Bias: Bearish
Date: June 23, 2025
Timeframe: 1-Hour
⸻
Market Context:
AUD/USD has retraced back into a 1H supply zone between 0.6480–0.6500, where strong institutional selling occurred previously. The recent bounce from 0.6372 appears corrective, driven by short-term USD softness, but the broader structure remains bearish.
This current move is setting up for a liquidity grab above recent highs, creating the ideal conditions for a lower high rejection and a possible selloff back into a large imbalance zone resting below.
This area holds:
• Buy stops from breakout traders
• Trapped long entries from the recent retracement
• Institutional sell-side liquidity
• A visible imbalance gap down to the 0.61143 region, waiting to be filled
⸻
My Analysis and Bias:
I believe AUD/USD is setting up for a liquidity sweep above 0.6480, followed by a sharp rejection. After confirming a lower high and bearish momentum, I’m expecting a clean break of 0.6430 support and continuation toward the imbalance fill at 0.61143.
This is a smart money setup:
1. Price taps into supply and rejects
2. A lower high forms after sweep
3. Bearish structure breaks below 0.6430
4. Price fills imbalance resting around 0.61143
⸻
Entry Plan:
• Primary Entry: 0.6482–0.6485 after rejection from supply
• Confirmation Tools: Rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle, or break of minor structure
• Stop Loss: Above 0.6517 (protective stop above liquidity sweep zone)
⸻
Take Profit Levels:
• TP1: 0.6430 – Breaker structure
• TP2: 0.6380 – Major support
• TP3: 0.6300 – Secondary liquidity pool
• TP4: 0.61143 – Imbalance fill (final target)
⸻
Execution Plan Summary:
• Entry: 0.6482 after rejection or clear confirmation
• SL: ~0.6517
• TPs: 0.6430 → 0.6380 → 0.6300 → 0.61143
• Risk/Reward: ~10:1 potential based on charted range
⸻
Final Thoughts:
“This is a premium setup built around smart money concepts. Market structure, supply rejection, and imbalance alignment are all here. Once confirmation hits, I’ll execute — no guessing.
Trade simple. Live lavish.”
Date: June 23, 2025
Timeframe: 1-Hour
⸻
Market Context:
AUD/USD has retraced back into a 1H supply zone between 0.6480–0.6500, where strong institutional selling occurred previously. The recent bounce from 0.6372 appears corrective, driven by short-term USD softness, but the broader structure remains bearish.
This current move is setting up for a liquidity grab above recent highs, creating the ideal conditions for a lower high rejection and a possible selloff back into a large imbalance zone resting below.
This area holds:
• Buy stops from breakout traders
• Trapped long entries from the recent retracement
• Institutional sell-side liquidity
• A visible imbalance gap down to the 0.61143 region, waiting to be filled
⸻
My Analysis and Bias:
I believe AUD/USD is setting up for a liquidity sweep above 0.6480, followed by a sharp rejection. After confirming a lower high and bearish momentum, I’m expecting a clean break of 0.6430 support and continuation toward the imbalance fill at 0.61143.
This is a smart money setup:
1. Price taps into supply and rejects
2. A lower high forms after sweep
3. Bearish structure breaks below 0.6430
4. Price fills imbalance resting around 0.61143
⸻
Entry Plan:
• Primary Entry: 0.6482–0.6485 after rejection from supply
• Confirmation Tools: Rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle, or break of minor structure
• Stop Loss: Above 0.6517 (protective stop above liquidity sweep zone)
⸻
Take Profit Levels:
• TP1: 0.6430 – Breaker structure
• TP2: 0.6380 – Major support
• TP3: 0.6300 – Secondary liquidity pool
• TP4: 0.61143 – Imbalance fill (final target)
⸻
Execution Plan Summary:
• Entry: 0.6482 after rejection or clear confirmation
• SL: ~0.6517
• TPs: 0.6430 → 0.6380 → 0.6300 → 0.61143
• Risk/Reward: ~10:1 potential based on charted range
⸻
Final Thoughts:
“This is a premium setup built around smart money concepts. Market structure, supply rejection, and imbalance alignment are all here. Once confirmation hits, I’ll execute — no guessing.
Trade simple. Live lavish.”
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.