US Market Long Horizon Momentum Summary in one paragraph
US Market Long Horizon Momentum is a trend following strategy for US index ETFs and futures built around a single eighteen month time series momentum measure. It helps you stay long during persistent bull regimes and step aside or flip short when long term momentum turns negative.
Scope and intent
• Markets. Large cap US equity indices, liquid US index ETFs, index futures
• Timeframes. 4h/ Daily charts
• Default demo used in the publication. SPY on 4h timeframe chart
• Purpose. Provide a minimal long bias index timing model that can reduce deep drawdowns and capture major cycles without parameter mining
• Limits. This is a strategy. Orders are simulated on standard candles only
Originality and usefulness
• Unique concept or fusion. One unscaled multiple month log return of an external benchmark symbol drives all entries and exits, with optional volatility targeting as a single risk control switch.
• Failure mode addressed. Fully passive buy and hold ignores the sign of long horizon momentum and can sit through multi year drawdowns. This script offers a way to step down risk in prolonged negative momentum without chasing short term noise.
• Testability. All parameters are visible in Inputs and the momentum series is plotted so users can verify every regime change in the Tester and on price history.
• Portable yardstick. The log return over a fixed window is a unit that can be applied to any liquid symbol with daily data.
Method overview in plain language
The method looks at how far the benchmark symbol has moved in log return terms over an eighteen month window in our example. If that long horizon return is positive the strategy allows a long stance on the traded symbol. If it is negative and shorts are enabled the strategy can flip short, otherwise it goes flat. There is an optional realised volatility estimate on the traded symbol that can scale position size toward a target annual volatility, but in the default configuration the model uses unit leverage and only the sign of momentum matters.
Base measures
Return basis. The core yardstick is the natural log of close divided by the close eighteen months ago on the benchmark symbol. Daily log returns of the traded symbol feed the realised volatility estimate when volatility targeting is enabled.
Components
• Component one Momentum eighteen months. Log of benchmark close divided by its close mom_lookback bars ago. Its sign defines the trend regime. No extra smoothing is applied beyond the long window itself.
• Component two Realised volatility optional. Standard deviation of daily log returns on the traded symbol over sixty three days. Annualised by the square root of 252. Used only when volatility targeting is enabled.
• Optional component Volatility targeting. Converts target annual volatility and realised volatility into a leverage factor clipped by a maximum leverage setting.
Fusion rule
The model uses a simple gate. First compute the sign of eighteen month log momentum on the benchmark symbol. Optionally compute leverage from volatility. The sign decides whether the strategy wants to be long, short, or flat. Leverage only rescales position size when enabled and does not change direction.
Signal rule
• Long suggestion. When eighteen month log momentum on the benchmark symbol is greater than zero, the strategy wants to be long.
• Short suggestion. When that log momentum is less than zero and shorts are allowed, the strategy wants to be short. If shorts are disabled it stays flat instead.
• Wait state. When the log momentum is exactly zero or history is not long enough the strategy stays flat.
• In position. In practice the strategy sits IN LONG while the sign stays positive and flips to IN SHORT or flat only when the sign changes.
Inputs with guidance
Setup
• Momentum Lookback (months). Controls the horizon of the log return on the benchmark symbol. Typical range 6 to 24 months. Raising it makes the model slower and more selective. Lowering it makes it more reactive and sensitive to medium term noise.
• Symbol. External symbol used for the momentum calculation, SPY by default. Changing it lets you time other indices or run signals from a benchmark while trading a correlated instrument.
Logic
• Allow Shorts. When true the strategy will open short positions during negative momentum regimes. When false it will stay flat whenever momentum is negative. Practical setting is tied to whether you use a margin account or an ETF that supports shorting.
Internal risk parameters (not exposed as inputs in this version) are:
• Target Vol (annual). Target annual volatility for volatility targeting, default 0.2.
• Vol Lookback (days). Window for realised volatility, default 63 trading days.
• Max Leverage. Cap on leverage when volatility targeting is enabled, default 2.
Usage recipes
Swing continuation
• Signal timeframe. Use the daily chart.
• Benchmark symbol. Leave at SPY for US equity index exposure.
• Momentum lookback. Eighteen months as a default, with twelve months as an alternative preset for a faster swing bias.
Properties visible in this publication
• Initial capital. 100000
• Base currency. USD
• Default order size method. 5% of the total capital in this example
• Pyramiding. 0
• Commission. 0.03 percent
• Slippage. 3 ticks
• Process orders on close. On
• Bar magnifier. Off
• Recalculate after order is filled. Off
• Calc on every tick. Off
• All request.security calls use lookahead = barmerge.lookahead_off
Realism and responsible publication
The strategy is for education and research only. It does not claim any guaranteed edge or future performance. All results in Strategy Tester are hypothetical and depend on the data vendor, costs, and slippage assumptions. Intrabar motion is not modeled inside daily bars so extreme moves and gaps can lead to fills that differ from live trading. The logic is built for standard candles and should not be used on synthetic chart types for execution decisions.
Performance is sensitive to regime structure in the US equity market, which may change over time. The strategy does not protect against single day crash risk inside bars and does not model gap risk explicitly. Past behavior of SPY and the momentum effect does not guarantee future persistence.
Honest limitations and failure modes
• Long sideways regimes with small net change over eighteen months can lead to whipsaw around the zero line.
• Very sharp V shaped reversals after deep declines will often be missed because the model waits for momentum to turn positive again.
• The sample size in a full SPY history is small because regime changes are infrequent, so any test must be interpreted as indicative rather than statistically precise.
• The model is highly dependent on the chosen lookback. Users should test nearby values and validate that behavior is qualitatively stable.
Legal
Education and research only. Not investment advice. You are responsible for your own decisions. Always test on historical data and in simulation with realistic costs before any live use.
SPX (S&P 500 Index)
SP500 Session Gap Fade StrategySummary in one paragraph
SPX Session Gap Fade is an intraday gap fade strategy for index futures, designed around regular cash sessions on five minute charts. It helps you participate only when there is a full overnight or pre session gap and a valid intraday session window, instead of trading every open. The original part is the gap distance engine which anchors both stop and optional target to the previous session reference close at a configurable flat time, so every trade’s risk scales with the actual gap size rather than a fixed tick stop.
Scope and intent
• Markets. Primarily index futures such as ES, NQ, YM, and liquid index CFDs that exhibit overnight gaps and regular cash hours.
• Timeframes. Intraday timeframes from one minute to fifteen minutes. Default usage is five minute bars.
• Default demo used in the publication. Symbol CME:ES1! on a five minute chart.
• Purpose. Provide a simple, transparent way to trade opening gaps with a session anchored risk model and forced flat exit so you are not holding into the last part of the session.
• Limits. This is a strategy. Orders are simulated on standard candles only.
Originality and usefulness
• Unique concept or fusion. The core novelty is the combination of a strict “full gap” entry condition with a session anchored reference close and a gap distance based TP and SL engine. The stop and optional target are symmetric multiples of the actual gap distance from the previous session’s flat close, rather than fixed ticks.
• Failure mode it addresses. Fixed sized stops do not scale when gaps are unusually small or unusually large, which can either under risk or over risk the account. The session flat logic also reduces the chance of holding residual positions into late session liquidity and news.
• Testability. All key pieces are explicit in the Inputs: session window, minutes before session end, whether to use gap exits, whether TP or SL are active, and whether to allow candle based closes and forced flat. You can toggle each component and see how it changes entries and exits.
• Portable yardstick. The main unit is the absolute price gap between the entry bar open and the previous session reference close. tp_mult and sl_mult are multiples of that gap, which makes the risk model portable across contracts and volatility regimes.
Method overview in plain language
The strategy first defines a trading session using exchange time, for example 08:30 to 15:30 for ES day hours. It also defines a “flat” time a fixed number of minutes before session end. At the flat bar, any open position is closed and the bar’s close price is stored as the reference close for the next session. Inside the session, the strategy looks for a full gap bar relative to the prior bar: a gap down where today’s high is below yesterday’s low, or a gap up where today’s low is above yesterday’s high. A full gap down generates a long entry; a full gap up generates a short entry. If the gap risk engine is enabled and a valid reference close exists, the strategy measures the distance between the entry bar open and that reference close. It then sets a stop and optional target as configurable multiples of that gap distance and manages them with strategy.exit. Additional exits can be triggered by a candle color flip or by the forced flat time.
Base measures
• Range basis. The main unit is the absolute difference between the current entry bar open and the stored reference close from the previous session flat bar. That value is used as a “gap unit” and scaled by tp_mult and sl_mult to build the target and stop.
Components
• Component one: Gap Direction. Detects full gap up or full gap down by comparing the current high and low to the previous bar’s high and low. Gap down signals a long fade, gap up signals a short fade. There is no smoothing; it is a strict structural condition.
• Component two: Session Window. Only allows entries when the current time is within the configured session window. It also defines a flat time before the session end where positions are forced flat and the reference close is updated.
• Component three: Gap Distance Risk Engine. Computes the absolute distance between the entry open and the stored reference close. The stop and optional target are placed as entry ± gap_distance × multiplier so that risk scales with gap size.
• Optional component: Candle Exit. If enabled, a bullish bar closes short positions and a bearish bar closes long positions, which can shorten holding time when price reverses quickly inside the session.
• Session windows. Session logic uses the exchange time of the chart symbol. When changing symbols or venues, verify that the session time string still matches the new instrument’s cash hours.
Fusion rule
All gates are hard conditions rather than weighted scores. A trade can only open if the session window is active and the full gap condition is true. The gap distance engine only activates if a valid reference close exists and use_gap_risk is on. TP and SL are controlled by separate booleans so you can use SL only, TP only, or both. Long and short are symmetric by construction: long trades fade full gap downs, short trades fade full gap ups with mirrored TP and SL logic.
Signal rule
• Long entry. Inside the active session, when the current bar shows a full gap down relative to the previous bar (current high below prior low), the strategy opens a long position. If the gap risk engine is active, it places a gap based stop below the entry and an optional target above it.
• Short entry. Inside the active session, when the current bar shows a full gap up relative to the previous bar (current low above prior high), the strategy opens a short position. If the gap risk engine is active, it places a gap based stop above the entry and an optional target below it.
• Forced flat. At the configured flat time before session end, any open position is closed and the close price of that bar becomes the new reference close for the following session.
• Candle based exit. If enabled, a bearish bar closes longs, and a bullish bar closes shorts, regardless of where TP or SL sit, as long as a position is open.
What you will see on the chart
• Markers on entry bars. Standard strategy entry markers labeled “long” and “short” on the gap bars where trades open.
• Exit markers. Standard exit markers on bars where either the gap stop or target are hit, or where a candle exit or forced flat close occurs. Exit IDs “long_gap” and “short_gap” label gap based exits.
• Reference levels. Horizontal lines for the current long TP, long SL, short TP, and short SL while a position is open and the gap engine is enabled. They update when a new trade opens and disappear when flat.
• Session background. This version does not add background shading for the session; session logic runs internally based on time.
• No on chart table. All decisions are visible through orders and exit levels. Use the Strategy Tester for performance metrics.
Inputs with guidance
Session Settings
• Trading session (sess). Session window in exchange time. Typical value uses the regular cash session for each contract, for example “0830-1530” for ES. Adjust if your broker or symbol uses different hours.
• Minutes before session end to force exit (flat_before_min). Minutes before the session end where positions are forced flat and the reference close is stored. Typical range is 15 to 120. Raising it closes trades earlier in the day; lowering it allows trades later in the session.
Gap Risk
• Enable gap based TP/SL (use_gap_risk). Master switch for the gap distance exit engine. Turning it off keeps entries and forced flat logic but removes automatic TP and SL placement.
• Use TP limit from gap (use_gap_tp). Enables gap based profit targets. Typical values are true for structured exits or false if you want to manage exits manually and only keep a stop.
• Use SL stop from gap (use_gap_sl). Enables gap based stop losses. This should normally remain true so that each trade has a defined initial risk in ticks.
• TP multiplier of gap distance (tp_mult). Multiplier applied to the gap distance for the target. Typical range is 0.5 to 2.0. Raising it places the target further away and reduces hit frequency.
• SL multiplier of gap distance (sl_mult). Multiplier applied to the gap distance for the stop. Typical range is 0.5 to 2.0. Raising it widens the stop and increases risk per trade; lowering it tightens the stop and may increase the number of small losses.
Exit Controls
• Exit with candle logic (use_candle_exit). If true, closes shorts on bullish candles and longs on bearish candles. Useful when you want to react to intraday reversal bars even if TP or SL have not been reached.
• Force flat before session end (use_forced_flat). If true, guarantees you are flat by the configured flat time and updates the reference close. Turn this off only if you understand the impact on overnight risk.
Filters
There is no separate trend or volatility filter in this version. All trades depend on the presence of a full gap bar inside the session. If you need extra filtering such as ATR, volume, or higher timeframe bias, they should be added explicitly and documented in your own fork.
Usage recipes
Intraday conservative gap fade
• Timeframe. Five minute chart on ES regular session.
• Gap risk. use_gap_risk = true, use_gap_tp = true, use_gap_sl = true.
• Multipliers. tp_mult around 0.7 to 1.0 and sl_mult around 1.0.
• Exits. use_candle_exit = false, use_forced_flat = true. Focus on the structured TP and SL around the gap.
Intraday aggressive gap fade
• Timeframe. Five minute chart.
• Gap risk. use_gap_risk = true, use_gap_tp = false, use_gap_sl = true.
• Multipliers. sl_mult around 0.7 to 1.0.
• Exits. use_candle_exit = true, use_forced_flat = true. Entries fade full gaps, stops are tight, and candle color flips flatten trades early.
Higher timeframe gap tests
• Timeframe. Fifteen minute or sixty minute charts on instruments with regular gaps.
• Gap risk. Keep use_gap_risk = true. Consider slightly higher sl_mult if gaps are structurally wider on the higher timeframe.
• Note. Expect fewer trades and be careful with sample size; multi year data is recommended.
Properties visible in this publication
• On average our risk for each position over the last 200 trades is 0.4% with a max intraday loss of 1.5% of the total equity in this case of 100k $ with 1 contract ES. For other assets, recalculations and customizations has to be applied.
• Initial capital. 100 000.
• Base currency. USD.
• Default order size method. Fixed with size 1 contract.
• Pyramiding. 0.
• Commission. Flat 2 USD per order in the Strategy Tester Properties. (2$ buying + 2$selling)
• Slippage. One tick in the Strategy Tester Properties.
• Process orders on close. ON.
Realism and responsible publication
• No performance claims are made. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes.
• Costs use a realistic flat commission and one tick of slippage per trade for ES class futures.
• Default sizing with one contract on a 100 000 reference account targets modest per trade risk. In practice, extreme slippage or gap through events can exceed this, so treat the one and a half percent risk target as a design goal, not a guarantee.
• All orders are simulated on standard candles. Shapes can move while a bar is forming and settle on bar close.
Honest limitations and failure modes
• Economic releases, thin liquidity, and limit conditions can break the assumptions behind the simple gap model and lead to slippage or skipped fills.
• Symbols with very frequent or very large gaps may require adjusted multipliers or alternative risk handling, especially in high volatility regimes.
• Very quiet periods without clean gaps will produce few or no trades. This is expected behavior, not a bug.
• Session windows follow the exchange time of the chart. Always confirm that the configured session matches the symbol.
• When both the stop and target lie inside the same bar’s range, the TradingView engine decides which is hit first based on its internal intrabar assumptions. Without bar magnifier, tie handling is approximate.
Legal
Education and research only. This strategy is not investment advice. You remain responsible for all trading decisions. Always test on historical data and in simulation with realistic costs before considering any live use.
BB SPY Mean Reversion Investment StrategySummary
Mean reversion first, continuation second. This strategy targets equities and ETFs on daily timeframes. It waits for price to revert from a Bollinger location with candle and EMA agreement, then manages risk with ATR based exits. Uniqueness comes from two elements working together. One, an adaptive band multiplier driven by volatility of volatility that expands or contracts the envelope as conditions change. Two, a bias memory that re arms the same direction after any stop, target, or time exit until a true opposite signal appears. Add it to a clean chart, use the markers and levels, and select on bar close for conservative alerts. Shapes can move while the bar is open and settle on close.
Scope and intent
• Markets. Currently adapted for SPY, needs to be optimized for other assets
• Timeframes. Daily primary. Other frames are possible but not the default
• Default demo. SPY on daily
• Purpose. Trade mean reversion entries that can chain into a longer swing by splitting holds into ATR or time segments
Originality and usefulness
• Novelty. Adaptive band width from volatility of volatility plus a persistent bias array that keeps the original direction alive across sequential entries until an opposite setup is confirmed
• Failure modes mitigated. False starts in chop are reduced by candle color and EMA location. Missed continuation after a take profit or stop is addressed by the re arm engine. Oversized envelopes during quiet regimes are avoided by the adaptive multiplier
• Testability. Every module has Inputs and visible levels so users can see why a suggestion appears
• Portable yardstick. All risk and targets are expressed in ATR units
Method overview in plain language
The engine measures where price sits relative to Bollinger bands, confirms with candle color and EMA location, requires ADX for shorts(in our case long close since we use it currently as long only), and optionally requires a trend or mean reversion regime using band width percent rank and basis slope. Risk uses ATR for stop, target, and optional breakeven. A small array stores the last confirmed direction. While flat, the engine keeps a pending order in that direction. The array flips only when a true opposite setup appears.
Base measures
• Range basis. True Range smoothed over a user defined ATR Length
• Return basis. Not required
Components
• Bollinger envelope. SMA length and standard deviation multiplier. Entry is based on cross of close through the band with location bias
• Candle and EMA filter. Close relative to open and close relative to EMA align direction
• ADX gate for shorts. Requires minimum trend strength for short trades
• Adaptive multiplier. Band width scales using volatility of volatility so envelopes breathe with conditions
• Regime gate optional. Band width percent rank and basis slope identify trend or mean reversion regimes
• Risk manager. ATR stop, ATR target, optional breakeven, optional time exit
• Bias memory. Array stores last confirmed direction and re arms entries while flat
Fusion rule
Minimum satisfied gates count style. All required gates must be true. Optional gates are controlled in Inputs. Bias memory never overrides an opposite confirmed setup.
Signal rule
• Long setup when close crosses up through the lower band, the bar closes green, and close is above the long EMA
• Short setup when close crosses down through the upper band, the bar closes red, close is below the short EMA, and ADX is above the minimum
• While flat the model keeps a pending order in the stored direction until a true opposite setup appears
• IN LONG or IN SHORT describes states between entry and exit
What you will see on the chart
• Markers for Long and Short setups
• Exit markers from ATR or time rules
• Reference levels for entry, stop, and target
• Bollinger bands and optional adaptive bands
Inputs with guidance
Setup
• Signal timeframe. Uses the chart timeframe
• Invert direction optional. Flips long and short
Logic
• BB Length. Typical 10 to 50. Higher smooths more
• BB Mult. Typical 1.0 to 2.5. Higher widens entries
• EMA Length long. Typical 10 to 50
• EMA Length short. Typical 5 to 30
• ADX Minimum for short. Typical 15 to 35
Filters
• Regime Type. none or trend or mean reversion
• Rank Lookback. Typical 100 to 300
• Basis Slope Length and Threshold. Larger values reduce false trends
Risk
• ATR Length. Typical 10 to 21
• ATR Stop Mult. Typical 1.0 to 3.0
• ATR Take Profit Mult. Typical 2.0 to 5.0
• Breakeven Trigger R. Move stop to entry after the chosen multiple
• Time Exit. Minimum bars and extension when profit exceeds a fraction of ATR
Bias and rearm
• Bias flips kept. Array depth
• Keep rearm when flat. Maintain a pending order while flat
UI
• Show markers and levels. Clean defaults
Usage recipes
Alerts update in real time and can change while the bar forms. Select on bar close for conservative workflows.
Properties visible in this publication
• Initial capital 25000
• Base currency USD
• If any higher timeframe calls are enabled, request.security uses lookahead off
• Commission 0.03 percent
• Slippage 3 ticks
• Default order size method Percent of equity with value 5
• Pyramiding 0
• Process orders on close On
• Bar magnifier Off
• Recalculate after order is filled Off
• Calc on every tick Off
Realism and responsible publication
No performance claims. Costs and fills vary by venue. Shapes can move intrabar and settle on close. Strategies use standard candles only.
Honest limitations and failure modes
High impact releases and thin liquidity can break assumptions. Gap heavy symbols may require larger ATR. Very quiet regimes can reduce contrast in the mean reversion signal. If stop and target can both be touched inside one bar, outcome follows the TradingView order model for that bar path.
Regimes with extreme one sided trend and very low volatility can reduce mean reversion edges. Results vary by symbol and venue. Past results never guarantee future outcomes.
Open source reuse and credits
None.
Backtest realism
Costs are realistic for liquid equities. Sizing does not exceed five percent per trade by default. Any departure should be justified by the user.
If you got any questions please le me know
NY VIX Channel Trend US Futures Day Trade StrategyNY VIX Channel Trend Strategy
Summary in one paragraph
Session anchored intraday strategy for index futures such as ES and NQ on one to fifteen minute charts. It acts only after the first configurable window of New York Regular Trading Hours and uses a VIX derived daily implied move to form a realistic channel from the session open. Originality comes from using a pure implied volatility yardstick as portable support and resistance, then committing in the direction of the first window close relative to the open. Add it to a clean chart and trade the simple visuals. For conservative alerts use on bar close.
Scope and intent
• Markets. Index futures ES and NQ
• Timeframes. One to thirty minutes
• Default demo. ES1 on five minutes
• Purpose. Provide a portable intraday yardstick for entries and exits without curve fitting
• Limits. This is a strategy. Orders are simulated on standard candles
Originality and usefulness
• Unique concept. A VIX only channel anchored at 09:30 New York plus a single window trend test
• Addresses. False urgency at session open and unrealistic bands from arbitrary multipliers
• Testability. Every input is visible and the channel is plotted so users can audit behavior
• Portable yardstick. Daily implied move equals VIX percent divided by square root of two hundred fifty two
• Protected status. None. Method and use are fully disclosed
Method overview in plain language
Take the daily VIX or VIX9D value, convert it to a daily fraction by dividing by square root of two hundred fifty two, then anchor a symmetric channel at the New York session open. Observe the first N minutes. If that window closes above the open the bias is long. If it closes below the open the bias is short. One trade per session. Exits occur at the channel boundary or at a bracket based on a user selected VIX factor. Positions are closed a set number of minutes before the session ends.
Base measures
Return basis. The daily implied move unit equals VIX percent divided by square root of two hundred fifty two and serves as the distance unit for targets and stops.
Components
• VIX Channel. Top, mid, bottom lines anchored at 09:30 New York. No extra multipliers
• Window Trend. Close of the first N minutes relative to the session open sets direction
• Risk Bracket. Take profit and stop loss equal to VIX unit times user factor
• Session Window. Uses the exchange time of the chart
Fusion rule
Minimum gates count equals one. The trade only arms after the window has elapsed and a direction exists. One entry per session.
Signal rule
• Long when the window close is above the session open and the window has completed
• Short when the window close is below the session open and the window has completed
• Exit on channel touch. Long exits at the top. Short exits at the bottom
• Flat thirty minutes before the session close or at the user setting
Inputs with guidance
Setup
• Use VIX9D. Width source. Typical true for fast tone or false for baseline
• Use daily OPEN. Toggle for sensitivity to overnight changes
Logic
• Window minutes. Five to one hundred twenty. Larger values delay entries and reduce whipsaw
• VIX factor for TP. Zero point five to two. Raising it widens the profit target
• VIX factor for SL. Zero point five to two. Raising it widens the stop
• Exit minutes before close. Fifteen to ninety. Raising it exits earlier
Properties visible in this publication
• Initial capital one hundred thousand USD
• Base currency USD
• request.security uses lookahead off
• Commission cash per contract two point five $ per each contract. Slippage one tick
• Default order size method FIXED with value one contract. Pyramiding zero. Process orders on close ON. Bar magnifier OFF. Recalculate after order is filled OFF. Calc on every tick ON
Realism and responsible publication
No performance claims. Past results never guarantee future outcomes. Fills and slippage vary by venue. Shapes can move while a bar forms and settle on close. Strategy uses standard candles.
Honest limitations and failure modes
Economic releases and thin liquidity can break the channel. Very quiet regimes can reduce signal contrast. Session windows follow the exchange time of the chart. If both stop and target can be hit within one bar, assume stop first for conservative reading without bar magnifier.
Works best in liquid hours of New York RTH. Very large gaps and surprise news may exceed the implied channel. Always validate on the symbols you trade.
Entries and exits
• Entry logic. After the first window, go long if the window close is above the session open, go short if below
• Exit logic. Long exits at the channel top or at the take profit or stop. Short exits at the channel bottom or at the take profit or stop. Flat before session close by the configured minutes
• Risk model. Initial stop and target based on the VIX unit times user factors. No trail and no break even. No cooldown
• Tie handling. Treat as stop first for conservative interpretation
Position sizing
Fixed size one contract per trade. Target risk per trade should generally remain near one percent of account equity. Risk is based on the daily volatility value, the max loss from the tests for one year duration with 5min chart was 4%, while the avg loss was below <1% of the total capital.
If you have any questions please let me know. Thank you for coming by !
TriAnchor Elastic Reversion US Market SPY and QQQ adaptedSummary in one paragraph
Mean-reversion strategy for liquid ETFs, index futures, large-cap equities, and major crypto on intraday to daily timeframes. It waits for three anchored VWAP stretches to become statistically extreme, aligns with bar-shape and breadth, and fades the move. Originality comes from fusing daily, weekly, and monthly AVWAP distances into a single ATR-normalized energy percentile, then gating with a robust Z-score and a session-safe gap filter.
Scope and intent
• Markets: SPY QQQ IWM NDX large caps liquid futures liquid crypto
• Timeframes: 5 min to 1 day
• Default demo: SPY on 60 min
• Purpose: fade stretched moves only when multi-anchor context and breadth agree
• Limits: strategy uses standard candles for signals and orders only
Originality and usefulness
• Unique fusion: tri-anchor AVWAP energy percentile plus robust Z of close plus shape-in-range gate plus breadth Z of SPY QQQ IWM
• Failure mode addressed: chasing extended moves and fading during index-wide thrusts
• Testability: each component is an input and visible in orders list via L and S tags
• Portable yardstick: distances are ATR-normalized so thresholds transfer across symbols
• Open source: method and implementation are disclosed for community review
Method overview in plain language
Base measures
• Range basis: ATR(length = atr_len) as the normalization unit
• Return basis: not used directly; we use rank statistics for stability
Components
• Tri-Anchor Energy: squared distances of price from daily, weekly, monthly AVWAPs, each divided by ATR, then summed and ranked to a percentile over base_len
• Robust Z of Close: median and MAD based Z to avoid outliers
• Shape Gate: position of close inside bar range to require capitulation for longs and exhaustion for shorts
• Breadth Gate: average robust Z of SPY QQQ IWM to avoid fading when the tape is one-sided
• Gap Shock: skip signals after large session gaps
Fusion rule
• All required gates must be true: Energy ≥ energy_trig_prc, |Robust Z| ≥ z_trig, Shape satisfied, Breadth confirmed, Gap filter clear
Signal rule
• Long: energy extreme, Z negative beyond threshold, close near bar low, breadth Z ≤ −breadth_z_ok
• Short: energy extreme, Z positive beyond threshold, close near bar high, breadth Z ≥ +breadth_z_ok
What you will see on the chart
• Standard strategy arrows for entries and exits
• Optional short-side brackets: ATR stop and ATR take profit if enabled
Inputs with guidance
Setup
• Base length: window for percentile ranks and medians. Typical 40 to 80. Longer smooths, shorter reacts.
• ATR length: normalization unit. Typical 10 to 20. Higher reduces noise.
• VWAP band stdev: volatility bands for anchors. Typical 2.0 to 4.0.
• Robust Z window: 40 to 100. Larger for stability.
• Robust Z entry magnitude: 1.2 to 2.2. Higher means stronger extremes only.
• Energy percentile trigger: 90 to 99.5. Higher limits signals to rare stretches.
• Bar close in range gate long: 0.05 to 0.25. Larger requires deeper capitulation for longs.
Regime and Breadth
• Use breadth gate: on when trading indices or broad ETFs.
• Breadth Z confirm magnitude: 0.8 to 1.8. Higher avoids fighting thrusts.
• Gap shock percent: 1.0 to 5.0. Larger allows more gaps to trade.
Risk — Short only
• Enable short SL TP: on to bracket shorts.
• Short ATR stop mult: 1.0 to 3.0.
• Short ATR take profit mult: 1.0 to 6.0.
Properties visible in this publication
• Initial capital: 25000USD
• Default order size: Percent of total equity 3%
• Pyramiding: 0
• Commission: 0.03 percent
• Slippage: 5 ticks
• Process orders on close: OFF
• Bar magnifier: OFF
• Recalculate after order is filled: OFF
• Calc on every tick: OFF
• request.security lookahead off where used
Realism and responsible publication
• No performance claims. Past results never guarantee future outcomes
• Fills and slippage vary by venue
• Shapes can move during bar formation and settle on close
• Standard candles only for strategies
Honest limitations and failure modes
• Economic releases or very thin liquidity can overwhelm mean-reversion logic
• Heavy gap regimes may require larger gap filter or TR-based tuning
• Very quiet regimes reduce signal contrast; extend windows or raise thresholds
Open source reuse and credits
• None
Strategy notice
Orders are simulated by TradingView on standard candles. request.security uses lookahead off where applicable. Non-standard charts are not supported for execution.
Entries and exits
• Entry logic: as in Signal rule above
• Exit logic: short side optional ATR stop and ATR take profit via brackets; long side closes on opposite setup
• Risk model: ATR-based brackets on shorts when enabled
• Tie handling: stop first when both could be touched inside one bar
Dataset and sample size
• Test across your visible history. For robust inference prefer 100 plus trades.
FluxGate Daily Swing StrategySummary in one paragraph
FluxGate treats long and short as different ecosystems. It runs two independent engines so the long side can be bold when the tape rewards upside persistence while the short side can stay selective when downside is messy. The core reads three directional drivers from price geometry then removes overlap before gating with clean path checks. The complementary risk module anchors stop distance to a higher timeframe ATR so a unit means the same thing on SPY and BTC. It can add take profit breakeven and an ATR trail that only activates after the trade earns it. If a stop is hit the strategy can re enter in the same direction on the next bar with a daily retry cap that you control. Add it to a clean chart. Use defaults to see the intended behavior. For conservative workflows evaluate on bar close.
Scope and intent
• Markets. Large cap equities and liquid ETFs major FX pairs US index futures and liquid crypto pairs
• Timeframes. From one minute to daily
• Default demo in this publication. SPY on one day timeframe
• Purpose. Reduce false starts without missing sustained trends by fusing independent drivers and suppressing activity when the path is noisy
• Limits. This is a strategy. Orders are simulated on standard candles. Non standard chart types are not supported for execution
Originality and usefulness
• Unique fusion. FluxGate extracts three drivers that look at price from different angles. Direction measures slope of a smoothed guide and scales by realized volatility so a point of slope does not mean a different thing on different symbols. Persistence looks at short sign agreement to reward series of closes that keep direction. Curvature measures the second difference of a local fit to wake up during convex pushes. These three are then orthonormalized so a strong reading in one does not double count through another.
• Gates that matter. Efficiency ratio prefers direct paths over treadmills. Entropy turns up versus down frequency into an information read. Light fractal cohesion punishes wrinkly paths. Together they slow the system in chop and allow it to open up when the path is clean.
• Separate long and short engines. Threshold tilts adapt to the skew of score excursions. That lets long engage earlier when upside distribution supports it and keeps short cautious where downside surprise and venue frictions are common.
• Practical risk behavior. Stops are ATR anchored on a higher timeframe so the unit is portable. Take profit is expressed in R so two R means the same concept across symbols. Breakeven and trailing only activate after a chosen R so early noise does not squeeze a good entry. Re entry after stop lets the system try again without you babysitting the chart.
• Testability. Every major window and the aggression controls live in Inputs. There is no hidden magic number.
Method overview in plain language
Base measures
• Return basis. Natural log of close over prior close for stability and easy aggregation through time. Realized volatility is the standard deviation of returns over a moving window.
• Range basis for risk. ATR computed on a higher timeframe anchor such as day week or month. That anchor is steady across venues and avoids chasing chart specific quirks.
Components
• Directional intensity. Use an EMA of typical price as a guide. Take the day to day slope as raw direction. Divide by realized volatility to get a unit free measure. Soft clip to keep outliers from dominating.
• Persistence. Encode whether each bar closed up or down. Measure short sign agreement so a string of higher closes scores better than a jittery sequence. This favors push continuity without guessing tops or bottoms.
• Curvature. Fit a short linear regression and compute the second difference of the fitted series. Strong curvature flags acceleration that slope alone may miss.
• Efficiency gate. Compare net move to path length over a gate window. Values near one indicate direct paths. Values near zero indicate treadmill behavior.
• Entropy gate. Convert up versus down frequency into a probability of direction. High entropy means coin toss. The gate narrows there.
• Fractal cohesion. A light read of path wrinkliness relative to span. Lower cohesion reduces the urge to act.
• Phase assist. Map price inside a recent channel to a small signed bias that grows with confidence. This helps entries lean toward the right half of the channel without becoming a breakout rule.
• Shock control. Compare short volatility to long volatility. When short term volatility spikes the shock gate temporarily damps activity so the system waits for pressure to normalize.
Fusion rule
• Normalize the three drivers after removing overlap
• Blend with weights that adapt to your aggression input
• Multiply by the gates to respect path quality
• Smooth just enough to avoid jitter while keeping timing responsive
• Compute an adaptive mean and deviation of the score and set separate long and short thresholds with a small tilt informed by skew sign
• The result is one long score and one short score that can cross their thresholds at different times for the same tape which is a feature not a bug
Signal rule
• A long suggestion appears when the long score crosses above its long threshold while all gates are active
• A short suggestion appears when the short score crosses below its short threshold while all gates are active
• If any required gate is missing the state is wait
• When a position is open the status is in long or in short until the complementary risk engine exits or your entry mode closes and flips
Inputs with guidance
Setup Long
• Base length Long. Master window for the long engine. Typical range twenty four to eighty. Raising it improves selectivity and reduces trade count. Lowering it reacts faster but can increase noise
• Aggression Long. Zero to one. Higher values make thresholds more permissive and shorten smoothing
Setup Short
• Base length Short. Master window for the short engine. Typical range twenty eight to ninety six
• Aggression Short. Zero to one. Lower values keep shorts conservative which is often useful on upward drifting symbols
Entries and UI
• Entry mode. Both or Long only or Short only
Complementary risk engine
• Enable risk engine. Turns on bracket exits while keeping your signal logic untouched
• ATR anchor timeframe. Day Week or Month. This sets the structural unit of stop distance
• ATR length. Default fourteen
• Stop multiple. Default one point five times the anchor ATR
• Use take profit. On by default
• Take profit in R. Default two R
• Breakeven trigger in R. Default one R
Usage recipes
Intraday trend focus
• Entry mode Both
• ATR anchor Week
• Aggression Long zero point five Aggression Short zero point three
• Stop multiple one point five Take profit two R
• Expect fewer trades that stick to directional pushes and skip treadmill noise
Intraday mean reversion focus
• Session windows optional if you add them in your copy
• ATR anchor Day
• Lower aggression both sides
• Breakeven later and trailing later so the first bounce has room
• This favors fade entries that still convert into trends when the path stays clean
Swing continuation
• Signal timeframe four hours or one day
• Confirm timeframe one day if you choose to include bias
• ATR anchor Week or Month
• Larger base windows and a steady two R target
• This accepts fewer entries and aims for larger holds
Properties visible in this publication
• Initial capital 25.000
• Base currency USD
• Default order size percent of equity value three - 3% of the total capital
• Pyramiding zero
• Commission zero point zero three percent - 0.03% of total capital
• Slippage five ticks
• Process orders on close off
• Recalculate after order is filled off
• Calc on every tick off
• Bar magnifier off
• Any request security calls use lookahead off everywhere
Realism and responsible publication
• No performance promises. Past results never guarantee future outcomes
• Fills and slippage vary by venue and feed
• Strategies run on standard candles only
• Shapes can update while a bar is forming and settle on close
• Keep risk per trade sensible. Around one percent is typical for study. Above five to ten percent is rarely sustainable
Honest limitations and failure modes
• Sudden news and thin liquidity can break assumptions behind entropy and cohesion reads
• Gap heavy symbols often behave better with a True Range basis for risk than a simple range
• Very quiet regimes can reduce score contrast. Consider longer windows or higher thresholds when markets sleep
• Session windows follow the exchange time of the chart if you add them
• If stop and target can both be inside a single bar this strategy prefers stop first to keep accounting conservative
Open source reuse and credits
• No reused open source beyond public domain building blocks such as ATR EMA and linear regression concepts
Legal
Education and research only. Not investment advice. You are responsible for your decisions. Test on history and in simulation with realistic costs
QQQ Strategy v2 ESL | easy-peasy-x This is a strategy optimized for QQQ (and SPY) for the 1H timeframe. It significantly outperforms passive buy-and-hold approach. With settings adjustments, it can be used on various assets like stocks and cryptos and various timeframes, although the default out of the box settings favor QQQ 1H.
The strategy uses various triggers to take both long and short trades. These can be adjusted in settings. If you try a different asset, see what combination of triggers works best for you.
Some of the triggers employ LuxAlgo's Ultimate RSI - shoutout to him for great script, check it out here .
Other triggers are based on custom signed standard deviation - basically the idea is to trade Bollinger Bands expansions (long to the upside, short to the downside) and fade or stay out of contractions.
There are three key moving averages in the strategy - LONG MA, SHORT MA, BASIC MA. Long and Short MAs are guides to eyes on the chart and also act as possible trend filters (adjustable in settings). Basic MA acts as guide to eye and a possible trade trigger (adjustable in settings).
There are a few trend filters the strategy can use - moving average, signed standard deviation, ultimate RSI or none. The filters act as an additional condition on triggers, making the strategy take trades only if both triggers and trend filter allows. That way one can filter out trades with unfavorable risk/reward (for instance, don't long if price is under the MA200). Different trade filters can be used for long and short trades.
The strategy employs various stop loss types, the default of which is a trailing %-based stop loss type. ATR-based stop loss is also available. The default 1.5% trailing stop loss is suitable for leveraged trading.
Lastly, the strategy can trigger take profit orders if certain conditions are met, adjustable in settings. Also, it can hold onto winning trades and exit only after stop out (in which case, consecutive triggers to take other positions will be ignored until stop out).
Let me know if you like it and if you use it, what kind of tweaks would you like to see.
With kind regards,
easy-peasy-x
SPY/TLT Strategy█ STRATEGY OVERVIEW
The "SPY/TLT Strategy" is a trend-following crossover strategy designed to trade the relationship between TLT and its Simple Moving Average (SMA). The default configuration uses TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) with a 20-period SMA, entering long positions on bullish crossovers and exiting on bearish crossunders. **This strategy is NOT optimized and performs best in trending markets.**
█ KEY FEATURES
SMA Crossover System: Uses price/SMA relationship for signal generation (Default: 20-period)
Dynamic Time Window: Configurable backtesting period (Default: 2014-2099)
Equity-Based Position Sizing: Default 100% equity allocation per trade
Real-Time Visual Feedback: Price/SMA plot with trend-state background coloring
Event-Driven Execution: Processes orders at bar close for accurate backtesting
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. LONG ENTRY CONDITION
TLT closing price crosses ABOVE SMA
Occurs within specified time window
Generates market order at next bar open
2. EXIT CONDITION
TLT closing price crosses BELOW SMA
Closes all open positions immediately
█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
SMA Period: Simple Moving Average length (Default: 20)
Start Time and End Time: The time window for trade execution (Default: 1 Jan 2014 - 1 Jan 2099)
Security Symbol: Ticker for analysis (Default: TLT)
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
Ideal Market Conditions: Strong trending environments
Potential Drawbacks: Whipsaws in range-bound markets
Backtesting results should be analyzed to optimize the MA Period and EMA Filter settings for specific instruments
Adaptive Trend Flow Strategy with Filters for SPXThe Adaptive Trend Flow Strategy with Filters for SPX is a complete trading algorithm designed to identify traits and offer actionable alerts for the SPX index. This Pine Script approach leverages superior technical signs and user-described parameters to evolve to marketplace conditions and optimize performance.
Key Features and Functionality
Dynamic Trend Detection: Utilizes a dual EMA-based totally adaptive method for fashion calculation.
The script smooths volatility the usage of an EMA filter and adjusts sensitivity through the sensitivity enter. This allows for real-time adaptability to market fluctuations.
Trend Filters for Precision:
SMA Filter: A Simple Moving Average (SMA) guarantees that trades are achieved best while the rate aligns with the shifting average trend, minimizing false indicators.
MACD Filter: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) adds some other layer of confirmation with the aid of requiring alignment among the MACD line and its sign line.
Signal Generation:
Long Signals: Triggered when the fashion transitions from bearish to bullish, with all filters confirming the pass.
Short Signals: Triggered while the trend shifts from bullish to bearish, imparting opportunities for final positions.
User Customization:
Adjustable parameters for EMAs, smoothing duration, and sensitivity make certain the strategy can adapt to numerous buying and selling patterns.
Enable or disable filters (SMA or MACD) based totally on particular market conditions or consumer possibilities.
Leverage and Position Sizing: Incorporates a leverage aspect for dynamic position sizing.
Automatically calculates the exchange length based on account fairness and the leverage element, making sure hazard control is in area.
Visual Enhancements: Plots adaptive fashion ranges (foundation, top, decrease) for actual-time insights into marketplace conditions.
Color-coded bars and heritage to visually represent bullish or bearish developments.
Custom labels indicating crossover and crossunder occasions for clean sign visualization.
Alerts and Automation: Configurable alerts for each lengthy and quick indicators, well matched with automated buying and selling structures like plugpine.Com.
JSON-based alert messages consist of account credentials, motion type, and calculated position length for seamless integration.
Backtesting and Realistic Assumptions: Includes practical slippage, commissions, and preliminary capital settings for backtesting accuracy.
Leverages excessive-frequency trade sampling to make certain strong strategy assessment.
How It Works
Trend Calculation: The method derives a principal trend basis with the aid of combining fast and gradual EMAs. It then uses marketplace volatility to calculate adaptive upper and decrease obstacles, creating a dynamic channel.
Filter Integration: SMA and MACD filters work in tandem with the fashion calculation to ensure that handiest excessive-probability signals are accomplished.
Signal Execution: Signals are generated whilst the charge breaches those dynamic tiers and aligns with the fashion and filters, ensuring sturdy change access situations.
How to Use
Setup: Apply the approach to SPX or other well suited indices.
Adjust person inputs, together with ATR length, EMA smoothing, and sensitivity, to align together with your buying and selling possibilities.
Enable or disable the SMA and MACD filters to test unique setups.
Alerts: Configure signals for computerized notifications or direct buying and selling execution through third-celebration systems.
Use the supplied JSON payload to integrate with broking APIs or automation tools.
Optimization:
Experiment with leverage, filter out settings, and sensitivity to find most effective configurations to your hazard tolerance and marketplace situations.
Considerations and Best Practices
Risk Management: Always backtest the method with realistic parameters, together with conservative leverage and commissions.
Market Suitability: While designed for SPX, this method can adapt to other gadgets by means of adjusting key parameters.
Limitations: The method is trend-following and can underperform in enormously risky or ranging markets. Regularly evaluate and modify parameters primarily based on recent market conduct.
If you have any questions please let me know - I'm here to help!
Chande Kroll Trend Strategy (SPX, 1H) | PINEINDICATORSThe "Chande Kroll Stop Strategy" is designed to optimize trading on the SPX using a 1-hour timeframe. This strategy effectively combines the Chande Kroll Stop indicator with a Simple Moving Average (SMA) to create a robust method for identifying long entry and exit points. This detailed description will explain the components, rationale, and usage to ensure compliance with TradingView's guidelines and help traders understand the strategy's utility and application.
Objective
The primary goal of this strategy is to identify potential long trading opportunities in the SPX by leveraging volatility-adjusted stop levels and trend-following principles. It aims to capture upward price movements while managing risk through dynamically calculated stops.
Chande Kroll Stop Parameters:
Calculation Mode: Offers "Linear" and "Exponential" options for position size calculation. The default mode is "Exponential."
Risk Multiplier: An adjustable multiplier for risk management and position sizing, defaulting to 5.
ATR Period: Defines the period for calculating the Average True Range (ATR), with a default of 10.
ATR Multiplier: A multiplier applied to the ATR to set stop levels, defaulting to 3.
Stop Length: Period used to determine the highest high and lowest low for stop calculation, defaulting to 21.
SMA Length: Period for the Simple Moving Average, defaulting to 21.
Calculation Details:
ATR Calculation: ATR is calculated over the specified period to measure market volatility.
Chande Kroll Stop Calculation:
High Stop: The highest high over the stop length minus the ATR multiplied by the ATR multiplier.
Low Stop: The lowest low over the stop length plus the ATR multiplied by the ATR multiplier.
SMA Calculation: The 21-period SMA of the closing price is used as a trend filter.
Entry and Exit Conditions:
Long Entry: A long position is initiated when the closing price crosses over the low stop and is above the 21-period SMA. This condition ensures that the market is trending upward and that the entry is made in the direction of the prevailing trend.
Exit Long: The long position is exited when the closing price falls below the high stop, indicating potential downward movement and protecting against significant drawdowns.
Position Sizing:
The quantity of shares to trade is calculated based on the selected calculation mode (linear or exponential) and the risk multiplier. This ensures position size is adjusted dynamically based on current market conditions and user-defined risk tolerance.
Exponential Mode: Quantity is calculated using the formula: riskMultiplier / lowestClose * 1000 * strategy.equity / strategy.initial_capital.
Linear Mode: Quantity is calculated using the formula: riskMultiplier / lowestClose * 1000.
Execution:
When the long entry condition is met, the strategy triggers a buy signal, and a long position is entered with the calculated quantity. An alert is generated to notify the trader.
When the exit condition is met, the strategy closes the position and triggers a sell signal, accompanied by an alert.
Plotting:
Buy Signals: Indicated with an upward triangle below the bar.
Sell Signals: Indicated with a downward triangle above the bar.
Application
This strategy is particularly effective for trading the SPX on a 1-hour timeframe, capitalizing on price movements by adjusting stop levels dynamically based on market volatility and trend direction.
Default Setup
Initial Capital: $1,000
Risk Multiplier: 5
ATR Period: 10
ATR Multiplier: 3
Stop Length: 21
SMA Length: 21
Commission: 0.01
Slippage: 3 Ticks
Backtesting Results
Backtesting indicates that the "Chande Kroll Stop Strategy" performs optimally on the SPX when applied to the 1-hour timeframe. The strategy's dynamic adjustment of stop levels helps manage risk effectively while capturing significant upward price movements. Backtesting was conducted with a realistic initial capital of $1,000, and commissions and slippage were included to ensure the results are not misleading.
Risk Management
The strategy incorporates risk management through dynamically calculated stop levels based on the ATR and a user-defined risk multiplier. This approach ensures that position sizes are adjusted according to market volatility, helping to mitigate potential losses. Trades are sized to risk a sustainable amount of equity, adhering to the guideline of risking no more than 5-10% per trade.
Usage Notes
Customization: Users can adjust the ATR period, ATR multiplier, stop length, and SMA length to better suit their trading style and risk tolerance.
Alerts: The strategy includes alerts for buy and sell signals to keep traders informed of potential entry and exit points.
Pyramiding: Although possible, the strategy yields the best results without pyramiding.
Justification of Components
The Chande Kroll Stop indicator and the 21-period SMA are combined to provide a robust framework for identifying long trading opportunities in trending markets. Here is why they work well together:
Chande Kroll Stop Indicator: This indicator provides dynamic stop levels that adapt to market volatility, allowing traders to set logical stop-loss levels that account for current price movements. It is particularly useful in volatile markets where fixed stops can be easily hit by random price fluctuations. By using the ATR, the stop levels adjust based on recent market activity, ensuring they remain relevant in varying market conditions.
21-Period SMA: The 21-period SMA acts as a trend filter to ensure trades are taken in the direction of the prevailing market trend. By requiring the closing price to be above the SMA for long entries, the strategy aligns itself with the broader market trend, reducing the risk of entering trades against the overall market direction. This helps to avoid false signals and ensures that the trades are in line with the dominant market movement.
Combining these two components creates a balanced approach that captures trending price movements while protecting against significant drawdowns through adaptive stop levels. The Chande Kroll Stop ensures that the stops are placed at levels that reflect current volatility, while the SMA filter ensures that trades are only taken when the market is trending in the desired direction.
Concepts Underlying Calculations
ATR (Average True Range): Used to measure market volatility, which informs the stop levels.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Used to filter trades, ensuring positions are taken in the direction of the trend.
Chande Kroll Stop: Combines high and low price levels with ATR to create dynamic stop levels that adapt to market conditions.
Risk Disclaimer
Trading involves substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. The "Chande Kroll Stop Strategy" is provided for informational and educational purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users are advised to adjust and personalize this trading strategy to better match their individual trading preferences and risk tolerance.
Investments/swing trading strategy for different assetsStop worrying about catching the lowest price, it's almost impossible!: with this trend-following strategy and protection from bearish phases, you will know how to enter the market properly to obtain benefits in the long term.
Backtesting context: 1899-11-01 to 2023-02-16 of SPX by Tvc. Commissions: 0.05% for each entry, 0.05% for each exit. Risk per trade: 2.5% of the total account
For this strategy, 5 indicators are used:
One Ema of 200 periods
Atr Stop loss indicator from Gatherio
Squeeze momentum indicator from LazyBear
Moving average convergence/divergence or Macd
Relative strength index or Rsi
Trade conditions:
There are three type of entries, one of them depends if we want to trade against a bearish trend or not.
---If we keep Against trend option deactivated, the rules for two type of entries are:---
First type of entry:
With the next rules, we will be able to entry in a pull back situation:
Squeeze momentum is under 0 line (red)
Close is above 200 Ema and close is higher than the past close
Histogram from macd is under 0 line and is higher than the past one
Once these rules are met, we enter into a buy position. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point) and break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.
For closing this position: Squeeze momentum crosses over 0 and, until squeeze momentum crosses under 0, we close the position. Otherwise, we would have closed the position due to break even or stop loss.
Second type of entry:
With the next rules, we will not lose a possible bullish movement:
Close is above 200 Ema
Squeeze momentum crosses under 0 line
Once these rules are met, we enter into a buy position. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point) and break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.
Like in the past type of entry, for closing this position: Squeeze momentum crosses over 0 and, until squeeze momentum crosses under 0, we close the position. Otherwise, we would have closed the position due to break even or stop loss.
---If we keep Against trend option activated, the rules are the same as the ones above, but with one more type of entry. This is more useful in weekly timeframes, but could also be used in daily time frame:---
Third type of entry:
Close is under 200 Ema
Squeeze momentum crosses under 0 line
Once these rules are met, we enter into a buy position. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point) and break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.
Like in the past type of entries, for closing this position: Squeeze momentum crosses over 0 and, until squeeze momentum crosses under 0, we close the position. Otherwise, we would have closed the position due to break even or stop loss.
Risk management
For calculating the amount of the position you will use just a small percent of your initial capital for the strategy and you will use the atr stop loss for this.
Example: You have 1000 usd and you just want to risk 2,5% of your account, there is a buy signal at price of 4,000 usd. The stop loss price from atr stop loss is 3,900. You calculate the distance in percent between 4,000 and 3,900. In this case, that distance would be of 2.50%. Then, you calculate your position by this way: (initial or current capital * risk per trade of your account) / (stop loss distance).
Using these values on the formula: (1000*2,5%)/(2,5%) = 1000usd. It means, you have to use 1000 usd for risking 2.5% of your account.
We will use this risk management for applying compound interest.
In settings, with position amount calculator, you can enter the amount in usd of your account and the amount in percentage for risking per trade of the account. You will see this value in green color in the upper left corner that shows the amount in usd to use for risking the specific percentage of your account.
Script functions
Inside of settings, you will find some utilities for display atr stop loss, break evens, positions, signals, indicators, etc.
You will find the settings for risk management at the end of the script if you want to change something. But rebember, do not change values from indicators, the idea is to not over optimize the strategy.
If you want to change the initial capital for backtest the strategy, go to properties, and also enter the commisions of your exchange and slippage for more realistic results.
If you activate break even using rsi, when rsi crosses under overbought zone break even will be activated. This can work in some assets.
---Important: In risk managment you can find an option called "Use leverage ?", activate this if you want to backtest using leverage, which means that in case of not having enough money for risking the % determined by you of your account using your initial capital, you will use leverage for using the enough amount for risking that % of your acount in a buy position. Otherwise, the amount will be limited by your initial/current capital---
Some things to consider
USE UNDER YOUR OWN RISK. PAST RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT THE FUTURE.
DEPENDING OF % ACCOUNT RISK PER TRADE, YOU COULD REQUIRE LEVERAGE FOR OPEN SOME POSITIONS, SO PLEASE, BE CAREFULL AND USE CORRECTLY THE RISK MANAGEMENT
Do not forget to change commissions and other parameters related with back testing results!
Some assets and timeframes where the strategy has also worked:
BTCUSD : 4H, 1D, W
SPX (US500) : 4H, 1D, W
GOLD : 1D, W
SILVER : 1D, W
ETHUSD : 4H, 1D
DXY : 1D
AAPL : 4H, 1D, W
AMZN : 4H, 1D, W
META : 4H, 1D, W
(and others stocks)
BANKNIFTY : 4H, 1D, W
DAX : 1D, W
RUT : 1D, W
HSI : 1D, W
NI225 : 1D, W
USDCOP : 1D, W
Balance of Power Heikin Ashi Investing Strategy Balance of Power Heikin Ashi Investing Strategy
This is a swing strategy designed for investment help.
Its made around the Balace of Power indicator, but has been adapted on using the Monthly Heikin Ashi candle from the SPY asset in order to be used with correlation for US Stock/ETF/Index Markets.
The BOP acts as an oscilallator showing the power of a bull trend when its positive and a bearish trend when its in negative. At the same time we can spot reversals, based on the percentiles ( 99/1)
The rules for entry :
For long : The 99 percentile is ascending, and we are either in a positive value (>0), or we crossed the bottom place ( -0.35)
For short : the 99 and 1 percentile are descending, and we are either in a negative value(<0), or we crossed down the top place ( 0.6)
If you have any questions please let me know !
Stock Gaps SPY Correlation StrategyThis is daytrade stock strategy, designed to take the best out of the daily gaps that are forming between the close of previous day and opening of present day.
At the same time its logic has been adapted for SPY chart, in order to use correlation with the other stocks/assets/ etf which are linked with SP500 movement.
Lastly it has been added 2 new confirmation logics, based on the USI: advance/decline chart and percentage above vwap among all US stocks.
The rules for entry are simple :
We are at the opening daily candle, we have a long/short gap based on where the opening is happening and at the same time we are checking to see that the current different between the current difference between low and previous high (or viceversa) is higher than an established parameter(minimal deviation )
For exit, we exit based on time/clock parameter, in this case by default I selected 1h and half before close of the US session.
For testing purposes I have used 10% of the available capital, with a 0.0035$ comission per each share bought ( IBKR comissions)
If there are any questions, please let me know either here or in private !
VWAP Push StrategyThis strategy is unfortunately not finished yet.
A pretty simple strategy. If price broke through VWAP and had three consecutive candles following the breakthroughs trend, the high of the third candle will be drawn. If this happened after a crossover of the vwap and price breaks through the high of the third candle, strategy will go long. Short will be the same after crossing under the vwap. A long or short will be closed after crossing the vwap in the opposite direction, so the vwap is kind of a trailing stop.
Unfortunately, I could not manage to stop the script from entering multiple times into one drawn high or low. Of course, if a high was crossed the script should wait for a new formed high before entering a new long. If someone would find a solution to this, it would be great, because I think it is a nice strategy .
Should work great scalping 5min charts (when scripting, I used the SPX for reference).
Swing Trading SPX CorrelationThis is a long timeframe script designed to benefit from the correlation with the Percentage of stocks Above 200 moving average from SPX
At the same time with this percentage we are creating a weighted moving average to smooth its accuracy.
The rules are simple :
If the moving average is increasing its a long signal/short exit
If the moving average is decreased its a short signal/long exit.
Curently the strategy has been adapted for long only entries.
If you have any questions let me know !
Infiten Slope StrategyThis model is an index fund trading model, which uses moving averages and price percentage oscillators to minimize downside exposure.
Improved Bollinger Swing Strategy Stock NasdaqThis is an improved bollinger band strategy adapted to Nasdaq Index/Stocks.
The new update include a multiple logic calculation BB adapted for long and short, together with a risk management using movement in %.
Rules for entry
For long we have a crossover between the close and the lower band from the bb
For long we have a crossover between the close and the upper band from the bb
Rules for exit
We exit when we either find a reverse condition, or if we hit the take profit/stop loss levels.
If you have any questions, let me know !
Stock trending strategy This is a long only strategy designed maily for stock markets and futures. In general it works best with 1h, however it can be optimized with other timeframes as well.
Components:
VWAP
MACD histogram
EMA 9
Rules for entry
Long :
For VWAP: close is above the vwap daily
EMA: close is above the moving average
MACD histogram is above 0
Short:
For VWAP: close is belowthe vwap daily
EMA: close is below the moving average
MACD histogram is below 0
Rules for exit
This strategy does not have any risk management inside. Instead it exits whenver it receives an opposite signal form the original one used for entry.
If you have any questions let me know !
Ichimoku with MACD/ CMF/ TSIThis is a very powerful trend strategy designed for markets such as stocks market , stock index and crypto.
For time frames I found out that 1h seems to do the trick.
Components:
Ichimoku full pack
MACD histogram
CMF oscillator
TSI oscillator
Rules for entry
Long :
For Ichimoku:Tenkan part of cloud is bigger than kijun, Chikou is above 0 , close of a candle is above the Senkou
MACD histogram is above 0
CMF oscillator is positive and bigger than 0.1
TSI oscillator is above 0
Short:
For Ichimoku:Tenkan part of cloud is smaller than kijun, Chikou is below 0 , close of a candle is belowthe Senkou
MACD histogram is below 0
CMF oscillator is negative and below -0.1
TSI oscillator is below 0
Rules for exit
This strategy does not have any risk management inside. Instead it exits whenver it receives an opposite signal form the original one used for entry.
If you have any questions let me know !
TradersAI_UTBotCREDITS to @HPotter for the orginal code.
CREDITS to @Yo_adriiiiaan for recently publishing the UT Bot study based on the original code -
I just added some simple code to turn it into a strategy. Now, anyone can simply add the strategy to their chart to see the backtesting results!
While @Yo_adriiiiaan mentions it works best on a 4-hour timeframe or above, I am happy to share that this seems to be working on a 15-minute chart on e-mini S&P 500 Index (using the KeyValue setting at 10)! You can play around with the different settings, and may be you might discover even better settings.
Hope this helps. Btw, if any of you play with different settings and discover great settings for a specific instrument, please share them with the community here - it will be rewarded back multiple times!
A.I.Driven TradersAI Model Trades for 20190612The entry and exit levels here are NOT derived from any specific indicator but are coming from our A.I. driven proprietary models.
This is an attempt at exploring the trading community here at TradingView and sharing our daily trading plans published at our site with the community here in the form a Pine Script - just starting and learning this platform. Please help point out any obvious errors or gotchas committed in the scripts. Thanks and have a great trading day!
**** The Trading Plan Published for today ****
>>>> Medium-Frequency Models: <<<<< For today, Wednesday 06/12, our medium-frequency models indicate using the 2895 as a pivot point - opening a long on a break above 2895, and opening a short on a break below 2895 (wait for a close on at least a five minute chart to determine the break), both sides with a 9-point trailing stop.
Note: For the trades to trigger, the breaks should occur during the regular session hours starting at 9:30am ET. By design, these models do NOT open any new positions after 3:45pm. Only one open position at any given time.
>>>>> Aggressive Intraday Models: <<<<< For today, Wednesday 06/12, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 2892 or 2875 with an 6-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 2887 or 2878 with an 8-point trailing stop.
Note: For the trades to trigger, the breaks should occur during regular session hours starting at 9:30am ET. Due to the intraday nature of these aggressive models, they indicate closing any open trades at 3:55pm and remaining flat into the session close. No opening of new positions after 3:45pm. Only one open position at any given time.
Bollinger + RSI, Double Strategy Long-Only (by ChartArt) v1.2This strategy uses the RSI indicator together with the Bollinger Bands to go long when the price is below the lower Bollinger Band (and to close the long trade when this value is above the upper Bollinger band).
This simple strategy only places a long, when both the RSI and the Bollinger Bands indicators are at the same time in a oversold condition.
In this new version 1.2 the strategy was simplified even more than before by going long-only, which made the strategy more successful in backtesting than the previous version (that older version also opened short trades).
This strategy does not repaint and was updated to PineScript version 3.
All trading involves high risk; past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.
P.S. For advanced users: If you want also be able to short with the same strategy approach, then please use my older version 1.1:
SPY Master v1.0This is a simple swing trading algorithm that uses a fast RSI-EMA to trigger buy/cover signals and a slow RSI-EMA to trigger sell/short signals for SPY, an xchange-traded fund for the S&P 500.
The idea behind this strategy follows the premise that most profitable momentum trades usually occur during periods when price is trending up or down. Periods of flat price actions are usually where most unprofitable trades occur. Because we cannot predict exactly when trending periods will occur, the algorithm basically bets money on all trade opportunities during all market conditions. Despite an accuracy rate of only 40%, the algorithm's asymmetric risk/reward profile allows the average winner to be 2x the average loser. The end result is a positive (profitable) net payout.
TRADING RULES:
Buy/Cover = EMA3(RSI2) cross> 50
Sell/Short = EMA5(RSI2) cross< 50
BACKTEST SETTINGS:
- Period = March 2011 - Present
- Initial capital = $10,000
- Dividends excluded
- Trading costs excluded
PERFORMANCE COMPARISON:
There are 657 trades, which means 1,314 orders. Assuming each order costs $2 (what I pay for at Interactive Brokers), total trading costs should be $2,628.
-SPY (buy & hold) = 132.73 ---> 193.22 = +45.57% (dividends excluded)
-SPY Master v1.0 = $12,649 - $2,628 = $10,021 = +100.21%
DISCLAIMER: None of my ideas and posts are investment advice. Past performance is not an indication of future results. This strategy was constructed with the benefit of hindsight and its future performance cannot be guaranteed.
