Martingale Strategy Simulator [BackQuant]Martingale Strategy Simulator
Purpose
This indicator lets you study how a martingale-style position sizing rule interacts with a simple long or short trading signal. It computes an equity curve from bar-to-bar returns, adapts position size after losing streaks, caps exposure at a user limit, and summarizes risk with portfolio metrics. An optional Monte Carlo module projects possible future equity paths from your realized daily returns.
What a martingale is
A martingale sizing rule increases stake after losses and resets after a win. In its classical form from gambling, you double the bet after each loss so that a single win recovers all prior losses plus one unit of profit. In markets there is no fixed “even-money” payout and returns are multiplicative, so an exact recovery guarantee does not exist. The core idea is unchanged:
Lose one leg → increase next position size
Lose again → increase again
Win → reset to the base size
The expectation of your strategy still depends on the signal’s edge. Sizing does not create positive expectancy on its own. A martingale raises variance and tail risk by concentrating more capital as a losing streak develops.
What it plots
Equity – simulated portfolio equity including compounding
Buy & Hold – equity from holding the chart symbol for context
Optional helpers – last trade outcome, current streak length, current allocation fraction
Optional diagnostics – daily portfolio return, rolling drawdown, metrics table
Optional Monte Carlo probability cone – p5, p16, p50, p84, p95 aggregate bands
Model assumptions
Bar-close execution with no slippage or commissions
Shorting allowed and frictionless
No margin interest, borrow fees, or position limits
No intrabar moves or gaps within a bar (returns are close-to-close)
Sizing applies to equity fraction only and is capped by your setting
All results are hypothetical and for education only.
How the simulator applies it
1) Directional signal
You pick a simple directional rule that produces +1 for long or −1 for short each bar. Options include 100 HMA slope, RSI above or below 50, EMA or SMA crosses, CCI and other oscillators, ATR move, BB basis, and more. The stance is evaluated bar by bar. When the stance flips, the current trade ends and the next one starts.
2) Sizing after losses and wins
Position size is a fraction of equity:
Initial allocation – the starting fraction, for example 0.15 means 15 percent of equity
Increase after loss – multiply the next allocation by your factor after a losing leg, for example 2.00 to double
Reset after win – return to the initial allocation
Max allocation cap – hard ceiling to prevent runaway growth
At a high level the size after k consecutive losses is
alloc(k) = min( cap , base × factor^k ) .
In practice the simulator changes size only when a leg ends and its PnL is known.
3) Equity update
Let r_t = close_t / close_{t-1} − 1 be the symbol’s bar return, d_{t−1} ∈ {+1, −1} the prior bar stance, and a_{t−1} the prior bar allocation fraction. The simulator compounds:
eq_t = eq_{t−1} × (1 + a_{t−1} × d_{t−1} × r_t) .
This is bar-based and avoids intrabar lookahead. Costs, slippage, and borrowing costs are not modeled.
Why traders experiment with martingale sizing
Mean-reversion contexts – if the signal often snaps back after a string of losses, adding size near the tail of a move can pull the average entry closer to the turn
Behavioral or microstructure edges – some rules have modest edge but frequent small whipsaws; size escalation may shorten time-to-recovery when the edge manifests
Exploration and stress testing – studying the relationship between streaks, caps, and drawdowns is instructive even if you do not deploy martingale sizing live
Why martingale is dangerous
Martingale concentrates capital when the strategy is performing worst. The main risks are structural, not cosmetic:
Loss streaks are inevitable – even with a 55 percent win rate you should expect multi-loss runs. The probability of at least one k-loss streak in N trades rises quickly with N.
Size explodes geometrically – with factor 2.0 and base 10 percent, the sequence is 10, 20, 40, 80, 100 (capped) after five losses. Without a strict cap, required size becomes infeasible.
No fixed payout – in gambling, one win at even odds resets PnL. In markets, there is no guaranteed bounce nor fixed profit multiple. Trends can extend and gaps can skip levels.
Correlation of losses – losses cluster in trends and in volatility bursts. A martingale tends to be largest just when volatility is highest.
Margin and liquidity constraints – leverage limits, margin calls, position limits, and widening spreads can force liquidation before a mean reversion occurs.
Fat tails and regime shifts – assumptions of independent, Gaussian returns can understate tail risk. Structural breaks can keep the signal wrong for much longer than expected.
The simulator exposes these dynamics in the equity curve, Max Drawdown, VaR and CVaR, and via Monte Carlo sketches of forward uncertainty.
Interpreting losing streaks with numbers
A rough intuition: if your per-trade win probability is p and loss probability is q=1−p , the chance of a specific run of k consecutive losses is q^k . Over many trades, the chance that at least one k-loss run occurs grows with the number of opportunities. As a sanity check:
If p=0.55 , then q=0.45 . A 6-loss run has probability q^6 ≈ 0.008 on any six-trade window. Across hundreds of trades, a 6 to 8-loss run is not rare.
If your size factor is 1.5 and your base is 10 percent, after 8 losses the requested size is 10% × 1.5^8 ≈ 25.6% . With factor 2.0 it would try to be 10% × 2^8 = 256% but your cap will stop it. The equity curve will still wear the compounded drawdown from the sequence that led to the cap.
This is why the cap setting is central. It does not remove tail risk, but it prevents the sizing rule from demanding impossible positions
Note: The p and q math is illustrative. In live data the win rate and distribution can drift over time, so real streaks can be longer or shorter than the simple q^k intuition suggests..
Using the simulator productively
Parameter studies
Start with conservative settings. Increase one element at a time and watch how the equity, Max Drawdown, and CVaR respond.
Initial allocation – lower base reduces volatility and drawdowns across the board
Increase factor – set modestly above 1.0 if you want the effect at all; doubling is aggressive
Max cap – the most important brake; many users keep it between 20 and 50 percent
Signal selection
Keep sizing fixed and rotate signals to see how streak patterns differ. Trend-following signals tend to produce long wrong-way streaks in choppy ranges. Mean-reversion signals do the opposite. Martingale sizing interacts very differently with each.
Diagnostics to watch
Use the built-in metrics to quantify risk:
Max Drawdown – worst peak-to-trough equity loss
Sharpe and Sortino – volatility and downside-adjusted return
VaR 95 percent and CVaR – tail risk measures from the realized distribution
Alpha and Beta – relationship to your chosen benchmark
If you would like to check out the original performance metrics script with multiple assets with a better explanation on all metrics please see
Monte Carlo exploration
When enabled, the forecast draws many synthetic paths from your realized daily returns:
Choose a horizon and a number of runs
Review the bands: p5 to p95 for a wide risk envelope; p16 to p84 for a narrower range; p50 as the median path
Use the table to read the expected return over the horizon and the tail outcomes
Remember it is a sketch based on your recent distribution, not a predictor
Concrete examples
Example A: Modest martingale
Base 10 percent, factor 1.25, cap 40 percent, RSI>50 signal. You will see small escalations on 2 to 4 loss runs and frequent resets. The equity curve usually remains smooth unless the signal enters a prolonged wrong-way regime. Max DD may rise moderately versus fixed sizing.
Example B: Aggressive martingale
Base 15 percent, factor 2.0, cap 60 percent, EMA cross signal. The curve can look stellar during favorable regimes, then a single extended streak pushes allocation to the cap, and a few more losses drive deep drawdown. CVaR and Max DD jump sharply. This is a textbook case of high tail risk.
Strengths
Bar-by-bar, transparent computation of equity from stance and size
Explicit handling of wins, losses, streaks, and caps
Portable signal inputs so you can A–B test ideas quickly
Risk diagnostics and forward uncertainty visualization in one place
Example, Rolling Max Drawdown
Limitations and important notes
Martingale sizing can escalate drawdowns rapidly. The cap limits position size but not the possibility of extended adverse runs.
No commissions, slippage, margin interest, borrow costs, or liquidity limits are modeled.
Signals are evaluated on closes. Real execution and fills will differ.
Monte Carlo assumes independent draws from your recent return distribution. Markets often have serial correlation, fat tails, and regime changes.
All results are hypothetical. Use this as an educational tool, not a production risk engine.
Practical tips
Prefer gentle factors such as 1.1 to 1.3. Doubling is usually excessive outside of toy examples.
Keep a strict cap. Many users cap between 20 and 40 percent of equity per leg.
Stress test with different start dates and subperiods. Long flat or trending regimes are where martingale weaknesses appear.
Compare to an anti-martingale (increase after wins, cut after losses) to understand the other side of the trade-off.
If you deploy sizing live, add external guardrails such as a daily loss cut, volatility filters, and a global max drawdown stop.
Settings recap
Backtest start date and initial capital
Initial allocation, increase-after-loss factor, max allocation cap
Signal source selector
Trading days per year and risk-free rate
Benchmark symbol for Alpha and Beta
UI toggles for equity, buy and hold, labels, metrics, PnL, and drawdown
Monte Carlo controls for enable, runs, horizon, and result table
Final thoughts
A martingale is not a free lunch. It is a way to tilt capital allocation toward losing streaks. If the signal has a real edge and mean reversion is common, careful and capped escalation can reduce time-to-recovery. If the signal lacks edge or regimes shift, the same rule can magnify losses at the worst possible moment. This simulator makes those trade-offs visible so you can calibrate parameters, understand tail risk, and decide whether the approach belongs anywhere in your research workflow.
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Live Market - Performance MonitorLive Market — Performance Monitor
Study material (no code) — step-by-step training guide for learners
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1) What this tool is — short overview
This indicator is a live market performance monitor designed for learning. It scans price, volume and volatility, detects order blocks and trendline events, applies filters (volume & ATR), generates trade signals (BUY/SELL), creates simple TP/SL trade management, and renders a compact dashboard summarizing market state, risk and performance metrics.
Use it to learn how multi-factor signals are constructed, how Greeks-style sensitivity is replaced by volatility/ATR reasoning, and how a live dashboard helps monitor trade quality.
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2) Quick start — how a learner uses it (step-by-step)
1. Add the indicator to a chart (any ticker / timeframe).
2. Open inputs and review the main groups: Order Block, Trendline, Signal Filters, Display.
3. Start with defaults (OB periods ≈ 7, ATR multiplier 0.5, volume threshold 1.2) and observe the dashboard on the last bar.
4. Walk the chart back in time (use the last-bar update behavior) and watch how signals, order blocks, trendlines, and the performance counters change.
5. Run the hands-on labs below to build intuition.
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3) Main configurable inputs (what you can tweak)
• Order Block Relevant Periods (default ~7): number of consecutive candles used to define an order block.
• Min. Percent Move for Valid OB (threshold): minimum percent move required for a valid order block.
• Number of OB Channels: how many past order block lines to keep visible.
• Trendline Period (tl_period): pivot lookback for detecting highs/lows used to draw trendlines.
• Use Wicks for Trendlines: whether pivot uses wicks or body.
• Extension Bars: how far trendlines are projected forward.
• Use Volume Filter + Volume Threshold Multiplier (e.g., 1.2): requires volume to be greater than multiplier × average volume.
• Use ATR Filter + ATR Multiplier: require bar range > ATR × multiplier to filter noise.
• Show Targets / Table settings / Colors for visualization.
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4) Core building blocks — what the script computes (plain language)
Price & trend:
• Spot / LTP: current close price.
• EMA 9 / 21 / 50: fast, medium, slow moving averages to define short/medium trend.
o trend_bullish: EMA9 > EMA21 > EMA50
o trend_bearish: EMA9 < EMA21 < EMA50
o trend_neutral: otherwise
Volatility & noise:
• ATR (14): average true range used for dynamic target and filter sizing.
• dynamic_zone = ATR × atr_multiplier: minimum bar range required for meaningful move.
• Annualized volatility: stdev of price changes × sqrt(252) × 100 — used to classify volatility (HIGH/MEDIUM/LOW).
Momentum & oscillators:
• RSI 14: overbought/oversold indicator (thresholds 70/30).
• MACD: EMA(12)-EMA(26) and a 9-period signal line; histogram used for momentum direction and strength.
• Momentum (ta.mom 10): raw momentum over 10 bars.
Mean reversion / band context:
• Bollinger Bands (20, 2σ): upper, mid, lower.
o price_position measures where price sits inside the band range as 0–100.
Volume metrics:
• avg_volume = SMA(volume, 20) and volume_spike = volume > avg_volume × volume_threshold
o volume_ratio = volume / avg_volume
Support & Resistance:
• support_level = lowest low over 20 bars
• resistance_level = highest high over 20 bars
• current_position = percent of price between support & resistance (0–100)
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5) Order Block detection — concept & logic
What it tries to find: a bar (the base) followed by N candles in the opposite direction (a classical order block setup), with a minimum % move to qualify. The script records the high/low of the base candle, averages them, and plots those levels as OB channels.
How learners should think about it (conceptual):
1. An order block is a signature area where institutions (theory) left liquidity — often seen as a large bar followed by a sequence of directional candles.
2. This indicator uses a configurable number of subsequent candles to confirm that the pattern exists.
3. When found, it stores and displays the base candle’s high/low area so students can see how price later reacts to those zones.
Implementation note for learners: the tool keeps a limited history of OB lines (ob_channels). When new OBs exceed the count, the oldest lines are removed — good practice to avoid clutter.
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6) Trendline detection — idea & interpretation
• The script finds pivot highs and lows using a symmetric lookback (tl_period and half that as right/left).
• It then computes a trendline slope from successive pivots and projects the line forward (extension_bars).
• Break detection: Resistance break = close crosses above the projected resistance line; Support break = close crosses below projected support.
Learning tip: trendlines here are computed from pivot points and time. Watch how changing tl_period (bigger = smoother, fewer pivots) alters the trendlines and break signals.
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7) Signal generation & filters — step-by-step
1. Primary triggers:
o Bullish trigger: order block bullish OR resistance trendline break.
o Bearish trigger: bearish order block OR support trendline break.
2. Filters applied (both must pass unless disabled):
o Volume filter: volume must be > avg_volume × volume_threshold.
o ATR filter: bar range (high-low) must exceed ATR × atr_multiplier.
o Not in an existing trade: new trades only start if trade_active is false.
3. Trend confirmation:
o The primary trigger is only confirmed if trend is bullish/neutral for buys or bearish/neutral for sells (EMA alignment).
4. Result:
o When confirmed, a long or short trade is activated with TP/SL calculated from ATR multiples.
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8) Trade management — what the tool does after a signal
• Entry management: the script marks a trade as trade_active and sets long_trade or short_trade flags.
• TP & SL rules:
o Long: TP = high + 2×ATR ; SL = low − 1×ATR
o Short: TP = low − 2×ATR ; SL = high + 1×ATR
• Monitoring & exit:
o A trade closes when price reaches TP or SL.
o When TP/SL hit, the indicator updates win_count and total_pnl using a very simple calculation (difference between TP/SL and previous close).
o Visual lines/labels are drawn for TP and updated as the trade runs.
Important learner notes:
• The script does not store a true entry price (it uses close in its P&L math), so PnL is an approximation — treat this as a learning proxy, not a position accounting system.
• There’s no sizing, slippage, or fee accounted — students must manually factor these when translating to real trades.
• This indicator is not a backtesting strategy; strategy.* functions would be needed for rigorous backtest results.
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9) Signal strength & helper utilities
• Signal strength is a composite score (0–100) made up of four signals worth 25 points each:
1. RSI extreme (overbought/oversold) → 25
2. Volume spike → 25
3. MACD histogram magnitude increasing → 25
4. Trend existence (bull or bear) → 25
• Progress bars (text glyphs) are used to visually show RSI and signal strength on the table.
Learning point: composite scoring is a way to combine orthogonal signals — study how changing weights changes outcomes.
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10) Dashboard — how to read each section (walkthrough)
The dashboard is split into sections; here's how to interpret them:
1. Market Overview
o LTP / Change%: immediate price & daily % change.
2. RSI & MACD
o RSI value plus progress bar (overbought 70 / oversold 30).
o MACD histogram sign indicates bullish/bearish momentum.
3. Volume Analysis
o Volume ratio (current / average) and whether there’s a spike.
4. Order Block Status
o Buy OB / Sell OB: the average base price of detected order blocks or “No Signal.”
5. Signal Status
o 🔼 BUY or 🔽 SELL if confirmed, or ⚪ WAIT.
o No-trade vs Active indicator summarizing market readiness.
6. Trend Analysis
o Trend direction (from EMAs), market sentiment score (composite), volatility level and band/position metrics.
7. Performance
o Win Rate = wins / signals (percentage)
o Total PnL = cumulative PnL (approximate)
o Bull / Bear Volume = accumulated volumes attributable to signals
8. Support & Resistance
o 20-bar highest/lowest — use as nearby reference points.
9. Risk & R:R
o Risk Level from ATR/price as a percent.
o R:R Ratio computed from TP/SL if a trade is active.
10. Signal Strength & Active Trade Status
• Numeric strength + progress bar and whether a trade is currently active with TP/SL display.
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11) Alerts — what will notify you
The indicator includes pre-built alert triggers for:
• Bullish confirmed signal
• Bearish confirmed signal
• TP hit (long/short)
• SL hit (long/short)
• No-trade zone
• High signal strength (score > 75%)
Training use: enable alerts during a replay session to be notified when the indicator would have signalled.
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12) Labs — hands-on exercises for learners (step-by-step)
Lab A — Order Block recognition
1. Pick a 15–30 minute timeframe on a liquid ticker.
2. Use default OB periods (7). Mark each time the dashboard shows a Buy/Sell OB.
3. Manually inspect the chart at the base candle and the following sequence — draw the OB zone by hand and watch later price reactions to it.
4. Repeat with OB periods 5 and 10; note stability vs noise.
Lab B — Trendline break confirmation
1. Increase trendline period (e.g., 20), watch trendlines form from pivots.
2. When a resistance break is flagged, compare with MACD & volume: was momentum aligned?
3. Note false breaks vs confirmed moves — change extension_bars to see projection effects.
Lab C — Filter sensitivity
1. Toggle Use Volume Filter off, and record the number and quality of signals in a 2-day window.
2. Re-enable volume filter and change threshold from 1.2 → 1.6; note how many low-quality signals are filtered out.
Lab D — Trade management simulation
1. For each signalled trade, record the time, close entry approximation, TP, SL, and eventual hit/miss.
2. Compute actual PnL if you had entered at the open of the next bar to compare with the script’s PnL math.
3. Tabulate win rate and average R:R.
Lab E — Performance review & improvement
1. Build a spreadsheet of signals over 30–90 periods with columns: Date, Signal type, Entry price (real), TP, SL, Exit, PnL, Notes.
2. Analyze which filters or indicators contributed most to winners vs losers and adjust weights.
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13) Common pitfalls, assumptions & implementation notes (things to watch)
• P&L simplification: total_pnl uses close as a proxy entry price. Real entry/exit prices and slippage are not recorded — so PnL is approximate.
• No position sizing or money management: the script doesn’t compute position size from equity or risk percent.
• Signal confirmation logic: composite "signal_strength" is a simple 4×25 point scheme — explore different weights or additional signals.
• Order block detection nuance: the script defines the base candle and checks the subsequent sequence. Be sure to verify whether the intended candle direction (base being bullish vs bearish) aligns with academic/your trading definition — read the code carefully and test.
• Trendline slope over time: slope is computed using timestamps; small differences may make lines sensitive on very short timeframes — using bar_index differences is usually more stable.
• Not a true backtester: to evaluate performance statistically you must transform the logic into a strategy script that places hypothetical orders and records exact entry/exit prices.
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14) Suggested improvements for advanced learners
• Record true entry price & timestamp for accurate PnL.
• Add position sizing: risk % per trade using SL distance and account size.
• Convert to strategy. (Pine Strategy)* to run formal backtests with equity curves, drawdowns, and metrics (Sharpe, Sortino).
• Log trades to an external spreadsheet (via alerts + webhook) for offline analysis.
• Add statistics: average win/loss, expectancy, max drawdown.
• Add additional filters: news time blackout, market session filters, multi-timeframe confirmation.
• Improve OB detection: combine wick/body, volume spike at base bar, and liquidity sweep detection.
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15) Glossary — quick definitions
• ATR (Average True Range): measure of typical range; used to size targets and stops.
• EMA (Exponential Moving Average): trend smoothing giving more weight to recent prices.
• RSI (Relative Strength Index): momentum oscillator; >70 overbought, <30 oversold.
• MACD: momentum oscillator using difference of two EMAs.
• Bollinger Bands: volatility bands around SMA.
• Order Block: a base candle area with subsequent confirmation candles; a zone of institutional interest (learning model).
• Pivot High/Low: local turning point defined by candles on both sides.
• Signal Strength: combined score from multiple indicators.
• Win Rate: proportion of signals that hit TP vs total signals.
• R:R (Risk:Reward): ratio of potential reward (TP distance) to risk (entry to SL).
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16) Limitations & assumptions (be explicit)
• This is an indicator for learning — not a trading robot or broker connection.
• No slippage, fees, commissions or tie-in to real orders are considered.
• The logic is heuristic (rule-of-thumb), not a guarantee of performance.
• Results are sensitive to timeframe, market liquidity, and parameter choices.
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17) Practical classroom / study plan (4 sessions)
• Session 1 — Foundations: Understand EMAs, ATR, RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands. Run the indicator and watch how these numbers change on a single day.
• Session 2 — Zones & Filters: Study order blocks and trendlines. Test volume & ATR filters and note changes in false signals.
• Session 3 — Simulated trading: Manually track 20 signals, compute real PnL and compare to the dashboard.
• Session 4 — Improvement plan: Propose changes (e.g., better PnL accounting, alternative OB rule) and test their impact.
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18) Quick reference checklist for each signal
1. Was an order block or trendline break detected? (primary trigger)
2. Did volume meet threshold? (filter)
3. Did ATR filter (bar size) show a real move? (filter)
4. Was trend aligned (EMA 9/21/50)? (confirmation)
5. Signal confirmed → mark entry approximation, TP, SL.
6. Monitor dashboard (Signal Strength, Volatility, No-trade zone, R:R).
7. After exit, log real entry/exit, compute actual PnL, update spreadsheet.
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19) Educational caveat & final note
This tool is built for training and analysis: it helps you see how common technical building blocks combine into trade ideas, but it is not a trading recommendation. Use it to develop judgment, to test hypotheses, and to design robust systems with proper backtesting and risk control before risking capital.
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20) Disclaimer (must include)
Training & Educational Only — This material and the indicator are provided for educational purposes only. Nothing here is investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell financial instruments. Past simulated or historical performance does not predict future results. Always perform full backtesting and risk management, and consider seeking advice from a qualified financial professional before trading with real capital.
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B A N K $ - HTF Candle Boxes (Power of 3)This indicator allows you to visualise the HTF candles on the LTF's, this is useful for using the Power of 3 / Accumulation, Manipulation & Distribution concepts.
By default, the HTF interval is set to 1h, this means that an outline will be created around the LTF candles that are within that 1h window. (i.e from 13:00-14:00 etc).
Features
HTF Interval Selector - this allows the user to customise which HTF interval to use
Candle Boxes - this outlines the full outer perimeter of the relevant candles
Include Body - this highlights the distance between the candle Open & Close
Show MidLine
Additional Settings
Hide Side Lines - this will only draw the Top & Bottom lines
Extend Lines to Current Candle - most recent Top & Bottom lines will extend to current price
Draw Lines from Exact Candle - this makes the most recent candle lines cleaner
I personally use this indicator to outline the most recent 3 1h candles to make it easier to identify sweeps & reversals however there is additional functionality to allow the user to customise the indicator to their preference.
Dual Adaptive Movings### Dual Adaptive Movings
By Gurjit Singh
A dual-layer adaptive moving average system that adjusts its responsiveness dynamically using market-derived factors (CMO, RSI, Fractal Roughness, or Stochastic Acceleration). It plots:
* Primary Adaptive MA (MA): Fast, reacts to changes in volatility/momentum.
* Following Adaptive MA (FAMA): A smoother, half-alpha version for trend confirmation.
Instead of fixed smoothing, it adapts dynamically using one of four methods:
* ACMO: Adaptive CMO (momentum)
* ARSI: Adaptive RSI (relative strength)
* FRMA: Fractal Roughness (volatility + fractal dimension)
* ASTA: Adaptive Stochastic Acceleration (%K acceleration)
### ⚙️ Inputs & Options
* Source: Price input (default: close).
* Moving (Type): ACMO, ARSI, FRMA, ASTA.
* MA Length (Primary): Core adaptive window.
* Following (FAMA) Length: Optional; can match MA length.
* Use Wilder’s: Toggles Wilder vs EMA-style smoothing.
* Colors & Fill: Bullish/Bearish tones with transparency control.
### 🔑 How to Use
1. Identify Trend:
* When MA > FAMA → Bullish (fills bullish color).
* When MA < FAMA → Bearish (fills bearish color).
2. Crossovers:
* MA crosses above FAMA → Bullish signal 🐂
* MA crosses below FAMA → Bearish signal 🐻
3. Adaptive Edge:
* Select method (ACMO/ARSI/FRMA/ASTA) depending on whether you want sensitivity to momentum, strength, volatility, or acceleration.
4. Alerts:
* Built-in alerts trigger on crossovers.
### 💡 Tips
* Wilder’s smoothing is gentler than EMA, reducing whipsaws in sideways conditions.
* ACMO and ARSI are best for momentum-driven directional markets, but may false-signal in ranges.
* FRMA and ASTA excels in choppy markets where volatility clusters.
👉 In short: Dual Adaptive Movings adapts moving averages to the market’s own behavior, smoothing noise yet staying responsive. Crossovers mark possible trend shifts, while color fills highlight bias.
ORB Breakouts with alerts"ORB Breakouts with Alerts" is a utility indicator that highlights an Opening Range Breakout (ORB) setup during a user-defined intraday time window. It allows traders to visualize price consolidation ranges and receive alerts when price breaks above or below the session high/low.
🔧 Features:
*Customizable session time (start and end), adjustable to local time using a timezone offset.
*Automatically plots:
*A shaded box around the session's high and low.
*Horizontal lines at session high and low levels.
*Optional "BUY"/"SELL" labels to mark breakout directions.
*Visual breakout signals when price crosses above or below the session range.
*Built-in alerts to notify when breakouts occur.
*Configurable styling options including box color, highlight color, and label placement.
⚙️ How It Works:
*During the defined time range, the script tracks the highest high and lowest low.
*After the session ends:
*A box is drawn to represent the opening range.
*Breakouts above the high or below the low trigger visual markers and optional alerts.
*Alerts are limited to one per direction per day to reduce noise.
⚠️ This indicator is a technical analysis tool only and does not provide financial advice or trade recommendations. Always use with proper risk management and in conjunction with your trading plan.
Multi HTF High/Low LevelsThis indicator plots the previous high and low from up to four user-defined higher timeframes (HTF), providing crucial levels of support and resistance. It's designed to be both powerful and clean, giving you a clear view of the market structure from multiple perspectives without cluttering your chart.
Key Features:
Four Customizable Timeframes: Configure up to four distinct higher timeframes (e.g., 1-hour, 4-hour, Daily, Weekly) to see the levels that matter most to your trading style.
Automatic Visibility: The indicator is smart. It automatically hides levels from any timeframe that is lower than your current chart's timeframe. For example, if you're viewing a Daily chart, the 4-hour levels won't be shown.
Clean On-Chart Lines: The high and low for each timeframe are displayed as clean, extended horizontal lines, but only for the duration of the current higher-timeframe period. This keeps your historical chart clean while still showing the most relevant current levels.
Persistent Price Scale Labels: For easy reference, the price of each high and low is always visible on the price scale and in the data window. This is achieved with an invisible plot, giving you the accessibility of a plot without the visual noise.
How to Use:
Go into the indicator settings.
Under each "Timeframe" group, check the "Show" box to enable that specific timeframe.
Select your desired timeframe from the dropdown menu.
The indicator will automatically calculate and display the previous high and low for each enabled timeframe.
Trade Calculator {Phanchai}Trade Calculator 🧮 {Phanchai} — Documentation
A lightweight sizing helper for TradingView that turns your risk per trade into an estimated maximum nominal position size — using the most recent chart low as your stop reference. Built for speed and clarity right on the chart.
Key Features
Clean on-chart info table with configurable font size and position.
Row toggles: show/hide each line (Price, Last Low, Risk per Trade, Entry − Low, SL to Low %, Max. Nominal Value in USDT).
Configurable low reference: Last N bars or Running since load .
Low label placed exactly at the wick of the lowest bar (no horizontal line).
Custom padding: add extra rows above/below and blank columns left/right (with custom whitespace/text fillers) to fine-tune layout.
Integer display for Risk per Trade (USDT) and Max. Nominal Value (USDT); decimals configurable elsewhere.
Open source script — easy to read and extend.
How to Use
Add the indicator: open TradingView → Indicators → paste the source code → Add to chart.
Pick your low reference in settings:
Last N bars — uses the lowest low within your chosen lookback.
Running since load — tracks the lowest low since the script loaded.
Set your capital and risk:
Total Capital — your account size in USDT.
Max. invest Capital per Trade (%) — your risk per trade as a percent of Total Capital.
Tidy the table:
Use Table Position and Table Size to place it.
Add Extra rows/columns and set left/right fillers (spaces allowed) for padding.
Toggle individual rows (on/off) to show only what you need.
Read the numbers:
Act. Price in USDT — current close.
Last Low in USDT — stop reference price.
Risk per Trade — whole-USDT value of your risk budget for this trade.
Entry − Low — absolute risk per unit.
SL to Low (%) — percentage distance from price to low.
Max. Nominal Value in USDT — estimated max nominal position size given your risk budget and stop at the low.
Scope
This calculator is designed for long trades only (stop below price at the chart low).
Notes & Assumptions
Does not factor fees, funding, slippage, tick size, or broker/venue position limits.
“Running since load” updates as new lows appear; “Last N bars” uses only the selected lookback window.
If price equals the low (zero distance), sizing will be undefined (division by zero guarded as “—”).
Risk Warning
Trading involves substantial risk. Always double-check every value the calculator shows, confirm your stop distance, and verify position sizing with your broker/platform before entering any order. Never risk money you cannot afford to lose.
Open Source & Feedback
The source code is open. If you spot a bug or have an idea to improve the tool, feel free to share suggestions — I’m happy to iterate and make it better.
Custom ORBIT — GSK-VIZAG-AP-INDIA 📌 Description
Custom ORBIT — Opening Range Breakout Indicator Tool
Created by GSK-VIZAG-AP-INDIA
This indicator calculates and visualizes the Opening Range (OR) of the trading session, with customizable start/end times and flexible range duration. The Opening Range is defined by the highest and lowest prices during the selected initial market window.
🔹 Key Features:
User-defined Opening Range duration (default: 15 minutes from 9:15).
Adjustable session start and end times.
Plots Opening Range High (ORH) and Opening Range Low (ORL).
Extends OR levels across the session with multiple line style options (Dotted, Dashed, Solid, Smoothed).
Highlights breakouts (price crossing above/below OR) and reversals (price returning back inside).
Simple chart markers (triangles/labels) for quick visual recognition.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This tool is intended for educational and analytical purposes only. It does not generate buy/sell signals or provide financial advice. Always use independent analysis and risk management.
Realized Volatility (StdDev of Returns, %)Realized Volatility (StdDev of Returns, %)
This indicator measures realized (historical) volatility by calculating the standard deviation of log returns over a user-defined lookback period. It helps traders and analysts observe how much the price has varied in the past, expressed as a percentage.
How it works:
Computes close-to-close logarithmic returns.
Calculates the standard deviation of these returns over the selected lookback window.
Provides three volatility measures:
Daily Volatility (%): Standard deviation over the chosen period.
Annualized Volatility (%): Scaled using the square root of the number of trading days per year (default = 250).
Horizon Volatility (%): Scaled to a custom horizon (default = 5 days, useful for short-term views).
Inputs:
Lookback Period: Number of bars used for volatility calculation.
Trading Days per Year: Used for annualizing volatility.
Horizon (days): Adjusts volatility to a shorter or longer time frame.
Notes:
This is a statistical measure of past volatility, not a forecasting tool.
If you change the scale to logarithmic, the indicator readibility improves.
It should be used for analysis in combination with other tools and not as a standalone signal.
On-Balance Volume with Multiple MA TypesOn-Balance Volume with Multiple MA Types
English Description
Overview
This is the first version of the "On-Balance Volume with Multiple MA Types" indicator designed to overlay directly on the price chart, a significant evolution from its previous iterations, which functioned solely as an oscillator in a separate window. The indicator calculates On-Balance Volume (OBV) and applies various smoothing methods to provide a clear view of volume dynamics in relation to price movements. It is pinned to the price scale for seamless integration with the chart.
Interpretation Recommendations
Price Pushing the OBV Line from Below: When the price chart pushes the OBV line upward and remains below it, this indicates rising volume, suggesting strong buying pressure.
Price Above the OBV Line: When the price chart is above the OBV line, it signals falling volume, indicating weakening momentum or selling pressure.
OBV Line Crossings: When the price crosses the OBV line, it represents a balance point in volume dynamics. The price level at the current crossing can be compared to the previous crossing to assess changes in market sentiment or momentum.
Moving Average Types
The indicator offers eight smoothing options for the OBV line, each with unique characteristics:
EMA (Exponential Moving Average): A weighted average that prioritizes recent data, providing a smooth yet responsive line.
DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average): Uses two EMAs to reduce lag, offering faster response to volume changes.
HMA (Hull Moving Average): Combines weighted moving averages to minimize lag while maintaining smoothness.
WMA (Weighted Moving Average): Assigns more weight to recent data, balancing responsiveness and noise reduction.
TMA (Triangular Moving Average): A double-smoothed simple moving average, emphasizing central data points for smoother output.
VIDYA (Variable Index Dynamic Average): Adapts smoothing based on market volatility, using a CMO (Chande Momentum Oscillator) for dynamic weighting. Controlled by the VIDYA Alpha parameter (default: 0.2, range: 0–1), which adjusts sensitivity to volatility.
FRAMA (Fractal Adaptive Moving Average): Adjusts smoothing based on fractal dimensions of the OBV data, adapting to market conditions.
JMA (Jurik Moving Average): A proprietary adaptive average designed for minimal lag and high smoothness. Controlled by two parameters:
JMA Phase (default: 50, range: -100 to 100): Adjusts the balance between responsiveness and smoothness.
JMA Power (default: 1, range: 0.1+): Controls the strength of smoothing.
Input Parameters
OBV MA Length (default: 10): The lookback period for smoothing the OBV. Higher values produce smoother results but increase lag.
OBV MA Type (default: JMA): Selects the moving average type from the eight options listed above.
Line Width (default: 2): Thickness of the OBV line on the chart.
Bullish Color (default: Blue): Color of the OBV line when rising (indicating increasing volume).
Bearish Color (default: Red): Color of the OBV line when falling (indicating decreasing volume).
JMA Phase (default: 50): Adjusts the JMA’s responsiveness (used only when JMA is selected).
JMA Power (default: 1): Adjusts the JMA’s smoothing strength (used only when JMA is selected).
VIDYA Alpha (default: 0.2): Controls the sensitivity of VIDYA to market volatility (used only when VIDYA is selected).
How to Use
Add the indicator to your TradingView chart. It will overlay directly on the price chart, aligned with the price scale.
Adjust the OBV MA Type to select your preferred smoothing method based on your trading style (e.g., JMA for low lag, TMA for smoothness).
Modify the OBV MA Length to balance responsiveness and noise reduction. Shorter periods (e.g., 5–10) are better for short-term trading, while longer periods (e.g., 20–50) suit longer-term analysis.
Use the Bullish Color and Bearish Color to visually distinguish rising and falling volume trends.
For JMA or VIDYA, fine-tune the JMA Phase, JMA Power, or VIDYA Alpha to optimize the indicator for specific market conditions.
Interpret the OBV line in relation to price:
Watch for price pushing the OBV line upward (rising volume) or moving above it (falling volume).
Note crossings of the OBV line to identify balance points and compare with prior crossings to gauge momentum shifts.
Combine with other technical tools (e.g., support/resistance levels, trendlines) for a comprehensive trading strategy.
Notes
This indicator is designed to work on any timeframe and market, but its effectiveness depends on the chosen moving average type and parameters.
Experiment with different MA types and lengths to find the best fit for your trading approach.
The indicator is licensed under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 and copyrighted by TradingStrategyCourses © 2025.
Pure Price Zone Flow🔎 What this indicator is
It’s a price-action-based zone indicator. Unlike moving average systems, this one relies only on:
1. Swing Highs & Swing Lows → The highest and lowest points within a recent lookback period (like "mini support & resistance").
2. ATR (Average True Range) → A volatility measure that expands the zone, making it more adaptive to different market conditions.
3. Breakouts & Retests → When price breaks above a swing high (bullish) or below a swing low (bearish), the indicator marks it and highlights the new trend.
👉 The goal is to spot clean structure shifts and define clear trend zones where traders can position themselves.
________________________________________
⚙️ How it is calculated
1. Swing High & Swing Low
o We look back len candles (default 20).
o Find the highest high (swingHigh) and the lowest low (swingLow) in that window.
o This forms the price range zone.
2. ATR Expansion
o We calculate ATR over the same len.
o Add/subtract it (multiplied by atrMult) to the zone edges to expand them.
o This ensures the zones breathe with volatility (tight in quiet markets, wide in choppy ones).
3. Mid-Zone
o Simply the average of swingHigh and swingLow.
o If price is above mid → bullish bias.
o If below mid → bearish bias.
o This gives us the trend color for candles.
4. Breakouts
o If the close crosses above swingHigh, we mark a bullish breakout with a label.
o If the close crosses below swingLow, we mark a bearish breakdown.
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📊 How it helps traders
This indicator helps by:
1. Identifying Structure Shifts
o Many traders watch swing highs/lows for breakouts or reversals.
o This automates the process and visually confirms when structure is broken.
2. Dynamic Zone Trading
o Instead of fixed support/resistance, the ATR expansion adapts to volatility.
o This avoids false signals in high-volatility conditions.
3. Trend Bias at a Glance
o Candle coloring instantly tells you whether price is in bullish or bearish territory relative to the mid-zone.
4. Breakout Confirmation
o The labels show when a breakout has occurred, so traders can react quickly (e.g., enter with trend, wait for retest, or avoid fading moves).
________________________________________
🌍 Markets it works best in
• Crypto (Bitcoin, Ethereum, etc.): Very effective since crypto is breakout-driven and respects swing levels.
• Forex: Good for volatility-adaptive structure analysis, especially in trending pairs.
• Indices (SPX, NASDAQ, DAX, NIFTY): Useful for breakout trading during session opens or key news events.
• Commodities (Gold, Oil, Silver): Works well to define intraday ranges and breakout levels.
⚠️ Less useful in low-volatility, mean-reverting assets (like some penny stocks or sideways ranges), because breakouts may be rare or fake.
________________________________________
💡 How it adds value
• Strips away unnecessary complexity (no lagging averages).
• Focuses directly on what price is doing structurally.
• Adaptive → works across different markets & timeframes.
• Easy visualization → zones, trend coloring, breakout markers.
• Helps traders trade with the flow of the market, instead of guessing tops/bottoms.
________________________________________
👉 In short:
This indicator turns raw price action into clear, actionable zones.
It highlights when the market shifts from balance to breakout, so traders can align with momentum rather than fighting it.
FlowScape PredictorFlowScape Predictor is a non-repainting, regime-aware entry qualifier that turns complex market context into two readiness scores (Long & Short, each 0/25/50/75/100) and clean, confirmed-bar signals. It blends three orthogonal pillars so you act only when trend energy, momentum, and location agree:
Regime (energy): ATR-normalized linear-regression slope of a smooth HMA → EMA baseline, gated by ADX to confirm when pressure is meaningful.
Momentum (push): RSI slope alignment so price has directional follow-through, not just drift.
Structure (location): proximity to pivot-confirmed swings, scaled by ATR, so “ready” appears near constructive pullbacks—not mid-trend chases.
A soft ATR cloud wraps the baseline for context. A yellow Predictive Baseline extends beyond the last bar to visualize near-term trajectory. It is visual-only: scores/alerts never use it.
What you see
Baseline line that turns green/red when regime is strong in that direction; gray when weak.
ATR cloud around the baseline (context for stretch and pullbacks).
Scores (Long & Short, 0–100 in steps of 25) and optional “L/S” icons on bar close.
Yellow Predictive Baseline that extends to the right for a few bars (visual trajectory of the smoothed baseline).
The scoring system (simple and transparent)
Each side (Long/Short) sums four binary checks, 25 points each:
Regime aligned: trendStrong is true and LR slope sign favors that side.
Momentum aligned: RSI side (>50 for Long, <50 for Short) and RSI slope confirms direction.
Baseline side: price is above (Long) / below (Short) the baseline.
Location constructive: distance from the last confirmed pivot is healthy (ATR-scaled; not overstretched).
Valid totals are 0, 25, 50, 75, 100.
Best-quality signal: 100/0 (your side/opposite) on bar close.
Good, still valid: 75/0, especially when the missing block is only “location” right as price re-engages the cloud/baseline.
Avoid: 75/25 or any opposition > 0 in a weak (gray) regime.
The Predictive (Kalman) line — what it is and isn’t
The yellow line is a visual forward extension of the smoothed baseline to help you see the current trajectory and time pullback resumptions. It does not predict price and is excluded from scores and alerts.
How it’s built (plain English):
We maintain a one-dimensional Kalman state x as a smoothed estimate of the baseline. Each bar we observe the current baseline z.
The filter adjusts its trust using the Kalman gain K = P / (P + R) and updates:
x := x + K*(z − x), then P := (1 − K)*P + Q.
Q (process noise): Higher Q → expects faster change → tracks turns quicker (less smoothing).
R (measurement noise): Higher R → trusts raw baseline less → smoother, steadier projection.
What you control:
Lead (how many bars forward to draw).
Kalman Q/R (visual smoothness vs. responsiveness).
Toggle the line on/off if you prefer a minimal chart.
Important: The predictive line extends the baseline, not price. It’s a visual timing aid—don’t automate off it.
How to use (step-by-step)
Keep the chart clean and use a standard OHLC/candlestick chart.
Read the regime: Prefer trades with green/red baseline (trendStrong = true).
Check scores on bar close:
Take Long 100 / Short 0 or Long 75 / Short 0 when the chart shows a tidy pullback re-engaging the cloud/baseline.
Mirror the logic for shorts.
Confirm location: If price is > ~1.5 ATR from its reference pivot, let it come back—avoid chasing.
Set alerts: Add an alert on Long Ready or Short Ready; these fire on closed bars only.
Risk management: Use ATR-buffered stops beyond the recent pivot; target fixed-R multiples (e.g., 1.5–3.0R). Manage the trade with the baseline/cloud if you trail.
Best-practice playbook (quick rules)
Green light: 100/0 (best) or 75/0 (good) on bar close in a colored (non-gray) regime.
Location first: Prefer entries near the baseline/cloud right after a pullback, not far above/below it.
Avoid mixed signals: Skip 75/25 and anything with opposition while the baseline is gray.
Use the yellow line with discretion: It helps you see rhythm; it’s not a signal source.
Timeframes & tuning (practical defaults)
Intraday indices/FX (5m–15m): Demand 100/0 in chop; allow 75/0 when ADX is awake and pullback is clean.
Crypto intraday (15m–1h): Prefer 100/0; 75/0 on the first pullback after a regime turn.
Swing (1h–4h/D1): 75/0 is often sufficient; 100/0 is excellent (fewer but cleaner signals).
If choppy: raise ADX threshold, raise the readiness bar (insist on 100/0), or lengthen the RSI slope window.
What makes FlowScape different
Energy-first regime filter: ATR-normalized LR slope + ADX gate yields a consistent read of trend quality across symbols and timeframes.
Location-aware entries: ATR-scaled pivot proximity discourages mid-air chases, encouraging pullback timing.
Separation of concerns: The predictive line is visual-only, while scores/alerts are confirmed on close for non-repainting behavior.
One simple score per side: A single 0–100 readiness figure is easier to tune than juggling multiple indicators.
Transparency & limitations
Scores are coarse by design (25-point blocks). They’re a gatekeeper, not a promise of outcomes.
Pivots confirm after right-side bars, so structure signals appear after swings form (non-repainting by design).
Avoid using non-standard chart types (Heikin Ashi, Renko, Range, etc.) for signals; use a clean, standard chart.
No lookahead, no higher-timeframe requests; alerts fire on closed bars only.
OPR — DAX or USEnglish
This indicator automatically plots the Opening Price Range (OPR) for different indices, with customizable start and end times for each instrument.
For the DAX, it draws the high (green), low (red), and midline (grey dotted) for the specified range, defaulting to 09:00–09:15, and extends the lines until the selected end time (default 11:00).
For US indices (Dow Jones, Nasdaq, S&P500), it applies the same logic for the default 15:30–15:45 range, with two vertical black bars marking the start and end of the time window.
Each symbol only displays its own relevant lines (e.g., viewing DAX will only show DAX markers).
Parameters allow adjusting times and visibility for each market.
Entropy (Fiedor/Kontoyiannis) - Part 2 of Fiedor's TheoryThis indicator estimates the Shannon entropy of a price series using a Markov chain model of binary returns, following the approach of Fiedor (2014) and Kontoyiannis (1997).
% of Max shows current entropy as a percentage of its theoretical maximum (1 bit for binary up/down moves).
Percentile ranks the current entropy against historical values in the chosen lookback window.
High entropy suggests price movement is less predictable by frequentist models; low entropy implies more structure and predictability.
Use this as an informational oscillator, not a trading signal.
This is a visualization of Part 1 of Fiedor's Theory. The same entropy logic is already embedded in Part 1 however the second pane is a nice reminder of why it works.
ATR+CCI Monetary Risk Tool - TP/SL⚙️ ATR+CCI Monetary Risk Tool — Volatility-aware TP/SL & Position Sizing
Exact prices (no rounding), ATR-percentile dynamic stops, and risk-budget sizing for consistent execution.
🧠 What this indicator is
A risk-first planning tool. It doesn’t generate orders; it gives you clean, objective levels (Entry, SL, TP) and position size derived from your risk budget. It shows only the latest setup to keep charts readable, and a compact on-chart table summarizing the numbers you actually act on.
✨ What makes it different
Dynamic SL by regime (ATR percentile): Instead of a fixed multiple, the SL multiplier adapts to the current volatility percentile (low / medium / high). That helps avoid tight stops in noisy markets and over-wide stops in quiet markets.
Risk budgeting, not guesswork: Size is computed from Account Balance × Max Risk % divided by SL distance × point value. You risk the same dollars across assets/timeframes.
Precision that matches your instrument: Entry, TP, SL, and SL Distance are displayed as exact prices (no rounding), truncated to syminfo.mintick so they align with broker/exchange precision.
Symbol-aware point value: Uses syminfo.pointvalue so you don’t maintain tick tables.
Non-repaint option: Work from closed bars to keep the plan stable.
🔧 How to use (quick start)
Add to chart and pick your timeframe and symbol.
In settings:
Set Account Balance (USD) and Max Risk per Trade (%).
Choose R:R (1:1 … 1:5).
Pick ATR Period and CCI Period (defaults are sensible).
Keep Dynamic ATR ON to adapt SL by regime.
Keep Use closed-bar values ON to avoid repaint when planning.
Read the labels (Entry/TP/SL) and the table (SL Distance, Position Size, Max USD Risk, ATR Percentile, effective SL Mult).
Combine with your entry trigger (price action, levels, momentum, etc.). This indicator handles risk & targets.
📐 How levels are computed
Bias: CCI ≥ 0 ⇒ long, otherwise short.
ATR Percentile: Percent rank of ATR(atrPeriod) over a lookback window.
Effective SL Mult:
If percentile < Low threshold ⇒ use Low SL Mult (tighter).
If between thresholds ⇒ use Base SL Mult.
If percentile > High threshold ⇒ use High SL Mult (wider).
Stop-Loss: SL = Entry ± ATR × SL_Mult (minus for long, plus for short).
Take-Profit: TP = Entry ± (Entry − SL) × R (R from the R:R dropdown).
Position Size:
USD Risk = Balance × Risk%
Contracts = USD Risk ÷ (|Entry − SL| × PointValue)
For futures, quantity is floored to whole contracts.
Exact prices: Entry/TP/SL and SL Distance are not rounded; they’re truncated to mintick so what you see matches valid price increments.
📊 What you’ll see on chart
Latest Entry (blue), TP (green), SL (red) with labels (optional emojis: ➡️ 🎯 🛑).
Info Table with:
Bias, Entry, TP, SL (exact, truncated to mintick)
SL Distance (exact, truncated)
Position Size (contracts/units)
Max USD Risk
Point Value
ATR Percentile and effective SL Mult
🧪 Practical examples
High-volatility session (e.g., XAUUSD, 1H): ATR percentile is high ⇒ wider SL, smaller size. Reduces churn from normal noise during macro events.
Range-bound market (e.g., EURUSD, 4H): ATR percentile low ⇒ tighter SL, better R:R. Helps you avoid carrying unnecessary risk.
Index swing planning (e.g., ES1!, Daily): Non-repaint levels + risk budgeting = consistent sizing across days/weeks, easier to review and journal.
🧭 Why traders should use it
Consistency: Same dollar risk regardless of instrument or volatility regime.
Clarity: One-trade view forces focus; you see the numbers that matter.
Adaptivity: Stops calibrated to the market’s current behavior, not last month’s.
Discipline: A visible checklist (SL distance, size, USD risk) before you hit buy/sell.
🔧 Input guide (practical defaults)
CCI Period: 100 by default; use as a bias filter, not an entry signal.
ATR Period: 14 by default; raise for smoother, lower for more reactive.
ATR Percentile Lookback: 200 by default (stable regime detection).
Percentile thresholds: 33/66 by default; widen the gap to change how often regimes switch.
SL Mults: Start ~1.5 / 2.0 / 2.5 (low/base/high). Tune by asset.
Risk % per trade: Common pro ranges are 0.25–1.0%; adjust to your risk tolerance.
R:R: Start with 1:2 or 1:3 for balanced skew; adapt to strategy edge.
Closed-bar values: Keep ON for planning/live; turn OFF only for exploration.
💡 Best practices
Combine with your entry logic (structure, momentum, liquidity levels).
Review ATR percentile and effective SL Mult across sessions so you understand regime shifts.
For futures, remember size is floored to whole contracts—safer by design.
Journal trades with the table snapshot to improve risk discipline over time.
⚠️ Notes & limitations
This is not a strategy; it does not place orders or alerts.
No slippage/commissions modeled here; build a strategy() version for backtests that mirror your broker/exchange.
Displayed non-price metrics use two decimals; prices and SL Distance are exact (truncated to mintick).
📎 Disclaimer
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Markets involve risk. Test thoroughly before trading live.
Regime KaleidoscopeWhat is Regime Kaleidoscope?
Regime Kaleidoscope is an advanced market regime visualizer and adaptive signal generator.
It helps traders instantly understand whether current market conditions are best for mean-reversion (fading price back to the mean) or breakout/trend-following (riding strong moves), using a data-driven, non-repainting approach.
How It Works
1. Regime Detection & Background Colors
The indicator analyzes both volatility (ATR) and the shape of each candle (body size vs. range) over a rolling window.
Each bar is classified into one of three regimes, and the chart’s background color changes accordingly:
Regime Background Color What It Means How to Use
Low Vol Balanced Green background Market is calm, compressed. More likely to revert back to mean. Look for mean-reversion signals only (fade moves).
High Vol Directional Red background Market is in a high-volatility, trending, or “breakout” state.
Red does NOT mean bearish. It simply means conditions are ripe for strong directional moves—either up or down. Look for breakout signals only (ride strong moves after structure break).
Chop Gray background Market is indecisive or transitioning between states. Signals are minimized or blocked. Best to wait or trade with extra caution.
→ Red background means high volatility/trending regime, not a signal direction!
Green means “mean-revert environment,” not always bullish!
Gray means “chop/transition”—usually best avoided.
2. Signals — How to Read and Trade Them
Mean-Reversion Signals (Green Regime Only):
Appear when price is stretched away from a rolling mean (SMA) by a configurable ATR-based threshold.
Optional: Only allowed in the direction of the higher-timeframe trend, if enabled.
Long signals: Fade extreme dips (look for triangle-up shapes & green labels).
Short signals: Fade extreme spikes (triangle-down shapes & red labels).
Labels show signal strength (distance from mean in ATR units).
Breakout Signals (Red Regime Only):
Only triggered when price breaks above or below a confirmed swing high or low (pivot), with a strong candle and optional trend confirmation.
Long signals: Breakout above last swing high (regardless of background color).
Short signals: Breakout below last swing low.
Labels show signal strength (distance from pivot in ATR units).
Red background does NOT mean sell— it means “trend environment”—so both long and short signals are possible, depending on which direction price is breaking out.
Signal Controls & Filtering:
Signals only fire at bar close (non-repainting), never intrabar or on future data.
ATR “floor” blocks signals when volatility is too low for meaningful moves.
Cooldown: Signals are limited to one per regime per direction for a minimum number of bars (user input).
Optional confirmation candles: Only strong reversals or breakouts count, reducing noise and whipsaws.
All signals are visible as triangle shapes below/above bars, and labeled with strength.
3. Visual Guide
Background color: Maps the regime, not buy/sell direction.
Transition label: Appears only when the regime changes, so you can see state shifts at a glance.
Triangle shapes & labels: Mark entry points; label gives strength.
Info table (optional): Shows regime and ATR at transitions.
Why is Regime Kaleidoscope Unique?
Uses rolling statistical percentiles of ATR and candle body shape for dynamic market state detection—not just a moving average or volatility band.
Separates regime from signal direction, so you always know “what mode the market is in” and when signals actually have a higher probability.
No repainting. All logic is strictly bar-close, confirmed pivots, and non-future-leaking.
Highly customizable—all thresholds, filters, trend confirmation, and cooldown are user inputs.
How To Use
Add to any chart.
Use the background color to identify if you’re in a mean-revert, breakout, or chop regime.
Take only the signals that match the regime:
Green = fade extremes, Red = ride breakouts, Gray = wait.
Tune settings for your asset and timeframe.
All signals are educational—always test before live use!
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Test the indicator on your assets and timeframes. All signals are for educational use only.
thors_forex_factory_utilityLibrary "forex_factory_utility"
Supporting Utility Library for the Live Economic Calendar by toodegrees Indicator; responsible for data handling, and plotting news event data.
isLeapYear()
Finds if it's currently a leap year or not.
Returns: Returns True if the current year is a leap year.
daysMonth(M)
Provides the days in a given month of the year, adjusted during leap years.
Parameters:
M (int) : Month in numerical integer format (i.e. Jan=1).
Returns: Days in the provided month.
MMM(M)
Converts a month from a numerical integer format to a MMM format (i.e. 'Jan').
Parameters:
M (int) : Month in numerical integer format (i.e. Jan=1).
Returns: Month in MMM format (i.e. 'Jan').
dow(D)
Converts a numbered day of the week string in format to 'DDD' format (i.e. "1" = Sun).
Parameters:
D (string) : Numbered day of the week from 1 to 7, starting on Sunday.
Returns: Returns the day of the week in 'DDD' format (i.e. "Fri").
size(S, N)
Converts a size string into the corresponding Pine Script v5 format, or N times smaller/bigger.
Parameters:
S (string) : Size string: "Tiny", "Small", "Normal", "Large", or "Huge".
N (int) : Size variation, can be positive (larger than S), or negative (smaller than S).
Returns: Size string in Pine Script v5 format.
lineStyle(S)
Converts a line style string into the corresponding Pine Script v5 format.
Parameters:
S (string) : Line style string: "Dashed", "Dotted" or "Solid".
Returns: Line style string in Pine Script v5 format.
lineTrnsp(S)
Converts a transparency style string into the corresponding integer value.
Parameters:
S (string) : Line style string: "Light", "Medium" or "Heavy".
Returns: Transparency integer.
boxLoc(X, Y)
Converts position strings of X and Y into a table position in Pine Script v5 format.
Parameters:
X (string) : X-axis string: "Left", "Center", or "Right".
Y (string) : Y-axis string: "Top", "Middle", or "Bottom".
Returns: Table location string in Pine Script v5 format.
method bubbleSort_NewsTOD(N)
Performs bubble sort on a Forex Factory News array of all news from the same date, ordering them in ascending order based on the time of the day.
Namespace types: array
Parameters:
N (array) : Forex Factory News array.
Returns: void
bubbleSort_News(N)
Performs bubble sort on a Forex Factory News array, ordering them in ascending order based on the time of the day, and date.
Parameters:
N (array) : Forex Factory News array.
Returns: Sorted Forex Factory News array.
weekNews(N, C, I)
Creates a Forex Factory News array containing the current week's Forex Factory News.
Parameters:
N (array) : Forex Factory News array containing this week's unfiltered Forex Factory News.
C (array) : Currency filter array (string array).
I (array) : Impact filter array (color array).
Returns: Forex Factory News array containing the current week's Forex Factory News.
todayNews(W, D, M)
Creates a Forex Factory News array containing the current day's Forex Factory News.
Parameters:
W (array) : Forex Factory News array containing this week's Forex Factory News.
D (array) : Forex Factory News array for the current day's Forex Factory News.
M (bool) : Boolean that marks whether the current chart has a Day candle-switch at Midnight New York Time.
Returns: Forex Factory News array containing the current day's Forex Factory News.
adjustTimezone(N, TZH, TZM)
Transposes the Time of the Day, and Date, in the Forex Factory News Table to a custom Timezone.
Parameters:
N (array) : Forex Factory News array.
TZH (int) : Custom Timezone hour.
TZM (int) : Custom Timezone minute.
Returns: Reformatted Forex Factory News array.
NewsAMPM_TOD(N)
Reformats the Time of the Day in the Forex Factory News Table to AM/PM format.
Parameters:
N (array) : Forex Factory News array.
Returns: Reformatted Forex Factory News array.
impFilter(X, L, M, H)
Creates a filter array from the User's desired Forex Facory News to be shown based on Impact.
Parameters:
X (bool) : Boolean - if True Holidays listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
L (bool) : Boolean - if True Low Impact listed on Forex Factory News will be shown.
M (bool) : Boolean - if True Medium Impact listed on Forex Factory News will be shown.
H (bool) : Boolean - if True High Impact listed on Forex Factory News will be shown.
Returns: Color array with the colors corresponding to the Forex Factory News to be shown.
curFilter(A, C1, C2, C3, C4, C5, C6, C7, C8, C9)
Creates a filter array from the User's desired Forex Facory News to be shown based on Currency.
Parameters:
A (bool) : Boolean - if True News related to the current Chart's symbol listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
C1 (bool) : Boolean - if True News related to the Australian Dollar listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
C2 (bool) : Boolean - if True News related to the Canadian Dollar listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
C3 (bool) : Boolean - if True News related to the Swiss Franc listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
C4 (bool) : Boolean - if True News related to the Chinese Yuan listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
C5 (bool) : Boolean - if True News related to the Euro listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
C6 (bool) : Boolean - if True News related to the British Pound listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
C7 (bool) : Boolean - if True News related to the Japanese Yen listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
C8 (bool) : Boolean - if True News related to the New Zealand Dollar listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
C9 (bool) : Boolean - if True News related to the US Dollar listed on Forex Factory will be shown.
Returns: String array with the currencies corresponding to the Forex Factory News to be shown.
FF_OnChartLine(N, T, S)
Plots vertical lines where a Forex Factory News event will occur, or has already occurred.
Parameters:
N (array) : News-type array containing all the Forex Factory News.
T (int) : Transparency integer value (0-100) for the lines.
S (string) : Line style in Pine Script v5 format.
Returns: void
method updateStringMatrix(M, P, V)
Updates a string Matrix containing the tooltips for Forex Factory News Event information for a given candle.
Namespace types: matrix
Parameters:
M (matrix) : String matrix.
P (int) : Position (row) of the Matrix to update based on the impact.
V (string) : information to push to the Matrix.
Returns: void
FF_OnChartLabel(N, Y, S, O)
Plots labels where a Forex Factory News has already occurred based on its/their impact.
Parameters:
N (array) : News-type array containing all the Forex Factory News.
Y (string) : String that gives direction on where to plot the label (options= "Above", "Below", "Auto").
S (string) : Label size in Pine Script v5 format.
O (bool) : Show outline of labels?
Returns: void
historical(T, D, W, X)
Deletes Forex Factory News drawings which are ourside a specific Time window.
Parameters:
T (int) : Number of days input used for Forex Factory News drawings' history.
D (bool) : Boolean that when true will only display Forex Factory News drawings of the current day.
W (bool) : Boolean that when true will only display Forex Factory News drawings of the current week.
X (string) : String that gives direction on what lines to plot based on Time (options= "Future", "Both").
Returns: void
newTable(P, B)
Creates a new Table object with parameters tailored to the Forex Factory News Table.
Parameters:
P (string) : Position string for the Table, in Pine Script v5 format.
B (color) : Border and frame color for the News Table.
Returns: Empty Forex Factory News Table.
resetTable(P, S, headTextC, headBgC, B)
Resets a Table object with parameters and headers tailored to the Forex Factory News Table.
Parameters:
P (string) : Position string for the Table, in Pine Script v5 format.
S (string) : Size string for the Table's text, in Pine Script v5 format.
headTextC (color)
headBgC (color)
B (color) : Border and frame color for the News Table.
Returns: Empty Forex Factory News Table.
logNews(N, TBL, R, S, rowTextC, rowBgC)
Adds an event to the Forex Factory News Table.
Parameters:
N (News) : News-type object.
TBL (table) : Forex Factory News Table object to add the News to.
R (int) : Row to add the event to in the Forex Factory News Table.
S (string) : Size string for the event's text, in Pine Script v5 format.
rowTextC (color)
rowBgC (color)
Returns: void
FF_Table(N, P, S, headTextC, headBgC, rowTextC, rowBgC, B)
Creates the Forex Factory News Table.
Parameters:
N (array) : News-type array containing all the Forex Factory News.
P (string) : Position string for the Table, in Pine Script v5 format.
S (string) : Size string for the Table's text, in Pine Script v5 format.
headTextC (color)
headBgC (color)
rowTextC (color)
rowBgC (color)
B (color) : Border and frame color for the News Table.
Returns: Forex Factory News Table.
timeline(N, T, F, TZH, TZM, D)
Shades Forex Factory News events in the Forex Factory News Table after they occur.
Parameters:
N (array) : News-type array containing all the Forex Factory News.
T (table) : Forex Facory News table object.
F (color) : Color used as shading once the Forex Factory News has occurred.
TZH (int) : Custom Timezone hour, if any.
TZM (int) : Custom Timezone minute, if any.
D (bool) : Daily Forex Factory News flag.
Returns: Forex Factory News Table.
News
Custom News type which contains informatino about a Forex Factory News Event.
Fields:
dow (series string) : Day of the week, in DDD format (i.e. 'Mon').
dat (series string) : Date, in MMM D format (i.e. 'Jan 1').
_t (series int)
tod (series string) : Time of the day, in hh:mm 24-Hour format (i.e 17:10).
cur (series string) : Currency, in CCC format (i.e. "USD").
imp (series color) : Impact, the respective impact color for Forex Factory News Events.
ttl (series string) : Title, encoded in a custom number mapping (see the toodegrees/toodegrees_forex_factory library to learn more).
tmst (series int)
ln (series line)
Squeeze Momentum Regression Clouds [SciQua]╭──────────────────────────────────────────────╮
☁️ Squeeze Momentum Regression Clouds
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🔍 Overview
The Squeeze Momentum Regression Clouds (SMRC) indicator is a powerful visual tool for identifying price compression , trend strength , and slope momentum using multiple layers of linear regression Clouds. Designed to extend the classic squeeze framework, this indicator captures the behavior of price through dynamic slope detection, percentile-based spread analytics, and an optional UI for trend inspection — across up to four customizable regression Clouds .
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⚙️ Core Features
╰────────────────╯
Up to 4 Regression Clouds – Each Cloud is created from a top and bottom linear regression line over a configurable lookback window.
Slope Detection Engine – Identifies whether each band is rising, falling, or flat based on slope-to-ATR thresholds.
Spread Compression Heatmap – Highlights compressed zones using yellow intensity, derived from historical spread analysis.
Composite Trend Scoring – Aggregates directional signals from each Cloud using your chosen weighting model.
Color-Coded Candles – Optional candle coloring reflects the real-time composite score.
UI Table – A toggleable info table shows slopes, compression levels, percentile ranks, and direction scores for each Cloud.
Gradient Cloud Styling – Apply gradient coloring from Cloud 1 to Cloud 4 for visual slope intensity.
Weight Aggregation Options – Use equal weighting, inverse-length weighting, or max pooling across Clouds to determine composite trend strength.
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🧪 How to Use the Indicator
1. Understand Trend Bias with Cloud Colors
╰──────────────────────────────────────────╯
Each Cloud changes color based on its current slope:
Green indicates a rising trend.
Red indicates a falling trend.
Gray indicates a flat slope — often seen during chop or transitions.
Cloud 1 typically reflects short-term structure, while Cloud 4 represents long-term directional bias. Watch for multi-Cloud alignment — when all Clouds are green or red, the trend is strong. Divergence among Clouds often signals a potential shift.
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2. Use Compression Heat to Anticipate Breakouts
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The space between each Cloud’s top and bottom regression lines is measured, normalized, and analyzed over time. When this spread tightens relative to its history, the script highlights the band with a yellow compression glow .
This visual cue helps identify squeeze zones before volatility expands. If you see compression paired with a changing slope color (e.g., gray to green), this may indicate an impending breakout.
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3. Leverage the Optional Table UI
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The indicator includes a dynamic, floating table that displays real-time metrics per Cloud. These include:
Slope direction and value , with historical Min/Max reference.
Top and Bottom percentile ranks , showing how price sits within the Cloud range.
Current spread width , compared to its historical norms.
Composite score , which blends trend, slope, and compression for that Cloud.
You can customize the table’s position, theme, transparency, and whether to show a combined summary score in the header.
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4. Analyze Candle Color for Composite Signals
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When enabled, the indicator colors candles based on a weighted composite score. This score factors in:
The signed slope of each Cloud (up, down, or flat)
The percentile pressure from the top and bottom bands
The degree of spread compression
Expect green candles in bullish trend phases, red candles during bearish regimes, and gray candles in mixed or low-conviction zones.
Candle coloring provides a visual shorthand for market conditions , useful for intraday scanning or historical backtesting.
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╭────────────────────────╮
🧰 Configuration Guidance
╰────────────────────────╯
To tailor the indicator to your strategy:
Use Cloud lengths like 21, 34, 55, and 89 for a balanced multi-timeframe view.
Adjust the slope threshold (default 0.05) to control how sensitive the trend coloring is.
Set the spread floor (e.g., 0.15) to tune when compression is detected and visualized.
Choose your weighting style : Inverse Length (favor faster bands), Equal, or Max Pooling (most aggressive).
Set composite weights to emphasize trend slope, percentile bias, or compression—depending on your market edge.
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╭────────────────╮
✅ Best Practices
╰────────────────╯
Use aligned Cloud colors across all bands to confirm trend conviction.
Combine slope direction with compression glow for early breakout entry setups.
In choppy markets, watch for Clouds 1 and 2 turning flat while Clouds 3 and 4 remain directional — a sign of potential trend exhaustion or consolidation.
Keep the table enabled during backtesting to manually evaluate how each Cloud behaved during price turns and consolidations.
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╭───────────────────────╮
📌 License & Usage Terms
╰───────────────────────╯
This script is provided under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License .
✅ You are allowed to:
Use this script for personal or educational purposes
Study, learn, and adapt it for your own non-commercial strategies
❌ You are not allowed to:
Resell or redistribute the script without permission
Use it inside any paid product or service
Republish without giving clear attribution to the original author
For commercial licensing , private customization, or collaborations, please contact Joshua Danford directly.
Volume Statistics - IntraweekVolume Statistics - Intraweek: For Orderflow Traders
This tool is designed for traders using volume footprint charts and orderflow methods.
Why it matters:
In orderflow trading, you care about the quality of volume behind each move. You’re not just watching price; you’re watching how much aggression is behind that price move. That’s where this indicator helps.
What to look at:
* Current Volume shows you how much volume is trading right now.
* Central Volume (median or average over 24h or 7D) gives you a baseline for what's normal volume VS abnormal volume.
* The Diff vs Central tells you immediately if current volume is above or below normal.
How this helps:
* If volume is above normal, it suggested elevated levels of buyer or seller aggression. Look for strong follow-through or continuation.
* If volume is below normal, it may signal low interest, passive participation, a lack of conviction, or a fake move.
* Use this context to decide if what you're seeing in the footprint (imbalances, absorption, traps) is actually worth acting on.
Extra context:
* The highest and lowest volume levels and their timestamps help you spot prior key reactions.
* Second and third highest bars help you see other major effort points in the recent window.
Comment with any suggestions on how to improve this indicator.
ACR(Average Candle Range) With TargetsWhat is ACR?
The Average Candle Range (ACR) is a custom volatility metric that calculates the mean distance between the high and low of a set number of past candles. ACR focuses only on the actual candle range (high - low) of specific past candles on a chosen timeframe.
This script calculates and visualizes the Average Candle Range (ACR) over a user-defined number of candles on a custom timeframe. It displays a table of recent range values, plots dynamic bullish and bearish target levels, and marks the start of each new candle with a vertical line. All calculations update in real time as price action develops. This script was inspired by the “ICT ADR Levels - Judas x Daily Range Meter°” by toodegrees.
Key Features
Custom Timeframe Selection: Choose any timeframe (e.g., 1D, 4H, 15m) for analysis.
User-Defined Lookback: Calculate the average range across 1 to 10 previous candles.
Dynamic Targets:
Bullish Target: Current candle low + ACR.
Bearish Target: Current candle high – ACR.
Live Updates: Targets adjust intrabar as highs or lows change during the current candle.
Candle Start Markers: Vertical lines denote the open of each new candle on the selected timeframe.
Floating Range Table:
Displays the current ACR value.
Lists individual ranges for the previous five candles.
Extend Target Lines: Choose to extend bullish and bearish target levels fully across the screen.
Global Visibility Controls: Toggle on/off all visual elements (targets, vertical lines, and table) for a cleaner view.
How It Works
At each new candle on the user-selected timeframe, the script:
Draws a vertical line at the candle’s open.
Recalculates the ACR based on the inputted previous number of candles.
Plots target levels using the current candle's developing high and low values.
Limitation
Once the price has already moved a full ACR in the opposite direction from your intended trade, the associated target loses its practical value. For example, if you intended to trade long but the bearish ACR target is hit first, the bullish target is no longer a reliable reference for that session.
Use Case
This tool is designed for traders who:
Want to visualize the average movement range of candles over time.
Use higher or lower timeframe candles as structural anchors.
Require real-time range-based price levels for intraday or swing decision-making.
This script does not generate entry or exit signals. Instead, it supports range awareness and target projection based on historical candle behavior.
Key Difference from Similar Tools
While this script was inspired by “ICT ADR Levels - Judas x Daily Range Meter°” by toodegrees, it introduces a major enhancement: the ability to customize the timeframe used for calculating the range. Most ADR or candle-range tools are locked to a single timeframe (e.g., daily), but this version gives traders full control over the analysis window. This makes it adaptable to a wide range of strategies, including intraday and swing trading, across any market or asset.
CQ_[TACHIMETER]The Tachimeter Indicator: A Fun Financial Gauge
Visualizing Market Momentum in Real Time
Introduction
The Tachimeter is a playful and innovative indicator designed for those who enjoy observing the financial markets with a touch of excitement. Much like the tachometer in a car measures engine revolutions per minute, the Tachimeter measures the "revolutions" of money in the market — showing just how fast funds are moving in or out, every twenty seconds.
What Does the Tachimeter Show?
At its core, the Tachimeter displays how much money (in U.S. dollars) is shifting direction — either up or down — from the current price within a 20-second window. The indicator operates on a scale that starts at $0 (no significant movement) and extends to $1200, representing the maximum flow observed in each 20-second period.
• Scale: $0 to $1200 every 20 seconds
• Direction: Indicates if money is moving upwards (buying) or downwards (selling)
• Purpose: For entertainment and observation, not for actual trading decisions
Visual Design and Interpretation
The Tachimeter features a gauge reminiscent of a car’s tachometer. The gauge moves to show the current intensity of money flowing into or out of the market right now, providing an immediate sense of how "fast" buyers or sellers are acting.
• Gauge Indicator: The amount of squares shows the speed of ongoing transactions, just like a rev counter in a vehicle.
• Color-Coded Title: The title of the indicator switches colors based on the market’s relationship to the daily opening price:
• Red: When the current price is lower than the daily opening price, indicating downward momentum.
• Green: When the current price is higher than the daily opening price, signaling buying momentum.
How to Use the Tachimeter
This indicator is intended purely for fun — it gives you a rapid, visual sense of market activity, letting you "feel" the excitement of fluctuating prices. If you enjoy watching the markets move, the Tachimeter adds a dynamic, visceral element to your experience.
• Watch the needle twitch higher as heavy buying or selling takes place.
• Notice title color changes as the market sentiment shifts from bullish (green) to bearish (red), or vice versa.
• Use it as a conversation starter or to enhance your enjoyment of fast-paced trading sessions.
Final Thoughts
Like your car’s tachometer helps you sense when to shift gears, the Tachimeter lets you sense when the market is "revving up." It’s not a tool for serious decision-making, but it transforms raw financial data into an engaging, interactive visual — perfect for those who appreciate both finance and a bit of fun.
Enjoy watching the market’s RPMs!
Linear Mean Reversion Strategy📘 Strategy Introduction: Linear Mean Reversion with Fixed Stop
This strategy implements a simple yet powerful mean reversion model that assumes price tends to oscillate around a dynamic average over time. It identifies statistically significant deviations from the moving average using a z-score, and enters trades expecting a return to the mean.
🧠 Core Logic:
A z-score is calculated by comparing the current price to its moving average, normalized by standard deviation, over a user-defined half-life window.
Trades are entered when the z-score crosses a threshold (e.g., ±1), signaling overbought or oversold conditions.
The strategy exits positions either when price reverts back near the mean (z-score close to 0), or if a fixed stop loss of 100 points is hit, whichever comes first.
⚙️ Key Features:
Dynamic mean and volatility estimation using moving average and standard deviation
Configurable z-score thresholds for entry and exit
Position size scaling based on z-score magnitude
Fixed stop loss to control risk and avoid prolonged drawdowns
🧪 Use Case:
Ideal for range-bound markets or assets that exhibit stationary behavior around a mean, this strategy is especially useful on assets with mean-reverting characteristics like currency pairs, ETFs, or large-cap stocks. It is best suited for traders looking for short-term reversions rather than long-term trends.
Momentum Commitment Delta (MCD)What it is
M C D fuses five micro-structure clues into one 0-to-1 score that says, “how hard are traders actually leaning on this move?”
1. Body-Delta Momentum – average net candle body direction.
2. Volume Commitment – up-volume ÷ down-volume over the same window.
3. Wick Compression – shrinking upper/lower wicks = clean conviction.
4. Candle Sequencing – rewards orderly, staircase-style body growth.
5. Pin Ratio – where the close pins inside each candle’s range.
The five factors are multiplied, then auto-normalized so extremes always land near 0 / 1 on any symbol or timeframe.
I recommend tweaking the settings to fit your edge, the pre-loaded settings may not be suitable for most traders. The MCD works on all timeframes as well :)
⸻
How to read basic signals
• Fresh cross above 0.70 → often the birth of a real breakout.
• Cluster of > 0.70 bars → “commitment lock,” pull-backs usually shallow.
• Price makes new high while M C D doesn’t → beware...
• Cross back below 0.30 after a run → momentum is out of fuel.
⸻
Because M C D is multiplicative, it’s hard to hit the extremes—so when the bars light lime green, the print is usually telling the truth.
I personally use the MCD to identify the peak of a high-conviction range, NOT a breakout. If a bar prints over 0.70 (green) and then a range forms off of the bar which exceeded 0.70, the breakout has a high chance to be explosive, regardless of what MCD reads at the breakout inflection point.
Play around with it, im sure there are plenty of other patterns.
Disclaimer: The Momentum Commitment Delta (MCD) indicator is provided strictly for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial or investment advice, nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Trading involves substantial risk, and you should always perform your own due diligence and consult a qualified financial professional before making any trading decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
