ADA Analysis: Key Levels and Trend Outlook 2024.12.28

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Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on ADA (Cardano).

Weekly Chart Analysis

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Looking at the weekly chart, ADA is currently within the green box frame.
However, unlike the past, where the price oscillated within a box range with alternating bullish and bearish candles, the current zone has seen three consecutive bearish weeks, signaling persistent selling pressure.

Key Support Zone: Red Box

The red box represents the resistance level from 2022 before the breakout. It is now acting as a support zone under test.
If the support holds: ADA may follow a similar range-bound movement as seen in the green box on the left.
If the support fails: ADA is likely to drop further into the yellow box zone.
Breakdown Scenario:

If the yellow box support also fails, ADA may enter the blue box frame, with the potential to decline to as low as 0.216.

Daily Chart Analysis

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The daily chart reveals several bearish patterns:

Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern is complete.
Descending Triangle pattern is also complete.
Key Observation:

ADA is currently holding the 0.87 support level.
However, if the price breaks below the Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart, the bearish patterns suggest a significant loss of buying momentum and a potential shift to selling pressure.
Target:

If the bearish scenario unfolds, the expected sell-off could lead to a 51% decline, with the price first testing the yellow box zone.
Additional downside potential will depend on whether support emerges in the yellow box zone.

4-Hour Chart Analysis

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The 4-hour chart confirms that ADA has broken its short-term trendline, indicating a definitive shift in momentum.

Buying pressure appears to have dissipated, suggesting that the bullish trend is effectively over for now.
Upside Potential:

For ADA to regain bullish momentum, it would need to climb back above $1.00.
Until that happens, the market should be approached with a sell-oriented perspective.

Conclusion

ADA is currently in a bearish trend, with critical support levels being tested.

If 0.87 support holds, a temporary range-bound movement may occur.
If it breaks, ADA could fall to the yellow box zone or even enter the blue box frame, with a potential low of 0.216.
For now, a sell perspective is more appropriate, with cautious monitoring of the $1.00 level for potential signs of recovery.

Trade wisely, and best of luck! 🚀

Penafian

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