CT Moving Average Crossover IndicatorMoving Average Crossover Indicator
Here I present a moving average indicator with 9 user definable moving averages from which up to 5 pairs can be selected to show what prices would need to be closed at on the current bar to cross each individual pair.
I have put much emphasis here on simplicity of setting the parameters of the moving averages, selecting the crossover pairs and on the clarity of the displayed information in the optional “Moving Average Crossover Level” Information Box.
What Is a Moving Average (MA)?
According to Investopedia - “In statistics, a moving average is a calculation used to analyze data points by creating a series of averages of different subsets of the full data set.
In finance, a moving average (MA) is a stock indicator that is commonly used in technical analysis. The reason for calculating the moving average of a stock is to help smooth out the price data by creating a constantly updated average price.
By calculating the moving average, the impacts of random, short-term fluctuations on the price of a stock over a specified time-frame are mitigated.”
The user can set the color, type (SMA/EMA) and length of each of the 9 moving averages.
Then the user may choose 5 pairs of moving averages from the set of 9.
The script will then calculate the price needed to be crossed by the close of the current bar in order to crossover each of the user defined pairs and outputs the results as optional lineplots and/or an Infobox which shows the relevant information in a very clear way.
The user may switch the moving averages, crossover lineplots and infobox on and off easily with one click boxes in the settings menu.
The number of decimal places shown in the Infobox can be altered in the settings menu.
If the price required to cross a pair of moving averages is zero or less, the crossover level will display “Impossible” and the plots will plot at zero. (this helps ameliorate chart auto-focus issues)
Quoting a variety of online resources …….
Understanding Moving Averages (MA)
Moving averages are a simple, technical analysis tool. Moving averages are usually calculated to identify the trend direction of a stock or to determine its support and resistance levels. It is a trend-following—or lagging—indicator because it is based on past prices.
The longer the time period for the moving average, the greater the lag. So, a 200-day moving average will have a much greater degree of lag than a 20-day MA because it contains prices for the past 200 days. The 50-day and 200-day moving average figures for stocks are widely followed by investors and traders and are considered to be important trading signals.
Moving averages are a totally customizable indicator, which means that an investor can freely choose whatever time frame they want when calculating an average. The most common time periods used in moving averages are 15, 20, 30, 50, 100, and 200 days. The shorter the time span used to create the average, the more sensitive it will be to price changes. The longer the time span, the less sensitive the average will be.
Investors may choose different time periods of varying lengths to calculate moving averages based on their trading objectives. Shorter moving averages are typically used for short-term trading, while longer-term moving averages are more suited for long-term investors.
There is no correct time frame to use when setting up your moving averages. The best way to figure out which one works best for you is to experiment with a number of different time periods until you find one that fits your strategy.
Predicting trends in the stock market is no simple process. While it is impossible to predict the future movement of a specific stock, using technical analysis and research can help you make better predictions.
A rising moving average indicates that the security is in an uptrend, while a declining moving average indicates that it is in a downtrend. Similarly, upward momentum is confirmed with a bullish crossover, which occurs when a short-term moving average crosses above a longer-term moving average. Conversely, downward momentum is confirmed with a bearish crossover, which occurs when a short-term moving average crosses below a longer-term moving average.
Types of Moving Averages
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
The simplest form of a moving average, known as a simple moving average (SMA), is calculated by taking the arithmetic mean of a given set of values. In other words, a set of numbers–or prices in the case of financial instruments–are added together and then divided by the number of prices in the set.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
The exponential moving average is a type of moving average that gives more weight to recent prices in an attempt to make it more responsive to new information.
To calculate an EMA, you must first compute the simple moving average (SMA) over a particular time period. Next, you must calculate the multiplier for weighting the EMA (referred to as the "smoothing factor"), which typically follows the formula: 2/(selected time period + 1). So, for a 20-day moving average, the multiplier would be 2/(20+1)= 0.0952. Then you use the smoothing factor combined with the previous EMA to arrive at the current value.
The EMA thus gives a higher weighting to recent prices, while the SMA assigns equal weighting to all values.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "情绪指数板块+约200只股票+选股规则"
Structure AnalyzerA momentum indicator that uses the highest and lowest values for price in three different lookback lengths to find the performance relative to three timeframes.
- The yellow line is the product of the price performance in three different timeframes.
- The red line is 200 EMA of the performance.
- The blue columns represent the same calculation or the volume(OBV based).
- The aqua line is the 200 EMA of the volume performance.
How to use: Whenever the performance crosses above the 200 EMA, the price is in an uptrend.
Important: When in a downtrend, the performance will stay below the 200 EMA for a long time; hence it is important o wait until the crossover.
Minervini Trend TemplateMinervini Trend Template
1. Stock price is above MA 150 and 200
2. MA 150 is above MA 200
3. MA 200 is trending at least 1 month(22 days)
4. MA 50 is above both MA 150 and MA 200
5. Current stock price is 25% above 52 weeks low
6. Current Price is within 25% of 52 week high
7. RS Ratings
Xiang Stoch MACD 200EMAStochastic + MACD + 200 EMA indicator
Green flag
1) MACD crossover Signal line
2) Stochastic in oversold region (=80)
3) Below 200 EMA (direction of trend)
I use 200 EMA to determine the direction of the trend, (can ignore point 3 for both flag if you got other ways).
If green flag, high possibility of market going up.
If red flag, high possibility of market going down.
ARI-DPO TrendThis is a new indicator that uses DPO (Detrended Price Oscillator) and calculating its HMA 200 and EMA 200 is able to show the current price direction.
if the line is below 0 the market is in a downtrend in the short term, otherwise, the market is in an uptrend.
if the line is red, the market is in a downtrend in the long term (bearish), otherwise, the market is in a long term uptrend (bullish)
a sequence of red/green lines means that the market is choppy
Currently, I'm using it with cryptocurrencies to assess if the short term price action.
How it works:
the indicator calculates the DPO (default 21 periods) and its HMA (default 200 periods) and EMA (default 200 periods) and shows if the DPO is above both HMA and SMA (indicator line above 0 and green), below both (indicator line below 0 and red) or between (the indicator line and the colour are not matching: e.g. red line above the zero or green line below zero). the latter is the classic situation of a choppy market or a possible short term reversal.
The aim of this indicator is to find a good entry point for long/short positions.
I'm still testing and improving it, please
let me know in the comments if you find this useful. Cheers!
GAURs Polynomial Regression ChannelsThanks to The Sweet Lord , here is the Gaur's Polynomial Regression Channel.
Its a Polynomial Regression Channel but applied a little differently. Wont go into technical details much. Overview of options is as follows-
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Channel Options
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1. Degree of Polynomial: 1/2/3
Default = 3
Defines the degree of polynomials - 1,2,3. Note here, degree 1 will not be a straight line since its applied differently.
Try different degrees for different fits and market conditions.
2. Channel Length:
Default 30 (candles)
You can go beyond 100 or 200 candle lengths but smaller is the usual preference of Poly-Reg-channel traders. It all depends on market conditions and your style of trading. Do your research. I am usually comfortable with a range of 20-50 (in crypto markets).
3. Basis of Channel height/boundries: ATR/Manual
Default: ATR
ATR provides a dynamically adjusted entry/exit bounds of the channels. As ATR changes, the channel bounds also changes its height. It can also be fixed manually. Manual heights wont change automatically.
4. Basis of Y-Value: open/close/ sma / ema / wma /hilow
Default: close
Y- value is the y value of the (x,y) coordinates used while calculating the regression coefficients. Dont worry about it, its nothing serious.
5. Apply channel smoothning using sma?: Yes/No
Default: Yes
Without smoothning, the channel does not "look" good.
6. Shaded Area Height Percentage:
Its the extra margin for the channel. Its in percentage of the total height (defined 3 above) of channels. The shaded area provides an extra allowance for your entries or exits beyond the ATR or manual heights.
7. Plot RSI?: Yes/No
Default: Yes
Plots RSI (orange line in between the channel - its different from the dotted center line) considering the downbound of channels as 0 (oversold) and upbound of channels as 100 (overbought)
8. Plot 200 sma?: Yes/No
Default: Yes
It plots a 200 period fast (green) and 225 period slow (red) sma . I usually use two MAs. Its visually very easy to understand.
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Sample Strategy
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You can develop your own strategy with the channels. But following is just one of the ways you can trade.
Best Application: Ranging markets. But can be happily used in volatile conditions, with a little experience.
1. SMA: -- (this condition is optional really)
If green (200) is above red (225) go only long. If red is above green go only short. Defines long term trend of the market.
2. Channel slope: -- (this stuff needs practice/experience)
Depending on the channel slope, like if its tending to go up or down, you can choose to take only short or long trades. It defines short term momentum of the market.
3. ATR based heights:
Since its ATR based, the channel height are our natural entry and exit points.
Long:
When price touches lower shaded area, consider possible long entry. Exit on price entering the upper shaded area.
Short:
Enter on upper bound shaded area, exit on lower.
4. RSI:
For additional conformations. Again note, the RSI considers the lower bound of channel as 0 and upper as 100. But since, the channel moves up and down, the RSI will also move not only as RSI but also with the channel. Meaning, say if the RSI is valued at 50, then it will be near the center of the channel but since the center changes as time and price changes, the RSI valued at 50 at different times will not be at the same horizontal level respect to the graph, although it will be at the same level (center) respect to the channel.
5. PRC Channel Percentage label:
This label is at the lower side a bit ahead of the current candle. Provides you info on what is the channel percentage. This is especially helpful in crypto markets to gauge your possible percentage profit where profits can be much higher than forex or other instruments. It can also helps you select a suitable market/instrument if the channels are based on ATR.
6. Extra indicators:
I usually use stochastic along with this setup for extra conformations.
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Donate
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Use freely and donate generously if you find value. Your help will really help.
I had earlier provided BTC addresses for donations but it seems to violate TV House rules.
Hope they make TV coins redeemable in future.
- Pranav Joshi
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Extra Info
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// © cpranavjoshi
// special thanks to the "Trading View" people for providing this great platform for free
// ------------------------
// MATH
// ------------------------
// special thanks to an article on the web that provided layman friendly explanation of the maths
// unfortunately i wont be able to provide the link to that article owing to TV restrictions, though i sincerely would have liked to credit the author.
// Google search this phrase, and you should be able to get it in one of the first results - "polynomialregression Mathematics of Polynomial Regression"
// my regression math calculation is a further resolution upon the generalized matrix formula given in the that article.
// the generalized matrix looks scary but in fact its much simpler than one may assume
// the summation sign things are just float numbers that can be easily found out
// so we get a matrix with number of equations equal to the number of unknowns.
// e.g. if its a 3rd degree poly, it has 4 unknowns (c0,c1,c2,c3) with 4 equations as in the generalized matrix
// it can be resolved by simple algebra
// Note: the results have been verified with excel using same input data points.
// pine was difficult for me so i coded it in python first to verify
// ------------------------
// WHY
// ------------------------
// this script was coded because Pranav badly needed Polynomial channels (had used them in mt4 earlier)
// and at the time of this coding, i could not find any readily available script in the trading view public library ( tnx public)
// the complex math was probably the hurdle
// i m not good in maths, but by the Will of the Lord, i could resolve the issue with simple algebra and logic
// ------------------------
// PINE
// ------------------------
// i am just an average (even poor probably) programmer and pine script is not my language
// this is a humble attempt to write my first pine with whatever i could do quickly
// experts - feel free to develop if needed. have used some workarounds in drawings/plottings. rectify them if possible
//
//
// - Pranav Joshi
Trading Rush Signals & AlertsThis is an unofficial script for strategies tested on TRADING RUSH Youtube channel. Over time, most successful strategies will be added with an option to set strategy-specific alerts . Trading Rush Signals & Alerts will draw signals on the chart when the entry conditions are met. You can also opt for displaying indicators .
My script is meant for beginners but can be used by veterans too. Just pick only one or two strategies, you don't want to flood your chart with conflicting signals. You may want to support your trades with a proper analysis. If a new signal occurs when there is still an open position, you are not supposed to take another.
The current version includes MACD and Donchian Channels.
MACD strategy:
►Buy, when MACD crosses below the signal line when it is negative. The price must also be above 200 EMA.
►Sell, when MACD crosses above the signal line when it is positive. The price must also be below 200 EMA.
►This strategy was tested on 30-minute charts of EURUSD and EURJPY with reward-to-risk ratio 1,5 and win rate of 62% over 100 trades .
►►►MACD has to be added to your chart separately because it needs a new window. Indicators displaying will not add this indicator to the chart.
Donchian Channels strategy:
►Buy, when the price breaches Donchian to the upside after making a new low. The price must also be above 200 EMA.
►Sell, when the price breaches Donchian to the downside after making a new high. The price must also be below 200 EMA.
►Stop-loss is Donchian bottom for long and Donchian top for shorts. Check the channel for more information.
►This strategy was tested on 30-minute charts of EURUSD with reward-to-risk ratio 1,5 and win rate of 58% over 100 trades .
►►►I programmed alerts for Donchians to come ahead of an actual breach. If you often leave the screen when trading, this will help you. The necessary downside for that is the alerts might come when the signal doesn't trigger in the end. You will see a mark on the chart if the conditions are truly met.
Bear in mind that backtesting performance doesn't guarantee future profitability. • Most systematic strategies are not suitable for any timeframe. • You should perform your own backtest to base your trades on more data & to establish confidence in the selected strategy.
New strategies will be added when I have time. If I see multiple people asking for the same new feature, I might agree to release it with a new version. I am not going to add input options in this script, it could come as a separate script though. I am in no way affiliated with the Youtubechannel , so if you find the script helpful, shot me a message or send me some TradingView coins >)
If you encounter any bug, you can report it in a message or in comments. Support it with screenshot and relevant information such as a time when it occurred and what options were on etc.
Moving average Two ColoursExponential moving average of 200 periods, which changes color according to the position of the candles.
(200 periods: default configuration Option to change periods allowed)
If the candles are on the EMA, this will have green color, otherwise red color (colors, thickness configurable).
**********************************************************************************************************************************************
Descripción en Español:
Media móvil Exponencial de 200 periodos, la cuál cambia de color según posición de las velas.
(200 periodos: configuración default. Opción de cambio de periodos permitida)
Si las velas están sobre la EMA , esta tendrá color verde, caso contrario color rojo (colores, grosor configurables).
cci based potential buy/sell signal
Commodity Channel Index Potential Buy Signal
Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is below oversold line (-200).
CCI then crosses above -100 line
Commodity Channel Index Potential Sell Signal
Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is above overbought line (+200).
CCI then crosses below +100 line.
Türkçe Açıklama;
CCI Potansiyel Al Sinyali
CCI indikatörünün -200 altında bulunduğu bölgeler aşırı satış bölgeleri,
Sonrasında aşağıdan gelerek -100 çizgisinin üzerine çıktığı yada çıkmak üzere olduğu noktalar al sinyali
CCI Potansiyel Satl Sinyali
CCI indikatörünün +200 üzerinde bulunduğu bölgeler aşırı alım bölgeleri,
Sonrasında yukarıdan inerek +100 çizgisinin altına indiği yada inmek üzere olduğu noktalar sat sinyali
Not: Tek başına kullanılması son derece hatalı sonuçlar verebilir. Sadece olabilirlik potansiyeli taşımaktadır.
Exponential Moving Average (Set of 3) [Krypt] + 13/34 EMAsI took Krypt's script and essentially added on to it.
the 20/50/100/200 EMAs should be used together as support and resistance as normal.
Wait for price to break 200 EMA
Wait for 50 EMA to cross 200 EMA
Wait for pullback to 50 EMA to open position
20 and 100 EMAs are for extra information about moving support and resistance
and 13/34 EMAs should be used in conjunction
When 13 EMA crosses 34 EMA, open position
When price gets far from 13/34, close position (because price will attempt to revert back to mean)
This is better for scalping and swing trades than the 20/50/100/200 setup.
Twitter: @AzorAhai06
ST_Trend_ReversalSTRONG TREND REVERSAL INDICATOR
The code is the percentage difference between the spot price of a given financial asset and its 200-day MA of that period. My standard setup is Daily, and I think it's got very good predictive power at that timeframe.
It can be read in two ways:
1. Values extremely above or below the 200-period MA present chances of buying/selling agains the prevailing trend.
2. Values closely above or below the 200-period MA are make-or-break market periods, where a medium-term trend becomes evident. Breaks above or below the MA are associated with strong chances of directional movements. But it's not fool-proof as false breaks have become commonplace nowadays.
Other way to use it is as confirmation of breakdowns: For example, an asset that loses its 200-day MA and then can't rally above it becomes exposed to steep losses afterwards.
It's also helpful to use in volatility trading: the closer the asset goes to its MA, the lower goes implied vol, and thus better opportiunities to be long volatility on those occasions where direction is hard to predict.
STRI = close/(200dMA)
Values over 100 indicate percentage premiums of spot vs its moving average.
Values below indicate percentage discounts of spot vs its moving average.
HeikenAshi[1]This is the alert script so you can automate this strategy using AutoView:
Make sure to use
crossing down value 0.9 once per bar (on condition) for this.
For the alert Message if you're using AutoView:
Long GBPUSD
c=order b=short
c=position b=short l=200 t=market
b=long q=0.01 l=200 t=market tp=60 sl=60
Short GBPUSD
c=order b=long
c=position b=long l=200 t=market
b=short q=0.01 l=200 t=market tp=60 sl=60
How to automate this strategy for free using a chrome extension.Hey everyone,
Recently we developed a chrome extension for automating TradingView strategies using the alerts they provide. Initially we were charging a monthly fee for the extension, but we have now decided to make it FREE for everyone. So to display the power of automating strategies via TradingView, we figured we would also provide a profitable strategy along with the custom alert script and commands for the alerts so you can easily cut and paste to begin trading for profit while you sleep.
Step 1:
You are going to need to download the Chrome Extension called AutoView. You can get the extension for free by following this link: bit.ly ( I had to shorten the link as it contains Google and TV automatically converts it to a symbol)
Step 2: Go to your chrome extension page, and under the new extension you'll see a "settings" button. In the setting you will have to connect and give permission to the exchange 1broker allowing the extension to place your orders automatically when triggered by an alert.
Step 3: Setup the strategy and custom script for the alerts in TradingView. The attached script is the strategy, you can play with the settings yourself to try and get better numbers/performance if you please.
This following script is for the custom alerts:
//@version=2
study("4All-Alert", shorttitle="Alerts")
src = close
len = input(4, minval=1, title="Length")
up = rma(max(change(src), 0), len)
down = rma(-min(change(src), 0), len)
rsi = down == 0 ? 100 : up == 0 ? 0 : 100 - (100 / (1 + up / down))
rsin = input(5)
sn = 100 - rsin
ln = 0 + rsin
short = crossover(rsi, sn) ? 1 : 0
long = crossunder(rsi, ln) ? 1 : 0
plot(long, "Long", color=green)
plot(short, "Short", color=red)
Now that you have the extension installed, the custom strategy and alert scripts in place, you simply need to create the alerts.
To get the alerts to communicate with the extension properly, there is a specific syntax that you will need to put in the message of the alert. You can find more details about the syntax here : gist.github.com
For this specific strategy, I use the Alerts script, long/short greater than 0.9 on close.
In the message for a long place this as your message:
Long
c=order b=short
c=position b=short l=200 t=market
b=long q=0.01 l=200 t=market tp=13 sl=25
and for the short...
Short
c=order b=long
c=position b=long l=200 t=market
b=short q=0.01 l=200 t=market tp=13 sl=25
If you'll notice in my above messages, compared to the strategy my tp and sl (take profit and stop loss) vary by a few pips. This is to cover the market opens and spread on 1broker. You can change the tp and sl in the strategy to the above and see that the overall profit will not vary much at all.
I hope this all makes sense and it is enough to not only make some people money, but to show the power of coming up with your own strategy and automating it using TradingView alerts and the free Chrome Extension AutoView.
ps. I highly recommend upgrading your TradingView account so you have access to back testing and multiple alerts.
There is really no reason you won't cover the cost and then some on a monthly basis using the tools provided.
Best of luck and happy trading.
Note: The extension currently allows for automation on 2 exchanges; 1broker and Okcoin. If you do not have accounts there, we'd appreciate you signing up using our referral links.
www.okcoin.com
1broker.com
Trading Advice By RajTrading Advice Strategy
This strategy is based on a simple moving average crossover system using the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA.
Buy Signal (Long): When the 50 EMA crosses above the 200 EMA, a bullish trend is detected and a BUY signal is generated.
Sell Signal (Short): When the 200 EMA crosses above the 50 EMA, a bearish trend is detected and a SELL signal is generated.
EMA lines are hidden on the chart for a clean look. Only BUY and SELL signals are shown as labels.
Suitable for trend-following traders who want clear entry signals without noise.
Can be combined with risk management tools like Stop Loss & Take Profit for better results. youtube.com BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Range FinderRange Finder Strategy for TradingView
Overview
The Range Finder Strategy is a sophisticated trading system designed for forex and cryptocurrency markets, leveraging dynamic range detection, wick-based rejection patterns, and EMA confluence to execute high-probability trades. This strategy identifies key price ranges using pivot points and triggers trades when price rejects from these boundaries with significant wick formations, aligning with the broader market trend as confirmed by EMA crossovers. It incorporates robust risk management, customizable parameters, and visual aids for clear trade visualization, making it suitable for both manual and automated trading on platforms like Bitget via webhook alerts.
Strategy Components
1. Dynamic Range Detection
Pivot Points: The strategy identifies range boundaries using pivot highs and lows, calculated with a user-defined Pivot Length (default: 5 bars left/right). These pivots mark significant swing points, defining the upper (range high) and lower (range low) boundaries of the price range.
Visualization: The range high is plotted as an orange line, and the range low as a purple line, using a broken line style (plot.style_linebr) to show only confirmed pivot levels, providing a clear visual of the trading range.
2. Wick-Based Rejection Pattern
Wick Detection: The strategy looks for rejection candles at the range boundaries, characterized by significant wicks. A wick is considered valid if its size is at least the user-defined Wick to Body Ratio (default: 1.1, or 10% larger than the candle body).
Sell Signal: Triggered when the high exceeds the range high, the candle closes bearish (close < open), and the upper wick meets the ratio requirement.
Buy Signal: Triggered when the low falls below the range low, the candle closes bullish (close > open), and the lower wick meets the ratio requirement.
Purpose: These wicks indicate strong rejection at key levels, often signaling a reversal back into the range, providing high-probability entry points.
3. EMA Trend Confirmation
EMA Calculation: Uses two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) calculated on a user-selectable timeframe (default: 5-minute):
EMA 200: Long-term trend indicator (plotted in red).
EMA 50: Short-term trend indicator (plotted in green).
Crossover Logic:
A bullish trend is confirmed when the EMA 50 crosses above the EMA 200 (ema_trend_up = true).
A bearish trend is confirmed when the EMA 50 crosses below the EMA 200 (ema_trend_down = true).
Confluence Requirement: Trades are only executed when the wick rejection aligns with the EMA trend (e.g., sell signals require close < ema200 and bearish trend; buy signals require close > ema200 and bullish trend).
4. Risk Management
Position Sizing: Calculated based on the user-defined Account Balance (default: $10,000) and Risk Per Trade (default: 2%). The position size is determined as risk_amount / stop_distance, where stop_distance is derived from the Average True Range (ATR, default period: 14).
Stop Loss (SL): Set using an ATR-based multiplier (SL Multiplier, default: 9.0). For sells, SL is placed above the high; for buys, below the low.
Take Profit (TP): Set using an ATR-based multiplier (TP Multiplier, default: 6.0) scaled by the Risk:Reward Ratio (default: 6.0), ensuring a favorable reward-to-risk profile.
Example: For a $10,000 account with 2% risk, if ATR is 0.5, the position size is 400 units, with SL and TP dynamically adjusted to market volatility.
5. Trade Execution
Sell Entry: Triggered on a wick rejection above the range high, with bearish EMA confluence (ema_trend_down and close < ema200). Enters a short position with calculated SL and TP.
Buy Entry: Triggered on a wick rejection below the range low, with bullish EMA confluence (ema_trend_up and close > ema200). Enters a long position with calculated SL and TP.
Exit Logic: Uses strategy.exit to set SL and TP levels, closing trades when either is hit.
6. Visual Feedback
Lines and Labels: Upon trade entry, the strategy plots:
Red SL line and label (e.g., "SL: 123.45").
Green TP line and label (e.g., "TP: 120.00").
Entry line (red for sell, green for buy) labeled with "Sell (Range Rejection)" or "Buy (Range Rejection)".
Customization: Users can adjust the Line Length (default: 25 bars) for how long lines persist and Label Position (left or right) for optimal chart visibility.
7. Alert Conditions
Webhook Integration: Generates alerts for Bitget webhook integration, providing JSON-formatted messages with trade details (action, contracts, market position, size, price, symbol, and timestamp).
Usage: Traders can set up automated trading by connecting these alerts to trading bots or platforms supporting webhooks.
Key Indicators Dashboard (KID)Key Indicators Dashboard (KID) — Comprehensive Market & Trend Metrics
📌 Overview
The Key Indicators Dashboard (KID) is an advanced multi-metric market analysis tool designed to consolidate essential technical, volatility, and relative performance data into a single on-chart table. Instead of switching between multiple indicators, KID centralizes these key measures, making it easier to assess a stock’s technical health, volatility state, trend status, and relative strength at a glance.
🛠 Key Features
⦿ Average Daily Range (ADR %): Measures average daily price movement over a specified period. It is calculated by averaging the daily price range (high - low) over a set number of days (default 20 days).
⦿ Average True Range (ATR): Measures volatility by calculating the average of a true range over a specific period (default 14). It helps traders gauge the typical extent of price movement, regardless of the direction.
⦿ ATR%: Expresses the Average True Range as a percentage of the price, which allows traders to compare the volatility of stocks with different prices.
⦿ Relative Strength (RS): Compares a stock’s performance to a chosen benchmark index (default NIFTYMIDSML400) over a specific period (default 50 days).
⦿ RS Score (IBD-style): A normalized 1–100 rating inspired by Investor’s Business Daily methodology.
How it works: The RS Score is based on a weighted average of price changes over 3 months (40%), 6 months (20%), 9 months (20%), and 12 months (20%).
The raw value is converted into a percentage return, then normalized over the past 252 trading days so the lowest value maps to 1 and the highest to 100.
This produces a percentile-style score that highlights the strongest stocks in relative terms.
⦿ Relative Volume (RVol): Compares a stock's current volume to its average volume over a specific period (default 50). It is calculated by dividing the current volume by the average historical volume.
⦿ Average ₹ Volume (Turnover): Represents the total monetary value of shares traded for a stock. It's calculated by multiplying a day's closing price by its volume, with the final value converted to crores for clarity. This metric is a key indicator of a stock's liquidity and overall market interest.
⦿ Moving Average Extension: Measures how far a stock's current price has moved from from a selected moving average (EMA or SMA). This deviation is normalized by the stock's volatility (ATR%), with a default threshold of 6 ATR used to indicate that the stock is significantly extended and is marked with a selected shape (default Red Flag).
⦿ 52-Weeks High & Low: Measures a stock's current price in relation to its highest and lowest prices over the past year. It calculates the percentage a stock is below its 52-week high and above its 52-week low.
⦿ Market Capitalization: Market Cap represents the total value of all outstanding.
⦿ Free Float: It is the value of shares readily available for public trading, with the Free Float Percentage showing the proportion of shares available to the public.
⦿ Trend: Uses Supertrend indicator to identify the current trend of a stock's price. A factor (default 3) and an ATR period (default 10) is used to signal whether the trend is up or down.
⦿ Minervini Trend Template (MTT): It is a set of technical criteria designed to identify stocks in strong uptrends.
Price > 50-DMA > 150-DMA > 200-DMA
200-DMA is trending up for at least 1 month
Price is at least 30% above its 52-week low.
Price is within at least 25 percent of its 52-week high
Table highlights when a stock meets all above criteria.
⦿ Sector & Industry: Display stock's sector and industry, provides categorical classification to assist sector-based analysis. The sector is a broad economic classification, while the industry is a more specific group within that sector.
⦿ Moving Averages (MAs): Plot up to four customizable Moving Averages on a chart. You can independently set the type (Simple or Exponential), the source price, and the length for each MA to help visualize a stock's underlying trend.
MA1: Default 10-EMA
MA2: Default 20-EMA
MA3: Default 50-EMA
MA4: Default 200-EMA
⦿ Moving Average (MA) Crossover: It is a trend signal that occurs when a shorter-term moving average crosses a longer-term one. This script identifies these crossover events and plots a marker on the chart to visually signal a potential change in trend direction.
User-configurable MAs (short and long).
A bullish crossover occurs when the short MA crosses above the long MA.
A bearish crossover occurs when the short MA crosses below the long MA.
⦿ Inside Bar (IB): An Inside Bar is a candlestick whose entire price range is contained within the range of the previous bar. This script identifies this pattern, which often signals consolidation, and visually marks bullish and bearish inside bars on the chart with distinct colors and labels.
⦿ Tightness: Identifies periods of low volatility and price consolidation. It compares the price range over a short lookback period (default 3) to the average daily range (ADR). When the lookback range is smaller than the ADR, the indicator plots a marker on the chart to signal consolidation.
⦿ PowerBar (Purple Dot): Identifies candles with a strong price move on high volume. By default, it plots a purple dot when a stock moves up or down by at least 5% and has a minimum volume of 500,000. More dots indicate higher volatility and liquidity.
⦿ Squeezing Range (SQ): Identifies periods of low volatility, which can often precede a significant price move. It checks if the Bollinger Bands have narrowed to a range that is smaller than the Average True Range (ATR) for a set number of consecutive bars (default 3).
(UpperBB - LowerBB) < (ATR × 2)
⦿ Mark 52-Weeks High and Low: Marks and labels a stock's 52-Week High and Low prices directly on the chart. It draws two horizontal lines extending from the candles where the highest and lowest prices occurred over the past year, providing a clear visual reference for long-term price extremes.
⏳PineScreener Filters
The indicator’s alert conditions act as filters for PineScreener.
Price Filter: Minimum and maximum price cutoffs (default ₹25 - ₹10000).
Daily Price Change Filter: Minimum and maximum daily percent change (default -5% and 5%).
🔔 Built-in Alerts
Supports alert creation for:
ADR%, ATR/ATR %, RS, RS Rating, Turnover
Moving Average Crossover (Bullish/Bearish)
Minervini Trend Template
52-Week High/Low
Inside Bars (Bullish/Bearish)
Tightness
Squeezing Range (SQ)
⚙️ Customizable Visualization
Switchable between vertical or horizontal layout.
Works in dark/light mode
User-configurable to toggle any indicator ON or OFF.
User-configurable Moving (EMA/SMA), Period/Lengths and thresholds.
⦿ (Optional) : For horizontal table orientation increase Top Margin to 16% in Chart (Canvas) settings to avoid chart overlapping with table.
⚡ Add this script to your chart and start making smarter trade decisions today! 🚀
Kelly Position Size CalculatorThis position sizing calculator implements the Kelly Criterion, developed by John L. Kelly Jr. at Bell Laboratories in 1956, to determine mathematically optimal position sizes for maximizing long-term wealth growth. Unlike arbitrary position sizing methods, this tool provides a scientifically solution based on your strategy's actual performance statistics and incorporates modern refinements from over six decades of academic research.
The Kelly Criterion addresses a fundamental question in capital allocation: "What fraction of capital should be allocated to each opportunity to maximize growth while avoiding ruin?" This question has profound implications for financial markets, where traders and investors constantly face decisions about optimal capital allocation (Van Tharp, 2007).
Theoretical Foundation
The Kelly Criterion for binary outcomes is expressed as f* = (bp - q) / b, where f* represents the optimal fraction of capital to allocate, b denotes the risk-reward ratio, p indicates the probability of success, and q represents the probability of loss (Kelly, 1956). This formula maximizes the expected logarithm of wealth, ensuring maximum long-term growth rate while avoiding the risk of ruin.
The mathematical elegance of Kelly's approach lies in its derivation from information theory. Kelly's original work was motivated by Claude Shannon's information theory (Shannon, 1948), recognizing that maximizing the logarithm of wealth is equivalent to maximizing the rate of information transmission. This connection between information theory and wealth accumulation provides a deep theoretical foundation for optimal position sizing.
The logarithmic utility function underlying the Kelly Criterion naturally embodies several desirable properties for capital management. It exhibits decreasing marginal utility, penalizes large losses more severely than it rewards equivalent gains, and focuses on geometric rather than arithmetic mean returns, which is appropriate for compounding scenarios (Thorp, 2006).
Scientific Implementation
This calculator extends beyond basic Kelly implementation by incorporating state of the art refinements from academic research:
Parameter Uncertainty Adjustment: Following Michaud (1989), the implementation applies Bayesian shrinkage to account for parameter estimation error inherent in small sample sizes. The adjustment formula f_adjusted = f_kelly × confidence_factor + f_conservative × (1 - confidence_factor) addresses the overconfidence bias documented by Baker and McHale (2012), where the confidence factor increases with sample size and the conservative estimate equals 0.25 (quarter Kelly).
Sample Size Confidence: The reliability of Kelly calculations depends critically on sample size. Research by Browne and Whitt (1996) provides theoretical guidance on minimum sample requirements, suggesting that at least 30 independent observations are necessary for meaningful parameter estimates, with 100 or more trades providing reliable estimates for most trading strategies.
Universal Asset Compatibility: The calculator employs intelligent asset detection using TradingView's built-in symbol information, automatically adapting calculations for different asset classes without manual configuration.
ASSET SPECIFIC IMPLEMENTATION
Equity Markets: For stocks and ETFs, position sizing follows the calculation Shares = floor(Kelly Fraction × Account Size / Share Price). This straightforward approach reflects whole share constraints while accommodating fractional share trading capabilities.
Foreign Exchange Markets: Forex markets require lot-based calculations following Lot Size = Kelly Fraction × Account Size / (100,000 × Base Currency Value). The calculator automatically handles major currency pairs with appropriate pip value calculations, following industry standards described by Archer (2010).
Futures Markets: Futures position sizing accounts for leverage and margin requirements through Contracts = floor(Kelly Fraction × Account Size / Margin Requirement). The calculator estimates margin requirements as a percentage of contract notional value, with specific adjustments for micro-futures contracts that have smaller sizes and reduced margin requirements (Kaufman, 2013).
Index and Commodity Markets: These markets combine characteristics of both equity and futures markets. The calculator automatically detects whether instruments are cash-settled or futures-based, applying appropriate sizing methodologies with correct point value calculations.
Risk Management Integration
The calculator integrates sophisticated risk assessment through two primary modes:
Stop Loss Integration: When fixed stop-loss levels are defined, risk calculation follows Risk per Trade = Position Size × Stop Loss Distance. This ensures that the Kelly fraction accounts for actual risk exposure rather than theoretical maximum loss, with stop-loss distance measured in appropriate units for each asset class.
Strategy Drawdown Assessment: For discretionary exit strategies, risk estimation uses maximum historical drawdown through Risk per Trade = Position Value × (Maximum Drawdown / 100). This approach assumes that individual trade losses will not exceed the strategy's historical maximum drawdown, providing a reasonable estimate for strategies with well-defined risk characteristics.
Fractional Kelly Approaches
Pure Kelly sizing can produce substantial volatility, leading many practitioners to adopt fractional Kelly approaches. MacLean, Sanegre, Zhao, and Ziemba (2004) analyze the trade-offs between growth rate and volatility, demonstrating that half-Kelly typically reduces volatility by approximately 75% while sacrificing only 25% of the growth rate.
The calculator provides three primary Kelly modes to accommodate different risk preferences and experience levels. Full Kelly maximizes growth rate while accepting higher volatility, making it suitable for experienced practitioners with strong risk tolerance and robust capital bases. Half Kelly offers a balanced approach popular among professional traders, providing optimal risk-return balance by reducing volatility significantly while maintaining substantial growth potential. Quarter Kelly implements a conservative approach with low volatility, recommended for risk-averse traders or those new to Kelly methodology who prefer gradual introduction to optimal position sizing principles.
Empirical Validation and Performance
Extensive academic research supports the theoretical advantages of Kelly sizing. Hakansson and Ziemba (1995) provide a comprehensive review of Kelly applications in finance, documenting superior long-term performance across various market conditions and asset classes. Estrada (2008) analyzes Kelly performance in international equity markets, finding that Kelly-based strategies consistently outperform fixed position sizing approaches over extended periods across 19 developed markets over a 30-year period.
Several prominent investment firms have successfully implemented Kelly-based position sizing. Pabrai (2007) documents the application of Kelly principles at Berkshire Hathaway, noting Warren Buffett's concentrated portfolio approach aligns closely with Kelly optimal sizing for high-conviction investments. Quantitative hedge funds, including Renaissance Technologies and AQR, have incorporated Kelly-based risk management into their systematic trading strategies.
Practical Implementation Guidelines
Successful Kelly implementation requires systematic application with attention to several critical factors:
Parameter Estimation: Accurate parameter estimation represents the greatest challenge in practical Kelly implementation. Brown (1976) notes that small errors in probability estimates can lead to significant deviations from optimal performance. The calculator addresses this through Bayesian adjustments and confidence measures.
Sample Size Requirements: Users should begin with conservative fractional Kelly approaches until achieving sufficient historical data. Strategies with fewer than 30 trades may produce unreliable Kelly estimates, regardless of adjustments. Full confidence typically requires 100 or more independent trade observations.
Market Regime Considerations: Parameters that accurately describe historical performance may not reflect future market conditions. Ziemba (2003) recommends regular parameter updates and conservative adjustments when market conditions change significantly.
Professional Features and Customization
The calculator provides comprehensive customization options for professional applications:
Multiple Color Schemes: Eight professional color themes (Gold, EdgeTools, Behavioral, Quant, Ocean, Fire, Matrix, Arctic) with dark and light theme compatibility ensure optimal visibility across different trading environments.
Flexible Display Options: Adjustable table size and position accommodate various chart layouts and user preferences, while maintaining analytical depth and clarity.
Comprehensive Results: The results table presents essential information including asset specifications, strategy statistics, Kelly calculations, sample confidence measures, position values, risk assessments, and final position sizes in appropriate units for each asset class.
Limitations and Considerations
Like any analytical tool, the Kelly Criterion has important limitations that users must understand:
Stationarity Assumption: The Kelly Criterion assumes that historical strategy statistics represent future performance characteristics. Non-stationary market conditions may invalidate this assumption, as noted by Lo and MacKinlay (1999).
Independence Requirement: Each trade should be independent to avoid correlation effects. Many trading strategies exhibit serial correlation in returns, which can affect optimal position sizing and may require adjustments for portfolio applications.
Parameter Sensitivity: Kelly calculations are sensitive to parameter accuracy. Regular calibration and conservative approaches are essential when parameter uncertainty is high.
Transaction Costs: The implementation incorporates user-defined transaction costs but assumes these remain constant across different position sizes and market conditions, following Ziemba (2003).
Advanced Applications and Extensions
Multi-Asset Portfolio Considerations: While this calculator optimizes individual position sizes, portfolio-level applications require additional considerations for correlation effects and aggregate risk management. Simplified portfolio approaches include treating positions independently with correlation adjustments.
Behavioral Factors: Behavioral finance research reveals systematic biases that can interfere with Kelly implementation. Kahneman and Tversky (1979) document loss aversion, overconfidence, and other cognitive biases that lead traders to deviate from optimal strategies. Successful implementation requires disciplined adherence to calculated recommendations.
Time-Varying Parameters: Advanced implementations may incorporate time-varying parameter models that adjust Kelly recommendations based on changing market conditions, though these require sophisticated econometric techniques and substantial computational resources.
Comprehensive Usage Instructions and Practical Examples
Implementation begins with loading the calculator on your desired trading instrument's chart. The system automatically detects asset type across stocks, forex, futures, and cryptocurrency markets while extracting current price information. Navigation to the indicator settings allows input of your specific strategy parameters.
Strategy statistics configuration requires careful attention to several key metrics. The win rate should be calculated from your backtest results using the formula of winning trades divided by total trades multiplied by 100. Average win represents the sum of all profitable trades divided by the number of winning trades, while average loss calculates the sum of all losing trades divided by the number of losing trades, entered as a positive number. The total historical trades parameter requires the complete number of trades in your backtest, with a minimum of 30 trades recommended for basic functionality and 100 or more trades optimal for statistical reliability. Account size should reflect your available trading capital, specifically the risk capital allocated for trading rather than total net worth.
Risk management configuration adapts to your specific trading approach. The stop loss setting should be enabled if you employ fixed stop-loss exits, with the stop loss distance specified in appropriate units depending on the asset class. For stocks, this distance is measured in dollars, for forex in pips, and for futures in ticks. When stop losses are not used, the maximum strategy drawdown percentage from your backtest provides the risk assessment baseline. Kelly mode selection offers three primary approaches: Full Kelly for aggressive growth with higher volatility suitable for experienced practitioners, Half Kelly for balanced risk-return optimization popular among professional traders, and Quarter Kelly for conservative approaches with reduced volatility.
Display customization ensures optimal integration with your trading environment. Eight professional color themes provide optimization for different chart backgrounds and personal preferences. Table position selection allows optimal placement within your chart layout, while table size adjustment ensures readability across different screen resolutions and viewing preferences.
Detailed Practical Examples
Example 1: SPY Swing Trading Strategy
Consider a professionally developed swing trading strategy for SPY (S&P 500 ETF) with backtesting results spanning 166 total trades. The strategy achieved 110 winning trades, representing a 66.3% win rate, with an average winning trade of $2,200 and average losing trade of $862. The maximum drawdown reached 31.4% during the testing period, and the available trading capital amounts to $25,000. This strategy employs discretionary exits without fixed stop losses.
Implementation requires loading the calculator on the SPY daily chart and configuring the parameters accordingly. The win rate input receives 66.3, while average win and loss inputs receive 2200 and 862 respectively. Total historical trades input requires 166, with account size set to 25000. The stop loss function remains disabled due to the discretionary exit approach, with maximum strategy drawdown set to 31.4%. Half Kelly mode provides the optimal balance between growth and risk management for this application.
The calculator generates several key outputs for this scenario. The risk-reward ratio calculates automatically to 2.55, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 53% before scientific adjustments. Sample confidence achieves 100% given the 166 trades providing high statistical confidence. The recommended position settles at approximately 27% after Half Kelly and Bayesian adjustment factors. Position value reaches approximately $6,750, translating to 16 shares at a $420 SPY price. Risk per trade amounts to approximately $2,110, representing 31.4% of position value, with expected value per trade reaching approximately $1,466. This recommendation represents the mathematically optimal balance between growth potential and risk management for this specific strategy profile.
Example 2: EURUSD Day Trading with Stop Losses
A high-frequency EURUSD day trading strategy demonstrates different parameter requirements compared to swing trading approaches. This strategy encompasses 89 total trades with a 58% win rate, generating an average winning trade of $180 and average losing trade of $95. The maximum drawdown reached 12% during testing, with available capital of $10,000. The strategy employs fixed stop losses at 25 pips and take profit targets at 45 pips, providing clear risk-reward parameters.
Implementation begins with loading the calculator on the EURUSD 1-hour chart for appropriate timeframe alignment. Parameter configuration includes win rate at 58, average win at 180, and average loss at 95. Total historical trades input receives 89, with account size set to 10000. The stop loss function is enabled with distance set to 25 pips, reflecting the fixed exit strategy. Quarter Kelly mode provides conservative positioning due to the smaller sample size compared to the previous example.
Results demonstrate the impact of smaller sample sizes on Kelly calculations. The risk-reward ratio calculates to 1.89, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 32% before adjustments. Sample confidence achieves 89%, providing moderate statistical confidence given the 89 trades. The recommended position settles at approximately 7% after Quarter Kelly application and Bayesian shrinkage adjustment for the smaller sample. Position value amounts to approximately $700, translating to 0.07 standard lots. Risk per trade reaches approximately $175, calculated as 25 pips multiplied by lot size and pip value, with expected value per trade at approximately $49. This conservative position sizing reflects the smaller sample size, with position sizes expected to increase as trade count surpasses 100 and statistical confidence improves.
Example 3: ES1! Futures Systematic Strategy
Systematic futures trading presents unique considerations for Kelly criterion application, as demonstrated by an E-mini S&P 500 futures strategy encompassing 234 total trades. This systematic approach achieved a 45% win rate with an average winning trade of $1,850 and average losing trade of $720. The maximum drawdown reached 18% during the testing period, with available capital of $50,000. The strategy employs 15-tick stop losses with contract specifications of $50 per tick, providing precise risk control mechanisms.
Implementation involves loading the calculator on the ES1! 15-minute chart to align with the systematic trading timeframe. Parameter configuration includes win rate at 45, average win at 1850, and average loss at 720. Total historical trades receives 234, providing robust statistical foundation, with account size set to 50000. The stop loss function is enabled with distance set to 15 ticks, reflecting the systematic exit methodology. Half Kelly mode balances growth potential with appropriate risk management for futures trading.
Results illustrate how favorable risk-reward ratios can support meaningful position sizing despite lower win rates. The risk-reward ratio calculates to 2.57, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 16%, lower than previous examples due to the sub-50% win rate. Sample confidence achieves 100% given the 234 trades providing high statistical confidence. The recommended position settles at approximately 8% after Half Kelly adjustment. Estimated margin per contract amounts to approximately $2,500, resulting in a single contract allocation. Position value reaches approximately $2,500, with risk per trade at $750, calculated as 15 ticks multiplied by $50 per tick. Expected value per trade amounts to approximately $508. Despite the lower win rate, the favorable risk-reward ratio supports meaningful position sizing, with single contract allocation reflecting appropriate leverage management for futures trading.
Example 4: MES1! Micro-Futures for Smaller Accounts
Micro-futures contracts provide enhanced accessibility for smaller trading accounts while maintaining identical strategy characteristics. Using the same systematic strategy statistics from the previous example but with available capital of $15,000 and micro-futures specifications of $5 per tick with reduced margin requirements, the implementation demonstrates improved position sizing granularity.
Kelly calculations remain identical to the full-sized contract example, maintaining the same risk-reward dynamics and statistical foundations. However, estimated margin per contract reduces to approximately $250 for micro-contracts, enabling allocation of 4-5 micro-contracts. Position value reaches approximately $1,200, while risk per trade calculates to $75, derived from 15 ticks multiplied by $5 per tick. This granularity advantage provides better position size precision for smaller accounts, enabling more accurate Kelly implementation without requiring large capital commitments.
Example 5: Bitcoin Swing Trading
Cryptocurrency markets present unique challenges requiring modified Kelly application approaches. A Bitcoin swing trading strategy on BTCUSD encompasses 67 total trades with a 71% win rate, generating average winning trades of $3,200 and average losing trades of $1,400. Maximum drawdown reached 28% during testing, with available capital of $30,000. The strategy employs technical analysis for exits without fixed stop losses, relying on price action and momentum indicators.
Implementation requires conservative approaches due to cryptocurrency volatility characteristics. Quarter Kelly mode is recommended despite the high win rate to account for crypto market unpredictability. Expected position sizing remains reduced due to the limited sample size of 67 trades, requiring additional caution until statistical confidence improves. Regular parameter updates are strongly recommended due to cryptocurrency market evolution and changing volatility patterns that can significantly impact strategy performance characteristics.
Advanced Usage Scenarios
Portfolio position sizing requires sophisticated consideration when running multiple strategies simultaneously. Each strategy should have its Kelly fraction calculated independently to maintain mathematical integrity. However, correlation adjustments become necessary when strategies exhibit related performance patterns. Moderately correlated strategies should receive individual position size reductions of 10-20% to account for overlapping risk exposure. Aggregate portfolio risk monitoring ensures total exposure remains within acceptable limits across all active strategies. Professional practitioners often consider using lower fractional Kelly approaches, such as Quarter Kelly, when running multiple strategies simultaneously to provide additional safety margins.
Parameter sensitivity analysis forms a critical component of professional Kelly implementation. Regular validation procedures should include monthly parameter updates using rolling 100-trade windows to capture evolving market conditions while maintaining statistical relevance. Sensitivity testing involves varying win rates by ±5% and average win/loss ratios by ±10% to assess recommendation stability under different parameter assumptions. Out-of-sample validation reserves 20% of historical data for parameter verification, ensuring that optimization doesn't create curve-fitted results. Regime change detection monitors actual performance against expected metrics, triggering parameter reassessment when significant deviations occur.
Risk management integration requires professional overlay considerations beyond pure Kelly calculations. Daily loss limits should cease trading when daily losses exceed twice the calculated risk per trade, preventing emotional decision-making during adverse periods. Maximum position limits should never exceed 25% of account value in any single position regardless of Kelly recommendations, maintaining diversification principles. Correlation monitoring reduces position sizes when holding multiple correlated positions that move together during market stress. Volatility adjustments consider reducing position sizes during periods of elevated VIX above 25 for equity strategies, adapting to changing market conditions.
Troubleshooting and Optimization
Professional implementation often encounters specific challenges requiring systematic troubleshooting approaches. Zero position size displays typically result from insufficient capital for minimum position sizes, negative expected values, or extremely conservative Kelly calculations. Solutions include increasing account size, verifying strategy statistics for accuracy, considering Quarter Kelly mode for conservative approaches, or reassessing overall strategy viability when fundamental issues exist.
Extremely high Kelly fractions exceeding 50% usually indicate underlying problems with parameter estimation. Common causes include unrealistic win rates, inflated risk-reward ratios, or curve-fitted backtest results that don't reflect genuine trading conditions. Solutions require verifying backtest methodology, including all transaction costs in calculations, testing strategies on out-of-sample data, and using conservative fractional Kelly approaches until parameter reliability improves.
Low sample confidence below 50% reflects insufficient historical trades for reliable parameter estimation. This situation demands gathering additional trading data, using Quarter Kelly approaches until reaching 100 or more trades, applying extra conservatism in position sizing, and considering paper trading to build statistical foundations without capital risk.
Inconsistent results across similar strategies often stem from parameter estimation differences, market regime changes, or strategy degradation over time. Professional solutions include standardizing backtest methodology across all strategies, updating parameters regularly to reflect current conditions, and monitoring live performance against expectations to identify deteriorating strategies.
Position sizes that appear inappropriately large or small require careful validation against traditional risk management principles. Professional standards recommend never risking more than 2-3% per trade regardless of Kelly calculations. Calibration should begin with Quarter Kelly approaches, gradually increasing as comfort and confidence develop. Most institutional traders utilize 25-50% of full Kelly recommendations to balance growth with prudent risk management.
Market condition adjustments require dynamic approaches to Kelly implementation. Trending markets may support full Kelly recommendations when directional momentum provides favorable conditions. Ranging or volatile markets typically warrant reducing to Half or Quarter Kelly to account for increased uncertainty. High correlation periods demand reducing individual position sizes when multiple positions move together, concentrating risk exposure. News and event periods often justify temporary position size reductions during high-impact releases that can create unpredictable market movements.
Performance monitoring requires systematic protocols to ensure Kelly implementation remains effective over time. Weekly reviews should compare actual versus expected win rates and average win/loss ratios to identify parameter drift or strategy degradation. Position size efficiency and execution quality monitoring ensures that calculated recommendations translate effectively into actual trading results. Tracking correlation between calculated and realized risk helps identify discrepancies between theoretical and practical risk exposure.
Monthly calibration provides more comprehensive parameter assessment using the most recent 100 trades to maintain statistical relevance while capturing current market conditions. Kelly mode appropriateness requires reassessment based on recent market volatility and performance characteristics, potentially shifting between Full, Half, and Quarter Kelly approaches as conditions change. Transaction cost evaluation ensures that commission structures, spreads, and slippage estimates remain accurate and current.
Quarterly strategic reviews encompass comprehensive strategy performance analysis comparing long-term results against expectations and identifying trends in effectiveness. Market regime assessment evaluates parameter stability across different market conditions, determining whether strategy characteristics remain consistent or require fundamental adjustments. Strategic modifications to position sizing methodology may become necessary as markets evolve or trading approaches mature, ensuring that Kelly implementation continues supporting optimal capital allocation objectives.
Professional Applications
This calculator serves diverse professional applications across the financial industry. Quantitative hedge funds utilize the implementation for systematic position sizing within algorithmic trading frameworks, where mathematical precision and consistent application prove essential for institutional capital management. Professional discretionary traders benefit from optimized position management that removes emotional bias while maintaining flexibility for market-specific adjustments. Portfolio managers employ the calculator for developing risk-adjusted allocation strategies that enhance returns while maintaining prudent risk controls across diverse asset classes and investment strategies.
Individual traders seeking mathematical optimization of capital allocation find the calculator provides institutional-grade methodology previously available only to professional money managers. The Kelly Criterion establishes theoretical foundation for optimal capital allocation across both single strategies and multiple trading systems, offering significant advantages over arbitrary position sizing methods that rely on intuition or fixed percentage approaches. Professional implementation ensures consistent application of mathematically sound principles while adapting to changing market conditions and strategy performance characteristics.
Conclusion
The Kelly Criterion represents one of the few mathematically optimal solutions to fundamental investment problems. When properly understood and carefully implemented, it provides significant competitive advantage in financial markets. This calculator implements modern refinements to Kelly's original formula while maintaining accessibility for practical trading applications.
Success with Kelly requires ongoing learning, systematic application, and continuous refinement based on market feedback and evolving research. Users who master Kelly principles and implement them systematically can expect superior risk-adjusted returns and more consistent capital growth over extended periods.
The extensive academic literature provides rich resources for deeper study, while practical experience builds the intuition necessary for effective implementation. Regular parameter updates, conservative approaches with limited data, and disciplined adherence to calculated recommendations are essential for optimal results.
References
Archer, M. D. (2010). Getting Started in Currency Trading: Winning in Today's Forex Market (3rd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Baker, R. D., & McHale, I. G. (2012). An empirical Bayes approach to optimising betting strategies. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician), 61(1), 75-92.
Breiman, L. (1961). Optimal gambling systems for favorable games. In J. Neyman (Ed.), Proceedings of the Fourth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability (pp. 65-78). University of California Press.
Brown, D. B. (1976). Optimal portfolio growth: Logarithmic utility and the Kelly criterion. In W. T. Ziemba & R. G. Vickson (Eds.), Stochastic Optimization Models in Finance (pp. 1-23). Academic Press.
Browne, S., & Whitt, W. (1996). Portfolio choice and the Bayesian Kelly criterion. Advances in Applied Probability, 28(4), 1145-1176.
Estrada, J. (2008). Geometric mean maximization: An overlooked portfolio approach? The Journal of Investing, 17(4), 134-147.
Hakansson, N. H., & Ziemba, W. T. (1995). Capital growth theory. In R. A. Jarrow, V. Maksimovic, & W. T. Ziemba (Eds.), Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science (Vol. 9, pp. 65-86). Elsevier.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-291.
Kaufman, P. J. (2013). Trading Systems and Methods (5th ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Kelly Jr, J. L. (1956). A new interpretation of information rate. Bell System Technical Journal, 35(4), 917-926.
Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1999). A Non-Random Walk Down Wall Street. Princeton University Press.
MacLean, L. C., Sanegre, E. O., Zhao, Y., & Ziemba, W. T. (2004). Capital growth with security. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 28(4), 937-954.
MacLean, L. C., Thorp, E. O., & Ziemba, W. T. (2011). The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice. World Scientific.
Michaud, R. O. (1989). The Markowitz optimization enigma: Is 'optimized' optimal? Financial Analysts Journal, 45(1), 31-42.
Pabrai, M. (2007). The Dhandho Investor: The Low-Risk Value Method to High Returns. John Wiley & Sons.
Shannon, C. E. (1948). A mathematical theory of communication. Bell System Technical Journal, 27(3), 379-423.
Tharp, V. K. (2007). Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom (2nd ed.). McGraw-Hill.
Thorp, E. O. (2006). The Kelly criterion in blackjack sports betting, and the stock market. In L. C. MacLean, E. O. Thorp, & W. T. Ziemba (Eds.), The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice (pp. 789-832). World Scientific.
Van Tharp, K. (2007). Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom (2nd ed.). McGraw-Hill Education.
Vince, R. (1992). The Mathematics of Money Management: Risk Analysis Techniques for Traders. John Wiley & Sons.
Vince, R., & Zhu, H. (2015). Optimal betting under parameter uncertainty. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 161, 19-31.
Ziemba, W. T. (2003). The Stochastic Programming Approach to Asset, Liability, and Wealth Management. The Research Foundation of AIMR.
Further Reading
For comprehensive understanding of Kelly Criterion applications and advanced implementations:
MacLean, L. C., Thorp, E. O., & Ziemba, W. T. (2011). The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice. World Scientific.
Vince, R. (1992). The Mathematics of Money Management: Risk Analysis Techniques for Traders. John Wiley & Sons.
Thorp, E. O. (2017). A Man for All Markets: From Las Vegas to Wall Street. Random House.
Cover, T. M., & Thomas, J. A. (2006). Elements of Information Theory (2nd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Ziemba, W. T., & Vickson, R. G. (Eds.). (2006). Stochastic Optimization Models in Finance. World Scientific.
IU Indicators DashboardDESCRIPTION
The IU Indicators Dashboard is a comprehensive multi-stock monitoring tool that provides real-time technical analysis for up to 10 different stocks simultaneously. This powerful indicator creates a customizable table overlay that displays the trend status of multiple technical indicators across your selected stocks, giving you an instant overview of market conditions without switching between charts.
Perfect for portfolio monitoring, sector analysis, and quick market screening, this dashboard consolidates critical technical data into one easy-to-read interface with color-coded trend signals.
USER INPUTS
Stock Selection (10 Configurable Stocks):
- Stock 1-10: Customize any symbols (Default: NSE:CDSL, NSE:RELIANCE, NSE:VEDL, NSE:TCS, NSE:BEL, NSE:BHEL, NSE:TATAPOWER, NSE:TATASTEEL, NSE:ITC, NSE:LT)
Technical Indicator Parameters:
- EMA 1 Length: First Exponential Moving Average period (Default: 20)
- EMA 2 Length: Second Exponential Moving Average period (Default: 50)
- EMA 3 Length: Third Exponential Moving Average period (Default: 200)
- RSI Length: Relative Strength Index calculation period (Default: 14)
- SuperTrend Length: SuperTrend indicator period (Default: 10)
- SuperTrend Factor: SuperTrend multiplier factor (Default: 3.0)
Visual Customization:
- Table Size: Choose from Normal, Tiny, Small, or Large
- Table Background Color: Customize dashboard background
- Table Frame Color: Set frame border color
- Table Border Color: Configure border styling
- Text Color: Set text display color
- Bullish Color: Color for positive/bullish signals (Default: Green)
- Bearish Color: Color for negative/bearish signals (Default: Red)
LOGIC OF THE INDICATOR
The dashboard employs a multi-timeframe analysis approach using five key technical indicators:
1. Triple EMA Analysis
- Compares current price against three different EMA periods (20, 50, 200)
- Bullish Signal: Price above EMA level
- Bearish Signal: Price below EMA level
- Provides short-term, medium-term, and long-term trend perspective
2. RSI Momentum Analysis
- Uses 14-period RSI with 50-level threshold
- Bullish Signal: RSI > 50 (upward momentum)
- Bearish Signal: RSI < 50 (downward momentum)
- Identifies momentum strength and potential reversals
3. SuperTrend Direction
- Utilizes SuperTrend with configurable length and factor
- Bullish Signal: SuperTrend direction = -1 (uptrend)
- Bearish Signal: SuperTrend direction = 1 (downtrend)
- Provides clear trend direction with volatility-adjusted signals
4. MACD Histogram Analysis
- Uses standard MACD (12, 26, 9) histogram values
- Bullish Signal: Histogram > 0 (bullish momentum)
- Bearish Signal: Histogram < 0 (bearish momentum)
- Identifies momentum shifts and trend confirmations
5. Real-time Data Processing
- Implements request.security() for multi-symbol data retrieval
- Uses barstate.isrealtime logic for accurate live data
- Processes data only on the last bar for optimal performance
WHY IT IS UNIQUE
Multi-Stock Monitoring
- Monitor up to 10 different stocks simultaneously on a single chart
- No need to switch between multiple charts or timeframes
Highly Customizable Interface
- Full color customization for personalized visual experience
- Adjustable table size and positioning
- Clean, professional dashboard design
Real-time Analysis
- Live data processing with proper real-time handling
- Instant visual feedback through color-coded signals
- Optimized performance with smart data retrieval
Comprehensive Technical Coverage
- Combines trend-following, momentum, and volatility indicators
- Multiple timeframe perspective through different EMA periods
- Balanced approach using both lagging and leading indicators
Flexible Configuration
- Easy symbol switching for different markets (NSE, BSE, NYSE, NASDAQ)
- Adjustable indicator parameters for different trading styles
- Suitable for both swing trading and position trading
HOW USERS CAN BENEFIT FROM IT
Portfolio Management
- Quick Portfolio Health Check: Instantly assess the technical status of your entire stock portfolio
- Diversification Analysis: Monitor stocks across different sectors to ensure balanced exposure
- Risk Management: Identify which positions are showing bearish signals for potential exit strategies
- Rebalancing Decisions: Spot strongest performers for potential position increases
Market Screening and Analysis
- Sector Rotation: Compare different sector stocks to identify rotation opportunities
- Relative Strength Analysis: Quickly identify which stocks are outperforming or underperforming
- Market Breadth Assessment: Gauge overall market sentiment by monitoring diverse stock selections
- Trend Confirmation: Validate market trends by observing multiple stock behaviors
Time-Efficient Trading
- Single-Glance Analysis: Get complete technical overview without chart-hopping
- Pre-Market Preparation: Quickly assess overnight changes across multiple positions
- Intraday Monitoring: Track multiple opportunities simultaneously during trading hours
- End-of-Day Review: Efficiently review all watched stocks for next-day planning
Strategic Decision Making
- Entry Point Identification: Spot stocks showing bullish alignment across multiple indicators
- Exit Signal Recognition: Identify positions showing deteriorating technical conditions
- Swing Trading Opportunities: Find stocks with favorable technical setups for swing trades
- Long-term Investment Guidance: Use 200 EMA signals for long-term position decisions
Educational Benefits
- Pattern Recognition: Learn how different indicators behave across various market conditions
- Correlation Analysis: Understand how stocks move relative to each other
- Technical Analysis Learning: Observe multiple indicator interactions in real-time
- Market Sentiment Understanding: Develop better market timing skills through multi-stock observation
Workflow Optimization
- Reduced Chart Clutter: Keep your main chart clean while monitoring multiple stocks
- Faster Analysis: Complete technical analysis of 10 stocks in seconds instead of minutes
- Consistent Methodology: Apply the same technical criteria across all monitored stocks
- Alert Integration: Easy visual identification of stocks requiring immediate attention
This indicator is designed for traders and investors who want to maximize their market awareness while minimizing analysis time. Whether you're managing a portfolio, screening for opportunities, or learning technical analysis, the IU Indicators Dashboard provides the comprehensive overview you need for better trading decisions.
DISCLAIMER :
This indicator is not financial advice, it's for educational purposes only highlighting the power of coding( pine script) in TradingView, I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. Trading and investing involve risk, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. I do not guarantee profits or take responsibility for any losses you may incur.
5% Canary (per Thrasher) Implements Thrasher’s framework using closing prices and simple, non-optimized thresholds. The study watches for the first 5% decline from the latest 52-week closing high and classifies it:
• 5% Canary: drop occurs in ≤ 15 trading days.
• Confirmed 5% Canary: within 42 trading days of a Canary, there are two consecutive closes below the 200-DMA.
• Buy-the-Dip: the first 5% decline takes > 15 days and 50-DMA > 200-DMA (uptrend).
Includes optional 50/200-DMA plots, clutter-reduction, and alert conditions. This is a signal framework, not a standalone system—pair with your own risk management.
Contrarian Investor📌 Indicator Overview
Name:Contrarian investor
Purpose: Identify oversold or overbought conditions for simple reversal trades.
Key Features:
Uses the 200-period moving average (200MA) to determine the market trend.
Uses RSI to detect oversold and overbought levels.
Includes a signal interval filter to prevent excessive signals.
📌 Signal Conditions
BUY (Reversal Buy)
Price is below the 200MA
RSI is below the oversold threshold (default: 30)
When both conditions are met, a "BUY" label is plotted below the bar.
SELL (Reversal Sell)
Price is above the 200MA
RSI is above the overbought threshold (default: 70)
When both conditions are met, a "SELL" label is plotted above the bar.
📌 Parameters
MA Length: Default 200 (used for trend detection)
RSI Length: Default 14
RSI Oversold: Default 30 (trigger for BUY signals)
RSI Overbought: Default 70 (trigger for SELL signals)
Signal Interval (bars): Default 10 (prevents duplicate signals)
📌 How to Use
Use the 200MA to confirm the trend direction.
Wait for RSI to reach extreme levels (oversold or overbought).
When a "BUY" or "SELL" label appears, consider a potential entry.
For better accuracy, combine with support/resistance or price action confirmation.
📌 Notes
This indicator is designed as a supplementary tool, not a standalone entry system.
Adjust the signal interval based on your trading style (e.g., shorter for scalping, longer for swing trading).
In strong trending markets, reversal signals may fail frequently, so additional confluence is recommended.
You need to adjust the settings depending on the market conditions.
This indicator is not intended for use during strong trending markets, such as after major economic news releases.
It is best suited for range-bound markets and scalping within a few-dollar price range.
📌 インジケーターの概要
名前：Contrarian investor
目的：過剰に売られた/買われたタイミングでの逆張りシグナルを簡単に確認
特徴：
200MAを基準にトレンド方向を判定
RSIで売られすぎ・買われすぎを検出
過剰なシグナルを防ぐための「シグナル間隔制限」付き
📌 シグナルの条件
BUY（逆張り買い）
現在の価格が 200MAより下
RSIが 設定値（初期値30）以下
この条件で「BUY」ラベルがチャート下に表示されます。
SELL（逆張り売り）
現在の価格が 200MAより上
RSIが 設定値（初期値70）以上
この条件で「SELL」ラベルがチャート上に表示されます。
📌 パラメータ設定
MA期間：デフォルト200（200MAで長期トレンドを判定）
RSI期間：デフォルト14
RSI売られすぎ：デフォルト30（BUYの発生条件）
RSI買われすぎ：デフォルト70（SELLの発生条件）
シグナル間隔（バー）：デフォルト10（重複シグナル防止）
📌 使い方
200MAでトレンド方向を確認
RSIが極端な水準に達したら逆張りシグナル発生
「BUY」または「SELL」のラベルが出たら検討
他のテクニカル（サポレジ・プライスアクション）と組み合わせると精度向上
📌 注意点
単独でのエントリー判断には使わず、補助的に活用するのが推奨
シグナル間隔は調整可能（例：スキャルピングなら短め、スイングなら長め）
トレンドが強い相場では逆張りシグナルが連続して外れる可能性あり
相場環境によって設定を変える必要がある
指標発表後など強いトレンドが出る時ではなくレンジ相場で数ドル幅のスキャルピングをするのに向いている。
1EMA + 1MACD + 1RSI Crypto Strategy AB 092Title: EMA + MACD + RSI Crypto Strategy
Overview:
This is a trend-following and momentum-based crypto trading strategy built for 1H, 4H, and 1D timeframes, combining three proven indicators:
EMA 50 & EMA 200 Crossover – identifies long-term trend direction.
MACD Crossover (12, 26, 9) – confirms momentum shift.
RSI Filter (14) – avoids overbought/oversold traps and refines entries.
Buy Entry Conditions:
EMA 50 > EMA 200 (Golden Cross)
MACD line crosses above signal line
RSI is between 45 and 70
Sell Entry Conditions:
EMA 50 < EMA 200 (Death Cross)
MACD line crosses below signal line
RSI is between 30 and 55
Risk Management:
Configurable Take Profit and Stop Loss percentages via inputs.
Default: 3% TP, 1.5% SL (adjustable based on timeframe and asset volatility).
Best For:
Intraday trades on 1H (BTC, ETH, SOL)
Swing trades on 4H
Position entries on 1D (top 50 altcoins)
This script includes visual Buy/Sell signals, alert conditions, and customizable SL/TP logic — making it a clean, actionable, and reliable strategy for crypto traders.
Stochastic Ribbon & EMAsHere's a comprehensive description for publishing your indicator:
---
# **Stochastic Ribbon & EMAs**
A clean and powerful trading indicator that combines **Stochastic Support/Resistance levels** with **Essential Moving Averages** for comprehensive market analysis.
## **📊 What It Does**
This indicator provides **7 key reference lines** on your chart:
- **3 Stochastic levels** (20%, 50%, 80%) - Dynamic support/resistance zones
- **4 Essential EMAs** (20, 50, 100, 200) - Trend direction and momentum
## **🎯 Key Features**
### **Stochastic Ribbon (3 Yellow Lines)**
- **80% Line**: Dynamic resistance level - potential selling zone
- **50% Line**: Market equilibrium - trend direction reference
- **20% Line**: Dynamic support level - potential buying zone
- **Default 50-period lookback** for stable, reliable levels
- **All lines in yellow** for clean, consistent visualization
### **Essential EMAs (4 Colored Lines)**
- **20 EMA** (Purple): Short-term trend and entry timing
- **50 EMA** (Dark Cyan): Medium-term trend direction
- **100 EMA** (Rosy Brown): Long-term trend confirmation
- **200 EMA** (Brown): Major trend and institutional levels
## **📈 How to Use**
### **For Support & Resistance:**
- **Above 80% line**: Look for selling opportunities (overbought zone)
- **Between 50-80%**: Bullish bias, pullbacks to 50% line for entries
- **Around 50% line**: Key equilibrium - watch for direction
- **Between 20-50%**: Bearish bias, bounces to 50% line for exits
- **Below 20% line**: Look for buying opportunities (oversold zone)
### **For Trend Analysis:**
- **EMA Stack Order**: Higher timeframe EMAs above lower = uptrend
- **Price above all EMAs**: Strong bullish momentum
- **Price below all EMAs**: Strong bearish momentum
- **EMA as dynamic support/resistance**: Bounces and rejections
### **For Entry Signals:**
- **Confluence zones**: Where Stochastic levels meet EMA levels
- **Breakouts**: Price breaking through multiple levels simultaneously
- **Reversals**: Price rejection at extreme Stochastic levels with EMA confirmation
## **⚙️ Settings**
### **Stochastic Ribbon**
- **Show/Hide**: Toggle the 3 Stochastic lines
- **Length**: Period for high/low calculation (default: 50)
- **Start**: Multiplier for calculation (default: 1)
### **EMAs**
- **Individual toggles**: Show/hide each EMA separately
- **Custom periods**: Adjust each EMA length (defaults: 20, 50, 100, 200)
- **Custom colors**: Personalize each EMA color
## **🚀 Why This Indicator?**
✅ **Clean & Simple**: No cluttered charts - just essential levels
✅ **Multi-Timeframe**: Works on all timeframes from 1m to 1W
✅ **Versatile**: Suitable for scalping, day trading, and swing trading
✅ **Low Lag**: Dynamic levels that adapt to current market conditions
✅ **Proven Components**: Combines two well-established technical concepts
✅ **Customizable**: Adjust all parameters to fit your trading style
## **💡 Pro Tips**
- **Use multiple timeframes**: Check higher timeframe alignment for stronger signals
- **Combine with volume**: Look for volume confirmation at key levels
- **Watch for confluences**: Best signals occur where multiple levels align
- **Respect the 50% line**: Often acts as the most important level for trend direction
## **📋 Technical Details**
- **Version**: Pine Script v5
- **Overlay**: Yes (displays on main price chart)
- **Plots**: 7 total (well within Pine Script limits)
- **Performance**: Optimized for fast loading and smooth operation
---
**Perfect for traders who want clear, actionable levels without chart clutter. Whether you're a beginner learning support/resistance or an experienced trader looking for clean reference points, this indicator delivers exactly what you need.**
Common DMAs with LabelsHere's a short description for publishing:
Common Daily Moving Averages (DMA) Indicator with Smart Labels
Displays the most widely-used moving averages that professional traders watch: 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, and 200 DMAs with clear color-coding and descriptive labels.
Key Features:
Smart Labels - Each DMA shows its trading purpose (Day Trading, Swing Trading, Bull/Bear Line, etc.)
Customizable Display - Toggle any DMA on/off individually
Golden/Death Cross Alerts - Optional 50/200 crossover signals
Live Status Table - Shows current DMA values vs price with up/down arrows
Professional Styling - Color-coded lines with appropriate thickness (200 DMA emphasized)
Perfect for:
Multi-timeframe trend analysis
Support/resistance identification
Bull/bear market confirmation
Entry/exit timing
Usage: Add to chart, customize which DMAs to display in settings. Labels appear on the right showing each average's trading significance. Enable the status table for quick price-vs-DMA reference.
Ideal for both beginners learning key moving averages and experienced traders wanting a clean, informative DMA setup.
