Adaptive Fibonacci Pullback System -FibonacciFluxAdaptive Fibonacci Pullback System (AFPS) - FibonacciFlux
This work is licensed under a Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0). Original concepts by FibonacciFlux.
Abstract
The Adaptive Fibonacci Pullback System (AFPS) presents a sophisticated, institutional-grade algorithmic strategy engineered for high-probability trend pullback entries. Developed by FibonacciFlux, AFPS uniquely integrates a proprietary Multi-Fibonacci Supertrend engine (0.618, 1.618, 2.618 ratios) for harmonic volatility assessment, an Adaptive Moving Average (AMA) Channel providing dynamic market context, and a synergistic Multi-Timeframe (MTF) filter suite (RSI, MACD, Volume). This strategy transcends simple indicator combinations through its strict, multi-stage confluence validation logic. Historical simulations suggest that specific MTF filter configurations can yield exceptional performance metrics, potentially achieving Profit Factors exceeding 2.6 , indicative of institutional-level potential, while maintaining controlled risk under realistic trading parameters (managed equity risk, commission, slippage).
4 hourly MTF filtering
1. Introduction: Elevating Pullback Trading with Adaptive Confluence
Traditional pullback strategies often struggle with noise, false signals, and adapting to changing market dynamics. AFPS addresses these challenges by introducing a novel framework grounded in Fibonacci principles and adaptive logic. Instead of relying on static levels or single confirmations, AFPS seeks high-probability pullback entries within established trends by validating signals through a rigorous confluence of:
Harmonic Volatility Context: Understanding the trend's stability and potential turning points using the unique Multi-Fibonacci Supertrend.
Adaptive Market Structure: Assessing the prevailing trend regime via the AMA Channel.
Multi-Dimensional Confirmation: Filtering signals with lower-timeframe Momentum (RSI), Trend Alignment (MACD), and Market Conviction (Volume) using the MTF suite.
The objective is to achieve superior signal quality and adaptability, moving beyond conventional pullback methodologies.
2. Core Methodology: Synergistic Integration
AFPS's effectiveness stems from the engineered synergy between its core components:
2.1. Multi-Fibonacci Supertrend Engine: Utilizes specific Fibonacci ratios (0.618, 1.618, 2.618) applied to ATR, creating a multi-layered volatility envelope potentially resonant with market harmonics. The averaged and EMA-smoothed result (`smoothed_supertrend`) provides a robust, dynamic trend baseline and context filter.
// Key Components: Multi-Fibonacci Supertrend & Smoothing
average_supertrend = (supertrend1 + supertrend2 + supertrend3) / 3
smoothed_supertrend = ta.ema(average_supertrend, st_smooth_length)
2.2. Adaptive Moving Average (AMA) Channel: Provides dynamic market context. The `ama_midline` serves as a key filter in the entry logic, confirming the broader trend bias relative to adaptive price action. Extended Fibonacci levels derived from the channel width offer potential dynamic S/R zones.
// Key Component: AMA Midline
ama_midline = (ama_high_band + ama_low_band) / 2
2.3. Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Filter Suite: An optional but powerful validation layer (RSI, MACD, Volume) assessed on a lower timeframe. Acts as a **validation cascade** – signals must pass all enabled filters simultaneously.
2.4. High-Confluence Entry Logic: The core innovation. A pullback entry requires a specific sequence and validation:
Price interaction with `average_supertrend` and recovery above/below `smoothed_supertrend`.
Price confirmation relative to the `ama_midline`.
Simultaneous validation by all enabled MTF filters.
// Simplified Long Entry Logic Example (incorporates key elements)
long_entry_condition = enable_long_positions and
(low < average_supertrend and close > smoothed_supertrend) and // Pullback & Recovery
(close > ama_midline and close > ama_midline) and // AMA Confirmation
(rsi_filter_long_ok and macd_filter_long_ok and volume_filter_ok) // MTF Validation
This strict, multi-stage confluence significantly elevates signal quality compared to simpler pullback approaches.
1hourly filtering
3. Realistic Implementation and Performance Potential
AFPS is designed for practical application, incorporating realistic defaults and highlighting performance potential with crucial context:
3.1. Realistic Default Strategy Settings:
The script includes responsible default parameters:
strategy('Adaptive Fibonacci Pullback System - FibonacciFlux', shorttitle = "AFPS", ...,
initial_capital = 10000, // Accessible capital
default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity, // Equity-based risk
default_qty_value = 4, // Default 4% equity risk per initial trade
commission_type = strategy.commission.percent,
commission_value = 0.03, // Realistic commission
slippage = 2, // Realistic slippage
pyramiding = 2 // Limited pyramiding allowed
)
Note: The default 4% risk (`default_qty_value = 4`) requires careful user assessment and adjustment based on individual risk tolerance.
3.2. Historical Performance Insights & Institutional Potential:
Backtesting provides insights into historical behavior under specific conditions (always specify Asset/Timeframe/Dates when sharing results):
Default Performance Example: With defaults, historical tests might show characteristics like Overall PF ~1.38, Max DD ~1.16%, with potential Long/Short performance variance (e.g., Long PF 1.6+, Short PF < 1).
Optimized MTF Filter Performance: Crucially, historical simulations demonstrate that meticulous configuration of the MTF filters (particularly RSI and potentially others depending on market) can significantly enhance performance. Under specific, optimized MTF filter settings combined with appropriate risk management (e.g., 7.5% risk), historical tests have indicated the potential to achieve **Profit Factors exceeding 2.6**, alongside controlled drawdowns (e.g., ~1.32%). This level of performance, if consistently achievable (which requires ongoing adaptation), aligns with metrics often sought in institutional trading environments.
Disclaimer Reminder: These results are strictly historical simulations. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Achieving high performance requires careful parameter tuning, adaptation to changing markets, and robust risk management.
3.3. Emphasizing Risk Management:
Effective use of AFPS mandates active risk management. Utilize the built-in Stop Loss, Take Profit, and Trailing Stop features. The `pyramiding = 2` setting requires particularly diligent oversight. Do not rely solely on default settings.
4. Conclusion: Advancing Trend Pullback Strategies
The Adaptive Fibonacci Pullback System (AFPS) offers a sophisticated, theoretically grounded, and highly adaptable framework for identifying and executing high-probability trend pullback trades. Its unique blend of Fibonacci resonance, adaptive context, and multi-dimensional MTF filtering represents a significant advancement over conventional methods. While requiring thoughtful implementation and risk management, AFPS provides discerning traders with a powerful tool potentially capable of achieving institutional-level performance characteristics under optimized conditions.
Acknowledgments
Developed by FibonacciFlux. Inspired by principles of Fibonacci analysis, adaptive averaging, and multi-timeframe confirmation techniques explored within the trading community.
Disclaimer
Trading involves substantial risk. AFPS is an analytical tool, not a guarantee of profit. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Market conditions change. Users are solely responsible for their decisions and risk management. Thorough testing is essential. Deploy at your own considered risk.
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volume profile ranking indicator📌 Introduction
This script implements a volume profile ranking indicato for TradingView. It is designed to visualize the distribution of traded volume over price levels within a defined historical window. Unlike TradingView’s built-in Volume Profile, this script gives full customization of the profile drawing logic, binning, color gradient, and the ability to anchor the profile to a specific date.
⚙️ How It Works (Logic)
1. Inputs
➤POC Lookback Days (lookback): Defines how many bars (days) to look back from a selected point to calculate the volume distribution.
➤Bin Count (bin_count): Determines how many price bins (horizontal levels) the price range will be divided into.
➤Use Custom Lookback Date (useCustomDate): Enables/disables manually selecting a backtest start date.
➤Custom Lookback Date (customDate): When enabled, the profile will calculate volume based on this date instead of the most recent bar.
2. Target Bar Determination
➤If a custom date is selected, the script searches for the bar closest to that date within 1000 bars.
➤If not, it defaults to the latest bar (bar_index).
➤The profile is drawn only when the current bar is close to the target bar (within ±2 bars), to avoid unnecessary recalculations and performance issues.
3. Volume Binning
➤The price range over the lookback window is divided into bin_count segments.
➤For each bar within the lookback window, its volume is added to the appropriate bin based on price.
➤If the price falls outside the expected range, it is clamped to the first or last bin.
4. Ranking and Sorting
➤A bubble sort ranks each bin by total volume.
➤The most active bin (POC, or Point of Control) is highlighted with a thicker bar.
5. Rendering
➤Horizontal bars (line.new) represent volume intensity in each price bin.
➤Each bar is color-coded by volume heat: more volume = more intense color.
➤Labels (label.new) show:
➤Total volume
➤Rank
➤Percentage of total volume
➤Price range of the bin
🧑💻 How to Use
1. Add the Script to Your Chart
➤Copy the code into TradingView’s Pine Script editor and add it to your chart.
2. Set Lookback Period
➤Default is 252 bars (about one year for daily charts), but can be changed via the input.
3. (Optional) Use Custom Date
●Toggle "Use Custom Lookback Date" to true.
➤Pick a date in the "Custom Lookback Date" input to anchor the profile.
4. Analyze the Volume Distribution
➤The longest (thickest) red/orange bar represents the Point of Control (POC) — the price with the most volume traded.
➤Other bars show volume distribution across price.
➤Labels display useful metrics to evaluate areas of high/low interest.
✅ Features
🔶 Customizable anchor point (custom date).
🔶Adjustable bin count and lookback length.
🔶 Clear visualization with heatmap coloring.
🔶 Lightweight and performance-optimized (especially with the shouldDrawProfile filter)
Low Liquidity Zones [PhenLabs]📊 Low Liquidity Zones
Version: PineScript™ v6
📌 Description
Low Liquidity Zones identifies and highlights periods of unusually low trading volume on your chart, marking areas where price movement occurred with minimal participation. These zones often represent potential support and resistance levels that may be more susceptible to price breakouts or reversals when revisited with higher volume.
Unlike traditional volume analysis tools that focus on high volume spikes, this indicator specializes in detecting low liquidity areas where price moved with minimal resistance. Each zone displays its volume delta, providing insight into buying vs. selling pressure during these thin liquidity periods. This combination of low volume detection and delta analysis helps traders identify potential price inefficiencies and weak structures in the market.
🚀 Points of Innovation
• Identifies low liquidity zones that most volume indicators overlook but which often become significant technical levels
• Displays volume delta within each zone, showing net buying/selling pressure during low liquidity periods
• Dynamically adjusts to different timeframes, allowing analysis across multiple time horizons
• Filters zones by maximum size percentage to focus only on precise price levels
• Maintains historical zones until they expire based on your lookback settings, creating a cumulative map of potential support/resistance areas
🔧 Core Components
• Low Volume Detection: Identifies candles where volume falls below a specified threshold relative to recent average volume, highlighting potential liquidity gaps.
• Volume Delta Analysis: Calculates and displays the net buying/selling pressure within each low liquidity zone, providing insight into the directional bias during low participation periods.
• Dynamic Timeframe Adjustment: Automatically scales analysis periods to match your selected timeframe preference, ensuring consistent identification of low liquidity zones regardless of chart settings.
• Zone Management System: Creates, tracks, and expires low liquidity zones based on your configured settings, maintaining visual clarity on the chart.
🔥 Key Features
• Low Volume Identification: Automatically detects and highlights candles where volume falls below your specified threshold compared to the moving average.
• Volume Delta Visualization: Shows the net volume delta within each zone, providing insight into whether buyers or sellers were dominant despite the low overall volume.
• Flexible Timeframe Analysis: Analyze low liquidity zones across multiple predefined timeframes or use a custom lookback period specific to your trading style.
• Zone Size Filtering: Filters out excessively large zones to focus only on precise price levels, improving signal quality.
• Automatic Zone Expiration: Older zones are automatically removed after your specified lookback period to maintain a clean, relevant chart display.
🎨 Visualization
• Volume Delta Labels: Each zone displays its volume delta with “+” or “-” prefix and K/M suffix for easy interpretation, showing the strength and direction of pressure during the low volume period.
• Persistent Historical Mapping: Zones remain visible for your specified lookback period, creating a cumulative map of potential support and resistance levels forming under low liquidity conditions.
📖 Usage Guidelines
Analysis Timeframe
Default: 1D
Range/Options: 15M, 1HR, 3HR, 4HR, 8HR, 16HR, 1D, 3D, 5D, 1W, Custom
Description: Determines the historical period to analyze for low liquidity zones. Shorter timeframes provide more recent data while longer timeframes offer a more comprehensive view of significant zones. Use Custom option with the setting below for precise control.
Custom Period (Bars)
Default: 1000
Range: 1+
Description: Number of bars to analyze when using Custom timeframe option. Higher values show more historical zones but may impact performance.
Volume Analysis
Volume Threshold Divisor
Default: 0.5
Range: 0.1-1.0
Description: Maximum volume relative to average to identify low volume zones. Example: 0.5 means volume must be below 50% of the average to qualify as low volume. Lower values create more selective zones while higher values identify more zones.
Volume MA Length
Default: 15
Range: 1+
Description: Period length for volume moving average calculation. Shorter periods make the indicator more responsive to recent volume changes, while longer periods provide a more stable baseline.
Zone Settings
Zone Fill Color
Default: #2196F3 (80% transparency)
Description: Color and transparency of the low liquidity zones. Choose colors that stand out against your chart background without obscuring price action.
Maximum Zone Size %
Default: 0.5
Range: 0.1+
Description: Maximum allowed height of a zone as percentage of price. Larger zones are filtered out. Lower values create more precise zones focusing on tight price ranges.
Display Options
Show Volume Delta
Default: true
Description: Toggles the display of volume delta within each zone. Enabling this provides additional insight into buying vs. selling pressure during low volume periods.
Delta Text Position
Default: Right
Options: Left, Center, Right
Description: Controls the horizontal alignment of the delta text within zones. Adjust based on your chart layout for optimal readability.
✅ Best Use Cases
• Identifying potential support and resistance levels that formed during periods of thin liquidity
• Spotting price inefficiencies where larger players may have moved price with minimal volume
• Finding low-volume consolidation areas that may serve as breakout or reversal zones when revisited
• Locating potential stop-hunting zones where price moved on minimal participation
• Complementing traditional support/resistance analysis with volume context
⚠️ Limitations
• Requires volume data to function; will not work on symbols where the data provider doesn’t supply volume information
• Low volume zones don’t guarantee future support/resistance - they simply highlight potential areas of interest
• Works best on liquid instruments where volume data has meaningful fluctuations
• Historical analysis is limited by the maximum allowed box count (500) in TradingView
• Volume delta in some markets may not perfectly reflect buying vs. selling pressure due to data limitations
💡 What Makes This Unique
• Focus on Low Volume: Unlike some indicators that highlight high volume events particularly like our very own TLZ indicator, this tool specifically identifies potentially significant price zones that formed with minimal participation.
• Delta + Low Volume Integration: Combines volume delta analysis with low volume detection to reveal directional bias during thin liquidity periods.
• Flexible Lookback System: The dynamic timeframe system allows analysis across any timeframe while maintaining consistent zone identification criteria.
• Support/Resistance Zone Generation: Automatically builds a visual map of potential technical levels based on volume behavior rather than just price patterns.
🔬 How It Works
1. Volume Baseline Calculation:
The indicator calculates a moving average of volume over your specified period to establish a baseline for normal market participation. This adaptive baseline accounts for natural volume fluctuations across different market conditions.
2. Low Volume Detection:
Each candle’s volume is compared to the moving average and flagged when it falls below your threshold divisor. The indicator also filters zones by maximum size to ensure only precise price levels are highlighted.
3. Volume Delta Integration:
For each identified low volume candle, the indicator retrieves the volume delta from a lower timeframe. This delta value is formatted with appropriate scaling (K/M) and displayed within the zone.
4. Zone Management:
New zones are created and tracked in a dynamic array, with each zone extending rightward until it expires. The system automatically removes expired zones based on your lookback period to maintain a clean chart.
💡 Note:
Low liquidity zones often represent areas where price moved with minimal participation, which can indicate potential market inefficiencies. These zones frequently become important support/resistance levels when revisited, especially if approached with higher volume. Consider using this indicator alongside traditional technical analysis tools for comprehensive market context. For best results, experiment with different volume threshold settings based on the specific instrument’s typical volume patterns.
Psych LevelWhat it shows:
This indicator will show a horizontal line at a psychological value which can be user defined. (Psychological values are round numbers, like 10,50,100,1000 and so on...)
At these Psychological value there are often limit orders placed for both buying and selling and can often act as support and resistances.
Therefore it is useful to pre-draw these levels beforehand and this indicator will speed up the process doing so by adjusting few different settings and draw them automatically.
How to use it:
At these Psychological value there are often limit orders placed for both buying and selling and can often act as support and resistances. This is often the case when you look at limit orders at such levels on bookmap or level 2 data.
At these psychological levels it can be set as a target of your trade or as risk levels when taking a trade in either of direction. Obviously this alone shouldn't dictate the trade you should take but can be a valuable info to supplement your trade.
On the chart it is clear to see these psychological level lines are acting as resistances/supports.
Key settings:
Interval: Interval levels will be drawn for, between the minimum and maximum values inputted by the user. Minimum value allowed is 1.
Min. value: Minimum value of Psychological level that will be drawn. Minimum value allowed is 1.
Max value: Maximum value of Psychological level that will be drawn. Minimum value allowed is 1.
Line colour: Colour of line drawn.
Line width: Width of line drawn.
Line style: Style of line drawn, either solid, dotted or dashed.
Label offset: Offset of where where label will be, measured from current bar. Offset of 0 will be drawn at current bar location, any positive number will move to the right by the set amount.
Text Colour: Colour of label text
Text size: Size of label text
Example: Chart here shows setting for minimum value as 100, maximum value as 140 and interval as 5. In this setting lines will be automatically drawn at: 100,105,110,115,120,125,130,145 and 140.
The flexibility of user defined max/min and interval values allows to be accommodated for price with different price tags, including stocks under $10.
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If anything is not clear please let me know!
BTCUSD with adjustable sl,tpThis strategy is designed for swing traders who want to enter long positions on pullbacks after a short-term trend shift, while also allowing immediate short entries when conditions favor downside movement. It combines SMA crossovers, a fixed-percentage retracement entry, and adjustable risk management parameters for optimal trade execution.
Key Features:
✅ Trend Confirmation with SMA Crossover
The 10-period SMA crossing above the 25-period SMA signals a bullish trend shift.
The 10-period SMA crossing below the 25-period SMA signals a bearish trend shift.
Short trades are only taken if the price is below the 150 EMA, ensuring alignment with the broader trend.
📉 Long Pullback Entry Using Fixed Percentage Retracement
Instead of entering immediately on the SMA crossover, the strategy waits for a retracement before going long.
The pullback entry is defined as a percentage retracement from the recent high, allowing for an optimized entry price.
The retracement percentage is fully adjustable in the settings (default: 1%).
A dynamic support level is plotted on the chart to visualize the pullback entry zone.
📊 Short Entry Rules
If the SMA(10) crosses below the SMA(25) and price is below the 150 EMA, a short trade is immediately entered.
Risk Management & Exit Strategy:
🚀 Take Profit (TP) – Fully customizable profit target in points. (Default: 1000 points)
🛑 Stop Loss (SL) – Adjustable stop loss level in points. (Default: 250 points)
🔄 Break-Even (BE) – When price moves in favor by a set number of points, the stop loss is moved to break-even.
📌 Extra Exit Condition for Longs:
If the SMA(10) crosses below SMA(25) while the price is still below the EMA150, the strategy force-exits the long position to avoid reversals.
How to Use This Strategy:
Enable the strategy on your TradingView chart (recommended for stocks, forex, or indices).
Customize the settings – Adjust TP, SL, BE, and pullback percentage for your risk tolerance.
Observe the plotted retracement levels – When the price touches and bounces off the level, a long trade is triggered.
Let the strategy manage the trade – Break-even protection and take-profit logic will automatically execute.
Ideal Market Conditions:
✅ Trending Markets – The strategy works best when price follows strong trends.
✅ Stocks, Indices, or Forex – Can be applied across multiple asset classes.
✅ Medium-Term Holding Period – Suitable for swing trades lasting days to weeks.
Heiken Ashi Supertrend ATR-SL StrategyThis indicator combines Heikin Ashi candle pattern analysis with Supertrend to generate high-probability trading signals with built-in risk management. It identifies potential entries and exits based on specific Heikin Ashi candlestick formations while providing automated ATR-based stop loss management.
Trading Logic:
The system generates long signals when a green Heikin Ashi candle forms with no bottom wick (indicating strong bullish momentum). Short signals appear when a red Heikin Ashi candle forms with no top wick (showing strong bearish momentum). The absence of wicks on these candles signals a high-conviction market move in the respective direction.
Exit signals are triggered when:
1. An opposite pattern forms (red candle with no top wick exits longs; green candle with no bottom wick exits shorts)
2. The ATR-based stop loss is hit
3. The break-even stop is activated and then hit
Technical Approach:
- Select Heiken Ashi Canldes on your Trading View chart. Entried are based on HA prices.
- Supertrend and ATR-based stop losses use real price data (not HA values) for trend determination
- ATR-based stop losses automatically adjust to market volatility
- Break-even functionality moves the stop to entry price once price moves a specified ATR multiple in your favor
Risk Management:
- Default starting capital: 1000 units
- Default risk per trade: 10% of equity (customizable in strategy settings)
- Hard Stop Loss: Set ATR multiplier (default: 2.0) for automatic stop placement
- Break Even: Configure ATR threshold (default: 1.0) to activate break-even stops
- Appropriate position sizing relative to equity and stop distance
Customization Options:
- Supertrend Settings:
- Enable/disable Supertrend filtering (trade only in confirmed trend direction)
- Adjust Factor (default: 3.0) to change sensitivity
- Modify ATR Period (default: 10) to adapt to different timeframes
Visual Elements:
- Green triangles for long entries, blue triangles for short entries
- X-marks for exits and stop loss hits
- Color-coded position background (green for long, blue for short)
- Clearly visible stop loss lines (red for hard stop, white for break-even)
- Comprehensive position information label with entry price and stop details
Implementation Notes:
The indicator tracks positions internally and maintains state across bars to properly manage stop levels. All calculations use confirmed bars only, with no repainting or lookahead bias. The system is designed for swing trading on timeframes from 1-hour and above, where Heikin Ashi patterns tend to be more reliable.
This indicator is best suited for traders looking to combine the pattern recognition strengths of Heikin Ashi candles with the trend-following capabilities of Supertrend, all while maintaining disciplined risk management through automated stops.
[3Commas] Turtle StrategyTurtle Strategy
🔷 What it does: This indicator implements a modernized version of the Turtle Trading Strategy, designed for trend-following and automated trading with webhook integration. It identifies breakout opportunities using Donchian channels, providing entry and exit signals.
Channel 1: Detects short-term breakouts using the highest highs and lowest lows over a set period (default 20).
Channel 2: Acts as a confirmation filter by applying an offset to the same period, reducing false signals.
Exit Channel: Functions as a dynamic stop-loss (wait for candle close), adjusting based on market structure (default 10 periods).
Additionally, traders can enable a fixed Take Profit level, ensuring a systematic approach to profit-taking.
🔷 Who is it for:
Trend Traders: Those looking to capture long-term market moves.
Bot Users: Traders seeking to automate entries and exits with bot integration.
Rule-Based Traders: Operators who prefer a structured, systematic trading approach.
🔷 How does it work: The strategy generates buy and sell signals using a dual-channel confirmation system.
Long Entry: A buy signal is generated when the close price crosses above the previous high of Channel 1 and is confirmed by Channel 2.
Short Entry: A sell signal occurs when the close price falls below the previous low of Channel 1, with confirmation from Channel 2.
Exit Management: The Exit Channel acts as a trailing stop, dynamically adjusting to price movements. To exit the trade, wait for a full bar close.
Optional Take Profit (%): Closes trades at a predefined %.
🔷 Why it’s unique:
Modern Adaptation: Updates the classic Turtle Trading Strategy, with the possibility of using a second channel with an offset to filter the signals.
Dynamic Risk Management: Utilizes a trailing Exit Channel to help protect gains as trades move favorably.
Bot Integration: Automates trade execution through direct JSON signal communication with your DCA Bots.
🔷 Considerations Before Using the Indicator:
Market & Timeframe: Best suited for trending markets; higher timeframes (e.g., H4, D1) are recommended to minimize noise.
Sideways Markets: In choppy conditions, breakouts may lead to false signals—consider using additional filters.
Backtesting & Demo Testing: It is crucial to thoroughly backtest the strategy and run it on a demo account before risking real capital.
Parameter Adjustments: Ensure that commissions, slippage, and position sizes are set accurately to reflect real trading conditions.
🔷 STRATEGY PROPERTIES
Symbol: BINANCE:ETHUSDT (Spot).
Timeframe: 4h.
Test Period: All historical data available.
Initial Capital: 10000 USDT.
Order Size per Trade: 1% of Capital, you can use a higher value e.g. 5%, be cautious that the Max Drawdown does not exceed 10%, as it would indicate a very risky trading approach.
Commission: Binance commission 0.1%, adjust according to the exchange being used, lower numbers will generate unrealistic results. By using low values e.g. 5%, it allows us to adapt over time and check the functioning of the strategy.
Slippage: 5 ticks, for pairs with low liquidity or very large orders, this number should be increased as the order may not be filled at the desired level.
Margin for Long and Short Positions: 100%.
Indicator Settings: Default Configuration.
Period Channel 1: 20.
Period Channel 2: 20.
Period Channel 2 Offset: 20.
Period Exit: 10.
Take Profit %: Disable.
Strategy: Long & Short.
🔷 STRATEGY RESULTS
⚠️Remember, past results do not guarantee future performance.
Net Profit: +516.87 USDT (+5.17%).
Max Drawdown: -100.28 USDT (-0.95%).
Total Closed Trades: 281.
Percent Profitable: 40.21%.
Profit Factor: 1.704.
Average Trade: +1.84 USDT (+1.80%).
Average # Bars in Trades: 29.
🔷 How to Use It:
🔸 Adjust Settings:
Select your asset and timeframe suited for trend trading.
Adjust the periods for Channel 1, Channel 2, and the Exit Channel to align with the asset’s historical behavior. You can visualize these channels by going to the Style tab and enabling them.
For example, if you set Channel 2 to 40 with an offset of 40, signals will take longer to appear but will aim for a more defined trend.
Experiment with different values, a possible exit configuration is using 20 as well. Compare the results and adjust accordingly.
Enable the Take Profit (%) option if needed.
🔸Results Review:
It is important to check the Max Drawdown. This value should ideally not exceed 10% of your capital. Consider adjusting the trade size to ensure this threshold is not surpassed.
Remember to include the correct values for commission and slippage according to the symbol and exchange where you are conducting the tests. Otherwise, the results will not be realistic.
If you are satisfied with the results, you may consider automating your trades. However, it is strongly recommended to use a small amount of capital or a demo account to test proper execution before committing real funds.
🔸Create alerts to trigger the DCA Bot:
Verify Messages: Ensure the message matches the one specified by the DCA Bot.
Multi-Pair Configuration: For multi-pair setups, enable the option to add the symbol in the correct format.
Signal Settings: Enable the option to receive long or short signals (Entry | TP | SL), copy and paste the messages for the DCA Bots configured.
Alert Setup:
When creating an alert, set the condition to the indicator and choose "alert() function call only".
Enter any desired Alert Name.
Open the Notifications tab, enable Webhook URL, and paste the Webhook URL.
For more details, refer to the section: "How to use TradingView Custom Signals".
Finalize Alerts: Click Create, you're done! Alerts will now be sent automatically in the correct format.
🔷 INDICATOR SETTINGS
Period Channel 1: Period of highs and lows to trigger signals
Period Channel 2: Period of highs and lows to filter signals
Offset: Move Channel 2 to the right x bars to try to filter out the favorable signals.
Period Exit: It is the period of the Donchian channel that is used as trailing for the exits.
Strategy: Order Type direction in which trades are executed.
Take Profit %: When activated, the entered value will be used as the Take Profit in percentage from the entry price level.
Use Custom Test Period: When enabled signals only works in the selected time window. If disabled it will use all historical data available on the chart.
Test Start and End: Once the Custom Test Period is enabled, here you select the start and end date that you want to analyze.
Check Messages: Check Messages: Enable this option to review the messages that will be sent to the bot.
Entry | TP | SL: Enable this options to send Buy Entry, Take Profit (TP), and Stop Loss (SL) signals.
Deal Entry and Deal Exit: Copy and paste the message for the deal start signal and close order at Market Price of the DCA Bot. This is the message that will be sent with the alert to the Bot, you must verify that it is the same as the bot so that it can process properly.
DCA Bot Multi-Pair: You must activate it if you want to use the signals in a DCA Bot Multi-pair in the text box you must enter (using the correct format) the symbol in which you are creating the alert, you can check the format of each symbol when you create the bot.
👨🏻💻💭 We hope this tool helps enhance your trading. Your feedback is invaluable, so feel free to share any suggestions for improvements or new features you'd like to see implemented.
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The information and publications within the 3Commas TradingView account are not meant to be and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by 3Commas and any of the parties acting on behalf of 3Commas, including its employees, contractors, ambassadors, etc.
ICT Session by LasinsName: ICT Session by Lasins
Purpose: To visually identify and differentiate between the Asian, London, and New York trading sessions on the chart.
Features:
Highlights the background of the chart during each session.
Includes a mini dashboard in the top-right corner to show the active session.
Allows customization of time zones (exchange timezone or UTC).
Displays copyright and author information.
Key Components
Inputs:
useExchangeTimezone: A boolean input to toggle between using the exchange timezone or UTC for session times.
showDashboard: A boolean input to toggle the visibility of the mini dashboard.
Session Times:
The script defines three trading sessions:
Asian Session: 2000-0000 UTC (or adjusted for exchange timezone).
London Session: 0200-0500 UTC (or adjusted for exchange timezone).
New York Session: 0700-1000 UTC (or adjusted for exchange timezone).
Session Detection:
The is_session function checks if the current time falls within a specified session using the time function.
Background Coloring:
The bgcolor function is used to highlight the chart background during each session:
Asian Session: Red background.
London Session: Green background.
New York Session: Blue background.
Mini Dashboard:
A table is created in the top-right corner of the chart to display the active session and its corresponding color.
The dashboard includes:
A header row with "Session" and "Color".
Rows for each session (Asian, London, New York) with their respective colors.
Copyright and Author Information:
A label is added to the chart to display the copyright and author information ("© ICT Session by Lasins Raj").
How It Works
The script checks the current time and compares it to the predefined session times.
If the current time falls within a session, the chart background is highlighted with the corresponding color.
The mini dashboard updates to reflect the active session.
The copyright and author information is displayed at the bottom of the chart.
Customization
You can adjust the session times in the script to match your preferred timezone or trading hours.
The useExchangeTimezone input allows you to switch between UTC and the exchange timezone.
The showDashboard input lets you toggle the visibility of the mini dashboard.
Example Use Case
Traders who follow the ICT (Inner Circle Trader) methodology can use this indicator to identify key trading sessions and plan their trades accordingly.
The visual representation of sessions helps traders quickly recognize when major markets are open and active.
[3Commas] HA & MAHA & MA
🔷What it does: This tool is designed to test a trend-following strategy using Heikin Ashi candles and moving averages. It enters trades after pullbacks, aiming to let profits run once the risk-to-reward ratio reaches 1:1 while securing the position.
🔷Who is it for: It is ideal for traders looking to compare final results using fixed versus dynamic take profits by adjusting parameters and trade direction—a concept applicable to most trading strategies.
🔷How does it work: We use moving averages to define the market trend, then wait for opposite Heikin Ashi candles to form against it. Once these candles reverse in favor of the trend, we enter the trade, using the last swing created by the pullback as the stop loss. By applying the breakeven ratio, we protect the trade and let it run, using the slower moving average as a trailing stop.
A buy signal is generated when:
The previous candle is bearish (ha_bear ), indicating a pullback.
The fast moving average (ma1) is above the slow moving average (ma2), confirming an uptrend.
The current candle is bullish (ha_bull), showing trend continuation.
The Heikin Ashi close is above the fast moving average (ma1), reinforcing the bullish bias.
The real price close is above the open (close > open), ensuring bullish momentum in actual price data.
The signal is confirmed on the closed candle (barstate.isconfirmed) to avoid premature signals.
dir is undefined (na(dir)), preventing repeated signals in the same direction.
A sell signal is generated when:
The previous candle is bullish (ha_bull ), indicating a temporary upward move before a potential reversal.
The fast moving average (ma1) is below the slow moving average (ma2), confirming a downtrend.
The current candle is bearish (ha_bear), showing trend continuation to the downside.
The Heikin Ashi close is below the fast moving average (ma1), reinforcing bearish pressure.
The real price close is below the open (close < open), confirming bearish momentum in actual price data.
The signal is confirmed after the candle closes (barstate.isconfirmed), avoiding premature entries.
dir is undefined (na(dir)), preventing consecutive signals in the same direction.
In simple terms, this setup looks for trend continuation after a pullback, confirming entries with both Heikin Ashi and real price action, supported by moving average alignment to avoid false signals.
If the price reaches a 1:1 risk-to-reward ratio, the stop will be moved to the entry point. However, if the slow moving average surpasses this level, it will become the new exit point, acting as a trailing stop
🔷Why It’s Unique
Easily visualizes the benefits of using risk-to-reward ratios when trading instead of fixed percentages.
Provides a simple and straightforward approach to trading, embracing the "keep it simple" concept.
Offers clear visualization of DCA Bot entry and exit points based on user preferences.
Includes an option to review the message format before sending signals to bots, with compatibility for multi-pair and futures contract pairs.
🔷 Considerations Before Using the Indicator
⚠️Very important: The indicator must be used on charts with real price data, such as Japanese candlesticks, line charts, etc. Do not use it on Heikin Ashi charts, as this may lead to unrealistic results.
🔸Since this is a trend-following strategy, use it on timeframes above 4 hours, where market noise is reduced and trends are clearer. Also, carefully review the statistics before using it, focusing on pairs that tend to have long periods of well-defined trends.
🔸Disadvantages:
False Signals in Ranges: Consolidating markets can generate unreliable signals.
Lagging Indicator: Being based on moving averages, it may react late to sudden price movements.
🔸Advantages:
Trend Focused: Simplifies the identification of trending markets.
Noise Reduction: Uses Heikin Ashi candles to identify trend continuation after pullbacks.
Broad Applicability: Suitable for forex, crypto, stocks, and commodities.
🔸The strategy provides a systematic way to analyze markets but does not guarantee successful outcomes. Use it as an additional tool rather than relying solely on an automated system.
Trading results depend on various factors, including market conditions, trader discipline, and risk management. Past performance does not ensure future success, so always approach the market cautiously.
🔸Risk Management: Define stop-loss levels, position sizes, and profit targets before entering any trade. Be prepared for potential losses and ensure your approach aligns with your overall trading plan.
🔷 STRATEGY PROPERTIES
Symbol: BINANCE:BTCUSDT (Spot).
Timeframe: 4h.
Test Period: All historical data available.
Initial Capital: 10000 USDT.
Order Size per Trade: 1% of Capital, you can use a higher value e.g. 5%, be cautious that the Max Drawdown does not exceed 10%, as it would indicate a very risky trading approach.
Commission: Binance commission 0.1%, adjust according to the exchange being used, lower numbers will generate unrealistic results. By using low values e.g. 5%, it allows us to adapt over time and check the functioning of the strategy.
Slippage: 5 ticks, for pairs with low liquidity or very large orders, this number should be increased as the order may not be filled at the desired level.
Margin for Long and Short Positions: 100%.
Indicator Settings: Default Configuration.
MA1 Length: 9.
MA2 Length: 18.
MA Calculations: EMA.
Take Profit Ratio: Disable. Ratio 1:4.
Breakeven Ratio: Enable, Ratio 1:1.
Strategy: Long & Short.
🔷 STRATEGY RESULTS
⚠️Remember, past results do not guarantee future performance.
Net Profit: +324.88 USDT (+3.25%).
Max Drawdown: -81.18 USDT (-0.78%).
Total Closed Trades: 672.
Percent Profitable: 35.57%.
Profit Factor: 1.347.
Average Trade: +0.48 USDT (+0.48%).
Average # Bars in Trades: 13.
🔷 HOW TO USE
🔸 Adjust Settings:
The default values—MA1 (9) and MA2 (18) with EMA calculation—generally work well. However, you can increase these values, such as 20 and 40, to better identify stronger trends.
🔸 Choose a Symbol that Typically Trends:
Select an asset that tends to form clear trends. Keep in mind that the Strategy Tester results may show poor performance for certain assets, making them less suitable for sending signals to bots.
🔸 Experiment with Ratios:
Test different take profit and breakeven ratios to compare various scenarios—especially to observe how the strategy performs when only the trade is protected.
🔸This is an example of how protecting the trade works: once the price moves in favor of the position with a 1:1 risk-to-reward ratio, the stop loss is moved to the entry price. If the Slow MA surpasses this level, it will act as a trailing stop, aiming to follow the trend and maximize potential gains.
🔸In contrast, in this example, for the same trade, if we set a take profit at a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio—which is generally considered a good risk-reward relationship—we can see how a significant portion of the upward move is left on the table.
🔸Results Review:
It is important to check the Max Drawdown. This value should ideally not exceed 10% of your capital. Consider adjusting the trade size to ensure this threshold is not surpassed.
Remember to include the correct values for commission and slippage according to the symbol and exchange where you are conducting the tests. Otherwise, the results will not be realistic.
If you are satisfied with the results, you may consider automating your trades. However, it is strongly recommended to use a small amount of capital or a demo account to test proper execution before committing real funds.
🔸Create alerts to trigger the DCA Bot:
Verify Messages: Ensure the message matches the one specified by the DCA Bot.
Multi-Pair Configuration: For multi-pair setups, enable the option to add the symbol in the correct format.
Signal Settings: Enable whether you want to receive long or short signals (Entry | TP | SL), copy and paste the the messages for the DCA Bots configured.
Alert Setup:
When creating an alert, set the condition to the indicator and choose "alert() function call only.
Enter any desired Alert Name.
Open the Notifications tab, enable Webhook URL, and paste the Webhook URL.
For more details, refer to the section: "How to use TradingView Custom Signals".
Finalize Alerts: Click Create, you're done! Alerts will now be sent automatically in the correct format.
🔷 INDICATOR SETTINGS
MA 1: Fast MA Length
MA 2: Slow MA Length
MA Calc: MA's Calculations (SMA,EMA, RMA,WMA)
TP Ratio: This is the take profit ratio relative to the stop loss, where the trade will be closed in profit.
BE Ratio: This is the breakeven ratio relative to the stop loss, where the stop loss will be updated to breakeven or if the MA2 is greater than this level.
Strategy: Order Type direction in which trades are executed.
Use Custom Test Period: When enabled signals only works in the selected time window. If disabled it will use all historical data available on the chart.
Test Start and End: Once the Custom Test Period is enabled, here you select the start and end date that you want to analyze.
Check Messages: Enable the table to review the messages to be sent to the bot.
Entry | TP | SL: Enable this options to send Buy Entry, Take Profit (TP), and Stop Loss (SL) signals.
Deal Entry and Deal Exit : Copy and paste the message for the deal start signal and close order at Market Price of the DCA Bot. This is the message that will be sent with the alert to the Bot, you must verify that it is the same as the bot so that it can process properly so that it executes and starts the trade.
DCA Bot Multi-Pair: You must activate it if you want to use the signals in a DCA Bot Multi-pair in the text box you must enter (using the correct format) the symbol in which you are creating the alert, you can check the format of each symbol when you create the bot.
👨🏻💻💭 We hope this tool helps enhance your trading. Your feedback is invaluable, so feel free to share any suggestions for improvements or new features you'd like to see implemented.
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The information and publications within the 3Commas TradingView account are not meant to be and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by 3Commas and any of the parties acting on behalf of 3Commas, including its employees, contractors, ambassadors, etc.
AO/AC Trading Zones Strategy [Skyrexio] Overview
AO/AC Trading Zones Strategy leverages the combination of Awesome Oscillator (AO), Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator (AC), Williams Fractals, Williams Alligator and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Combination of AO and AC is used for creating so-called trading zones to create the signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over. In some special cases strategy uses AO and AC combination to trail profit (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Both AC and AO shall print two consecutive increasing values. At the price candle close which corresponds to this condition algorithm opens the first long trade with 10% of capital.
4. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
5. If AO and AC both continue printing the rising values strategy opens the long trade on each candle close with 10% of capital while number of opened trades reaches 5.
6. If AO and AC both has printed 5 rising values in a row algorithm close all trades if candle's low below the low of the 5-th candle with rising AO and AC values in a row.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting:
EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation).
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. We'll begin with the simplest: the EMA.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that assigns greater weight to recent price data, making it more responsive to current market changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This tool is widely used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. The EMA is calculated as follows:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy, the EMA acts as a long-term trend filter. For instance, long trades are considered only when the price closes above the EMA (default: 100-period). This increases the likelihood of entering trades aligned with the prevailing trend.
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
In this strategy if the most recent up fractal breakout occurs above the Alligator's teeth and follows the last down fractal breakout below the teeth, the algorithm identifies an uptrend. Long trades can be opened during this phase if a signal aligns. If the price breaks a down fractal below the teeth line during an uptrend, the strategy assumes the uptrend has ended and closes all open long trades.
By combining the EMA as a long-term trend filter with the Alligator and fractals as short-term filters, this approach increases the likelihood of opening profitable trades while staying aligned with market dynamics.
Now let's talk about the trading zones concept and its signals. To understand this we need to briefly introduce what is AO and AC. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), developed by Bill Williams, is a momentum indicator designed to measure market momentum by contrasting recent price movements with a longer-term historical perspective. It helps traders detect potential trend reversals and assess the strength of ongoing trends.
The formula for AO is as follows:
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
The Acceleration/Deceleration (AC) Indicator, introduced by Bill Williams, measures the rate of change in market momentum. It highlights shifts in the driving force of price movements and helps traders spot early signs of trend changes. The AC Indicator is particularly useful for identifying whether the current momentum is accelerating or decelerating, which can indicate potential reversals or continuations. For AC calculation we shall use the AO calculated above is the following formula:
AC = AO − SMA5(AO) , where SMA5(AO)is the 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Awesome Oscillator
When the AC is above the zero line and rising, it suggests accelerating upward momentum.
When the AC is below the zero line and falling, it indicates accelerating downward momentum.
When the AC is below zero line and rising it suggests the decelerating the downtrend momentum. When AC is above the zero line and falling, it suggests the decelerating the uptrend momentum.
Now let's discuss the trading zones concept and how it can create the signal. Zones are created by the combination of AO and AC. We can divide three zone types:
Greed zone: when the AO and AC both are rising
Red zone: when the AO and AC both are decreasing
Gray zone: when one of AO or AC is rising, the other is falling
Gray zone is considered as uncertainty. AC and AO are moving in the opposite direction. Strategy skip such price action to decrease the chance to stuck in the losing trade during potential sideways. Red zone is also not interesting for the algorithm because both indicators consider the trend as bearish, but strategy opens only long trades. It is waiting for the green zone to increase the chance to open trade in the direction of the potential uptrend. When we have 2 candles in a row in the green zone script executes a long trade with 10% of capital.
Two green zone candles in a row is considered by algorithm as a bullish trend, but now so strong, that's the reason why trade is going to be closed when the combination of Alligator and Fractals will consider the the trend change from bullish to bearish. If id did not happens, algorithm starts to count the green zone candles in a row. When we have 5 in a row script change the trade closing condition. Such situation is considered is a high probability strong bull market and all trades will be closed if candle's low will be lower than fifth green zone candle's low. This is used to increase probability to secure the profit. If long trades are initiated, the strategy continues utilizing subsequent signals until the total number of trades reaches a maximum of 5. Each trade uses 10% of capital.
Why we use trading zones signals? If currently strategy algorithm considers the high probability of the short-term uptrend with the Alligator and Fractals combination pointed out above and the long-term trend is also suggested by the EMA filter as bullish. Rising AC and AO values in the direction of the most likely main trend signaling that we have the high probability of the fastest bullish phase on the market. The main idea is to take part in such rapid moves and add trades if this move continues its acceleration according to indicators.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.12.31. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -9.49%
Maximum Single Profit: +24.33%
Net Profit: +4374.70 USDT (+43.75%)
Total Trades: 278 (39.57% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.203
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 668.16 USDT (-5.43%)
Average Profit per Trade: 15.74 USDT (+1.37%)
Average Trade Duration: 60 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
IPO Date ScreenerThis script, the IPO Date Screener, allows traders to visually identify stocks that are relatively new, based on the number of bars (days) since their IPO. The user can set a custom threshold for the number of days (bars) after the IPO, and the script will highlight new stocks that fall below that threshold.
Key Features:
Customizable IPO Days Threshold: Set the threshold for considering a stock as "new." Since Pine screener limits number bars to 500, it will work for stocks having trading days below 500 since IPO which almost 2 years.
Column Days since IPO: Sort this column from low to high to see newest to oldest STOCK with 500 days of trading.
Since a watchlist is limited to 1000 stocks, use this pines script to screen stocks within the watch list having trading days below 500 or user can select lower number of days from settings.
This is not helpful to add on chart, this is to use on pine screener as utility.
Adaptive Supply and Demand [EdgeTerminal]Adaptive Supply and Demand is a dynamic supply and demand indicator with a few unique twists. It considers volume pressure, volatility-based adjustments and multi-time frame momentum for confidence scoring (multi-step confirmation) to generate dynamic lines that adjust based on the market and also to generate dynamic support/resistance levels for the supply and demand lines.
The dynamic support and resistance lines shown gives you a better situational awareness of the current state of the market and add more context to why the market is moving into a certain direction.
> Trading Scenarios
When the confidence score is over 80%, strong volume pressure in trend direction (up or down), volatility is low and momentum is aligned across timeframes, there is an indication of a strong upward or downward trend.
When the supply and demand line crossover, the confidence score is over 75% and the volume pressure is shifting, this can be an indicator of trend reversal. Use tight initial stops, scale into position as trend develops, monitor the volume pressure for continuation and wait for confidence confirmation.
When the confiance score is below 60%, the volume pressure is choppy, volatility is high, you want to avoid trading or reduce position size, wait for confidence improvements, use support and resistance for entries/exits and use tighter stops due to market conditions. This is an indication of a ranging market.
Another scenario is when there is a sudden volume pressure increase, and a raising confidence score, the volatility is expanding and the bar momentum is aligning the volatility direction. This can indicate a breakout scenario.
> How it Works
1. Volume Pressure Analysis
Volume Pressure Analysis is a key component that measures the true buying and selling force in the market. Here's a detailed breakdown. The idea is to standardize volume to prevent large spikes from skewing results.
The indicator employs an adaptive volume normalization technique to detect genuine buying and selling pressure.
It takes current volume and divides it by average volume.
If normVol > 1: Current volume is above average
If normVol < 1: Current volume is below average
An example if this would be If current volume is 1500 and average is 1000, normVol = 1.5 (50% above average)
Another component of the volume pressure analysis is the Price Change Calculation sub-module. The purpose of this is to measure price movement relative to recent average.
It works by subtracting the average price from the current price. If the value is positive, price is average and if negative, price is below average.
Finally, the volume pressure is calculated to combine volume and price for true pressure reading.
2. Savitzky-Golay Filtering
SG filtering implements advanced signal smoothing while preserving important trend features. It uses weighted moving average approximation, preserves higher moments of data and reduces noise while maintaining signal integrity.
This results in smoother signal lines, reduced false crossovers and better trend identification. Traditional moving averages tend to lag and smooth out important features. Additionally, simple moving averages can miss critical turning points and regular smoothing can delay signal generation.
SG filtering preserves higher moments such as peaks, valleys and trends, reduces noise while maintaining signal sharpness.
It works by creating a symmetric weighting scheme. This way center points get the highest weights while edge points get the lowest weight.
3. Parkinson's Volatility
Parkinson's Volatility is an advanced volatility measurement formula using high-low range data. It uses high-low range for volatility calculation, incorporates logarithmic returns and annualized the volatility measure.
This results in more accurate volatility measurement, better risk assessment and dynamic signal sensitivity.
4. Multi-timeframe Momentum
This combines signals from each module for each timeframe to calculate momentum across three timeframes. It also applies weighted importance to each timeframe and generates a composite momentum signal.
This results in a more comprehensive trend analysis, reduced timeframe bias and better trend confirmation.
> Indicator Settings
Short-term Period:
Lower values makes it more sensitive, meaning it will generate more signals. Higher values makes it less sensitive, resulting in fewer signals. We recommend a 5 to 15 range for day trading, and 10 to 20 for swing trading
Medium-term Period:
Lower values result in faster trend confirmation and higher values show slower and more reliable confirmation. We recommend a range of 15-25 for day trading and 20-30 for swing trading.
Long-term Period:
Lower values makes it more responsive to trend changes and higher values are better for major trend identification. We recommend a range of 40-60 for day trading and 50-100 for swing trading.
Volume Analysis Window:
Lower values result in more sensitivity to volume changes and higher values result in smoother volume analysis. The optimal range is 15-25 for most trading styles.
Confidence Threshold:
Lower values generate more signals but quality decreases. Higher values generate fewer signals but accuracy increases.The optimal range is 0.65-0.8 for most trading conditions.
Reversal Probability Zone & Levels [LuxAlgo]The Reversal Probability Zone & Levels tool allows traders to identify a zone starting from the last detected reversal to highlight the probability of where the next reversal would be from a price and time perspective.
Price and time levels within the zone are displayed for up to 4 percentiles defined by the user.
🔶 USAGE
By default, the tool displays a zone with the 25th, 50th, 75th and 90th percentiles on both the price and time axis, indicating where, when and how many of the past reversals have occurred.
Traders can select the length for swing detection and the maximum number of reversals for probability calculations. The tool considers both bullish and bearish reversals separately, which means that if the last reversal was a swing high, the zone would show the probabilities for the last defined Maximum reversals
The Maximum reversals value has a direct impact on the probabilities, the more data traders use the more significant the result, probabilities over 10 occurrences are far weak compared to probabilities over 1000 occurrences.
🔹 Percentiles
Traders can fine-tune the percentile parameters in the settings panel.
A given percentile means that the number of occurrences in the data set is less than or equal to the percentile.
In English, this means
Percentile 20th: 20% of the occurrences are less than or equal to this value, so 80% of the occurrences are greater than this value.
Percentile 50th: 50% of the occurrences are below and 50% are above this value.
Percentile 80th: 80% of occurrences are lower than or equal to this value, so 20% of occurrences are greater than this value.
🔹 Normalize data
The Normalize Data feature allows traders to make an apples to apples comparison when we have a lot of historical data on high timeframe charts, using returns between swings instead of raw price.
🔹 Display Style
By default, the tool has the No overlapping feature enabled to display a clean chart, traders can turn it off, but this can fill the chart with too much information and barely see the price.
Traders can enable/disable settings to show only the last zone and the swing markers on the chart.
🔶 SETTINGS
Swing Length: The maximum length in bars used to identify a swing
Maximum Reversals: Maximum number of reversals included in calculations
Normalize Data: Use returns between swings instead of raw price
Percentiles: Enable/disable each of the four percentiles and select the percentile number, line style, colors, and size
🔹 Style
No Overlapping Zones: Enable or disable the No overlap between zones feature
Show Only Last Zone: Enable/disable display of last zone only
Show Marks: Enable/disable reversal markers
Markov + Monte Carlo Simulation with EVMarkov Monte Carlo Projection (MMCP) – A Probabilistic Approach to Price Forecasting
Introduction: A New Approach to Price Projection
The Markov Monte Carlo Projection (MMCP) is an advanced stochastic forecasting tool that models potential future price paths using a combination of Markov Chain transition probabilities and Monte Carlo simulations. Unlike traditional technical indicators that rely on fixed formulas, MMCP employs probability distributions and simulated price movement paths to estimate future price behavior dynamically.
This indicator is designed to adapt to changing market conditions and provides traders with a probabilistic framework rather than a fixed forecast. By incorporating volatility modeling, MMCP enables traders to size projections proportionally to recent price action, making it an adaptive and flexible forecasting tool.
Mathematical Foundations
Markov Chains: Modeling Probability of Price Movements
A Markov Chain is a stochastic process where the probability of transitioning to the next state depends only on the current state and not on past states (i.e., it is memoryless).
For price movement, MMCP analyzes the past N bars (set by the lookback window) to determine the transition probabilities of price moving up, down, or remaining the same based on past behavior:
Pup=Number of Up MovesTotal Moves
Pup=Total MovesNumber of Up Moves
Pdown=Number of Down MovesTotal Moves
Pdown=Total MovesNumber of Down Moves
Psame=1−(Pup+Pdown)
Psame=1−(Pup+Pdown)
These probabilities guide how future price movements are simulated, ensuring that projections reflect historical price behavior tendencies.
Monte Carlo Simulations: Generating Possible Futures
Monte Carlo simulations involve running many random trials to estimate possible outcomes. Each trial simulates a future price path by:
Randomly selecting a direction based on the Markov probabilities Pup,Pdown,PsamePup,Pdown,Psame.
Determining the magnitude of the price movement using a normally distributed volatility model.
Iterating this process across multiple forecast bars to simulate a range of potential price paths.
This process does not predict a single outcome, but rather generates a probability-weighted range of future price possibilities.
Volatility Modeling: Scaling Movements Proportionally
Why We Use Standard Deviation (σσ)
Price movement is inherently volatile, and the magnitude of price shifts must be scaled relative to recent volatility. MMCP calculates rolling price returns and then derives the standard deviation of those returns:
σ=stdev(price returns,lookback)
σ=stdev(price returns,lookback)
The Volatility Multiplier allows users to adjust the impact of this volatility on projected movements. This makes the indicator adaptive to different asset price ranges.
Key User Adjustments
1. Volatility Multiplier – Tuning Projections for Different Assets
The scale of the Volatility Multiplier must be tuned for each asset because it is relative to the magnitude of price action. For example:
Low-priced assets (e.g., $2.50 stocks) → A multiplier of 0.1 works best.
Mid-priced assets (e.g., $250 stocks) → A multiplier of 3 works best.
High-priced assets (e.g., Bitcoin) → A multiplier of 1000 works best.
🔹 If projections seem too extreme, decrease the multiplier.
🔹 If projections seem too flat, increase the multiplier.
The Volatility Multiplier can also be fine-tuned to make the projected signal proportionate to the immediately preceding price action.
2. Expected Value (EV) Path – Analyzing Aggregate Future Probabilities
The EV Line is a computed average of all simulated paths, giving traders an expected mean trajectory.
If you find that the EV Line is not visible, try increasing the volatility multiplier to make it more pronounced.
3. Projection Inversion – Enhancing Analysis with Paired Indicators
A unique feature of MMCP is the projection inversion toggle, designed to allow traders to run multiple instances of the indicator in tandem.
When one instance is set to normal projection and another to inverted projection, traders can pair them together using identical settings (except inversion). This setup allows for a mirrored probability perspective and enhances visualizing volatility dynamics.
Additionally, traders can use multiple sets of paired indicators, each with a different lookback window, to build a multi-layered, probability-driven market visualization. This dynamic approach provides an evolving structure of probable price movement in different time frames, offering deeper insights into potential market conditions.
How MMCP Works in Real-Time
Each new bar triggers a fresh Monte Carlo simulation, meaning that projections organically evolve with the market. This ensures that MMCP is always responding to current conditions, rather than applying static assumptions.
How to Use MMCP in Trading
✔ Identifying Potential Reversal & Continuation Zones
If most Monte Carlo paths project upward, bullish momentum is likely.
If most Monte Carlo paths project downward, bearish momentum is likely.
The Expected Value (EV) Line can help confirm the most probable trajectory.
✔ Analyzing Market Sentiment in Real Time
Use multiple instances of MMCP with different lookback windows to capture short-term vs. long-term sentiment.
Enable projection inversion to analyze potential mirrored moves.
✔ Fine-Tuning MMCP for Your Strategy
Adjust the Volatility Multiplier to match the price scale of your asset.
Increase the number of simulations to improve statistical robustness.
Use shorter lookback windows for more responsive predictions, or longer windows for more stable forecasts.
Why MMCP is a Game-Changer
✅ Dynamic & Probabilistic – Unlike fixed indicators, MMCP adapts in real-time.
✅ Fully Stochastic – MMCP embraces uncertainty using Markov models & Monte Carlo simulations.
✅ Customizable for Any Asset – Adjust the Volatility Multiplier for small or large price movements.
✅ Live Updates – The projection organically evolves with every new price bar.
✅ Multi-Perspective Analysis – Traders can run paired normal and inverted projections for deeper insights.
By tuning Volatility Multiplier, Lookback Window, and Projection Inversion, traders can customize MMCP to fit their strategy.
Final Thoughts
The Markov Monte Carlo Projection (MMCP) is not about making absolute predictions—it is about understanding probability distributions in price action.
By leveraging Monte Carlo simulations, Markov transition probabilities, and dynamic volatility modeling, MMCP gives traders a powerful probability-based edge in forecasting potential price movement.
Price in BTC (x1000)I'm not a coder. I just knocked this together with AI
Shows how the current asset performed relative to BTC (COINBASE:BTCUSD) on the current timeframe
Works with assets priced in USD, USDT and USDC but you can easily add more
Had to multiply the price by 1000 to mitigate leading zeros and improve compatibility with low-denomination assets (e.g. PEPE)
MAs and crossovers included
Feel free to use it however you want
Price Projection by Linear RegressionPurpose:
This is a TradingView Pine Script indicator that performs a linear regression on historical price data to project potential future price levels. It's designed to help traders visualize long-term price trends and potential future price targets.
Key Components:
User Inputs:
Historical Data Points (default 1000 bars) - The amount of historical data used to calculate the trend
Years to Project (default 10 years) - How far into the future to project the price
Technical Implementation:
Uses linear regression (ta.linreg) to calculate the trend slope
Converts years to trading days using 252 trading days per year
Limits visible projection to 500 bars due to TradingView's drawing limitations
Projects prices using the formula: current_price + (slope × number_of_bars)
Visual Elements:
Blue line showing actual historical prices
Red projection line showing the expected price path
Label showing the projected price at the visible end of the line
Information table in the top-right corner showing:
Current price
Final projected price after the full time period
Limitations:
Can only display projections up to 500 bars into the future (about 2 years) due to TradingView limitations
The full projection value is still calculated and shown in the table
Past performance doesn't guarantee future results - this is a mathematical projection based on historical trends
Usage:
Traders can use this to:
Visualize potential long-term price trends
Set long-term price targets
Understand the historical trend's trajectory
Compare current prices with projected future values
JJ Psychological Levels (125 Increments)Psychological Levels Indicator
Description:
The Psychological Levels Indicator is a versatile tool designed for traders to identify key price levels that often act as support or resistance zones in the market. These levels are plotted at regular intervals, customizable by the user, starting from a base price level. This is particularly useful for spotting psychological price points that traders and investors frequently monitor.
Key Features:
1.Dynamic Psychological Levels:
- The script calculates and displays horizontal lines at price levels separated by customizable increments (default: 125 points).
- These levels are dynamically adjusted to the visible range of the chart.
2. Customizable Inputs:
- Starting Level: Set the base level from which increments are calculated (e.g., 0 or 1000).
- Step Size: Define the interval between levels (e.g., 125 for indices like Bank NIFTY).
3. Visual Representation:
- Horizontal lines are drawn at each psychological level, helping traders quickly identify key zones.
- Labels are placed next to each level, displaying the corresponding price for easy reference.
4. Application Across Instruments:
- This indicator works seamlessly with various asset classes, including stocks, indices, forex, and cryptocurrencies.
How to Use:
1.Identify Key Price Zones:
- Use the plotted psychological levels to spot areas where price action is likely to react.
- Levels such as 1125, 1250, and 1375 (for a step size of 125) are visually highlighted.
2. Plan Trades Around Key Levels:
- These levels can act as support/resistance or breakout points, providing opportunities for entry, exit, and stop-loss placement.
3. Customizable Settings:
- Adjust the starting level and step size to tailor the indicator to your trading instrument or strategy.
Why Psychological Levels Matter:
Psychological levels are widely followed by traders and often coincide with key market turning points due to their significance in human behavior and market psychology. They are frequently used by institutional traders, making them valuable reference points for intraday and swing trading.
Custom Settings:
- **Starting Level:** Default: `0`
- **Step Size:** Default: `125`
Disclaimer:
This indicator is a technical analysis tool and is not intended to provide financial advice. Always combine it with other indicators and perform your due diligence before making trading decisions.
Bullish Reversal Bar Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
Bullish Reversal Bar Strategy leverages the combination of candlestick pattern Bullish Reversal Bar (description in Methodology and Justification of Methodology), Williams Alligator indicator and Williams Fractals to create the high probability setups. Candlestick pattern is used for the entering into trade, while the combination of Williams Alligator and Fractals is used for the trend approximation as close condition. Strategy uses only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator or the candlestick pattern invalidation to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Trend Trade Filter: strategy uses Alligator and Fractal combination as high probability trend filter.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1.Current candle's high shall be below the Williams Alligator's lines (Jaw, Lips, Teeth)(all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
2.Price shall create the candlestick pattern "Bullish Reversal Bar". Optionally if MFI and AO filters are enabled current candle shall have the decreasing AO and at least one of three recent bars shall have the squat state on the MFI (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3.If price breaks through the high of the candle marked as the "Bullish Reversal Bar" the long trade is open at the price one tick above the candle's high
4.Initial stop loss is placed at the Bullish Reversal Bar's candle's low
5.If price hit the Bullish Reversal Bar's low before hitting the entry price potential trade is cancelled
6.If trade is active and initial stop loss has not been hit, trade is closed when the combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend change from upward to downward.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting:
Enable MFI (if true trades are filtered using Market Facilitation Index (MFI) condition all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph), by default = false)
Enable AO (if true trades are filtered using Awesome Oscillator (AO) condition all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph), by default = false)
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. The first and key concept is the Bullish Reversal Bar candlestick pattern. This is just the single bar pattern. The rules are simple:
Candle shall be closed in it's upper half
High of this candle shall be below all three Alligator's lines (Jaw, Lips, Teeth)
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
How we can use all these indicators in this strategy? This strategy is a counter trend one. Candle's high shall be below all Alligator's lines. During this market stage the bullish reversal bar candlestick pattern shall be printed. This bar during the downtrend is a high probability setup for the potential reversal to the upside: bulls were able to close the price in the upper half of a candle. The breaking of its high is a high probability signal that trend change is confirmed and script opens long trade. If market continues going down and break down the bullish reversal bar's low potential trend change has been invalidated and strategy close long trade.
If market really reversed and started moving to the upside strategy waits for the trend change form the downtrend to the uptrend according to approximation of Alligator and Fractals combination. If this change happens strategy close the trade. This approach helps to stay in the long trade while the uptrend continuation is likely and close it if there is a high probability of the uptrend finish.
Optionally users can enable MFI and AO filters. First of all, let's briefly explain what are these two indicators. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), created by Bill Williams, is a momentum-based indicator that evaluates market momentum by comparing recent price activity to a broader historical context. It assists traders in identifying potential trend reversals and gauging trend strength.
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
This indicator is filtering signals in the following way: if current AO bar is decreasing this candle can be interpreted as a bullish reversal bar. This logic is applicable because initially this strategy is a trend reversal, it is searching for the high probability setup against the current trend. Decreasing AO is the additional high probability filter of a downtrend.
Let's briefly look what is MFI. The Market Facilitation Index (MFI) is a technical indicator that measures the price movement per unit of volume, helping traders gauge the efficiency of price movement in relation to trading volume. Here's how you can calculate it:
MFI = (High−Low)/Volume
MFI can be used in combination with volume, so we can divide 4 states. Bill Williams introduced these to help traders interpret the interaction between volume and price movement. Here’s a quick summary:
Green Window (Increased MFI & Increased Volume): Indicates strong momentum with both price and volume increasing. Often a sign of trend continuation, as both buying and selling interest are rising.
Fake Window (Increased MFI & Decreased Volume): Shows that price is moving but with lower volume, suggesting weak support for the trend. This can signal a potential end of the current trend.
Squat Window (Decreased MFI & Increased Volume): Shows high volume but little price movement, indicating a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. This often precedes a breakout as the pressure builds.
Fade Window (Decreased MFI & Decreased Volume): Indicates a lack of interest from both buyers and sellers, leading to lower momentum. This typically happens in range-bound markets and may signal consolidation before a new move.
For our purposes we are interested in squat bars. This is the sign that volume cannot move the price easily. This type of bar increases the probability of trend reversal. In this indicator we added to enable the MFI filter of reversal bars. If potential reversal bar or two preceding bars have squat state this bar can be interpret as a reversal one.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.12.31. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 50%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.29%
Maximum Single Profit: +29.99%
Net Profit: +5472.66 USDT (+54.73%)
Total Trades: 103 (33.98% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.634
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 1231.15 USDT (-8.32%)
Average Profit per Trade: 53.13 USDT (+0.94%)
Average Trade Duration: 76 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h ETH/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
Support/Resistance
Custom Moving Average Indicator with MACD, RSI, and Support/Resistance
This indicator is designed to help traders make informed trading decisions by integrating several technical indicators, including moving averages, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Key Features:
Moving Averages:
This indicator uses simple moving averages (SMAs) for several periods (4, 18, 66, 89, 632, 1000, 1500, 2000, and 3000 bars). This helps to identify the overall trend of the price and potential support and resistance levels.
The color of each moving average line is dynamically changed based on the closing price's position relative to the average; it turns red if the price is above the average and green if the price is below.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
The RSI is calculated for a 14-bar period, which is a measure of overbought or oversold conditions.
An RSI value above 70 indicates an overbought condition, while a value below 30 indicates an oversold condition.
MACD:
The MACD is calculated using a fast length of 12, a slow length of 26, and a signal length of 9. Crossovers between the MACD line and the signal line indicate momentum shifts.
A crossover of the MACD line above the signal line suggests a potential buy signal, while a crossover below indicates a potential sell signal.
Buy and Sell Signals:
Buy Signal: Triggered when the MACD line crosses above the signal line, the RSI is below 30, the MACD is above 0, and there is high volume.
Sell Signal: Triggered when the MACD line crosses below the signal line, the RSI is above 70, the MACD is below 0, and there is high volume.
Alerts:
The indicator includes alerts that are triggered when buy and sell signals occur, helping traders respond quickly to market opportunities.
How to Trade Using the Indicator (continued):
Trading on Buy Signals:
Look for buy signals when the MACD line crosses above the signal line. Ensure that the RSI is below 30, indicating there is a potential for price recovery from an oversold condition.
Confirm that the volume is above the average, which indicates strong market participation and adds validity to the trade.
Trading on Sell Signals:
Search for sell signals when the MACD line crosses below the signal line. Check that the RSI is above 70 to confirm an overbought condition, implying the price may decline.
As with buy signals, ensure that volume is high to validate the strength of the sell signal.
Risk Management:
Use stop-loss orders to protect your capital. Establish an initial loss threshold based on your risk management strategy.
Continuously monitor the market and new signals and adjust your approach according to your market analysis.
Conclusion:
This combined indicator helps traders make informed decisions by relying on a set of technical tools. To achieve the best results, ensure you integrate the analysis from these indicators with your trading strategies and other techniques.
Feel free to use this explanation as an introduction or guide to inform traders on how to effectively use the indicator. If you have any more questions or need further details, don't hesitate to ask!
MCP Stop Strategy [JARUTIR]The MCP Stop Strategy is a trading tool designed to help traders lock in profits and manage risks. It is based on the concept of setting a MCP (Mental Capacity Preservation) Stop explained in the book "The Lifecycle Trade". I call it Maximum Controllable Profit Stop which helps protect profits once a stock or asset reaches a new peak. The MCP Stop is dynamically calculated based on the Buy Price and the All Time High Price (Peak Price), and is adjusted using a customizable percentage (MCP%) to retain a portion of the gains from the peak price during a drawdown.
Key Features :
MCP Stop Calculation: The script calculates the MCP Stop as:
MCP Stop = Buy Price + (Peak Price - Buy Price) x MCP%
This helps you protect a portion of your gains (defined by MCP%) as the price moves in your favor.
Flexible Buy Date Option:
You can either manually input a Buy Date or let the script automatically detect the Buy Date when the price first meets or exceeds the user-defined Buy Price.
After the Buy Date, the MCP Stop, Buy Price, and Peak Price are plotted on the chart for easy visualization.
Customizable Parameters:
Buy Price: The price at which the asset was bought.
MCP Percentage: The percentage of profit from the peak that you want to retain in case of a drawdown.
Lookback Length: The number of bars to consider when calculating the Peak Price (All Time High).
How to Use the Script :
Set the Buy Price: Enter the price at which you bought the asset.
Set the MCP%: Enter the percentage of profits you want to protect from the peak. For example, if you want to retain 10% of the gain from the peak, set this to 10.
Choose the Buy Date Method:
Automated Buy Date: The script will automatically detect the first bar where the price meets or exceeds the Buy Price.
Manual Buy Date: If you prefer to specify a particular Buy Date, input the desired date and time.
View the MCP Stop and Peak Price: After the Buy Date (either manually or automatically detected), the MCP Stop, Buy Price, and Peak Price will be plotted on the chart.
Monitor the MCP Stop Trigger: The script will alert you when the price falls below the MCP Stop, indicating a potential exit point to protect profits.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs):
1. What is the MCP Stop?
The MCP Stop is a dynamic stop-loss level that adjusts based on your Buy Price and the All Time High Price (Peak Price). It protects a portion of your gains from the peak, which is defined by the MCP%. For example, if you set the MCP% to 10%, the script will retain 10% of the gains from the peak and use this as a stop-loss.
2. How does the Buy Date work?
The Buy Date is the date when you entered the position:
If you choose Automated Buy Date, the script will automatically set the Buy Date to the first bar when the price meets or exceeds the Buy Price.
If you choose Manual Buy Date, you can specify a particular date and time when you want the strategy to start calculating and plotting the MCP Stop and Peak Price.
3. What happens if the price falls below the MCP Stop?
If the price drops below the MCP Stop, the script will mark this as a potential exit point, helping you protect profits. A visual alert (MCP STOP) will be shown on the chart when the price reaches or falls below the MCP Stop.
4. Can I adjust the Lookback Length for Peak Price?
Yes, you can customize the Lookback Length (the number of bars the script considers when calculating the Peak Price) by entering a value in the input field. By default, it is set to 1000 bars, which represents a few months of historical data, but you can increase or decrease this based on your trading strategy.
5. Why would I want to use the automated Buy Date?
The Automated Buy Date is useful for traders who want the script to automatically track the Buy Date when the price first reaches or exceeds the Buy Price. This is helpful when you're unsure of the exact entry date but know the price at which you bought the asset. It simplifies the process by eliminating the need for manual input.
6. Can I use this strategy for long and short positions?
The current version of this script is designed for long positions, where you buy an asset and want to protect your profits as the price increases. If you're interested in applying it to short positions, you would need to adjust the logic accordingly (e.g., tracking the lowest price instead of the peak price).
7. Can I modify the script to fit my trading strategy?
Yes, this script is highly customizable. You can adjust parameters such as Buy Price, MCP%, and Lookback Length to suit your specific trading style. You can also tweak the visual appearance of the plotted lines and alerts.
Disclaimer:
This strategy is intended for educational purposes only. It should not be considered financial advice. Always perform your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions. Trading involves significant risk, and you should never trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
MultiLayer Acceleration/Deceleration Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
MultiLayer Acceleration/Deceleration Strategy leverages the combination of Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator(AC), Williams Alligator, Williams Fractals and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator is used for creating signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Acceleration/Deceleration shall create one of two types of long signals (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph). Buy stop order is placed one tick above the candle's high of last created long signal.
4. If price reaches the order price, long position is opened with 10% of capital.
5. If currently we have opened position and price creates and hit the order price of another one long signal, another one long position will be added to the previous with another one 10% of capital. Strategy allows to open up to 5 long trades simultaneously.
6. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting: EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation). User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. We'll begin with the simplest: the EMA.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that assigns greater weight to recent price data, making it more responsive to current market changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This tool is widely used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. The EMA is calculated as follows:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy, the EMA acts as a long-term trend filter. For instance, long trades are considered only when the price closes above the EMA (default: 100-period). This increases the likelihood of entering trades aligned with the prevailing trend.
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
In this strategy if the most recent up fractal breakout occurs above the Alligator's teeth and follows the last down fractal breakout below the teeth, the algorithm identifies an uptrend. Long trades can be opened during this phase if a signal aligns. If the price breaks a down fractal below the teeth line during an uptrend, the strategy assumes the uptrend has ended and closes all open long trades.
By combining the EMA as a long-term trend filter with the Alligator and fractals as short-term filters, this approach increases the likelihood of opening profitable trades while staying aligned with market dynamics.
Now let's talk about Acceleration/Deceleration signals. AC indicator is calculated using the Awesome Oscillator, so let's first of all briefly explain what is Awesome Oscillator and how it can be calculated. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), developed by Bill Williams, is a momentum indicator designed to measure market momentum by contrasting recent price movements with a longer-term historical perspective. It helps traders detect potential trend reversals and assess the strength of ongoing trends.
The formula for AO is as follows:
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
The Acceleration/Deceleration (AC) Indicator, introduced by Bill Williams, measures the rate of change in market momentum. It highlights shifts in the driving force of price movements and helps traders spot early signs of trend changes. The AC Indicator is particularly useful for identifying whether the current momentum is accelerating or decelerating, which can indicate potential reversals or continuations. For AC calculation we shall use the AO calculated above is the following formula:
AC = AO − SMA5(AO), where SMA5(AO)is the 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Awesome Oscillator
When the AC is above the zero line and rising, it suggests accelerating upward momentum.
When the AC is below the zero line and falling, it indicates accelerating downward momentum.
When the AC is below zero line and rising it suggests the decelerating the downtrend momentum. When AC is above the zero line and falling, it suggests the decelerating the uptrend momentum.
Now we can explain which AC signal types are used in this strategy. The first type of long signal is when AC value is below zero line. In this cases we need to see three rising bars on the histogram in a row after the falling one. The second type of signals occurs above the zero line. There we need only two rising AC bars in a row after the falling one to create the signal. The signal bar is the last green bar in this sequence. The strategy places the buy stop order one tick above the candle's high, which corresponds to the signal bar on AC indicator.
After that we can have the following scenarios:
Price hit the order on the next candle in this case strategy opened long with this price.
Price doesn't hit the order price, the next candle set lower high. If current AC bar is increasing buy stop order changes by the script to the high of this new bar plus one tick. This procedure repeats until price finally hit buy order or current AC bar become decreasing. In the second case buy order cancelled and strategy wait for the next AC signal.
If long trades are initiated, the strategy continues utilizing subsequent signals until the total number of trades reaches a maximum of 5. All open trades are closed when the trend shifts to a downtrend, as determined by the combination of the Alligator and Fractals described earlier.
Why we use AC signals? If currently strategy algorithm considers the high probability of the short-term uptrend with the Alligator and Fractals combination pointed out above and the long-term trend is also suggested by the EMA filter as bullish. Rising AC bars after period of falling AC bars indicates the high probability of local pull back end and there is a high chance to open long trade in the direction of the most likely main uptrend. The numbers of rising bars are different for the different AC values (below or above zero line). This is needed because if AC below zero line the local downtrend is likely to be stronger and needs more rising bars to confirm that it has been changed than if AC is above zero.
Why strategy use only 10% per signal? Sometimes we can see the false signals which appears on sideways. Not risking that much script use only 10% per signal. If the first long trade has been open and price continue going up and our trend approximation by Alligator and Fractals is uptrend, strategy add another one 10% of capital to every next AC signal while number of active trades no more than 5. This capital allocation allows to take part in long trades when current uptrend is likely to be strong and use only 10% of capital when there is a high probability of sideways.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.11.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.15%
Maximum Single Profit: +24.57%
Net Profit: +2108.85 USDT (+21.09%)
Total Trades: 111 (36.94% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.391
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 367.61 USDT (-2.97%)
Average Profit per Trade: 19.00 USDT (+1.78%)
Average Trade Duration: 75 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 3h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
MultiLayer Awesome Oscillator Saucer Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
MultiLayer Awesome Oscillator Saucer Strategy leverages the combination of Awesome Oscillator (AO), Williams Alligator, Williams Fractals and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Awesome Oscillator is used for creating signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Awesome Oscillator shall create the "Saucer" long signal (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph). Buy stop order is placed one tick above the candle's high of last created "Saucer signal".
4. If price reaches the order price, long position is opened with 10% of capital.
5. If currently we have opened position and price creates and hit the order price of another one "Saucer" signal another one long position will be added to the previous with another one 10% of capital. Strategy allows to open up to 5 long trades simultaneously.
6. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting: EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation). User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's go through all concepts used in this strategy to understand how they works together. Let's start from the easies one, the EMA. Let's briefly explain what is EMA. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to current price changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). It is commonly used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. It can be calculated with the following steps:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy uses EMA an initial long term trend filter. It allows to open long trades only if price close above EMA (by default 50 period). It increases the probability of taking long trades only in the direction of the trend.
Let's go to the next, short-term trend filter which consists of Alligator and Fractals. Let's briefly explain what do these indicators means. The Williams Alligator, developed by Bill Williams, is a technical indicator designed to spot trends and potential market reversals. It uses three smoothed moving averages, referred to as the jaw, teeth, and lips:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When these lines diverge and are properly aligned, the "alligator" is considered "awake," signaling a strong trend. Conversely, when the lines overlap or intertwine, the "alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator assists traders in identifying when to act on or avoid trades.
The Williams Fractals, another tool introduced by Bill Williams, are used to pinpoint potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms when there are at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar displaying the highest high (for an up fractal) or the lowest low (for a down fractal), relative to the two bars on either side.
Key Points:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often combine fractals with other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, improving the accuracy of trading decisions.
How we use their combination in this strategy? Let’s consider an uptrend example. A breakout above an up fractal can be interpreted as a bullish signal, indicating a high likelihood that an uptrend is beginning. Here's the reasoning: an up fractal represents a potential shift in market behavior. When the fractal forms, it reflects a pullback caused by traders selling, creating a temporary high. However, if the price manages to return to that fractal’s high and break through it, it suggests the market has "changed its mind" and a bullish trend is likely emerging.
The moment of the breakout marks the potential transition to an uptrend. It’s crucial to note that this breakout must occur above the Alligator's teeth line. If it happens below, the breakout isn’t valid, and the downtrend may still persist. The same logic applies inversely for down fractals in a downtrend scenario.
So, if last up fractal breakout was higher, than Alligator's teeth and it happened after last down fractal breakdown below teeth, algorithm considered current trend as an uptrend. During this uptrend long trades can be opened if signal was flashed. If during the uptrend price breaks down the down fractal below teeth line, strategy considered that uptrend is finished with the high probability and strategy closes all current long trades. This combination is used as a short term trend filter increasing the probability of opening profitable long trades in addition to EMA filter, described above.
Now let's talk about Awesome Oscillator's "Sauser" signals. Briefly explain what is the Awesome Oscillator. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), created by Bill Williams, is a momentum-based indicator that evaluates market momentum by comparing recent price activity to a broader historical context. It assists traders in identifying potential trend reversals and gauging trend strength.
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
Now we know what is AO, but what is the "Saucer" signal? This concept was introduced by Bill Williams, let's briefly explain it and how it's used by this strategy. Initially, this type of signal is a combination of the following AO bars: we need 3 bars in a row, the first one shall be higher than the second, the third bar also shall be higher, than second. All three bars shall be above the zero line of AO. The price bar, which corresponds to third "saucer's" bar is our signal bar. Strategy places buy stop order one tick above the price bar which corresponds to signal bar.
After that we can have the following scenarios.
Price hit the order on the next candle in this case strategy opened long with this price.
Price doesn't hit the order price, the next candle set lower low. If current AO bar is increasing buy stop order changes by the script to the high of this new bar plus one tick. This procedure repeats until price finally hit buy order or current AO bar become decreasing. In the second case buy order cancelled and strategy wait for the next "Saucer" signal.
If long trades has been opened strategy use all the next signals until number of trades doesn't exceed 5. All trades are closed when the trend changes to downtrend according to combination of Alligator and Fractals described above.
Why we use "Saucer" signals? If AO above the zero line there is a high probability that price now is in uptrend if we take into account our two trend filters. When we see the decreasing bars on AO and it's above zero it's likely can be considered as a pullback on the uptrend. When we see the stop of AO decreasing and the first increasing bar has been printed there is a high probability that this local pull back is finished and strategy open long trade in the likely direction of a main trend.
Why strategy use only 10% per signal? Sometimes we can see the false signals which appears on sideways. Not risking that much script use only 10% per signal. If the first long trade has been open and price continue going up and our trend approximation by Alligator and Fractals is uptrend, strategy add another one 10% of capital to every next saucer signal while number of active trades no more than 5. This capital allocation allows to take part in long trades when current uptrend is likely to be strong and use only 10% of capital when there is a high probability of sideways.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.11.25. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.10%
Maximum Single Profit: +22.80%
Net Profit: +2838.58 USDT (+28.39%)
Total Trades: 107 (42.99% win rate)
Profit Factor: 3.364
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 373.43 USDT (-2.98%)
Average Profit per Trade: 26.53 USDT (+2.40%)
Average Trade Duration: 78 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 3h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Triple CCI Strategy MFI Confirmed [Skyrexio]Overview
Triple CCI Strategy MFI Confirmed leverages 3 different periods Commodity Channel Index (CCI) indicator in conjunction Money Flow Index (MFI) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability setups. Fast period CCI is used for having the high probability to enter in the direction of short term trend, middle and slow period CCI are used for confirmation, if market now likely in the mid and long-term uptrend. MFI is used to confirm trade with the money inflow/outflow with the high probability. EMA is used as an additional trend filter. Moreover, strategy uses exponential moving average (EMA) to trail the price when it reaches the specific level. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
Dynamic stop-loss system: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes average true range (ATR) multiplied by user given number subtracted from the position entry price as a dynamic stop loss level.
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Four layers trade filtering system: Strategy utilizes two different period CCI indicators, MFI and EMA indicators to confirm the signals produced by fast period CCI.
Trailing take profit level: After reaching the trailing profit activation level scrip activate the trailing of long trade using EMA. More information in methodology.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
Fast period CCI shall crossover the zero-line.
Slow and Middle period CCI shall be above zero-lines.
Price shall close above the EMA. Crossover is not obligatory
MFI shall be above 50
When long trade is executed, strategy set the stop-loss level at the price ATR multiplied by user-given value below the entry price. This level is recalculated on every next candle close, adjusting to the current market volatility.
At the same time strategy set up the trailing stop validation level. When the price crosses the level equals entry price plus ATR multiplied by user-given value script starts to trail the price with EMA. If price closes below EMA long trade is closed. When the trailing starts, script prints the label “Trailing Activated”.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup the following strategy settings:
ATR Stop Loss (by default = 1.75)
ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level (by default = 2.25)
CCI Fast Length (by default = 14, used for calculation short term period CCI)
CCI Middle Length (by default = 25, used for calculation short term period CCI)
CCI Slow Length (by default = 50, used for calculation long term period CCI)
MFI Length (by default = 14, used for calculation MFI
EMA Length (by default = 50, period of EMA, used for trend filtering EMA calculation)
Trailing EMA Length (by default = 20)
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Before understanding why this particular combination of indicator has been chosen let's briefly explain what is CCI, MFI and EMA.
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is a momentum-based technical indicator that measures the deviation of a security's price from its average price over a specific period. It helps traders identify overbought or oversold conditions and potential trend reversals.
The CCI formula is:
CCI = (Typical Price − SMA) / (0.015 × Mean Deviation)
Typical Price (TP): This is calculated as the average of the high, low, and closing prices for the period.
Simple Moving Average (SMA): This is the average of the Typical Prices over a specific number of periods.
Mean Deviation: This is the average of the absolute differences between the Typical Price and the SMA.
The result is a value that typically fluctuates between +100 and -100, though it is not bounded and can go higher or lower depending on the price movement.
The Money Flow Index (MFI) is a technical indicator that measures the strength of money flowing into and out of a security. It combines price and volume data to assess buying and selling pressure and is often used to identify overbought or oversold conditions. The formula for MFI involves several steps:
1. Calculate the Typical Price (TP):
TP = (high + low + close) / 3
2. Calculate the Raw Money Flow (RMF):
Raw Money Flow = TP × Volume
3. Determine Positive and Negative Money Flow:
If the current TP is greater than the previous TP, it's Positive Money Flow.
If the current TP is less than the previous TP, it's Negative Money Flow.
4. Calculate the Money Flow Ratio (MFR):
Money Flow Ratio = Sum of Positive Money Flow (over n periods) / Sum of Negative Money Flow (over n periods)
5. Calculate the Money Flow Index (MFI):
MFI = 100 − (100 / (1 + Money Flow Ratio))
MFI above 80 can be considered as overbought, below 20 - oversold.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that places greater weight and significance on the most recent data points. It is widely used in technical analysis to smooth price data and identify trends more quickly than the Simple Moving Average (SMA).
Formula:
1. Calculate the multiplier
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1) , Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
This strategy leverages Fast period CCI, which shall break the zero line to the upside to say that probability of short term trend change to the upside increased. This zero line crossover shall be confirmed by the Middle and Slow periods CCI Indicators. At the moment of breakout these two CCIs shall be above 0, indicating that there is a high probability that price is in middle and long term uptrend. This approach increases chances to have a long trade setup in the direction of mid-term and long-term trends when the short-term trend starts to reverse to the upside.
Additionally strategy uses MFI to have a greater probability that fast CCI breakout is confirmed by this indicator. We consider the values of MFI above 50 as a higher probability that trend change from downtrend to the uptrend is real. Script opens long trades only if MFI is above 50. As you already know from the MFI description, it incorporates volume in its calculation, therefore we have another one confirmation factor.
Finally, strategy uses EMA an additional trend filter. It allows to open long trades only if price close above EMA (by default 50 period). It increases the probability of taking long trades only in the direction of the trend.
ATR is used to adjust the strategy risk management to the current market volatility. If volatility is low, we don’t need the large stop loss to understand the there is a high probability that we made a mistake opening the trade. User can setup the settings ATR Stop Loss and ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level to realize his own risk to reward preferences, but the unique feature of a strategy is that after reaching trailing profit activation level strategy is trying to follow the trend until it is likely to be finished instead of using fixed risk management settings. It allows sometimes to be involved in the large movements. It’s also important to make a note, that script uses another one EMA (by default = 20 period) as a trailing profit level.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2022.04.01 - 2024.11.25. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 50%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -4.13%
Maximum Single Profit: +19.66%
Net Profit: +5421.21 USDT (+54.21%)
Total Trades: 108 (44.44% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.006
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 777.40 USDT (-7.77%)
Average Profit per Trade: 50.20 USDT (+0.85%)
Average Trade Duration: 44 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 2h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
