Tencent’s corrective A-B-C structure is struggling to finish wave A. Our primary scenario calls for a drop toward support at HK$364.80, where wave A should bottom. That should open the door for wave B, followed by a deeper leg down in wave C—into the magenta Long Target Zone between HK$325.60 and HK$229.00. This zone should mark the completion of wave (2), setting up a long-term bullish reversal in wave (3), which may eventually target resistance at HK$715. However, if price breaks below HK$188.60, our wave alt.[2] scenario will take over (36% probability), signaling an even deeper low before the next bullish impulse.
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