$ARKK Still Working on Stage 1 Base

ARKK – Maybe the best ETF to measure “Risk-On” in the market. I have been in and out of ARKK a few times over the last 6 months. I thought it was going to start its stage 2 uptrend back in February. That was a false break-out. It is now back over its 40 Week MA, above all shorter-term Mas and has broken above an area of resistance (flat blue line). I really think this ETF has a strong possibility to rocket 50%, to 100% or more soon. In other words, I “want” to be bullish. BUT, after careful analysis, it looks like there could be some major supply until it gets over the 18-month AVWAP. I have an alert set at $45.00 which is still under AVWAP. But I want early notice and AVWAP should continue to drop in price over time. See notations on the chart for more details.

Bottomline for me, it’s a trade that needs to wait. And like I said, I want it to work. Only time will tell. Ideas, not investing / trading advice.

Thanks for looking. Constructive comments welcome

I did another post on this a few weeks back. I have the link to that at the bottom.