Enhanced Reversal DetectionScript Description:
The "Enhanced Reversal Detection" indicator is a powerful tool designed to identify potential market reversals across various financial instruments. It incorporates a sophisticated algorithm that analyzes price action along with key technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Bollinger Bands, and Moving Average (MA).
How to Use:
Adjustable Parameters: The indicator offers a range of adjustable parameters to cater to different trading preferences and market conditions.
RSI Length: Adjusts the length of the RSI calculation to fine-tune sensitivity.
Overbought Level: Sets the threshold for identifying overbought conditions on the RSI scale.
Oversold Level: Sets the threshold for identifying oversold conditions on the RSI scale.
Bollinger Bands Length: Determines the length of the Bollinger Bands calculation.
Bollinger Bands Multiplier: Adjusts the standard deviation multiplier for the Bollinger Bands, influencing band width.
Moving Average Length: Defines the length of the Moving Average calculation to capture trend direction.
Min Bars Between Signals: Sets the minimum number of bars required between consecutive reversal signals.
ADX Length: Adjusts the length of the Average Directional Index (ADX) calculation.
ADX Threshold: Defines the threshold value for ADX, serving as a filter for reversal signals.
Signal Generation: The indicator generates signals for both bullish and bearish reversals based on predefined criteria. A bullish reversal signal is triggered when the closing price exceeds the lower Bollinger Band and RSI falls below the oversold threshold. Conversely, a bearish reversal signal occurs when the closing price falls below the upper Bollinger Band and RSI surpasses the overbought threshold.
Alerts: Traders can opt to receive alerts for bullish and bearish reversal signals, enabling them to stay informed of potential trading opportunities even when away from the platform.
Publication Readiness:
To ensure readiness for publication in the TradingView public library, the script has been meticulously crafted and documented:
The code is extensively commented to provide clear explanations of parameters, calculations, and signal generation logic.
Best coding practices have been followed to enhance readability and maintainability.
Rigorous testing has been conducted to validate the accuracy and reliability of signal generation across various market conditions.
The script adheres to TradingView's guidelines and policies for script publication, ensuring compliance with platform standards and user expectations.
With its comprehensive features and user-friendly design, the "Enhanced Reversal Detection" indicator is poised to become a valuable asset for traders seeking to identify high-probability reversal opportunities in the financial markets.
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Trend Tide Oscillator [UAlgo]🔶 Description:
The "Trend Tide Oscillator " is a technical analysis tool designed to identify potential trend reversals and overbought/oversold conditions in the market. It calculates an oscillator based on the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and then applies smoothing techniques to provide a clearer view of market momentum.
🔶 Key Features:
Oscillator Calculation : The indicator calculates an oscillator based on the Commodity Channel Index (CCI), which is a momentum-based oscillator used to identify overbought and oversold conditions.
Smoothing : Smoothing techniques are applied to the oscillator to reduce noise and provide a clearer view of market momentum. This helps traders in identifying trends more effectively.
Support and Resistance Zones : The indicator plots support and resistance zones based on the highest and lowest values of the oscillator over a specified lookback (default 50) period. These zones can help traders identify potential areas of price reversal. The indicator considers volatility when plotting the support and resistance zones. This aims to create more adaptable levels that account for fluctuating market conditions.
Visualization : The indicator visually represents overbought and oversold conditions with shapes (⚠️), aiding traders in quickly identifying potential entry or exit points.
Customization : Users can adjust parameters such as oscillator length, smoothing, and overbought/oversold levels, support and resistance lookbacks according to their trading preferences.
🔶 Disclaimer :
This indicator is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in the financial markets involves risk, and users should conduct their own research and analysis before making any investment decisions.
QQE Weighted Oscillator [LuxAlgo]The QQE (Quantitative Qualitative Estimation) Weighted Oscillator improves on its original version by weighting the RSI based on the indications given by the trailing stop, requiring more effort in order for a cross with the trailing stop to occur.
🔶 USAGE
The QQE Weighted Oscillator is comprised of a smoothed RSI oscillator and a trailing stop derived from this same RSI. The oscillator can be used to indicate whether the market is overbought/oversold as well as an early indication of trend reversals thanks to the leading nature of the RSI.
Using higher Factor values will return a longer-term trailing stop.
Like with a regular RSI divergence can be indicative of a reversal.
Further weighting will control how much "effort" is required for the trailing stop to cross the RSI. For example. For example, an RSI above the trailing stop will require a higher degree of negative price variations in order for a potential cross to occur when using higher weights.
This can cause higher weightings to return more cyclical and smoother results.
🔶 SETTINGS
Length: Length of the RSI oscillator.
Factor: Multiplicative factor used for the trailing stop calculation.
Smooth: Degree of smoothness of the RSI oscillator.
Weight: Degree of weighting used for the RSI calculation.
HyperTrend [LuxAlgo]The HyperTrend indicator aims to provide a real-time estimate of an underlying linear trend in the price. Support and resistance extremities are constructed from this estimate which can provide trade opportunities within the overall trend.
Most tools that return lines on a chart are either subject to backpainting or repainting. We aimed to provide a reliable real-time method to estimate linear trends in the price, enhancing traders' decision making processes when it comes to trading trends in price, hence the term 'HyperTrend'.
🔶 USAGE
Users can use the HyperTrend to easily determine the trend direction in the price, with an average sloping upward indicating an uptrend, and an average sloping downward indicating a downtrend.
The channels upper extremity can act as a resistance, while the lower extremity can act as a support. Contact with candle wicks can signal timely reversals/retracements.
Using a higher "Multiplicative Factor" value will return less frequent new channels, and is suitable to analyze longer-term trends. The slope settings on the other end allow us to control the slope of the returned channels, with higher values returning flatter results (similar to our previously posted predictive ranges).
🔹 Channel Average
The channel average can return an estimate of the current (and future) trend in the price, the chart below shows an interval where a linear regression is displayed alongside the channel average:
Unlike the linear regression, the average does not have any lookahead bias, this of course comes at the price of accuracy in most cases.
Users can also use this average as a support or resistance. The breakout of a TC average that has been tested multiple times can be considered more significant in suggesting a trend reversal.
🔶 SETTINGS
Multiplicative Factor: Control the allowed degree of deviation of the price from the average line. Higher values will return less frequent new channels.
Slope: Controls the steepness of the returned lines. Higher values will return flatter results.
Width %: Width percentage of the channel. Lower results will return narrower channels.
Trend Reversal DetectionIntroducing the "Trend Reversal Detection" indicator, a sophisticated and user-friendly script that utilizes the PeacefulIndicators library to identify potential trend reversals in the market. This indicator is designed to help you stay ahead of market changes and enhance your trading analysis.
The Trend Reversal Detection indicator offers the following features:
Customizable input parameters, allowing you to adjust the Rate of Change (ROC) length, Moving Average (MA) length, and MA type (SMA, EMA, or WMA) according to your trading preferences and style.
A visually intuitive display, using orange and blue markers to indicate potential trend reversals, making it easy to interpret the indicator's signals.
The core functionality of the Trend Reversal Detection indicator is powered by the trendReversalDetection function from the PeacefulIndicators library, ensuring accurate and reliable reversal detection.
To start using the Trend Reversal Detection indicator in your trading analysis, simply add the script to your chart and customize the input parameters as needed. We hope this script, built upon the PeacefulIndicators library, proves to be a valuable addition to your trading strategy.
Trampoline DotsTrampoline Dots (Price Divergence)
Higher Time Frame Price Divergence:
Trampoline Dots serve as a "quick bounce" tool. These little dots will trigger whenever the higher aggregation MACD is above / below zero and the price is below / above the 50 period simple moving average. When these criteria are met, the price is usually under pressure of strong divergence, more often than not price will sharply reverse into the trend direction usually within the next few bars.
The Use of The Trampoline Dots:
This indicator can serve multiple ways. Obviously the main use case is the price divergence. These "dots" will not give you any precise & exact entry. But rather a zone of possible incoming reversal. There is no timing to it. All these dots will do is warn you about potential sharp reversal in the upcoming bars. It can be used by itself alone for sure, but the best way to utilize the dots is to use them in combination of other trend or momentum studies. The best signals are the ones that are within the larger time frame trend. Another great thing is that the visuals are really straight-forward and simple. It is either green dot or a red dot. Nothing more, nothing less. Also since the indicator is pretty small, it can be easily layered onto other studies as well which can create an additional confirmation for different patterns or setups.
Which Time Frame Are Reliable?
This indicator works on any time frame. But the most "stable" one is the daily & hourly time frame. My personal favorite is the hourly since these divergences can produce amazing entries in the daily trends (which are usually hidden on the daily chart). In the most aggresive trends, I like to see the green dots triggering around the 8 EMA and 13 EMA. Daily chart can show the daily and weekly (big divergences) that can take multiple days & weeks to resolve.
Hope it helps.
T3 PPO [Loxx]T3 PPO is a percentage price oscillator indicator using T3 moving average. This indicator is used to spot reversals. Dark red is upward price exhaustion, dark green is downward price exhaustion.
What is Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO)?
The percentage price oscillator (PPO) is a technical momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages in percentage terms. The moving averages are a 26-period and 12-period exponential moving average (EMA).
The PPO is used to compare asset performance and volatility, spot divergence that could lead to price reversals, generate trade signals, and help confirm trend direction.
What is the T3 moving average?
Better Moving Averages Tim Tillson
November 1, 1998
Tim Tillson is a software project manager at Hewlett-Packard, with degrees in Mathematics and Computer Science. He has privately traded options and equities for 15 years.
Introduction
"Digital filtering includes the process of smoothing, predicting, differentiating, integrating, separation of signals, and removal of noise from a signal. Thus many people who do such things are actually using digital filters without realizing that they are; being unacquainted with the theory, they neither understand what they have done nor the possibilities of what they might have done."
This quote from R. W. Hamming applies to the vast majority of indicators in technical analysis . Moving averages, be they simple, weighted, or exponential, are lowpass filters; low frequency components in the signal pass through with little attenuation, while high frequencies are severely reduced.
"Oscillator" type indicators (such as MACD , Momentum, Relative Strength Index ) are another type of digital filter called a differentiator.
Tushar Chande has observed that many popular oscillators are highly correlated, which is sensible because they are trying to measure the rate of change of the underlying time series, i.e., are trying to be the first and second derivatives we all learned about in Calculus.
We use moving averages (lowpass filters) in technical analysis to remove the random noise from a time series, to discern the underlying trend or to determine prices at which we will take action. A perfect moving average would have two attributes:
It would be smooth, not sensitive to random noise in the underlying time series. Another way of saying this is that its derivative would not spuriously alternate between positive and negative values.
It would not lag behind the time series it is computed from. Lag, of course, produces late buy or sell signals that kill profits.
The only way one can compute a perfect moving average is to have knowledge of the future, and if we had that, we would buy one lottery ticket a week rather than trade!
Having said this, we can still improve on the conventional simple, weighted, or exponential moving averages. Here's how:
Two Interesting Moving Averages
We will examine two benchmark moving averages based on Linear Regression analysis.
In both cases, a Linear Regression line of length n is fitted to price data.
I call the first moving average ILRS, which stands for Integral of Linear Regression Slope. One simply integrates the slope of a linear regression line as it is successively fitted in a moving window of length n across the data, with the constant of integration being a simple moving average of the first n points. Put another way, the derivative of ILRS is the linear regression slope. Note that ILRS is not the same as a SMA ( simple moving average ) of length n, which is actually the midpoint of the linear regression line as it moves across the data.
We can measure the lag of moving averages with respect to a linear trend by computing how they behave when the input is a line with unit slope. Both SMA (n) and ILRS(n) have lag of n/2, but ILRS is much smoother than SMA .
Our second benchmark moving average is well known, called EPMA or End Point Moving Average. It is the endpoint of the linear regression line of length n as it is fitted across the data. EPMA hugs the data more closely than a simple or exponential moving average of the same length. The price we pay for this is that it is much noisier (less smooth) than ILRS, and it also has the annoying property that it overshoots the data when linear trends are present.
However, EPMA has a lag of 0 with respect to linear input! This makes sense because a linear regression line will fit linear input perfectly, and the endpoint of the LR line will be on the input line.
These two moving averages frame the tradeoffs that we are facing. On one extreme we have ILRS, which is very smooth and has considerable phase lag. EPMA has 0 phase lag, but is too noisy and overshoots. We would like to construct a better moving average which is as smooth as ILRS, but runs closer to where EPMA lies, without the overshoot.
A easy way to attempt this is to split the difference, i.e. use (ILRS(n)+EPMA(n))/2. This will give us a moving average (call it IE /2) which runs in between the two, has phase lag of n/4 but still inherits considerable noise from EPMA. IE /2 is inspirational, however. Can we build something that is comparable, but smoother? Figure 1 shows ILRS, EPMA, and IE /2.
Filter Techniques
Any thoughtful student of filter theory (or resolute experimenter) will have noticed that you can improve the smoothness of a filter by running it through itself multiple times, at the cost of increasing phase lag.
There is a complementary technique (called twicing by J.W. Tukey) which can be used to improve phase lag. If L stands for the operation of running data through a low pass filter, then twicing can be described by:
L' = L(time series) + L(time series - L(time series))
That is, we add a moving average of the difference between the input and the moving average to the moving average. This is algebraically equivalent to:
2L-L(L)
This is the Double Exponential Moving Average or DEMA , popularized by Patrick Mulloy in TASAC (January/February 1994).
In our taxonomy, DEMA has some phase lag (although it exponentially approaches 0) and is somewhat noisy, comparable to IE /2 indicator.
We will use these two techniques to construct our better moving average, after we explore the first one a little more closely.
Fixing Overshoot
An n-day EMA has smoothing constant alpha=2/(n+1) and a lag of (n-1)/2.
Thus EMA (3) has lag 1, and EMA (11) has lag 5. Figure 2 shows that, if I am willing to incur 5 days of lag, I get a smoother moving average if I run EMA (3) through itself 5 times than if I just take EMA (11) once.
This suggests that if EPMA and DEMA have 0 or low lag, why not run fast versions (eg DEMA (3)) through themselves many times to achieve a smooth result? The problem is that multiple runs though these filters increase their tendency to overshoot the data, giving an unusable result. This is because the amplitude response of DEMA and EPMA is greater than 1 at certain frequencies, giving a gain of much greater than 1 at these frequencies when run though themselves multiple times. Figure 3 shows DEMA (7) and EPMA(7) run through themselves 3 times. DEMA^3 has serious overshoot, and EPMA^3 is terrible.
The solution to the overshoot problem is to recall what we are doing with twicing:
DEMA (n) = EMA (n) + EMA (time series - EMA (n))
The second term is adding, in effect, a smooth version of the derivative to the EMA to achieve DEMA . The derivative term determines how hot the moving average's response to linear trends will be. We need to simply turn down the volume to achieve our basic building block:
EMA (n) + EMA (time series - EMA (n))*.7;
This is algebraically the same as:
EMA (n)*1.7-EMA( EMA (n))*.7;
I have chosen .7 as my volume factor, but the general formula (which I call "Generalized Dema") is:
GD (n,v) = EMA (n)*(1+v)-EMA( EMA (n))*v,
Where v ranges between 0 and 1. When v=0, GD is just an EMA , and when v=1, GD is DEMA . In between, GD is a cooler DEMA . By using a value for v less than 1 (I like .7), we cure the multiple DEMA overshoot problem, at the cost of accepting some additional phase delay. Now we can run GD through itself multiple times to define a new, smoother moving average T3 that does not overshoot the data:
T3(n) = GD ( GD ( GD (n)))
In filter theory parlance, T3 is a six-pole non-linear Kalman filter. Kalman filters are ones which use the error (in this case (time series - EMA (n)) to correct themselves. In Technical Analysis , these are called Adaptive Moving Averages; they track the time series more aggressively when it is making large moves.
Price Pivots for NSE Index & F&O StocksPrice Pivots for NSE Index & F&O Stocks
What is this Indicator?
• This indicator calculates the price range a Stock or Index can move in a Day, Week or Month.
Advantages of this Indicator
• This is a Leading indicator, not Dynamic or Repaint.
• Helps to identify the tight range of price movement.
• Can easily identify the Options strike price.
• The levels are more reliable and authentic than Gann Square of 9 Levels.
• Develops a discipline in placing Targets.
Disadvantages of this Indicator
• The indicator is specifically made for National Stock Exchange of India (NSE) listed index and stocks.
• The indicator is calculated only for index NIFTY, BANKNIFTY, FINNIFTY, MIDCPNIFTY and Stocks listed in Futures and Options.
• The indicator shows nothing for other indexes and stocks other than above mentioned.
• The data need to be entered manually.
• The data need to be updated manually when the F&O listed stocks are updated.
Who to use?
Highly beneficial for Day Traders, it can be used for Swing and Positions as well.
What timeframe to use?
• Any timeframe.
• The highlighted levels in Red and Green will not show correct levels in 1 minute timeframe.
• 5min is recommended for Day Traders.
When to use?
• Wait for proper swing to form.
• Recommended to avoid 1st 1 hour or market open, that is 9.15am to 10.15 or 10.30am.
• Within this time a proper swing will be formed.
How to use?
Entry
• Enter when the Price reach closer to the Blue line.
• Enter Long when the Price takes a pullback or breakout at the Red lines.
Exit
• Exit position when the Price reach closer to the Red lines in Long positions.
What are the Lines?
Gray Lines:
• Every lines with price labels are the Strike Prices in the Option Chain from NSE website.
• Price moves from 1 Strike Price level to another.
• The dashed lines are average levels of 2 Strike Prices.
Red & Green Lines:
• The Red and Green Lines will appear only after the first 1 hour.
• The levels are calculated based on the 1st 1 hour.
• Red Lines are important Resistance levels, these are strong Bearish reversal points. It is also a breakout level, this need to be figured out from the past levels, trend, percentage change and consolidation.
• Green Lines are important Support levels, these are strong Bullish reversal points. It is also a breakdown level, this need to be figured out from the past levels, trend, percentage change and consolidation.
What are the Labels?
• First Number: Price of that level.
• Numbers in (): Percentage change and Change of price from LTP(Last Traded Price) to that Level.
How to use?
Entry:
• Enter when price is closer to the Red or Green lines.
• Enter after considering previous Swing and Trend.
• Note the 50% of previous Swing.
• Enter Short when price reverse from each level.
• If 50% of swing and the pivot level is closer it can be a good entry.
Exit:
• Use the logic of Entry, each level can be a target.
• Exit when price is closer to the Red or Green lines.
Indicator Menu
Source
• Custom: Enter the price manually after choosing the Source as Custom to show the Pivots at that price.
• LTP: Pivot is calculated based on Last Traded Price.
• Day Open: Pivot is calculated based on current day opening price.
• PD Close: Pivot is calculated based on previous day closing price.
• PD HL2: Pivot is calculated based on previous day average of High and Low.
• PD HLC3: Pivot is calculated based on previous day average of High, Low and Close.
"Time (IST) (Vertical)"
• This is a marker of every 1 hour.
• Usually major price movement happen between previous day last 1 hour (2:15 pm) to today first 1 hour (10:15 pm).
• Two swings can happen between first 2 hour of current day.
• At the end of the day last 1 hour from 2.15 pm another important movement will happen.
• Usually rest of the time won't show any interesting movement.
To the Users
• Certain symbols may show the levels as a single line. For such symbols choose a different Source or Timeframe from the indicator menu.
• Please inform if any of the Symbol's price levels don't react to the pivots, include the Symbol a well.
• Also inform if you notice any wrong values, errors or abnormal behavior in the indicator.
• Feel free to suggest or adding new features and options.
General Tips
• It is good if Stock trend is same as that of NIFTY trend.
• Lots of indicators creates lots of confusion.
• Keep the chart simple and clean.
• Buy Low and Sell High.
• Master averages or 50%.
• Previous Swing High and Swing Low are crucial.
Optimised RSI strategy for Reversals (by Coinrule)The most common way to use the RSI to spot a good buy opportunity is to check for values lower than 30. Unfortunately, the RSI can remain in oversold territory for long periods, and that could leave you trapped in a trade in loss. It would be appropriate to wait for a confirmation of the trend reversal.
In the example above I use a short-term Moving Average (in this case, the MA9) coupled with an RSI lower than 40. This combination of events is relatively rare as reversal confirmations usually come when RSI values are already higher. As unusual as this setup is, it provides buy-opportunities with much higher chances of success.
The parameters of this strategy would be:
ENTRY: RSI lower than 40 and MA9 lower than the price
TAKE PROFIT and STOP-LOSS with a ratio of at least 2. That means that if you set up a take profit of 3%, your stop-loss shouldn’t be larger than 1.5%.
The advantage of this approach is that it has a high rate of success and allows you the flexibility of setting up the percentages of the take profit and stop-loss according to your preferences and risk appetite.
HTF Candlestick Patterns [TradingView] vX by DGTCandlesticks are graphical representations of price movements for a given period of time. They are commonly formed by the opening, high, low, and closing prices of a financial instrument. They have their origins in the centuries-old Japanese rice trade and have made their way into modern day price charting.
It’s important to note that candlestick patterns aren’t necessarily a buy or sell signal by themselves. They are instead a way to look at market structure and a potential indication of an upcoming opportunity. It is always useful to look at candlestick patterns in context like any other market analysis tool and candlestick patterns are most useful when used in combination with other techniques. There are countless candlestick patterns that traders can use to identify areas of interest on a chart, where some candlestick patterns may provide insights into the balance between buyers and sellers, others may indicate a reversal, continuation, or indecision.
Reversal patterns are quite useful when used in context. Reversal patterns should form at the bottom of a downtrend or at the top of an uptrend. Otherwise, they are not a reversal patterns, but continuation patterns. Most reversal patterns require confirmation such as price move in the direction of reversal accompanied by appropriate trading volume. The reversal patterns can further be confirmed through other means of traditional technical analysis—like trend lines, momentum, oscillators, or volume indicators—to reaffirm buying or selling pressure. The patterns themselves do not guarantee that the trend will reverse. Investors should always confirm reversal by the subsequent price action before initiating a trade.
This study implements some of the most commonly used candlestick patterns in a context with directional movement indicator. On request users can adjust the strong trend threshold from dialog box, eighter can disabled correlation with directional movement indicator. To add additional sight to analysis the simple moving averages of 20, 50, 100 and 200 periods are added (configurable)
You may add additional indicators of your choice. Colored DMI, BB Cloud or Price Distance to its MAs may help
Enjoy it!
Disclaimer: The script is for informational and educational purposes only. Use of the script does not constitutes professional and/or financial advice. You alone the sole responsibility of evaluating the script output and risks associated with the use of the script. In exchange for using the script, you agree not to hold dgtrd tradingview user liable for any possible claim for damages arising from any decision you make based on use of the script
🧬 Fractal Trap Hunter v2.2 – Wyckoff x Fib Precision// This is still a WIP and any feedback is very welcome.
🧬 Fractal Trap Hunter v2.2
Wyckoff x Fibonacci Precision Reversal Strategy
📈 Version: 2.2
🔁 Smart Money Filters • Fib Zones • Momentum Precision
💡 Designed for traders who demand accuracy, structure, and smart filtering.
🚀 Summary
Fractal Trap Hunter v2.2 isn’t just a strategy — it’s a framework.
It adapts to the market’s structure and filters out the noise using real logic used by institutions.
🎯 Strategy Overview
Fractal Trap Hunter v2.2 is a reversal-based strategy that fuses:
📐 Fibonacci retracements/extensions
📊 Wyckoff-style impulse logic (BOS/Spring)
🔍 Optional Smart Money filters
⚡ Precision entries at 61.8%–78.6% with TP1 & TP2 via 1.272/1.618 extensions
✅ Modular filters (RSI, EMA, DPO, SMI, Volume)
🛠 How It Works
Detects a directional impulse (fakeout/BOS/spring)
Waits for price to retrace into a golden zone (Fib 61.8–78.6%)
Enters only if filtered by momentum + confluence signals
Takes partial TP1, moves SL to BE, lets TP2 run
Visual zones and labels make execution easy and clean
⚙️ Key Inputs
Input Purpose Default
Fib Entry Min -- Lowest fib zone for entry -- 0.618
Fib Entry Max -- Highest fib zone for entry -- 0.786
TP1 Extension -- First take profit (extension of impulse) -- 1.272
TP2 Extension -- Final target -- 1.618
Min Impulse % --Required size for the setup -- 0.8%
🧠 Optional Filters
Filter Use Case
EMA Filter -- Only trade with 50 EMA trend
EMA Crossover -- Confirms short-term momentum direction
RSI -- Filter out overextended entries
DPO -- Avoid flat/no-trend zones
SMI -- Precision momentum confirmation
Volume Spike -- Ensures trades trigger with liquidity & intent
📍 Where & When to Use
✅ Best Markets
Forex majors: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD
Indices: NAS100, SPX500, GER40
Gold: XAU/USD — thrives on fakeouts
Crypto: BTC/USD (H1+ only — volatile), SOL/EUR (H8 had some amazing results)
✅ Best Timeframes
M15 to H1: Optimal balance of signals and quality
H4 - H8 for structure context
D1 for bias filter (optional)
🕐 Best Time of Day
London Open (7–10am UTC) – breakout traps + volume
NY Open (13–15 UTC) – BOS + FVG setups
Avoid low-liquidity hours unless volume filter is ON
📊 How to Backtest
Select timeframe (e.g., M30)
Open Strategy Tester → Overview
Toggle filters & Fib zones to optimize for asset
🔥 Pro Tips to Maximize Edge
📌 Start with only EMA + OB filters, optimize first
⚠️ Avoid choppy price action — look for clear liquidity sweeps
🎯 Use HTF BOS or Wyckoff structures to frame LTF entries
🧬 Look for confluence: OB + Fib + Volume spike = sniper
🔄 Run optimization for each asset and session
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
Trading involves risk. Use proper position sizing. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Multi-Factor Reversal AnalyzerMulti-Factor Reversal Analyzer – Quantitative Reversal Signal System
OVERVIEW
Multi-Factor Reversal Analyzer is a comprehensive technical analysis toolkit designed to detect market tops and bottoms with high precision. It combines trend momentum analysis, price action behavior, wave oscillation structure, and volatility breakout potential into one unified indicator.
This indicator is not a random mix of tools — each module is carefully selected for a specific purpose. When combined, they form a multi-dimensional view of the market, merging trend analysis, momentum divergence, and volatility compression to produce high-confidence signals.
Why Combine These Modules?
Module Combination Ideas & How to Use Them
Factor A: Trend Detector + Gold Zone
Concept:
• The Trend Detector (light yellow histogram) evaluates market strength:
• Histogram trending downward or staying below 50 → bearish conditions;
• Trending upward or staying above 50 → bullish conditions.
• The Gold Zone identifies areas of volatility compression — typically a prelude to explosive market moves.
Practical Application:
• When the Gold Zone appears and the Trend Detector is bearish → likely downside move;
• When the Gold Zone appears and the Trend Detector is bullish → likely upside breakout.
• Note: The Gold Zone does not mean the bottom is in. It is not a buy signal on its own — always combine it with other modules for directional bias.
Factor B: PAI + Wave Trend
Concept:
• PAI (Price Action Index) is a custom oscillator that combines price momentum with volatility dispersion, displaying strength zones:
• Green area → bullish dominance;
• Red area → bearish pressure.
• Wave Trend offers smoothed crossover signals via the main and signal lines.
Practical Application:
• When PAI is in the green zone and Wave Trend makes a bullish crossover → potential reversal to the upside;
• When PAI is in the red zone and Wave Trend shows a bearish crossover → potential start of a downtrend.
Factor C: Trend Detector + PAI
Concept:
• Combines directional trend strength with price action strength to confirm setups via confluence.
Practical Application:
• Trend Detector histogram bottoms out + PAI enters the green zone → high chance of upward reversal;
• Histogram tops out + PAI in the red zone → increased likelihood of downside continuation.
Multi-Factor Confluence (Advanced Use)
• When Trend Detector, PAI, and Wave Trend all align in the same direction (bullish or bearish), the directional signal becomes significantly more reliable.
• This setup is especially useful for trend-following or swing trade entries.
KEY FEATURES
1. Multi-Layer Reversal Logic
• Combines trend scoring, oscillator divergence, and volatility squeezes for triangulated reversal detection.
• Helps traders distinguish between trend pullbacks and true reversals.
2. Advanced Divergence Detection
• Detects both regular and hidden divergences using pivot-based confirmation logic.
• Customizable lookback ranges and pivot sensitivity provide flexible tuning for different market styles.
3. Gold Zone Volatility Compression
• Highlights pre-breakout zones using custom oscillation models (RSI, harmonic, Karobein, etc.).
• Improves anticipation of breakout opportunities following low-volatility compressions.
4. Trend Direction Context
• PAI and Trend Score components provide top-down insight into prevailing bias.
• Built-in “Straddle Area” highlights consolidation zones; breakouts from this area often signal new trend phases.
5. Flexible Visualization
• Color-coded trend bars, reversal markers, normalized oscillator plots, and trend strength labels.
• Designed for both visual discretionary traders and data-driven system developers.
USAGE GUIDELINES
1. Applicable Markets
• Suitable for stocks, crypto, futures, and forex
• Supports reversal, mean-reversion, and breakout trading styles
2. Recommended Timeframes
• Short-term traders: 5m / 15m / 1H — use Wave Trend divergence + Gold Zone
• Swing traders: 4H / Daily — rely on Price Action Index and Trend Detector
• Macro trend context: use PAI HTF mode for higher timeframe overlays
3. Reversal Strategy Flow
• Watch for divergence (WT/PAI) + Gold Zone compression
• Confirm with Trend Score weakening or flipping
• Use Straddle Area breakout for final trigger
• Optional: enable bar coloring or labels for visual reinforcement
• The indicator performs optimally when used in conjunction with a harmonic pattern recognition tool
4. Additional Note on the Gold Zone
The “Gold Zone” does not directly indicate a market bottom. Since it is displayed at the bottom of the chart, it may be misunderstood as a bullish signal. In reality, the Gold Zone represents a compression of price momentum and volatility, suggesting that a significant directional move is about to occur. The direction of that move—upward or downward—should be determined by analyzing the histogram:
• If histogram momentum is weakening, the Gold Zone may precede a downward move.
• If histogram momentum is strengthening, it may signal an upcoming rebound or rally.
Treat the Gold Zone as a warning of impending volatility, and always combine it with trend indicators for accurate directional judgment.
RISK DISCLAIMER
• This indicator calculates trend direction based on historical data and cannot guarantee future market performance. When using this indicator for trading, always combine it with other technical analysis tools, fundamental analysis, and personal trading experience for comprehensive decision-making.
• Market conditions are uncertain, and trend signals may result in false positives or lag. Traders should avoid over-reliance on indicator signals and implement stop-loss strategies and risk management techniques to reduce potential losses.
• Leverage trading carries high risks and may result in rapid capital loss. If using this indicator in leveraged markets (such as futures, forex, or cryptocurrency derivatives), exercise caution, manage risks properly, and set reasonable stop-loss/take-profit levels to protect funds.
• All trading decisions are the sole responsibility of the trader. The developer is not liable for any trading losses. This indicator is for technical analysis reference only and does not constitute investment advice.
• Before live trading, it is recommended to use a demo account for testing to fully understand how to use the indicator and apply proper risk management strategies.
CHANGELOG
v1.0: Initial release featuring integrated Price Action Index, Trend Strength Scoring, Wave Trend Oscillator, Gold Zone Compression Detection, and dual-type divergence recognition. Supports higher timeframe (HTF) synchronization, visual signal markers, and diversified parameter configurations.
Larry Williams POIV A/D [tradeviZion]Larry Williams' POIV A/D - Release Notes v1.0
=================================================
Release Date: 01 April 2025
OVERVIEW
--------
The Larry Williams POIV A/D (Price, Open Interest, Volume Accumulation/Distribution) indicator implements Williams' original formula while adding advanced divergence detection capabilities. This powerful tool combines price movement, open interest, and volume data to identify potential trend reversals and continuations.
FEATURES
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- Implements Larry Williams' original POIV A/D formula
- Divergence detection system:
* Regular divergences for trend reversal signals
* Hidden divergences for trend continuation signals
- Fast Mode option for earlier pivot detection
- Customizable sensitivity for divergence filtering
- Dynamic color visualization based on indicator direction
- Adjustable smoothing to reduce noise
- Automatic fallback to OBV when Open Interest is unavailable
FORMULA
-------
POIV A/D = CumulativeSum(Open Interest * (Close - Close ) / (True High - True Low)) + OBV
Where:
- Open Interest: Current period's open interest
- Close - Close : Price change from previous period
- True High - True Low: True Range
- OBV: On Balance Volume
DIVERGENCE TYPES
---------------
1. Regular Divergences (Reversal Signals):
- Bullish: Price makes lower lows while indicator makes higher lows
- Bearish: Price makes higher highs while indicator makes lower highs
2. Hidden Divergences (Continuation Signals):
- Bullish: Price makes higher lows while indicator makes lower lows
- Bearish: Price makes lower highs while indicator makes higher highs
REQUIREMENTS
-----------
- Works best with futures and other instruments that provide Open Interest data
- Automatically adapts to work with any instrument by using OBV when OI is unavailable
USAGE GUIDE
-----------
1. Apply the indicator to any chart
2. Configure settings:
- Adjust sensitivity for divergence detection
- Enable/disable Fast Mode for earlier signals
- Customize visual settings as needed
3. Look for divergence signals:
- Regular divergences for potential trend reversals
- Hidden divergences for trend continuation opportunities
4. Use the alerts system for automated divergence detection
KNOWN LIMITATIONS
----------------
- Requires Open Interest data for full functionality
- Fast Mode may generate more signals but with lower reliability
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
---------------
This indicator is based on Larry Williams' work on Open Interest analysis. The implementation includes additional features for divergence detection while maintaining the integrity of the original formula.
Rally Base Drop SND Pivots Strategy [LuxAlgo X PineIndicators]This strategy is based on the Rally Base Drop (RBD) SND Pivots indicator developed by LuxAlgo. Full credit for the concept and original indicator goes to LuxAlgo.
The Rally Base Drop SND Pivots Strategy is a non-repainting supply and demand trading system that detects pivot points based on Rally, Base, and Drop (RBD) candles. This strategy automatically identifies key market structure levels, allowing traders to:
Identify pivot-based supply and demand (SND) zones.
Use fixed criteria for trend continuation or reversals.
Filter out market noise by requiring structured price formations.
Enter trades based on breakouts of key SND pivot levels.
How the Rally Base Drop SND Pivots Strategy Works
1. Pivot Point Detection Using RBD Candles
The strategy follows a rigid market structure methodology, where pivots are detected only when:
A Rally (R) consists of multiple consecutive bullish candles.
A Drop (D) consists of multiple consecutive bearish candles.
A Base (B) is identified as a transition between Rallies and Drops, acting as a pivot point.
The pivot level is confirmed when the formation is complete.
Unlike traditional fractal-based pivots, RBD Pivots enforce stricter structural rules, ensuring that each pivot:
Has a well-defined bullish or bearish price movement.
Reduces false signals caused by single-bar fluctuations.
Provides clear supply and demand levels based on structured price movements.
These pivot levels are drawn on the chart using color-coded boxes:
Green zones represent bullish pivot levels (Rally Base formations).
Red zones represent bearish pivot levels (Drop Base formations).
Once a pivot is confirmed, the high or low of the base candle is used as the reference level for future trades.
2. Trade Entry Conditions
The strategy allows traders to select from three trading modes:
Long Only – Only takes long trades when bullish pivot breakouts occur.
Short Only – Only takes short trades when bearish pivot breakouts occur.
Long & Short – Trades in both directions based on pivot breakouts.
Trade entry signals are triggered when price breaks through a confirmed pivot level:
Long Entry:
A bullish pivot level is formed.
Price breaks above the bullish pivot level.
The strategy enters a long position.
Short Entry:
A bearish pivot level is formed.
Price breaks below the bearish pivot level.
The strategy enters a short position.
The strategy includes an optional mode to reverse long and short conditions, allowing traders to experiment with contrarian entries.
3. Exit Conditions Using ATR-Based Risk Management
This strategy uses the Average True Range (ATR) to calculate dynamic stop-loss and take-profit levels:
Stop-Loss (SL): Placed 1 ATR below entry for long trades and 1 ATR above entry for short trades.
Take-Profit (TP): Set using a Risk-Reward Ratio (RR) multiplier (default = 6x ATR).
When a trade is opened:
The entry price is recorded.
ATR is calculated at the time of entry to determine stop-loss and take-profit levels.
Trades exit automatically when either SL or TP is reached.
If reverse conditions mode is enabled, stop-loss and take-profit placements are flipped.
Visualization & Dynamic Support/Resistance Levels
1. Pivot Boxes for Market Structure
Each pivot is marked with a colored box:
Green boxes indicate bullish demand zones.
Red boxes indicate bearish supply zones.
These boxes remain on the chart to act as dynamic support and resistance levels, helping traders identify key price reaction zones.
2. Horizontal Entry, Stop-Loss, and Take-Profit Lines
When a trade is active, the strategy plots:
White line → Entry price.
Red line → Stop-loss level.
Green line → Take-profit level.
Labels display the exact entry, SL, and TP values, updating dynamically as price moves.
Customization Options
This strategy offers multiple adjustable settings to optimize performance for different market conditions:
Trade Mode Selection → Choose between Long Only, Short Only, or Long & Short.
Pivot Length → Defines the number of required Rally & Drop candles for a pivot.
ATR Exit Multiplier → Adjusts stop-loss distance based on ATR.
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR) → Modifies take-profit level relative to risk.
Historical Lookback → Limits how far back pivot zones are displayed.
Color Settings → Customize pivot box colors for bullish and bearish setups.
Considerations & Limitations
Pivot Breakouts Do Not Guarantee Reversals. Some pivot breaks may lead to continuation moves instead of trend reversals.
Not Optimized for Low Volatility Conditions. This strategy works best in trending markets with strong momentum.
ATR-Based Stop-Loss & Take-Profit May Require Optimization. Different assets may require different ATR multipliers and RR settings.
Market Noise May Still Influence Pivots. While this method filters some noise, fake breakouts can still occur.
Conclusion
The Rally Base Drop SND Pivots Strategy is a non-repainting supply and demand system that combines:
Pivot-based market structure analysis (using Rally, Base, and Drop candles).
Breakout-based trade entries at confirmed SND levels.
ATR-based dynamic risk management for stop-loss and take-profit calculation.
This strategy helps traders:
Identify high-probability supply and demand levels.
Trade based on structured market pivots.
Use a systematic approach to price action analysis.
Automatically manage risk with ATR-based exits.
The strict pivot detection rules and built-in breakout validation make this strategy ideal for traders looking to:
Trade based on market structure.
Use defined support & resistance levels.
Reduce noise compared to traditional fractals.
Implement a structured supply & demand trading model.
This strategy is fully customizable, allowing traders to adjust parameters to fit their market and trading style.
Full credit for the original concept and indicator goes to LuxAlgo.
RSI OB/OS Strategy Analyzer█ OVERVIEW
The RSI OB/OS Strategy Analyzer is a comprehensive trading tool designed to help traders identify and evaluate overbought/oversold reversal opportunities using the Relative Strength Index (RSI). It provides visual signals, performance metrics, and a detailed table to analyze the effectiveness of RSI-based strategies over a user-defined lookback period.
█ KEY FEATURES
RSI Calculation
Calculates RSI with customizable period (default 14)
Plots dynamic overbought (70) and oversold (30) levels
Adds background coloring for OB/OS regions
Reversal Signals
Identifies signals based on RSI crossing OB/OS levels
Two entry strategies available:
Revert Cross: Triggers when RSI exits OB/OS zone
Cross Threshold: Triggers when RSI enters OB/OS zone
Trade Direction
Users can select a trade bias:
Long: Focuses on oversold reversals (bullish signals)
Short: Focuses on overbought reversals (bearish signals)
Performance Metrics
Calculates three key statistics for each lookback period:
Win Rate: Percentage of profitable trades
Mean Return: Average return across all trades
Median Return: Median return across all trades
Metrics calculated as percentage changes from entry price
Visual Signals
Dual-layer signal display:
BUY: Green triangles + text labels below price
SELL: Red triangles + text labels above price
Semi-transparent background highlighting in OB/OS zones
Performance Table
Interactive table showing metrics for each lookback period
Color-coded visualization:
Win Rate: Gradient from red (low) to green (high)
Returns: Green for positive, red for negative
Time Filtering
Users can define a specific time window for the indicator to analyze trades, ensuring that performance metrics are calculated only for the desired period.
Customizable Display
Adjustable table font sizes: Auto/Small/Normal/Large
Toggle option for table visibility
█ PURPOSE
The RSI OB/OS Strategy Analyzer helps traders:
Identify mean-reversion opportunities through RSI extremes
Backtest entry strategy effectiveness across multiple time horizons
Optimize trade timing through visual historical performance data
Quickly assess strategy robustness with color-coded metrics
█ IDEAL USERS
Counter-Trend Traders: Looking to capitalize on RSI extremes
Systematic Traders: Needing quantitative strategy validation
Educational Users: Studying RSI behavior in different market conditions
Multi-Timeframe Analysts: Interested in forward returns analysis
Turtle Soup ICT Strategy [TradingFinder] FVG + CHoCH/CSD🔵 Introduction
The ICT Turtle Soup trading setup, designed in the ICT style, operates by hunting or sweeping liquidity zones to exploit false breakouts and failed breakouts in key liquidity Zones, such as recent highs, lows, or major support and resistance levels.
This setup identifies moments when the price breaches these liquidity zones, triggering stop orders placed (Stop Hunt) by other traders, and then quickly reverses direction. These movements are often associated with liquidity sweeps that create temporary market imbalances.
The reversal is typically confirmed by one of three structural shifts : a Market Structure Shift (MSS), a Change of Character (CHoCH), or a break of the Change in State of Delivery (CISD). Each of these structural shifts provides a reliable signal to interpret market intent and align trading decisions with the expected price movement. After the structural shift, the price frequently pullback to a Fair Value Gap (FVG), offering a precise entry point for trades.
By integrating key concepts such as liquidity, liquidity sweeps, stop order activation, structural shifts (MSS, CHoCH, CISD), and price imbalances, the ICT Turtle Soup setup enables traders to identify reversal points and key entry zones with high accuracy.
This strategy is highly versatile, making it applicable across markets such as forex, stocks, cryptocurrencies, and futures. It offers traders a robust and systematic approach to understanding price movements and optimizing their trading strategies
🟣 Bullish and Bearish Setups
Bullish Setup : The price first sweeps below a Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) zone, then reverses upward after forming an MSS or CHoCH, and finally pulls back to an FVG, creating a buying opportunity.
Bearish Setup : The price first sweeps above a Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) zone, then reverses downward after forming an MSS or CHoCH, and finally pulls back to an FVG, creating a selling opportunity.
🔵 How to Use
To effectively utilize the ICT Turtle Soup trading setup, begin by identifying key liquidity zones, such as recent highs, lows, or support and resistance levels, in higher timeframes.
Then, monitor lower timeframes for a Liquidity Sweep and confirmation of a Market Structure Shift (MSS) or Change of Character (CHoCH).
After the structural shift, the price typically pulls back to an FVG, offering an optimal trade entry point. Below, the bullish and bearish setups are explained in detail.
🟣 Bullish Turtle Soup Setup
Identify Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) : In a higher timeframe (e.g., 1-hour or 4-hour), identify recent price lows or support levels that serve as SSL zones, typically the location of stop-loss orders for traders.
Observe a Liquidity Sweep : On a lower timeframe (e.g., 15-minute or 30-minute), the price must move below one of these liquidity zones and then reverse. This movement indicates a liquidity sweep.
Confirm Market Structure Shift : After the price reversal, look for a structural shift (MSS or CHoCH) indicated by the formation of a Higher Low (HL) and Higher High (HH).
Enter the Trade : Once the structural shift is confirmed, the price typically pulls back to an FVG. Enter a buy trade in this zone, set a stop-loss slightly below the recent low, and target Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) in the higher timeframe for profit.
🟣 Bearish Turtle Soup Setup
Identify Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) : In a higher timeframe, identify recent price highs or resistance levels that serve as BSL zones, typically the location of stop-loss orders for traders.
Observe a Liquidity Sweep : On a lower timeframe, the price must move above one of these liquidity zones and then reverse. This movement indicates a liquidity sweep.
Confirm Market Structure Shift : After the price reversal, look for a structural shift (MSS or CHoCH) indicated by the formation of a Lower High (LH) and Lower Low (LL).
Enter the Trade : Once the structural shift is confirmed, the price typically pulls back to an FVG. Enter a sell trade in this zone, set a stop-loss slightly above the recent high, and target Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) in the higher timeframe for profit.
🔵 Settings
Higher TimeFrame Levels : This setting allows you to specify the higher timeframe (e.g., 1-hour, 4-hour, or daily) for identifying key liquidity zones.
Swing period : You can set the swing detection period.
Max Swing Back Method : It is in two modes "All" and "Custom". If it is in "All" mode, it will check all swings, and if it is in "Custom" mode, it will check the swings to the extent you determine.
Max Swing Back : You can set the number of swings that will go back for checking.
FVG Length : Default is 120 Bar.
MSS Length : Default is 80 Bar.
FVG Filter : This refines the number of identified FVG areas based on a specified algorithm to focus on higher quality signals and reduce noise.
Types of FVG filter s:
Very Aggressive Filter: Adds a condition where, for an upward FVG, the last candle's highest price must exceed the middle candle's highest price, and for a downward FVG, the last candle's lowest price must be lower than the middle candle's lowest price. This minimally filters out FVGs.
Aggressive Filter: Builds on the Very Aggressive mode by ensuring the middle candle is not too small, filtering out more FVGs.
Defensive Filter: Adds criteria regarding the size and structure of the middle candle, requiring it to have a substantial body and specific polarity conditions, filtering out a significant number of FVGs.
Very Defensive Filter: Further refines filtering by ensuring the first and third candles are not small-bodied doji candles, retaining only the highest quality signals.
In the indicator settings, you can customize the visibility of various elements, including MSS, FVG, and HTF Levels. Additionally, the color of each element can be adjusted to match your preferences. This feature allows traders to tailor the chart display to their specific needs, enhancing focus on the key data relevant to their strategy.
🔵 Conclusion
The ICT Turtle Soup trading setup is a powerful tool in the ICT style, enabling traders to exploit false breakouts in key liquidity zones. By combining concepts of liquidity, liquidity sweeps, market structure shifts (MSS and CHoCH), and pullbacks to FVG, this setup helps traders identify precise reversal points and execute trades with reduced risk and increased accuracy.
With applications across various markets, including forex, stocks, crypto, and futures, and its customizable indicator settings, the ICT Turtle Soup setup is ideal for both beginner and advanced traders. By accurately identifying liquidity zones in higher timeframes and confirming structure shifts in lower timeframes, this setup provides a reliable strategy for navigating volatile market conditions.
Ultimately, success with this setup requires consistent practice, precise market analysis, and proper risk management, empowering traders to make smarter decisions and achieve their trading goals.
Larry Conners Vix Reversal II Strategy (approx.)This Pine Script™ strategy is a modified version of the original Larry Connors VIX Reversal II Strategy, designed for short-term trading in market indices like the S&P 500. The strategy utilizes the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of the VIX (Volatility Index) to identify potential overbought or oversold market conditions. The logic is based on the assumption that extreme levels of market volatility often precede reversals in price.
How the Strategy Works
The strategy calculates the RSI of the VIX using a 25-period lookback window. The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100 and is often used to identify overbought and oversold conditions in assets.
Overbought Signal: When the RSI of the VIX rises above 61, it signals a potential overbought condition in the market. The strategy looks for a RSI downtick (i.e., when RSI starts to fall after reaching this level) as a trigger to enter a long position.
Oversold Signal: Conversely, when the RSI of the VIX drops below 42, the market is considered oversold. A RSI uptick (i.e., when RSI starts to rise after hitting this level) serves as a signal to enter a short position.
The strategy holds the position for a minimum of 7 days and a maximum of 12 days, after which it exits automatically.
Larry Connors: Background
Larry Connors is a prominent figure in quantitative trading, specializing in short-term market strategies. He is the co-author of several influential books on trading, such as Street Smarts (1995), co-written with Linda Raschke, and How Markets Really Work. Connors' work focuses on developing rules-based systems using volatility indicators like the VIX and oscillators such as RSI to exploit mean-reversion patterns in financial markets.
Risks of the Strategy
While the Larry Connors VIX Reversal II Strategy can capture reversals in volatile market environments, it also carries significant risks:
Over-Optimization: This modified version adjusts RSI levels and holding periods to fit recent market data. If market conditions change, the strategy might no longer be effective, leading to false signals.
Drawdowns in Trending Markets: This is a mean-reversion strategy, designed to profit when markets return to a previous mean. However, in strongly trending markets, especially during extended bull or bear phases, the strategy might generate losses due to early entries or exits.
Volatility Risk: Since this strategy is linked to the VIX, an instrument that reflects market volatility, large spikes in volatility can lead to unexpected, fast-moving market conditions, potentially leading to larger-than-expected losses.
Scientific Literature and Supporting Research
The use of RSI and VIX in trading strategies has been widely discussed in academic research. RSI is one of the most studied momentum oscillators, and numerous studies show that it can capture mean-reversion effects in various markets, including equities and derivatives.
Wong et al. (2003) investigated the effectiveness of technical trading rules such as RSI, finding that it has predictive power in certain market conditions, particularly in mean-reverting markets .
The VIX, often referred to as the “fear index,” reflects market expectations of volatility and has been a focal point in research exploring volatility-based strategies. Whaley (2000) extensively reviewed the predictive power of VIX, noting that extreme VIX readings often correlate with turning points in the stock market .
Modified Version of Original Strategy
This script is a modified version of Larry Connors' original VIX Reversal II strategy. The key differences include:
Adjusted RSI period to 25 (instead of 2 or 4 commonly used in Connors’ other work).
Overbought and oversold levels modified to 61 and 42, respectively.
Specific holding period (7 to 12 days) is predefined to reduce holding risk.
These modifications aim to adapt the strategy to different market environments, potentially enhancing performance under specific volatility conditions. However, as with any system, constant evaluation and testing in live markets are crucial.
References
Wong, W. K., Manzur, M., & Chew, B. K. (2003). How rewarding is technical analysis? Evidence from Singapore stock market. Applied Financial Economics, 13(7), 543-551.
Whaley, R. E. (2000). The investor fear gauge. Journal of Portfolio Management, 26(3), 12-17.
Butterfly Harmonic Pattern [TradingFinder] Harmonic Detector🔵 Introduction
The Butterfly Harmonic Pattern is a sophisticated and highly regarded tool in technical analysis, utilized by traders to identify potential reversal points in the financial markets. This pattern is distinguished by its reliance on Fibonacci ratios and geometric configurations, which aid in predicting price movements with remarkable precision.
The origin of the Butterfly Harmonic Pattern can be traced back to the pioneering work of Bryce Gilmore, who is credited with discovering this pattern. Gilmore's extensive research and expertise in Fibonacci ratios laid the groundwork for the identification and application of this pattern in technical analysis.
The Butterfly pattern, like other harmonic patterns, is based on the principle that market movements are not random but follow specific structures and ratios.
The pattern is characterized by a distinct "M" shape in bullish scenarios and a "W" shape in bearish scenarios, each indicating a potential reversal point. These formations are identified by specific Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, making the Butterfly pattern a powerful tool for traders seeking to capitalize on market turning points.
The precise nature of the Butterfly pattern allows for the accurate prediction of target prices and the establishment of strategic entry and exit points, making it an indispensable component of a trader's analytical arsenal.
Bullish :
Bearish :
🔵 How to Use
Like other harmonic patterns, the Butterfly pattern is categorized based on how it forms at the end of an uptrend or downtrend. Unlike the Gartley and Bat patterns, the Butterfly pattern, similar to the Crab pattern, forms outside the wave 3 range at the end of a rally.
🟣 Types of Butterfly Harmonic Patterns
🟣 Bullish Butterfly Pattern
This pattern forms at the end of a downtrend and leads to a trend reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend.
🟣 Bearish Butterfly Pattern
In contrast to the Bullish Butterfly pattern, this pattern forms at the end of an uptrend and warns analysts of a trend reversal to a downtrend. In this case, traders are encouraged to shift their trading stance from buy trades to sell trades.
Advantages and Limitations of the Butterfly Pattern in Technical Analysis :
The Butterfly pattern is considered one of the precise and stable tools in financial market analysis. However, it is always important to pay special attention to the advantages and limitations of each pattern.
Here, we review the advantages and disadvantages of using the Butterfly harmonic pattern :
The main advantage of the Butterfly pattern is providing very accurate signals.
Using Fibonacci golden ratios and geometric rules, the Butterfly pattern identifies patterns accurately and systematically. (This high accuracy significantly helps investors in making trading decisions.)
Identifying this pattern requires expertise and experience in technical analysis.
Recognizing the Butterfly pattern might be complex for beginner traders. (Correct identification of the pattern necessitates mastery over geometric principles and Fibonacci ratios.)
The Butterfly harmonic pattern might issue false trading signals. (Traders usually combine the Butterfly pattern with other technical tools to confirm buy and sell signals.)
🔵 Setting
🟣 Logical Setting
ZigZag Pivot Period : You can adjust the period so that the harmonic patterns are adjusted according to the pivot period you want. This factor is the most important parameter in pattern recognition.
Show Valid Forma t: If this parameter is on "On" mode, only patterns will be displayed that they have exact format and no noise can be seen in them. If "Off" is, the patterns displayed that maybe are noisy and do not exactly correspond to the original pattern.
Show Formation Last Pivot Confirm : if Turned on, you can see this ability of patterns when their last pivot is formed. If this feature is off, it will see the patterns as soon as they are formed. The advantage of this option being clear is less formation of fielded patterns, and it is accompanied by the latest pattern seeing and a sharp reduction in reward to risk.
Period of Formation Last Pivot : Using this parameter you can determine that the last pivot is based on Pivot period.
🟣 Genaral Setting
Show : Enter "On" to display the template and "Off" to not display the template.
Color : Enter the desired color to draw the pattern in this parameter.
LineWidth : You can enter the number 1 or numbers higher than one to adjust the thickness of the drawing lines. This number must be an integer and increases with increasing thickness.
LabelSize : You can adjust the size of the labels by using the "size.auto", "size.tiny", "size.smal", "size.normal", "size.large" or "size.huge" entries.
🟣 Alert Setting
Alert : On / Off
Message Frequency : This string parameter defines the announcement frequency. Choices include: "All" (activates the alert every time the function is called), "Once Per Bar" (activates the alert only on the first call within the bar), and "Once Per Bar Close" (the alert is activated only by a call at the last script execution of the real-time bar upon closing). The default setting is "Once per Bar".
Show Alert Time by Time Zone : The date, hour, and minute you receive in alert messages can be based on any time zone you choose. For example, if you want New York time, you should enter "UTC-4". This input is set to the time zone "UTC" by default.
Advanced Fully Reversed Candles with Reversed IchimokuThe "Advanced Fully Reversed Candles with Reversed Ichimoku" indicator is a sophisticated tool designed for traders who seek a unique perspective on market dynamics. This innovative indicator not only reverses the traditional candlestick chart but also inverts the Ichimoku Cloud components, providing a comprehensive view of the market's inverted behavior.
Key Features:
Reversed Candlestick Chart:
The indicator recalculates the OHLC (Open, High, Low, Close) prices by reversing them along the price axis. This means that what typically would be an upward movement is displayed as a downward movement, and vice versa. This reversal provides an alternative view that can help traders identify hidden patterns and potential reversal points that might not be obvious on a standard chart.
Reversed Ichimoku Cloud:
All components of the Ichimoku Cloud indicator are recalculated based on the reversed price data. This includes:
Tenkan-sen (Conversion Line): Reversed based on the highest and lowest prices over the specified period.
Kijun-sen (Base Line): Reversed in a similar manner to the Tenkan-sen, providing a medium-term perspective on price trends.
Senkou Span A (Leading Span A): Reversed to form one boundary of the Kumo (cloud), offering insight into future support and resistance levels.
Senkou Span B (Leading Span B): Reversed to form the other boundary of the Kumo, complementing Senkou Span A.
Chikou Span (Lagging Span): Reversed and plotted backward for additional confirmation of trend direction and strength.
Dynamic Price Range Calculation:
The indicator dynamically calculates the maximum and minimum prices over the last 500 bars (or the available range if fewer bars are present). This ensures that the reversal is always based on the most relevant data, providing accurate and up-to-date visualizations.
Visual Enhancements:
The reversed candlesticks are color-coded for easy interpretation: green for upward movements and red for downward movements, based on the reversed data.
The Ichimoku Cloud is filled with semi-transparent colors to clearly distinguish between bullish and bearish conditions even in its reversed state.
Debugging Aids:
For transparency and accuracy, the indicator plots the maximum and minimum price lines used for the reversal calculations. This allows users to verify the internal workings of the indicator and ensure the reversal logic is correctly applied.
Usage:
This indicator is ideal for advanced traders and analysts who want to explore market behavior from an unconventional angle. By reversing both the candlestick chart and the Ichimoku Cloud, it provides a unique perspective that can uncover new trading opportunities and enhance market analysis.
Customization:
Users can customize the periods for the Tenkan-sen, Kijun-sen, and Senkou Span B, as well as the displacement for the Ichimoku Cloud. This flexibility allows traders to adapt the indicator to their specific trading strategies and timeframes.
Conclusion:
The "Advanced Fully Reversed Candles with Reversed Ichimoku" indicator is a powerful tool that transforms traditional market analysis. By inverting both price movements and key technical indicators, it opens up a new dimension of trading insights, helping traders to see the market in a completely different light.
Parameters:
Tenkan-sen period (default: 9)
Kijun-sen period (default: 26)
Senkou Span B period (default: 52)
Displacement (default: 26)
How to Apply:
Add the script to your TradingView account via the Pine Editor.
Customize the parameters according to your trading strategy.
Analyze the reversed candlestick chart and Ichimoku Cloud to gain unique insights into market trends and potential reversal points.
Swing Failure Zones and Signals [AlgoAlpha]Elevate your trading strategy with the Swing Failure Zones and Signals indicator by AlgoAlpha! This powerful tool helps you identify potential swing failure zones, offering clear bullish and bearish signals to guide your trading decisions. 📈💡
🎨 Bullish/Bearish Color Customization : Easily set the colors for bullish and bearish signals to match your chart preferences.
🧹 Mitigated Zone Removal : Option to remove mitigated zones from the chart for a cleaner view.
🔍 Range High/Low Lookback : Adjustable lookback period for determining significant highs and lows.
🖌 Dynamic Zone Creation : Automatically draws zones based on swing failure criteria.
🔔 Alert Conditions : Set alerts for both bullish and bearish swing failure conditions to stay informed without constant monitoring.
Quick Guide to Using the Swing Failure Zones and Signals Indicator
🛠 Add the Indicator : Search for "Swing Failure Zones and Signals " in TradingView's Indicators & Strategies. Customize settings like lookback period, colors, and zone removal options to fit your trading style.
📊 Market Analysis : Watch for the appearance of the zones and the directional arrows for potential reversal signals. Use these signals to identify key market entries and exits.
🔔 Alerts : Enable alerts for bullish and bearish swing failure conditions to capture trading opportunities without constant chart monitoring.
How it works
The indicator calculates the direction and length of each candle to identify swing failure points by comparing current high and low prices with those from the lookback period. A bullish swing failure is detected when the current low is lower than the previous low and the close is higher than the previous high, while a bearish swing failure occurs when the current high is higher than the previous high and the close is lower than the previous low. Upon detection, the script creates zones on the chart to indicate these failure points and manages them by removing invalidated zones based on the user's settings. Visual signals are plotted on the chart as arrows, and alerts are set for these conditions to help traders capture potential entry opportunities efficiently.
Enhance your trading edge with this robust tool designed to spotlight critical swing failure points in the market! 💪📈
Sushi Trend [HG]🍣 The Sushi Roll, a trading concept conceived at a restaurant by Mark Fisher.
While the indicator itself goes by Sushi Trend, it is completely backed by the idea of Mark Fisher's Sushi Roll Reversal Pattern. No, it has nothing to do with raw fish, it just so happens that somebody was ordering sushi during the discussion of the idea, and that's how it got its name.
📝 Origin
First mentioned in his book, The Logical Trader --- the idea of the Sushi Roll is to serve as an early warning system to identify reversals in the market. Fisher defines the pattern as a series of 10 bars, split into two different sections, seen as 5 and 5. In order for the pattern to be emitted, the 5 bars to the right must completely engulf the 5 bars to the left. It's not a super complex system and is in fact extremely simple to grasp.
📈 Supertrend Similarities
Instead of displaying the pattern in the way Fisher meant for it to be portrayed (as seen in the photo above), I instead turned it into an indicator similar to that of Supertrend while also inheriting the same concepts from the pattern. I did this because the pattern itself has inconsistencies which can be quite noticeable when trading with it after a while. For example, these patterns can occur even during consolidating periods, and even though the pattern is meant to be recognized during trending markets, the engulfing bars can sometimes be left with indecisive directions.
➡️ The Result
Here is the result, visualized to be better in a trending format. (The indicator will not contain the boxes.)
While Fisher does mention the pattern to include 10 bars, you can actually use this pattern with any number of bars. At the end of the day, it's a concept derived from a discussion at a Japanese restaurant, and a pattern that has been around for years that has seen results. Due to this, I added an input option to control the series of bars for right-bar engulf detection.
To reassure the meaning of the pattern --> "A series of 10 bars" means 5 left bars and 5 right bars. So if you want to check if 5 right bars are engulfing the previous 5 bars (as seen in the photo above), you would want to select 5 in the input settings.
You can learn more about it from the following links
Market Reversals and the Sushi Roll Technique
The Logical Trader
Nadaraya-Watson: Envelope (Non-Repainting)Due to popular request, this is an envelope implementation of my non-repainting Nadaraya-Watson indicator using the Rational Quadratic Kernel. For more information on this implementation, please refer to the original indicator located here:
What is an Envelope?
In technical analysis, an "envelope" typically refers to a pair of upper and lower bounds that surrounds price action to help characterize extreme overbought and oversold conditions. Envelopes are often derived from a simple moving average (SMA) and are placed at a predefined distance above and below the SMA from which they were generated. However, envelopes do not necessarily need to be derived from a moving average; they can be derived from any estimator, including a kernel estimator such as Nadaraya-Watson.
How to use this indicator?
Overall, this indicator offers a high degree of flexibility, and the location of the envelope's bands can be adjusted by (1) tweaking the parameters for the Rational Quadratic Kernel and (2) adjusting the lookback window for the custom ATR calculation. In a trending market, it is often helpful to use the Nadaraya-Watson estimate line as a floating SR and/or reversal zone. In a ranging market, it is often more convenient to use the two Upper Bands and two Lower Bands as reversal zones.
How are the Upper and Lower bounds calculated?
In this indicator, the Rational Quadratic (RQ) Kernel estimates the price value at each bar in a user-defined lookback window. From this estimation, the upper and lower bounds of the envelope are calculated based on a custom ATR calculated from the kernel estimations for the high, low, and close series, respectively. These calculations are then scaled against a user-defined multiplier, which can be used to further customize the Upper and Lower bounds for a given chart.
How to use Kernel Estimations like this for other indicators?
Kernel Functions are highly underrated, and when calibrated correctly, they have the potential to provide more value than any mundane moving average. For those interested in using non-repainting Kernel Estimations for technical analysis, I have written a Kernel Functions library that makes it easy to access various well-known kernel functions quickly. The Rational Quadratic Kernel is used in this implementation, but one can conveniently swap out other kernels from the library by modifying only a single line of code. For more details and usage examples, please refer to the Kernel Functions library located here:
Stopping Volume Finder (Reversals)This indicator is used to identify possible reversals
(1) Green arrow means a possible bullish reversal
(2) Red arrow means a possible bearish reversal
(3) Green and Red arrows means it cleared liquidity from both sides and is likely to go to the nearest area of interest
-It finds high volume candles that likely cleared out stop losses which usually results in a reversal
-This indicator works best on the 5M and 15M during London and NY sessions
-Use it along with other indicators for example Cipher B Divergance
-Use support and resistance to find TP levels, such as previous lows/highs and 20, 50 and 200 emas
-SL goes above or below wick depending if its a buy or sell