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VIX and SKEW RSI Moving AveragesSKEW and VIX are both indicators of market volatility and risk, but they represent different aspects.
VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) :.
The VIX is a well-known indicator for predicting future market volatility. It is calculated primarily based on S&P 500 options premiums and indicates the degree of market instability and risk.
Typically, when the VIX is high, market participants view the future as highly uncertain and expect sharp volatility in stock prices. It is generally considered an indicator of market fear.
SKEW Index :.
The SKEW is a measure of how much market participants estimate the risk of future declines in stock prices, calculated by the CBOE (Chicago Board Options Exchange) and derived from the premium on S&P 500 options.
If the SKEW is high, market participants consider the risk of future declines in stock prices to be high. This generally indicates a "fat tail at the base" of the market and suggests that the market perceives it as very risky.
These indicators are used by market participants to indicate their concerns and expectations about future stock price volatility. In general, when the VIX is high and the SKEW is high, the market is considered volatile and risky. Conversely, when the VIX is low and the SKEW is low, the market is considered relatively stable and low risk.
Inverse Relationship between SKEW and VIX
It is often observed that there is an inverse correlation between SKEW and VIX. In general, the relationship is as follows
High VIX and low SKEW: When the VIX is high and the SKEW is low, the market is considered volatile while the risk of future stock price declines is low. This indicates that the market is exposed to sharp volatility, but market participants do not expect a major decline.
Low VIX and High SKEW: A low VIX and high SKEW indicates that the market is relatively stable, while the risk of future declines in stock prices is considered high. This indicates that the market is calm, but market participants are wary of a sharp future decline.
This inverse correlation is believed to be the result of market participants' psychology and expectations affecting the movements of the VIX and SKEW. For example, when the VIX is high, it is evident that the market is volatile, and under such circumstances, people tend to view the risk of a sharp decline in stock prices as low. Conversely, when the VIX is low, the market is considered relatively stable and the risk of future declines is likely to be higher.
SKEWVIX RSIMACROSS
In order to compare the trends of the SKEW and VIX, the 50-period moving average of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) was used for verification. the RSI is an indicator of market overheating or overcooling, and the 50-period moving average can be used to determine the medium- to long-term trend. This analysis reveals how the inverse correlation between the SKEW and the VIX relates to the long-term moving average of the RSI.
how to use
Moving Average Direction
Rising blue for VIXRSI indicates increased uncertainty in the market
Rising red for SKEWRSI indicates optimism and beyond
RSI moving average crossing
When the SKEW is dominant, market participants are considered less concerned about a black swan event (significant unexpected price volatility). This suggests that the market is stable and willing to take risks. On the other hand, when the VIX is dominant, it indicates increased market volatility. Investors are more concerned about market uncertainty and tend to take more conservative positions to avoid risk. The direction of the moving averages and the crossing of the moving averages of the two indicators can give an indication of the state of the market.
SKEW>VIX Optimistic/Goldilocks
VIX>SKEW Uncertainty/turbulence
The market can be judged as follows.
BestRegards
VIX Reference IndicatorHello everyone,
Releasing my VIX reference indicator.
What is it:
This indicator displays the current trading behaviour of the VIX.
It displays it in Z-Score Format along with identifying previous areas of reversal and displaying when the RSI is overbought or oversold on the VIX.
Who is it good for:
It is good for both day and swing traders who use the VIX in their trading plans.
It permits traders to look at different aspects of the VIX (RSI, Z-Score and Reversal areas) simultaneously while they are watching their current traded stock.
How does it work:
The indicator works by converting the VIX into a Z-Score (similar to bollinger bands).
It then plots the VIX out in Z-Score format in the indicator.
Because it is plotting the VIX based on Z-Score, it looks back to previous areas where the Z-Score led to a reversal (i.e. what was the lowest or highest Z-Score the VIX achieved in the lookback period before reversing).
It also looks at the RSI of the VIX. If the VIX RSI crosses at or above 70 (overbought), it will change the colour of the line to green. This means the VIX is overbought and will likely sell and thus, the thesis is, as the VIX sells, the stock you are trading should come up.
Below is a picture of the different aspects of the indicator:
Customaization:
Per usual, you can customize the colours and bands to your liking.
You are also able to specify the RSI length you want to look at as well as the Z-Score Reversal length and the timeframe length of the chart you are looking at.
The default settings are 75 Average Length lookback for the Z-Score Reversal and the Chart and 14 period RSI.
TIPS:
The most persuasive setups are when you get all 3 of the following:
1. A signal that supports the thesis (buy or sell) along with:
2. An RSI signal that supports the z-score signal along with:
3. The VIX trading at an extreme end of its Z-Score range
Example:
In the example above you will see the following conditions are met:
1. Z-Score historical reversal point identified (short)
2. VIX RSI is oversold (short)
3. VIX is at the bottom of its Z-Score range (short)
As always, I have done a quick tutorial video for your reference which you can see below:
Leave your questions/comments/requests below or on the video as I am always happy to get feedback on improvements and functionality.
Thank you everyone checking it out and safe trades!
VIX Spike StrategyThis script implements a trading strategy based on the Volatility Index (VIX) and its standard deviation. It aims to enter a long position when the VIX exceeds a certain number of standard deviations above its moving average, which is a signal of a volatility spike. The position is then exited after a set number of periods.
VIX Symbol (vix_symbol): The input allows the user to specify the symbol for the VIX index (typically "CBOE:VIX").
Standard Deviation Length (stddev_length): The number of periods used to calculate the standard deviation of the VIX. This can be adjusted by the user.
Standard Deviation Multiplier (stddev_multiple): This multiplier is used to determine how many standard deviations above the moving average the VIX must exceed to trigger a long entry.
Exit Periods (exit_periods): The user specifies how many periods after entering the position the strategy will exit the trade.
Strategy Logic:
Data Loading: The script loads the VIX data, both for the current timeframe and as a rescaled version for calculation purposes.
Standard Deviation Calculation: It calculates both the moving average (SMA) and the standard deviation of the VIX over the specified period (stddev_length).
Entry Condition: A long position is entered when the VIX exceeds the moving average by a specified multiple of its standard deviation (calculated as vix_mean + stddev_multiple * vix_stddev).
Exit Condition: After the position is entered, it will be closed after the user-defined number of periods (exit_periods).
Visualization:
The VIX is plotted in blue.
The moving average of the VIX is plotted in orange.
The threshold for the VIX, which is the moving average plus the standard deviation multiplier, is plotted in red.
The background turns green when the entry condition is met, providing a visual cue.
Sources:
The VIX is often used as a measure of market volatility, with high values indicating increased uncertainty in the market.
Standard deviation is a statistical measure of the variability or dispersion of a set of data points. In financial markets, it is used to measure the volatility of asset prices.
References:
Bollerslev, T. (1986). "Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity." Journal of Econometrics.
Black, F., & Scholes, M. (1973). "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities." Journal of Political Economy.
VIX Dashboard [NariCapitalTrading]Overview
This VIX Dashboard is designed to provide traders with a quick visual reference into the current volatility and trend direction of the market as measured by CBOE VIX. It uses statistical measures and indicators including Rate of Change (ROC), Average True Range (ATR), and simple moving averages (SMA) to analyze the VIX.
Components
ATR Period : The ATR Period is used to calculate the Average True Range. The default period set is 24.
Trend Period : This period is used for the Simple Moving Average (SMA) to determine the trend direction. The default is set to 48.
Speed Up/Down Thresholds : These thresholds are used to determine significant increases or decreases in the VIX’s rate of change, signaling potential market volatility spikes or drops. These are customizable in the input section.
VIX Data : The script fetches the closing price of the VIX from a specified source (CBOE:VIX) with a 60-minute interval.
Rate of Change (ROC) : The ROC measures the percentage change in price from one period to the next. The script uses a default period of 20. The period can be customized in the input section.
VIX ATR : This is the Average True Range of the VIX, indicating the daily volatility level.
Trend Direction : Determined by comparing the VIX data with its SMA, indicating if the trend is up, down, or neutral. The trend direction can be customized in the input section.
Dashboard Display : The script creates a table on the chart that dynamically updates with the VIX ROC, ATR, trend direction, and speed.
Calculations
VIX ROC : Calculated as * 100
VIX ATR : ATR is calculated using the 'atrPeriod' and is a measure of volatility.
Trend Direction : Compared against the SMA over 'trendPeriod'.
Trader Interpretation
High ROC Value : Indicates increasing volatility, which could signal a market turn or increased uncertainty.
High ATR Value : Suggests high volatility, often seen in turbulent market conditions.
Trend Direction : Helps in understanding the overall market sentiment and trend.
Speed Indicators : “Mooning” suggests rapid increase in volatility, whereas “Cratering” indicates a rapid decrease.
The interpretation of these indicators should be combined with other market analysis tools for best results.
VIX Futures Spread StrategyThis script was an exercise in learning Pinescript and exploring the futures curve of the VIX in relation to SPY. Was deleted by TV, trying to republish it now with updated parameters for slippage and commission and a more detailed description.
"VIX Futures Spread Strategy" is a trading strategy that capitalizes on the spread between the 3-month VIX futures (VIX3M) and the spot VIX index. This strategy is based on the idea that the VIX futures spread can serve as a contrarian indicator of market sentiment, with extreme negative spreads potentially signaling oversold conditions and opportunities for long positions.
Ordinarily the VIX curve is in contango as futures contracts are priced at a premium to the current spot price and are used to hedge future uncertainty in the market. When the spot price of VIX spikes the curve can invert and enter backwardation; this strategy detects this condition and uses it as a trigger to open a long position in SPY. The spread going negative tends to correlate with excessive fear and uncertainty in the short term while expecting lower volatility in the long term, in this case 3 months out.
The strategy is designed to enter a long position when the VIX futures spread is negative and to exit the position when the spread rises above 3 -- when the curve is in contango again. The strategy employs a pyramiding approach, allowing up to 10 additional orders to be placed while the entry condition is met, with each order consisting of 10 contracts. This approach aims to maximize potential profits during periods of favorable market conditions.
In this strategy, the VIX futures spread is calculated as the difference between the 3-month VIX futures (VIX3M) and the spot VIX index. The spread is plotted as a histogram on the chart, with the zero line representing no spread, and horizontal lines at 0 and 3 indicating the entry and exit thresholds, respectively.
The strategy's backtesting settings use an initial capital of HKEX:10 ,000, a commission of 0.5% per trade, and a maximum of 10 pyramiding orders, and a slippage of 2 ticks.
Please note that this strategy is intended for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice. Before using this strategy in live trading, make sure to thoroughly test and optimize its parameters to suit your risk tolerance and specific trading conditions.
VIX Z-Score (Inverted)📘 Indicator: VIX Z-Score (Inverted) + Table
🔍 Overview
This indicator calculates the Z-Score of the VIX (Volatility Index) and inverts it to identify potential buying opportunities during periods of fear and caution during periods of extreme optimism. The Z-Score is smoothed and visually displayed alongside a dynamic info table.
⚙️ How It Works
VIX Data: The VIX (ticker: CBOE:VIX) is pulled in real time.
Z-Score Calculation:
𝑍
=
(
𝑉
𝐼
𝑋
−
mean
)
standard deviation
Z=
standard deviation
(VIX−mean)
Over a customizable lookback period (default: 50).
Inversion:
Since high VIX usually means fear (often a contrarian buying signal), we invert the Z-Score:
𝑍
inv
=
−
𝑍
Z
inv
=−Z
Smoothing:
An EMA is applied to reduce noise and false signals.
Clamping:
The Z-Score is linearly scaled and capped between +2 and -2 for easy visualization in the info table.
📊 Z-Score Table (Top-Right)
Range Interpretation Table Color
+1.5 to +2 Extreme fear → Buy zone 🟩 Green
+0.5 to +1.5 Moderate fear 🟨 Lime
–0.5 to +0.5 Neutral ⬜ Gray
–0.5 to –1.5 Growing complacency 🟧 Orange
–1.5 to –2 Extreme optimism → Caution 🟥 Red
The current Z-Score (clamped version) is shown in real time on the right-hand info panel.
🧠 How to Use It
+2 Zone (Table: Green):
Market fear is at an extreme. Historically, such conditions are contrarian bullish—possible entry zones.
–2 Zone (Table: Red):
Indicates extreme optimism and low fear. Often a signal to be cautious or take profits.
Middle range (±0.5):
Market is neutral. Avoid major decisions based solely on sentiment here.
🧪 Best Practices
Combine with price action, volume, or trend filters.
Works well on daily or 4H timeframes.
Not a standalone signal—best used to confirm or fade sentiment extremes.
VIX OscillatorOVERVIEW
Plots an oscillating value as a percentage, derived from the VIX and VIX3M . This can help identify broader market trends and pivots on higher time frames (ie. 1D), useful when making swing trades.
DATA & MATH
The VIX is a real-time index of expected S&P 500 volatility over the next 30 days, derived from option prices with near-term expirations. Similarly, the VIX3M measures expected volatility over the next 90 days.
Dividing one by the other yields an oscillating value, normalizing the relative strength of the expected volatility. Most commonly the VIX is divided by the VIX3M. However, because the VIX is inversely correlated to market sentiment (typically), this indicator divides the VIX3M by the VIX to visually correlate the plot direction with the anticipated market direction. Further, it subtracts 1.1 from the quotient to visually center the plot, and multiplies that difference by 100 to amplify the value as a percentage:
( VIX3M / VIX - 1.1 ) * 100
This variation makes identifying sentiment extremes easier within a buy-low-sell-high paradigm, where values below zero are bearish and values above zero are bullish.
PLOTS
Two plots are used, maximizing data fidelity and convenience. Candles are used to accurately reflect the quantized math and a Linear Regression is used to simplify contextualization. If you're not familiar with what a Linear Regression is, you can think of it like a better moving average. High / Low zones are also plotted to help identify sentiment extremes.
This combination allows you to quickly identify the expected sentiment (bullish / bearish) and its relative value (normal / extreme), which you can then use to anticipate if a trend continuation or pivot is more likely.
INPUTS
Candle colors (rise and fall)
Linear regression colors and length
Zone thresholds and zero line
VIX OscillatorThis is my VIX Oscillator indicator.
About it:
This indicator takes the Z-Score of the VIX and of the current ticker you are on and presents them in the format of an oscillator.
Key parts of the indicator:
A diagram of the key elements of the indicator are displayed above.
Purple Line: Represents the Z-Score of the current Ticker.
Blue Line: Represents the Z-Score of the VIX
Green fill line: Represents bullish divergence
Red fill line: Represents bearish divergence
How to use it:
Characteristics for long entries:
- Look for recent bullish divergence (green fill line)
- Look for the ticker line (purple line) to be holding above 0 (neutrality)
- look for a bullish cross (purple line (ticker) crossing over blue line (VIX))
Characteristics for short entries:
- Look for recent Bearish divergence
- Look for the VIX line (blue line) to be holding above 0 and the Ticker
- Look for the ticker line to be holding below 0
- Look for a bearish cross (blue crossing above purple)
Some principles:
The bands represent oversold, overbought and neutral.
0 is absolute neutrality. No bias here.
Anything towards + 2.5 is considered normal, moving towards overbought (2.5 or higher).
Anything towards -2.5 is considered normal, moving towards oversold (-2.5 or lower).
+2.5 or higher is overbought.
-2.5 or lower is oversold.
As always, I have prepared a quick tutorial video for your reference of this indicator:
Please let me know your questions, comments or suggestions about this indicator below.
Thank you for checking it out!
Vix FIX / Stochastic Weights StrategyThis script is based off of Chris Moody's Vix Fix Indicator modified by OskarGallard and BigBitsIO's Stochastic Weights.
This script is a compilation of several different stochastic indicators (and RSI ) where the K value of each indicator is equally weighted. The purpose of the indicator is to combine many indicators together in a fashion that weights them easier. By default, the Stochastic and Stochastic RSI are both enabled - the idea is to speed up the relatively slower Stochastic and to slow down the relatively fast Stochastic RSI . BigBitsIO's Stochastics are also available that can also be added to the weighted calculation. Only the K value is weighted, as the D value is just a moving average of the weighted K.
- Why is this modifed stochastic useful?
- To weight multiple indicators together so that you can attempt to find optimal values shared amongst the indicators. Ex: If Stochastic RSI is 100 and Stochastic is 50, K would be 75 and not particularly high. If you add in a 50 RSI , the K would be 67 in this example. If we weight indicators together that all have a high value they could potentially help find elements that align together to produce a stronger signal.
In this script we have the red "S" triangles which are Exits (overbought stochastic crosses).
Added alerts for stochastic exit signals. Alerts are Pre-Set to only Alert on Bar Close.
The "Williams Vix Fix" is one of the most reliable indicators in history for finding market bottoms. The Vix Fix is simply a code from Larry Williams creating almost identical results for creating the same ability the Vix has to all assets.
The VIX has always been much better at signaling bottoms than tops. Simple reason is when market falls retail traders panic and increase volatility , and professionals come in and capitalize on the situation. At market tops there is no one panicking... just liquidity drying up.
The FE green triangles are "Filtered Entries".
The AE green triangles are "Aggressive Filtered Entries".
Added Alerts to Williams Vix Fix (Aggressive Entry and Filtered Entry). Alerts are Pre-Set to only Alert on Bar Close.
Added "Ehlrers StochCCI" indicator of user @glaz
The Ehlrers StochCCI is a variation of Ehlers Stochastic RSI replaced with CCI.
The John Ehlers' article in August, 2006, "Modeling The Market = Building Trading Strategies," describes a process for extracting trend and cyclic elements from market data, then recombining them for trading purposes. He used the Stochastic RSI denoted the cyclic elements.
Added ability to show Dots when StochCCI Crosses.
Sell: fuchsia dots.
Buy: green dots.
Added alerts for (Buy / Sell) StochCCI. Alerts are Pre-Set to only Alert on Bar Close.
DISCLAIMER: For educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing in this content should be interpreted as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any sort of security or investment including all types of crypto. DYOR, TYOB.
VIX daily chang95%
This is a VIX indicator It goes with VIX MA 95%
When VIX daily change 10MA > past 200Days VIX daily change 10MA 95 Percentile than color turn to orange
Both VIX MA＆95% and VIX daily change 95% turn to orange means Risk off. get out of market!
VIX MA＆95%
This is a VIX indicator It goes with VIX daily change 95%
When 10 VIX MA > past 200Days 10 VIX MA 95 Percentile than color turn to orange
Both VIX MA＆95% and VIX daily change 95% turn to orange means Risk off. get out of market!
VIX > 20/25 HighlightThis indicator tracks the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) and highlights when volatility exceeds critical thresholds.
Plots the VIX with dashed reference lines at 20 and 25.
Background turns orange when the VIX is above 20.
Background turns bright red when the VIX is above 25.
Includes alert conditions to notify you when the VIX crosses above 20 or 25.
Use this tool to quickly visualize periods of elevated market stress and manage risk accordingly.
VIX - SKEW DivergenceThe CBOE VIX is a well-known index representing market expectations for volatility over the next 30 days.
The CBOE SKEW is an index reflecting the perceived tail risk over the next 30 days.
When the SKEW rises over a certain level (~140/150), that means investors are hedging their exposure with options, because they are worried about an incoming market crash or a "black swan". If that happens when the VIX is very low and apparently there is no uncertainty, this can warn of a sudden change in direction of the market. You will see for yourself that an increasing divergence often anticipates a sharp fall of leading stock indexes, usually within two to four months.
This is probably not very relevant for the short-term trader but mid/long-term traders and market analysts may find it useful to clearly visualize the extent of the distance between the VIX and the SKEW. For that reason, I wrote this highly customizable script with which you can plot the two indexes and fill the space within them with a color gradient to highlight the maximum and minimum divergence. Additionally, you can fill the beneath VIX area with four different colors. It is also possible to plot the divergence value itself, so if you want you can draw trendlines and support/resistance levels on it.
Please note that the divergence per se doesn't predict anything and it's meant to be used synergistically with other technical analysis tools.
More informations here:
www.cboe.com
www.cboe.com
SPYIX EMAVariation on idea at url below using SPYIX from BATS instead of VIX
from marketsci.wordpress.com
Aids in identifying changes in volatility direction.
EDIT: just noticed that URL is now password protected. The concept from the author is simple: use EMA and SMA smoothing of the VIX as two signal lines. When they cross you have a change in VIX direction. I simply coded that for SPYIX which is a slightly different (but theoretically similar) index vs VIX. SPYIX provides intraday updates without a subscription so this indicator can be used for intraday tracking.
VIX Contango Sentiment IndicatorRegime dependent ONLY USE 2018 ONWARD
Plots VIX3m/VIX measuring the complacency of the VIX term structure
<.8 = COMPLACENCY VIX spike likely
Buy risk on the 2nd downtick from capitulation zone
VIX/VIX3M Ratio計算並顯示 CBOE:VIX 和 CBOE:VIX3M 的比率，幫助交易者評估市場的波動性。
當比率超過設定的高水平或低於低水平時，指標將顯示為紅色，提示潛在的市場異常情況。
Calculates and displays the ratio of CBOE:VIX to CBOE:VIX3M, helping traders assess market volatility.
When the ratio exceeds the set high level or falls below the low level, the indicator will be displayed in red, signaling potential market anomalies.
VIX Opening GapOverview
This simple script generates alerts based on the difference between the previous trading day's VIX close and the current trading day's opening bar. It is designed for use on the TVC version of the VIX chart, with 1-minute bars.
Features
The script flags one of four conditions based on the difference between the previous day's close and the current day's open: (1) open up; (2) open down; (3) gap up; and (4) gap down. The thresholds for gaps up and down are expressed as percentages and can be changed in the input settings.
The script can assess the gap at the first bar of the premarket session or at the first bar printed after market open. Change this by toggling the "Use Premarket Hours" feature in the input settings.
Vix FIX / StochRSI Strategy
Updated to Pine V5
Enter upon a filtered or aggressive entry
If there are multiple entry signals, allow pyramiding
Exit when there is Stochastic RSI crossover above 80
Work with some futures and futures timeframes
Based on Chris Moody's Vix Fix
VIX Term Structure BackwardationTracks backwardation of the VIX Term Structure using the difference between 2 custom durations VIX / VIX3M /VIX6M/VIX1Y
VIX Sentiment Table – ResolutionThis indicator provides verbal representation of the current VIX value and likely market trend for easy to view and interpret
