing
average of the %K value, resulting in a symmetric scale of 1 to -1.
Parameters:
length : (int) Period for loopback
smoothlen : (int) Period for smoothing
Returns: (float) Series of PSO
premierStoch(source, smoothlen, subtrahend, denominator)
Premier Stochastic Oscillator (PSO) of custom source.
Normalizes the source by applying a five-period double exponential smoothing average.
Parameters:
source : (float) Source of series (close, high, low, etc.)
smoothlen : (int) Period for smoothing
subtrahend : (int) Denominator. Useful in unbounded indicators. For example, in CCI.
denominator
Returns: (float) Series of PSO
stochRsi(sourceRSI, lengthRSI, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
sourceRSI
lengthRSI
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochRoc(sourceROC, lengthROC, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
sourceROC
lengthROC
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochUO(fastLength, middleLength, slowLength, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
fastLength
middleLength
slowLength
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochTSI(source, shortLength, longLength, maType, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
source
shortLength
longLength
maType
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochWPR(source, length, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
source
length
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochCCI(source, length, maType, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
source
length
maType
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochMACD(source, fastLength, slowLength, signalLength, maTypeFast, maTypeSlow, maTypeMACD, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
source
fastLength
slowLength
signalLength
maTypeFast
maTypeSlow
maTypeMACD
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochFT(length, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
length
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochVolume(kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochMFI(source, length, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
source
length
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochOBV(source, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
source
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochPVI(source, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
source
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochNVI(source, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
source
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochPVT(source, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
source
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochVO(shortLen, longLen, maType, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
shortLen
longLen
maType
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
stochVROC(length, kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD)
Parameters:
length
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
iftRSI(sourceRSI, lengthRSI, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
sourceRSI
lengthRSI
lengthIFT
iftROC(sourceROC, lengthROC, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
sourceROC
lengthROC
lengthIFT
iftUO(fastLength, middleLength, slowLength, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
fastLength
middleLength
slowLength
lengthIFT
iftStoch(kLength, kSmoothing, dSmoothing, maTypeK, maTypeD, almaOffsetKD, almaSigmaKD, lsmaOffSetKD, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
kLength
kSmoothing
dSmoothing
maTypeK
maTypeD
almaOffsetKD
almaSigmaKD
lsmaOffSetKD
lengthIFT
iftTSI(source, shortLength, longLength, maType, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
source
shortLength
longLength
maType
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
lengthIFT
iftCCI(source, length, maType, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
source
length
maType
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
lengthIFT
iftFisher(length, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
length
lengthIFT
iftMACD(source, fastLength, slowLength, signalLength, maTypeFast, maTypeSlow, maTypeMACD, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
source
fastLength
slowLength
signalLength
maTypeFast
maTypeSlow
maTypeMACD
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
lengthIFT
iftWPR(source, length, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
source
length
lengthIFT
iftMFI(source, length, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
source
length
lengthIFT
iftCMF(length, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
length
lengthIFT
iftVO(shortLen, longLen, maType, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
shortLen
longLen
maType
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
lengthIFT
iftVROC(length, lengthIFT)
Parameters:
length
lengthIFT
smiRSI(source, length, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
length
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiROC(source, length, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
length
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiVROC(length, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
length
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiWPR(source, length, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
length
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiFT(length, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
length
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiFT(source, length, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
length
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiCCI(source, length, maTypeCCI, almaOffsetCCI, almaSigmaCCI, lsmaOffSetCCI, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
length
maTypeCCI
almaOffsetCCI
almaSigmaCCI
lsmaOffSetCCI
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiUO(fastLength, middleLength, slowLength, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
fastLength
middleLength
slowLength
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiMACD(source, fastLength, slowLength, signalLength, maTypeFast, maTypeSlow, maTypeMACD, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
fastLength
slowLength
signalLength
maTypeFast
maTypeSlow
maTypeMACD
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiVol(shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiMFI(source, length, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
length
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiCMF(length, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
length
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiOBV(source, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiPVT(source, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiVO(shortLen, longLen, maType, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
shortLen
longLen
maType
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiPVI(source, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
smiNVI(source, shortLengthTSI, longLengthTSI, maTypeTSI, almaOffsetTSI, almaSigmaTSI, lsmaOffSetTSI, maTypeSignal, smoothingLengthSignal, almaOffsetSignal, almaSigmaSignal, lsmaOffSetSignal)
Parameters:
source
shortLengthTSI
longLengthTSI
maTypeTSI
almaOffsetTSI
almaSigmaTSI
lsmaOffSetTSI
maTypeSignal
smoothingLengthSignal
almaOffsetSignal
almaSigmaSignal
lsmaOffSetSignal
rsiVolume(length)
Parameters:
length
rsiMA(sourceMA, lengthMA, maType, almaOffset, almaSigma, lsmaOffSet, lengthRSI)
Parameters:
sourceMA
lengthMA
maType
almaOffset
almaSigma
lsmaOffSet
lengthRSI
Advanced Trend and Volatility Indicator with Alerts by ZaimonThis script presents a comprehensive analytical tool that integrates multiple technical indicators to provide a holistic view of market trends and volatility. By uniquely combining Moving Averages (MA), Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic Oscillator, Bollinger Bands, and Average True Range (ATR), it offers nuanced insights into price movements and helps identify potential trading opportunities.
---
### **Key Features and Integration:**
1. **Moving Averages (MA20 & MA50):**
- **Trend Identification:**
- **Methodology:** Calculates two Simple Moving Averages—MA20 (short-term) and MA50 (long-term).
- **Bullish Trend:** When MA20 crosses above MA50, indicating upward momentum.
- **Bearish Trend:** When MA20 crosses below MA50, signaling downward momentum.
- **Golden Cross & Death Cross Alerts:**
- **Golden Cross:** MA20 crossing above MA50 generates a bullish alert and visual symbol.
- **Death Cross:** MA20 crossing below MA50 triggers a bearish alert and visual symbol.
- **Integration:**
- Serves as the foundational trend indicator, influencing interpretations of other indicators within the script.
2. **Relative Strength Index (RSI):**
- **Momentum Measurement:**
- **Methodology:** Calculates RSI to assess the speed and change of price movements over a 14-period length.
- **Overbought/Oversold Conditions:** Customizable thresholds set at 70 (overbought) and 30 (oversold).
- **Alerts:**
- Generates alerts when RSI crosses above or below the specified thresholds.
- **Integration:**
- Confirms trend strength identified by MAs.
- Overbought/Oversold signals can precede potential trend reversals, especially when aligned with MA crossovers.
3. **Stochastic Oscillator:**
- **Momentum and Reversal Signals:**
- **Methodology:** Uses %K and %D lines to evaluate price momentum relative to high-low range over recent periods.
- **Bullish Signal:** %K crossing above %D in oversold territory (below 20).
- **Bearish Signal:** %K crossing below %D in overbought territory (above 80).
- **Alerts:**
- Provides alerts on bullish and bearish crossovers in extreme regions.
- **Integration:**
- Enhances RSI signals by providing additional momentum confirmation.
- When both RSI and Stochastic indicate overbought/oversold conditions, it strengthens the likelihood of a reversal.
4. **Bollinger Bands:**
- **Volatility Visualization:**
- **Methodology:** Plots upper and lower bands based on standard deviations from a moving average (BB Basis).
- **Dynamic Support/Resistance:** Prices touching or exceeding the bands may indicate potential reversals.
- **Integration:**
- Works with RSI and Stochastic to identify overextended price movements.
- Helps in assessing volatility alongside trend and momentum indicators.
5. **Average True Range (ATR):**
- **Volatility Assessment:**
- **Methodology:** Calculates ATR over a 14-period length to measure market volatility.
- **ATR Bands:** Plots upper and lower bands relative to the current price using an ATR multiplier.
- **Integration:**
- Assists in setting stop-loss and take-profit levels based on current volatility.
- Complements Bollinger Bands for a comprehensive volatility analysis.
6. **Information Table:**
- **Real-Time Data Display:**
- Shows current values of MA20, MA50, RSI, Stochastic %K and %D, BB Basis, ATR, and Trend Status.
- **Trend Status Indicator:**
- Displays "Bullish," "Bearish," or "Sideways" based on MA conditions.
- **Integration:**
- Provides a consolidated view for quick decision-making without analyzing individual indicators separately.
7. **Periodic Labels:**
- **Enhanced Visibility:**
- Adds labels every 50 bars showing RSI and Stochastic values.
- **Integration:**
- Helps track momentum changes over time and spot longer-term patterns.
---
### **How the Components Work Together:**
- **Synergistic Analysis:**
- **Trend Confirmation:** MA crossovers establish the primary trend, while RSI and Stochastic confirm momentum within that trend.
- **Volatility Context:** Bollinger Bands and ATR provide context on market volatility, refining entry and exit points suggested by trend and momentum indicators.
- **Signal Strength:** Concurrent signals from multiple indicators increase confidence in trading decisions.
---
### **Usage Guidelines:**
1. **Trend Analysis:**
- **Identify Trend Direction:**
- Observe MA20 and MA50 crossovers.
- Refer to the Trend Status in the information table.
- **Confirm with Momentum Indicators:**
- Ensure RSI and Stochastic support the identified trend.
2. **Entry and Exit Points:**
- **Overbought/Oversold Conditions:**
- Look for RSI and Stochastic reaching extreme levels.
- Consider entering positions when oversold in a bullish trend or overbought in a bearish trend.
- **Bollinger Band Interactions:**
- Use price interactions with Bollinger Bands to identify potential reversal zones.
3. **Risk Management:**
- **ATR-Based Levels:**
- Set stop-loss and take-profit levels using ATR bands to account for current volatility.
- **Adjusting to Volatility:**
- Modify position sizes and targets based on Bollinger Band width and ATR values.
4. **Alerts Setup:**
- **Customize Alert Thresholds:**
- Configure alerts for MA crossovers, RSI levels, and Stochastic crossovers according to your trading strategy.
- **Stay Informed:**
- Use alerts to monitor key events without constant chart observation.
---
### **Customization:**
- **Flexible Parameters:**
- All indicator lengths, thresholds, and settings are adjustable to suit different trading styles and timeframes.
- **Adjustable Visuals:**
- Modify plot colors, line styles, and label positions to enhance chart readability.
---
### **Originality and Value Addition:**
This script differentiates itself by:
- **Integrated Approach:**
- Seamlessly combining multiple indicators to provide a more comprehensive analysis than using each indicator separately.
- **Enhanced Visualization:**
- Utilizing plots, fills, labels, and an information table to present data intuitively.
- **User-Friendly Features:**
- Pre-configured alerts and real-time data displays reduce the need for manual monitoring.
By explaining how each component interacts and contributes to the overall analysis, the script adds substantial value to traders seeking a multi-faceted tool for market analysis.
---
### **Additional Notes:**
- **Learning Resource:**
- The script is well-commented, serving as an educational tool for those learning Pine Script and technical analysis integration.
- **Further Enhancements:**
- Opportunities exist to incorporate additional indicators like MACD or ADX, and to develop advanced alert logic, such as RSI or Stochastic divergences.
---
### **Disclaimer:**
- **Educational Purpose Only:**
- This script is provided for informational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
- **Risk Acknowledgment:**
- Trading involves significant risk; past performance is not indicative of future results.
- **Due Diligence:**
- Users should conduct their own analysis and consider consulting a financial professional before making trading decisions.
---
By providing detailed explanations of the methodologies and the synergistic use of multiple indicators, this script aligns with TradingView's guidelines for originality and usefulness. It offers traders a unique tool that enhances market analysis through the thoughtful integration of technical indicators.
Hull Trend and CompareThis Pine Script is a TradingView indicator called "Hull Trend and Compare." Its main purpose is to provide a visual representation of price trends and a comparative analysis between the selected symbol and another symbol chosen for comparison.
The key components and functionalities:
Price Trend Visualization:
1.Mode Selection:
Offers three modes: "Normal," "Linear," and "Heikin-Ashi."
Allows users to choose between a standard chart, linear regression, or Heikin-Ashi candlesticks.
2.Hull Moving Average (HullMA):
Calculates the HullMA for the selected mode and length.
Plots the HullMA on the chart.
Colors the background based on the relationship between HullMA and the closing price.
Generates buy and sell signals when the price crosses over or under the HullMA.
Symbol Comparison:
1.Comparison with Another Symbol:
Allows users to compare the selected symbol with another symbol (specified in the sym input).
Provides options to choose the method of calculation for the compared symbol (open, high, low, close).
Users can choose whether to use a different method of calculation (usem), adjust the length (len), and enable or disable comparison (usecmp).
Table Display:
1.Table for Technical Indicators:
Optionally displays a table showing technical indicators for both symbols.
Includes Stochastic Momentum, RSI (Relative Strength Index), and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence).
Colors the table cells based on the direction of the indicators.
Users can customize the table's position, text size, and visibility (shwtbl).
Technical Indicators:
1.Stochastic Momentum (StochMoM):
Calculates %K and %D using the Stochastic formula.
Displays StochMoM values and colors cells based on bullish or bearish conditions.
2.Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Computes the RSI values and colors cells based on the direction of the trend.
3.MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
Calculates MACD and Signal line values.
Displays MACD values and colors cells based on bullish or bearish conditions.
Summary:
This script provides traders with a versatile tool for analyzing price trends, comparing symbols, and viewing key technical indicators. The combination of visual elements on the chart and a detailed table enhances the ability to make informed trading decisions.
This script is provided for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Traders and investors should conduct their research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
DIY Custom Strategy Builder [ZP] - v1DISCLAIMER:
This indicator as my first ever Tradingview indicator, has been developed for my personal trading analysis, consolidating various powerful indicators that I frequently use. A number of the embedded indicators within this tool are the creations of esteemed Pine Script developers from the TradingView community. In recognition of their contributions, the names of these developers will be prominently displayed alongside the respective indicator names. My selection of these indicators is rooted in my own experience and reflects those that have proven most effective for me. Please note that the past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and due diligence before using any indicator or tool.
===========================================================================
Introducing the ultimate all-in-one DIY strategy builder indicator, With over 30+ famous indicators (some with custom configuration/settings) indicators included, you now have the power to mix and match to create your own custom strategy for shorter time or longer time frames depending on your trading style. Say goodbye to cluttered charts and manual/visual confirmation of multiple indicators and hello to endless possibilities with this indicator.
What it does
==================
This indicator basically help users to do 2 things:
1) Strategy Builder
With more than 30 indicators available, you can select any combination you prefer and the indicator will generate buy and sell signals accordingly. Alternative to the time-consuming process of manually confirming signals from multiple indicators! This indicator streamlines the process by automatically printing buy and sell signals based on your chosen combination of indicators. No more staring at the screen for hours on end, simply set up alerts and let the indicator do the work for you.
Available indicators that you can choose to build your strategy, are coded to seamlessly print the BUY and SELL signal upon confirmation of all selected indicators:
EMA Filter
2 EMA Cross
3 EMA Cross
Range Filter (Guikroth)
SuperTrend
Ichimoku Cloud
SuperIchi (LuxAlgo)
B-Xtrender (QuantTherapy)
Bull Bear Power Trend (Dreadblitz)
VWAP
BB Oscillator (Veryfid)
Trend Meter (Lij_MC)
Chandelier Exit (Everget)
CCI
Awesome Oscillator
DMI ( Adx )
Parabolic SAR
Waddah Attar Explosion (Shayankm)
Volatility Oscillator (Veryfid)
Damiani Volatility ( DV ) (RichardoSantos)
Stochastic
RSI
MACD
SSL Channel (ErwinBeckers)
Schaff Trend Cycle ( STC ) (LazyBear)
Chaikin Money Flow
Volume
Wolfpack Id (Darrellfischer1)
QQE Mod (Mihkhel00)
Hull Suite (Insilico)
Vortex Indicator
2) Overlay Indicators
Access the full potential of this indicator using the SWITCH BOARD section! Here, you have the ability to turn on and plot up to 14 of the included indicators on your chart. Simply select from the following options:
EMA
Support/Resistance (HeWhoMustNotBeNamed)
Supply/ Demand Zone ( SMC ) (Pmgjiv)
Parabolic SAR
Ichimoku Cloud
Superichi (LuxAlgo)
SuperTrend
Range Filter (Guikroth)
Average True Range (ATR)
VWAP
Schaff Trend Cycle ( STC ) (LazyBear)
PVSRA (TradersReality)
Liquidity Zone/Vector Candle Zone (TradersReality)
Market Sessions (Aurocks_AIF)
How it does it
==================
To explain how this indictor generate signal or does what it does, its best to put in points.
I have coded the strategy for each of the indicator, for some of the indicator you will see the option to choose strategy variation, these variants are either famous among the traders or its the ones I found more accurate based on my usage. By coding the strategy I will have the BUY and SELL signal generated by each indicator in the backend.
Next, the indicator will identify your selected LEADING INDICATOR and the CONFIRMATION INDICATOR(s).
On each candle close, the indicator will check if the selected LEADING INDICATOR generates signal (long or short).
Once the leading indicator generates the signal, then the indicator will scan each of the selected CONFIRMATION INDICATORS on candle close to check if any of the CONFIRMATION INDICATOR generated signal (long or short).
Until this point, all the process is happening in the backend, the indicator will print LONG or SHORT signal on the chart ONLY if LEADING INDICATOR and all the selected CONFIRMATION INDICATORS generates signal on candle close. example for long signal, the LEADING INDICATOR and all selected CONFIRMATION INDICATORS must print long signal.
The dashboard table will show your selected LEADING and CONFIRMATION INDICATORS and if LEADING or the CONFIRMATION INDICATORS have generated signal. Signal generated by LEADING and CONFIRMATION indicator whether long or short, is indicated by tick icon ✔. and if any of the selected CONFIRMATION or LEADING indicator does not generate signal on candle close, it will be indicated with cross symbol ✖.
how to use this indicator
==============================
Using the indicator is pretty simple, but it depends on your goal, whether you want to use it for overlaying the available indicators or using it to build your strategy or for both.
To use for Building your strategy: Select your LEADING INDICATOR, and then select your CONFIRMATION INDICATOR(s). if on candle close all the indicators generate signal, then this indicator will print SHORT or LONG signal on the chart for your entry. There are plenty of indicators you can use to build your strategy, some indicators are best for longer time frame setups while others are responsive indicators that are best for short time frame.
To use for overlaying the indicators: Open the setting of this indicator and scroll to the SWITCHBOARD section, from there you can select which indicator you want to plot on the chart.
For each of the listed indicators, you have the flexibility to customize the settings and configurations to suit your preferences. simply open indicator setting and scroll down, you will find configuration for each of the indicators used.
I will also release the Strategy Backtester for this indicator soon.
FATL, SATL, RFTL, & RSTL Digital Signal Filter Smoother [Loxx]FATL, SATL, RFTL, & RSTL Digital Signal Filter (DSP) Smoother is is a baseline indicator with DSP processed source inputs
What are digital indicators: distinctions from standard tools, types of filters.
To date, dozens of technical analysis indicators have been developed: trend instruments, oscillators, etc. Most of them use the method of averaging historical data, which is considered crude. But there is another group of tools - digital indicators developed on the basis of mathematical methods of spectral analysis. Their formula allows the trader to filter price noise accurately and exclude occasional surges, making the forecast more effective in comparison with conventional indicators. In this review, you will learn about their distinctions, advantages, types of digital indicators and examples of strategies based on them.
Two non-standard strategies based on digital indicators
Basic technical analysis indicators built into most platforms are based on mathematical formulas. These formulas are a reflection of market behavior in past periods. In other words, these indicators are built based on patterns that were discovered as a result of statistical analysis, which allows one to predict further trend movement to some extent. But there is also a group of indicators called digital indicators. They are developed using mathematical analysis and are an algorithmic spectral system called ATCF (Adaptive Trend & Cycles Following). In this article, I will tell you more about the components of this system, describe the differences between digital and regular indicators, and give examples of 2 strategies with indicator templates.
ATCF - Market Spectrum Analysis Method
There is a theory according to which the market is chaotic and unpredictable, i.e. it cannot be accurately analyzed. After all, no one can tell how traders will react to certain news, or whether some large investor will want to play against the market like George Soros did with the Bank of England. But there is another theory: many general market trends are logical, and have a rationale, causes and effects. The economy is undulating, which means it can be described by mathematical methods.
Digital indicators are defined as a group of algorithms for assessing the market situation, which are based exclusively on mathematical methods. They differ from standard indicators by the form of analysis display. They display certain values: price, smoothed price, volumes. Many standard indicators are built on the basis of filtering the minute significant price fluctuations with the help of moving averages and their variations. But we can hardly call the MA a good filter, because digital indicators that use spectral filters make it possible to do a more accurate calculation.
Simply put, digital indicators are technical analysis tools in which spectral filters are used to filter out price noise instead of moving averages.
The display of traditional indicators is lines, areas, and channels. Digital indicators can be displayed both in the form of lines and in digital form (a set of numbers in columns, any data in a text field, etc.). The digital display of the data is more like an additional source of statistics; for trading, a standard visual linear chart view is used.
All digital models belong to the category of spectral analysis of the market situation. In conventional technical indicators, price indications are averaged over a fixed period of time, which gives a rather rough result. The use of spectral analysis allows us to increase trading efficiency due to the fact that digital indicators use a statistical data set of past periods, which is converted into a “frequency” of the market (period of fluctuations).
Fourier theory provides the following spectral ranging of the trend duration:
low frequency range (0-4) - a reflection of a long trend of 2 months or more
medium frequency range (5-40) - the trend lasts 10-60 days, thus it is referred to as a correction
high frequency range (41-130) - price noise that lasts for several days
The ATCF algorithm is built on the basis of spectral analysis and includes a set of indicators created using digital filters. Its consists of indicators and filters:
FATL: Built on the basis of a low-frequency digital trend filter
SATL: Built on the basis of a low-frequency digital trend filter of a different order
RFTL: High frequency trend line
RSTL: Low frequency trend line
Inclucded:
4 DSP filters
Bar coloring
Keltner channels with variety ranges and smoothing functions
Bollinger bands
40 Smoothing filters
33 souce types
Variable channels
