AlphaTrend Option TradeHello good people,
Several have asked for an option buying "system" similar to the CPR selling system I previously coded. This is a work in progress, but thought I would share in order to get some feedback.
I have been working through different setups and believe I have landed on a decent system, using the AlphaTrend indicator created byKivancOzbilgic.
I've tested with 4 real trades, so obviously needs a lot more testing, but the results have been favorable. The key for me, on option buying, is to get in and out quickly, or to be riding "neutral" with no loss possible as quickly as possible. I accomplish this by buying 4 options OTM around 30 days out in relation to expiry dates, and selling out 3 once it makes up for the full cost of the 4 options, letting the 1 ride, or at least ride until it is hefty profit.
In any case, here are the details of the modifications to the AT indicator:
"Buy" and "Sell" signals are now charted as "Call" and "Put" signals,
When the AT indicator finishes a bar with a "Call" or "Put" signal, a label will appear when the next bar opens, showing the strike price to buy. A purple line will represent that strike price target, and a red line will represent a possible price indicating to cut losses (stop loss).
The results table will show the historical win/loss percentage, and most importantly for me, the average number of bars in those trades. As I stated, I want to get in and out, as quickly as possible. When a trade goes much longer than a "short" average, i.e < 5 days, then a buy will become unprofitable due to time decay.
As stated, I'm early in this for real trades, so I'm not sure if it is a truly workable system, and maybe, am just getting lucky.
Good luck, and happy trading,
Deuce
Cari dalam skrip untuk "stop loss"
Inverse MACD + DMI Scalping with Volatility Stop (By Coinrule)This script is focused on shorting during downtrends and utilises two strength based indicators to provide confluence that the start of a short-term downtrend has occurred - catching the opportunity as soon as possible.
This script can work well on coins you are planning to hodl for long-term and works especially well whilst using an automated bot that can execute your trades for you. It allows you to hedge your investment by allocating a % of your coins to trade with, whilst not risking your entire holding. This mitigates unrealised losses from hodling as it provides additional cash from the profits made. You can then choose to hodl this cash, or use it to reinvest when the market reaches attractive buying levels.
Alternatively, you can use this when trading contracts on futures markets where there is no need to already own the underlying asset prior to shorting it.
ENTRY
The trading system uses the Momentum Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator and the Directional Movement Index (DMI) indicator to confirm when the best time is for selling. Combining these two indicators prevents trading during uptrends and reduces the likelihood of getting stuck in a market with low volatility.
The MACD is a trend following momentum indicator and provides identification of short-term trend direction. In this variation it utilises the 12-period as the fast and 26-period as the slow length EMAs, with signal smoothing set at 9.
The DMI indicates what way price is trending and compares prior lows and highs with two lines drawn between each - the positive directional movement line (+DI) and the negative directional movement line (-DI). The trend can be interpreted by comparing the two lines and what line is greater. When the negative DMI is greater than the positive DMI, there are more chances that the asset is trading in a sustained downtrend, and vice versa.
The system will enter trades when two conditions are met:
1) The MACD histogram turns bearish.
2) When the negative DMI is greater than the positive DMI.
EXIT
The strategy comes with a fixed take profit combined with a volatility stop, which acts as a trailing stop to adapt to the trend's strength. Depending on your long-term confidence in the asset, you can edit the fixed take profit to be more conservative or aggressive.
The position is closed when:
Take-Profit Exit: +8% price decrease from entry price.
OR
Stop-Loss Exit: Price crosses above the volatility stop.
In general, this approach suits medium to long term strategies. The backtesting for this strategy begins on 1 April 2022 to 18 July 2022 in order to demonstrate its results in a bear market. Back testing it further from the beginning of 2022 onwards further also produces good returns.
Pairs that produce very strong results include SOLUSDT on the 45m timeframe, MATICUSDT on the 2h timeframe, and AVAUSDT on the 1h timeframe. Generally, the back testing suggests that it works best on the 45m/1h timeframe across most pairs.
A trading fee of 0.1% is also taken into account and is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance.
Zero Lag Detrended Price Oscillator (ZL DPO)This indicator attempts to create a zero lag Detrended price oscillator using 2 different scripts. I actually really like the results so far. I hope you all find it useful too.
Green>Red = long
Red>Green = short
The lines on the example chart are some of the signals that the indicator gave on default settings.
The greens are wins, reds are outright losses, and blues are "scratch" trades(signal for other side before hitting stop loss).
All of the signals tested were using NNFX money management to see if they are wins or losses(1.5x atr for SL and 1 Atr for TP).
SRG Fibs SmoothedPLEASE READ: HOW TO UNDERSTAND HOW THIS INDICATOR WORKS FOR ME!
Why did I code this?
I never know where is the best place to buy
Sometimes I get greedy and just don't want to sell...
I want to protect myself from losses and still be able to make some trades
What does this do?
This script plots Fibonacci levels dynamically according to a specified length
It also has a smooting value so it looks a bit more clean (and allows for dynamic trailing stop loss)
Internal Fib levels allow to plot fibonacci levels between each main level (scalpers and day traders should be happy with this)
Fib Projection toggle so we can have "the same behaviour" during aggressive Bull Runs.
How to test this thing?
BTC USD Daily chart
For starters, use the following settings:
- Length: 365 (lookback of a full year)
- Smooth: 56 (8 week period)
- Inter Fib levels: OFF
- Fib projection: OFF
Have a look into the chart and check some support/resistance zones. Also check the behaviour of the indicator during the 2021 Jan -> Mar bull run (we will need it later)
If you like to check different time frames. Use these settings:
- Indicator Timeframe: 4 hours
- Length: 2190 (1 year)
- Smooth: 336 (8 weeks)
- Inter Fib Levels: ON
- Fib Projection: OFF
You can now test the chart using the 2H timeframe to see the movement, and how the Internal Fib levels work
Now as we're getting bullish:
- Indicator Timeframe: 4 hours
- Length: 2190 (1 year)
- Smooth: 336 (8 weeks)
- Inter Fib Levels: OFF
- Fib Projection: ON
You can now check the behaviour of the indicator during the 2021 Jan - Mar Bullrun in the 2H or 4H chart, to see some stop loss magic.
Ticker SummaryTicker Summary provides at-a-glance summary information about a ticker near the current bar on the chart:
P/E ratio
Fwd P/E ratio
PEG ratio
Floating shares vs. total shares outstanding
% of trading volume that was short over the last 3 days
Average True Range (ATR) over last 14 days
There are a few less common items of information:
How many ATR multiples the ATR is extended over the last 10 bars. This gives an idea of how far the stock is currently extended.
"R-frequency", explained below.
An optional "ATR Reticule" is shown near the price. This is useful for traders that use ATR as a guideline for price targets and stop losses. On the left is the # of ATRs the stock is currently above the session open. On the right is the # of ATRs the stock is extended above the 10-bar moving average.
R-frequency: a measure of liquidity relevant to your own trading size. It is the frequency at which 1-R of your trading account is traded for a stock. Formula:
(1-R worth of shares) / (average dollar value traded per second), where:
"1-R worth of shares" is how many shares you would buy for a stop loss of -1 ATR, with max risk dollar value based on the Balance and Max Risk % indicator options.
"Average dollar value traded per second" is the 14-day average of (avg(high, low and close) * daily volume)
R-frequency of a second or less is very liquid. If the value is higher (for example, over 60 seconds) the stock is less liquid and you may have some trouble filling limit orders quickly.
TradePro Parabolic SAR BackgroundTradePro Parabolic SAR Background
This indicator is a small tribute to youtuber TradePro
The operation is simple. It is the same Parabolic SAR indicator with its default configuration, but in background format. It is a new way to visualize the same information, more understandably. It is in itself a complete trading system, it can be used in conjunction with the traditional Parabolic SAR to locate the stop loss.
Parabolic SAR
In stock and securities market technical analysis, parabolic SAR (parabolic stop and reverse) is a method devised by J. Welles Wilder, Jr., to find potential reversals in the market price direction of traded goods such as securities or currency exchanges such as forex. It is a trend-following (lagging) indicator and may be used to set a trailing stop loss or determine entry or exit points based on prices tending to stay within a parabolic curve during a strong trend.
Similar to option theory's concept of time decay, the concept draws on the idea that "time is the enemy". Thus, unless a security can continue to generate more profits over time, it should be liquidated. The indicator generally works only in trending markets, and creates "whipsaws" during ranging or, sideways phases. Therefore, Wilder recommends first establishing the direction or change in direction of the trend through the use of parabolic SAR, and then using a different indicator such as the Average Directional Index to determine the strength of the trend.
A parabola below the price is generally bullish, while a parabola above is generally bearish. A parabola below the price may be used as support, whereas a parabola above the price may represent resistance.
Kifier's MFI/STOCH Hidden Divergence/Trend BeaterMFI/STOCH Hidden Divergence/Trend Beater
General Idea:
My premise around this strategy was to make a general strategy for crypto that would help out with finding entry positions for when you’re bullish on a crypto and want to hold on for a while, and at the same time avoiding massive drops. Essentially a way to mix long term/ swing trading; I somewhat achieved my goal however it still requires a lot of logic tuning of the trend averages.
I’m a huge proponent of volume indicators and coupled with average closing price, I think this gives a really good idea of what is happening with the market. It gives an idea on the market and retail investor sentiment. This generally gives you logical entry positions (Although I don’t know how amazing that will work with all cryptos, there’s a fine line between a good strategy and one that just rides bubble market conditions, some would argue that’s still a success and others not)
How it works:
There are many components to the strategy that try to do different things:
First of all there are two types of entries, a MFI hidden divergence with a STOCH check, essentially it will only fire when a divergence is detected while STOCH is above 50%, however this might be changed in the future as due to the volatile nature of cryptos, the STOCH is not too effective. The second entry is a simple MFI/STOCH trend, if STOCH is above 50% and the trend is detected to be in a trending long, once a MFI crossover over the 50% line is detected an entry is placed, this is designed to get out profit where the divergence would otherwise be less accurate during strongly trending conditions.
-MFI is a great indicator, as a volume weighted momentum indicator I find it the most accurate of all, the STOCH however is a great indicator to get a general picture of simple market conditions and can filter out the emotional noise of retail investors.
-VWMA and an SMA (The bottom oscillator) gives an idea of the trend tacking into account of the volume, this serves as a more short term filter of the trend for filters.
-OBV checks are done between the OBV and an EMA of the OBV, to get the idea of a volume weighted long trend, which is important for crypto as there are massive rallies to go up due to retail greed, it’s great to jump onto it at the beginning, and get off before the stack of cards fall apart.
-ATR is used to detect when the market is relatively just ranging or moving sideways, which is where the hidden divergence entries are done, during predictable and profitable market conditions.
- Stop loss is based on the closest support of the entry, this is a nice medium of room to breath but also an actual stop loss.
Future plans and improvements:
Currently there’s a lot I want to improve, mostly the divergence detection and the overall sharpe ratio could be much better, but the current value of 0.5 gives me hope that the strategy is onto something. I also want to change TP from a percentage stop to something more dynamic but that might be too optimistic. The current plan is to paper trade test this either by manual or by a python bot, to see how it performs with some user input as well.
Tipsy EMA Tipsy EMA
v0.2a
Coded by vaidab.
A simple strategy to buy dips in an uptrend.
How to use:
- buy on trend when price retraces to the orange "buy" line and compound orders
- sell when price reaches red line (stop loss) or at 💰 (take profit)
Note that you can reverse trade on the 💰 sign for a short scalp / day trade.
Uptrend: green/red background. Danger zone: orange bg. No go zone: no bg.
Potential buys (in a clear trend): 55, 100, 200 EMA touches and
fibo retracements to .382 and .618.
Potential stop loss: when price breaks the 200 EMA (marked by a red line).
Exit signs: opposite trend divergences (RSI).
Take profit: EMA 55 crossing down EMA 100.
Use it in confluence with market structure. E.g. If 200 EMA ligns up with
past market structure, if there are whole numbers or if there's a monthly level.
Tested BTCUSDT D, 4H
Relative VolumeVolume can be a very useful tool if used correctly. Relative volume is designed to filter out the noise and highlight anomalies assisting traders in tracking institutional movements. This tool can be used to identify stop loss hunters and organized dumps. It uses a variety of moving averages to hide usual activity and features an LSMA line to show trend. Trend columns are shown to highlight activity and can be seen at bottom of the volume columns, this is done using ZLSMA and LSMA.
The above chart shows an example of 2 indicators being used on the 15 min chart. The bottom indicator is set to the 1 min chart. Traders can see a large dump on the 1 min chart as institutions wipe out any tight stop losses. Next they buy back in scooping up all those long positions.
This is an example layout using a split screen setup and multiple timeframes ranging from 1 min to 30 mins. This gives a clear indication of trends and make it easy to pickup on institutional behaviour. Tip: Double clicking indicator background will maximize RVOL to the split screen window.
Bollinger Band with RSI
Using combination bollinger band and RSI indicator as guide to predict price volatility and the best entry point. The strategy logic is pretty straightforward where we're interested with close price that touches the lower bollinger band ; there are only two scenarios that will happened after the price reaches the lower band; the price might rebound from the lower bollinger band or drop lower and continue downtrend. To confirm the price movement, we use a second indicator which is the RSI to further investigate the price trend. For example, if the price reaches the lower bollinger band but the RSI value is not in the oversold region, we can conclude that the price will go lower and continue downtrend. If the RSI value is in the oversold region, we can use this price area as our entry point.
Stop loss is necessary to avoid losing too much capital if the RSI value lingers too long in the oversold region.
Best take profit area is when the price rebound above the middle bollinger band area/upper bollinger band or when the RSI reaches overbought region; whichever comes first.
Long entry:
RSI < 30 & close price < lower bollinger band
Exit entry:
RSI > 70
Default stop loss: -25%
Forex Scalp Triggersthe triggers only work to tell you go back 5 candles on 5 min, take either lowest or highest plus 3 pips and make entry and go 3 pip over under trigger for stop loss. can take half profit at 1x and move stop to break even and go 1x more for take rest profit, or create a trailing stop loss on Take Profit level 2 and ride the trend.
1 Hour chart has to be over under the emas that are faned out nicely to move to 5 min chart to look for the signals if 1hr chart isnt over under the emas nicely then NO TRADE
ForexSignalTV helped create this strategy, just my first script so learning, want to take it to next level but kind of stuck for now. More knowledge coming...
MACD 50x Leveraged Short Strategy with Real Equity
Hello there ,
Short version of the Macd Long strategy.
MACD Long strategy:
Adding margin: Forbidden or not specified. (Add Margin : No)
Position size: (for each trade) 1%
Stop-Loss: (2% Above Entry Level)
Long: macd crossunder
Exit: macd crossover
Or ofc touching the stop-Loss value as predicted.
These strategies are just examples.
The goal is to observe true equity and equity change.
Warning: This strategy simulation is for Short direction only.
Regards.
MACD 50x Leveraged Long Strategy Results with Real Equity Hello there.
I was looking for a way to simulate leveraged transactions in Tradingview and this script came out.
You can examine the equity graph without looking at the strategy results.
Thus, the facts will come to light.
Strategy parameters:
Adding margin: Forbidden or not specified. (Add Margin : No)
Position size: (for each trade) 1%
Stop-Loss: (2%)
Long: macd crossover
Exit: macd crossunder
Or ofc touching the stop-Loss value as predicted.
Warning: This strategy simulation is for Long direction only.
Regards.
Low volatility Buy w/ TP & SL (Coinrule)The compression of volatility usually leads to expansion. When the breakout comes, it can ignite strong trends. One way to catch a coin trading in an accumulation area is to spot three moving averages with values close to each other. The strategy uses a combination of Moving Averages to spot the best time to buy a coin before its breakout.
Buy Condition
The MA200 is greater than the MA100
The MA50 is greater than the MA100
According to backtesting results, the 1-hour time frame is the best to run this strategy.
Sell Condition
Take Profit: the price increases 8% from the entry price
Stop Loss: the price drops 4% from the entry price
The strategy has a profitability of 40-60% (depending on the market conditions). Having a ratio of two between Take profit and Stop Loss helps keeping the strategy profitable in the long term.
Triple EMA Scalper low lag stratHi all,
This strategy is based on the Amazing scalper for majors with risk management by SoftKill21
The change is in lines 11-20 where the sma's are replaced with Triple ema's to
lower the lag.
The original author is SoftKill21. His explanation is repeated below:
Best suited for 1M time frame and majors currency pairs.
Note that I tried it at 3M time frame.
Its made of :
Ema ( exponential moving average ) , long period 25
Ema ( exponential moving average ) Predictive, long period 50,
Ema ( exponential moving average ) Predictive, long period 100
Risk management , risking % of equity per trade using stop loss and take profits levels.
Long Entry:
When the Ema 25 cross up through the 50 Ema and 100 EMA . and we are in london or new york session( very important the session, imagine if we have only american or european currencies, its best to test it)
Short Entry:
When the Ema 25 cross down through the 50 Ema and 100 EMA , and we are in london or new york session( very important the session, imagine if we have only american or european currencies, its best to test it)
Exit:
TargetPrice: 5-10 pips
Stop loss: 9-12 pips
TrendMaAlignmentStrategy - Long term tradesThis is another strategy based on moving average alignment and HighLow periods. This is more suitable for long term trend traders and mainly for stocks.
Candle is colored lime if : Lookback Period has at least one bar with moving averages fully aligned OR None of the bars in Lookback periods has negatively aligned moving averages (More than half are positively aligned).
Candle is colored orange if : Lookback Period has at least one bar with moving averages fully aligned in negative way OR none of the bars in lookback has positively aligned moving averages (More than half are negatively aligned).
If either of above conditions are met, candle is colored silver.
Moving average alignment parameters:
Moving Average Type : MA Type for calculating Aligned Moving Average Index
Lookback Period : Lookback period to check highest and lowest Moving Average index.
HighLow parameters:
Short High/Low Period: Short period to check highs and lows
Long High/Low Period: Longer Period to check highs and lows.
If short period high == long period high, which means, instrument has made new high in the short period.
ATR Parameters:
ATR Length: ATR periods
StopMultiplyer: To set stop loss.
ReentryStopMultiplyer: This is used when signal is green buy stop loss on previous trade is hit. In such cases, new order will not be placed until it has certain distance from stop line.
Trade Prameters:
Exit on Signal : To be used with caution. Enabling it will allow us to get out on bad trades early and helps exit trades in long consolidation periods. But, this may also cause early exit in the trend. If instrument is trending nicely, it is better to keep this setting unchecked.
Trade direction : Default is long only. Short trades are not so successful in backtest. Use it with caution.
Backtest years : limit backtesting to certain years.
Part of the logic used from study's below:
Other strategies based on these two studies are below (which are meant for short - medium terms):
