ALICEUSDT: Massive Trendline Breakout + Fibonacci Confluence

🔍 Overview:

After months of relentless selling pressure, ALICE has finally broken out of a long-term downtrend that began back in late 2024. But this isn’t just any breakout—it's a strong technical signal pointing toward a potential shift from accumulation to expansion, and possibly a major bullish run.



📌 Key Technical Highlights:

✅ 1. Long-Term Downtrend Breakout:
The descending trendline that has acted as resistance since November 2024 has now been cleanly broken, indicating a reversal in trend and the start of a potential new bullish cycle.

✅ 2. Bullish Accumulation Box (April – July):
ALICE formed a solid horizontal accumulation range between $0.385 and $0.42 for more than three months. A breakout from this range is often the trigger for an impulsive rally.

✅ 3. Golden Pocket Fibonacci Retest:
Price has recently bounced precisely from the 0.5 (0.4088) and 0.618 (0.3855) Fibonacci retracement levels, also known as the “golden pocket”—a high-probability bounce zone favored by smart money.

✅ 4. Clean Fibonacci-Based Targets:
Future resistance levels are well-defined by historical supply zones and Fibonacci extensions—offering a structured pathway for swing trade setups.



🧠 Market Psychology Right Now:

Retail traders are still hesitant after a prolonged downtrend (reduced FOMO = smart entry zone).

Smart money likely completed accumulation within the yellow box range.

This type of breakout often triggers "delayed FOMO" once initial resistances start getting taken out.



📈 Bullish Scenario (High Probability):

As long as ALICE holds above the breakout support at $0.408–$0.42:

🚀 Target 1: $0.5672

🚀 Target 2: $0.6481

🚀 Target 3: $0.7986

🎯 Main Target: $0.9754 (potential 100%+ upside from breakout box)



📉 Bearish Scenario (If Breakout Fails):

If price drops below $0.385:

⛔ It could re-enter the boring sideways range

⛔ Loss of bullish momentum

⛔ Potential retest of $0.31 (previous cycle low)

🟠 This would signal a false breakout — although this scenario currently seems less likely due to strong breakout structure.



🔎 Additional Confirmations:

✅ Breakout volume higher than average

✅ Formation of Higher Highs and Higher Lows

✅ Daily close above both trendline and accumulation box



🧭 Trading Strategy Idea:

Ideal Entry: Pullback to $0.408–$0.42

Stop Loss: Below $0.385

Targets: Use Fibonacci levels for gradual take-profits

Risk/Reward: Setup offers 3:1 or better R/R


✍️ Final Thoughts:

> “The longer the base, the stronger the breakout.”
ALICE has built a solid foundation over several months and now shows all the right signs of a textbook bullish breakout. With a clean structure, Fibonacci alignment, and growing momentum—this setup should be on every swing trader’s radar.

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