Qullamaggie [Modified] | FractalystWhat's the purpose of this strategy?
The strategy aims to identify high-probability breakout setups in trending markets, inspired by Kristjan "Qullamaggie" Kullamägi’s approach.
It focuses on capturing explosive price moves after periods of consolidation, using technical criteria like moving averages, breakouts, trailing stop-loss and momentum confirmation.
Ideal for swing traders seeking to ride strong trends while managing risk.
----
How does the strategy work?
The strategy follows a systematic process to capture high-momentum breakouts:
Pre-Breakout Criteria:
Prior Price Surge: Identifies stocks that have rallied 30-100%+ in recent month(s), signaling strong underlying momentum (per Qullamaggie’s volatility expansion principles).
Consolidation Phase: Looks for a tightening price range (e.g., flag, pennant, or tight base), indicating a potential "coiling" before continuation.
Trend Confirmation: Uses moving averages (e.g., 20/50/200 EMA) to ensure the stock is trading above key averages on the daily chart, confirming an uptrend.
Price Break: Enters when price clears the consolidation high with conviction.
Risk Management:
Initial Stop Loss: Placed below the consolidation low or a recent swing point to limit downside.
Break-Even Adjustment: Moves stop loss to breakeven once the trade reaches 1.5x risk-to-reward (RR), securing a "free trade" while letting winners run.
Trailing Stop (Unique Edge):
Market Structure Trailing: Instead of trailing via moving averages, the stop is dynamically adjusted using structural invalidation level. This adapts to price action, allowing the trade to stay open during volatile retracements while locking in gains as new structure forms.
Why This Matters: Most strategies use rigid trailing stops (e.g., below the 10EMA), which often exit prematurely in choppy markets. By trailing based on structure, this strategy avoids "noise" and captures larger trends, directly boosting overall returns.
----
What markets or timeframes is this suited for?
This is a long-only strategy designed for trending markets, and it performs best in:
Markets: Stocks (especially high-growth, liquid equities), cryptocurrencies (major pairs with strong volatility), commodities (e.g., oil, gold), and futures (index/commodity futures).
Timeframes: Primarily daily charts for swing trades (1-30 day holds), though weekly charts can help confirm broader trends.
Key Advantage: The TradingView script allows instant backtesting with adjustable parameters
You can:
- Test historical performance across multiple markets to identify which assets align best with the strategy.
- Optimize settings (e.g., trailing stop sensitivity, moving averages etc.) to match a market’s volatility profile.
Build a diversified portfolio by filtering for markets that show consistent profitability in backtests.
For example, you might discover cryptos require tighter trailing stops due to volatility, while stocks thrive with wider structural stops. The script automates this analysis, letting you to trade confidently.
----
What indicators or tools does the strategy use?
The strategy combines customizable technical tools with strict anti-lookahead safeguards:
Core Indicators:
Moving Averages: Adjustable periods (e.g., 20/50/200 EMA or SMA) and timeframes (daily/weekly) to confirm trend alignment. Users can test combinations (e.g., 10EMA vs. 20EMA) to optimize for specific markets.
Breakout Parameters:
Consolidation Length: Adjustable window to define the "tightness" of the pre-breakout pattern.
Entry Models: Flexible entry logics (Breakouts and fractals)
Anti-Lookahead Design:
All calculations (e.g., moving averages, consolidation ranges, volume averages) use only closed/confirmed data available at the time of the signal.
----
How do I manage risk with this strategy?
The strategy prioritizes customizable risk controls to align with your trading style and account size:
User-Defined Risk Inputs:
Risk Per Trade: Set a % of Equity (e.g., 1-2%) to determine position size. The strategy auto-calculates shares/contracts to match your selected risk per trade.
Flexibility: Choose between fixed risk or equity-based scaling.
The script adjusts position sizing dynamically based on your selection.
Pyramiding Feature:
Customizable Entries: Adjust the number of pyramiding trades allowed (e.g., 1-3 additional positions) in the strategy settings. Each new entry is triggered only if the prior trade hits its 1.5x RR target and the trend remains intact.
Risk-Scaled Additions: New positions use profits from prior trades, compounding gains without increasing initial risk.
Risk-Free Trade Mechanic:
Once a trade reaches 1.5x RR, the stop loss is moved to breakeven, eliminating downside risk.
The strategy then opens a new position (if pyramiding is enabled) using a portion of the locked-in profit. This "snowballs" winners while keeping total capital exposure stable.
Impact on Net Profit & Drawdown:
Net Profit Boost: Pyramiding lets you ride multi-leg trends aggressively. For example, a 100% runner could generate 2-3x more profit vs. a single-entry approach.
Controlled Drawdowns: Since new positions are funded by profits (not initial capital), max drawdown stays anchored to your original risk per trade (e.g., 1-2% of account). Even if later entries fail, the breakeven stop on prior trades protects overall equity.
Why This Works: Most strategies either over-leverage (increasing drawdowns) or exit too early. By recycling profits into new positions only after securing risk-free capital, this approach mimics hedge fund "scaling in" tactics while staying retail-trader friendly.
----
How does the strategy identify market structure for its trailing stoploss?
The strategy identifies market structure by utilizing an efficient logic with for loops to pinpoint the first swing candle that features a pivot of 2. This marks the beginning of the break of structure, where the market's previous trend or pattern is considered invalidated or changed.
----
What are the underlying calculations?
The underlying calculations involve:
Identifying Swing Points: The strategy looks for swing highs (marked with blue Xs) and swing lows (marked with red Xs). A swing high is identified when a candle's high is higher than the highs of the candles before and after it. Conversely, a swing low is when a candle's low is lower than the lows of the candles before and after it.
Break of Structure (BOS):
Bullish BOS: This occurs when the price breaks above the swing high level of the previous structure, indicating a potential shift to a bullish trend.
Bearish BOS: This happens when the price breaks below the swing low level of the previous structure, signaling a potential shift to a bearish trend.
Structural Liquidity and Invalidation:
Structural Liquidity: After a break of structure, liquidity levels are updated to the first swing high in a bullish BOS or the first swing low in a bearish BOS.
Structural Invalidation: If the price moves back to the level of the first swing low before the bullish BOS or the first swing high before the bearish BOS, it invalidates the break of structure, suggesting a potential reversal or continuation of the previous trend.
This method provides users with a technical approach to filter market regimes, offering an advantage by minimizing the risk of overfitting to historical data, which is often a concern with traditional indicators like moving averages.
By focusing on identifying pivotal swing points and the subsequent breaks of structure, the strategy maintains a balance between sensitivity to market changes and robustness against historical data anomalies, ensuring a more adaptable and potentially more reliable market analysis tool.
----
What entry criteria are used in this script?
The script uses two entry models for trading decisions: BreakOut and Fractal.
Underlying Calculations:
Breakout: The script records the most recent swing high by storing it in a variable. When the price closes above this recorded level, and all other predefined conditions are satisfied, the script triggers a breakout entry. This approach is considered conservative because it waits for the price to confirm a breakout above the previous high before entering a trade. As shown in the image, as soon as the price closes above the new candle (first tick), the long entry gets taken. The stop-loss is initially set and then moved to break-even once the price moves in favor of the trade.
Fractal: This method involves identifying a swing low with a period of 2, which means it looks for a low point where the price is lower than the two candles before and after it. Once this pattern is detected, the script executes the trade. This is an aggressive approach since it doesn't wait for further price confirmation. In the image, this is represented by the 'Fractal 2' label where the script identifies and acts on the swing low pattern.
----
What type of stop-loss identification method are used in this strategy?
This strategy employs two types of stop-loss methods: Initial Stop-loss and Trailing Stop-Loss.
Underlying Calculations:
Initial Stop-loss:
ATR Based: The strategy uses the Average True Range (ATR) to set an initial stop-loss, which helps in accounting for market volatility without predicting price direction.
Calculation:
- First, the True Range (TR) is calculated for each period, which is the greatest of:
- Current Period High - Current Period Low
- Absolute Value of Current Period High - Previous Period Close
- Absolute Value of Current Period Low - Previous Period Close
- The ATR is then the moving average of these TR values over a specified period, typically 14 periods by default. This ATR value can be used to set the stop-loss at a distance from the entry price that reflects the current market volatility.
Swing Low Based:
For this method, the stop-loss is set based on the most recent swing low identified in the market structure analysis. This approach uses the lowest point of the recent price action as a reference for setting the stop-loss.
Trailing Stop-Loss:
The strategy uses structural liquidity and structural invalidation levels across multiple timeframes to adjust the stop-loss once the trade is profitable. This method involves:
Detecting Structural Liquidity: After a break of structure, the liquidity levels are updated to the first swing high in a bullish scenario or the first swing low in a bearish scenario. These levels serve as potential areas where the price might find support or resistance, allowing the stop-loss to trail the price movement.
Detecting Structural Invalidation: If the price returns to the level of the first swing low before a bullish break of structure or the first swing high before a bearish break of structure, it suggests the trend might be reversing or invalidating, prompting the adjustment of the stop-loss to lock in profits or minimize losses.
By using these methods, the strategy dynamically adjusts the initial stop-loss based on market volatility, helping to protect against adverse price movements while allowing for enough room for trades to develop. The ATR-based stop-loss adapts to the current market conditions by considering the volatility, ensuring that the stop-loss is not too tight during volatile periods, which could lead to premature exits, nor too loose during calm markets, which might result in larger losses. Similarly, the swing low based stop-loss provides a logical exit point if the market structure changes unfavorably.
Each market behaves differently across various timeframes, and it is essential to test different parameters and optimizations to find out which trailing stop-loss method gives you the desired results and performance. This involves backtesting the strategy with different settings for the ATR period, the distance from the swing low, and how the trailing stop-loss reacts to structural liquidity and invalidation levels.
Through this process, you can tailor the strategy to perform optimally in different market environments, ensuring that the stop-loss mechanism supports the trade's longevity while safeguarding against significant drawdowns.
----
What type of break-even method is used in this strategy? What are the underlying calculations?
Moves the initial stop-loss to the entry price when the price reaches a certain RR ratio.
Calculation:
Break-even level = Entry Price + (Initial Risk * RR Ratio)
----
What tables are available in this script?
- Summary: Provides a general overview, displaying key performance parameters such as Net Profit, Profit Factor, Max Drawdown, Average Trade, Closed Trades and more.
Total Commission: Displays the cumulative commissions incurred from all trades executed within the selected backtesting window. This value is derived by summing the commission fees for each trade on your chart.
Average Commission: Represents the average commission per trade, calculated by dividing the Total Commission by the total number of closed trades. This metric is crucial for assessing the impact of trading costs on overall profitability.
Avg Trade: The sum of money gained or lost by the average trade generated by a strategy. Calculated by dividing the Net Profit by the overall number of closed trades. An important value since it must be large enough to cover the commission and slippage costs of trading the strategy and still bring a profit.
MaxDD: Displays the largest drawdown of losses, i.e., the maximum possible loss that the strategy could have incurred among all of the trades it has made. This value is calculated separately for every bar that the strategy spends with an open position.
Profit Factor: The amount of money a trading strategy made for every unit of money it lost (in the selected currency). This value is calculated by dividing gross profits by gross losses.
Avg RR: This is calculated by dividing the average winning trade by the average losing trade. This field is not a very meaningful value by itself because it does not take into account the ratio of the number of winning vs losing trades, and strategies can have different approaches to profitability. A strategy may trade at every possibility in order to capture many small profits, yet have an average losing trade greater than the average winning trade. The higher this value is, the better, but it should be considered together with the percentage of winning trades and the net profit.
Winrate: The percentage of winning trades generated by a strategy. Calculated by dividing the number of winning trades by the total number of closed trades generated by a strategy. Percent profitable is not a very reliable measure by itself. A strategy could have many small winning trades, making the percent profitable high with a small average winning trade, or a few big winning trades accounting for a low percent profitable and a big average winning trade. Most mean-reversion successful strategies have a percent profitability of 40-80% but are profitable due to risk management control.
BE Trades: Number of break-even trades, excluding commission/slippage.
Losing Trades: The total number of losing trades generated by the strategy.
Winning Trades: The total number of winning trades generated by the strategy.
Total Trades: Total number of taken traders visible your charts.
Net Profit: The overall profit or loss (in the selected currency) achieved by the trading strategy in the test period. The value is the sum of all values from the Profit column (on the List of Trades tab), taking into account the sign.
- Monthly: Displays performance data on a month-by-month basis, allowing users to analyze performance trends over each month and year.
- Weekly: Displays performance data on a week-by-week basis, helping users to understand weekly performance variations.
- UI Table: A user-friendly table that allows users to view and save the selected strategy parameters from user inputs. This table enables easy access to key settings and configurations, providing a straightforward solution for saving strategy parameters by simply taking a screenshot with Alt + S or ⌥ + S.
User-input styles and customizations:
Please note that all background colors in the style are disabled by default to enhance visualization.
How to Use This Strategy to Create a Profitable Edge and Systems?
Choose Your Strategy mode:
- Decide whether you are creating an investing strategy or a trading strategy.
Select a Market:
- Choose a one-sided market such as stocks, indices, or cryptocurrencies.
Historical Data:
- Ensure the historical data covers at least 10 years of price action for robust backtesting.
Timeframe Selection:
- Choose the timeframe you are comfortable trading with. It is strongly recommended to use a timeframe above 15 minutes to minimize the impact of commissions/slippage on your profits.
Set Commission and Slippage:
- Properly set the commission and slippage in the strategy properties according to your broker/prop firm specifications.
Parameter Optimization:
- Use trial and error to test different parameters until you find the performance results you are looking for in the summary table or, preferably, through deep backtesting using the strategy tester.
Trade Count:
- Ensure the number of trades is 200 or more; the higher, the better for statistical significance.
Positive Average Trade:
- Make sure the average trade is above zero.
(An important value since it must be large enough to cover the commission and slippage costs of trading the strategy and still bring a profit.)
Performance Metrics:
- Look for a high profit factor, and net profit with minimum drawdown.
- Ideally, aim for a drawdown under 20-30%, depending on your risk tolerance.
Refinement and Optimization:
- Try out different markets and timeframes.
- Continue working on refining your edge using the available filters and components to further optimize your strategy.
What Makes This Strategy Unique?
This strategy combines flexibility, smart risk management, and momentum focus in a way that’s rare and practical:
1. Adapts to Any Market Rhythm
Works on daily, weekly, or intraday charts without code changes.
Uses two entry types: classic breakouts (like trending stocks) or fractal patterns (to avoid false starts).
2. Smarter Stop-Loss System
No rigid rules: Stops adjust based on price structure (e.g., new “higher lows”), not fixed percentages.
Avoids whipsaws: Tightens stops only when the trend strengthens, not in choppy markets.
3. Safe Profit-Boosting Pyramiding
Adds new positions only after prior trades are risk-free (stops moved above breakeven).
Scales up using locked-in profits, not new capital, to grow gains safely.
4. Built-In Momentum Check
Tracks 1/3/6-month price growth to spotlight stocks with strong, lasting momentum.
Terms and Conditions | Disclaimer
Our charting tools are provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, or trading advice. They are not intended to forecast market movements or offer specific recommendations. Users should understand that past performance does not guarantee future results and should not base financial decisions solely on historical data.
Built-in components, features, and functionalities of our charting tools are the intellectual property of @Fractalyst Unauthorized use, reproduction, or distribution of these proprietary elements is prohibited.
- By continuing to use our charting tools, the user acknowledges and accepts the Terms and Conditions outlined in this legal disclaimer and agrees to respect our intellectual property rights and comply with all applicable laws and regulations.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "momentum"
Scalping Strategy Signal v2 by [INFINITYTRADER]Overview
This Pine Script (v6) implements a scalping strategy that uses higher timeframe data (default: 4H) to generate entry and exit signals, originally designed for the 15-minute timeframe with an option for 30-minute charts. The "Scalping Strategy Signal v2 by " integrates moving averages, RSI, volume, ATR, and candlestick patterns to identify trading opportunities. It features adjustable risk management with ATR-based stop-loss, take-profit, and trailing stops, plus dynamic position sizing based on user-set capital. Trades trigger only on the higher timeframe candle close (e.g., 4H) to limit activity within the same period. This closed-source script offers a structured scalping approach, blending multiple entry methods and risk controls for adaptability across market conditions.
What Makes It Unique
Unlike typical scalping scripts relying on single-indicator triggers (e.g., RSI alone or basic MA crossovers), this strategy combines four distinct entry methods—standard MA crossovers, RSI-based momentum shifts, trend-following shorts, and candlestick pattern logic—evaluated on a 4H timeframe for confirmation. This multi-layered design, paired with re-entry logic after losses and a mix of manual, ATR-based, and trailing exits, aims to balance trade frequency and reliability. The higher timeframe filter adds precision not commonly found in simpler scalping tools, while the 30-minute option enhances consistency by reducing noise.
How It Works
Timeframe Logic
Runs on a base timeframe (designed for 15-minute charts, with a 30-minute option) while pulling data from a user-chosen higher timeframe (default: 4H) for signal accuracy.
Limits entries to the close of each 4H candle, ensuring one trade per period to avoid over-trading in volatile conditions.
Indicators and Data
Moving Averages : Employs 21-period and 50-period simple moving averages on the higher timeframe to detect trends and signal entries/exits.
Volume : Requires volume to exceed 70% of its 20-period average on the higher timeframe for momentum confirmation.
RSI : Uses a 14-period RSI for overbought/oversold filtering and a 6-period RSI for precise entry timing.
ATR : Applies a 14-period Average True Range on the higher timeframe to set adaptive stop-loss and take-profit levels.
Candlestick Patterns : Analyzes consecutive green or red 4H bars for trend continuation signals.
Why These Indicators
The blend of moving averages, RSI, volume, ATR, and candlestick patterns forms a robust scalping framework. Moving averages establish trend context, RSI filters momentum and avoids extremes, volume confirms market activity, ATR adjusts risk to volatility, and candlestick patterns enhance entry timing with price action insights. Together, they target small, frequent moves in flat or trending markets, with the 4H filter reducing false signals common in lower-timeframe scalping.
Entry Conditions
Four entry methods are evaluated at the 4H candle close:
Standard Long Entry: Price crosses above the 21-period moving average, volume exceeds 70% of its 20-period average, and the 1H 14-period RSI is below 70—confirms uptrend momentum.
Special Long Entry: The 6-period RSI crosses above 23, price is more than 1.5 times the ATR from the 21-period moving average, and price exceeds its prior close—targets oversold bounces with a stop-loss at the 4H candle’s low.
Short Entries:
- RSI-Based: The 6-period RSI crosses below 68 with volume support—catches overbought pullbacks.
- Trend-Based: Price crosses below the 21-period moving average, volume is above 70% of its average, and the 1H 14-period RSI is above 30—confirms downtrends.
Red/Green Bar Logic: Two consecutive green 4H bars for longs or red 4H bars for shorts—uses candlestick patterns for continuation, with a tight stop-loss from the base timeframe candle.
Re-Entry Logic
Long : After a losing special long, triggers when the 6-period RSI crosses 27 and price crosses the 21-period moving average.
Short : After a losing short, triggers when the 6-period RSI crosses 50 and price crosses below the 21-period moving average.
Purpose: Offers recovery opportunities with stricter conditions.
Exit Conditions
Manual Exits: Longs close if the 21-period MA crosses below the 50-period MA or the 1H 14-period RSI exceeds 68; shorts close if the 21-period MA crosses above the 50-period MA or RSI drops below 25.
ATR-Based TP/SL: Stop-loss is entry price ± ATR × 1.5 (default); take-profit is ± ATR × 4 (default), checked at 4H close.
Trailing Stop: Adjusts ±6x ATR from peak/trough, closing if price retraces within 1x ATR.
Special/Tight SL: Special longs exit if price opens below the 4H candle’s low; 4th method entries use the base timeframe candle’s low/high, checked every bar.
Position Sizing
Bases trade value on user-set capital (default: 100 USDT), dividing by the higher timeframe close price for dynamic sizing.
Visualization
Displays a table at the bottom-right with current/previous signals, TP/SL levels, equity, trading pair, and trade size—color-coded for clarity (green for buy, red for sell).
Inputs
Initial Capital (USDT): Sets trade value (default: 100, min: 1).
ATR Stop-Loss Multiplier: Adjusts SL distance (default: 1.5, min: 1).
ATR Take-Profit Multiplier: Adjusts TP distance (default: 4, min: 1).
Higher Timeframe: Selects analysis timeframe (options: 1m, 5m, 15m, 30m, 1H, 4H, D, W; default: 4H).
Usage Notes
Intended Timeframe: Designed for 15-minute charts with 4H confirmation for precision and frequency; 30-minute charts improve consistency by reducing noise.
Backtesting: Adjust ATR multipliers and capital to match your asset’s volatility and risk tolerance.
Risk Management: Combines manual, ATR, and trailing exits—monitor to avoid overexposure.
Limitations: 4H candle-close dependency may delay entries in fast markets; RSI/volume filters can reduce trades in low-momentum periods.
Backtest Observations
Tested on BTC/USDT (4H higher timeframe, default settings: Initial Capital: 100 USDT, ATR SL: 1.5x, ATR TP: 4x) across market conditions, comparing 15-minute and 30-minute charts:
Bull Market (Jul 2023 - Dec 2023):
15-Minute: 277 long, 219 short; Win Rate: 42.74%; P&L: 108%; Drawdown: 1.99%; Profit Factor: 3.074.
30-Minute: 257 long, 215 short; Win Rate: 49.58%; P&L: 116.85%; Drawdown: 2.34%; Profit Factor: 3.14.
Notes: Moving average crossovers and green bar patterns suited this bullish phase; 30-minute improved win rate and P&L by filtering weaker signals.
Bear Market (Jan 2022 - Jun 2022):
15-Minute: 262 long, 211 short; Win Rate: 44.4%; P&L: 239.80%; Drawdown: 3.74%; Profit Factor: 3.419.
30-Minute: 250 long, 200 short; Win Rate: 52.22%; P&L: 258.77%; Drawdown: 5.34%; Profit Factor: 3.461.
Notes: Red bar patterns and RSI shorts thrived in the downtrend; 30-minute cut choppy reversals for better consistency.
Flat Market (Jan 2021 - Jun 2021):
15-Minute: 280 long, 208 short; Win Rate: 51.84%; P&L: 340.33%; Drawdown: 9.59%; Profit Factor: 2.924.
30-Minute: 270 long, 209 short; Win Rate: 55.11%; P&L: 315.42%; Drawdown: 7.21%; Profit Factor: 2.598.
Notes: High trade frequency and P&L showed strength in ranges; 30-minute lowered drawdown for better risk control.
Results reflect historical performance on BTC/USDT with default settings—users should test on their assets and timeframes. Past performance does not guarantee future results and is shared only to illustrate the strategy’s behavior.
Why It Works Well in Flat Markets
A "flat market" lacks strong directional trends, with price oscillating around moving averages, as in Jan 2021 - Jun 2021 for BTC/USDT. This strategy excels here because its crossover-based entries trigger frequently in tight ranges. In trending markets, an exit might not be followed by a new entry without a pullback, but flat markets produce multiple crossovers, enabling more trades. ATR-based TP/SL and trailing stops capture these small swings, while RSI and volume filters ensure momentum, driving high P&L and win rates.
Technical Details
Built in Pine Script v6 for TradingView compatibility.
Prevents overlapping trades with long/short checks.
Handles edge cases like zero division and auto-detects the trading pair’s base currency (e.g., BTC from BTCUSDT).
This strategy suits scalpers seeking structured entries and risk management. Test on 15-minute or 30-minute charts to match your style and market conditions.
QuantJazz Turbine Trader BETA v1.17QuantJazz Turbine Trader BETA v1.17 - Strategy Introduction and User Guide
Strategy Introduction
Welcome to the QuantJazz Turbine Trader BETA v1.17, a comprehensive trading strategy designed for TradingView. This strategy is built upon oscillator principles, drawing inspiration from the Turbo Oscillator by RedRox, and incorporates multiple technical analysis concepts including RSI, MFI, Stochastic oscillators, divergence detection, and an optional FRAMA (Fractal Adaptive Moving Average) filter.
The Turbine Trader aims to provide traders with a flexible toolkit for identifying potential entry and exit points in the market. It presents information through a main signal line oscillator, a histogram, and various visual cues like dots, triangles, and divergence lines directly on the indicator panel. The strategy component allows users to define specific conditions based on these visual signals to trigger automated long or short trades within the TradingView environment.
This guide provides an overview of the strategy's components, settings, and usage. Please remember that this is a BETA version (v1.17). While developed with care, it may contain bugs or behave unexpectedly.
LEGAL DISCLAIMER: QuantJazz makes no claims about the fitness or profitability of this tool. Trading involves significant risk, and you may lose all of your invested capital. All trading decisions made using this strategy are solely at the user's discretion and responsibility. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct thorough backtesting and risk assessment before deploying any trading strategy with real capital.
This work is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International.
Core Concepts and Visual Elements
The Turbine Trader indicator displays several components in its own panel below the main price chart:
1. Signal Line (Avg & Avg2): This is the primary oscillator. It's a composite indicator derived from RSI, MFI (Money Flow Index), and Stochastic calculations, smoothed using an EMA (Exponential Moving Average).
Avg: The faster smoothed signal line.
Avg2: The slower smoothed signal line.
Color Coding: The space between Avg and Avg2 is filled. The color (Neon Blue/gColor or Neon Purple/rColor) indicates the trend based on the relationship between Avg and Avg2. Blue suggests bullish momentum (Avg > Avg2), while Purple suggests bearish momentum (Avg2 > Avg).
Zero Line Crosses: Crossovers of the Avg line with the zero level can indicate shifts in momentum.
2. Histogram (resMfi): This histogram is based on smoothed and transformed MFI calculations (Fast MFI and Slow MFI).
Color Coding: Bars are colored Neon Blue (histColorUp) when above zero, suggesting bullish pressure, and Neon Purple (histColorDn) when below zero, suggesting bearish pressure. Transparency is applied.
Zero Line Crosses: Crossovers of the histogram with the zero level can signal potential shifts in money flow.
3. Reversal Points (Dots): Dots appear on the Signal Line (specifically on Avg2) when the color changes (i.e., Avg crosses Avg2).
Small Dots: Appear when a reversal occurs while the oscillator is in an "extreme" zone (below -60 for bullish reversals, above +60 for bearish reversals).
Large Dots: Appear when a reversal occurs outside of these extreme zones.
Colors: Blue (gRdColor) for bullish reversals (Avg crossing above Avg2), Purple (rRdColor) for bearish reversals (Avg crossing below Avg2).
4. Take Profit (TP) Signals (Triangles): Small triangles appear above (+120) or below (-120) the zero line.
Bearish Triangle (Down, Purple rTpColor): Suggests a potential exit point for long positions or an entry point for short positions, based on the oscillator losing upward momentum above the 50 level.
Bullish Triangle (Up, Blue gTpColor): Suggests a potential exit point for short positions or an entry point for long positions, based on the oscillator losing downward momentum below the -50 level.
5. Divergence Lines: The strategy automatically detects and draws potential regular and hidden divergences between the price action (highs/lows) and the Signal Line (Avg).
Regular Bullish Divergence (White bullDivColor line, ⊚︎ label): Price makes a lower low, but the oscillator makes a higher low. Suggests potential bottoming.
Regular Bearish Divergence (White bearDivColor line, ⊚︎ label): Price makes a higher high, but the oscillator makes a lower high. Suggests potential topping.
Hidden Bullish Divergence (bullHidDivColor line, ⊚︎ label): Price makes a higher low, but the oscillator makes a lower low. Suggests potential continuation of an uptrend.
Hidden Bearish Divergence (bearHidDivColor line, ⊚︎ label): Price makes a lower high, but the oscillator makes a higher high. Suggests potential continuation of a downtrend.
Delete Broken Divergence Lines: If enabled, newer divergence lines originating from a similar point will replace older ones.
6. Status Line: A visual bar at the top (95 to 105) and bottom (-95 to -105) of the indicator panel. Its color intensity reflects the confluence of signals:
Score Calculation: +1 if Avg > Avg2, +1 if Avg > 0, +1 if Histogram > 0.
Top Bar (Bullish): Bright Blue (gStatColor) if score is 3, Faded Blue if score is 2, Black otherwise.
Bottom Bar (Bearish): Bright Purple (rStatColor) if score is 0, Faded Purple if score is 1, Black otherwise.
Strategy Settings Explained
The strategy's behavior is controlled via the settings panel (gear icon).
1. Date Range:
Start Date, End Date: Define the period for backtesting. Trades will only occur within this range.
2. Optional Webhook Configuration: (For Automation)
3C Email Token, 3C Bot ID: Enter your 3Commas API credentials if you plan to automate trading using webhooks. The strategy generates JSON alert messages compatible with 3Commas. You can go ahead and just leave the text field as defaulted, "TOKEN HERE" / "BOT ID HERE" if not using any bot automations at this time. You can always come back later and automate it. More info can be made available from QuantJazz should you need automation assistance with custom indicators and trading strategies.
3. 🚀 Signal Line:
Turn On/Off: Show or hide the main signal lines (Avg, Avg2).
gColor, rColor: Set the colors for bullish and bearish signal line states.
Length (RSI): The lookback period for the internal RSI calculation. Default is 2.
Smooth (EMA): The smoothing period for the EMAs applied to the composite signal. Default is 9.
RSI Source: The price source used for RSI calculation (default: close).
4. 📊 Histogram:
Turn On/Off: Show or hide the histogram.
histColorUp, histColorDn: Set the colors for positive and negative histogram bars.
Length (MFI): The base lookback period for MFI calculations. Default is 5. Fast and Slow MFI lengths are derived from this.
Smooth: Smoothing period for the final histogram output. Default is 1 (minimal smoothing).
5.💡 Other:
Show Divergence Line: Toggle visibility of regular divergence lines.
bullDivColor, bearDivColor: Colors for regular divergence lines.
Show Hidden Divergence: Toggle visibility of hidden divergence lines.
bullHidDivColor, bearHidDivColor: Colors for hidden divergence lines.
Show Status Line: Toggle visibility of the top/bottom status bars.
gStatColor, rStatColor: Colors for the status line bars.
Show TP Signal: Toggle visibility of the TP triangles.
gTpColor, rTpColor: Colors for the TP triangles.
Show Reversal points: Toggle visibility of the small/large dots on the signal line.
gRdColor, rRdColor: Colors for the reversal dots.
Delete Broken Divergence Lines: Enable/disable automatic cleanup of older divergence lines.
6. ⚙️ Strategy Inputs: (CRITICAL for Trade Logic)
This section defines which visual signals trigger trades. Each signal (Small/Large Dots, TP Triangles, Bright Bars, Signal/Histogram Crosses, Signal/Histogram Max/Min, Divergences) has a dropdown menu:
Long: This signal can trigger a long entry.
Short: This signal can trigger a short entry.
Disabled: This signal will not trigger any entry.
Must Be True Checkbox: If checked for a specific signal, that signal's condition must be met for any trade (long or short, depending on the dropdown selection for that signal) to be considered. Multiple "Must Be True" conditions act as AND logic – all must be true simultaneously.
How it Works:
The strategy first checks if all conditions marked as "Must Be True" (for the relevant trade direction - long or short) are met.
If all "Must Be True" conditions are met, it then checks if at least one of the conditions not marked as "Must Be True" (and set to "Long" or "Short" respectively) is also met.
If both steps pass, and other filters (like Date Range, FRAMA) allow, an entry order is placed.
Example: If "Large Bullish Dot" is set to "Long" and "Must Be True" is checked, AND "Bullish Divergence" is set to "Long" but "Must Be True" is not checked: A long entry requires BOTH the Large Bullish Dot AND the Bullish Divergence to occur simultaneously. If "Large Bullish Dot" was "Long" but not "Must Be True", then EITHER a Large Bullish Dot OR a Bullish Divergence could trigger a long entry (assuming no other "Must Be True" conditions are active).
Note: By default, the strategy is configured for long-only trades (strategy.risk.allow_entry_in(strategy.direction.long)). To enable short trades, you would need to comment out or remove this line in the Pine Script code and configure the "Strategy Inputs" accordingly.
7. 💰 Take Profit Settings:
Take Profit 1/2/3 (%): The percentage above the entry price (for longs) or below (for shorts) where each TP level is set. (e.g., 1.0 means 1% profit).
TP1/2/3 Percentage: The percentage of the currently open position to close when the corresponding TP level is hit. The percentages should ideally sum to 100% if you intend to close the entire position across the TPs.
Trailing Stop (%): The percentage below the highest high (for longs) or above the lowest low (for shorts) reached after the activation threshold, where the stop loss will trail.
Trailing Stop Activation (%): The minimum profit percentage the trade must reach before the trailing stop becomes active.
Re-entry Delay (Bars): The minimum number of bars to wait after a TP is hit before considering a re-entry. Default is 1 (allows immediate re-entry on the next bar if conditions met).
Re-entry Price Offset (%): The percentage the price must move beyond the previous TP level before a re-entry is allowed. This prevents immediate re-entry if the price hovers around the TP level.
8. 📈 FRAMA Filter: (Optional Trend Filter)
Use FRAMA Filter: Enable or disable the filter.
FRAMA Source, FRAMA Period, FRAMA Fast MA, FRAMA Slow MA: Parameters for the FRAMA calculation. Defaults provided are common starting points.
FRAMA Filter Type:
FRAMA > previous bars: Allows trades only if FRAMA is significantly above its recent average (defined by FRAMA Percentage and FRAMA Lookback). Typically used to confirm strong upward trends for longs.
FRAMA < price: Allows trades only if FRAMA is below the current price (framaSource). Can act as a baseline trend filter.
FRAMA Percentage (X), FRAMA Lookback (Y): Used only for the FRAMA > previous bars filter type.
How it Affects Trades: If Use FRAMA Filter is enabled:
Long entries require the FRAMA filter condition to be true.
Short entries require the FRAMA filter condition to be false (as currently coded, this acts as an inverse filter for shorts if enabled).
How to Use the Strategy
1. Apply to Chart: Open your desired chart on TradingView. Click "Indicators", find "QuantJazz Turbine Trader BETA v1.17" (you might need to add it via Invite-only scripts or if published publicly), and add it to your chart. The oscillator appears below the price chart, and the strategy tester panel opens at the bottom.
2. Configure Strategy Properties: In the Pine Script code itself (or potentially via the UI if supported), adjust the strategy() function parameters like initial_capital, default_qty_value, commission_value, slippage, etc., to match your account, broker fees, and risk settings. The user preferences provided (e.g., 1000 initial capital, 0.1% commission) are examples. Remember use_bar_magnifier is false by default in v1.17.
3. Configure Inputs (Settings Panel):
Set the Date Range for backtesting.
Crucially, configure the ⚙️ Strategy Inputs. Decide which signals should trigger entries and whether they are mandatory ("Must Be True"). Start simply, perhaps enabling only one or two signals initially, and test thoroughly. Remember the default long-only setting unless you modify the code.
Set up your 💰 Take Profit Settings, including TP levels, position size percentages for each TP, and the trailing stop parameters. Decide if you want to use the re-entry feature.
Decide whether to use the 📈 FRAMA Filter and configure its parameters if enabled.
Adjust visual elements (🚀 Signal Line, 📊 Histogram, 💡 Other) as needed for clarity.
4. Backtest: Use the Strategy Tester panel in TradingView. Analyze the performance metrics (Net Profit, Max Drawdown, Profit Factor, Win Rate, Trade List) across different assets, timeframes, and setting configurations. Pay close attention to how different "Strategy Inputs" combinations perform.
5. Refine: Based on backtesting results, adjust the input settings, TP/SL strategy, and signal combinations to optimize performance for your chosen market and timeframe, while being mindful of overfitting.
6. Automation (Optional): If using 3Commas or a similar platform:
Enter your 3C Email Token and 3C Bot ID in the settings.
Create alerts in TradingView (right-click on the chart or use the Alert panel).
Set the Condition to "QuantJazz Turbine Trader BETA v1.17".
In the "Message" box, paste the corresponding placeholder, which will pass the message in JSON from our custom code to TradingView to pass through your webhook: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}.
In the next tab, configure the Webhook URL provided by your automation platform. Put a Whale sound, while you're at it! 🐳
When an alert triggers, TradingView will send the pre-formatted JSON message from the strategy code to your webhook URL.
Final Notes
The QuantJazz Turbine Trader BETA v1.17 offers a wide range of customizable signals and strategy logic. Its effectiveness heavily depends on proper configuration and thorough backtesting specific to the traded asset and timeframe. Start with the default settings, understand each component, and methodically test different combinations of signals and parameters. Remember the inherent risks of trading and never invest capital you cannot afford to lose.
Bull Flag (9:30-12:00 Only) [One-Liner Fix]🚀 Bull Flag Breakout Strategy | Intraday Momentum (9:30-12:00) 🔥📈
💡 Designed for Intraday Traders who love momentum breakouts and want to automate Bull Flag setups with volume confirmation! This strategy detects strong bullish moves, measures pullbacks, and triggers trades when the first candle makes a new high—ensuring maximum momentum.
⸻
🏆 Why This Strategy?
✅ Bull Flag Pattern Automation – No need to manually spot pullbacks! 🎯
✅ Smart Volume Confirmation – Only enter trades when breakout volume is strong! 📊
✅ Morning Session Focused (9:30 - 12:00 EST) – Trade when momentum is at its peak! ⏰
✅ Customizable ATR & Risk Settings – Adjust pullback %, stop-loss, and take-profit! 🛠️
✅ Backtest-Friendly – See how the strategy performs over time! 🔍
⸻
🎯 How It Works
📌 Step 1: Detects a Bullish Impulse Bar
🔹 Large green candle 🚀
🔹 Candle range > ATR multiplier
🔹 Volume > Average volume threshold
📌 Step 2: Confirms a Valid Pullback
🔸 Pullback must stay within % range of the impulse move 📉
🔸 If the pullback is too deep or takes too long, the setup is ignored ⛔
📌 Step 3: First Candle to Make a New High 📈
🔹 When a candle breaks the previous high and volume confirms, go long! 💰
🔹 Stop-Loss set at pullback low
🔹 Take-Profit at Risk:Reward (R:R) Target 🎯
⸻
🔥 Best For
💎 Scalpers & Day Traders – Capture short-term breakout momentum! ⚡
📊 Backtesters – Optimize ATR, volume, and pullback rules for best performance! 🧪
⏳ Morning Momentum Traders – Focus on 9:30-12:00 AM EST for higher probability setups!
⸻
🚨 Important Notes
🔹 This strategy is not financial advice! 📜
🔹 Always backtest & paper trade before using real money! 📉📈
🔹 Volatility varies – Customize settings based on your trading style! 🔧
🚀 Like this script? Give it a try & let us know how it works for you! 🔥👊
⸻
IU BBB(Big Body Bar) StrategyDESCRIPTION
The IU BBB (Big Body Bar) Strategy is a price action-based trading strategy that identifies high-momentum candles with significantly larger body sizes compared to the average. It enters trades when a strong bullish or bearish move occurs and manages risk using an ATR-based trailing stop-loss system.
USER INPUTS:
- Big Body Threshold – Defines how many times larger the candle body should be compared to the average body ( default is 4 ).
- ATR Length – The period for the Average True Range (ATR) used in the trailing stop-loss calculation ( default is 14 ).
- ATR Factor – Multiplier for ATR to determine the trailing stop distance ( default is 2 ).
LONG CONDITION:
- The current candle’s body is greater than the average body size multiplied by the Big Body Threshold.
- The closing price is higher than the opening price (bullish candle).
SHORT CONDITION:
- The current candle’s body is greater than the average body size multiplied by the Big Body Threshold.
- The closing price is lower than the opening price (bearish candle).
LONG EXIT:
- ATR-based trailing stop-loss dynamically adjusts, locking in profits as the price moves higher.
SHORT EXIT:
- ATR-based trailing stop-loss dynamically adjusts, securing profits as the price moves lower.
WHY IT IS UNIQUE:
- Unlike traditional momentum strategies, this system adapts to volatility by filtering trades based on relative candle size.
- It incorporates an ATR-based trailing stop-loss, ensuring risk management and profit protection.
- The strategy avoids choppy market conditions by only trading when significant momentum is present.
HOW USERS CAN BENEFIT FROM IT:
- Catch Strong Price Moves – The strategy helps traders enter trades when the market shows decisive momentum.
- Effective Risk Management – The ATR-based trailing stop ensures that winning trades remain profitable.
- Works Across Markets – Can be applied to stocks, forex, crypto, and indices with proper optimization.
- Fully Customizable – Users can adjust sensitivity settings to match their trading style and time frame.
Pure Price Action StrategyTest Price Action Strategy from Lux Pure Price Action Indicator
How This Strategy Works:
Recognizing Trends & Reversals:
Break of Structure (BOS): A bullish signal indicating a trend continuation.
Market Structure Shift (MSS): A bearish signal indicating a potential reversal.
Analyzing Market Momentum:
It uses recent highs and lows to confirm whether the price is making higher highs (bullish) or lower lows (bearish).
Customizing Visualization Styles:
Buy signals (BUY Signal) are plotted as green upward arrows.
Sell signals (SELL Signal) are plotted as red downward arrows.
Stop-Loss (SL) & Take-Profit (TP): Configurable via percentage input.
Sniper Trade Pro (ES 15-Min) - Topstep Optimized🔹 Overview
Sniper Trade Pro is an advanced algorithmic trading strategy designed specifically for E-mini S&P 500 (ES) Futures on the 15-minute timeframe. This strategy is optimized for Topstep 50K evaluations, incorporating strict risk management to comply with their max $1,000 daily loss limit while maintaining a high probability of success.
It uses a multi-confirmation approach, integrating:
✅ Money Flow Divergence (MFD) → To track liquidity imbalances and institutional accumulation/distribution.
✅ Trend Confirmation (EMA + VWAP) → To identify strong trend direction and avoid choppy markets.
✅ ADX Strength Filter → To ensure entries only occur in trending conditions, avoiding weak setups.
✅ Break-Even & Dynamic Stop-Losses → To reduce drawdowns and protect profits dynamically.
This script automatically generates Buy and Sell signals and provides built-in risk management for automated trading execution through TradingView Webhooks.
🔹 How Does This Strategy Work?
📌 1. Trend Confirmation (EMA + VWAP)
The strategy uses:
✔ 9-EMA & 21-EMA: Fast-moving averages to detect short-term momentum.
✔ VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price): Ensures trades align with institutional volume flow.
How it works:
Bullish Condition: 9-EMA above 21-EMA AND price above VWAP → Confirms buy trend.
Bearish Condition: 9-EMA below 21-EMA AND price below VWAP → Confirms sell trend.
📌 2. Liquidity & Money Flow Divergence (MFD)
This indicator measures liquidity shifts by tracking momentum changes in price and volume.
✔ MFD Calculation:
Uses Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of Momentum (MOM) to detect changes in buying/selling pressure.
If MFD is above its moving average, it signals liquidity inflows → bullish strength.
If MFD is below its moving average, it signals liquidity outflows → bearish weakness.
Why is this important?
Detects when Smart Money is accumulating or distributing before major moves.
Filters out false breakouts by confirming momentum strength before entry.
📌 3. Trade Entry Triggers (Candlestick Patterns & ADX Filter)
To avoid random entries, the strategy waits for specific candlestick confirmations with ADX trend strength:
✔ Bullish Entry (Buy Signal) → Requires:
Bullish Engulfing Candle (Reversal confirmation)
ADX > 20 (Ensures strong trending conditions)
MFD above its moving average (Liquidity inflows)
9-EMA > 21-EMA & price above VWAP (Trend confirmation)
✔ Bearish Entry (Sell Signal) → Requires:
Bearish Engulfing Candle (Reversal confirmation)
ADX > 20 (Ensures strong trending conditions)
MFD below its moving average (Liquidity outflows)
9-EMA < 21-EMA & price below VWAP (Trend confirmation)
📌 4. Risk Management & Profit Protection
This strategy is built with strict risk management to maintain low drawdowns and maximize profits:
✔ Dynamic Position Sizing → Automatically adjusts trade size to risk a fixed $400 per trade.
✔ Adaptive Stop-Losses → Uses ATR-based stop-loss (0.8x ATR) to adapt to market volatility.
✔ Take-Profit Targets → Fixed at 2x ATR for a Risk:Reward ratio of 2:1.
✔ Break-Even Protection → Moves stop-loss to entry once price moves 1x ATR in profit, locking in gains.
✔ Max Daily Loss Limit (-$1,000) → Stops trading if total losses exceed $1,000, complying with Topstep rules.
Balance of Power for US30 4H [PineIndicators]The Balance of Power (BoP) Strategy is a momentum-based trading system for the US30 index on a 4-hour timeframe. It measures the strength of buyers versus sellers in each candle using the Balance of Power (BoP) indicator and executes trades based on predefined threshold crossovers. The strategy includes dynamic position sizing, adjustable leverage, and visual trade tracking.
⚙️ Core Strategy Mechanics
Positive values indicate buying strength.
Negative values indicate selling strength.
Values close to 1 suggest strong bullish momentum.
Values close to -1 indicate strong bearish pressure.
The strategy uses fixed threshold crossovers to determine trade entries and exits.
📌 Trade Logic
Entry Conditions
Long Entry: When BoP crosses above 0.8, signaling strong buying pressure.
Exit Conditions
Position Close: When BoP crosses below -0.8, indicating a shift to selling pressure.
This threshold-based system filters out low-confidence signals and focuses on high-momentum shifts.
📏 Position Sizing & Leverage
Leverage: Adjustable by the user (default = 5x).
Risk Management: Position size adapts dynamically based on equity fluctuations.
📊 Trade Visualization & History Tracking
Trade Markers:
"Buy" labels appear when a long position is opened.
"Close" labels appear when a position is exited.
Trade History Boxes:
Green for profitable trades.
Red for losing trades.
These elements provide clear visual tracking of past trade execution.
⚡ Usage & Customization
1️⃣ Apply the script to a US30 4H chart in TradingView.
2️⃣ Adjust leverage settings as needed.
3️⃣ Review trade signals and historical performance with visual markers.
4️⃣ Enable backtesting to evaluate past performance.
This strategy is designed for momentum-based trading and is best suited for volatile market conditions.
TSI Long/Short for BTC 2HThe TSI Long/Short for BTC 2H strategy is an advanced trend-following system designed specifically for trading Bitcoin (BTC) on a 2-hour timeframe. It leverages the True Strength Index (TSI) to identify momentum shifts and executes both long and short trades in response to dynamic market conditions.
Unlike traditional moving average-based strategies, this script uses a double-smoothed momentum calculation, enhancing signal accuracy and reducing noise. It incorporates automated position sizing, customizable leverage, and real-time performance tracking, ensuring a structured and adaptable trading approach.
🔹 What Makes This Strategy Unique?
Unlike simple crossover strategies or generic trend-following approaches, this system utilizes a customized True Strength Index (TSI) methodology that dynamically adjusts to market conditions.
🔸 True Strength Index (TSI) Filtering – The script refines the TSI by applying double exponential smoothing, filtering out weak signals and capturing high-confidence momentum shifts.
🔸 Adaptive Entry & Exit Logic – Instead of fixed thresholds, it compares the TSI value against a dynamically determined high/low range from the past 100 bars to confirm trade signals.
🔸 Leverage & Risk Optimization – Position sizing is dynamically adjusted based on account equity and leverage settings, ensuring controlled risk exposure.
🔸 Performance Monitoring System – A built-in performance tracking table allows traders to evaluate monthly and yearly results directly on the chart.
📊 Core Strategy Components
1️⃣ Momentum-Based Trade Execution
The strategy generates long and short trade signals based on the following conditions:
✅ Long Entry Condition – A buy signal is triggered when the TSI crosses above its 100-bar highest value (previously set), confirming bullish momentum.
✅ Short Entry Condition – A sell signal is generated when the TSI crosses below its 100-bar lowest value (previously set), indicating bearish pressure.
Each trade execution is fully automated, reducing emotional decision-making and improving trading discipline.
2️⃣ Position Sizing & Leverage Control
Risk management is a key focus of this strategy:
🔹 Dynamic Position Sizing – The script calculates position size based on:
Account Equity – Ensuring trade sizes adjust dynamically with capital fluctuations.
Leverage Multiplier – Allows traders to customize risk exposure via an adjustable leverage setting.
🔹 No Fixed Stop-Loss – The strategy relies on reversals to exit trades, meaning each position is closed when the opposite signal appears.
This design ensures maximum capital efficiency while adapting to market conditions in real time.
3️⃣ Performance Visualization & Tracking
Understanding historical performance is crucial for refining strategies. The script includes:
📌 Real-Time Trade Markers – Buy and sell signals are visually displayed on the chart for easy reference.
📌 Performance Metrics Table – Tracks monthly and yearly returns in percentage form, helping traders assess profitability over time.
📌 Trade History Visualization – Completed trades are displayed with color-coded boxes (green for long trades, red for short trades), visually representing profit/loss dynamics.
📢 Why Use This Strategy?
✔ Advanced Momentum Detection – Uses a double-smoothed TSI for more accurate trend signals.
✔ Fully Automated Trading – Removes emotional bias and enforces discipline.
✔ Customizable Risk Management – Adjust leverage and position sizing to suit your risk profile.
✔ Comprehensive Performance Tracking – Integrated reporting system provides clear insights into past trades.
This strategy is ideal for Bitcoin traders looking for a structured, high-probability system that adapts to both bullish and bearish trends on the 2-hour timeframe.
📌 How to Use: Simply add the script to your 2H BTC chart, configure your leverage settings, and let the system handle trade execution and tracking! 🚀
FRAMA-LRO📌 FRAMA × LRO Auto-Trading Strategy - Adaptive Trend & Momentum System
Overview
This Pine Script provides an automated trading strategy that combines FRAMA (Fractal Adaptive Moving Average) and LRO (Linear Regression Oscillator) to enhance trend detection and momentum analysis. Unlike traditional moving averages, FRAMA dynamically adjusts to price volatility, while LRO effectively measures momentum for high-precision entries.
📌 Key Features
1. Dynamic Trend & Momentum Synergy
FRAMA: Detects price trends by adjusting to market conditions using fractal dimensions.
LRO: Filters trades based on linear regression slope momentum.
Breakout Confirmation: Entry is validated when price breaks FRAMA bands with LRO support.
2. Realistic Backtesting Settings
Initial Capital: $5,000 (more in line with retail traders).
Risk Management: 5% equity per trade.
Slippage & Commission: Adjusted to realistic values (1 pip slippage, 94 pips spread per trade).
Backtest Data: Covers at least 100 trades for statistical significance.
3. Clear Trade Logic
Long Entry: Price breaks above FRAMA upper band & LRO > 0.
Short Entry: Price breaks below FRAMA lower band & LRO < 0.
Stop-Loss: Dynamic ATR-based calculation.
Take-Profit: Fixed risk-reward ratio (1:2).
📌 How It Works
The system identifies trend strength with FRAMA, then confirms momentum shifts with LRO before executing trades. This ensures higher accuracy and filters false breakouts.
📌 Visual Aids for Clarity
Color-Coded Candles:
🟢 Uptrend (LRO > 0)
🔵 Downtrend (LRO < 0)
⚪ Neutral (LRO ≈ 0)
Chart Annotations: Clearly marked trade signals for easy reference.
📌 Risk Management & Automation
Fully automated execution of entries, stop-loss, and take-profit.
ATR-based volatility adaptation for dynamic SL adjustments.
Customizable parameters (period, volatility settings, risk percentage).
📌 Originality & Enhancements
This script is not just a combination of FRAMA & LRO, but an optimized system designed to:
Improve signal accuracy using adaptive trend detection.
Eliminate noise with LRO-based momentum filtering.
Implement dynamic risk management via ATR-based SL.
Influences & Acknowledgments
This strategy builds on methodologies inspired by ChartPrime and BigBeluga, refining their concepts for a systematic approach.
📌 Disclaimer
This script is for educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always manage risk appropriately.
Volatility-Adjusted Rate of Change (VARC) ModelThe Volatility-Adjusted Rate of Change (VARC) Model is a dynamic trading strategy designed to identify potential market opportunities by incorporating volatility and skewness data. The model relies on the CBOE Skew Index (CBOE:SKEW) and adjusts the traditional Rate of Change (ROC) indicator based on market volatility, offering a more refined approach to trading based on price momentum.
1. CBOE Skew Index (SKEW) and ROC Calculation
At its core, the VARC model uses the CBOE Skew Index as a measure of market sentiment. The SKEW index represents the perceived risk of extreme negative movements in the S&P 500, providing insight into the balance of risks in the market (CBOE, 2021). This sentiment-based index is often used by traders and analysts to gauge the likelihood of a market downturn.
The Rate of Change (ROC) is applied to the Skew Index, calculated over a specified lookback period (rocLength = 29). The ROC measures the percentage change in price from one period to another and is widely used to gauge the momentum of an asset (Chande & Kroll, 1994). In the VARC model, the ROC of the Skew Index is employed to assess shifts in market sentiment that may signal turning points or potential volatility.
2. Volatility Adjustment
Volatility plays a significant role in market behavior and risk management. The VARC model uses a volatility-adjusted threshold to dynamically adjust the sensitivity of the trading signals. This is achieved by calculating the standard deviation of the ROC over a defined volatility lookback period (volatilityLookback = 20) and applying a volatility multiplier (volatilityMultiplier = 1.5). These parameters define upper and lower thresholds for trade entry and exit.
The model adjusts the sensitivity of the ROC signals based on market volatility, ensuring that the strategy adapts to changing market conditions. When volatility is high, the thresholds are widened, allowing the model to filter out noise and avoid unnecessary trades. Conversely, during periods of low volatility, the thresholds tighten, enabling the model to capture smaller price movements.
3. Entry and Exit Conditions
The VARC model generates trading signals based on the behavior of the ROC relative to the dynamically adjusted volatility thresholds. A long position is initiated when the ROC crosses below the lower threshold, indicating that the market is becoming oversold or showing signs of excessive pessimism. The position is closed when the ROC exceeds the upper threshold, signaling a potential reversal or a return to normal market conditions. These entry and exit conditions are defined as follows:
• Long Condition: The ROC is below the lower threshold (roc < dynamicThresholdLow).
• Exit Condition: The ROC is above the upper threshold (roc > dynamicThresholdHigh).
This approach provides a systematic method for entering and exiting positions based on volatility-adjusted momentum, helping traders to capitalize on shifts in market sentiment.
4. Visualization and Signal Highlighting
The model includes several visual aids to help traders interpret the signals. The ROC, dynamic thresholds, and a zero line are plotted on the chart to provide a clear representation of market momentum and the current trading range. Furthermore, a background color is used to highlight periods when a position is open, visually reinforcing the model’s decisions.
5. Conclusion
The VARC model offers a robust framework for trading by combining momentum (through the ROC) with a volatility-adjusted approach that refines trade signals based on market conditions. The use of the CBOE Skew Index adds an additional layer of market sentiment analysis, providing context to the ROC values. This volatility-adaptive strategy offers traders a more nuanced way to navigate the markets, making it suitable for both short-term and longer-term trading horizons.
References:
• CBOE. (2021). CBOE Skew Index (SKEW). Chicago Board Options Exchange. Retrieved from www.cboe.com
• Chande, T., & Kroll, J. (1994). The New Technical Trader: Boost Your Profit by Plugging into the Latest Indicators. Wiley.
This model can be particularly useful in volatile markets, where traditional fixed thresholds may not perform as well. By adjusting the thresholds dynamically based on the underlying volatility, the VARC model offers a more flexible and responsive approach to market trading.
Bullish Reversal Bar Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
Bullish Reversal Bar Strategy leverages the combination of candlestick pattern Bullish Reversal Bar (description in Methodology and Justification of Methodology), Williams Alligator indicator and Williams Fractals to create the high probability setups. Candlestick pattern is used for the entering into trade, while the combination of Williams Alligator and Fractals is used for the trend approximation as close condition. Strategy uses only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator or the candlestick pattern invalidation to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Trend Trade Filter: strategy uses Alligator and Fractal combination as high probability trend filter.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1.Current candle's high shall be below the Williams Alligator's lines (Jaw, Lips, Teeth)(all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
2.Price shall create the candlestick pattern "Bullish Reversal Bar". Optionally if MFI and AO filters are enabled current candle shall have the decreasing AO and at least one of three recent bars shall have the squat state on the MFI (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3.If price breaks through the high of the candle marked as the "Bullish Reversal Bar" the long trade is open at the price one tick above the candle's high
4.Initial stop loss is placed at the Bullish Reversal Bar's candle's low
5.If price hit the Bullish Reversal Bar's low before hitting the entry price potential trade is cancelled
6.If trade is active and initial stop loss has not been hit, trade is closed when the combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend change from upward to downward.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting:
Enable MFI (if true trades are filtered using Market Facilitation Index (MFI) condition all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph), by default = false)
Enable AO (if true trades are filtered using Awesome Oscillator (AO) condition all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph), by default = false)
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. The first and key concept is the Bullish Reversal Bar candlestick pattern. This is just the single bar pattern. The rules are simple:
Candle shall be closed in it's upper half
High of this candle shall be below all three Alligator's lines (Jaw, Lips, Teeth)
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
How we can use all these indicators in this strategy? This strategy is a counter trend one. Candle's high shall be below all Alligator's lines. During this market stage the bullish reversal bar candlestick pattern shall be printed. This bar during the downtrend is a high probability setup for the potential reversal to the upside: bulls were able to close the price in the upper half of a candle. The breaking of its high is a high probability signal that trend change is confirmed and script opens long trade. If market continues going down and break down the bullish reversal bar's low potential trend change has been invalidated and strategy close long trade.
If market really reversed and started moving to the upside strategy waits for the trend change form the downtrend to the uptrend according to approximation of Alligator and Fractals combination. If this change happens strategy close the trade. This approach helps to stay in the long trade while the uptrend continuation is likely and close it if there is a high probability of the uptrend finish.
Optionally users can enable MFI and AO filters. First of all, let's briefly explain what are these two indicators. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), created by Bill Williams, is a momentum-based indicator that evaluates market momentum by comparing recent price activity to a broader historical context. It assists traders in identifying potential trend reversals and gauging trend strength.
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
This indicator is filtering signals in the following way: if current AO bar is decreasing this candle can be interpreted as a bullish reversal bar. This logic is applicable because initially this strategy is a trend reversal, it is searching for the high probability setup against the current trend. Decreasing AO is the additional high probability filter of a downtrend.
Let's briefly look what is MFI. The Market Facilitation Index (MFI) is a technical indicator that measures the price movement per unit of volume, helping traders gauge the efficiency of price movement in relation to trading volume. Here's how you can calculate it:
MFI = (High−Low)/Volume
MFI can be used in combination with volume, so we can divide 4 states. Bill Williams introduced these to help traders interpret the interaction between volume and price movement. Here’s a quick summary:
Green Window (Increased MFI & Increased Volume): Indicates strong momentum with both price and volume increasing. Often a sign of trend continuation, as both buying and selling interest are rising.
Fake Window (Increased MFI & Decreased Volume): Shows that price is moving but with lower volume, suggesting weak support for the trend. This can signal a potential end of the current trend.
Squat Window (Decreased MFI & Increased Volume): Shows high volume but little price movement, indicating a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. This often precedes a breakout as the pressure builds.
Fade Window (Decreased MFI & Decreased Volume): Indicates a lack of interest from both buyers and sellers, leading to lower momentum. This typically happens in range-bound markets and may signal consolidation before a new move.
For our purposes we are interested in squat bars. This is the sign that volume cannot move the price easily. This type of bar increases the probability of trend reversal. In this indicator we added to enable the MFI filter of reversal bars. If potential reversal bar or two preceding bars have squat state this bar can be interpret as a reversal one.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.12.31. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 50%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.29%
Maximum Single Profit: +29.99%
Net Profit: +5472.66 USDT (+54.73%)
Total Trades: 103 (33.98% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.634
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 1231.15 USDT (-8.32%)
Average Profit per Trade: 53.13 USDT (+0.94%)
Average Trade Duration: 76 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h ETH/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
Up Gap Strategy with DelayThis strategy, titled “Up Gap Strategy with Delay,” is based on identifying up gaps in the price action of an asset. A gap is defined as the percentage difference between the current bar’s open price and the previous bar’s close price. The strategy triggers a long position if the gap exceeds a user-defined threshold and includes a delay period before entering the position. After entering, the position is held for a set number of periods before being closed.
Key Features:
1. Gap Threshold: The strategy defines an up gap when the gap size exceeds a specified threshold (in percentage terms). The gap threshold is an input parameter that allows customization based on the user’s preference.
2. Delay Period: After the gap occurs, the strategy waits for a delay period before initiating a long position. This delay can help mitigate any short-term volatility that might occur immediately after the gap.
3. Holding Period: Once the position is entered, it is held for a user-defined number of periods (holdingPeriods). This is to capture the potential post-gap trend continuation, as gaps often indicate strong directional momentum.
4. Gap Plotting: The strategy visually plots up gaps on the chart by placing a green label beneath the bar where the gap condition is met. Additionally, the background color turns green to highlight up-gap occurrences.
5. Exit Condition: The position is exited after the defined holding period. The strategy ensures that the position is closed after this time, regardless of whether the price is in profit or loss.
Scientific Background:
The gap theory has been widely studied in financial literature and is based on the premise that gaps in price often represent areas of significant support or resistance. According to research by Kaufman (2002), gaps in price action can be indicators of future price direction, particularly when they occur after a period of consolidation or a trend reversal. Moreover, Gaps and their Implications in Technical Analysis (Murphy, 1999) highlights that gaps can reflect imbalances between supply and demand, leading to high momentum and potential price continuation or reversal.
In trading strategies, utilizing gaps with specific conditions, such as delay and holding periods, can enhance the ability to capture significant price moves. The strategy’s delay period helps avoid potential market noise immediately after the gap, while the holding period seeks to capitalize on the price continuation that often follows gap formation.
This methodology aligns with momentum-based strategies, which rely on the persistence of trends in financial markets. Several studies, including Jegadeesh & Titman (1993), have documented the existence of momentum effects in stock prices, where past price movements can be predictive of future returns.
Conclusion:
This strategy incorporates gap detection and momentum principles, supported by empirical research in technical analysis, to attempt to capitalize on price movements following significant gaps. By waiting for a delay period and holding the position for a specified time, it aims to mitigate the risk associated with early volatility while maximizing the potential for sustained price moves.
Velocity/Volatility/Volume StrategyThe "Vel/Vty/Vol Strategy" is a momentum-based trading approach designed to take advantage of strong price movements that are confirmed by both volatility and volume (if enabled). It provides a high level of customization, allowing traders to adjust various settings based on market conditions and individual preferences. By combining three critical indicators—velocity, volatility (measured through Bollinger Band Width), and an optional volume filter—the strategy generates trade signals for both long and short positions. Here’s a comprehensive explanation of how the strategy works, how the parameters can be customized, and how those adjustments benefit users.
At its core, the strategy focuses on velocity, which measures the speed at which price is changing over time. This is a key indicator of momentum, with a "StrongUp" signal indicating bullish momentum and a "StrongDown" signal suggesting bearish momentum. In addition to velocity, the strategy factors in acceleration, which helps gauge whether momentum is building or weakening. The second essential component is Bollinger Band Width (BBW), which measures volatility in the market. When the BBW expands, it signals increasing volatility, a condition that must be met in combination with a velocity signal to generate a trade. Lastly, the strategy includes an optional Volume Oscillator to filter trades. When this volume filter is enabled, trades will only be executed if there’s an increase in volume, further validating market activity.
The strategy generates long and short trade signals based on specific conditions. A long trade is triggered when there is a strong upward velocity, accompanied by an increase in Bollinger Band Width, indicating both momentum and heightened volatility. If the volume filter is toggled on, a rise in volume must also confirm the signal. Similarly, a short trade is initiated when a strong downward velocity is detected, again paired with an increase in volatility and, optionally, a volume rise. This ensures that trades occur during periods of heightened market activity, reducing the likelihood of false signals.
To help manage risk, the strategy includes several customizable tools. Users can set take profit levels to automatically close positions and lock in gains once a predefined profit percentage is reached. For example, if a 2% take profit is set, a long position will be closed once the price has risen by 2%. Additionally, a trailing take profit option can be enabled, allowing the strategy to dynamically adjust the take-profit target as the market moves in the user’s favor. This ensures that profits are locked in as long as the market continues to trend positively, while providing protection in case of a reversal. The strategy also includes a trailing stop-loss feature, which adjusts the stop price as the market moves in favor of the trade, helping to minimize losses and protect gains.
The strategy offers a variety of parameters that can be customized to suit different trading styles and market conditions. The velocity lookback period controls how far back the strategy looks to calculate velocity. A shorter lookback makes the strategy more sensitive to recent price changes, generating more signals, which can benefit day traders or those seeking to capture short-term price swings. Conversely, a longer lookback smooths out the velocity calculation, reducing false signals and making the strategy more suitable for traders seeking to capture larger trends. Similarly, the Bollinger Band Width (BBW) length can be adjusted to control how far back the strategy looks to calculate volatility. A shorter BBW length makes the strategy more sensitive to volatility spikes, useful in rapidly changing markets. In contrast, a longer BBW length filters out short-term noise and focuses on more sustainable volatility shifts, better suited for slower, more stable markets.
The volume filter is another powerful feature that can be toggled on or off. When turned on, the strategy will only execute trades if there is an increase in volume alongside velocity and volatility signals. This helps filter out false signals in low-volume markets, ensuring that price movements are supported by actual market activity. If the volume filter is turned off, the strategy focuses purely on price and volatility changes, which can be useful in markets where volume data is unreliable or less relevant.
The take profit percentage can be adjusted to define how aggressively or conservatively profits are locked in. A lower take profit percentage allows traders to capture smaller, quicker profits, which can be advantageous in volatile markets. A higher take profit percentage suits traders who prefer to capture larger moves, allowing them to stay in trades longer to benefit from extended trends. Similarly, the trailing take profit percentage determines how tightly the strategy follows market prices as they move in favor of the trade. A tighter trailing percentage ensures that profits are locked in quickly, while a wider trailing percentage gives trades more room to run, ideal for capturing large trends.
The stop loss percentage is another key setting that controls how much risk a trader is willing to take before the position is closed. A tighter stop loss minimizes losses but may result in more frequent stop-outs, particularly in volatile markets. A wider stop loss provides more room for trades to develop, which is useful for traders aiming to capture longer trends despite short-term fluctuations. Additionally, the velocity thresholds can be adjusted to set how sensitive the strategy is to price movements. Lower thresholds increase sensitivity, generating more signals in fast-moving markets, while higher thresholds filter out weaker signals, focusing on larger momentum shifts.
The strategy also allows users to define a time range during which it is active, offering flexibility in backtesting and optimizing for specific market conditions. By limiting the strategy to certain periods, users can tailor it to seasonal trends or historical data that matches their current trading environment.
The flexibility of this strategy makes it suitable for a wide range of traders. Day traders can benefit from adjusting the velocity and BBW lookback periods, tightening take profit and stop loss settings to capture short, fast price movements in highly volatile markets. Trend traders can lengthen the lookback periods and widen the velocity thresholds to capture larger, sustained moves while riding out short-term volatility. Traders with a lower risk tolerance can enable the volume filter and tighten stop losses to reduce false signals and minimize losses. On the other hand, aggressive traders can widen the take profit and trailing stop percentages to allow trades to develop fully, maximizing potential gains in trending markets.
Quantoshi Global Liquidity StrategyThis strategy leverages global liquidity data alongside technical indicators like the Rate of Change (ROC) and Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) to identify optimal long-entry points during major market trends. The script is designed to capture long-term, sustained momentum and includes built-in risk management by filtering out rapid price spikes. It is best suited for swing trading or long-term trend trading.
Key Features:
Global Liquidity Data:
The strategy incorporates data from major global central banks and M2 money supply to calculate a comprehensive liquidity index, which is a critical component for long-term trend detection.
ROC-DEMA Crossover:
It combines the Rate of Change (ROC) and a 100-period Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) to identify momentum shifts. Long entries are triggered when these indicators confirm an upward trend.
Price Thresholds:
The strategy compares the current price to the price from several candles ago to ensure positions are not entered during unsustainable price surges.
Custom Alerts:
Automated alerts for long entries and exits allow users to automate their trades or receive timely notifications when market conditions are met.
How It Works:
The strategy enters long positions when ROC and DEMA signals confirm a positive trend, and the price conditions suggest a sustainable upward momentum. Long exits occur when the momentum reverses, with a clear crossover signal of ROC below DEMA. Custom alert messages make it ideal for automated trading setups.
Why It's Unique:
This strategy combines liquidity data with technical indicators to filter noise and focus on significant market shifts. It allows traders to capture major trend reversals without needing to actively monitor the charts, making it useful for those focused on swing or long-term trading.
Backtesting & Risk Management:
Given its long-term focus, this strategy generates only a few signals per decade when used on a weekly timescale. As a result, traditional backtesting show few trades, but historical analysis reveals its effectiveness in capturing major market movements.
Account Size:
The backtest is based on a $1,000 account size to represent a realistic trading scenario.
Commissions & Tick size: Commission fees of 0.1% and a tick size of 100 are applied to reflect real-world trading conditions.
Trade Size:
Risk per trade is limited to 5% of the account balance to align with sound risk management practices.
Monthly Breakout StrategyThis Monthly High/Low Breakout Strategy is designed to take long or short positions based on breakouts from the high or low of the previous month. Users can select whether they want to go long at a breakout above the previous month’s high, short at a breakdown below the previous month’s low, or use the reverse logic. Additionally, it includes a month filter, allowing trades to be executed only during user-specified months.
Breakout strategies, particularly those based on monthly highs and lows, aim to capitalize on price momentum. These systems rely on the assumption that once a significant price level is breached (such as the previous month's high or low), the market is likely to continue moving in the same direction due to increased volatility and trend-following behaviors by traders. Studies have demonstrated the potential effectiveness of breakout strategies in financial markets.
Scientific Evidence Supporting Breakout Strategies:
Momentum in Financial Markets:
Research on momentum-based strategies, which include breakout trading, shows that securities breaking key levels of support or resistance tend to continue their price movement in the direction of the breakout. Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) found that stocks with strong performance over a given period tend to continue performing well in subsequent periods, a principle also applied to breakout strategies.
Behavioral Finance:
The psychological factor of herd behavior is one of the driving forces behind breakout strategies. When prices break out of a key level (such as a monthly high), it triggers increased buying or selling pressure as traders join the trend. Barberis, Shleifer, and Vishny (1998) explained how cognitive biases, such as overconfidence and sentiment, can amplify price trends, which breakout strategies attempt to exploit.
Market Efficiency:
While markets are generally efficient, periods of inefficiency can occur, particularly around the breakouts of significant price levels. These inefficiencies often result in temporary price trends, which breakout strategies can exploit before the market corrects itself (Fama, 1970).
Risk Considerations:
Despite the potential for profit, the Monthly Breakout Strategy comes with several risks:
False Breakouts:
One of the most common risks in breakout strategies is the occurrence of false breakouts. These happen when the price temporarily moves above (or below) a key level but quickly reverses direction, causing losses for traders who entered positions too early. This is particularly risky in low-volatility environments.
Market Volatility:
Monthly breakout strategies rely on momentum, which may not be consistent across different market conditions. During periods of low volatility, price breakouts might lack the follow-through required for the strategy to succeed, leading to poor performance.
Whipsaw Risk:
The strategy is vulnerable to whipsaw markets, where prices oscillate around key levels without establishing a clear direction. This can result in frequent entry and exit signals that lead to losses, especially if trading costs are not managed properly.
Overfitting to Past Data:
If the month-selection filter is overly optimized based on historical data, the strategy may suffer from overfitting—performing well in backtests but poorly in real-time trading. This happens when strategies are tailored to past market conditions that may not repeat.
Conclusion:
While monthly breakout strategies can be effective in markets with strong momentum, they are subject to several risks, including false breakouts, volatility dependency, and whipsaw behavior. It is crucial to backtest this strategy thoroughly and ensure it aligns with your risk tolerance before implementing it in live trading.
References:
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Barberis, N., Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. (1998). A Model of Investor Sentiment. Journal of Financial Economics, 49(3), 307-343.
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383-417.
Nifty scalping 3 minutesOverview:
The "Nifty Scalping 3 Minutes" strategy is a uniquely tailored trading system for Nifty Futures traders, with a clear focus on capital preservation, dynamic risk management, and high-probability trade entries. This strategy uses unique combination of standard technical indicators like Jurik Moving Average (JMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Bollinger Bands, but it truly stands out through its Price-Volume Spike Detection system—a unique mechanism designed to trigger trades only during periods of high momentum and market participation. The strategy also incorporates robust risk management, ensuring that traders minimize losses while maximizing profits. in complete back test range max drawdown is less than 1%
Scalping Approach and Requirements:
The strategy focuses on quick in and out trades, aiming to capture small, quick profits during periods of heightened market activity. For optimal performance, traders should have ₹2,00,000 or more in capital available per trade. The dynamic lot calculation and risk controls require this level of capital to function effectively.
Small, frequent trades are the focus, and the strategy is ideal for traders comfortable with high-frequency executions. Traders with insufficient capital or those not comfortable with frequent trades may find this strategy unsuitable.
Default Properties for Publication:
Initial Capital: ₹2,000,000
Lot Size: 25 contracts (adjusted dynamically based on available margin)
Stop-Loss: Risk per trade capped at 1% of equity.
Slippage and Commission: Realistic values are factored into the backtesting.
Key Feature: Price-Volume Spike Detection
1. Condition: Trades are executed only when there is a significant price spike confirmed by a volume spike. The candle width is calculated by multiplying the price change (difference between the candle's open and close) by the volume, and this result is compared to a 126-period average of both price and volume.
A trade is triggered when the current price-volume spike exceeds this average by a preset volume multiplier (default set at 3). This ensures that both the price change and volume are unusually strong compared to normal market behavior.
2. Reasoning: Many traders fail to incorporate the relationship between price movement and volume effectively. By using this Price-Volume Spike Detection mechanism, the strategy ensures that it only enters trades during periods of strong market momentum when both price and volume confirm a real market move, not just noise or small fluctuations.
The 126-period moving average of volume is chosen specifically because it represents a complete trading session on the 3-minute chart. This ensures that the volume spike is compared against a realistic baseline of daily activity, making the detection more robust and reliable.
The volume multiplier allows flexibility in determining the threshold for a significant spike, enabling users to fine-tune the strategy according to their risk tolerance and market conditions.
Trade Placement Logic:
1. Trend Confirmation with JMA and EMA:
Condition: The strategy will only consider entering a trade when JMA crosses above EMA for a long trade or JMA crosses below EMA for a short trade.
Reasoning: The JMA is used for its low lag and responsiveness, allowing it to capture early trends, while the EMA adds a level of confirmation by weighing recent price action more heavily. This dual confirmation ensures that trades are entered only when a solid trend is in place.
2. Bollinger Bands for Volatility Breakouts:
Condition: In addition to the JMA-EMA crossover, the price must break outside the Bollinger Bands—above the upper band for long trades, or below the lower band for short trades.
Reasoning: Bollinger Bands are a volatility indicator. By requiring a price breakout beyond the bands, the strategy ensures that trades are placed during periods of high volatility, avoiding low-momentum, sideways markets.
3. Volume and Price Confirmation (Price-Volume Spike Detection):
Condition: A trade is only triggered if the price-volume spike condition is met. This ensures that the market move is backed by strong volume and that the price change is significant relative to the recent average activity.
Reasoning: This condition filters out low-volume environments where price movements are more likely to reverse or stall. By waiting for a spike in both price and volume, the strategy ensures that it enters trades during high-momentum periods, where follow-through is more likely.
Exit Logic and Risk Management:
1. Stop-Loss (SL) Placement:
Condition: Upon entering a trade, an initial stop-loss is placed below the candle low for long trades or above the candle high for short trades. This is adjusted if the risk exceeds 1% of total capital.
Reasoning: The stop-loss is placed at a logical level that accounts for recent price action, ensuring that the trade is given room to develop while protecting capital from unexpected market reversals.
2. Profit Target and Partial Profit Booking:
Condition: The first profit target is set at 2.1x the initial risk for long trades, and 2.5x the initial risk for short trades.
Reasoning: The 2.1x risk-reward ratio for long trades provides a solid return while maintaining a conservative risk profile. For short trades, the strategy uses a higher 2.5x risk-reward ratio because market falls tend to be sharper and quicker than rises, allowing for larger profit targets to be reached more reliably.
Partial Profit Booking: Once the first target is hit, 60% of the position is closed to lock in profits. The remaining 40% is left to run with a trailing stop.
3. ATR-Based Trailing Stop:
Condition: Once the first target is hit, the ATR (Average True Range) trailing stop is applied to the remaining position. This dynamically adjusts the stop-loss as the trade moves in a favorable direction.
Reasoning: The trailing stop allows the trade to capture further gains if the trend continues, while protecting profits if the momentum weakens. The ATR ensures that the stop adjusts according to the market's current volatility, providing flexibility and protection.
4. Time-Based Exit:
Condition: If a trade is still open by 3:20 PM, it is automatically closed to avoid end-of-day volatility.
Reasoning: The time-based exit ensures that trades are not held into the often-volatile closing minutes of the market, reducing the risk of unexpected price swings.
Capital and Risk Management:
1. Lot Size Calculation:
Condition: The strategy calculates the number of lots dynamically based on the available margin. It uses only 10% of total equity for each trade, and ensures that the maximum risk per trade does not exceed 1% of total capital.
Reasoning: This ensures that traders are not over-leveraged and that the risk is controlled for each trade. Capital protection is at the core of the strategy, ensuring that even during adverse market conditions, the trader’s capital is preserved.
2. Stop-Loss Protection:
Condition: The stop-loss is designed to ensure that no more than 1% of capital is at risk in any trade.
Reasoning: By limiting risk exposure, the strategy focuses on long-term capital preservation while still allowing for profitable trades in favorable market conditions.
STBT/BTST Facilitation:
1. Feature: The strategy allows traders the option to hold positions overnight, facilitating STBT (Sell Today Buy Tomorrow) and BTST (Buy Today Sell Tomorrow) trades.
Reasoning: Backtests show that holding positions overnight when all trade conditions are still valid can lead to beneficial outcomes. This feature allows traders to take advantage of overnight market movements, providing flexibility beyond intraday trades.
Why This Strategy Stands Out:
Price-Volume Spike Detection: Unlike traditional strategies, this one uniquely focuses on Price-Volume Spike Detection to filter out low-probability trades. By ensuring that both price and volume spikes are present, the strategy guarantees that trades are placed only when there is significant market momentum.
Risk Management with Capital Protection: The strategy strictly limits the risk per trade to 1% of capital, ensuring long-term capital preservation. This is especially important for traders who wish to avoid large drawdowns and prefer a sustainable approach to trading.
2.5x Risk-Reward for Short Trades: Recognizing the sharpness of market declines, the strategy employs a 2.5x risk-reward ratio for short trades, maximizing profits during bearish trends.
Dynamic Exit Strategy: With partial profit booking and ATR-based trailing stops, the strategy is designed to capture gains efficiently while protecting capital through dynamic exit conditions.
Summary of Execution:
Entry: Triggered when JMA crosses EMA, combined with Bollinger Band breakouts and Price-Volume Spike Detection.
Capital Management: Trades are executed with 10% of available capital, and the risk per trade is capped at 1%.
Exit: Trades exit when stop-loss, ATR trailing stop, or time-based exit conditions are met.
Profit Booking: 60% of the position is closed at the first target, with the remainder trailed using an ATR-based stop.
Breadth Thrust Strategy with Volatility Stop-LossThe "Breadth Thrust Strategy with Volatility Stop-Loss" is a trading strategy designed to capitalize on market momentum while managing risk through volatility-based stop-losses. Here's a detailed breakdown of the strategy:
Strategy Overview:
Market Breadth Analysis: The strategy uses the "Breadth Thrust Indicator," which evaluates market momentum by calculating the ratio of advancing stocks to the total number of stocks on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). This indicator helps identify bullish market conditions. An optional feature allows for the inclusion of volume data in this calculation, enhancing the signal's robustness.
Signal Generation: A long position is triggered when the smoothed breadth ratio (or the combined breadth and volume ratio) crosses above a specified low threshold (e.g., 0.4). This crossover indicates a potential shift towards positive market momentum.
Key Parameters:
Smoothing Length (length): Defines the period over which the breadth or combined ratio is smoothed using a simple moving average (SMA) to reduce noise and highlight the underlying trend.
Low Threshold (threshold_low): The level below which the smoothed ratio must fall before crossing back above to trigger a long signal.
Hold Periods (hold_periods): The minimum number of periods for which the position will be held once entered, ensuring the strategy captures a meaningful move.
Volatility Multiplier (volatility_multiplier): A multiplier applied to the Average True Range (ATR) to determine the distance of the stop-loss from the entry price, which adjusts according to market volatility.
Trade Management:
Entry Signal: The strategy enters a long position when the smoothed combined ratio crosses above the low threshold, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
ATR-Based Stop-Loss: Upon entering a trade, the strategy calculates a stop-loss level based on the ATR, which measures market volatility. The stop-loss is set at a distance from the entry price, determined by multiplying the ATR by the specified volatility multiplier. This adaptive stop-loss mechanism helps protect the position from adverse market moves.
Stop-Loss Adjustment: While the position is open, the stop-loss level is dynamically updated, ensuring it never decreases (trailing stop-loss effect) but can be adjusted upwards to reflect the latest price action relative to volatility.
Position Closure: The position is closed if:
The market price falls to or below the stop-loss level.
The position has been held for the specified number of periods (hold_periods), after which it is automatically closed.
Additional Settings:
Initial Capital: The strategy starts with an initial capital of $10,000.
Commissions and Slippage: Each trade incurs a commission of $5 per order, and slippage is accounted for at $1 per trade.
Background Highlighting: The chart background turns green when a position is open, providing a clear visual indication of the active trade.
This strategy is designed to identify and capitalize on upward momentum in the market while employing a volatility-adjusted stop-loss to manage risk. By combining market breadth analysis with volatility-based stop-losses, the strategy aims to balance profit potential with protection against sudden market reversals.
MACD with 1D Stochastic Confirmation Reversal StrategyOverview
The MACD with 1D Stochastic Confirmation Reversal Strategy utilizes MACD indicator in conjunction with 1 day timeframe Stochastic indicators to obtain the high probability short-term trend reversal signals. The main idea is to wait until MACD line crosses up it’s signal line, at the same time Stochastic indicator on 1D time frame shall show the uptrend (will be discussed in methodology) and not to be in the oversold territory. Strategy works on time frames from 30 min to 4 hours and opens only long trades.
Unique Features
Dynamic stop-loss system: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes average true range (ATR) multiplied by user given number subtracted from the position entry price as a dynamic stop loss level.
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Higher time frame confirmation: Strategy utilizes 1D Stochastic to establish the major trend and confirm the local reversals with the higher probability.
Trailing take profit level: After reaching the trailing profit activation level scrip activate the trailing of long trade using EMA. More information in methodology.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
MACD line of MACD indicator shall cross over the signal line of MACD indicator.
1D time frame Stochastic’s K line shall be above the D line.
1D time frame Stochastic’s K line value shall be below 80 (not overbought)
When long trade is executed, strategy set the stop-loss level at the price ATR multiplied by user-given value below the entry price. This level is recalculated on every next candle close, adjusting to the current market volatility.
At the same time strategy set up the trailing stop validation level. When the price crosses the level equals entry price plus ATR multiplied by user-given value script starts to trail the price with EMA. If price closes below EMA long trade is closed. When the trailing starts, script prints the label “Trailing Activated”.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup the following strategy settings:
ATR Stop Loss (by default = 3.25, value multiplied by ATR to be subtracted from position entry price to setup stop loss)
ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level (by default = 4.25, value multiplied by ATR to be added to position entry price to setup trailing profit activation level)
Trailing EMA Length (by default = 20, period for EMA, when price reached trailing profit activation level EMA will stop out of position if price closes below it)
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart, in our example we use default settings.
Justification of Methodology
This strategy leverages 2 time frames analysis to have the high probability reversal setups on lower time frame in the direction of the 1D time frame trend. That’s why it’s recommended to use this strategy on 30 min – 4 hours time frames.
To have an approximation of 1D time frame trend strategy utilizes classical Stochastic indicator. The Stochastic Indicator is a momentum oscillator that compares a security's closing price to its price range over a specific period. It's used to identify overbought and oversold conditions. The indicator ranges from 0 to 100, with readings above 80 indicating overbought conditions and readings below 20 indicating oversold conditions.
It consists of two lines:
%K: The main line, calculated using the formula (CurrentClose−LowestLow)/(HighestHigh−LowestLow)×100 . Highest and lowest price taken for 14 periods.
%D: A smoothed moving average of %K, often used as a signal line.
Strategy logic assumes that on 1D time frame it’s uptrend in %K line is above the %D line. Moreover, we can consider long trade only in %K line is below 80. It means that in overbought state the long trade will not be opened due to higher probability of pullback or even major trend reversal. If these conditions are met we are going to our working (lower) time frame.
On the chosen time frame, we remind you that for correct work of this strategy you shall use 30min – 4h time frames, MACD line shall cross over it’s signal line. The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is a popular momentum and trend-following indicator used in technical analysis. It helps traders identify changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in a stock's price.
The MACD consists of three components:
MACD Line: This is the difference between a short-term Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a long-term EMA, typically calculated as: MACD Line=12-period EMA−26-period
Signal Line: This is a 9-period EMA of the MACD Line, which helps to identify buy or sell signals. When the MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line, it can be a bullish signal (suggesting a buy); when it crosses below, it can be a bearish signal (suggesting a sell).
Histogram: The histogram shows the difference between the MACD Line and the Signal Line, visually representing the momentum of the trend. Positive histogram values indicate increasing bullish momentum, while negative values indicate increasing bearish momentum.
In our script we are interested in only MACD and signal lines. When MACD line crosses signal line there is a high chance that short-term trend reversed to the upside. We use this strategy on 45 min time frame.
ATR is used to adjust the strategy risk management to the current market volatility. If volatility is low, we don’t need the large stop loss to understand the there is a high probability that we made a mistake opening the trade. User can setup the settings ATR Stop Loss and ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level to realize his own risk to reward preferences, but the unique feature of a strategy is that after reaching trailing profit activation level strategy is trying to follow the trend until it is likely to be finished instead of using fixed risk management settings. It allows sometimes to be involved in the large movements.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.08.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 30%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -4.79%
Maximum Single Profit: +20.14%
Net Profit: +2361.33 USDT (+44.72%)
Total Trades: 123 (44.72% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.623
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 695.80 USDT (-5.48%)
Average Profit per Trade: 19.20 USDT (+0.59%)
Average Trade Duration: 30 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe between 30 min and 4 hours and chart (optimal performance observed on 45 min BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Single Swing Strategy (SSS)Introduction
The Single Swing Strategy (SSS) is a trading strategy designed for assets that trend. It utilises a single technical indicator to identify potential buying opportunities in upward-trending markets. The strategy focuses on moments when the price of an asset breaks out to a new high, suggesting a strong upward momentum.
Components
1. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): SSS uses two EMAs to evaluate the overall asset trend. SSS describes an uptrend as identified, when the fast EMA crosses above the slow EMA and vice versa for a downtrend.
2. Breakout: The strategy validates the trend identified by the EMAs through breakouts in the price action of the asset over a specified lookback period. No indicator is required for this step.
3. Average Directional Index (ADX): The ADX is used to measure the strength of a trend. It does not indicate the trend's direction but rather its strength, whether it's an uptrend or downtrend. A high ADX value (typically above 25) suggests a strong trend, either up or down while a low ADX value (typically below 20) indicates a weak or non-trending market. The ADX itself is a moving average of the expanding range between the +DI and -DI.
4. Positive Directional Indicator (DI+): DI+ helps identify the presence and strength of uptrends. It is calculated based on the upward price movement between current and previous highs. A rising DI+ alongside a rising ADX suggests a strengthening uptrend. When DI+ crosses above DI-, it's often interpreted as a bullish signal.
5. Negative Directional Indicator (DI-): DI- is used to detect the presence and strength of downtrends.It is derived from the downward price movement between current and previous lows. An increasing DI- along with a rising ADX indicates a strengthening downtrend while a crossover of DI- above DI+ is typically seen as a bearish signal.
How it works
1. Regime filter with ADX, DI+, and DI-: The first step in taking a trade is to determine the direction of the trend using the +DI. If in an uptrend, the strategy checks if the ADX is above 25 to confirm a strong uptrend. -DI is not used since the strategy is long only. If in an uptrend and the trend is strong, trades can be opened.
2. Trend Identification with EMAs: Initially, the strategy uses two Exponential Moving Averages (fast and slow) to determine the asset trend. A fast EMA crossing above the slow EMA signifies an uptrend, and vice versa for a downtrend. This is the Entry signal to open a long position.
3. Trend Confirmation with Breakout: The strategy confirms the EMA-indicated trend through price breakouts over a specified lookback period. An EMA crossover without a price action breakout does not lead to an entry signal
4. Trade Management: After entering a trade, the strategy uses predefined levels for taking profit and setting stop losses. Trades are closed either when the price reaches the take-profit level or falls to the stop-loss level. Hence, risk management is built in.
Results
The backtest results can be found below. Initial capital of 10000 was used, this is a convenient amount for most retail traders, commission of $3 per order, position size of 3% of initial capital and slippage of 3 ticks. These are all representative of real world retail trading conditions.
Originality
The Single Swing Strategy (SSS)'s originality is in its blending of classical technical analysis; Trend Analysis through EMAs and Price Action through Breakout, into an innovative trading logic.
1. The Essence of Trend and Breakout in SSS
(i) Trend Recognition: At the heart of SSS is the Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). While the use of EMAs is common, SSS employs them for trend analysis so an entry decision can be made. The strategy's core algorithm assesses the inception of an upward trend by observing a specific crossing pattern of the EMAs, a moment where the asset's momentum shifts, offering a strategic advantage.
(ii) Breakout Significance: The strategy's reliance on price breakouts isn't just about identifying a new high; it's about understanding market psychology. A breakout beyond a previous high signals not only momentum but also a collective market sentiment that favors upward movement. SSS attempts to capture this momentum, translating it into a tangible trading opportunity.
(iii)Strength of trend: The ADX and +DI double checks the trend is in the right direction and checks to see if the trend is strong enough hence, it prevents trading when the trend is not supportive.
2. Simplicity as a Cornerstone
(i) Clarity and Efficiency: In the realm of algorithmic trading, complexity isn't always synonymous with effectiveness. SSS' simplicity ensures its logic is transparent and its execution, efficient. This simplicity is a strategic choice, designed to reduce overfitting to past data and improve adaptability to real-market conditions.
(ii) Ease of Use and Decision Making: The straightforward nature of SSS may empower traders to make informed decisions without being overwhelmed by convoluted indicators. This is particularly useful because of the embedding of risk management using defined exit points after entry through a Take Profit and Stop Loss. This hardcodes a 3:1 risk reward ratio into every trade.
3. Positive Expectancy
(i) Performance Metrics: The SSS strategy shows its edge in its backtesting results. A 62% win rate, a profit factor of 1.7, profit ratio of 1.05 and an average trade gain of 4.7% are not just numbers; they show the mathematical edge over the backtest period, especially considering the high commissions and slippage factored into its design.
Trading
The SSS strategy has been backtested on the 1D timeframe of BTCUSD but users are encouraged to try it on other assets such as SPXL (5min), AAPL (5min) and others but the appropriate timeframe and trading costs may vary.
NOTE
Like any trading strategy, SSS does not guarantee profits. It's a tool to assist in decision-making, not a foolproof solution. Trading involves risks, particularly in volatile markets. Users should trade responsibly, considering their risk tolerance and financial situation. While SSS automates some aspects of trading, it requires continuous monitoring and does not replace the need for sound judgement and decision-making by the trader.
Session Breakout Scalper Trading BotHi Traders !
Introduction:
I have recently been exploring the world of automated algorithmic trading (as I prefer more objective trading strategies over subjective technical analysis (TA)) and would like to share one of my automation compatible (PineConnecter compatible) scripts “Session Breakout Scalper”.
The strategy is really simple and is based on time conditional breakouts although has more ”relatively” advanced optional features such as the regime indicators (Regime Filters) that attempt to filter out noise by adding more confluence states and the ATR multiple SL that takes into account volatility to mitigate the down side risk of the trade.
What is Algorthmic Trading:
Firstly what is algorithmic trading? Algorithmic trading also known as algo-trading, is a method of using computer programs (in this case pine script) to execute trades based on predetermined rules and instructions (this trading strategy). It's like having a robot trader who follows a strict set of commands to buy and sell assets automatically, without any human intervention.
Important Note:
For Algorithmic trading the strategy will require you having an essential TV subscription at the minimum (so that you can set alerts) plus a PineConnecter subscription (scroll down to the .”How does the strategy send signals” headings to read more)
The Strategy Explained:
Is the Time input true ? (this can be changed by toggling times under the “TRADE MEDIAN TIMES” group for user inputs).
Given the above is true the strategy waits x bars after the session and then calculates the highest high (HH) to lowest low (LL) range. For this box to form, the user defined amount of bars must print after the session. The box is symmetrical meaning the HH and LL are calculated over a lookback that is equal to the sum of user defined bars before and after the session (+ 1).
The Strategy then simultaneously defines the HH as the buy level (green line) and the LL as the sell level (red line). note the strategy will set stop orders at these levels respectively.
Enter a buy if price action crosses above the HH, and then cancel the sell order type (The opposite is true for a stop order).
If the momentum based regime filters are true the strategy will check for the regime / regimes to be true, if the regime if false the strategy will exit the current trade, as the regime filter has predicted a slowing / reversal of momentum.
The image below shows the strategy executing these trading rules ( Regime filters, "Trades on chart", "Signal & Label" and "Quantity" have been omitted. "Strategy label plots" has been switched to true)
Other Strategy Rules:
If a new session (time session which is user defined) is true (blue vertical line) and the strategy is currently still in a trade it will exit that trade immediately.
It is possible to also set a range of percentage gain per day that the strategy will try to acquire, if at any point the strategy’s profit is within the percentage range then the position / trade will be exited immediately (This can be changed in the “PERCENT DAY GAIN” group for user inputs)
Stops and Targets:
The strategy has either static (fixed) or variable SL options. TP however is only static. The “STRAT TP & TP” group of user inputs is responsible for the SL and TP values (quoted in pips). Note once the ATR stop is set to true the SL values in the above group no longer have any affect on the SL as expected.
What are the Regime Filters:
The Larry Williams Large Trade Index (LWLTI): The Larry Williams Large Trade Index (LWTI) is a momentum-based technical indicator developed by iconic trader Larry Williams. It identifies potential entries and exits for trades by gauging market sentiment, particularly the buying and selling pressure from large market players. Here's a breakdown of the LWTI:
LWLTI components and their interpretation:
Oscillator: It oscillates between 0 and 100, with 50 acting as the neutral line.
Sentiment Meter: Values above 75 suggest a bearish market dominated by large selling, while readings below 25 indicate a bullish market with strong buying from large players.
Trend Confirmation: Crossing above 75 during an uptrend and below 25 during a downtrend confirms the trend's continuation.
The Andean Oscillator (AO) : The Andean Oscillator is a trend and momentum based indicator designed to measure the degree of variations within individual uptrends and downtrends in the prices.
Regime Filter States:
In trading, a regime filter is a tool used to identify the current state or "regime" of the market.
These Regime filters are integrated within the trading strategy to attempt to lower risk (equity volatility and/or draw down). The regime filters have different states for each market order type (buy and sell). When the regime filters are set to true, if these regime states fail to be true the trade is exited immediately.
For Buy Trades:
LWLTI positive momentum state: Quotient of the lagged trailing difference and the ATR > 50
AO positive momentum state: Bull line > Bear line (signal line is omitted)
For Sell Trades:
LWLTI negative momentum stat: Quotient of the lagged trailing difference and the ATR < 50
AO negative momentum state: Bull line < Bear line (signal line is omitted)
How does the Strategy Send Signals:
The strategy triggers a TV alert (you will neet to set a alert first), TV then sends a HTTP request to the automation software (PineConnecter) which receives the request and then communicates to an MT4/5 EA to automate the trading strategy.
For the strategy to send signals you must have the following
At least a TV essential subscription
This Script added to your chart
A PineConnecter account, which is paid and not free. This will provide you with the expert advisor that executes trades based on these strategies signals.
For more detailed information on the automation process I would recommend you read the PineConnecter documentation and FAQ page.
Dashboard:
This Dashboard (top right by defualt) lists some simple trading statistics and also shows when a trade is live.
Important Notice:
- USE THIS STRATEGY AT YOUR OWN RISK AND ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH & MANUAL BACKTESTING !
- THE STRATEGY WILL NOT EXHIBIT THE BACKTEST PERFORMANCE SEEN BELOW IN ALL MARKETS !
Dual Regime Strategy (DRS)/Introduction
The Dual Regime Strategy (DRS) is a composite strategy consisting of two signals, both catering to two different market regimes. The stock market experiences periods of high volatility followed by periods of low volatility, a mean reversion strategy performs well during periods of high volatility while a trend following strategy performs well during periods of low volatility. This is the basis for the mean reversion signal and the momentum signal.
/Signals
1. Mean Reversion Signal
Definition: Mean reversion is a financial theory that suggests that asset prices and financial markets tend to fluctuate around a long-term average or mean value. In other words, when the price of an asset moves significantly away from its historical average, it is likely to revert, or move back, towards that average over time.
Concept: Mean reversion assumes that extreme price movements are temporary and that there is an inherent tendency for prices to return to their historical average or equilibrium level. Traders and investors who follow mean reversion strategies often look for overbought or oversold conditions in the market to identify potential trading opportunities. They believe that when prices deviate too far from their mean, there is a higher probability of a reversal.
DRS strategy: The Keltner Channel is a volatility-based technical indicator that consists of three lines: an upper channel, a lower channel, and a middle channel. It is primarily used for mean reversion strategies. The strategy uses a Keltner channel to trigger the mean reversion signals by identifying potential overbought and oversold conditions.
2. Momentum Signal
Definition: Momentum, in the context of financial markets, refers to the tendency of assets to continue moving in the same direction as their recent past price movements. It is based on the idea that assets that have been performing well recently are more likely to continue performing well, and assets that have been performing poorly are more likely to continue performing poorly.
Concept: Momentum traders and investors seek to identify and ride existing price trends. They believe that there is a persistence in price movements, and they aim to capitalize on this persistence by buying assets that have shown recent strength and selling assets that have shown recent weakness.
DRS strategy: The Exponential Moving Average is used to identify the strength and direction of the existing trend. When the price remains above the moving average, it indicates bullish momentum and vice versa for bearish momentum.
/Results
The backtest results are based on a starting capital of $13,700 (convenient amount for retail traders) with 5% of equity for the position size and pyramiding of 2 to allow one open position at a time for each signal. Commissions vary from broker to broker and they are calculated in different ways so a simple $3 per order is used in backtesting this strategy. Slippage of 3 ticks is used to ensure the results are representative of real world, market order trading. The backtest results are available to view at the bottom of this page.
Note:
Past performance in backtesting does not guarantee future results. Broker execution and market changes can significantly affect strategy performance in live trading.
Originality:
The DRS strategy is unique in its combination of both Momentum Strategy and Mean Reversion Strategy components within a single trading strategy. This dual-regime approach allows the strategy to adapt to different market conditions. Additionally, it incorporates short positions for momentum signals, this ensures that the strategy remains active in bear markets.
1. Mean Reverting Regimes
In mean-reverting regimes, markets exhibit high volatility with prices oscillating around a historical average. The DRS employs the Keltner Channel as a core tool for identifying overbought and oversold conditions, which are prevalent in such regimes.
Detection: The strategy detects mean reverting opportunities when prices deviate significantly from the middle band of the Keltner Channel, signaling an overbought or oversold condition.
Execution: Trades are executed with the expectation that prices will revert to the mean. For example, buying when the price is below the lower band (oversold) and selling when it's above the upper band (overbought).
2. Trending Regimes
In trending regimes, markets move in a persistent direction, either up or down. The DRS utilizes the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to identify and follow these trends.
Trend Identification: The EMA helps in determining the overall direction of the trend, while the number of days price stays above the moving average indicates the strength of the trend.
Trade Execution: The strategy capitalizes on strong trends by taking positions in the direction of the trend (long positions in uptrends and short positions in downtrends).
/Tickers
This strategy has been backtested primarily on SPY. It also performs well on IWF and QQQ.
Rob Booker - ADX Breakout updated to pinescript V5Rob Booker - ADX Breakout. The strategy remains unchanged but the code has been updated to pinescript V5. This enables compatibility with all new Tradingview features. Additonally, indicators have been made more easily visible, default cash settings as well as input descriptions have been added.
Rob Booker - ADX Breakout: (Directly taken from the official Tradingview V1 version of the script)
Definition
Rob Booker’s Average Directional Index (ADX) Breakout is a trend strength indicator that affirms the belief that trading in the direction of a trend and continuing to follow its pull is more profitable for traders, while simultaneously reducing risk.
History
ADX was traditionally used and developed to determine a price’s trend strength. It is commonly known as a tool from the arsenal of Rob Booker, experienced entrepreneur and currency trader.
Calculations
Calculations for the ADX Breakout indicator are based on a moving average of price range expansion over a specific period of time. By default, the setting rests at 14 bars, this however is not mandatory, as other periods are routinely used for analysis as well.
Takeaways
The ADX line is used to measure and determine the strength of a trend, and so the direction of this line and its interpretation are crucial in a trader’s analysis. As the ADX line rises, a trend increases in strength and price moves in the trend’s direction. Similarly, if the ADX line is falling, a trend decreases in strength and price then enters a period of consolidation, or retracement.
Traditionally, the ADX is plotted on the chart as a single line that consists of values that range from 0-100. The line is non-directional, meaning that it always measures trend strength regardless of the position of a price’s trend (up or down). Essentially, ADX quantifies trend strength by presenting in both uptrends and downtrends of the line.
What to look for
The values associated with the ADX line help traders determine the most profitable trades and where risk lies in the current trend. It is important to know how to quantify trend strength and distinguish between the varying values in order to understand the differences in trending vs. non-trending conditions. Let’s take a look at ADX values and what they mean for trend strength.
ADX Value:
0-25: Signifies an absent of weak trend
25-50: Signifies a strong trend
50-75: Signifies a very strong trend
75-100: Signifies an extremely strong trend
To delve into this a bit further, let’s assess the meaning of ADX if it is valued below 25. If the ADX line remains below 25 for more than 30 or so bars, price then enters range conditions, making price patterns more distinguishable and visible to traders. Price will move up and down between resistance and support in order to determine selling and buying interest and may then eventually break out into a trend or pattern.
The way in which ADX peaks, ebs, and flows is also a signifier of its overall pattern and trend momentum. The line can clearly indicate to the trader when trend strength is strong versus when it is weak. When ADX peaks are pictured as higher, it points towards an increase in trend momentum. If ADX peaks are pictured as lower - you guessed it - it points towards a decrease in trend momentum. A trend of lower ADX peaks could be a warning for traders to watch prices and manage and assess risk before a trade gets out of hand. Similarly, whenever there is a sudden move that seems out of place or a change in trend character that goes against what you’ve seen before, this should be a clear sign to watch prices and assess risk.
Summary
The ADX Breakout indicator is a trend strength indicator that analyzes price movements relative to trend strength to signal a user when is best for a trade and when is best to manage risk and assess patterns. As long as a trader recognizes strong trends and assesses the risk of each trade properly, they should have no problem using this indicator and utilizing it to work in their favor. In addition, the ADX helps identify trending conditions, but while doing so, also aids traders in finding strong trends to trade. The indicator can even alert traders to specific changes in trend momentum, allowing them to be primed for risk management.
