OBVious MA Strategy [1000X Trader]Exploring OBV: The OBVious MA Strategy
Are you using On Balance Volume (OBV) effectively? OBV is a gift to traders. OBV often provides a leading signal at the outset of a trend, when compression in the markets produces a surge in OBV prior to increased volatility.
This strategy demonstrates one method of utilizing OBV to your advantage. I call it the "OBVious MA Strategy ” only because it is so simple in its mechanics. This is meant to be a demonstration, not a strategy to utilize in live trading, as the primary utility of the OBVious MA indicator is as a volume confirmation filter that complements other components of a strategy. That said, I felt useful to present this indicator in isolation in this strategy to demonstrate the power it holds.
Strategy Features:
• OBV is the core signal: this strategy revolves around the On Balance Volume indicator. OBV is a straightforward indicator: it registers a value by adding total volume traded on up candles, and subtracts total volume on down candles, generating a line by connecting those values. OBV was described in 1963 by Joe Granville in his book "Granville's New Key to Stock Market Profits” in which the author argues that OBV is the most vital key to success as a trader, as volume changes are a major predictor of price changes.
• Dual Moving Averages: here we use separate moving averages for entries and exits. This allows for more granular trade management; for example, one can either extend the length of the exit MA to hold positions longer, or shorten the MA for swifter exits, independently of the entry signals.
Execution: long trades are taken when the OBV line crosses above the Long Entry Moving Average of the OBV. Long exits occur when the OBV line crosses under the Long Exit MA of the OBV. Shorts enter on a cross below the Short Entry MA, and exit on a cross above the Short Exit MA.
• Directional Trading: a direction filter can be set to "long" or "short," but not “both”, given that there is no trend filter in this strategy. When used in a bi-directional strategy with a trend filter, we add “both” to the script as a third option.
Application:
While this strategy outlines entry and exit conditions based on OBV crossovers with designated moving averages, is is, as stated, best used in conjunction with a supporting cast of confirmatory indicators (feel free to drop me a note and tell me how you've used it). It can be used to confirm entries, or you might try using it as a sole exit indicator in a strategy.
Visualization:
The strategy includes conditional plotting of the OBV MAs, which plot based on the selected trading direction. This visualization aids in understanding how OBV interacts with the set moving averages.
Further Discussion:
We all know the importance of volume; this strategy demonstrates one simple yet effective method of incorporating the OBV for volume analysis. The OBV indicator can be used in many ways - for example, we can monitor OBV trend line breaks, look for divergences, or as we do here, watch for breaks of the moving average.
Despite its simplicity, I'm unaware of any previously published cases of this method. The concept of applying MAs or EMAs to volume-based indicators like OBV is not uncommon in technical analysis, so I expect that work like this has been done before. If you know of other similar indicators or strategies, please mention in the comments.
One comparable strategy that uses EMAs of the OBV is QuantNomad’s "On Balance Volume Oscillator Strategy ", which uses a pair of EMAs on a normalized-range OBV-based oscillator. In that strategy, however, entries and exits occur on one EMA crossing the other, which places trades at distinctly different times than crossings of the OBV itself. Both are valid approaches with strength in simplicity.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "moving averages"
KST Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
KST Strategy leverages Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator in conjunction with the Williams Alligator and Moving average to obtain the high probability setups. KST is used for for having the high probability to enter in the direction of a current trend when momentum is rising, Alligator is used as a short term trend filter, while Moving average approximates the long term trend and allows trades only in its direction. Also strategy has the additional optional filter on Choppiness Index which does not allow trades if market is choppy, above the user-specified threshold. Strategy has the user specified take profit and stop-loss numbers, but multiplied by Average True Range (ATR) value on the moment when trade is open. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
ATR based stop-loss and take profit. Instead of fixed take profit and stop-loss percentage strategy utilizes user chosen numbers multiplied by ATR for its calculation.
Configurable Trading Periods. Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Optional Choppiness Index filter. Strategy allows to choose if it will use the filter trades with Choppiness Index and set up its threshold.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
Close price is above the Alligator's jaw line
Close price is above the filtering Moving average
KST line of Know Sure Thing indicator shall cross over its signal line (details in justification of methodology)
If the Choppiness Index filter is enabled its value shall be less than user defined threshold
When the long trade is executed algorithm defines the stop-loss level as the low minus user defined number, multiplied by ATR at the trade open candle. Also it defines take profit with close price plus user defined number, multiplied by ATR at the trade open candle. While trade is in progress, if high price on any candle above the calculated take profit level or low price is below the calculated stop loss level, trade is closed.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup the following strategy settings:
ATR Stop Loss (by default = 1.5, number of ATRs to calculate stop-loss level)
ATR Take Profit (by default = 3.5, number of ATRs to calculate take profit level)
Filter MA Type (by default = Least Squares MA, type of moving average which is used for filter MA)
Filter MA Length (by default = 200, length for filter MA calculation)
Enable Choppiness Index Filter (by default = true, setting to choose the optional filtering using Choppiness index)
Choppiness Index Threshold (by default = 50, Choppiness Index threshold, its value shall be below it to allow trades execution)
Choppiness Index Length (by default = 14, length used in Choppiness index calculation)
KST ROC Length #1 (by default = 10, value used in KST indicator calculation, more information in Justification of Methodology)
KST ROC Length #2 (by default = 15, value used in KST indicator calculation, more information in Justification of Methodology)
KST ROC Length #3 (by default = 20, value used in KST indicator calculation, more information in Justification of Methodology)
KST ROC Length #4 (by default = 30, value used in KST indicator calculation, more information in Justification of Methodology)
KST SMA Length #1 (by default = 10, value used in KST indicator calculation, more information in Justification of Methodology)
KST SMA Length #2 (by default = 10, value used in KST indicator calculation, more information in Justification of Methodology)
KST SMA Length #3 (by default = 10, value used in KST indicator calculation, more information in Justification of Methodology)
KST SMA Length #4 (by default = 15, value used in KST indicator calculation, more information in Justification of Methodology)
KST Signal Line Length (by default = 10, value used in KST indicator calculation, more information in Justification of Methodology)
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Before understanding why this particular combination of indicator has been chosen let's briefly explain what is KST, Williams Alligator, Moving Average, ATR and Choppiness Index.
The KST (Know Sure Thing) is a momentum oscillator developed by Martin Pring. It combines multiple Rate of Change (ROC) values, smoothed over different timeframes, to identify trend direction and momentum strength. First of all, what is ROC? ROC (Rate of Change) is a momentum indicator that measures the percentage change in price between the current price and the price a set number of periods ago.
ROC = 100 * (Current Price - Price N Periods Ago) / Price N Periods Ago
In our case N is the KST ROC Length inputs from settings, here we will calculate 4 different ROCs to obtain KST value:
KST = ROC1_smooth × 1 + ROC2_smooth × 2 + ROC3_smooth × 3 + ROC4_smooth × 4
ROC1 = ROC(close, KST ROC Length #1), smoothed by KST SMA Length #1,
ROC2 = ROC(close, KST ROC Length #2), smoothed by KST SMA Length #2,
ROC3 = ROC(close, KST ROC Length #3), smoothed by KST SMA Length #3,
ROC4 = ROC(close, KST ROC Length #4), smoothed by KST SMA Length #4
Also for this indicator the signal line is calculated:
Signal = SMA(KST, KST Signal Line Length)
When the KST line rises, it indicates increasing momentum and suggests that an upward trend may be developing. Conversely, when the KST line declines, it reflects weakening momentum and a potential downward trend. A crossover of the KST line above its signal line is considered a buy signal, while a crossover below the signal line is viewed as a sell signal. If the KST stays above zero, it indicates overall bullish momentum; if it remains below zero, it points to bearish momentum. The KST indicator smooths momentum across multiple timeframes, helping to reduce noise and provide clearer signals for medium- to long-term trends.
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
The next indicator is Moving Average. It has a lot of different types which can be chosen to filter trades and the Least Squares MA is used by default settings. Let's briefly explain what is it.
The Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) — also known as Linear Regression Moving Average — is a trend-following indicator that uses the least squares method to fit a straight line to the price data over a given period, then plots the value of that line at the most recent point. It draws the best-fitting straight line through the past N prices (using linear regression), and then takes the endpoint of that line as the value of the moving average for that bar. The LSMA aims to reduce lag and highlight the current trend more accurately than traditional moving averages like SMA or EMA.
Key Features:
It reacts faster to price changes than most moving averages.
It is smoother and less noisy than short-term EMAs.
It can be used to identify trend direction, momentum, and potential reversal points.
ATR (Average True Range) is a volatility indicator that measures how much an asset typically moves during a given period. It was introduced by J. Welles Wilder and is widely used to assess market volatility, not direction.
To calculate it first of all we need to get True Range (TR), this is the greatest value among:
High - Low
abs(High - Previous Close)
abs(Low - Previous Close)
ATR = MA(TR, n) , where n is number of periods for moving average, in our case equals 14.
ATR shows how much an asset moves on average per candle/bar. A higher ATR means more volatility; a lower ATR means a calmer market.
The Choppiness Index is a technical indicator that quantifies whether the market is trending or choppy (sideways). It doesn't indicate trend direction — only the strength or weakness of a trend. Higher Choppiness Index usually approximates the sideways market, while its low value tells us that there is a high probability of a trend.
Choppiness Index = 100 × log10(ΣATR(n) / (MaxHigh(n) - MinLow(n))) / log10(n)
where:
ΣATR(n) = sum of the Average True Range over n periods
MaxHigh(n) = highest high over n periods
MinLow(n) = lowest low over n periods
log10 = base-10 logarithm
Now let's understand how these indicators work in conjunction and why they were chosen for this strategy. KST indicator approximates current momentum, when it is rising and KST line crosses over the signal line there is high probability that short term trend is reversing to the upside and strategy allows to take part in this potential move. Alligator's jaw (blue) line is used as an approximation of a short term trend, taking trades only above it we want to avoid trading against trend to increase probability that long trade is going to be winning.
Almost the same for Moving Average, but it approximates the long term trend, this is just the additional filter. If we trade in the direction of the long term trend we increase probability that higher risk to reward trade will hit the take profit. Choppiness index is the optional filter, but if it turned on it is used for approximating if now market is in sideways or in trend. On the range bounded market the potential moves are restricted. We want to decrease probability opening trades in such condition avoiding trades if this index is above threshold value.
When trade is open script sets the stop loss and take profit targets. ATR approximates the current volatility, so we can make a decision when to exit a trade based on current market condition, it can increase the probability that strategy will avoid the excessive stop loss hits, but anyway user can setup how many ATRs to use as a stop loss and take profit target. As was said in the Methodology stop loss level is obtained by subtracting number of ATRs from trade opening candle low, while take profit by adding to this candle's close.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2025.05.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 60%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.53%
Maximum Single Profit: +8.35%
Net Profit: +5175.20 USDT (+51.75%)
Total Trades: 120 (56.67% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.747
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 1039.89 USDT (-9.1%)
Average Profit per Trade: 43.13 USDT (+0.6%)
Average Trade Duration: 27 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 1h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrexio commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation.
Combined EMA, SMMA, and 60-Day Cycle Indicator V2What This Script Does:
This script is designed to help traders visualize market trends and generate trading signals based on a combination of moving averages and price action. Here's a breakdown of its components and functionality:
Moving Averages:
EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages): These are indicators that smooth out price data to help identify trends. The script uses several EMAs:
200 EMA: A long-term trend indicator.
400 EMA: An even longer-term trend indicator.
55 EMA: A medium-term trend indicator.
89 EMA: Another medium-term trend indicator.
SMMA (Smoothed Moving Average): Similar to EMAs but with different smoothing. The script calculates:
21 SMMA: Short-term smoothed average.
9 SMMA: Very short-term smoothed average.
Cycle High and Low:
60-Day Cycle: The script looks back over the past 60 days to find the highest price (cycle high) and the lowest price (cycle low). These are plotted as horizontal lines on the chart.
Color-Coded Clouds:
Clouds: The script fills the area between certain EMAs with color-coded clouds to visually indicate trend conditions:
200 EMA vs. 400 EMA Cloud: Green when the 200 EMA is above the 400 EMA (bullish trend) and red when it’s below (bearish trend).
21 SMMA vs. 9 SMMA Cloud: Orange when the 21 SMMA is above the 9 SMMA and green when it’s below.
55 EMA vs. 89 EMA Cloud: Light green when the 55 EMA is above the 89 EMA and red when it’s below.
Trading Signals:
Buy Signal: This is shown when:
The price crosses above the 60-day low and
The EMAs indicate a bullish trend (e.g., the 200 EMA is above the 400 EMA and the 55 EMA is above the 89 EMA).
Sell Signal: This is shown when:
The price crosses below the 60-day high and
The EMAs indicate a bearish trend (e.g., the 200 EMA is below the 400 EMA and the 55 EMA is below the 89 EMA).
How It Helps Traders:
Trend Visualization: The colored clouds and EMA lines help you quickly see whether the market is in a bullish or bearish phase.
Trading Signals: The script provides clear visual signals (buy and sell labels) based on specific market conditions, helping you make more informed trading decisions.
In summary, this script combines several tools to help identify market trends and provide buy and sell signals based on price action relative to a 60-day high/low and the positioning of moving averages. It’s a useful tool for traders looking to visualize trends and automate some aspects of their trading strategy.
MA15, MA50 with Support/Resistance, CHoCH, Trend, and Entry/Exita comprehensive indicator that includes moving averages (MA), support and resistance levels, Change of Character (CHoCH) detection, trend identification, and entry/exit signals. Here's a breakdown of its components:
Input Parameters:
ma15_length and ma50_length: Lengths for the moving averages.
lookback: Period for detecting support and resistance levels.
Moving Averages:
ma15 and ma50 are simple moving averages with lengths defined by the user.
Support and Resistance Levels:
The script identifies swing highs and lows to update support and resistance levels.
These levels are plotted using extended lines for visualization.
Change of Character (CHoCH):
CHoCH up is detected when ma15 crosses above ma50.
CHoCH down is detected when ma15 crosses below ma50.
Corresponding signals are plotted on the chart.
Trend Identification:
An uptrend is confirmed when ma15 crosses above ma50 and the close price is above ma50.
A downtrend is confirmed when ma15 crosses below ma50 and the close price is below ma50.
Background colors are used to highlight uptrend (green) and downtrend (red).
Entry and Exit Signals:
Buy signals are generated when CHoCH up occurs, and the price pulls back to support during an uptrend.
Sell signals are generated when CHoCH down occurs, and the price pulls back to resistance during a downtrend.
These signals are plotted on the chart.
Alerts:
Alerts are set up to notify the user when a buy or sell signal is detected.
Herrick Payoff Index @shrilssThis indicator combines elements of price action, volume, and open interest to provide insights into market strength and potential trend reversals. This script calculates the Herrick Payoff Index (HPI) based on a modified formula that incorporates volume and open interest adjustments.
The HPI is derived from comparing the current day's mean price to the previous day's mean price, factoring in volume and open interest changes. By analyzing these factors, the indicator aims to gauge the effectiveness of market participants' positions.
Key Features:
- HPI Calculation: The HPI value is calculated using the formula: ((M - My) * C * V) * (1 + |OI - OI | / min(OI, OI )), where M represents the mean price for the current day, My represents the mean price for the previous day, C is a constant (set to 1), V is the volume, and OI is the open interest. This adjusted calculation accounts for changes in volume and open interest, providing a more nuanced view of market dynamics.
- Moving Averages: The script also includes two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) of the HPI values, allowing traders to identify trends and potential reversal points. Users can customize the length of these moving averages to suit their trading strategies.
- Visual Signals: The indicator visually represents the HPI values and their relationship to the moving averages. When the HPI value is above the shorter-term EMA, it suggests bullish momentum, while values below indicate bearish sentiment.
5 MAs w. alerts [LucF]Is this gazillionth MA indicator worth an addition to the already crowded field of contenders? I say yes! This one shows up to 5 MAs and 6 different marker conditions that can be used to create alerts, among many other goodies.
Features
MAs can be darkened when they are falling.
MAs from another time frame can be displayed, with the option of smoothing them.
Markers can be filtered to Longs or Shorts only.
EMAs can be selected for either all or the two shortest MAs.
The background can be colored using any of the marker states except no. 3.
Markers are:
1. On crosses between any two user-defined MAs,
2. When price is above or below an MA,
3. On Quick Flips (a specific setup involving a cross, multiple MA states and increasing volume, when available),
4. When the difference between two MAs is within a % of its high/low historic values,
5. When an MA has been rising/falling for n bars,
6. When the difference between two MAs is greater than a multiple of ATR.
Some markers use similar visual cues, so distinguishing them will be a challenge if they are used concurrently.
Alerts
Alerts can be created on any combination of alerts. Only non-consecutive instances of markers 5 and 6 will trigger the alert condition. Make sure you are on the interval you want the alert to run at. Using the “Once Per Bar Close” trigger condition is usually the best option.
When an alert is created in TradingView, a snapshot of the indicator’s settings is saved with the alert, which then takes on a life of its own. That is why even though there is only one alert to choose from when you bring up the alert creation dialog box and choose “5 MAs”, that alert can be triggered from any number of conditions. You select those conditions by activating the markers you want the alert to trigger on before creating the alert. If you have selected multiple conditions, then it can be a good idea to record a reminder in the alert’s message field. When the alert triggers, you will need the indicator on the chart to figure out which one of your conditions triggered the alert, as there is currently no way to dynamically change the alert’s message field from within the script.
Background settings will not trigger alerts; only marker configurations.
Notes
MAs are just… averages. Trader lure would have them act as support and resistance levels. I’m not sure about that, and not the only one thinking along these lines. Adam Grimes has studied moving averages in quite a bit of detail. His numbers point to no evidence indicating they act as support/resistance, and to specific MA lengths not being more meaningful than others. His point of view is debated by some—not by me. Mean reversion does not entail that price stops when it reaches its MA; rather, it makes sense to me that price would often more or less oscillate around its MA, which entails the MA does not act as support/resistance. Aren’t the best mean reversion opportunities when price is furthest away from its MA? If so, it should be more profitable to identify these areas, which some of this indicator’s markers try to do.
I think MAs can be much more powerful when thought of as instruments we can use to situate price events in contexts of various resolutions, from the instantaneous to the big picture. Accordingly, I use the relative positions and slopes of MAs in both discretionary and automated trading; but never their purported ability to support/resist.
Regardless of how you use MAs, I hope you will find this indicator useful.
Biased References
The Art and Science of Technical Analysis: Market Structure, Price Action, and Trading Strategies, Adam Grimes, 2012.
Does the 200 day moving average “work”?
Moving averages: digging deeper
Uptrick: Time Based ReversionIntroduction
The Uptrick: Time Based Reversion indicator is designed to provide a comprehensive view of market momentum and potential trend shifts by combining multiple moving averages, a streak-based trend analysis system, and adaptive color visualization. It helps traders identify strong trends, spot potential reversals, and make more informed trading decisions.
Purpose
The primary goal of this indicator is to assist traders in distinguishing between sustained market movements and short-lived fluctuations. By evaluating how price behaves relative to its moving averages, and by measuring consecutive streaks above or below these averages, the indicator highlights areas where trends are likely to continue or lose momentum.
Overview
Uptrick: Time Based Reversion calculates one or more moving averages of price data and then tracks the number of consecutive bars (streaks) above or below these averages. This streak-based detection provides insight into whether a trend is gaining strength or nearing a potential reversal point. The indicator offers:
• Multiple moving average types (SMA, EMA, WMA)
• Optional second and third moving average layers for additional smoothing of first moving average
• A streak detection system to quantify trend intensity
• A dynamic color scheme that changes with streak strength
• Optional buy and sell signals for potential trade entries and exits
• A ribbon mode that applies moving averages to Open, High, Low, and Close prices for a more detailed visualization of overall trend alignment
Originality and Uniqueness
Unlike traditional moving average indicators, Uptrick: Time Based Reversion incorporates a streak measurement system to detect trend strength. This approach helps clarify whether a price movement is merely a quick fluctuation or part of a longer-lasting trend. Additionally, the optional ribbon mode extends this logic to Open, High, Low, and Close prices, creating a layered and intuitive visualization that shows complete trend alignment.
Inputs and Features
1. Enable Ribbon Mode
This input lets you activate or deactivate the ribbon display of multiple moving averages. When enabled, the script plots moving averages for the Open, High, Low, and Close prices and uses color fills to show whether these four data points are collectively above or below their respective moving averages.
2. Color Scheme Selection
Users can choose from several predefined color schemes, such as Default, Emerald, Crimson, Sapphire, Gold, Purple, Teal, Orange, Gray, Lime, or Aqua. Each scheme assigns distinct bullish, bearish and neutral colors..
3. Show Buy/Sell Signals
The indicator can display buy or sell signals based on its streak analysis logic. These signals appear as markers on the chart, indicating a “Safe Uptrend” (buy) or “Safe Downtrend” (sell).
4. Moving Average Types and Lengths
• First MA Type and Length: Choose SMA, EMA, or WMA along with a customizable period.
• Second and Third MA Types and Lengths: You can optionally stack additional moving averages for further smoothing, each with its own customizable type and period.
5. Streak Threshold Multiplier
This numeric input determines how strong a streak must be before the script considers it a “safe” trend. A higher multiplier requires a longer or more intense streak for a buy or sell signal.
6. Dynamic Transparency Calculation
The color intensity adapts to the streak’s strength. Longer streaks increase the transparency of the opposing color, making the current dominant color stand out. This feature ensures that a vigorous uptrend or downtrend is visually distinct from short-lived or weaker moves.
7. Ribbon Moving Averages
In ribbon mode, the script calculates moving averages for the Open, High, Low, and Close prices. Each of these is optionally smoothed again if the second and/or third moving average layers are active. The final result is a ribbon of moving averages that helps confirm whether the market is uniformly aligned above or below these key reference points.
Calculation Methodology
1. Initial Moving Average
The script calculates the first moving average (SMA, EMA, or WMA) of the closing price over a user-defined period.
2. Optional Secondary and Tertiary Averages
If selected, the script then applies a second and/or third smoothing step. Each of these steps can be a different type of moving average (SMA, EMA, or WMA) with its own period length.
3. Streak Detection
The indicator counts consecutive bars above or below the smoothed moving average. A running total (streakUp or streakDown) increments with every bar that remains above or below that average.
4. Reversion Intensity
The script compares the current streak value to its own average (calculated over the final chosen period). This ratio determines whether the streak is nearing a likely reversion or is strong enough to continue.
5. Color Assignment and Signals
The indicator calculates color transparency based on streak intensity. Buy and sell signals appear when the streak meets or exceeds the threshold multiplier, indicating a safe uptrend or downtrend.
Color Schemes and Visualization
This indicator offers multiple predefined color sets. Each scheme specifies a unique bullish color, bearish color and neutral color. The script automatically varies transparency to highlight strong trends and fade weaker ones, making it visually clear when a trend is intensifying or losing momentum.
Smoothing Techniques
By allowing up to three layers of moving average smoothing, the indicator accommodates different trading styles. A single layer provides faster reactions to market changes, while more layers reduce noise at the cost of slower responsiveness. Traders can choose the right balance between responsiveness and stability for their strategy, whether it is short-term scalping or long-term trend following.
Why It Combines Specific Smoothing Techniques
The Uptrick: Time Based Reversion indicator strategically combines specific smoothing techniques—SMA, EMA, and WMA—to leverage their complementary strengths. The SMA provides stable and consistent trend identification by equally weighting all data points, while the EMA emphasizes recent price movements, allowing quicker responses to market changes. WMA enhances sensitivity to recent price shifts, which helps in detecting subtle momentum changes early. By integrating these methods in layers, the indicator effectively balances responsiveness with stability, helping traders clearly identify genuine trend changes while filtering out short-term noise and false signals.
Ribbon Mode
If Open, High, Low, and Close prices remain above or below their respective moving averages consistently, the script colors the bars fully bullish or bearish. When the data points are mixed, a neutral color is applied. This mode provides a thorough perspective on whether the entire price range is aligned in one direction or showing conflicting signals.
Summary
Uptrick: Time Based Reversion combines multiple moving averages, streak detection, and dynamic color adjustments to help traders identify significant trends and potential reversal areas. Its flexibility allows it to be used either in a simpler form, with one moving average and streak analysis, or in a more advanced configuration with ribbon mode that charts multiple smoothed averages for a deeper understanding of price alignment. By adapting color intensities based on streak strength and providing optional buy/sell signals, this indicator delivers a clear and flexible tool suited to various trading strategies.
Disclaimer
This indicator is designed as an analysis aid and does not guarantee profitable trades. Past performance does not indicate future success, and market conditions can change unexpectedly. Users are advised to employ proper risk management and thoroughly evaluate trades before taking positions. Use this indicator as part of a broader strategy, not as a sole decision-making tool.
[KVA]Volume ImpulseThe Volume Impulse indicator is designed to provide insights into market momentum by analyzing volume dynamics. It helps traders identify periods of strong buying and selling pressure, which can be crucial for making informed trading decisions.
What does the indicator do?
The Volume Impulse indicator calculates positive and negative volume percentages based on the price range within each bar. It allows traders to visualize the distribution of volume and detect potential shifts in market sentiment.
How does it work?
The indicator uses a customizable lookback period to analyze volume data, smoothing the results with user-defined moving averages. By comparing the positive and negative volume percentages, the indicator highlights overbought and oversold conditions, aiding in trend detection and potential reversal points.
How to use it?
Identify Momentum: Use the positive and negative volume percentages to gauge market momentum within the specified lookback period.
Detect Overbought/Oversold Conditions: Look for the indicator crossing above the overbought level or below the oversold level to identify potential reversal points.
Smooth Trends: Adjust the moving average type and lengths to smooth out the volume data and identify trends more clearly.
Key Features
Volume Analysis: Calculates the positive and negative volume based on the price range within each bar.
Lookback Period: Allows you to define a lookback period over which the indicator calculations are performed, providing flexibility in analyzing different timeframes.
Customizable Moving Averages: Choose from various types of moving averages (EMA, SMA, WMA, Hull) to smooth the volume data.
Overbought/Oversold Levels: Visual markers for overbought, middle, and oversold conditions to help identify potential reversal points.
Color-Coded Areas: Highlights overbought and oversold regions with customizable colors for easy visual interpretation.
Plotting Options: Displays the positive volume and its smoothed version using the selected moving average type and length.
Inputs:
Lookback Period: Define the period over which the volume analysis is performed.
Moving Average Type: Select the type of moving average (EMA, SMA, WMA, Hull) to be applied.
Moving Average Length: Set the length for the primary moving average.
Smooth Length: Define the length for the smoothed moving average.
Overbought Level: Set the threshold for overbought conditions.
Middle Level: Set the threshold for middle conditions.
Oversold Level: Set the threshold for oversold conditions.
Color Settings: Customize the colors for overbought and oversold areas and their respective fill colors.
Hull Suite Oscillator - Normalized | IkkeOmarThis script is based off the Hull Suite by @InSilico.
I made this script to provide and calculate the Hull Moving Average (HMA) based on the chosen variation (HMA, TMA, or EMA) and length to then normalize the HMA values to a range of 0 to 100. The normalized values are further smoothed using an exponential moving average (EMA).
The smoothed oscillator is plotted as a line, where values above 80 are colored red, values below 20 are colored green, and values between 20 and 80 are colored blue. Additionally, there are horizontal dashed lines at the levels of 20 and 80 to serve as reference points.
Explanation for the code:
The script uses the close price of the asset as the source for calculations. The modeSwitch parameter allows selecting the type of Hull variation: Hma, Thma, or Ehma. The length parameter determines the calculation period for the Hull moving averages. The lengthMult parameter is used to adjust the length for higher timeframes. The oscSmooth parameter determines the lookback period for smoothing the oscillator.
There are three functions defined for calculating different types of Hull moving averages: HMA, EHMA, and THMA. These functions take the source and length as inputs and return the corresponding Hull moving average.
The Mode function acts as a switch and selects the appropriate Hull variation based on the modeSwitch parameter. It returns the chosen Hull moving average.
The script calculates the Hull moving averages using the selected mode, source, and length. The main Hull moving average is stored in the _hull variable, and aliases are created for the main Hull moving average (HULL), the main Hull value (MHULL), and the secondary Hull value (SHULL).
To create the normalized oscillator values, the script finds the highest and lowest values of the Hull moving average within the specified length. It then normalizes the Hull values to a range of 0 to 100 using a formula. This normalized oscillator represents the strength of the trend.
To smooth out the oscillator values, an exponential moving average is applied using the oscSmooth parameter.
The smoothed oscillator is plotted as a line chart. The line color is determined based on the oscillator value using conditional statements. If the oscillator value is above or equal to 80, the line color is set to red. If it is below or equal to 20, the color is green. Otherwise, it is blue. The linewidth is set to 2.
Additionally, two horizontal reference lines are plotted at levels 20 and 80 for visual reference. They are displayed in gray and dashed style.
Half Causal EstimatorOverview
The Half Causal Estimator is a specialized filtering method that provides responsive averages of market variables (volume, true range, or price change) with significantly reduced time delay compared to traditional moving averages. It employs a hybrid approach that leverages both historical data and time-of-day patterns to create a timely representation of market activity while maintaining smooth output.
Core Concept
Traditional moving averages suffer from time lag, which can delay signals and reduce their effectiveness for real-time decision making. The Half Causal Estimator addresses this limitation by using a non-causal filtering method that incorporates recent historical data (the causal component) alongside expected future behavior based on time-of-day patterns (the non-causal component).
This dual approach allows the filter to respond more quickly to changing market conditions while maintaining smoothness. The name "Half Causal" refers to this hybrid methodology—half of the data window comes from actual historical observations, while the other half is derived from time-of-day patterns observed over multiple days. By incorporating these "future" values from past patterns, the estimator can reduce the inherent lag present in traditional moving averages.
How It Works
The indicator operates through several coordinated steps. First, it stores and organizes market data by specific times of day (minutes/hours). Then it builds a profile of typical behavior for each time period. For calculations, it creates a filtering window where half consists of recent actual data and half consists of expected future values based on historical time-of-day patterns. Finally, it applies a kernel-based smoothing function to weight the values in this composite window.
This approach is particularly effective because market variables like volume, true range, and price changes tend to follow recognizable intraday patterns (they are positive values without DC components). By leveraging these patterns, the indicator doesn't try to predict future values in the traditional sense, but rather incorporates the average historical behavior at those future times into the current estimate.
The benefit of using this "average future data" approach is that it counteracts the lag inherent in traditional moving averages. In a standard moving average, recent price action is underweighted because older data points hold equal influence. By incorporating time-of-day averages for future periods, the Half Causal Estimator essentially shifts the center of the filter window closer to the current bar, resulting in more timely outputs while maintaining smoothing benefits.
Understanding Kernel Smoothing
At the heart of the Half Causal Estimator is kernel smoothing, a statistical technique that creates weighted averages where points closer to the center receive higher weights. This approach offers several advantages over simple moving averages. Unlike simple moving averages that weight all points equally, kernel smoothing applies a mathematically defined weight distribution. The weighting function helps minimize the impact of outliers and random fluctuations. Additionally, by adjusting the kernel width parameter, users can fine-tune the balance between responsiveness and smoothness.
The indicator supports three kernel types. The Gaussian kernel uses a bell-shaped distribution that weights central points heavily while still considering distant points. The Epanechnikov kernel employs a parabolic function that provides efficient noise reduction with a finite support range. The Triangular kernel applies a linear weighting that decreases uniformly from center to edges. These kernel functions provide the mathematical foundation for how the filter processes the combined window of past and "future" data points.
Applicable Data Sources
The indicator can be applied to three different data sources: volume (the trading volume of the security), true range (expressed as a percentage, measuring volatility), and change (the absolute percentage change from one closing price to the next).
Each of these variables shares the characteristic of being consistently positive and exhibiting cyclical intraday patterns, making them ideal candidates for this filtering approach.
Practical Applications
The Half Causal Estimator excels in scenarios where timely information is crucial. It helps in identifying volume climaxes or diminishing volume trends earlier than conventional indicators. It can detect changes in volatility patterns with reduced lag. The indicator is also useful for recognizing shifts in price momentum before they become obvious in price action, and providing smoother data for algorithmic trading systems that require reduced noise without sacrificing timeliness.
When volatility or volume spikes occur, conventional moving averages typically lag behind, potentially causing missed opportunities or delayed responses. The Half Causal Estimator produces signals that align more closely with actual market turns.
Technical Implementation
The implementation of the Half Causal Estimator involves several technical components working together. Data collection and organization is the first step—the indicator maintains a data structure that organizes market data by specific times of day. This creates a historical record of how volume, true range, or price change typically behaves at each minute/hour of the trading day.
For each calculation, the indicator constructs a composite window consisting of recent actual data points from the current session (the causal half) and historical averages for upcoming time periods from previous sessions (the non-causal half). The selected kernel function is then applied to this composite window, creating a weighted average where points closer to the center receive higher weights according to the mathematical properties of the chosen kernel. Finally, the kernel weights are normalized to ensure the output maintains proper scaling regardless of the kernel type or width parameter.
This framework enables the indicator to leverage the predictable time-of-day components in market data without trying to predict specific future values. Instead, it uses average historical patterns to reduce lag while maintaining the statistical benefits of smoothing techniques.
Configuration Options
The indicator provides several customization options. The data period setting determines the number of days of observations to store (0 uses all available data). Filter length controls the number of historical data points for the filter (total window size is length × 2 - 1). Filter width adjusts the width of the kernel function. Users can also select between Gaussian, Epanechnikov, and Triangular kernel functions, and customize visual settings such as colors and line width.
These parameters allow for fine-tuning the balance between responsiveness and smoothness based on individual trading preferences and the specific characteristics of the traded instrument.
Limitations
The indicator requires minute-based intraday timeframes, securities with volume data (when using volume as the source), and sufficient historical data to establish time-of-day patterns.
Conclusion
The Half Causal Estimator represents an innovative approach to technical analysis that addresses one of the fundamental limitations of traditional indicators: time lag. By incorporating time-of-day patterns into its calculations, it provides a more timely representation of market variables while maintaining the noise-reduction benefits of smoothing. This makes it a valuable tool for traders who need to make decisions based on real-time information about volume, volatility, or price changes.
Crypto Divergence from BTCThis script is used to indicate when price action of a crypto coin is diverging significantly from that of BTC.
Explanation of the Script:
Inputs:
roc_length: The period used for calculating the Rate of Change.
ma_length: The period used for the moving average of the ROC.
threshold: The percentage difference that indicates a divergence.
Price Data:
The script retrieves the current asset's price and Bitcoin's price.
ROC Calculation:
The ROC for both the current asset and BTC is calculated based on the defined roc_length.
Moving Averages:
Simple moving averages (SMA) of the ROC values are calculated to smooth out the data.
Divergence Detection:
The indicator checks if the current asset's ROC MA is significantly higher or lower than Bitcoin's ROC MA based on the specified threshold.
Plotting:
The script plots the ROC values and their moving averages.
It also highlights the background in green when a bullish divergence is detected (when the asset is moving up while BTC is lagging) and in red for a bearish divergence.
Jobinsabu014This Pine Script code is for an advanced trading indicator that displays enhanced moving averages with buy and sell labels, trend probability, and support/resistance levels. Here’s a detailed description of its components and functionality:
### Description:
1. **Indicator Initialization**:
- The indicator is named "Enhanced Moving Averages with Buy/Sell Labels and Trend Probability" and is set to overlay on the chart.
2. **Input Parameters**:
- **Moving Averages**: Four different moving averages (short and long periods for default and enhanced) with customizable periods.
- **Probability Threshold**: Determines the threshold for trend probability.
- **Support/Resistance Lookback**: Number of bars to look back for calculating support and resistance levels.
- **Signals Valid From**: Timestamp from which the signals are considered valid.
3. **Moving Averages Calculation**:
- **Default Moving Averages**: Calculated using simple moving averages (SMA) for the specified periods.
- **Enhanced Moving Averages**: Calculated using SMAs for different specified periods.
4. **Plotting Moving Averages**:
- Plots the default and enhanced moving averages with different colors for distinction.
5. **Crossover Detection**:
- Detects when the short moving average crosses above or below the long moving average for default moving averages.
6. **Buy/Sell Signal Labels**:
- Adds "BUY" and "SELL" labels on the chart when crossovers are detected after the specified valid timestamp.
- Tracks entry prices for buy/sell signals and adds labels when the price moves +100 points.
7. **Trend Detection for Enhanced Indicator**:
- Detects uptrend or downtrend based on the enhanced moving averages.
- Calculates a simple probability of trend based on price movement and EMA.
- Determines buy and sell signals based on trend conditions and volume-based buy/sell pressure.
8. **Plot Buy/Sell Signals for Enhanced Indicator**:
- Plots buy/sell signals based on the enhanced conditions.
9. **Background Color for Trends**:
- Changes the background color to green for uptrend and red for downtrend.
10. **Trend Lines**:
- Draws imaginary trend lines for uptrend and downtrend based on enhanced moving averages.
11. **Support and Resistance Levels**:
- Calculates and plots support and resistance levels using the specified lookback period.
- Stores and plots previous support and resistance levels with dashed lines.
12. **Expected Trend Labels**:
- Adds labels indicating expected uptrend or downtrend based on buy/sell signals.
13. **Alerts**:
- Sets alert conditions for buy and sell signals, triggering alerts when these conditions are met.
14. **Demand and Supply Zones**:
- Draws and extends horizontal lines for demand (support) and supply (resistance) zones.
### Summary:
This script enhances traditional moving average crossovers by adding trend probability calculations, volume-based pressure, and support/resistance levels. It visualizes expected trends and provides comprehensive buy/sell signals with corresponding labels, background color changes, and alerts to help traders make informed decisions.
Kshitij Malve - Minervini Trend Criteria (MTC)Purpose:
This indicator is designed to assist traders in identifying stocks that potentially meet the bullish Stage 2 trend criteria outlined by renowned stock trader Mark Minervini. It analyzes price movement in relation to moving averages and calculates certain price thresholds to provide visual signals.
Key Features:
Minervini Stage 2 Focus: Specifically targets trend characteristics highlighted in Minervini's trading methodology.
Adjustable Moving Averages: The script includes inputs for 150-day, 200-day, and 50-day moving average lengths, allowing users to customize their analysis.
Visual Trend Criteria: Each core Stage 2 trend condition is plotted below the chart as green or red dots for quick visual assessment.
Stage 2 Uptrend Signal: When all key trend conditions are met, a purple up-arrow appears beneath the price chart.
Alerts: Customizable alerts can be set up to notify the user when all conditions are met, signaling a potential Stage 2 uptrend.
Conditions Evaluated:
Price Position: Current price is above the 50-day, 150-day, and 200-day simple moving averages.
Moving Average Alignment: 50-day MA is above the 150-day MA, which is above the 200-day MA.
Uptrending 200-day MA: The 200-day MA is demonstrating an upward trend over the specified period.
30% Above 52-Week Low: Current price is at least 30% higher than the 52-week low.
Within 25% of 52-Week High: Current price is no more than 25% below the 52-week high.
Important Notes:
This indicator does not directly plot lines for conditions 4 and 5 (52-week high/low comparisons). Consider incorporating these into your chart in some way for full technical analysis in line with the Minervini method.
For additional depth, study Mark Minervini's books to fully understand the context and strategies built around these criteria.
How to Use:
Add the "Kshitij Malve - Minervini Trend Criteria" indicator to a stock chart.
Observe the placement of colored dots below the chart. A series of green dots suggests the stock is within Minervini's Stage 2 criteria.
Look for the purple up-arrow signal for confirmation that all conditions are met.
Customize alerts if you would like real-time signals of potential Stage 2 uptrends.
FlexiMA Variance Tracker - Strategy [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How It Is Different
The FlexiMA Variance Tracker by PresentTrading introduces a novel approach to technical trading strategies. Unlike traditional methods, it calculates deviations between a chosen indicator source (such as price or average) and a moving average with a variable length. This flexibility is achieved through a unique combination of a starting factor and an increment factor, allowing the moving average to adapt dynamically within a specified range. This strategy provides a more responsive and nuanced view of market trends, setting it apart from standard trading methodologies.
BTC 8h L/S
Local
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The FlexiMA Variance Tracker, developed by PresentTrading, stands at the forefront of trading strategies, distinguished by its adaptive and multifaceted approach to market analysis. This strategy intricately weaves various technical elements to construct a comprehensive trading logic. Here's an in-depth professional breakdown:
🔶Foundation on Variable-Length Moving Averages:
Central to this strategy is the concept of variable-length Moving Averages (MAs). Unlike traditional MAs with a fixed period, this strategy dynamically adjusts the length of the MA based on a starting factor and an incremental factor. This approach allows the strategy to adapt to market volatility and trend strength more effectively.
Each MA iteration offers a distinct temporal perspective, capturing short-term price movements to long-term trends. This aggregation of various time frames provides a richer and more nuanced market analysis, essential for making informed trading decisions.
🔶Deviation Analysis and Normalization:
The strategy calculates deviations of the price (or the chosen indicator source) from each of these MAs. These deviations are pivotal in identifying the immediate market direction relative to the average trend captured by each MA.
To standardize these deviations for comparability, they undergo a normalization process. The choice of normalization method (Max-Min or Absolute Sum) can significantly influence the interpretation of market conditions, offering distinct insights into price movements and trend strength.
🔹Normalization: Absolute Sum
🔶Composite Oscillator Construction:
A composite oscillator is derived from the median of these normalized deviations. The median serves as a balanced and robust central trend indicator, minimizing the impact of outliers and market noise.
Additionally, the standard deviation of these deviations is computed, providing a measure of market volatility. This volatility indicator is crucial for assessing market risk and can guide traders in setting appropriate stop-loss and take-profit levels.
🔶Integration with SuperTrend Indicator:
The FlexiMA strategy integrates the SuperTrend indicator, renowned for its effectiveness in identifying trend direction and reversals. The SuperTrend's incorporation enhances the strategy's ability to filter out false signals and confirm genuine market trends.
* The SuperTrend Toolkit is made by @QuantiLuxe
This combination of the variable-length MA oscillator with the SuperTrend indicator forms a potent duo, offering traders a dual-confirmation mechanism for trade signals.
🔹Supertrend's incorporation
🔶Strategic Trade Signal Generation:
Trade signals are generated when there is a confluence between the composite oscillator and the SuperTrend indicator. For example, a long position signal might be considered when the oscillator suggests an uptrend, and the SuperTrend flips to bullish.
The strategy's parameters are fully customizable, enabling traders to tailor the signal generation process to their specific trading style, risk tolerance, and market conditions.
█ Usage
To effectively employ the FlexiMA Variance Tracker strategy:
Traders should set their desired trade direction and fine-tune the starting and increment factors according to their market analysis and risk tolerance.
Indicator Length: 5
Indicator Length: 40
The strategy is suitable for a wide range of markets and can be adapted to different time frames, making it a versatile tool for various trading scenarios.
█ Default Settings Impact on Performance: FlexiMA Variance Tracker
1. Trade Direction (Configurable: Long, Short, Both): Determines trade types. 'Long' for buying, 'Short' for selling, 'Both' adapts to market trends.
2. Indicator Source: HLC3: Balances market sentiment by considering high, low, and close, providing comprehensive period analysis.
4. Indicator Length (Default: 10): Baseline for moving averages. Shorter lengths increase responsiveness but add noise, while longer lengths favor trends.
5. Starting and Increment Factor (Default: 1.0): Adjusts MA lengths range. Higher values capture broad market dynamics, lower values focus analysis.
6. Normalization Method (Options: None, Max-Min, Absolute Sum): Standardizes deviations. 'None' for raw deviations, 'Max-Min' for relative scaling, 'Absolute Sum' emphasizes relative strength.
7. SuperTrend Settings (ATR Length: 10, Multiplier: 15.0): Influences indicator sensitivity. Short ATR or high multiplier for short-term, long ATR or low multiplier for long-term trends.
8. Additional Settings (Mesh Style, Color Customization): Enhances visual clarity. Mesh style for detailed deviation view, colors for quick market condition identification.
Moving Average Filters Add-on w/ Expanded Source Types [Loxx]Moving Average Filters Add-on w/ Expanded Source Types is a conglomeration of specialized and traditional moving averages that will be used in most of indicators that I publish moving forward. There are 39 moving averages included in this indicator as well as expanded source types including traditional Heiken Ashi and Better Heiken Ashi candles. You can read about the expanded source types clicking here . About half of these moving averages are closed source on other trading platforms. This indicator serves as a reference point for future public/private, open/closed source indicators that I publish to TradingView. Information about these moving averages was gleaned from various forex and trading forums and platforms as well as TASC publications and other assorted research publications.
________________________________________________________________
Included moving averages
ADXvma - Average Directional Volatility Moving Average
Linnsoft's ADXvma formula is a volatility-based moving average, with the volatility being determined by the value of the ADX indicator.
The ADXvma has the SMA in Chande's CMO replaced with an EMA, it then uses a few more layers of EMA smoothing before the "Volatility Index" is calculated.
A side effect is, those additional layers slow down the ADXvma when you compare it to Chande's Variable Index Dynamic Average VIDYA.
The ADXVMA provides support during uptrends and resistance during downtrends and will stay flat for longer, but will create some of the most accurate market signals when it decides to move.
Ahrens Moving Average
Richard D. Ahrens's Moving Average promises "Smoother Data" that isn't influenced by the occasional price spike. It works by using the Open and the Close in his formula so that the only time the Ahrens Moving Average will change is when the candlestick is either making new highs or new lows.
Alexander Moving Average - ALXMA
This Moving Average uses an elaborate smoothing formula and utilizes a 7 period Moving Average. It corresponds to fitting a second-order polynomial to seven consecutive observations. This moving average is rarely used in trading but is interesting as this Moving Average has been applied to diffusion indexes that tend to be very volatile.
Double Exponential Moving Average - DEMA
The Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) combines a smoothed EMA and a single EMA to provide a low-lag indicator. It's primary purpose is to reduce the amount of "lagging entry" opportunities, and like all Moving Averages, the DEMA confirms uptrends whenever price crosses on top of it and closes above it, and confirms downtrends when the price crosses under it and closes below it - but with significantly less lag.
Double Smoothed Exponential Moving Average - DSEMA
The Double Smoothed Exponential Moving Average is a lot less laggy compared to a traditional EMA. It's also considered a leading indicator compared to the EMA, and is best utilized whenever smoothness and speed of reaction to market changes are required.
Exponential Moving Average - EMA
The EMA places more significance on recent data points and moves closer to price than the SMA (Simple Moving Average). It reacts faster to volatility due to its emphasis on recent data and is known for its ability to give greater weight to recent and more relevant data. The EMA is therefore seen as an enhancement over the SMA.
Fast Exponential Moving Average - FEMA
An Exponential Moving Average with a short look-back period.
Fractal Adaptive Moving Average - FRAMA
The Fractal Adaptive Moving Average by John Ehlers is an intelligent adaptive Moving Average which takes the importance of price changes into account and follows price closely enough to display significant moves whilst remaining flat if price ranges. The FRAMA does this by dynamically adjusting the look-back period based on the market's fractal geometry.
Hull Moving Average - HMA
Alan Hull's HMA makes use of weighted moving averages to prioritize recent values and greatly reduce lag whilst maintaining the smoothness of a traditional Moving Average. For this reason, it's seen as a well-suited Moving Average for identifying entry points.
IE/2 - Early T3 by Tim Tilson
The IE/2 is a Moving Average that uses Linear Regression slope in its calculation to help with smoothing. It's a worthy Moving Average on it's own, even though it is the precursor and very early version of the famous "T3 Indicator".
Integral of Linear Regression Slope - ILRS
A Moving Average where the slope of a linear regression line is simply integrated as it is fitted in a moving window of length N (natural numbers in maths) across the data. The derivative of ILRS is the linear regression slope. ILRS is not the same as a SMA (Simple Moving Average) of length N, which is actually the midpoint of the linear regression line as it moves across the data.
Instantaneous Trendline
The Instantaneous Trendline is created by removing the dominant cycle component from the price information which makes this Moving Average suitable for medium to long-term trading.
Laguerre Filter
The Laguerre Filter is a smoothing filter which is based on Laguerre polynomials. The filter requires the current price, three prior prices, a user defined factor called Alpha to fill its calculation.
Adjusting the Alpha coefficient is used to increase or decrease its lag and it's smoothness.
Leader Exponential Moving Average
The Leader EMA was created by Giorgos E. Siligardos who created a Moving Average which was able to eliminate lag altogether whilst maintaining some smoothness. It was first described during his research paper "MACD Leader" where he applied this to the MACD to improve its signals and remove its lagging issue. This filter uses his leading MACD's "modified EMA" and can be used as a zero lag filter.
Linear Regression Value - LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average)
LSMA as a Moving Average is based on plotting the end point of the linear regression line. It compares the current value to the prior value and a determination is made of a possible trend, eg. the linear regression line is pointing up or down.
Linear Weighted Moving Average - LWMA
LWMA reacts to price quicker than the SMA and EMA. Although it's similar to the Simple Moving Average, the difference is that a weight coefficient is multiplied to the price which means the most recent price has the highest weighting, and each prior price has progressively less weight. The weights drop in a linear fashion.
McGinley Dynamic
John McGinley created this Moving Average to track price better than traditional Moving Averages. It does this by incorporating an automatic adjustment factor into its formula, which speeds (or slows) the indicator in trending, or ranging, markets.
McNicholl EMA
Dennis McNicholl developed this Moving Average to use as his center line for his "Better Bollinger Bands" indicator and was successful because it responded better to volatility changes over the standard SMA and managed to avoid common whipsaws.
Non lag moving average
The Non Lag Moving average follows price closely and gives very quick signals as well as early signals of price change. As a standalone Moving Average, it should not be used on its own, but as an additional confluence tool for early signals.
Parabolic Weighted Moving Average
The Parabolic Weighted Moving Average is a variation of the Linear Weighted Moving Average. The Linear Weighted Moving Average calculates the average by assigning different weight to each element in its calculation. The Parabolic Weighted Moving Average is a variation that allows weights to be changed to form a parabolic curve. It is done simply by using the Power parameter of this indicator.
Recursive Moving Trendline
Dennis Meyers's Recursive Moving Trendline uses a recursive (repeated application of a rule) polynomial fit, a technique that uses a small number of past values estimations of price and today's price to predict tomorrows price.
Simple Moving Average - SMA
The SMA calculates the average of a range of prices by adding recent prices and then dividing that figure by the number of time periods in the calculation average. It is the most basic Moving Average which is seen as a reliable tool for starting off with Moving Average studies. As reliable as it may be, the basic moving average will work better when it's enhanced into an EMA.
Sine Weighted Moving Average
The Sine Weighted Moving Average assigns the most weight at the middle of the data set. It does this by weighting from the first half of a Sine Wave Cycle and the most weighting is given to the data in the middle of that data set. The Sine WMA closely resembles the TMA (Triangular Moving Average).
Smoothed Moving Average - SMMA
The Smoothed Moving Average is similar to the Simple Moving Average (SMA), but aims to reduce noise rather than reduce lag. SMMA takes all prices into account and uses a long lookback period. Due to this, it's seen a an accurate yet laggy Moving Average.
Smoother
The Smoother filter is a faster-reacting smoothing technique which generates considerably less lag than the SMMA (Smoothed Moving Average). It gives earlier signals but can also create false signals due to its earlier reactions. This filter is sometimes wrongly mistaken for the superior Jurik Smoothing algorithm.
Super Smoother
The Super Smoother filter uses John Ehlers’s “Super Smoother” which consists of a a Two pole Butterworth filter combined with a 2-bar SMA (Simple Moving Average) that suppresses the 22050 Hz Nyquist frequency: A characteristic of a sampler, which converts a continuous function or signal into a discrete sequence.
Three pole Ehlers Butterworth
The 3 pole Ehlers Butterworth (as well as the Two pole Butterworth) are both superior alternatives to the EMA and SMA. They aim at producing less lag whilst maintaining accuracy. The 2 pole filter will give you a better approximation for price, whereas the 3 pole filter has superior smoothing.
Three pole Ehlers smoother
The 3 pole Ehlers smoother works almost as close to price as the above mentioned 3 Pole Ehlers Butterworth. It acts as a strong baseline for signals but removes some noise. Side by side, it hardly differs from the Three Pole Ehlers Butterworth but when examined closely, it has better overshoot reduction compared to the 3 pole Ehlers Butterworth.
Triangular Moving Average - TMA
The TMA is similar to the EMA but uses a different weighting scheme. Exponential and weighted Moving Averages will assign weight to the most recent price data. Simple moving averages will assign the weight equally across all the price data. With a TMA (Triangular Moving Average), it is double smoother (averaged twice) so the majority of the weight is assigned to the middle portion of the data.
The TMA and Sine Weighted Moving Average Filter are almost identical at times.
Triple Exponential Moving Average - TEMA
The TEMA uses multiple EMA calculations as well as subtracting lag to create a tool which can be used for scalping pullbacks. As it follows price closely, it's signals are considered very noisy and should only be used in extremely fast-paced trading conditions.
Two pole Ehlers Butterworth
The 2 pole Ehlers Butterworth (as well as the three pole Butterworth mentioned above) is another filter that cuts out the noise and follows the price closely. The 2 pole is seen as a faster, leading filter over the 3 pole and follows price a bit more closely. Analysts will utilize both a 2 pole and a 3 pole Butterworth on the same chart using the same period, but having both on chart allows its crosses to be traded.
Two pole Ehlers smoother
A smoother version of the Two pole Ehlers Butterworth. This filter is the faster version out of the 3 pole Ehlers Butterworth. It does a decent job at cutting out market noise whilst emphasizing a closer following to price over the 3 pole Ehlers.
Volume Weighted EMA - VEMA
Utilizing tick volume in MT4 (or real volume in MT5), this EMA will use the Volume reading in its decision to plot its moves. The more Volume it detects on a move, the more authority (confirmation) it has. And this EMA uses those Volume readings to plot its movements.
Studies show that tick volume and real volume have a very strong correlation, so using this filter in MT4 or MT5 produces very similar results and readings.
Zero Lag DEMA - Zero Lag Double Exponential Moving Average
John Ehlers's Zero Lag DEMA's aim is to eliminate the inherent lag associated with all trend following indicators which average a price over time. Because this is a Double Exponential Moving Average with Zero Lag, it has a tendency to overshoot and create a lot of false signals for swing trading. It can however be used for quick scalping or as a secondary indicator for confluence.
Zero Lag Moving Average
The Zero Lag Moving Average is described by its creator, John Ehlers, as a Moving Average with absolutely no delay. And it's for this reason that this filter will cause a lot of abrupt signals which will not be ideal for medium to long-term traders. This filter is designed to follow price as close as possible whilst de-lagging data instead of basing it on regular data. The way this is done is by attempting to remove the cumulative effect of the Moving Average.
Zero Lag TEMA - Zero Lag Triple Exponential Moving Average
Just like the Zero Lag DEMA, this filter will give you the fastest signals out of all the Zero Lag Moving Averages. This is useful for scalping but dangerous for medium to long-term traders, especially during market Volatility and news events. Having no lag, this filter also has no smoothing in its signals and can cause some very bizarre behavior when applied to certain indicators.
________________________________________________________________
What are Heiken Ashi "better" candles?
The "better formula" was proposed in an article/memo by BNP-Paribas (In Warrants & Zertifikate, No. 8, August 2004 (a monthly German magazine published by BNP Paribas, Frankfurt), there is an article by Sebastian Schmidt about further development (smoothing) of Heikin-Ashi chart.)
They proposed to use the following:
(Open+Close)/2+(((Close-Open)/( High-Low ))*ABS((Close-Open)/2))
instead of using :
haClose = (O+H+L+C)/4
According to that document the HA representation using their proposed formula is better than the traditional formula.
What are traditional Heiken-Ashi candles?
The Heikin-Ashi technique averages price data to create a Japanese candlestick chart that filters out market noise.
Heikin-Ashi charts, developed by Munehisa Homma in the 1700s, share some characteristics with standard candlestick charts but differ based on the values used to create each candle. Instead of using the open, high, low, and close like standard candlestick charts, the Heikin-Ashi technique uses a modified formula based on two-period averages. This gives the chart a smoother appearance, making it easier to spots trends and reversals, but also obscures gaps and some price data.
Expanded generic source types:
Close = close
Open = open
High = high
Low = low
Median = hl2
Typical = hlc3
Weighted = hlcc4
Average = ohlc4
Average Median Body = (open+close)/2
Trend Biased = (see code, too complex to explain here)
Trend Biased (extreme) = (see code, too complex to explain here)
Included:
-Toggle bar color on/off
-Toggle signal line on/off
T3 Super GuppyA Tillson T3 moving average implemented variation of the CM Super Guppy indicator by @FritzMurphy
The T3 moving average was developed by Tom Tilson which combines multiple EMAs into a single moving average. it is smoother and more responsive compared to traditional moving averages. The disadvantage is that it can overshoot price.
█ Description
T3 Super Guppy consists of 20 T3 moving averages:
• 7 fast T3 MAs
• 13 slow T3 MAs
Visuals:
• Compact view available for chart minimalists
• In compact view only 10 of the fastest T3 moving averages will be displayed
• Compact view will not affect how the colour scales with trend movement
• Ribbon transparency will automatically scale based on the display mode chosen
Colour Gradient
• The more T3 MAs that cross above or below their slower counterparts will result in how deep the chosen upTrend(Blue) or downTrend(Red) colour is displayed
• Helps to spot weakening trends or reversal signals when indicator colour starts converging into the opposite colour
• Single colour mode is available if you find the colour gradient distracting
█ Credits
@ChrisMoody original guppy idea:
@FritzMurphy super guppy format:
█ Examples
compact view:
full view:
MENTFX AVERAGES MULTI TIMEFRAMEThe MENTFX AVERAGES MULTIME TIMEFRAME indicator is designed to provide traders with the ability to visualize multiple moving averages (MAs) from higher timeframes on their current chart, regardless of the chart's timeframe. It combines the power of exponential moving averages (EMAs) to help traders identify trends, spot potential reversal points, and make more informed trading decisions.
Key Features:
Multi-Timeframe Moving Averages: This indicator plots moving averages from daily timeframes directly on your chart, helping you keep track of higher timeframe trends while trading in any timeframe.
Customizable Moving Averages: You can adjust the length and visibility of up to three EMAs (default settings are 5, 10, and 20-period EMAs) to suit your trading style.
Overlay on Price: The indicator is designed to be overlaid on your price chart, seamlessly integrating with your existing analysis.
Simple but Effective: By offering a clear visual guide to where price is trading relative to important higher timeframe levels, this indicator helps traders avoid trading against major trends.
Why It’s Unique:
Validation Timeframe Flexibility: Unlike traditional moving average indicators that only work within the same chart's timeframe, the MENTFX AVERAGES M indicator allows you to pull moving averages from higher timeframes (default: Daily) and overlay them on any chart you're currently viewing, whether it's intraday (minutes) or even weekly. This cross-timeframe visibility is critical in determining the true market trend, adding context to your trades.
Customizability: Although the default settings focus on daily EMAs (5, 10, and 20 periods), traders can modify the parameters, including the type of moving average (Simple, Weighted, etc.), making it adaptable for any strategy. Whether you want shorter-term or longer-term averages, this indicator covers your needs.
Trend Confirmation Tool: The use of multiple EMAs helps traders confirm trend direction and potential price breakouts or reversals. For example, when the shorter-term 5 EMA crosses above the 20 EMA, it can signal a potential bullish trend, while the opposite could indicate bearish pressure.
How This Indicator Helps:
Identify Key Support and Resistance Levels: Higher timeframe moving averages often act as dynamic support and resistance. This indicator helps you stay aware of those critical levels, even when trading lower timeframes.
Trend Identification: Knowing where the market is relative to the 5, 10, and 20 EMAs from a higher timeframe gives you a clearer picture of whether you're trading with or against the prevailing trend.
Improved Decision Making: By aligning your trades with the direction of higher timeframe trends, you can increase your confidence in trade entries and exits, avoiding low-probability setups.
Multi-Market Use: This indicator works well across various asset classes—stocks, forex, crypto, and commodities—making it versatile for any trader.
How to Use:
Intraday Trading: Use the daily EMAs as a guide to see if intraday price movements align with longer-term trends.
Swing Trading: Plot daily EMAs to track the strength of a larger trend, using pullbacks to the moving averages as potential entry points.
Trend Trading: Monitor crossovers between the moving averages to signal potential changes in trend direction.
Default Settings:
5 EMA (Daily) – Blue Line
10 EMA (Daily) – Black Line
20 EMA (Daily) – Red Line
These lines will plot on your chart with a subtle opacity (33%) to ensure they don’t obstruct price action, while still providing crucial visual guidance on market trends.
This indicator is perfect for traders who want to blend technical analysis with multi-timeframe insights, helping you stay in sync with broader market movements while executing trades on any timeframe.
User-Defined Volume Average ComparisonThe User-Defined Volume Average Comparison indicator empowers traders to analyze volume trends by comparing short-term and long-term volume moving averages. With customizable periods, visual cues, and built-in alerts, it’s a versatile tool for identifying volume-driven market shifts across any timeframe, ideal for stocks, forex, crypto, and more.Key Features: Customizable Periods: Set short and long periods (in bars) to match your trading strategy.
Conditional Highlighting:
Green Background: Short-period volume average ≥ long-period volume average, signaling strong short-term volume.
Red Background: Short-period volume average < long-period volume average / 2, indicating low short-term volume.
Optional Labels: Toggle labels to display conditions on the chart (default: off).
Alerts: Receive notifications for key conditions: “Short ≥ Long Alert” for high volume periods.
“Short < Long/2 Alert” for low volume periods.
Visualized Averages: Plots short-period (blue) and long-period (red) volume moving averages for easy analysis.
How It Works:
The indicator calculates the simple moving average (SMA) of volume over user-defined short and long periods, then compares them: A green background and alert trigger when the short-period average meets or exceeds the long-period average, suggesting increased volume activity.
A red background and alert trigger when the short-period average falls below half of the long-period average, indicating reduced volume.
Labels (if enabled) display “Short ≥ Long” or “Short < Long/2” for clarity.
Settings: Short Period (Bars): Number of bars for the short-term volume average (default: 3).
Long Period (Bars): Number of bars for the long-term volume average (default: 50).
Show Labels: Enable or disable condition labels (default: off).
Use Cases: Trend Confirmation: Use green alerts to confirm high volume during breakouts or trend continuations.
Divergence Detection: Identify low volume periods with red alerts to spot potential reversals or weak trends.
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Apply on any timeframe (e.g., 4H, 1D), with periods based on bars (e.g., 3 bars on 4H = 12 hours).
Notes: Periods are based on the chart’s timeframe (bars). For shorter timeframes, consider increasing period values for more significant results.
Set alerts to “Once Per Bar Close” for reliable notifications.
Combine with price-based indicators to enhance trading decisions.
Why Use This Indicator?
This indicator offers a flexible, alert-driven approach to volume analysis, helping traders of all levels make informed decisions. Its intuitive design and customizable settings make it a valuable addition to any trading setup.
Dskyz (DAFE) MAtrix with ATR-Powered Precision Dskyz (DAFE) MAtrix with ATR-Powered Precision
This cutting‐edge futures trading strategy built to thrive in rapidly changing market conditions. Developed for high-frequency futures trading on instruments such as the CME Mini MNQ, this strategy leverages a matrix of sophisticated moving averages combined with ATR-based filters to pinpoint high-probability entries and exits. Its unique combination of adaptable technical indicators and multi-timeframe trend filtering sets it apart from standard strategies, providing enhanced precision and dynamic responsiveness.
imgur.com
Core Functional Components
1. Advanced Moving Averages
A distinguishing feature of the DAFE strategy is its robust, multi-choice moving averages (MAs). Clients can choose from a wide array of MAs—each with specific strengths—in order to fine-tune their trading signals. The code includes user-defined functions for the following MAs:
imgur.com
Hull Moving Average (HMA):
The hma(src, len) function calculates the HMA by using weighted moving averages (WMAs) to reduce lag considerably while smoothing price data. This function computes an intermediate WMA of half the specified length, then a full-length WMA, and finally applies a further WMA over the square root of the length. This design allows for rapid adaptation to price changes without the typical delays of traditional moving averages.
Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA):
Implemented via tema(src, len), TEMA uses three consecutive exponential moving averages (EMAs) to effectively cancel out lag and capture price momentum. The final formula—3 * (ema1 - ema2) + ema3—produces a highly responsive indicator that filters out short-term noise.
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA):
Through the dema(src, len) function, DEMA calculates an EMA and then a second EMA on top of it. Its simplified formula of 2 * ema1 - ema2 provides a smoother curve than a single EMA while maintaining enhanced responsiveness.
Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA):
With vwma(src, len), this MA accounts for trading volume by weighting the price, thereby offering a more contextual picture of market activity. This is crucial when volume spikes indicate significant moves.
Zero Lag EMA (ZLEMA):
The zlema(src, len) function applies a correction to reduce the inherent lag found in EMAs. By subtracting a calculated lag (based on half the moving average window), ZLEMA is exceptionally attuned to recent price movements.
Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA):
The alma(src, len, offset, sigma) function introduces ALMA—a type of moving average designed to be less affected by outliers. With parameters for offset and sigma, it allows customization of the degree to which the MA reacts to market noise.
Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA):
The custom kama(src, len) function is noteworthy for its adaptive nature. It computes an efficiency ratio by comparing price change against volatility, then dynamically adjusts its smoothing constant. This results in an MA that quickly responds during trending periods while remaining smoothed during consolidation.
Each of these functions—integrated into the strategy—is selectable by the trader (via the fastMAType and slowMAType inputs). This flexibility permits the tailored application of the MA most suited to current market dynamics and individual risk management preferences.
2. ATR-Based Filters and Risk Controls
ATR Calculation and Volatility Filter:
The strategy computes the Average True Range (ATR) over a user-defined period (atrPeriod). ATR is then used to derive both:
Volatility Assessment: Expressed as a ratio of ATR to closing price, ensuring that trades are taken only when volatility remains within a safe, predefined threshold (volatilityThreshold).
ATR-Based Entry Filters: Implemented as atrFilterLong and atrFilterShort, these conditions ensure that for long entries the price is sufficiently above the slow MA and vice versa for shorts. This acts as an additional confirmation filter.
Dynamic Exit Management:
The exit logic employs a dual approach:
Fixed Stop and Profit Target: Stops and targets are set at multiples of ATR (fixedStopMultiplier and profitTargetATRMult), helping manage risk in volatile markets.
Trailing Stop Adjustments: A trailing stop is calculated using the ATR multiplied by a user-defined offset (trailOffset), which captures additional profits as the trade moves favorably while protecting against reversals.
3. Multi-Timeframe Trend Filtering
The strategy enhances its signal reliability by leveraging a secondary, higher timeframe analysis:
15-Minute Trend Analysis:
By retrieving 15-minute moving averages (fastMA15m and slowMA15m) via request.security, the strategy determines the broader market trend. This secondary filter (enabled or disabled through useTrendFilter) ensures that entries are aligned with the prevailing market direction, thereby reducing the incidence of false signals.
4. Signal and Execution Logic
Combined MA Alignment:
The entry conditions are based primarily on the alignment of the fast and slow MAs. A long condition is triggered when the current price is above both MAs and the fast MA is above the slow MA—complemented by the ATR filter and volume conditions. The reverse applies for a short condition.
Volume and Time Window Validation:
Trades are permitted only if the current volume exceeds a minimum (minVolume) and the current hour falls within the predefined trading window (tradingStartHour to tradingEndHour). An additional volume spike check (comparing current volume to a moving average of past volumes) further filters for optimal market conditions.
Comprehensive Order Execution:
The strategy utilizes flexible order execution functions that allow pyramiding (up to 10 positions), ensuring that it can scale into positions as favorable conditions persist. The use of both market entries and automated exits (with profit targets, stop-losses, and trailing stops) ensures that risk is managed at every step.
5. Integrated Dashboard and Metrics
For transparency and real-time analysis, the strategy includes:
On-Chart Visualizations:
Both fast and slow MAs are plotted on the chart, making it easy to see the market’s technical foundation.
Dynamic Metrics Dashboard:
A built-in table displays crucial performance statistics—including current profit/loss, equity, ATR (both raw and as a percentage), and the percentage gap between the moving averages. These metrics offer immediate insight into the health and performance of the strategy.
Input Parameters: Detailed Breakdown
Every input is meticulously designed to offer granular control:
Fast & Slow Lengths:
Determine the window size for the fast and slow moving averages. Smaller values yield more sensitivity, while larger values provide a smoother, delayed response.
Fast/Slow MA Types:
Choose the type of moving average for fast and slow signals. The versatility—from basic SMA and EMA to more complex ones like HMA, TEMA, ZLEMA, ALMA, and KAMA—allows customization to fit different market scenarios.
ATR Parameters:
atrPeriod and atrMultiplier shape the volatility assessment, directly affecting entry filters and risk management through stop-loss and profit target levels.
Trend and Volume Filters:
Inputs such as useTrendFilter, minVolume, and the volume spike condition help confirm that a trade occurs in active, trending markets rather than during periods of low liquidity or market noise.
Trading Hours:
Restricting trade execution to specific hours (tradingStartHour and tradingEndHour) helps avoid illiquid or choppy markets outside of prime trading sessions.
Exit Strategies:
Parameters like trailOffset, profitTargetATRMult, and fixedStopMultiplier provide multiple layers of risk management and profit protection by tailoring how exits are generated relative to current market conditions.
Pyramiding and Fixed Trade Quantity:
The strategy supports multiple entries within a trend (up to 10 positions) and sets a predefined trade quantity (fixedQuantity) to maintain consistent exposure and risk per trade.
Dashboard Controls:
The resetDashboard input allows for on-the-fly resetting of performance metrics, keeping the strategy’s performance dashboard accurate and up-to-date.
Why This Strategy is Truly Exceptional
Multi-Faceted Adaptability:
The ability to switch seamlessly between various moving average types—each suited to particular market conditions—enables the strategy to adapt dynamically. This is a testament to the high level of coding sophistication and market insight infused within the system.
Robust Risk Management:
The integration of ATR-based stops, profit targets, and trailing stops ensures that every trade is executed with well-defined risk parameters. The system is designed to mitigate unexpected market swings while optimizing profit capture.
Comprehensive Market Filtering:
By combining moving average crossovers with volume analysis, volatility thresholds, and multi-timeframe trend filters, the strategy only enters trades under the most favorable conditions. This multi-layered filtering reduces noise and enhances signal quality.
-Final Thoughts-
The Dskyz Adaptive Futures Elite (DAFE) MAtrix with ATR-Powered Precision strategy is not just another trading algorithm—it is a multi-dimensional, fully customizable system built on advanced technical principles and sophisticated risk management techniques. Every function and input parameter has been carefully engineered to provide traders with a system that is both powerful and transparent.
For clients seeking a state-of-the-art trading solution that adapts dynamically to market conditions while maintaining strict discipline in risk management, this strategy truly stands in a class of its own.
****Please show support if you enjoyed this strategy. I'll have more coming out in the near future!!
-Dskyz
Caution
DAFE is experimental, not a profit guarantee. Futures trading risks significant losses due to leverage. Backtest, simulate, and monitor actively before live use. All trading decisions are your responsibility.
$TUBR: 7-25-99 Moving Average7, 25, and 99 Period Moving Averages
This indicator plots three moving averages: the 7-period, 25-period, and 99-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA). These moving averages are widely used to smooth out price action and help traders identify trends over different time frames. Let's break down the significance of these specific moving averages from both supply and demand perspectives and a price action perspective.
1. Supply and Demand Perspective:
- 7-period Moving Average (Short-Term) :
The 7-period moving average represents the short-term sentiment in the market. It captures the rapid fluctuations in price and is heavily influenced by recent supply and demand changes. Traders often look to the 7-period SMA for immediate price momentum, with price moving above or below this line signaling short-term strength or weakness.
- Bullish Supply/Demand : When price is above the 7-period SMA, it suggests that buyers are currently in control and demand is higher than supply. Conversely, price falling below this line indicates that supply is overpowering demand, leading to a short-term downtrend.
Is current price > average price in past 7 candles (depending on timeframe)? This will tell you how aggressive buyers are in short term.
- Key Supply/Demand Zones : The 7-period SMA often acts as dynamic support or resistance in a trending market, where traders might use it to enter or exit positions based on how price interacts with this level.
- 25-period Moving Average (Medium-Term) :
The 25-period SMA smooths out more of the noise compared to the 7-period, providing a more stable indication of intermediate trends. This moving average is often used to gauge the market's supply and demand balance over a broader timeframe than the short-term 7-period SMA.
- Supply/Demand Balance : The 25-period SMA reflects the medium-term equilibrium between supply and demand. A crossover between the price and the 25-period SMA may indicate a shift in this balance. When price sustains above the 25-period SMA, it shows that demand is strong enough to maintain an upward trend. Conversely, if the price stays below it, supply is likely exceeding demand.
Is current price > average price in past 25 candles (depending on timeframe)? This will tell you how aggressive buyers are in mid term.
- Momentum Shift : Crossovers between the 7-period and 25-period SMAs can indicate momentum shifts between short-term and medium-term demand. For example, if the 7-period crosses above the 25-period, it often signifies growing short-term demand relative to the medium-term trend, signaling potential buy opportunities. What this crossover means is that if 7MA > 25MA that means in past 7 candles average price is more than past 25 candles.
- 99-period Moving Average (Long-Term):
The 99-period SMA represents the long-term trend and reflects the market's supply and demand over an extended period. This moving average filters out short-term fluctuations and highlights the market's overall trajectory.
- Long-Term Supply/Demand Dynamics : The 99-period SMA is slower to react to changes in supply and demand, providing a more stable view of the market's overall trend. Price staying above this line shows sustained demand dominance, while price consistently staying below reflects ongoing supply pressure.
Is current price > average price in past 99 candles (depending on timeframe)? This will tell you how aggressive buyers are in long term.
- Market Trend Confirmation : When both the 7-period and 25-period SMAs are above the 99-period SMA, it signals a strong bullish trend with demand outweighing supply across all timeframes. If all three SMAs are below the 99-period SMA, it points to a bear market where supply is overpowering demand in both the short and long term.
2. Price Action Perspective :
- 7-period Moving Average (Short-Term Trends):
The 7-period moving average closely tracks price action, making it highly responsive to quick shifts in price. Traders often use it to confirm short-term reversals or continuations in price action. In an uptrend, price typically stays above the 7-period SMA, whereas in a downtrend, price stays below it.
- Short-Term Price Reversals : Crossovers between the price and the 7-period SMA often indicate short-term reversals. When price breaks above the 7-period SMA after staying below it, it suggests a potential bullish reversal. Conversely, a price breakdown below the 7-period SMA could signal a bearish reversal.
- 25-period Moving Average (Medium-Term Trends) :
The 25-period SMA helps identify the medium-term price action trend. It balances short-term volatility and longer-term stability, providing insight into the more persistent trend. Price pullbacks to the 25-period SMA during an uptrend can act as a buying opportunity for trend traders, while pullbacks during a downtrend may offer shorting opportunities.
- Pullback and Continuation: In trending markets, price often retraces to the 25-period SMA before continuing in the direction of the trend. For instance, if the price is in a bullish trend, traders may look for support at the 25-period SMA for potential continuation trades.
- 99-period Moving Average (Long-Term Trend and Market Sentiment ):
The 99-period SMA is the most critical for identifying the overall market trend. Price consistently trading above the 99-period SMA indicates long-term bullish momentum, while price staying below the 99-period SMA suggests bearish sentiment.
- Trend Confirmation : Price action above the 99-period SMA confirms long-term upward momentum, while price action below it confirms a downtrend. The space between the shorter moving averages (7 and 25) and the 99-period SMA gives a sense of the strength or weakness of the trend. Larger gaps between the 7 and 99 SMAs suggest strong bullish momentum, while close proximity indicates consolidation or potential reversals.
- Price Action in Trending Markets : Traders often use the 99-period SMA as a dynamic support/resistance level. In strong trends, price tends to stay on one side of the 99-period SMA for extended periods, with breaks above or below signaling major changes in market sentiment.
Why These Numbers Matter:
7-Period MA : The 7-period moving average is a popular choice among short-term traders who want to capture quick momentum changes. It helps visualize immediate market sentiment and is often used in conjunction with price action to time entries or exits.
- 25-Period MA: The 25-period MA is a key indicator for swing traders. It balances sensitivity and stability, providing a clearer picture of the intermediate trend. It helps traders stay in trades longer by filtering out short-term noise, while still being reactive enough to detect reversals.
- 99-Period MA : The 99-period moving average provides a broad view of the market's direction, filtering out much of the short- and medium-term noise. It is crucial for identifying long-term trends and assessing whether the market is bullish or bearish overall. It acts as a key reference point for longer-term trend followers, helping them stay with the broader market sentiment.
Conclusion:
From a supply and demand perspective, the 7, 25, and 99-period moving averages help traders visualize shifts in the balance between buyers and sellers over different time horizons. The price action interaction with these moving averages provides valuable insight into short-term momentum, intermediate trends, and long-term market sentiment. Using these three MAs together gives a more comprehensive understanding of market conditions, helping traders align their strategies with prevailing trends across various timeframes.
------------- RULE BASED SYSTEM ---------------
Overview of the Rule-Based System:
This system will use the following moving averages:
7-period MA: Represents short-term price action.
25-period MA: Represents medium-term price action.
99-period MA: Represents long-term price action.
1. Trend Identification Rules:
Bullish Trend:
The 7-period MA is above the 25-period MA, and the 25-period MA is above the 99-period MA.
This structure shows that short, medium, and long-term trends are aligned in an upward direction, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Bearish Trend:
The 7-period MA is below the 25-period MA, and the 25-period MA is below the 99-period MA.
This suggests that the market is in a downtrend, with bearish momentum dominating across timeframes.
Neutral/Consolidation:
The 7-period MA and 25-period MA are flat or crossing frequently with the 99-period MA, and they are close to each other.
This indicates a sideways or consolidating market where there’s no strong trend direction.
2. Entry Rules:
Bullish Entry (Buy Signals):
Primary Buy Signal:
The price crosses above the 7-period MA, AND the 7-period MA is above the 25-period MA, AND the 25-period MA is above the 99-period MA.
This indicates the start of a new upward trend, with alignment across the short, medium, and long-term trends.
Pullback Buy Signal (for trend continuation):
The price pulls back to the 25-period MA, and the 7-period MA remains above the 25-period MA.
This indica
tes that the pullback is a temporary correction in an uptrend, and buyers may re-enter the market as price approaches the 25-period MA.
You can further confirm the signal by waiting for price action (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns) at the 25-period MA level.
Breakout Buy Signal:
The price crosses above the 99-period MA, and the 7-period and 25-period MAs are also both above the 99-period MA.
This confirms a strong bullish breakout after consolidation or a long-term downtrend.
Bearish Entry (Sell Signals):
Primary Sell Signal:
The price crosses below the 7-period MA, AND the 7-period MA is below the 25-period MA, AND the 25-period MA is below the 99-period MA.
This indicates the start of a new downtrend with alignment across the short, medium, and long-term trends.
Pullback Sell Signal (for trend continuation):
The price pulls back to the 25-period MA, and the 7-period MA remains below the 25-period MA.
This indicates that the pullback is a temporary retracement in a downtrend, providing an opportunity to sell as price meets resistance at the 25-period MA.
Breakdown Sell Signal:
The price breaks below the 99-period MA, and the 7-period and 25-period MAs are also below the 99-period MA.
This confirms a strong bearish breakdown after consolidation or a long-term uptrend reversal.
3. Exit Rules:
Bullish Exit (for long positions):
Short-Term Exit:
The price closes below the 7-period MA, and the 7-period MA starts crossing below the 25-period MA.
This indicates weakening momentum in the uptrend, suggesting an exit from the long position.
Stop-Loss Trigger:
The price falls below the 99-period MA, signaling the breakdown of the long-term trend.
This can act as a final exit signal to minimize losses if the long-term uptrend is invalidated.
Bearish Exit (for short positions):
Short-Term Exit:
The price closes above the 7-period MA, and the 7-period MA starts crossing above the 25-period MA.
This indicates a potential weakening of the downtrend and signals an exit from the short position.
Stop-Loss Trigger:
The price breaks above the 99-period MA, invalidating the bearish trend.
This signals that the market may be reversing to the upside, and exiting short positions would be prudent.
MAC Investor V3.0 [VK]This indicator combines multiple functionalities to assist traders in making informed decisions. It primarily uses Heikin Ashi candles, Moving Averages, and a Price Action Channel (PAC) to provide signals for entering and exiting trades. Here's a detailed breakdown:
Inputs
MAC Length: Sets the length for the PAC calculation.
Use Heikin Ashi Candles: Option to use Heikin Ashi candles for calculations.
Show Coloured Bars around MAC: Option to color bars based on their relation to the PAC.
Show Long/Short Signals: Options to display long and short signals.
Show MAs? : Option to show moving averages on the chart.
Show MAs Trend at the Bottom?: Option to show trend signals at the bottom of the chart.
MA Lengths: Length settings for three different moving averages.
Change MA Color Based on Direction?: Option to change the color of moving averages based on trend direction.
MA Higher TimeFrame: Allows setting a higher timeframe for moving averages.
Show SL-TP Lines: Option to display Stop Loss and Take Profit lines.
SL/TP Percentages: Set the percentages for Stop Loss and three levels of Take Profit.
Calculations and Features
Heikin Ashi Candles: Calculations are based on Heikin Ashi candle data if selected.
Price Action Channel (PAC): Uses Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) of the high, low, and close to create a channel.
Bar Coloring: Colors the bars based on their position relative to the PAC.
Long and Short Signals: Uses crossovers of the close price and PAC upper/lower bands to generate signals.
Moving Averages (MA): Plots three moving averages and colors them based on their trend direction.
Overall Trend Indicators: Uses triangles at the bottom of the chart to show the overall trend of the MAs.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Levels: Calculates and plots these levels based on user-defined percentages from the entry price.
Alerts: Provides alerts for long and short signals.
Use Cases and How to Use
Identifying Trends: The PAC helps to identify the trend direction. If the closing price is above the PAC upper band, it suggests an uptrend; if below the lower band, it suggests a downtrend.
Entering Trades: Use the long and short signals to enter trades. A long signal is generated when the closing price crosses above the PAC upper band, and a short signal is generated when it crosses below the PAC lower band.
Exit Strategies: Utilize the Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) levels to manage risk and lock in profits. These levels are automatically calculated based on the entry price and user-defined percentages.
Trend Confirmation with MAs: The moving averages provide additional confirmation of the trend. When all three MAs are trending in the same direction (e.g., all green for an uptrend), it adds confidence to the trade signal.
Overall Trend Indicators: The triangles at the bottom of the chart show the overall trend direction of the MAs:
Green Triangle: All three MAs are trending upwards, indicating a strong uptrend.
Red Triangle: All three MAs are trending downwards, indicating a strong downtrend.
Yellow Triangle: Mixed signals from the MAs, indicating no clear trend.
Bar Coloring for Quick Analysis: The colored bars give a quick visual cue about the market condition, aiding in faster decision-making.
Alerts: Set up alerts to get notified when a long or short signal is generated, allowing you to act promptly without constantly monitoring the chart.
Maximizing Profit
To maximize profit with this indicator:
Follow the Signals: Use the long and short signals to time your entries. Ensure you follow the trend indicated by the PAC and MAs.
Risk Management: Always set your Stop Loss and Take Profit levels to manage risk. This will help you cut losses early and secure profits.
Confirm with MAs: Look for confirmation from the moving averages. When all MAs align with the signal, it indicates a stronger trend.
Overall Trend Indicators: Pay attention to the triangles at the bottom for overall trend confirmation. Only enter trades when the overall trend is in your favor.
Heikin Ashi for Smoothing: Use Heikin Ashi candles for smoother trends and fewer false signals.
Backtesting: Test the indicator on historical data to understand its performance and adjust settings as necessary.
Adapt to Market Conditions: Adjust the lengths of PAC and MAs based on the market's volatility and timeframe you are trading on.
How to Use the Indicator
Add to Chart: Add the indicator to your TradingView chart.
Configure Settings: Customize the input settings to fit your trading strategy and timeframe.
Monitor Signals: Watch for long and short signals and observe the trend direction with the PAC and MAs.
Check Overall Trend: Look at the triangles at the bottom of the chart to see the overall trend direction of the MAs.
Set Alerts: Configure alerts to get notified of new signals.
Manage Trades: Use the SL and TP levels to manage your trades effectively.
Machine Learning Momentum Index (MLMI) [Zeiierman]█ Overview
The Machine Learning Momentum Index (MLMI) represents the next step in oscillator trading. By blending traditional momentum analysis with machine learning, MLMI delivers a potent and dynamic tool that aligns with the complexities of modern financial landscapes. Offering traders an adaptive way to understand and act on market momentum and trends, this oscillator provides real-time insights into market momentum and prevailing trends.
█ How It Works:
Momentum Analysis: MLMI employs a dual-layer analysis, utilizing quick and slow weighted moving averages (WMA) of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to gauge the market's momentum and direction.
Machine Learning Integration: Through the k-Nearest Neighbors (k-NN) algorithm, MLMI intelligently examines historical data to make more accurate momentum predictions, adapting to the intricate patterns of the market.
MLMI's precise calculation involves:
Weighted Moving Averages: Calculations of quick (5-period) and slow (20-period) WMAs of the RSI to track short-term and long-term momentum.
k-Nearest Neighbors Algorithm: Distances between current parameters and previous data are measured, and the nearest neighbors are used for predictive modeling.
Trend Analysis: Recognition of prevailing trends through the relationship between quick and slow-moving averages.
█ How to use
The Machine Learning Momentum Index (MLMI) can be utilized in much the same way as traditional trend and momentum oscillators, providing key insights into market direction and strength. What sets MLMI apart is its integration of artificial intelligence, allowing it to adapt dynamically to market changes and offer a more nuanced and responsive analysis.
Identifying Trend Direction and Strength: The MLMI serves as a tool to recognize market trends, signaling whether the momentum is upward or downward. It also provides insights into the intensity of the momentum, helping traders understand both the direction and strength of prevailing market trends.
Identifying Consolidation Areas: When the MLMI Prediction line and the WMA of the MLMI Prediction line become flat/oscillate around the mid-level, it's a strong sign that the market is in a consolidation phase. This insight from the MLMI allows traders to recognize periods of market indecision.
Recognizing Overbought or Oversold Conditions: By identifying levels where the market may be overbought or oversold, MLMI offers insights into potential price corrections or reversals.
█ Settings
Prediction Data (k)
This parameter controls the number of neighbors to consider while making a prediction using the k-Nearest Neighbors (k-NN) algorithm. By modifying the value of k, you can change how sensitive the prediction is to local fluctuations in the data.
A smaller value of k will make the prediction more sensitive to local variations and can lead to a more erratic prediction line.
A larger value of k will consider more neighbors, thus making the prediction more stable but potentially less responsive to sudden changes.
Trend length
This parameter controls the length of the trend used in computing the momentum. This length refers to the number of periods over which the momentum is calculated, affecting how quickly the indicator reacts to changes in the underlying price movements.
A shorter trend length (smaller momentumWindow) will make the indicator more responsive to short-term price changes, potentially generating more signals but at the risk of more false alarms.
A longer trend length (larger momentumWindow) will make the indicator smoother and less responsive to short-term noise, but it may lag in reacting to significant price changes.
Please note that the Machine Learning Momentum Index (MLMI) might not be effective on higher timeframes, such as daily or above. This limitation arises because there may not be enough data at these timeframes to provide accurate momentum and trend analysis. To overcome this challenge and make the most of what MLMI has to offer, it's recommended to use the indicator on lower timeframes.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
3 EMA/SMA + Colored Candles[C2Trends]// Indicator Features:
// 1) 3 Exponential Moving Averages and 3 Simple Moving Averages.
// 2) Additional EMA input for colored candles(EMA is hidden from chart, input used for coloring of candles only)
// 3) Turn colored candles on/off from main input tab of indicator settings.
// 4) Turn SMA's and EMA's on/off from main input tab of indicator settings.
// 5) Select single color or 2 color EMA and SMA lines from main input tab of indicator settings.
// Indicator Notes:
// 1) 'Candle EMA' input is the trend lookback period for the price candle colors. When price is above desired Candle EMA, price candles will color green. When price is below the Candle EMA, price candles will color fuchsia.
// 2) If you are using another indicator that colors the price candles it may overlap the candle colors applied by this indicator. Trying hiding or removing other indicators to troubleshoot if having candle color issues.
// 3) Using 2-color price moving averages: when price is above an average the average will color green, when price is below an average the average will color fuchsia.
