On this chart, we are currently tracking the potential beginning of a larger downtrend, which could be a larger-degree Wave 4 correction. It is possible that a larger-degree third wave topped in December 2024 at $260, and for now, I am assuming this is the case. While further confirmation is needed, the price has already broken below our first signal line, which supports the idea that a larger decline has begun—unless the next rally develops into a clear impulse structure.
At the moment, the price appears to be in the late stages of Wave C of Circle Wave A to the downside. Immediate resistance sits between $220 and $224, and only a break above $224 would indicate that Circle Wave B to the upside may have already started.
One important note: Circle Wave B could technically overshoot to the upside, meaning that if Circle Wave A completed as a three-wave pullback, we could even see a new high in the next bounce before the larger downtrend continues. This is something to keep an open mind about, as it is still early to confirm a substantial top on the long-term chart.
For now, as long as resistance at $224 holds, the assumption remains that Circle Wave A needs one more low before a stronger bounce occurs.
At the moment, the price appears to be in the late stages of Wave C of Circle Wave A to the downside. Immediate resistance sits between $220 and $224, and only a break above $224 would indicate that Circle Wave B to the upside may have already started.
One important note: Circle Wave B could technically overshoot to the upside, meaning that if Circle Wave A completed as a three-wave pullback, we could even see a new high in the next bounce before the larger downtrend continues. This is something to keep an open mind about, as it is still early to confirm a substantial top on the long-term chart.
For now, as long as resistance at $224 holds, the assumption remains that Circle Wave A needs one more low before a stronger bounce occurs.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.