Mulakan

Statistics

kaka-Buff横盘系统与CVD和LVP 作用：此指标用于识别市场横盘（震荡）区间，检测累积成交量差额（CVD）背离（基于分形和参考方法），并标记基于大成交量K线的关键价格水平（Large Volume Price, LVP）。它通过结合横盘信号、成交量背离和关键价格水平，帮助交易者识别潜在的趋势反转或延续。指标还绘制可自定义的指数移动平均线（EMA）以辅助趋势分析。主要功能：横盘检测：使用EMA标准差（STD）、平均真实波幅（ATR）、平均方向指数（ADX）和布林带宽度（BB宽度）识别低波动性的横盘区间。 分形CVD背离：通过分形枢轴点和成交量差额计算，检测看涨（“+RD”）和看跌（“-RD”）背离，以标签形式显示在图表上。 参考CVD背离：在成交量分布区域（VAH、VAL、POC）内识别简单的CVD背离（基于价格和成交量差额高/低点），以绿色/红色三角形显示。 大成交量价格（LVP）：在回看周期（可自主设置长度）内标记最大成交量K线的最高/最低价，绘制线和标签，指示关键支撑/阻力位。 EMA线：绘制20、50、100和200周期的EMA，带开关控制和可自定义颜色，用于趋势可视化。 表格：以可自定义的表格（字体大小/颜色均可调节）显示横盘指标（EMA STD、ATR、ADX、BB宽度）和整体横盘状态。 警报：提供横盘进入/退出、分形CVD背离、参考CVD背离和LVP价格突破的警报。 Consolidation System with CVD and LVP Purpose: This indicator identifies market consolidation zones, detects Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) divergences (both fractal-based and reference-based), and marks significant price levels based on large volume bars (Large Volume Price, LVP). It helps traders identify potential trend reversals or continuations by combining consolidation signals, volume-based divergence, and key price levels. The indicator also plots customizable Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to aid in trend analysis.Key Features:Consolidation Detection: Uses EMA Standard Deviation (STD), Average True Range (ATR), Average Directional Index (ADX), and Bollinger Bands (BB) width to identify low-volatility consolidation zones. Fractal CVD Divergence: Detects bullish ("+RD") and bearish ("-RD") divergences using fractal pivot points and a volume delta calculation, displayed as labels on the chart. Reference CVD Divergence: Identifies simpler CVD divergences (based on price and volume delta highs/lows) within volume profile zones (VAH, VAL, POC), shown as green/red triangles. Large Volume Price (LVP): Marks the high/low of the highest volume bar within a lookback period with lines and labels, indicating key support/resistance levels. EMA Lines: Plots EMA 20, 50, 100, and 200 with toggle switches and customizable colors for trend visualization. Table: Displays consolidation metrics (EMA STD, ATR, ADX, BB width) and overall consolidation status in a customizable table. Alerts: Provides alerts for consolidation entry/exit, fractal CVD divergences, reference CVD divergences, and LVP price crossings.
Penunjuk Pine Script®
oleh superbnando
[ayana] TFPS - TradFi Pressure ScoreTFPS - TradFi Pressure Score: Your Market Pressure Barometer Understand what moves Wall Street, before it moves Crypto. This indicator is your real-time barometer for the influence of traditional financial markets (TradFi) on Crypto. It measures the combined pressure from four key quadrants—Risk Appetite (S&P 500), Market Stress (VIX), Liquidity (DXY), and Macro Expectations (US10Y)—to answer one question: "Do I have a tailwind or a headwind from the global markets?" How to Read Your "Cockpit" in 60 Seconds The Main Line (Overall Market Pressure) GREEN / ABOVE 0: Bullish Tailwind. The macro environment is supportive for Crypto. RED / BELOW 0: Bearish Headwind. The macro environment is creating pressure on Crypto. BRIGHT Color: Pressure is ACCELERATING. DARK Color: Pressure is DECELERATING (losing momentum). The Dashboard (Your Command Center) Lead/Lag Analysis: The game-changer. Tells you if TradFi is currently leading the price or vice-versa. This is your key to knowing whether to watch macro news or focus on crypto-specifics. TradFi Influence (R²): Shows you HOW RELEVANT the macro pressure is right now. High R² means Wall Street's influence is dominant. Low R² means crypto is moving on its own narrative. Dynamic Weights: Reveals the market's primary NARRATIVE. Is the pressure coming from Fear (VIX), Liquidity (DXY), or general Risk Appetite (SPX)? Extreme Signals (Reversal Zones) Stress Cloud (Z-Score): Large, opaque bars warn of statistically EXTREME greed or fear levels. Extreme Dots: Pinpoint the moments when pressure has likely reached an unsustainable peak, often preceding turning points. Key Strategies & Use Cases As a Trend Filter: Simply avoid fighting the color. Don't force long trades when the TFPS shows a strong red headwind. For Precision Entry/Exits: Use the Extreme Dots and a decelerating color on the Main Line to time your entries in confluence with your own strategy. For Strategic Decisions: Use the Lead/Lag and R² metrics to decide where to focus your attention and how to manage portfolio risk based on the current macro regime. Configuration For best results, leave the engine settings on their default (auto-adaptive) mode. The indicator's core intelligence lies in its ability to adapt to changing market dynamics automatically. You can adjust the visual theme to match your chart.
Penunjuk Pine Script®
oleh ayana-ailab
Recession Warning Model [BackQuant]Recession Warning Model Overview The Recession Warning Model (RWM) is a Pine Script® indicator designed to estimate the probability of an economic recession by integrating multiple macroeconomic, market sentiment, and labor market indicators. It combines over a dozen data series into a transparent, adaptive, and actionable tool for traders, portfolio managers, and researchers. The model provides customizable complexity levels, display modes, and data processing options to accommodate various analytical requirements while ensuring robustness through dynamic weighting and regime-aware adjustments. Purpose The RWM fulfills the need for a concise yet comprehensive tool to monitor recession risk. Unlike approaches relying on a single metric, such as yield-curve inversion, or extensive economic reports, it consolidates multiple data sources into a single probability output. The model identifies active indicators, their confidence levels, and the current economic regime, enabling users to anticipate downturns and adjust strategies accordingly. Core Features - Indicator Families : Incorporates 13 indicators across five categories: Yield, Labor, Sentiment, Production, and Financial Stress. - Dynamic Weighting : Adjusts indicator weights based on recent predictive accuracy, constrained within user-defined boundaries. - Leading and Coincident Split : Separates early-warning (leading) and confirmatory (coincident) signals, with adjustable weighting (default 60/40 mix). - Economic Regime Sensitivity : Modulates output sensitivity based on market conditions (Expansion, Late-Cycle, Stress, Crisis), using a composite of VIX, yield-curve, financial conditions, and credit spreads. - Display Options : Supports four modes—Probability (0-100%), Binary (four risk bins), Lead/Coincident, and Ensemble (blended probability). - Confidence Intervals : Reflects model stability, widening during high volatility or conflicting signals. - Alerts : Configurable thresholds (Watch, Caution, Warning, Alert) with persistence filters to minimize false signals. - Data Export : Enables CSV output for probabilities, signals, and regimes, facilitating external analysis in Python or R. Model Complexity Levels Users can select from four tiers to balance simplicity and depth: 1. Essential : Focuses on three core indicators—yield-curve spread, jobless claims, and unemployment change—for minimalistic monitoring. 2. Standard : Expands to nine indicators, adding consumer confidence, PMI, VIX, S&P 500 trend, money supply vs. GDP, and the Sahm Rule. 3. Professional : Includes all 13 indicators, incorporating financial conditions, credit spreads, JOLTS vacancies, and wage growth. 4. Research : Unlocks all indicators plus experimental settings for advanced users. Key Indicators Below is a summary of the 13 indicators, their data sources, and economic significance: - Yield-Curve Spread : Difference between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields. Negative spreads signal banking sector stress. - Jobless Claims : Four-week moving average of unemployment claims. Sustained increases indicate rising layoffs. - Unemployment Change : Three-month change in unemployment rate. Sharp rises often precede recessions. - Sahm Rule : Triggers when unemployment rises 0.5% above its 12-month low, a reliable recession indicator. - Consumer Confidence : University of Michigan survey. Declines reflect household pessimism, impacting spending. - PMI : Purchasing Managers’ Index. Values below 50 indicate manufacturing contraction. - VIX : CBOE Volatility Index. Elevated levels suggest market anticipation of economic distress. - S&P 500 Growth : Weekly moving average trend. Declines reduce wealth effects, curbing consumption. - M2 + GDP Trend : Monitors money supply and real GDP. Simultaneous declines signal credit contraction. - NFCI : Chicago Fed’s National Financial Conditions Index. Positive values indicate tighter conditions. - Credit Spreads : Proxy for corporate bond spreads using 10-year vs. 2-year Treasury yields. Widening spreads reflect stress. - JOLTS Vacancies : Job openings data. Significant drops precede hiring slowdowns. - Wage Growth : Year-over-year change in average hourly earnings. Late-cycle spikes often signal economic overheating. Data Processing - Rate of Change (ROC) : Optionally applied to capture momentum in data series (default: 21-bar period). - Z-Score Normalization : Standardizes indicators to a common scale (default: 252-bar lookback). - Smoothing : Applies a short moving average to final signals (default: 5-bar period) to reduce noise. - Binary Signals : Generated for each indicator (e.g., yield-curve inverted or PMI below 50) based on thresholds or Z-score deviations. Probability Calculation 1. Each indicator’s binary signal is weighted according to user settings or dynamic performance. 2. Weights are normalized to sum to 100% across active indicators. 3. Leading and coincident signals are aggregated separately (if split mode is enabled) and combined using the specified mix. 4. The probability is adjusted by a regime multiplier, amplifying risk during Stress or Crisis regimes. 5. Optional smoothing ensures stable outputs. Display and Visualization - Probability Mode : Plots a continuous 0-100% recession probability with color gradients and confidence bands. - Binary Mode : Categorizes risk into four levels (Minimal, Watch, Caution, Alert) for simplified dashboards. - Lead/Coincident Mode : Displays leading and coincident probabilities separately to track signal divergence. - Ensemble Mode : Averages traditional and split probabilities for a balanced view. - Regime Background : Color-coded overlays (green for Expansion, orange for Late-Cycle, amber for Stress, red for Crisis). - Analytics Table : Optional dashboard showing probability, confidence, regime, and top indicator statuses. Practical Applications - Asset Allocation : Adjust equity or bond exposures based on sustained probability increases. - Risk Management : Hedge portfolios with VIX futures or options during regime shifts to Stress or Crisis. - Sector Rotation : Shift toward defensive sectors when coincident signals rise above 50%. - Trading Filters : Disable short-term strategies during high-risk regimes. - Event Timing : Scale positions ahead of high-impact data releases when probability and VIX are elevated. Configuration Guidelines - Enable ROC and Z-score for consistent indicator comparison unless raw data is preferred. - Use dynamic weighting with at least one economic cycle of data for optimal performance. - Monitor stress composite scores above 80 alongside probabilities above 70 for critical risk signals. - Adjust adaptation speed (default: 0.1) to 0.2 during Crisis regimes for faster indicator prioritization. - Combine RWM with complementary tools (e.g., liquidity metrics) for intraday or short-term trading. Limitations - Macro indicators lag intraday market moves, making RWM better suited for strategic rather than tactical trading. - Historical data availability may constrain dynamic weighting on shorter timeframes. - Model accuracy depends on the quality and timeliness of economic data feeds. Final Note The Recession Warning Model provides a disciplined framework for monitoring economic downturn risks. By integrating diverse indicators with transparent weighting and regime-aware adjustments, it empowers users to make informed decisions in portfolio management, risk hedging, or macroeconomic research. Regular review of model outputs alongside market-specific tools ensures its effective application across varying market conditions.
Penunjuk Pine Script®
oleh BackQuant
3
Ghost Month HighlighterGhost Month and Trading: Understanding the Phenomenon Ghost Month (鬼月) is the seventh month of the lunar calendar in Chinese culture, typically falling between late July and September. During this period, it's believed that the gates of the afterlife open and spirits roam the earth. This deeply rooted cultural belief has significant implications for Asian markets, particularly in regions with large Chinese populations like Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, and mainland China. Why Markets Often Decline or Stay Flat During Ghost Month: Reduced Business Activity : Many businesses avoid launching new products, signing major contracts, or making significant investments during this period, believing it brings bad luck. Property Market Slowdown : Real estate transactions drop significantly as people avoid moving homes or making large purchases. In some markets, property sales can decline by 20-30%. IPO and M&A Drought : Companies often delay IPOs and merger announcements until after Ghost Month, reducing market catalysts. Retail Spending Drops : Consumer spending on big-ticket items decreases, though spending on offerings and religious items increases. Self-Fulfilling Prophecy : Many traders and investors reduce positions or stay on the sidelines, creating lower volumes and increased volatility. This becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy where expectation of poor performance leads to actual underperformance. Tourism and Entertainment Impact : Travel and entertainment sectors see reduced activity as people avoid unnecessary trips and celebrations. Historical data shows that Asian equity markets often underperform during Ghost Month, with some studies indicating average returns can be 2-5% lower than other months. However, this also creates opportunities for contrarian investors who buy during the seasonal weakness. Inspired by @honey_xbt
Penunjuk Pine Script®
oleh ThatDudeFreak
R Manager PRO++ – Multi-Setup Risk/Reward ToolDescription The R Manager PRO++ V1.3d is an advanced risk/reward management tool designed for traders who want to visually plan, track, and manage multiple trade setups directly on their charts. This script allows you to plot up to three independent setups (A, B, and C) simultaneously. For each setup, you can manually input your Entry and Stop Loss levels, and the tool will automatically calculate and display R-multiple levels (1R to 5R), providing a clear overview of your potential profit targets. Key Features Multi-Setup Management (A, B, C) Track up to three separate trades at the same time, each with individual colors and controls. Manual Entry & Stop Loss Input Enter your trade levels manually for flexible usage across any market or strategy. Automatic R-Multiple Calculation (1R to 5R) The indicator automatically draws lines and labels for 1R to 5R targets based on your risk distance. Live R Display Real-time calculation of your current R multiple, updating with every price move. Custom Symbol Selection Link each setup to a specific symbol (e.g., EURUSD, XAUUSD, NAS100) to manage multiple markets without clutter. Reset Function One-click reset button to quickly clear individual setups. Alerts for Reached R-Levels Receive alerts when price reaches each R level (1R to 5R) to monitor trades without constant chart-watching. How to Use - Select Entry and Stop Loss levels manually in the input panel. - Choose the symbol for each setup (supports Forex, Indices, Gold). - Enable or disable setups individually with the Activate checkbox. - Optional: Use the Reset button to clear a setup quickly. - Monitor R-multiples visually and via alerts as price evolves. Suitable For - Swing traders - Day traders - Risk-based trading strategies (R-multiples) - Multi-market portfolio management
Penunjuk Pine Script®
oleh Marvin_Brh