[TTI] Position Sizing Calculatorb]HISTORY AND CREDITS –––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
"Perhaps the greatest secret to top trading and investing success is appropriate money management or what we now call POSITION SIZING" - Dr. Van Tharp, Definite Guide to Position Sizing (Market Wizard Book #1)
For those of you who have studied position sizing you know the power it can have to the bottom line of your portfolio.
WHAT IT DOES ––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
The indicator allows you to quickly determine your position size after you decide to open a trading or investing position. Additionally, it gives you targets in terms of R-multiples (R) that tell you at what price level you achieve 2R or 200% return to a given risk.
The indicator also has the option to print these levels on chart for you.
You can use the calculator for the loaded ticker or other ticker that you wish.
1️⃣ Percent Calculator
👉 Choose position size (%) of total trading portfolio. General guideline here is 25% to be maximum (as per Mark Minervini criteria)
👉 Choose stop loss (%) of total position. This means that if you have 100k portfolio and your position size is 25% (25k), how much of that 25k are you willing to lose in order to asses you are wrong.
OR
2️⃣ Dollar Value Calculator
👉 Choose Stop Price ($) - general guidance is to use technical stop price.
👉 Choose Amount to risk ($) - this is the absolute amount of money you are willing to risk on a position
Both 1️⃣ & 2️⃣ calculate the targets and the target prices in order to determine where to take profits
Additionally, you get instant information for:
👉 How many shares you ought to buy
👉 What is the total size of the position to open
👉 What is your stop amount (either in $ terms or in $ of portfolio)
👉 What is the Risk to Total Equity with the current parameters.
HOW TO USE IT –––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
✅ STEP 1
Choose ticker and input the price at which you open a position
✅ STEP 2
Choose 1️⃣ Percent Calculator OR 2️⃣ Dollar Value Calculator
Depending on the parameters you use to open a position
✅ STEP 3
Review the table and the Additional data section to see how much Shares you ought to buy and what is the Risk To Total Equity
✅ STEP 4
Put Alerts for Stop Loss and Take Profits
Tharp
[TTI] ZVR Watchlist––––History & Credit ––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
This indicator/screener is inspired by the methodology of a great momentum master - Dan Zanger. Dan holds the world record for higher % gain in a 12month period, which was achieved in 1998 and has not been broken since. One of the secrets he has shared with the world is his famous Zanger Volume Ratio (ZVR), to which his attributes great part of his success.
–––––What it does –––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
The script allows you to monitor your watchlist for the most important momentum indicators on an intraday basis in order to maximise your chance of jumping in the right time.
1️⃣ ZVR - pre breakout indicator
ZVR measures unusual momentum at a given time of the day.
Example
Imagine it is the first hour of the trading session and you get AAPL with a daily volume (up to that time) of 2mn shares. Is this normal or not? If you just compare it to the average volume you will be making a logical mistake, since you have 7more hours for volume to reach the "average" level. Henceforth, average volume should be compared on an end of day basis. However, the ZVR looks at the current intraday cumulative volume at any particular time of day, and compare that to the average cumulative volume that has usually traded by that time of day in the past.
The 4 colors are 4 types:
🔴 (RED) — Volume is over 200% of the usual cumulative intraday volume for that day
🟣 (PURPLE) — Volume is between 150% and 200% of the usual cumulative intraday volume for that day
💓 (PINK) — Volume is between 100% and 150% of the usual cumulative intraday volume for that day
🟠 (ORANGE) — Volume is between 50% and 100% of the usual cumulative intraday volume for that day
🌚 (GRAY) — Volume is under 50% of the usual cumulative intraday volume for that day
2️⃣ SQN
The SQN is defined by the late Market Wizard Dr. Van Tharp: "A measure of a market’s movement through an application of the System Quality Number calculation. To calculate, the daily changes from close to close measured in percentage terms are averaged and the standard deviation is calculated. Plugged into the SQN formula, those values and the number of days (N) provide the market SQN score."
👉 Super Bullish - denoted by SB and lime color
👉 Bullish - denoted by B and green color
👉 Neutral - denoted by N and cyan/aqua color
👉 Bearish - denoted by Br and dark red color
👉 Super Bearish - denoted by SBr and light red color
–––––How to use it –––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
I use the indicator very much like a watchlist. I put it on a secondary chart and load up all the stocks that I have identified as a buyable. I then wait to get signs of breakout. My favourites are stocks which are in SuperBullish trend (SQN) and starting to show RED ZVR in the beginning of the day. Often these are very strong names that show institutional buying. I purchase close to pivot point and hold for a swing trade. If the stock advances too fast 5-7% on the day, I take some off into strength.
Suggested use for this indicator is to combine with any volatility contraction methodology. Some examples include the TTM Squeeze, Squeeze Pro or my personal favorite Mark Minervini's Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP).
Look for stocks in a long term uptrend (we have another indicator for Stage 2 identification).
Market System Quality Number (Market SQN)––––History & Credit
Developed by Dr. Van Tharp, SQN it is the ratio between the R-expectancy and its standard deviation, multiplied by the square root of the number of trades.
Here is an extract of Dr.Tharp's blog post:
Importance of Market Type
Basically, my definition of a bull market is one that’s going up. A neutral (or sideways) market is one that moves sideways in a range — or perhaps a bigger range if volatile. And a bear market goes down.
Market type has no predictive value, it is just descriptive. In other words, you never will know how long it is going to last. But you don’t need prediction to make money. You just need wins that are bigger or more numerous than your losses which need to be smaller or fewer.
In addition, you can learn a lot about what works and what doesn’t work when you use a particular market type that fits your time frame and how you want to trade. That concept is extremely important because two key Tharp Think principles are:
It’s easy to design a good system that works well in any one market type and
It’s insane to expect that same system to work well in all market types.
In fact, I have recently focused our Systems Development workshop upon the principle of creating trading systems for particular market types.
–––––How to use it
If you are a directional, momentum trader, the Market SQN can give you an unbaised measure of wether you are in an uptrend, sideways or downtrending market.
Color legend
Lime = Super Bullish trend
Green = Bullish trend
Cyan = Neutral trend
Dark Red = Bearish trend
Red = Super Bearish trend
