Trend Following Moron TFM 10% System
Trend Following Moron TFM 10% System
The TFM 10% Market Timing System
The Trend Following Moron TFM 10% System is a powerful trading tool designed using Pine Script™, following the principles outlined by Dave S. Landry. This script helps traders identify optimal entry and exit points based on moving averages and market trends.
What the Script Does:
Visual representation of trend strength.
As long as it is trending in green band, trend is very strong and price is contained within 5% of the high.
As price drops to yellow band, strength is weakening and caution is advised. Price is between 5% to 10% away from52 week high.
As price drops in red band, it is to be avoided as trend is rolling over. Price is more than 10% way from 52 week high.
Moving Averages Calculation:
Users can choose between Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for daily, weekly, and monthly periods. The script calculates the moving averages to provide trend direction.
Trend Color Coding:
Moving averages are displayed in different colors based on market conditions: green indicates an uptrend, red for a downtrend, and gray for neutral conditions.
Highs Calculation:
The script calculates the 52-week and 12-month closing highs, which are crucial for identifying potential breakout points.
Level Definition:
Traders can set levels based on either Average True Range (ATR) or percentage changes from these highs, allowing for flexible risk management strategies.
Buy and Sell Conditions:
The script defines specific buy conditions: when the price is within 10% of the highest close and trading above the moving averages, and sell conditions: when the price falls below these thresholds.
Visual Indicators:
Buy and sell signals are visually represented on the chart with arrows, making it easy for traders to see potential trading opportunities at a glance.
Performance Labels:
The script includes performance labels that track the number of bars above or below the moving averages and the percentage change from the moving average, providing users with key metrics to evaluate their trades.
Interactive Table:
A table summarizing the buy and sell rules is displayed on the chart, ensuring that traders have quick access to the system’s trading logic.
Benefits of Using the TFM 10% System:
Streamlined Decision Making:
The script simplifies the trading process by clearly outlining buy and sell signals, making it accessible even for novice traders.
Customizable Parameters:
Users can tailor the script to their preferences by adjusting moving average types and lengths, ATR levels, and percentage thresholds. Bands are interchange able for ATR and Percent below 52 week high for volatility looks. But buy and sell are fixed in 10% threshold.
Risk Management:
By utilizing ATR and percentage levels, traders can effectively manage their risk, making the trading process more systematic.
Comprehensive Market Analysis:
The combination of multiple time frames (daily, weekly, monthly) allows for a well-rounded analysis of market trends, enhancing trading accuracy.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "trend"
Trend Magic with EMA, SMA, and Auto-TradingRelease Notes
Strategy Name: Trend Magic with EMA, SMA, and Auto-Trading
Purpose: This strategy is designed to capture entry and exit points in the market using the Trend Magic indicator and three moving averages (EMA45, SMA90, and SMA180). Specifically, it uses the perfect order of the moving averages and the color changes in Trend Magic to identify trend reversals and potential trading opportunities.
Uniqueness and Usefulness
Uniqueness: The strategy utilizes the Trend Magic indicator, which is based on price and volatility, along with three moving averages to assess the strength of trends. The signals are generated only when the moving averages are in perfect order, and the Trend Magic color changes, ensuring that the entry is made during established trends. This combination provides a higher degree of reliability compared to strategies that rely solely on price action or single indicators.
Usefulness: This strategy is particularly useful for traders looking to capture trends over longer periods. It is effective at reducing noise in the market, only providing signals when the moving averages align and the Trend Magic indicator confirms a trend reversal. It works well in both trending and volatile markets.
Entry Conditions
Long Entry:
Condition: A perfect order (EMA45 > SMA90 > SMA180) is established, and Trend Magic changes color from red to blue.
Signal: A buy signal is generated, indicating the start of an uptrend.
Short Entry:
Condition: A perfect order (EMA45 < SMA90 < SMA180) is established, and Trend Magic changes color from blue to red.
Signal: A sell signal is generated, indicating the start of a downtrend.
Exit Conditions
Exit Strategy:
This strategy automatically enters and exits trades based on signals, but traders are encouraged to manage exits manually according to their own risk management preferences. The strategy includes stop loss and take profit settings based on risk-to-reward ratios for better risk management.
Risk Management
The strategy includes built-in risk management by using the SMA90 level at the time of entry as the stop-loss point and setting the take profit at a 1:1.5 risk-to-reward ratio. The stop-loss level is fixed at the entry point and does not move as the market progresses. Traders are advised to implement additional risk management, such as trailing stops, for added protection.
Account Size: ¥100,000
Commissions and Slippage: Assumes 94 pips for commissions and 1 pip for slippage per trade
Risk per Trade: 10% of account equity (adjust this based on personal risk tolerance)
Configurable Options
Configurable Options:
CCI Period: Set the period for the CCI used to calculate the Trend Magic indicator (default is 21).
ATR Multiplier: Set the multiplier for ATR used in the Trend Magic calculation (default is 1.0).
EMA/SMA Periods: The periods for the three moving averages (default is EMA45, SMA90, and SMA180).
Signal Display Control: An option to toggle the display of buy and sell signals on the chart.
Adequate Sample Size
To ensure the robustness and reliability of this strategy, it is recommended to backtest it with a sufficiently long period of historical data. Testing across different market conditions, including high and low volatility periods, is also advised.
Credits
Acknowledgments:
This strategy is based on the Trend Magic indicator combined with moving averages and draws on contributions from the technical analysis and trading community.
Clean Chart Description
Chart Appearance:
To maintain a clean and simple chart, this strategy includes options to turn off the display of Trend Magic, moving averages, and entry signals. Traders can adjust these display settings as needed to minimize visual clutter and focus on effective trend analysis.
Addressing the House Rule Violations
Omissions and Unrealistic Claims
Clarification:
This strategy does not make any unrealistic or unsupported claims about its performance. All signals are intended for educational purposes only and do not guarantee future results. It is important to note that past performance does not guarantee future outcomes, and proper risk management is crucial.
Gaps Trend [ChartPrime]The Gaps Trend - ChartPrime indicator is designed to detect Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) in the market and apply a trailing stop mechanism based on those gaps. It identifies both bullish and bearish gaps and provides traders with a way to manage trades dynamically as gaps appear. The indicator visually highlights gaps and uses the detected momentum to assess trend direction, helping traders identify price imbalances caused by strong buy or sell pressure.
⯁ KEY FEATURES & HOW TO USE
⯌ Fair Value Gap (FVG) Detection :
The indicator automatically detects both bullish and bearish FVGs, identifying gaps between candle highs and lows. Bullish gaps are shown in green, and bearish gaps in purple. These gaps indicate price imbalances driven by strong momentum, such as when there is significant buying or selling pressure.
Use : Traders can use FVG detection to identify periods of high price momentum, offering insight into potential continuation or exhaustion of trends.
⯌ Trailing Stop Feature Based on FVGs :
A core feature of this indicator is the trailing stop mechanism, which adjusts dynamically based on the identified FVGs. When a bullish gap is detected, the trailing stop is placed below the price to capture upward momentum, while bearish gaps result in a trailing stop placed above the price. This feature helps traders stay in trends while protecting profits as the price moves.
Use : The trailing stop follows the momentum of the price, ensuring that traders can stay in profitable trades during strong trends and exit when the momentum shifts.
bullish set up
bearish set up
⯌ Trend Direction Indication :
The indicator colors the chart according to the current trend direction based on the position of the price relative to the trailing stop. Green indicates an uptrend (bullish gap), while purple shows a downtrend (bearish gap). This provides traders with a quick visual assessment of trend direction based on the presence of gaps.
Use : Traders can monitor the chart's color to stay aligned with the market’s trend, staying long during green phases and short during purple ones.
⯌ Gap Size Filtering :
Each detected gap is assigned a numerical ranking based on its size, with larger gaps having higher rankings. The gap size filter allows traders to only display gaps that meet a minimum size threshold, focusing on the most impactful gaps in terms of price movement.
Use : Traders can use the filter to focus on gaps of a certain size, filtering out smaller, less significant gaps. The numerical ranking helps identify the largest and most influential gaps for decision-making.
⯌ FVG Level Visualization :
The indicator can display dashed lines marking the levels of previously filled FVGs. These levels represent areas where price once experienced a gap and later filled it. Monitoring these levels can provide traders with key reference points for potential reactions in price.
Use : Traders can use these gap levels to track where price has filled gaps and potentially use these levels as zones for entry, exit, or assessing market behavior.
⯁ USER INPUTS
Filter Gaps : Adjust the size threshold to filter gaps by their size ranking.
Show Gap Levels : Toggle the display of dashed lines at filled FVG levels.
Enable Trailing Stop : Activate or deactivate the trailing stop feature based on FVGs.
Trailing Stop Length : Set the number of bars used to calculate the trailing stop.
Bullish/Bearish Colors : Customize the colors representing bullish and bearish gaps.
⯁ CONCLUSION
The Gaps Trend indicator combines Fair Value Gap detection with a dynamic trailing stop feature to help traders manage trades during periods of high price momentum. By detecting gaps caused by strong buy or sell pressure and applying adaptive stops, the indicator provides a powerful tool for riding trends and managing risk. The additional ability to filter gaps by size and visualize previously filled gaps enhances its utility for both trend-following and risk management strategies.
Trend and RSI Bias FusionTrend and RSI Bias Fusion Indicator
This is my first ever indicator. I created this indicator for myself. I was inspired by the indicators created by Bjorgum, Duyck and QuantTherapy and decided to create multiple indicators that either work well combined with their indicators or something new that applies some of their indicator concepts. I decided to share this because I believe in learning and earing together as a community. I will later share the rest of the indicators I have created. This is my first time ever sharing any indicator so if you guys have any questions or suggestions write them.
Overview
The "Trend and RSI Bias Fusion" indicator is a versatile tool designed to help traders identify key market trends, potential reversals, momentum shifts, and RSI-based pullbacks. This indicator fuses trend analysis and RSI bias into a single, comprehensive visual, making it easier to make informed trading decisions across various timeframes and market conditions.
Features
Dual Timeframe Analysis: Combines trend analysis on a higher timeframe (e.g., Daily) with RSI analysis on a lower timeframe (e.g., 4-Hour), providing a more granular view of market conditions. You can, however, choose any timeframe you want for instance 12hr with trend and 2hr RSI analysis.
Trend and Momentum Visualization: The indicator uses Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to determine trend direction and colors the chart background to reflect bullish or bearish trends, along with momentum strength.
RSI Bias Detection: Automatically identifies overbought and oversold conditions using the RSI, providing a clear indication of potential market reversals or continuations.
Color-Coded Bars: Optionally color codes bars based on either trend direction or RSI bias, giving you a quick visual cue of the market's state.
Reversal Markers: Displays trend reversal markers on the chart when the short-term EMA crosses over or under the long-term EMA.
Calculation Details
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): The indicator calculates short-term and long-term EMAs using the closing prices.
The crossover between these EMAs is used to determine the trend direction:
Short-Term EMA: Typically a 14-period EMA.
Long-Term EMA: Typically a 50-period EMA.
Momentum: Calculated using the RSI and then centered around zero by subtracting 50. This allows the indicator to distinguish between positive and negative momentum.
RSI Bias: The RSI is calculated on a lower timeframe to detect overbought (above 60) and oversold (below 40) conditions, which are used to determine the bias:
RSI Above 60: Indicates potential overbought conditions (bearish bias).
RSI Below 40: Indicates potential oversold conditions (bullish bias).
How to Use the Indicator
Select Your Timeframes: Choose your preferred trend timeframe (e.g., Daily) and RSI timeframe (e.g., 4-2 Hour) in the indicator settings. These should match your trading strategy and the asset class you're analyzing.
Interpret Trend and Momentum
Background Color: The background color reflects the current trend direction:
Green/Lime: Uptrend, with lime indicating positive momentum.
Red/Maroon: Downtrend, with maroon indicating positive momentum within a downtrend.
Momentum Histogram: The histogram plot shows momentum, color-coded by the trend. A histogram above zero with green/lime indicates bullish momentum, while below zero with red/maroon indicates bearish momentum.
Image above: Both RSI and Trend are set to daily, uses RSI bar color
Read RSI Bias:
The RSI bias line helps identify the current market state relative to overbought or oversold levels. The RSI value is plotted on the chart, with lines at 60 and 40 to mark these levels.
When the RSI crosses above 60, it suggests a bearish bias; crossing below 40 suggests a bullish bias.
Use Reversal Markers: The indicator places small circles on the chart at points where the short-term EMA crosses the long-term EMA, signaling potential trend reversals.
Bar Color Customization:
You can choose to color the bars based on either the trend or the RSI bias in the indicator settings. In the Images below I have changed the colors to fit my personal style , Blue for uptrend and Pink for downtrend:
Trend-Based: Bars will reflect the trend direction (green for uptrend or in this case blue, red for downtrend or in this case pink).
RSI-Based: Bars will reflect RSI conditions (yellow for overbought, maroon for oversold).
Image above: RSI is set to 4hr and Trend is set to daily, uses RSI bar color
Image above: RSI is set to 4hr and Trend is set to daily, uses Trend bar color
Image above: Both RSI and Trend are set to daily, uses RSI bar color
Image above: Both RSI and Trend are set to daily, uses Trend bar color
Image above: Both RSI and Trend are set to daily, without bar color
Image above: Both RSI and Trend are set to daily, how it looks on a clean chart
Example Use Case Swing Traders:
For instance, if you're trading a 4-hour chart of USDCHF:
Set the trend timeframe to Daily and the RSI timeframe to 4-Hour.
Watch for background color shifts and reversal markers to determine trend direction.
Use RSI bias to time your entries and exits, especially around overbought/oversold levels.
Enable bar coloring to quickly see when conditions favor either trend continuation or reversal.
This indicator is particularly effective for swing traders and those who want to align their trades with higher timeframe trends while using momentum and RSI for entry and exit signals.
For Day Traders
Timeframe Selection:
Trend Timeframe: Set to a higher intraday timeframe such as the 1 or 2 Hour chart.
RSI Timeframe: Set to a shorter timeframe like 15-10 Minutes or 5-Minutes to capture finer details of intraday momentum shifts.
Using the Indicator:
Trend Identification: Day traders can use the background color to quickly identify whether the market is in a bullish or bearish trend on the 1-Hour chart. A green background suggests looking for long opportunities, while a red background suggests short opportunities.
Momentum Analysis: The histogram can help day traders gauge the strength of the current trend. For example, if the histogram is green and above zero, the trader may consider buying pullbacks within the trend.
RSI Bias: Monitor RSI levels on the lower timeframe (e.g., 15-Minutes). If the RSI crosses below 40, it indicates an oversold condition, potentially signaling a buying opportunity, especially if it aligns with a bullish trend on the higher timeframe.
Trade Execution:
Look for entries when the RSI shows a reversal or pullback in the direction of the higher timeframe trend.
Use the trend reversal markers to confirm potential intraday reversals, adding extra confidence to trade setups.
For Scalpers
Timeframe Selection:
Trend Timeframe: Set to a short intraday timeframe like 15-Minutes or 5-Minutes.
RSI Timeframe: Use an even shorter timeframe, such as 1-Minute, to capture rapid price movements.
Final Notes:
The "Trend and RSI Bias Fusion" indicator is a powerful tool that combines trend analysis, momentum assessment, and RSI insights into one cohesive package. By integrating these different aspects, the indicator helps traders navigate complex market environments with greater clarity and confidence. Customize the settings to fit your specific trading style and market and use it to stay ahead of market trends and potential reversals.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas /Systems that I share are only for educational purposes!
Radius Trend [ChartPrime]RADIUS TREND
⯁ OVERVIEW
The Radius Trend [ ChartPrime ] indicator is an innovative technical analysis tool designed to visualize market trends using a dynamic, radius-based approach. By incorporating adaptive bands that adjust based on price action and volatility, this indicator provides traders with a unique perspective on trend direction, strength, and potential reversal points.
The Radius Trend concept involves creating a dynamic trend line that adjusts its angle and position based on market movements, similar to a radius sweeping across a chart. This approach allows for a more fluid and adaptive trend analysis compared to traditional linear trend lines.
◆ KEY FEATURES
Dynamic Trend Band: Calculates and plots a main trend band that adapts to market conditions.
Radius-Based Adjustment: Uses a step-based radius approach to adjust the trend band angle.
// Apply step angle to trend lines
if bar_index % n == 0 and trend
multi1 := 0
multi2 += step
band += distance1 * multi2
if bar_index % n == 0 and not trend
multi1 += step
multi2 := 0
band -= distance1 * multi1
Volatility-Adjusted Calculations: Incorporates price range volatility for more accurate band placement.
Trend Direction Visualization: Provides clear color-coding to distinguish between uptrends and downtrends.
Flexible Parameters: Allows users to adjust the radius step and initial distance for customized analysis.
◆ USAGE
Trend Identification: Use the color and direction of the main band to determine the current market trend.
Trend Strength Analysis: Observe the angle and consistency of the band for insights into trend strength.
Reversal Detection: Watch for price crossing the main band or crossing a dashed band as a potential trend reversal signal.
Volatility Assessment: The distance between price and bands can provide insights into market volatility.
⯁ USER INPUTS
Radius Step: Controls the rate of angle adjustment for the trend band (default: 0.15, step: 0.001).
Start Points Distance: Sets the initial distance multiplier for band calculations (default: 2, step: 0.1).
The Radius Trend indicator offers traders a unique and dynamic approach to trend analysis. By combining radius-based trend adjustments with volatility-sensitive calculations, it provides a fluid representation of market trends. This indicator is particularly useful for traders looking to identify trend persistence, potential reversal points, and adaptive support/resistance levels across various market conditions and timeframes.
Fibonacci Retracements & Trend Following Strategy V2This Pine Script strategy generates trading signals using Fibonacci levels and trend-following indicators.
1. Strategy Summary
This strategy analyzes price movements using a combination of Fibonacci levels and trend-following indicators, providing potential trading signals. The strategy includes Fibonacci levels as well as EMA (Exponential Moving Average) and ADX (Average Directional Index) indicators.
2. Indicators and Parameters
Fibonacci Levels
Fibonacci Level 1, Level 2, Level 3, Level 4: Used as Fibonacci retracement levels. These levels are typically set at 0.236, 0.382, 0.618, and 0.786. Users can adjust these values according to their preferences.
Trend-Following Indicator
Trend Length: The period for calculating the EMA used as the trend-following indicator. For example, if set to 20, the EMA will be calculated over 20 periods.
ADX (Average Directional Index)
ADX Length: The period for calculating the ADX. ADX measures the strength of the price trend and is usually set to 14 periods.
ADX Threshold: A threshold value for the ADX. This value determines when trading signals will be activated.
3. Usage Steps
Displaying the Indicator on the Chart:
On the TradingView platform, paste the code into the Pine Editor and click the "Add to Chart" button to add it to the chart.
Analyzing the Indicators:
Fibonacci Levels: Show retracement levels of price movements. When the price reaches one of these levels, potential reversals may occur.
Trend-Following Indicator: EMAs determine the direction of the trend. Green EMA represents an uptrend, while red EMA represents a downtrend.
ADX: Measures the strength of the trend. When ADX surpasses the threshold value, it indicates a strong trend.
Trading Signals:
Long Signal: Generated when the price is above the second Fibonacci level and the trend is upward. Additionally, the ADX value must be above the set threshold.
Short Signal: Generated when the price is below the second Fibonacci level and the trend is downward. Additionally, the ADX value must be above the set threshold.
Target Prices:
Long Targets: Determines upward targets based on Fibonacci levels. These targets indicate expected prices if the price reverses from Fibonacci levels.
Short Targets: Determines downward targets based on Fibonacci levels. These targets indicate expected prices if the price reverses from Fibonacci levels.
4. Chart Displays
Trend Up (Green Line): Shows the rising EMA.
Trend Down (Red Line): Shows the falling EMA.
Fibonacci Levels (Blue Lines): Shows Fibonacci retracement levels.
Long Targets (Green Circles): Shows targets for long positions.
Short Targets (Red Circles): Shows targets for short positions.
Long Signal (Green Label): Buy signal.
Short Signal (Red Label): Sell signal.
5. Important Notes
Retracement and Target Levels: Fibonacci levels can act as potential retracement or support/resistance levels. However, they should always be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools.
Trend and ADX: ADX is used to determine the strength of the trend. Be aware that when ADX is low, trends may be weak.
6. Example Scenarios
Example 1: If the trend is upward (green EMA) and the price is above the second Fibonacci level, you may receive a long position signal. If the ADX value is above the threshold, the signal may be stronger.
Example 2: If the trend is downward (red EMA) and the price is below the second Fibonacci level, you may receive a short position signal. If the ADX value is above the threshold, the signal may be stronger.
This updated version contains significant improvements in both technical aspects and user experience. Innovations such as ADX calculations and dynamic Fibonacci levels make the strategy more robust and flexible. The code's readability and comprehensibility have been enhanced, and errors have been corrected.
This guide will help you understand the basic operation of the strategy. It is always recommended to conduct your own research and test the strategy before using it.
GOOD LUCK. // halilvarol
Trend Strength | Flux Charts💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Introducing the new Trend Strength indicator! Latest trends and their strengths play an important role for traders. This indicator aims to make trend and strength detection much easier by coloring candlesticks based on the current strength of trend. More info about the process in the "How Does It Work" section.
Features of the new Trend Strength Indicator :
3 Trend Detection Algorithms Combined (RSI, Supertrend & EMA Cross)
Fully Customizable Algorithm
Strength Labels
Customizable Colors For Bullish, Neutral & Bearish Trends
📌 HOW DOES IT WORK ?
This indicator uses three different methods of trend detection and combines them all into one value. First, the RSI is calculated. The RSI outputs a value between 0 & 100, which this indicator maps into -100 <-> 100. Let this value be named RSI. Then, the Supertrend is calculated. Let SPR be -1 if the calculated Supertrend is bearish, and 1 if it's bullish. After that, latest EMA Cross is calculated. This is done by checking the distance between the two EMA's adjusted by the user. Let EMADiff = EMA1 - EMA2. Then EMADiff is mapped from -ATR * 2 <-> ATR * 2 to -100 <-> 100.
Then a Total Strength (TS) is calculated by given formula : RSI * 0.5 + SPR * 0.2 + EMADiff * 0.3
The TS value is between -100 <-> 100, -100 being fully bearish, 0 being true neutral and 100 being fully bullish.
Then the Total Strength is converted into a color adjusted by the user. The candlesticks in the chart will be presented with the calculated color.
If the Labels setting is enabled, each time the trend changes direction a label will appear indicating the new direction. The latest candlestick will always show the current trend with a label.
EMA = Exponential Moving Average
RSI = Relative Strength Index
ATR = Average True Range
🚩 UNIQUENESS
The main point that differentiates this indicator from others is it's simplicity and customization options. The indicator interprets trend and strength detection in it's own way, combining 3 different well-known trend detection methods: RSI, Supertrend & EMA Cross into one simple method. The algorithm is fully customizable and all styling options are adjustable for the user's liking.
⚙️ SETTINGS
1. General Configuration
Detection Length -> This setting determines the amount of candlesticks the indicator will look for trend detection. Higher settings may help the indicator find longer trends, while lower settings will help with finding smaller trends.
Smoothing -> Higher settings will result in longer periods of time required for trend to change direction from bullish to bearish and vice versa.
EMA Lengths -> You can enter two EMA Lengths here, the second one must be longer than the first one. When the shorter one crosses under the longer one, this will be a bearish sign, and if it crosses above it will be a bullish sign for the indicator.
Labels -> Enables / Disables trend strength labels.
Trend DetectorThe Trend Detector indicator is a powerful tool to help traders identify and visualize market trends with ease. This indicator uses multiple moving averages (MAs) of different timeframes to provide a comprehensive view of market trends, making it suitable for traders of all experience levels.
█ USAGE
This indicator will automatically plot the chosen moving averages (MAs) on your chart, allowing you to visually assess the trend direction. Additionally, a table displaying the trend data for each selected MA timeframe is included to provide a quick overview.
█ FEATURES
1. Customizable Moving Averages: The indicator supports various types of moving averages, including Simple (SMA) , Exponential (EMA) , Smoothed (RMA) , Weighted (WMA) , and Volume-Weighted (VWMA) . You can select the type and length for each MA.
2. Multiple Timeframes: Plot moving averages for different timeframes on a single chart, including fast (short-term) , mid (medium-term) , and slow (long-term) MAs.
3. Trend Detector Table: A customizable table displays the trend direction (Up or Down) for each selected MA timeframe, providing a quick and easy way to assess the market's overall trend.
4. Customizable Appearance: Adjust the colors, frame, border, and text of the Trend Detector Table to match your chart's style and preferences.
5. Wait for Timeframe Close: Option to wait until the selected timeframe closes to plot the MA, which will remove the gaps.
█ CONCLUSION
The Trend Detector indicator is a versatile and user-friendly tool designed to enhance your trading strategy. By providing a clear visualization of market trends across multiple timeframes, this indicator helps you make informed trading decisions with confidence and trade with the market trend. Whether you're a day trader or a long-term investor, this indicator is an essential addition to your trading toolkit.
█ IMPORTANT
This indicator is a tool to aid in your analysis and should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions. It is recommended to use this indicator in conjunction with other tools and perform comprehensive market analysis before making any trades.
Happy trading!
Trend Forecasting - The Quant Science🌏 Trend Forecasting | ENG 🌏
This plug-in acts as a statistical filter, adding new information to your chart that will allow you to quickly verify the direction of a trend and the probability with which the price will be above or below the average in the future, helping you to uncover probable market inefficiencies.
🧠 Model calculation
The model calculates the arithmetic mean in relation to positive and negative events within the available sample for the selected time series. Where a positive event is defined as a closing price greater than the average, and a negative event as a closing price less than the average. Once all events have been calculated, the probabilities are extrapolated by relating each event.
Example
Positive event A: 70
Negative event B: 30
Total events: 100
Probabilities A: (100 / 70) x 100 = 70%
Probabilities B: (100 / 30) x 100 = 30%
Event A has a 70% probability of occurring compared to Event B which has a 30% probability.
🔍 Information Filter
The data on the graph show the future probabilities of prices being above average (default in green) and the probabilities of prices being below average (default in red).
The information that can be quickly retrieved from this indicator is:
1. Trend: Above-average prices together with a constant of data in green greater than 50% + 1 indicate that the observed historical series shows a bullish trend. The probability is correlated proportionally to the value of the data; the higher and increasing the expected value, the greater the observed bullish trend. On the other hand, a below-average price together with a red-coloured data constant show quantitative data regarding the presence of a bearish trend.
2. Future Probability: By analysing the data, it is possible to find the probability with which the price will be above or below the average in the future. In green are classified the probabilities that the price will be higher than the average, in red are classified the probabilities that the price will be lower than the average.
🔫 Operational Filter .
The indicator can be used operationally in the search for investment or trading opportunities given its ability to identify an inefficiency within the observed data sample.
⬆ Bullish forecast
For bullish trades, the inefficiency will appear as a historical series with a bullish trend, with high probability of a bullish trend in the future that is currently below the average.
⬇ Bearish forecast
For short trades, the inefficiency will appear as a historical series with a bearish trend, with a high probability of a bearish trend in the future that is currently above the average.
📚 Settings
Input: via the Input user interface, it is possible to adjust the periods (1 to 500) with which the average is to be calculated. By default the periods are set to 200, which means that the average is calculated by taking the last 200 periods.
Style: via the Style user interface it is possible to adjust the colour and switch a specific output on or off.
🇮🇹Previsione Della Tendenza Futura | ITA 🇮🇹
Questo plug-in funge da filtro statistico, aggiungendo nuove informazioni al tuo grafico che ti permetteranno di verificare rapidamente tendenza di un trend, probabilità con la quale il prezzo si troverà sopra o sotto la media in futuro aiutandoti a scovare probabili inefficienze di mercato.
🧠 Calcolo del modello
Il modello calcola la media aritmetica in relazione con gli eventi positivi e negativi all'intero del campione disponibile per la serie storica selezionata. Dove per evento positivo si intende un prezzo alla chiusura maggiore della media, mentre per evento negativo si intende un prezzo alla chiusura minore della media. Calcolata la totalità degli eventi le probabilità vengono estrapolate rapportando ciascun evento.
Esempio
Evento positivo A: 70
Evento negativo B: 30
Totale eventi : 100
Formula A: (100 / 70) x 100 = 70%
Formula B: (100 / 30) x 100 = 30%
Evento A ha una probabilità del 70% di realizzarsi rispetto all' Evento B che ha una probabilità pari al 30%.
🔍 Filtro informativo
I dati sul grafico mostrano le probabilità future che i prezzi siano sopra la media (di default in verde) e le probabilità che i prezzi siano sotto la media (di default in rosso).
Le informazioni che si possono rapidamente reperire da questo indicatore sono:
1. Trend: I prezzi sopra la media insieme ad una costante di dati in verde maggiori al 50% + 1 indicano che la serie storica osservata presenta un trend rialzista. La probabilità è correlata proporzionalmente al valore del dato; tanto più sarà alto e crescente il valore atteso e maggiore sarà la tendenza rialzista osservata. Viceversa, un prezzo sotto la media insieme ad una costante di dati classificati in colore rosso mostrano dati quantitativi riguardo la presenza di una tendenza ribassista.
2. Probabilità future: analizzando i dati è possibile reperire la probabilità con cui il prezzo si troverà sopra o sotto la media in futuro. In verde vengono classificate le probabilità che il prezzo sarà maggiore alla media, in rosso vengono classificate le probabilità che il prezzo sarà minore della media.
🔫 Filtro operativo
L' indicatore può essere utilizzato a livello operativo nella ricerca di opportunità di investimento o di trading vista la capacità di identificare un inefficienza all'interno del campione di dati osservato.
⬆ Previsione rialzista
Per operatività di tipo rialzista l'inefficienza apparirà come una serie storica a tendenza rialzista, con alte probabilità di tendenza rialzista in futuro che attualmente si trova al di sotto della media.
⬇ Previsione ribassista
Per operatività di tipo short l'inefficienza apparirà come una serie storica a tendenza ribassista, con alte probabilità di tendenza ribassista in futuro che si trova attualmente sopra la media.
📚 Impostazioni
Input: tramite l'interfaccia utente Input è possibile regolare i periodi (da 1 a 500) con cui calcolare la media. Di default i periodi sono impostati sul valore di 200, questo significa che la media viene calcolata prendendo gli ultimi 200 periodi.
Style: tramite l'interfaccia utente Style è possibile regolare il colore e attivare o disattivare un specifico output.
ZigZag Smart Trend [TradingFinder] Major & Minor Structured Wave🔵 Introduction
🟣 Zigzag
Zigzag is a lagging indicator; this indicator identifies points on a price chart that have more significant changes than its previous wave and then by connecting these lines to each other, it assists traders in trend detection.
This indicator reduces random price fluctuations and attempts to make the primary price trend clearer.
🟣 Pivot
Pivots are points where the price chart changes direction. Pivots, also called reversal points, form when supply and demand forces dominate one another.
Different types of technical analysis pivots can be introduced into two categories, minor pivots, and major pivots, each of which has a specific meaning in analysis.
Major Pivot : These pivots actually indicate major changes in the direction of the chart and occur at the end of trends. Analysts seeking to reach the primary analysis focus more on major pivot points. In fact, most technical analysis tools are examined and determined based on major pivots.
Minor Pivot : This type of pivot focuses more on small and subsidiary points and directions. Therefore, it occurs at the end of corrections. Analysts focusing on minor pivots represent small trends, and it should be noted that minor pivots are not suitable for use in primary technical tools.
How to identify minor and major pivots :
Minor pivots are pivots formed between two major pivots and fail to break the opposite major pivot.
Major pivots are pivots that have either successfully broken the opposite pivot or have moved more than the previous pivot of the same type.
🔵 How to use
Based on identifying pivots and drawing zigzag lines, you can have various uses for this indicator.
Identifying support and resistance levels :
Identifying Elliott Waves :
Identifying classic patterns :
Identifying pivots with higher validity :
Identifying internal and external breakouts :
Identifying trends and range areas :
Identifying pivot types along with major and minor recognition :
MHH : Major Higher High
MLH : Major Lower High
MLL : Major Lower Low
MHL : Major Higher Low
mHH : Minor Higher High
mLH : Minor Lower High
mLL : Minor Lower Low
mHL : Minor Higher Low
🔵 Settings
Pivot Period Zigzag Line : Using this input, you can determine the pivot period for identifying zigzag swings.
Show Zigzag Line : To show or not to show the zigzag line.
Zigzag Line Color : Change the color of the zigzag line.
Zigzag Line Style : Change the Style of the zigzag line.
Zigzag Line Width : Change the Width of the zigzag line.
Show Label : To show or not to show Pivot Type.
Color Label : Change the color of the Pivot Type Label.
Trend AngleThe "Trend Angle" indicator serves as a tool for traders to decipher market trends through a methodical lens. It quantifies the inclination of price movements within a specified timeframe, making it easy to understand current trend dynamics.
Conceptual Foundation:
Angle Measurement: The essence of the "Trend Angle" indicator is its ability to compute the angle between the price trajectory over a defined period and the horizontal axis. This is achieved through the calculation of the arctangent of the percentage price change, offering a straightforward measure of market directionality.
Smoothing Mechanisms: The indicator incorporates options for "Moving Average" and "Linear Regression" as smoothing mechanisms. This adaptability allows for refined trend analysis, catering to diverse market conditions and individual preferences.
Functional Versatility:
Source Adaptability: The indicator affords the flexibility to select the desired price source, enabling users to tailor the angle calculation to their analytical framework and other indicators.
Detrending Capability: With the detrending feature, the indicator allows for the subtraction of the smoothing line from the calculated angle, highlighting deviations from the main trend. This is particularly useful for identifying potential trend reversals or significant market shifts.
Customizable Period: The 'Length' parameter empowers traders to define the observation window for both the trend angle calculation and its smoothing, accommodating various trading horizons.
Visual Intuition: The optional colorization enhances interpretability, with the indicator's color shifting based on its relation to the smoothing line, thereby providing an immediate visual cue regarding the trend's direction.
Interpretative Results:
Market Flatness: An angle proximate to 0 suggests a flat market condition, indicating a lack of significant directional movement. This insight can be pivotal for traders in assessing market stagnation.
Trending Market: Conversely, a relatively high angle denotes a trending market, signifying strong directional momentum. This distinction is crucial for traders aiming to capitalize on trend-driven opportunities.
Analytical Nuance vs. Simplicity:
While the "Trend Angle" indicator is underpinned by mathematical principles, its utility lies in its simplicity and interpretative clarity. However, it is imperative to acknowledge that this tool should be employed as part of a comprehensive trading strategy , complemented by other analytical instruments for a holistic market analysis.
In essence, the "Trend Angle" indicator exemplifies the harmonization of simplicity and analytical rigor. Its design respects the complexity of market behaviors while offering straightforward, actionable insights, making it a valuable component in the arsenal of both seasoned and novice traders alike.
Trending RSI [ChartPrime]Trending RSI takes a new approach to RSI intended to provide all of the missing information that traditional RSI lacks. Questions such as "why does the price continue to decline even during an oversold period?" can be aided using the Trending RSI.
These types of movements are due to the market still trending and traditional RSI can not tell traders this. Trending RSI fixes this by introducing trend information back into the oscillator. By reverse engineering RSI we have been able to make a new indicator that is no longer bound between 0 and 100. Instead it provides the traditional 70 and 30 zones as bands, and 50 as a center line that still represent these zones perfectly. This transforms RSI into a centered oscillator instead of a normalized oscillator. When the market is trending our indicator represents this as the center line being below or above 0. Just like MACD the center line is colored to represent the market phases. This helps in identifying reversals more clearly by adding a layer of confluence to the already renowned RSI. We have also included a novel filtering technique that has a low lag to smoothing ratio. This is primarily used to smooth the bands by default but you can also utilize this on the RSI. Several alerts have been included to provide users with easy to configure signals.
You can use the center line as a directional filter for your trades by only picking trades in the direction of the center line. When the center line is above 0, the market is trending up. Conversely, when the center line is below 0 the market is trending down trend. Use the polarity of the center line to estimate the strength of retracements from the oversold and overbought zones. We have also included a special moving average to help you find the momentum of a move. The Binomial MA filter approximates a normal curve making it similar to a gaussian filter. We have also included standard divergences which are fully configurable in the settings. Finally, we have built this indicator to be compatible with the built in multi time frame option to allow users to freely pick the time frame they wish to use. It is worth noting that due to the limitations of the standard MTF implementation divergences will not plot as expected when using time frames outside of the charts time frame. This is standard and also affects the built in RSI.
All of the colors are fully adjustable with the option to enable or disable the glow effect. We have also designed this indicator to only display the information for plots that are enabled to reduce clutter and provide a cleaner charting experience. All alerts are built to work with the standard alert builder and do not have to be enabled or disabled inside of the indicator.
Included Alerts:
RSI Cross Over Center
RSI Cross Under Center
RSI Cross Under Upper Range
RSI Cross Over Upper Range
RSI Cross Over Lower Range
RSI Cross Under Lower Range
RSI Cross Over MA
RSI Cross Under MA
RSI Cross Over 0
RSI Cross Under 0
Center Cross Over 0
Center Cross Under 0
Center Bullish
Center Bearish
Bullish Divergence
Bearish Divergence
In wrapping up, the Trending RSI aims to enhance the conventional RSI by adding trend insights directly into the oscillator, addressing the gap that traditional RSI leaves regarding market trends. This version of RSI breaks away from the 0 to 100 range, offering bands and a center line that better represent market conditions. It includes a set of features like the Binomial MA for momentum analysis, configurable settings for divergence detection, and compatibility with multi-time frame analysis. The color customization and glow effects aim to improve visual clarity, and the inclusion of alerts is designed to streamline alert configuration. Overall, this indicator is designed to provide a more view of the markets, suitable for traders looking to incorporate trend analysis into their RSI-based strategies.
Enjoy
Vo-S-Di-T-I - Volatility Scaled Directional Trend IndicatorThis code represents just the foundation for what's to come. It lays the groundwork for a more sophisticated quant trading model, offering a glimpse into the potential of future developments. I hope my contribution to this community will be valued. I'm here for idea exchanges and coding together, with the key emphasis on ensuring everything we do is grounded on a solid statistical basis.
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The developed code is based on a rigorous quantitative approach for analyzing price trends in the equity sector, utilizing advanced statistical methodology to scale returns based on the volatility observed over predefined periods of 20 and 50 days. This technique for normalizing returns allows us to eliminate distortions due to the intrinsic variability of prices and focus on the underlying structure of price behavior. The primary goal of the code is not to speculatively predict future market movements but rather to identify potential reversal trend signals through price dynamics analysis, within an optimized risk and return context.
Our approach is distinguished by the use of statistical decomposition techniques and time series analysis to interpret price variations as indicators of possible shifts in market behavior. This allows distinguishing between random or short-term price movements and true trend changes, providing a solid foundation for more informed investment decisions.
The current code represents the initial phase of a broader project that envisages the integration of machine learning algorithms to further refine the ability to detect significant changes in price trends. Through the application of predictive models and machine learning techniques, we intend to explore complex patterns in historical price data that may precede trend reversals, always respecting the principles of rigorous statistical analysis and risk management. This development and learning path will allow us to continuously improve investment strategies, leveraging the analytical capabilities of modern data science algorithms applied to the financial sector.
HOW TO READ
Simply put, Z values above 0 indicate an uptrend, while values below indicate a downtrend. IMPORTANT: It is not necessary to consider any crosses between Z-Short and Z-Long, but only potential crosses with 0.
The initial values are set at 20 and 50, but everyone is free to choose the most suitable periods, as long as all choices have valid statistical significance. My advice is to use R or MatLab to explore the best correlation between N and price movements. The reason I have set two values for N (Short and Long) is because it's interesting to assess short-term and medium-to-long-term trends to understand if price movements can lead to reversals only in the short term or also in the medium to long term. This idea came to me because I believe all other trend determination systems have too much lag and unpredictability.
Trend FinderThe "𝙏𝙍𝙀𝙉𝘿 𝙁𝙄𝙉𝘿𝙀𝙍" indicator is a powerful tool designed to detect trends and identify potential reversal points in asset prices. It operates as both a trend-following and mean reversion indicator, offering insights into market movements.
Trend Identification:
Trend Detection:
This indicator primarily identifies trends in asset prices.
When the "𝙏𝙍𝙀𝙉𝘿 𝙁𝙄𝙉𝘿𝙀𝙍" value is above the middle line, it typically indicates an upward trend in the asset's price.
Color Coding: During an upward trend, the bars are colored green, signaling strength in the upward movement. Conversely, during a downtrend, the bars turn red, indicating a potential downward movement in the asset's price.
Calculation Process:
Moving Averages: The calculation involves using multiple Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) based on the open and close prices of the asset.
Incremental SMA Lengths: These SMAs are calculated with increasing lengths, creating a series of comparisons between closing and opening SMAs. If the closing SMA exceeds the opening SMA, a value of 1 is assigned; otherwise, it's assigned as 0.
Aggregation: All these SMA values are compiled into an array and processed to derive an average, emphasizing the trend direction and strength.
Application:
Trend Strength: The indicator's value reflects the overall strength and direction of the trend. Higher values suggest an end or reversing of trend, while lower values what crosses over or under Midline may indicate a trend changing and indicate incrising of trend strength.
Reversal Indication: Besides identifying trends, it can also serve as a mean reversion indicator, potentially pinpointing potential tops and bottoms in the market.
Midline: Additional in settings can be changed a position of midline to up or down to your personal preference.
The "𝙏𝙍𝙀𝙉𝘿 𝙁𝙄𝙉𝘿𝙀𝙍" indicator amalgamates moving averages and trend analysis, offering a comprehensive view of market trends and potential reversal points. Its adaptability through parameter adjustments allows for fine-tuning to suit various market conditions.
Double AI Super Trend Trading - Strategy [PresentTrading]█ Introduction and How It is Different
The Double AI Super Trend Trading Strategy is a cutting-edge approach that leverages the power of not one, but two AI algorithms, in tandem with the SuperTrend technical indicator. The strategy aims to provide traders with enhanced precision in market entry and exit points. It is designed to adapt to market conditions dynamically, offering the flexibility to trade in both bullish and bearish markets.
*The KNN part is mainly referred from @Zeiierman.
BTCUSD 8hr performance
ETHUSD 8hr performance
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
1. SuperTrend Calculation
The SuperTrend is a popular indicator that captures market trends through a combination of the Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) and the Average True Range (ATR). This strategy utilizes two sets of SuperTrend calculations with varying lengths and factors to capture both short-term and long-term market trends.
2. KNN Algorithm
The strategy employs k-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) algorithms, which are supervised machine learning models. Two sets of KNN algorithms are used, each focused on different lengths of historical data and number of neighbors. The KNN algorithms classify the current SuperTrend data point as bullish or bearish based on the weighted sum of the labels of the k closest historical data points.
3. Signal Generation
Based on the KNN classifications and the SuperTrend indicator, the strategy generates signals for the start of a new trend and the continuation of an existing trend.
4. Trading Logic
The strategy uses these signals to enter long or short positions. It also incorporates dynamic trailing stops for exit conditions.
Local picture
█ Trade Direction
The strategy allows traders to specify their trading direction: long, short, or both. This enables the strategy to be versatile and adapt to various market conditions.
█ Usage
ToolTips: Comprehensive tooltips are provided for each parameter to guide the user through the customization process.
Inputs: Traders can customize numerous parameters including the number of neighbors in KNN, ATR multiplier, and types of moving averages.
Plotting: The strategy also provides visual cues on the chart to indicate bullish or bearish trends.
Order Execution: Based on the generated signals, the strategy will execute buy or sell orders automatically.
█ Default Settings
The default settings are configured to offer a balanced approach suitable for most scenarios:
Initial Capital: $10,000
Default Quantity Type: 10% of equity
Commission: 0.1%
Slippage: 1
Currency: USD
These settings can be modified to suit various trading styles and asset classes.
Multi Timeframe Trend StrengthThis code is an advancement of my previous percentile-based trend strength. It follows the same concept, except this code display the trend and trend strength in multiple timeframe (1 min, 5 min, 15 min, 1hr and 4hr).
This gives an indication of the trend is evolving and allows to see how short-term trend matches with the long-term trend.
How it works:
The script assesses trend strength through percentile values derived from high and low prices across various time periods. It categorizes the current trend as either Bullish, Bearish, or N/A (No Trend) with the following steps:
Percentile Calculations: The code calculates the 75th percentile of high prices (e.g., percentile_13H) and the 25th percentile of low prices (e.g., percentile_13L) for specified Fibonacci-based periods (13, 21, 34, 55, 89, and 144). These percentiles serve as thresholds for identifying strong trends.
Calculate Highest High and Lowest Low: It computes the highest high (75th percentile high price of the longest period) and lowest low (25th percentile low price of the longest period), referred to as highest_high and lowest_low. These values establish critical price levels.
Trend Strength Conditions: For each percentile and period, the code checks if the percentile exceeds the highest high (trendBull) or falls below the lowest low (trendBear). These conditions gauge the strength of bullish and bearish trends.
Count Bull and Count Bear: Variables countBull and countBear tally the number of bullish and bearish conditions met, helping assess trend strength.
Weak Bull and Weak Bear Count: The code calculates weak bullish and bearish conditions, occurring when percentiles fall within the range defined by highest_high and lowest_low but don't meet strong trend criteria.
Bull Strength and Bear Strength: bullStrength and bearStrength are calculated based on counts of bullish, bearish, weak bullish, and weak bearish conditions, representing overall trend strength.
Strong Bull and Bear Conditions: These conditions arise when the 75th percentile of high prices (bull conditions) or the 25th percentile of low prices (bear conditions) surpass or dip below the highest high or lowest low, respectively, for the specified period. Strong conditions indicate robust trends with significant price movements.
Weak Bull and Bear Conditions: Weak conditions occur when percentiles fall within the range between highest_high and lowest_low, suggesting some bullish or bearish tendencies without reaching extreme levels. These imply less decisive trends.
Current Trend Identification: The current trend is determined by comparing bullStrength and bearStrength. A greater bullStrength indicates a Bull trend, greater bearStrength implies a Bear trend, and equal values denote No Trend (N/A).
Trendline Breakouts With Targets [ChartPrime]The Trendline Breakouts With Targets indicator is meticulously crafted to improve trading decision-making by pinpointing trendline breakouts and breakdowns through pivot point analysis.
Here's a comprehensive look at its primary functionalities:
Upon the occurrence of a breakout or breakdown, a signal is meticulously assessed against a false signal condition/filter, after which the indicator promptly generates a trading signal. Additionally, it conducts precise calculations to determine potential target levels and then exhibits them graphically on the price chart.
🔷 Key Features:
🔸 Trendline Drawing: The indicator automatically plots trendlines based on significant pivot points and wick data, visually representing the prevailing trend.
🔸 Breakout and Breakdown Signals : It triggers trading signals when a breakout (price moves above the trendline) or a breakdown (price moves below the trendline) is detected, helping traders identify potential entry points.
🔸 False Breakout/ Breakdown Filter ✔️: To enhance accuracy, the indicator incorporates a filter to reduce false breakout and breakdown signals, helping traders avoid premature entries.
🔸 Target Calculation: The indicator performs target-level calculations, a critical aspect of trade management.
These calculated target levels are visually displayed on the price chart, helping traders set precise profit targets and make well-informed trading decisions.
🔸 Color-Change Labels: The indicator features label color changes to provide quick visual cues. Labels are initially displayed in orange. When a take profit (TP) level is reached, the label changes to green, indicating a successful trade. Conversely, if a stop-loss (SL) level is hit, the label turns red, signaling a losing trade.
🔸 Settings :
This indicator combines technical analysis, trendline identification, breakout/breakdown signals, and risk management tools to assist traders in making more informed and efficient trading decisions. It can be a valuable addition to any trader's toolkit, helping them identify potential trade opportunities and manage risk effectively.
LNL Trend SystemLNL Trend System is an ATR based day trading system specifically designed for intra-day traders and scalpers. The System works on any chart time frame & can be applied to any market. The study consist of two components - the Trend Line and the Stop Line. Trend System is based on a special ATR calculation that is achieved by combining the previous values of the 13 EMA in relation to the ATR which creates a line of deviations that visually look similar to the basic moving average but actually produce very different results ESPECIALLY in sideways market.
Trend Line:
Trend Line is a simple line which is basically a fast gauge represented by the 13 EMA that can change the color based on the current trend structure defined by multiple averages (8,13,21,34 EMAs). Trend Line is there to simply add the confluence for the current trend. Colors of the line are pretty much self-explanatory. Whenever the line turns red it states that the current structure is bearish. Vice versa for green line. Gray line represents neutral market structure.
Stop Line:
Stop Line is an ATR deviaton line with special calculation based on the previous bar ATRs and position of the price in relation to the current and previous values of 13 EMA. As already stated, this creates an ATR deviation marker either above or below the price that trails the price up or down until they touch. Whenever the price comes into the Stop Line it means it is making an ATR expansion move up or down .This touch will usually resolve into a reaction (a bounce) which provides trade opportunities.
Trend Bars:
When turned ON, Trend Bars can provide additional confulence of the current trend alongside with the Trend Line color. Trend Bars are based on the DMI and ADX indicators. Whenever the DMI is bearish and ADX is above 20 the candles paint themselfs red. And vice versa applies for the green candles and bullish DMI. Whenever the ADX falls below the 20, candles are netural (Gray) which means there is no real trend in place at the moment.
Trend Mode:
There are total of 5 different trend modes available. Each mode is visualizing different ATR settings which provides either aggressive or more conservative approach. The more tigher the mode, the more closer the distance between the price and the Stop Line. First two modes were designed for slower markets, whereas the "Loose" and "FOMC" modes are more suitable for products with high volatility.
Trend Modes:
1. Tight
Ideal for the slowest markets. Slowest market can be any market with unusually small average true range values or just simply a market that does have a personality of a "sleeper". Tight Mode can be also used for aggresive entries in the most ridiculous trends. Sometimes price will barely pullback to the Trend Line not even the Stop Line.
2. Normal
Normal Mode is the golden mean between the modes. "Normal" provides the ideal ATR lengths for the most used markets such as S&P Futures (ES) or SPY, AAPL and plenty of other highly popular stocks. More often than not, the length of this mode is respected considering there is no breaking news or high impact market event scheduled.
3. Loose
The "Loose" mode is basically a normal mode but a little bit more loose. This mode is useful whenever the ATRs jump higher than usual or during the days of highly anticipated news events. This mode is also better suited for more active markets such as NQ futures.
4. FOMC
The FOMC mode is called FOMC for a reason. This mode provides the maximum amount of wiggle room between the price and the Stop Line. This mode was designed for the extreme volatility, breaking news events or post-FOMC trading. If the market quiets down, this mode will not get the Stop Line touch as frequently as othete modes, thus it is not very useful to run this on markets with the average volatlity. Although never properly tested, perhaps the FOMC mode can find its value in the crypto market?
5. The Net
The net mode is basically a combination of all modes into one stop line system which creates "the net" effect. The Net provides the widest Stop Line zone which can be mainly appreciated by traders that like to use scale-in scale-out methods for their trading. Not to mention the visual side of the indicator which looks pretty great with the net mode on.
HTF (Higher Time Frame) Trend System:
The system also includes additional higher time frame (HTF) trend system. This can be set to any time frame by manual HTF mode. HTF mode set to "auto" will automatically choose the best suitable higher time frame trend system based on how appropriate the aggregation is. For everything below 5min the HTF Trend System will stay on 5min. Anything between 5-15min = 30min. 30min - 120min will turn on the 240min. 180min and higher will result in Daily time frame. Anything above the Daily will result in Weekly HTF aggregation, above W = Monthly, above M = Quarterly.
Background Clouds:
In terms of visualization, each trend system is fully customizable through the inputs settings. There is also an option to turn on/off the background clouds behind the stop lines. These clouds can make the charts more clean & visible.
Tips & Tricks:
1. Different Trend Modes
Try out different modes in different markets. There is no one single mode that will fit to everyone on the same type of market. I myself actually prefer more Loose than the Normal.
2. Stop Line Mirroring
Whenever the Stop Lines start to mirror each other (there is one above the price and one below) this means the price is entering a ranging sideways market. It does not matter which Stop Line will the price touch first. They can both be faded until one of them flips.
3. Signs of the Ranging Market
Watch out for signs of ranging market. Whenever the Trend System looses its colors whether on trend line or trend bars, if everything turns neutral (gray) that is usually a solid indication of a range type action for the following moments. Also as already stated before, the Stop Line mirroring is a good sign of the range market.
4. Trailing Tool, Trend System as an Additional Study?
In case you are not a fan of the colorful green / red charts & candles. You can switch all of them off and just leave the Stop Line on. This way you can use the benefits of the trend system and still use other studies on top of that. Similarly as the Parabolic SAR is often used.
5. The Flip Setup
One of my favorite trades is the Flip Setup on the 5min charts. Whenever the Stop Line is broken , the very first opposing touch after the Trend System flips is a usually a highly participated touch. If there is a strong reaction, this means this is likely a beginning of a new trend. Once I am in the position i like to trail the Stop Line on the 1min charts.
Hope it helps.
[tradinghook] - Renko Trend Reversal Strategy - Renko Trend Reversal Strategy
Short Title: - Renko TRS
Description:
The Renko Trend Reversal Strategy ( - Renko TRS) is a powerful and original trading approach designed to identify trend reversals in financial markets using Renko charts. Renko charts differ from traditional time-based charts, as they focus solely on price movements and ignore time, resulting in a clearer representation of market trends. This strategy leverages Renko charts in conjunction with the Average True Range (ATR) to capture trend reversals with high precision and effectiveness.
Key Concepts:
Renko Charts: Renko charts are unique chart types that only plot price movements beyond a predefined brick size, ignoring time and noise. By doing so, they provide a more straightforward depiction of market trends, eliminating insignificant price fluctuations and making it easier to spot trend reversals.
Average True Range (ATR): The strategy utilizes the ATR indicator, which measures market volatility and provides valuable insights into potential price movements. By setting the brick size of the Renko chart based on the ATR, the strategy adapts to changing market conditions, ensuring optimal performance across various instruments and timeframes.
How it Works:
The Renko Trend Reversal Strategy is designed to identify trend reversal points and generate buy or sell signals based on the following principles:
Renko Brick Generation: The strategy calculates the ATR over a user-defined period (ATR Length) and utilizes this value to determine the size of Renko bricks. Larger ATR values result in bigger bricks, capturing higher market volatility, while smaller ATR values create smaller bricks for calmer market conditions.
Buy and Sell Signals: The strategy generates buy signals when the Renko chart's open price crosses below the close price, indicating a potential bullish trend reversal. Conversely, sell signals are generated when the open price crosses above the close price, suggesting a bearish trend reversal. These signals help traders identify potential entry points to capitalize on market movements.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Management: To manage risk and protect profits, the strategy incorporates dynamic stop-loss and take-profit levels. The stop-loss level is calculated as a percentage of the Renko open price, ensuring a fixed risk amount for each trade. Similarly, the take-profit level is set as a percentage of the Renko open price to secure potential gains.
How to Use:
Inputs: Before using the strategy, traders can customize several parameters to suit their trading preferences. These inputs include the ATR Length, Stop Loss Percentage, Take Profit Percentage, Start Date, and End Date. Adjusting these settings allows users to optimize the strategy for different market conditions and risk tolerances.
Chart Setup: Apply the - Renko TRS script to your desired financial instrument and timeframe on TradingView. The Renko chart will dynamically adjust its brick size based on the ATR Length parameter.
Buy and Sell Signals: The strategy will generate green "Buy" labels below bullish reversal points and red "Sell" labels above bearish reversal points on the Renko chart. These labels indicate potential entry points for long and short trades, respectively.
Risk Management: The strategy automatically calculates stop-loss and take-profit levels based on the user-defined percentages. Traders can ensure proper risk management by using these levels to protect their capital and secure profits.
Backtesting and Optimization: Before implementing the strategy live, traders are encouraged to backtest it on historical data to assess its performance across various market conditions. Adjust the input parameters through optimization to find the most suitable settings for specific instruments and timeframes.
Conclusion:
The - Renko Trend Reversal Strategy is a unique and versatile tool for traders looking to identify trend reversals with greater accuracy. By combining Renko charts and the Average True Range (ATR) indicator, this strategy adapts to market dynamics and provides clear entry and exit signals. Traders can harness the power of Renko charts while effectively managing risk through stop-loss and take-profit levels. Before using the strategy in live trading, backtesting and optimization will help traders fine-tune the parameters for optimal performance. Start exploring trend reversals with the - Renko TRS and take your trading to the next level.
(Note: This description is for illustrative purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders are advised to thoroughly test the strategy and exercise sound risk management practices when trading in real markets.)
Trend Correlation HeatmapHello everyone!
I am excited to release my trend correlation heatmap, or trend heatmap for short.
Per usual, I think its important to explain the theory before we get into the use of the indicator, so let's get into the theory!
The theory:
So what is a correlation?
Correlation is the relationship one variable has to another. Correlations are the basis of everything I do as a quantitative trader. From the correlation between the same variables (i.e. autocorrelation), the correlation between other variables (i.e. VIX and SPY, SPY High and SPY Low, DXY and ES1! close, etc.) and, as well, the correlation between price and time (time series correlation).
This may sound very familiar to you, especially if you are a user, observer or follower of my ideas and/or indicators. Ninety-five percent of my indicators are a function of one of those three things. Whether it be a time series based indicator (i.e.my time series indicator), whether it be autocorrelation (my autoregressive cloud indicator or my autocorrelation oscillator) or whether it be regressive in nature (i.e. my SPY Volume weighted close, or even my expected move which uses averages in lieu of regressive approaches but is foundational in regression principles. Or even my VIX oscillator which relies on the premise of correlations between tickers.) So correlation is extremely important to me and while its true I am more of a regression trader than anything, I would argue that I am more of a correlation trader, because correlations are the backbone of how I develop math models of stocks.
What I am trying to stress here is the importance of correlations. They really truly are foundational to any type of quantitative analysis for stocks. And as such, understanding the current relationship a stock has to time is pivotal for any meaningful analysis to be conducted.
So what is correlation to time and what does it tell us?
Correlation to time, otherwise known and commonly referred to as "Time Series", is the relationship a ticker's price has to the passing of time. It is displayed in the traditional Pearson Correlation Coefficient or R value and can be any value from -1 (strong negative relationship, i.e. a strong downtrend) to + 1 (i.e. a strong positive relationship, i.e. a strong uptrend). The higher or lower the value the stronger the up or downtrend is.
As such, correlation to time tells us two very important things. These are:
a) The direction of the stock; and
b) The strength of the trend.
Let's take a look at an example:
Above we have a chart of QQQ. We can see a trendline that seems to fit well. The questions we ask as traders are:
1. What is the likelihood QQQ breaks down from this trendline?
2. What is the likelihood QQQ continues up?
3. What is the likelihood QQQ does a false breakdown?
There are numerous mathematical approaches we can take to answer these questions. For example, 1 and 2 can be answered by use of a Cumulative Distribution Density analysis (CDDA) or even a linear or loglinear regression analysis and 3 can be answered, more or less, with a linear regression analysis and standard error ascertainment, or even just a general comparison using a data science approach (such as cosine similarity or Manhattan distance).
But, the reality is, all 3 of these questions can be visualized, at least in some way, by simply looking at the correlation to time. Let's look at this chart again, this time with the correlation heatmap applied:
If we look at the indicator we can see some pivotal things. These are:
1. We have 4, very strong uptrends that span both higher AND lower timeframes. We have a strong uptrend of 0.96 on the 5 minute, 50 candle period. We have a strong uptrend at the 300 candle lookback period on the 1 minute, we have a strong uptrend on the 100 day lookback on the daily timeframe period and we have a strong uptrend on the 5 minute on the 500 candle lookback period.
2. By comparison, we have 3 downtrends, all of which have correlations less than the 4 uptrends. All of the downtrends have a correlation above -0.8 (which we would want lower than -0.8 to be very strong), and all of the uptrends are greater than + 0.80.
3. We can also see that the uptrends are not confined to the smaller timeframes. We have multiple uptrends on multiple timeframes and both short term (50 to 100 candles) and long term (up to 500 candles).
4. The overall trend is strengthening to the upside manifested by a positive Max Change and a Positive Min change (to be discussed later more in-depth).
With this, we can see that QQQ is actually very strong and likely will continue at least some upside. If we let this play out:
We continued up, had one test and then bounced.
Now, I want to specify, this indicator is not a panacea for all trading. And in relation to the 3 questions posed, they are best answered, at least quantitatively, not only by correlation but also by the aforementioned methods (CDDA, etc.) but correlation will help you get a feel for the strength or weakness present with a stock.
What are some tangible applications of the indicator?
For me, this indicator is used in many ways. Let me outline some ways I generally apply this indicator in my day and swing trading:
1. Gauging the strength of the stock: The indictor tells you the most prevalent behavior of the stock. Are there more downtrends than uptrends present? Are the downtrends present on the larger timeframes vs uptrends on the shorter indicating a possible bullish reversal? or vice versa? Are the trends strengthening or weakening? All of these things can be visualized with the indicator.
2. Setting parameters for other indicators: If you trade EMAs or SMAs, you may have a "one size fits all" approach. However, its actually better to adjust your EMA or SMA length to the actual trend itself. Take a look at this:
This is QQQ on the 1 hour with the 200 EMA with 200 standard deviation bands added. If we look at the heatmap, we can see, yes indeed 200 has a fairly strong uptrend correlation of 0.70. But the strongest hourly uptrend is actually at 400 candles, with a correlation of 0.91. So what happens if we change the EMA length and standard deviation to 400? This:
The exact areas are circled and colour coded. You can see, the 400 offers more of a better reference point of supports and resistances as well as a better overall trend fit. And this is why I never advocate for getting married to a specific EMA. If you are an EMA 200 lover or 21 or 51, know that these are not always the best depending on the trend and situation.
Components of the indicator:
Ah okay, now for the boring stuff. Let's go over the functionality of the indicator. I tried to keep it simple, so it is pretty straight forward. If we open the menu here are our options:
We have the ability to toggle whichever timeframes we want. We also have the ability to toggle on or off the legend that displays the colour codes and the Max and Min highest change.
Max and Min highest change: The max and min highest change simply display the change in correlation over the previous 14 candles. An increasing Max change means that the Max trend is strengthening. If we see an increasing Max change and an increasing Min change (the Min correlation is moving up), this means the stock is bullish. Why? Because the min (i.e. ideally a big negative number) is going up closer to the positives. Therefore, the downtrend is weakening.
If we see both the Max and Min declining (red), that means the uptrend is weakening and downtrend is strengthening. Here are some examples:
Final Thoughts:
And that is the indicator and the theory behind the indicator.
In a nutshell, to summarize, the indicator simply tracks the correlation of a ticker to time on multiple timeframes. This will allow you to make judgements about strength, sentiment and also help you adjust which tools and timeframes you are using to perform your analyses.
As well, to make the indicator more user friendly, I tried to make the colours distinctively different. I was going to do different shades but it was a little difficult to visualize. As such, I have included a toggle-able legend with a breakdown of the colour codes!
That's it my friends, I hope you find it useful!
Safe trades and leave your questions, comments and feedback below!
Pivot Trendlines with Breaks [HG]🧾 Pivot Trendlines and Breaks
A script meant to debut and provide an example usage of the Simple Trendlines library using Pine Script's built-in pivot system.
In under 50 lines of code, with inputs, plots, styling, and alerts included we're able to create trendlines with a breakout system.
▶️ How it works
Calculating pivot points helps traders identify moments at which the market's attitude can shift from bullish to bearish. In the background, the script tracks pivot events for trendlines and uses a system that prevents any leakage between the trendlines before they are drawn.
⚫️ Settings
Pivot Length
Color Adjustments
⚫️ Alerts
Trend and Momentum DashboardI created this indicator to tell me when it's time to trade (going long) and when it's time to wait (or going short).
You can enter up to 13 ticker (default is S&P500 and key market segments).
For each ticker, fibonacci levels are calculated and represented either in 5 color or 3 color mode as single lines.
(Thanks to eykpunter for the fibonacci level implementation. I'm using his code and modified it slightly).
Color coding (5 color mode) explanation:
blue = in uptrend area
light blue = in prudent buyers area
gray = in center area
light red = in prudent sellers area
red = in downtrend area
The topline is a combination of all ticker and shows if the market is either bullish or bearish (threshold adjustable in settings)
The bullish/bearish trend can also be used as background color. Alternatively the last bar in the selected time period is been highlighted.
How to use it:
The indicator works on all timeframes. Use the color coding explanation above to see the status of each asset.
a) You can evaluate "long" term trend using day or week timeframe. e.g. I'm usually trading only long and stay out of the market when it is not bullish (top line & background = blue). I'm also using it to know which segments/assets are currently "hot".
b) You can evaluate short term momentum (using 1h or lower timeframe) and see in which direction the market/assets are moving. e.g. I use this when the exchanges open to see how the day is going to move.
I've attached 3 examples in the screenshot - first is the default, in the second one I'm using different asset classes and the third one is for crypto.
Limitations:
There are security request limits as well as string limitations for the security calls in pine script, so I went to the maximum what is currently possible.
(No financial advise, for testing purposes only)
Fractal-Dimension-Index-Adaptive Trend Cipher Candles [Loxx]Fractal-Dimension-Index-Adaptive Trend Cipher Candles is a candle coloring indicator that shows both trend and trend exhaustion using Fractal Dimension Index Adaptivity. To do this, we first calculate the dynamic period outputs from the FDI algorithm and then we injection those period inputs into a correlation function that correlates price input price to the candle index. The closer the correlation is to 1, the lighter the green color until the color turns yellow, sometimes, indicating upward price exhaustion. The closer the correlation is to -1, the lighter the red color until it reaches Fuchsia color indicating downward price exhaustion. Green means uptrend, red means downtrend, yellow means reversal from uptrend to downtrend, fuchsia means reversal from downtrend to uptrend.
What is the Fractal Dimension Index?
The goal of the fractal dimension index is to determine whether the market is trending or in a trading range. It does not measure the direction of the trend. A value less than 1.5 indicates that the price series is persistent or that the market is trending. Lower values of the FDI indicate a stronger trend. A value greater than 1.5 indicates that the market is in a trading range and is acting in a more random fashion.
Included
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Related indicators:
Adaptive Trend Cipher loxx]
CFB-Adaptive Trend Cipher Candles
Dynamic Zones Polychromatic Momentum Candles
RSI Precision Trend Candles
