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AUD/NZD major beartrend resumes on rejection at sloping channel

FX_IDC:AUDNZD   Dolar Australia/Dolar New Zealand
105 0 11
AUD/NZD major bear trend resumes after rejection at sloping channel resistance, speculators’ bearish bets after breaking rising channel supports:

On the daily chart , the price behavior in short-term trend has moved in rising channel .

Despite the stern begging of this week where bulls’ attempts of bouncing back, the rallies were restrained at 21DMA levels.

The failure swings have propped up bears to plummet the prices below channel support at 1.0857 levels.

As a result, spinning top and shooting star candle patterns have occurred at 1.0845 and 1.0857 levels respectively, the current prices on this timeframe have gone below DMAs.

Well, considering the broader picture, the downswings have been slipping through sloping channel, every price bounces were rejected at this channel resistance and every dip were supported at baseline.

Bulls, for now, seem to be unlikely to break this resistance & 21DMA, instead, expect more slumps on bearish DMA crossover.

While momentum indicators to substantiate this bearish stance.

Pivot points: 1.0857 and 1.0884 levels on northwards and 1.0750 and 1.0686 (21EMA) levels on southwards.

MACD evidences bearish crossover on daily and remains below zero level on monthly terms, so we foresee bearish swings to be prolonged further.

Both leading indicators ( RSI & stochastic ) on both time frames are signaling selling sentiments. RSI evidences the downward convergence with the ongoing price dips that signifies the strength of the bearish trend , (currently, RSI trending below 46 and 63 levels on daily and monthly terms respectively).

While stochastic curve at 20 levels which is oversold zone has still been evidencing %D crossover to signal the bearish intensity in daily terms. This leading oscillator has been indecisive on monthly plotting.

Well, having said that we wrap up with concluding note, short-term bulls can speculate this pair whereas long-term investors at current juncture contemplating above bearish indications, we advocate shorting futures contract of mid-month or near month expiries for target towards 1.0750 and upto 1.0686 levels cannot be ruled out upon breach of the 1st target.

Writers in a futures contract are expected to maintain margins in order to open and maintain a short futures position.
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