Alkem Laboratories Ltd.
Panjang

ALKEM– Cup & Handle Formation with Breakout Potential

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Technical View:
Alkem is showing a classic Cup & Handle pattern on the daily chart. The stock has formed a rounded base between ₹4,400 and ₹5,400, consolidating after a healthy recovery from its earlier downtrend. Recently, it has created a mini-handle near resistance, signaling that buyers are absorbing supply before a potential breakout.

Price Action: Trading near ₹5,448, close to its recent swing highs.

Moving Averages: Price is above short-term and medium-term moving averages, showing bullish alignment.

Volume: Breakout attempts have been supported by improving volumes, confirming buyer strength.

Relative Strength (RS): RS vs Nifty has turned positive after months of underperformance, suggesting sector rotation in favor of Pharma.

Pattern Implications:

  • A decisive close above ₹5,500–₹5,550 (handle breakout zone) can trigger a strong upward move.
  • Measured move from the Cup formation projects potential targets towards ₹6,000–₹6,200 in the medium term.
  • Fundamental Snapshot (supporting the trend):
  • Strong presence in Indian pharma & exports, with leadership in anti-infectives.
  • Debt-light balance sheet, stable margins.
  • Pharma sector showing signs of revival, which could act as a tailwind.


Risk Factors:

Pharma sector is volatile; regulatory news (FDA observations, approvals) can impact sharply.

Stop Loss: A close below ₹5,250 (handle support & short-term MA zone) would negate the pattern.

Trading Strategy:

Entry: On breakout above ₹5,550 with volume.

Target: ₹6,000–₹6,200 (medium term).

Stop Loss: ₹5,250 (on daily closing basis).

Conclusion:
Alkem Laboratories is at the cusp of a bullish Cup & Handle breakout. With positive relative strength, strong volumes, and a supportive pharma sector trend, the stock looks poised for an upward move. Best to track the breakout zone closely for confirmation.

Penafian

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