Turn around Tuesday on Steroids Strategy█ STRATEGY DESCRIPTION
The "Turn around Tuesday on Steroids Strategy" is a mean-reversion strategy designed to identify potential price reversals at the start of the trading week. It enters a long position when specific conditions are met and exits when the price shows strength by exceeding the previous bar's high. This strategy is optimized for ETFs, stocks, and other instruments on the daily timeframe.
█ WHAT IS THE STARTING DAY?
The Starting Day determines the first day of the trading week for the strategy. It can be set to either Sunday or Monday, depending on the instrument being traded. For ETFs and stocks, Monday is recommended. For other instruments, Sunday is recommended.
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. LONG ENTRY
A Buy Signal is triggered when:
The current day is the first day of the trading week (either Sunday or Monday, depending on the Starting Day setting).
The close price is lower than the previous day's close (`close < close `).
The previous day's close is also lower than the close two days ago (`close < close `).
The signal occurs within the specified time window (between `Start Time` and `End Time`).
If the MA Filter is enabled, the close price must also be above the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA).
2. EXIT CONDITION
A Sell Signal is generated when the current closing price exceeds the high of the previous bar (`close > high `). This indicates that the price has shown strength, potentially confirming the reversal and prompting the strategy to exit the position.
█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
Starting Day: Determines the first day of the trading week. Options are Sunday or Monday. Default is Sunday.
Use MA Filter: Enables or disables the 200-period SMA filter for long entries. Default is disabled.
Start Time and End Time: The time window during which the strategy is allowed to execute trades.
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
This strategy is designed for markets with frequent weekly reversals.
It performs best in volatile conditions where price movements are significant at the start of the trading week.
Backtesting results should be analysed to optimize the Starting Day and MA Filter settings for specific instruments.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "spy"
Consecutive Bearish Candle Strategy█ STRATEGY DESCRIPTION
The "Consecutive Bearish Candle Strategy" is a momentum-based strategy designed to identify potential reversals after a sustained bearish move. It enters a long position when a specific number of consecutive bearish candles occur and exits when the price shows strength by exceeding the previous bar's high. This strategy is optimized for use on various timeframes and instruments.
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. LONG ENTRY
A Buy Signal is triggered when:
The close price has been lower than the previous close for at least `Lookback` consecutive bars. This indicates a sustained bearish move, suggesting a potential reversal.
The signal occurs within the specified time window (between `Start Time` and `End Time`).
2. EXIT CONDITION
A Sell Signal is generated when the current closing price exceeds the high of the previous bar (`close > high `). This indicates that the price has shown strength, potentially confirming the reversal and prompting the strategy to exit the position.
█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
Lookback: The number of consecutive bearish bars required to trigger a Buy Signal. Default is 3.
Start Time and End Time: The time window during which the strategy is allowed to execute trades.
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
This strategy is designed for markets with frequent momentum shifts.
It performs best in volatile conditions where price movements are significant.
Backtesting results should be analysed to optimize the `Lookback` parameter for specific instruments.
SuperTrend Heikin AshiSupertrend Heikin Ashi is an indicator based on the standard calculation of the Supertrend with the difference of using the Open and Close value of the Heikin Ashi candles instead of the normal Candle Sticks.
In this way the main characteristic of the HA candles is exploited, thus filtering movements that could generate false signals.
I recommend using SPY, SPX, QQQ to be aware of the market situation, not operating (or paying great attention) long on stocks when the indicator is red and the price is below the drawn line.
Multi-ticker Daily Pivot AlertDescription:
The Big Tech Daily Pivot Alert is a powerful TradingView indicator designed to monitor daily pivot points for major tech and market-leading tickers. It provides real-time alerts when prices approach their daily pivot levels, helping traders identify potential trading opportunities during the U.S. market hours.
Key Features:
Multi-Ticker Monitoring: Tracks the daily pivot points for top tech and market tickers, including NVDA, TSLA, AMZN, NFLX, SPY, QQQ, GOOGL, MSFT, META, and AAPL.
Daily Pivot Calculations: Uses yesterday's high, low, and close prices to calculate the pivot point for each ticker.
Real-Time Alerts: Sends instant alerts when the open, high, low, or current price is near the pivot point (within 0.25% tolerance).
Time-Sensitive Alerts: Operates exclusively during U.S. market hours (6:00 AM to 1:00 PM PST) on weekdays (Monday to Friday).
Customizable Alert Format: Alerts are sent as JSON payloads for seamless integration with platforms like Discord or other webhook-supported systems.
How It Works:
The indicator calculates the daily pivot point for each ticker using the formula:
Pivot Point = (High + Low + Close) / 3
It continuously monitors the open, high, low, and current prices of each ticker on a 1-minute timeframe.
If any value approaches the pivot point within a configurable threshold (default: 0.25%), it triggers an alert with detailed information for all tickers meeting the criteria.
Who Should Use It:
Day Traders: Spot potential price reversal or breakout levels based on pivot point testing.
Swing Traders: Identify key levels of support and resistance to inform trading decisions.
Tech and Market Enthusiasts: Stay updated on critical price levels for major tech and market tickers.
Instructions:
Add the indicator to your chart.
Configure your webhook endpoint to receive alerts (e.g., Discord or Slack).
Monitor alerts for actionable opportunities when prices test pivot points.
Adaptive Trend Flow Strategy with Filters for SPXThe Adaptive Trend Flow Strategy with Filters for SPX is a complete trading algorithm designed to identify traits and offer actionable alerts for the SPX index. This Pine Script approach leverages superior technical signs and user-described parameters to evolve to marketplace conditions and optimize performance.
Key Features and Functionality
Dynamic Trend Detection: Utilizes a dual EMA-based totally adaptive method for fashion calculation.
The script smooths volatility the usage of an EMA filter and adjusts sensitivity through the sensitivity enter. This allows for real-time adaptability to market fluctuations.
Trend Filters for Precision:
SMA Filter: A Simple Moving Average (SMA) guarantees that trades are achieved best while the rate aligns with the shifting average trend, minimizing false indicators.
MACD Filter: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) adds some other layer of confirmation with the aid of requiring alignment among the MACD line and its sign line.
Signal Generation:
Long Signals: Triggered when the fashion transitions from bearish to bullish, with all filters confirming the pass.
Short Signals: Triggered while the trend shifts from bullish to bearish, imparting opportunities for final positions.
User Customization:
Adjustable parameters for EMAs, smoothing duration, and sensitivity make certain the strategy can adapt to numerous buying and selling patterns.
Enable or disable filters (SMA or MACD) based totally on particular market conditions or consumer possibilities.
Leverage and Position Sizing: Incorporates a leverage aspect for dynamic position sizing.
Automatically calculates the exchange length based on account fairness and the leverage element, making sure hazard control is in area.
Visual Enhancements: Plots adaptive fashion ranges (foundation, top, decrease) for actual-time insights into marketplace conditions.
Color-coded bars and heritage to visually represent bullish or bearish developments.
Custom labels indicating crossover and crossunder occasions for clean sign visualization.
Alerts and Automation: Configurable alerts for each lengthy and quick indicators, well matched with automated buying and selling structures like plugpine.Com.
JSON-based alert messages consist of account credentials, motion type, and calculated position length for seamless integration.
Backtesting and Realistic Assumptions: Includes practical slippage, commissions, and preliminary capital settings for backtesting accuracy.
Leverages excessive-frequency trade sampling to make certain strong strategy assessment.
How It Works
Trend Calculation: The method derives a principal trend basis with the aid of combining fast and gradual EMAs. It then uses marketplace volatility to calculate adaptive upper and decrease obstacles, creating a dynamic channel.
Filter Integration: SMA and MACD filters work in tandem with the fashion calculation to ensure that handiest excessive-probability signals are accomplished.
Signal Execution: Signals are generated whilst the charge breaches those dynamic tiers and aligns with the fashion and filters, ensuring sturdy change access situations.
How to Use
Setup: Apply the approach to SPX or other well suited indices.
Adjust person inputs, together with ATR length, EMA smoothing, and sensitivity, to align together with your buying and selling possibilities.
Enable or disable the SMA and MACD filters to test unique setups.
Alerts: Configure signals for computerized notifications or direct buying and selling execution through third-celebration systems.
Use the supplied JSON payload to integrate with broking APIs or automation tools.
Optimization:
Experiment with leverage, filter out settings, and sensitivity to find most effective configurations to your hazard tolerance and marketplace situations.
Considerations and Best Practices
Risk Management: Always backtest the method with realistic parameters, together with conservative leverage and commissions.
Market Suitability: While designed for SPX, this method can adapt to other gadgets by means of adjusting key parameters.
Limitations: The method is trend-following and can underperform in enormously risky or ranging markets. Regularly evaluate and modify parameters primarily based on recent market conduct.
If you have any questions please let me know - I'm here to help!
UM VIX status table and Roll Yield with EMA
Description :
This oscillator indicator gives you a quick snapshot of VIX, VIX futures prices, and the related VIX roll yield at a glance. When the roll yield is greater than 0, The front-month VX1 future contract is less than the next-month VX2 contract. This is called Contango and is typical for the majority of the time. If the roll yield falls below zero. This is considered backwardation where the front-month VX1 contract is higher than the value of the next-month VX2 contract. Contango is most common. When Backwardation occurs, there is usually high volatility present.
Features :
The red and green fill indicate the current roll yield with the gray line being zero.
An Exponential moving average is overlaid on the roll yield. It is red when trending down and green when trending up. If you right-click the indicator, you can set alerts for roll yield EMA color transitions green to red or red to green.
Suggested uses:
The author suggests a one hour chart using the 55 period EMA with a 60 minute setting in the indicator. This gives you a visual idea of whether the roll yield is rising or falling. The roll yield will often change directions at market turning points. For example if the roll yield EMA changes from red to green, this indicates a rising roll yield and volatility is subsiding. This could be considered bullish. If the roll yield begins falling, this indicates volatility is rising. This may be negative for stocks and indexes.
I look for short volatility positions (SVIX) when the roll yield is rising. I look for long volatility positions (VXX, UVXY, UVIX) when the roll yield begins falling. The indicator can be added to any chart. I suggest using the VX1, SPY, VIX, or other major stock index.
Set the time frame to your trading style. The default is 60 minutes. Note, the timeframe of the indicator does NOT utilize the current chart timeframe, it must be set to the desired timeframe. I manually input text on the chart indicator for understanding periods of Long and Short Volatility.
Settings and Defaults
The EMA is set to 55 by default and the table location is set to the lower right. The default time frame is 60 minutes. These features are all user configurable.
Other considerations
Sometimes the Tradingview data when a VX contract expires and another contract begins, may not transition cleanly and appear as a break on the chart. Tradingview is working on this as stated from my last request. This VX contract from one expiring contract to the next can be fixed on the price chart manually: ( Chart settings, Symbol, check the "Adjust for contract changes" box)
Observations
Pull up a one-hour chart of VX1 or SPY. Add this indicator. roll it back in time to see how the market and volatility reacts when the EMA changes from red to green and green to red. Adjust the EMA to your trading style and time frame. Use this for added confirmation of your long and short volatility trades with the Volatility ETFs SVIX, SVXY, VXX, UVXY, UVIX. or use it for long/short indexes such as SPY.
0dte Anchored Expected Move by SyntaxGeekHere is a script that's making use of TradingView's new option data feed, without the OPRA data feed I'm unsure this script will be useful as the data will be delayed and I've not tested it without the data subscription.
The script is meant to demonstrate use of options data to generate ideas in the community and perhaps be a useful tool for 0dte traders.
For securities that have 0dte I like to calculate what I call the "opening expected move", it's just like expected move (EM) but it's a snapshot of the EM value at open and remains static throughout the day.
Expected move is the value of an "at the money" (ATM) call and put combined and then added t the price of the underlying.
For example if SPY opens at 600 and the ATM call + put premium (debit) is 3 dollars, then the EM high is 603 and the EM low is 597.
These levels are often areas where the market will react as any breaches of these prices could potentially be something that market participants will have to respond to being that something has hit the market unexpectedly.
Additionally, I've added calculations for half EM plots and live premium calculations for the ATM call and put from the open.
It's a fascinating script and it's fun to watch the premiums during periods of market volatility or a chop range day.
I make no guarantees for any of the data presented and there could be bugs as options data is still quite new in TradingView and I've not spent a long time coding this or testing.
Enjoy!
Sector Relative Strength [Afnan]This indicator calculates and displays the relative strength (RS) of multiple sectors against a chosen benchmark. It allows you to quickly compare the performance of various sectors within any global stock market. While the default settings are configured for the Indian stock market , this tool is not limited to it; you can use it for any market by selecting the appropriate benchmark and sector indices.
📊 Key Features ⚙️
Customizable Benchmark: Select any symbol as your benchmark for relative strength calculation. The default benchmark is set to `NSE:CNX100`. This allows for global market analysis by selecting the appropriate benchmark index of any country.
Multiple Sectors: Analyze up to 23 different sector indices. The default settings include major NSE sector indices. This can be customized to any market by using the relevant sector indices of that country.
Individual Sector Control: Toggle the visibility of each sector's RS on the chart.
Color-Coded Plots: Each sector's RS is plotted with a distinct color for easy identification.
Adjustable Lookback Period: Customize the lookback period for RS calculation.
Interactive Table: A sortable table displays the current RS values for all visible sectors, allowing for quick ranking.
Table Customization: Adjust the table's position, text size, and visibility.
Zero Line: A horizontal line at zero provides a reference point for RS values.
🧭 How to Use 🗺️
Add the indicator to your TradingView chart.
Select your desired benchmark symbol. The default is `NSE:CNX100`. For example, use SPY for the US market, or DAX for the German market.
Adjust the lookback period as needed.
Enable/disable the sector indices you want to analyze. The default includes major NSE sector indices like `NSE:CNXIT`, `NSE:CNXAUTO`, etc.
Customize the table's appearance as needed.
Observe the RS plots and the table to identify sectors with relative strength or weakness.
📝 Note 💡
This indicator is designed for sectorial analysis. You can use it with any market by selecting the appropriate benchmark and sector indices.
The default settings are configured for the Indian stock market with `NSE:CNX100` as the benchmark and major NSE sector indices pre-selected.
The relative strength calculation is based on the price change of the sector index compared to the benchmark over the lookback period.
Positive RS values indicate relative outperformance, while negative values indicate relative underperformance.
👨💻 Developer 🛠️
Afnan Tajuddin
Romantic Information CoefficientThis script calculates the Mutual Information (MI) between the closing prices of two assets over a defined lookback period. Mutual Information is a measure of the shared information between two time-series datasets. A higher MI indicates a stronger relationship between the two assets.
Key Features:
Ticker Inputs: You can select the tickers for two assets. For example, SPY (S&P 500 ETF) and AAPL (Apple stock) can be compared.
Lookback Period: Choose the number of bars to look back and calculate the Mutual Information. A larger lookback period incorporates more data, but may be less responsive to recent price changes.
Bins for Discretization: Control the level of granularity for discretizing the asset prices. More bins result in a more detailed MI calculation but can also reduce the signal-to-noise ratio.
Color Coded MI: The MI plot dynamically changes color to provide visual feedback on whether the relationship between the two assets is strengthening (red) or weakening (blue).
Only for educational purposes. Not in anyway, investment advice.
S&P 500 Sector StrengthsThe "S&P 500 Sector Strengths" indicator is a sophisticated tool designed to provide traders and investors with a comprehensive view of the relative performance of various sectors within the S&P 500 index. This indicator utilizes the True Strength Index (TSI) to measure and compare the strength of different sectors, offering valuable insights into market trends and sector rotations.
At its core, the indicator calculates the TSI for each sector using price data obtained through the request.security() function. The TSI, a momentum oscillator, is computed using a user-defined smoothing period, allowing for customization based on individual preferences and trading styles. The resulting TSI values for each sector are then plotted on the chart, creating a visual representation of sector strengths.
To use this indicator effectively, traders should focus on comparing the movements of different sector lines. Sectors with lines moving higher are showing increasing strength, while those with descending lines are exhibiting weakness. This comparative analysis can help identify potential investment opportunities and sector rotations. Additionally, when multiple sector lines move in tandem, it may signal a broader market trend.
The indicator includes dashed lines at 0.5 and -0.5, serving as reference points for overbought and oversold conditions. Sectors with TSI values above 0.5 might be considered overbought, suggesting caution, while those below -0.5 could be viewed as oversold, potentially indicating buying opportunities.
One of the key advantages of this indicator is its flexibility. Users can toggle the visibility of individual sectors and customize their colors, allowing for a tailored analysis experience. This feature is particularly useful when focusing on specific sectors or reducing chart clutter for clearer visualization.
The indicator's ability to provide a comprehensive overview of all major S&P 500 sectors in a single chart is a significant benefit. This consolidated view enables quick comparisons and helps in identifying relative strengths and weaknesses across sectors. Such insights can be invaluable for portfolio allocation decisions and in spotting emerging market trends.
Moreover, the dynamic legend feature enhances the indicator's usability. It automatically updates to display only the visible sectors, improving chart readability and interpretation.
By leveraging this indicator, market participants can gain a deeper understanding of sector dynamics within the S&P 500. This enhanced perspective can lead to more informed decision-making in sector allocation strategies and individual stock selection. The indicator's ability to potentially detect early trends by comparing sector strengths adds another layer of value, allowing users to position themselves ahead of broader market movements.
In conclusion, the "S&P 500 Sector Strengths" indicator is a powerful tool that combines technical analysis with sector comparison. Its user-friendly interface, customizable features, and comprehensive sector coverage make it an valuable asset for traders and investors seeking to navigate the complexities of the S&P 500 market with greater confidence and insight.
ETF-Benchmark AnalyzerHave you ever wondered which ETF performs the best? Which one is the most volatile, or which one has the smallest drawdown?
This Pine Script™ "ETF-Benchmark Analyzer" compares the performance of an ETF (such as SPY, the S&P 500 ETF) against a benchmark, which can also be adjusted by the user. It provides several key financial metrics, such as:
Performance (%): Displays the total return over a specified lookback period (e.g., 1 year). It compares the performance of the ETF against the benchmark and shows the difference.
Alpha (%): Measures the excess return of the ETF over the expected return, which is calculated using the benchmark’s return. Positive alpha indicates that the ETF has outperformed the benchmark, while negative alpha suggests underperformance. This metric is important because it isolates performance that cannot be explained by exposure to the benchmark's movements.
Sharpe Ratio: A risk-adjusted measure of return. It is calculated by dividing the excess return of the ETF (above the risk-free rate) by its standard deviation (volatility). A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted returns. The Sharpe ratio is calculated for both the ETF and the benchmark, and their difference is displayed as well.
Drawdown: The percentage decrease from the highest price to the lowest price over the lookback period. This is a critical measure of risk, as it shows the largest potential loss an investor might face during a specific period.
Beta: Measures the ETF’s sensitivity to movements in the benchmark. A beta of 1 means the ETF moves in line with the benchmark; greater than 1 means it is more volatile, while less than 1 means it is less volatile.
These metrics provide a holistic view of the ETF’s performance compared to the benchmark, allowing traders to assess the risk and return profile more effectively.
Scientific Sources
Sharpe Ratio: Sharpe, W. F. (1994). The Sharpe Ratio. Journal of Portfolio Management, 21(1), 49-58. This paper defines and develops the Sharpe ratio as a measure of risk-adjusted return.
Alpha and Beta: Jensen, M. C. (1968). The Performance of Mutual Funds in the Period 1945–1964. The Journal of Finance, 23(2), 389-416. This paper discusses the concepts of alpha and beta in the context of mutual fund performance.
Stock vs Sector Comparison with HighlightsThis graph is meant as a support to select a stock that is expected to perform better than the sector.
The graph is based on weekly chart. So this is a medium / long term strategy.
How is expected to be used: when the stock has under performed the sector for some time, there is a natural tendence that it will catch up with the sector again. So, for example, if the color change from green to red, you should consider find another stock in the sector. If the stock looses the green color, but is not red yet, you should wait. And vice versa if you start with red. However, life is not that simple, as you can get fake signal. To mitigate this problem, you can adjust the threshold in the input setting, so just go for the signal after x weeks over/underperforming. You also need remember to select the sector in the settings, as the sector is not give automatically when you select the stock.
Below the sectors used:
Sector Name Ticker
S&P 500 (Market Index) SPY
Technology XLK
Financials XLF
Consumer Discretionary XLY
Industrials XLI
Health Care XLV
Consumer Staples XLP
Energy XLE
Utilities XLU
Communication Services XLC
Real Estate XLRE
Materials XLB
RS Theory IndicatorHow to Use:
Customize the Reference Symbol: In the settings of the indicator, you can change the referenceSymbol to the benchmark or asset you want to compare against.
RS Interpretation:
RS > 1: The current asset is outperforming the reference symbol.
RS < 1: The current asset is underperforming the reference symbol.
RS = 1: The current asset and the reference symbol are performing equally.
Alerts: You can enable alerts for when the RS crosses certain levels (e.g., when RS > 1 or RS < 1).
How It Works:
Reference Symbol: The user inputs the benchmark asset or symbol (e.g., "SPY" for an S&P 500 ETF). This will be used as the comparison symbol.
RS Calculation: The RS Value is calculated by dividing the current asset's close price by the reference asset's close price:
RS
=
Close Price of Current Asset
Close Price of Reference Asset
RS=
Close Price of Reference Asset
Close Price of Current Asset
Plotting:
The RS value is plotted on the chart as a line.
A horizontal line at RS = 1 is drawn for easy comparison, representing parity (when the asset and reference symbol have the same price).
Background Coloring: The background is colored:
Green when RS > 1 (indicating the asset is outperforming the benchmark).
Red when RS < 1 (indicating the asset is underperforming the benchmark).
Alerts: Alerts are triggered when the RS value is above or below 1, indicating outperformance or underperformance relative to the benchmark.
Correlation Confluence Trend IndicatorCorrelation Confluence Trend Indicator
Overview
The Correlation Confluence Trend Indicator combines exponential moving averages (EMAs) and statistical correlation measures to identify high-confidence trend alignments between an asset and a benchmark. By filtering signals through correlation strength, this indicator highlights opportunities when the asset and benchmark move together. In other words, it defines a trend and then uses correlation strength and the trend of a second asset to identify high-confidence trends.
Key Features
Dual EMA Trend Analysis :
Calculates fast and slow EMAs for both the asset and the selected benchmark (e.g., SPY) to identify bullish and bearish trends.
Correlation Strength Filtering :
Evaluates correlation between the asset and benchmark, identifying stronger-than-average relationships based on the mean and standard deviation.
Background Color Coding :
- Green : Strong correlation, both asset and benchmark bullish.
- Aqua : Weak correlation, both asset and benchmark bullish.
- Red : Strong correlation, both asset and benchmark bearish.
- Fuchsia : Weak correlation, both asset and benchmark bearish.
- Orange : Strong correlation, benchmark bullish, asset bearish.
- Yellow : Weak correlation, benchmark bullish, asset bearish.
- Purple : Strong correlation, benchmark bearish, asset bullish.
- Lime : Weak correlation, benchmark bearish, asset bullish.
Visual Trend Indicators :
Plots fast and slow EMAs for the asset, dynamically colored based on aggregate trend signals. The color of this corresponds to the main trend signal.
Inputs
Benchmark Symbol : Symbol of the benchmark asset to compare against.
Fast EMA Length : Period for the fast EMA calculation.
Slow EMA Length : Period for the slow EMA calculation.
Correlation Length : Number of bars for correlation calculation.
Correlation Mean Length : Number of bars for mean and standard deviation calculation.
Std Dev Multiplier : Multiplier for standard deviation to define correlation strength. When the correlation is Std Dev Multiplier standard deviations above the mean, it counts as a strong correlation.
Set Background Color : Toggle background coloring on or off.
Notes
This indicator is primarily designed for trend-following strategies. By combining trend analysis and correlation filtering, it ensures that signals occur during aligned market conditions, reducing false signals.
Before incorporating this indicator into your trading strategy:
Always backtest on historical data to evaluate its performance before committing capital.
Use proper risk management to control position sizes and mitigate potential losses.
Remember that no indicator guarantees success. I'm quite proud of this one, but it's not the holy grail.
Price Move Exceed % Threshold & BE Evaluation1Handy to see history or quick back test of moves. Enter a decimal for percentage wanted and choose the time frame wanted . The occurrences of the up or down threshold are plotted in the panel as maroon or green squares and can be read as red or green text in the panel data and on the right hand scale . The last number in the panel is the average move for the chosen period.
My usage is mostly to see what % has been exceeded for break even prices of option trades. Example: in SPY a spread has a break even of 567 when the price is 570; I get the percentage of the $3 move by dividing 3/570 to get 0.0526 ; the results show as described above.
Dual Momentum StrategyThis Pine Script™ strategy implements the "Dual Momentum" approach developed by Gary Antonacci, as presented in his book Dual Momentum Investing: An Innovative Strategy for Higher Returns with Lower Risk (McGraw Hill Professional, 2014). Dual momentum investing combines relative momentum and absolute momentum to maximize returns while minimizing risk. Relative momentum involves selecting the asset with the highest recent performance between two options (a risky asset and a safe asset), while absolute momentum considers whether the chosen asset has a positive return over a specified lookback period.
In this strategy:
Risky Asset (SPY): Represents a stock index fund, typically more volatile but with higher potential returns.
Safe Asset (TLT): Represents a bond index fund, which generally has lower volatility and acts as a hedge during market downturns.
Monthly Momentum Calculation: The momentum for each asset is calculated based on its price change over the last 12 months. Only assets with a positive momentum (absolute momentum) are considered for investment.
Decision Rules:
Invest in the risky asset if its momentum is positive and greater than that of the safe asset.
If the risky asset’s momentum is negative or lower than the safe asset's, the strategy shifts the allocation to the safe asset.
Scientific Reference
Antonacci's work on dual momentum investing has shown the strategy's ability to outperform traditional buy-and-hold methods while reducing downside risk. This approach has been reviewed and discussed in both academic and investment publications, highlighting its strong risk-adjusted returns (Antonacci, 2014).
Reference: Antonacci, G. (2014). Dual Momentum Investing: An Innovative Strategy for Higher Returns with Lower Risk. McGraw Hill Professional.
XRP Comparative Price Action Indicator - Final VersionXRP Comparative Price Action Indicator - Final Version
The XRP Comparative Price Action Indicator provides a comprehensive visual analysis of XRP’s price movements relative to key cryptocurrencies and market indices. This indicator normalises price data across various assets, allowing traders and investors to assess XRP’s performance against its peers and major market influences at a glance.
Key Features:
• Normalised Price Data: Prices are scaled between 0.00 and 1.00,
enabling straightforward comparisons between different assets.
• Key Comparisons: Includes normalised prices for:
• XRP/USD (Bitstamp)
• XRP Dominance (CryptoCap)
• XRP/BTC (Bitstamp)
• BTC/USD (Bitstamp)
• BTC Dominance (CryptoCap)
• USDT Dominance (CryptoCap)
• S&P 500 (SPY)
• DXY (Dollar Index)
• ETH/USD (Bitstamp)
• ETH Dominance (CryptoCap)
• XRP/ETH (Binance)
• Visual Clarity: Each asset is plotted with distinct colors for easy identification,
with thicker lines enhancing visibility on the chart.
• Reference Lines: Optional horizontal lines indicate the minimum (0) and maximum (1) normalised values, providing clear reference points for analysis.
This indicator is ideal for traders looking to understand XRP’s relative performance, gauge market sentiment, and make informed trading decisions based on comparative price action.
RPS Trading Signals & Backtesting
Overview:
The Enhanced Relative Price Strength (RPS) Indicator is designed for trend traders looking to identify the relative strength of stocks within a select universe. By comparing the price movements of chosen stocks over a specified period, this indicator helps traders make informed decisions about potential buying and selling opportunities.
Key Features:
Relative Strength Ranking: Our RPS indicator ranks the price performance of individual stocks against a curated selection, enabling users to pinpoint which stocks are exhibiting relative strength or weakness.
Customizable Stock Universe: The script evaluates 40 stocks, which include 30 high-weight NDX100 stocks, 4 major index ETFs (SPY, QQQ, DIA, IWM), and allows for the addition of 6 user-defined custom stocks.
Dynamic Color Gradients: The visual representation of the RPS score utilizes a gradient color scheme ranging from purple at low scores to red at high scores, leveraging the color for clear, immediate insight into stock performance.
Threshold Visualization: Users can set specific high (default 85) and low (default 15) thresholds for RPS, highlighted with solid line indicators and area fills. This visual aspect aids traders in quickly spotting entry and exit points.
Trading Signal Generation: The script includes logic for generating buy and sell signals according to defined RPS behaviors relative to the set thresholds, factoring in market conditions based on a long-term moving average.
Backtesting Capabilities: Users can backtest trading signals by inputting desired start and end dates, allowing traders to evaluate the effectiveness of the RPS strategy on historical data for various assets including stocks and cryptocurrencies (e.g., NVDA, LLY, GOOG, BTC, ETH, SOL).
User-Friendly Options: The script allows for adjustments such as moving average lengths, visibility of trading signals, and fills for ease of use and customization according to trading preferences.
How It Works:
The RPS Indicator functions by calculating the performance of stocks relative to each other. Based on the RPS trends, the indicator identifies when to enter or exit trades, providing a framework to capitalize on market movements.
Conclusion:
The Enhanced RPS Indicator aims to empower traders with a powerful analytical tool in their arsenal, tailored to simplify decision-making and bolster trading strategies. As this script evolves, we encourage feedback and collaboration from users to refine and enhance its capabilities further.
Trade Less, Earn More!
Divergence for Many Indicators v4 Screener▋ INTRODUCTION:
The “Divergence for Many Indicators v4 Screener” is developed to provide an advanced monitoring solution for up to 24 symbols simultaneously. It efficiently collects signals from multiple symbols based on the “ Divergence for Many Indicators v4 ” and presents the output in an organized table. The table includes essential details starting with the symbol name, signal price, corresponding divergence indicator, and signal time.
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▋ CREDIT:
The divergence formula adapted from the “ Divergence for Many Indicators v4 ” script, originally created by @LonesomeTheBlue . Full credit to his work.
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▋ OVERVIEW:
The chart image can be considered an example of a recorded divergence signal that occurred in $BTCUSDT.
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▋ APPEARANCE:
The table can be displayed in three formats:
1. Full indicator name.
2. First letter of the indicator name.
3. Total number of divergences.
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▋ SIGNAL CONFIRMATION:
The table distinguishes signal confirmation by using three different colors:
1. Not-Confirmed (Orange): The signal is not confirmed yet, as the bar is still open.
2. Freshly Confirmed (Green): The signal was confirmed 1 or 2 bars ago.
3. Confirmed (Gray): The signal was confirmed 3 or more bars ago.
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▋ INDICATOR SETTINGS:
Section(1): Table Settings
(1) Table location on the chart.
(2) Table’s cells size.
(3) Chart’s timezone.
(4) Sorting table.
- Signal: Sorts the table by the latest signals.
- None: Sorts the table based on the input order.
(5) Table’s colors.
(6) Signal Confirmation type color. Explained above in the SIGNAL CONFIRMATION section
Section(2): Divergence for Many Indicators v4 Settings
As seen on the Divergence for Many Indicators v4
* Explained above in the APPEARANCE section
Section(3): Symbols
(1) Enable/disable symbol in the screener.
(2) Entering a symbol.
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▋ FINAL COMMENTS:
For best performance, add the Screener indicator to an active symbol chart, such as QQQ, SPY, AAPL, BTCUSDT, ES, EURUSD, etc., and avoid mixing symbols from different market allocations.
The Divergence for Many Indicators v4 Screener indicator is not a primary tool for making trading decisions.
Financial Crisis Predictor - Doomsday ClockThe **Financial Crisis Predictor - Doomsday Clock** is a composite indicator that evaluates multiple market conditions to determine financial risk levels. It combines four key metrics: market volatility (via VIX), yield curve spread, stock market momentum, and credit risk (via high-yield spread). Each metric contributes to a weighted "risk score," scaled between 0 and 100, which helps gauge the probability of a financial crisis. Here's a breakdown of how it works:
### 1. **Market Volatility (VIX)**
- **How it's measured:**
- Uses the VIX index, which represents expected market volatility.
- Applies two exponential moving averages (EMAs) to smooth out the data—one fast and one slow.
- Triggers a signal if the fast EMA crosses above the slow EMA and VIX exceeds a defined threshold (default is 30).
- **Weighting:**
- Contributes up to 35% of the total risk score when active.
### 2. **Yield Curve Spread**
- **How it's measured:**
- Takes the difference between the yields of 10-year and 2-year U.S. Treasury bonds (inversion indicates recession risk).
- If the spread drops below a certain threshold (default is 0.2), it signals a potential recession.
- **Weighting:**
- Contributes up to 25% of the risk score.
### 3. **Stock Market Momentum**
- **How it's measured:**
- Analyzes the S&P 500 (SPY) using a 20-day EMA for price momentum.
- Checks for a cross under the 20-day EMA and if the 5-day rate of change (ROC) is less than -2.
- This combination signals bearish market momentum.
- **Weighting:**
- Contributes up to 20% of the risk score.
### 4. **Credit Risk (High Yield Spread)**
- **How it's measured:**
- Assesses high-yield corporate bond spreads using EMAs, similar to the VIX logic.
- A crossover of the fast EMA above the slow EMA combined with spreads exceeding a defined threshold (default is 5.0) indicates increased credit risk.
- **Weighting:**
- Contributes up to 20% of the total risk score.
### 5. **Risk Score Calculation**
- The final **risk score** ranges from 0 to 100 and is calculated using the weighted sum of the four indicators.
- The score is smoothed to minimize false signals and maintain stability.
### 6. **Risk Zones**
- **Extreme Risk:** If the risk score is ≥ 75, indicating a severe crisis warning.
- **High Risk:** If the risk score is between 15 and 75, signaling heightened risk.
- **Moderate Risk:** If the risk score is between 10 and 15, representing potential concerns.
- **Low Risk:** If the risk score is < 10, suggesting stable conditions.
### 7. **Visual & Alerts**
- The indicator plots the risk score on a chart with color-coded backgrounds to indicate risk levels: green (low), yellow (moderate), orange (high), and red (extreme).
- Alert conditions are set for each risk zone, notifying users when the risk level transitions into a higher zone.
This indicator aims to quickly detect potential financial crises by aggregating signals from key market factors, making it a versatile tool for traders, analysts, and risk managers.
Williams %R StrategyThe Williams %R Strategy implemented in Pine Script™ is a trading system based on the Williams %R momentum oscillator. The Williams %R indicator, developed by Larry Williams in 1973, is designed to identify overbought and oversold conditions in a market, helping traders time their entries and exits effectively (Williams, 1979). This particular strategy aims to capitalize on short-term price reversals in the S&P 500 (SPY) by identifying extreme values in the Williams %R indicator and using them as trading signals.
Strategy Rules:
Entry Signal:
A long position is entered when the Williams %R value falls below -90, indicating an oversold condition. This threshold suggests that the market may be near a short-term bottom, and prices are likely to reverse or rebound in the short term (Murphy, 1999).
Exit Signal:
The long position is exited when:
The current close price is higher than the previous day’s high, or
The Williams %R indicator rises above -30, indicating that the market is no longer oversold and may be approaching an overbought condition (Wilder, 1978).
Technical Analysis and Rationale:
The Williams %R is a momentum oscillator that measures the level of the close relative to the high-low range over a specific period, providing insight into whether an asset is trading near its highs or lows. The indicator values range from -100 (most oversold) to 0 (most overbought). When the value falls below -90, it indicates an oversold condition where a reversal is likely (Achelis, 2000). This strategy uses this oversold threshold as a signal to initiate long positions, betting on mean reversion—an established principle in financial markets where prices tend to revert to their historical averages (Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993).
Optimization and Performance:
The strategy allows for an adjustable lookback period (between 2 and 25 days) to determine the range used in the Williams %R calculation. Empirical tests show that shorter lookback periods (e.g., 2 days) yield the most favorable outcomes, with profit factors exceeding 2. This finding aligns with studies suggesting that shorter timeframes can effectively capture short-term momentum reversals (Fama, 1970; Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993).
Scientific Context:
Mean Reversion Theory: The strategy’s core relies on mean reversion, which suggests that prices fluctuate around a mean or average value. Research shows that such strategies, particularly those using oscillators like Williams %R, can exploit these temporary deviations (Poterba & Summers, 1988).
Behavioral Finance: The overbought and oversold conditions identified by Williams %R align with psychological factors influencing trading behavior, such as herding and panic selling, which often create opportunities for price reversals (Shiller, 2003).
Conclusion:
This Williams %R-based strategy utilizes a well-established momentum oscillator to time entries and exits in the S&P 500. By targeting extreme oversold conditions and exiting when these conditions revert or exceed historical ranges, the strategy aims to capture short-term gains. Scientific evidence supports the effectiveness of short-term mean reversion strategies, particularly when using indicators sensitive to momentum shifts.
References:
Achelis, S. B. (2000). Technical Analysis from A to Z. McGraw Hill.
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383-417.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications. New York Institute of Finance.
Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L. H. (1988). Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(1), 27-59.
Shiller, R. J. (2003). From Efficient Markets Theory to Behavioral Finance. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17(1), 83-104.
Williams, L. (1979). How I Made One Million Dollars… Last Year… Trading Commodities. Windsor Books.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. Trend Research.
This explanation provides a scientific and evidence-based perspective on the Williams %R trading strategy, aligning it with fundamental principles in technical analysis and behavioral finance.
Unlock the Power of Seasonality: Monthly Performance StrategyThe Monthly Performance Strategy leverages the power of seasonality—those cyclical patterns that emerge in financial markets at specific times of the year. From tax deadlines to industry-specific events and global holidays, historical data shows that certain months can offer strong opportunities for trading. This strategy was designed to help traders capture those opportunities and take advantage of recurring market patterns through an automated and highly customizable approach.
The Inspiration Behind the Strategy:
This strategy began with the idea that market performance is often influenced by seasonal factors. Historically, certain months outperform others due to a variety of reasons, like earnings reports, holiday shopping, or fiscal year-end events. By identifying these periods, traders can better time their market entries and exits, giving them an advantage over those who solely rely on technical indicators or news events.
The Monthly Performance Strategy was built to take this concept and automate it. Instead of manually analyzing market data for each month, this strategy enables you to select which months you want to focus on and then executes trades based on predefined rules, saving you time and optimizing the performance of your trades.
Key Features:
Customizable Month Selection: The strategy allows traders to choose specific months to test or trade on. You can select any combination of months—for example, January, July, and December—to focus on based on historical trends. Whether you’re targeting the historically strong months like December (often driven by the 'Santa Rally') or analyzing quieter months for low volatility trades, this strategy gives you full control.
Automated Monthly Entries and Exits: The strategy automatically enters a long position on the first day of your selected month(s) and exits the trade at the beginning of the next month. This makes it perfect for traders who want to benefit from seasonal patterns without manually monitoring the market. It ensures precision in entering and exiting trades based on pre-set timeframes.
Re-entry on Stop Loss or Take Profit: One of the standout features of this strategy is its ability to re-enter a trade if a position hits the stop loss (SL) or take profit (TP) level during the selected month. If your trade reaches either a SL or TP before the month ends, the strategy will automatically re-enter a new trade the next trading day. This feature ensures that you capture multiple trading opportunities within the same month, instead of exiting entirely after a successful or unsuccessful trade. Essentially, it keeps your capital working for you throughout the entire month, not just when conditions align perfectly at the beginning.
Built-in Risk Management: Risk management is a vital part of this strategy. It incorporates an Average True Range (ATR)-based stop loss and take profit system. The ATR helps set dynamic levels based on the market’s volatility, ensuring that your stops and targets adjust to changing market conditions. This not only helps limit potential losses but also maximizes profit potential by adapting to market behavior.
Historical Performance Testing: You can backtest this strategy on any period by setting the start year. This allows traders to analyze past market data and optimize their strategy based on historical performance. You can fine-tune which months to trade based on years of data, helping you identify trends and patterns that provide the best trading results.
Versatility Across Asset Classes: While this strategy can be particularly effective for stock market indices and sector rotation, it’s versatile enough to apply to other asset classes like forex, commodities, and even cryptocurrencies. Each asset class may exhibit different seasonal behaviors, allowing you to explore opportunities across various markets with this strategy.
How It Works:
The trader selects which months to test or trade, for example, January, April, and October.
The strategy will automatically open a long position on the first trading day of each selected month.
If the trade hits either the take profit or stop loss within the month, the strategy will close the current position and re-enter a new trade on the next trading day, provided the month has not yet ended. This ensures that the strategy continues to capture any potential gains throughout the month, rather than stopping after one successful trade.
At the start of the next month, the position is closed, and if the next month is also selected, a new trade is initiated following the same process.
Risk Management and Dynamic Adjustments:
Incorporating risk management with this strategy is as easy as turning on the ATR-based system. The strategy will automatically calculate stop loss and take profit levels based on the market’s current volatility, adjusting dynamically to the conditions. This ensures that the risk is controlled while allowing for flexibility in capturing profits during both high and low volatility periods.
Maximizing the Seasonal Edge:
By automating entries and exits based on specific months and combining that with dynamic risk management, the Ultimate Monthly Performance Strategy takes advantage of seasonal patterns without requiring constant monitoring. The added re-entry feature after hitting a stop loss or take profit ensures that you are always in the game, maximizing your chances to capture profitable trades during favorable seasonal periods.
Who Can Benefit from This Strategy?
This strategy is perfect for traders who:
Want to exploit the predictable, recurring patterns that occur during specific months of the year.
Prefer a hands-off, automated trading approach that allows them to focus on other aspects of their portfolio or life.
Seek to manage risk effectively with ATR-based stop losses and take profits that adjust to market conditions.
Appreciate the ability to re-enter trades when a take profit or stop loss is hit within the month, ensuring that they don't miss out on multiple opportunities during a favorable period.
In summary, the Ultimate Monthly Performance Strategy provides traders with a comprehensive tool to capitalize on seasonal trends, optimize their trading opportunities throughout the year, and manage risk effectively. The built-in re-entry system ensures you continue to benefit from the market even after hitting targets within the same month, making it a robust strategy for traders looking to maximize their edge in any market.
Risk Disclaimer:
Trading financial markets involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The Monthly Performance Strategy is designed to help traders identify seasonal trends, but past performance does not guarantee future results. It is important to carefully consider your risk tolerance, financial situation, and trading goals before using any strategy. Always use appropriate risk management and consult with a professional financial advisor if necessary. The use of this strategy does not eliminate the risk of losses, and traders should be prepared for the possibility of losing their entire investment. Be sure to test the strategy on a demo account before applying it in live markets.
The Strat Candle State Table (Two Symbols)The Strat Candle State Table (Two Symbols) – Multi-Timeframe Analysis
This advanced indicator is designed for traders who follow The Strat methodology, providing a quick, clear, and actionable view of candle states across two selected symbols and a chosen timeframe. It allows you to seamlessly integrate multi-symbol analysis into your trading, offering real-time insights into price action and market momentum based on **The Strat’s** powerful principles.
What It Does:
For each selected symbol, the indicator retrieves and analyzes the price data for three candles:
- Candle 1 (C1): The third candle from the current one.
- Candle 2 (C2): The candle directly before the current one (previous candle).
- Current Candle (CC): The live candle, which is still forming.
Using this information, it plots the Scenario 1 (Inside Bar), Scenario 2 (Directional), and **Scenario 3 (Outside Bar)** states for each candle, color-coding them to help you quickly assess market conditions and price action.
Strat Candle States:
- Scenario 1 (Inside Bar): The candle stays within the high and low of the previous candle (indicating consolidation or indecision).
- Scenario 2 (Directional)* The candle breaks either the high (2-up) or low (2-down) of the previous candle, indicating potential continuation in that direction.
- Scenario 3 (Outside Bar): The candle breaks both the high and low of the previous candle, signaling increased volatility and a potential reversal.
Customizable Color Scheme:
The default colors follow these settings (but can be changed to your preference):
- 1U (Inside and Up): Yellow (indicating an inside bar that closed higher).
- 1D (Inside and Down): Orange (indicating an inside bar that closed lower).
- 2U (Two Up): Green if the candle closes higher, Red if the candle closes lower (conflict).
- 2D (Two Down): Red if the candle closes lower, Green if the candle closes higher (conflict).
- 3U (Three Up): Lighter Purple.
- 3D (Three Down): Darker Purple/Magenta.
Each state is dynamically updated based on the actual price action and whether the candle closes above or below the open. Conflict candles (like a 2-up closing red or 2-down closing green) are highlighted, making it easier to spot potential reversals or weakness in the trend.
Timeframe Flexibility:
You can overlay this indicator on any chart regardless of the timeframe. The key is to select the timeframe you want the indicator to plot for when setting up. Whether you're working on a 5-minute chart, daily, or even weekly, the indicator will analyze the candles according to the selected timeframe, giving you the versatility to adapt it to various trading strategies.
Powerful Use Cases:
1. Multi-Symbol Analysis in Real-Time: The Strat Candle State Table displays the candle states for two symbols at once, helping you track multiple instruments without switching charts. This is extremely useful when monitoring correlated assets like SPY and QQQ, or sector-related pairs such as DIA and IWM
2. Seamless Top-Down View: By analyzing the three most recent candles (C1, C2, and the current candle), the indicator allows you to maintain a top-down perspective on price action, spotting setups early and tracking candle state changes across different symbols and timeframes.
3. Enhanced Conflict Detection: The background shading automatically adjusts for conflict candles, such as a 2-up that closes red or a 2-down that closes green. This provides a quick visual cue to warn you when the current trend may be weakening or reversing.
4. Trade Execution Precision: With this table providing constant feedback on price action and candle state, traders can more easily time their entries and exits, whether they are looking for reversals or continuations
5. Focus on Timeframe Continuity: Use this indicator to stay in alignment with The Strat's Timeframe Continuity, ensuring you are trading in the direction of the most aligned candles, across both symbols. This allows for more precise trade management and higher-probability setups.
6. Customizable to Your Strategy: Change the color coding and candle states to match your personal preferences or trading strategy, making this indicator adaptable to your specific needs.
Most Powerful Use Case – Simultaneous Break Detection:
The Strat Candle State Table shines in setups where simultaneous breaks are being monitored across multiple symbols. For example, if both symbols trigger a 2-up or 3-up at the same time, this confirms that momentum is flowing in the same direction for multiple instruments, giving you stronger trade conviction.
By seeing real-time data for two key symbols, you can ensure that you're catching simultaneous breaks, where multiple instruments are signaling the same move. This can be especially effective in index-based trading, where the strength or weakness of multiple sectors or assets must align for a higher probability of success
