AUDCHF Triangle waiting for the break-out.

The AUDCHF pair is trading within a Triangle pattern since August with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) acting as the Resistance, having consecutive near rejections in December. If that breaks, we expect an aggressive bullish run towards Resistance 2, despite the presence of Resistance (0.952625). In that case, we will buy the break-out and target 0.61500 (just below Resistance 2).

If however the Triangle breaks downwards first, we will wait until the price breaks below Support 1 (0.560685) and target 0.54000 (-9.09% from the recent high, which was a standard decline in 2023). This scenario is quite likely to take place as the 1D RSI has been trading within a Channel Down, showcasing a Bearish Divergence.

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