NY Open ATR System - Tick Range Filter### **New York Open ATR System - Brief Overview**
#### **🎯 Core Purpose**
Identifies **high-potential breakout setups** at the New York open (13:30 UTC) by combining:
1. **Volatility filters** (dual ATR periods)
2. **Tick-based range analysis**
3. **Time-specific triggers**
---
### **⚙️ Key Components**
| **Feature** | **Function** |
|---------------------------|-----------------------------------------------------------------------------|
| **ATR Filters** | Dual volatility checks (short + long periods) at 13:25 UTC |
| **Tick Range Limit** | Highlights candles with range < user-defined ticks (default: 150) |
| **Time Precision** | Focuses exclusively on 13:30 UTC weekday candles |
| **Visual Markers** | Yellow highlight + tick count label (e.g., "147/150 ticks") |
| **Info Panel** | Real-time display of settings and current tick count |
---
### **📊 How It Works**
1. **Pre-Open Check (13:25 UTC)**
- Verifies market volatility using 2 ATR values
- Requires both to exceed user-defined thresholds
2. **Open Analysis (13:30 UTC)**
- Measures exact tick count: `(high - low) / instrument_mintick`
- Compares against your max tick limit (adjustable 1-5000)
3. **Visual Trigger**
- Highlights candle yellow if:
```tick_count < your_set_limit```
- Labels show exact performance vs limit (e.g., "142/150 ticks")
---
### **⚡ Trading Signals**
| **Condition** | **Visual Feedback** |
|----------------------------|---------------------------------------------|
| High volatility + tight range | Yellow candle + tick count label |
| All other scenarios | No marking |
---
### **🛠️ Customization**
```pine
// Key Adjustable Parameters:
maxTicks = input.int(150) // Set 1-5000 ticks
atrPeriod1 = input.int(14) // Short ATR (2-5000)
atrPeriod2 = input.int(161) // Long ATR (2-5000)
candleColor = input.color(color.yellow) // Highlight color
```
---
### **💡 Practical Use Cases**
1. **Breakout Anticipation**
- Tight ranges after volatility spikes often precede strong moves
2. **Session Scalping**
- Identify low-range opens for mean-reversion plays
3. **Volatility Filtering**
- Avoid trading when ATR thresholds aren't met
---
### **📈 Suggested Settings**
| **Market** | **Max Ticks** | **ATR Periods** |
|------------------|--------------|----------------|
| Forex (EUR/USD) | 100-200 | 14/161 |
| Stocks (SPY) | 50-120 | 10/200 |
| Crypto (BTC) | 300-500 | 20/100 |
---
### **✅ Benefits**
- **Precision Timing**: Focused on NY open liquidity surge
- **Quantitative Filtering**: Exact tick measurement + volatility thresholds
- **Clean Visuals**: No chart clutter - only marks qualifying candles
- **Adaptable**: Works across all markets and timeframes
This system helps traders spot high-probability breakout setups by combining volatility anticipation with precise range measurement at the market's most liquid opening window.
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Session VWAPsThis indicator plots volume-weighted average price (VWAP) lines for three major trading sessions: Tokyo, London, and New York. Each VWAP resets at the start of its session and tracks the average price weighted by volume during that window. You can choose the exact session times, turn individual sessions on or off, and optionally extend each VWAP line until the end of the trading day.
It’s designed to give you a clear view of how price is behaving relative to session-specific value areas. This can help in identifying session overlaps, shifts in price control, or whether price is holding above or below a particular session’s average. The indicator supports futures-style day rollovers and works across markets.
ICT All in One by GtraderICT All-in-One by GTrader – Description
This indicator is designed for traders who follow ICT or Smart Money Concepts. It helps you visualize key market sessions, time-based price levels, and structured macro behaviors in one clean and customizable tool.
The Killzone feature automatically draws session boxes for Asia, London, and New York (including AM, Lunch, and PM sessions). Each box can show the session name, high and low pivots, and can be customized with different colors, transparency levels, and labels.
You can also add horizontal lines at important times like the daily open or New York open. Up to five session open lines can be defined, each with customizable styles, colors, and optional text labels.
In addition, the indicator lets you display vertical time markers. These lines help you track key intraday moments such as killzone entries or important session changes. You can enable up to four of these, each with its own settings.
One of the most powerful features is the macro session tracker. This creates boxes during specific time windows where price action is monitored. It automatically draws the top and bottom price levels during that session and updates them live. It supports up to five macros and works best on lower timeframes like 1-minute, 3-minute, and 5-minute charts.
The entire script respects your selected timezone, so all sessions and times are adjusted accordingly. Everything is customizable—from label sizes and colors to how many days of drawings are shown on your chart.
This script is ideal for traders who rely on time-of-day behavior, structured price action, and ICT methodologies.
Simple DCA Strategy----
### 📌 **Simple DCA Strategy with Backtest Date Filter**
This strategy implements a **Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)** approach for long positions, including:
* ✅ **Base Order Entry:** Starts a position with a fixed dollar amount when no position is open.
* 🔁 **Safety Orders:** Buys additional positions when the price drops by a defined percentage, increasing position size with each new entry using a multiplier.
* 🎯 **Take Profit Exit:** Closes all positions when the price reaches a profit target (in % above average entry).
* 🗓️ **Backtest Date Range:** Allows users to specify a custom start and optional end date to run the strategy only within that time window.
* 📊 **Plots:** Visualizes average entry, take profit level, and safety order trigger line.
#### ⚙️ Customizable Inputs:
* Base Order Size (\$)
* Price Deviation for Safety Orders (%)
* Maximum Safety Orders
* Order Size Multiplier
* Take Profit Target (%)
* Start and End Dates for Backtesting
This is a **long-only strategy** and is best used for backtesting performance of DCA-style accumulation under different market conditions.
----
Institutional Sessions Overlay (Asia/London/NY)Institutional Sessions Overlay is a professional TradingView indicator that visually highlights the main trading sessions (Asia, London, and New York) directly on your chart.
Customizable: Easily adjust session start and end times (including minutes) for each market.
Timezone Alignment: Shift session boxes using the timezone offset parameter so sessions match your chart’s timezone exactly.
Clear Visuals: Colored boxes and optional labels display session opens and closes for fast institutional market structure reference.
Toggle Labels: Show or hide session open/close labels with a single click for a clean or detailed look.
Intuitive UI: User-friendly grouped settings for efficient configuration.
This tool is designed for day traders, institutional traders, and anyone who wants to instantly recognize global session timing and ranges for SMC, ICT, and other session-based strategies.
How to use:
Set your chart to your local timezone.
Use the "Session timezone offset" setting if session boxes do not match actual session opens on your chart.
Adjust the hours and minutes for each session as needed.
Enable or disable labels in the “Display” settings group.
Tip: Use the overlay to spot session highs and lows, volatility windows, and institutional liquidity sweeps.
VisionThis indicator helps visually distinguish and analyze the Asian, London, and New York trading sessions. It's a great tool for intraday traders focusing on time-based liquidity zones.
🔧 Features:
Asian range box, London / New York high-low lines with distinct colors.
Customizable time windows, Asian range deviations and colors.
Gold Power Hours Strategy📈 Gold Power Hours Trading Strategy
Trade XAUUSD (Gold) or XAUEUR during the most volatile hours of the New York session, using momentum and trend confirmation, with session-specific risk/reward profiles.
✅ Strategy Rules
🕒 Valid Trading Times ("Power Hours"):
Trades are only taken during high-probability time windows on Tuesdays, Wednesdays, and Thursdays , corresponding to key New York session activity:
Morning Session:
08:00 – 11:00 (NY time)
Afternoon Session:
12:30 – 16:00
19:00 – 22:00
These times align with institutional activity and economic news releases.
📊 Technical Indicators Used:
50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA50):
Identifies the dominant market trend.
14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Measures market momentum with session-adjusted thresholds.
🟩 Buy Signal Criteria:
Price is above the 50-period SMA (bullish trend)
RSI is greater than:
60 during Morning Session
55 during Afternoon Session
Must be during a valid day (Tue–Thu) and Power Hour session
🟥 Sell Signal Criteria:
Price is below the 50-period SMA (bearish trend)
RSI is less than:
40 during Morning Session
45 during Afternoon Session
Must be during a valid day and Power Hour session
🎯 Trade Management Rules:
Morning Session (08:00–11:00)
Stop Loss (SL): 50 pips
Take Profit (TP): 150 pips
Risk–Reward Ratio: 1:3
Afternoon Session (12:30–16:00 & 19:00–22:00)
Stop Loss (SL): 50 pips
Take Profit (TP): up to 100 pips
Risk–Reward Ratio: up to 1:2
⚠️ TP is slightly reduced in the afternoon due to typically lower volatility compared to the morning session.
📺 Visuals & Alerts:
Buy signals: Green triangle plotted below the bar
Sell signals: Red triangle plotted above the bar
SMA50 line: Orange
Valid session background: Light pink
Alerts: Automatic alerts for buy/sell signals
Custom Daily Session Zones by KoenigseggCustom Daily Session Zones
🟣 Description
This indicator displays customizable trading session time zones as background highlights on your chart, on any timeframe you choose. The inline info tooltip provides the precise start and end times of the three largest market sessions—the US, the EU, and ASIA—for quick reference. It provides flexible control over session times for different days of the week, making it ideal for traders who need to visualize specific market hours or trading sessions.
🟣 Key Features
- Flexible Session Configuration: Set a common session time for all days or customize individual sessions for each day of the week
- Per-Day Control: Enable or disable sessions for specific days (Monday through Sunday)
- Color Customization: Choose unique colors for each day's session zones
- UTC Timezone Standard: All session times are defined in UTC to ensure consistency across charts
- Clean Visual Display: Non-intrusive background highlighting that doesn't interfere with price action
🟣 How to Use
- Common Session Mode: Use the default mode to apply the same session time across all enabled days
- Manual Per-Day Mode: Enable "Manual per-day sessions" to set different session times for each day
- Day Selection: Toggle individual days on/off based on your trading schedule
- Color Coding: Customize colors for each day to easily distinguish between different sessions
🟣 Technical Details
- Uses Pine Script v6 for optimal performance
- Implements proper session time detection using TradingView's built-in time functions
- Operates in UTC timezone for all session calculations
- Lightweight code that doesn't impact chart performance
🟣 Use Cases
- Highlight specific trading sessions (London, New York, Tokyo, etc.)
- Mark important market hours for your trading strategy
- Visualize different session overlaps
- Create custom trading time windows
- Track market activity during specific hours
🟣 Compatibility
- Works on all timeframes
- Compatible with all asset classes (Forex, Stocks, Crypto, Futures, etc.)
- Supports all TradingView chart types
- Responsive design that adapts to different screen sizes
🟣 Image Descriptions
- First Image (main image): Shows multiple New York Stock Exchange sessions from 1:30 p.m. to 8:00 p.m. (UTC), on the 15-minute timeframe, with each day’s zone colored differently to demonstrate the indicator’s customizable color settings.
- Second Image: A zoomed‑in fractal chart view of the same New York session on the 15-minute timeframe, illustrating how the background session zone appears even at higher detail levels.
Third Image: A close‑up of the New York session (1:30 p.m. to 8:00 p.m.) on the 3-minute timeframe, reaffirming the consistency of zone highlighting across different zoom levels.
🟣 Future Updates (v2)
In the next release, you’ll be able to define multiple session blocks per day—displaying two distinct colored zones within the same trading day. This will help you visualize when one market session ends and another begins without losing chart clarity.
🟣 Conclusion
This indicator is perfect for traders who need precise control over Market Session visualization and want to maintain a clean, professional chart appearance.
🟣 Disclaimer
This script is provided for educational and illustrative purposes only. It is not financial or trading advice, nor a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Always conduct your own research and consult a professional before making any trading decisions.
Candles by Day, Time, Month + StatsThis Pine Script allows you to filter and display candles based on:
📅 Specific days of the week
🕒 Custom intraday time ranges (e.g., 9:15 to 10:30)
📆 Selected months
📊 Shows stats for each filtered block:
🔼 Range (High – Low)
📏 Average candle body size
⚙️ Key Features:
✅ Filter by day, time, and month
🎛 Toggle to show/hide the stats label
🟩 Candles are drawn only for selected conditions
📍 Stats label is positioned above session high (adjustable)
⚠️ Important Setup Instructions:
✅ 1. Use it on a blank chart
To avoid overlaying with default candles:
Open the chart of your preferred symbol
Click on the chart type (top toolbar: "Candles", "Bars", etc.)
Select "Blank" from the dropdown (this will hide all native candles)
Apply this indicator
This ensures only the filtered candles from the script are visible.
Adjust for your local timezone
This script uses a hardcoded timezone: "Asia/Kolkata"
If you are in a different timezone, change it to your own (e.g. "America/New_York", "Europe/London", etc.) in all instances of:
time(timeframe.period, "Asia/Kolkata")
timestamp("Asia/Kolkata", ...)
Use Cases:
Opening range behavior on specific weekdays/months
Detecting market anomalies during exact windows
Building visual logs of preferred trade hours
Rolling Log Returns [BackQuant]Rolling Log Returns
The Rolling Log Returns indicator is a versatile tool designed to help traders, quants, and data-driven analysts evaluate the dynamics of price changes using logarithmic return analysis. Widely adopted in quantitative finance, log returns offer several mathematical and statistical advantages over simple returns, making them ideal for backtesting, portfolio optimization, volatility modeling, and risk management.
What Are Log Returns?
In quantitative finance, logarithmic returns are defined as:
ln(Pₜ / Pₜ₋₁)
or for rolling periods:
ln(Pₜ / Pₜ₋ₙ)
where P represents price and n is the rolling lookback window.
Log returns are preferred because:
They are time additive : returns over multiple periods can be summed.
They allow for easier statistical modeling , especially when assuming normally distributed returns.
They behave symmetrically for gains and losses, unlike arithmetic returns.
They normalize percentage changes, making cross-asset or cross-timeframe comparisons more consistent.
Indicator Overview
The Rolling Log Returns indicator computes log returns either on a standard (1-period) basis or using a rolling lookback period , allowing users to adapt it to short-term trading or long-term trend analysis.
It also supports a comparison series , enabling traders to compare the return structure of the main charted asset to another instrument (e.g., SPY, BTC, etc.).
Core Features
✅ Return Modes :
Normal Log Returns : Measures ln(price / price ), ideal for day-to-day return analysis.
Rolling Log Returns : Measures ln(price / price ), highlighting price drift over longer horizons.
✅ Comparison Support :
Compare log returns of the primary instrument to another symbol (like an index or ETF).
Useful for relative performance and market regime analysis .
✅ Moving Averages of Returns :
Smooth noisy return series with customizable MA types: SMA, EMA, WMA, RMA, and Linear Regression.
Applicable to both primary and comparison series.
✅ Conditional Coloring :
Returns > 0 are colored green ; returns < 0 are red .
Comparison series gets its own unique color scheme.
✅ Extreme Return Detection :
Highlight unusually large price moves using upper/lower thresholds.
Visually flags abnormal volatility events such as earnings surprises or macroeconomic shocks.
Quantitative Use Cases
🔍 Return Distribution Analysis :
Gain insight into the statistical properties of asset returns (e.g., skewness, kurtosis, tail behavior).
📉 Risk Management :
Use historical return outliers to define drawdown expectations, stress tests, or VaR simulations.
🔁 Strategy Backtesting :
Apply rolling log returns to momentum or mean-reversion models where compounding and consistent scaling matter.
📊 Market Regime Detection :
Identify periods of consistent overperformance/underperformance relative to a benchmark asset.
📈 Signal Engineering :
Incorporate return deltas, moving average crossover of returns, or threshold-based triggers into machine learning pipelines or rule-based systems.
Recommended Settings
Use Normal mode for high-frequency trading signals.
Use Rolling mode for swing or trend-following strategies.
Compare vs. a broad market index (e.g., SPY or QQQ ) to extract relative strength insights.
Set upper and lower thresholds around ±5% for spotting major volatility days.
Conclusion
The Rolling Log Returns indicator transforms raw price action into a statistically sound return series—equipping traders with a professional-grade lens into market behavior. Whether you're conducting exploratory data analysis, building factor models, or visually scanning for outliers, this indicator integrates seamlessly into a modern quant's toolbox.
Thursday High & Friday Low Breakout (Safe)This TradingView Pine Script indicator is designed to help traders visually track two key situational breakout patterns that occur across the Thursday–Monday trading window. Specifically, it detects:
Whether the high of Thursday has been taken out on Friday, and
Whether the low of Friday has been breached on Monday.
These conditions are based on commonly observed market behaviors where key highs and lows from the previous days often act as liquidity targets or decision points. By identifying these events, traders can better understand the unfolding market structure and anticipate potential follow-through or reversals.
The script stores Thursday's high and Friday's low at the close of each respective day and evaluates the breakout conditions in real-time as new bars are printed. When Friday’s price action exceeds Thursday’s high, an upward-pointing green triangle is plotted above the bar. Conversely, when Monday’s price breaks below Friday’s low, a red downward triangle is plotted below the bar.
Unlike scripts that rely on label.new (which can create compatibility issues on certain platforms or versions), this version uses plotshape() to ensure wide compatibility and reliable visual cues, even on older Pine Script environments. This makes it lightweight, robust, and ideal for traders who want a quick-glance tool without cluttering their charts.
The indicator is best used on 1H, 4H, or daily timeframes to clearly observe the Thursday–Friday–Monday structure. It works well in both trending and consolidating markets as a tool to mark potential liquidity sweeps or break-of-structure setups.
OPR Asia-New-York [Elykia]This Pine Script indicator, called "OPR Asia-New-York ", displays time-based boxes corresponding to two specific trading periods known as OPR (Opening Price Range):
🎯 Purpose of the Indicator:
To visualize two key market time windows (morning and afternoon) as extended boxes, helping with technical analysis around opening ranges.
🕒 Two sessions displayed as boxes:
🔹 Morning OPR:
Default: from 09:00 to 09:15 (configurable)
The box extends until 10:30.
It captures the highest and lowest candle within this interval.
🔸 Afternoon OPR:
Default: from 15:30 to 15:45
The box extends until 17:30.
Follows the same logic as the morning session.
⚙️ Dashboard Options:
Enable or disable the morning or afternoon box individually
Select the timezone (e.g., GMT+2)
Customize all colors (morning/afternoon boxes, median line)
Set your own start/end/extension times for each session
📦 Each box includes:
A colored rectangle showing the price range (high/low)
A dotted median line between the high and low
The box and line extend until the end time defined
🧠 Usefulness for Traders:
Identify liquidity zones or consolidation areas
Trade setups like liquidity grabs, breakouts, or fakeouts around the OPR
Align with ICT methods or scalping strategies based on session behavior
BTC/Fiat Divergence & Spread Monitor📄 BTC/Fiat Divergence & Spread Monitor
This indicator visualizes Bitcoin’s relative performance across multiple fiat currencies and highlights periods of unusual divergence. It helps traders assess which fiat pairs BTC has outperformed or underperformed over a configurable lookback period and monitor the dynamic spread between the strongest and weakest pairs.
Features:
Relative Performance Matrix:
Ranks BTC returns in 6 fiat pairs, displaying a color-coded table of percentage changes and ranks.
Divergence Spread Oscillator:
Calculates the spread between the top and bottom performing pairs and normalizes this using a Z-Score. The oscillator helps identify when fiat pricing divergence is unusually high or compressed.
Dynamic Smoothing:
Optional Hull Moving Average smoothing to reduce noise in the spread signal.
Customizable Inputs:
Lookback period for percent change.
Z-Score normalization window.
Smoothing length.
Symbol selection for each fiat pair.
Visual Mode Toggle:
Switch between relative performance lines and spread oscillator view.
Potential Use Cases:
Fiat Rotation:
Identify which fiat is relatively weak or strong to optimize your exit currency when taking BTC profits.
Volatility Detection:
Use the spread Z-Score to detect periods of high divergence across fiat pairs, signaling macro FX volatility or dislocations.
Regime Analysis:
Track when fiat spreads are converging or expanding, potentially signaling market regime shifts.
Risk Management:
When divergence is extreme (Z-Score > +1), consider reducing position sizing or waiting for reversion.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or asset. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial professional before making trading decisions. Use at your own risk.
Tip:
Experiment with different lookback periods and smoothing settings to adapt the indicator to your timeframe and trading style.
RSI Divergence (Nikko)RSI Divergence by Nikko
🧠 RSI Divergence Detector — Nikko Edition This script is an enhanced RSI Divergence detector built with Pine Script v6, modified for better visuals and practical usability. It uses linear regression to detect bullish and bearish divergences between the RSI and price action — one of the most reliable early signals in technical analysis.
✅ Improvements from the Original:
- Clean divergence lines using regression fitting.
- Optional label display to reduce clutter (Display Labels toggle).
- Adjustable line thickness (Display Line Width).
- A subtle heatmap background to highlight RSI overbought/oversold zones.
- Uses max accuracy with high calc_bars_count and custom extrapolation window.
🔍 How It Works: The script applies linear regression (least squares method) on both RSI data, and Price (close) data.
It then compares the direction of RSI vs. direction of Price over a set length. If price is making higher highs while RSI makes lower highs, it's a bearish divergence. If price is making lower lows while RSI makes higher lows, it's a bullish divergence. Additional filters (e.g., momentum and slope thresholds) are used to validate only strong divergences.
🔧 Input Parameters: RSI Length: The RSI period (default: 14). RSI Divergence Length: The lookback period for regression (default: 25). Source: Which price data to calculate RSI from (default: close). Display Labels: Show/hide “Bullish” or “Bearish” labels on the chart. Display Line Width: Adjusts how thick the plotted divergence lines appear.
📣 Alerts: Alerts are built-in for both RSI Buy (bullish divergence) and RSI Sell (bearish divergence) so you can use it in automation or notifications.
🚀 Personal Note: I’ve been using this script daily in my own trading, which is why I took time to improve both the logic and visual clarity. If you want a divergence tool that doesn't clutter your chart but gives strong signals, this might be what you're looking for.
Price-EMA Z-Score Backgroundhe “Price‑to‑EMA Z‑Score Background” indicator is designed to give you a clear, visual sense of when price has moved unusually far away from its smoothed trend, and to highlight those moments as potential overextension or mean‑reversion opportunities. Under the hood, it first computes a standard exponential moving average (EMA) of your chosen lookback length, then measures the raw difference between the current close and that EMA on every bar. To make that raw deviation comparable across different markets and timeframes, it converts the series of differences into a z‑score—subtracting the rolling mean of the deviations and dividing by their rolling standard deviation over a second lookback window.
Once you’ve normalized price‑to‑EMA distance into z‑score units, you can set two simple trigger levels: one upper threshold and one lower threshold. Whenever the z‑score climbs above the upper threshold, the chart background glows green, signaling that price is extended far above its EMA (and might be ripe for a pullback). Whenever the z‑score falls below the lower threshold, the background turns red, calling out an equally extreme move below the EMA (and a possible oversold bounce). Between those bands, no shading appears, letting you know price is trading within its “normal” range around the trend.
By adjusting the EMA period, the z‑score lookback, and the two trigger levels, you can dial in early warning signals (e.g. ±1 σ) or wait for very stretched moves (±2 σ or more). Used in concert with your favorite momentum or pattern tools—or even as a standalone visual cue—this simple background‑shading approach makes it easy to spot when a market is running too hot or too cold relative to its own recent average.
Simple Sessions & LevelsWhat this indicator does:
This script marks out two essential types of price levels for intraday and swing traders:
The high and low of a customizable 15-minute opening range after the market/session open.
The previous day’s high, midpoint (“halfback”), and low.
How it works:
The script lets you set the session start time (hour and minute) to match your market.
It then calculates the high and low of the first 15 minutes after the session opens and plots those as solid lines.
It also plots the prior day’s high, halfback (midpoint), and low on your chart for easy reference.
Each line and each label can be toggled on or off independently in the settings for maximum customization.
Colors for each level are also fully customizable.
How to use it:
Add the script to your chart.
Set the session start hour and minute to match the open of the market or instrument you trade.
Choose which levels and labels you want displayed by using the toggles in the settings.
The indicator will automatically draw the session range and prior day levels for you.
Use these lines as reference for key support, resistance, and potential trade entry/exit points.
What makes it unique and useful:
This tool combines a flexible session opening range with classic daily reference levels in one package. You have complete control over which levels and labels are shown, making it adaptable for any trading style. It’s especially useful for day traders who want to quickly identify volatility windows and the most important price levels from the previous session.
Rolling VWAP LevelsRolling VWAP Levels Indicator
Overview
Dynamic horizontal lines showing rolling Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) levels for multiple timeframes (7D, 30D, 90D, 365D) that update in real-time as new bars form.
Who This Is For
Day traders using VWAP as support/resistance
Swing traders analyzing multi-timeframe price structure
Scalpers looking for mean reversion entries
Options traders needing volatility bands for strike selection
Institutional traders tracking volume-weighted fair value
Risk managers requiring dynamic stop levels
How To Trade With It
Mean Reversion Strategies:
Buy when price is below VWAP and showing bullish divergence
Sell when price is above VWAP and showing bearish signals
Use multiple timeframes - enter on shorter, confirm on longer
Target opposite VWAP level for profit taking
Breakout Trading:
Watch for price breaking above/below key VWAP levels with volume
Use 7D VWAP for intraday breakouts
Use 30D/90D VWAP for swing trade breakouts
Confirm breakout with move beyond first standard deviation band
Support/Resistance Trading:
VWAP levels act as dynamic support in uptrends
VWAP levels act as dynamic resistance in downtrends
Multiple timeframe VWAP confluence creates stronger levels
Use standard deviation bands as additional S/R zones
Risk Management:
Place stops beyond next VWAP level
Use standard deviation bands for position sizing
Exit partial positions at VWAP levels
Monitor distance table for overextended moves
Key Features
Real-time Updates: Lines move and extend as new bars form
Individual Styling: Custom colors, widths, styles for each timeframe
Standard Deviation Bands: Optional volatility bands with custom multipliers
Smart Labels: Positioned above, below, or diagonally relative to lines
Distance Table: Shows percentage distance from each VWAP level
Alert System: Get notified when price crosses VWAP levels
Memory Efficient: Automatically cleans up old drawing objects
Settings Explained
Display Group: Show/hide labels, font size, line transparency, positioning
Individual VWAP Groups: Color, line width (1-5), line style for each timeframe
Standard Deviation Bands: Enable bands with custom multipliers (0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, etc.)
Labels Group: Position (8 options including diagonal), custom text, price display
Additional Info: Distance table, alert conditions
Technical Implementation
Uses rolling arrays to maintain sliding windows of price*volume data. The core calculation function processes both VWAP and standard deviation efficiently. Lines are created dynamically and updated every bar. Memory management prevents object accumulation through automatic cleanup.
Best Practices
Start with 7D and 30D VWAP for most strategies
Add 90D/365D for longer-term context
Use standard deviation bands when volatility matters
Position labels to avoid chart clutter
Enable distance table during high volatility periods
Set alerts for key VWAP level breaks
Market Applications
Forex: Major pairs during London/NY sessions
Stocks: Large cap names with good volume
Crypto: Bitcoin, Ethereum, major altcoins
Futures: ES, NQ, CL, GC with continuous volume
Options: Use SD bands for strike selection and volatility assessment
Adaptive Cycle Oscillator with EMADescription of the Adaptive Cycle Oscillator with EMA Pine Script
This Pine Script, titled "Adaptive Cycle Oscillator with EMA", is a custom technical indicator designed for TradingView to help traders analyze market cycles and identify potential buy or sell opportunities. It combines an Adaptive Cycle Oscillator (ACO) with multiple Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), displayed as colorful, wavy lines, and includes features like buy/sell signals and divergence detection. Below is a beginner-friendly explanation of how the script works, adhering to TradingView's Script Publishing Rules.
What This Indicator Does
The Adaptive Cycle Oscillator with EMA helps you:
Visualize market cycles using an oscillator that adapts to price movements.
Track trends with seven EMAs of different lengths, plotted as a rainbow of wavy lines.
Identify potential buy or sell signals when the oscillator crosses predefined thresholds.
Spot divergences between the oscillator and price to anticipate reversals.
Use customizable settings to adjust the indicator to your trading style.
Note: This is a technical analysis tool and does not guarantee profits. Always combine it with other analysis methods and practice risk management.
Step-by-Step Explanation for New Users
1. Understanding the Indicator
Adaptive Cycle Oscillator (ACO): The ACO analyzes price data (based on high, low, and close prices, or HLC3) to detect market cycles. It smooths price movements to create an oscillator that swings between overbought and oversold levels.
EMAs: Seven EMAs of different lengths are applied to the ACO and scaled based on the market's dominant cycle. These EMAs are plotted as colorful, wavy lines to show trend direction.
Buy/Sell Signals: The script generates signals when the ACO crosses above or below user-defined thresholds, indicating potential entry or exit points.
Divergence Detection: The script identifies bullish or bearish divergences between the ACO and the fastest EMA, which may signal potential reversals.
Visual Style: The indicator uses a rainbow of seven colors (red, orange, yellow, green, blue, indigo, violet) for the EMAs, with wavy lines for a unique visual effect. Static levels (zero, overbought, oversold) are also wavy for consistency.
2. How to Add the Indicator to Your Chart
Open TradingView and load the chart of any asset (e.g., stock, forex, crypto).
Click on the Indicators button at the top of the chart.
Search for "Adaptive Cycle Oscillator with EMA" (or paste the script into TradingView’s Pine Editor if you have access to it).
Click to add the indicator to your chart. It will appear in a separate panel below the price chart.
3. Customizing the Indicator
The script offers several input options to tailor it to your needs:
Base Cycle Length (Default: 20): Sets the initial period for calculating the dominant cycle. Higher values make the indicator slower; lower values make it more sensitive.
Alpha Smoothing (Default: 0.07): Controls how much the ACO smooths price data. Smaller values produce smoother results.
Show Buy/Sell Signals (Default: True): Toggle to display green triangles (buy) and red triangles (sell) on the chart.
Threshold (Default: 0.0): Defines overbought (above threshold) and oversold (below threshold) levels. Adjust to widen or narrow signal zones.
EMA Base Length (Default: 10): Sets the starting length for the fastest EMA. Other EMAs are incrementally longer (12, 14, 16, etc.).
Divergence Lookback (Default: 14): Determines how far back the script looks to detect divergences.
To adjust these:
Right-click the indicator on your chart and select Settings.
Modify the inputs in the pop-up window.
Click OK to apply changes.
4. Reading the Indicator
Oscillator and EMAs: The ACO and seven EMAs are plotted in a separate panel. The EMAs (colored lines) move in a wavy pattern:
Red (fastest) to Violet (slowest) represent different response speeds.
When the faster EMAs (e.g., red, orange) are above slower ones (e.g., blue, violet), it suggests bullish momentum, and vice versa.
Zero Line: A gray wavy line at zero acts as a neutral level. The ACO above zero indicates bullish conditions; below zero indicates bearish conditions.
Overbought/Oversold Lines: Red (overbought) and green (oversold) wavy lines mark threshold levels. Extreme ACO values near these lines may suggest reversals.
Buy/Sell Signals:
Green Triangle (Bottom): Appears when the ACO crosses above the oversold threshold, suggesting a potential buy.
Red Triangle (Top): Appears when the ACO crosses below the overbought threshold, suggesting a potential sell.
Divergences:
Green Triangle (Bottom): Indicates a bullish divergence (price makes a lower low, but the EMA makes a higher low), hinting at a potential upward reversal.
Red Triangle (Top): Indicates a bearish divergence (price makes a higher high, but the EMA makes a lower high), hinting at a potential downward reversal.
5. Using Alerts
You can set alerts for key events:
Right-click the indicator and select Add Alert.
Choose a condition (e.g., "ACO Buy Signal", "Bullish Divergence").
Configure the alert settings (e.g., notify via email, app, or pop-up).
Click Create to activate the alert.
Available alert conditions:
ACO Buy Signal: When the ACO crosses above the oversold threshold.
ACO Sell Signal: When the ACO crosses below the overbought threshold.
Bullish Divergence: When a potential upward reversal is detected.
Bearish Divergence: When a potential downward reversal is detected.
6. Tips for Using the Indicator
Combine with Other Tools: Use the indicator alongside support/resistance levels, candlestick patterns, or other indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) for confirmation.
Test on Different Timeframes: The indicator works on any timeframe (e.g., 1-minute, daily). Shorter timeframes may produce more signals but with more noise.
Practice Risk Management: Never rely solely on this indicator. Set stop-losses and position sizes to manage risk.
Backtest First: Use TradingView’s Strategy Tester (if you convert the script to a strategy) to evaluate performance on historical data.
Compliance with TradingView’s Script Publishing Rules
This description adheres to TradingView’s Script Publishing Rules (as outlined in the provided link):
No Performance Claims: The description avoids promising profits or specific results, emphasizing that the indicator is a tool for analysis.
Clear Instructions: It provides step-by-step guidance for adding, customizing, and using the indicator.
Risk Disclaimer: It notes that trading involves risks and the indicator should be used with other analysis methods.
No Misleading Terms: Terms like “buy” and “sell” are used to describe signals, not guaranteed actions.
Transparency: The description explains the indicator’s components (ACO, EMAs, signals, divergences) without exaggerating its capabilities.
No External Links: The description avoids linking to external resources or soliciting users.
Educational Tone: It focuses on educating users about the indicator’s functionality.
Limitations
Not a Standalone System: The indicator is not a complete trading strategy. It provides insights but requires additional analysis.
Lagging Nature: As with most oscillators and EMAs, signals may lag behind price movements, especially in fast markets.
False Signals: Signals and divergences may not always lead to successful trades, particularly in choppy markets.
Market Dependency: Performance varies across assets and market conditions (e.g., trending vs. ranging markets).
Intermarket Correlation Oscillator (ICO)The Intermarket Correlation Oscillator (ICO) is a TradingView indicator that helps traders analyze the relationship between two assets, such as stocks, indices, or cryptocurrencies, by measuring their price correlation. It displays this correlation as an oscillator ranging from -1 to +1, making it easy to spot whether the assets move together, oppositely, or independently. A value near +1 indicates strong positive correlation (assets move in the same direction), near -1 shows strong negative correlation (opposite movements), and near 0 suggests no correlation. This tool is ideal for confirming trends, spotting divergences, or identifying hedging opportunities across markets.
How It Works?
The ICO calculates the Pearson correlation coefficient between the chart’s primary asset (e.g., Apple stock) and a secondary asset you choose (e.g., SPY for the S&P 500) over a specified number of bars (default: 20). The oscillator is plotted in a separate pane below the chart, with key levels at +0.8 (overbought, strong positive correlation) and -0.8 (oversold, strong negative correlation). A midline at 0 helps gauge neutral correlation. When the oscillator crosses these levels or the midline, labels ("OB" for overbought, "OS" for oversold) and alerts notify you of significant shifts. Shaded zones highlight extreme correlations (red for overbought, green for oversold) if enabled.
Why Use the ICO?
Trend Confirmation: High positive correlation (e.g., SPY and QQQ both rising) confirms market trends.
Divergence Detection: Negative correlation (e.g., DXY rising while stocks fall) signals potential reversals.
Hedging: Identify negatively correlated assets to balance your portfolio.
Market Insights: Understand how assets like stocks, bonds, or crypto interact.
Easy Steps to Use the ICO in TradingView
Add the Indicator:
Open TradingView and load your chart (e.g., AAPL on a daily timeframe).
Go to the Pine Editor at the bottom of the TradingView window.
Copy and paste the ICO script provided earlier.
Click "Add to Chart" to display the oscillator below your price chart.
Configure Settings:
Click the gear icon next to the indicator’s name in the chart pane to open settings.
Secondary Symbol: Choose an asset to compare with your chart’s symbol (e.g., "SPY" for S&P 500, "DXY" for USD Index, or "BTCUSD" for Bitcoin). Default is SPY.
Correlation Lookback Period: Set the number of bars for calculation (default: 20). Use 10-14 for short-term trading or 50 for longer-term analysis.
Overbought/Oversold Levels: Adjust thresholds (default: +0.8 for overbought, -0.8 for oversold) to suit your strategy. Lower values (e.g., ±0.7) give more signals.
Show Midline/Zones: Check boxes to display the zero line and shaded overbought/oversold zones for visual clarity.
Interpret the Oscillator:
Above +0.8: Strong positive correlation (red zone). Assets move together.
Below -0.8: Strong negative correlation (green zone). Assets move oppositely.
Near 0: No clear relationship (midline reference).
Labels: "OB" or "OS" appears when crossing overbought/oversold levels, signaling potential correlation shifts.
Set Up Alerts:
Right-click the indicator, select "Add Alert."
Choose conditions like "Overbought Alert" (crossing above +0.8), "Oversold Alert" (crossing below -0.8), or zero-line crossings for bullish/bearish correlation shifts.
Configure notifications (e.g., email, SMS) to stay informed.
Apply to Trading:
Use positive correlation to confirm trades (e.g., buy AAPL if SPY is rising and correlation is high).
Spot divergences for reversals (e.g., stocks dropping while DXY rises with negative correlation).
Combine with other indicators like RSI or moving averages for stronger signals.
Tips for New Users
Start with related assets (e.g., SPY and QQQ for tech stocks) to see clear correlations.
Test on a demo account to understand signals before trading live.
Be aware that correlation is a lagging indicator; confirm signals with price action.
If the secondary symbol doesn’t load, ensure it’s valid on TradingView (e.g., use correct ticker format).
The ICO is a powerful, beginner-friendly tool to explore intermarket relationships, enhancing your trading decisions with clear visual cues and alerts.
Advanced Fed Decision Forecast Model (AFDFM)The Advanced Fed Decision Forecast Model (AFDFM) represents a novel quantitative framework for predicting Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions through multi-factor fundamental analysis. This model synthesizes established monetary policy rules with real-time economic indicators to generate probabilistic forecasts of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decisions. Building upon seminal work by Taylor (1993) and incorporating recent advances in data-dependent monetary policy analysis, the AFDFM provides institutional-grade decision support for monetary policy analysis.
## 1. Introduction
Central bank communication and policy predictability have become increasingly important in modern monetary economics (Blinder et al., 2008). The Federal Reserve's dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment, coupled with evolving economic conditions, creates complex decision-making environments that traditional models struggle to capture comprehensively (Yellen, 2017).
The AFDFM addresses this challenge by implementing a multi-dimensional approach that combines:
- Classical monetary policy rules (Taylor Rule framework)
- Real-time macroeconomic indicators from FRED database
- Financial market conditions and term structure analysis
- Labor market dynamics and inflation expectations
- Regime-dependent parameter adjustments
This methodology builds upon extensive academic literature while incorporating practical insights from Federal Reserve communications and FOMC meeting minutes.
## 2. Literature Review and Theoretical Foundation
### 2.1 Taylor Rule Framework
The foundational work of Taylor (1993) established the empirical relationship between federal funds rate decisions and economic fundamentals:
rt = r + πt + α(πt - π) + β(yt - y)
Where:
- rt = nominal federal funds rate
- r = equilibrium real interest rate
- πt = inflation rate
- π = inflation target
- yt - y = output gap
- α, β = policy response coefficients
Extensive empirical validation has demonstrated the Taylor Rule's explanatory power across different monetary policy regimes (Clarida et al., 1999; Orphanides, 2003). Recent research by Bernanke (2015) emphasizes the rule's continued relevance while acknowledging the need for dynamic adjustments based on financial conditions.
### 2.2 Data-Dependent Monetary Policy
The evolution toward data-dependent monetary policy, as articulated by Fed Chair Powell (2024), requires sophisticated frameworks that can process multiple economic indicators simultaneously. Clarida (2019) demonstrates that modern monetary policy transcends simple rules, incorporating forward-looking assessments of economic conditions.
### 2.3 Financial Conditions and Monetary Transmission
The Chicago Fed's National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) research demonstrates the critical role of financial conditions in monetary policy transmission (Brave & Butters, 2011). Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions Index studies similarly show how credit markets, term structure, and volatility measures influence Fed decision-making (Hatzius et al., 2010).
### 2.4 Labor Market Indicators
The dual mandate framework requires sophisticated analysis of labor market conditions beyond simple unemployment rates. Daly et al. (2012) demonstrate the importance of job openings data (JOLTS) and wage growth indicators in Fed communications. Recent research by Aaronson et al. (2019) shows how the Beveridge curve relationship influences FOMC assessments.
## 3. Methodology
### 3.1 Model Architecture
The AFDFM employs a six-component scoring system that aggregates fundamental indicators into a composite Fed decision index:
#### Component 1: Taylor Rule Analysis (Weight: 25%)
Implements real-time Taylor Rule calculation using FRED data:
- Core PCE inflation (Fed's preferred measure)
- Unemployment gap proxy for output gap
- Dynamic neutral rate estimation
- Regime-dependent parameter adjustments
#### Component 2: Employment Conditions (Weight: 20%)
Multi-dimensional labor market assessment:
- Unemployment gap relative to NAIRU estimates
- JOLTS job openings momentum
- Average hourly earnings growth
- Beveridge curve position analysis
#### Component 3: Financial Conditions (Weight: 18%)
Comprehensive financial market evaluation:
- Chicago Fed NFCI real-time data
- Yield curve shape and term structure
- Credit growth and lending conditions
- Market volatility and risk premia
#### Component 4: Inflation Expectations (Weight: 15%)
Forward-looking inflation analysis:
- TIPS breakeven inflation rates (5Y, 10Y)
- Market-based inflation expectations
- Inflation momentum and persistence measures
- Phillips curve relationship dynamics
#### Component 5: Growth Momentum (Weight: 12%)
Real economic activity assessment:
- Real GDP growth trends
- Economic momentum indicators
- Business cycle position analysis
- Sectoral growth distribution
#### Component 6: Liquidity Conditions (Weight: 10%)
Monetary aggregates and credit analysis:
- M2 money supply growth
- Commercial and industrial lending
- Bank lending standards surveys
- Quantitative easing effects assessment
### 3.2 Normalization and Scaling
Each component undergoes robust statistical normalization using rolling z-score methodology:
Zi,t = (Xi,t - μi,t-n) / σi,t-n
Where:
- Xi,t = raw indicator value
- μi,t-n = rolling mean over n periods
- σi,t-n = rolling standard deviation over n periods
- Z-scores bounded at ±3 to prevent outlier distortion
### 3.3 Regime Detection and Adaptation
The model incorporates dynamic regime detection based on:
- Policy volatility measures
- Market stress indicators (VIX-based)
- Fed communication tone analysis
- Crisis sensitivity parameters
Regime classifications:
1. Crisis: Emergency policy measures likely
2. Tightening: Restrictive monetary policy cycle
3. Easing: Accommodative monetary policy cycle
4. Neutral: Stable policy maintenance
### 3.4 Composite Index Construction
The final AFDFM index combines weighted components:
AFDFMt = Σ wi × Zi,t × Rt
Where:
- wi = component weights (research-calibrated)
- Zi,t = normalized component scores
- Rt = regime multiplier (1.0-1.5)
Index scaled to range for intuitive interpretation.
### 3.5 Decision Probability Calculation
Fed decision probabilities derived through empirical mapping:
P(Cut) = max(0, (Tdovish - AFDFMt) / |Tdovish| × 100)
P(Hike) = max(0, (AFDFMt - Thawkish) / Thawkish × 100)
P(Hold) = 100 - |AFDFMt| × 15
Where Thawkish = +2.0 and Tdovish = -2.0 (empirically calibrated thresholds).
## 4. Data Sources and Real-Time Implementation
### 4.1 FRED Database Integration
- Core PCE Price Index (CPILFESL): Monthly, seasonally adjusted
- Unemployment Rate (UNRATE): Monthly, seasonally adjusted
- Real GDP (GDPC1): Quarterly, seasonally adjusted annual rate
- Federal Funds Rate (FEDFUNDS): Monthly average
- Treasury Yields (GS2, GS10): Daily constant maturity
- TIPS Breakeven Rates (T5YIE, T10YIE): Daily market data
### 4.2 High-Frequency Financial Data
- Chicago Fed NFCI: Weekly financial conditions
- JOLTS Job Openings (JTSJOL): Monthly labor market data
- Average Hourly Earnings (AHETPI): Monthly wage data
- M2 Money Supply (M2SL): Monthly monetary aggregates
- Commercial Loans (BUSLOANS): Weekly credit data
### 4.3 Market-Based Indicators
- VIX Index: Real-time volatility measure
- S&P; 500: Market sentiment proxy
- DXY Index: Dollar strength indicator
## 5. Model Validation and Performance
### 5.1 Historical Backtesting (2017-2024)
Comprehensive backtesting across multiple Fed policy cycles demonstrates:
- Signal Accuracy: 78% correct directional predictions
- Timing Precision: 2.3 meetings average lead time
- Crisis Detection: 100% accuracy in identifying emergency measures
- False Signal Rate: 12% (within acceptable research parameters)
### 5.2 Regime-Specific Performance
Tightening Cycles (2017-2018, 2022-2023):
- Hawkish signal accuracy: 82%
- Average prediction lead: 1.8 meetings
- False positive rate: 8%
Easing Cycles (2019, 2020, 2024):
- Dovish signal accuracy: 85%
- Average prediction lead: 2.1 meetings
- Crisis mode detection: 100%
Neutral Periods:
- Hold prediction accuracy: 73%
- Regime stability detection: 89%
### 5.3 Comparative Analysis
AFDFM performance compared to alternative methods:
- Fed Funds Futures: Similar accuracy, lower lead time
- Economic Surveys: Higher accuracy, comparable timing
- Simple Taylor Rule: Lower accuracy, insufficient complexity
- Market-Based Models: Similar performance, higher volatility
## 6. Practical Applications and Use Cases
### 6.1 Institutional Investment Management
- Fixed Income Portfolio Positioning: Duration and curve strategies
- Currency Trading: Dollar-based carry trade optimization
- Risk Management: Interest rate exposure hedging
- Asset Allocation: Regime-based tactical allocation
### 6.2 Corporate Treasury Management
- Debt Issuance Timing: Optimal financing windows
- Interest Rate Hedging: Derivative strategy implementation
- Cash Management: Short-term investment decisions
- Capital Structure Planning: Long-term financing optimization
### 6.3 Academic Research Applications
- Monetary Policy Analysis: Fed behavior studies
- Market Efficiency Research: Information incorporation speed
- Economic Forecasting: Multi-factor model validation
- Policy Impact Assessment: Transmission mechanism analysis
## 7. Model Limitations and Risk Factors
### 7.1 Data Dependency
- Revision Risk: Economic data subject to subsequent revisions
- Availability Lag: Some indicators released with delays
- Quality Variations: Market disruptions affect data reliability
- Structural Breaks: Economic relationship changes over time
### 7.2 Model Assumptions
- Linear Relationships: Complex non-linear dynamics simplified
- Parameter Stability: Component weights may require recalibration
- Regime Classification: Subjective threshold determinations
- Market Efficiency: Assumes rational information processing
### 7.3 Implementation Risks
- Technology Dependence: Real-time data feed requirements
- Complexity Management: Multi-component coordination challenges
- User Interpretation: Requires sophisticated economic understanding
- Regulatory Changes: Fed framework evolution may require updates
## 8. Future Research Directions
### 8.1 Machine Learning Integration
- Neural Network Enhancement: Deep learning pattern recognition
- Natural Language Processing: Fed communication sentiment analysis
- Ensemble Methods: Multiple model combination strategies
- Adaptive Learning: Dynamic parameter optimization
### 8.2 International Expansion
- Multi-Central Bank Models: ECB, BOJ, BOE integration
- Cross-Border Spillovers: International policy coordination
- Currency Impact Analysis: Global monetary policy effects
- Emerging Market Extensions: Developing economy applications
### 8.3 Alternative Data Sources
- Satellite Economic Data: Real-time activity measurement
- Social Media Sentiment: Public opinion incorporation
- Corporate Earnings Calls: Forward-looking indicator extraction
- High-Frequency Transaction Data: Market microstructure analysis
## References
Aaronson, S., Daly, M. C., Wascher, W. L., & Wilcox, D. W. (2019). Okun revisited: Who benefits most from a strong economy? Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2019(1), 333-404.
Bernanke, B. S. (2015). The Taylor rule: A benchmark for monetary policy? Brookings Institution Blog. Retrieved from www.brookings.edu
Blinder, A. S., Ehrmann, M., Fratzscher, M., De Haan, J., & Jansen, D. J. (2008). Central bank communication and monetary policy: A survey of theory and evidence. Journal of Economic Literature, 46(4), 910-945.
Brave, S., & Butters, R. A. (2011). Monitoring financial stability: A financial conditions index approach. Economic Perspectives, 35(1), 22-43.
Clarida, R., Galí, J., & Gertler, M. (1999). The science of monetary policy: A new Keynesian perspective. Journal of Economic Literature, 37(4), 1661-1707.
Clarida, R. H. (2019). The Federal Reserve's monetary policy response to COVID-19. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2020(2), 1-52.
Clarida, R. H. (2025). Modern monetary policy rules and Fed decision-making. American Economic Review, 115(2), 445-478.
Daly, M. C., Hobijn, B., Şahin, A., & Valletta, R. G. (2012). A search and matching approach to labor markets: Did the natural rate of unemployment rise? Journal of Economic Perspectives, 26(3), 3-26.
Federal Reserve. (2024). Monetary Policy Report. Washington, DC: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Hatzius, J., Hooper, P., Mishkin, F. S., Schoenholtz, K. L., & Watson, M. W. (2010). Financial conditions indexes: A fresh look after the financial crisis. National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper, No. 16150.
Orphanides, A. (2003). Historical monetary policy analysis and the Taylor rule. Journal of Monetary Economics, 50(5), 983-1022.
Powell, J. H. (2024). Data-dependent monetary policy in practice. Federal Reserve Board Speech. Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
Taylor, J. B. (1993). Discretion versus policy rules in practice. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 39, 195-214.
Yellen, J. L. (2017). The goals of monetary policy and how we pursue them. Federal Reserve Board Speech. University of California, Berkeley.
---
Disclaimer: This model is designed for educational and research purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The academic research cited provides theoretical foundation but does not constitute investment advice. Federal Reserve policy decisions involve complex considerations beyond the scope of any quantitative model.
Citation: EdgeTools Research Team. (2025). Advanced Fed Decision Forecast Model (AFDFM) - Scientific Documentation. EdgeTools Quantitative Research Series
Trend Gauge [BullByte]Trend Gauge
Summary
A multi-factor trend detection indicator that aggregates EMA alignment, VWMA momentum scaling, volume spikes, ATR breakout strength, higher-timeframe confirmation, ADX-based regime filtering, and RSI pivot-divergence penalty into one normalized trend score. It also provides a confidence meter, a Δ Score momentum histogram, divergence highlights, and a compact, scalable dashboard for at-a-glance status.
________________________________________
## 1. Purpose of the Indicator
Why this was built
Traders often monitor several indicators in parallel - EMAs, volume signals, volatility breakouts, higher-timeframe trends, ADX readings, divergence alerts, etc., which can be cumbersome and sometimes contradictory. The “Trend Gauge” indicator was created to consolidate these complementary checks into a single, normalized score that reflects the prevailing market bias (bullish, bearish, or neutral) and its strength. By combining multiple inputs with an adaptive regime filter, scaling contributions by magnitude, and penalizing weakening signals (divergence), this tool aims to reduce noise, highlight genuine trend opportunities, and warn when momentum fades.
Key Design Goals
Signal Aggregation
Merged trend-following signals (EMA crossover, ATR breakout, higher-timeframe confirmation) and momentum signals (VWMA thrust, volume spikes) into a unified score that reflects directional bias more holistically.
Market Regime Awareness
Implemented an ADX-style filter to distinguish between trending and ranging markets, reducing the influence of trend signals during sideways phases to avoid false breakouts.
Magnitude-Based Scaling
Replaced binary contributions with scaled inputs: VWMA thrust and ATR breakout are weighted relative to recent averages, allowing for more nuanced score adjustments based on signal strength.
Momentum Divergence Penalty
Integrated pivot-based RSI divergence detection to slightly reduce the overall score when early signs of momentum weakening are detected, improving risk-awareness in entries.
Confidence Transparency
Added a live confidence metric that shows what percentage of enabled sub-indicators currently agree with the overall bias, making the scoring system more interpretable.
Momentum Acceleration Visualization
Plotted the change in score (Δ Score) as a histogram bar-to-bar, highlighting whether momentum is increasing, flattening, or reversing, aiding in more timely decision-making.
Compact Informational Dashboard
Presented a clean, scalable dashboard that displays each component’s status, the final score, confidence %, detected regime (Trending/Ranging), and a labeled strength gauge for quick visual assessment.
________________________________________
## 2. Why a Trader Should Use It
Main benefits and use cases
1. Unified View: Rather than juggling multiple windows or panels, this indicator delivers a single score synthesizing diverse signals.
2. Regime Filtering: In ranging markets, trend signals often generate false entries. The ADX-based regime filter automatically down-weights trend-following components, helping you avoid chasing false breakouts.
3. Nuanced Momentum & Volatility: VWMA and ATR breakout contributions are normalized by recent averages, so strong moves register strongly while smaller fluctuations are de-emphasized.
4. Early Warning of Weakening: Pivot-based RSI divergence is detected and used to slightly reduce the score when price/momentum diverges, giving a cautionary signal before a full reversal.
5. Confidence Meter: See at a glance how many sub-indicators align with the aggregated bias (e.g., “80% confidence” means 4 out of 5 components agree ). This transparency avoids black-box decisions.
6. Trend Acceleration/Deceleration View: The Δ Score histogram visualizes whether the aggregated score is rising (accelerating trend) or falling (momentum fading), supplementing the main oscillator.
7. Compact Dashboard: A corner table lists each check’s status (“Bull”, “Bear”, “Flat” or “Disabled”), plus overall Score, Confidence %, Regime, Trend Strength label, and a gauge bar. Users can scale text size (Normal, Small, Tiny) without removing elements, so the full picture remains visible even in compact layouts.
8. Customizable & Transparent: All components can be enabled/disabled and parameterized (lengths, thresholds, weights). The full Pine code is open and well-commented, letting users inspect or adapt the logic.
9. Alert-ready: Built-in alert conditions fire when the score crosses weak thresholds to bullish/bearish or returns to neutral, enabling timely notifications.
________________________________________
## 3. Component Rationale (“Why These Specific Indicators?”)
Each sub-component was chosen because it adds complementary information about trend or momentum:
1. EMA Cross
o Basic trend measure: compares a faster EMA vs. a slower EMA. Quickly reflects trend shifts but by itself can whipsaw in sideways markets.
2. VWMA Momentum
o Volume-weighted moving average change indicates momentum with volume context. By normalizing (dividing by a recent average absolute change), we capture the strength of momentum relative to recent history. This scaling prevents tiny moves from dominating and highlights genuinely strong momentum.
3. Volume Spikes
o Sudden jumps in volume combined with price movement often accompany stronger moves or reversals. A binary detection (+1 for bullish spike, -1 for bearish spike) flags high-conviction bars.
4. ATR Breakout
o Detects price breaking beyond recent highs/lows by a multiple of ATR. Measures breakout strength by how far beyond the threshold price moves relative to ATR, capped to avoid extreme outliers. This gives a volatility-contextual trend signal.
5. Higher-Timeframe EMA Alignment
o Confirms whether the shorter-term trend aligns with a higher timeframe trend. Uses request.security with lookahead_off to avoid future data. When multiple timeframes agree, confidence in direction increases.
6. ADX Regime Filter (Manual Calculation)
o Computes directional movement (+DM/–DM), smoothes via RMA, computes DI+ and DI–, then a DX and ADX-like value. If ADX ≥ threshold, market is “Trending” and trend components carry full weight; if ADX < threshold, “Ranging” mode applies a configurable weight multiplier (e.g., 0.5) to trend-based contributions, reducing false signals in sideways conditions. Volume spikes remain binary (optional behavior; can be adjusted if desired).
7. RSI Pivot-Divergence Penalty
o Uses ta.pivothigh / ta.pivotlow with a lookback to detect pivot highs/lows on price and corresponding RSI values. When price makes a higher high but RSI makes a lower high (bearish divergence), or price makes a lower low but RSI makes a higher low (bullish divergence), a divergence signal is set. Rather than flipping the trend outright, the indicator subtracts (or adds) a small penalty (configurable) from the aggregated score if it would weaken the current bias. This subtle adjustment warns of weakening momentum without overreacting to noise.
8. Confidence Meter
o Counts how many enabled components currently agree in direction with the aggregated score (i.e., component sign × score sign > 0). Displays this as a percentage. A high percentage indicates strong corroboration; a low percentage warns of mixed signals.
9. Δ Score Momentum View
o Plots the bar-to-bar change in the aggregated score (delta_score = score - score ) as a histogram. When positive, bars are drawn in green above zero; when negative, bars are drawn in red below zero. This reveals acceleration (rising Δ) or deceleration (falling Δ), supplementing the main oscillator.
10. Dashboard
• A table in the indicator pane’s top-right with 11 rows:
1. EMA Cross status
2. VWMA Momentum status
3. Volume Spike status
4. ATR Breakout status
5. Higher-Timeframe Trend status
6. Score (numeric)
7. Confidence %
8. Regime (“Trending” or “Ranging”)
9. Trend Strength label (e.g., “Weak Bullish Trend”, “Strong Bearish Trend”)
10. Gauge bar visually representing score magnitude
• All rows always present; size_opt (Normal, Small, Tiny) only changes text size via text_size, not which elements appear. This ensures full transparency.
________________________________________
## 4. What Makes This Indicator Stand Out
• Regime-Weighted Multi-Factor Score: Trend and momentum signals are adaptively weighted by market regime (trending vs. ranging) , reducing false signals.
• Magnitude Scaling: VWMA and ATR breakout contributions are normalized by recent average momentum or ATR, giving finer gradation compared to simple ±1.
• Integrated Divergence Penalty: Divergence directly adjusts the aggregated score rather than appearing as a separate subplot; this influences alerts and trend labeling in real time.
• Confidence Meter: Shows the percentage of sub-signals in agreement, providing transparency and preventing blind trust in a single metric.
• Δ Score Histogram Momentum View: A histogram highlights acceleration or deceleration of the aggregated trend score, helping detect shifts early.
• Flexible Dashboard: Always-visible component statuses and summary metrics in one place; text size scaling keeps the full picture available in cramped layouts.
• Lookahead-Safe HTF Confirmation: Uses lookahead_off so no future data is accessed from higher timeframes, avoiding repaint bias.
• Repaint Transparency: Divergence detection uses pivot functions that inherently confirm only after lookback bars; description documents this lag so users understand how and when divergence labels appear.
• Open-Source & Educational: Full, well-commented Pine v6 code is provided; users can learn from its structure: manual ADX computation, conditional plotting with series = show ? value : na, efficient use of table.new in barstate.islast, and grouped inputs with tooltips.
• Compliance-Conscious: All plots have descriptive titles; inputs use clear names; no unnamed generic “Plot” entries; manual ADX uses RMA; all request.security calls use lookahead_off. Code comments mention repaint behavior and limitations.
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## 5. Recommended Timeframes & Tuning
• Any Timeframe: The indicator works on small (e.g., 1m) to large (daily, weekly) timeframes. However:
o On very low timeframes (<1m or tick charts), noise may produce frequent whipsaws. Consider increasing smoothing lengths, disabling certain components (e.g., volume spike if volume data noisy), or using a larger pivot lookback for divergence.
o On higher timeframes (daily, weekly), consider longer lookbacks for ATR breakout or divergence, and set Higher-Timeframe trend appropriately (e.g., 4H HTF when on 5 Min chart).
• Defaults & Experimentation: Default input values are chosen to be balanced for many liquid markets. Users should test with replay or historical analysis on their symbol/timeframe and adjust:
o ADX threshold (e.g., 20–30) based on instrument volatility.
o VWMA and ATR scaling lengths to match average volatility cycles.
o Pivot lookback for divergence: shorter for faster markets, longer for slower ones.
• Combining with Other Analysis: Use in conjunction with price action, support/resistance, candlestick patterns, order flow, or other tools as desired. The aggregated score and alerts can guide attention but should not be the sole decision-factor.
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## 6. How Scoring and Logic Works (Step-by-Step)
1. Compute Sub-Scores
o EMA Cross: Evaluate fast EMA > slow EMA ? +1 : fast EMA < slow EMA ? -1 : 0.
o VWMA Momentum: Calculate vwma = ta.vwma(close, length), then vwma_mom = vwma - vwma . Normalize: divide by recent average absolute momentum (e.g., ta.sma(abs(vwma_mom), lookback)), clip to .
o Volume Spike: Compute vol_SMA = ta.sma(volume, len). If volume > vol_SMA * multiplier AND price moved up ≥ threshold%, assign +1; if moved down ≥ threshold%, assign -1; else 0.
o ATR Breakout: Determine recent high/low over lookback. If close > high + ATR*mult, compute distance = close - (high + ATR*mult), normalize by ATR, cap at a configured maximum. Assign positive contribution. Similarly for bearish breakout below low.
o Higher-Timeframe Trend: Use request.security(..., lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off) to fetch HTF EMAs; assign +1 or -1 based on alignment.
2. ADX Regime Weighting
o Compute manual ADX: directional movements (+DM, –DM), smoothed via RMA, DI+ and DI–, then DX and ADX via RMA. If ADX ≥ threshold, market is considered “Trending”; otherwise “Ranging.”
o If trending, trend-based contributions (EMA, VWMA, ATR, HTF) use full weight = 1.0. If ranging, use weight = ranging_weight (e.g., 0.5) to down-weight them. Volume spike stays binary ±1 (optional to change if desired).
3. Aggregate Raw Score
o Sum weighted contributions of all enabled components. Count the number of enabled components; if zero, default count = 1 to avoid division by zero.
4. Divergence Penalty
o Detect pivot highs/lows on price and corresponding RSI values, using a lookback. When price and RSI diverge (bearish or bullish divergence), check if current raw score is in the opposing direction:
If bearish divergence (price higher high, RSI lower high) and raw score currently positive, subtract a penalty (e.g., 0.5).
If bullish divergence (price lower low, RSI higher low) and raw score currently negative, add a penalty.
o This reduces score magnitude to reflect weakening momentum, without flipping the trend outright.
5. Normalize and Smooth
o Normalized score = (raw_score / number_of_enabled_components) * 100. This yields a roughly range.
o Optional EMA smoothing of this normalized score to reduce noise.
6. Interpretation
o Sign: >0 = net bullish bias; <0 = net bearish bias; near zero = neutral.
o Magnitude Zones: Compare |score| to thresholds (Weak, Medium, Strong) to label trend strength (e.g., “Weak Bullish Trend”, “Medium Bearish Trend”, “Strong Bullish Trend”).
o Δ Score Histogram: The histogram bars from zero show change from previous bar’s score; positive bars indicate acceleration, negative bars indicate deceleration.
o Confidence: Percentage of sub-indicators aligned with the score’s sign.
o Regime: Indicates whether trend-based signals are fully weighted or down-weighted.
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## 7. Oscillator Plot & Visualization: How to Read It
Main Score Line & Area
The oscillator plots the aggregated score as a line, with colored fill: green above zero for bullish area, red below zero for bearish area. Horizontal reference lines at ±Weak, ±Medium, and ±Strong thresholds mark zones: crossing above +Weak suggests beginning of bullish bias, above +Medium for moderate strength, above +Strong for strong trend; similarly for bearish below negative thresholds.
Δ Score Histogram
If enabled, a histogram shows score - score . When positive, bars appear in green above zero, indicating accelerating bullish momentum; when negative, bars appear in red below zero, indicating decelerating or reversing momentum. The height of each bar reflects the magnitude of change in the aggregated score from the prior bar.
Divergence Highlight Fill
If enabled, when a pivot-based divergence is confirmed:
• Bullish Divergence : fill the area below zero down to –Weak threshold in green, signaling potential reversal from bearish to bullish.
• Bearish Divergence : fill the area above zero up to +Weak threshold in red, signaling potential reversal from bullish to bearish.
These fills appear with a lag equal to pivot lookback (the number of bars needed to confirm the pivot). They do not repaint after confirmation, but users must understand this lag.
Trend Direction Label
When score crosses above or below the Weak threshold, a small label appears near the score line reading “Bullish” or “Bearish.” If the score returns within ±Weak, the label “Neutral” appears. This helps quickly identify shifts at the moment they occur.
Dashboard Panel
In the indicator pane’s top-right, a table shows:
1. EMA Cross status: “Bull”, “Bear”, “Flat”, or “Disabled”
2. VWMA Momentum status: similarly
3. Volume Spike status: “Bull”, “Bear”, “No”, or “Disabled”
4. ATR Breakout status: “Bull”, “Bear”, “No”, or “Disabled”
5. Higher-Timeframe Trend status: “Bull”, “Bear”, “Flat”, or “Disabled”
6. Score: numeric value (rounded)
7. Confidence: e.g., “80%” (colored: green for high, amber for medium, red for low)
8. Regime: “Trending” or “Ranging” (colored accordingly)
9. Trend Strength: textual label based on magnitude (e.g., “Medium Bullish Trend”)
10. Gauge: a bar of blocks representing |score|/100
All rows remain visible at all times; changing Dashboard Size only scales text size (Normal, Small, Tiny).
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## 8. Example Usage (Illustrative Scenario)
Example: BTCUSD 5 Min
1. Setup: Add “Trend Gauge ” to your BTCUSD 5 Min chart. Defaults: EMAs (8/21), VWMA 14 with lookback 3, volume spike settings, ATR breakout 14/5, HTF = 5m (or adjust to 4H if preferred), ADX threshold 25, ranging weight 0.5, divergence RSI length 14 pivot lookback 5, penalty 0.5, smoothing length 3, thresholds Weak=20, Medium=50, Strong=80. Dashboard Size = Small.
2. Trend Onset: At some point, price breaks above recent high by ATR multiple, volume spikes upward, faster EMA crosses above slower EMA, HTF EMA also bullish, and ADX (manual) ≥ threshold → aggregated score rises above +20 (Weak threshold) into +Medium zone. Dashboard shows “Bull” for EMA, VWMA, Vol Spike, ATR, HTF; Score ~+60–+70; Confidence ~100%; Regime “Trending”; Trend Strength “Medium Bullish Trend”; Gauge ~6–7 blocks. Δ Score histogram bars are green and rising, indicating accelerating bullish momentum. Trader notes the alignment.
3. Divergence Warning: Later, price makes a slightly higher high but RSI fails to confirm (lower RSI high). Pivot lookback completes; the indicator highlights a bearish divergence fill above zero and subtracts a small penalty from the score, causing score to stall or retrace slightly. Dashboard still bullish but score dips toward +Weak. This warns the trader to tighten stops or take partial profits.
4. Trend Weakens: Score eventually crosses below +Weak back into neutral; a “Neutral” label appears, and a “Neutral Trend” alert fires if enabled. Trader exits or avoids new long entries. If score subsequently crosses below –Weak, a “Bearish” label and alert occur.
5. Customization: If the trader finds VWMA noise too frequent on this instrument, they may disable VWMA or increase lookback. If ATR breakouts are too rare, adjust ATR length or multiplier. If ADX threshold seems off, tune threshold. All these adjustments are explained in Inputs section.
6. Visualization: The screenshot shows the main score oscillator with colored areas, reference lines at ±20/50/80, Δ Score histogram bars below/above zero, divergence fill highlighting potential reversal, and the dashboard table in the top-right.
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## 9. Inputs Explanation
A concise yet clear summary of inputs helps users understand and adjust:
1. General Settings
• Theme (Dark/Light): Choose background-appropriate colors for the indicator pane.
• Dashboard Size (Normal/Small/Tiny): Scales text size only; all dashboard elements remain visible.
2. Indicator Settings
• Enable EMA Cross: Toggle on/off basic EMA alignment check.
o Fast EMA Length and Slow EMA Length: Periods for EMAs.
• Enable VWMA Momentum: Toggle VWMA momentum check.
o VWMA Length: Period for VWMA.
o VWMA Momentum Lookback: Bars to compare VWMA to measure momentum.
• Enable Volume Spike: Toggle volume spike detection.
o Volume SMA Length: Period to compute average volume.
o Volume Spike Multiplier: How many times above average volume qualifies as spike.
o Min Price Move (%): Minimum percent change in price during spike to qualify as bullish or bearish.
• Enable ATR Breakout: Toggle ATR breakout detection.
o ATR Length: Period for ATR.
o Breakout Lookback: Bars to look back for recent highs/lows.
o ATR Multiplier: Multiplier for breakout threshold.
• Enable Higher Timeframe Trend: Toggle HTF EMA alignment.
o Higher Timeframe: E.g., “5” for 5-minute when on 1-minute chart, or “60” for 5 Min when on 15m, etc. Uses lookahead_off.
• Enable ADX Regime Filter: Toggles regime-based weighting.
o ADX Length: Period for manual ADX calculation.
o ADX Threshold: Value above which market considered trending.
o Ranging Weight Multiplier: Weight applied to trend components when ADX < threshold (e.g., 0.5).
• Scale VWMA Momentum: Toggle normalization of VWMA momentum magnitude.
o VWMA Mom Scale Lookback: Period for average absolute VWMA momentum.
• Scale ATR Breakout Strength: Toggle normalization of breakout distance by ATR.
o ATR Scale Cap: Maximum multiple of ATR used for breakout strength.
• Enable Price-RSI Divergence: Toggle divergence detection.
o RSI Length for Divergence: Period for RSI.
o Pivot Lookback for Divergence: Bars on each side to identify pivot high/low.
o Divergence Penalty: Amount to subtract/add to score when divergence detected (e.g., 0.5).
3. Score Settings
• Smooth Score: Toggle EMA smoothing of normalized score.
• Score Smoothing Length: Period for smoothing EMA.
• Weak Threshold: Absolute score value under which trend is considered weak or neutral.
• Medium Threshold: Score above Weak but below Medium is moderate.
• Strong Threshold: Score above this indicates strong trend.
4. Visualization Settings
• Show Δ Score Histogram: Toggle display of the bar-to-bar change in score as a histogram. Default true.
• Show Divergence Fill: Toggle background fill highlighting confirmed divergences. Default true.
Each input has a tooltip in the code.
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## 10. Limitations, Repaint Notes, and Disclaimers
10.1. Repaint & Lag Considerations
• Pivot-Based Divergence Lag: The divergence detection uses ta.pivothigh / ta.pivotlow with a specified lookback. By design, a pivot is only confirmed after the lookback number of bars. As a result:
o Divergence labels or fills appear with a delay equal to the pivot lookback.
o Once the pivot is confirmed and the divergence is detected, the fill/label does not repaint thereafter, but you must understand and accept this lag.
o Users should not treat divergence highlights as predictive signals without additional confirmation, because they appear after the pivot has fully formed.
• Higher-Timeframe EMA Alignment: Uses request.security(..., lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off), so no future data from the higher timeframe is used. This avoids lookahead bias and ensures signals are based only on completed higher-timeframe bars.
• No Future Data: All calculations are designed to avoid using future information. For example, manual ADX uses RMA on past data; security calls use lookahead_off.
10.2. Market & Noise Considerations
• In very choppy or low-liquidity markets, some components (e.g., volume spikes or VWMA momentum) may be noisy. Users can disable or adjust those components’ parameters.
• On extremely low timeframes, noise may dominate; consider smoothing lengths or disabling certain features.
• On very high timeframes, pivots and breakouts occur less frequently; adjust lookbacks accordingly to avoid sparse signals.
10.3. Not a Standalone Trading System
• This is an indicator, not a complete trading strategy. It provides signals and context but does not manage entries, exits, position sizing, or risk management.
• Users must combine it with their own analysis, money management, and confirmations (e.g., price patterns, support/resistance, fundamental context).
• No guarantees: past behavior does not guarantee future performance.
10.4. Disclaimers
• Educational Purposes Only: The script is provided as-is for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
• Use at Your Own Risk: Trading involves risk of loss. Users should thoroughly test and use proper risk management.
• No Guarantees: The author is not responsible for trading outcomes based on this indicator.
• License: Published under Mozilla Public License 2.0; code is open for viewing and modification under MPL terms.
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## 11. Alerts
• The indicator defines three alert conditions:
1. Bullish Trend: when the aggregated score crosses above the Weak threshold.
2. Bearish Trend: when the score crosses below the negative Weak threshold.
3. Neutral Trend: when the score returns within ±Weak after being outside.
Good luck
– BullByte
Ultra VolumeVisualizes volume intensity using dynamic color gradients and percentile thresholds. Includes optional SMA, bar coloring, and adaptive liquidity boxes to highlight high- and low-volume zones in real time.
Introduction
The Ultra Volume indicator enhances volume analysis by categorizing volume bars into percentile-based intensity levels. It uses color-coded gradients to quickly identify periods of unusually high or low activity. The script also includes an optional simple moving average (SMA), bar coloring, and visual box overlays to highlight zones of significant liquidity shifts.
Detailed Description
.........
Volume Classification
Volume is segmented into five tiers: Extra High, High, Medium, Normal, and Low, using percentile ranks calculated over a dynamically adjusted historical window. This segmentation adapts based on the chart's timeframe – using 100 bars for daily and 1440/minutes for intraday – allowing for consistent behavior across resolutions.
.....
Color Gradients
Each volume bar is colored based on its percentile category, smoothly transitioning between thresholds for visual clarity. This makes it easy to spot volume spikes or droughts relative to recent history.
.....
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
An optional SMA can be plotted on top of the volume bars for trend comparison and baseline reference. Its length and color are fully customizable.
.....
Bar Coloring
You can optionally color the chart's candlesticks to reflect the same volume intensity as the histogram bars, reinforcing visual cues across the chart.
.....
Liquidity Boxes
Two adaptive box systems highlight zones of increased or decreased liquidity:
High Liquidity Boxes expand upward when price exceeds the previous box’s top.
Low Liquidity Boxes expand downward when price breaks the previous box’s bottom.
These boxes persist and auto-adjust over time unless reset, helping traders spot key zones of volume-driven price action.
.....
Box Indexing
A configurable index shift determines how far back in the chart the boxes originate. Setting this to 501 makes them "stick" to the candle where they were first created.
.....
Data Handling
A safety check ensures the script throws an error if volume data is unavailable (e.g., for some crypto or CFD symbols).
.........
Summary
Ultra Volume is a practical tool for traders who want more than just raw volume bars. With intelligent percentile-based classification, real-time adaptive liquidity zones, and fully customizable visual elements, it turns volume into a highly readable, actionable signal.
Market Pulse ProMarket Pulse Pro (Pulse‑X) — User Guide
Market Pulse Pro, also known as Pulse‑X, is an advanced momentum indicator that combines SMI, Stochastic RSI, and a smoothed signal line to identify zones of buying and selling strength in the market. It is designed to assess the balance of power between bulls and bears with clear visualizations.
How It Works
The indicator calculates three main components:
SMI (Stochastic Momentum Index) – measures price position relative to its recent range.
Stochastic RSI – captures overbought/oversold extremes of the RSI.
Smoothed Signal Line – based on closing price, smoothed using various methods (such as HMA, EMA, etc.).
Each component is normalized to create two final values:
Bull Herd (Buying Strength) – green line.
Bear Winter (Selling Strength) – red line.
Interpretation
Bull Herd (high green values): Bulls dominate the market. May indicate the start or continuation of an uptrend.
Bear Winter (high red values): Bears dominate. May indicate reversal or continuation of a downtrend.
Convergence around 50%: Market is balanced. Signals are weaker or indecisive.
Tip: Combine with price action analysis or support/resistance levels to confirm entries.
Customizable Settings
You can adjust:
SMI Period, Smooth K, and D – control the sensitivity of the SMI.
RSI Period – sets the RSI calculation window.
Signal Period – period for the price-based signal line.
Smoothing Methods – choose between HMA, EMA, WMA, JMA, SMMA, etc.
Line Width – thickness of the plotted lines.
Note: The JMA (Jurik Moving Average) used in this script is not the original proprietary version.
It is a custom public version, based on open-source code shared by the TradingView community.
The original JMA is copyrighted and owned by Jurik Research.
How to Use It in Practice
Buy Entries
When the green Bull Herd line crosses above 60 and the red Bear Winter line falls below 40.
Entry is more reliable if the green line is rising steadily.
Sell Entries
When the red Bear Winter line crosses above 60 and the green Bull Herd line falls.
Signals are stronger when there is a clear crossover and divergence between the two lines.
Avoid trading near the neutral zone (~50%), where the market shows indecision.
Additional Tips
Combine with volume analysis or reversal candlestick patterns for higher accuracy.
Test different smoothing methods: HMA is more responsive, SMMA is smoother and slower.
